Coca-Cola Q1 2022 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
April 25, 2022

There are 15 speakers on the call.

Operator

At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to The Coca Cola Company's First Quarter Earnings Results Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. All participants will be on a listen only mode until the formal question and answer portion of the call. I would like to remind everyone that the purpose of this conference is to talk with investors and therefore, questions from the media will not be addressed.

Operator

Media participants should contact Coca Cola's Media Relations department if they have any questions. I would now like to introduce Mr. Tim Leverage, Vice President of IR and FP and A. Mr. Leverage, you may now begin.

Speaker 1

Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. I'm here with James Quincy, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer and John Murphy, our Chief Financial Officer. Note that we posted schedules under Financial Information in the Investors section of our company website at www.cocacolacompany.com. These schedules reconcile certain non GAAP financial measures, which may be referred to by our senior executives during this morning's discussion to our results as reported under generally accepted accounting principles. You can also find schedules in the same section of our website that provide an analysis of our gross and operating margin.

Speaker 1

In addition, this call may contain forward looking statements, including statements concerning long term earnings objectives, which should be considered in conjunction with cautionary statements Now I'll turn the call over to James.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Tim, And good morning, everyone. 1st and foremost, on behalf of our company and our entire system, I'd like to share our deepest All those who have been affected by what's happening in Ukraine. The safety of our people and their families continues to be our top priority. As we highlighted in our release this morning, we are taking actions to provide that support. Now this morning, I'll discuss how we drove strong results in the quarter and that we are reiterating our guidance even in the face of incremental challenges.

Speaker 2

Then John will discuss the financial details of the quarter And how our work has prepared us for whatever may be around the corner. We all know that much has happened in the world since we last talked with you in February, Leading for sure to an operating environment that is fast changing and increasingly complex. However, we remain confident about the future and are well equipped to manage external factors worldwide through our strengthened leadership position with the right portfolio, After a promising start to the year, the operating environment soon changed With very significant geopolitical conflict, a resurgence of COVID in various places, record high inflation And continued challenges on the supply chain front. Nonetheless, we've consistently sustained our momentum from last year, Moving with Agility, acquisitions changed to generate strong top and bottom line growth in the quarter. We delivered 8% unit case volume growth, primarily driven by strong recovery in away from home channels And continued growth in our firm channels.

Speaker 2

Volume growth was strong across all operating segments, driven by marketing investments and Our enhanced capabilities helped us gain value share overall in both at home and away from home channels globally and across most of our geographic operating segments, a clear indicator of the power of our new approach. Amidst the dynamic macro conditions and an inflationary cost backdrop, we focused on delivering growth. The key competitive edge of the Coca Cola system continues to be the ability to deliver value for our consumers and our customers in any environment. Adding and creating value for our brands. Additionally, we continue to work with our bottling partners to expand package offerings And strengthen distribution to capture growth opportunities using all the available revenue growth management levers, including price To win in the marketplace.

Speaker 2

These scaled global initiatives are coming to life at a local level all around the world. So let's start with Asia Pacific. In India, we drove excellence in integrated execution as consumer mobility improved across channels By stepping up product availability, adding approximately 240,000 outlets and over 50,000 coolers. We also continue to build relevance through innovation by launching Maza Ampana to leverage our equity in mango and Fanta Apple To expand our footprint in the fast growing root flavored sparkling subcategory. Japan is emerging from an extended state of emergency, And we've increased our consumer base and driven market share gains in key categories.

Speaker 2

The Coke ON app reached 35,000,000 app downloads, Continuing the direct engagement with consumers to create and capture value. We also continued our focus on ESG initiatives With 100% recycled PET bottles now available in Japan for 5 key brands, including Coke and Georgia Coffee. In China, a strong start in January led by an excellent Chinese New Year brand activation with Coke was followed by strict COVID lockdowns, And this resulted in reduced consumer mobility. Momentum reversed in February March and led to a decline in unit case volumes during the quarter. We're moving fast to focus on core SKUs and ensure product availability.

Speaker 2

We're adapting how we engage with consumers Depending upon local market conditions, and we're working in close collaboration with our bottling partners to focus on execution basics like increasing Molypak availability And maximizing share of visible inventory in channels and regions that are open. In ASEAN and South Pacific, We gained share in key countries and across most categories, while consumer mobility was mixed and supply chain headwinds remained. Growth was led by Trademark Coke and Sparkling Flavors, driven by strong end to end execution of the 0 Words, Sprite Heat Happens and the Fanta Colorful People brand campaigns. In EMEA, notwithstanding the conflict in Ukraine At an uptick in inflation, we delivered a strong performance in Europe in the quarter. The continued rollout of new and improved Coca Cola Zero Sugar Across key markets helped drive 5 percentage points of sparkling single serve mix growth, which is ahead of pre pandemic levels.

