Ferrari Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
November 2, 2023

There are 15 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Ferrari Third Quarter 2023 Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be the question and answer Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Nicoletta Rousseau, Head of Investor Relations.

Operator

Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Nadia, and welcome to everyone who is joining us. Today, we plan to cover the group's Q3 2023 operating results and the duration of the call is expected to be around 60 minutes. Today's call will be hosted by the Group CEO, Mr. Benedetto Vina and Group CFO, Mr. Antonio Picca Piccon.

Speaker 1

All relevant materials are available In the Investors section of the Ferrari corporate website and at the end of the presentation, we will be available to answer your questions. Before we begin, let me remind you that any forward looking statements we might make during today's call are subject to the risks and uncertainties mentioned in the Safe Harbor statement included on Page 2 of today's presentation and the call will be covered by these language. With that said, I'd like to turn the call over to Benedektos.

Speaker 2

Good afternoon, Nicoletta, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Before we begin, I would like to thank all the women and men of Ferrari for their outstanding work, all our clients for their continuous trust in our brand And all our partners, supplier, dealer and sponsors with whom we have continued to strengthen our relations. In the current macroeconomic context, we are continuing to execute our business plan in line with the trajectory outlined in the last year during our Capital 3 are the key messages we want you to focus on. 1, record Q3 financial result Sustaining our greater confidence towards year end guidance. 2, product and infrastructure development Are well on track, in particular on the electrification side with the full electric Ferrari in prototype phase And the e building proceeding as planned.

Speaker 2

3, continued strong brand momentum, Far were fueled by 2 new model launches, the 296 Challenge and the 419P Modificata And outstanding event attendance in Italy and in the United States. So let's start with financial results and the business performance of our company. Q3 was a record quarter with all key metrics showing a double digit growth versus the previous year. For the first time, The revenues were above €1,500,000,000 24% up versus the prior years, We have shipments 9% up. All geographic regions grew in the 1st 9 months.

Speaker 2

EBITDA about €600,000,000 and EBIT over €420,000,000 were both up About 40% driven by product mix and personalization. And last but not least, The industrial free cash flow generation was more than €300,000,000 These results Our further proof of the strength of our business and the increased visibility towards the end of the years Let us to revise upward the full year outlook. The vitality of our business is also confirmed by the current order book, which remains at highest levels across all geographies and models, covering the entire 2025. And before you ask, I can already tell you that in the next few months, we do not expect the order book to continue to grow Since all models are substantially sold out, but 1, the Roma Spider. Last week, At the dealer annual meeting, I spent one full day with dealers from all over the world and I received very positive comments on the market sentiment.

Speaker 2

And by this, I mean throughout, from products to client interest and to brand experiences. And again, anticipating one of your questions, I would like to underline that during the dealer annual meeting of last week, I specifically spent time With our beers in Mainland China, which confirm that the traction of the brand continues to be very strong. We are also making progress on the future product pipeline. All projects are on track as planned. And in particular, I'm excited about the full electric Ferrari, now a prototype in testing mode.

Speaker 2

I had the pleasure to see and try it. And unfortunately, I cannot tell you more. You have to be patient. And as you know, this is part of the desirability of our brand. I am also very proud of how the e building is progressing Towards the inauguration expected in June next year, exactly 2 years later after our Capital Market Day.

Speaker 2

After finishing the works, we started already to install the equipment to produce the selected strategic component. And by Q1 2024, we will penalize the assembly line of the electric engine and e axles. Talking about our product offering, last week we unveiled 2 new standing motors, both inspired by our racing DNA. In fact, the recent finale Mondiale at our Mugello race track provided the ideal stage for the unveiling of the latest two additions to our portfolio. The first one is the 296 Challenge.

Speaker 2

It is an ICE car that makes full use of experience and expertise gained by the company in the field of international GT racing. The result is a car in several respects very close to the 296 GT3, which debuted in January 2023. And the second is the 499P Modificata. It is a strictly limited series truck cars And the most high performance closed wheel car ever offered for gentleman driver use and already fully allocated. We are the only brand offering its clients the possibility to drive the newest racing car only 6 months after the debut On the racetrack in Sebring, inaugurating the new sport Prototipi Clienti program, which joins the F1 Once again, the Finale Mondiare, the unique reunion of the Ferrari community To celebrate the final events of our client experience on track, saw the participation of almost 30,000 motorsport enthusiasts among clients, T Force and employees.

Speaker 2

And talking about our community, I'm also proud to mention that the Ferrari Gala, which took place in New York in mid October, This event was an opportunity to highlight our brand's influence on sport cars, on racing, lifestyle and beyond, celebrating also the unique bond and share the values between Ferrari and the U. S, which goes back to the earliest days of our histories In the 50s and all strong today. This event was an opportunity to share a series of unique experiences With such a passionate community, during this 3 day exhibition, we got opportunity To get 130,000 visitors at New York City's Hudson Yards Complex, the one that you are seeing now in your chart And an exclusive charity auction during the Ferrari Galadine, which raised more than US7 $1,000,000 And the funds will be devoted to projects supporting education in the community because we believe That giving back is a moral obligation. This quarter, we also had many client experiences on road, among which The Ferrari Cavalcade Classica and the 1st Ferrari Legacy Tours dedicated to the beautiful F40, which saw The participation of 40 owners of F40 from all over the world. Moving to the racing world.

