NYSE:NAPA Duckhorn Portfolio Q1 2024 Earnings Report Earnings HistoryForecast Duckhorn Portfolio EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.14Consensus EPS $0.14Beat/MissMet ExpectationsOne Year Ago EPSN/ADuckhorn Portfolio Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$102.51 millionExpected Revenue$102.63 millionBeat/MissMissed by -$120.00 thousandYoY Revenue GrowthN/ADuckhorn Portfolio Announcement DetailsQuarterQ1 2024Date12/6/2023TimeN/AConference Call DateWednesday, December 6, 2023Conference Call Time4:30PM ETConference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfilePowered by Duckhorn Portfolio Q1 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrDecember 6, 2023 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 9 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining today's Dughorn Portfolio Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Tia, and I will be your moderator for today's call. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. I would now like to pass the call over to Ben Avina Tapper. Operator00:00:25Please proceed. Speaker 100:00:27Good afternoon, and welcome to the Duckhorn Portfolio's Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on today's call are Deirdre Mullen, Our Interim President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairperson Jennifer Paul Young, our Chief Financial Officer and Sean Sullivan, our Chief Strategy and Chief Legal Officer. In a moment, we will give brief remarks followed by Q and A. By now, everyone should have access to the earnings release for the Q1 ended October 31, 2023, that went out at approximately 4:0:5 p. M. Speaker 100:00:58Eastern Time. The press release is accessible on the company's website at ir.dughorn.com. And shortly after the conclusion of today's call, a webcast will be archived the next 30 days. Before I begin, I would like to remind you that today's discussion contains forward looking statements based on the environment as we currently see it and as such, includes risks and uncertainties. If you refer to Daghorn's earnings release as well as the company's most recent SEC filings, You will see a discussion of factors that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from these forward looking statements. Speaker 100:01:33Please remember, the company undertakes no obligation to update or revise these forward looking statements in the future, we will make a number of references to non GAAP financial measures. We believe that these measures provide investors with useful perspective on the underlying growth trends of the business and have included in our earnings according to Turkana, which was formerly known as IRI and will refer to dollar or unit consumption for the 12 week period ended October 29, 2023 and growth versus the same period in the prior year in U. S. Tracked channels unless otherwise noted. With that, I will turn the call over to Deirdre. Speaker 200:02:19Thank you, Ben, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss our Q1 2024 financial performance. Following my opening remarks, Jennifer will walk us through our quarterly results and our fiscal year 2024 financial guidance. We are pleased with our execution on the quarter as we delivered top and bottom line results at the higher end of our expected range. Net sales were $102,500,000 in the quarter and adjusted EBITDA was $34,700,000 For an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33.9%, a 90 basis point improvement over the prior year, driven by gross margin improvement and active management of operating costs. Speaker 200:03:13Due to some signs of softening in consumer sentiment and luxury wine trends. We now expect net sales to come in at the lower end of our previously announced guidance range. Accordingly, we are narrowing the net sales guidance to $420,000,000 to $427,000,000 which reflects an annual growth rate of 4% to 6%. This reflects our expectations for continued share gains, albeit adjusted for a near term lower industry growth rate. Despite this reduction in our top line outlook, We expect to maintain our previously communicated adjusted EBITDA margin as we manage our spending to account for this revised sales outlook. Speaker 200:04:01This translates into a range of $150,000,000 to $153,000,000 in adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal year. It's important to note the climate within which we're delivering this full year growth. According to Sarcana, growth in total wine softened as did the Luxury Wine segment defined as $15 and above. In the last 12 weeks, the Luxury Wine segment was flat And total wine overall declined 1.6%. While we cannot control the macro environment, which has been mixed, The Duckhorn portfolio brands have continued to demonstrate relative strength in their respective tiers. Speaker 200:04:49We are confident in our comprehensive strategy and have a track record of profitable sales growth through a variety of Industry Climate. Our initiatives to support our strategy remain leveraging our brand strength, Evolving our portfolio, expanding our wholesale network and growing our DTC channel. I'll now share some of the highlights from the quarter, driven by strong execution on our initiatives. Net sales were down 5.2% at the higher end of our expectations for a 1st quarter decline of mid to high single digits. This outperformance was partially driven by timing as some shipments anticipated for November came in earlier than expected and shifted into Q1. Speaker 200:05:42As we shared on our last earnings call, in Q1, we lapped a unique first quarter of fiscal 2023. Last year's Q1 was marked by strong buys in wholesale as distributors and retailers alike placed unseasonably large orders, specifically for our higher priced Duckhorn Wines. The result was an all time high for quarterly net sales, driven entirely by volume. Accounting for this challenging comp, we continue to see our wholesale performance ahead of the broader market, demonstrating our brand strength. It is worth noting here that we have always managed this business for the long term And quarterly variability is normal in this sector. Speaker 200:06:33Volume trends are affected by a number of factors in the supply chain as distributors and retailers adjust to demand signals and manage inventory levels accordingly. The full year guidance Jennifer is discussing today is consistent with our objective to deliver profitable growth over the long term. On the direct to consumer side, net sales declined 10.8% in the quarter, partially driven by a reduction in event revenue due to There is opportunity for improvement for our DTC business, which is one of our 5 key growth drivers. Our Q1 results are emblematic of broader post COVID trends in consumer behavior. Across Napa Valley, hotel occupancy rates have dipped, But room revenue has continued to grow as strong demand at the highest end has buoyed average room rates. Speaker 200:07:35We're actively adjusting our DTC approach to respond to changing consumer behavior and tap into the strength at the ultra high end, and we're seeing some positive results. For example, although the number of visitors and spend per visitor were soft in the quarter, We've seen a strong response to our elevated tasting experiences, where spend per person can be considerably higher than our traditional tasting program. From a total volume perspective, Q1 declined 3.4%, in line with expectations. Shipments to wholesale declined 3% in the quarter, while depletions declined at a slower rate. Wholesaler inventories remained at a healthy level and in line with our expectations. Speaker 200:08:23While days on hand ticked higher year over year, This was primarily driven by lower than ideal levels during the peak selling season last year. Drilling down within our portfolio, we see performance slightly ahead of the industry overall with some areas of particular strength, including Decoy Limited, which had great success expanding into Merlot. The evolution of our portfolio is another important growth While retail sales for the total wine category decelerated in the last 12 weeks, The $15 to $25 segment outperformed. Decoy was soft at this price point during the period as the brand absorbed recent price increases and lapped an unusually strong quarter in the prior year. The impact was mainly in the red varietals as Decoy White grew ahead of the sub segment in this period. Speaker 200:09:28We remain confident in the brand's ability to distinguish itself from direct competition within its tier. Our higher priced decoy limited, as I mentioned, demonstrated continued strength in the quarter