NASDAQ:BFIN BankFinancial Q2 2023 Earnings Report Earnings History BankFinancial EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.18Consensus EPS $0.27Beat/MissMissed by -$0.09One Year Ago EPSN/ABankFinancial Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$14.18 millionExpected Revenue$14.70 millionBeat/MissMissed by -$520.00 thousandYoY Revenue GrowthN/ABankFinancial Announcement DetailsQuarterQ2 2023Date7/28/2023TimeN/AConference Call DateMonday, July 31, 2023Conference Call Time10:30AM ETConference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfilePowered by BankFinancial Q2 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrJuly 31, 2023 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 5 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good day and thank you for standing by and welcome to Banc Financial Corporation 2023 Q2 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's call, Chairman and CEO, F. Operator00:00:34Morgan Gasior. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:38Good morning, and welcome to the Q2 2023 investor conference call. At this time, I'd like to have our forward looking statements ready. Speaker 200:00:47The remarks made at this conference may include forward looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. We attend all forward looking statements to be covered by the Safe Harbor provisions contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are including this statement for purposes of invoking these safe harbor provisions. Forward looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties and are based on assumptions that may or may not occur. They are often identifiable by the use of the words believe, expect, intend, anticipate, estimate, project, plan or similar expressions. Our ability to predict these results or the actual effects of our plans and strategies is inherently uncertain and actual results may differ from those predicted. Speaker 200:01:42For further details on the risks and uncertainties that could impact Our financial conditions and results of operations, please consult the forward looking statements declaration and the risk factors we have included in our reports to the SEC. These risks and uncertainties should be considered in evaluating forward looking statements. We do not undertake any obligation to update any forward looking statement in the future. And now, I'll turn the call over to Chairman and CEO, Mr. F. Speaker 200:02:10Morgan Gacher. Speaker 100:02:11Thank you. At this time, all filings are complete and we are prepared for questions. Operator00:02:54And our first question comes from Kevin Roth from Black Maple Capital. Your line is now open. Hi, Morgan. We're a shareholder in the company and wanted to get some more information on the Disclosure related to the other the government equipment finance default. So So it's my understanding that this is the second default that you've had on this platform. Operator00:03:24And I guess I guess the question is, I mean, how many as a percentage of I don't know How much exposure you have to this government equipment finance platform? But if you could let me know what that number is, These defaults as a percentage of total exposure, but also are you rethinking This platform, any additional considerations as to whether to continue to do this going forward? That would be helpful. Thanks. Speaker 100:04:03Sure. The exposure detail is in the 10 ks. We It's in the section on the granular section on the loan portfolio. And so that would give you a sense of the total exposures. Also in the government space, the portfolio is broken down between federal, state and municipal. Speaker 100:04:30So in big picture terms, we've done about in history something over $300,000,000 of this type of activity. At the moment, the portfolio totals approximately 165,000,000 And that is broken down a little bit, over $100,000,000 is federal and then there is state and municipal And they were roughly the same proportions that you saw in the 10 ks. In terms of future activity, Obviously, these two federal cases are highly unusual. It's our understanding from speaking to market sources that's never happened to us before To start with, it's our understanding from market sources that and this was part of our original due diligence years ago That these type of activities are very rare, something like 2 or 3 in a 20 year period. But somehow very recently starting in late 20222023, there has been a spike in activity, something like 15 of them and we have 2 of them. Speaker 100:05:48So the issue next is Working through what we have, in these particular cases, we've tried to put as much disclosure as we can, Given that the claims process under the Contract Dispute Act is still non public, if it gets to the next step, Then we'll publish more on these specific cases. So at this point in time, obviously, there is an issue in this federal space. We don't we understand that in the original case, the Q1 case, The government department, military department is still actually using the software that they contracted for. It appears that they may have gone through another source, but They are still using the software. They publicly said they're still using the software. Speaker 100:06:35So we don't understand if their contract was limited by non appropriations risk And they have money to spend on the software, what has happened. And in the second case, this is another large government agency. They are still using the system that they intended the software to be used on. So once again, we're working on So for the time being, and I would say until these cases are resolved, The federal portfolio is has no more originations and it really wouldn't anyways given yields. We said that last quarter to begin with. Speaker 100:07:14But obviously under the circumstances, until we understand what is going on with these two specific cases and potentially in this space as a whole, Given the spike in activity that portfolio is topped off and will simply wind down. As far as the state and municipal goes, we still have 2 or 3 sources for that. We're doing a modest amount of that in the state and municipal area school districts and things like that. But it's obviously a much smaller scale, much smaller deals, Something we've been doing for 20 plus years and so far there's no indication of any similar issues that there have been in these two federal cases. Having said that too though, we're mindful of the fact that at all levels of government that including state municipal, The stimulus money that was provided to these various government entities is no longer. Speaker 100:08:13So it would not we would expect, I should say, That the exposure to government overall will wind down over time as the resources wind down. Operator00:08:25Okay. One follow-up. Just in reading the language here, it says that After the 120 day period to respond to the filings, the claims can be filed with the Federal Court of Claims. So what Morgan, what exactly does that mean? I mean, So you file it with the Federal Court of Claims and then it gets further adjudicated in that particular court and then they Issue a judgment or what's the next step? Operator00:08:53That's exactly correct. Okay. Speaker 100:08:56Okay. Operator00:08:57And are you able to collect on Professional fees as part of the judgment? Speaker 100:09:03Yes. When you look at the different approaches to the claims, There are formulas under federal acquisition regulations. If one theory is a breach of contract, you're able to collect Interest on the claim plus professional fees and the same goes in a termination for convenience or a constructive termination for convenience. So That's the first step here is to get the claims filed that starts the interest clock rolling and then the costs related to the claims can follow with that. So But we also have to make sure that we get all the facts we can possibly gather into the claim and then be prepared for the steps that need to take place. Operator00:09:45Okay. And just on switching gears here on the Commercial Equipment Finance Chapter 11 note on Page 32 of the 10 Q, I saw that you took a charge off on that of $627,000 on equipment. I would could you just comment on how once you get the equipment back, which I presume you have a A lean on UCC filing etcetera, how quickly can that equipment be remarketed? And Is it kind of regular way type of equipment that's used in this industry? Or is there a risk That the equipment may be a white elephant so to say where it may be difficult to release out. Speaker 100:10:36I would say, 1st of all, the process is subject to court order. We are working to get the property listed It is special use. The nature of this, it's excavation, teleboring equipment That's used for large civil infrastructure projects. It is not like a forklift or something else. It's essential use as you can get for a company that does this for their business, but it is large. Speaker 100:11:07Both pieces are larger pieces of equipment, hence the size of the And we are concerned that depending on demand at this time, especially if we try to push the liquidation There could be a further reduction in value. We won't know until we get out and expose it to the market. And then we'll have to decide just how hard we want to push it to liquidate and get the cash back working. Operator00:11:34Okay. All right. Well, that's helpful. Thank you. Speaker 100:11:37And thank you. And our Operator00:11:46next question comes from Brian Martin Jamie, your line is now open. And Brian Martin, your line is now open. Sorry about that. Good morning, everyone. Thanks. Operator00:12:05Just a One follow-up for me, Morgan, on the last question was just in terms of the other 15 or 10 to 15 circumstances that are similar to this that have happened. Do you have any comment on kind of the outcome of those so far? Or how has that played out? Is there any day to So far, how has that played out? Is there any data you can share on that? Speaker 100:12:28Everything we have is anecdotal. We heard one is Going to the court claims and one got resolved through negotiation, but we don't know a lot of specifics about it. Yes. There are several players in the industry and we've obviously