Purple Innovation Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

There are 12 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Purple Innovation First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Cody McAllister of ICR.

Operator

Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you for joining Purple Innovation's Q1 2023 earnings call. A copy of our earnings press release is available on the Investor Relations section Purple's website at www.purple.com. I would like to remind you that certain statements we will make in this presentation are forward looking statements. These forward looking statements reflect Purple Innovation's judgment and analysis only as of today, and actual results may differ materially from current expectations based on a number of factors affecting the company's business. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward looking statements.

Speaker 1

For a more thorough discussion of the risks and uncertainties associated with the forward looking statements to be made in this conference call and webcast, We refer you to the disclaimer regarding forward looking statements included in our Q1 2023 earnings release, which was furnished to the SEC today on Form 8 ks as well as our filings with the SEC referenced in that disclaimer. We do not undertake any obligation to update or alter any forward looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Today's presentation will include reference to non GAAP financial measures such as EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per share. A reconciliation of these non GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures is available within the earnings release, which can be found on our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Rob DeMartini, Purple Innovation's Chief Executive Officer.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Cody, and thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. With me on the call today is Bennett Nussbaum, Purple's Chief Financial Officer. The Q1 played out largely as we expected from a financial perspective. Revenue was down approximately 24% year over year to $109,000,000 as our decision to reduce advertising spend by 50% combined with softer industry wide demand And a more challenging macroeconomic backdrop pressured our top line performance. In light of the lower sales volume this period, I am encouraged by the meaningful increase in gross margin we delivered.

Speaker 2

The work we've done over the past year rightsizing our cost structure and improving our supply chain and manufacturing efficiencies is yielding sustainable benefits. From a strategy standpoint, the Q1 was productive as we made progress, important progress, setting the business up for Proved results as the year unfolds and over the long term. As we outlined in our Q4 call in March, We introduced our broadest, most innovative product line ever at the Las Vegas market in January of 'twenty three And the response from our wholesale partners has been positive. We're receiving orders to expand our existing footprint by over 1900 slots, A 15% increase in the base. We're receiving orders in April, we started shipping our new mattresses to partners ahead of their debut At retail in mid May.

Speaker 2

While it is too soon to confirm demand, we're optimistic that consumers will respond to our enhanced sleep products and new brand messaging, and we remain confident that we have the right strategic plan in place to drive profitable growth and sustained market share gains. Our strategic plan is comprised of 4 key components: Redevelopment and expansion of our product lineup, new inspirational brand positioning, investment in our wholesale partnerships and continued showroom expansion. Regarding our product lineup, as a reminder, the full Purple product line has now been categorized into 3 tiers. The Purple Essential collection represents our most accessible products with prices under $1800 These products have been engineered for and are primarily being sold through our e commerce channel. Our Purple Premium Collection represents our new mid range offerings with 6 all new mattresses ranging from $2,000 to $4,000 available in both our wholesale and direct to consumer channels.

Speaker 2

And finally, our Purple Luxe collection Features our highest end products ranging from 5000 to 7,500 available through showrooms, E Commerce and through our wholesale channel partners. Early sales results of our Luxe collection in our 4 Utah showrooms have confirmed consumer interest in these super premium products. We're on track for the launch of the new product in our showrooms, on our website and select wholesale accounts on May 15. The remainder of our wholesale network will change over their floor sets in the next few months. Selling activity with these partners has progressed as planned and we look forward to sharing the initial reads on sell through on our Q2 call in August.

Speaker 2

Turning now to our brand messaging, we've reimagined the Purple brand to be bolder and more appealing to the premium consumer. We're working to reach this customer set through a shift in messaging that better articulates the unmistakable benefits of our differentiated GelFlex Grid technology. The hallmark of the Purple brand is revolutionary technology that provides a truly differentiated sleep experience, And we're using that innovation to our advantage, positioning ourselves as a true alternative to the premium memory foam mattress segment. This new messaging will be live in market in 5 days through increased television advertising and will become more prominent, including numerous consumer and trade PR activations that are timed to coincide with the new product launch. This will be followed by a steeper ramp in marketing spend in the 3rd and 4th quarters as our forecast includes advertising dollars increasing More than 80% over the second half of last year.

