Tapestry Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
November 9, 2023

There are 12 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good day, and welcome to this Tapestry Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. Later, you will have the opportunity to ask questions during the question and answer session. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I I'd like to turn the call over to the Global Head of Investor Relations, Christina Colon.

Speaker 1

Good morning. Thank you for joining us. With me today to discuss our Q1 results as well as our strategies and outlook are Joanne Krivicerat, Tapestry's Chief Executive Officer and Scott Rowe, Tapestry's Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer. Before we begin, we must point out that this conference All will involve certain forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. This includes projections for our business in the current or future quarters or fiscal years.

Speaker 1

Forward looking statements are not guarantees, and our actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward looking statements. Please refer to our annual report on Form 10 ks, in the press release we issued this morning and our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a complete list of risks and other important factors that could impact our future results and performance. Non GAAP financial measures are included in our comments today and in our presentation slides. For a full reconciliation to corresponding GAAP financial information, please visit our website, www.tapestry.com forward slash investors and then view the earnings release and the presentation posted today. Now, let me outline the speakers and topics for this conference call.

Speaker 1

Joanne will begin with highlights for Tapestry and our brands. Scott will continue with our financial results, capital allocation priorities and our outlook going forward. Following that, we will hold a question and answer session where we will be joined by Todd Kahn, CEO and Brand President of Coach. After Q and A, Joanne will conclude with brief closing remarks. I'd now like to turn

Speaker 2

the call over to Joanne Previserat, Tapestry's CEO. Good morning. Thank you, Christina, and welcome, everyone. As noted in our press release, we achieved record Q1 earnings per share as we meaningfully advanced our strategic priorities against the dynamic external backdrop. Our consistent progress demonstrates the power of brand building, customer centricity and disciplined execution, which enable us to fuel innovation and cultivate new and lasting relationships with consumers around the world.

Speaker 2

I want to thank our talented global teams for their passion and unwavering focus, which continue to drive about our strong and differentiated results. Touching on the strategic and financial highlights for the quarter. First, we powered global growth, achieving 2% constant currency revenue gains, consistent with our outlook and underscoring the benefits of our globally diversified business model. This top line growth was fueled by a 7% gain internationally, which included a 9% increase in Greater China, again surpassing our peak in FY 2021. In addition, our business with Chinese consumers globally rose low double digits, supported by improving tourist trends in Asia and Europe.

Speaker 2

Looking ahead, while the consumer environment in China continues to be volatile, we remain committed to investing behind our brands, leveraging Tapestry's established platform in the region to drive long term growth both in China and with this important consumer cohort worldwide. Turning to Japan, we drove continued momentum with revenue rising 12%. And in other Asia and Europe, Sales were relatively in line with the prior year. Finally, in North America, we delivered revenue roughly in line with last year consistent with our expectations. Despite the challenging consumer backdrop in the United States, we are driving a healthy business, underscored by significant gross and operating margin expansion compared to last year.

Speaker 2

2nd, we remain focused on building customer engagement across our brands, harnessing the power of our data rich platform. In the quarter, we acquired over 1,200,000 new customers in North America alone, of which roughly half were Gen Z and Millennials, as we advance our strategy to attract younger consumers to our brands. Importantly, we continue to see new customers transact at a higher AUR than the balance of our customer base. 3rd, we delivered unique and seamless omni channel experiences reinforcing the benefits of our operating model. We drove growth in direct to consumer sales on a constant currency basis, including a low single digit gain in brick and mortar sales, supported by our world class field organization and a store fleet that is proven and highly profitable.

Speaker 2

In addition, we maintained our strong positioning in digital, leveraging our established capabilities to connect with consumers across their purchase journey. While sales declined slightly, revenue still represented nearly 25% of sales, approximately 3 times pre pandemic levels. 4th, we fueled fashion innovation and product excellence, delivering compelling newness and value to customers around the world with success in new launches and branding elements outperforming expectations and fueling handbag AURs globally. At the same time, we delivered outsized top line gains in our small leather goods and lifestyle offerings, key to enhancing brand relevance and fueling customer lifetime value. Taken together, we generated record 1st quarter earnings per share, increasing at a high teens rate compared to the prior year, which we accomplished despite a volatile demand backdrop.

Speaker 2

Our strong and consistent results reinforce the power of our brands and strategies, amplified by the advantages and agility of our model. As we look forward, we remain laser focused and confident in our ability to drive sustainable profitable growth. Now turning to the highlights across each of our brands, starting with Coach. Our team continued to bring expressive luxury to life, building the brand through emotional consumer connections, innovation that encourages self expression and immersive omni channel experiences. These strategies are driving sustainable momentum and exceptional financial results, highlighted by 5% Constant currency revenue growth and 180 basis points of operating margin expansion, supported by strong gross margin gains.

Speaker 2

Touching on some details of the quarter. First, we fueled growth in our leather goods offering by leaning into our iconic platforms. We reinforced our key families, including Tabby, Willow and Rogue through a continued focus on core styles, while animating the icons to drive excitement. Tabby again outperformed expectations, nearly doubling versus last including a new size in our shoulder bag, which over index with the younger consumer as well as a braided option of our soft style. Overall, Tabby remains an important volume and recruitment driver for the brand and we see even further runway ahead.

Speaker 2

We also launched new silhouettes across a range of price points and sensibilities, including the Idol shoulder bag, which was a notable highlight in Greater China, where AUR was well ahead of the average. Overall, our creative and innovative Products supported a mid single digit gain in global handbag AUR at constant currency, including growth in North America. Importantly, we see continued runway for pricing improvements given our innovation pipeline and brand heat. 2nd, we delivered gains across lifestyle, an area of long term opportunity for the brand. We drove top line growth in ready to wear footwear and men's as we develop our core families with a goal of driving customer recruitment, purchase frequency and ultimately customer lifetime value.

