Xcel Energy Q2 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

There are 4 speakers on the call.

Operator

And welcome to Xcel Energy Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Melissa and I will be your coordinator for today's event. Please note this conference is being recorded and for the duration of the call, your lines will be listen only. Questions will only be taken from institutional investors. Reporters can contact media relations with inquiries and individual investors and others can reach out to Investor Relations.

Operator

I will now hand you over to your host, Paul Johnson, Vice President, Treasurer and Investor Relations to begin today's conference. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Good morning and welcome to Xcel Energy's 2023 Second Quarter Earnings Call. Joining me today are Bob Frenzel, Chairman, President Chief Executive Officer and Brian Van Avel, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. In addition, we have other members of the management team in the room to answer your questions if needed. This morning, we will review our 2023 Q2 results and highlights and share recent business developments. Slides that accompany today's call are available on our website.

Speaker 1

As a reminder, some of the comments during today's call may contain forward looking information. Significant factors that could cause results to differ from those anticipated are described in our earnings release and our SEC filings. Today, we will discuss certain Metrics that are non GAAP measures. Information on the comparable GAAP measures and reconciliations are included in our earnings release. And with that, I'll turn it over to Bob Frenzelk.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Paul, and good morning, everybody. Let's start with our results. We faced some headwinds from weather and other items in the 2nd quarter Recording earnings of $0.52 per share for the Q2 of 2023 as compared to $0.60 per share in 2022. We've got tangible plans in place for the second half of the year to overcome the inflationary pressures as well as the impact of the lower than expected ROE in the Minnesota electric rate case and Allow us to deliver on our 2023 guidance. But our strategic priorities are unchanged.

Speaker 1

Leading the clean energy transition, enhancing our customers' experience and keeping our customers' bills low. And we've delivered On this strategic vision across our 8 states for the past decade, we invest in clean energy resources that provide both financial Cost savings to our customers while transitioning to a lower carbon economy. We invest in network infrastructure to foster economic development for new businesses, To provide top quartile reliability and to provide resiliency in the face of more volatile and unpredictable weather. We're also building infrastructure to accelerate clean transportation for all of our customers and exploring innovative technologies like batteries And clean fuels to enable the policy objectives and the customer desires for a lower carbon economy. And we focused on continuous improvement to operate efficiently with a lower expense burden to our customers.

Speaker 1

And as a result, we've been able to keep our operating expenses nearly flat For over the past for over a decade, our customers benefit from these actions, including significant carbon reductions and residential builds that are 20% below the national average. As you can see, we have a long history of delivering on our commitment to all of our stakeholders and are confident in our ability to meet our earnings guidance again in 2023. This quarter we made progress on our clean energy transition plans with a growing portfolio of both company owned resources And power purchase agreements. In our NFP solicitation, we recommended an incremental 2 50 megawatts of self build solar generation And 100 Megawatt Power Purchase Agreement, this brings our total company owned solar projects at Sherco to over 700 Megawatts, which will utilize the transmission rights for the first of the 3 retiring coal units there. In the SPS RFP, we recommended a portfolio of 4 18 megawatts, a self build solar project and a 230 megawatt power purchase agreement.

Speaker 1

We're also proposing a battery storage project 1 of the new self build solar facilities. In addition, later in the quarter, we expect to file our recommended Colorado portfolio for nearly 4,000 megawatts of Potential resources and based on our interim analysis, the outcomes should be very beneficial to our customers. Across our 8 state footprint, we enjoy a geographic advantage for wind and solar resources, which enables higher Capacity factors. And as a result, Xcel Energy can deliver new renewables at low and competitive prices due to a combination of high capacity factors, IRA tax benefits and the ability to reuse transmission from retiring plants, all of which provide significant benefits to our customers It enables a faster transition to a clean energy economy. Each of these RFPs represent incremental opportunities as compared to our base capital We anticipate commission decisions on these proceedings in the second half of twenty twenty three for Minnesota and Colorado and in the first half of twenty twenty four for SPS.

Speaker 1

In May, Breakthrough Energy Ventures announced a $20,000,000 grant to support our 2 10 Megawatt pilot projects for Form Energy's 100 Hour Battery Technology. In July, the Minnesota Commission unanimously approved the Form Energy pilot to be installed at our Sherco site alongside our new solar projects. We plan on filing for our 2nd form energy pilot later in the quarter and are evaluating sites that could be supportive of this exciting new clean energy technology. We're also working with the Department of Energy on additional funding opportunities to further reduce the cost of these projects for our customers. In May, we filed our 2nd transportation electrification plan in Colorado.

