Schlumberger Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
April 21, 2023

There are 11 speakers on the call.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the SLB Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later, there will be an opportunity for your questions. You may remove yourself from the queue by repeating the same one zero command. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

Operator

I would now like to turn the conference over to the Vice President of Investor Relations, N. D. Madhu Amazia. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Leah. Good morning, and welcome to the SLB First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being hosted from Rio, Brazil, following our Board meeting held earlier this week. Joining us on the call are Olivier Le Peuge, Chief Executive Officer and Stephane Biguet, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind all participants Some of the statements we'll be making today are forward looking.

Speaker 1

These matters involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our results to differ materially from those projected in these statements. I therefore refer you to our latest 10 ks filing and our other SEC filings. Our comments today may also include non GAAP financial measures. Additional details and reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP Financial measures can be found in our Q1 press release, which is on our website. With that, I will turn the call over to Olivier.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Andy. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us on the call today. In my prepared remarks, I will cover 3 topics. I will begin with an update on our Q1 results. Then I would share our latest view on the macro and our positioning for long term success.

Speaker 2

And finally, I will close with our outlook for the Q2 full year. Stephane will then provide more details on our financial results and we'll open for your questions. It has been a great start of the year as we have achieved results that set us on a solid footing for our full year financial ambitions. On a year on year basis, our financial and operational results We are strong across all geographies and divisions. Following the remarks that I shared in our earnings release this morning, I would like to emphasize a few key highlights from the quarter.

Speaker 2

First, we delivered very solid year on year growth at the magnitude last seen More than a decade ago. Geographically, year on year growth rates in North America internationally were comparable. More importantly, the rate of change is tipping more in favor of the international market, where sequentially, we experienced the smallest decline Collectively, our core divisions grew year on year by more than 30% and expanded operating margins by more than 300 basis points. We continue to position the core for long term success With significant contract wins and technology innovations that improve efficiency and lower carbon emissions. A great example is EcoShield, a geopolymer based cement free well integrated system and one of our latest transition technologies Launched earlier this quarter.

Speaker 2

You will find many examples of these contract wins and the performance impact of our new technologies in today's press release. In digital, we maintained strong growth momentum and also secured more contract wins. At the division level, The amount of year on year revenue growth in digital was somewhat masked by significantly lower EPS revenue due to production interruption in Ecuador And lower project revenue in the Palliser asset in Canada. Additionally, digital continues to help us elevate our efficiency and margin performance in the core as we deploy this solution at scale in our global operations. And in New Energy, we continue to make progress across our portfolio, notably With new carbon capture and sequestration activities that raise our involvement to around 30 projects globally.

Speaker 2

CCS is recognized as one of the fastest growing opportunity to reduce carbon emissions. And with the tailwinds from the U. S. Inflection Reduction Act And over the world, we expect more projects to move forward to final investment decisions in the next 2 years. Finally, we are delivering on our commitment to increase returns to shareholders.

Speaker 2

During the quarter, we relaunched our share buyback program With repurchases totaling more than $200,000,000 worth of shares. I would like to really thank the entire Selby team for their hard work and for delivering yet another successful quarter. Moving to the macro. We maintained a constructive multiyear growth outlook. Through the Q1, the resilience, breadth and durability of the upcycle have only become more evident.

Speaker 2

I would like to take a few minutes to describe these factors. To begin, downtime demand, investments The combination of Energy Security, the initiation of long cycle projects and OpEx policy sets The condition for decoupling of the activity outlook for short term demand uncertainties. Indeed, Energy security remains a top priority for most countries and is driving structural investments that are governed primarily by national interest. The extent of these investments is resulting into a broad ranging growth outlook comprised predominantly of resilient long cycle projects in the Middle East, the international offshore basins and in gas projects. Collectively, we expect this market segment to reach or exceed more than 2 thirds of the total global upstream spends and support the long tail of resilient activity over the next few years.

Speaker 2

In parallel, the North America market Characterized by higher short cycle exposure is also set to benefit from positive demand outlook and supportive community pricing. However, this will be impacted by an anticipated activity plateau in the short term, which will subsequently be reflected in production volumes. Moving to the dimension of breadth and duration. These are also best emphasized by the latest activity outlook for the Middle East and Offshore Market segments. Fundamentally, the pivot to both segments as anchors of supply growth is a defining attribute of this cycle.

Speaker 2

This It's providing an unprecedented level of investment visibility and a scale that is setting many records. In the Middle East, the largest ever investment cycle has now commenced. This will support ongoing capacity expansion project over the next 4 years in both oil and gas. Consequently, this year, we expect to post our highest revenue ever in the Middle East, Putting us on track to achieve our multiyear growth aspiration. Simultaneously, we are witnessing further activity expansion in the offshore market.