Speaker 2

Another key aspect of our 2023 strategy is strengthening our wholesale partnerships. We've worked with our wholesale partners to ensure improved contribution levels along with enhanced point of sale assets that we believe will drive increased sell through at higher average selling prices and higher margins for both us and them. The response from our wholesale partners was quite positive and we are shipping orders for 1900 incremental wholesale slot placements at this time. Overall, we've received strong positive feedback on the new trade up direction of the brand and are optimistic about our improving relationships with our wholesale partners going forward. And lastly, we remain focused on expanding our showroom channel in 2023.

Speaker 2

Despite the headwinds I've discussed, showrooms performed in line with projections in the Q1. With a new leader of owned retail joining the team in early January to lead the channel, we have good visibility to improve store presentation and enhanced channel margins. Showrooms play a key role in our brand execution and profit roadmap. We ended the quarter with 55 showrooms and plan to add 7 more in 2023. In long term, we envision a store footprint of about 200 stores.

Speaker 2

While near term challenges persist in our industry and across the broader consumer markets, We believe we've taken the necessary steps to successfully operate in the current environment. With the upcoming launch of our new products In heightened level of brand and advertising spend, we're optimistic that we have set the business up to achieve Incremental top line and bottom line growth in the back half of twenty twenty three, even if the macro conditions remain challenged. I'll now turn it over to Bennett, who will review the Q1 financials in more detail. Bennett?

Speaker 3

Thank you, Rob. For the 3 months ended March 31, 2023, net revenue was $109,400,000 down 23.6% compared to $143,200,000 in the prior year period. This decrease was primarily due to an ongoing shift in demand for home related products, inflationary pressure on discretionary consumer spending and the intentional 50.7% reduction in advertising spend compared with a year ago. Additionally, we saw wholesale demand for our legacy mattress models was impacted by the upcoming launch of our new premium product lineup in the Q2. By channel versus prior year, wholesale net revenue declined 25.3% And direct to consumer net revenues declined 22.5%.

Speaker 3

Within DTC, The e commerce decline of 30.1 percent was partially offset by a 24.4% increase in showroom net revenue, driven largely by the net addition of 21 showrooms over the past 12 months. Gross profit dollars were $43,200,000 during the Q1 of 2023 compared to $51,600,000 during the same period last year with gross margin at 39.5% versus 36.1 percent in the Q1 of 2022. The increase in gross margin from the prior year can be attributed partially to lower materials, labor and freight costs compared to the prior year period, along with the manufacturing efficiency and cost reduction initiatives that we implemented last year. Operating expenses were $65,200,000 or 59.6 percent of net revenue in the Q1 of 2023 compared to $70,000,000 or 48.9 percent of net revenue in the prior year period. The reduction in operating expenses compared with the prior year period was driven primarily by a decrease in marketing and sales expenses of $11,800,000 or 23.6 percent due to the intentional reduction in advertising spend To improve marketing efficiency, stabilize profitability and align spending with current demand levels and the shift of approximately $3,000,000 in launch related expenses into the 2nd quarter.

Speaker 3

This decline was partially offset by a $5,800,000 increase in general administrative costs that were primarily attributable to expenses incurred by the Special Committee. As previously disclosed, the Special Committee was terminated On April 27, 2023, so there will be no further costs incurred beyond those that will appear in our 2nd quarter financials. Net loss for the quarter was $23,400,000 compared to $13,600,000 a year ago. On an adjusted basis, which excludes adjustments for certain non cash items and other items we do not consider In the evaluation of our ongoing operational performance, including gains from the change in our tax receivable agreement Income and the change in valuation of our net deferred tax assets, net loss in the Q1 of 2023 was $12,000,000 or $0.12 per share per diluted share based on an adjusted weighted average diluted share count of $98,900,000 compared to adjusted net loss of $16,500,000 or $0.24 per diluted share based on an adjusted weighted average diluted share count of 67,500,000 in the prior year period. Adjusted net income has been adjusted to reflect an estimated effective income tax rate of 25.9 percent for the current year period compared to 14.9% for 2022.

