Ulta Beauty Q2 2022 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
August 25, 2021

There are 12 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to Ulta Beauty's Conference Call to discuss results for the Q2 of Fiscal 2021. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Ms.

Operator

Kiley Rawlins, Vice President of Investor Relations. Ms. Rawlins, please proceed.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Paul. Good afternoon, everyone. Hosting our call today are Dave Kimball, Chief Executive Officer and Scott Settersten, Chief Financial Officer. Keshia Steelman, Chief Operating Officer, will join us for the Q and A session. This afternoon, we released our financial results for the Q2 of fiscal 2021.

Speaker 1

A copy of the press release is available in the Investor Relations section of our website. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you of the company's safe harbor language. The statements contained in this conference call are not which are not historical facts may be deemed to constitute forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual future results may differ materially from those projected in such statements due to a number of risks and uncertainties, all of which are described in the company's filings with the SEC. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of today, August 25, 2021.

Speaker 1

We have no obligation to update or revise our forward looking statements, except as required by law, and you should not expect us to do so. In today's comments, we will discuss Certain non GAAP financial measures, including adjusted operating income and adjusted diluted EPS, which have been presented to reflect our view of our ongoing operations by adjusting fiscal 2020 results for store impairment charges and costs associated with the permanent closure of 19 stores. A reconciliation of these measures to the corresponding GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release. We'll begin this afternoon with prepared remarks from Dave and Scott. Following our prepared comments, we'll open up the call for questions.

Speaker 1

To allow us to accommodate as many questions as possible during the hour scheduled for this call, we ask that you please limit your time to one question. To ask a second or follow-up question, please re queue. As always, I'll be available for any follow-up questions after the call. Now, I'll turn the call over to Dave. Dave?

Speaker 2

Thank you, Kiley, and good afternoon, everyone. The Ulta Beauty team delivered excellent results again this quarter, and I want to start by expressing my Sincere appreciation to all of our Ulta Beauty associates for their outstanding efforts to drive these results. As I have traveled around the country visiting with our teams across all parts of the company, I continue to feel inspired by their commitment and passion for our guests, Our business and for each other. We are excited about the momentum we are seeing in our business and are optimistic about our future. The beauty category is recovering faster than we expected and the investments we've made over the last year to adapt to the market disruption and strengthen our leadership position are delivering results.

Speaker 2

Our value proposition is strong And we are evolving and innovating to lead in the new beauty landscape, capture more market share and drive profitable growth. For the Q2, net sales increased 60.2 percent to $1,970,000,000 Operating margin increased to 16.9 percent of sales and diluted EPS was $4.56 per share. These strong results exceeded our internal expectations and reflect our ongoing efforts to serve our guests, especially as we continue to adapt to the changing environment. In recognition of their dedication to our guests and their efforts to deliver these strong results, This quarter, we awarded a one time discretionary appreciation bonus to eligible store and DC associates. For the quarter, comp sales increased 56.3% driven by strong growth in our brick and mortar channel.

Speaker 2

As consumer confidence, optimism and comfort to shop in physical stores continues to increase, we are seeing more of our members return to stores. Traffic trends in stores improved from the Q1, but remained lower than 2019 levels. However, comp Sales in stores increased to this quarter compared to 2019 driven by strong average ticket growth. We continue to optimize operating hours and I'm pleased to share that our retail operating hours are nearly back to 2019 levels. As expected, e commerce declined as compared to the Q2 last year, but were more than double 2019 levels.

Speaker 2

The sales decline was driven by a decrease in the number of transactions. Average ticket remained strong. Recall that our e commerce business increased more than 200% in the Q2 last year as we phased the reopening of stores. Guest utilization of buy online, pickup in store remained high, totaling 20 percent of e commerce sales in the quarter. To enhance the experience, we made operational improvements to increase order Accuracy and fulfillment speed and in the Q2, 97% of orders were ready for pickup within 2 hours.

Speaker 2

We have also increased the number of stores with dedicated parking spaces and we continue to look for opportunities to make curbside pickup available at non traditional Ulta Beauty locations. Customer engagement in our digital platforms remain strong even as store traffic ramps up. Compared to the Q1, our omnichannel guests on average maintained the same number of transactions in the online channel Even as they increased their in store transactions, reinforcing that e commerce transactions are incremental and help drive greater overall member engagement and spend. From a category perspective, we increased market share across all major Prestige beauty categories based on dollar sales for the 13 weeks ended July 31, 2021 compared to the same time period last year. We also saw sales strength across all of our major mass categories.

Speaker 2

Compared to the Q2 of fiscal 2020, All major categories delivered robust double digit comps as we anniversaried last year's phased reopening process and introduced more newness. Compared to the Q2 of fiscal 2019, fragrance, bath, skincare and hair care all delivered Strong double digit comp growth. Makeup was only slightly lower than 2019. While comp sales in the makeup category are not yet positive compared to 2019, momentum is building with both mass and Prestige categories improving from the Q1 trend. Reductions in mask wearing requirements combined with an increase in makeup wearing occasions Help drive strong growth in face and lip, while engagement with eye continued to be healthy.

Speaker 2

During the quarter, We launched 3 new makeup brands, Bobbi Brown, Ella Luz, a prestige brand founded by a well known Brazilian influencer and makeup artist and undone beauty. These new brands combined with new product launches from a wide range of brands including MAC, Clinique, NYX, e. L. F. And Maybelline drove improved sales performance in the quarter.