Speaker 2

Topo Chico Hard Seltzer is closing the gap with the number one hard seltzer brand in Europe and the E B2B business with my ccep.com accounted for low double digit contribution to total revenue. We are keeping a close watch on the spillover effects of the conflict in Ukraine on the health of the consumer, and we remain ready to pivot and adapt. In Africa, macroeconomic recovery is underway, Although conditions remain challenging due to inflationary pressure, in South Africa, we accelerated refillable PET expansion And the execution of in store sampling to retain consumers. We are connecting with our existing customers in the digital space And have surpassed 65,000 outlets on the Wabi E B2B platform significantly ahead of plan. Despite macro volatility And intense inflation in the region, Eurasia and Middle East drove top line growth through a strong suite of marketing programs across categories led by sparkling and ready to drink tea.

Speaker 2

In Turkey, Coca Cola Zero Sugar became the number 2 immediate consumption player in value share Behind brand Coke. In Pakistan, Coke Studio, a platform that unites diverse cultures through the power of music, drove social engagement that reached an all time high in terms of impressions and viewings. In North America, We are seeing more inflation and are continuing to navigate supply chain dynamics. We're closely monitoring further pressure in some inputs such as high fructose corn syrup, PET and Metals along with wages and transportation as they impact us as well as our bottling partners. Despite these challenges, we continue to gain share in both at home and away from home channels and across most categories.

Speaker 2

The strong rollout of Real Magic platform and the successful launch of Coke Starlight resulted in Coke trademark being the fastest growing trademark in measured retail, Driving household penetration up to full point. Powerade's pause this power launched during NCAA March Madness, Generating more than 1,000,000,000 impressions. We also continue to learn from the returnable glass bottle pilot that has been implemented in the Southwest. In Latin America, we delivered strong performance despite challenging macro conditions, And the investments we made to sustain momentum are paying off. We remain focused on integrated execution and drove revenue growth faster than transaction growth, both of which grew faster than unit case volume growth.

Speaker 2

Our work to strengthen the traditional trade is paying off The Prospera loyalty program added nearly 50,000 retailers in the quarter, While continuing to advance our customer focused digital expansion. Notably, we have digitized nearly 2,000,000 customers in the region, And we are leveraging the strong system alignment with our bottling partners and are continuing to execute for growth. Within Global Ventures, Despite an inflationary backdrop in the UK, Costa continued to recover, driven by retail and strong like for like sales with Costa Express. In China, while retail sales were impacted by store closures due to the pandemic, Costa ready to drink coffee sustained its number 2 position And continue to innovate with Costa Char. Finally, our bottling investments group delivered strong Q1 performance driven by the Expansion of affordable immediate consumption entry packs in key markets and this resulted in share gains in Sparkling.

Speaker 2

We also continue to make progress towards optimize Trade promotions and cost to serve in our key markets and raise the bar on operational excellence. Clearly, the operating environment is proving to be more challenging, but we're pleased with the results we delivered in the Q1. We continue to believe The recovery in 2022 will be asynchronous. We anticipate many new chapters and challenges, including but not limited to Ongoing geopolitical conflict, uncertain consumer sentiment amidst the increasingly inflationary environment, Accelerated cost pressures and ongoing supply challenges and of course, continued evolution of the pandemic. That said, The changes we have made during the pandemic have left us better positioned than ever to capture growth, increasing our confidence in the future.

Speaker 2

The multiple levers of revenue growth management have never been more important, and our investments in building this capability over the past few years Giving us a clear advantage. Further actions on pricing will depend on the consumer and inflationary environment as the year progresses, But we will continue to rely on a mix of price, package differentiation and ever sharper promotional strategies. Through integrated RGM and execution capabilities, we adapt to local market conditions and give consumers what they want, where they want it and at the right price. By extending package offerings to keep transaction driving price points in play, we retain consumers through affordability, while also driving premiumization with innovation and targeted pricing. For example, in Latin America, We are continuing the expansion of refillables to sparkling flavors and juices, and this remains a compelling consumer proposition to address the need for affordability.

Speaker 2

In North America, we're maximizing value by initiatives like the one expanding the availability of mini cans for consumption across occasions such as breaks and meals And by offering 6 packs, 10 packs and 30 packs, driving an approximate 45% increase in retail dollars in measured channels And a near 20% increase in total distribution points. Our networked organization structure extends to our system. Our following partners complement our progress against our capabilities by continuing to invest in the marketplace, With our purpose to refresh the world and make a difference, We continue to focus our ESG work on issues where we can have a measurable positive impact on communities as well as create opportunities for our business to grow. We release our 4th combined business and ESG report tomorrow, An integrated approach to reporting that is a strong demonstration of how sustainability is linked to our business, builds resilience and demonstrates transparency. We have a long history of assuring select sustainability metrics while also providing Key public disclosures against the TCFD recommendations as well as other reporting frameworks such as SaaS B, GRI and the UN Global Compact.