Speaker 1

The proposed plan, which covers the 2024 The 2026 period includes expanded solutions and rebates to support new public charging stations and charging at homes, businesses, Multifamily Buildings and Community Locations. It also proposes programs supporting electric school buses, innovation and income qualified customers. Our focus is to bring clean transportation to all customers and communities and to expeditiously assist in the build out Quarter charging to reduce range anxiety of EV purchasers. Next month, we plan to file our clean heat plan in Colorado And we'll follow with our natural gas innovation plan for Minnesota during the Q4. These plans will be similar to our electric resource plans and provide a framework for our natural gas system achieve our carbon reduction goals, while meeting the reliability and affordability needs of our customers.

Speaker 1

Taken as a whole, these innovative projects and partnerships in electricity and clean transportation and home heating are essential for Xcel Energy to meet our Sustainability goals and to continue to deliver our customers the safe, clean, reliable and affordable energy that they expect now and long into the future. In June, the Boulder County Sheriff's Office announced the findings of its investigation into The cause of the Marshall Fire in December of 2021. Our thoughts continue to be with the families and the communities impacted by this devastating fire, including our own employees whose homes and families were directly affected. The report states that the 1st Marshall Fire started as a result of an ignition on a property affiliated with an entity called the 12 Tribes And that this ignition had nothing to do with Xcel Energy's power lines. The sheriff's report also discusses A second ignition that started more than an hour after the first fire at a different location, which the report estimates is approximately 80 to 110 feet away from Power Lines.

Speaker 1

Share support says that the most probable cause of the second ignition was Piesco's power lines and we strongly disagree With that conclusion, because of the pending litigation that's been filed, we're not in a position to discuss the Marshall Fire in more detail at this time, But we will vigorously defend ourselves and look forward to presenting our position in court. Importantly, additional information about the lawsuits And some of the relevant legal standards is included in our earnings release and our 10 Q filing and I would direct you there. Finally, we recently released our comprehensive sustainability report. The report focuses on 4 core ESG pillars: Reach net 0 responsibly, strengthen our communities, operate with integrity And to value people. It details our progress in achieving our industry leading ESG goals as well as our priorities moving forward.

Speaker 1

Some of the key highlights include Xcel Energy has reduced our carbon emissions by 53% since 2,005 And more than half of the electricity we provide to our customers comes from carbon free resources as compared to 41% nationwide. We outperformed the industry reliability standard restoring power to 94% of customers within 24 hours during major storm events. In this past year, in addition to contributing over $10,000,000 to local organizations through the Xcel Energy Foundation, Our employees contributed $3,000,000 and volunteered over 74,000 hours for non profit and community improvement projects. We're proud of our track record. It's keeping with our corporate strategy and it's based on our values of connected, committed, trustworthy and safe.

Speaker 1

With that, I'll turn it over to Brian. Thanks, Bob, and good morning, everyone. We had earnings of $0.52 per share The Q2 of 2023 compared to $0.60 per share in 2022. Please note that the line by line income statement Comparisons are more complicated this quarter as a result of true ups for the Minnesota rate case this year and the Texas rate case last year. Most significant earnings drivers for the quarter included the following: lower depreciation and amortization expense increased earnings by $0.10 per share, Largely due to the reversal of deferrals in the Texas rate case last year and the extension of depreciation lives from the Minnesota rate case.

Speaker 1

These decreases are partially offset by our capital investment program. Lower taxes other than income taxes Increased earnings by $0.06 per share, reflecting property tax deferrals in Minnesota and Colorado. In addition, other items combined to increase earnings by 0.04 Offsetting these positive drivers, lower electric revenues less fuel decreased earnings by $0.23 per share, Reflecting unfavorable weather, the impact of the Minnesota rate case and recognition of revenue from the Texas rate case last year. Higher O and M expense decreased earnings by $0.02 per share and higher interest expense decreased earnings by $0.03 per share. Turning to sales.

Speaker 1

Year to date weather adjusted electric sales increased by 0.6%. We continue to expect annual electric sales growth of approximately 1% in 2023, which is driven by growth in C and I sales, partially offset by projected declines in residential sales. Now shifting to the expenses. O and M expenses increased $14,000,000 for the Q2. This increase was primarily due to the timing of generation outages, Higher bad debt expense, insurance costs and inflation, partially offset by the recognition of previously deferred costs from the Texas Electric rate case in 2022.

