NYSE:NSP Insperity Q3 2023 Earnings Report $82.94 -0.35 (-0.42%) As of 03:58 PM Eastern Earnings HistoryForecast Insperity EPS ResultsActual EPS$1.16Consensus EPS $0.58Beat/MissBeat by +$0.58One Year Ago EPSN/AInsperity Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$1.55 billionExpected Revenue$1.53 billionBeat/MissBeat by +$19.67 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/AInsperity Announcement DetailsQuarterQ3 2023Date10/31/2023TimeN/AConference Call DateTuesday, October 31, 2023Conference Call Time8:30AM ETUpcoming EarningsInsperity's Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Tuesday, April 29, 2025, with a conference call scheduled on Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 8:30 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by Insperity Q3 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrOctober 31, 2023 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 6 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning. My name is Jenny, and I will be your conference operator today. I would like to welcome everyone to the Insperity Third Quarter 2020 3 Earnings Conference Call. At the moment, all participants are in a listen only mode. 1st. Operator00:00:22Please note this conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to introduce today's speakers. Joining us are Paul Sarvody, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer and Douglas Sharp, Executive Vice President of Finance, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Douglas Sharp. Mr. Operator00:00:46Sharp, please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:49Thank you. We appreciate you joining us. Let me begin by outlining our plan for this morning's call. 1st, I'm going to discuss the details behind our Q3 2023 financial results. Paul will then comment on the quarter and our plan over the remainder of the year. Speaker 100:01:052. I will return to provide our financial guidance for the Q4 and an update to the full year guidance. We will then end the call with a question and answer session. Now before we begin, I would like to remind you that Mr. Sabati, or I, may make forward looking statements during today's call, 2, which are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Speaker 100:01:28In addition, some of our discussion may include non GAAP financial measures. For a more detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from any forward looking statements and reconciliations of non GAAP financial measures. Please see the company's public filings, including the Form 8 ks filed today, 2. We significantly exceeded our earnings expectations. Continued worksite employee growth combined with strong pricing, Favorable direct cost trends and effective management of operating costs resulted in a 19% increase in Q3 adjusted EPS to $1.46 and an 18% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $94,000,000 3. Speaker 100:02:25As for our growth metric, the average number of paid worksite employees increased by 4% over Q3 of 2022. In spite of a continued slowdown in hiring by our client base in a more challenging sales environment, client retention remains strong, In the first couple of months of the subsequent year, Paul will provide some comments on our recent sales activity in a few minutes. Moving to gross profit, we continued to exceed our pricing objectives and achieved favorable results in our workers' compensation program 2nd through the effective management of claims. As for our healthcare claims, excuse me, you may recall that Q2's costs negatively impacted both the number and severity of large healthcare claims and to a lesser extent higher pharmacy costs. Accordingly, at that time, our earnings guidance over the second half of twenty twenty three incorporated 2 scenarios. Speaker 100:03:35A lower earnings scenario generally assume the large claim activity continued at Q2's level for the remainder of the year. 3. Pleased to report that Q3 pharmacy costs came in at forecasted levels and the severity of large claims declined significantly. These factors contributed to favorable development of Q2's claim activity and our positive Q3 earnings. Now when we look at the full year 2023, we're now forecasting a full year benefit cost trend to be slightly below the low end of our previous estimate of 7% to 8.5%. Speaker 100:04:30Despite the favorable Q3 healthcare cost results. Moving to operating expenses, we continue to invest in our sales, 2. Our growth investment included a 13% increase in the number of business performance advisors, which we believe puts us in a good position as we head into 2024. Our operating costs also reflected the impact The inflationary environment on our costs and were partially offset by a lower incentive compensation accrual and a shift in the timing of the quarterly 2 marketing spend when compared to the 2022 periods. Interest income earned on our investments and operating contingent Operating cash continued to benefit from the current interest rate environment. Speaker 100:05:20And we believe that our financial position and liquidity remains strong as we continue to invest in our growth while providing returns to our shareholders. During the quarter, we took the opportunity to be more 2. Aggressive than our typical share repurchase activity. We repurchased 873,000 shares of stock during Q3 at a cost of $86,000,000 and paid out $21,000,000 in cash dividends. We ended Q3 with $190,000,000 of adjusted 3rd quarter of cash and $370,000,000 of debt. Speaker 100:05:55Now at this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Paul. Speaker 200:05:59Thank you, Doug, and thank you all for joining our call. Today, I'd like to provide commentary on the following three topics. 2. I'll begin with highlights behind our strong Q3 financial and operating performance. Secondly, I'll provide an update on the economic environment in the small 2 medium sized business community, which is the backdrop of our fall selling and retention campaign opportunity. Speaker 200:06:23I'll finish with some thoughts regarding the outlook for 2024 and beyond. This recent quarter was a welcome rebound in our financial results from Q2 with 4% unit growth driving 5.5% gross profit growth and over 18% growth in adjusted EBITDA and EPS. We're pleased with these results considering some marketplace challenges continuing to deepen within the small to medium sized business community, and I'll discuss this more in a few minutes. 3. The most direct impact on our results from this environment is in net hiring within our client base, Which reflected a continued slowdown we've seen throughout the year. Speaker 200:07:04For the first time in several years, client net hiring was flat this quarter. The net gain in our client base declined significantly when compared to Q3 2022, while client retention and the number of worksite employees paid from new client 2nd quarter. Sales remained consistent compared to the same period last year. In addition to the lower large health claim costs Doug mentioned, Our pricing and cost management were the strong drivers of our outperformance. This reflects solid execution across the company and contributed to a strong quarter and our outlook for the long term. Speaker 200:07:43Another highlight was our increased service 2. During the Q3, we completed the implementation of our sales force CRM system across our service organization. We now have the entire company on a common platform that provides the opportunity for more timely, precise and efficient client service interaction and potentially greater client satisfaction. We can see in our service utilization metrics the changing needs of clients in the current environment. Many HR services that are used more in a slower growth environment increased significantly over last year. Speaker 200:08:39This included support for worksite employee terminations such as separation agreements and support for employment practices and unemployment related claims. These services have been at historically low levels in the past couple of years, so this increase is expected in a more neutral hiring environment and further demonstrates our ability to bring value to clients in any economic environment. Book sales While our workforce optimization core and mid market book sales were below our expectations, our workforce acceleration book sales reflect adoption of this 2 offering across the sales organization and has helped our newest BPAs experience earlier success. This has led to lower turnover rates, Which has excellent potential to drive sales efficiency going forward. Now in early September, we had a successful national kickoff to our fall selling and retention campaign and increased marketing efforts to continue to drive sales activity levels. Speaker 200:09:49Our discovery call activity was a strong point in Q3, up double digits, which we expect to be a solid indicator for Q4 sales. I'd like to provide some data points and survey results from our client base, reflecting decisions and 2nd sentiments in the small and medium sized business community that we see across the country. This provides a picture of how we believe the challenging economic climate related to interest rates, inflation and the labor market are affecting many of these businesses. I mentioned that hiring within the client base was flat this past 2nd quarter and additional underlying data is consistent with this metric. Lower pay increases, overtime pay and commissions paid to drop to a low point of approximately 3% for the first time in several years. Speaker 200:10:48Overtime pay was below the 10% level, which historically aligns with the lower need to hire