been focused on our cases and Not really active in the industry right now, but at that juncture, we expect that it's going to go through the full claims process And potentially likely have to go to court of claims. We're not necessarily expecting a settlement. Speaker 100:13:01Obviously, we're open to that discussion Once we can understand what exactly is going on with these two cases and why they've taken the action that they have. Operator00:13:12Got you. Okay. And then how about can you just give some comments on I know the payoffs were up a little bit this quarter, the originations were down. Just Kind of how you're thinking about kind of loan growth here in the back half of the year as you given the payoffs this quarter? Speaker 100:13:33Yes. We right off the bat in Q2, as we said, we Decided to just back off of the credit originations generally. Wanted to understand how liquidity and Market conditions went on full and we kept the loan to deposit ratio relatively constant and that was one of the things we said we were going to do. Deposit trends strengthened a bit in the second quarter. And So based on that, we feel that especially with the liquidity that we'll have in the second half, we can reposition some cash into higher yields in the second half of the year. Speaker 100:14:20So for us, we'll see some increase in originations In the corporate commercial corporate equipment finance, little bit in middle market, little bit in small ticket as we have. Middle market and small ticket were relatively quiet, but we're also being picky with the credits that we're seeing. Commercial Finance had a good quarter in terms of utilization. We had strong utilization throughout the quarter. And then as we said in the filing right at the end of the quarter, between the healthcare borrowers getting their cash in from state receivables And the equipment finance borrowers getting their deals closed at the end of the quarter, we saw Payoffs in that last quarter of the week sorry, last week of the quarter, excuse me. Speaker 100:15:13And that But again, we had a reasonably good quarter for utilization. Healthcare is growing less quickly than we thought. Their cash balances remained strong. Their receivables collection remains strong. And we did have 1 borrower pay off in full. Speaker 100:15:33The borrower passed away actually and the family liquidated the businesses to pay the lines off. However, we're still working with the next generation in the family. They're looking for some additional acquisitions in a different market. So we may see some new business from them in the future. But we did have $1,000,000 $3,000,000 payoff that will be permanently paid off. Speaker 100:15:57Pipelines in commercial finance Going into the Q3 are good. We actually just closed a $4,000,000 new exposure last week. Healthcare continues to grow. We probably have about $15,000,000 in the pipeline that is working its way through various HUD approvals, some of which we'll see closed in the Q3 and some of it will close in the Q4. And if we get a 30%, 40% utilization on those exposures, you're looking at another $8,000,000 $10,000,000 of growth And so all sold, If we put everything together, if we could hold the loan portfolio somewhere between $1,175,000,000 to 1,000,000,000 $2,200,000,000 We expect real estate to be flat at best. Speaker 100:16:55Maybe if payoffs really slow down and we have a few things in the pipeline, it might grow a tick, but probably not that much. Equipment Finance, again, the corporate side will continue to grow. Middle market will grow a little bit. Small ticket will Pretty much stayed flat for a little bit. Obviously, government is going to be the one that comes down as we collect out. Speaker 100:17:21And then commercial finance is a bit of a wildcard because utilization, but we would hope that we Get footings around $100,000,000 by the end of the Q3 and try to do better than that in the Q4 at these new line flows. So what that would do for us is continue to improve interest income. It would still leave us around Somewhere between 90% 92% loan to deposit ratio assuming the deposit portfolio stabilizes and at current levels. And we're seeing some slight improvement in deposit marketing As we do more treasury services on the commercial side, we're starting to see very, very small green shoots in the business money market commercial marketing, just the last several days actually. So all told, that's what we kind of think happening in the loan portfolio. Speaker 100:18:21It should stabilize, maybe grow a tick, But that we still produce pretty strong results on the interest income side and allow us to hold the net interest margin It's relatively stable throughout the rest of the year. Operator00:18:36Got you. Okay. And so most of the growth would be healthcare and commercial finance that those are kind of the 2 engines if you will? Speaker 100:18:43Yes. That's been consistent. Plan throughout is what cash went off of either equipment finance or real estate and continue to strengthen commercial finance at all levels, the community small business platform And the healthcare platform as well. Operator00:19:05Got you. Okay. And How about just from that government portfolio, the runoff, how much I guess is there a can you kind of put a fence around how much runs off over the next 12 months On that portfolio, just kind of normal Speaker 100:19:18runoff? It would obviously go all the way to the end of next year. And I would say probably 60% of it, if Eligold as well, should run off by the end of next year. Operator00:19:29Okay. And that portfolio you said was about $165,000,000 or so today? Okay. So $60,000,000 of the $1,000,000 $65,000,000 comes down. Okay. Operator00:19:38How about just switching gears just to The expenses for a moment, just the outside of the kind of the items you guys called out in the 10 Q on kind of The costs related to the nonperforming, is the outlook for expenses to be relatively stable absent that item? Is that How you're looking at things today? Speaker 100:20:02Yes, we would think so. On the compensation side, we We're going to add a little bit of depth in the commercial finance side and a little bit more depth on the credit controls for the commercial finance side. We still see some volatility in compound branches based on staffing levels. We're a little more stable than we were, but we still see terms of the volume here including some recruiting fees. So and then originations, if originations are stronger than there are Expenses were both originations. Speaker 100:20:44That was obviously a greater impact last year than it will be this year, but that introduces some volatility Most of the benefits costs are behind us now for the rest of the year. As far as the rest of the expenses, IT tick up a little bit. We had some consulting work we needed to do into some brand systems that's behind us. And we'll see a little bit more stabilization that have a little more legal spend on the work And probably a little more spend on each of the credits that we highlighted in the filing. Once the claims are filed, the expenses will start to ameliorate a bit until it's time for the next step. Speaker 100:21:34However, the work we're putting in now is to prepare all stages. So we will have some expenses going, but Probably one more quarter of some heavier expenses and then it will come down. So all told, we would see the expenses It starts to level off probably somewhere in the neighborhood of $10,000,000 $10,500,000 range, But we'll continue to call out anything that's transitory in the filings, so you can get a closer look at the run rate. Operator00:22:05Okay, perfect. And then how about just from the margin standpoint, I think NII, I guess, is your expectation that It looked like this quarter a lot of the reversal of the accrued interest was what really took the NII Down linked quarter, I guess, is your outlook it seems to be that the dollars of NII should be able to grow On the second half of the year, I guess sequentially from 2Q to 3Q and then 3Q to 4Q, is that kind of how you're thinking about what the margin and The growth you're expecting from the higher yielding units you talked about? Speaker 100:22:41Yes, that's accurate. We'll work to Put a little more cash to work at higher yields and obviously the business that are rolling off the portfolio at our considerably lower yields. We are still mindful though of deposit interest expense. And with the Fed activity and customer awareness of rate that is a play that's still out there. And we'll see how that comes out. Speaker 100:23:08So If things move in the direction we're expecting where we do a little bit more originations volume during the second half of the year and the trends in that we kind of looked at for deposit interest expense remain, Then we think we have a reasonable chance of stabilizing net interest margin and possibly even adding to it a little bit by the Q4. But that will depend on how our originations go and also what happens with deposit interest expense, which I'm sure everybody is working through right now. Operator00:23:44Yes. Your deposit costs were deposit betas were very less below peer or better. Yes, I guess, given the DDA trends were pretty positive linked quarter basis, I guess, do you feel like there's a lot more Remix to occur or is it is that I think it's kind of stabilizing on the deposit side for you today? Speaker 100:24:09It's a great question and I think the best answer we have is that The longer that the attention continues on the Fed in an upward trend, the more likely it is that customers We'll look to reposition cash. If somehow and we don't really anticipate this, if somehow the Fed Has a change of heart and starts to reduce rates. You could see some migration while people try to lock in. And if the Fed announces they're done for the time being, you could also see some migration while people are trying to lock in. So We're not sure that the story is fully written on deposit interest expense right now. Speaker 100:24:54Obviously, Most of the activity has been in the specialty products and there's not been a broad move in the market On the core pricing, and obviously, too, the work we've done on the non interest bearing commercial and