Speaker 2

Skin Care delivered another quarter of strong double digit sales growth compared to 2019. Reflecting the strong connection between beauty and self Guests are maintaining their skincare regimens even as they increase makeup purchases. Moisturizers, serums and cleansers continue to drive category growth. We also saw robust growth in sun protection and self tanning as consumers reengaged with travel and vacation activities. New brands including Fresh, Good Molecules, which is exclusive to Ulta Beauty and BTAN as well as new products from Tula, Shiseido, CeraVe, La Roche Posay and the Creme Shop drove solid guest engagement.

Speaker 2

Hair Care continued to deliver double digit growth, driven by newness and strong guest engagement with our strategic tentpole events. We began the quarter with our Semi Annual Gorgeous Hair event, an event strategically designed to convert members who do not currently shop the hair care category or engage with our salon services. This year, we streamlined offers and invested in dedicated social and digital marketing campaigns to expand our reach. As a result, the event attracted new members to the category and delivered stronger than expected sales and profitability. We ended the quarter with our Jumbo Love event, a basket building event focused on larger product sizes.

Speaker 2

We continue to narrow brand participation and simplify our presentation to guests. These improvements resulted in Stronger sales and profitability. In addition to strong strategic events, we also launched a number of new hair care brands throughout the quarter, including Risos Curls, Verb and Curls, a well established Black owned brand. These new brands combined with recently launched Briogeo and Kristen S contributed to the strong category growth this quarter as consumers focus on building and maintaining hair health. Finally, fragrance and bath delivered exceptionally strong growth driven by Mother's Day and Father's Day sales as well as our Fragrance Crush events.

Speaker 2

Newness and fragrance from Marc Jacobs and Carolina Herrera as well as engagement with the base business from favorites like Dolce and Gabbana and Chanel drove meaningful market share growth. Body scrubs and moisturizers from brands like Truly and TreeHut continued to drive outstanding sales growth, reflecting guests' continued commitment to self care. Our conscious beauty platform continues to expand and resonate with guests. At the end of the Q2, more than 2 70 brands were certified in at least one of the 5 conscious beauty pillars and now include Fresh, Kylie Cosmetics, Happy Dance and Good Molecules among others. To promote guest discovery and trial this quarter, we will offer guest a new conscious beauty sampler kit, which includes hero brands like Beakman 1802, Kinship, Tart and Tula.

Speaker 2

We will also refresh our ink cap in stores adding products from Dermalogica, Sunday Riley, Florence and Truly. As we work to scale Conscious Beauty further, we are enhancing our search capabilities on ulta.com and in the mobile app to make it easier for guests to find certified products that reflect their personal values. Through the pandemic, the lines between health and beauty have blurred. Based on our proprietary research, we know that 65% of beauty enthusiasts Believe beauty is significantly connected to wellness. Reflecting these consumer insights, this quarter we launched the wellness shop in select stores and on ulta.com to help our guests navigate their personal wellness journey.

Speaker 2

With a guest category focus on self care for the mind, body and spirit, the wellness shop features a From daily rituals to relaxation and sleep regimens, the shop addresses a variety of wellness needs in an accessible, Easy to navigate presentation. Our guests are responding well to the platform and will continue to increase awareness of the offering and expand its presence over time. Our services business is also gaining momentum. Sales from hair and brow services increased more than 60% compared to 2020. Despite capacity limitations due to mandates The CDC and state and local authorities, we are increasing member engagement and driving retail attachment, especially through our salon back bar takeovers.

Speaker 2

Services play an important role in driving guest engagement, loyalty, frequency and spend. I'm excited to Share that we plan to relaunch skin services in select stores in the Q3. We plan to offer new services that target specific concerns such as hydration, Anti aging as well as acne facials that cater to our Gen Z guest and we will test microchanneling, dermaplanning and hydrofacials in select stores. Turning now to our loyalty program. We are seeing Faster recovery in active member growth than initially expected.

Speaker 2

We ended the 2nd quarter with a record 34,600,000 active members, 8% above last year and 4% above 2019. Spend per member also increased driven by higher average ticket surpassing both 2020 2019 levels. The majority of new member acquisition happens in stores And our talented store associates continue to convert new members at higher rates than in 2019. We are also improving our conversion rates online, reflecting improvements we have made in the online customer journey. In addition to growth in new members, we are accelerating reactivation of lapsed members and increasing retention rates of existing members as we continue to advance and imply our data and analytics capabilities.

Speaker 2

From a channel perspective, In store only members totaled put 73% this quarter, increasing from 67% in the Q1. As expected, the mix of omnichannel members moderated from the Q1 to 18% of total members, but remained well above 2019 levels. Importantly, omni channel members continue to increase their spend across both store and digital channels. As we progress through the rest of the year, we expect the penetration of omnichannel guest We'll continue to moderate as in store shopping increases, but remain above 2019 levels. Discovery and trial are critical parts of the beauty experience and we offer a variety of physical and digital ways to discover new products, New trends and new applications.

