XPLR Infrastructure Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
April 25, 2023

There are 11 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Nextra Energy and Nextra Energy Partners First Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. All participants will be in a listen only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Kristin Rose, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Vishnavi. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our Q1 2023 combined earnings conference call for NextEra Energy and NextEra Energy Partners. With me this morning are John Ketchum, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of NextEra Energy Kurt Cruz, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of NextEra Energy Rebecca Kiava, President and Chief Executive Officer of NextEra Energy Resources and Mark Hixson, Executive Vice President of NextEra Energy, all of whom are also officers of NextEra Energy Partners as well as Armando Pimentel, President and Chief Executive Officer of Kirk will provide an overview of our results and our executive team will then be available to answer your questions. We will be making forward looking statements during this call based on current expectations and assumptions, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from our forward looking statements if any of our key assumptions are incorrect or because of other factors discussed in today's earnings news release and the comments made during this conference call in the Risk Factors section of the accompanying presentation or in our latest reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, each of which can be found on our websites, www.nexteraenergy.comandwww.nexteraenergypartners.com.

Speaker 1

We do not undertake any duty to update any forward looking statements. Today's presentation also includes references to non GAAP financial measures. You should refer to the information contained in the slides accompanying today's presentation for definitional information and reconciliations of historical non GAAP measures to the closest GAAP financial measure. With that, I will turn the call over to Kirk.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Kristen, and good morning, everyone. NextEra Energy is off to a strong start in 2023. Adjusted earnings per share increased by Approximately 13.5 percent year over year, building on the success of last year's strong execution and financial performance. During the quarter, we were honored that NextEra Energy was again ranked number 1 in our sector on Fortune's list of the world's most admired companies for the 16th time in 17 years. We are extremely proud of the team and culture we have built that has enabled us to deliver low cost, Clean and reliable power to our customers, while also providing long term value to our shareholders.

Speaker 2

FPL is the largest electric utility in the U. S. And Florida is now officially the fastest growing state in America. At FPL, our focus remains the same, deploying smart capital to deliver on what we believe is one of the best customer value propositions in our industry. Key to that strategy is keeping customer bills affordable.

Speaker 2

In this quarter, We propose using projected 2023 fuel savings to reduce unbilled fuel costs from 2022 to provide bill relief to customers. To further manage fuel price volatility, we are also helping By adding more solar to the FPL grid. This quarter, we placed into service approximately 9 70 megawatts of new low cost solar, putting FPL's owned and operated solar portfolio at nearly 4,600 Megawatts, which is the largest solar portfolio of any utility in the country. We believe solar is now the lowest cost generation option for Florida customers, but represents only about 5% of FPL's delivered energy. In order to extend the benefits of low cost solar to customers, FPL's recently filed 10 year site plan now includes nearly 20,000 megawatts of new solar.

Speaker 2

Energy Resources, the world's leader in renewables and a leader in battery storage, remains laser focused on executing the strategy of decarbonizing the power sector and helping commercial and industrial customers outside the power sector Reduce their energy costs and decarbonize their operations by moving to low cost renewables and other clean energy solutions. This quarter, Energy Resources added approximately 20 20 megawatts of new renewables and storage projects to its backlog. Energy Resources also closed on its previously announced acquisition of a large portfolio of operating landfill gas to electric facilities, providing the foundation for our growing RNG business. We are also excited to announce a new memorandum of understanding with CF Industries to create green hydrogen, establishing what we expect will be a long term relationship with the world's largest ammonium producer. And finally, Energy Resources continues to build what we believe is the nation's leading competitive transmission business to help support growth in renewables.

Speaker 2

We are pleased to announce that the California ISO recently recommended for approval approximately $400,000,000 in new transmission and substation upgrades for NextEra Energy Transmission. We believe NextEra Energy continues to be anchored by 2 great businesses that leverage each other's expertise to make them even better. We do not believe anyone in our industry has our set of skills, scale and breadth of opportunities. We believe NextEra Energy is able to buy, build, operate and finance cheaper with one of the strongest balance sheets in our sector. We also believe our best in class development skills and unparalleled data set enable us to provide innovative technology and low cost clean energy solutions for the benefit of our customers.

Speaker 2

The opportunities and products Demanded by the market are becoming more complex, requiring significant scale and a combination of skills that we believe few of our competitors can offer, further enhancing our competitive advantages and creating even more growth opportunities for our business going forward. We have a culture rooted in continuous improvement, always striving to be better. Along those lines, we just completed our annual employee initiative, which we now call Velocity. For over 11 years, our employees have generated approximately 2 point $6,000,000,000 in annual run rate savings ideas as part of this process. In 2023 alone, Our team generated ideas expected to produce roughly $325,000,000 in annual run rate savings, which when combined with last year's results of over $400,000,000 is the most productive 2 year period in this program's history, and that's after doing it for over a decade.