with double digit retail sales growth and we view this as another proof point that consumers remain willing to pay for luxury wine. Overall, our market share remains consistent. From a channel perspective, despite a challenging environment, we were pleased to report that our account bases increased in both the on premise and off premise channels of the business. We believe this to be testament to the strength of our brands and the confidence of the retailers to take stock in our wine, as well as the distributor and sales team efforts in achieving our goals of addressing The distribution opportunities in the marketplace. Speaker 200:10:26To conclude, Our portfolio of brands performed well in what has proven to be a challenging market environment. While our execution and the strength of our brands partially insulates us from a broader consumer sentiment. We are not immune. Reflecting this climate, we now expect net sales to come in toward the lower end of our guided range, which we are tightening to $420,000,000 to $427,000,000 or 4% to 6% Speaker 300:10:56year over year growth. Speaker 200:10:59We expect to maintain an adjusted EBITDA margin with our prior communication as we carefully manage our expenses. With that, I'll turn it over to Jennifer Speaker 400:11:16Thank you, Deidra, and good afternoon, everyone. As Dieter described, we're off to a good start to the year and believe we will continue to outperform the market as we leverage our strong portfolio of Luxury Wine Brands. Beginning with our top line, net sales were $102,500,000 a decrease of 5.2% compared to the prior year period, At the high end of the expectations previously communicated, as some shipments expected in November came in earlier than expected, Shifting some net sales from Q2 to Q1. We managed through a modest mix headwind due to shipment timing from higher priced and greater than expected non decoy wine shipments in the year ago period. By channel, the wholesale to distributor channel declined 5.4% in Q1. Speaker 400:12:06Absent last year's shipment timing impact, we estimate wholesale net sales growth was flat to slightly down year over year. We remain committed to our wholesale strategy to expand accounts and points of distribution to ensure strong programming is in place to support our brands. Distributor days of inventory on hand remain healthy and in line with our expectations at 65 days. California wholesale direct to trade declined 7.3% compared to the prior year period driven by the same factors that impacted wholesale to distributor. The tough comp Due to a surge in buying in Q1 of last year was a nationwide trend and California was no exception. Speaker 400:12:53The direct to consumer channel was down 10.8%. We do see signs that our strategy to drive our direct to consumer business through customer engagement in our tasting rooms is working as our per person spend remains high. As Deidre mentioned, we're navigating a changing landscape in multiple facets of the D2C business, but we're confident in the initiatives we have in place, particularly in the elevated tasting experiences. Moving down the income statement. 1st quarter gross profit was $53,900,000 or a gross margin of 52.5 percent, Up approximately 190 basis points year over year, driven by improvements in the wholesale channel related to our efforts to optimize trade spend as well as easing input cost inflation as it relates to cost of goods. Speaker 400:13:43The DTC channel saw margin contraction of 60 basis points, primarily driven by mix and timing. Operating expenses were $30,500,000 an increase of $4,700,000 or 18.4 percent year over year. On an adjusted basis, Total operating expenses decreased $200,000 or 1%, driven primarily by careful cost management. This excludes $2,700,000 of transaction costs related to our pending acquisition of Sonoma Couture Vineyards. Net income was $15,500,000 or $0.13 per diluted share. Speaker 400:14:25Adjusted net income was 17,200,000 or $0.15 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $34,700,000 a decrease of $1,000,000 or 2.7 percent year over year. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 90 basis points versus the prior year period. The improved margin was driven primarily by lower trade spin, partially offset by lower net sales in the quarter. At the end of the quarter, we had cash of $21,200,000 and total debt of $241,300,000 resulting in our leverage ratio of 1.7 times net debt. Speaker 400:15:10I'll now share our updated full year fiscal 2024 outlook, which does not include our recently announced plans to acquire SonomaCoutrera. Net sales in the range of $420,000,000 to $427,000,000 which represents growth of 4% to 6% Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $150,000,000 to $153,000,000 also a 4% to 6% growth and a margin at the midpoint of approximately 35.5 percent consistent with our previously communicated guidance. For adjusted EPS, we expect a range of $0.67 to $0.69 per diluted share. I also want to provide some color on what we expect to see in the Q2. As previously mentioned, A portion of shipments expected for November occurred earlier than anticipated. Speaker 400:16:05This, in addition to a softer consumer environment, contributed to our revised expectations of low single digit net sales growth in the 2nd quarter. Overall, we are pleased with our Q1 results. We remain in an advantageous position within our industry. And while there is some uncertainty in consumer sentiment broadly, we remain confident in our ability to take share as we continue to outperform the broader wine industry. I will now turn it over to Sean for some notes on the M and A front. Speaker 500:16:39Thank you, Jennifer, and good afternoon. Earlier this quarter, we announced a landmark acceleration in our long term strategic plan. We believe the acquisition of SonomaCoutreer, which is expected to close in spring 2024 subject to customary closing conditions, will deliver significant shareholder value and provide a keystone in our strong foundation of future growth. As we have previously shared, disciplined acquisition of complementary winery brands are an important element of our growth strategy and part of our history. Sonoma Catraer is an outstanding addition to our portfolio of wine and central to this strategy for growth as a premier luxury wine portfolio in America. Speaker 500:17:24I would like to take a moment to reinforce A few of the key elements of the agreement to acquire Sonoma Cottreaux Vineyards from Brown Forman for approximately $400,000,000 Sonoma Catrager is one of the largest and most celebrated luxury Chardonnay brands in the United States, and we are delighted to welcome this Acquaint winery brand into our portfolio. Preparations for closing are on track and we expect to close in spring of 2024 As we discussed last month, we see meaningful wholesale distribution opportunities for Sonoma Catraer. We're excited about the prospect of offering SonomaCoutre to Duckhorn accounts that don't currently carry it and also about introducing SonomaCoutre On premise and off premise accounts to complementary wines in the Duckhorn portfolio, including wines such as our Decoy Cabernet Sauvignon And Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot, which will be exciting new varietal offerings for legacy Sonoma Catrera accounts in which Duckhorn has not had a presence. We will be in touch over the next few months with a more detailed review of the account penetration And distribution white space of Sonoma Cattrayo. One of the benefits of using our stock as the primary element consideration for this acquisition is that it affords us flexibility and optionality for future growth, which is specifically important to us in the current high interest rate environment. Speaker 500:18:58The structure also allows us to bring the experience and strategic guidance of Brown Forman to our company as a long term focus shareholder and through the 2 members of our Board who will be affiliated with Brown Forman. We view Brown Forman as a partner, invested with us in the successful integration of SonomaCoutrayer And committed to our shared mission to set the standard for American Fine Wine. Delivering an accretive deal for our 1st public company brand acquisition was paramount in our evaluation of Sonoma's Trail. We estimate SonomaCoutreya's pre synergy adjusted EBITDA margin profile to be similar to the margin profile of the Duckhorn portfolio, which was approximately 35.9 percent in fiscal year 2023. The low single digit adjusted EPS accretion that we project to be realized starting in fiscal year 2025, which is just a few months