Speaker 2

In ready to wear, we focused on our strategy of building a timeless assortment of key styles that represent a compelling value. This included the successful launch of our snap front leather jacket at a $6.95 price point as well as success in our evergreen trench coats. In footwear, the Leah Loafer remained a top seller and delivered significant growth. And in men's, we delivered out Size gains, driven by the performance of our Relay tote, which was again a top style, while the newly introduced spec family of Sporty and sophisticated options also delivered strong results. 3rd, we created purpose led storytelling directly tied to our product.

Speaker 2

We began the quarter with a debut of our 3rd purpose campaign, Wear Your Shine, which inspires consumers to express themselves authentically, using fashion as a means for personal expression and empowerment. The Shine collection includes metallic and sparkle bags, ready to wear and accessories, allowing customers to shine brightly. Our campaign featured new global ambassadors, including Dove Cameron and Young Ji Lee. We brought the campaign to life through experiences across the world with physical and digital activations from campus takeovers in the U. S.

Speaker 2

To a partnership with VoeWorld in Europe to pop up installments across Asia. Overall, the success of this campaign helped to support the acquisition of approximately 800,000 new customers in North America, including a growing number of millennials and Gen Z. 4th, we focused on deepening connections with consumers by further developing our customer insights capabilities to build stronger and longer term connections. In keeping with this strategic pillar, we launched a trial on Amazon in September. The platform provides broad consumer reach and plays a vital role in the customer's discovery and purchase journeys, specifically for younger cohorts.

Speaker 2

And finally, we built momentum in our sub brand Coachtopia, or reimagination of the product creation process to evolve our vision of circularity. We expanded our reach in North America while launching in Japan with additional international opportunities in the pipeline. We've also further innovated across the assortment, including our Coachtopia Loop collection, designed with a mono material approach, recycled PET plastic. While Coachtopia remains a small portion and answer session of the assortment we are very excited by the significant consumer attention, specifically with younger audiences. Looking ahead to holiday, We're continuing to focus on building stronger emotional connections with our consumer base, while prioritizing brand health, and we remain disciplined in our approach to discounting in an We're bringing our purpose to life, delivering an emotional narrative through our More Than A Gift holiday campaign, which celebrates the gifts that give us confidence to be ourselves.

Speaker 2

We're also leaning into the strength of our Shine campaign, layering on to the successful launch of our metallic series with a gold edition to capitalize on the holiday theme. In closing, Coach continues to deliver with a clear strategy, unique and authentic purpose and commitment to driving sustainable healthy growth through profit gains that fund brand building. We remain focused on fueling further momentum and are confident in the tremendous runway ahead for this iconic brand. Now moving to Kate Spade. During the quarter, top line performance improved sequentially amid a difficult demand backdrop.

Speaker 2

Importantly, we expanded gross margin and delivered another quarter of handbag AUR gains, which fueled increases in operating profit and margin. At the same time, we continue to invest in the brand and capabilities that underpin our long term ambition. We remain confident in our strategies and are agile as we focus on driving enhanced innovation and financial results. In the quarter, we advanced our strategic initiatives. First, we remain focused on building a compelling and innovative handbag offering.

Speaker 2

We launched the Dakota family in retail, which features new signature hardware. The bold and modern collection outperformed our expectations, resonating with younger consumers at an above average AUR. Based on Dakota's initial performance, we're excited to build momentum through marketing amplification and the introduction of new styles within the family. And an outlet we accelerated the introduction of Madison, a collection of reinvigorated Saffiano leather styles to build out the core offering. The family outperformed plan and over indexed with new and younger customers, while also driving an increase in customer reactivation, underscoring future opportunity.

Speaker 2

Having said that, performance in carryover families declined, reinforcing our strategic decision to move with urgency to accelerate the pace of newness to drive stronger customer engagement and financial results. Touching on novelty, which continued to bring heightened emotion into the brand and build out the world of Kate Spade. Our Martini collection embedded across our lifestyle categories resonated with our customer base, notably among our Overall, our product initiatives coupled with our use of data to deepen our understanding of consumer preferences supported mid single digit handbag AUR growth globally, demonstrating our commitment to brand building and fueling innovation. Next, we advanced our strategy to become more lifestyle with momentum in jewelry and footwear where we delivered double digit top line growth. Jewelry remained an important acquisition vehicle with outsized resonance among younger consumers, while footwear outperformed on strength in loafers and sneakers as we infuse Kate Spade's branding and codes into key styles.

Speaker 2

We know that customers who shop across categories are our Now touching on marketing, we delivered campaigns that express the world of Kate Spade with a direct link to our product offering. In the quarter, we evolved our New York Fashion Week presentation to further engage the broader community, including our Creators' Loft, a 3 day pop up designed to support up and coming Gen Z creators. Further, in keeping with our brand values, we hosted the Global Summit on Women's Mental Health and Empowerment in partnership with Pinterest, which brought together leaders from Kate Spade's Social Impact Council and key industry partners to encourage conversation, education and research around this important cause. These campaigns and engagements, alongside our compelling product drove an improvement in brand consideration in the U. S.

Speaker 2

Compared to last year, which included notable increase among young female millennials per YouGov. At the same time, our efforts help to support the recruitment of over 400,000 new customers in North America alone. Next, consistent with our priority of becoming more global, we invested in brand activations across international markets to drive awareness, a key opportunity. As such, we launched experiential events supporting the introduction of Dakota, including a playful giant Dakota bag in Japan, a travelling bus serving matcha across Singapore and branded taxis featuring our iconic green dots and stripes in the UK. These activations successfully introduce new and younger customers to our brand.

Speaker 2

Finally, we remain focused on the omni channel opportunities for the brand. In October, we launched a dedicated katespadeoutlet.com site, replacing the brand Surprise site in order to provide a more cohesive way for outlet consumers to discover and shop the brand online. Importantly, the seamless launch of the site enables us to offer our customers for the upcoming holiday shopping season. We will lean into Kate Spade's unique positioning as a brand that embodies joy and celebration. We're launching distinctive newness in core platforms across channels.