Speaker 2

This quarter, we launched new functionality in our mobile app that allows guests greater access In addition, we reintroduced testers in stores with expanded stations of testing and sanitation supplies. We continue to deliver hyper relevant content to drive discovery and build stronger connections with our guests. This quarter, we introduced Beauty School Live Virtual Master Classes, focused on brand launches, demonstrations and beauty tutorials. Beauty Bio founder, Jamie O'Banion, hosted a Megawatt Glow Masterclass showcasing skincare tools and products. And in honor of National Lipstick Day, we partnered with a NYX professional makeup pro artist to walk viewers through a long wear lip look.

Speaker 2

In July, we launched a partnership with Super Great, a hyper relevant app based Gen Z centric live stream platform that is 100% focused on beauty. From shoppable live videos to editorial content and exclusive product drops, The super great community is an ideal partnership for experiential immersive beauty. While we are early in our We've already seen encouraging results with engagement tracking ahead of other live platforms. As part of our holistic marketing efforts to reinforce Ulta Beauty's authority in the skincare category, we launched altaskintok, Our first multi branded TikTok hashtag challenge. To drive increased awareness of our beauty Of our category breadth and depth, we asked audiences to post their favorite skincare products from Ulta Beauty.

Speaker 2

The hashtag has amassed more than 8,000,000,000 views to date with 1,600,000 videos created. We want Ulta Beauty to be the most loved beauty destination and the most inclusive. Building on our focus as a diversity forward company, We announced a number of commitments at the beginning of this fiscal year to further our efforts to champion diversity and inclusion. This quarter, we joined the 15% pledge, Committing to dedicated 15% of our total assortment to Black Owned, Black Founded and Black Led brands. To date this year, we have welcomed 8 new black owned brands to the Ulta Beauty family, including Homebody, Camille Rose and Mented, And we are on track to double the number of black owned brands in our assortment this year.

Speaker 2

As part of our cross functional approach to Integrate diversity and inclusion into all that we do, our teams launched a textured hair training series for all stylists To better enable more inclusive experiences in our salons, we also launched mandatory inclusion in action training in stores To understand what diversity, equity and inclusion means to Ulta Beauty. We strive to make a positive difference in The Ulta Beauty Charitable Foundation focuses on improving the lives of women and families. This quarter, with the generosity of our guests, our teams raised more than $2,000,000 for Save the Children to support mothers and children in need. We also partnered with LinkedIn for the Back to Work campaign, highlighting the pandemic's impact on women and providing resources to aid economic recovery. And As part of our ongoing efforts to reduce waste and minimize our impact on the environment, we recently launched the Consortium to Reinvent the Retail Bag, A multi year collaboration across retail sectors that aims to identify, test and implement innovative new design solutions that serve the functions of today's single use plastic retail bag.

Speaker 2

Finally, I am very excited to share that Ulta Beauty at Target has launched in 58 stores and online with plans to open about 100 stores by the end of the quarter. Over the last 9 months, the Ulta Beauty and Target teams have collaborated closely to create a unique way for guests to experience beauty and we're excited to see it come to life. As guests come to Ulta Beauty at Target, they will be welcomed into a 1,000 square foot co designed space with bold new fixtures and lighting that celebrate premium beauty with a modern look. Each aspect of the shop was thoughtfully designed to make the Space feel authentic to Ulta Beauty, Target and the featured brands within the assortment. From the unmistakable Ulta Beauty orange pop canopies and vivid graphics that weave into the existing Target store.

Speaker 2

Everything was designed to create an inspiring and unique beauty experience for guests. With compelling product displays and unique discovery zones, the shop offers a curated selection of more than 50 prestige and emerging brands, including MAC, Clinique, Morphe, Tula, The Ordinary, Pattern, Madison Reed, Urban Decay and the Ulta Beauty collection. The assortment is a compelling mix of Best selling items as well as limited edition collaborations and minis to drive discovery and trial. We're making the experience as seamless as possible, both in store and online. Guests shopping Ulta Beauty at Target on target.comandthetargetapp We'll enjoy free shipping for qualifying orders and all of Target's same day fulfillment services.

Speaker 2

And guests will benefit from rewards across both Ultimate Rewards and Target Circle. Well, it's only been 10 days since the first shop was open, guest response has been overwhelmingly positive with enthusiasm about 2 of their favorite retailers coming together and excitement about the ability to earn points in both loyalty programs. We're thrilled about this partnership and how together we can change the way the world experiences beauty. Before I turn the call over to Scott, I want to announce that we will host an Analyst Day here in Chicago on October 19 to share how our strategic priorities are evolving and how we plan to continue to position Ulta Beauty to deliver sustainable profitable growth. Given the ongoing uncertainty around the Delta variant, we are planning the event to accommodate both in person and virtual participation.

Speaker 2

Our teams will continue to assess guidance from the CDC and we will adapt our plans as necessary to ensure the safety of our team and attendees. And now, I will turn the call over to Scott for a discussion of the financial results.

Speaker 3

Scott? Thanks, Dave, and good afternoon, everyone. Starting with the income statement. Q2 sales increased 60.2% as we anniversaried the disruption to stores last year due to COVID-nineteen. We opened 7 new stores during the quarter and closed 1 store.

Speaker 3

We also remodeled 5 stores and relocated 1 store. Total company comp increased 56.3 percent driven by a 52.5% increase in transactions and a 2.5% growth in average ticket. As Dave mentioned, the resurgence of traffic in stores drove the Strong comp performance. Compared to the Q2 of fiscal 2019, total sales increased 18% and comp sales increased 13.1%. From a mix perspective, cosmetics was 43% of sales compared to 45% last year, Skin Care was 17% of sales compared to 18% last year.