after the anticipated closing of the deal, will be driven by $5,000,000 of already identified SG and A synergy. Speaker 500:20:09During our work preparing for integration, We are keenly focused on identifying additional sources of efficiencies and synergies. Separately, We believe there are a number of opportunities for incremental revenue growth beyond the current growth of the brand, including cross selling opportunities in existing Duckhorn portfolio accounts and vice versa, as well as expanding Sonoma in the DTC channel through a heightened focus on the wine club and an enhanced experience for guests at the tasting room, Areas where we can draw on our extensive expertise to augment growth. Additionally, we see significant opportunities to promote SonomaCoutreya brand awareness with consumers, which we believe will be a key driver of velocity in sales of these wines. And we also believe there are several incremental medium term opportunities to manage Sonoma Catrare's fruit sourcing and production models, Optimize our company's mix of estate grown and grower fruit and pursue value enhancing land optimization opportunities. We look forward to keeping in touch with you about the preparations for closing and our plans for the future of Sonoma Cutrager over the next few months. Speaker 500:21:29With that, I'll turn the call over to Deirdre for her concluding remarks. Speaker 200:21:35Thank you, Sean. I've been closely involved in the evaluation of the Sonoma Cottrill opportunity, first as a member of the Board and now as CEO. And I continue to be excited as I learn more about the brand and the opportunities it brings to the Duckhorn portfolio. Two things couldn't have been clearer. First, we are acquiring an incredible asset that is a great fit with our brand architecture. Speaker 200:22:01And second, the Duckhorn portfolio has an amazing team in place to make this integration a success. We have a proven track record through the acquisitions of both Calera and And have significantly expanded our in house production capability with the recent acquisition of the Geyserville production winery. As a company, we are focused on continuing to identify thoughtful synergies and the successful integration of SonomaCoutreya into our portfolio and look forward to the strategic, commercial and financial benefits it will provide over the coming years. With that, I'll close by saying I see ample evidence to give me confidence in the strength and resiliency of our brands. We will continue to leverage our advantage position within the luxury wine space to drive growth and take share through the remainder of fiscal 2024 and beyond. Speaker 200:22:55We remain committed to delivering sustainable profitable growth and will always strive to create value over the long term for our shareholders. In keeping with that goal, we are excited to welcome SonomaCoutre into our portfolio and we look forward to making the acquisition official in spring 2024. Before I move to questions, I'll provide a brief update on our ongoing CEO search. I'm happy to say that the Board is pleased with the candidates it's been seeing and the process is going as planned. And I look forward to keeping you updated as the process progresses. Speaker 200:23:34With that, Jennifer, Sean and I are available to take your questions. Operator00:24:11First question comes from the line of Lauren Lieberman with Barclays. Please proceed. Speaker 300:24:18Great. Thanks. Hi, everybody. So just kind of my numbers could be wrong, but I think With the updated guidance and particularly the 2Q comments, it still implies very strong growth in the back half of the year, Something like a double digit rate. So I know there was a bit of pull forward this quarter, from November, but I don't It just strikes me that it wasn't large enough to account for what seems to be implied much healthier growth in Operator00:24:47the back half. So We're just hoping for some perspective Speaker 300:24:50on that anticipated acceleration. Thanks. Great. Thanks for the question. I appreciate it. Speaker 400:24:57This is Jen. Yes. So the back half is differentiated from the first half. So what we have going on in the back half of the year is twofold. Really, there's some innovation. Speaker 400:25:06We launched Decoy Merlot Limited in fiscal 2023 in the back half, but due to the strong success, we quickly got low on inventory. And so the first half of this year, we've been really limited on our no pun intended on our decoy Merlot limited inventory, but we will be back in stock towards the back half of the year. In addition from an innovation perspective, we are launching our low alc decoy Sauvignon Blanc, which will be a first Launch of that in the back half. And then finally, we will be back in stock in our Daghorn Chardonnay, which has been performing very well for us. Speaker 300:25:44Okay. All right. Thanks. And just in terms of the no alc, have you test marketed that? Just kind of curious because it's a really interesting category, of course, but the range frankly of like hits and misses, it's My sense is a lot of the wines aren't quite getting there yet in terms of taste profile. Speaker 300:26:05So have you had the opportunity to test market this, Because I'm curious how much of that is a driver of that second half acceleration? Speaker 500:26:13Hey, Lauren, it's Sean. We're very excited about Decoy Featherweight, which will be, as Jennifer mentioned, an offering in the second half of the year. I can assure you our winemaking team, as you know, always is very excited to stand behind everything that bears a Duckhorn portfolio name. And so All of our wines, including the featherweight, go through a rigorous committee tasting process. And we're very excited about what we think consumers We'll view this line in the second half when it's released. Speaker 200:26:48Lauren, let me just add this is Deirdre. Let me just add one more thing to that. I think over time people learn about innovation and how best to balance anticipated consumer demand With supply. And I think while Sean is absolutely right that We are excited about it and we think it's a winner from a taste profile point of view. However, we are also It's been prudent in terms of what we're planning for it in the back half. Speaker 200:27:21So I would not call it out as the driver of what is going to get us to that growth in the back half Because we understand it will take time to build some distribution and we'll have to wait and see if the consumer loves it as much as we think they will. So, I wouldn't say that that is the driver of It's a contributor. It's a contributor, but it is not the only thing that is delivering that increase, yes. Speaker 300:27:45Okay, great. And then so therefore having the inventory on the Duckhorn Chardonnay and the is it Speaker 200:27:59Yes. They're all contributors. And also, I think we have a balanced view with respect to the overall Performance of the industry in the back half. I mean, I understand that and we understand there is a lot of cautiousness right now about the consumer And we share that, which is why we've tightened up our guidance. But that said, we do expect there to be growth in the back half. Speaker 300:28:25Okay. Does the second half assume an acceleration in category growth? Or no, this is much more availability of these 2 key Products, kind Speaker 200:28:36of thing. I'd say that it assumes a range of outcomes in terms of what's happening in the category. So For example, if you even look at Zircona data in November, it's better than it has been. And in fact, Our brands in the 4 weeks in November were in growth during that period. But every month, of course, is an individual month and not something that we would take As an indicator of the future, but what we're doing is so if the consumer comes back stronger, we would expect to be at the higher end of that range. Speaker 200:29:06And if we kind of Continue to see the trends we see now will be at the lower end. Speaker 300:29:13Okay. All right. Awesome. Thank you so much. Operator00:29:20Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Kamil Gharalla with Jefferies. Please proceed. Speaker 600:29:28Hey, everybody. Thanks for letting me ask a question. Can we talk a bit more about the category and category softness? In the past, we heard a lot about resilience, particularly in the high end Piece of the wine business. And then it looks like in this instance, any incremental distribution gains weren't able to offset anything happening to the category? Speaker 400:29:54Yes. So basically what we saw in our SORCANA data for 12 weeks, it's been Flat within