Speaker 2

In retail, we will expand the Dakota family, building on our recent success. And outlet, we will animate the Madison collection with the introduction of a mini duffle. We're also excited to launch our designed to drive differentiation and customer engagement. In marketing, we will focus on storytelling, highlighting Kate Spade's optimistic and playful spirit, true to the brand and the holiday season. In addition, we are launching physical activations of our brand codes globally while delivering content that reinforces our product strategies.

Speaker 2

Overall, we're making important progress at Kate Spade, executing with intention and agility to forge strong emotional bonds with consumers, while at the same time driving enhanced profitability. Our go forward strategy is clear and we are well positioned to successfully navigate the dynamic environment in the near term, while delivering on our long term ambition for the brand. Turning to Stuart Weitzman. Results in the quarter were pressured against the volatile external backdrop. Specifically, top line trends reflected a continued reduction in off price wholesale shipments as well as a slower than anticipated recovery in China.

Speaker 2

That said, we achieved positive wholesale trends at POS and expanded gross margin. While we are unsatisfied with the brand's performance, We are focused on prioritizing brand health and delivering innovation for consumers. Touching on key elements of the brand's strategic growth pillars. 1st, during the quarter, we curated a relevant offering of emotional products. Our core collection of boots and booties drove outsized recruitment of younger customers, while at the same time driving lapsed customer reactivation.

Speaker 2

Our expanded fifty-fifty family out Performed expectations as we introduce modern takes on the iconic boot, including new colorways backed by our fall campaign, which I'll touch on in a moment. Further, we continued to build out the brand's offering, notably with more seasonless casual styles and keeping with evolving consumer preferences. To this end, loafers as well as our assortment of on trend ballet style flats resonated with consumers, highlighting potential in these relatively underpenetrated categories. In just this month, we launched a new sneaker campaign, featuring an extensive range of innovative designs engineered to combine fashion and function, a hallmark of the brand. At the same time, our handbag collection, while still a small portion of the assortment, drove engagement with both new and existing clients at high AUR.

Speaker 2

Next, we leveraged new marketing tactics to fuel brand heat and consideration. In September, we launched the Invincibly iconic fall campaign and answer session. We've employed a multi pronged approach to our marketing, including utilizing an array of influencers to organically engage with consumers from Hee Kong to Kim Kardashian to Sofia Richie Grange. For holiday. We will continue to drive engagement through this campaign, celebrating the brand's heritage and capitalizing on on its strength in boots and booties during the peak season.

Speaker 2

Overall, while the brand has seen continued pressure from external conditions in its core markets, The Stuart Weitzman team is focused on executing against the brand's strategic priorities, building a stronger foundation with relevant assortments and new categories to deepen consumer engagement and improve profitability over the long term. In closing, we have meaningfully advanced our strategic agenda, remaining focused on powering our iconic brands to move at the speed of the consumer in an ever changing environment. As a result, we are in a position of strength with meaningful runway for sustainable growth. Through a relentless drive to fuel brand magic and deliver for our customers. We are confident in our ability to achieve organic top and bottom line gains.

Speaker 2

Further, through the planned acquisition of Capri Holdings, we see a significant opportunity to accelerate our strategies, while driving accretion to our strong standalone financial plan. Importantly, this combination establishes a new powerful global house of luxury and fashion brands that expands our portfolio reach across consumer segments, geographies and product categories. By bringing together 6 iconic brands with heritage in design and craftsmanship and leveraging our modern consumer engagement platform, We will drive greater innovation, consumer connectivity and cultural relevance, creating superior value for our consumers, employees, communities and shareholders around the world. We are making progress towards closing the transaction and look forward to sharing more detailed strategies in the future at the appropriate time. With that, I'll turn it over to Scott, who will discuss our financial results, capital priorities and fiscal 'twenty four outlook.

Speaker 2

Scott?

Speaker 3

Thanks, Joanne, and good morning, everyone. Our results continue to demonstrate the benefits of our business model as well as our financial discipline and agility. In the Q1, we drove growth across revenue, operating income and earnings despite the volatile backdrop. Moving to the details of the quarter, beginning with revenue trends on a constant currency basis. Sales increased roughly 2% compared to the prior year when excluding 130 basis point FX headwind.

Speaker 3

Our results were again fueled by international, which grew 7%. In Greater China, revenue rose 9% and represented growth against our prior peak levels in 2021. At the same time, we've continued to see an uptick in travel spend from Mainland China tourists with notable increases in Japan, Hong Kong, Macau, Southeast Asia and to a lesser extent Europe. While these trends have been encouraging, sales to Chinese tourists globally remain below pre pandemic levels, representing further opportunity ahead. In Japan, we drove continued momentum with sales growth of 12% aided by increases with tourists.

Speaker 3

And in other Asia, revenue was roughly flat to last year as the region lapped last year's growth of over 100%. In Europe, revenue was 1% below last year, largely in line with plan. And in North America, Sales were roughly flat to last year as expected. Despite the continued difficult backdrop in the region, we delivered gross and operating margin expansion, underscoring our commitment to brand health and not chasing sales. Now touching on revenue by channel for the quarter.

Speaker 3

Our direct to consumer business grew 1%, fueled by low single digit gain in stores. And in wholesale, revenue was 4% ahead of prior year, reflecting growth in our full price accounts, mostly from Coach's trial on Amazon, partially offset by a strategic reduction in off price shipments and broader wholesale market pressure in North America. Moving down the P and L, we delivered our strongest first quarter gross margin in a decade, which was ahead of our projection and 2 50 basis points above last year. This year over year expansion included 150 basis points favorable freight expense as well as operational outperformance fueled by net pricing improvements. SG and A rose 3%, favorable to our forecast on both a dollar and rate basis, reflecting operational savings.