Speaker 1

Given these drivers as well as the Minnesota rate case decision, we're taking actions to mitigate O and M, which will include evaluating discretionary programs, staffing levels, consulting, employee expenses, variable compensation and other management actions. As a result, we now expect O and M expenses to decline 3% for the year. During the Q2, we also made progress on several regulatory proceedings. Starting with our completed proceedings, In June, Minnesota Commission approved a 3 year electric rate increase of $311,000,000 based on an ROE of 9.25 percent Equity ratio of 52.5 percent in a forward test year. We plan to file for reconsideration of the decision as we felt the ROE was not consistent With the ALJ recommendation or recent commission decisions in other Minnesota proceedings.

Speaker 1

In our Schulz Dakota electric rate case, The commission approved a settlement for approximately $14,000,000 revenue increase. In our pending Colorado electric rate case, We reached a partial settlement that reflects a $95,000,000 rate increase based on an ROE of 9.3% and equity ratio of 55.7% The 2022 historic test year. Remaining items for litigation are the structure of the TCA rider and treatment of coal plant appreciation. We expect the commission decision later this summer with rates going into effect in September. In our New Mexico electric rate case, We reached a contested settlement that reflects a rate increase of $33,000,000 based on an ROE of 9.5 percent Equity ratio of 54.7 percent in the forecast test year.

Speaker 1

We expect the decision and implementation of final rates by October. Both the Colorado and New Mexico settlements reflect significant negotiation and compromise by Xcel Energy in a wide range of interveners with varied interest. The parties believe that the settlements resulted in a just and reasonable outcome for our customers. As a result, we are hopeful our commissions will approve the settlements Without modifications, we also have pending rate cases in Wisconsin and Texas, which are early in the process. Intervenor testimony is expected in the Texas case in August with a decision in the Q1 of next year.

Speaker 1

While in Wisconsin, we expect Intervenor testimony in the fall and Commission decision by year end. Turning to the Inflation Reduction Act. As most of you are aware, the U. S. Treasury recently provided guidance on tax credit transferability, which was consistent with our expectations.

Speaker 1

We have considerable demand and anticipate monetizing Excess tax credits later in the year. Finally, we are reaffirming our 2023 earnings guidance range of $3.30 The $3.40 per share, which is consistent with our long term EPS growth objective of 5% to 7%. We've updated our key assumptions to reflect the latest information, which are detailed in our earnings release. Please note that the guidance assumption changes regarding capital riders, depreciation, property taxes and ETR Primarily reflect regulatory decisions or changes to assume PTC levels and are largely earnings neutral. However, the lower O and M And a portion of the interest expense assumptions will generally impact earnings.

Speaker 1

With that, I'll wrap up with a quick summary. We continue to expect to deliver 2023 earnings within our guidance range as we have for the past 18 years, managing through regulatory outcomes, Changing economic environments and periodic headwinds. We're delivering on our capital plan and executing on opportunities, Including clean generation, transmission and distribution to support reliability, resiliency and broader economic growth. We remain confident we can continue to deliver long term earnings and dividend growth within the upper half of our 5% to 7% objective range as we support our communities and states in the clean energy transition. This concludes our prepared remarks.

Speaker 1

Operator, we will now take questions.

Operator

And our first question comes from Jeremy Tonet from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Hi, good morning. Hey, good morning, Jeremy. How are you?

Speaker 2

Good, good. Thanks for having me. Just wanted to touch base with a bit on the targeted O and M reductions as you called out there, where these efficiencies Season 2023. I was wondering if you could peel back the onion a little bit more to see how much of this is one time in nature versus carry Forward into future years. Just any thoughts there would be helpful.

Speaker 1

Sure. Hey, good morning, Jeremy, And thanks for the question. So I think I'll hit on it a couple of different ways, talk about kind of the near term actions. And when you think about it, Now how do we hit our year end O and M guidance? One is we look at second half of last year, we had elevated O and M, if you look at Versus the first half of last year and particularly in Q4 as there were some one time items in Q4 relative To having a good year investing in the system.

Speaker 1

And then there are some impacts this year where we've had some Timing of generation outages earlier in this year, and we also expect bad debt expense to decline. We saw some higher bad debt level given the commodity price impacts earlier in this year. So as I think about that bad debt expense level should be more sustainable. I guess some timing in the generation outages. But then we're also looking at a number of what I call it near term and long term opportunities.