Speaker 2

We believe we have the best team in the industry, and these results are indicative of the breadth and depth of capabilities and the commitment to excellence that our team brings to our business every day and executing on behalf of our customers and shareholders. With that, let's turn to the detailed results beginning with FPL. For the Q1 of 2023, FPL reported net income of $1,070,000,000 or $0.53 per share, an increase of $0.09 year over year. Regulatory capital employed growth of approximately 11.2% was a significant driver of FPL's EPS growth versus the prior year comparable quarter. FPL's capital expenditures were approximately $2,300,000,000 for the quarter.

Speaker 2

We expect our full year 2023 capital investments at FPL to be between $8,000,000,000 9 point $1,000,000,000 as we continue to invest capital smartly for the continued benefit of our customers. FPL's reported ROE for regulatory purposes will be approximately 11.8% for the 12 months ending March 2023. During the quarter, we utilized $373,000,000 of reserve amortization to achieve our targeted regulatory ROE, leaving FPL with a balance of $1,070,000,000 As we previously discussed, FPL historically utilizes more reserve amortization in the first of the year and we expect this trend to continue this year. Earlier this year, the Florida Public Service Commission approved FPL's proposed plan to recover approximately $2,100,000,000 of incremental fuel costs from 2022, partially offset by projected 2023 fuel savings of approximately $1,400,000,000 Amid high natural gas prices in 2022, FPL's Decades long modernization of its generation fleet has saved customers more than $2,000,000,000 in fuel costs in 2022 alone. The commission also recently approved recovery of approximately $1,300,000,000 of hurricane costs from 2022 over a 12 month period.

Speaker 2

Taking all approved adjustments together, we anticipate that FPL's typical 1,000 Kilowatt hour residential customer bills will remain well below the projected national average and among the lowest of all Florida utilities. Turning to our development planning and efforts. FPL recently filed its annual 10 year site plan that Our generation resource plan for the next decade. The 2023 plan includes roughly 20,000 megawatts of new low cost Solar capacity across our service territory over the next 10 years, which would result in nearly 35% of FPL's forecasted energy delivery Given the increasing customer benefits of low cost renewables, FPL's post 2025 solar capacity additions and this year's plan are more than double last year's approved plan and also includes 2 gigawatts of battery storage over the next decade. We believe the expansion of cost effective solar and storage will provide a valuable hedge for our customers against volatile natural gas prices and meet the electricity demand of FPL's growing customer base with a low cost generation source.

Speaker 2

Finally, Construction of our green hydrogen pilot at our Okeechobee Clean Energy Center is on track and projected to go into service later this year. Turning now to the Florida economy. Florida became the fastest growing state in the nation in 2022 and its population continues to increase with over 1,000 people moving to Florida every day. Over the last 5 years, Florida's GDP has grown At a roughly 7% compound annual growth rate and is now approximately $1,400,000,000,000 which is up approximately 8% versus a year ago. Based on GDP, if Florida was a country, it would have the 14th largest economy in the world.

Speaker 2

FPL's 1st quarter retail sales increased 0.4% from the prior year comparable period, driven by continued solid underlying population growth, with FPL's average number of customers increasing by approximately 65,000 even after removing roughly 15,000 inactive customers due to Hurricane Ian. For the Q1, we estimate that the positive impact of warmer weather was more than offset by a And underlying usage for customer. As we have often pointed out, underlying usage can be somewhat volatile on a quarterly basis, particularly during periods when temperatures deviate significantly from normal, as we experienced this winter with average temperatures greater than 4 degrees above normal. Our long term expectations of underlying usage growth continues to average between 0 and approximately negative 0.5 percent per year. Energy Resources report Q1 2023 GAAP earnings of approximately $1,440,000,000 or $0.72 per share.

Speaker 2

Adjusted earnings for the Q1 were $732,000,000 or $0.36 per share, up $0.04 versus the prior year comparable period. Contributions from new investments increased $0.07 per share year over year. Contributions from our existing clean energy portfolio We're lower by $0.03 per share, primarily due to less favorable wind and solar resource compared to the prior year. The contribution from our customer supply and trading business increased by $0.06 per share, primarily due to higher margin in our customer facing business and compared to a relatively weaker contribution in the prior year comparable quarter. Gas Infrastructure and all other impacts reduced earnings by $0.01 and $0.05 per share respectively versus 2022.

Speaker 2

Energy Resources had strong quarter of origination capitalizing on strong renewables demand environment. Since the last call, we added approximately 20 20 megawatts of new and storage projects to our backlog, including roughly 13 70 megawatts of solar, 4 50 megawatts of storage and 200 megawatts of wind. With these additions, our renewables and storage backlog now stands at over 20.4 gigawatts, net of projects placed in service and provide strong visibility into our future growth. With more than a year and a half remaining before the end of 2024, We are now within the 2023 to 2024 development expectations range. Given the volatility in gas and power prices over the last year and a half, We continue to see economics driving long term decision making and renewables remain the clear low cost option for many customers.

Speaker 2

On the supply solar supply chain front, we continue to take constructive steps to mitigate potential future disruption. Nearly every one of our suppliers has repositioned their supply chains to manufacture solar panels in Southeast Asia using wafers and cells produced outside of China and all our suppliers are expected to meet the criteria established in the Commerce Department's preliminary determination in and the 2022 circumvention case by the end of 2023. Additionally, we are focused on further diversifying our supply chain and are currently advancing discussions to support the domestic production of solar panels. Finally, we are encouraged by the improvement in the flow of panels into the U. S.