the wine industry as a whole. And then, on a 52 week basis, it was actually up. So we did see some slowing in the $15 and above category. Within the past 52 weeks, we did outperform the industry. Speaker 400:30:16What you saw a little bit in Q1 is because we were lapping such a strong quarter last year, we didn't outperform the industry so much. But as we Now have that behind us, we anticipate we will continue to outperform where the industry has been. Speaker 600:30:33I see. And the industry itself, is it trading down or maybe just buying less? Speaker 200:30:40The industry we see no signs of the industry trading down. In In November, the 15 plus performed, while still it declined slightly less than 1%. The industry as a total declined 2% And our brands grew. So I think across the our portfolio in the industry, There really isn't an indication of trading down. In fact, the success of our Decoy Limited, I think is a demonstration of that It's growing in strong double digits. Speaker 200:31:11On distribution gain and on rate of sale, I think we're getting both on Decoy Limited. It's a very performer and at a higher price point than our other decoy labels. So we are not seeing a sign of trade down. Operator00:31:36The next question comes from the line of Peter Galbo with Bank of America. Please proceed. Speaker 700:31:43Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for the question. Jen, if I could just follow-up on back on Lauren's question, obviously, understanding there's Some nuance in the product availability, but anything more you can do to help us in the back half of the year just to understand again that How that ramp might look? Your comparisons are kind of a bit wacky just given, I think, some of the dynamics from 2Q of 2023 as well. So just any more color just as we kind of try to parse the quarters here on what we might see? Speaker 400:32:15Yes. Hey, Peter, great question. So as we talked about on our last earnings call in 2020 sorry, I'm getting the year a little confused here. So and for fiscal 2023, when we put the Costa Brown offering in Q4, it drew a bigger comp in Q4. Now For this year, we're moving it back primarily into Q3, some will slip into Q4, so you will see more of an outway in Q3 versus Q4 just because of that shift in that offering. Speaker 400:32:46So keep that in mind that we've we had it one way in '23 and as we move forward, we're switching it back to where we had it previously. Speaker 700:32:56Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And then just in terms of Didn't know if you updated this, just like gross margin cadence as well for the rest of the year, maybe particular to 2Q and then if it follows that Kind of same idea in the back half. If you're shipping more close to Brown in 3Q, then the gross margins are probably better, but just anything you can do to help us there? Speaker 400:33:17Yes. And as I said, our margin profile remains the same. For Q1 and Q2, we thought we would see slight improvement year over year, but Q3 and Q4, We would see more margin pressure as we anticipated more trade spin because we were extremely clean on trade spin in Q3 and Q4 last year. So first half slight improvement, second half margin pressure due to trade spin. Speaker 700:33:43Got it. Great. Thanks very much. Operator00:33:48Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Andrea Deidre Hsieh with JPMorgan. Please proceed. Speaker 800:33:56Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drill back, Deidre, you mentioned The decoy red varietal in your prepared remarks being a bit softer within the 15% to 25%. So I was wondering and of course you're limited, you're selling as much as you produce. But just curious if that is specific and you Pointed out the pricing, right? Speaker 800:34:20So if we think we look back, do you think you overdid a bit on the pricing or that's What you were expecting. And in that range, of course, the COI, the regular COI is a bit more on the lower end That range, is there any potential implication there in terms of like increased marketing or increased, I would promotional activity there in that specific price point. And then if you can also parse out the on premise, you did call out number of accounts both from off premise and on premise. So if you can talk about also how much is different between the performance was different for on premise and off premise if you have that visibility? Thank you. Speaker 800:35:11Hi, Andrea. Or it comes from trade down. Speaker 200:35:16Yes. Thanks for the question. Yes, the decoy White labeled, so not Decoy Limited. Excluding Decoy Limited, the red wines, we did take price on them last year. And I think it's normal for there to be a period after a price increase. Speaker 200:35:36As that price starts to on the shelf and the consumer digests that price and the retailer digests it in terms of what's happening in terms of feature and display. So there would be a period where it suggests that there's some softness in the consumer take off. We haven't learned anything that would suggest that there is Any kind of issue or at least, I think to use your words, gone too far on the pricing. Of course, we continue to evaluate how the consumer is to our brands and we will support our brands at the trade level and with the consumer digitally Over time to of course reinforce the equity at that price point. But we're not seeing anything that would suggest That there is an issue with positioning of the brand, and we expect it to continue. Speaker 200:36:24And as I said, I haven't seen all of the detail yet on November because it's fresh, but Our total portfolio in Turkana did return to growth in November. We haven't had time yet since those came out to really dig into the detail. But Again, the industry is still soft, so I'm not declaring victory overall, but we're encouraged by what's happened in the November And as we get through that, we'll be able to tell you more about it at the end of the after this quarter. In terms of the on and off premise, were you going to say something else? Sorry, did I interrupt you? Speaker 800:37:02No, sorry, I was about to remember you remind you for the on premise and on premise dynamics within the quarter. And any trade down as you might see Speaker 200:37:13in the rest of the In terms of the distribution in the on and the off premise, they're both up. Speaker 800:37:22So Right. But in terms of the consumer? Speaker 200:37:27From a consumer point of view, the on premise, I think has been slightly stronger in the most recent months than the off premise. And again, I think we're not the only ones in the industry talking about this. As the consumer has kind of fully returned and gone to their post pandemic behavior, We are seeing more people out and that has improved, in particular at the more luxury higher price points, it has improved the performance in the on premise. But I wouldn't say that the on premise is driving the performance. I just think there was some slightly better performance in the on premise over the course of the period. Speaker 500:38:07And I might just add that we, I think, take a lot of we think that's a real positive thing, right? That balance between growth in both on premise and off premise, That's the confidence of retailers. And that's that diversification of where folks find our wines that we think is important in Supporting our omnichannel strategy. So we like those results a lot. Speaker 200:38:27Absolutely. Speaker 800:38:29Thank you so much. I'll pass it on. Speaker 300:38:32Okay. Thank you. Operator00:38:37Thank you. There are no additional questions left at this time. I will hand it back to the management team for closing remarks. Speaker 200:39:10Sorry. Thanks again everyone for joining us today for our Q1 performance and our guidance for the fiscal year. I look forward to speaking to you again in March when we report our Q2 results, and we wish you all happy holidays and a prosperous healthy New Year. Cheers. Operator00:39:30That concludes today's conference call. Thank you. You may now disconnect your line.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallDuckhorn Portfolio Q1 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) Duckhorn Portfolio Earnings HeadlinesEx-Constellation executive Robert Hanson named Duckhorn Portfolio CEOJanuary 8, 2025 | msn.comFormer Constellation Brands Executive Robert Hanson Appointed CEO of The Duckhorn Portfolio Following Completion of $1.95 Billion Transaction with ButterflyJanuary 7, 2025 | businesswire.comTrump’s treachery Trump’s Final Reset Inside the shocking plot to re-engineer America’s financial system…and why you need to move your money now.April 26, 2025 | Porter & Company (Ad)Butterfly Completes $1.95 Billion Acquisition of The Duckhorn PortfolioDecember 24, 2024 | businesswire.comDuckhorn Portfolio's SWOT analysis: luxury wine stock faces acquisition crossroadsDecember 19, 2024 | uk.investing.comSHAREHOLDER INVESTIGATION: Halper Sadeh LLC Investigates NAPA and USAP on Behalf of ShareholdersDecember 12, 2024 | globenewswire.comSee More Duckhorn Portfolio Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Duckhorn Portfolio? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Duckhorn Portfolio and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About Duckhorn PortfolioDuckhorn Portfolio (NYSE:NAPA) produces and sells wines in North America. The company offers wines under a portfolio of brands, including Duckhorn Vineyards, Decoy, Goldeneye, Paraduxx, Migration, Canvasback, Calera, Kosta Browne, Greenwing, and Postmark. It sells wines to distributors, and directly to retail accounts and consumers. The company was formerly known as Mallard Intermediate, Inc. and changed its name to The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. in February 2021. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Saint Helena, California. 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There are 9 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining today's Dughorn Portfolio Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Tia, and I will be your moderator for today's call. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. I would now like to pass the call over to Ben Avina Tapper. Operator00:00:25Please proceed. Speaker 100:00:27Good afternoon, and welcome to the Duckhorn Portfolio's Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on today's call are Deirdre Mullen, Our Interim President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairperson Jennifer Paul Young, our Chief Financial Officer and Sean Sullivan, our Chief Strategy and Chief Legal Officer. In a moment, we will give brief remarks followed by Q and A. By now, everyone should have access to the earnings release for the Q1 ended October 31, 2023, that went out at approximately 4:0:5 p. M. Speaker 100:00:58Eastern Time. The press release is accessible on the company's website at ir.dughorn.com. And shortly after the conclusion of today's call, a webcast will be archived the next 30 days. Before I begin, I would like to remind you that today's discussion contains forward looking statements based on the environment as we currently see it and as such, includes risks and uncertainties. If you refer to Daghorn's earnings release as well as the company's most recent SEC filings, You will see a discussion of factors that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from these forward looking statements. Speaker 100:01:33Please remember, the company undertakes no obligation to update or revise these forward looking statements in the future, we will make a number of references to non GAAP financial measures. We believe that these measures provide investors with useful perspective on the underlying growth trends of the business and have included in our earnings according to Turkana, which was formerly known as IRI and will refer to dollar or unit consumption for the 12 week period ended October 29, 2023 and growth versus the same period in the prior year in U. S. Tracked channels unless otherwise noted. With that, I will turn the call over to Deirdre. Speaker 200:02:19Thank you, Ben, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss our Q1 2024 financial performance. Following my opening remarks, Jennifer will walk us through our quarterly results and our fiscal year 2024 financial guidance. We are pleased with our execution on the quarter as we delivered top and bottom line results at the higher end of our expected range. Net sales were $102,500,000 in the quarter and adjusted EBITDA was $34,700,000 For an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33.9%, a 90 basis point improvement over the prior year, driven by gross margin improvement and active management of operating costs. Speaker 200:03:13Due to some signs of softening in consumer sentiment and luxury wine trends. We now expect net sales to come in at the lower end of our previously announced guidance range. Accordingly, we are narrowing the net sales guidance to $420,000,000 to $427,000,000 which reflects an annual growth rate of 4% to 6%. This reflects our expectations for continued share gains, albeit adjusted for a near term lower industry growth rate. Despite this reduction in our top line outlook, We expect to maintain our previously communicated adjusted EBITDA margin as we manage our spending to account for this revised sales outlook. Speaker 200:04:01This translates into a range of $150,000,000 to $153,000,000 in adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal year. It's important to note the climate within which we're delivering this full year growth. According to Sarcana, growth in total wine softened as did the Luxury Wine segment defined as $15 and above. In the last 12 weeks, the Luxury Wine segment was flat And total wine overall declined 1.6%. While we cannot control the macro environment, which has been mixed, The Duckhorn portfolio brands have continued to demonstrate relative strength in their respective tiers. Speaker 200:04:49We are confident in our comprehensive strategy and have a track record of profitable sales growth through a variety of Industry Climate. Our initiatives to support our strategy remain leveraging our brand strength, Evolving our portfolio, expanding our wholesale network and growing our DTC channel. I'll now share some of the highlights from the quarter, driven by strong execution on our initiatives. Net sales were down 5.2% at the higher end of our expectations for a 1st quarter decline of mid to high single digits. This outperformance was partially driven by timing as some shipments anticipated for November came in earlier than expected and shifted into Q1. Speaker 200:05:42As we shared on our last earnings call, in Q1, we lapped a unique first quarter of fiscal 2023. Last year's Q1 was marked by strong buys in wholesale as distributors and retailers alike placed unseasonably large orders, specifically for our higher priced Duckhorn Wines. The result was an all time high for quarterly net sales, driven entirely by volume. Accounting for this challenging comp, we continue to see our wholesale performance ahead of the broader market, demonstrating our brand strength. It is worth noting here that we have always managed this business for the long term And quarterly variability is normal in this sector. Speaker 200:06:33Volume trends are affected by a number of factors in the supply chain as distributors and retailers adjust to demand signals and manage inventory levels accordingly. The full year guidance Jennifer is discussing today is consistent with our objective to deliver profitable growth over the long term. On the direct to consumer side, net sales declined 10.8% in the quarter, partially driven by a reduction in event revenue due to There is opportunity for improvement for our DTC business, which is one of our 5 key growth drivers. Our Q1 results are emblematic of broader post COVID trends in consumer behavior. Across Napa Valley, hotel occupancy rates have dipped, But room revenue has continued to grow as strong demand at the highest end has buoyed average room rates. Speaker 200:07:35We're actively adjusting our DTC approach to respond to changing consumer behavior and tap into the strength at the ultra high end, and we're seeing some positive results. For example, although the number of visitors and spend per visitor were soft in the quarter, We've seen a strong response to our elevated tasting experiences, where spend per person can be considerably higher than our traditional tasting program. From a total volume perspective, Q1 declined 3.4%, in line with expectations. Shipments to wholesale declined 3% in the quarter, while depletions declined at a slower rate. Wholesaler inventories remained at a healthy level and in line with our expectations. Speaker 200:08:23While days on hand ticked higher year over year, This was primarily driven by lower than ideal levels during the peak selling season last year. Drilling down within our portfolio, we see performance slightly ahead of the industry overall with some areas of particular strength, including Decoy Limited, which had great success expanding into Merlot. The evolution of our portfolio is another important growth While retail sales for the total