Speaker 3

The fragrance and bath category increased 300 basis points to 12% of sales and hair care products and styling tools was flat with last year at 21% of sales. The services category increased to 4% of sales compared to 3% last year. Q2 gross profit margin increased to 40.6 percent of sales compared to 26.8% last year. The increase was primarily due to the leverage of fixed costs, Higher merchandise margin, more favorable channel mix and leverage of salon expenses. Strong top line growth drove significant leverage of fixed costs.

Speaker 3

The improvement in merchandise margin was primarily the result of anniversarying higher inventory reserves in the Q2 last year as well as higher sales, lower promotional activity and ongoing benefits from our cost optimization efforts. Recall that we increased inventory reserves

Speaker 4

by $16,500,000

Speaker 3

in the Q2 last year, primarily to adjust for slow turning and discontinued makeup SKUs and permanently closed stores. As a percentage of sales, salon expenses were lower compared to last year, reflecting strong top line sales and the elimination of the salon manager role. As a reminder, we will anniversary this change in Q4. Comparing this year's performance to the Q2 of fiscal 2019, gross margin improved by 4 20 basis points. Higher merchandise margin, fixed cost leverage and leverage of salon expenses were partially offset by adverse channel mix.

Speaker 3

As a percentage of sales, SG and A increased to 23.6% compared to 22.1% last year. Higher store payroll and benefits and higher marketing expense was partially offset by leverage of corporate overhead and variable store expenses. Store payroll and benefits deleveraged in the quarter, primarily due to the anniversarying of the 48,200,000 and employee retention credits made available last year under the CARES Act. In addition, Reflecting the strong operational performance, we elected to grant discretionary appreciation bonuses to our nonexempt store and DC teams in recognition of their efforts. Marketing expense also deleveraged during the quarter, primarily reflecting increased spend on print marketing.

Speaker 3

Recall that last year, we significantly reduced our spend on print material while our stores were closed due to the pandemic. We are also expanding our investment in digital marketing to support key events and reengage lapsed members. In addition, we are leveraging our CRM capabilities and working more closely with our brand partners to create more targeted digital marketing campaigns across multiple touch points. Strong top line growth resulted in nice leverage Corporate overhead and store expenses. Compared to the Q2 of fiscal 2019, SG and A as a percentage of sales was flat.

Speaker 3

As a percentage of sales, lower store expenses were offset by higher store payroll and corporate overhead. Compared to the Q2 of fiscal 2019, advertising in the Q2 of 2021 was flat as a percentage of sales. Operating margin was 16.9 percent of sales compared to 1.1% in the Q2 of fiscal 2020 on a GAAP basis and 4.5% on an adjusted basis. Strong top line growth driven by brick and mortar combined with the impact of our cost optimization efforts, including promotional optimization, delivered record operating margin results. The tax rate increased to 24.4% compared to 20.6% last year due to a decrease in state tax credits as a result of an increase in pretax income.

Speaker 3

Diluted GAAP earnings per share were $4.56 which included $0.04 per share of tax benefit related to share based compensation compared to $0.14 last year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share in the Q2 of last year was $0.73 Moving on to the balance sheet and cash flow. Total inventory increased 5.5% compared to last year, reflecting the impact of 32 additional stores, the opening of our Jacksonville fast fulfillment center in Q3 of fiscal 2020 and increased inventory purchases to support higher demand. Capital expenditures were $22,700,000 for the quarter, driven by our new store opening program, investments in IT systems and store remodels and relocations. Depreciation was $69,000,000 compared with $77,400,000 last year, primarily reflecting the impact of last year's store impairments in the 19 stores, which were permanently closed.

Speaker 3

We ended the quarter with $770,100,000 in cash and cash equivalents. In the second quarter, we repurchased 746 1,000 shares at a cost of $243,500,000 At the end of the quarter, we had $886,200,000 remaining under our current $1,600,000,000 repurchase authorization. We continue to expect to repurchase approximately 850,000,000 of shares in fiscal 2021, but as always have the flexibility to modify the cadence of repurchases in response to market conditions. Turning now to our updated outlook for 2021. We are encouraged by our first half results and the trends we've experienced so far in the Q3.

Speaker 3

While the operating environment continues to be dynamic and our near term visibility remains limited, especially as it relates to the spread of COVID variance, we have increased our financial expectations for the year. We now expect net sales for the year to be between dollars 8,100,000,000 $8,300,000,000 with comp sales growth planned to be in the 30% to 32% range. We continue to expect comp results will moderate to the low double digit range as we move through the second half. We expect to open approximately 44 net new stores and remodel or relocate 18 stores. We now expect operating margin rate for the year will be approximately 13% of sales.

Speaker 3

We continue to believe the largest driver of operating margin expansion will come from gross margin, driven by leverage of fixed costs, less headwind from channel shift, improving merchandise margin and leverage of salon costs. Based on the higher top line growth, we now expect to leverage SG and A more than previously expected as compared to fiscal 2020. These assumptions result in an expectation diluted earnings per share in the range of $14.50 to $14.70 per share, including the impact of approximately $850,000,000 in share repurchases. Like others, we are managing global Supply chain constraints, port congestion and other headwinds, including the resurgence of COVID-nineteen. Our teams are working diligently to mitigate risk And where appropriate, we are proactively working with our brand partners to prioritize receipts to ensure we have adequate inventory for the holiday season.