Speaker 2

Offshore activity continues to surprise to the upside with breadth and the diversity of opportunities across all major basins. In addition, the latest FID projections and industry reports indicate that the offshore sector is set for its highest growth in a decade With more than EUR 200,000,000,000 in new projects through the next 2 years. This growth will be supported by 3 layers of activity. First, the resumption of infill and tieback activity in metro basins, which was very visible across Africa in 2022. This will continue to strengthen in multiple geographies from this year onward.

Speaker 2

2nd, ongoing large development projects in both oil and gas that are ramping up and starting to scale. This is evident in Latin America such as in Guyana and Brazil And in the Middle East, such as in Saudi Arabia, UAE and Qatar. And third, the resurgence of exploration and appraisal activity, We're just starting to gather strong momentum in the existing basins and new frontiers. From West and South Africa to the East Mediterranean, We are starting to see exploration appraisal at the pace that was enforcing just a few months ago. Additionally, The activity pipeline continues to elongate with new licensing rounds and new blocks awarded.

Speaker 2

As a result, We believe that we will continue to witness durable offshore investment for many years to come. Let me spend a couple of minutes highlighting what As the cycle unfolds, the characteristics I've described continue to align with major strengths in our core. This will support additional activity intensity for well construction, accelerated growth opportunity in Reservoir Performance to the return of exploration and appraisal activity and further long term growth potential for production systems. One such example is the TPAO Sakarya project in the Southern Black Sea Offshore Turkey. This project involves all our core divisions supporting the development of a challenging subsea gas asset and a simultaneous construction of a gas production facility, Demonstrating SLB's unique ability to integrate at scale from power to process.

Speaker 2

Looking more in-depth, our Production Systems division is in a unique position as a long cycle level of growth for us We've quarterly year on year results demonstrating our ability to fully harness its potential. We believe momentum is Set to continue, benefiting from our strong market presence in the Middle East and in offshore basins. In this division, We anticipate cumulative bookings in the range of $10,000,000,000 to $12,000,000,000 in 2023, up significantly from 2022. We have taken a strong step forward towards this ambition with more than $3,000,000,000 bookings in the Q1 and outlook supports continued strong bookings through at least 2025. Overall, this will provide durable revenue growth And a significant installed base for services in the years to come.

Speaker 2

In this context, our exposure to the deepwater subsea market Remains an essential component of our growth opportunity and we continue to strengthen this part of our portfolio with much success. In Subsea, we have grown 20% over the last 2 years and are already generating EBITDA margins in the high teens, Building on our technology, performance in execution and the depth of our processing portfolio. We expect strong momentum for this part of our business to be sustained through 2025 and beyond. To conclude, we are in the midst of a unique cycle with qualities that enhance the long term outlook for our industry, resilience, breadth and durability, All reinforced by pivot to the Middle East, Offshore, Gas and Return of E and A. We could not ask for better backdrop to execute our returns focused strategy.

Speaker 2

During the early phase of this cycle led by North America, Our results have already demonstrated our ability to capture growth ahead of activity and expand margins visibly beyond pre pandemic levels. Looking forward, we are positioned to fully harness the international and offshore momentum that is now underway and to further our margins expansion journey. In the quarters ahead, we'll continue to demonstrate our returns focus, capital discipline and commitment to shareholders' returns. I'm truly excited about the outlook for SLB. Next, I would like to comment on our progress over the short term.

Speaker 2

For the full year, our strong Q1 give us renewed confidence in our financial ambitions for 2023. We are primed for revenue growth and margin expansion through the year, underpinned by a very solid international outlook. In North America, we still expect tangible market growth, but at a lower rate than originally anticipated at the start of the year, mainly as a result of ongoing weakness in gas prices. Taken together, we expect a strong international growth to offset any weakness in North America, Keeping our full year ambitions intact with year on year growth in excess of 15%, which will support adjusted EBITDA growth in the mid-20s, More specific to the Q2, directionally, we expect revenue to grow about mid to high single digits With operating margins expanding by 50 to 100 basis points, driven by seasonal rebound in the international markets. Growth will be led by Middle East and Asia area and continued momentum in the offshore markets.

Speaker 2

Moving on this, we expect our 2nd quarter adjusted EBITDA to reach new highs in this cycle, further expanding the earnings growth journey We initiated 11 quarters ago and taking another positive step towards achieving our full year ambitions. I will now turn the call over to Stephane.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Olivier, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. 1st quarter earnings per share, excluding charges and credits, was $0.63 This represents an increase of $0.29 or 85% when compared to the Q1 of last year. In addition, during the Q1, We recorded a $0.02 gain relating to the sale of all of our remaining shares in Liberty, which brought our GAAP EPS to $0.65 Overall, our first quarter revenue of $7,700,000,000 increased 30% year on year as the growth cycle continues to unfold. This represents the highest Quarterly year on year increase in more than a decade. International revenue was up 29% year on year, While North America increased 32%.