Speaker 3

We continue to utilize these savings to reinvest in the business through high return initiatives, notably platform investments and brand building activities to drive long term growth. Taken together, operating margin and operating income were ahead of the prior year and our expectations. And our record Q1 EPS of $0.93 was ahead of our guidance and represented growth of 18%. Moving to the balance sheet and cash flows, we ended the quarter with $639,000,000 in cash and investments and total borrowings of $1,650,000,000 Free cash flow was an inflow of $54,000,000 including CapEx and implementation costs related to cloud computing of $29,000,000 Inventory levels at quarter end were 17% below prior year, reflecting our focus on disciplined inventory management as well as a lower level of in given the normalization and lead times. Heading into the important holiday season, we're pleased with the makeup of our inventory and are well positioned globally.

Speaker 3

Turning to our dividend program, our Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.35 per common share, representing $80,000,000 in dividend payments for the quarter. For the fiscal year, we continue to expect to return approximately $325,000,000 to shareholders through the dividend for an annual rate of $1.40 per share, a 17% increase compared to last year. As a reminder, given the acquisition of Capri Holdings, we've made the strategic decision to suspend share repurchase activity. Now moving to our guidance for fiscal 2024, which is provided on a non GAAP basis and does not include any potential impact from the planned acquisition of CapRe. We are maintaining our earnings and operating cash flow outlook for the fiscal year despite forecasting a more moderate rate of sales growth and have reduced our top line guidance by approximately $175,000,000 This includes roughly $100,000,000 of FX pressure on a year over year basis and approximately $75,000,000 related to a more cautious outlook in Asia and North America given the difficult demand backdrop.

Speaker 3

Despite these pressures, we are able to reiterate our fiscal 2024 EPS expectations Moving into the fiscal year in further detail, we expect revenue of approximately $6,700,000,000 representing a slight increase versus the prior year on a reported basis. Excluding an FX headwind of roughly 150 basis points, we anticipate constant currency sales growth of 2% to 3%. Turning to sales details by region at constant currency. In North America, we anticipate revenue to be in line with to slightly above last year. This forecast reflects our commitment to maintaining promotional discipline and higher margins as we manage our brands and business for the long term.

Speaker 3

In Greater China, our outlook contemplates mid single digit growth led by gains in the first half as we lap last year's COVID related headwinds. In Japan, we expect to grow mid single digits, while other Asia is forecasted to increase at a low double digit rate. And in Europe, we anticipate high single digit growth. In addition, our outlook assumes operating margin expansion of over 70 basis points. We anticipate gross margin gains to drive this increase, which includes a benefit from moderating freight costs.

Speaker 3

On SG and A expenses, we anticipate slight deleverage for the year, reflecting continued investments in growth driving initiatives across the portfolio. In light of the current environment, we're continuing to monitor our cost base and take proactive actions where needed. Moving to below the line expectations for the year, net interest expense is anticipated to be approximately $20,000,000 The tax rate is expected to be approximately 20% and our weighted average diluted share count is forecasted to be in the area of 235 1,000,000 shares. So taken together, we continue to project EPS of $4.10 to $4.15 representing 6% to 7% growth versus last year. And finally, before contemplating any deal related costs, We still anticipate free cash flow of approximately $1,100,000,000 This includes the expectation for CapEx and cloud computing costs to be in the area of $200,000,000 We expect roughly half to be related to store openings, renovations and relocations, mostly in Asia.

Speaker 3

The balance of spend is primarily related to our ongoing digital and IT investments. Now let me take you through the shaping of the year. We expect relatively balanced constant currency top line and operating income growth between the first and second half of the year. Our operating margin expansion in the first half is fueled by gross margin gains, while SG and A growth is expected to moderate in the second half based on the pace of investments. We continue to forecast EPS growth to be front half weighted, primarily due to the phasing of our share count and tax rate assumptions.

Speaker 3

Looking at the 2nd quarter specifically, we expect revenue growth of approximately 2% on a constant currency basis, which excludes roughly 60 basis points of FX pressure. And we anticipate 2nd quarter EPS to be in the area of $1.45 representing 6% to 8% growth over the prior year. Now to outline our capital allocation priorities looking forward, which are unchanged. First, we will invest in our brands and businesses to support sustainable growth. 2nd, we will utilize our strong free cash flow for rapid debt repayment.

Speaker 3

We are committed to maintaining a solid investment grade rating. To this end, we initiated a long term leverage target of less than 2.5 times on a gross debt to adjusted EBITDA basis and expect to achieve that within 2 years of the Capri transaction close. Finally, we will return capital to shareholders through our dividend. Importantly, we believe our strong cash flow profile provides us with further opportunity for investment and capital return. Following the achievement of our leverage target.

Speaker 3

Over time, we expect to increase our dividend with the goal of achieving our stated payout ratio of 35% to 40% and see the opportunity to resume share repurchases in the future. Before closing, I wanted to touch more holistically on the planned acquisition of Capri. We believe the acquisition will drive significant value creation with immediate accretion to adjusted earnings, enhanced cash flow and strong financial returns underpinned by a compelling industrial logic that's consistent with our commitment to being disciplined financial operators. It's important to highlight that we still expect CapRe to generate double digit EPS accretion on an adjusted basis and compelling ROIC. Embedded in these expectations is the assumption that the standalone CapRe business will generate free cash flow in the area of $500,000,000 on a non GAAP unsynergized basis.

Speaker 3

Importantly, we're making progress towards transaction close. First, the shareholders of Capri Holdings Limited approved the transaction last month satisfying one of the conditions to close. 2nd, we're working towards receiving all required regulatory approvals, including responding to the FTC's second request. We remain confident in our ability to complete the transaction with a close anticipated in calendar 2024 consistent with our prior outlook. 3rd, we expect to fund the purchase through a combination of permanent financing, term loans, excess Tapestry cash and expected future cash flow, a portion of which will be used to pay certain of CapRe's existing outstanding debt.

