Performance Food Group Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
May 10, 2023

There are 14 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good day, and welcome to PFG's Fiscal Year Q3 2023 Earnings Conference Call. I would now like to turn the call over to Bill Marshall, Vice President of Investor Relations for PFG. Please go ahead, sir.

Speaker 1

Thank you, and good morning. We're here with George Holm, PFG's CEO and Patrick Hatcher, PFG's CFO. We issued a press release regarding our 2023 fiscal Q3 results This morning, which can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website atpfgc.com. During our call today, Unless otherwise stated, we are comparing results to the same period in our 2022 fiscal Q3. As a reminder, in the Q2 of fiscal 2022, We changed our operating segments to reflect how we manage the business.

Speaker 1

The results discussed on this call will include GAAP and non GAAP results adjusted for certain items. The reconciliation of these non GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP measures can be found at the back of the earnings release. As a reminder, In the fiscal Q1 of 2023, we updated our segment reporting metrics to adjusted EBITDA from the prior EBITDA metric. Accordingly, the segment results for the Q3 of 2022 have been restated to reflect this change. Our remarks on this call and in the earnings release contain forward looking statements and projections of future results.

Speaker 1

Please review the cautionary forward looking statements section in today's earnings release And our SEC filings for various factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our forward looking statements and projections. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to George.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Bill. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our call today. I'm excited to speak to you today about our fiscal Q3 results and outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year. Once again, our organization And very strong cash flow in the quarter. This allowed us to invest behind growth initiatives and pay down debt, In June, we laid out 3 key strategic priorities: Consistent profitable top line growth, adjusted EBITDA margin expansion and leverage reduction.

Speaker 2

I am pleased with Our organization has internalized these initiatives and made rapid progress on all three. We are achieving these goals with contributions from each of As you saw in our press release this morning, Our adjusted EBITDA in the fiscal Q3 was once again ahead of our guidance. As a result, we are raising and tightening our adjusted EBITDA guidance range Our financial success in the fiscal Q3 was achieved despite decelerating inflation in the foodservice business. This will bring back the market to a more typical operating condition. In the meantime, we have been able to offset a lower inflation benefit Through market share gains within highly profitable channels, rapid growth in high margin products and disciplined cost controls.

Speaker 2

We're very pleased to see our organic volume growth accelerate in the fiscal Q3. This reflects strong market share gains in the independent restaurant channel, Solid growth at Vistar and consistent progress selling food and food service into the convenience channel. It is not a coincidence that each of these areas are also where we generate the highest returns, best profit margins To our typical best in class sales and service levels to customers, we continue to see a tailwind from improving inbound and outbound fill rates, Particularly at Vistar and Convenience, foodservice fill rates are essentially back to normalized pre pandemic levels. As Hill rates at Vistar and Convenience continue their steady march forward, we would expect it to support further volume gains. Let's review several highlights from each of our reportable segments and then I will provide my thoughts on the current environment.

Speaker 2

As I mentioned earlier, we were very pleased with the progress in our case growth during the fiscal Q3. In Foodservice, this was led by our independent business, which saw organic case growth of 8.3% year over year. Some of the outperformance was certainly due to the benefit of an easier comparison Due to the Omicron impact early in Q3 of last year. However, we were encouraged by the resiliency of independent case growth More so than increased penetration in existing accounts. This trend continued to a large extent in the fiscal Q3, Though we did see an increase in cases per account year over year.

Speaker 2

With that said, new account growth Rapid growth in total new accounts coupled with year over year increases in cases per account should be a strong combination for our case growth in future periods. This is also reflected in our market share momentum, which remains robust. Our daughter shows consistent market share improvement in the independent channel, both on a case and dollar basis. As you know, we define an independent restaurant as an operator with fewer than 5 locations. We have remained consistent in this definition.

Speaker 2

We are very pleased with the progress the foodservice team has made with our independent restaurant business, which goes beyond the headline case growth quarters. The 3rd fiscal quarter of 2023 was no exception as Vistar reported nice revenue gains and adjusted EBITDA growth versus Vistar's success was broad based with double digit growth in vending, office coffee theater and concessions. There are several factors driving this success, including continued recovery in several of these channels as consumers increasingly We are also seeing a nice lift from improved fill rates as I mentioned in my earlier remarks. This is encouraging as the benefit is already being recognized despite fill rates still below historic levels. As the supply chain moves closer and closer Contributing to our sales momentum, but also accretive to our profit margins and returns.