Speaker 2

In the report, we highlight how we and our bottling partners are driving business growth through our interconnected ESG goals And how we continue to seek an exponentially greater impact by fostering collective action, partnering across industry, Government and society to address shared challenges. In conclusion, while there is no doubt The world is more uncertain and the operating environment remains highly dynamic, our strategy remains the same. To execute for sustainable growth Through strength and capabilities in innovation, marketing, RGM and execution. Now I'll turn the call over to John.

Speaker 3

Thank you, James, and good morning, everyone. Today, I'll highlight our Q1 performance and discuss our full year 2022 earnings guidance. Then I'll provide commentary on the overall operating environment And how our organization is navigating effectively to drive results. Let me first start by saying how pleased we are with the results In the Q1, we delivered strong organic revenue growth of 18%. Unit cases grew 8% With strong growth across all operating segments, concentrate sales were ahead of unit cases by 3 points in the quarter, primarily due to the timing of shipments in Latin America and EMEA.

Speaker 3

Our price mix of 7% was driven by Strategic pricing, revenue growth management initiatives, further improvement in away from home channels in most markets And positive segment mix. Comparable gross margin for the quarter was down approximately 90 basis points versus the prior year, primarily due to the impact of 2 items: 1, consolidating the Body Armor business and 2, currency headwinds. Underlying gross margin expanded despite continued pressure from commodity costs due to pricing actions in the market And it benefits from the timing of concentrate shipments. We continue to prioritize consumer facing marketing To maximize returns while driving productivity in our operating costs, leading to leverage in the P and L. Comparable operating margin expanded by approximately 50 basis points despite acquisition and currency headwinds.

Speaker 3

1st quarter comparable EPS of $0.64 grew 16% year over year. This was driven by strong top line growth, which benefited from the timing of concentrate shipments And operating margin improvements, partially offset by currency and cost headwinds. On the cash flow front, we delivered free cash flow of approximately $400,000,000 in

Speaker 1

the Q1

Speaker 3

as our strong business performance in the prior year and 2 higher 2021 annual incentives paid in the Q1. We remain confident in our ability to deliver on our cash flow goals for the full year. Our balance sheet continues to be strong With net debt leverage within our targeted range of 2 to 2.5 times. As James mentioned, much has happened Since we last gave guidance in February, the conflict in Ukraine has created further volatility in the world as well as added to the inflationary backdrop and impact of the currency market. The resurgence of COVID in China And some other geographies around the world is a clear indication that the pandemic is still very much a part of the conversation And a reminder that the recovery path has been and will continue to be asynchronous.

Speaker 3

Obviously, there are lots of puts And we see a number of potential futures coming at us. But notwithstanding this backdrop, We believe our organization is better prepared today, and we're confident in the flexibility we've built and our ability to manage What's around the corner? We continue to spin the growth flywheel faster, and our local businesses are adapting and executing for growth. With that in mind, this morning, we are reiterating our guidance for 2022. We continue to expect organic revenue growth of approximately 7% to 8% and comparable currency neutral earnings per share guidance of 8% to 10% growth versus 2021.

Speaker 3

Based on current rates and our hedge positions, We are reiterating our currency outlook of a 2 to 3 point currency headwinds to comparable net revenues And a 3 to 4 point currency headwind to comparable earnings per share for full year 2022. Additionally, taking into account our current understanding of recently issued regulations, we now expect an effective tax rate of 19.5% In 2022 versus the 20% that we had guided to previously. All in, we continue to expect comparable earnings per share growth of 5% to 6% versus 2021. And we continue to expect to generate approximately $10,500,000,000 of free cash flow for 2022 Through approximately $12,000,000,000 in cash from operations less approximately $1,500,000,000 In Capital Investments, to put this guidance in context, there are some considerations to keep in mind for 2022. The direct impact of the Ukraine conflict and the resulting suspension of business in Russia is estimated to be approximately $0.04 to comparable EPS.

Speaker 3

The recent increases in commodity costs Are having an incremental effect, but based on current rates and hedge positions, we expect commodity price inflation Additionally, we see incremental cost pressure coming from areas like wages and transportation. On margins, when it comes to capital allocation, our priorities remain the same, And we continue to balance financial flexibility with efficient capital structure. For 2022, we announced a dividend increase of 5%, a higher race than in recent years. And we also announced the resumption of share repurchases with approximately $500,000,000 in net share repurchase expected this year. Despite uncertainties around the world, our strategic transformation has fortified the organization to weather the storm, And we are extremely proud of how our people are responding and delivering.

Speaker 3

We are keeping consumers at the center, Operating more effectively and efficiently and unlocking the immense potential of our growth portfolio of brands. This gives us confidence that we can deliver on our guidance for 2022. And with that operator, we are ready to take questions.