Speaker 1

Near term is what you'd call more one time discretionary items around program Spend, consulting, 3rd party contracts and variable compensation levers, more traditional management initiatives. But I think we're spending a lot of time on longer term initiatives around our innovation and transformation team. We've invested heavily in driving what we call waste elimination and process improvements across our orgs. And then we're also investing heavily in technology. You heard me talk about before something we have called the digital operations factory, which is focused on using AI in our operations.

Speaker 1

We started that And nuclear with our corrective action program, now we're rolling that out to distribution and gas in our field operations and that's using Traditional AI, we're also looking at our use cases for Gen AI. So as we look at it, our goal is to hit 3% down for the year. Longer term, Our goal is to kind of keep O and M flat. And as Bob said, we've done that for nearly a decade. And so we got some work to do to get there a balance of the year, but then think longer term O and M Flat as we go forward.

Speaker 2

Got it. That's very confident and very helpful there. And so that kind of touches on I guess Question I had is just with regards to, well, the Minnesota order, if it caused you to revisit any embedded assumptions Over the remainder of your 5 year plan at this point and has these kind of O and M items as you called out adjusted for that?

Speaker 1

No, I don't think it does. I think about our long term assumptions and our long term 5% to 7% Earnings growth rate, we continue to expect to deliver in the upper half of that long term guidance.

Speaker 2

Got it. And then just at a higher level if I could, given the growth of wildfire risk, Has your mitigation strategy, I guess, evolved over time? Or do you have any other thoughts on that side?

Speaker 1

Hey, Jeremy, it's Bob. Appreciate the question. As you know, we've been operating under in Colorado under a wildfire mitigation plan that was instituted probably more than 3 years ago and that plan is due to be refreshed in Colorado At the end of this year, we expect to propose continuation of existing programs and new programs in Colorado That understand the volatility of weather in the West and the footprint of the Colorado company in So we're still working through that. Nothing specific right now, but certainly looking at Everything that we can in terms of the risk and the opportunities to strengthen our own system and make sure that we protect our communities and our customers.

Speaker 2

Got it. Just one last one if I could post what we've seen in Minnesota here so far. Does Your view of the relative attractiveness of Minnesota versus Xcel's wider footprint change in any way?

Speaker 1

Look, I think as I said in my opening remarks, we feel like we've run a really good Utility in Minnesota and across our 8 states, focusing on our customers and our communities and helping our states achieve their policy objectives around clean energy And the outcome, I'll say, was disappointing for two reasons. Paul and Brian mentioned one, which was It was inconsistent with previous decisions in Minnesota that have been 9.4 to 9.65. But equally important, probably didn't recognize what I think Xcel Energy is a national leading utility in advancing a lot of these initiatives, Making sure we do it reliably and affordably and sustainably. We'll continue to review our investment opportunities and our programs in the state. But I think generally really confident that this is our headquarters state.

Speaker 1

We want to work proactively with the governor Slator in the PUC to advance these initiatives.

Speaker 2

Got it. That's very helpful. I'll leave it there. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Durgesh Chopra of Evercore. Please go ahead.

Speaker 3

Hey, good morning, team. Sorry, I was on mute. Just I

Speaker 1

think I did. Later, we're still getting caught by the mute button. Okay.

Speaker 3

Can you hear me now? I'm sorry.

Speaker 1

Yes, Brian.

Speaker 3

Okay, perfect. Sorry about that, guys. Brian, I heard you mention The Minnesota rate case item, just a feel or rehearing. Could you just give us a little bit more color there As to what the next steps are timeline?

Speaker 1

Yes. The reconsideration, it's we need to file for reconsideration 20 days after the written order. So that's coming up. And so certainly, we will file for reconsideration right around ROE, around The decision on the prepaid pension asset and some other expense levels. And we're hopeful the Minnesota Commission will take that up And look at hard at our reconsideration filing.

Speaker 1

And they have 60 days once that 20 they have 60 days to decide. So that's the process.

Speaker 3

Got it. Okay. So that should be coming out shortly and then 60 days after the decision whether they take it up or not? Yes. That's the Minnesota Commission.

Speaker 3

Okay. Thank you. And then just you mentioned the transferability guidance was in line with your expectations. There's been a lot of event. Within the industry, investors and credit agencies on the implications to CFO, I know you're very knowledgeable on this topic in general.

Speaker 3

So just get your thoughts there, how you're seeing this play out And implications for your credit metrics?