Speaker 2

As suppliers continue to provide the requested traceability documentation to U. S. Customs and Border Protection. Also, during the quarter, we closed on the previously announced transaction to acquire a large portfolio of operating landfill gas to electric facilities that I mentioned earlier. The approximately $1,100,000,000 transaction represents an attractive opportunity for Energy Resources to realize double digit returns on this investment, while expanding its portfolio of renewable natural gas assets and growing its in house capabilities and rapidly expanding renewable fuel market.

Speaker 2

Turning to green hydrogen. We are excited about the role it is expected to play as a solution to help our customers cost effectively lower emissions. As the world leader in renewables and a leader in battery storage, we believe we are the logical partner for green hydrogen with significant interconnection and land inventory positions and deep market expertise to help our potential partners optimize some of the best green hydrogen sites around the country. As a result, with the right regulations, we see hydrogen quickly becoming a significant technology for our customers A new growth driver for Energy Resources given the number and size of the opportunities we are evaluating. Earlier this month, NextEra Energy joined a coalition of 45 other companies with a combined approximately 1 $1,000,000,000,000 in market capitalization and sending a letter to the Secretaries of Energy and Treasury and the White House advocating for programmatic policies for the implementation of the IRA's green hydrogen production tax credit.

Speaker 2

This coalition is advocating for prudent policy that will foster investment in green hydrogen technology, paving the way for the U. S. To become the world leader in hydrogen technology. A key aspect of this policy is for the electricity consumed for green hydrogen production to be matched to its renewable power generation on an annual rather than an hourly basis. We believe that an annual matching construct has several benefits over hourly, including Lower green hydrogen prices, more renewables being built, a significant reduction in carbon emissions and Green hydrogen achieving cost parity with gray and blue hydrogen, both of which rely on fossil fuels for their production.

Speaker 2

This viewpoint is supported by numerous third party studies from respected entities such as Wood Mackenzie, Rodeo Group, Energy Futures Initiative, Energy and Environmental Economics and MIT Energy Institute. As we continue to work with the industry and government representatives to progress a smart hydrogen policy, we are also advancing our green hydrogen development efforts, including a recently executed memorandum of understanding for a joint venture with CF Industries, the world's largest producer of ammonia to develop excuse me, to deliver green hydrogen to an existing CF Industries ammonia production facility, which it intends to expand and incorporate green hydrogen into its production process. The proposed Facility includes an approximately 450 Megawatt Renewable Energy Solution, powering a 40 tons per day hydrogen facility. This project, combined with other opportunities we are pursuing, represents significant momentum for green hydrogen, which we believe will continue to be a driver of new renewables growth going forward. Our team Continues to engage with multiple potential partners and customers on hydrogen projects representing over $20,000,000,000 of capital investments and requiring more than 15 gigawatts of new renewables to support.

Speaker 2

As we focus on leading the decarbonization of the U. S. Economy, building additional transmission is essential to support long term renewables deployment. We believe our ability to build, own and operate transmission is a key competitive advantage for our renewables business in addition to being a terrific investment opportunity. We are pleased that the California ISO recently recommended for approval approximately $400,000,000 in transmission and substation upgrades for NextEra Energy Transmission, subject to approval by the CAISO Board of Governors in May.

Speaker 2

We believe these projects along with others could unlock up to 11 gigawatts of new renewable generation that could be built to support California's ambitious clean energy goals. Turning now to the consolidated results for NextEra Energy. For the Q1 of 2023, GAAP earnings attributable to NextEra Energy were $2,080,000,000 or 1 point and $0.04 per share. NextEra Energy's 2023 1st quarter adjusted earnings and adjusted EPS were approximately $1,678,000,000 and $0.84 per share, respectively. Adjusted earnings for the Corporate and Other segment decreased results by $0.03 per share year over year, primarily driven by higher interest rates.

Speaker 2

In March, S and P affirmed all its ratings for NextEra Energy and lowered its downgrade threshold for its Funds from operations or FFO to debt metric from the previous level of 20% to the current level of 18%. In making this favorable adjustment, S and P acknowledged improvement in Energy Resources business risks following the passage of the IRA, particularly noting the improved visibility and clarity into long term cash flows. At the same time, S and P adjusted its treatment of non recourse project debt associated with FERC regulated investments to bring it back on credit. We believe this overall favorable adjustment, which creates roughly 50 bps of additional Headroom against the downgrade threshold highlights the attractive risk profile of renewables and acknowledges the long term stable cash flows in Energy Resources business, particularly given the benefits of the IRA. Finally, as we have discussed in the past, we actively enter into various interest rate swaps products to manage interest rate exposure on future debt issuance.