Speaker 3

Our financing strategy will support rapid debt pay down with prepayable debt in order to achieve our stated leverage target within 24 months post close given the combined company's strong cash flow generation. And finally, our integration planning efforts are moving forward as planned, and we continue to project run rate cost synergies of more than $200,000,000 achieved within 3 years of the close. Overall, we remain excited by the opportunity to expand our house of powerful brands, increasing our position in growing and durable categories with enhanced cash flow to invest in brand building while funding debt pay down. This combination is transformational and we are confident in our ability to execute positioning Tapestry as a leader in innovation, talent development and shareholder return for years to come. In closing, for the quarter, we delivered revenue growth, Strong margin expansion and a high teens EPS increase despite a rapidly shifting backdrop.

Speaker 3

Our differentiated and Consistent performance demonstrates the strength of our brands and our business model and the disciplined execution of our talented global teams. We remain focused on delivering against our long term priorities, driving sustainable profitable growth, strong free cash flow and shareholder returns. I'd now like to open it up for your questions.

Operator

We'll take our first question from Bob Drbul of Guggenheim Securities.

Speaker 4

Hi, good morning and congratulations on a nice quarter. Can you talk a little bit more around your confidence of the continued momentum at Tapestry and I think particularly to coach Brandt.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Bob, and good morning. First, I want to recognize that we delivered growth consistently in a volatile environment, which I think speaks to the operating discipline that we've been showing now for over 3 years. Our focus Is on maintaining brand health, expanding gross margins and delivering against our earnings commitments. And we continue to drive strong and consistent free and cash flow against the dynamic backdrop. And to your point at Coach, the brand is strong and we're driving continued momentum behind the brand.

Speaker 2

We're delivering sales growth and margin improvement on top of already strong margins, and we see significant runway ahead. Our team isn't thinking to next this quarter and for the fiscal year, which we're confident in. We're thinking 10 years out for the Coach brand. And I think it speaks to the innovation that they're delivering, the relevance and the differentiation we're building in the market. The operational excellence this team is building a reputation for, They're executing with agility, really taking the data that we have and consumer insights, and that's fueling the brand magic that Stewart Beavers and our creative teams are delivering.

Speaker 2

So we are confident into holiday and beyond.

Speaker 4

Great. Just have a follow-up. Can you share just, I guess, an updated thinking around the deal? Any Sort of more on the updates that you could actually tell us about.

Speaker 2

Sure. Thanks, Bob. We continue to see this as a great acquisition. It is really transformational for our business and for our industry. We are adding truly iconic brands to our platform and it's extending our reach across customer segments, across geographies and product categories.

Speaker 2

And I can't think of a better home for these brands. Tapestry's platform and our disciplined operations will unlock significant value across The broader portfolio and we are making progress as we expected towards the calendar year 'twenty four close. That's really unchanged from our prior outlook. In the meantime, integration planning efforts, they're in full swing. We continue to make progress in integration planning, and we remain really excited about this transaction.

Speaker 2

We're confident in the strategic and the financial rationale and the targets we've outlined. But importantly, as you can see from our performance, we are laser focused on our existing brands and our business, and we remain confident in the runway ahead.

Speaker 4

Great. Thank you very much. Good luck.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Bob.

Operator

Our next question is from Ike Boruchow of Wells Fargo, your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hey, good morning, everyone. So for Joanne or Scott, I wanted to ask about North America. So the guide for the year didn't really move that much. It was up slightly, I think, before. Now it's kind of more in line was in line with plan for Q1.

Speaker 5

I guess specifically embedded in that Q2 guide, what are you guys expecting for North America? Would be great to know Coach specifically in North America. And then it just seems like you guys are expecting kind of more stability in the I guess, I'm just the shaping of how you're thinking about that geography relative to your guide would be very helpful.

Speaker 2

Yes. Let me start and then maybe kick it to Scott to give you some more color on our guide. But what I will say, Ike, is that Our outlook for the year was incredibly balanced and we think prudent when we started. We weren't looking for A big inflection one way or the other as we started the year, we were seeing the trends in the consumer environment unfold and we positioned our business well against those trends. As we've come into the year, we are seeing those trends develop a little differently and we've reflected that in our outlook.

Speaker 2

But we are still very confident in terms of how we've positioned the business, positioned our inventories and positioned our innovation to speak to consumers in the world and the dynamic backdrop that exists today. But I'll toss it to Scott to give you a little more color on the numbers.

Speaker 6

Yes, I think that pretty much covers it. Honestly, the trends that we see are What we projected forward as Joanne just said, I would just point out a couple of things. The continued gross margin strength in addition while we see the demand backdrop is a little uncertain. We continue to operate the business for the quality of the sales, not chasing the last sale. You see that in the Gross margin performance in the Q1 with over 100 basis points from operational gross Margin that continues into the second quarter and into the second half of the year, which is one of the reasons that we can reaffirm our profit guidance even with a modest decline in the top line, which really just reflects the current trends that we're seeing in the business today.

Speaker 5

Got it. And those regional growth rates you gave for the year for guide, Scott, those are all constant currency?

Speaker 6

Yes, that's right. That's right. Yes, we took about $100,000,000 out of FX, as you saw that's predominantly in the yen and RMB is where we see the biggest impact there that $100,000,000 Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Lorraine Hutchinson of Bank of America.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to shift gears to Kate Spade. It seems like when you're launching newness, It's working. It's well received.

Speaker 2

Do you think you have sufficient newness coming through the pipeline to turn sales positive this year? And then separately, any update on Kate's progress in building out their China business? Yes, it's a great observation, Lorraine, and it's exactly right. We are making progress, but we clearly have more to do and We're really challenging ourselves on how we can move faster. As you pointed out, as we deliver newness, it is working and innovation and the business continues to the customers continue to respond to the innovation we're delivering.

Speaker 2

And we just need to move faster and we're working with speed. What we saw in the quarter was a sequential improvement in the trend, and we did that as we Healthy way and we drive our growth in a healthy way. We delivered higher income, operating income year over year. So we are making progress. We do see opportunity as we continue to focus on strengthening that core handbag foundation.