Speaker 2

In the World Endurance Championship, after the victory at the 24 hours of Le Mans, the Ferrari 499P Confirmed to be competitive with a podium in Italy, a 4th and 5th place in Japan, and we are looking forward To our return to action for the grand finale of the season with the 8 hours of Bahrain this coming weekend. In Formula 1, the recent volumes and improvements provide us the boost to prepare ourselves for the next season. Clearly, we need to keep improving and recover our technical gap. And thus, on one side, we are strengthening the team Under Fred, and on other side, we are enlarging our racing manufacturing infrastructure, which will grant us I guess development speed and quality. I saw this facility this morning.

Speaker 2

We are also pleased With the renewal of the multi year partnership with Puma, who becomes our Formula 1 premium partners starting from next year. We also strengthened the licensing agreement with Puma for Ferrari branded products and they became the suppliers of our racing teams And all other racing activities. Continual lifestyle. On top of this partnership I just mentioned with Puma, Ferrari showcased its latest springsummer 2024 looks during the Milan Fashion Week, A powerful collection perceived from many editors as their absolute favorite so far. We also continue to strengthen our presence with successful activation in Pebble Beach and in New York brand event By creating our own pop up for our clients to increase collection, awareness and visibility And we registered a record level of visitors in our museum, reaching over 600 and 50,000 visitors since the beginning of January, confirming the strength of the brand and the passion of our community.

Speaker 2

For your reference, in the whole 2022, we had about 620,000 visitors. We still have a couple of months ago till the year end. And before leaving the stage to Antonio, one comment on our Important sustainability journey. While many activities continue to run at factory level to address scope 1 and scope 2 emission And we are looking carefully at energy efficiency and recycled material use. We are engaging our suppliers, Our dealers to address Scope 3 emission.

Speaker 2

Indeed, last week, during our dealer annual meeting, for the first time, We also awarded most active dealers in reducing their CO2 emission with the green award. And we will keep this green award also for the years to come to keep eye attention on this topic that is so important for our company. And then now, I leave the stage to Antonio to enter into the earnings details.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Benedetto, and good morning or afternoon to everyone joining us today. Starting on page 4, we present the highlights of the 3rd quarter results, a quarter which confirms the positive dynamics So in the 1st part of the year and represents a further improvement compared to the expectations we had. Our strong business performance was sustained by a rich product and country mix and high personalizations, leading to a remarkable double digit growth in revenues, profitability and industrial free cash flow generation. With shipments single digits higher than last year, revenues were up roughly 24%. Adjusted EBITDA increased 37% with a 38.6% margin.

Speaker 3

Adjusted EBIT was up 42% with a 27.4% margin, supporting a strong industrial free cash flow generation of €300,000,000 On page 5, you can see the details of the Q3 shipments. In the quarter, we continued to serve the highest order book that Benedetto commented and we are all very proud of. Backed by the above, shipments in the quarter reflected our volume and product allocation strategy for the year and by geography. Thus EMEA and Americas were up versus the prior year. Deliveries in Mainland China and Hong Kong and Taiwan decreased by a few tens And rest of APAC was substantially flat year over year.

Speaker 3

All regions are up in the 1st 9 months With Americas benefiting from a larger share of allocations year over year and visibly supporting our margins. The increase in shipments was driven by the tuning 6 and the FF9 Mercedes Benz together with the A12 Competizione Aperta And the Purosangue, which were in the ramp up phase. In the quarter, the F8 Spider was approaching the end of its life cycle And the allocations of the Daytona SP3 continued in line with planning. Lastly, in the quarter, the hybrid weight on total deliveries Further improved reaching 51% and surpassing that of ICE for the first time as a result of the 6% growth at constant currency. The increase in cars and spare parts was driven by higher volumes, A richer product and country mix as well as stronger personalizations and pricing.

Speaker 3

Personalization further increased in absolute value in the quarter and reached approximately 19% In proportion to revenues from cars and spare parts, mainly driven by paints, liveries and the use of carbon. Sponsorship commercial and brand reflected higher sponsorships, including Formula 1 and World Endurance Championship racing activities And higher commercial revenues as a result of the better prior year Formula 1 ranking. Engines revenue declined in line with the reduction of supplies to Maserati. And please note that from Q1, twenty twenty four, we reporting such item in the bridge analysis as a result of the supply agreement coming to its natural end. Currency had a negative net impact this time mainly reflected the Chinese yuan And the Japanese yen and secondarily the U.