Speaker 2

Today, we have $21,000,000,000 of interest rate swaps at NextEra Energy to help mitigate the impact of potential future increases in rates, which exceeds the notional value of our 2023 2024 maturities. And as always, the current interest rate environment is taken into account in our financial expectations. Our long term financial expectations, which we extended earlier this year through 2026 remain unchanged, and we will be disappointed If we are not able to deliver financial results at or near the top end of our adjusted EPS expectation ranges in each year from 2023 to 2026, while at the same time maintaining our strong balance sheet and credit ratings. From 2021 to 2026, We also continue to expect that our average annual growth in operating cash flow will be at or above our adjusted EPS Compound annual growth rate range. We also continue to expect to grow our dividends per share at roughly 10% per year for at least 2024 off a 2022 base.

Speaker 2

As always, our expectations assume our usual caveats, including normal weather and operating conditions. Turning to NextEra Energy Partners. We believe we have never had more visible growth opportunities than we have today. We have the ability to grow in 3 ways: acquiring assets from Energy Resources, growing organically and buying assets from other third parties. With significant tailwinds from the IRA, Energy Resources' operating portfolio combined with its Backlog of projects and development expectations through 2026 total approximately 58 gigawatts, providing terrific visibility for Nexera Energy Partners and Energy Resources and continuing is continuing to grow in Innovative ways, adding new technologies and clean energy assets to its portfolio, such as RNG and Hydrogen.

Speaker 2

In addition to acquiring assets from Energy Resources, NextEra Energy Partners also has the ability to repower its existing assets with approximately 1300 megawatts of potential wind repowering already identified and many more opportunities expected to come as well as potential to locate storage at its existing renewable assets given the new standalone storage ITC. Finally, there are significant acquisition opportunities with renewable portfolios continuously being brought to market. Terra Energy Partners also has numerous ways it can finance this growth and we believe it can do so efficiently, given its ample liquidity and access to capital. At the end of the Q1, NextEra Energy Partners had $2,800,000,000 of liquidity and approximately $6,000,000,000 of interest rate swaps to manage future interest rate volatility on debt maturities through 2026. With regard to convertible equity portfolio financings, we can fund equity buyouts by delivering common units or utilizing our at the market or ATM program or a combination of both, and we believe we have ample liquidity to fund cash payments.

Speaker 2

Importantly, we have flexibility and we expect to leverage this flexibility to manage future buyouts to select the most efficient option. Using this flexibility, Nexa Energy Partners has now bought out 50% of the STX Midstream Convertible Equity Portfolio Financing through funds generated from a combination of the ATM program where NextEra Energy Partners was able to be opportunistic and cash from a subsidiary's revolving credit facility. With the buyouts of the 2018 convertible equity portfolio financing and 50% of the STX Midstream convertible equity portfolio financing complete, we estimate that the convertible equity portfolio financing structure has resulted in approximately 55% 64%, respectively, or 16,000,000 fewer units being issued compared to raising capital with underwritten block equity, all for the benefit of unitholders. For the balance of the year, buyouts are now expected to be limited to the remaining 50% of the STX Midstream convertible equity portfolio financing and 15% of the Net Renewables 2 convertible equity portfolio financing with the equity portion of these buyouts requiring common units of approximately $280,000,000 $130,000,000 respectively. Over the next 8 months, we have flexibility and time to opportunistically manage these buyouts in the most efficient way.

Speaker 2

For each buyout, we have the flexibility to deliver common units to the convertible equity portfolio financing investor, utilize the AEM program or some combination of the 2. Ultimately, we will select the most efficient option. In any event, the potential unit issuance from these buyouts are not expected to exceed an average of 3 days of total trading volume per quarter, which we expect will make them quite manageable. Most importantly, NextEra Energy Partners' growth expectations through 2026 already factored in its financing plan, including convertible equity portfolio financing buyouts at current trading yields. Turning to distribution growth.

Speaker 2

Yesterday, the NextEra Energy Partners Board declared a quarterly distribution of $0.8425 per common unit or $3.37 per common unit on an annualized basis, up approximately 15% from a year earlier. Inclusive of this quarter, NextEra Energy Partners has grown its LP distribution per unit, up nearly 3 50% since the IPO. Today, we are pleased to announce that NextEra Energy Partners has entered into an agreement with Energy Resources to acquire an approximately 6.90 Megawatt portfolio of long term contracted operating wind and solar projects and attractive cash available for distribution yield. The high quality portfolio has a cash available for distribution, weighted average remaining contract life of approximately 16 years An average customer credit rating of BBB at S and P and Baa2 at Moody's Investors Service. Nextera Energy Partners expects to acquire the portfolio for approximately $708,000,000 subject to closing adjustment and is inclusive of the portfolio's existing project debt and interest rate swaps, which are estimated to be approximately $142,000,000 In addition to the approximately $708,000,000 purchase price, Energy Partners is also expected to assume the portfolio's existing tax equity financing balance.