personnel. Commissions we pay on behalf of our clients to their salespeople, which provides some insight into the pipeline for new business in the client base, was well below the 6% level, which typically indicates employment growth. Now our quarterly survey of the client base, which provides insight into the client sentiment included a ranking of top 4 concerns for their organization. The top 4 were managing operating cost, We also asked survey participants their top HR concern. The top three concerns all cited by over 50% of those surveyed We're retaining employees, keeping employee engagement high and building or maintaining a strong culture. Speaker 200:11:50Right behind those 3 was managing healthcare costs. Now throughout our history, this type of challenging backdrop translates into quite an opportunity for Insperity. These needs for consultative HR services, increased demand for our comprehensive HR service solutions and highlight our competitive advantage. Historically, we've seen competition become somewhat desperate for sales growth when net hiring within the client base falls this low And we've seen some of that over the last quarter. As the premium service provider in the marketplace, we are well able to compete on short term promotional tactics from competitors, but they cannot match the breadth and depth of our services and the level of care we provide our clients and worksite employees at their greatest time of need. Speaker 200:12:42Over the 1st 2 weeks of this quarter, our sales leadership did a deep dive evaluating Q3 workforce optimization sales drivers, including input from BPAs and potential clients. This provided sufficient information to take specific action, which led to an immediate boost to fall campaign sales and retention efforts. This boost came in the form of a dramatic increase in sales activity, including both closing business and new opportunities to quote potential clients. Attitudes and energy levels across the company also benefited, reflecting the Insperity culture of rising to the occasion to take advantage of a specific 2. So we believe we're well positioned for a successful fall selling and retention campaign, which is important to achieve a starting point in paid worksite employees to start the New Year. Speaker 200:13:38As we look ahead to 2024 and beyond, We're also in a strong position in staffing levels in both sales and service to capitalize on this opportunity. For next year, it's too early to provide any specific guidance, but there are general considerations for growth and profitability to weigh in mind. Historically, our lead indicator for future growth has been the growth rate in Business Performance Advisors combined with expected sales efficiency gains 2nd quarter based upon their tenure. As Doug mentioned, our continuing investment into BPA growth was a highlight this quarter coming in at 13%. So over the next year, we believe we're in excellent position for new client sales. Speaker 200:14:30Client retention has been solid all year and our focus on this measure across the company provides confidence into next year on this key growth driver. The other growth factor to consider is the economic climate ahead and the effect on net hiring in the client base. Historically, in an average year, we expect a client net hiring contribution of 4% to 6% in our growth rate of worksite employees. This year, the contribution to our growth from net hiring was below the low end of that range. 2. Speaker 200:15:02Although we believe net hiring will eventually revert to historical levels, a number of factors are posing obstacles 3rd quarter 2020. In addition to the interest rates, inflation and the labor market effect we've seen recently, 24 is an election year that historically adds some uncertainty. Based upon these growth factors and assuming a successful year end transition. I see next year similar to this year full year growth rate of mid single digits, but the opposite on timing. Instead of higher single digit early in the year and lower single digits toward the end like this year, I see lower single digits early and high single digits toward the end of the year on our way back to our historical target of double digit unit growth. Speaker 200:15:52Now beyond unit growth, the most important factors in our outlook for profitability are trends in our pricing, direct costs and operating expenses. Our pricing strength continued this quarter with the recovery in direct cost. We believe we are in a strong position to achieve pricing and direct cost alignment targets going forward. Our operating expenses have included some significant investments over the last couple of years, including BPA growth and sales incentive plans, increasing service capacity and implementing Salesforce CRM. 2. Speaker 200:16:26Although we continue to expect investments going forward, we believe the historical operating leverage of our business model will begin to reemerge. So as I look ahead to next year and beyond, I expect the level of growth and profitability to ultimately return 10% to 12% in worksite employees driving mid teens growth rates in gross profit and rates above 20% in adjusted EBITDA and EPS. Now we have had historical 5 year periods that include a year like this year where we absorbed a growth challenge from client net hiring and or a profitability challenge from a direct cost aberration. We are in the 2nd year of our current 5 year plan and our eyes remain on the objectives similar to historical levels. There are two reasons for my level of confidence. Speaker 200:17:30The clients we serve and the dedicated team of people we have at Insperity. Our position in the marketplace as a premium provider to the best small to medium sized businesses in the country has allowed us to observe the resiliency and innovation that are key to addressing economic challenges and creating market opportunities. In addition, our corporate team has demonstrated the capability and help their businesses succeed. At this point, I'd like to pass the call back to Doug. Speaker 100:18:09Thanks, Paul. 2. Now let me provide our updated guidance, which includes an improvement in our Q4 forecast over our previous expectations in the areas of gross profit and operating expense management, partially offset by slightly lower paid worksite employees. 3. As for the details, we are now forecasting 6% Brookside employee growth for the full year 2023. Speaker 100:18:34A slightly lower growth outlook from our previous expectations is a result of Q3's average paid worksite employees coming in at the low range of our prior guidance. Additionally, we are expecting net hiring by our client base to continue declining through Q4. We have revised our earnings guidance based upon our year to date results, including the strong Q3 earnings and our updated Q4 outlook, which includes the expectation of an improvement in profitability from pricing, Direct Cost Programs and Operating Expense Management to more than offset the slightly lower paid worksite employee expectations. We are now forecasting full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA in a range of $340,000,000 to $360,000,000 and adjusted EPS in the range of $5.20 to $5.60 As Paul mentioned a few moments ago, our efforts are now focused on our sales campaign and heavy client renewal period, which 2 are important to our starting point for paid worksite employees in 2024. We look forward to updating you on these results in our next earnings call and we'll provide our 2024 guidance at that time. Speaker 100:19:53Now at this time, I'd like to open up the call for questions. Operator00:20:13Question from the queue. Questions. Thank you. Your first question is from Andrew Nicholas of William Blair. Andrew, your line is live. Speaker 300:20:36Thank you and good morning, Doug and Paul. I wanted to first ask Competitors are being a bit more aggressive. Can you just flush that out a little bit? How are you seeing that kind of play out day to day? And 2. Speaker 300:20:57Also, how willing are you to react to maybe more aggressive pricing from competitors to maintain clients versus win clients and maybe how that decision process changes depending 2. On whether it's retaining or adding a new one? Thank Speaker 200:21:15you. Sure. Happy to address that. In our industry, We always have a level of competition. We always have a decent percentage of grainfield as well. Speaker 200:21:28But in the competitive environment, It ebbs and flows and it is typical when the net gain from the client hiring in the base Kind of goes down. It's kind of like when the lake goes down, the stumps show up. And so what happens is you do have Kind of an increase in the competitive environment, when that focus becomes on your net gain from your new sales against your client attrition. So it does increase some and that was consistent what we've seen over the course of the year. And for some, they get pretty desperate And we'll look at price differently. Speaker 200:22:11Now we are of course the premium service provider in the space and we provide economic environment or some added pressures in the environment. So it puts us in a position to be able to really accentuate the difference that we have in the breadth and depth of our services and the level of care, but we also Don't just ignore the pricing sensitivity in the marketplace. And it's part of our corporate culture 2. So to jump in and help customers when they're going through difficult times. So this doesn't really bother us when that happens, but we are responsive. Speaker 200:22:57We use targeted approach, because as you know in any economic environment, some companies are doing better than