Speaker 2

And when I talk about moving with speed, we've Hold up our launches, we talked about accelerating Madison and Outfit last quarter, and that gaining traction. We also talked about pulling up and delivering a new signature platform and outlet this quarter, and we're excited about the potential that that represents a Signature platform for the brand and we do expect that to as we build this core handbag foundation to help us drive Positive growth, again on the top line, but again, we're maintaining healthy brands. We drove mid single digit handbag AUR in the quarter, and we continue to see opportunity to take those AURs higher as we build out our growth plans. So there's a lot going on at Kate Spade. We're making progress as well in building our business in China, we're doing that thoughtfully and making sure we're investing behind the brand to build awareness.

Speaker 2

At the same time, we're rolling out a new store format. We see that resonating with consumers as well as our lifestyle categories, including jewelry, which is incredibly strong in China. So we have a lot of runway ahead at Kate, in our current markets, but as well as in China.

Speaker 1

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Matthew Boss of JPMorgan.

Speaker 7

Great. Thanks. So Joanne, on pricing power at the Coach brand, could you elaborate on drivers of the mid single digit AUR expansion in the Q1 and then initiatives in place that support the further pricing opportunities ahead that you cited despite the more dynamic backdrop that you've embedded in the forecast. And then Scott, just help us to think about cadence of gross margin through the balance of the year or just any specific puts and takes that you'd want us to consider.

Speaker 2

Yes. I'd love to go into the details of the Coach brand, but I fear that I'd steal Todd's thunder. So why don't Todd, I'd push it to you and We're delighted with what we're seeing at Coach. Todd?

Speaker 8

Thank you, Joanne. Yes, I mean, as you've noticed over the 3 years, we've increased our AURs by more than 30%, and I am very confident that we will continue to to see AUR growth. And what gives me this confidence is what we have been doing now for a couple of years and it's compounding Our innovation, our storytelling, our laser focus on the consumer we're going after, that gives us so much confidence in what we're doing. And what I love and what is so important about our category, Yes, there's choppy environments out there, but we sell an emotional category. And given that emotion and given that our we're resonating with our customer, coupled with the fact that as we've talked about in the past, there's so much white space today between where our brand and where traditional European luxury sit.

Speaker 8

So even in challenging times, we have so much room. And our room is in twofold. 1, it's raising the bottom, but it's also touching the top. Joanne mentioned in our prepared remarks the idle bag. The idle bag is a phenomenal bag.

Speaker 8

I was in Asia very few weeks ago and We're chasing inventory for the idle bag. We're chasing inventory for TAPI. Those are great opportunities, but we're so disciplined in our approach that I would rather be in a chase mode, maintain our gross margin, and continue to deliver. And and that's what you're going to see us do for the balance of the year and the years to come.

Speaker 6

Yes. And Matt, just to speak to your question on gross margin cadence. First of all, what a strong Q1, we had right at 2.50, strongest gross margin expansion that we've seen. And while yes, it's Sure that 150 basis points of that was freight, 100 of it was operational, which is all the things that Todd just talked about, right? Our continued investment in the brand focus on engagement versus just the pricing message, the innovation that's coming down the pipeline, All those things combined are giving us pricing power.

Speaker 6

And when you look at the full year, we said that our freight Tailwinds would moderate in the second half. They don't go to 0, but it's 150 basis points. It's very significant in the first half and it will be similar in the second quarter and then waning in the second half. But importantly, our gross margin for the entire year, including the back half, remains very Strong because of that operational gross margin performance that we just talked about. I mean, we're up in the 150 basis points kind of range for the full year.

Speaker 6

So I don't want the freight to become the message. The message is operational discipline, continuing to reinvest in the brands focused on quality of sales and engagement is driving gross margin and that's what's really holding this guide together for the full year where even on a little bit moderated top line, we're able to hold our profitability guidance. That coupled with the expense Control that we talked about. We'll start to see expense leverage in the second half, which combined with the gross margin is what allows us to hold that profitability forecast. Balance first half, second half op income, really why EPS is front weighted is more about the shares and tax cadence as we stop the repurchase, which is going to benefit us less in the second half.

Operator

Our next question is from Michael Binetti of Evercore ISI.

Speaker 9

Hey Congrats on a nice quarter. Thanks for taking our question here. I just want to clarify one thing you just said to Matt's question there, Scott. You said that we're up 150 basis point Range for the year, was that referring to the total gross margin or the underlying operational portion of the gross margin that you and Todd spoke with?

Speaker 6

Yes. First of all, welcome back, Michael. And secondly, yes, you had it right. It was the total gross margin for the year For implied in the guide. We didn't actually guide to your gross margin, we did op margin, but that's how you get there.

Speaker 9

Understood. I guess then maybe we could speak to the I know I asked about this

Speaker 7

a little bit, but

Speaker 9

what you're embedding in the trajectory for Coach China sales 2Q in the second half within the I know you gave us the year. And then Joanne, you're about to own a huge share of the aspirational handbag market globally. I know you don't have the Capri brands in house yet, but I know you studied them a lot. And And as you look ahead and as the acquisition comes forward here and we start to sink in, what are some of the most attractive things you see as opportunities to drive the category in the global marketplace with all 3 of these big brands on the handbag side in house that some of the opportunities that are incremental to what you think you can do today.

Speaker 2

Well, I think first, let me just say that, we play in a very large market, right? This market is $200,000,000,000 Accessories, footwear and apparel. And it is a fragmented market. And I've been in this business for More years than I'd like to probably admit on the call. And over time, in a world where consumers can get pretty much anything they want, anywhere they want, anytime they want.

Speaker 2

What matters are brands. Brands matter in this marketplace and brands matter with consumers and what consumers value has changed over time and how they shop has changed over time. And I think what we've done in the last three years is really positioned our business, to be able to speak to consumers to win in a marketplace, where brands matter and we need to reach consumers in a different way. So we've built the capabilities and the platform to be able to do that and we've invested behind our brands. Coach is a great example of the Power of the platform where we've gotten laser focused on our brand positioning and clarified it.