the treasury service side has Certainly helped. But the longer this environment goes on, the more migration risk there is obviously. So once again, I wouldn't necessarily say that we've seen the last of it or we've seen some kind of peak. We would we are expecting some activity to And the question will be how what customers really want to do. But Again, we've been playing what we would consider to be reasonably good defense. Speaker 100:25:43It's important for us to know it's important for customers to know that We respect the business. We have customers with Miller's for the long haul. And they know that when they call us and they're Looking to put more money to work at a competitive rate that we can work with them. And so far that strategy has been pretty successful and we're going to continue it. Operator00:26:06Got you. And just remind me, in a downward environment, if we do see cuts next year, how would you anticipate the margin Speaker 100:26:18Let me turn it over to my thoughts on Paul on that because he's done some analysis on that. Speaker 300:26:23Yes, Brian, initially for the first 100 basis points were well matched off, but if it were an abrupt cut Of over 100 basis points, then it would start to cut into net interest margin a little bit. Operator00:26:37Got you. Okay. Perfect. And then just maybe the last one or 2 for me and I'll step back is on The buyback or just capital, how are you thinking about that today given maybe a little bit less growth or just I guess some of the credit issues as you kind of work through here, how should we think about that? Speaker 100:27:01Well, We were actually somewhat over budget in terms of buybacks in the 2nd quarter. We're kind of ahead of plan on that. And so We think we'll likely take a step back in at least the Q3 and Q4 and let it average out. Obviously, we bought some shares back at a reasonable significant discount So that was helpful. But it's not really going to move our numbers either way. Speaker 100:27:26We do like providing liquidity to the market because we trade relatively few shares On a day by day basis right now, but we would expect that the activity we had in the 2nd quarter wouldn't continue. And in Q3, it will probably be considerably lower as you say we work through things. And then we'll take a look at it when we get to Q4. But right now, we were kind of over budget by almost 2 to 1. So we'll probably balance that out for Q3. Operator00:27:57Got you. Okay. And then really my next one my last one is really on the earnings, but just going back to the government credits and given The remainder of that portfolio, I guess, do you think there's a risk that we see more of this activity? I guess it's hypothetical at this point, but You've had 2 credits that kind of fall in this camp. You've seen elsewhere in the industry pick up here. Operator00:28:21I guess, are you concerned that there's more of these that could You've come up here in the short run, are these I want to say they're more isolated in the cases that have already come up, but Just in general, how do you feel about that, the risk of that occurring? Speaker 100:28:35It's certainly a risk. We We are monitoring everything we can possibly monitor with respect to appropriations risk. So far, The activity in the Q2, you re reported it, but everything else has been proceeding as it has. But there's still a risk. Until we understand more of what's happened within the agencies or in Government overall, we can't say that this is 100% isolated. Speaker 100:29:10It was a significant Surprise in both of these cases once we're able to talk more about it then you'll probably see it for yourself. But at this moment in time, we're not able to make any predictions other than we're going to stay in touch with the servicers And follow along all the activity we can and we'll be as transparent as we can if something does happen. Operator00:29:36Yes. That's helpful. And just to remind you, The other the credits that have turned that last quarter and this quarter, maybe $8,000,000 $10,000,000 Is that just I guess, are those some of the larger credits in that portfolio? I guess, if we were to see others come up, I mean, kind of the average size of that portfolio, The CreditNet portfolio, are those pretty typical for what the portfolio consists of? Or are those more of the larger size that have You have migrated had some negative migration here. Speaker 100:30:08Well, they're on the larger end of they're on the larger scale of things given the size of this Government department, it's one of the largest departments in the entire federal government, one of the largest purchasers in the world. So their credits tend to be larger. But if you go back and look at the 10 ks, We have a larger portfolio in terms of the quantity of credits. There are still some credits that are about this size Out there, they've got 1 or 2 years left to go. But in terms of the overall exposure, we have a significant range of smaller exposures that We'll continue to pay down. Speaker 100:30:55Some of them are on annual appropriations and they pay monthly And some of them are annual appropriations and they pay annually. But this portfolio is designed to be short term. You don't want very long term exposure to non appropriations risk. And so it was designed to be short term to begin with. So These were 2 of the larger ones. Speaker 100:31:19There are a couple that are of similar size, but the rest of the portfolio is much more granular. Operator00:31:25Got you. Okay. And last one for me, Morgan, I'll step back. Just on the outlook, kind of your outlook for ROA earnings, I think you had talked about maybe trying to get to the mid to high 20s over the next couple of quarters. I mean absent kind of the items you we called out This quarter as part of the reversal of accrued interest and expenses, it looked like you were pretty close to that type of level. Operator00:31:50And I guess just how are you thinking about the back half of the year or maybe into 2024 at this point on that? Speaker 100:31:59Well, we would say first off that Because we can proceed forward and work to stabilize the margin and apart from some blips And some increases in expenses on protecting our credit positions. We do see that low to mid-20s is feasible For the remainder of the year, depending on how our originations go and our deposit interest expense goes, But also note that we may have to have a provision on some of the credits that we disclosed this quarter and that's one of the reasons we wanted to call it out. But on a PPP basis, we still see us doing somewhere in the $4,500,000 to 4.75 $4,750,000 range. And if we can hold that number on a core basis, Lynette, looks has us looking in the $0.20 to $0.24 of share range. But we could see some choppiness in that. Speaker 100:33:06The core franchise continues to move forward. Obviously, we'll have a little bit of a drag from the cash that is not working the way we would like it to work. But the core franchise should produce those types of results. Operator00:33:21Got you. Okay. And your comment on the loan growth, And would you expect more loan growth 3rd quarter, 4th quarter? There's typically been some seasonality, but as you Kind of think about the back half of the year, the growth that you do get, can you get some of this cash to work sooner in the Q3 or is it? Speaker 100:33:41Well, right off the bat, we won't get a lot of the cash to put back to work until later in Q3 Q4. We have some excess liquidity now, but not very, very much excess liquidity. And 2, seasonally, 3rd quarter is usually pretty slow. The commercial finance side might grow draw a little bit more as you saw in the Q2, especially in healthcare. It's not necessarily seasonal in some cases, but in some of the residential care facilities, Some patients are with families over the summer and then they go back into facilities over the winter when school goes back and the caregivers are not as available. Speaker 100:34:26So I would say all told, we're looking more in Q4 than Q3. Also, We took a step back from the market in Q2 just to assess liquidity and market conditions. So we're going to have to get back out there and do a little more on the outreach side. So for all those reasons, I think The increases in liquidity from runoff, the seasonality and the generation of marketing We'll all probably produce more results in the Q4 if all goes well for us. Operator00:35:02Got you. Okay, Perfect. I appreciate you taking all the questions. I'll step back. Speaker 100:35:07Thank you. And thank you. Operator00:35:19And for our next question, we have Henry Walczak, Private Investor. Your line is now open. Speaker 400:35:26Good morning. How are you? Hello, Morgan. Historically, you've been great on credit. So when I saw the NPAs go up from Q4 of 2022 From 0.13 to Q2 of 2023 of 1.64, I was kind of shocked and confused. Speaker 400:35:53But I guess you explained most of that. So just on a timeframe, How long is it expected to resolve these 2 government credits? Speaker 100:36:06Yes. We have to take it one step at a time. It's a 2 step process as we said and the first process is about 120 days. And then after that, then we have to file with the court of claims. That could be at least 6 months and maybe longer. Speaker 100:36:23So the key to us is getting the claims properly presented And then prepare for the next step. It's an administrative process and a judicial process. So we would say that at least 120 days for Claim process, if they we're not expecting the claims process to produce positive results. It's Essentially like talking to a tax auditor and then you go to tax court, it's that type of process, but it is possible. We'll certainly endeavor to But you're probably talking about 6 months to 12 months on the inside before we'll see meaningful results? Speaker 400:37:03Wow. So we're looking like at 2023 at the earliest? Speaker 100:37:08I would say maybe certainly 2020 yes, I would say at least 2023. It's not so different than a foreclosure case, which takes us 18 months. That's why we try to be as good as credit as we can. It's like any other judicial process. It is going to take it's going to run its course. Speaker 400:37:29Okay. Thank you. And just to circle back to