they do in other periods. So it's never an across the board solution. We look at it more in terms of targeting And making sure that we're competing effectively. So frankly, it motivates us in a different way. We evaluated that 3rd quarter environment and we were able to make some very specific strategic competitive choices that we're really excited about how that's already added a boost Speaker 300:23:45That's really helpful. Thank you. And then for my follow-up, 2. I just wanted to double back to benefit costs. It sounds like pharma was largely in line with what you had expected, but I think, Correct me if I'm wrong, still relatively elevated. Speaker 300:24:01Is the expectation that that kind of remains elevated, particularly with some of the diabetes drugs out there and GLP-one? Just kind of how you're thinking about pharma costs more specifically looking ahead to 2024 because it sounds like the larger claims activity on the other side Has died down some. Speaker 100:24:21Yes. I think overall The use of these specialty drugs continues as we've all seen out there in the marketplace. And so we don't expect a sudden drop Of the utilization of those drugs. So therefore, yes, we're considering that trend To stay at similar levels as we've recently experienced, I think you also have to take into account the pricing side of things and that We've been able to exceed our pricing targets and obviously we're putting in pricing targets to take care of This new pharmacy trend. So overall, as we go through renewing existing accounts, selling new accounts, We feel like we've got the appropriate matching between price and cost relative to this new pharmacy trend phenomenon. Speaker 200:25:17I would also say that that pharmacy trend is more likely to moderate from next year because it's a year into this increase of activity in these particular drugs. And once you get that year under the belt, you don't expect it to increase the same amount as last time. So According to the input we're getting from those that consult with us on this, we think we've really Aligned our pricing well to with the cost trends. Speaker 300:25:49Makes sense. Thank you very much. Operator00:25:54Thank you very much. Your next question is coming from Mark Marcon of Baird. Mark, your line is live. Speaker 400:26:03Good morning. And nice to see the rebound with regards 2. Paul and Doug, I was wondering if you could 2. Do an even deeper dive with regards to the cost trends that you're seeing on the healthcare side, How you're anticipating that unfolding for next year? And how are you thinking about 2. Speaker 400:26:31The price increase and also on a base level apples for apples and also how you're thinking about it In terms of any sort of planned design changes, what would be the net impact? And I'm particularly curious just because we've heard some commentary from some of the other players that have talked about Higher healthcare costs and lower utilization rates among their clients and among the employees. So I'm Trying to think through like how in your vast experience this would end up spilling through To utilization as well as ability to win clients, particularly if some of the other competitors are being a little bit more 2. Speaker 200:27:27Yes. So let me try to address that as a broad wide question. And it does it is something we spend, of course, a lot of time and effort on an ongoing basis, literally In the depths of every driver to these costs. And you do have to look, I'm glad your question includes both the cost and Pricing side because that's really the nature of our business is to make sure that we align the pricing With what costs are expected to be. And the other specific thing to us is we're coming off of a year With somewhat of a unusual period of large Both severity and frequency of large claims. Speaker 200:28:17You got to weigh all that in, but the main message that you should take away today Is that with that receding, so in fact I mentioned this last quarter that if in fact Those severe claims continued through the year that we were likely to not quite be in alignment into next year And it might take to mid year or so for that to take place. We're not in that situation. We had you can see from the rebound, Even though we have forecasted in conservatively, we are confident today, as I said in my remarks, That alignment on the pricing side with these cost trends, we feel good about. So to the degree that we've had some dampening effect to gross profit this year from benefits, We don't see that into next year. However, that's only one component of the whole direct cost picture. Speaker 200:29:20And so we're not at a point of being that specific about next year, but in terms of the big picture, Our comfort on the gross profit level is better than what we went through this year and we'll be digging in on details On price and cost in all of our components as we plan into next year and we'll be providing specifics of course on our next call for guidance. Speaker 100:29:47Yes, I think another thing you're probably aware of is the inflationary environment. Is there contract, a carrier contract negotiations and pharmacy negotiations. That's just where we are today in the current environment that we're working in and obviously we're going to be considering Speaker 400:30:072. That's terrific. Can you talk a little bit about what you're seeing just from a geographic perspective in terms of the net hiring impacts. And I'm specifically curious, one of your competitors 2. Mentioned that particularly in California with Tech and Professional Services, there was a bit of a slowdown with regards to hiring. Speaker 400:30:322. Wondering if you're seeing the same thing. And along those lines, I'm wondering if you can also just talk about the increased penetration 2. Of the PEO concept and your success in terms of newer, less well developed markets And what you're seeing and how that for bodes for the long term future. Speaker 200:30:56Yes, that's really great. We really did do some digging down on both the industry and geographic elements related to and drivers of the flattening of the net change within existing clients. And certainly, we saw Areas where the professional and technical is a bigger part Of the environment in a given location, we saw that contribute more to this flattening and that was Of course, both the West Coast and the Northeast. So we saw those two regions Where we saw the most effect there by in terms of geography. Now in terms of industry category, Absolutely professional technical was right there. Speaker 200:31:52But also we did see this broaden more over the last quarter or so. And so I think Some of the effect that I described in here, the effect of interest rates and inflation and The labor market, especially the quality of available people in terms of matching the requirements. Those things are having an effect. We saw that in a deeper analysis of the Net pay change, that's gone down now back to even below some of the average levels of 3% to 4% for Average pay increase has dropped down a bit. You have those other two factors I watch closely, The overtime pay as a percent of regular pay being down below 10%. Speaker 200:32:52And then the other that is a really key factor is that commission number. We're paying these commissions to the sales staff of the clients. That means they're getting paid based on the sales they've made recently. That's the pipeline for new business at the client location. That's down pretty significantly, Especially compared to recent periods, booming periods post COVID, those numbers are really high. Speaker 200:33:19They were they've been decreasing and now gone below that And now gone below that 6% level that we have seen historically as a trigger point Above 6, they would need to hire more people below that they were able to hold fast. So that is reflective. And like I said previously and answered another question, that doesn't mean all the small business community It's having that reaction. It's always a mix, Bag, but much of the community is really having to deal with a tougher economic environment. And fortunately, we're in a business where the demand for what we do Some of your messaging to fit more tightly or you'd have to understand a specific client's current situation to understand what part of our messaging would connect more to their current Going forward plan and how we can connect to helping them in the immediate future. Speaker 200:34:45And It becomes a little more, I wouldn't say complex, but there's more Thinking you do to really connect with each customer. So but that's a good environment for us. We've seen this before And it's it really gets us excited. We're in a business that's designed to help businesses succeed, So communities prosper and they need help in a time like this and we're excited to be right shoulder to shoulder with them. Speaker 100:35:193. Thank Operator00:35:20you very much. Your next question is coming from Tobey Sommer of Truist Securities. Toby, your line is live. Speaker 400:35:29Thank you, Paul and Doug. I wanted to ask a question about your sort of 2. And so not really the inputs to gross profit, but sort of How you're going to prosecute sales, the investments in the sales force, 3rd quarter, the things that you can sort of more directly control. How are you thinking about that 2. At this stage, because I know you're afforded the opportunity and have planned for longer time horizons than I think your average public company. Speaker 400:36:14Thanks. Speaker 200:36:16Yes, absolutely. We're in good shape going into next year on the operating expense side. And in the area that you're describing or asking a question about on the sales side, since we have 13% increase in the size of the staff. Our investment in that Doesn't have to be as high as it was over the last year. Also the last 2 years, we've invested more in the incentive system, which now is built into the base of our operations. Speaker 200:36:47So I don't see us having to make an additional investment in that area of the business. 