Speaker 3

S. Dollar dynamic. Moving to page 7, The change in adjusted EBIT is explained by the following dialysis: volume, Positive and reflecting the increase in shipments. Mix and price strongly positive for €170,000,000 Thanks to the very favorable mix, both product mix sustained by the Daytona ST3, the A12 Competizione and the FF90 families And country mix, driven by Americas. And obviously, to the increased contribution from personalizations and pricing.

Speaker 3

Industrial and R and D expenses grew €63,000,000 mainly due to higher depreciation and amortization And raw materials and components cost inflation. SG and A were slightly negative for €10,000,000 mainly reflecting the company's additional development and digital infrastructure. Other was positive for €17,000,000 mainly reflecting higher commercial revenues from the better prior year Formula 1 ranking And new sponsorships. The total net impact of currencies was negative for €23,000,000 With the positive net support of these variances, we reached remarkable EBITDA and EBITDA margins that we mentioned. Turning to page 8, our industrial free cash flow generation for the quarter was strong at €301,000,000 Reflecting the increased profitability, partially offset by capital expenditure for €205,000,000 In line with our product and infrastructure development and consistent with the full year target of approximately €850,000,000 An increase in net working capital, which reflects a seasonal decrease of trade payables during the past summer As a result of our decision to carry higher inventories and accelerate our capital expenditure in the previous months.

Speaker 3

To be noted that the net contribution from advances collected on our future deliveries, including the start of Range Motors in certain countries was positive, but very limited in the quarter. Net industrial debt at the end of September decreased to €233,000,000 reflecting the solid industrial free cash flow generation in the quarter, partially offset by €194,000,000 of share repurchases. To conclude on page 9, we upgrade the guidance for the full year on the back of another very positive quarter. Q3 earnings was supported by an extremely favorable product and country mix and reached with personalizations. In addition, it benefited from timing on costs, mainly related to racing and a more favorable U.

Speaker 3

S. Dollar dynamics Compared to our previous expectations, we expect these positive contributions to be visible also in Q4 Despite the planned lower volumes allocation, higher D and A linked to product life cycles, continuing inflationary pressure As well as the significant seasonal increase in rating expenses. On one side, for the development costs for the In 2024, one car and on the other, the logistics expenses for the last overseas races for the season. All of the above augurs well for 2024 and we are confident and ready in front of its challenges. As we anticipated during our Capital Market Day, next year we expect a normalized revenues growth after the very strong start of the business plan, which will be explained front loaded.

Speaker 3

That said, we are obviously conscious of the strength of our margins, which is there and in line with our plans. Many thanks for your attention. And let me now turn the call over to Nicoletta.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Antonio. Nadia, we are now ready

Operator

And the first question comes from the line of Adam Jonas from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Speaker 4

Hi. There was a bit of cutting out there. It's Adam Jonas. Can you hear me?

Speaker 2

Very well.

Speaker 4

So the first question on your order book, you said that you don't expect the order book to grow Because you're basically sold out. So does this mean that you're only going to take new orders at a pace that replaces your deliveries? Were you just not taking any new orders? And I'm just curious if this is unprecedented or if you're aware, I know you're relatively new to Ferrari, but whether you're aware Of this situation happening before?

Speaker 2

No, no. Look, thanks for the question, Adam. So last year in last year's, we had a strong Increase of order book, we expect this order book not to grow at the same speed for a couple of reasons. Number 1, we are allocating the final tail of Purosangue. So It's almost gone, let's say.

Speaker 2

And we cannot take orders on the Roma Spiders. Clearly, we have the special version, but the special version, let's say, are all allocated as well as the 499P Modificata, they are all allocated. But so we remain confident about the traction Of our cars, I was with at Cinadio Mondiari with many clients. There were 600 clients last weekend And they all were literally in love with our truck cars. And but clearly the speed of growth of the roadblock will not be the same as in the past.

Speaker 4

Okay. I appreciate it.

Speaker 2

We have many things let's say, we have less model to offer To the clients because they eagerly took everything we offered them. So it's a good challenge for us Charlie, to keep let me say, delighting them with unique car.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Benedetto. And maybe as a follow-up, Can you remind us how that works for pricing, the mechanism from the time An order is placed, let's say, at the far end of your order book late 2025. Tell us how what is the expectation that one of Ferrari customer would have for the price paid prior to configuring versus your ability to work with them including potentially Higher prices, not just because you can, because obviously you want to treat the company you want the customer to Promise of value, but just remind us during times when there's a very, very tight order book and it goes very, very long out, How confirm that you don't lock in pricing and kind of historically how that could move, if you follow the logic of my question?

Speaker 2

I think I follow. What I want to tell you is that it's true the order book is pretty long. I have to say that during last years, We give a clear priority to all our dealers to engage the client also with on one side experiences, On the other side is with the pre owned cars. So I have to say that and that's what also what I said to the dealer last week In Florence, I thank them because they did what we were committing, what we were asking them to do. And in terms of pricing flexibility, like you said, it's always you have to find the right balance In increasing the price of what is already contracted versus also not upsetting the client.