Operator

In the interest of time, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question. If you have any additional questions, you may rejoin the queue. Our first question comes from Lauren Lieberman from Barclays. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 4

Great. Thanks, Cook, so much and good morning. I was hoping we could talk a little bit more about Latin Erica, an area like you called out about performance, in particular, Mexico and Brazil this quarter. And I sort of two sets of questions. One is, this is a region where your partnership with bottling has been particularly strong certainly versus the past.

Speaker 4

Can you talk a little bit about How that may be enabling your ability to be performing as well as you are in this challenging times? That's kind of one. And then 2 was there was a mention in the release about shares being down. It look I'm guessing it might be in juice because I think you talked about But anything in particular you're doing or the degree to which the market share performance is an area, a watch point for you and how you're balancing that versus thinking about I never do it though, so I'm sorry. It's the first time.

Speaker 2

Okay. In the spirit of generosity, we'll try and Because they're very related. Look, we have a great partnership with our bottlers in Latin America from the 2 very big ones, Cofemza, ARCA Continental through Andina and some of the more country based bottlers. And We have developed collectively the system many capabilities on many fronts, whether it be marketing or innovation, but particularly The levers of revenue growth management and execution in volatile times, it escapes no one's attention, Latin America is a place that has had a roller coaster of economic growth and inflation and difficulties and we have a very Deep partnership with these bottlers to work through these times and that I think you see reflected in this quarter As we had a lot of good growth. The share did come in negative overall.

Speaker 2

I think there's a couple of things going on there. As you say, we did a lot better in Sparkling, a lot of good execution in Sparkling, and there was some pressure as much In juice or some of the juice drink categories, but also category mix, we are very much focused on As we've talked about previously that when you are in a cost environment, those cost increases whether it Commodities or wages or logistics or marketing costs need to go through over time. We have to earn the right for the brands to take if they need to go through. Sometimes when you're in a very high share market like Latin America and you lead on pricing, not all competitors necessarily follow immediately And that can have temporary impacts on share, but we with the bottlers will be very focused on not only continuing to carry on growing, But to regain and expand our share position.

Operator

Our next question comes from Dara Mohsenian from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Your line

Speaker 5

is open. Hey, good morning.

Speaker 6

So I just want to focus on top line visibility here. You obviously kept the full year top line guidance despite the Russia impact. So underlying sales are moving up ex Russia and Q1 was another strong quarter, but clearly there's risk Consumer spending might weaken with the unprecedented inflation we're seeing. So first, maybe just looking backwards, can you give us an update on if you're seeing any signs of consumer stress In terms of impacts on your business or pushback to higher pricing around the world, either late in Q1 or in April? And then also on a go forward basis, can you juxtapose the positive impact of normalization of COVID behavior on your business

Speaker 2

Well, clearly, my act of generosity with Lauren has Unleash the torrent of multi question questions, but it would be harsh to cut it off at this stage, Dara. Look, a couple of things. We did come in with strong momentum out of 2021 and come into this year. And as I and John and we talked about previously on calls, we believe the pricing for our business has to be earned for the brands. We have to give the consumer and the retailer reason for the price increase and for the value of our brands, whether it's the marketing, the innovation, The execution or the packaging options, we do that.

Speaker 2

It's not a cost plus business, although we do I seek of course to protect the margin structure by moving through changes in commodities and other costs. But we very much foresee as experience and history, who was it Mark Twain said, history doesn't repeat itself, it just rhymes. Well, when you go into high inflation, consumers come under pressure. There's clearly reductions in real purchasing power going on for some segments Of the population, if not everyone around the world. And so our focus is very much to find Those packaging and price options by channel where we can stay connected to people who are coming under purchasing power pressure, Very much affordability, just building on the Latin American example from the last question, a lot of focus on Returnable refillable bottles because the economics of those packages work to an extent that you can have a lower price point for the package and with reductions in purchasing power, we very much see the actual out of pocket price point And keeping a low entry point into category is very important, also pushing the expansion of refillables in places like South Africa.

Speaker 2

So very much Acting on the signs of consumer purchasing power pressure, but very much also anticipating It will increase. It would be great if there were a perfect landing out of this inflationary environment. The rhyme of history would tell you that at some point either inflation or reduction in purchasing power or Supply constraints eventually create a bump, and at that point, we will want to both be accessing the Premium opportunities that are, but very much with a anchor in the affordability and entry price point opportunities and necessities As consumers come under pressure.

Operator

Our next question comes from Steve Powers from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Hey, good morning.