2. So we are able then to do the smart thing, which is make sure our investments appropriate in the marketing area To provide the activity level needed for our sales team, because as they are now another year into their training and development there. Sales efficiency number can go up as long as you're feeding them a good volume of activity. So I love the position we're in going into next year. Speaker 200:37:24Then in addition to that, As I mentioned in my remarks, we had to go through a significant recovery or catch up on the service personnel across the company, again from the tight labor market and the fast growth. 2. So this year has been a great opportunity to right size the staff, be prepared better prepared for a level of growth. But that was also a big investment that I don't see repeating. We can actually increase staff more in alignment with growth As opposed to what we had over the last year. Speaker 200:38:05And also, of course, the sales force investment was a significant one. Like I said in my remarks, it's not like we're not going to make other investments, but not at that level. So I do see a recovery in the operating leverage on that side of the business as we move forward. Speaker 400:38:28If I could ask a follow-up, how are you feeling about pricing and competition, Particularly, I think the healthcare benefit costs are expected to rise next year in the market, the sort of rate of growth. 2. And I'm curious in the fall selling campaign, how you're feeling about pricing and competition at the end of next year? Speaker 200:38:53Yes. I feel real strong about how we are handling the matching of our allocations Going forward, we've discussed that. So in terms of the competitive environment, this is a fun time of year for us. I love how we are focused on dealing with these things in the marketplace. And I'm not going to go into detail about I just know we've got a great plan on that front and it's focused, it's targeted And it's not an approach that affects our long term pricing. Speaker 200:39:31It's an approach that affects Allowing clients to come on board and almost more of a try and buy approach that is very effective against what we're seeing in the marketplace. So again, we are more concerned about The long term matching and I think because we've been strong in our pricing up to this point, There may be others in the marketplace that have to respond more quickly, say on the healthcare side. 2. We've been managing that, I think very effectively and a big objective of ours in that area is a more stable environment for the customer base. That's why just this year is an example where we took a hit Because of the volatility and the timing, but we keep a steady view of how This should happen over time and our customers get the benefit of that. Speaker 200:40:38So it's another benefit of how we do this as a premium service provider that is something we can point to in that dynamic you're referring to. Good confidence on that front as well. Operator00:40:57Thank you very much. Your next question is coming from Geoff Martin of ROTH MKM. Geoff, Your line is live. Speaker 500:41:06Thank you. Good morning. Paul, I wanted to see if you could expand on the efforts of the fall campaign strategy. It sounds like you've made some pretty strategic pivots there. It sounds like it's a combination of Client retention as well as going after new clients. Speaker 500:41:25And is that more of a shift relative to workforce acceleration Sales trends that you've seen versus workforce optimization, are there other things going on there? Speaker 200:41:36No, it's actually kind of across The Board in terms of I mentioned the efforts on the marketing side of the business driving lead flow. 2. We've also I would say that maybe the best way to understand it is that there's 3 elements to driving sales success In a campaign, it's the activity, it's the attitudes and the incentives. And we have that triple braided cord in a really strong position As we go forward to the balance of the year. And yes, it is directed at both our campaign is both the sales and retention campaign. Speaker 200:42:19And so I think the level of alertness across the company, the level of focus And the level of enthusiasm gives us a good feeling about the campaign. And it's important to have that level of all those things when you have an environment that's a little tougher. And I think what I've laid out today is what we're seeing in the current client base and in the sentiments from the survey information, what we're seeing across the country, what we're seeing by industry. Hey, that means that in a period like this, You got to be on the top of your game. And that's what we'll be continuing to emphasize across our employee base and we'll give it our very best shot and I like that kind of selling and retention season that we have ahead of us. Speaker 500:43:22Great. For my follow-up, it's a 2 part question. First part is, Could you discuss BPA retention trends year to date and then hiring plans for next year? And then second part is, could you touch on 2. The middle market and sales and retention trends you've seen there. Speaker 200:43:43Yes, absolutely. We really have had an excellent year on that 2. And the workforce acceleration strategy has played in well to reducing the turnover rate. We think that's significant. Our turnover rate this year is significantly down from last year And that is that includes that we had a significant number to promote from The BPA role into a sales management role. Speaker 200:44:17So even with all of that weighed in there, we're in a really strong 2 position. I see that for next year, we can probably grow the BPA staff Even below our 8% or 9% target, maybe a little on the maybe the low end of our range because we have such a high number that are in that ramp up in their sales efficiency mode. So feel good about that and how we can manage that going into next year. What was that second half of your question? Speaker 500:44:58It was on middle market sales and retention trends. Speaker 200:45:02Yes, absolutely. So Middle market continues to develop. It is a smaller team, but we have been adding Strategically there. That will probably continue to add normally, but it's nominal in terms of the numbers On the investment side, but our connection between our core market and mid market teams And the ongoing flow continues to improve and be strong, which requires us to grow that team Speaker 400:45:462. Operator00:45:47Thank you very much. That appears to be the end of our question and answer session as there are no more questions in the queue. I will now hand back over 2, Paul Savadi for any closing remarks. Speaker 100:46:00So once again, we'd like to Speaker 200:46:01thank you for your participation today. We're looking forward to this 2nd quarter. All selling and retention campaign and achieving a decent starting point for next year. And on the next call, we will have all that baked 2 into a going forward scenario for 2024 and we look forward to sharing that with you at that time. Thank you again. Speaker 200:46:243rd quarter. Operator00:46:25Thank you very much. This does conclude today's conference call. You may now disconnect your phone lines and have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallInsperity Q3 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xRemove Ads Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) Insperity Earnings HeadlinesInsperity (NSP): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings?April 7, 2025 | msn.comInvesting in Insperity (NYSE:NSP) five years ago would have delivered you a 196% gainMarch 27, 2025 | finance.yahoo.comTrump’s treachery Trump’s Final Reset Inside the shocking plot to re-engineer America’s financial system…and why you need to move your money now.April 16, 2025 | Porter & Company (Ad)2 Services Stocks to Target This Week and 1 to AvoidMarch 19, 2025 | uk.finance.yahoo.comTruist Financial Sticks to Its Hold Rating for Insperity (NSP)March 14, 2025 | markets.businessinsider.comEx-Dividend Reminder: Aris Water Solutions, Insperity and Vishay IntertechnologyMarch 13, 2025 | nasdaq.comSee More Insperity Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Insperity? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Insperity and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About InsperityInsperity (NYSE:NSP) engages in the provision of human resources (HR) and business solutions to improve business performance for small and medium-sized businesses primarily in the United States. It offers its HR services through its workforce optimization and workforce synchronization solutions that include a range of human resources functions, such as payroll and employment administration, employee benefits, workers' compensation, government compliance, performance management, and training and development services. The company also provides Insperity Premier, a cloud-based human capital management platform that offers professional employer organization HR outsourcing solutions to its clients; people management services; and employer liability management services, as well as solutions for middle market. In addition, it offers MarketPlace, an e-commerce portal that offers a range of products and services; and Workforce Acceleration, a human capital management and payroll services solution; integrated payroll; benefits administration; HR administration and employee onboarding; time and attendance; performance management; reporting and analytics; recruiting; employment screening; retirement; and insurance services. The company was formerly known as Administaff, Inc. and changed its name to Insperity, Inc. in March 2011. Insperity, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Kingwood, Texas.View Insperity ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Tesla Stock Eyes Breakout With Earnings on DeckJohnson & Johnson Earnings Were More Good Than Bad—Time to Buy? Why Analysts Boosted United Airlines Stock Ahead of EarningsLamb Weston Stock Rises, Earnings Provide Calm Amidst ChaosIntuitive Machines Gains After Earnings Beat, NASA Missions AheadCintas Delivers Earnings Beat, Signals More Growth AheadNike Stock Dips on Earnings: Analysts Weigh in on What’s Next Upcoming Earnings Netflix (4/17/2025)American Express (4/17/2025)Blackstone (4/17/2025)Infosys (4/17/2025)Marsh & McLennan Companies (4/17/2025)Charles Schwab (4/17/2025)Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (4/17/2025)UnitedHealth Group (4/17/2025)HDFC Bank (4/18/2025)Intuitive Surgical (4/22/2025) Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools. Start Your 30-Day Trial MarketBeat All Access Features Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring Get personalized stock ideas. Compare portfolio to indices. Check stock news, ratings, SEC filings, and more. Stock Ideas and Recommendations See daily stock ideas from top analysts. Receive short-term trading ideas from MarketBeat. Identify trending stocks on social media. Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools Use our seven stock screeners to find suitable stocks. Stay informed with MarketBeat's real-time news. Export data to Excel for personal analysis. Sign in to your free account to enjoy these benefits In-depth profiles and analysis for 20,000 public companies. Real-time analyst ratings, insider transactions, earnings data, and more. Our daily ratings and market update email newsletter. Sign in to your free account to enjoy all that MarketBeat has to offer. Sign In Create Account Your Email Address: Email Address Required Your Password: Password Required Log In or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google Forgot your password? Your Email Address: Please enter your email address. Please enter a valid email address Choose a Password: Please enter your password. Your password must be at least 8 characters long and contain at least 1 number, 1 letter, and 1 special character. Create My Account (Free) or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google By creating a free account, you agree to our terms of service. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
There are 6 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning. My name is Jenny, and I will be your conference operator today. I would like to welcome everyone to the Insperity Third Quarter 2020 3 Earnings Conference Call. At the moment, all participants are in a listen only mode. 1st. Operator00:00:22Please note this conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to introduce today's speakers. Joining us are Paul Sarvody, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer and Douglas Sharp, Executive Vice President of Finance, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Douglas Sharp. Mr. Operator00:00:46Sharp, please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:49Thank you. We appreciate you joining us. Let me begin by outlining our plan for this morning's call. 1st, I'm going to discuss the details behind our Q3 2023 financial results. Paul will then comment on the quarter and our plan over the remainder of the year. Speaker 100:01:052. I will return to provide our financial guidance for the Q4 and an update to the full year guidance. We will then end the call with a question and answer session. Now before we begin, I would like to remind you that Mr. Sabati, or I, may make forward looking statements during today's call, 2, which are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Speaker 100:01:28In addition, some of our discussion may include non GAAP financial measures. For a more detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from any forward looking statements and reconciliations of non GAAP financial measures. Please see the company's public filings, including the Form 8 ks filed today, 2. We significantly exceeded our earnings expectations. Continued worksite employee growth combined with strong pricing, Favorable direct cost trends and effective management of operating costs resulted in a 19% increase in Q3 adjusted EPS to $1.46 and an 18% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $94,000,000 3. Speaker 100:02:25As for our growth metric, the average number of paid worksite employees increased by 4% over Q3 of 2022. In spite of a continued slowdown in hiring by our client base in a more challenging sales environment, client retention remains strong, In the first couple of months of the subsequent year, Paul will provide some comments on our recent sales activity in a few minutes. Moving to gross profit, we continued to exceed our pricing objectives and achieved favorable results in our workers' compensation program 2nd through the effective management of claims. As for our healthcare claims, excuse me, you may recall that Q2's costs negatively impacted both the number and severity of large healthcare claims and to a lesser extent higher pharmacy costs. Accordingly, at that time, our earnings guidance over the second half of twenty twenty three incorporated 2 scenarios. Speaker 100:03:35A lower earnings scenario generally assume the large claim activity continued at Q2's level for the remainder of the year. 3. Pleased to report that Q3 pharmacy costs came in at forecasted levels and the severity of large claims declined significantly. These factors contributed to favorable development of Q2's claim activity and our positive Q3 earnings. Now when we look at the full year 2023, we're now forecasting a full year benefit cost trend to be slightly below the low end of our previous estimate of 7% to 8.5%. Speaker 100:04:30Despite the favorable Q3 healthcare cost results. Moving to operating expenses, we continue to invest in our sales, 2. Our growth investment included a 13% increase in the number of business performance advisors, which we believe puts us in a good position as we head into 2024. Our operating costs also reflected the impact The inflationary environment on our costs and were partially offset by a lower incentive compensation accrual and a shift in the timing of the quarterly 2 marketing spend when compared to the 2022 periods. Interest income earned on our investments and operating contingent Operating cash continued to benefit from the current interest rate environment. Speaker 100:05:20And we believe that our financial position and liquidity remains strong as we continue to invest in our growth while providing returns to our shareholders. During the quarter, we took the opportunity to be more 2. Aggressive than our typical share repurchase activity. We repurchased 873,000 shares of stock during Q3 at a cost of $86,000,000 and paid out $21,000,000 in cash dividends. We ended Q3 with $190,000,000 of adjusted 3rd quarter of cash and $370,000,000 of debt. Speaker 100:05:55Now at this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Paul. Speaker 200:05:59Thank you, Doug, and thank you all for joining our call. Today, I'd like to provide commentary on the following three topics. 2. I'll begin with highlights behind our strong Q3 financial and operating performance. Secondly, I'll provide an update on the economic environment in the small 2 medium sized business community, which is the backdrop of our fall selling and retention campaign opportunity. Speaker 200:06:23I'll finish with some thoughts regarding the outlook for 2024 and beyond. This recent quarter was a welcome rebound in our financial results from Q2 with 4% unit growth driving 5.5% gross profit growth and over 18% growth in adjusted EBITDA and EPS. We're pleased with these results considering some marketplace challenges continuing to deepen within the small to medium sized business community, and I'll discuss this more in a few minutes. 