PROS Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

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Provided by Quartr
October 31, 2023

There are 10 speakers on the call.

Operator

Greetings. Welcome to the PROS Holdings Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

Operator

I would now like to turn the conference call over to Belinda Overdiput, Director of Investor Relations.

Speaker 1

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. Our earnings press release, SEC filings and a replay of today's call can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website atpros.com. Our prepared remarks will be available on our website immediately following the call and will be replaced by the official transcript, which includes participant questions once available. With me on today's call is Andres Reiner, President and Chief Executive Officer and Stefan Schulz, Chief Financial Officer.

Speaker 1

Please note that some of the commentary today will include forward looking statements, including without limitation, those about our strategy, future business prospects and market opportunities and our financial projections and guidance. Actual results could differ materially from such statements and our forecast. For more information, please refer to the risk factors described in our SEC filings. PROS assumes no obligation to update any forward looking statements As a reminder, during the call, we will discuss non GAAP metrics. Reconciliations between each non GAAP measure and the most directly comparable GAAP measure to the extent to which available without unreasonable effort

Speaker 2

Thank you, Belinda. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's call. I'm proud to share we delivered a strong 3rd quarter, Exceeding our guidance ranges across all metrics. We grew subscription revenue by 16% year over year, Total revenue by 10% year over year and delivered $5,600,000 in positive adjusted EBITDA, an improvement of $7,800,000 year over year. Results are a testament to our team's relentless focus on driving profitable growth.

Speaker 2

To achieve our goal of being a rule of 40 company by 2026, as the market increasingly embraces AI, Pro's long term trajectory continues to strengthen. C suite leaders across industries are encouraging their teams to infuse AI into their operations. Impress is a clear choice given our enterprise AI is proven When it comes to enterprise AI, accuracy, trust and speed are critical, And this is what sets PROS apart. We ensure accuracy and trust by using an ensemble approach to combine multiple AI algorithms together. For example, we Ensemble our price prediction algorithms With outlier detection, in explainable AI algorithms to deliver the most optimal and transparent results possible.

Speaker 2

Our models are adaptive. They self learn and recalibrate based on user interaction in real time data signals To provide the most up to date predictions, we offer unparalleled solution performance With response times that are guaranteed within milliseconds for real time solutions. Through greater accuracy, trust and speed, PROS delivers the promise of AI today. Our mission is to help people and companies outperform. Our Enterprise AI generates significant revenue, Margin inefficiency improvement for our customers, as shown in our published ROI study.

Speaker 2

Recently, we ran an analysis to see how this business outcomes translate into shareholder returns for our customers. We found that PROS publicly traded customers outperformed the Dow and S and P 500 by more than 15 percentage points between the beginning of 2022 and the end of Q3 2023. I'm proud that we're helping such amazing customers drive these incredible returns. I encourage you to check out this chart in our Q3 investor presentation. Our land and expand strategy is working, demonstrated by our accelerating subscription revenue growth, Significant improvements to profitability in the pace at which we're continuing to land new customers and expand their use of our platform.

Speaker 2

In Q3, we continued to welcome new logos across our target industries. And now I'll share a few examples. Genesis Energy, a New Zealand based electricity and gas supplier, Selected the PROS platform to provide a seamless customer experience with a harmonized omnichannel strategy. Trivium Packaging, a leading global manufacturer of metal packaging selected the PROS platform in Q3 To fuel profitable growth, trivium will improve their responsiveness to shifting raw material costs Higher conversion of sales through digital channels. SKS Airways, a new Malaysian Care planning to launch at the beginning of 2024, selected Pros as a strategic partner in driving their growth strategy.