Speaker 3

EBITDA for the quarter was negative $16,300,000 compared to negative $10,600,000 In the Q1 of 2022, adjusted EBITDA, which excludes certain non cash and other items We do not consider the evaluation of our ongoing performance and as detailed in today's earnings release was negative 4 point This compares favorably to our guidance for adjusted EBITDA of negative $9,500,000 as higher than expected revenues, Improvements in gross margin and a shift in launch costs resulting in a better than expected bottom line performance. Moving to our balance sheet. As of March 31, 2023, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $54,500,000 compared with $41,800,000 at December 31, 2022. The increase was driven primarily by cash provided from net proceeds of $57,200,000 received from the secondary offering completed in February 2023. This was partially offset by cash used in operations of $13,500,000 capital expenditures of $3,100,000 primarily related to additional investments made in our manufacturing facilities and the repayment of the full $24,700,000 outstanding on our credit facility.

Speaker 3

Inventories at March 31, 2023 were $87,700,000 compared with $73,200,000 at December 31, 2022. The increase in inventory since the end of 2022 is primarily due to an increase in finished goods. Turning now to our current outlook. Based on our Q1 results and continued confidence in our new product launch, we are reiterating our full year guidance. For 2023, we still expect net revenue to be in the range of $590,000,000 to $615,000,000 adjusted EBITDA between $13,000,000 $17,000,000 And gross margins in the low 40% range for the full year.

Speaker 3

We expect 2nd quarter to reflect continued softness in the market Ahead of our May 15 launch, revenue is expected to be stronger than quarter 1, but below Q2 a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA will reflect launch costs including the $3,000,000 shifted from Q1 into Q2. With first half revenues and adjusted EBITDA still tracking to our initial projections, combined with the product, Marketing and channel initiatives planned for the remainder of the year. We feel good about our ability to achieve our 2023 financial targets. Back to you, Rob.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Bennett. While the category continues to face challenges, I remain confident that the business is set up for success by continuing to drive efficiency and manage costs and by leaning into the new brand and product rollout supported by strong investment in advertising. Additionally, I'm optimistic about the longer term opportunity to profitably drive growth, Securing Purple's position as a true challenger brand. I'd like to thank our employees for their significant efforts To recharge this differentiated brand, I'd also like to thank our retail partners that recognize the unique benefits The Purple's GelFlex Grid and how it can deliver a superior night sleep. That concludes our prepared remarks.

Speaker 2

Operator, we're now ready to take questions.

Operator

And our first question comes from Brad Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Speaker 4

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to ask one question just on Sort of operations going forward here and another on the competitive landscape. And so maybe first, Rob, as we Undertakes this very exciting time here as you roll out the new lineup. I guess, can you talk a little bit about The steps you're taking operationally to ensure this works as smoothly as possible and Just your degree of confidence in the ability to execute over the next couple of quarters here?

Speaker 4

Thanks.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Brad, and thanks for the question. We are about probably a little less than halfway into shipping the new product. We've got a hard conversion in our showrooms and e commerce that's 5 days away. We definitely have some wrinkles we're dealing with But we feel pretty good. We've got new inventory in a very good place.

Speaker 2

We've been supplying those new orders well above 98%, every now and then there's a size we don't have in the right place, but we're shipping new product. We don't have a very long tail on existing, on the old products as we execute out of them. We've used our showroom channels to liquidate a lot of that And we've got 56 stores counting the one we converted from Intellibed ready to showcase the new product on Monday. The marketing team is hard at work and making sure assets will be ready. We will be well above kind of minimum to proceed To launch on the website and then over the next month, we'll get up to full speed, but we're in pretty good shape.

Speaker 2

We've had a few component constraints. We've had to incur a little bit of airfreight. But all in all, for a Relatively big transition for this category. We feel pretty good where we are right now.

Speaker 4

That's great to hear. Very exciting. And then as a follow-up on the competitive landscape, I'll ask a question that I know everybody curious of your answer. Obviously news yesterday of one of your manufacturing competitors buying Mattress Firm, one of your larger customers. I think your disclosures have sized them about 15% of sales.