3. The most direct impact on our results from this environment is in net hiring within our client base, Which reflected a continued slowdown we've seen throughout the year. Speaker 200:07:04For the first time in several years, client net hiring was flat this quarter. The net gain in our client base declined significantly when compared to Q3 2022, while client retention and the number of worksite employees paid from new client 2nd quarter. Sales remained consistent compared to the same period last year. In addition to the lower large health claim costs Doug mentioned, Our pricing and cost management were the strong drivers of our outperformance. This reflects solid execution across the company and contributed to a strong quarter and our outlook for the long term. Speaker 200:07:43Another highlight was our increased service 2. During the Q3, we completed the implementation of our sales force CRM system across our service organization. We now have the entire company on a common platform that provides the opportunity for more timely, precise and efficient client service interaction and potentially greater client satisfaction. We can see in our service utilization metrics the changing needs of clients in the current environment. Many HR services that are used more in a slower growth environment increased significantly over last year. Speaker 200:08:39This included support for worksite employee terminations such as separation agreements and support for employment practices and unemployment related claims. These services have been at historically low levels in the past couple of years, so this increase is expected in a more neutral hiring environment and further demonstrates our ability to bring value to clients in any economic environment. Book sales While our workforce optimization core and mid market book sales were below our expectations, our workforce acceleration book sales reflect adoption of this 2 offering across the sales organization and has helped our newest BPAs experience earlier success. This has led to lower turnover rates, Which has excellent potential to drive sales efficiency going forward. Now in early September, we had a successful national kickoff to our fall selling and retention campaign and increased marketing efforts to continue to drive sales activity levels. Speaker 200:09:49Our discovery call activity was a strong point in Q3, up double digits, which we expect to be a solid indicator for Q4 sales. I'd like to provide some data points and survey results from our client base, reflecting decisions and 2nd sentiments in the small and medium sized business community that we see across the country. This provides a picture of how we believe the challenging economic climate related to interest rates, inflation and the labor market are affecting many of these businesses. I mentioned that hiring within the client base was flat this past 2nd quarter and additional underlying data is consistent with this metric. Lower pay increases, overtime pay and commissions paid to drop to a low point of approximately 3% for the first time in several years. Speaker 200:10:48Overtime pay was below the 10% level, which historically aligns with the lower need to hire personnel. Commissions we pay on behalf of our clients to their salespeople, which provides some insight into the pipeline for new business in the client base, was well below the 6% level, which typically indicates employment growth. Now our quarterly survey of the client base, which provides insight into the client sentiment included a ranking of top 4 concerns for their organization. The top 4 were managing operating cost, We also asked survey participants their top HR concern. The top three concerns all cited by over 50% of those surveyed We're retaining employees, keeping employee engagement high and building or maintaining a strong culture. Speaker 200:11:50Right behind those 3 was managing healthcare costs. Now throughout our history, this type of challenging backdrop translates into quite an opportunity for Insperity. These needs for consultative HR services, increased demand for our comprehensive HR service solutions and highlight our competitive advantage. Historically, we've seen competition become somewhat desperate for sales growth when net hiring within the client base falls this low And we've seen some of that over the last quarter. As the premium service provider in the marketplace, we are well able to compete on short term promotional tactics from competitors, but they cannot match the breadth and depth of our services and the level of care we provide our clients and worksite employees at their greatest time of need. Speaker 200:12:42Over the 1st 2 weeks of this quarter, our sales leadership did a deep dive evaluating Q3 workforce optimization sales drivers, including input from BPAs and potential clients. This provided sufficient information to take specific action, which led to an immediate boost to fall campaign sales and retention efforts. This boost came in the form of a dramatic increase in sales activity, including both closing business and new opportunities to quote potential clients. Attitudes and energy levels across the company also benefited, reflecting the Insperity culture of rising to the occasion to take advantage of a specific 2. So we believe we're well positioned for a successful fall selling and retention campaign, which is important to achieve a starting point in paid worksite employees to start the New Year. Speaker 200:13:38As we look ahead to 2024 and beyond, We're also in a strong position in staffing levels in both sales and service to capitalize on this opportunity. For next year, it's too early to provide any specific guidance, but there are general considerations for growth and profitability to weigh in mind. Historically, our lead indicator for future growth has been the growth rate in Business Performance Advisors combined with expected sales efficiency gains 2nd quarter based upon their tenure. As Doug mentioned, our continuing investment into BPA growth was a highlight this quarter coming in at 13%. So over the next year, we believe we're in excellent position for new client sales. Speaker 200:14:30Client retention has been solid all year and our focus on this measure across the company provides confidence into next year on this key growth driver. The other growth factor to consider is the economic climate ahead and the effect on net hiring in the client base. Historically, in an average year, we expect a client net hiring contribution of 4% to 6% in our growth rate of worksite employees. This year, the contribution to our growth from net hiring was below the low end of that range. 2. Speaker 200:15:02Although we believe net hiring will eventually revert to historical levels, a number of factors are posing obstacles 3rd quarter 2020. In addition to the interest rates, inflation and the labor market effect we've seen recently, 24 is an election year that historically adds some uncertainty. Based upon these growth factors and assuming a successful year end transition. I see next year similar to this year full year growth rate of mid single digits, but the opposite on timing. Instead of higher single digit early in the year and lower single digits toward the end like this year, I see lower single digits early and high single digits toward the end of the year on our way back to our historical target of double digit unit growth. Speaker 200:15:52Now beyond unit growth, the most important factors in our outlook for profitability are trends in our pricing, direct costs and operating expenses. Our pricing strength continued this quarter with the recovery in direct cost. We believe we are in a strong position to achieve pricing and direct cost alignment targets going forward. Our operating expenses have included some significant investments over the last couple of years, including BPA growth and sales incentive plans, increasing service capacity and implementing Salesforce CRM. 2. Speaker 200:16:26Although we continue to expect investments going forward, we believe the historical operating leverage of our business model will begin to reemerge. So as I look ahead to next year and beyond, I expect the level of growth and profitability to ultimately return 10% to 12% in worksite employees driving mid teens growth rates in gross profit and rates above 20% in adjusted EBITDA and EPS. Now we have had historical 5 year periods that include a year like this year where we absorbed a growth challenge from client net hiring and or a profitability challenge from a direct cost aberration. We are in the 2nd year of our current 5 year plan and our eyes remain on the objectives similar to historical levels. There are two reasons for my level of confidence. Speaker 200:17:30The clients we serve and the dedicated team of people we have at Insperity. Our position in the marketplace as a premium provider to the best small to medium sized businesses in the country has allowed us to observe the resiliency and innovation that are key to addressing economic challenges and creating market opportunities. In addition, our corporate team has demonstrated the capability and help their businesses succeed. At this point, I'd like to pass the call back to Doug. Speaker 100:18:09Thanks, Paul. 2. Now let me provide our updated guidance, which includes an improvement in our Q4 forecast over our previous expectations in the areas of gross profit and operating expense management, partially offset by slightly lower paid worksite employees. 