Speaker 2

We've gotten laser focused on our target consumer and we're reaching the consumer in an omnichannel way. We're talking to them about things that matter to them and how our brands show up in their life, and that is the brand heat that is driving the Coach momentum, and the team is executing really well behind that and we're delivering really great product, leveraging all the insights from the data that we have and bringing that balance of magic and logic together to deliver really compelling products and experiences in the marketplace. And that is the platform that's scalable. We can leverage that across more brands. So we're excited for the Capri transaction to close.

Speaker 2

Again, these are truly iconic brands. These are brands that already matter in the marketplace today, and we believe that we can improve the execution behind these Brands and really take them to another level and reach consumers in a big marketplace, a crowded market

Speaker 6

And I'll just chip in real quick, Michael, on your China question. I think you asked about Coach China, our China business in total of which obviously Coach is the driver. We grew 9 In the Q1, we expect mid single digit for the full year, which would have us about flattish in the second half. We still think we'll be above 2021 levels or slightly above 2021 levels for the full year, but that's really reflecting the trends that we're seeing on the ground right now.

Speaker 9

Okay, very helpful. Thanks, Scott, and Congrats again, guys.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Mark Altschwager with Baird.

Speaker 10

Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. I guess first for Scott, just a question regarding the transaction. Any changes to how you're thinking about initial revenue and EBITDA contribution from Capri Holdings, timing, magnitude of accretion in light of the evolving macro environment. And also curious if you'd be willing to share any expectations you have for interest rates on the deal financing?

Speaker 6

So as you can appreciate, Mark, what I can say is very limited at this point given where we're at. I'll just reiterate what we said at Our expectations for CapRe were that in our planning horizon, which is the 1st 3 years, We expected modest growth, kind of low single digits with it being down in the 1st year of this year, with the most pressure in Michael Kors. Based on our assumptions we saw and we're confident in strong accretion, immediate double digit accretion, strong returns, etcetera. So we can't really update what we've said publicly at this going on out there. There's been some upward pressure, some moderation more recently.

Speaker 6

But a couple of things I'll remind you of. Well, I can't give you any specific numbers. We did put some hedges in place on the Free rate, so the treasury rate, which mitigate whatever movement that you might see, and we're still confident in the overall economics of the deal. More to come on financing as time goes on.

Speaker 10

Okay. Thank you. Maybe switching gears, I guess first for Scott or Joanne. The execution on gross margin really putting you in a healthy position to be able to invest. How are you thinking about the between letting the gross margin flow to the bottom line versus maybe investing more aggressively in marketing to drive the top line in a tougher consumer backdrop?

Speaker 10

Thank you.

Speaker 2

I'll start by saying we're doing both. We are managing the business with strong gross margin because we won't compromise brand health. We see tremendous long term runway for our brands and we're thinking longer Do it this quarter, last year and we'll continue to do that. We did it across all of our brands. And we're continuing to invest And brand building because that is the dynamic that creates the flywheel, right?

Speaker 2

As we continue to drive Gross margin and expand gross margin. We're leveraging that margin expansion to invest in brand building, which then helps drive top line, creates the brand heat, that creates the flywheel. So, we're doing both, but we are protecting brand health. We're not going to chase every last sale. And we've been navigating what I would call a dynamic environment, but also A highly promotional environment for a while, and you've seen us operate with discipline.

Speaker 2

It includes not only just the desire and will to have disciplined pricing, but it includes the data and analytics that support our SKU, breadth and assortment. It includes the inventory management discipline that we've built over the last few years to make sure we've got Inventory well positioned that we're responding to demand signals when we see them and connecting the back end of our supply chain to our front end demand There's a lot of process and system and people in place that support our ability to continue to maintain Gross margin and then also we're looking to continue to invest in our brands.

Speaker 6

Yes, maybe just a quick build, Mark. A lot of times a question that we get is where do you see the evidence of the platforms that you've built your data and analytics capabilities, where is the evidence in the P and L? I would say in 2 areas. Number 1, the ability to Understand the trends in our business and the fact that we're a data business and we use that data has helped us moderate Our spending and that's why you're going to see leverage in light of a lighter demand environment in the second half. And then secondly, it's We don't guess on those decisions that Joanne just mentioned.

Speaker 6

We're very thoughtful and looking at the returns as We make these investments. We don't just say we're going to invest more in our brands. We're looking at those returns. We're leaning in where they work. We're leaning back where they don't.

Speaker 6

And that discipline is helping us to, I think, have a high quality P and L in a very tough environment right now. And the last proof point is our inventory, right, down 17%. Most of that's in transit, but the Combination of strong gross margins and really well positioned inventory, I think is just testament of the insights that we're getting into the business and the discipline that you see.

Operator

Our next question is from Brooke Roach with Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 11

Good morning and thank you for taking our question. Can you elaborate on what you're seeing with consumer engagement in North America by brand across outlet versus full line and also household income cohort. What changes have you seen in the consumer environment that are developing differently than your prior outlook? Are you seeing any signs of increased price sensitivity among consumers in North America?

Speaker 2

Great question, Brook. North America is we're operating in a more challenging environment. Having said that, as we came into the quarter. But to your question, the aspirational consumer, that lower income cohort across I would say this is across channels. We're not seeing a major distinction between our channels.

Speaker 2

Across channels, The aspirational consumer is under more pressure on a relative basis. They're being more choiceful. But again, that hasn't materially changed from Q4. As a business, we're focused On the controllables, we're focused as we just talked about on brand building, delivering product excellence. To Lorraine's question, When we deliver innovation and newness, we see the consumer respond, and we're focused on strong execution.

Speaker 2

So we're delivering that Newness, we're delivering that innovation across our brands. You saw it with the Coach Shine campaign and the Coachtopia rollout, the icons at Kate that we're rolling out and even the launch of sneakers at Stuart Weitzman really responding with innovation to what we're hearing and seeing from Consumer and we're managing the business in a healthy way. We'll continue to expand AUR and gross margin. I'm sorry, go ahead, Todd.