wine category decelerated in the last 12 weeks, The $15 to $25 segment outperformed. Decoy was soft at this price point during the period as the brand absorbed recent price increases and lapped an unusually strong quarter in the prior year. The impact was mainly in the red varietals as Decoy White grew ahead of the sub segment in this period. Speaker 200:09:28We remain confident in the brand's ability to distinguish itself from direct competition within its tier. Our higher priced decoy limited, as I mentioned, demonstrated continued strength in the quarter with double digit retail sales growth and we view this as another proof point that consumers remain willing to pay for luxury wine. Overall, our market share remains consistent. From a channel perspective, despite a challenging environment, we were pleased to report that our account bases increased in both the on premise and off premise channels of the business. We believe this to be testament to the strength of our brands and the confidence of the retailers to take stock in our wine, as well as the distributor and sales team efforts in achieving our goals of addressing The distribution opportunities in the marketplace. Speaker 200:10:26To conclude, Our portfolio of brands performed well in what has proven to be a challenging market environment. While our execution and the strength of our brands partially insulates us from a broader consumer sentiment. We are not immune. Reflecting this climate, we now expect net sales to come in toward the lower end of our guided range, which we are tightening to $420,000,000 to $427,000,000 or 4% to 6% Speaker 300:10:56year over year growth. Speaker 200:10:59We expect to maintain an adjusted EBITDA margin with our prior communication as we carefully manage our expenses. With that, I'll turn it over to Jennifer Speaker 400:11:16Thank you, Deidra, and good afternoon, everyone. As Dieter described, we're off to a good start to the year and believe we will continue to outperform the market as we leverage our strong portfolio of Luxury Wine Brands. Beginning with our top line, net sales were $102,500,000 a decrease of 5.2% compared to the prior year period, At the high end of the expectations previously communicated, as some shipments expected in November came in earlier than expected, Shifting some net sales from Q2 to Q1. We managed through a modest mix headwind due to shipment timing from higher priced and greater than expected non decoy wine shipments in the year ago period. By channel, the wholesale to distributor channel declined 5.4% in Q1. Speaker 400:12:06Absent last year's shipment timing impact, we estimate wholesale net sales growth was flat to slightly down year over year. We remain committed to our wholesale strategy to expand accounts and points of distribution to ensure strong programming is in place to support our brands. Distributor days of inventory on hand remain healthy and in line with our expectations at 65 days. California wholesale direct to trade declined 7.3% compared to the prior year period driven by the same factors that impacted wholesale to distributor. The tough comp Due to a surge in buying in Q1 of last year was a nationwide trend and California was no exception. Speaker 400:12:53The direct to consumer channel was down 10.8%. We do see signs that our strategy to drive our direct to consumer business through customer engagement in our tasting rooms is working as our per person spend remains high. As Deidre mentioned, we're navigating a changing landscape in multiple facets of the D2C business, but we're confident in the initiatives we have in place, particularly in the elevated tasting experiences. Moving down the income statement. 1st quarter gross profit was $53,900,000 or a gross margin of 52.5 percent, Up approximately 190 basis points year over year, driven by improvements in the wholesale channel related to our efforts to optimize trade spend as well as easing input cost inflation as it relates to cost of goods. Speaker 400:13:43The DTC channel saw margin contraction of 60 basis points, primarily driven by mix and timing. Operating expenses were $30,500,000 an increase of $4,700,000 or 18.4 percent year over year. On an adjusted basis, Total operating expenses decreased $200,000 or 1%, driven primarily by careful cost management. This excludes $2,700,000 of transaction costs related to our pending acquisition of Sonoma Couture Vineyards. Net income was $15,500,000 or $0.13 per diluted share. Speaker 400:14:25Adjusted net income was 17,200,000 or $0.15 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was $34,700,000 a decrease of $1,000,000 or 2.7 percent year over year. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 90 basis points versus the prior year period. The improved margin was driven primarily by lower trade spin, partially offset by lower net sales in the quarter. At the end of the quarter, we had cash of $21,200,000 and total debt of $241,300,000 resulting in our leverage ratio of 1.7 times net debt. Speaker 400:15:10I'll now share our updated full year fiscal 2024 outlook, which does not include our recently announced plans to acquire SonomaCoutrera. Net sales in the range of $420,000,000 to $427,000,000 which represents growth of 4% to 6% Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $150,000,000 to $153,000,000 also a 4% to 6% growth and a margin at the midpoint of approximately 35.5 percent consistent with our previously communicated guidance. For adjusted EPS, we expect a range of $0.67 to $0.69 per diluted share. I also want to provide some color on what we expect to see in the Q2. As previously mentioned, A portion of shipments expected for November occurred earlier than anticipated. Speaker 400:16:05This, in addition to a softer consumer environment, contributed to our revised expectations of low single digit net sales growth in the 2nd quarter. Overall, we are pleased with our Q1 results. We remain in an advantageous position within our industry. And while there is some uncertainty in consumer sentiment broadly, we remain confident in our ability to take share as we continue to outperform the broader wine industry. I will now turn it over to Sean for some notes on the M and A front. Speaker 500:16:39Thank you, Jennifer, and good afternoon. Earlier this quarter, we announced a landmark acceleration in our long term strategic plan. We believe the acquisition of SonomaCoutreer, which is expected to close in spring 2024 subject to customary closing conditions, will deliver significant shareholder value and provide a keystone in our strong foundation of future growth. As we have previously shared, disciplined acquisition of complementary winery brands are an important element of our growth strategy and part of our history. Sonoma Catraer is an outstanding addition to our portfolio of wine and central to this strategy for growth as a premier luxury wine portfolio in America. Speaker 500:17:24I would like to take a moment to reinforce A few of the key elements of the agreement to acquire Sonoma Cottreaux Vineyards from Brown Forman for approximately $400,000,000 Sonoma Catrager is one of the largest and most celebrated luxury Chardonnay brands in the United States, and we are delighted to welcome this Acquaint winery brand into our portfolio. Preparations for closing are on track and we expect to close in spring of 2024 As we discussed last month, we see meaningful wholesale distribution opportunities for Sonoma Catraer. We're excited about the prospect of offering SonomaCoutre to Duckhorn accounts that don't currently carry it and also about introducing SonomaCoutre On premise and off premise accounts to complementary wines in the Duckhorn portfolio, including wines such as our Decoy Cabernet Sauvignon And Duckhorn Vineyards Merlot, which will be exciting new varietal offerings for legacy Sonoma Catrera accounts in which Duckhorn has not had a presence. We will be in touch over the next few months with a more detailed review of the account penetration And distribution white space of Sonoma Cattrayo. One of the benefits of using our stock as the primary element consideration for this acquisition is that it affords us flexibility and optionality for future growth, which is specifically important to us in the current high interest rate environment. Speaker 500:18:58The structure also allows us to bring the experience and strategic guidance of Brown Forman to our company as a long term focus shareholder and through the 2 members of our Board who will be affiliated with Brown Forman. We view Brown Forman as a partner, invested with us in the successful integration of