Speaker 4

But could you maybe talk a little bit about how you make sure that the Financial outlook stays strong and how do the relationship stays as positive as possible in this backdrop here where they are slated to be acquired in the year?

Speaker 2

Yes, I mean, MAPFREZ firm remains an important and a valued partner and we're not going to change our approach with them. Certainly, without any significant changes on their part, we're not going to change anything. We're working hard to grow their business and to grow our importance of our brand in their portfolio. I do think that GelFlexGrid positions us very well to remain relevant regardless of who owns Any retailer because we have a truly differentiated product. And the last thing I'd say is a late 2024 Execution is a long way off.

Speaker 2

We've got hard work to do right now. So while it's big news In the industry and big news in the category, it doesn't really change our plan at all. And we think our path to premium is a great Complimentary offering to retailers who have big Tempur businesses because it's a very different feeling product with The potential to have similar contribution levels and similar customer satisfaction. So we're going to hold the course and work hard in making sure our brand is Valuable to all retailers including Mattress Firm.

Speaker 4

Very helpful and good luck in the days ahead here. Thank you.

Speaker 2

All right. Thank you, Brad.

Operator

Our next question comes from Brian Nagel with Oppenheimer.

Speaker 5

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. So Rob, just as we as you get now closer and closer to The launch date for the new products. I know we've talked about this last couple of quarters, but is there anything else that gives you have you seen anything else with data points, The conversations with your customers, it gives you even greater confidence in the ultimate success of the success of these products will be launching here shortly?

Speaker 2

Yes, I think Brian, thank you. And I think I'd point to 2 areas. And the first one is the way these products have tested. We did very robust, more than 200 consumers from, I believe it was 8 different competitive Excuse me, yes, 8 different competitive products and we put these products into their home for 14 nights. The products performed incredibly well and across all eight attributes.

Speaker 2

That's it's a significantly statistically significant sample size tested against every one of our competitors And blindly against our best selling product, and we outdid our own performance and we outdid competition. So that's the first. And the second one is going to sound a little blunt, but our brand has not been performing well in the wholesale channel recently And we just added 1900 new slots. I think that speaks loudly to what the retailer Hopes and believes behind this brand. I don't know that I've ever expanded distribution on a declining brand before, And I won't be able to do it a second time.

Speaker 2

I fully recognize that. But I think the optimism they see in this launch in the potential of GelFlex Grid And in our improving relationships, really speaks to the customer, to the team that's calling on them and to the potential of this brand. So those are the two things I would point to.

Speaker 5

Very helpful. Then the second question I have, I guess maybe Ben is more for you, just on the financial side. So if you look at the nice gross margin performance here in Q1, A piece of that was lower moderating input costs. So as we think about the gross margins, I guess, over the balance of the current year, maybe even to the next year, Should that dynamic input costs, shipping costs, should that get even better from here?

Speaker 3

I think it could get marginally better. I think you're right As the year progresses, I think the increase the improvement in the margin in the gross margin quarter over quarter It was also heavily driven by the efficiencies that our new COO, Eric Haynor, has brought through to the plants. And I've said in earlier calls that I think his improvements are sustainable and replicable, and I think we'll continue to see that. I think the only pressure we'll see against gross margin going forward will be if there's any Heavy discounting in the market. So I'm very confident that we have materials cost and operating parameters under control.

Speaker 3

I'd also tell you that we're operating at a fairly low production level with our low sales in the Q1 and we have further opportunity to improve As we increase volume and spread our overhead absorption over more units.

Speaker 5

Right. Well, thank you very much. Looking forward to the launch. Thanks.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Brian.

Operator

Our next question comes from Jeremy Hamblin with Craig Hallum Capital Group.

Speaker 6

Thanks and congrats on the results and the launch coming up. I wanted to start just by making sure to clarify the Sure to clarify the 2nd quarter revenue guidance. So I think in the release, it talks about revenue guide Similar to last year, Bennett, I think on the call you suggested that it was going to be better than Q1, but below Q2, just was hoping that we could think that up and make sure that our expectations are set appropriately.