Speaker 2

The remaining purchase price is expected to be funded by a combination of new project finance debt and the corporate revolving credit facility. The portfolio of assets is expected to contribute adjusted EBITDA of approximately $110,000,000 to $130,000,000 and cash available for distribution prior to the existing project debt service of approximately 62,000,000 dollars to $72,000,000 each on a 5 year average annual run rate basis beginning December 31, 2023. The transaction is expected to close in the Q2 of this year. Additional details on the portfolio of assets acquired by NextEra Energy Partners can be found in the appendix of today's presentation. NextEra Energy Partners will remain opportunistic pursuing acquisitions in 2023 And with the closing of the transaction announced today, Nexa Energy Partners expects to be well positioned to meet its year end 2023 adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution run rate expectations.

Speaker 2

Turning to the detailed results, Natera and G Partners delivered 1st quarter adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution results in line with management's expectations. Adjusted EBITDA of $447,000,000 increased by $35,000,000 versus the prior year, driven primarily by favorable contributions from the approximately 1200 net megawatts of new projects acquired in 2022. Both adjusted EBITDA and cash available for Distributions were negatively affected by lower resource from existing projects. Additionally, cash available from distribution was lower versus the prior year comparable period due to incremental debt service and timing of pay go pay. Looking forward, in the second half of twenty twenty three, we expect strong Double digit growth in adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distribution to support NextEra Energy Partners LP distribution per unit growth expectation range of 12% to 15% for the full year 2023.

Speaker 2

Additional details are shown on the accompanying slide. NextEra Energy Partners continues to expect run rate contributions for adjusted EBITDA and cash available for distributions from its Forecasted portfolio at December 31, 2023 to be in the ranges of $2,220,000,000 to $2,420,000,000 and $770,000,000 to $860,000,000 respectively. As a reminder, year end 2023 run rate projections reflect Calendar year 2024 contributions from the forecasted portfolio at year end 2023 and include the impact of IDR fees, which we treat as an operating expense. As always, our expectations are subject to our usual caveats, including normal weather and operating conditions. From a base of our Q4 2022 distribution per common unit at an annualized rate of $3.25 We continue to see 12% to 15% growth per year in LP distributions as being a regional range of expectations through at least 2026.

Speaker 2

We continue to remain comfortable with these growth expectations. And in fact, even at the current trade yield, Energy Resources portfolio loan is just one way NextEra Energy Partners believes it can meet its growth expectations through 2026. For 2023, we expect the annualized rate of the Q4 2023 distribution that is payable in February 2024 to be in a range of $3.64 to 3 point 7 to achieve our 2023 distribution growth of 12% to 15%. In summary, we continue to believe That both NextEra Energy and NextEra Energy Partners are well positioned to continue delivering on their long term growth prospects. At FPL, that means on smart capital investments to deliver on its customer value proposition of low bills, high reliability and outstanding customer service.

Speaker 2

At Energy Resources, that means leading the decarbonization of both the power sector and non power sector and leveraging its competitive advantage to capitalize on low cost renewals and new emerging technologies like green hydrogen. At Nextera Energy Partners, we expect to capitalize on its unmatched growth Visibility to further expand its best in class clean energy portfolio to provide long term distribution growth for unitholders. With that, we are happy to address your questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. The first question comes from Steve Fleishman with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.

Speaker 3

Yes. Thank you. Good morning. So first, a couple of questions on the NEP drop. So just I think you're looking at the CAFD yield as kind of The midpoint of the CAFD range over the $708,000,000 which I guess would be about 9.5%.

Speaker 3

If you were You know, kind of over time exclude the project debt and exclude the project debt from the base and exclude the payments of the project debt, How does that compare to the 9.5 yield?

Speaker 2

Yes. So, yes, good morning, Steve. Thank you for the question. So, you're right. The math you're doing is correct.

Speaker 2

So, You're taking the on an unlevered basis, it is a 9.5 CAFD yield. So At the midpoint of the CAFD that we provided is a 9.5 CAFD yield. And the reason for that, Steve, is because the debt that is included Is going to be paid off in about 3 years. And so we felt like that was the appropriate way to present the CAFD yield. If you included The debt, it would actually be a much higher CAFE yield.

Speaker 2

It would be a 10.4 CAFE yield. And so But as you're probably aware, we've typically provided that figure as an unlevered number.

Speaker 3

Okay, great. That's helpful. And then the amount of tax equity, just to kind of round this out?

Speaker 2

Sure, Sure. Yes, the amount of tax equity is $165,000,000 and that will be disclosed in the 10 Q that we'll be filing either later today or tomorrow.

Speaker 3

Okay. And Kirk, I think you said something about the growth through 26 could just come from the I don't know if that was from the NEP portfolio or I guess maybe from the NEAR portfolio. Could you just clarify what you said there?

Speaker 2

Yes, yes. Happy to do that, Steve. So, look, as I shared in our prepared remarks, we have Nexa Energy Partners, The growth visibility that NextEra Energy Partners has never been better. And when you think about The visibility that has been enhanced really with the passage of the IRA and just take through the 3 steps that we go through, the 3 ways that NextEra Energy Partners can grow. And Energy Resources and you look at the existing portfolio that exists today at And then you combine that with the current backlog, which today is 20.4 gigawatts and then you combine that with the development expectations as we disclose, that's 58 gigawatts.