Speaker 5

When I think about just the approach

Speaker 7

to capital allocation and business reinvestment, As you talked about it in the prepared remarks, you framed it as essentially unchanged as a framework, but with all the variability you called out In the operating environment, I guess I'm curious as to where there are areas of your going in plans where maybe you pulled back a bit Versus other areas where you found yourself now leading in more. Maybe, James, to your answer to the last question, maybe it's affordability or something like that. But Just again, overall spending as you framed it and as the guidance implies seems intact, but my sense is it's moving around a lot under the covers. So just I'm curious how that Kind of agility is manifesting in terms of reallocations of spend. Thanks.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Steve. It's John. Let me first just Lay the picture of total capital allocation. The first priority is to invest in the business. And As James just said, when you think about the environment that we have been dealing in and we will be dealing with The rest of the year, the name of the game is right now is to do exactly that is to continue to invest in our brands So that we have the wherewithal to manage through whatever comes at us.

Speaker 3

I think at a local level, the mix of investments is something that we continue to be very flexible with. And we are leveraging the work that we have been doing over the last couple of years To be even more effective in how we're spending our marketing dollars, whether it's on building our brands or whether it's on supporting our GM efforts in the marketplace. The other areas of our capital allocation framework Supporting the dividend, looking at opportunistic M and A and share repurchase, we covered in With the dividend and share repurchase, we continue to be very open as to what opportunities may be out there. But in the here and now, the top priority is investing appropriately in the business. As I say, The mix of that investment is something that varies and will continue to vary depending on what we need to do locally.

Operator

Our next question comes from Bonnie Herzog from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 8

All right. Thank you. Good morning, everyone. I had just a big picture question about how you're working with your bottlers are experiencing pretty sharp cost pressures to essentially help them navigate through this tough environment. If you guys could talk about that?

Speaker 8

And Also looking at the equity income in the quarter, it remained relatively strong, but is the expectation going forward that there will be a greater impact in the next

Speaker 2

Yes, sure Bonnie. I mean, I'm not sure it would be appropriate to comment on equity income into the future for our bottling partners. But as we go into a tough environment, As we always do historically, we make sure that we intensify our collaboration and partnership with our bottlers, both to work on what are the marketing programs and the innovation programs that are going to Work in the consumer and the retailer environment that we face wherever we are in the world, and also the execution Initiatives and focus areas that bottlers can drive on, because firstly, the environment is not the same In every country around the world, some are opening up exuberantly and actually chasing and keeping up with demand and the kind of The reopening euphoria all the way across the spectrum to parts of China like Shanghai, which is in full lockdown As though it were April 2020. So the environment is absolutely not the same in every country and we have to work where on the curve Of all the change, are we? And be very clear.

Speaker 2

And in terms of the pressures, you talked about it. The pressure is both headwind and tailwind. Clearly, there are headwinds in terms of cost, Whether it be commodities, logistics, wages, and as I said earlier in one of the questions, we work with our system, Our bottling partners to make sure we protect and sustain the margin structure over time, that's not necessarily true every single quarter, But that is our overall objective, earning the right to price the brands, so that the system has the sort of margin structure and stability of that over the course of time, if not every single quarter. But there are headwinds there Balancing those headwinds, there are tailwinds out there as I said. The reopenings provide fuel not just for overall demand, but improvements in channels, Away from home channels where we're strong and leaning in with investment produces great results.

Speaker 2

So this is there's a lot of variables at play In the downhole of the year and really just the key is the intense partnership with our bottlers to make the most of the opportunity ahead of us And to prepare ourselves for step 2 and step 3 further down the road.

Operator

Our next question comes from Bryan Spillane from Bank of America.

Speaker 9

About ESG and I guess tying it to comp, if I understood the proxy correctly, there's been 2 changes. One is the ESG component now being a portion of both the annual and long term comp, I think it moves to 10%. And then also, for your annual long term incentive comp, the amount that's paid out in stock options, I think it was up from like a third to a half. So just wanted to sort of get your perspective on why make those changes now and Just what it signals about your focus going forward?

Speaker 2

Yes. Thanks, Ron. Yes, I mean, Firstly, we'd refer everyone who wants greater depth to the proxy that's out there on our website and we've tried to lay out Some of the mechanics and our thinking behind the 2 things. We have made some changes as you point out, Brian, to the way The long term incentives or more specifically the performance share units which are kind of a 3 year program, we got a 10% element in that that's linked To our ESG goals, and so we are laying out some very specific targets that will drive a portion of those payouts. And because some of those ESG objectives take some time to execute against, we felt they were better embedded into the 3 year stock award programs.

Speaker 2

And then secondly, as you point out, With the Board and with the compensation committee, we felt to increase greater alignment with share owners. We would readjust the balance of the performance share units versus options for myself and push that up to The 50%, I mean you can take that as a confidence in the future, but that's one Very small stone on a large pile of stones of things we do to demonstrate that we believe this is a great company with a great future.

