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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing logo
$413.15 -9.10 (-2.16%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$412.47 -0.68 (-0.16%)
As of 08:00 PM Eastern
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2026)

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
2
Buy
14

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Buy." Out of the 16 analysts, 2 have given a hold rating, 11 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for TSM.

Consensus Price Target

$528.78
27.99% Upside
According to the 16 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, the average price target is $528.78. The highest price target for TSM is $670.00, while the lowest price target for TSM is $330.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 27.99% from the current price of $413.15.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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TSM Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/16/25 to 10/16/26
1 Month Ago
9/16/25 to 9/16/26
3 Months Ago
7/18/25 to 7/18/26
1 Year Ago
10/16/24 to 10/16/25
Strong Buy
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
12 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
Hold
2 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
1 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$528.78$523.22$490.00$363.33
Forecasted Upside27.99% Upside25.30% Upside23.24% Upside21.26% Upside
Consensus RatingBuyBuyBuyModerate Buy

TSM Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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TSM Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock vs. The Competition

TypeTaiwan Semiconductor ManufacturingTechnology CompaniesBroader Market
Consensus Rating Score
3.06
2.24
2.53
Consensus RatingBuyHoldModerate Buy
Predicted Upside25.26% Upside688.10% Upside17.77% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent TSM News
Positive News
Positive News
Report Date
0 Results
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/16/2026
DA Davidson logo
DA Davidson
2 of 5 stars
Gil Luria
2 of 5 stars
Reiterated RatingBuy$500.00+20.67%
10/15/2026
Charles Shi
Charles Shi
5 of 5 stars
Boost TargetBuy$530.00 ➝ $560.00+30.03%
10/7/2026
Citigroup Inc. logo
Citigroup
4 of 5 stars
 Reiterated RatingBuy
10/6/2026 DowngradeBuy (B-) ➝ Hold (C+)
10/6/2026Boost TargetOverweight$650.00 ➝ $665.00+37.52%
9/1/2026Initiated CoverageBuy$515.00+24.23%
8/11/2026Boost TargetOutperform$430.00 ➝ $554.00+31.36%
7/17/2026Boost TargetHold$400.00 ➝ $440.00+9.69%
7/16/2026Boost TargetPositive$575.00 ➝ $600.00+43.05%
7/16/2026 UpgradeHold ➝ Strong-Buy
6/24/2026 Boost TargetBuy$490.00 ➝ $590.00+35.08%
2/11/2026 Reiterated RatingOutperform
1/23/2026 UpgradeModerate Buy
1/15/2026 UpgradeStrong-Buy
1/15/2026 UpgradeStrong-Buy
1/5/2026 Reiterated RatingBuy
12/7/2025 Set Target$330.00+12.00%
10/7/2025 Initiated CoverageOutperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 09:15 PM ET.


Should I Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock? TSM Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Friday, October 16, 2026. Please send any questions or comments about these Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing:

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing reported its sixth consecutive record-profit quarter, with third-quarter net income rising approximately 69% year over year to about NT$763 billion, demonstrating strong financial momentum and operational efficiency that supports long-term shareholder value.
  • The company issued fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $52.3 billion to $54.3 billion, which is well above the roughly $48.8 billion analyst consensus, indicating that management expects continued strong demand for its advanced chip manufacturing capabilities in the near term.
  • Advanced technologies, including 3-nanometer production, represented 79% of wafer revenue, highlighting the company's dominant position in high-value, cutting-edge semiconductor manufacturing that commands premium pricing and strong margins.
  • Analysts remain bullish on the stock, with DA Davidson reaffirming a Buy rating and a $500 price target, and Needham raising its target to $560, suggesting that the current stock price of $413.15 offers significant upside potential relative to professional market expectations.
  • Management indicated that AI and high-performance-computing demand remains strong, with full-year 2026 revenue growth expected near 44%, positioning the company to benefit from the sustained expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure and related technological advancements.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing for these reasons:

  • Investors are concerned about the company's planned capital expenditures of up to $64 billion, questioning whether AI-related demand and financing can justify the industry's rapidly rising investment, which may pressure future returns on equity if demand slows.
  • A wider chip-stock selloff, driven by concerns about AI debt financing and a jury verdict affecting Qualcomm and Arm, has pressured the semiconductor sector, limiting the positive market reaction to the company's recent earnings beat and guidance increase.
  • The stock price has declined 2.2% to $413.15, trading below its fifty-day moving average of $434.85, suggesting short-term technical weakness and potential investor hesitation despite the strong fundamental results.
  • The company recently declared a quarterly dividend of $1.0854 per share, which is a negative change from the previous quarterly dividend of $1.1136, indicating a reduction in cash returned to shareholders that may disappoint income-focused investors.
  • While the company is exploring additional U.S. manufacturing opportunities, such as potential participation in Elon Musk’s Texas “Terafab” project, such expansion would require substantial investment, potentially straining resources and increasing operational complexity without immediate revenue benefits.

TSM Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 16 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is $528.78, with a high forecast of $670.00 and a low forecast of $330.00.

16 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing in the last year. There are currently 2 hold ratings, 11 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "buy" TSM shares.

According to analysts, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock has a predicted upside of 27.99% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's stock had 3 upgrades and 3 downgrades by analysts.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Citigroup, DA Davidson, Needham & Company LLC, Sanford C. Bernstein, Stifel Nicolaus, and Weiss Ratings in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing more than other "technology" companies. The consensus rating for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is Buy while the average consensus rating for "technology" companies is Hold. Learn more on how TSM compares to other companies.


MarketBeat monitors more than a dozen sources for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing analyst ratings, with the most recent rating issued on 10/16/2026.
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