Speaker 2

And then you also consider the organic both opportunities that NextEra Energy Partners has and The passage of the IRA has really unlocked that optionality that exists in the portfolio at NextEra Energy Partners. And so we now have tremendous opportunity to grow organically through repowerings. And as we said, we're pursuing 1.3 gigawatts of repowerings now, and we also have the ability to Okay. Co locating storage within the footprint as well. And then obviously, as you know, Steve, there is just A tremendous number of renewable portfolios coming to the market and Nextera Energy Partners has had a history of being able to execute on those opportunities, Those 3rd party opportunities because of many of the advantages that we have in terms of being able to operate and cost of capital advantages.

Speaker 2

So NextEra Energy Partners has tremendous growth visibilities. But with respect to your question, the statement we made is When you're looking when we look at the ability to achieve the 12% to 15% LP distribution growth, We believe we can achieve that just at looking at Energy Resources portfolio alone And that's based at the current trading yield as well and includes Our current financing plan that assumes the buyout of all the convertible equity portfolio financing as well.

Speaker 3

Okay. That's helpful. I'm sure others will have questions on that topic. But one other thing, I guess, just on the overall Renewables Development Environment, maybe Rebecca, you could just talk to what the we've now seen, I think some stabilization in a lot of the pressures last year, but we've also seen lower gas prices. Just when you look at the overall Environment, could you give us some kind of color what you're seeing and conviction on hitting the development targets that you have out there Or maybe hopefully better.

Speaker 3

Thanks.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Eva. Good morning. So we continue to see a very strong Renewables development environment. And I think the 2 gigawatts that we added to the backlog is a great sign of that. And it's a mix of Wind, solar and battery storage in that portfolio and the conversations that we continue to have both with Customers in the power sector as well as customers outside of the power sector remain quite robust.

Speaker 4

And if anything, I'm concerned about Whether or not we have we and everybody else have enough renewables in order to support the demand in short and of course longer term, we are Accordingly to make sure that we have all the projects available for our customers. I'd say if there was one thing that I've seen change Over the last year in our discussions with our customers, it's really an increased emphasis on Partners that have the ability to execute. It's not lost on anybody inside the power sector or outside the power sector That the demand for renewables is really strong and there are challenges to building projects successfully and ultimately operating them long term for And our conversations with customers now reflect that I think appropriately. And we've had some terrific Engagements with customers across the board about making sure that we are building what they need for the long term and their needs are quite significant. The other thing I would highlight that's been very significant development over the last year and really in the last 9 months since the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act It's really around hydrogen.

Speaker 4

And I know we've talked about it a lot. And today, we wanted to give you some additional color on what we're seeing. And I think that $20,000,000,000 of pipeline projects with partners and customers that we're now working on and honestly that's growing by a day And requires just for that $20,000,000,000 worth of projects over 15 gigawatts of new renewables to be built to support them. This is unlike any time that we've seen in our industry and of course in our company's history of being able to have significant visibility to tremendous growth and tremendous innovation across the board. We couldn't be more excited about what's ahead.

Speaker 3

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Julien Dumoulin Smith with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Hey, good morning, team. Thank you for the time. Glad to be done here. Just first, following up with the backlog, just can you Elaborate a little bit on what you're seeing here. It seems like you're adding beyond 2026.

Speaker 5

How are you thinking about potential for acceleration here Off of the numbers that you've articulated thus far in the 4 year period? And then related, how much of that is hydrogen in total? If you can kind of give us at least some initial disclosure on that front.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Julian. It's Rebecca. I'll take that.

Speaker 5

So we continue to feel

Speaker 4

and I didn't And I didn't directly answer Steve's question, so I appreciate you giving me another shot at it. I feel very good about our development expectations across the board. Obviously, we're now we're at the low end of the range for 2023 2024 and continue to feel Very well positioned to meet the longer term expectations across the 4 year period. And with the comments I just made and Kirk made on the call, We couldn't be more excited about what's beyond the 2026 timeframe. I do think the hydrogen opportunity is probably more, well, Probably, it is definitively more past 2026 than in 2026 for a lot of practical reasons, not least of which Is needing clarity on the treasury guidance, which of course affects the customer discussions that we're having today.

Speaker 4

It also affects the way manufacturers are Committing to their ramp up of their capabilities to produce electrolyzers in particular. And of Of course, as that clarity comes to fruition and hopefully in particular we realize the annual matching guidance for the hydrogen production tax credit, All of that will start to accelerate. And then on top of that, we continue to see tremendous innovation across the cleantech space. Just over the last 2 years, I was looking at the numbers from Bloomberg New Energy Finance and it's $100,000,000,000 invested in cleantech across the venture capital space. So just tremendously exciting innovations that we're seeing and I think will really make a huge difference in the latter part of this decade.

Speaker 5

Excellent. Thank you. And just quickly going back to NEF quickly, how do you think about using ATM to buy out the remaining CEPAs As they come due further, should we assume issuing new set this on a rolling basis as credit facilities are refinanced, right? Again, obviously, right now, this is sort of temporary financing in some respects. And then ultimately, how do you think about the IDR, potential holidays and other tools in the current environment?