your share buyback, I think you bought 93,000 515 shares in Q2 and you stated you're going to dial back on your purchases in Q3. Is that correct? Speaker 100:37:48We said we were going to try to do about 50,000 shares a quarter and obviously we did almost double that in the second quarter. We were doing we didn't do any blocks during the quarter and we wound up just doing a little bit every day, not even close to the daily max. So it just worked out that doing a very small amount, a relatively small amount per day is what it ended up to. But now we're over budget a bit. The share price has improved a bit as well. Speaker 100:38:18So I would expect we'll have Relatively nominal volumes in the second in the third quarter and then we'll evaluate Q4 right now. Speaker 400:38:27And just to come back to the Dividends, is that dividend still safe with all the uptick in the NPAs? Speaker 100:38:37Well, the Board declared a $0.10 dividend. Our quarter our earnings for the quarter were $0.18 So we have plenty of dividend coverage and at this moment we'll take it quarter by quarter. But if we can continue to produce the results The core franchise, then we'll continue to look at that dividend. It's an important part of shareholder return right now And it's something that we'll be mindful of. But as I've said before, we make no promises to anybody at any time. Speaker 100:39:08We talked about that Year before last at the annual meeting, we will the dividend is extremely important to us. It's extremely important to investors And we'll do everything we can to sustain it, but we make no promises. Speaker 400:39:23Okay. Thank you, Mark. And I guess you answered all my questions. And if you can give me a call, I'll dial back. Thank you. Speaker 100:39:31Sure. Happy to. And thank you. Operator00:39:36And one moment for our next question. And our next question comes from Eric Grubelich, a Private Investor. Your line is now open. Yes. Hi, good morning. Operator00:39:51I just wanted to circle back on a couple of things. One related to the questions Kevin Roth asked you about some of the problem loans and the nonperformance. That tunnelboring equipment loan, a commercial Thanks, Lon. Is that equipment stuck in the ground or is it up out in the open mothballed in a lot whatever where you can access it and easily deal with it if it needs to be repossessed and sold? Speaker 100:40:18We it's a good question. Let me just say it's Getting a little granular, but at the moment, the equipment is accessible and is available for plate for sale. Operator00:40:32Okay. Okay, great. And then just obviously, you folks are the expert on these government sponsored or government loans like the software one that went bad. I know you're going through this court process and there's some Procedure that you have to do to do that, I get it. But at the end of the day, is your risk on these with the government or that entity that you want the money to? Speaker 100:41:02The payor is the United States government. So that's the payor. Operator00:41:06That's the payor. Okay. No, no, that's fine. That's fine. It's obviously not your standard Canaccord type alone. Operator00:41:16It's a little bit more complicated, but thanks. And then just one last thing, just sort of generally. On the you talked about the margin Before with regard to the loan activity that may occur in the second half, I was just curious on the deposit side as I think Brian in his marathon of Q and A asked you about the much of the deposit beta was pretty low. Your savings accounts and I forget which the other kind of names, the NOW accounts. What do you attribute to The relatively low rate on those, is it the granularity of the account that is allowing you to Not be or not need to aggressively raise rates there or what is it? Operator00:42:04And then related to that, Where do you think the biggest risk is on the deposit side? Is it more migration at the higher cost CDs or money market? Where do you think that may come from or go into? Speaker 100:42:21Well, Let's take the two questions. We worked for 30 plus years to build a very strong Deposit franchise and with a significant quantity of customers throughout the metropolitan area, but also especially in the savings accounts and the money market accounts. But It's also the case that many competitors in terms of core deposits are priced. We're usually at or near the top of core deposit Pricing in the market anyways. So on a relative basis within a core product, we're always pretty strong. Speaker 100:43:08But at the end of the day, the difference between the current market prices for At the retail money market accounts and the core savings, the core money markets, It's a pretty widespread, one of the widest in recent memory. Many of our customers are using their savings accounts for day to day living. Service is their priority, not necessarily pricing, but there will be customers that's what we said earlier. There will be customers that will look to get a marginally better return on their money, whether that's in the interest bearing checking, the money markets or the savings. And the longer that delta continues, the risk the greater that risk is. Speaker 100:43:55So our strategy is to work with those customers. We have a variety of different programs in place to work with them. And so far it's been successful. But I would say, the environment Continues to persist and that risk continues to persist. On the commercial side, we've been working to grow that portfolio over the years. Speaker 100:44:17That's both local depositors and also national depositors from our various lines of business. That portfolio continues to grow and that also provides some support to the cost of funds. But even those customers We don't necessarily like to focus on idle funds. And so we again, we'll work with them to make sure that There's a good balance between the utility of their cash where they need to use it every day for business operations and funding their investments and so forth and also earning a reasonable return. So during the Q2, we put a couple of new products together and made sure that they were effective with the view towards we want to keep the cash working with us and for us at all times, again within reason. Speaker 100:45:10And then finally, our focus is always to make sure that customers Know that they can always talk to us if they have funds in other places and we were able to do something for them on migrating funds That are already at the bank. We never lose an opportunity to ask what they have somewhere else in somebody else's poor deposit accounts. And once they understand we can do something for them with their deposits here, we're now starting to see some migration of inflows in From banks that are not paying quite as much of attention to their customers. And we've seen that both on the deposit on the commercial side And we've seen it on the retail side. So one of the benefits of being smaller is that We're more granular in talking to our customers. Speaker 100:45:58Some of our competitors are not. And that's allowing us So do a little share of wallet gains as time goes on. Plus, competitively, we've noticed that some of our competitors Are just not even in the market competing like we are to make sure their customers are respected And that is giving us an opportunity to go after their customers on an even broader market basis. And as I said earlier, the first green shoots of marketing that we started in the second Order just started to pop up in the last several days and we are going to ramp that up now that we're seeing some positive return. But I have to say customers are paying attention. Speaker 100:46:43And if there appears to be a pivot point where customers Feel that they need to lock in. I think you can see more migration. If we have competitors that get more aggressive than they have, we've Seeing a couple of credit unions locally that are probably leading the league in terms of competition. We're puzzled about what they're doing with the money, but they are very aggressive. So that's why we said we're not we would not conclude that we're at a peak or anything like it. Speaker 100:47:16We will have a while to go before this environment reaches some kind of, I would call it stabilization or normalization. But again, with the cash flows we have coming off the portfolio, we think we can maintain a reasonable net interest margin going forward And still respect our customers on the deposit side. Operator00:47:39Okay, great. Thanks for that qualitative detail. That was Thorough and helpful. Thanks. Have a good rest of the day. Speaker 100:47:46Thank you, Michael. And by the way, let me just say that we always welcome Brian's questions however detailed they are. So, mirrors on the way brand, we're ready, willing and able. And thank Operator00:48:07And one moment for our next follow-up question. And our next follow-up question comes from Kevin Roth from Black Maple Capital. Your line is now open. Hi. My question was answered. Operator00:48:25Thank you. Speaker 100:48:28Thank you. Bear with me one moment. Operator00:48:33And we have another follow-up question. One moment please. And our follow-up question is from Eric Grublitz, a Private Investor. Your line is now open. Yes. Operator00:48:47Hi. I just want to make a comment. I used to be a publishing sell side analyst myself. I used to do the same thing and that was a compliment to Brian, not any kind of Speaker 100:48:59Well, we appreciate your views on that and we appreciate all the questions from all sources. We appreciate your interest in the company as well and we'll do our best to answer every question we get as thoroughly as we can. Operator00:49:12Thanks. Bye bye. As I am showing no further questions, I would now like to turn the call back over to Chairman and CEO, F. Morgan Gajer for closing remarks. Speaker 100:49:32Well, we thank everyone for their interest and questions. We will work our way through these Issues that have come up with us and resolve them as quickly and as effectively as we can. And in the meantime, we thank you for your interestRead morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallBankFinancial Q2 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) BankFinancial Earnings HeadlinesBankFinancial Corporation Reports Increased Q1 2025 EarningsApril 26 at 12:25 AM | tipranks.comDo Options Traders Know Something About BankFinancial (BFIN) Stock We Don't?March 18, 2025 | msn.comSilicon Valley Gold RushA new technology has sparked a modern-day gold rush in Silicon Valley. OpenAI’s Sam Altman invested $375M. Bill Gates has backed four companies in this space. 