Speaker 3

Yes. That's exactly what we said, Greg. We're definitely going to beat the Q1. But with shipments just starting to roll now on the new mattresses, we're going to have to see what the follow-up three orders are. And I think coming Closer to last year in Q2 is probably where I'd be looking to pinpoint things.

Speaker 6

Okay. And then in terms of the implications between the two Channels, like you were down 22.5 percent DTC in Q1, down 25% wholesale. How should we be thinking about that interplay here in Q2? Are you expecting that because of Channel fill that your wholesale is closer to flat on a year over year basis and still assuming that DTC is going to be a little soft Or because you're getting that product in showrooms on Monday and available online that It's going to be more balanced with DTC. Anything you might be able to help us thinking about that?

Speaker 2

Jeremy, I think wholesale will be choppier in Q2 because you've got We've got some customers with 60% of this product floored and some customers who haven't ordered it yet. So I think that will be a bit choppier. We do think that We'll get a little bit of help as we exit Q2. And I really am hoping our e commerce business has been down 10 quarters in a row sequentially, I would expect to see Q2 not be down again.

Speaker 6

Got it. That is helpful. And then just in terms of when you think you're going to actually be able to walk into Wholesale Partners, Retail Doors and Sea, the product in the showroom in mass, when are you expecting that to happen?

Speaker 2

Well, when you I had my answer to you out of the en mass. I mean, we've got certain customers that are well late in the summer. You've got a modest group that are waiting till after Memorial Day, and then we are shipping about 50% to 60% of our customers now. So I have not been through this before. It shouldn't take long to get through the system because they're not that deep In back stock, but it's showing up on floors now, and we're going to turn the marketing on full speed next Monday.

Speaker 6

Okay, great. And then a last one from me. Just in terms of the performance across Some of these levels, whether it's luxury versus premium versus entry level, can you add a little bit of color in terms of what you're seeing Out there in the marketplace performance of those tiers of mattresses out there?

Speaker 2

I know some of the questions, I'm not sure it was yours. Some of the questions I saw talked about are we seeing trade down. We are not seeing that right now. We're not seeing a whole lot of trade up on the high end because we're just getting the Luxe To market today, but our hybrid line, I'll put this in parentheses because our performance has not been great over the last couple of few months. But the hybrid line has been performing as it typically does, kind of a percent to total.

Speaker 2

So we're not seeing consumers trade down. We actually have seen Some trade up in the Essential segment towards Purple Plus away from the Purple mattress. And then I mentioned it in my remarks, we You'll recall, we talked about this on previous calls. We kind of forced in IntelliBed product into our 4 Utah Showrooms just to learn about the selling and we've been trying to average about 3 quarters to 1 unit per store per week of that high end and that has performed on track and that's before marketing. So Again, I'm not making any predictions here yet.

Speaker 2

I just there's nothing we're seeing that suggests this brand can't perform at that level. We've got to execute Better and across all of our showroom formats, but the early indications are encouraging.

Speaker 6

And as a follow-up on the advertising spend. So if that declined $11,700,000 in Q1, What are your expectations on advertising as it relates to Q2 year over year?

Speaker 2

Yes, I think Q2 will be flat because we're not really burning anything until we get to next Monday. So we've been spending at Minimum levels, kind of minimum sustainable levels in April and the 1st part of May. And then you can do the math. We're up 80% In Qs 3 and 4, so it's almost a direct doubling of those months based on what we spent so far this year. And then year on year, the total year advertising budget is up.

Speaker 6

Got it. Thanks so much and good luck with the launch.

Speaker 2

All right. Thank you, Jeremy.

Operator

Our next question comes from Bob Driscoll with Raymond James.

Speaker 7

Good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for taking my questions. Rob, just one quick one on to clarify the last comment on the ad budget. What does the plan imply for total ad spending for the year? Because I think we have just the 10 ks numbers that give us the yearly data, but we can back into the quarters.

Speaker 7

So what is the up 80% in the second half implied for full year budget?

Speaker 2

Yes. Bobby, we don't release That number specifically, but I can tell you year on year, it's up modestly and that makes it up heavily in the back half.