Speaker 2

We are optimistic that Vistar will benefit from the combination of Our push into the convenience channel continues unabated with another quarter of double digit foodservice sales growth. We are particularly pleased with the pace of profit growth and convenience driven by strong results from higher margin products along with like for like margin improvement across Both nicotine and non nicotine businesses. As we have discussed with you in the past, the sales cycle for the convenience business tends to be long. However, we have a stable pipeline of new business opportunities, which we expect to drive sales and profit growth over the long term and produce nice Before turning it over to Patrick, who will provide additional detail on our financial results, I wanted to briefly discuss the recent inflation trends. As expected, we have seen inflation rates move lower month by month.

Speaker 2

On a consolidated basis, the pace of disinflation has been roughly in line with our model, which is the basis for our guidance. However, there has been divergence segment by segment. Inflation in foodservice has fallen quicker than anticipated, While this store and convenience have continued to experience persistently elevated year over year inflation rates, we feel very comfortable with our businesses' In summary, all three of our reportable segments had an excellent start to the calendar year, finishing our fiscal Q3 with strong volume momentum, favorable profit mix and tight cost controls. This led to a strong bottom line result, very solid cash flow generation and continued I'll now turn the call over to Patrick, who will provide additional detail on our Financial performance and outlook for the future. Patrick?

Speaker 3

Thank you, George, and good morning, everyone. As George discussed, we had an Once again, our adjusted EBITDA result came in above our guidance, resulting from better than anticipated gross profit performance and tight operating cost controls. As a result, we are raising and tightening our full year adjusted EBITDA guidance range. I will walk through our guidance in more detail shortly. We are also very pleased with our organization's ability to convert these profit results into cash flow.

Speaker 3

Operating cash flow generation provides us the Meanwhile, we have used our excess free cash flow to reduce our outstanding debt on our ABL revolving credit facility. That coupled with our adjusted EBITDA growth Moved our leverage to the midpoint of our target range. Let's walk through a few specifics on our cash flow and leverage. Through the 1st 9 months of fiscal 2023, PFG generates $657,200,000 of operating cash flow. After accounting for $177,000,000 of capital expenditures, PFG generated $480,000,000 of free cash flow over the past 9 months.

Speaker 3

We are very pleased with this cash flow result, which reflects strong cash generation during the fiscal Q3. Our operating and free cash flow is up significantly compared to the prior year in both the 3 9 month periods. This is a testament to our strong underlying fundamentals along with disciplined working capital management. We have also stepped up our capital expenditures to match the current and future growth prospects of our organization. Much of the spending goes towards building new capacity These facilities are equipped with updated equipment and technology, Making our business more efficient in addition to supporting our rapid growth.

Speaker 3

Over the past 9 months, we paid down our ABL facility by about $380,000,000 As a result, at the end of the Q3, our leverage ratio was 3.0x net debt to adjusted EBITDA On a trailing 12 month basis, our leverage is now right at the midpoint of our 2.5x to 3.5x target range. At the end of our fiscal Q3, about 79% of our outstanding debt was at a fixed rate, including swaps we have in place against We believe this is a very healthy position, particularly given the interest rate environment today. We expect to continue to manage our leverage within our target range, while keeping optionality for potential M and A and other value creating activities. I I want to take a moment to update you on our digital ordering platform, Customer First. As a reminder, Customer First is our new digital platform designed to provide customers Across our businesses with a better online ordering experience, we have made significant progress in the rollout.

Speaker 3

At this time, 90% of foodservice locations are in some stage of deployment and 100% of Vistar locations have access to customer first. We expect this platform to result in increased order sizes, improved customer retention and generate new business wins. It also leverages the entire PFG platform and is expected to generate cross selling opportunities. Feedback from the customers using the platform has been very positive and we continue to convert accounts. PFG has expertise Across food away from home channels and customer first allows our organization to unleash that potential.

Speaker 3

We are very excited about the progress we have made With that, let's quickly review some highlights from our fiscal 3rd quarter. PFG total company net sales increased 5% in the 3rd quarter to $13,800,000,000 Our net sales performance was driven by strong case growth, Somewhat impacted by lower levels of year over year inflation in foodservice. Total organic case volume increased 3.1% in the 3rd quarter, driven by growth of independent restaurants, performance brands, as well as gains in Vistar. Our total case growth was an acceleration from the prior two quarters Organic cases were flat for the total company year over year. Organic independent cases were up 8.3% in the Fiscal 3rd quarter, again an acceleration from the prior two quarters when organic independent case growth was in the mid-four percent range.