Speaker 1

Yes. So I mean, we've spent a lot of, I would call it an industry collaboration On how we work this through our financials. And so not only worked with a lot of our peer utilities, we've also worked with the big four accounting firms. And so everything we renew is going to be in accordance with GAAP. It's going to take the income tax approach.

Speaker 1

It's going to flow through our income tax expense lines. And it will also flow through cash from operations. And so I think it's pretty straightforward and I know there's been a lot of discussion whether it will show up And that's a follow-up to debt metrics and I feel pretty good about it because it absolutely will reflect the economics of our underlying financials. And it is for us, right, it will be a reoccurring cash flow benefit as we look to monetize these tax credits. So I feel pretty good about how it will be reflected across the rating agencies and we spent time with each of those talking them through that.

Speaker 1

And like I said also Work closely with the big four accounting firms and generally the approach the whole industry will take.

Speaker 3

That's really helpful. Thanks. And then maybe just To the extent you are willing to comment on this, just a little bit more pointed question on 2023 guidance. Obviously, you mentioned the history of Meeting and exceeding expectations, just with the unfavorable weather and the regulatory decision, where are you tracking and with your sort of Cost efforts in place, what are you targeting or where are you tracking within that guidance range?

Speaker 1

Yes. So Sitting here today 6 months of the year, we're tracking to midpoint of guidance. And I'll give you a little bit more color, right? I think about it in kind of 3 buckets versus Execution of our on our O and M plans, which I talked about earlier. Second is we do have additional rate case revenue that will come in the door In the second half of the year, particularly with the Colorado rate case in flight, the New Mexico rate case in flight and then still continued benefits from Wisconsin last year.

Speaker 1

And then we do have expected continued sales growth in our service territories. And so those are really the 3 buckets that I think about it in targeting midpoint of guidance. And obviously as we normally do in Q3, we will look at where we are in Q3 and that's certainly when we tighten guidance.

Speaker 3

Very clear. Thanks so much, Brian. Appreciate the time.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Julien Dumoulin Smith of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Hey, good morning, team. Thank you so much for the time and the opportunity. Appreciate it. Hey, team. I wanted to focus on the wildfire dynamics.

Speaker 1

Obviously, a lot of fixation on this, perhaps principally coming from out of state as well. Can you elaborate a little bit? I know in the prepared remarks you said you referred us to the 10 Q immediately here, but can you elaborate at least On your insurance levels today, your insurance programs across the states as well as how do you frame the risks hear from the lawsuits that have been filed. I imagine that some of the commentary you alluded to in the queue here, but can you help frame up your understanding as well as maybe some of the differences critically From some of the out of state considerations that are drawing renewed scrutiny. Yes.

Speaker 1

Hey, Julien, it's Bob and thanks for the question. And here's what I can say about Marshall right now. The Boulder County Sheriff's Report concluded that the Marshall Fire first ignited on the property of the 12 tribes And that this ignition was unrelated to our equipment. With respect to the cause of the second ignition, which began an hour after the first, We strongly disagree with the conclusion of the sheriff's report and we will vigorously defend ourselves in court. The sheriff's report concluded that there were no design or installation or maintenance defects or deficiency in Public Services Electrical Circuit in the area of the second Ignition.

Speaker 1

And so regarding the litigation, there's a hearing in September where we expect to learn more about the procedural next steps. Additional information about the lawsuits and the legal standards are included in our disclosures in our earnings release and in our 10 Q. Given the lawsuits, I don't think we're going to comment any further beyond those particular disclosures. I'll let Brian comment on insurance coverage. But other than that, I think we're going to stick to our disclosure statements.

Speaker 1

Yes. And Julian, the insurance coverage is included in our disclosure. Approximately $500,000,000 Got it. All right. Understood.

Speaker 1

And then any further commentary about the difference In context across the different states, especially whether it pertains to legal recovery constructs and or cure construct? Yes. It's all included in the disclosures, the entire page of disclosures in the earnings release in the queue. Fair enough. We'll leave it there.

Speaker 1

Thank you guys very much. Appreciate it. Appreciate it. Thanks, Ewen.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Anthony Prudell of Mizuho. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Hey, good morning, Bob. Good morning, Brian. And Paul, sorry. I didn't want to leave you out. It's very helpful.

Speaker 2

Just hopefully two quick questions. 1 on Julian, Following up on Julien with the Marshall Fire. Is there a timing when that resolves itself or you just have to let it play through the course and you can't give any real Phil, when that proceeding will wrap up and that overhang lifted?