Speaker 7

Okay. That's what I was kind of backing into. All right, perfect.

Speaker 1

Yes. And

Speaker 7

then for the Q2, I mean, are we looking Given that we have some more well, probably some more launch costs in 2Q, we have a little bit turn on the spigot of advertising and kind of getting the product rolled out. 2nd quarter EBITDA looking like it's going to be below 1Q despite revenue being up or anything there directionally to point us in?

Speaker 2

Yes. We again, we're not releasing it by the quarter, but I will say we have a fair amount of cost in Q2 that we think It's quite frankly very good investment. So we're going to make it. And

Speaker 7

is the cost on the gross side like Product launch cost and taking a hit on the floor samples that we're familiar with this year. Yes,

Speaker 2

it's kind of internal launch Cost, it's you know this industry, you have to sell the floor samples at a pretty healthy discount, and we're selling a lot of them. And then the most important thing is May 15 forward, we start spending at what I would call more responsible rates long term, we can grow the business.

Speaker 7

Okay, very good. And then I guess lastly for me, I just wanted to know Maybe expand a little bit on what you're seeing out of the showrooms. Any late data points there? I think it's been a little while since we've talked about them, but you are starting to grow them. And With the changing potential changing landscaping inside the retail market, you're maybe showrooms become a bigger piece at some point.

Speaker 7

So just anything there in terms of ASP versus your other things or attachment rate or just anything there to share?

Speaker 2

No, nothing. I mean, this is it makes it hard for this call because what I'm talking to all of you about is stuff that hasn't happened yet. But they are 2 things are happening. They're feeling the impact of the brand performing relatively poorly, And that's not going to change till we get the new marketing and new product out there. They will do that hard conversion this Sunday night And we're optimistic that we have plans that will make that mix Start to grow the way we've mapped it out in our long range plan.

Speaker 2

And if it does, it makes the profitability of those showrooms get healthier in a hurry.

Speaker 7

Okay. And I guess, I mean, maybe lastly then I'll sneak in one more. Just what are you seeing ahead of Memorial Day from an industry standpoint, from promotions? Anything notable as the industry being more promotional less kind of in line with expectations?

Speaker 2

I think most people have reported that the total categories Continued to be pretty soft and maybe softer as Q1 went along for the total category. We were pretty steady in Q1 and we're not hearing a whole lot of incremental promotional pressure, But it still remains relatively high.

Speaker 7

Okay. Thank you, Rob. Appreciate the details. Best of luck here with the conversion coming up.

Speaker 8

Thank you, Bobby.

Operator

Our next question comes from Matt Koranda with Brooks Capital.

Speaker 9

Hey, guys. Good afternoon. Hey, Matt. Maybe just several have been asked and answered, but just on Production capacity at the facility with the new product, just curious if maybe you could talk about sort of the impact to gross margins On a longer time horizon or maybe even just into the second half as you kind of get deeper into the product launch and utilization improves, How do we sort of get comfort or do you have good comfort that the gross margin profile can actually step up Materially in the back half of the year and into 'twenty four.

Speaker 2

I think it has been laid out. I mean, we're optimistic about our Command and control of gross margin with the one the biggest variable being kind of in the rearview mirror, the discounting we've had to Compete with, but we're confident in control of our gross margin. As Bennett said, Absorption will help us nicely when we get it. And I think, like I said in my opening remarks, Have volume be as soft as it was in Q1 and produce a decent margin. We've made long term predictions that we'll get between 40% 45% and Hopefully closer to 45.

Speaker 2

I'm not backing off that at all. I don't think that will happen this year. We just too much of it will be kind of under the bridge by the time The volume corrects, but we should exit the year solidly in the low 40s and we've got room to go beyond that into 2024. And to your earlier question, we

Speaker 3

have plenty of capacity, basically more than twice what we

Speaker 7

need. Okay.

Speaker 9

Yes, super helpful guys. And then just, it's been asked in different ways, I guess, but maybe just to put a finer point on it. Is all the legacy products cleared from the wholesale channel and your own channel? It sounds like maybe you had a little bit more cleanup to do In the Q2, maybe just level set us on that and just the implications for margin as we move through Q2?