Speaker 3

Company wide adjusted EBITDA margin for the Q1 was 23.1%. In absolute dollars, adjusted EBITDA increased 43% year on year. As a reminder, our ambition is for adjusted EBITDA to grow in percentage terms in the mid-20s for the full year of 2023. The Q1 was certainly a strong start towards achieving this goal. On a sequential basis, revenue decreased 2%, mostly driven by seasonally lower revenue in Asia and Russia, As well as lower APS revenue in Ecuador.

Speaker 3

Russia represented approximately 5% of Our consolidated Q1 revenue. Sequentially, our pre tax segment operating margins declined 178 basis points, largely due to seasonality and lower APS revenue. From a year on year perspective, Margins expanded 298 basis points with significant margin growth in 3 of our 4 divisions. Let me now go through the Q1 results for each division. 1st Quarter digital and integration revenue of $894,000,000 decreased 12% sequentially, with margins declining 8 percentage points to 30%.

Speaker 3

These decreases were primarily due to lower APS project revenue And seasonally lower digital and exploration data licensing sales. The APS revenue decline was mostly a result of the pipeline disruption in Ecuador that temporarily reduced production and lower commodity prices impacting our project In Canada, as a result of these issues, APS revenue declined year on year, But this effect was more than offset by strong digital growth, including a more than 50% increase Margins for the Digital and Integration division Are expected to improve in Q2 as the pipeline issue in Ecuador has been resolved and as digital sales will increase sequentially in line with the usual seasonal trends. Reservoir Performance revenue of $1,500,000,000 decreased 3% sequentially, While margins declined 207 basis points to 16.1%. These decreases were primarily due to Year on year revenue grew 24% and margins increased 291 basis points, driven by strong growth internationally, both on land and offshore. Well Construction Revenue of $3,300,000,000 increased 1% sequentially, while margins of 20.6% decreased 44 basis However, year on year revenue grew 36%, while margins expanded 444 basis points with very strong growth across all areas on higher activity, increased pricing and a favorable technology mix.

Speaker 3

Finally, Production Systems revenue of €2,200,000,000 It was essentially flat sequentially and margins declined 148 basis points to 9.3% Due to seasonality and the activity mix in Europe and Asia. Year on year, revenue increased 38%, While margins expanded 217 basis points, driven by strong activity across all areas, led by Europe, Latin America and North America. Margins also improved Compared to the Q1 of last year, as supply chain and logistics constraints continued to ease. Now turning to our liquidity. Our net debt increased approximately $1,000,000,000 sequentially to $10,300,000,000 During the quarter, we generated €330,000,000 of cash flow from operations and negative free cash flow of €265,000,000 reflecting the seasonal increase in working capital we typically experienced in the Q1.

Speaker 3

This largely reflects the payout of our annual employee incentives and the buildup of working capital that will support our anticipated growth throughout the year. Our Q2 free cash flow is expected to be materially higher and to continue to increase into the 3rd and 4th quarters. Capital investments, inclusive of CapEx and investments in APS Projects and Exploration Data We have $595,000,000 in the Q1. For the full year, we are still expecting capital investments to be approximately $2,500,000,000 to $2,600,000,000 During the quarter, we monetized Our remaining investment in Liberty, which resulted in net proceeds of CAD147,000,000 We also spent EUR244,000,000 net of cash acquired on acquisitions and investments in other businesses, the majority of which relates to the Giro Data acquisition. Finally, We resumed our stock repurchase program and repurchased 4,400,000 shares during the quarter For a total purchase price of $230,000,000 We will continue to repurchase shares in the coming quarters.

Speaker 3

And as previously announced, we are targeting to return a total of $2,000,000,000 to our shareholders this year between dividends and stock buybacks. I will now turn the conference call back to Olivier.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Stephane. Ladies and gentlemen,

Operator

We go to the line of James West with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Hey, good morning, gentlemen. Good morning. So Olivier, you and Tivan, you outlined kind of Unprecedented, quite frankly, amount of contract awards, amount of visibility Into the cycle and curious as you talk to your customers now, what you see as The durability of those awards, given the global volatility in economies And things of that nature. How are you thinking about the next several years? How are you guys perceiving kind of the steadiness of these contract awards and their ability to continue to go forward even if we were to have You know, recession or something like that, in a way and how that would influence your revenue and results?