Speaker 3

As a result, we expect that our inventory levels at the end of the Q3 will likely be elevated above expected sales growth. We plan to spend between $225,000,000 $250,000,000 in CapEx in fiscal 2021, including $100,000,000 for new stores, remodels and merchandise fixtures, dollars 105,000,000 for supply chain and IT and about $33,000,000 for store maintenance and other. As a reminder, our guidance for 2021 assumes a consistent federal tax rate and no material increases in the federal minimum wage and does not include assumptions for any impact related to a resurgence of COVID-nineteen. And now, I'll turn the call back over to our operator to moderate the Q and A session.

Operator

Thank you. In the interest of time, we ask the participants to limit themselves to one question and one follow-up. One moment please while we Thank you. Our first question comes from Adrienne Yih with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 5

Hey, thank you very much. Good afternoon and congratulations. I mean really it's a huge inflection starting last quarter and Great to see the momentum continuing. Steve, my first question is for you about Ulta and Target. Obviously, it's early days with just 10 days under your belt.

Speaker 5

But I wanted to see what have your early learnings been, if you can help us with any details on that. And then I know the initial target was somewhere around 100 stores. What would be the benchmarks for more aggressive rollout? And then my second follow-up question is for Scott. Just remind us, this is one of the first calls where we haven't spent an inordinate amount of time On freight and the supply chain, although it is an issue, you're not as exposed to the Far East.

Speaker 5

So can you talk about Kind of where you are exposed and if you can any kind of basis point impact for the back half? Thank you very much.

Speaker 2

Great. Well, thanks for the question and the comments, Adrian. I appreciate it. Yes, let me start on Target and then I'm going to ask Keisha to give some more color because Keisha is leading this for us. But we are as I In the comments, we're just thrilled with the partnership, the launch, guest response.

Speaker 2

We feel really confident how we've come out of the gate operationally working really well. And most importantly, as I mentioned, Consumers are thrilled by this. They're really excited about the idea of bringing together 2 great retailers in a unique experience that nobody else is doing. This Totally new to Beauty. And so we're really pleased with the results and the engagement and the partnership.

Speaker 2

Vakisha, why don't you share a few more details about what we're seeing in any of the outlook on stores?

Speaker 6

Yes. What we're most excited about really is the operational execution across both Ulta Beauty and the Target teams, seamless integration between our technologies And making sure that we're capturing both Target Circle members and the Ulta Beauty members and having them link their accounts. We're out of the gates really strong. We love what we see. The guests are really loving this experience overall.

Speaker 6

And there's this huge momentum that we're looking forward to Continuing on getting the rest of the 100 stores open in Q3.

Speaker 3

And then I'll follow-up on the international So we don't really break out geographic sourcing exposure, but most of our products, lipsticks, serums are made in the U. S. Or Europe. We do have some limited exposure to China with Ulta Beauty brand, private label and Few specific brands in the assortment like Morphe and some components, of course, which are part of our vendor partners' supply chain as well. So again, we're Keeping a close eye on that, there's nothing that we see as a critical watch out at this point in time, but we're just trying to plan ahead and making sure we're as well prepared We can, despite any eventual outcomes there or development.

Speaker 3

So we feel like we're well positioned for holiday and the second half of the year. Great.

Speaker 5

Well, the stores are looking great. So best of luck.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Adrian.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Simeon Siegel with BMO. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 7

Thanks. Hey, everyone. Congrats on the great results. Dave, to follow-up and Keisha to follow-up on that just slightly from the loyalty angle. So can you just speak to your expectations of the member growth?

Speaker 7

First of all, fantastic Loyalty results. Can you just speak to your expectations of member growth, maybe over the year and beyond just with the target relationship now in effect? And then the follow-up, Scott, as you look past this year, can you just speak to how you're viewing these margin rates as to whether they're a new base or whether there's a we don't expect just give back from the benefits we're seeing right now? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Great. Thanks, Simeon. Yes, let's start with loyalty and let me Before I talk specifically about targets, zoom out a little bit and we're really, really pleased with our loyalty results In the quarter and really through this first half of the year to get back to a new high 34,600,000 members, 8% above last year, 4% above 2019. As I mentioned in the comments, that's faster than we had anticipated, but it's really a testament to an effort across the entire organization From our loyalty team, our analytics team, marketing, merchandising and of course our store teams and e commerce teams that are delivering a great experience every day. And the fact that we were able to increase total loyalty members by 2,300,000 members, which is the largest Growth we've had in any single quarter is just exceptional.

Speaker 2

Again, really proud of the team and the efforts. That's come through Strong new member growth strong new member acquisition, strong reactivation rates of lapsed members, and of course, High retention among our existing members. And so our loyalty program has long been a focus of ours. It's Absolutely a key differentiating aspect of our total model. We're very proud of it and we're continuing to innovate and drive that part of our business.