Speaker 2

I think we have The bond and let me say the link and understanding of the client is such that We can continue to manage in the same way we did so far. So I do not expect honestly big troubles over there,

Speaker 3

Adam? Thanks, Benedetto.

Speaker 2

Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just give us a moment. And the next question comes from the line of Thomas Besson from Kepler Cheuvreux. Your line is open.

Operator

Please ask the question.

Speaker 5

Thank you very much. It's Sebastien. I have a couple of questions, please. I'd like to start first with the level of your revised 2023 target when you compare it with 2026 targets you've shown at the Investor Day 18 months ago. So clearly, you've done better than you are assuming for 2022.

Speaker 5

You're going to do a lot better than you are assuming for 2023. So the question is simply, is there a plan at one stage in February or maybe in June next year when we visit your Did you plan to eventually raise the 26 targets or are you going to leave us with these 26 targets for longer? That's the first question. The second, I mean, you have a full you fully sold everything you're going to make until the end of 2025. Can you talk about the impact this has on your residuals on existing vehicles on the road And share with us the share of used vehicle sales in your cars and spare parts Revenues and explain us whether this is going to increase.

Speaker 5

You plan to control a higher proportion of your used car business in the future or not? Thank you.

Speaker 2

So I think the first one, Thomas, thanks for the question. So we confirm the plan we shared with you 1 year ago. You have to wait still, let me say, a few quarters more than your visit maybe next June before we update Our plan, so this is we will not review this before 2025, okay, the year 2025. So we keep we want to do what we committed in front of our shareholders to do in 2022. The second, I will say I will start and then Antonio will add as he believes appropriate.

Speaker 2

It's true that we are sold out. As I said, this is helping a lot on the pre owned market. And I have to say that we see the pre owned market pretty healthy. In some sense, yes, it can help to sell spare parts. But I would say that the thing that we see is not happening as originally We planned at the beginning of the year, I mean, it's going better than we planned, it's the personalization.

Speaker 2

The spare part, correct me, Antonio, but it's pretty In

Speaker 3

line with what we saw, no? Absolutely. And maybe I can complement on this. In terms of pre owned Vehicles that we sell, it's really limited to the cars that we use for our events for Introducing the car per se, but in terms of commercial strategy, so in terms of volume it is really limited to a small number of pieces every year. In terms of interest for controlling the market, this is not for us.

Speaker 3

It's obviously for our dealer and we encourage our dealers to become more and more present in the Plione business. That's certainly an area of further potential development for them.

Speaker 5

Thank you very much. Can I maybe have just a quick follow-up? Would it make sense for you given that you've already sold almost everything you're going to make to already start selling the BEV product You plan to show us in 2025 before showing it to customers or do you want to show it first Customers?

Speaker 2

No, no. We will show the BEV in Q4 2025 As planned. So everyone will see, let me say, in that quarter, apart from The people that are working here, obviously, they tend to see to make it happen. So it's Q4, 20 25, Thomas. Thank you.

Speaker 5

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just a moment. And the next question comes from the line of Stefan Reitman from Societe Generale. Your line is open.

Operator

Please ask your question.

Speaker 6

Thank you very much. A question first of all on the guidance for 2023. Just a bit of simple math, it seems to be that after a 28% margin, adjusted operating margin in the 1st 9 months of the year, If we take the lower end of the 26.5%, at least 26.5% or more, that suggests that the margin could Be as low as 22% in the Q4, which seems very, very low compared to the momentum you've shown And the kind of maybe the sort of currency adjusted underlying margin of 29 percent 29.4% that you showed in the Q3 or FX Impacts and hedges. So if you could maybe talk about the headwinds that you're anticipating in the Q4? Obviously, we know this is a very conservative guidance you always give.

Speaker 6

And my second question is about Formula 1. And could you update us on the status of how you are with have you fully now Replaced all the sponsorship that you lost, obviously Mission Bueno and Velas. Now do you have a full roster including your main sponsor? I saw you took on Virtual Gaming World. But does that now mean now you're fully your car is fully livery and you have everything you need?

Speaker 6

Thank you.

Speaker 2

I'll take the second one, Stefan. Thanks for the question. And then I will ask Antonio to comment on the first one. So let me say in this way. In the last 3 years, We have been able to lower the depend sponsorship wise.

Speaker 2

We have been able to lower the dependence on, Let me say on a single sponsor, okay. So if in the past this single sponsor was accounting for more than 60% Of revenues now, if I take the biggest sponsor in our basket is no more than 13%, 14%. So I would say that on the sponsorship wise, we've been able to enlarge the sponsor base by lowering also the dependence on A big one. So this is the answer to the Formula 1. And then Antonio.