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Email Address About BankFinancialBankFinancial (NASDAQ:BFIN) Corp. operates as a bank holding company. The firm's products include checking and savings account, debit and credit cards, cash management, deposits, loans, online banking and payment, automated teller machines, safe deposit boxes, wealth management and insurance services. 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There are 5 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good day and thank you for standing by and welcome to Banc Financial Corporation 2023 Q2 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's call, Chairman and CEO, F. Operator00:00:34Morgan Gasior. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:38Good morning, and welcome to the Q2 2023 investor conference call. At this time, I'd like to have our forward looking statements ready. Speaker 200:00:47The remarks made at this conference may include forward looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. We attend all forward looking statements to be covered by the Safe Harbor provisions contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are including this statement for purposes of invoking these safe harbor provisions. Forward looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties and are based on assumptions that may or may not occur. They are often identifiable by the use of the words believe, expect, intend, anticipate, estimate, project, plan or similar expressions. Our ability to predict these results or the actual effects of our plans and strategies is inherently uncertain and actual results may differ from those predicted. Speaker 200:01:42For further details on the risks and uncertainties that could impact Our financial conditions and results of operations, please consult the forward looking statements declaration and the risk factors we have included in our reports to the SEC. These risks and uncertainties should be considered in evaluating forward looking statements. We do not undertake any obligation to update any forward looking statement in the future. And now, I'll turn the call over to Chairman and CEO, Mr. F. Speaker 200:02:10Morgan Gacher. Speaker 100:02:11Thank you. At this time, all filings are complete and we are prepared for questions. Operator00:02:54And our first question comes from Kevin Roth from Black Maple Capital. Your line is now open. Hi, Morgan. We're a shareholder in the company and wanted to get some more information on the Disclosure related to the other the government equipment finance default. So So it's my understanding that this is the second default that you've had on this platform. Operator00:03:24And I guess I guess the question is, I mean, how many as a percentage of I don't know How much exposure you have to this government equipment finance platform? But if you could let me know what that number is, These defaults as a percentage of total exposure, but also are you rethinking This platform, any additional considerations as to whether to continue to do this going forward? That would be helpful. Thanks. Speaker 100:04:03Sure. The exposure detail is in the 10 ks. We It's in the section on the granular section on the loan portfolio. And so that would give you a sense of the total exposures. Also in the government space, the portfolio is broken down between federal, state and municipal. Speaker 100:04:30So in big picture terms, we've done about in history something over $300,000,000 of this type of activity. At the moment, the portfolio totals approximately 165,000,000 And that is broken down a little bit, over $100,000,000 is federal and then there is state and municipal And they were roughly the same proportions that you saw in the 10 ks. In terms of future activity, Obviously, these two federal cases are highly unusual. It's our understanding from speaking to market sources that's never happened to us before To start with, it's our understanding from market sources that and this was part of our original due diligence years ago That these type of activities are very rare, something like 2 or 3 in a 20 year period. But somehow very recently starting in late 20222023, there has been a spike in activity, something like 15 of them and we have 2 of them. Speaker 100:05:48So the issue next is Working through what we have, in these particular cases, we've tried to put as much disclosure as we can, Given that the claims process under the Contract Dispute Act is still non public, if it gets to the next step, Then we'll publish more on these specific cases. So at this point in time, obviously, there is an issue in this federal space. We don't we understand that in the original case, the Q1 case, The government department, military department is still actually using the software that they contracted for. It appears that they may have gone through another source, but They are still using the software. They publicly said they're still using the software. Speaker 100:06:35So we don't understand if their contract was limited by non appropriations risk And they have money to spend on the software, what has happened. And in the second case, this is another large government agency. They are still using the system that they intended the software to be used on. So once again, we're working on So for the time being, and I would say until these cases are resolved, The federal portfolio is has no more originations and it really wouldn't anyways given yields. We said that last quarter to begin with. Speaker 100:07:14But obviously under the circumstances, until we understand what is going on with these two specific cases and potentially in this space as a whole, Given the spike in activity that portfolio is topped off and will simply wind down. As far as the state and municipal goes, we still have 2 or 3 sources for that. We're doing a modest amount of that in the state and municipal area school districts and things like that. But it's obviously a much smaller scale, much smaller deals, Something we've been doing for 20 plus years and so far there's no indication of any similar issues that there have been in these two federal cases. Having said that too though, we're mindful of the fact that at all levels of government that including state municipal, The stimulus money that was provided to these various government entities is no longer. Speaker 100:08:13So it would not we would expect, I should say, That the exposure to government overall will wind down over time as the resources wind down. Operator00:08:25Okay. One follow-up. Just in reading the language here, it says that After the 120 day period to respond to the filings, the claims can be filed with the Federal Court of Claims. So what Morgan, what exactly does that mean? I mean, So you file it with the Federal Court of Claims and then it gets further adjudicated in that particular court and then they Issue a judgment or what's the next step? Operator00:08:53That's exactly correct. Okay. Speaker 100:08:56Okay. Operator00:08:57And are you able to collect on Professional fees as part of the judgment? Speaker 100:09:03Yes. When you look at the different approaches to the claims, There are formulas under federal acquisition regulations. If one theory is a breach of contract, you're able to collect Interest on the claim plus professional fees and the same goes in a termination for convenience or a constructive termination for convenience. So That's the first step here is to get the claims filed that starts the interest clock rolling and then the costs related to the claims can follow with that. So But we also have to make sure that we get all the facts we can possibly gather into the claim and then be prepared for the steps that need to take place. Operator00:09:45Okay. And just on switching gears here on the Commercial Equipment Finance Chapter 11 note on Page 32 of the 10 Q, I saw that you took a charge off on that of $627,000 on equipment. I would could you just comment on how once you get the equipment back, which I presume you have a A lean on UCC filing etcetera, how quickly can that equipment be remarketed? And Is it kind of regular way type of equipment that's used in this industry? Or is there a risk That the equipment may be a white elephant so to say where it may be difficult to release out. Speaker 100:10:36I would say, 1st of all, the process is subject to court order. We are working to get the property listed It is special use. The nature of this, it's excavation, teleboring equipment That's used for large civil infrastructure projects. It is not like a forklift or something else. It's essential use as you can get for a company that does this for their business, but it is large. Speaker 100:11:07Both pieces are larger pieces of equipment, hence the size of the And we are concerned that depending on demand at this time, especially if we try to push the liquidation There could be a further reduction in value. We won't know until we get out and expose it to the market. And then we'll have to decide just how hard we want to push it to liquidate and get the cash back working. Operator00:11:34Okay. All right. Well, that's helpful. Thank you. Speaker 100:11:37And thank you. And our Operator00:11:46next question comes from Brian Martin Jamie, your line is now open. And Brian Martin, your line is now open. Sorry about that. Good morning, everyone. Thanks. Operator00:12:05Just a One follow-up for me, Morgan, on the last question was just in terms of the other 15 or 10 to 15 circumstances that are similar to this that have happened. Do you have any comment on kind of the outcome of those so far? Or how has that played out? Is there any day to So far, how has that played out? Is there any data you can share on that? Speaker 100:12:28Everything we have is anecdotal. We heard one is Going to the court claims and one got resolved through