Speaker 2

And specifically about Target, I'm not going to give any specific numbers about our outlook other than One of the main reasons that we're really excited about this program is the connection that we see with our loyalty program, both in delighting our existing guests and we think over time increasing Their total share of spend with Ulta Beauty, with another key pillar in our omnichannel experience with our relationship with Target, But also attracting new guests. The Circle program has over 90,000,000 members in it. They have 30,000,000 People walking through a target every week. So we feel like there is a very large opportunity for us to attract New loyalty guests into our program, get them engaged in the Ulta Beauty at Target experience, but then also introduce them to all things Ulta across all touch So, we're confident and, too early to kind of talk about the experience so far, but as Kisha said, we're excited about the results so far and see it as a big driver. Scott, do you want to hit on the margin?

Speaker 3

Sure, Simeon. So again, we're very, very proud of the results we posted this quarter and appreciative of all the hard work on We have our associates and brand partners to deliver great experiences to our guests, which at the end of the day is what delivers those kind of financial results. So I would say the comp performance, again, it was elevated over initial expectations. So the 56% versus Last year in a 13% comp versus 2019 reflects a mix of benefits, unique External factors, I guess, I would say, combined with the power of our model and all the great execution and things we're doing to drive stronger results and Leverage across the P and L, I'd say it makes us increasingly more optimistic. Again, you've heard us say that We believe this is a double digit EBIT margin business over the long term.

Speaker 3

Our goal is to expand operating margins and feel confident we can do that. I guess I would say we're not going to share too much today. We'll have more to say, more color to share on sales outlook and margin expansion opportunities when we get together at our Analyst Day here in October.

Speaker 7

Sounds great. Congrats again guys and best of luck for the

Speaker 2

rest of the year. Thanks, Sameer.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Chris Horvers with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 8

Thanks. Good afternoon, everybody. So my first question is your 2 year comp tagger accelerated In 2Q versus the Q1, you're fading that back down to get the low double digit comps in the 4th quarter Despite what should be more work from work and learn from school in the back half, is this just looking out into the uncertainty? And have you related to that, have you seen any impact from Delta in August from any markets in particular?

Speaker 2

Yes, great. Thanks, Chris. Yes, absolutely, we are so excited and encouraged by the first half results and the trends. And as you said, the strengthening we saw and the momentum we see from throughout the first half. And we're feeling encouraged by what we're seeing so far in the Q3.

Speaker 2

And that's why we have increased our sales expectation for the full year. I will say, so with that optimism and confidence, it does remain difficult for us With certainty to understand how these variables will impact our business through the remainder of this year. With the resurgence of variance, it's certainly that's having A broader impact in the world around us. Our business remains healthy, but difficult to predict exactly how that will play out in consumer behavior. We're optimistic about holiday.

Speaker 2

We feel like it's going to be a strong holiday, but holiday is always a unique time of year, of course, With a lot of new dynamics going on and uncertainty, COVID and other influences will drive through that. And then we are lapping our business in the second half of the year in 2020 was stronger than the first half of the year For sure, as we reopened stores and started to gain momentum. So we do believe our sales forecast It's prudent, it's achievable, but it's also reflective of the uncertainty that we see out there. And last thing I'd say, As we've been doing throughout all of this, if the recovery is stronger or faster than planned, we're prepared. We're working closely with our brand partners to Be ready to adapt and adjust.

Speaker 2

We're working hard to make sure we have the right inventory, the right store staffing, the right marketing plans to Continue to lead the recovery in the beauty category as we believe we've been doing so far this first half of the year. So, optimistic, but feel like our guidance Is appropriate given the environment.

Speaker 8

Makes sense. And as a follow-up, quick math suggests that It seems like you're implying maybe a 36.5%, 37% type gross margin in the back half. Is that in the zip code? And If that's the case, what drives the lower rate versus the first half?

Speaker 3

Yes. I would just say we're taking a more tempered view, I guess, at the Promotional environment, again, naturally holiday is more promotional. We're competing against the wider variety of retailers during the gift giving season. We've got some incremental supply chain costs that we're baking into the plan to be prudent around fuel costs and things like that. So again, on balance, we think it's a prudent estimate forecast and we think

Speaker 8

Thanks so much. Best of luck.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Chris.

Operator

As a reminder, We ask the participants limit themselves to one question in the interest of time and re queue for additional questions. Our next question comes from Olivia Tong with Raymond James. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 9

Great. Thank you. First, congrats on the quarter. My first question has to do with the margins because I imagine a lot of this is fixed cost levers. But how much of this is how much of the margin Incremental margin is an extension of some of the efficiency and promotional improvement lasting.

Speaker 9

And how does this In any way change your view on customer acquisition costs or additional promotional efficiencies over time. And then you also mentioned that The e commerce sales are mostly incremental, which is fantastic. So can you talk a little bit about the profile of the customer that maybe primarily shops via online versus in store? Is it Changing, is it is the incremental new people still coming in via omnichannel? Are they replacing customers who are back to shopping in store now?

Speaker 9

Or can you just give a little bit more color there? That would be helpful. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Yes. So maybe I'll start with the margin. So it's Not exactly clear, but if we're looking at the Q2, again, we described that the biggest drivers in the Q2 were the reserve adjustments versus last year. Again, this Versus 2020, and so they were pretty significant last year. So of course, we didn't absorb any of that this year.

Speaker 3

We're doing a much better job with The stronger sales and better disciplines in the stores, so that was a pretty significant benefit. Promotional, less discounting was Kind of in the middle of the list, I guess, I would say. Fixed cost is another major driver of gross margin expansion in the second quarter and for the first half of the year just because of the much higher sales levels overall. So when I think about those things and of course the salon manager shift versus Last year was another element of that. So again, we're not going to quantify those things.