Speaker 1

As I mentioned, look, We have a September hearing where we're going to learn a lot more about the procedural schedule and we'll know more of that. Yes. And Anthony, we really can't Go beyond what we've already said in the disclosure. So we have to limit questions on that.

Speaker 2

Okay, great. And then on slide 11, The pending settlement in Colorado, just you talked about I think an alternative rate increase $47,000,000 But that's dependent upon I guess some coal plant deferrals. I'm just curious if you could talk about how the commission will they Hopefully, when they approve this settlement, is that when they will address how they handle the coal plant deferrals or does that get rolled into a separate proceeding?

Speaker 1

No. Hey, Anthony, that will all be decided within the Raytheus decision that Commission will make here in Q3. So they delivered they had hearings on it in July and so that's all part of the record. So it's kind of Either the $95,000,000 one or the alternate is if you defer some additional depreciation, it's 47,000,000 That $48,000,000 difference is just the deferral of depreciation. So all will be decided.

Speaker 1

So it would be earnings neutral, but it would have a cash flow impact obviously.

Speaker 2

Great. Thanks. I'm good from here. Thanks again for taking the questions.

Speaker 1

Yes. Thank you.

Operator

Thank Thank you. Our next question comes from Sophie Karp of KeyBanc. Please go ahead. Hi. Good morning.

Operator

Thanks A lot of my questions have been answered, but maybe I can just ask a couple of Questions here. So on volumes, I'm just curious if you could discuss a little bit what drives the volumes variability here aside from weather? It seems like C and I volumes were equally or close to equally weak as well as residential. So what are some puts and takes that drives it, I guess, year over year?

Speaker 1

Hey, Sophie. Yes, if I think about sales and really looking at the weather normalized sales, we continue to see Really strong growth on the C and I side out of SPS and in Q2 on a weather normalized basis. We had Strengthen Minnesota and Wisconsin to Colorado on a year to date basis on C and I, there is A large manufacturing facility was down for the Q1 In the Q1 of this year in Colorado, so that had some weakness. On the residential side, the residential while we're down close to 1% The year is tracking in line with our forecast or expectations for the year, right? We continue to see good customer growth, but we do see continued use for Customer declines as our we have really strong energy efficiency and DSM program.

Speaker 1

So I think overall it is tracking both on the T and I side and on the RESI side is tracking to expectations for kind of through the 1st 6 months and for the balance of the year with our guidance on sales.

Operator

All right. Thank you. And maybe I can just ask a bigger picture question here. I know you've been looking at Potentially involving an upward NSMR adjacent to one of your territories. Just kind of curious how How are you still thinking about that?

Operator

And if there's been any progress to report?

Speaker 1

Yes. Hey, it's Bob. We Look, we as a company, we certainly have a view on nuclear both current and future. Key priority for us is preserving the existing nuclear fleets and making sure that there's a potential for a nuclear future for the country. We have been working with a company called NuScale on their technology.

Speaker 1

It's an SMR technology, Mostly helping them through the nuclear regulatory process and making sure that their applications meet the NRC guidelines and hoping to get that that Technology can get through the regulatory process. We don't have plans as a company To own or operate a SMR at this point, we really are just taking our nuclear expertise And helping with the nuclear future for that company with so we don't have any specific plans to announce on SMRs in specifics.

Operator

All right. Thank you. That's all for me. Thank you. Our next question comes from Carly Davenport of Goldman Sachs.

Operator

Please go ahead. Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions.

Speaker 1

Hey, Carly. Welcome aboard.

Operator

Thank you. Appreciate that. Bob, you've been vocal about sort of an all of the above approach Kind of on the energy transition from a technology perspective. And you talked a little bit about the grant to support the Foam Energy pilot. Could you just talk a little bit about kind of how that pilot is evolving and other opportunities that might exist in that space for itself as we think about long duration storage?

Speaker 1

Yes, happy to. Look, as we think about it as a company, 1st utility to announce 100% carbon free, given our geographic position, our ability to transition with wind and solar Cost effectively for our customers through the end of this decade allowed us to make an interim target of an 80% carbon reduction. We feel very confident in that. But we've always been focused on we need new technology, new research, development and deployment Of new technologies to achieve our 100% goal and the nation's clean energy goals, one of the big pieces of that is obviously energy storage. We have a lot of lithium ion for our batteries around the country and we have some on our own systems.