Speaker 2

SKS Airways will use Pro's revenue management platform to help them predict demand, Scale their operations and maximize revenue. Now I'm excited to share a few of the incredible Expansions we saw with our customers in Q3. Ingredion, a leading global ingredient solution provider, Begin their journey with PROS to drive a digitally connected sales motion and optimize pricing. Since implementing our platform, Ingredion is driving more accurate pricing by leveraging real time cost And we have also expanded margins using ProseAI Power pricing to optimize product and customer mix and even highlighted this on the recent earnings Ingredion's CEO, James Zalley said on the call, our results demonstrate our ability to be We're proud of Ingredion's success and pleased to share they expanded their use of the PROS platform With pros dynamic offers, Air New Zealand will modernize the retailing strategy with our leading capabilities in Airfare Shopping and Pricing, enabling them to design, distribute and manage price fares across direct, in direct and digital sales channels. Turkish Airlines expanded their use of our platform with With their adoption of our digital offer marketing solution.

Speaker 2

In their recent go live of our latest generation of solutions For revenue management, real time dynamic pricing and group sales. Turkish Airlines has been a PROS customer since 2009, and it's been amazing to be part of their stunning breakthrough during this time. Turkish Airlines has more than doubled the number of destinations it flies to since the beginning of our partnership. And today, it flies to more countries than any other airline in the world. Our platform innovations enabled the next Generation of modern retailing for Turkish Airlines on a massive global scale.

Speaker 2

Real time dynamic pricing is the key to Fueling revenue growth, managing availability and intelligently controlling each offer. With the PROS platform, Turkish Airlines can increase online traffic and drive higher conversion rates of optimized offers across our global passengers and group business, driving their growth strategy. In closing, I would like to thank our global team for making PROS an incredible company and delivering on our mission of helping people and Also, I would like to thank our customers, partners and shareholders for their ongoing support of PROS. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Stefan to cover our financial performance and outlook.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Andres, and good afternoon, everyone. We delivered another strong quarter, which puts us in a position to raise our outlook once again for the year. Year to date, we have grown our subscription revenue by 15% and total revenue by 10%, while delivering over $20,000,000 in improvements to both adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. We have now generated positive adjusted EBITDA on a year to date basis and expect positive free cash flow for the full year after an expected seasonally strong Q4. These profitability improvements Have been made while also executing to our revenue growth plan.

Speaker 3

We are off to a good start towards reaching our goal of achieving Rule of 40 by 2026, And I am pleased with our progress towards these objectives. Now for our Q3 results. Subscription revenue in the Q3 was $60,000,000 up 16% year over year and total revenue was $77,300,000 up 10% year over year, both exceeding the high end of our guidance ranges. Our 3rd quarter recurring revenue was 84% of total revenue. As expected, our 3rd quarter Billings were relatively flat year over year and increased 5% for the trailing 12 months.

Speaker 3

As a reminder, the size and timing of our billings Have an impact on our quarterly growth rate. Our trailing 12 month gross revenue retention rate in the 3rd quarter remained above 93%. Non GAAP subscription gross margin was 78% for the quarter, improving from 77% a year ago. Our non GAAP services margin was 9% in the 3rd quarter, improving from 4% a year ago. Our overall profitability improvements start with gross margins and year to date we have delivered over 145 basis points of improvement to subscription gross margins And over 800 basis points of improvement to services gross margins compared to last year.

Speaker 3

Driving greater efficiencies in we deliver our solutions has been an area of focus for our professional services and product teams, and I want to congratulate them for their achievements in this area. Adjusted EBITDA was $5,600,000 in the 3rd quarter, exceeding guidance. We also generated $8,500,000 of free cash flow in the 3rd quarter, a $17,600,000 improvement compared to last year. From a balance sheet perspective, we exited the Q3 with $169,100,000 of cash and cash equivalents and have access to our $50,000,000 revolving line of credit. Additionally, we exchange $122,000,000 of our convertible notes due in May 2024 for approximately $117,000,000 of additional notes Under our 2027 indenture.