Speaker 8

No, no, sorry. I'd just Quickly add, Brooke, I mean, globally, we our direct business was up, North America was up. And we feel Good, because again, it goes back to the emotion and the connection we're making with the consumer. And by way of example, Even in our value channel, we're introducing more tabby bags directly at full price because it's just a point of distribution. And we're seeing that in North America resonate and we're going to roll that out over time to more and more doors.

Speaker 8

So It's very interesting. We're finding sometimes, even the young cohort might come into the Coach brand buying a wristlet. That might be the first thing they buy. They might even buy it at one of our value channels. Then they end up buying a tabby back.

Speaker 8

So this concept of 1 Coach of this desirability that we're creating that people are coming in into an outlet store with an Image of the Coach Tabby bag and wanting that. That to me creates so much more desire across all value channels and full price channels.

Speaker 11

Great. Thank you. And if I could just ask one quick follow-up. I'm curious what you think the health of the industry looks like in North America between wholesale and DTC. Understood that you currently don't have much wholesale exposure, but the Capri portfolio does.

Speaker 11

And I'm curious what your thoughts are about the ongoing run rate momentum of those 2 channels as you look ahead?

Speaker 2

Well, we have I think in North America and the market generally more pressure in the wholesale channel over the last year. That's not something new. To your point, our business is roughly 90% direct, and we like that direct relationship that we have with the consumer. It allows us to understand and see trends faster as they're happening. There is A reason to have wholesale.

Speaker 2

I think they're wholesale and we appreciate the partners that we have in the wholesale market that provide exposure of the brands to a broader base of consumers. But again, we like the direct relationship that we have with our Consumers we've worked to build our platform to be able to reach consumers as their shopping habits evolve. And our focus is really following the consumer. And I would say, we see an opportunity to build the direct business, with the Capri brands. That's something that our platform we'll provide and we see runway ahead.

Speaker 8

And the one thing I will add, Again, as Joanne said, we love our direct business, we love our wholesale partners that we're in. I'm looking forward to the opportunities that may come to enhance wholesale in a selective way when we take, we have the leverage of multiple brands. So I think that's going to be a benefit to the consumer and a benefit to our wholesale partners.

Operator

And we'll take our final question from Oliver Chen with TD Cowen.

Speaker 7

Hi, thank you very much. A lot of premium luxury brands are not on Amazon. Just what was your philosophy for that? And Amazon can also and employee variable pricing and things about brands differently. Also the sales decline in digital, just what's underpinning that?

Speaker 7

We've seen Tougher performance marketing online. And then lastly, on thinking about the second request, on diversion ratios, suitability as well as the outlet channel. Those may be topics in focus. Any thoughts on Catalyst around the second would be helpful as well. Thank you.

Speaker 8

I guess you have the question for every one of

Speaker 2

Yes. Go ahead, Todd. I'll let you kick it off.

Speaker 8

I'll do the Amazon one. Yes.

Speaker 2

I'll pick up digital. Yes.

Speaker 8

Okay. Thank you. Oliver, it's interesting. We did a lot of due diligence on Amazon and We talk a lot at the Coach brand about being consumer upset. And through that due diligence and Through this trial that we've launched with Amazon, we recognize, particularly with the young consumer that The journey, the discovery, particularly of fashion brands in our category, starts at Amazon.

Speaker 8

And we've been on Amazon. And one of the things that I love with this trial that we're working with Amazon is We opened up a beautiful brand enhancing shop on Amazon. We're learning. We're using their technology. Their 3 d technology alone is fascinating in terms of showing the functionality and the desirability of our product.

Speaker 8

They've been a very good partner. It's a wholesale relationship. And to date, we've seen no cannibalization. So again, when you put things through a consumer lens and say, how does the consumer see a brand? How do you create desirability?

Speaker 8

How do you create accessibility? This looks like a pretty Great start for us and we're happy with the performance we've seen.

Speaker 2

Thanks. And on digital, Oliver, I'll take the next two Parts of your question on digital, our focus is on driving engagement with the consumer and meeting them where they are. And we still believe that digital is an important part of the consumer journey. In the quarter, we saw slight declines in digital, but our penetration in digital remains basically in line with where it was last year at 25%, still triple where it was pre pandemic. So we've built this digital scale and the digital business and we're available to customers to transact absolutely online, but they're leveraging our digital channel for more than just the transaction and we believe It's important to maintain those capabilities and we'll follow the consumer.

Speaker 2

We're happy to meet consumers in stores. We have great field team And we have a highly profitable store fleet and we have a highly profitable digital channel. So we're agnostic as to where they shop and we're available to meet them and we continue to improve the experience in our digital, in the digital space to make sure that Consumers receive a seamless experience and a really great brand experience that it becomes and continues to be a great touch point for the brand if they're just Discovering and choose to go into the store to finalize that transaction. We want to be there for them and we continue to improve our game in digital. We see it as critically important moving forward.

Speaker 2

And then on the regulatory front, We are working to receive all the required regulatory approvals, including and that includes, as you saw, responding to the FTC second request. Our outlook for closing the deal is unchanged. We still expect to close the deal in fiscal 2024. And as you know, we operate in a large market, as I talked about, it's the $200,000,000,000 market is fragmented. There are low barriers to entry and the transaction is pro consumer.

Speaker 2

So we remain and in our ability to complete the transaction, again, closing expected in calendar 2024 consistent with our prior expectations.

Operator

Thank you. That concludes our question and answer session. I will now turn it over to Joanne for some concluding remarks.

Speaker 2

Well, thank you for joining us today and for your interest in our story and thank you to our passionate teams around the world that make these results happen. Our strong and consistent results reinforce the power of our brands, our strategies and our agile operating model, which enable us to continue to deliver for our customers against the dynamic backdrop. Moving forward, I'm confident in our organic runway and look forward to accelerating our

Operator

This concludes Tapestry's earnings conference call. We thank you for your participation.

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Earnings Conference Call
Tapestry Q1 2024
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