3. As for the details, we are now forecasting 6% Brookside employee growth for the full year 2023. Speaker 100:18:34A slightly lower growth outlook from our previous expectations is a result of Q3's average paid worksite employees coming in at the low range of our prior guidance. Additionally, we are expecting net hiring by our client base to continue declining through Q4. We have revised our earnings guidance based upon our year to date results, including the strong Q3 earnings and our updated Q4 outlook, which includes the expectation of an improvement in profitability from pricing, Direct Cost Programs and Operating Expense Management to more than offset the slightly lower paid worksite employee expectations. We are now forecasting full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA in a range of $340,000,000 to $360,000,000 and adjusted EPS in the range of $5.20 to $5.60 As Paul mentioned a few moments ago, our efforts are now focused on our sales campaign and heavy client renewal period, which 2 are important to our starting point for paid worksite employees in 2024. We look forward to updating you on these results in our next earnings call and we'll provide our 2024 guidance at that time. Speaker 100:19:53Now at this time, I'd like to open up the call for questions. Operator00:20:13Question from the queue. Questions. Thank you. Your first question is from Andrew Nicholas of William Blair. Andrew, your line is live. Speaker 300:20:36Thank you and good morning, Doug and Paul. I wanted to first ask Competitors are being a bit more aggressive. Can you just flush that out a little bit? How are you seeing that kind of play out day to day? And 2. Speaker 300:20:57Also, how willing are you to react to maybe more aggressive pricing from competitors to maintain clients versus win clients and maybe how that decision process changes depending 2. On whether it's retaining or adding a new one? Thank Speaker 200:21:15you. Sure. Happy to address that. In our industry, We always have a level of competition. We always have a decent percentage of grainfield as well. Speaker 200:21:28But in the competitive environment, It ebbs and flows and it is typical when the net gain from the client hiring in the base Kind of goes down. It's kind of like when the lake goes down, the stumps show up. And so what happens is you do have Kind of an increase in the competitive environment, when that focus becomes on your net gain from your new sales against your client attrition. So it does increase some and that was consistent what we've seen over the course of the year. And for some, they get pretty desperate And we'll look at price differently. Speaker 200:22:11Now we are of course the premium service provider in the space and we provide economic environment or some added pressures in the environment. So it puts us in a position to be able to really accentuate the difference that we have in the breadth and depth of our services and the level of care, but we also Don't just ignore the pricing sensitivity in the marketplace. And it's part of our corporate culture 2. So to jump in and help customers when they're going through difficult times. So this doesn't really bother us when that happens, but we are responsive. Speaker 200:22:57We use targeted approach, because as you know in any economic environment, some companies are doing better than they do in other periods. So it's never an across the board solution. We look at it more in terms of targeting And making sure that we're competing effectively. So frankly, it motivates us in a different way. We evaluated that 3rd quarter environment and we were able to make some very specific strategic competitive choices that we're really excited about how that's already added a boost Speaker 300:23:45That's really helpful. Thank you. And then for my follow-up, 2. I just wanted to double back to benefit costs. It sounds like pharma was largely in line with what you had expected, but I think, Correct me if I'm wrong, still relatively elevated. Speaker 300:24:01Is the expectation that that kind of remains elevated, particularly with some of the diabetes drugs out there and GLP-one? Just kind of how you're thinking about pharma costs more specifically looking ahead to 2024 because it sounds like the larger claims activity on the other side Has died down some. Speaker 100:24:21Yes. I think overall The use of these specialty drugs continues as we've all seen out there in the marketplace. And so we don't expect a sudden drop Of the utilization of those drugs. So therefore, yes, we're considering that trend To stay at similar levels as we've recently experienced, I think you also have to take into account the pricing side of things and that We've been able to exceed our pricing targets and obviously we're putting in pricing targets to take care of This new pharmacy trend. So overall, as we go through renewing existing accounts, selling new accounts, We feel like we've got the appropriate matching between price and cost relative to this new pharmacy trend phenomenon. Speaker 200:25:17I would also say that that pharmacy trend is more likely to moderate from next year because it's a year into this increase of activity in these particular drugs. And once you get that year under the belt, you don't expect it to increase the same amount as last time. So According to the input we're getting from those that consult with us on this, we think we've really Aligned our pricing well to with the cost trends. Speaker 300:25:49Makes sense. Thank you very much. Operator00:25:54Thank you very much. Your next question is coming from Mark Marcon of Baird. Mark, your line is live. Speaker 400:26:03Good morning. And nice to see the rebound with regards 2. Paul and Doug, I was wondering if you could 2. Do an even deeper dive with regards to the cost trends that you're seeing on the healthcare side, How you're anticipating that unfolding for next year? And how are you thinking about 2. Speaker 400:26:31The price increase and also on a base level apples for apples and also how you're thinking about it In terms of any sort of planned design changes, what would be the net impact? And I'm particularly curious just because we've heard some commentary from some of the other players that have talked about Higher healthcare costs and lower utilization rates among their clients and among the employees. So I'm Trying to think through like how in your vast experience this would end up spilling through To utilization as well as ability to win clients, particularly if some of the other competitors are being a little bit more 2. Speaker 200:27:27Yes. So let me try to address that as a broad wide question. And it does it is something we spend, of course, a lot of time and effort on an ongoing basis, literally In the depths of every driver to these costs. And you do have to look, I'm glad your question includes both the cost and Pricing side because that's really the nature of our business is to make sure that we align the pricing With what costs are expected to be. And the other specific thing to us is we're coming off of a year With somewhat of a unusual period of large Both severity and frequency of large claims. Speaker 200:28:17You got to weigh all that in, but the main message that you should take away today Is that with that receding, so in fact I mentioned this last quarter that if in fact Those severe claims continued through the year that we were likely to not quite be in alignment into next year And it might take to mid year or so for that to take place. We're not in that situation. We had you can see from the rebound, Even though we have forecasted in conservatively, we are confident today, as I said in my remarks, That alignment on the pricing side with these cost trends, we feel good about. So to the degree that we've had some dampening effect to gross profit this year from benefits, We don't see that into next year. However, that's only one component of the whole direct cost picture. Speaker 200:29:20And so we're not at a point of being that specific about next year, but in terms of the big picture, Our comfort on the gross profit level is better than what we went through this year and we'll be digging in on details On price and cost in all of our components as we plan into next year and we'll be providing specifics of course on our next call for guidance. Speaker 100:29:47Yes, I think another thing you're probably aware of is the inflationary environment. Is there contract, a carrier contract negotiations and pharmacy negotiations. That's just where we are today in the current environment that we're working in and obviously we're going to be considering Speaker 400:30:072. That's terrific. Can you talk a little bit about what you're seeing just from a geographic perspective in terms of the net hiring impacts. And I'm specifically curious, one of your competitors 2. Mentioned that particularly in California with Tech and Professional Services, there was a bit of a slowdown with regards to hiring. Speaker 400:30:322. Wondering if you're seeing the same thing. And along those lines, I'm wondering if you can also just talk about the increased penetration 2. Of the PEO concept and your success in terms of newer, less well developed markets And what you're seeing and how that for bodes for the long term future. Speaker 200:30:56Yes, that's really great. We really did do some digging down on both the industry and geographic elements related to and drivers of the flattening of the net change within existing clients. And certainly, we saw Areas where the professional and technical is a bigger part Of the environment in a given location, we saw that contribute more to this flattening and that was Of course, both the West Coast and the Northeast. So we saw those two regions Where we saw the most effect there by in terms of geography. Now in terms of industry category, Absolutely professional technical was right there. Speaker 200:31:52But also we did see this broaden more over the last quarter or so. And so I think Some of the effect that I described in here, the effect of interest rates and inflation and The labor market, especially the quality of available people in terms of matching the requirements. Those things are having an effect. We saw that in a deeper analysis of the Net pay change, that's gone down now back to even below some of the average levels of 3% to 4% for Average pay increase has dropped down a bit. You have those other two factors I watch closely, The overtime pay as a percent of regular pay being down below 10%. Speaker 200:32:52And then the other that is a really key factor is that commission number. We're paying these commissions to the sales staff of the clients. That means they're getting paid based on the sales they've made recently. That's the pipeline for new business at the client location. That's down pretty significantly, Especially compared to recent periods, booming periods post COVID, those numbers are really high. Speaker 200:33:19They were they've been decreasing and now gone below that And now