Speaker 3

Outperformance in independent case volume continues to reflect market share gains and new business wins in that important high margin business. And adjusted EBITDA increased 32 percent to nearly $315,000,000 Inflation continues to impact our business and continue to moderate due to lower year over year inflation in the Foodservice segment. Total company cost inflation was 7.2% in the quarter. This was the first period with single digit inflation since the 1st fiscal quarter of 2022. The deceleration was driven by our foodservice segment, which experienced 3.5% inflation in the fiscal 3rd quarter.

Speaker 3

5thstar inflation remained at the mid teen level in the quarter, while Convenience experienced another quarter with inflation just above 10%. Once again, inflation for both Vistar and Convenience were very similar to what they experienced in the prior two quarters. As George mentioned, we continue to expect Lower levels of inflation through the remainder of fiscal 2023, which is the assumption embedded in our outlook. As we've discussed on prior calls, decelerating inflation produces a short term headwind from inventory holding gains. In the fiscal Q4 of 2023 In the fiscal Q1 of 2024, holding gain comparisons will be elevated.

Speaker 3

With that said, our track record of offsetting this impact over the prior two quarters Total company 3rd quarter adjusted EBITDA margins increased 47 basis points compared to the prior year period. We remain very pleased with our ongoing margin improvement, demonstrating our organization's commitment to strong profit results despite challenges related to lower levels of inflation. Diluted earnings per share was $0.51 in the 3rd quarter and adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.83 As you saw in our earnings release, we have tightened our full year 2023 revenue outlook and raised and tightened our full year adjusted EBITDA range. For the full year, we now anticipate net sales in the range of $57,000,000 to $57,500,000,000 This range incorporates our strong case growth momentum, somewhat offset by lower levels of year over year inflation. Adjusted EBITDA now is anticipated to be in the range This 2023 expectation keeps us on track to achieve our 3 year fiscal 2025 targets we set at our June Investor Day.

Speaker 3

To wrap up, we are very encouraged by our 3rd quarter results, which saw continued progress on our 3 focus areas: sustained profitable sales growth, adjusted EBITDA margin expansion and lower leverage despite challenges in the external environment. We generated significant operating and free cash flow, which allowed us to pay down debt and move to the midpoint of our leverage target range. Our organization is executing our strategy and we believe we are well positioned to continue to create value for our shareholders over the long term. Thank you for your time today. We appreciate your interest in Performance Food Group.

Speaker 3

And with that, we'd be happy to take your questions.

Operator

And we will take our first question from John Heinbockel with Guggenheim Securities. Your line is now open.

Speaker 4

George, I want to start with the sales force, right, and the share gains. Because I think you disclosed At CAGNY, right, sales force growth is into the low double digits, which I don't think we've ever seen before. So maybe talk about that effort. Do you think that industry demand softens from here? And then does that sort of give you confidence that because of what you've done with sales, You can sustain, let's say, mid single digit or better growth in independent cases even in a slowdown.

Speaker 2

Yes. We're quite confident and adding the sales people I think was a big key for us. We've been real consistent on our increase in customers over the previous year all through this year. 6 7% is about where we've been running and we've had inconsistent month to month Sales growth. So the way we look at it is that, we're in a pretty consistent mode right now.

Speaker 2

And the variability that we have kind of week to week, month to month in sales growth is all macro. And if you look at the quarter that we just finished, we had extremely strong January because of light comparisons to Omicron, February, certainly not as good as January, but good. It softened Some in March, I think that was some cabin fever last year and just a real strong March last year. But that consistency of the 6% to 7% growth in number of customers held all the way through that period of time. We've also seen that So far in this quarter, we have kind of an odd calendar mismatch Where last year we had Cinco de Mayo, which is real big for us and Mother's Day, which of course is big, the same week last year.

Speaker 2

So This week that we're in right now, we're running unusually high growth, but I think it's just because We're up against the week after Mother's Day and we have Mother's Day. So it's hard to comment on this quarter, but the consistency is around that Continued increase in number of customers. And our hope is that, that number Continues to kind of be stable where it's at now and I think we're headed for maybe a more normal

Speaker 4

Okay. And then maybe a follow-up to that, right. So one of the things that has to happen here, I think, If inflation moderates and the top line moderates, labor, right, productivity has got to pick up and the labor drag has to get better. Some of that's, I guess, natural, but where are we on that process? And do you think we're at a point here where Labor productivity gets substantially better in the next 3 to 6 months.