negotiation, but we don't know a lot of specifics about it. Yes. There are several players in the industry and we've obviously been focused on our cases and Not really active in the industry right now, but at that juncture, we expect that it's going to go through the full claims process And potentially likely have to go to court of claims. We're not necessarily expecting a settlement. Speaker 100:13:01Obviously, we're open to that discussion Once we can understand what exactly is going on with these two cases and why they've taken the action that they have. Operator00:13:12Got you. Okay. And then how about can you just give some comments on I know the payoffs were up a little bit this quarter, the originations were down. Just Kind of how you're thinking about kind of loan growth here in the back half of the year as you given the payoffs this quarter? Speaker 100:13:33Yes. We right off the bat in Q2, as we said, we Decided to just back off of the credit originations generally. Wanted to understand how liquidity and Market conditions went on full and we kept the loan to deposit ratio relatively constant and that was one of the things we said we were going to do. Deposit trends strengthened a bit in the second quarter. And So based on that, we feel that especially with the liquidity that we'll have in the second half, we can reposition some cash into higher yields in the second half of the year. Speaker 100:14:20So for us, we'll see some increase in originations In the corporate commercial corporate equipment finance, little bit in middle market, little bit in small ticket as we have. Middle market and small ticket were relatively quiet, but we're also being picky with the credits that we're seeing. Commercial Finance had a good quarter in terms of utilization. We had strong utilization throughout the quarter. And then as we said in the filing right at the end of the quarter, between the healthcare borrowers getting their cash in from state receivables And the equipment finance borrowers getting their deals closed at the end of the quarter, we saw Payoffs in that last quarter of the week sorry, last week of the quarter, excuse me. Speaker 100:15:13And that But again, we had a reasonably good quarter for utilization. Healthcare is growing less quickly than we thought. Their cash balances remained strong. Their receivables collection remains strong. And we did have 1 borrower pay off in full. Speaker 100:15:33The borrower passed away actually and the family liquidated the businesses to pay the lines off. However, we're still working with the next generation in the family. They're looking for some additional acquisitions in a different market. So we may see some new business from them in the future. But we did have $1,000,000 $3,000,000 payoff that will be permanently paid off. Speaker 100:15:57Pipelines in commercial finance Going into the Q3 are good. We actually just closed a $4,000,000 new exposure last week. Healthcare continues to grow. We probably have about $15,000,000 in the pipeline that is working its way through various HUD approvals, some of which we'll see closed in the Q3 and some of it will close in the Q4. And if we get a 30%, 40% utilization on those exposures, you're looking at another $8,000,000 $10,000,000 of growth And so all sold, If we put everything together, if we could hold the loan portfolio somewhere between $1,175,000,000 to 1,000,000,000 $2,200,000,000 We expect real estate to be flat at best. Speaker 100:16:55Maybe if payoffs really slow down and we have a few things in the pipeline, it might grow a tick, but probably not that much. Equipment Finance, again, the corporate side will continue to grow. Middle market will grow a little bit. Small ticket will Pretty much stayed flat for a little bit. Obviously, government is going to be the one that comes down as we collect out. Speaker 100:17:21And then commercial finance is a bit of a wildcard because utilization, but we would hope that we Get footings around $100,000,000 by the end of the Q3 and try to do better than that in the Q4 at these new line flows. So what that would do for us is continue to improve interest income. It would still leave us around Somewhere between 90% 92% loan to deposit ratio assuming the deposit portfolio stabilizes and at current levels. And we're seeing some slight improvement in deposit marketing As we do more treasury services on the commercial side, we're starting to see very, very small green shoots in the business money market commercial marketing, just the last several days actually. So all told, that's what we kind of think happening in the loan portfolio. Speaker 100:18:21It should stabilize, maybe grow a tick, But that we still produce pretty strong results on the interest income side and allow us to hold the net interest margin It's relatively stable throughout the rest of the year. Operator00:18:36Got you. Okay. And so most of the growth would be healthcare and commercial finance that those are kind of the 2 engines if you will? Speaker 100:18:43Yes. That's been consistent. Plan throughout is what cash went off of either equipment finance or real estate and continue to strengthen commercial finance at all levels, the community small business platform And the healthcare platform as well. Operator00:19:05Got you. Okay. And How about just from that government portfolio, the runoff, how much I guess is there a can you kind of put a fence around how much runs off over the next 12 months On that portfolio, just kind of normal Speaker 100:19:18runoff? It would obviously go all the way to the end of next year. And I would say probably 60% of it, if Eligold as well, should run off by the end of next year. Operator00:19:29Okay. And that portfolio you said was about $165,000,000 or so today? Okay. So $60,000,000 of the $1,000,000 $65,000,000 comes down. Okay. Operator00:19:38How about just switching gears just to The expenses for a moment, just the outside of the kind of the items you guys called out in the 10 Q on kind of The costs related to the nonperforming, is the outlook for expenses to be relatively stable absent that item? Is that How you're looking at things today? Speaker 100:20:02Yes, we would think so. On the compensation side, we We're going to add a little bit of depth in the commercial finance side and a little bit more depth on the credit controls for the commercial finance side. We still see some volatility in compound branches based on staffing levels. We're a little more stable than we were, but we still see terms of the volume here including some recruiting fees. So and then originations, if originations are stronger than there are Expenses were both originations. Speaker 100:20:44That was obviously a greater impact last year than it will be this year, but that introduces some volatility Most of the benefits costs are behind us now for the rest of the year. As far as the rest of the expenses, IT tick up a little bit. We had some consulting work we needed to do into some brand systems that's behind us. And we'll see a little bit more stabilization that have a little more legal spend on the work And probably a little more spend on each of the credits that we highlighted in the filing. Once the claims are filed, the expenses will start to ameliorate a bit until it's time for the next step. Speaker 100:21:34However, the work we're putting in now is to prepare all stages. So we will have some expenses going, but Probably one more quarter of some heavier expenses and then it will come down. So all told, we would see the expenses It starts to level off probably somewhere in the neighborhood of $10,000,000 $10,500,000 range, But we'll continue to call out anything that's transitory in the filings, so you can get a closer look at the run rate. Operator00:22:05Okay, perfect. And then how about just from the margin standpoint, I think NII, I guess, is your expectation that It looked like this quarter a lot of the reversal of the accrued interest was what really took the NII Down linked quarter, I guess, is your outlook it seems to be that the dollars of NII should be able to grow On the second half of the year, I guess sequentially from 2Q to 3Q and then 3Q to 4Q, is that kind of how you're thinking about what the margin and The growth you're expecting from the higher yielding units you talked about? Speaker 100:22:41Yes, that's accurate. We'll work to Put a little more cash to work at higher yields and obviously the business that are rolling off the portfolio at our considerably lower yields. We are still mindful though of deposit interest expense. And with the Fed activity and customer awareness of rate that is a play that's still out there. And we'll see how that comes out. Speaker 100:23:08So If things move in the direction we're expecting where we do a little bit more originations volume during the second half of the year and the trends in that we kind of looked at for deposit interest expense remain, Then we think we have a reasonable chance of stabilizing net interest margin and possibly even adding to it a little bit by the Q4. But that will depend on how our originations go and also what happens with deposit interest expense, which I'm sure everybody is working through right now. Operator00:23:44Yes. Your deposit costs were deposit betas were very less below peer or better. Yes, I guess, given the DDA trends were pretty positive linked quarter basis, I guess, do you feel like there's a lot more Remix to occur or is it is that I think it's kind of stabilizing on the deposit side for you today? Speaker 100:24:09It's a great question and I think the best answer we have is that The longer that the attention continues on the Fed in an upward trend, the more likely it is that customers We'll look to reposition cash. If somehow and we don't really anticipate this, if somehow the Fed Has a change of heart and starts to reduce rates. You could see some migration while people try to lock in. And if the Fed announces they're done for the time being, you could also see some migration while people are trying to lock in. So We're not sure that the story is fully written on deposit interest expense right now. Speaker 100:24:54Obviously, Most of the activity has been in the specialty products and there's not been a