Speaker 2

Right. So Julian, I'll try to work off all those questions and team will make sure I get to them all. So The first question was around the use of the ATM. So look, as we shared in the prepared remarks, We have the flexibility to be opportunistic to use To deliver to the investor either directly units or to use the ATM On the buyouts. And so you should expect us to use that flexibility and to be opportunistic Around that those options.

Speaker 2

And so if we go to the ATM, there's some You to go into the ATM at times to deliver and there's also There'll be times where it's just beneficial to deliver the unit. So we have both those tools and we can use them. In terms of using CPIS in the future, as we share today, The CPAs have provided benefits for unitholders. And when you compare it to the alternative, which is Doing an underwritten block equity deal when you compare those 2, as we presented on the slide, It has saved unitholders considerably more than 16,000,000 units. And when you compare those 2, I think that slide is does a really nice job laying out the benefits.

Speaker 2

And so as we've always done, We will look at what's the best financing option when it's time to finance an acquisition. And we look at all the different financing tools that we have. And as we shared today, When we build our financing plan and when we think about delivering on our LP distribution growth, We build a financing plan into those financing expectations, and that includes The conversion of the outstanding units. And certainly, if we're going to use a new CPIF, we will build that into the financing plan and what that means in terms of being able to continue to deliver on the expectations. And I believe your third question was around what are the other is there going to be something around You know, an IDR holiday or something like that.

Speaker 2

Look, as I shared in responding to Steve's comment, we have Tremendous growth opportunities and tremendous growth visibility at NextEra Energy Partners. We have a lot of flexibility in terms of being able to finance that growth. The acquisition that we announced today, I think, is A really strong indication of how we can acquire a very attractive Set of assets for unitholders. And so we feel very good about being able to Acquire assets and support growth. And so We are focused on being able to tap into that growth visibility And deliver to unitholders that way.

Speaker 5

Yes. Hey, Julien.

Speaker 6

Our first preference, I think, would be to issue shares directly to SEPIF Investors. This was a situation where we were able to use the ATM for the first 50% of the STX buyout Very optimistically and we could do it basically at a 0 discount and it made a lot of sense To be able to do it that way. It's great to have the flexibility when you have opportunities like that, that are presented by the ATM to be able to execute on them. So it's a nice tool to have in the toolkit. But again, we have ultimate flexibility in terms of If opportunities present themselves that are very attractive under the ATM, we can Explore those opportunities.

Speaker 6

But again, we always have the chance to just give the shares directly to The SEPIF holder, we're always going to do whatever is most efficient for unitholders. We had a slide in the deck today that I think You know, demonstrates the value of the SEPIF, the 54% savings on the BlackRock conversion back in 20 'eighteen, roughly the 65%, 66% savings and the 50% STX buyout that we've Accomplished so far today. But at NEP, right now, we are very focused on execution for the things that Kirk has already gone through. We've got great growth visibility, Attractive acquisition today at a 9.5% CAFD yield and we have a lot of ways to finance the business going forward. There's never been More capital chasing renewables than there is today.

Speaker 6

There are 1,000,000,000 and 1,000,000,000 and 1,000,000,000 of dollars Sitting on the sidelines, waiting to find a home around renewable assets. So feel very good about the way NEP is positioned. NEP is also very important in knee. It's a great way to recycle capital, That provides tax optimization benefits. We continue to get distributions from assets that we drop And to NEP, so the relationship between the two companies is very strong, has been very successful for both.

Speaker 6

We've got a lot of levers. NEPA is very

Speaker 5

well positioned.

Speaker 2

Thank you, guys. Thanks, John.

Operator

The next question comes from Shahriar Pourreza with Guggenheim Partners. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Hey, guys. Good morning. Just real quick on rounding out on net. So I guess the latest portfolio acquisition, the midpoint CAFD yield 9.5%, And it's a bit higher than some of the prior ones. I guess, do you still see attractive economics on new acquisitions?

Speaker 7

Is it enough To balance out the dilution from the legacy CPF conversions. So I guess I'm kind of asking a question on accretive economics versus The cost of capital there.

Speaker 4

Shar, I think the answer very simply is yes. We think there are tremendously Attractive acquisitions for NEP, and as John just highlighted, Energy Resources also finds itself in a position of wanting to recycle capital. So there's a lot of synergy in that. And I think we will always continue to focus on current market conditions When we're thinking about divestitures from a near perspective and acquisitions from a net perspective. And as Kirk highlighted and John emphasized, We factor all of that in as we think about the expectations of NEP going forward and remain very comfortable with NEP's ability to grow The 12% to 15% distributions per unit through 20% to 6% as we've iterated and having a tremendous amount of both financing flexibility and visibility to that growth through all the avenues that Kirk highlighted.

Speaker 7

Got it. And then just on NxThera in general and in terms of sort of the inputs we've seen, you guys have announced several earnings accretive data points since last You're right. You've got the RNG acquisition, hydrogen, organic transmission growth and some incremental visibility on FPL Solar deployment. Do any of these investments kind of displace the CapEx you guys embedded in plan at the Analyst Day? Is there any sort of headwinds we Should we thinking about and ultimately do you anticipate this to start being accretive to your plan from let's say 25 to 26 timeframe Actually, as we're thinking about the 6% to 8%.