gone below that 6% level that we have seen historically as a trigger point Above 6, they would need to hire more people below that they were able to hold fast. So that is reflective. And like I said previously and answered another question, that doesn't mean all the small business community It's having that reaction. It's always a mix, Bag, but much of the community is really having to deal with a tougher economic environment. And fortunately, we're in a business where the demand for what we do Some of your messaging to fit more tightly or you'd have to understand a specific client's current situation to understand what part of our messaging would connect more to their current Going forward plan and how we can connect to helping them in the immediate future. Speaker 200:34:45And It becomes a little more, I wouldn't say complex, but there's more Thinking you do to really connect with each customer. So but that's a good environment for us. We've seen this before And it's it really gets us excited. We're in a business that's designed to help businesses succeed, So communities prosper and they need help in a time like this and we're excited to be right shoulder to shoulder with them. Speaker 100:35:193. Thank Operator00:35:20you very much. Your next question is coming from Tobey Sommer of Truist Securities. Toby, your line is live. Speaker 400:35:29Thank you, Paul and Doug. I wanted to ask a question about your sort of 2. And so not really the inputs to gross profit, but sort of How you're going to prosecute sales, the investments in the sales force, 3rd quarter, the things that you can sort of more directly control. How are you thinking about that 2. At this stage, because I know you're afforded the opportunity and have planned for longer time horizons than I think your average public company. Speaker 400:36:14Thanks. Speaker 200:36:16Yes, absolutely. We're in good shape going into next year on the operating expense side. And in the area that you're describing or asking a question about on the sales side, since we have 13% increase in the size of the staff. Our investment in that Doesn't have to be as high as it was over the last year. Also the last 2 years, we've invested more in the incentive system, which now is built into the base of our operations. Speaker 200:36:47So I don't see us having to make an additional investment in that area of the business. 2. So we are able then to do the smart thing, which is make sure our investments appropriate in the marketing area To provide the activity level needed for our sales team, because as they are now another year into their training and development there. Sales efficiency number can go up as long as you're feeding them a good volume of activity. So I love the position we're in going into next year. Speaker 200:37:24Then in addition to that, As I mentioned in my remarks, we had to go through a significant recovery or catch up on the service personnel across the company, again from the tight labor market and the fast growth. 2. So this year has been a great opportunity to right size the staff, be prepared better prepared for a level of growth. But that was also a big investment that I don't see repeating. We can actually increase staff more in alignment with growth As opposed to what we had over the last year. Speaker 200:38:05And also, of course, the sales force investment was a significant one. Like I said in my remarks, it's not like we're not going to make other investments, but not at that level. So I do see a recovery in the operating leverage on that side of the business as we move forward. Speaker 400:38:28If I could ask a follow-up, how are you feeling about pricing and competition, Particularly, I think the healthcare benefit costs are expected to rise next year in the market, the sort of rate of growth. 2. And I'm curious in the fall selling campaign, how you're feeling about pricing and competition at the end of next year? Speaker 200:38:53Yes. I feel real strong about how we are handling the matching of our allocations Going forward, we've discussed that. So in terms of the competitive environment, this is a fun time of year for us. I love how we are focused on dealing with these things in the marketplace. And I'm not going to go into detail about I just know we've got a great plan on that front and it's focused, it's targeted And it's not an approach that affects our long term pricing. Speaker 200:39:31It's an approach that affects Allowing clients to come on board and almost more of a try and buy approach that is very effective against what we're seeing in the marketplace. So again, we are more concerned about The long term matching and I think because we've been strong in our pricing up to this point, There may be others in the marketplace that have to respond more quickly, say on the healthcare side. 2. We've been managing that, I think very effectively and a big objective of ours in that area is a more stable environment for the customer base. That's why just this year is an example where we took a hit Because of the volatility and the timing, but we keep a steady view of how This should happen over time and our customers get the benefit of that. Speaker 200:40:38So it's another benefit of how we do this as a premium service provider that is something we can point to in that dynamic you're referring to. Good confidence on that front as well. Operator00:40:57Thank you very much. Your next question is coming from Geoff Martin of ROTH MKM. Geoff, Your line is live. Speaker 500:41:06Thank you. Good morning. Paul, I wanted to see if you could expand on the efforts of the fall campaign strategy. It sounds like you've made some pretty strategic pivots there. It sounds like it's a combination of Client retention as well as going after new clients. Speaker 500:41:25And is that more of a shift relative to workforce acceleration Sales trends that you've seen versus workforce optimization, are there other things going on there? Speaker 200:41:36No, it's actually kind of across The Board in terms of I mentioned the efforts on the marketing side of the business driving lead flow. 2. We've also I would say that maybe the best way to understand it is that there's 3 elements to driving sales success In a campaign, it's the activity, it's the attitudes and the incentives. And we have that triple braided cord in a really strong position As we go forward to the balance of the year. And yes, it is directed at both our campaign is both the sales and retention campaign. Speaker 200:42:19And so I think the level of alertness across the company, the level of focus And the level of enthusiasm gives us a good feeling about the campaign. And it's important to have that level of all those things when you have an environment that's a little tougher. And I think what I've laid out today is what we're seeing in the current client base and in the sentiments from the survey information, what we're seeing across the country, what we're seeing by industry. Hey, that means that in a period like this, You got to be on the top of your game. And that's what we'll be continuing to emphasize across our employee base and we'll give it our very best shot and I like that kind of selling and retention season that we have ahead of us. Speaker 500:43:22Great. For my follow-up, it's a 2 part question. First part is, Could you discuss BPA retention trends year to date and then hiring plans for next year? And then second part is, could you touch on 2. The middle market and sales and retention trends you've seen there. Speaker 200:43:43Yes, absolutely. We really have had an excellent year on that 2. And the workforce acceleration strategy has played in well to reducing the turnover rate. We think that's significant. Our turnover rate this year is significantly down from last year And that is that includes that we had a significant number to promote from The BPA role into a sales management role. Speaker 200:44:17So even with all of that weighed in there, we're in a really strong 2 position. I see that for next year, we can probably grow the BPA staff Even below our 8% or 9% target, maybe a little on the maybe the low end of our range because we have such a high number that are in that ramp up in their sales efficiency mode. So feel good about that and how we can manage that going into next year. What was that second half of your question? Speaker 500:44:58It was on middle market sales and retention trends. Speaker 200:45:02Yes, absolutely. So Middle market continues to develop. It is a smaller team, but we have been adding Strategically there. That will probably continue to add normally, but it's nominal in terms of the numbers On the investment side, but our connection between our core market and mid market teams And the ongoing flow continues to improve and be strong, which requires us to grow that team Speaker 400:45:462. Operator00:45:47Thank you very much. That appears to be the end of our question and answer session as there are no more questions in the queue. I will now hand back over 2, Paul Savadi for any closing remarks. Speaker 100:46:00So once again, we'd like to Speaker 200:46:01thank you for your participation today. We're looking forward to this 2nd quarter. All selling and retention campaign and achieving a decent starting point for next year. And on the next call, we will have all that baked 2 into a going forward scenario for 2024 and we look forward to sharing that with you at that time. Thank you again. Speaker 200:46:243rd quarter. Operator00:46:25Thank you very much. This does conclude today's conference call. You may now disconnect your phone lines and have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by