Zevia PBC Q2 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
August 8, 2023

There are 10 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Zevia Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. And in the interest of time, we do ask that you limit yourself to one question and a single follow-up. Please also note today's event is being recorded.

Operator

I would now like to turn the conference over to Reed Anderson with ICR. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Welcome to Zevia's Q2 2023 earnings conference call and webcast. On today's call are Amy Taylor, President and Chief Executive Officer and Denise Beckles, Chief Financial Officer. By now, everyone should have access to the company's Q2 2023 earnings press release and investor presentation filed this morning. This information is available on the Investor Relations section of Zevia's website at investors. Zevia.com.

Speaker 1

Before we begin, please note that all the financial information presented on today's call is unaudited. Certain comments made on this call include forward looking statements, which are subject to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward looking statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in these forward looking statements. Please refer to today's press release and other filings with the SEC for a detailed discussion of the risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward looking statements made today. During the call, we will use some non GAAP financial measures as we describe business performance.

Speaker 1

The SEC filings as well as the earnings press release and presentation slides that accompany today's comments and reconciliations of the non GAAP Financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are all available on our website at investors. Zevia.com. And now I'd like to turn the call over to Amy Taylor.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Reed, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to the Q2 2023 earnings call for Zevia CBC. Before we address the supply chain disruptions, I'd like to provide an update on the fundamentals of the Zevia business. Zevia's brand remains healthy. Demand is strong and accelerating as the brand refresh rolls out and velocity continues to grow at double digit rates.

Speaker 2

Our price increase has been well received, reinforcing our premium but accessible positioning and supporting our gross margin improvement. We remain in a strong cash position even while investing in initiatives to strengthen the brand and the operations for the future. Consumer spending on the brand is up per household and per trip, and our order book reflects demand in keeping with our expectations. And as we pre announced, our net sales for Q2 were materially impacted by interruptions to our customer fulfillment. These interruptions are short term in nature and are the result of missteps in our supply chain transformation efforts.

Speaker 2

The transformation of Zevia's supply chain is a critical initiative to support our continued growth, enhance our customer service and drive efficiency and ultimately materially reduce costs as we scale. With that said, we experienced some pain points in the transition from old to new, which I will detail here today, with a focus on the actions we are taking to course correct them And the expectations going forward. So the main message I would like for you to take away from today's call is that Zevia has significant long term potential And the broader value proposition remains one of the most relevant in all of beverage, a very exciting category. Zevia's demand, Reflected in velocity data via scan, which measured over 21% for the quarter, demonstrates that the brand and the product portfolio Meet the needs of today's and tomorrow's consumers. The steps we are taking continue to bolster margins and improve profitability, reflecting the exciting potential in the years to come.

Speaker 2

Customer fulfillment challenges are short term and the supply chain will be stabilized by year end and optimized for 2024. Aegia's mission focuses on global health for people and the planet and in Q2 we removed another 3,100 metric tons of sugar from consumers' diets and never having sold a plastic bottle. Stevia is more affordable than 65% of non alcoholic beverages in North America, Even as we realize price in keeping with the market, our continued focus is taking better for you beverages mainstream, making them available and affordable For consumers across all income levels. So I will walk us through 2nd quarter results and then speak to our focus now and going forward. We delivered net sales of $42,200,000 below expectations for the quarter.

Speaker 2

Velocities were strong and bolstered by the brand refresh And double digit retail sales growth was sustained where service levels were not interrupted, as is clear in select customers and across the market in our scan data. Our order book was at or above expectations across the quarter. Gross margins continue to improve. We've demonstrated strong cash management, Disciplined adaptations to our promotional strategy and price increase implementation with a strengthened key accounts team As we move from a field sales model to a national account focus this year, we've realized immediate benefit from the strong brand refresh And we believe collectively these initiatives will reinforce our foundation and position us to deliver on our ambition of sustainable profitable growth. I'll speak to our consumer base evolution and retail indicators via panel and scan data insights, and then I'll walk us through the measures we are putting in place to address Customer fulfillment.

Speaker 2

Zevia's household penetration remains above 6%, and Zevia's households increased their brand spend by 6% once again, driven by another 9% increase in spend per trip with consistent purchase frequency rates. These are strong indicators of the health of our brand and our user base. We also saw strong new item performance in the form of vanilla cola, Single can soda sales and 12 packs. The most important scan metric of the quarter is velocity, sales per point of distribution. Zevia grew velocity 21.3 percent in the quarter, demonstrating that when in stock, Zevia remains a double digit growth brand.

Speaker 2

Zevia Shopper is a highly desirable one, less price sensitive at all income levels. We remain a home stocking brand, which remains a competitive advantage as we simultaneously build our singles business and grow cold availability, which are key to driving brand trial. CVS shoppers spend 40% more on beverage versus total non alcoholic beverage shoppers. Our shoppers also make 32% more trips to stores to purchase beverages. Zvia shoppers continue to differentiate themselves even further From average beverage shoppers as they continue to spend more on the brand and overall.