Speaker 2

I think it will continue to get better. I don't know that we'll get back to pre COVID Numbers are not, we're certainly not there yet, but it does get better and it gets better on a very consistent basis. For us, we've had kind of a lull. If you look at it, we've really had a lull in case growth for normally where we're at and that's because our national account business continues To be negative from a case growth standpoint, I think it gave us some time to get stable, Get our workforce more stable and we feel like we're positioned to continue to get better productivity and Hopefully with that get better growth as well. But the labor market is improving.

Speaker 2

It is improving. Yes, it is.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

We will take our next question from Edward Kelly with Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Speaker 5

Hi, good morning guys. Nice quarter. I wanted to start on gross profit per case, up $0.55 It's still very impressive Despite lapping inventory gains, what looks like actually in Foodservice, it seems like there's some maybe sequential deflation in Foodservice, I was just hoping that you could unpack the drivers of this. Is there still any unusual inventory gain running through these numbers? I know you always have Inventory gains in some of these business, but what you would classify as unusual.

Speaker 5

And then how are you thinking about the outlook for gross profit per case In the coming quarters against all this?

Speaker 2

Yes. The inventory gains Last year in that fiscal Q3, we had a very good quarter for inventory gains. We made some wise buys, It was particularly in Convenience and Vistar and we were able to overcome that through just increased gross profit That number gets bigger in Q4 and then in Q1 of next year is when it peaks And then it normalizes after that. So, we're cautious around those quarters because of the amount of those gains. But of course, the quarter that we just finished gives us a lot of confidence going into that.

Speaker 2

We will have somewhat of a when I think Something that looks a bit like a hockey stick where this year we were a reverse hockey stick. But we look at Where we sit today and we have a lot of long term confidence. As far as gross profit per case goes, A lot of our increase in gross profit per case is mix related, both channel mix and customer mix. Anytime we have our independent growing at such a significant amount more than our national account business, we're going to increase our gross profit And Vistar, they've just been real consistent with that increase. And then we have that fulfillment business where we don't have the revenues, all we have is that gross profit per case and that I think that our profit per case will get better as we see better productivity.

Speaker 2

We made some significant gains there and I don't see these $0.50, dollars 0.55 gains per case as we get into next year.

Speaker 5

That's helpful. I guess maybe just a follow-up to that, George, you reiterated the fiscal 'twenty five outlook today. I think investors are kind of taking a step back and they're looking at what they think is some slowing in industry demand. Pretty sharp slowdown of inflation trends. And your outlook implies about maybe At the midpoint, 8% kind of EBITDA growth over the next couple of years.

Speaker 5

And I think there's some concern in the ability to achieve that against that backdrop. Can you just maybe talk about your confidence in the ability to do that? And I know it's early on 2024, but is there any like 25 waiting to that. Just any thoughts that you can provide, maybe to give investors a little bit of comfort around that?

Speaker 2

Well, we feel we're trying to be pretty cautious around the macro. I would call us confident around that the range that we've given today unless there was just something really unusual from From a macro standpoint, we've got a real good sales funnel. As we mentioned In the convenience area, it's a long sales cycle, but we have a particularly good funnel there. And we've been fairly quiet as far as pursuing national account type of business And we'll be a little bit more aggressive there now that we feel like we've got our arms around the labor and we have a pretty good idea What our cost structure is going to look like moving forward and we're hopeful that we can get we don't have anything Large from an M and A standpoint that we're looking at right now, but we're hoping that we can get a little bit of M and A in there as well. So All those things put together, I think we're pretty confident.

Speaker 2

You might want to comment on that too.

Speaker 3

Yes. Ed, I'll just jump in. I mean, as you mentioned, we did reiterate our 3 year guidance. And as George just mentioned, we do really expect inflation to normalize. And I would call out the things that we called out in Investor Day, our strategy is working.

Speaker 3

We are expanding margin. We're reducing leverage. We're growing sales. So we feel confident that that range that we've given for the 3 year guidance It's absolutely something we can still hit. And where we're growing, we're showing really quality earnings, again with independent restaurants,

Operator

We will take our next question from Alex Siegel with Jefferies. Your line is open.

Speaker 6

Thanks. Congrats on all the success. A question on the assumptions for the Q4 reflected in the Guidance update and I guess how much of the more modest revenue outlook at the midpoint kind of comes from the lower foodservice inflation versus Lower tobacco sales view or other dynamics there. And is the foodservice inflation, is that Actually flipping to slightly deflationary in the 4Q or is it still up a bit?