Speaker 2

Okay. So it definitely is not cleared. It's almost completely cleared from our showroom channel. They've done a hell of a job getting all the floor samples out and what little back stock is carried in that channel. There's no material impact from that.

Speaker 2

And from a wholesale standpoint, again, I'm feeling my way through this being the first time, we have addressed any and most issues that are out there. It's going to be the full summer to get it all the way out because you've got some customers going late in the summer and one big customer going After the summer. So it's going to be a while. We're having to juggle making both the old and new for a longer period of time than I had hoped, but I got confidence in that team. They're doing a great job staying on top of it.

Speaker 2

Service levels are better than they have ever been in this company. And we're running a Significantly more complicated cook to book process in the plants because we're running book making both old and new. All that said, we don't see any significant negative impacts to the business.

Speaker 9

Okay. Spectacular. And then, I think you guys had kind of talked about the shape of inventory build through the year, but don't think I explicitly heard an update On how to think about that. Just would love to get your latest thoughts on sort of the cadence of inventory build For the remainder of the year and then when do we Yes, we expected

Speaker 3

the inventory to peak in late March and through April as we started to push it out. Well, with some of the wholesale partners delaying their introductions, the peak was not as high as we expected And we'll probably run with somewhat increased inventories through Labor Day just as we expected. Just to further repeat what Rob said, with regard to our existing line of hybrids, We're actually going to have to keep making them and we can make them to virtually in order. So we don't expect to have Hardly any left over when we finally make the conversion. So we don't expect a lot of inventory and we wouldn't expect a large discounting on those mattresses until the very end.

Speaker 3

So we're very optimistic. And our warehousing In terms of managing the dual SKUs, it's been very efficient. And again, to repeat what Rob said, our shipments are at an all time high for reliability. So it's all going extremely well, including the inventory build.

Speaker 9

Okay, great. Best of luck with the launch year ahead, guys. Thank you.

Speaker 4

All right.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Thank you, Matt.

Operator

Our next question comes from Keith Houss with SunTrust.

Speaker 10

This is I guess that's me. Your question is on advertising. You talked about a ramp up in the second half of the year. Historically, Purple had done advertising to the tune of almost 20% of sales. Are we talking that big of a ramp up or give us some kind of How much support you're going to put behind?

Speaker 2

No. I mean, again, when the business shift when the business mix was 70 or more e commerce, you could run sales advertising at that level. This is A step up from where we were a year ago, but not anywhere near kind of 2021 levels. We may get back there, but the economics yet are not there. I think more importantly, For the person running it, Kiera Krause, who's running our marketing, has A new level of command and control over what investments are returning.

Speaker 2

We're looking at it almost on a daily basis. We will get to fully daily And she's making that mix adjustment behind it. So it's more money that's going to feel like even more money because it's being spent much better than it was before. And then the other thing I'd add is that we were not confident in the creative. It just wasn't selling the benefits of the GelFlex grid.

Speaker 2

Again, our advertising is under embargo right now, but it will be out on 15th. And when you see the selling spot, It pushes very hard on what's different about Purple and why it's better and we have not done that in the past.

Speaker 10

Okay. And one follow-up, the 50% to 60% of customers that are getting the beds in the short term, is there Can you give us an idea of the mix of how much is premium, how much is Lux?

Speaker 2

Yes. The Lux expansion is We're up about 300 slots. Is that the right number, Alicia? 300 slots. We still have a lot of work to do on that.

Speaker 2

There is Pretty good buy into the concept, but there's a fair amount of wait and see. So in many of our customers, it's in 10% to 20% of their doors. So that may be their confidence in their stores. It certainly is their confidence in us. So we're going to continue to push that aggressively the rest of the year.

Speaker 2

And it's one of the reasons why I think the showroom mix is so important Because as we prove we can sell $7,000 beds, that won't be lost on the partner. But Most of those 1900 slots are the premium line, the restore line, what is replacing the hybrids And about 15% of our doors will have REJUVENATE in it, which is the high end stuff. Longer term, I want to see us get that closer to 30.