Operator

Our next question comes from Nik Modi from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 10

Hi, good morning. This is Filippo Falerni on for Nick. My question is on pricing. Clearly, Price realization has been very strong in the carbonate soft drink category and particularly North America With a very rational environment in the industry and pretty low elasticity so far. So Can you comment how you balance the need to take pricing, while ensuring affordability Using price pack architecture, your revenue growth management, given this inflationary environment and the impact on Consumer wallets in North America and in other parts of the world.

Speaker 10

And then, second, if you think you will see More promotional activity in the industry in the balance of the year? Thank you.

Speaker 2

I mean, our approach to pricing, I commented a little bit on it already. Firstly, the highest level principle is the brand has to earn the right for pricing. And that is the combination of its activities In marketing, in innovation, in execution and the investments in the store and of course in RGM to make the Packaging and pricing architecture fit the consumers' needs. Obviously, what goes into a piece of that puzzle is also the cost environment, whether that Commodities, marketing logistics, etcetera, etcetera. And we seek to balance the various challenges Using RGM, as I said earlier, clearly, as we go into reducing consumer purchasing power, We need to have affordability as front and center and that depending on where you are in the world can take the shape of different packaging, It all becomes about the entry price points of the category, not the kind of the higher end price points of the category.

Speaker 2

But you balance that out By having moving up the price points on other package combinations, it all has to go in the mix And it is all done with a perspective that not necessarily every single day, but in a reasonable timeframe, The margin structure of the system needs to be sustained. You definitely don't want to get to a point where there's been a substantial cost push through And that has not yet been passed on into the marketplace when any recessionary impact appears. Trying to catch up On pricing in a recessionary environment is very hard, and so we have a bias to action. In the same way, we have a bias to invest behind our brands in marketing innovation, we have a bias to keep up with cost pressures as they occur, And that of course leads us to take pricing more or less frequently depending on where you are in the world. And I expect to see more of that in the rest of the year.

Operator

Our next question comes from Kamil Gajrawala from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hi. This should be a quick one And a single question, is there any update on the tax litigation matter perhaps, maybe not just on your end, but some of the other moving parts, I

Speaker 3

Thanks. Quick answer. No updates, No developments during the quarter. We'll keep you posted as they happen.

Operator

Our next question comes from Carlos Laboy from HSBC. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 10

Yes. Good morning. I was hoping you could give us An update on some of

Speaker 6

the stepped up efforts for renewable pack for refillable packages

Speaker 10

in Latin America and how that's going, please? Thanks.

Speaker 2

Yes, sure. Thanks, Carlos. Clearly, As part of both our RGM initiatives because the refillable reusable pack Just tend to give you the opportunity, especially in larger sizes, have a lower entry price point, which is particularly useful In Developing and Emerging Markets, and so you have an intersection of a very important business imperative on affordability And the fact that ultimately a refillable package is less likely to go to waste and has a lower carbon footprint. And so it Really complements our World Without Waste ESG strategy, where we're looking to create circular economy around our packaging materials. So the 2 intersect And give us the 2 imperatives that both point in the same direction.

Speaker 2

And so we're very much looking To invest behind refillable packaging, making progress in gaining in mix in Latin America, Also been driving that in parts of Africa. We've even taken to experimenting with returnable glass in the Southwest Of the U. S. And so we are very focused on this because it does work for both Of these both of these imperatives, and so expect to see kind of more focus and more investment behind Keeping that up and working with retailers to make it simple for the consumers to get the credits

Operator

Our next question comes from Andrea Teixeira from JPMorgan.

Speaker 11

Thank you and congrats for this quarter. James, just to conclude on pricing, you mentioned that You continue to monitor further inflation pressures and also alluded to potentially further pricing. Are you seeing I'm assuming you're seeing better than anticipated price elasticity. Do you see room for additional pricing perhaps in developed markets and in particularly certain clusters in the U. S?

Speaker 11

And if not, any flexibility to protect the bottom line with SG and A efficiencies that you can highlight at this point?

Speaker 2

Well, clearly, I mean, I've talked about our approach to pricing Several times and that is going to lead to more they're going to be more price increases depending on where you are. I mean there are countries with inflation well into double digits And you do see multiple price increases during the year. As a matter of course, when you're in those sorts of circumstances With cost pressures to push through as you seek to sustain margins over time. Let me just address the elasticity question. It has been apparent and other people commented on less elasticity in recent times As price increases have gone through, I do not expect elasticities to be Inelastic going forward.

Speaker 2

There's a reason it got the name elasticity. And so I fully expect as I commented earlier Inflation generally ends with some pressure somewhere. I expect elasticity to increase at some point in the future. Will that be next quarter? Will that be next year?