Speaker 2

I think we'll both Patrick and I will comment on that. Your comment with the Tobacco area that's certainly going to continue to be soft and there are very large revenues there. We feel that that will be the case, but we also feel that our Core Mark division will continue to manage their way through that. The inflation residing, I guess, going to really some deflation in foodservice And then there's a third component, and that's that we're modeling our national account customers in aggregate To be soft and they're continuing to run low single digit negative Cases and we don't want to model anything that shows that any difference. So I would say that would be the things around the revenue area.

Speaker 2

I'm going to comment a little bit more on inflation before I turn it over to Pat. But like a lot of things with us, we have such a varied customer mix That the inflation has come at different times. So in Foodservice, We're actually running much better pace growth than sales growth right now. We think that will turn back around and we'll start running moderate inflation and that hits Pretty immediate. When you get to our national account business and particularly the big casual dining chains, The inflation hit later there.

Speaker 2

They all have different cycles, but they tend to lock pricing in for Fairly lengthy periods of time. So that inflation came choppy. Some of it was fairly soon depending on their cycle. And when that's going to go away is when they go through that next cycle and then we expect that to be just low single digit type. Customized where a lot of the dollars are in the tobacco area, obviously that's going to show continued inflation, Pretty regular price increases and everything else has been through in some cases An additional price increase in some cases they just moved up when they normally do a price increase.

Speaker 2

And as we get to a normal environment and we start to lap those I think we'll see that come down to kind of low single digit. And then even within all that, Okay, which is complicated enough. We've had such a mix change in our foodservice business where Our business has just moved more and more towards higher case cost products and our cheese business has been particularly robust as has Our center of the plate business. So a lot of moving parts, but we think things are eventually going to look a lot like they did pre pandemic.

Speaker 3

Yes. I'll just make a couple of quick comments. I mean, again, we're really excited about our ability to raise guidance this morning. We've done this periodically throughout the year and we're really positive about where we're growing our business, again independent restaurants, Specifically, what's going on with inflation and then that year over year inventory gains. And then there's just some macroeconomic

Speaker 6

Benefits have been really impressive. I wanted to ask on the convenience business, Core Mark and any commentary there on The new business pipeline, any kind of surprises this continues to build and maybe expected timing of when Maybe you'd see some new business come online.

Speaker 2

I think that when we get to August will be a better time for us to comment on that. What I will say is that we feel real good with it. We once again, long sales cycle. We have some things that we feel are actionable. We've got to get some capacity in

Operator

We will take our next question from Kelly Bania with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Speaker 7

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking our questions. I guess I had 2 questions both on Vistar and And can you just help us be a little bit more clear on the magnitude of the inventory gains that you'll be cycling in the coming quarters

Speaker 2

Yes, I'll start with the service levels. They've continued to be well below pre pandemic. They are both businesses in Vistar and Convenience where you don't necessarily lose the sale. They may put another SKU In there, so that's not necessarily the case. So it's hard to determine What benefit we're getting as the service levels or fill rates get back to normal.

Speaker 2

The other thing is that many suppliers We reduced the number of SKUs that they offered during that period of time and we are starting to see some of that come back, Because something wasn't available, they put something in there. So I think that's probably real hard to determine. As far as inventory gains and what they were, We really would prefer not to get into that level of detail because we don't want to be in that level of detail forever. Inventory gains are part of our business, particularly in Convenience and in Vistar and It can be a significant part of the profit that we get from certain product areas because that's the time when it's When you produce your profit, otherwise you're just moving cases. Pat, I don't know if you have any other comments

Speaker 3

Kelly, I'll just refer you back to our Q1, when we had a beat, we did say on the call that the inventory gains helped, But they were not the majority of the dates, I'll just refer you back to that quarter.

Speaker 7

Okay. That's helpful. And I guess just maybe another question on inflation, a lot of investor questions on inflation. I presume it's falling quicker at the foodservice side of the business because of the fresh categories and the exposure there versus the More shelf stable categories at this start inconvenience, but I was just wondering if you could just walk us through what you're seeing in terms of elasticity As those fresh categories maybe come down and what you're seeing in the volume responses as a result, as well as Just the competition, are you seeing any change in the competitive environment as some of those fresh categories that had been elevated are really coming back down?