Speaker 3

The new notes under the 2027 indenture are recorded on our balance sheet at fair value Because our 20 27 notes were trading at a premium to par. So even though the exchange resulted in a lower level of debt at par value, Our balance sheet will reflect a higher amount of debt. This non cash premium will be amortized down to the debt's par value over the next 4 years. As a result of this exchange, we have reduced our debt due in May of 2024 to approximately $22,000,000 Our non GAAP earnings per share was 0 point We expect subscription revenue to be in the range of $233,300,000 to $233,800,000 and total revenue to be in the range of $302,200,000 to $303,200,000 We are also raising the midpoint of our EBITDA and free cash flow guidance. We expect adjusted EBITDA profit for the full year of between $6,500,000 $7,500,000 and free cash flow of between $3,500,000 $6,500,000 We're maintaining our guidance for subscription ARR at $251,000,000 to $254,000,000 And for the Q4, we expect subscription revenue to be in the range of $60,000,000 to $60,500,000 and total revenue to be in the range of 76 To $77,000,000 we are anticipating a sequential decline in services revenue due to the holidays.

Speaker 3

We expect 4th quarter adjusted EBITDA profit of between $3,000,000 $4,000,000 And using an estimated non GAAP tax rate of 22%, We anticipate 4th quarter non GAAP earnings per share of between $0.03 $0.05 per share based on an estimated 47,500,000 diluted weighted average shares outstanding. In closing, I would like to thank our employees and customers for their continued passion and support. We also thank our shareholders for their continued support of PROS, and we look forward to speaking with you at our upcoming events. I will now turn the call back over to the operator for questions. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question and answer session.

Speaker 4

Nice job again on great execution in the quarter. It's great seeing the reacceleration in subscription revenue Growth to 16%, pretty material year to date, and then also that Slowing down to a very nice EBITDA and earnings beat. I guess, question I have is, I kind of mark down, Andres, all the logos you talk about in expansions every quarter. And I could be wrong, but I think there are a fair amount of Travel related transactions this quarter, or can you give us a sense of where we are in that recovery And maybe into the Q4 here and how we should think about the travel business and bookings there?

Speaker 2

Yes, Ted. Great question. Yes, I would say, travel had a good quarter, a very strong quarter, and we're very pleased both On the lands with GOL Airlines, JetSmart and SKS Airways as examples, and also on the expansion side as Well, Air New Zealand expanding to dynamic offers, huge win for us and continuing to broaden Our reach within Air New Zealand and also Turkish Airlines continuing to expand now with our digital offer marketing. What I would tell you is that where we innovated during the pandemic is areas that airlines we knew when they started investing, They would want to adopt these solutions and definitely they're resonating and the market is improving as we expected Into Q3 and Q4.

Speaker 4

Okay. So we are Seeing demand recovery into the second half here?

Speaker 2

Yes. Yes, I would tell you it's pretty consistent With what we expected in a good way, we said we expected in the back half of the year for demand to pick up and we're seeing it.

Speaker 4

Okay. And then maybe just on the other side of the B2B side of business, just in terms of How to characterize, I think you talked about last quarter a pretty significant reduction in sales cycles. I think you said 30% And an improvement in new logo activity that you saw last quarter, is that business I assume it's driving the reacceleration or a decent amount of it, but is there any characterization of how much that business has

Speaker 2

We're seeing the same improvement In the B2B new logo velocity that we talked about last quarter, we're seeing about a 30% improvement in those sales cycle times, And we're continuing to drive deal growth there. We're always proud to talk about the land side Genesis Energy and Tribune Packaging. As well as I would tell you the land realize and expand strategy that we started at the beginning of the year, We're seeing it working. Ingredion is a perfect example. They're seeing significant value in Each of the last two quarters, Q2 and Q3, they expanded into new regions.

Speaker 2

And I believe that motion, while we're not Fully to our potential, we're executing very well.

Speaker 4

Got it. Thanks for the color. Nice job.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Rob Oliver with Baird. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 5

Great. Hi, guys. Thank you very much for taking my question. Good afternoon. I had 2.