Speaker 2

No, James, thank you. I think indeed, I think we have highlighted and I think in my prepared remarks, I shared the view that in the recent months and certainly in last quarter and I've been traveling in Asia, Middle East and South America, I've seen customer taking commitments and being ready to commit to the supply capacity and to the partnership they need To deploy and develop the assets going forward, as we believe this cycle is unique through, As we said, element of resilience by the nature of investment at Gallaudet, including the long term capacity expansion Committed in Middle East, including the large long cycle elements that are growing in proportion led by offshore deepwater coming back. The breadth, I think everywhere we go, every joint is seeing customer reaching out To mobilize resource, sometime for short cycle pollution enhancements, most of the time for development, commitment of assets and redevelopment Expansion from infill to large scale development and durability is certainly improving. Duration of the cycle, I think, is improving as we see, because beyond the Middle East, 27 Targets of CapEx expansion for certain other country, other country are targeting this towards the end of the decade.

Speaker 2

And here I'm in a city in Brazil. Brazil has a clear ambition for 4,000,000 barrels by 2,030 and I've already committed up to 20 FPSO contract That will continue to build the pipeline of offshore activity subsea in particular going forward. So I'm Very positive about the mix, if you like, of short cycle and pollution enhancements To address the anticipated supply super risk and the commitment long commitment from Middle East, From Deepwater and Offshore operator, to complement the long cycle is not to offset and Now take precedence over this short cycle and to turn as we indicated a turn into the cycle towards international offshore and Middle East in particular. So that's where we are very confident.

Speaker 4

Okay. That's perfect, Olivier. Thank you. And then a follow-up for me. In In terms of pricing, international and offshore versus maybe North America, Kind of what you're seeing there in terms of the level of concern or maybe not concern, but The level of willingness to accept pricing increases, it seems to me like customers internationally and offshore are more looking at Or concerned about availability of service capacity rather than what it actually costs.

Speaker 2

Yes. I think we are seeing pricing tailwinds and we have seen pricing tailwinds in the global market For quite a few quarters and starting in North America, it has turned to international based on 2 things. First, indeed, securing capacity Going forward, giving us giving considering the tight supply of equipment, unique technology, Giving a sense of urgency to secure contract and elongating the contract. You have seen example of 9 years' contract into the Announcement we made today and at the same time, I think performance matters. Performance matters To offshore operator, performance matters for First Gas, First Oil, and there's a sense of urgency To accelerate the cycle, this is one of the priority.

Speaker 2

And technology integration Also makes a difference and is recognized and is driving a pricing premium. So the combination of supply capacity, the combination of, I would say a sense of urgency for and quest for performance, Integration and technology deployment is driving pricing tailwinds that are serving us very well.

Speaker 4

Great. Thanks, Olivier.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Next, we go to David Anderson with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Hi, good morning Olivier.

Speaker 2

Good morning, Dave.

Speaker 5

So question on kind of the duration of the cycle in your core business. Well construction is obviously a big part of that. I was hoping maybe you could talk about the pace of well construction that you see in front of you this year And where we should see the greatest uptick in activity and kind of the greatest shift in technology as well. Notice that North America was up 9% Which is a bit of a surprise, but where does that Middle East ramp up fit in here and can also kind of also similar question to what James asked him on the Capacity, if I'm one of your customers, what am I what was most worried about today? Is it well constructed?

Speaker 5

Is that kind of be I would have to think that has to be like kind of towards the top of If you could sort of help us understand that a little bit. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes. No, I think you are correct. I think the supply of high performance in the well construction domain is on the stretch today. And I think we are working very closely with our customers to prioritize Equipment products technology application and use integration, use digital to help deliver the performance they expect. So there is a stretch indeed in this.

Speaker 2

But Going forward, I think we are committing the resource when we see the returns to be accretive to our margins and align with our expectation And ambition to continue to expand margins. So where we see the most activity, clearly, this year as an uptick and this Will be the case a sequentially next quarter is in Middle East and Offshore. I think a combination of integrated contract we have in Offshore With relatively complex asset on occasion that demands a lot of technology deployment and the intensity of activity in Middle East That is a mix of short cycle and long cycle development project. This combination is unique and I think it will be pulling More resource, more equipment, more technology and we drive revenue forward up.

Speaker 5

And was the North America uptick, Was that more offshore driven than onshore this quarter?

Speaker 2

Yes, it was indeed. Absolutely. I think Offshore is not only international. I think offshore is happening in North America. North America is Northeast Canada, Alaska Offshore and Gulf of Mexico, the combination of which is set to grow and our pace this year, We said U.

Speaker 2

S. Land and North American land activity. So we are also getting the benefit of our Feedforward Basin, Success in North America that continues to hold and help us maintain, grow our share and come on a premium on pricing.

Speaker 6

And then Olivier, in the D

Speaker 5

and I business, APS obviously impacted the performance this quarter. I was wondering if maybe you could kind of pull back a little bit and help us And how the digital business is performing. I think the goal is to hit a $3,000,000,000 revenue target. I was wondering if you can kind of tell us where we are now in terms of that run rate. And in order to hit those targets, I'm just curious, is that about your existing customers I'm just curious, is that about your existing customers using digital more?