SonomaCoutrayer And committed to our shared mission to set the standard for American Fine Wine. Delivering an accretive deal for our 1st public company brand acquisition was paramount in our evaluation of Sonoma's Trail. We estimate SonomaCoutreya's pre synergy adjusted EBITDA margin profile to be similar to the margin profile of the Duckhorn portfolio, which was approximately 35.9 percent in fiscal year 2023. The low single digit adjusted EPS accretion that we project to be realized starting in fiscal year 2025, which is just a few months after the anticipated closing of the deal, will be driven by $5,000,000 of already identified SG and A synergy. Speaker 500:20:09During our work preparing for integration, We are keenly focused on identifying additional sources of efficiencies and synergies. Separately, We believe there are a number of opportunities for incremental revenue growth beyond the current growth of the brand, including cross selling opportunities in existing Duckhorn portfolio accounts and vice versa, as well as expanding Sonoma in the DTC channel through a heightened focus on the wine club and an enhanced experience for guests at the tasting room, Areas where we can draw on our extensive expertise to augment growth. Additionally, we see significant opportunities to promote SonomaCoutreya brand awareness with consumers, which we believe will be a key driver of velocity in sales of these wines. And we also believe there are several incremental medium term opportunities to manage Sonoma Catrare's fruit sourcing and production models, Optimize our company's mix of estate grown and grower fruit and pursue value enhancing land optimization opportunities. We look forward to keeping in touch with you about the preparations for closing and our plans for the future of Sonoma Cutrager over the next few months. Speaker 500:21:29With that, I'll turn the call over to Deirdre for her concluding remarks. Speaker 200:21:35Thank you, Sean. I've been closely involved in the evaluation of the Sonoma Cottrill opportunity, first as a member of the Board and now as CEO. And I continue to be excited as I learn more about the brand and the opportunities it brings to the Duckhorn portfolio. Two things couldn't have been clearer. First, we are acquiring an incredible asset that is a great fit with our brand architecture. Speaker 200:22:01And second, the Duckhorn portfolio has an amazing team in place to make this integration a success. We have a proven track record through the acquisitions of both Calera and And have significantly expanded our in house production capability with the recent acquisition of the Geyserville production winery. As a company, we are focused on continuing to identify thoughtful synergies and the successful integration of SonomaCoutreya into our portfolio and look forward to the strategic, commercial and financial benefits it will provide over the coming years. With that, I'll close by saying I see ample evidence to give me confidence in the strength and resiliency of our brands. We will continue to leverage our advantage position within the luxury wine space to drive growth and take share through the remainder of fiscal 2024 and beyond. Speaker 200:22:55We remain committed to delivering sustainable profitable growth and will always strive to create value over the long term for our shareholders. In keeping with that goal, we are excited to welcome SonomaCoutre into our portfolio and we look forward to making the acquisition official in spring 2024. Before I move to questions, I'll provide a brief update on our ongoing CEO search. I'm happy to say that the Board is pleased with the candidates it's been seeing and the process is going as planned. And I look forward to keeping you updated as the process progresses. Speaker 200:23:34With that, Jennifer, Sean and I are available to take your questions. Operator00:24:11First question comes from the line of Lauren Lieberman with Barclays. Please proceed. Speaker 300:24:18Great. Thanks. Hi, everybody. So just kind of my numbers could be wrong, but I think With the updated guidance and particularly the 2Q comments, it still implies very strong growth in the back half of the year, Something like a double digit rate. So I know there was a bit of pull forward this quarter, from November, but I don't It just strikes me that it wasn't large enough to account for what seems to be implied much healthier growth in Operator00:24:47the back half. So We're just hoping for some perspective Speaker 300:24:50on that anticipated acceleration. Thanks. Great. Thanks for the question. I appreciate it. Speaker 400:24:57This is Jen. Yes. So the back half is differentiated from the first half. So what we have going on in the back half of the year is twofold. Really, there's some innovation. Speaker 400:25:06We launched Decoy Merlot Limited in fiscal 2023 in the back half, but due to the strong success, we quickly got low on inventory. And so the first half of this year, we've been really limited on our no pun intended on our decoy Merlot limited inventory, but we will be back in stock towards the back half of the year. In addition from an innovation perspective, we are launching our low alc decoy Sauvignon Blanc, which will be a first Launch of that in the back half. And then finally, we will be back in stock in our Daghorn Chardonnay, which has been performing very well for us. Speaker 300:25:44Okay. All right. Thanks. And just in terms of the no alc, have you test marketed that? Just kind of curious because it's a really interesting category, of course, but the range frankly of like hits and misses, it's My sense is a lot of the wines aren't quite getting there yet in terms of taste profile. Speaker 300:26:05So have you had the opportunity to test market this, Because I'm curious how much of that is a driver of that second half acceleration? Speaker 500:26:13Hey, Lauren, it's Sean. We're very excited about Decoy Featherweight, which will be, as Jennifer mentioned, an offering in the second half of the year. I can assure you our winemaking team, as you know, always is very excited to stand behind everything that bears a Duckhorn portfolio name. And so All of our wines, including the featherweight, go through a rigorous committee tasting process. And we're very excited about what we think consumers We'll view this line in the second half when it's released. Speaker 200:26:48Lauren, let me just add this is Deirdre. Let me just add one more thing to that. I think over time people learn about innovation and how best to balance anticipated consumer demand With supply. And I think while Sean is absolutely right that We are excited about it and we think it's a winner from a taste profile point of view. However, we are also It's been prudent in terms of what we're planning for it in the back half. Speaker 200:27:21So I would not call it out as the driver of what is going to get us to that growth in the back half Because we understand it will take time to build some distribution and we'll have to wait and see if the consumer loves it as much as we think they will. So, I wouldn't say that that is the driver of It's a contributor. It's a contributor, but it is not the only thing that is delivering that increase, yes. Speaker 300:27:45Okay, great. And then so therefore having the inventory on the Duckhorn Chardonnay and the is it Speaker 200:27:59Yes. They're all contributors. And also, I think we have a balanced view with respect to the overall Performance of the industry in the back half. I mean, I understand that and we understand there is a lot of cautiousness right now about the consumer And we share that, which is why we've tightened up our guidance. But that said, we do expect there to be growth in the back half. Speaker 300:28:25Okay. Does the second half assume an acceleration in category growth? Or no, this is much more availability of these 2 key Products, kind Speaker 200:28:36of thing. I'd say that it assumes a range of outcomes in terms of what's happening in the category. So For example, if you even look at Zircona data in November, it's better than it has been. And in fact, Our brands in the 4 weeks in November were in growth during that period. But every month, of course, is an individual month and not something that we would take As an indicator of the future, but what we're doing is so if the consumer comes back stronger, we would expect to be at the higher end of that range. Speaker 200:29:06And if we kind of Continue to see the trends we see now will be at the lower end. Speaker 300:29:13Okay. All right. Awesome. Thank you so much. Operator00:29:20Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Kamil