Speaker 5

My first, Andres, was Just around and I recognize that it's still early, but a question around the Microsoft partnership, obviously, some excitement around Azure with the recent report and Seeing some interest in AI Solutions and I know it's early for you guys, but would be curious to hear how you characterize that sort of progress and What constitutes early success for the Microsoft partnership? And then I had a quick follow-up as well.

Speaker 2

Yes. I would tell you, look, the Microsoft partnership of OpenAI and some generative AI capabilities around their next generation Veeva sales platform and PROS. But on the go to market, I would tell you there is very strong collaboration across all of our geographies Between Microsoft and PROS, we can now resell our solutions in their marketplace And we're working very well. Still early phases, but I would tell you The partnership is as strong as it's ever been.

Speaker 5

Great. Okay, excellent to hear. And then Just looks like a real strong quarter for you guys in Europe, and I just wanted to parse on that a little bit and understand, was it More on the B2B side, more on the air travel side and then be curious for any color around those deals, partner led or sort of the new More modular sales model, what's driving that strength? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes. No, great question. I would tell you, look, In general, we're seeing we're focused on this land realized spend strategy. So I would say in general, we're Trying to land these smaller deals and drive acceleration, as we know, it is a complex market and we knew Coming into this year, there was more important than ever that we land in a fast time to value, Be able to measure uplift and drive quick expansion, because companies are very focused on where And I think we've executed on that strategy well both in travel and B2B. With respect to EMEA, we saw good demand on the travel front With expansions and we talked about some of those and also on the B2B front, so across both sides.

Speaker 2

But I would say both teams Are very, very focused on how we land an account and what is the best next offer that we can offer for

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jason Celino with KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 4

Great. Thanks for taking my question. 1 on sales capacity, next year is just around the corner at this point. I wanted to get an update how you're thinking about Sales capacity heading into next year, do you feel comfortable with your coverage? Any thoughts there?

Speaker 2

Yes. Great question, Jason. I would tell you we're in a good place from a sales capacity. We've continued to add the reps that we need To onboard and get them productive for next year, so I feel like we're in a good place. We'll continue to execute Through this quarter, we'll continue to have reps in preparation, but I feel we're in a really good place With the team, we're also continuing to focus on driving higher rep productivity.

Speaker 2

This is an area that we Started and I would tell you, we've made improvement to our CAC ratios and we feel we can get to best in class and we're going to continue also to Focus on driving higher productivity as we look into next year. But we feel from a capacity, we're in a good place.

Speaker 4

Perfect. And then just a quick one for Stefan, on the EBITDA beat, nice leverage there. Looks like you're raising the full year by only A little bit. Any expenses or investments that we should be aware of for Q4?

Speaker 3

No, Jason. We did in our forecast, assuming we deliver based on anticipation and how we're seeing the plan come in, there'll be Some variable compensation components that come into play in the 4th quarter. That's the only reason you see that number sequentially come down slightly from Q3 to Q4 Is that potential variable incentive component? That's it.

Speaker 4

Great. Excellent. Good stuff. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Scott Berg with Needham. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 6

Hi, Andreas and Stefan, congrats on a good quarter and thanks for taking my questions. I guess a couple of things, surprise this one lasted to me. There is a rumor at the end of the quarter that you've hired another investment bank potentially, I guess, evaluates maybe some sort of incoming Inquiries into the company, not that I expect you to comment on any acquisition activity on the company here publicly, but I guess any thoughts on what the criteria or scenario would be that maybe potentially Actually go through with the sale of the company because I think you guys are at a fantastic point right now with AI, with the rebound in travel. I would think the future looks really strong And you probably have some interest in maintaining us as a public entity for a while. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes, Scott. Great question. And obviously, look, we don't comment on rumors or market speculation, but what we can tell you is that we are laser focused On executing our goal of being a rule of 40 company by 2026, we believe we're in a very strong Market position, a leader in our space, dollars 38,000,000,000 TAM and we've proven that we're executing really well on our land realize And expand strategy. So we feel we have a great opportunity to drive pretty significant shareholder returns. So I think we feel we're in a great place and we're just focused on executing.