Speaker 2

I can't give you the answer to that because it's very dependent on some macros and it's probably going to vary by country. But we are very attuned to it, which is why I talked about how we are leaning into investing behind our brands, so that we earn the right for the price increases, so that we can minimize the elasticity And that we keep a sharp eye on affordability, which again tends to minimize elasticity if we use RGM Well, but as I say, if the choice comes down to we think the elasticity is going up or we're going to have to not Pass through some cost, we're going to towards taking the price increase rather than not taking the price increase. As I said earlier, not seeing the cost go through And arriving in a recession, being behind the curve is less desirable than embarking and having to Take the hit from a greater elasticity in the short term. And so that's our kind of modus operandi. And we will certainly seek to On the right to take the price increases, we certainly aren't looking to take price increases just because we can.

Speaker 2

We want to earn them as a brand and we want to make sure we recover At the cost of

Operator

time. Our next question comes from Rob Ottenstein from Evercore. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 12

Great. Thank you very much. James, in the opening comments, you mentioned that you had Digitally connected, I believe with 2,000,000 customers in Latin America. Can you elaborate On what that allows you to do, what that means, the upside there, What you're seeing in the market from that and how you expect to or how you plan to roll that out globally? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes. Thanks, Robert. This is a very important area for us and our bottling partners. Simply put, the idea of connecting these customers is essentially that our retailers, Particularly the traditional trade and the fragmented trade, remembering that on a global basis about half of our sales go to the fragmented Trade, whether that's from grocery side or fragmented in terms of being away from home and eatery, about half of the gold sold goes to that, It's being able so they can order the coax they need or the rest of the portfolio that they need. They don't have to necessarily await for the salesperson to turn up.

Speaker 2

This isn't about replacing the salesperson, very far from it. This is about enabling the selling system to be even more effective in being able to Connect with the retailers to generate orders. And so very much it's about a sales force enabling Such that in the same way that consumers in the developed world can just use their phones To with whatever system with whatever app is appropriate to order things and they don't have to go to the store to get them, we see The bottling system will be able to sell more and very much in the where we've implemented these systems, Where it's a complement to the sales force, it has driven extra sales and driven retailer loyalty. And so We think we can see and obviously we're very much engaged with the bottling partners to drive the connectivity particularly for the fragmented trade So that they can order whatever they want, whenever they want from the Coke portfolio. And that's True in the rollouts as you called out in Latin America, myccep.com is the same basic idea.

Speaker 2

It's all about Technologically enabling the selling system be more effective for the retailers.

Operator

Your next question comes from Laurent Grandet from Guggenheim. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hey, good morning, everyone. I'd like to come back to the progress of Costa Cafe. I mean, It was mentioned in your pro racking, coffee was up 27%, but some of it was of that growth was coming from cycling in the Costa store closures. Could you expand maybe more on the non store business progress, hot and cold, where are you expanding the brand, which countries and What are you seeing in terms of consumer reaction? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes. Hi, Laura. Yes, looking at the non retail bits of cost, The Express machines, the kind of vending digital barista machine had a very strong quarter with transactions Growing strongly and we're starting we're seeing now that reopenings have occurred, we're starting to see the focus on placement of new machines Across Europe and the Middle East and also in China, although that's got a little harder in the last couple of months. But the Express Machine is still doing very well. Obviously, they need the opening of the world to happen.

Speaker 2

And then on the Proud to Serve front, which is kind of providing the beans and machines to independent outlets, starting to ramp that up More in the Europe. Europe environment, again, early days. We did launch some tests in at home. That's too early to kind of call. And then Costa Ready to Drink has done pretty well in China.

Speaker 2

It sustained its number 2 position. It's continuing to grow and we've launched it also in some of the European markets. So Starting to see those innovations roll out and we'll see how they do in the coming quarters.

Operator

Our next question comes from Kevin Grundy from Jefferies. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 13

Great. Thanks. Good morning, everyone. James, I wanted to pivot to your business in China, given the uptick in COVID cases there and related lockdown measures. Perhaps you could just comment on, 1, what you're seeing from a demand perspective 2, perhaps the exit rate for March and what you're seeing in April And then 3, maybe just more broadly, the company's ability to better execute in your view, despite lower levels of consumer mobility now that we're 2 years into the pandemic.

Speaker 13

So thanks for

Speaker 2

Yes, sure. I mean, clearly, China is an important market to us. As I said in the script, we had a strong start to the year going into Chinese New Year, but the lockdowns, particularly Shanghai, Took the steam out of things and we ended the quarter negative. The key factor will be the degree of mobility. And we had and depending on how big that is, will make a huge difference For the level of results, I don't think there's anything to call from the early days of April that's different to what was happening at the back end of March.

Speaker 2

The lockdowns as you can read in the newspapers are still in Full force, so to speak, in those cities where they're locking down, and I think that's going to remain the biggest factor. Of course, we're going to focus on what we can control. We certainly had 2 years of trying to look at what that looked like over the last couple of years And we'll continue to build on those learnings and the playbook that we had and adapt as necessary. It's a little difficult to predict exactly what it's going to look like, but we feel, said a different way, we feel better prepared and more resilient Now for the COVID journey of 2022 in China than we did in 2020.