Speaker 2

Well, those perishable areas, it's always real competitive. Everybody through the cycle has to move the product. So I wouldn't say it's any different than it was before. And that is the bulk of the deflation that we're Seeing is from perishable product. There's also some deflation that really isn't the food itself, but Container loads, particularly when you get to imported product, the freight was so elevated For a while, we do a significant volume, particularly from Italy of imported products And the cost for shipping a container has gone from as high as 20,000 down to as low as 3,000.

Speaker 2

And when you spread that over the amount of cases that appears as if it's deflation, but it's not product deflation, it's just the supply chain Getting back under control, but for the most part, when you get into further process products, They fight very, very hard to get price increases through the system and they're not going to lower pricing. They may Take less of a price increase in their normal cycle and they may even skip a year. We don't know what they're going to do, but certainly reducing prices is not something that

Operator

We will take our next question from Brian Harbour with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Speaker 8

Yes, good morning. Thank you, guys. I just wanted to come back to the point you made earlier on kind of labor productivity. What do you think would prevent that from getting back to pre COVID levels? And what additional work do you think there is still to be done on the productivity side?

Speaker 2

I think it's just learning curve is the biggest. A warehouse job It's not extremely difficult other than the physicality of it, but there's still a learning curve and people climb The early stages of that learning curve very quickly and but they continue to get better at what they do and they continue to get more accurate. I think we have more benefit to get from that. And drivers, it was very short gone into COVID as far as Being able to get drivers, it was quite a shortage and it's probably right now similar to what it was pre COVID, not as bad as it was During the pandemic, but those people also, they get better and better as drivers And they learn the job, and they just get quicker and they get more accurate. We just have Got to have the patience to work people through that and I think that we should be able to get back to Pre COVID kind of productivity and that will mean a lot for us.

Speaker 8

Okay. Thank you. And then,

Speaker 9

George, I think

Speaker 8

in the past, you've commented just on some of the different customer segments within independents. What's kind of Where are you doing the best right now? You're also big in pizza, of course. I think we'd just be curious to know what you're seeing in kind of the pizza segment, for example?

Speaker 2

Pizza, we continue to do well. The segment itself is not doing as well as it did certainly during COVID. But we're continuing to run single digit growth, pretty much mid single digit growth, Not where we would like to be, but we're pleased when we get our market share information. We're doing very well in Hispanic. We're doing better than we've done in the past in fine dining area.

Speaker 2

It's not a huge Percentage of our business, but it's doing very well, particularly center of the plate. We've always done well

Speaker 10

Thank you.

Operator

We will take our next question from Mark Carden with UBS. Your line is open.

Speaker 11

Good morning.

Speaker 3

Thanks a

Speaker 11

lot for taking the questions. So you guys have posted some pretty strong private label results in recent quarters. Are you guys seeing Any changes in adoption as inflation comes down? Does it vary much by cuisine type? Or at this stage, is your brand equity Strong enough that you're continuing to see similar improvements in penetration?

Speaker 2

Well, we are continuing to see the percentage of our sales Our brands grow and it's consistent month to month. And we put a pretty big emphasis on that, but We put the biggest emphasis on making sure that we get the customer what they want. It's our center of the plate that's done really well. And when you get to a large category for us like pizza, that's by far our highest percentage our brand goes I think that if the macro gets worse, it will probably help everyone in our business with their brand The foodservice distributor tends to have a better price value on their brand than a national brand and we'll benefit from that. We're pleased with where we're at if it if we continue to see the month to month higher percentages That would be better yet, but we're real pleased where we're at.

Speaker 11

Makes sense. And then you guys have put together some pretty strong numbers once again in the independent

Speaker 2

Well, I'm going to speak more to what our customer base is, but Our independent customers are doing so much better than our chain customers are. And I think that We've been able to push them up the quality ladder as much as you can in this type of macro environment And they move fast and they can make changes. And I feel real good about the independent restauranteur. And I think that There's some great chains out there, but a lot of people just they want to go to something unique. They want a unique experience.

Speaker 2

They I just think it's resilient and I think it's going to continue to do very well.

Speaker 11

Great. Thanks so much. Good luck, guys. Thanks.

Operator

We will take our next question from Andrew Wolf with C. L. King. Your line is open.

Speaker 9

Thank you. Hey, good morning, everybody. I wanted to ask about operating expense growth In the Broadline business, which decelerated nicely, but it's still above case growth. And There are some things to unpack there. 1, I assume it's a lot more expensive overall for the supply chain, just to deliver to an independent.