Speaker 10

Okay, great. That's great detail. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Achal Moshari with UBS.

Speaker 11

Good evening. Thanks a lot for taking my question. Rob, with respect to your Q1, you did cite category softness And your bids were obviously not launched yet, yet revenues were better than expected. So What's surprising the upside relative to your expectation for the Q1? Was it just better sell through at your old stores?

Speaker 2

Atul, it's hard for me to tell you how $109,000,000 is better than really anything. It's A little bit better than the forecast we provided, but the category was under pressure and the brand is performing Below the category. So until we get to the launch, we were slightly better than we predicted, but nobody's handing out Gold Stars Anywhere. We got to get this brand much stronger. So I really think we're talking about a difference of $4,000,000 or $5,000,000

Speaker 11

Right. Okay. That makes sense. And then with respect to your 2nd quarter guidance, is there any material benefit That you expect to get from one time channel fill activity as you ship these new beds to these retailers?

Speaker 2

Yes. No, not really, Particularly on the revenue line because the industry carries relatively low back stock. Think of it as 2 weeks is what I'm learning. And then you combine 2 weeks with selling the floor samples at 50% off and you don't get any revenue bump at all. You might get a little bit of a unit bump Because you're backfilling all those floor samples, but it doesn't add up to much.

Speaker 2

We got to get the new product. We look at that as an investment and then start selling it through.

Speaker 11

Got it. Thank you for that and good luck with the upcoming launch.

Speaker 2

All right, Atul. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Curtis Nagle with Bank of America.

Speaker 8

Great. Thanks for taking the question. So just a quick one, Rob, on the slot expansion, I think you said 1900. Any change there? At least from what I remember, we had looked at it at slots per door, it's going from like 4, 4 to 6, something like that.

Speaker 8

But, yes, any change in terms of the last time we spoke in February and what was the ending wholesale door count For 1Q?

Speaker 2

Door count hasn't changed material at all in the Q1. I think $34.50 is what we're reporting right now. From coming out of Vegas, there has been some slippage in the slots that we got. But I want to reinforce to this group, we're not done. Monday is the start of this, not the end of it.

Speaker 2

And there's a fair amount of customers that You know, I said, hey, we love what you're doing. Come back to us when you can show me that it's working. And so we have every expectation of You know, ensuring that no is a desperate plea for more facts about how it's performing. So we had said we would we were trying to get up a Full slot, we're at about 0.6 of a slot across the entire universe and that is with our largest customer Not changing their slot count. So it's a little bit better on 2,200 of my 3,400 doors.

Speaker 2

It is about a full slot, a little bit more. And then we've got the biggest customer holding And rightfully so. They've got a lot of competition for those slots. They want to see it perform before they're going to give us carte blanche distribution. So coming out of Vegas, it has slipped a bit.

Speaker 2

It's still a meaningful 15% increase in real estate. And again, as I said earlier, On a brand that's been declining. So I can't emphasize that enough. I've never in 30 years of selling stuff, I've never been able to And distribution on a decline on a brand that's declining because they believe in its potential. And they know if we get our service up, Our marketing right that they've got a product they can sell to their consumers and send them home happy.

Speaker 8

Okay. I mean, I guess, kind of an excellent question.

Operator

I guess,

Speaker 8

it doesn't sound like a huge amount of slippage. Like you said is So that would then require higher productivity per door. So is that just a function of You like what you see in the testing or what would offset slightly lower doors?

Speaker 2

It is you hit exactly as what we've seen on the testing. In For this, I had our consumer insights take me through it yet again this morning. And the testing results, they are outstanding. And we got them about 2, 3 2.5 months ago. And robust significant sample, winning across every attribute Against all of our competition and our best selling mattress.

Speaker 2

So that combined with new messaging, which You'll see shortly, which I think you're going to see, it's going to be very different than anything the category has seen.

Speaker 8

All right. Understood. That's really helpful. I appreciate it. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Curtis.

Operator

This concludes Purple Innovation Conference Call. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Earnings Conference Call
Purple Innovation Q1 2023
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