Speaker 3

And Stephen, hi. I think the reasoning is the one I try and explain in words in my speech. If you look at Q4, what is different compared to the previous quarter is in terms of volumes, lower allocations to the 4th quarter already designed That way since the beginning of the year. Secondly, we have a specificity in terms of the overall Seasonality of the spending, particularly R and D expense to the P and L for racing, If we normalize for that even at the EBIT margin level, we get much more in line with the rest of the year. In addition, if you go to the EBIT margin level, then you should take into consideration that D and A are going to grow in the Q4.

Speaker 3

And this is due to 2 elements. 1 is the start of production of a couple of new models and the second one is some project that we are going Start depreciating that are more related to our infrastructural development of this house.

Speaker 6

Thank you.

Speaker 3

And thanks for compliments on being conservative.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just give us a moment. And the next question comes from the line of Giulio Pescatore from BNP Paribas. Your line is open.

Operator

Please ask your question.

Speaker 7

Hi, thanks for taking my question. And first one, I want to come back on a comment made by one of your competitors. I know you don't But it was striking because they were calling out weakness in luxury cars demand, especially in North America. And what they said, it's in very stark contrast with whatever you're saying today. So I'm not asking you to comment on competition, Just what do you think is making the difference here?

Speaker 7

Why your demand is so much healthier and resilient than some of your peers? Then second one, just a clarification. The truck cars you launched, those don't count towards the 15 models Expected to be launched by 2026 and the 4 models for this year. Just a clarification on that. And then last very last one, the 499p, I mean, can you give us an indication of volumes and price?

Speaker 7

And when do you expect deliveries to happen? And is there any reason to expect this car to be less profitable And the limited edition ones we have launched in the past? Thank you.

Speaker 2

So I start from so these two cars, The count in the 15 models also because despite the fact that they look like something else, I mean, we had to put a lot of Resources in engineering, in managing these products, so they count. The 296 challenge is only ICE, it's not hybrid. Well, but there has been a lot of work done by our colleague The 499P Modificata, it's a car that comes in few tens And it is a car that, as I said, will offer our gentleman driver the possibility to try the same experience of our, Let me say, pilots that won a few months ago in Le Mans. And I would say that I want to share with you this comment that I have in order for me. Gentlemen drivers last week I heard in Mugello last week.

Speaker 2

No, they were very, very happy to have the possibility to test themselves on a racetrack with a car that, by the way, Does not have even the balance of performance. So if, let's say, our drivers, when they are racing in the endurance The World Endurance Championship, there is a balance of performance. So they cannot go faster than they would like. The gentlemen drivers, Since it is in its own, it can do even faster. So you can enjoy even more the speed of this car.

Speaker 2

And then the first question, why we believe we are resilient? I would like to answer The question the answer is already in 2 part. I think when we talk about Ferrari car, we are talking about an ultra luxury car That is also addressing maybe a demographic that is different from other brands. But the second, I have been in these 3 years, 2 years, I have seen and I've met many people that are touching our brand, the brands in horse. And I have seen an attachment, a sense of bonding This is really unique.

Speaker 2

I mean, I was in Mugello last weekend. I was in Pemble Beach. And I can tell you, Giulio, that Right after the car was shown, it was fully allocated. I mean, the car there was a client close to me. There was a client that caused me that started to cry.

Speaker 2

So literally. So it's The bond we have with our customer, I think, is something unique and for which I will never I will always, let me say, thank them. Clearly, our people are doing their best, but our clients are giving they are trusting us, and I would always Thank them for this kind of trust. So this is the long answer to your question. Are talking about different kinds of people.

Speaker 2

We are talking about the kind of unique sense of belonging, sense of bonding of this client to our brand.

Speaker 7

Very clear. I hope you didn't start crying because you saw the price tag. But yes, thank you.

Operator

Now we're going to take our next question. And the question comes from the line of Monica Bossio from in Tessa Sao Paulo.

Speaker 8

Okay. Thank you very much And thanks for taking my questions. The first one is on the shipment allocation for the next Yes, I know that you cannot disclose it, but I just was wondering if you are thinking to keep a share Towards China in the region of 10% no more. My second question is on Potential is on the FF90XX. Are you planning to Get some advances in 2024 from the SF90XX.

Speaker 8

And the very last one is a housekeeping question on the financial charges. Can you, Antonio, explain it better the impact on the financial charges side in the 3rd And an expectation of Raffa's expectation for the full year, please?

Speaker 2

Okay. Monica, so SF90XX, yes, we'll take advanced payment 2024.

Speaker 3

The rest is Antonio. Yes, absolutely. In China, I think we stick to what we said at the Capital Market Day. I mean, For us, China is a market around 10% in terms of share of our annual deliveries in 2024. Yes.

Speaker 3

In terms of the impact of the purchase of the bond, it's created a gain on sale, which is simply due The difference between the pricing of the bond at the time we booked it and the pricing At the time we repurchased it, so it's an €8,000,000 financial income that we booked in Q3 and which is reducing the financial charge Net for the 1st 9 months, as a result for the rest of the year, we expect to be Much lower compared to what we were used to in the previous years.