Speaker 6

Great. Thank you. And then from a follow-up perspective, Stefan, you beat all profitability metrics pretty handily in the quarter. Looks like your sales and marketing expense was down quarter over quarter more than kind of the historical seasonal nature. I guess anything driving that in And my guess is we should probably be thinking of sales and marketing being at a higher rate here starting in Q4 going forward.

Speaker 3

Yes, Scott. I think your assumption about it going up again is a good one. The reason for the sequential decline from Q2 to Q3 had really to do with our out So a lot of resources go towards that event, not only just the 3rd party fees and the direct fees associated with There's a lot of indirect fees that go to support that event. And so you saw that, plus a couple of other events that occurred And in the Q2, and we didn't have as much in the Q3. So that's the real big reason behind us seeing that type of a movement.

Speaker 3

So again, to your point, I think going forward, you'll see that number start to rebound a bit.

Speaker 6

Great. That's all I have. Thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Parker Lane with Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 7

Yes, hi guys. Appreciate taking the questions here. First one is for you, Andres. You're exposed to a lot of different industries out there. I'd be really curious to hear with the Prioritization of AI and being the subject that everyone's really concerned about, are there any particular verticals where you're seeing The greatest prioritization of AI or the budgets actually being a little bit more substantial than average?

Speaker 2

Yes, Parker, great question. What I would tell you is while we're seeing industries that are being impacted that Maybe their performance is not well. We're not seeing the deprioritization of our initiatives. So broadly, we're seeing Very strong industry interest at Cross. And I think the importance of AI in digitization of sales And driving the right price guidance in this high volatility environment is continuing to resonate.

Speaker 2

And I think, I said it all along at the beginning, I think it was very important for us to be able to land small, be able to measure the uplift in ROI, get To value quickly and us executing to that has clearly demonstrated. I think the visibility of AI and the importance of AI has only increased. And I would say we're seeing that more and more interest of adopting our Gen 4 dynamic pricing algorithms or next generation dynamic pricing for revenue management and travel solutions, the digitization of the customer experience in travel in those areas. So overall, I would tell you, we feel pretty good about the market environment right now.

Speaker 7

Understood. Yes, I appreciate that. And then Stefan for you, I know you've oriented investors and us on the sell side here around ARR as the core metric, but Wanted you to touch on RPO, if you could a little bit? And when should we expect sort of a normalization in that metric? I saw it's declined here a couple of quarters.

Speaker 3

Yes. Parker, that is a function of the things that we've been talking about. To Andres' point about The land, realize and expand strategy, we're our typical contracts are going to be quite a bit smaller than they have been historically. And so as that unwinds throughout the RPO disclosure, you're seeing an inconsistent way in which we used to run the business versus how we're running the Today, it is showing itself in RPO. So to your point, I think as we get towards the middle part of next year, I think we should Have that anniversaried out, and so we should be starting to see the real impact of our of the momentum in our business start to be reflective And more of those RPO metrics.

Speaker 3

Now having said that, there's still anomalies that go into that metric just like there are with calculated billings from a timing of renewal And when that occurs to regenerate that contractual obligation, but I think generally speaking, we should see a more An outcome that's more representative of the momentum in the business starting in the middle part of next year.

Speaker 7

Got it. Okay. That's all for me. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Camden Levi with Oppenheimer.

Speaker 8

Hi. This is Camden Levy sitting in for Brian Schwartz. Thanks for taking my question. Just one here. Given your guys' exposure to the travel industry and just thinking about Q3 moving into Q4, specifically just this 1st month of October, have you guys seen Any like sequential softening in consumer demand from the ongoing conflict in the Middle East as it relates to EMEA and just some of the strength that you saw in that market this quarter?