broad move in the market On the core pricing, and obviously, too, the work we've done on the non interest bearing commercial and the treasury service side has Certainly helped. But the longer this environment goes on, the more migration risk there is obviously. So once again, I wouldn't necessarily say that we've seen the last of it or we've seen some kind of peak. We would we are expecting some activity to And the question will be how what customers really want to do. But Again, we've been playing what we would consider to be reasonably good defense. Speaker 100:25:43It's important for us to know it's important for customers to know that We respect the business. We have customers with Miller's for the long haul. And they know that when they call us and they're Looking to put more money to work at a competitive rate that we can work with them. And so far that strategy has been pretty successful and we're going to continue it. Operator00:26:06Got you. And just remind me, in a downward environment, if we do see cuts next year, how would you anticipate the margin Speaker 100:26:18Let me turn it over to my thoughts on Paul on that because he's done some analysis on that. Speaker 300:26:23Yes, Brian, initially for the first 100 basis points were well matched off, but if it were an abrupt cut Of over 100 basis points, then it would start to cut into net interest margin a little bit. Operator00:26:37Got you. Okay. Perfect. And then just maybe the last one or 2 for me and I'll step back is on The buyback or just capital, how are you thinking about that today given maybe a little bit less growth or just I guess some of the credit issues as you kind of work through here, how should we think about that? Speaker 100:27:01Well, We were actually somewhat over budget in terms of buybacks in the 2nd quarter. We're kind of ahead of plan on that. And so We think we'll likely take a step back in at least the Q3 and Q4 and let it average out. Obviously, we bought some shares back at a reasonable significant discount So that was helpful. But it's not really going to move our numbers either way. Speaker 100:27:26We do like providing liquidity to the market because we trade relatively few shares On a day by day basis right now, but we would expect that the activity we had in the 2nd quarter wouldn't continue. And in Q3, it will probably be considerably lower as you say we work through things. And then we'll take a look at it when we get to Q4. But right now, we were kind of over budget by almost 2 to 1. So we'll probably balance that out for Q3. Operator00:27:57Got you. Okay. And then really my next one my last one is really on the earnings, but just going back to the government credits and given The remainder of that portfolio, I guess, do you think there's a risk that we see more of this activity? I guess it's hypothetical at this point, but You've had 2 credits that kind of fall in this camp. You've seen elsewhere in the industry pick up here. Operator00:28:21I guess, are you concerned that there's more of these that could You've come up here in the short run, are these I want to say they're more isolated in the cases that have already come up, but Just in general, how do you feel about that, the risk of that occurring? Speaker 100:28:35It's certainly a risk. We We are monitoring everything we can possibly monitor with respect to appropriations risk. So far, The activity in the Q2, you re reported it, but everything else has been proceeding as it has. But there's still a risk. Until we understand more of what's happened within the agencies or in Government overall, we can't say that this is 100% isolated. Speaker 100:29:10It was a significant Surprise in both of these cases once we're able to talk more about it then you'll probably see it for yourself. But at this moment in time, we're not able to make any predictions other than we're going to stay in touch with the servicers And follow along all the activity we can and we'll be as transparent as we can if something does happen. Operator00:29:36Yes. That's helpful. And just to remind you, The other the credits that have turned that last quarter and this quarter, maybe $8,000,000 $10,000,000 Is that just I guess, are those some of the larger credits in that portfolio? I guess, if we were to see others come up, I mean, kind of the average size of that portfolio, The CreditNet portfolio, are those pretty typical for what the portfolio consists of? Or are those more of the larger size that have You have migrated had some negative migration here. Speaker 100:30:08Well, they're on the larger end of they're on the larger scale of things given the size of this Government department, it's one of the largest departments in the entire federal government, one of the largest purchasers in the world. So their credits tend to be larger. But if you go back and look at the 10 ks, We have a larger portfolio in terms of the quantity of credits. There are still some credits that are about this size Out there, they've got 1 or 2 years left to go. But in terms of the overall exposure, we have a significant range of smaller exposures that We'll continue to pay down. Speaker 100:30:55Some of them are on annual appropriations and they pay monthly And some of them are annual appropriations and they pay annually. But this portfolio is designed to be short term. You don't want very long term exposure to non appropriations risk. And so it was designed to be short term to begin with. So These were 2 of the larger ones. Speaker 100:31:19There are a couple that are of similar size, but the rest of the portfolio is much more granular. Operator00:31:25Got you. Okay. And last one for me, Morgan, I'll step back. Just on the outlook, kind of your outlook for ROA earnings, I think you had talked about maybe trying to get to the mid to high 20s over the next couple of quarters. I mean absent kind of the items you we called out This quarter as part of the reversal of accrued interest and expenses, it looked like you were pretty close to that type of level. Operator00:31:50And I guess just how are you thinking about the back half of the year or maybe into 2024 at this point on that? Speaker 100:31:59Well, we would say first off that Because we can proceed forward and work to stabilize the margin and apart from some blips And some increases in expenses on protecting our credit positions. We do see that low to mid-20s is feasible For the remainder of the year, depending on how our originations go and our deposit interest expense goes, But also note that we may have to have a provision on some of the credits that we disclosed this quarter and that's one of the reasons we wanted to call it out. But on a PPP basis, we still see us doing somewhere in the $4,500,000 to 4.75 $4,750,000 range. And if we can hold that number on a core basis, Lynette, looks has us looking in the $0.20 to $0.24 of share range. But we could see some choppiness in that. Speaker 100:33:06The core franchise continues to move forward. Obviously, we'll have a little bit of a drag from the cash that is not working the way we would like it to work. But the core franchise should produce those types of results. Operator00:33:21Got you. Okay. And your comment on the loan growth, And would you expect more loan growth 3rd quarter, 4th quarter? There's typically been some seasonality, but as you Kind of think about the back half of the year, the growth that you do get, can you get some of this cash to work sooner in the Q3 or is it? Speaker 100:33:41Well, right off the bat, we won't get a lot of the cash to put back to work until later in Q3 Q4. We have some excess liquidity now, but not very, very much excess liquidity. And 2, seasonally, 3rd quarter is usually pretty slow. The commercial finance side might grow draw a little bit more as you saw in the Q2, especially in healthcare. It's not necessarily seasonal in some cases, but in some of the residential care facilities, Some patients are with families over the summer and then they go back into facilities over the winter when school goes back and the caregivers are not as available. Speaker 100:34:26So I would say all told, we're looking more in Q4 than Q3. Also, We took a step back from the market in Q2 just to assess liquidity and market conditions. So we're going to have to get back out there and do a little more on the outreach side. So for all those reasons, I think The increases in liquidity from runoff, the seasonality and the generation of marketing We'll all probably produce more results in the Q4 if all goes well for us. Operator00:35:02Got you. Okay, Perfect. I appreciate you taking all the questions. I'll step back. Speaker 100:35:07Thank you. And thank you. Operator00:35:19And for our next question, we have Henry Walczak, Private Investor. Your line is now open. Speaker 400:35:26Good morning. How are you? Hello, Morgan. Historically, you've been great on credit. So when I saw the NPAs go up from Q4 of 2022 From 0.13 to Q2 of 2023 of 1.64, I was kind of shocked and confused. Speaker 400:35:53But I guess you explained most of that. So just on a timeframe, How long is it expected to resolve these 2 government credits? Speaker 100:36:06Yes. We have to take it one step at a time. It's a 2 step process as we said and the first process is about 120 days. And then after that, then we have to file with the court of claims. That could be at least 6 months and maybe longer. Speaker 100:36:23So the key to us is getting the claims properly presented And then prepare for the next step. It's an administrative process and a judicial process. So we would say that at least 120 days for Claim process, if they we're not expecting the claims process to produce positive results. It's Essentially like talking to a tax auditor and then you go to tax court, it's that type of process, but it is possible. We'll certainly endeavor to But you're probably talking about 6 months to 12 months on the inside before we'll see meaningful results? Speaker 400:37:03Wow. So we're looking like at 2023 at the earliest? Speaker 100:37:08I would say maybe certainly 2020 yes, I would say at least 2023. It's not so different than a foreclosure case, which takes us 18 months. That's why we try to be as good as credit as we can. It's like any other