Speaker 3

But as I think about the future and we're thinking about The back half of the year, merchandise margin, we still expect to be able to expand it. The promotional the promotionality disciplines, I think, again, we got a good start on that last with some good learnings. Those are being played forward now. We still think there's opportunity there for us. There's other things we can do as far as Tools and process improvements to help that aid that over the longer term.

Speaker 3

Fixed costs, again, once we got sales back on track, fixed Cost leverage is the gift that keeps giving. So that's something, again, that we feel pretty confident in. And then there's other things we're working on as part of our EFG efforts They will continue to deliver benefits over the long term. So when we think about gross margin, merch margin being the most important piece of that, We still think there's plenty of opportunity for us over the longer term.

Speaker 2

Ben, on your e comm member profile, I'll just hit Couple of high points here, which is, 1st, our e commerce business, very healthy and such a Strong and important part of our total omnichannel mix and we're really pleased with how that's complementing and integrating with our store experience. And so we're so glad to see strength across both of those channels. E commerce guest, omnichannel guests are among our very best guests. Those that are shopping both in store and online do demonstrate a high level of incrementality with their e commerce purchases because What we typically see is those that have been shopping in store that start shopping online continue to shop in store at or in some cases even higher levels. And it's because they get more ingrained and integrated into the total Ulta Beauty experience.

Speaker 2

They become more loyal to Ulta And concentrate more of their beauty spend at Ulta. So last year with the stores being closed and the Dramatic increase in our e commerce. We introduced a whole lot of new consumers to our e commerce business. Now some of them have gone back to shopping only in store, but most of them We're continuing to shop in an e commerce business in an omnichannel way and the behavior is really positive, both helping to deliver our Q2 results. But importantly, as we grow that base of omnichannel shoppers, we'll have even More consumers shopping across channels going forward, which we know will drive total sales in the out years going forward.

Speaker 2

So excited about this omnichannel behavior and believe that one of the lasting impacts of this disruption will be A significant increase in our e commerce business and our omnichannel behaviors.

Speaker 9

Great. Thanks. Maybe if I could just follow-up on makeup. You mentioned obviously that the momentum has continued 2Q versus 1Q, Even if it isn't back to where it was before, why do you think it hasn't fully recovered back to where it used to be? Given the Given that people are going out, there is a lot of innovation.

Speaker 9

Is it do we need another trend or is it just there is still some holdback? Just kind of curious given the Strength, particularly of other categories outside of makeup.

Speaker 2

Sneaking in one more makeup question, but that yes, I'll just be brief here. The makeup, we're encouraged by what we see. And I think it's just a testament that the other categories have been Strong skincare, haircare, bath, fragrance, and they remain strong. There's a high level engagement, but makeup Trends that we're seeing are encouraging. While it was slightly below 2019 levels in Q2, we had Weeks and times during the quarter that it was positive versus 2019.

Speaker 2

Our mass business we talked about in Q1 It was above 2019 levels and it accelerated in Q2, also above 2019. And our Prestige business is improving. We're bringing in newness. Our biggest brands are performing well, new brands are performing. So I think it's just consumer behavior as we recover is there's high level of engagement, High level of excitement about make up more usage occasions and the momentum is building.

Speaker 2

Time will tell exactly when we get back to steadily being above 2019 levels and growing from there, but we're encouraged by what we see.

Speaker 4

Thanks.

Speaker 2

Great. Thanks, Olivia.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Steph Wissink with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 10

Thank you. Hopefully this is a One for you, but wanted to just talk about SG and A leverage because I don't think we've seen on a full year basis that in the guidance for Quite some time. So I just wanted to understand a little bit about the key pieces. Maybe Scott, if you could talk about what components of SG and A you expect to see the best leverage and where you might see some opportunities still in the future periods? Thank you.

Speaker 3

Yes. So if you're looking back at 2020, Steph, I think There's going to be a good story there as far as leverage on SG and A overall. Of course, the better comparison is 2019. So that's where I'll spend my time. As we look back there, there's still I guess I would say there's going to be leverage versus 2019 now versus our earlier in the year Outlook there, again, a lot of that's due to stronger than expected sales.

Speaker 3

So that's good news. We expect dollars to be higher in 2021 than primarily on store growth, number 1, wage pressures, primarily in the stores and A big variable here is higher incentive compensation levels than what we saw back in 2019. You'll recall 2019, We missed our internal targets by a fair range and so that was that's going to be a headwind, a significant headwind when we're measuring back against 19. Of course, we have that service manager role as well that's been reallocated from the gross margin line where it's a good guide down SG and A where it's a headwind versus 2019, but again that's a net benefit for the company overall at the operating margin level. We're also going to be pulling in some incremental advertising marketing expense in the back half of the year.

Speaker 3

I think we've mentioned that And some interim investor calls here to take advantage of market share opportunities now and the strength of our business. And of course, We've got good sales trends here too, so we're going to make some more significant investments there in the back half of the year in digital channels. So again, places we know that it's works and it's effective and they're strong ROIs.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ike Boruchow with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 2

Hey, everyone. Scott, can you talk a little bit more about just the e commerce? I mean, I think you said that the dollar doubled versus 2019, which I think implies Year over year was down around 25%, 35%, which makes sense given what you were lapping. But now that your compares are more, I mean, I think they're tough, but not quite as elevated. Do you expect e commerce growth to return when you get to the Q3 and back half?