Speaker 8

Thanks.

Speaker 2

Yes, kind of great question. I would tell you we're watching that very carefully. So far we haven't seen any impact to demand Or big impact to our customers. So but we are actively monitoring the situation, but so far we have not seen any impact and we're not seeing our customers be impacted by that Currently.

Speaker 8

Okay. And then maybe just like following up on it, any like of the customer conversations or just ongoing pipeline that you had With travel partners or suppliers in, I guess, like EMEA and like Middle East, have any of those conversations maybe perhaps Stalled or elongated as a result of October per se?

Speaker 2

Yes, great question. I would tell you no stalls. It's continuing, and I would say we are active engaging in both of those regions, EMEA and Middle East, And we're continuing to see the focus on their strategy. And I think, they've seen the importance Of innovating and the value that it can drive, so, so far we haven't seen any instances of them slowing down.

Speaker 8

Okay. That's it for me. Thank you so much.

Speaker 9

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Victor Chang with Bank of America, please proceed with your question.

Speaker 9

Hi, Andres and hi, Stefan. Congrats on the solid quarter again. Just 2 from my side. Obviously, you mentioned you continue to see a faster sales cycle. Can you give us some more color maybe on the pipeline, what you're seeing at the top of the funnel, whether there's more happening at the top?

Speaker 9

And maybe if you could split it by geography as well, maybe a bit more color on the U. S. As well as it appears to be A bit softer in Q2 in Q3?

Speaker 2

Yes, Victor, great question. So we didn't see any Softness in the U. S. In Q3 and overall top of the funnel continues to grow well. It puts us in a We feel in a good position to continue to drive growth.

Speaker 2

So overall, I would tell you whether we look at industries or geographies, We're seeing good demand across. There's not an area that we're seeing a decline, whether it be at the top end of the funnel or within, Thank you, Q3. So we saw pretty good demand across the U. S, Europe and other regions, as well as across industries. But one other thing I will note is the mix continues to be between new and

Speaker 9

And then The other one is maybe on travel. Obviously, you mentioned that demand is coming back. But just want to check, is kind of the airline IT spend still below that pre pandemic level? And as we think about 2024 with all of the volumes broadly normalized and when I think about airline industry in general, they're going through Once in the generation change, both on distribution, on software side with offer orders management, Should we expect a much bigger appetite in 2024, 2025? When should we see that coming in?

Speaker 2

Yes, great question, Victor. I would tell you that Q3 was a big progress A quarter for us to see travel trend more towards 2019 volumes, and I think We feel very good about Q4 and as we look into next year of that continuing. So I think it's a little premature to call 24, but I feel all the ingredients are there. Airlines are starting to invest And they're investing in the areas that we innovated as we talked about. So, I think our market position is I mean, just recently there was an article about Lufthansa and our continuous pricing as an example, that they've had very Significant success this year and they attribute to the investments they did with PROS during the pandemic and now reaping those benefits.

Speaker 2

Those are great proof points that the innovations that we did are paying off and I believe that customers will continue to follow to adopt Those latest generations of revenue management and our full solution from the digital fare marketing all the way into revenue management to drive better returns for their business. So overall, I feel very good about travel as we look into 'twenty four, but it's a little premature to call next

Speaker 9

Very clear. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back to Belinda over to put for Closing remarks?

Speaker 1

Thank you for listening to today's call. We look forward to speaking with At conferences and events this quarter, we will be attending the Stifel Midwest 1 on 1 Growth Conference in Chicago on November 9th, The Craig Hallum Alpha Select Conference in New York City on November 16th the Needham Virtual SaaS 1 on 1 Conference also on November 16th And the UBS Global Tech Conference in Scottsdale on November 29th 30th. If you have any questions following today's call, Please contact us at irpros.com. Thank you and goodbye.

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

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