Speaker 2

So Shar, this is Kirk. Look, we are always as you know, capital is fungible. We're always looking at what all kinds of investment opportunities we have. We lay out when We laid out the plan at the investor conference. That was certainly pre IRA.

Speaker 2

The world has changed a little bit As a result of that, but fundamentally, we feel very good about executing and delivering on The adjusted EPS expectations that we laid out, we obviously are Before at the time of the Investor Day, hydrogen wasn't an economic product. Green hydrogen was not an economic product. It is today because of The IRA. And so we're running hard at it. But as Rebecca also outlined, The reality is that is probably a post-twenty 26 realization in terms of what how it's going to translate into benefit.

Speaker 2

So there's a lot that we're running after and a lot we're looking at. But Most of this is things that we were evaluating and thinking about at the time of the investor conference So it's things that are going to really come to fruition post 2026 and Really either part of the plans, post plans, but all things that are supporting ultimately The things that we laid out and feel comfortable about in terms of delivering adjusted EPS for 26.

Speaker 7

Terrific. Thank

Speaker 3

you, guys. Appreciate it.

Operator

The next question comes from Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Hi, good morning.

Speaker 2

Hi, good morning.

Speaker 8

Just wanted to touch base a little bit more on supply chain, if you could. If you might be able to provide a bit more commentary on how flow panels stand today versus Few years back and also as well as bringing the supply chain onshore, just wondering if you could provide a little bit more color on how what timeline you see that

Speaker 5

Sure.

Speaker 2

So as we shared in our prepared remarks, I mean, we've spent a lot of time Thinking about supply chain, working with suppliers, it has been a very comprehensive effort. It's been looking both globally and then obviously here domestically as well. Look, there is lots of things to think through domestically. We're continuing to work through that As well. It is about trying to evaluate Where in the supply chain there might be opportunities in terms of How to participate.

Speaker 2

But the way to think about that, Jeremy, is Our view has always been we could be supportive through an anchor order. We could help provide Support through that mechanism. That continues to be our preferred approach. And we're working with various potential partners in discussions that way. And that's continued those discussions continue to occur.

Speaker 8

Got it. And just flow of panels today, just wondering how that stacks up versus where it was a few years ago?

Speaker 6

Yes, this is John. So the flow of panels is going very well. As Kirk said, we've been active with The customs border patrol and panels are now flowing through the ports. Really don't see any material delays to Many of our projects, so feel good about that. And as Kirk said, I mean, we're an active the great thing about A company like NextEra with the capital spend that we have and the sophistication that we have around running a global supply chain, We have a lot of options, a lot of options, a diversified set of options globally.

Speaker 6

And we're exercising those options and we're exploring new opportunities As well, obviously, there's a lot of interest in working directly with NextEra given the amount of buying power that we have. We will always be The preferred customer for each of these suppliers, just given the scale at which we purchase. And that allows us To drive attractive arrangements, which we think will really help make the business even more competitive Going forward, and so we're we have launched a number of those efforts, both domestically and looking at some other diversification Opportunities globally that will even better position the business than it's ever been before going forward To really capitalize on the competitive advantage we have in terms of the buying power around the supply chain.

Speaker 8

Got it. That's helpful. I'll leave it there. Thanks.

Operator

The next question comes from Durgesh Chopra with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Hey, good morning team. Thanks for taking my question. All my other questions have been And so just quickly wanted to follow-up on the 10 year site plan. Maybe can you just remind us what are sort of the key milestones for us to watch From here on from a regulatory standpoint for you to get approvals, etcetera, etcetera? And then just second, would this be The spending here, you mentioned post 2025.

Speaker 9

Would some of this spending investment be accretive to the current plan you have through 2026? Thank you.

Speaker 10

So it's Armando. The way to think about it is for the rest of the time under the settlement agreement that we have at FPL, So through the end of 2025, what you see in the 10 year site plan is what we have in our Right. There's no additional amounts that will be added to that CapEx. So it's really about 26 moving forward. In terms of approval at the Public Service Commission, you'll see that As we provide the information for our next rate case, most That will all of that, all of the big generation in there is solar and there's also some storage in there.

Speaker 10

So there's no Additional CapEx through 2025 and most of that you will see when we update our expectations at some point beyond 'twenty six.

Speaker 9

Got it. So the approval, Armando, thank you for that. I appreciate it. The approval of this plan comes through the rate case process?

Speaker 10

Well, the approval comes through either the rate case process because we've got CapEx that we've invested just as general infrastructure Or it will come through 1 of the 2 solar programs that we have today. So our SOBRA Solar program and also our SolarTogether solar program. The SoBRA and SolarTogether solar program, as long as we stick within the guidelines That we reached in the last settlement, those will get approved on an annual basis.

Speaker 9

Got it. Thanks so much. Much appreciated. Thank you, guys.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. The conference has also now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may all now disconnect.

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Earnings Conference Call
XPLR Infrastructure Q1 2023
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