Speaker 1

The long duration energy storage is a critical part of the energy future. And so the Form Energy battery It's a 100 Megawatt hour battery. So instead of 4 hours, it's 4 days. And that's a nice asset clash as we think about Periods when the wind doesn't blow and the sun doesn't shine and we've seen evidence of that as recently as early June of this year In the Southwest where we had very limited wind production, we've seen it in polar vortexes, where in Wintersperm, Yuri where we had no wind production for almost 3 day period. So this idea of a long duration battery is just really interesting.

Speaker 1

What's exciting about Form in particular, It's a pretty old technology really. This was found by the Department of Energy almost 60 years ago, But it's becoming commercializable by a new company Form Energy and they're a breakthrough energy VC funded company, An Energy Impact Partners funded company and the technology is pretty interesting. I want to call it simple because that would Minimize the impact and the efforts of the development team and the founders of that company, but it's basically rusting and de rusting iron. And the great part about that is Iron is readily available. It's domestically available, not subject to counterparties and regimes in the world where we have challenges.

Speaker 1

And so when I think about new technologies, sometimes it's not the best that wins, it's the one that's most commercializable and the one that Deploy the fastest and I was really proud to be in West Virginia last month and breaking ground with the Forum Energy team With Secretary Granholm and Senator Manchin, we're building an 800 Megawatt Capable factory in West Virginia as we speak with loan guarantees and grants from the government. So this is a technology that's going to come to fruition. It's The technology that's going to be scalable, we're really pleased to be their 1st partner in sales of that, but it's a pilot. It's 10 megawatts. We're going to put it on a 9,000 megawatt system.

Speaker 1

So we have a great opportunity to build it with them and invest alongside and then the breakthrough energy grants and the Potential DOE grants buy down that cost and buy down that risk for the company. So very exciting technology, really excited about the future what this could mean. And Carly, I would just add, we have another pilot in Colorado, Ambria, which It is a liquid metal technology that we'll have online in 2024. That's a 8 to 12 hour duration, so kind of call it mid duration. So We're spending a lot of time on this new technology.

Speaker 1

And I think also longer term, if you kind of broaden the definition of energy storage, green hydrogen is a form of energy storage. As we think about longer term, be on the store and then burn it through some of our firm dispatchable units longer term. So pretty excited about a lot of the call it new technologies And glad really happy to see how excited our Minnesota Commission is on Form Energy with the unanimous approval of that project.

Operator

Awesome. Appreciate those perspectives. And then to follow-up just around earnings guidance, obviously, you're reiterating the guidance for 2020. Just wanted to Check-in on temperature on the 5% to 7% long term guidance as you kind of think about the incremental spending opportunities from a CapEx perspective along with some of the regulatory outcomes that you see and kind of how you're thinking about that long term range?

Speaker 1

Yeah. Hey, Carla, good question. And we Fully expect to continue delivering in the upper half of our 5% to 7% long term guidance. So that's unchanged. I think you mentioned the incremental opportunities that we have.

Speaker 1

And I think in Bob's comments, he mentioned the Sherpa Solar Free Farm, The SPS, the 4 18 megawatts of solar farms that are going to provide significant customer benefits in SPS, we filed that CCN yesterday. So those 2 together are north of $1,000,000,000 of clean energy investments that will benefit our customers that are outside of our current Apple plan. And I think longer term, right, we'll file here in Q3 our preferred plan for with the Colorado Commission around our RFP, going into that, that was decided pre IRA. The commission ruled on that resource plan before we could layer on the significant benefits Significant customer benefits of the IRA. So when we look at how the costs are coming in relative To what was approved, we believe we can go bigger and faster, and above what that initial 4,000 megawatts Renewal was in storage show.

Speaker 1

So we're excited to work with our Colorado Commission on that, look for that filing in Q3 and hopefully get a decision in Q4. And then even more longer term in the next 18 months to 24 months, we'll be filing more RFPs in Minnesota, Colorado and SPS For further significant additions to clean energy assets as we march towards the Agency by 2,030 goal. So pretty excited about it, pretty excited about long term opportunities and We do feel good about delivering in the upper half of our long term guidance range.

Operator

Great. Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from Steve Fleishman of Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Yes. Hi, good morning. Hey, Steve. Good to have all of you on the phone including Paul. The one Marshall Fire question, is there a Yes.

Speaker 1

Steve, it's Bob. My understanding is that claims are a 2 year deadline. So that would say the end of this year is when claims need to be filed. Okay. Second question, a different topic on the Colorado settlement, is there I know I think you mentioned Q3 for the final water.