Speaker 5

Is it adding more apps to Delphi? Is it adding more customers? All of the above, maybe help us understand a little bit more of the digital itself. No, I

Speaker 2

think Indeed. But I think indeed, Dave, I think first in this quarter, obviously, the growth and we have seen Growth rate in digital that is aligned with our expectation, aligned with our ambition to double revenue from 2021 to 2025, we have seen as Stephane mentioned during his prepared remarks that the new technology Edge and cloud is going at more than 50%, continuing on the trajectory that we have set in the last couple of years. And we don't see any sign of this slowing down. And indeed expansion will come from multiple dimension, obviously, getting more consumption from existing customer we have. And we are today deploying one of the largest contract in Petrobras.

Speaker 2

We are aware and we are meeting with the team here, Very satisfied deployment and growing number of users, that's an access, then growing number of application and that's where we want to deploy and go beyond Joao san, our petro technical suite, if you like, to digital operation, production And this operation into the drilling domain, automating the full rig well construction process. And again, In Brazil, we were very pleased to meet with Equinor and look after the Perrigo platform where we're about To deploy for the first time in the world a full automated topside to bottom assembly, Full automated, those automating autonomous digital journey that will realize this year. So we have both the geosounds Application deployments, the digital operation and we have new customers coming in and you have seen some new contracts that were announced this quarter. So We are growing to the pace we're expecting to be on our trajectory to double. And indeed, this quarter, this was unfortunately masked Fully by the EPS setback, but we expect this to resume and to be actually one of the Leading a growth sequential that we will see in the 2nd quarter.

Speaker 5

Fantastic. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Next, we go to the line of Chase Mulvehill with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hey, good morning, Olivier.

Speaker 2

Good morning, Frank.

Speaker 6

So, I guess, coming back to international and just We get questions on this international ramp and because the last 6 months, We've seen some oil price volatility. We've seen a couple of OPEC plus cuts. And so we kind of get a lot of investor questions. If there's been any signs of OPEC slowing down any kind of planned projects or CapEx plans. So let me just ask you, if you've seen any indications of OPEC Plus members slowing things down at all In the Middle East?

Speaker 5

No, we have not seen it.

Speaker 2

We have not seen any impact of this decision. We don't believe there will be any. We believe that these companies and the national companies are really set And fully focused on mobilizing resource to execute their very ambitious capacity expansion plan. I think you are aware of all the commitments. And it's not only UAE and Saudi, this is across many countries in GCC.

Speaker 2

And I think this is to grow both oil Capacity and also gas and commercial gas across the region. So I think I've been recently in the Middle East and I've not seen any sign Adapting and challenging and again the multiplicity of contract award That were tendered in the last 18 months and most of them multi year, if not beyond 5 years, Really indicative of the commitments and the capacity expansion plan that have started, inflection has happened and you will see this growing for the rest of the year. So we don't foresee any impact.

Speaker 6

Okay, awesome. Appreciate the color there. The follow-up It's really kind of on CCUS. You had a lot of announcements in your press release, which really highlighted your experience on the sequestration side. But there are other parts obviously of the value chain.

Speaker 6

And are there other parts that you would actually think that would be a good fit For SLB, like possibly the capture technology side?

Speaker 2

No, absolutely. I think we have indeed A unique right of play into the sequestration that I think has translated into significant number of studies And services and modeling and digital that you have provided to a lot of customers and these customers I've approached us to participate, some of them emitters that are non oil and gas, as you have seen some of the examples we gave in the press release earlier today. And then we are using our technology and innovation capability to explore and to invest into capture technology Or to partner as we are partnering with Linde into the application of CCS project Across the domain of blue halogen and ammonia for decarbonizing the natural gas, Ammonia and Allogene Production, so we are indeed either associating or investing into capture technology, hence broadening our scope beyond sequestration And using our right of play to expand and create a business that will sell on its own in the years to come.

Speaker 6

Okay. Awesome. Appreciate the color there. I'll turn it back over. Thanks, Olivier?

Speaker 2

Thank you,

Operator

Chase. Next, we go to the line of Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Olivier, I wanted to get some insights on what you're seeing within the Subsea Segment of Production System, I think you highlighted broadly within Production Systems $10,000,000,000 to $12,000,000,000 of backlog growth potential this year Or bookings potential. I was wondering if you could maybe characterize SLB's technology offering And integration capabilities relative to your peers as well as provide any update on the strategic transaction that you announced last summer?