Speaker 9

So about

Speaker 3

half of the amount

Speaker 8

of the Okay. It's just for the bond. Okay. Thank

Speaker 3

Welcome.

Operator

Thank you very much. Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just give us a moment. And the next question comes from the line of Susity Palti from UBS.

Operator

Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Speaker 10

Hello. Thanks for taking my question. My first one is about inflation, Because you once again have been mentioning how inflation has been it remains a headwind. And It's been now, well, 11 months since your price increase earlier in the year. So I was wondering if it's something that you're contemplating For next year or if you prefer to adjust to the pricing of the new cars, so purely through the mix?

Speaker 10

Secondly, when we think about your medium term guidance and what has changed since the Capital Markets Day. I guess on the positive side, we have seen a very resilient demand, better personalization trends, these price increases. And while on the negative side, it's been mostly the higher inflation. Is this the right way to think about This moving parts or is there something else we should take into account? And then thirdly, a more technical question, but can you Give us some color on why your gross margin was much weaker in this Q3 despite the very strong mix?

Speaker 10

Thank you.

Speaker 3

Antonio, you take the question? Yes, sure. Inflation assumption, We are thinking of price increase next year. I think we do not have just pricing for cars. I mean, our overall revenues are much wider in principle To the extent needed and subject to the conditions that Benedetto mentioned during his first answer today, I think we remain flexible and look at How costs are proceeding in order to move pricing and eventually take a decision on that going forward?

Speaker 3

2nd, I think you named you really named which are the main different elements compared to what we had in mind at the Capital Market Day last Yes. And so far, I think the overall impact, particularly of personalization and pricing on new model, Has more than offset the debt coming from the from cost inflation. Gross margin weaker, it Ben, really you should not look at that on a quarterly basis. Overall, the product mix and the country mix during a single quarter Make a difference, obviously, together with the level of personalization of the cars entailed. So Take a look at that, but look at that on a wider period of time.

Speaker 3

And you'll see certainly an improvement 9 months over 9 months.

Speaker 8

Okay. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. And our next question comes from the line of George Galiz from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Speaker 11

Good afternoon and thank you for taking my questions. The first question I had was just with respect To how to think about mix in 2024. Obviously, a lot of exciting products to come and you're in the process of ramping The Competizia Aperta and the Purosangue. Is it safe to assume that mix next year should be Positive relative to this year given that product cadence. And the second question I had, Bernadette, so if I may, was With respect to the electric Ferrari that you mentioned earlier, obviously, a very exciting product for Ferrari.

Speaker 11

However, a few other luxury Premium carmakers have noted that at the very top end of their product ranges, the customers, particularly in China, have a strong preference for internal combustion engines. As similar to a watch, they believe the mechanical elements have a higher level of craftsmanship and value Compared to electric and digital offerings, to the extent you have discussed the Ferrari EV with certain customers as a project, Have you received any similar feedback? Or do you believe that whatever car Ferrari produces will have similar level

Speaker 2

So I'll take the second one. So let me make an introduction, Georges. I think that you have to look at the way you use the technology. The technology may be the same, but what is making the difference between one company and others is the way you use the technologies. So there are many Object, I don't mention which one beyond the cars that are all using the same technology, but at the end of the story, one is more successful than the others.

Speaker 2

It depends how close, How that product is addressing the real, in that case, needs of the final client? What I can tell you What I can tell you and is one of the question also, I am asking client what is their feedback when they ask Some of the electric cars, well, it's clear two things. 1, we in our company We did well in 2022 during the Capital Market Day to tell that we will make the 3 kind of propulsion. The red, I see the blue, the hybrid and the green. Why?

Speaker 2

Because we want to leave this freedom to the client. And 2, we have clients and that's what they are telling me. Some of them, we will they will not take the electric car. Some other will take both, Okay. Some other will get into Ferrari World, Ferrari family, I would like to say, because Over to Ricardo.

Speaker 2

I have in mind 3 clients, okay, with whom I had dinner. They were saying, I'm pushing a lot for sustainability. I'm pushing a lot to my family. I have a company. I created a company in this direction.

Speaker 2

For me, the way to get in this beautiful fantastic family is through The electric Ferrari. I cannot get in without electric Ferrari. So we will have 3 kinds of People, and that's the reason why the recent development on technology Landscape, I think it's giving is a good confirmation of our strategy. And I am able to say that if you want the It's clear that I had another business to manage the technology transition has been helping and it will help in this direction. The first one, the product mix.

Speaker 3

Yes, sure. Hi, George. I think it's maybe too early to speak about 2024 in such a detail since we haven't finalized the allocation. But if you ask me gas steering where we should be, Considering the product range that we have and obviously assuming same level of personalization, I should bet at least on having the same A similar mix to this year. So not such a jump that we are witnessing in 2023 compared to 20 22.