Speaker 9

And Beyond that, since your mix is more to new independents, that adds another layer of expense. Could you give me a sense of or as an expense of How satisfied you are where you are now? And when you're talking about macro normalization, I assume it means the cost structure. How much more there is to come and what the timing of that

Speaker 2

Yes, I think there's 2 things there. I think that our productivity isn't where we need it to be and we're investing In people, so we have more our percentage increase in drivers and warehouse people exceed The increase in cases and we're really pushing the productivity and we're pushing down the amount of overtime that they have. And then we've invested heavily in this cycle in our sales force. We've slowed that down Some because we have a good bit of training to do, but we're still close to double digit over last year in number of salespeople and that's a big expense to carry When you're not growing at quite that rate. So I would say it's those two things.

Speaker 2

And we feel good about where our expense ratios are headed though. Our productivity keeps getting better and we have a confidence level around the new sales people and the productivity that we'll be able to get from them.

Speaker 9

If I could, I'd like to follow-up on some of your sales commentary. You said For the quarter, there was some penetration, but I heard it was obviously Omicron helped a lot with that. But is there anything sustainable with I think if I get the ICR conference you were saying Taste growth at same restaurants was not that good, lackluster or worse. Is there anything either changing in the market that maybe is improving or more likely Something you're doing with the sales management, that perhaps penetration might improve from here? Or is it Just going to vary with how your independents are doing.

Speaker 2

Well, I think a lot of it is just how our customers are doing. As I mentioned earlier, we have around increase in customers. We're not getting a lot of penetration into the customers as far as dollars. I mean, their purchases versus the previous year in cases And what we are seeing though when we get to the end of the month and run a report, We're adding SKUs. Those SKUs aren't showing up as more line items on the average order because the items Maybe they typically ordered it once a week and now they're ordering it 3 times a month or whatever.

Speaker 2

If they were using 15 cases of French fries a week before, maybe now they're 13. As we see more restaurants come back online, I've mentioned this several times, but these We truly are single purpose buildings and it is very, very rare that when a restaurant is vacant that something comes into that space other than a restaurant. And I think that'll all come together and level out as well and that'll once again look like pre COVID And you won't have this number of new restaurants coming online. And I think that The good operators are going to start running growth over the previous year as to where now, I mean, we see it In a big scale with our chain customers, they're just not running same store sales growth. I mean, there's exceptions to that Certainly, but for the most part, they're not.

Speaker 2

And I think the restaurant world is a lot more like

Speaker 9

Okay. And finally, George, you spoke about a sales funnel coming into convenience, I think you said with some national chains, is that? Things that are either in a bid process or you're more something a little more solid where you kind of in the last stages of Writing contracts and stuff, like how good do you feel about getting some customers there?

Speaker 2

I think just to comment that we have a really good sales funnel and it's a long sales cycle and that's really about all we can say. And once again that we feel good about where we're at.

Speaker 9

Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Andy.

Operator

We will take our next question from Jeff Bernstein with Barclays. Your line is open.

Speaker 12

Hi, good morning. This is Pradak on for Jeff. Thanks for the question. You've spoken about chain business declines the past couple of quarters. Just wanted to understand if that's something you're Consciously shedding some unfavorable accounts or is it a scenario where you see chains actually experiencing some decline That would be perhaps contrary to what we've heard from restaurants that have reported the past couple of weeks.

Speaker 12

And then I have a follow-up. Thanks.

Speaker 2

Yes. Well, as far as what restaurants are reporting, we have our stable mix of business and in aggregate they are running negative. And as far as shedding business, that's pretty rare for us We've done some of that. Sometimes we just feel like we need a certain fee to continue With the customer and pretty much we lose the business. It's just rare for us to fire a customer.

Speaker 2

But we're in a position right now, our business is pretty stable. We don't sell many people that we didn't sell a year ago and Almost everybody we had a year ago, we have now. So they're pretty good comparisons. And we would like to be more aggressive than we are now. Part of that was getting a handle on where our expenses are and we've had some real good improvement there And probably nothing more to say.

Speaker 2

Obviously, we're not going to comment on any customer, Particularly, but we have some good ones. We have some that are good accounts and they're good operators and they're just going through a difficult period right now.