Speaker 2

Yes. Let me take it at the level of our Pollution Systems first and let me give a quick zoom. So the booking we are talking about At the production system level, which is a division encompassing our production system equipment capability From subsea, as you pointed out, from actually in well completion, in well at Shellift, subsea surface System processing capability. So when you put all of this together, you get an end to end from port to process, From sand phase to processing, that is quite unique in integration and delivery capability. Hence, The opportunity we have to participate at scale and be a provider with our partner Subsea 7 into the product of TPO that you heard about, Well, the first gas to flare was realized yesterday and celebrated by the in country.

Speaker 2

And this is quite unique. So that's differentiated. We have end to end integration capability. We can design and deploy and develop a gas facility and we have done it in the past And we can link it to with our partners to our subsea development and participate to the completion architecture. So this end to end is quite unique Give us opportunity to participate at a large scale into development.

Speaker 2

Now very specific to Subsea, I think we are also quite differentiated into the way that we can connect To the subsurface and we have this integration capability from the subsea to the completion architecture. And one thing in particular I would like to highlight are 2 things. First is the electrical capability electrical capability of transforming this subsea 3 is the subsea control and the subsea and well completion control into electric full electric capability. This is a game changer for the deepwater industry, game changer for low carbon and control digital control of subsea equipment and control of zone This is very much again the case in Brazil. We are very fortunate to have established here Unique center of excellence and we are under the sponsorship of A&P working with multiple operators that have joined us into a joint Development program where we are deploying and we will soon deploy everything from Subsea 3 to Subsea valve The Flow Control valve fully electric that will change the game and creating a new step.

Speaker 2

So that's differentiated. The other differential obviously is our processing, Boosting and processing capability. You remember the award that we got last year into Shell for Gas processing subsea equipment into large installation in the and you have seen 2 awards this quarter in Brazil, Highlighting our boosting capability. So we're unique into that position. And again, ability we have to integrate processing equipment subsea With the rest of equipment well or surface is unique and that's something that is adding to our digital capability as well.

Speaker 2

So when it comes to the announced JV, I think we are seeing the process of going to the regulatory bodies In different part of the world, so I cannot comment any further than what we commented earlier. This is an exciting outlook, exciting opportunity, but until Close. We'll move forward.

Speaker 7

Great. Olivier, my follow-up. You and the Board are in Rio this I was wondering if you could characterize on what you're seeing on the ground in terms of the upstream spending picture. And obviously, we've had a Regime change recently with the new administration, are you seeing any potential changes to the fiscal or regulatory regime that could impact spending over the next Couple of 2, 3

Speaker 2

years. If anything, this visit has been outstanding, outstanding for the Board, Outstanding for engagement, we have customers and clearly highlighting the potential of Brazil to be Fulfilling a significant supply growth in the future. As I said, A and P and Brazil has the ambition to reach or exceed 4,000,000,000 barrel from 3.3 Today, I mean on barrel per day and they have already laid out the formation of this of both production enhancement into the mature basin, The compost basin of the land basins and accelerating continue to accelerate the development of the sub salt Deepwater with up to 20 FPSO already into the play. So I think They also are pushing forward to the next frontier. They are about to explore a gradual margin that give us another leg, if you like, Brazil growth in the future beyond the already committed multi FPSO contract that are in place.

Speaker 2

So we don't see any change. If anything, we see an acceleration and extension of the duration of this Brazil outlook. And if I had to highlight one noticeable change that I've seen, a commitment to decarbonize, a commitment to digitalize That I think is the new the leadership is recommitted to and we have seen it and you will see it in the future. Digital operation will accelerate in Brazil by the main operator here and the country will accelerate its commitment to CCS. We are very fortunate to be on the 1st and only Bioenergy CCS project in Latin America with FS Bioenergy And we met the team 2 days ago and they are very pleased with the progress we are making on this CCS product in Brazil.

Speaker 2

So you will see more activity And no slowdown, but any upside, only upside to the offshore environment and then Low carbon and digital transition accelerating as well.

Speaker 7

Great. Thanks for the detailed comments.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Next, we go to Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Good morning, team. First question was around cash flow and working capital specifically was a bigger outflow than we had modeled in the quarter. Does that all reverse over the course of the year and you could talk about some of the moving pieces around that?

Speaker 3

Sure, Neil. So yes, it does reverse. As you know, Q1 is always the lowest quarter of the year for free cash flow. As mentioned, we have the typical working cap buildup. Particularly, we have the payout of annual employee incentives.

Speaker 3

This is a one off. It was about €500,000,000 In the Q1 and when we build inventory for anticipated growth, particularly in the Production Systems division, as we mentioned. So Even though it was it remained negative, the free cash flow actually came slightly ahead of our own expectation. Our DSO was the lowest Historically, for the Q1, so we were quite happy with that. So yes, it will increase in the second quarter And it will accelerate in the second half on higher EBITDA, continuous capital discipline and working capital unwinding.