Speaker 3

Yes. Thanks, Ike. So again, yes, 2nd quarter, a little bit unusual. I mean, we did see some growth in the Q1, but again, we were lapping Kind of just the initial stages, I guess, of the COVID and the shift and the store closings and kind of becoming a digital business 100% kind of overnight Back in 2020. So, it was what we expected.

Speaker 3

That was what was in our annual plan to see an overall decrease in the e comm This versus last year, again, brick and mortar, again, our guests demonstrating that brick and mortar is an important part of the beauty Shopping experience and static to see traffic numbers coming back to the stores and sequentially improving here in 2021. So I think Dave called it out in his prepared remarks. We got to remember, last year's Q2, we doubled our e commerce business, Right. So to expect a little bit of moderation here, I don't think is anything extraordinary under the circumstances. As we think about the rest of the year, again, stores, the traffic trends are good.

Speaker 3

We're encouraged there. So I would expect that e commerce It's going to moderate as we look out to the rest of the year and I wouldn't expect it to be a growth In absolute terms here as we look over the next couple of quarters, again for the full year, we expect e commerce penetration to be in the low to mid-twenty percent range.

Speaker 2

Thanks, guys. Thank

Operator

you. Our next question comes from Caitlin Chaney with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 11

Hi, thanks for taking my question. You had mentioned that the comp did come in higher than your expectations. I wondered if that was commentary on both what you saw in Prestige And mass and within mass, are you seeing an acceleration in market share gains There, whether it's in cosmetics or other categories.

Speaker 4

So Kate, I'm sorry, can you repeat first part of your question, we didn't hear you.

Speaker 11

I'm sorry. I'll speak up a little bit. I just wondered Based on your comments that you came in at higher than your expectations for comp, is that similar commentary both for the prestige category and the category and the mass category? And then just within mass, are you seeing an acceleration in share gains there versus what you saw in Q1?

Speaker 2

Got it. Yes. Thanks for the question, Kate. And yes, we're really across the board. Yes, we were higher than our expectations and we're seeing Strength versus expectations across really all aspects of our business.

Speaker 2

I talked about all of our categories demonstrating Strong improvement and in all but makeup growth versus healthy growth versus 2019 and that is true both on the prestige and the mass side. And then within makeup specifically and while we said it not quite back to 2019 although Getting closer and again showing moments through Q2 where we were above 2019. We saw improvement In both Mass and Prestige, Mass has recovered faster, but Prestige is certainly Showing signs and we're seeing some good and it's really driven by newness across the board, both some new brands that we brought in, but a strong newness Across our so many of our brands and different segments of makeup that are exciting our guests, getting them reengaged in the category. So yes, we're seeing it across all both price points and categories and it's encouraging.

Operator

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Paul, I think we have time for one more question.

Operator

Thank you. Our last question comes from Christina Chitay with Deutsche Bank, please proceed with your question.

Speaker 4

Hi, good afternoon and congrats on a very strong quarter. I wanted to touch on the membership base. You mentioned that it's reached a new record. You are reengaging with lab consumers and signing a new one. So where do you think you are in terms of the Target customer share of wallet compared to 2019?

Speaker 4

And then secondly, do you have any views on how the selling and competitive landscape is really evolving Here as we exit the pandemic and how are you thinking about the various players including department stores, brand DTC And specialty beauty players like Ulta and Sephora.

Speaker 2

Great. Yes. Loyalty, as I mentioned earlier, we're really Pleased and encouraged by the results we're seeing both in the number of absolute number of active members as well as spend per member, we're seeing nice healthy improvement there and it's just driven by a high level of engagement across categories. So as we look at share of wallet, we are confident that we're continuing to grow both share of categories and share of wallet and feel like our efforts To lead the category recovery are driving a high level of engagement. And across the competitive environment, Certainly, this is a the beauty category is always highly competitive.

Speaker 2

This is a disrupted time with a lot of Our changes, we have a high level of respect for all of our competitors, but our focus is on Ulta Beauty and driving our business Forward and leading the beauty category and leading the beauty recovery. Our model is unique. Nobody does what Ulta Beauty does. The assortment that we provide, the loyalty program, the guest experience, which is so important and done with excellence in Stores in particular and across all other touch points. And so we believe we have a Unique business model that, yes, while we certainly watch and are well aware of competitive activity, we're focused on playing And driving our business forward.

Speaker 2

And again, I couldn't be more proud of the way the team is delivering across every part of our business to ensure that Ulta Beauty is the really definitive leader in the beauty category and driving this recovery that we're very encouraged to see. So with that, thank you again for joining us today. Really appreciate your time. And I do want to thank all of our Ulta Beauty associates for their continued agility and commitment to serving our guests and taking care of each other, especially through the changing dynamics of COVID-nineteen. We look forward to sharing more about why we are so excited about the future of Ulta Beauty when we host our 2021 Analyst Day here in the Chicago area in October.

Speaker 2

So have a good evening and thanks again for joining.

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation. Have a wonderful evening.

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Earnings Conference Call
Ulta Beauty Q2 2022
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