Speaker 3

We know that last year was mainly a volume here. The product mix this year is much richer. Next year will be 2, but not at the same distance as we witnessed from last year to this one.

Speaker 11

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just a moment. And the next question comes from the line of Martino D'Ambrogi from Equita. Your line is open.

Operator

Please ask your question.

Speaker 9

Thank you very much. Good morning, good afternoon, everybody. I have one short term and one long term question. The first is on the full year guidance, Because you revised upwards by more or less €100,000,000 this year, your EBITDA guidance. And considering the drivers you commented, I don't know if I'm right, but I suppose Formula 1, okay, was positive, but small.

Speaker 9

Personalization is by far the most important contributor because my view the mix was already Predefined at the beginning of the year, so you know exactly more or less what to produce. So am I right in assuming that the personalization is the big difference Between the starting guidance and the current one. And still on the margin is the Purosangue Now is in ramp up phase, probably finalize the ramp up. Should we assume is accretive in terms of margins? And If you have an update on the volumes that you expect last time you guided for less than 10% of total, I don't know if there is a more precise indication at this point of the year.

Speaker 2

So, Martin, I think the second one and the first, Antonio. So First of all, we said 20% over the years, that's the limit of the Purosangono. Yes, we are in ramp up phase, but we

Speaker 3

And on the first one, Martino, Yes, I think you mentioned personalization is probably the main positive surprise that we had. We it's also fair to acknowledge The fact that we had positive support also provided rate compared to our initial expectations. That obviously helped.

Speaker 9

Okay. So I was referring on the volumes for the current year for the Purosangue, because this year obviously is By far less than 20%. So I remember the game wrong.

Speaker 2

Okay. Thank you, Martina. I misunderstood because for the year to come the limit is 20%. Yes. This year will be lower because it's ramp up, yes.

Speaker 9

Okay. And the long term question is, I know you do not want to comment on your 2026 guidance, but consensus is already in the region of €2,930,000,000 EBITDA. So what are your thoughts about these projection for consensus, both like on Bloomberg, both Fax And I suppose all the providers.

Speaker 2

Look, I think I have to reply in the same way I replied to your colleague. So we will upgrade and review the messaging, let's say, the plan in 2025. I think that now we are fully I'd like to say, Martino, that we are 4 wheels on the ground to make it happen, the plan that we shared with you. So let's keep going with 4 wheels on the ground. Okay.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Benedetto. Thank you, Martin.

Operator

Now we're going to take our next question. And the next question comes from the line of Henning Cosman from Barclays. Your line is open. Please ask your question.

Speaker 12

Yes. Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. I think both have become follow-up questions by now, but I'm going to try and Ask anyway. So the first one on the personalization again, I think last time we discussed that you have about 3 months of And it's great to see that you've now even drifted to the top end of the usual range of 17% to 19%.

Speaker 12

I believe you said 19 For the Q3, the question is how do you see that trending into 2024? I think previously you were expecting this Perhaps you can go to the bottom end or outside the bottom end of the range, but the dynamic seem to suggest it's going In the more positive direction, if anything. So if you could please comment on if you have changed your view as to how you see that develop going forward? And the second question, I guess, again on the mix, maybe I can ask a bit more specifically because we're all, I think, scratching our head about The strength in 'twenty four when you have the DAYTONA volumes, maybe we could start there. If you could say, Is it going to be a lot more Daytonas or will you perhaps continue with the run rate of 30 or so per quarter in 2024 as well and stretch it Over a longer period because now with the SF90X axis and also the 299 Motificata, the 296 challenges, It seems there might be a pretty big jump actually, Antonio, if you allow me relative to your earlier comment.

Speaker 2

Look, we have we confirmed that for the Daytona, we'll be around 30, 40 per quarter. So it's exactly in line with what we saw what we said before. When it comes instead to percentage of personalization, We expect this 19% of Q3 to be more in the range of 18%.

Speaker 3

But maybe you recall, I mentioned at Capital Market Day that we are planning around 17%, which was the usual run rate. And this is actually one of the reasons we have been positively surprised this year. We have seen A stronger penetration of personalization and of rich personalization on the current product range. It is difficult to bet as of now This is a continuation of this trend for the following month given the reduced visibility that we have. So that's the answer of Benedetto reflects this view.

Speaker 2

Yeah. We can also say now that we are preparing, that we want at the end of the story the client and we are planning for this, let's say 18%.

Speaker 12

Thank you. And just to clarify the 30 to 40 day tonnage that's also your target run rate for 2024, correct?

Speaker 2

Yes, yes. That was the answer. Yes, €30,000,000 per quarter also next year.

Speaker 12

Okay. And some allocation of the Modificata as well already next year, So 499?

Speaker 2

Let's say, we will start, but I don't want to be too much specific on the quarter, but sure. I mean, we are we will start also let's say, we will start also the 490 Modificata.

Speaker 12

Very helpful. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our next question. Just give us a moment. And the next question comes from the line of Anthony Dijk from ODDO BHF.