Speaker 3

Keeping in mind, we typically generate the majority of our annual cash flow in H2, but it will increase materially in Q2. So when you put it all together, the 2023 full year free cash flow will be significantly higher than last year And clearly on the trajectory to deliver the 10% free cash flow margin we committed for the 2021 to 2025 period. And to just to close, this will allow us to, as Olivier mentioned and as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, to return $2,000,000,000 To shareholders in the form of dividend and buybacks together.

Speaker 8

That's really helpful. The follow-up is just the margins at digital. I think it's hard To isolate because of some of the volatility around APS, can you give us a sense of how you're seeing the underlying margin trends at the core digital Listen, in Q2, that segment margin progression, I would imagine, strengthens as you work through some of these Ecuador challenges.

Speaker 2

Yes. So as a reminder for everyone, I think our Digital and Integration division, I think, comprise and combines Digital and Expression Data with Asset Performance Solutions. So at the onset of our digital journey, we had set clear ambition for digital margin to be highly accretive to SLB and At the same time to accept our growth to double our revenue from 21% to 25%. We are on that journey and clearly delivering Very accretive margin to SLB. So now we have demonstrated in the last few quarters last year that we when we leverage best performance in APS And our differentiated digital offering, we deliver the L and A margin visibly in excess of 30%.

Speaker 2

Now Notwithstanding similar setback as we had metal setback in EPS, ambition for DNI as a combination is to continue to deliver highly accretive margins certainly So going forward, we expect the margins of DNI to sequentially improve based on the very solid Revenue growth from digital and very accretive margin for digital combined with a return of growth for APS and returning This is on margin for IPS. So as a whole, we're expecting to not only revenue increase, but margin expand sequentially And to continue to be accretive, highly accretive followers of the year.

Speaker 8

All right. Great. Thanks team.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

Next, we go to the line of Scott Gruber with Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Yes, good morning. Good morning, Scott.

Speaker 6

Olivier,

Speaker 9

you mentioned the resurgence in exploration, which is great To hear for SOB, one concern out there though is the potentially limited number of experienced geologists Across the customer base to prosecute the exploration programs just because G and G departments were definitely down to the pandemic. Is this a legitimate constraint on the strength of the exploration cycle? Or is this capability being rebuilt across the industry? What are you seeing on that front?

Speaker 2

No, I will not be overly concerned by this. I think there are 2 factors that are playing into this. The first that digital, I think, is adding a significant Productivity gain for processing, analyzing and generating prospect as we call it from For modeling from structural modeling to prospect identification, the seismic data set as well as the capability to process using digital capability Significantly improved. So the ability to create spotlights on the gas fine or the oil pools, I think it's better than it's ever been and certainly much better than last cycle. And secondly, I think there is a significant service consulting capability That we pass Bill into that can help complement and provide support to our customers.

Speaker 2

But I would say digital productivity Technology that has improved and give higher accuracy, better geology interpretation capability, better structural modeling From seismic to wireline and to modeling or to sampling like our reservoir sampling technology, all combined To give significant support to the G and G team of our customers and to not slow down, but actually accelerate And improve the productivity and ability to generate prospects. So I'm not concerned and I believe that you will see this prospect to be Fast track from exploration to appraisal to development going forward.

Speaker 9

No, it's great. Just how would you compare the strength of this exploration cycle to those of the past? Is the trajectory trending us back towards that 2011 to 2014 period? Could we possibly get back to the mid to late 2000s levels, just as tieback opportunities are consumed? Just some color on the potential strength of this exploration cycle relative to history would be great.

Speaker 2

So I think I will contrast it more by The type of activity in exploration is happening. And I think there are a lot of near field exploration as it is called or backyard exploration That is being used by the most operator that have gained access to your critical asset, critical basin Our advantage assets and they want to explore and do near field exploration across and beyond and you stay back. There is a lot of exploration happening across every basin, major basin that characterize This trend has been going up and this trend has certainly different from the greenfield, the frontier exploration that characterized maybe the last cycle, the Last cycle. However, this cycle, I think, beyond the near field exploration, we are seeing a return of Frontier Exploration driven by energy security, driven by the desire to replace reserve and to secure new gas particularly, And we see it happening across many basins. I mentioned before the Equatorial Margin, as one you heard about, obviously, continuous exploration, which is almost becoming a near field exploration across Guyana.

Speaker 2

But if you go across the Atlantic, you will find a lot of exploration happening in the south part of Africa, partly with some huge success For 2 or 3 operator into Namibia that are here on the onset of something that could be Very significant for the industry in oil development. And then gas in Isthmed, I think has been developing and you heard about the development that we had Fast track on the Black Sea, that was also a gas. So security is incentivizing people to invest And operator to invest into certain region with access to the demand market And near field is continued to grow very well. So in combination, it's different from the past and I will not try to compare the scale. I think the quality of this exploration and the diversity in terms of customers and in terms of basin is quite unique and is really accelerating this year.