judicial process. It is going to take it's going to run its course. Speaker 400:37:29Okay. Thank you. And just to circle back to your share buyback, I think you bought 93,000 515 shares in Q2 and you stated you're going to dial back on your purchases in Q3. Is that correct? Speaker 100:37:48We said we were going to try to do about 50,000 shares a quarter and obviously we did almost double that in the second quarter. We were doing we didn't do any blocks during the quarter and we wound up just doing a little bit every day, not even close to the daily max. So it just worked out that doing a very small amount, a relatively small amount per day is what it ended up to. But now we're over budget a bit. The share price has improved a bit as well. Speaker 100:38:18So I would expect we'll have Relatively nominal volumes in the second in the third quarter and then we'll evaluate Q4 right now. Speaker 400:38:27And just to come back to the Dividends, is that dividend still safe with all the uptick in the NPAs? Speaker 100:38:37Well, the Board declared a $0.10 dividend. Our quarter our earnings for the quarter were $0.18 So we have plenty of dividend coverage and at this moment we'll take it quarter by quarter. But if we can continue to produce the results The core franchise, then we'll continue to look at that dividend. It's an important part of shareholder return right now And it's something that we'll be mindful of. But as I've said before, we make no promises to anybody at any time. Speaker 100:39:08We talked about that Year before last at the annual meeting, we will the dividend is extremely important to us. It's extremely important to investors And we'll do everything we can to sustain it, but we make no promises. Speaker 400:39:23Okay. Thank you, Mark. And I guess you answered all my questions. And if you can give me a call, I'll dial back. Thank you. Speaker 100:39:31Sure. Happy to. And thank you. Operator00:39:36And one moment for our next question. And our next question comes from Eric Grubelich, a Private Investor. Your line is now open. Yes. Hi, good morning. Operator00:39:51I just wanted to circle back on a couple of things. One related to the questions Kevin Roth asked you about some of the problem loans and the nonperformance. That tunnelboring equipment loan, a commercial Thanks, Lon. Is that equipment stuck in the ground or is it up out in the open mothballed in a lot whatever where you can access it and easily deal with it if it needs to be repossessed and sold? Speaker 100:40:18We it's a good question. Let me just say it's Getting a little granular, but at the moment, the equipment is accessible and is available for plate for sale. Operator00:40:32Okay. Okay, great. And then just obviously, you folks are the expert on these government sponsored or government loans like the software one that went bad. I know you're going through this court process and there's some Procedure that you have to do to do that, I get it. But at the end of the day, is your risk on these with the government or that entity that you want the money to? Speaker 100:41:02The payor is the United States government. So that's the payor. Operator00:41:06That's the payor. Okay. No, no, that's fine. That's fine. It's obviously not your standard Canaccord type alone. Operator00:41:16It's a little bit more complicated, but thanks. And then just one last thing, just sort of generally. On the you talked about the margin Before with regard to the loan activity that may occur in the second half, I was just curious on the deposit side as I think Brian in his marathon of Q and A asked you about the much of the deposit beta was pretty low. Your savings accounts and I forget which the other kind of names, the NOW accounts. What do you attribute to The relatively low rate on those, is it the granularity of the account that is allowing you to Not be or not need to aggressively raise rates there or what is it? Operator00:42:04And then related to that, Where do you think the biggest risk is on the deposit side? Is it more migration at the higher cost CDs or money market? Where do you think that may come from or go into? Speaker 100:42:21Well, Let's take the two questions. We worked for 30 plus years to build a very strong Deposit franchise and with a significant quantity of customers throughout the metropolitan area, but also especially in the savings accounts and the money market accounts. But It's also the case that many competitors in terms of core deposits are priced. We're usually at or near the top of core deposit Pricing in the market anyways. So on a relative basis within a core product, we're always pretty strong. Speaker 100:43:08But at the end of the day, the difference between the current market prices for At the retail money market accounts and the core savings, the core money markets, It's a pretty widespread, one of the widest in recent memory. Many of our customers are using their savings accounts for day to day living. Service is their priority, not necessarily pricing, but there will be customers that's what we said earlier. There will be customers that will look to get a marginally better return on their money, whether that's in the interest bearing checking, the money markets or the savings. And the longer that delta continues, the risk the greater that risk is. Speaker 100:43:55So our strategy is to work with those customers. We have a variety of different programs in place to work with them. And so far it's been successful. But I would say, the environment Continues to persist and that risk continues to persist. On the commercial side, we've been working to grow that portfolio over the years. Speaker 100:44:17That's both local depositors and also national depositors from our various lines of business. That portfolio continues to grow and that also provides some support to the cost of funds. But even those customers We don't necessarily like to focus on idle funds. And so we again, we'll work with them to make sure that There's a good balance between the utility of their cash where they need to use it every day for business operations and funding their investments and so forth and also earning a reasonable return. So during the Q2, we put a couple of new products together and made sure that they were effective with the view towards we want to keep the cash working with us and for us at all times, again within reason. Speaker 100:45:10And then finally, our focus is always to make sure that customers Know that they can always talk to us if they have funds in other places and we were able to do something for them on migrating funds That are already at the bank. We never lose an opportunity to ask what they have somewhere else in somebody else's poor deposit accounts. And once they understand we can do something for them with their deposits here, we're now starting to see some migration of inflows in From banks that are not paying quite as much of attention to their customers. And we've seen that both on the deposit on the commercial side And we've seen it on the retail side. So one of the benefits of being smaller is that We're more granular in talking to our customers. Speaker 100:45:58Some of our competitors are not. And that's allowing us So do a little share of wallet gains as time goes on. Plus, competitively, we've noticed that some of our competitors Are just not even in the market competing like we are to make sure their customers are respected And that is giving us an opportunity to go after their customers on an even broader market basis. And as I said earlier, the first green shoots of marketing that we started in the second Order just started to pop up in the last several days and we are going to ramp that up now that we're seeing some positive return. But I have to say customers are paying attention. Speaker 100:46:43And if there appears to be a pivot point where customers Feel that they need to lock in. I think you can see more migration. If we have competitors that get more aggressive than they have, we've Seeing a couple of credit unions locally that are probably leading the league in terms of competition. We're puzzled about what they're doing with the money, but they are very aggressive. So that's why we said we're not we would not conclude that we're at a peak or anything like it. Speaker 100:47:16We will have a while to go before this environment reaches some kind of, I would call it stabilization or normalization. But again, with the cash flows we have coming off the portfolio, we think we can maintain a reasonable net interest margin going forward And still respect our customers on the deposit side. Operator00:47:39Okay, great. Thanks for that qualitative detail. That was Thorough and helpful. Thanks. Have a good rest of the day. Speaker 100:47:46Thank you, Michael. And by the way, let me just say that we always welcome Brian's questions however detailed they are. So, mirrors on the way brand, we're ready, willing and able. And thank Operator00:48:07And one moment for our next follow-up question. And our next follow-up question comes from Kevin Roth from Black Maple Capital. Your line is now open. Hi. My question was answered. Operator00:48:25Thank you. Speaker 100:48:28Thank you. Bear with me one moment. Operator00:48:33And we have another follow-up question. One moment please. And our follow-up question is from Eric Grublitz, a Private Investor. Your line is now open. Yes. Operator00:48:47Hi. I just want to make a comment. I used to be a publishing sell side analyst myself. I used to do the same thing and that was a compliment to Brian, not any kind of Speaker 100:48:59Well, we appreciate your views on that and we appreciate all the questions from all sources. We appreciate your interest in the company as well and we'll do our best to answer every question we get as thoroughly as we can. Operator00:49:12Thanks. Bye bye. As I am showing no further questions, I would now like to turn the call back over to Chairman and CEO, F. Morgan Gajer for closing remarks. Speaker 100:49:32Well, we thank everyone for their interest and questions. We will work our way through these Issues that have come up with us and resolve them as quickly and as effectively as we can. And in the meantime, we thank you for your interestRead morePowered by