Speaker 13

Yes. Hi. My first question is on the residual values And the pre owned market, which you've already alluded to. So we've seen a correction in the residual values in the past few months, Still above pre COVID levels and you described them as healthy, but still trending down a bit. So I know this is an important indicator for you.

Speaker 13

So I'd be interested in having your view On this and how does it affect your volume strategy going into 2024? Obviously, not a topic for the limited series of the Purosangue, but I was wondering if you could comment, for example, on the demand and order momentum for your more accessible models like the Roma Spider. And then I have a second quick question on the decision to approve the use of cryptocurrency for the purchases Ferrari Cars. So could you maybe provide some color on the extent to which you think this can enlarge your customer base? And also as a follow-up, these cryptocurrency investors are not always perceived as the most stable customers.

Speaker 13

So how do you intend on managing this? Do you think you could create more volatility in your residual values? Thank you.

Speaker 2

So for the cryptocurrency, we do not expect this to be to create any volatility because at the end of if there will be conversion 1 to 1 real time. What I can tell you and I was discussing with the responsible the commercial and marketing Officer Rias, we already started to have some clients. And I have to say not only the people below 35 years old or the 40 That are taking their own that are, let's say, they place an order with the cryptocurrency. So it seems to what I think that I mean, and from the first signal, it is very well appreciated. And so I think it was a good move to allow people to be, let's say, to enter our family or to use The cryptocurrency to pay for a Ferrari because we make easier the process.

Speaker 2

And they also appreciate the fact that we use the cryptocurrency That by using a state, let's say, is pretty much sustainable, okay? The proof of stake instead of proof of work, it allows to be sustainable. When it comes instead to the pre owned, Well, what I can tell you is 2 things. 1, we did in our history many models, 250 models, If I consider since the beginning, for us, they are all important, the new and the previous one. We have 2 the Roma Spider, the new, the pre owned are the previous one.

Speaker 2

Well, they are all important for us And we need and we will take more and more cares of them. We want to increase the share of the pre owned cars That go through our official dealers. We want to make sure that the car that go through great dealers is reducing more and more. And what we are doing with The team here on the commercial side is exactly meant to reach this goal. I also have to say and I wanted to share with you That when I visited some dealers, dealerships in the last quarters, it's becoming more and more frequent that The dealers are having people whose MBO, whose yearly KPI are based on the number of on the pre owned car that they keep So I think there is even more and more attention also from our dealers and clearly also from us, Because we will keep always the number of car limited.

Speaker 2

So as I said, the new car we make as well as the one that Our colleagues before having us, they have the same dignity and they must be cared in the same way like being all children of the same family.

Speaker 12

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Now we're going to take our last question. Just a moment. The last question for today comes from the line of John Murphy from Bank of America. Your line is open.

Operator

Please ask your question.

Speaker 14

Good afternoon, everybody. Benedetto, just on kind of follow-up to that and sort of the follow-up to your backlog being so strong. You think about price and mix, I mean, there's opportunity to manage that, sort of on an interim basis. But over time, do you think you need sort of the entry level product like Aroma? I mean, it's a beautiful vehicle, but I mean, would that be the kind of Product that might not make it into the product portfolio in the next 3 to 5 years.

Speaker 14

And then the second question is, as you see the strength In the used market, is there a possibility to start doing personalization in the used market, Maybe around wheels and interiors, obviously, you can't do paints there or maybe you could, that could actually augment Revenue and support residuals further in the secondary market.

Speaker 2

Thank you, John, for the question. Yes, I'll start from the second one. Use the market, We see this trend also to the personalization of the pre owned. They may change the rim, they may change something in interiors, But also some clients they want to add, for example, some protective layers on the paint. Last week I was visiting the location where we apply these protecting Layers and one of this car was exactly a pre owned car that was where we were applying a protective layer.

Speaker 2

The second, I believe that the Roma is a good entry model. I think that we don't need to go lower. I think that the strategy for a company Like us, that is playing, I would say, in the ultra luxury space is such that we needed to make our car Always more and more emotional, always more and more unique in terms of performance, in terms of, let me say, Astonishing the sign and always setting in mind the sustainability. I think these are there are 3 wheels That must work in the same way, at the same speed. The driving emotion, the driving trails, the performance driven by engineering And the beauty of the car driven by design.

Speaker 2

These are the 3 wheels that we'll keep considering. And I think we already have an entry level that is Roma.

Speaker 14

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Operator

Dear speakers, there are no further questions for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to Benedetto Vina for any closing remarks.

Speaker 2

So thank you all for your time today and also for your very insightful question. Thanks a lot. The strong Q3 result And also the variability of the brand that we have been debating during this 1 hour are basically fueling our So thanks a lot again and I wish you a good afternoon or morning. Thank you so much.

Operator

That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now all disconnect. Have a nice day.

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Earnings Conference Call
Ferrari Q3 2023
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