Speaker 9

I appreciate the color. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Next, we go to the line of Roger Read with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Speaker 10

Yes. Thank you. And I imagine good afternoon in Rio. Maybe just to come back to the Exploration appraisal kind of question. You mentioned that earlier slowdown in North America Said or more than offset by what's going on in E and A.

Speaker 10

So I was just curious what and I think you also mentioned it had Materially improved in the last couple of months. What do you think really has led to this increase in E and A? Because it's not as if commodity prices weren't Good in 2022, right? And they haven't been something exceptional thus far in 2023. So is Is it a change in just how your customers are looking at their future inventories?

Speaker 10

Or is there something else

Speaker 2

I think the energy security, the Supporting commodity price outlook and the desire indeed to go and leverage the cycle To explore and to tie back reserve to the existing advantaged basin or to fast track gas New oil pools as I described earlier. Now the timing of it, the acceleration, I think is linked more to the availability And the contracting of deepwater rigs or the contracting of rigs offshore or land on some occasion when it is when this exploration is happening More than anything else, but the cycle as started last year of year and a return is accelerating in line to some extent with the offshore acceleration. And I think it will be part of the mix and will give an opportunity to extend and create a new leg of activity and a new leg of FID In 2 or 3 years from now, when those exploration will have been appraised and will be FID at that time. So I think it's more it's an underlying trend that have started in the last few quarters and have accelerated. And I think that is a more long view that customers are taking and not looking at the short term uncertainty or short term Community price variation and committing on one new basin or committing on expanding near field exploration.

Speaker 2

So that's the way we have seen it.

Speaker 10

Okay. So maybe just the natural evolution within a cycle and as things get some duration, you would expect the Expiration to pick up. One other question for you, just APS. So obviously, kind of highlighted had some issues. Looking back over the last couple of years, there's been talk of potentially disposing of these assets or at least not investing in them aggressively.

Speaker 10

I was just curious, It seems like M and A has picked up or at least talk of it within the E and P sector. So more likely, less likely, same

Speaker 3

So look, Roger, On EPS, we really have to distinguish Ecuador, these are service contracts, tariff based. There is no intention to exit and we do need to maintain a minimum level of investment. But rest assured, these projects are highly positive in terms of not only earnings, but cash flow. The Canada asset is a bit different. This is a pure equity position.

Speaker 3

And it's also very accretive in terms of cash flow even At current commodity prices,

Speaker 1

and as

Speaker 3

you know, we run a process on that particular asset last year. We were not satisfied With the offers we received, so at the moment, we are happy with keeping that asset and the cash It generates, but if one day there is an offer at the right price, we certainly consider it.

Speaker 10

Okay. Appreciate it. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Ladies and gentlemen, I think to I want to give a close to this call. It's almost to the hour. So to conclude today's call, I would like to leave you with the following takeaways. First, the quality of the unfolding of Cyclin oil and gas is improving with unique attributes of resilience, breadth and duration. This is very much evidenced by the strengthening outlook in both Middle East and Offshore Markets and further reinforced by the tight supply balance as demand forecast approach new highs at year end.

Speaker 2

2nd, our strong start of the year gives us further confidence in our full year financial ambition. Directionally, the dynamics in international markets will likely offset The moderation of activity growth in North America. In fact, we are witnessing a gradual shift from short to long cycle investment And a further transition to international with both effects closely aligned with our strength and paving the way for an exciting outlook for years to come. 3rd, our overall performance demonstrates the strength of our portfolio, focused on the most attractive and resilient market segments globally, both in oil and gas and low carbon solutions. Our divisions continue to align with customers' utmost priorities on value delivered through performance and integration With digital transformation and decarbonization as industry mandates.

Speaker 2

Additionally, pricing continues to trend positively, enabling us to extract more value for our product and services. As a result, we reaffirm our ambition to further expand margins as the cycle unfolds To grow earnings to new levels in this cycle and to significant increase returns to shareholders are further demonstrated this quarter. I remain very confident in the alignment of our strategic developmental trends in the energy market and fully trust the SEB team to continue outperforming in this context. Now before I close, I wanted to announce that Andy Madhu Mezia will be moving to a new Cai of Portin SLB after a remarkable stance in his position as Investor Relations VP for the past 3 years. Thank you, Andy, for the support and positive engagement with our investors and market analysts.

Speaker 2

Replacing Andy is James McDonald, Who is transitioning from his previous role as America's Land Basin President. Welcome, James. With this, I wanted to close today's call and wish you all the best. Thank you. Good day, everyone.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude your conference for today. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Remove Ads
Powered by Quartr
Earnings Conference Call
Schlumberger Q1 2023
00:00 / 00:00
Remove Ads