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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing logo
$429.07 +12.06 (+2.89%)
As of 09/4/2026 03:58 PM Eastern

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
1
Buy
16

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Buy." Out of the 17 analysts, 1 has given a hold rating, 13 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for TSM.

Consensus Price Target

$523.22
21.94% Upside
According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the average price target is $523.22. The highest price target for TSM is $650.00, while the lowest price target for TSM is $330.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 21.94% from the current price of $429.07.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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TSM Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
9/6/25 to 9/6/26
1 Month Ago
8/7/25 to 8/7/26
3 Months Ago
6/8/25 to 6/8/26
1 Year Ago
9/6/24 to 9/6/25
Strong Buy
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
13 Buy rating(s)
12 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
Hold
1 Hold rating(s)
1 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
0 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$523.22$496.25$404.29$258.33
Forecasted Upside21.94% Upside18.17% Upside-5.34% Downside6.30% Upside
Consensus RatingBuyBuyBuyBuy

TSM Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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TSM Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock vs. The Competition

TypeTaiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingTechnology CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
3.12
2.23
2.53
Consensus RatingBuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside21.94% Upside411.35% Upside14.03% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent TSM News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
9/1/2026
Stifel Nicolaus logo
Stifel Nicolaus
4 of 5 stars
Sahej Singh
Not Rated
Initiated CoverageBuy$515.00+24.23%
8/26/2026
Weiss Ratings logo
Weiss Ratings
5 of 5 stars
 UpgradeHold (C+)Buy (B-)
8/11/2026
Mark Li
Not Rated
Boost TargetOutperform$430.00 ➝ $554.00+31.36%
7/27/2026Boost TargetBuy$480.00 ➝ $530.00+31.45%
7/17/2026Boost TargetBuy$450.00 ➝ $500.00+26.66%
7/17/2026Boost TargetOverweight$625.00 ➝ $650.00+59.17%
7/17/2026Boost TargetHold$400.00 ➝ $440.00+9.69%
7/16/2026Boost TargetPositive$575.00 ➝ $600.00+43.05%
7/16/2026 UpgradeHoldStrong-Buy
7/6/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
6/24/2026 Boost TargetBuy$490.00 ➝ $590.00+35.08%
2/11/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform
1/23/2026 UpgradeModerate Buy
1/15/2026 UpgradeStrong-Buy
1/15/2026 UpgradeStrong-Buy
1/5/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
12/7/2025 Set Target$330.00+12.00%
10/7/2025 Initiated CoverageOutperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 02:17 PM ET.


Should I Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock? TSM Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, September 4, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing:

  • The stock is currently trading at $429.07, which is significantly below the average analyst price target of $523.22, suggesting substantial upside potential as the consensus rating remains a "Buy" with 16 analysts recommending the stock.
  • Recent earnings reports show strong momentum, with the company posting a 36% year-over-year revenue growth in the most recent quarter and beating consensus estimates, driven by sustained demand for advanced AI chips.
  • Goldman Sachs has characterized the current AI spending cycle as being in its early stages, positioning Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing as a key "picks and shovels" supplier that is likely to benefit from continued infrastructure buildout.
  • The company is developing a three-hectare laboratory focused on faster supplier validation and resolving advanced-packaging bottlenecks, which could improve execution efficiency and help respond more effectively to AI-chip demand.
  • Insider buying activity, such as SVP Shu-Hua Fang acquiring 2,000 shares in July, provides a confidence signal that company leadership believes in the long-term value of the stock despite recent price fluctuations.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing for these reasons:

  • The company's planned expansion into the U.S. and Europe could increase manufacturing costs and pressure margins, even as it adds capacity closer to customers, potentially impacting profitability.
  • Some valuation analyses suggest the shares may be about 9% above fair value after their strong longer-term advance, indicating that the stock price may already reflect much of the positive news.
  • The company's exceptionally high margins require substantial volumes of specialized materials, including cleaning chemicals, and any supply chain disruptions or cost increases in these inputs could impact operational efficiency.
  • The stock has a beta of 1.39, indicating higher volatility than the overall market, which could lead to larger price swings and increased risk for investors during market downturns.
  • Dependence on Apple's product plans, such as the potential introduction of higher-priced foldable iPhones, introduces uncertainty, as any delays or changes in Apple's strategy could affect demand for premium chips.

TSM Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is $523.22, with a high forecast of $650.00 and a low forecast of $330.00.

17 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 hold rating, 13 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "buy" TSM shares.

According to analysts, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock has a predicted upside of 21.94% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock had 3 upgrades and 2 downgrades by analysts.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has been rated by research analysts at Bank of America, Barclays, Citigroup, DA Davidson, Needham & Company LLC, Sanford C. Bernstein, Stifel Nicolaus, Susquehanna, TD Cowen, Weiss Ratings, and Zacks Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing more than other "technology" companies. The consensus rating for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is Buy while the average consensus rating for "technology" companies is Hold. Learn more on how TSM compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 9/1/2026.
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