Gharalla with Jefferies. Please proceed. Speaker 600:29:28Hey, everybody. Thanks for letting me ask a question. Can we talk a bit more about the category and category softness? In the past, we heard a lot about resilience, particularly in the high end Piece of the wine business. And then it looks like in this instance, any incremental distribution gains weren't able to offset anything happening to the category? Speaker 400:29:54Yes. So basically what we saw in our SORCANA data for 12 weeks, it's been Flat within the wine industry as a whole. And then, on a 52 week basis, it was actually up. So we did see some slowing in the $15 and above category. Within the past 52 weeks, we did outperform the industry. Speaker 400:30:16What you saw a little bit in Q1 is because we were lapping such a strong quarter last year, we didn't outperform the industry so much. But as we Now have that behind us, we anticipate we will continue to outperform where the industry has been. Speaker 600:30:33I see. And the industry itself, is it trading down or maybe just buying less? Speaker 200:30:40The industry we see no signs of the industry trading down. In In November, the 15 plus performed, while still it declined slightly less than 1%. The industry as a total declined 2% And our brands grew. So I think across the our portfolio in the industry, There really isn't an indication of trading down. In fact, the success of our Decoy Limited, I think is a demonstration of that It's growing in strong double digits. Speaker 200:31:11On distribution gain and on rate of sale, I think we're getting both on Decoy Limited. It's a very performer and at a higher price point than our other decoy labels. So we are not seeing a sign of trade down. Operator00:31:36The next question comes from the line of Peter Galbo with Bank of America. Please proceed. Speaker 700:31:43Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for the question. Jen, if I could just follow-up on back on Lauren's question, obviously, understanding there's Some nuance in the product availability, but anything more you can do to help us in the back half of the year just to understand again that How that ramp might look? Your comparisons are kind of a bit wacky just given, I think, some of the dynamics from 2Q of 2023 as well. So just any more color just as we kind of try to parse the quarters here on what we might see? Speaker 400:32:15Yes. Hey, Peter, great question. So as we talked about on our last earnings call in 2020 sorry, I'm getting the year a little confused here. So and for fiscal 2023, when we put the Costa Brown offering in Q4, it drew a bigger comp in Q4. Now For this year, we're moving it back primarily into Q3, some will slip into Q4, so you will see more of an outway in Q3 versus Q4 just because of that shift in that offering. Speaker 400:32:46So keep that in mind that we've we had it one way in '23 and as we move forward, we're switching it back to where we had it previously. Speaker 700:32:56Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And then just in terms of Didn't know if you updated this, just like gross margin cadence as well for the rest of the year, maybe particular to 2Q and then if it follows that Kind of same idea in the back half. If you're shipping more close to Brown in 3Q, then the gross margins are probably better, but just anything you can do to help us there? Speaker 400:33:17Yes. And as I said, our margin profile remains the same. For Q1 and Q2, we thought we would see slight improvement year over year, but Q3 and Q4, We would see more margin pressure as we anticipated more trade spin because we were extremely clean on trade spin in Q3 and Q4 last year. So first half slight improvement, second half margin pressure due to trade spin. Speaker 700:33:43Got it. Great. Thanks very much. Operator00:33:48Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Andrea Deidre Hsieh with JPMorgan. Please proceed. Speaker 800:33:56Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drill back, Deidre, you mentioned The decoy red varietal in your prepared remarks being a bit softer within the 15% to 25%. So I was wondering and of course you're limited, you're selling as much as you produce. But just curious if that is specific and you Pointed out the pricing, right? Speaker 800:34:20So if we think we look back, do you think you overdid a bit on the pricing or that's What you were expecting. And in that range, of course, the COI, the regular COI is a bit more on the lower end That range, is there any potential implication there in terms of like increased marketing or increased, I would promotional activity there in that specific price point. And then if you can also parse out the on premise, you did call out number of accounts both from off premise and on premise. So if you can talk about also how much is different between the performance was different for on premise and off premise if you have that visibility? Thank you. Speaker 800:35:11Hi, Andrea. Or it comes from trade down. Speaker 200:35:16Yes. Thanks for the question. Yes, the decoy White labeled, so not Decoy Limited. Excluding Decoy Limited, the red wines, we did take price on them last year. And I think it's normal for there to be a period after a price increase. Speaker 200:35:36As that price starts to on the shelf and the consumer digests that price and the retailer digests it in terms of what's happening in terms of feature and display. So there would be a period where it suggests that there's some softness in the consumer take off. We haven't learned anything that would suggest that there is Any kind of issue or at least, I think to use your words, gone too far on the pricing. Of course, we continue to evaluate how the consumer is to our brands and we will support our brands at the trade level and with the consumer digitally Over time to of course reinforce the equity at that price point. But we're not seeing anything that would suggest That there is an issue with positioning of the brand, and we expect it to continue. Speaker 200:36:24And as I said, I haven't seen all of the detail yet on November because it's fresh, but Our total portfolio in Turkana did return to growth in November. We haven't had time yet since those came out to really dig into the detail. But Again, the industry is still soft, so I'm not declaring victory overall, but we're encouraged by what's happened in the November And as we get through that, we'll be able to tell you more about it at the end of the after this quarter. In terms of the on and off premise, were you going to say something else? Sorry, did I interrupt you? Speaker 800:37:02No, sorry, I was about to remember you remind you for the on premise and on premise dynamics within the quarter. And any trade down as you might see Speaker 200:37:13in the rest of the In terms of the distribution in the on and the off premise, they're both up. Speaker 800:37:22So Right. But in terms of the consumer? Speaker 200:37:27From a consumer point of view, the on premise, I think has been slightly stronger in the most recent months than the off premise. And again, I think we're not the only ones in the industry talking about this. As the consumer has kind of fully returned and gone to their post pandemic behavior, We are seeing more people out and that has improved, in particular at the more luxury higher price points, it has improved the performance in the on premise. But I wouldn't say that the on premise is driving the performance. I just think there was some slightly better performance in the on premise over the course of the period. Speaker 500:38:07And I might just add that we, I think, take a lot of we think that's a real positive thing, right? That balance between growth in both on premise and off premise, That's the confidence of retailers. And that's that diversification of where folks find our wines that we think is important in Supporting our omnichannel strategy. So we like those results a lot. Speaker 200:38:27Absolutely. Speaker 800:38:29Thank you so much. I'll pass it on. Speaker 300:38:32Okay. Thank you. Operator00:38:37Thank you. There are no additional questions left at this time. I will hand it back to the management team for closing remarks. Speaker 200:39:10Sorry. Thanks again everyone for joining us today for our Q1 performance and our guidance for the fiscal year. I look forward to speaking to you again in March when we report our Q2 results, and we wish you all happy holidays and a prosperous healthy New Year. Cheers. Operator00:39:30That concludes today's conference call. Thank you. 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