Operator

Our next question comes from Chris Carey from Wells Fargo Securities. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hi, good morning.

Speaker 13

So actually, following up a bit on the prior question, but more globally. John said in prepared remarks, there was improvement away from home channels in most markets, But not all. I appreciate Asia Pacific will have specific impacts in the quarter as just noted. But I wonder if you could just give us a sense of The progression of the away from home channel recovery globally, perhaps relative to 2019? And if you have any context on total company or key region, that'd be helpful.

Speaker 13

Really underlying the question here is just a sense of The current state of the channel as we all contemplate prospects of slowing global growth and how the company will manage through any reversal back away from home with

Speaker 2

I mean, firstly on firstly, let me step back both. The away from home channels, Whilst we have recovered to our 2019 levels, the away from home channels have not yet fully recovered. And in part that and I think I've talked about this on previously, we've lost outlets in the course of the pandemic. That's true of Away from home and that's also true of the fragmented grocery trade. And so there has been an impact on the number of outlets, it's not fully back.

Speaker 2

Of course, there is a distinction by sub channel with away from home, particularly QSR has done well, Those with digital and drive thru have done well. So the away from home channel even in a country can't be considered as a thing. You need to break it down into the different subcategories and really look at it by that. But Again, globally, it's not quite back at the 2019. There are big distinctions depending on what sort of sub channel we're looking at.

Speaker 2

In terms of the current global status, yes, China very much impacted by COVID lockdowns, but there are other parts Of Asia Pacific, Southeast Asia, where there were pressures on the away from home channel, Let me include Japan, which only just lifted the state of emergency and we should start to see that improve. As you think about the rest of the year, there are places where there is recovery yet to come. And of course, if there are recessionary impacts, Either because of recession or loss of purchasing power in the face of inflation in certain parts of the world, then that will be an offsetting factor as we go into it.

Operator

Our next question comes from Brett Cooper from Consumer Edge Research. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 13

Good morning. Can you address your thoughts on adding non owned products to your systems offerings to win in digitization of your customer relationships? And then maybe an alcohol specifically to help scale the system in what is a new area for the company on an aligned basis across markets? Thanks.

Speaker 2

I mean, We have a whole series of different situations around the world. I think the starting point is there's not one universal answer To this question. And part of that is because the nature of the retail landscape, the nature Of the distribution systems and the nature of the alcohol regulation is different in different parts of the world. We certainly start from the principle that our primary interest is in the brands of The Coca Cola Company. To the extent and you've heard me talk about like never say never and a kind of a probabilistic view of things.

Speaker 2

To the extent that a case can be made for other products being on the drugs, probably other beverage products, Including alcohol and that is somehow going to make the system, the bottlers and it's going to sell more of our brands That is a question we're going to look at and there are certainly parts of the world where going down that road has been successful in selling More Coke products, Chili would be an example of that where there are other beverage brands, typically alcoholic ones, Whether that be beer or spirits on the truck and in the selling system, which has allowed us to have more salespeople with a digital overlay As we talked about on the previous question, so retailers can order things, but ultimately it's successful not because we can get more things on the truck, it's successful because we can sell More of the Coke brands and that was demonstrably true in Chile. Other parts of the world are not necessarily the same initial starting point, and it might not make more sense. But The question will always come back to I'm always open to hear any ideas that are going to drive more business results and better business results.

Speaker 2

And my starting point for more and better business results is selling more Cokes and Coke products.

Operator

Our next question comes from Bill Chappell from Truist Securities. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Speaker 14

Hey, good morning, everyone. This is Steven Langel on for Bill Chappell. Can you help us understand the ultimate goal of the GOAT marketing campaign comparing regular Coke to Coke 0? Is there a Potential expectation that Coke Zero may be bigger than regular Coke in North America within the next 5 years? Thank you.

Speaker 2

That's a simple one, no. I'm not sure there's anywhere in the world that Coke 0 It's bigger than Coke. There are certainly some countries in the world where the combination of Diet Coke And Coke Zero sell approximately the same as Coke Classic. In the end, Coke is a great franchise. We make available the classic version, the Coke Zero Sugar version, and we invite consumers to drink the one that best suits them.

Speaker 2

We are not trying to predetermine the mix structure. We are trying to offer the alternatives to get the invite the consumers into the franchise. But no, specifically, I don't expect Coke 0A to overtake

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over to James Quincey for any closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Thank you, operator. Well, just to summarize, obviously, we're very pleased with our 1st quarter results. And while there are clearly more clouds on the horizon, our strategy is intact and we are well equipped to execute and invest for sustained growth. Thank you for your interest, your investment in our company and for joining us this morning.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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Earnings Conference Call
Coca-Cola Q1 2022
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