Speaker 12

Got it. Makes sense. And if then I could pivot to M and A, you deleveraged nicely over the past Could you talk about the current environment and your opportunity to perhaps accelerate M and A when your smaller peers are presumably more

Speaker 2

Yes, I would think that this would be a real good time for us to do some M and A. I can't say that we have anything that's imminent. We're trying hard. I think it's also a time where It's difficult for somebody in private equity to do it where the debt markets are and they've been a competitor. So It's probably less competitive, but you still need 2 willing parties and we're working hard at it.

Speaker 2

And I don't have anything I can report We have coming, but we do feel like that we're in a position where so much of our debt is fixed and we have a good balance sheet. Where we need to be and we just need to get willing parties. I guess that would be the way to put it.

Operator

We will take our next question from Lauren Silverman with Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Speaker 13

Thank you very much and congrats on the quarter. I just first, you talked about new customer acquisition being consistent at that 6% to 7% rate. Is the wallet share penetration with these new customers consistent with what you see with historical cohorts, so to speak? And then second to that is, are you do you see the how long, I guess, does it take for that new customer to mature

Speaker 2

Because it's different than it has been in the past, we've been running a report every week where we look at New customers that we hadn't sold before and what their average order size is, it's not much different than our existing customers, Which typically in the past there has been a maturity about it. You tend to get a weaker position in the account to start and grow it from there. But right now, And it's an anomaly for us versus our past, but they're about the same size customer. I remember that 6% to 7% is a net number. So we also have unfortunately accounts that we lose, But the new ones we're bringing on, they're coming on as fairly mature looking accounts.

Speaker 13

Very helpful. And then just to follow-up, 3% case growth in the quarter benefited from outsized January. I know there's a lot of moving pieces between independents, chains and other parts of the business, but can you help us understand, just putting it all together, how you're thinking about total company case growth

Speaker 2

So much that us that is around that word mix. I mean a 3% case growth quarter can be very, very good for us And it could be very bad for us depending on how that affects the mix of business. But We're modeling in that basically

Speaker 3

3 to 5, Pat. Yes, that's right.

Speaker 2

And that's about what we're looking at right now. And we want to

Speaker 13

Very helpful. Thank you very much.

Operator

And we will take our next question from Joshua Long with Stephens Inc. Your line is now open.

Speaker 10

Great. Thank you for taking my question. I was curious if we could dive into some of the digital technology tools that you have. You mentioned your Customer First platform is Largely rolled out across foodservice at 90% and maybe 100% at Vistar. Just curious where you are in terms of being able to leverage that Now that it's largely rolled out and then as we think about kind of down the road, is there an opportunity to also leverage that across the convenience side as well?

Speaker 3

Yes. That's a great question. I appreciate it. One, as you mentioned, we talked about how it's rolled off over 90% of foodservice and 100 I do want to reiterate, we're very early in the process of onboarding customers. Food Service is coming along nicely and Vistar is doing a very good job of onboarding these new customers.

Speaker 3

And again, the feedback from the customers was Very positive. So we're really focused on providing them a great experience and allowing them to continue to work with their salesperson Even more closely as they use this digital tool to continue to buy more products. On convenience, absolutely. We just wanted to get this we're doing this on a step process. So first to assist our foodservice and then eventually we will target convenience as well.

Speaker 3

And then that really is when we can unlock some of these cross selling opportunities across all three segments with our customers.

Speaker 10

Got it. That's very helpful. I appreciate that. And one follow-up for me. Jared, when you think back to your comments about how fill rates are getting back towards pre pandemic levels, perhaps on lower Breadth of SKUs, does that maybe get back to from a SKU perspective, back to where we were prepayment.

Speaker 10

Is that a positive? Does that introduce incremental challenges from an operational perspective? Just how do you kind of interpret How would you what context could you add there just in terms of what it means from an operational or business perspective to see that SKU count start

Speaker 3

to rise again?

Speaker 2

Well, we haven't had a significant change in foodservice. So that is more towards Core Mark and Vistar. And I think that all in all, I would consider it a positive as they bring back SKUs, but obviously if they were real slow moving SKUs, We would probably look at that as maybe a slight negative. I just don't think that that's going to have a material change. We would rather See a supplier that's still struggling to get the supply chain right on the SKUs that they have today And then move from there into some additional SKUs, but we are still experiencing

Speaker 10

Understood. Thank you.

Operator

It appears we have no further questions on the line at this time. I will turn the program back over to Bill Marshall for any additional or closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Thank you for joining our call today. If you have any follow-up questions, please contact us

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Earnings Conference Call
Performance Food Group Q3 2023
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