Speaker 1

Is there a Specific date for that approval? Not a There's not a date, Steve, but we expect that the commission will rule probably in the middle of August, Both deliberations, middle of August. Okay. And then lastly, just I know You all have been pretty focused on a number of IRA provisions including the hydrogen one. And I'm just kind of curious latest thoughts on the ability To look at hydrogen production, the green hydrogen, all those kind of Pillars of the green hydrogen, when do you think you'll get we'll get that and whether nuclear might be included in that or Is additionality going to be a problem for that?

Speaker 1

Thanks. Yes. Hey, Steve, it's Bob. Thanks for the question. We've been very active in Clean fuels in general and hydrogen in particular, look philosophically, We believe that we're going to undergo a large period of electrification over the next 10 or 20 years as a country and as a company, But that there are parts of the economy that are going to be difficult, or expensive or even in some cases impossible Electrify and therefore we feel like we need a clean molecule to help in those areas.

Speaker 1

And Today that's natural gas, but tomorrow the most promising molecule that we see is a green hydrogen molecule. And this Looks like it's an opportunity for the company. It's another version of steel for fuel at some level. Federal government is supportive of it. The states are supportive of it and we've got 2 hydrogen hub applications, 1 in the Rocky Mountain region with MOUs from 4 states, 2 of which we serve Colorado and New Mexico as well as Utah and Wyoming.

Speaker 1

And then here in the upper Midwest Five state MOU, again, 2 of which 3 of which that we serve, Wisconsin, Minnesota, North Dakota, Montana. And we're in front of the DOE. Those have progressed through the process and we expect to know by the end of the year whether we're going to get DOE loan grants For hydrogen, and I think you're aware of some of the challenges around what qualifies for a tax credit In hydrogen land and I think there's sort of three areas of sort of debate. And what we're trying to do is balance Cost to the customer and a need to accelerate OEMs to build and take us down the technology curve of electrolyzers And I think about those as location, generation matching and then So with respect to location, we've been all three of those on one end, we think we need Flexibility in all three of those categories. On the location, we've been supporting as a company's a balancing area type location, But certainly not national, which causes real market distortions and challenges with generation nationally.

Speaker 1

Similarly on matching, I think that the peer level would say we need hourly matching, but we probably need some transition period to get to that Strict hourly matching and so we've been supportive of some period of time where Maybe by the end of the decade or late this decade, we've got hourly matching, but in the we'll go to annually matching for some period of time. And then with additionality, again, very supportive of the additionality of the concept, but areas of Flexibility there, one, we would really support nuclear in regards to additionality and we have supported pretty vocally that as well as any sort of otherwise Back down energy, we would support that as additionality if it came back into the grid. And so Very active. We're very active at EEI. We're very active at ACPA.

Speaker 1

And I think those are generally in line with principles that both of those organizations are supporting. Hey, Stephen, you asked about timing or the statutory deadline is August 22nd, and they haven't missed statutory deadline yet. But what we're hearing is that there's still a lot of uncertainty around the position that is outlined given Some of the polarizing viewpoints, so it certainly could slip into September or October. Okay. That's a lot of good information.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ryan Levine of Citi. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Hi, everybody.

Speaker 1

In terms

Speaker 2

of the $500,000,000 insurance, What was the cost of that insurance? And when was it procured? And then I guess go forward, are you seeing changes in Pricing for wildfire related insurance and what's your strategy on a go forward basis related to

Speaker 1

We haven't disclosed the cost, Ryan. And every year we renew our insurance program. We continue to look at that. Insurance program is for everything is based on market experience for the insurance companies. And as you can imagine, It gets more challenging all the time.

Speaker 1

That's not just related to wildfire, but that's what all we have to say about insurance.

Speaker 2

Have you already procured it In 2023 for the next year or is that an upcoming event for the back half of the year?

Speaker 1

We're still in the process.

Speaker 2

Okay. And I guess one last question on that. I mean, so the 500,000,000 Any associated costs with procuring it, is that passed on to ratepayers? Or is that embedded in your O and M cost

Speaker 1

It's a reflection it's recovered through rate cases, yes. And it's included in

Speaker 2

your own expense.

Speaker 1

Included in it's included in Illinois expense. Okay. Appreciate the color. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. As we have no further questions in the queue, I will turn the call back over to CFO, Brian Van Appel for closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Thank you all for participating in our earnings call this morning. Please contact our Investor Relations team with any follow-up questions. Thank you.

Operator

That concludes today's conference. You may now

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Earnings Conference Call
Xcel Energy Q2 2023
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