Speaker 2

Our promotional effectiveness continues to increase, Which supports profitability, but also informs our retail strategies going forward. We had 25% fewer dollars sold on promotion in the 2nd quarter versus prior year and continued to improve lift. In other words, we sell more Zevia on the merits of the brand to new and existing consumers. We continue to grow in legacy natural channel retailers and expand in mainstream channels. We've established incremental cold distribution With our single sodas across natural, now our fastest growing pack format there, growing trial with new shoppers.

Speaker 2

We're gaining single soda distribution in conventional grocery as well, and we have new energy drink distribution in West, Midwest and East regional chains. 1 of the country's top 3 drug chains is moving Zevia to the carbonated soft drink aisle nationwide starting in September. And finally, We have very strong performance in the carbonated soft drink aisle in test stores in the world's largest retailer, and we anticipate Continued expansion in that chain with resets in 2024. Cevia has performed at or above expectations with each expansion into mainstream channels, which bodes well for future customer and channel expansion. So I will now direct our attention to our broader operational efforts and address customer fulfillment.

Speaker 2

In the past year, We have redefined the Zevia brand through new positioning and packaging. We've entered the new singles business, expanded distribution, Launched top performing flavors and formats, built a professionalized key accounts team, successfully taken 3 price increases in keeping with the category and have step changed cost management and cash management. At the end of Q1, we also endeavored a supply chain transformation to deliver a streamlined, efficient and effective supply chain built for scale. This is the right initiative for Xevia and will deliver strong results when complete. We have experienced short term missteps in its execution, however, with material impact on net sales for Q2 We expect to continue in Q3.

Speaker 2

As we consolidate our warehouse network from 27 locations to 7, Partnering with 2 capable and proven partners, we encountered challenges, which impacted inventory management at a SKU level, Inventory transfers and then accuracy and timeliness customer deliveries, and we have taken the following steps to course correct. Firstly, we've hired a new SVP of Operations and Chief Supply Chain Officer in Bill Williamson, who joined us in July from Monster Energy. Bill has also hired already 3 new experienced supply chain manager level contributors to step change in house operations. Secondly, we rephased transition plans for our warehouse network, leveraging legacy providers for support through the transition with ample days of supply Across all SKUs. Thirdly, we established new practices for customer mapping and customer ordering to support fulfillment, effectiveness and efficiency.

Speaker 2

Fourthly, we changed our approach to freight to improve service levels and reduce costs. And then finally, we sold our company owned warehouse to the best of the mix model and embrace our efficient third party network. This transaction closed in early Q3. As evidenced in our velocity data via scan, demand remains strong. Our raw materials and finished goods supply and forecasting capabilities are strong.

Speaker 2

The short term issues centered around logistics in customer fulfillment and the steps required to fix it are clear and are in place. We have a long history A strong customer fulfillment with our retail partners and are providing a high level of transparency through this transition to them, protect distribution And support future expansion with our retail partners. I'll wrap with the big picture and turn it over to Denise. Vvia has a very healthy brand and business model and continues to experience strong consumer demand, increasing spending per household on the brand. We are realizing price in the market with strong consumer acceptance, and we continue to grow velocity at legacy retail partners and in new distribution.

Speaker 2

We are delivering strong and improving gross margins. And our number one priority in the meantime is to stabilize our supply chain, Returning to our best in class service levels and putting the network transformation back on track so that it delivers our long term objectives Driving sustainable profitable growth. Thank you, and I'll hand it over to Denise.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Amy, and good morning, everyone. I will begin with an overview of our Q2 financial results, discuss guidance and then open the call for your questions. In the Q2 of 2023, we delivered net sales of $42,200,000 down 7.2% versus same time prior year. We did see positive impacts from our strong implementation of our price increase in the quarter, Coupled with our price increase from August 2022, which delivered a positive impact of $3,600,000 offset by decline in volumes of 16.8 percent or $6,900,000 due to the supply chain disruption and lower order fulfillment. But the key fundamentals of our business remain strong, as shown in our gross margin, adjusted EBITDA And cash management in the period, which I will discuss next.

Speaker 3

Our gross margins continued sequential improvement With our strongest margins yet as a public company at 46.6 percent for the Q2 of 2023, 4.2 points above the same quarter a year ago, primarily due to the impact of price increases and tailwinds from lower aluminum costs, offset by lower volumes and slightly higher manufacturing costs associated with higher fees as a result of inflationary pressures And labor rates. Gross margin also improved sequentially by 20 basis points versus Q1 2023. Gross profit delivered in the period was $19,700,000 up $400,000 or 1.9 percent versus year ago. Selling and marketing expenses increased 1.4 percent to $16,100,000 reflecting increases in freight and warehousing rates of $0.69 Per unit sold, a 20.8 percent year on year increase in costs, primarily due to the supply chain transformation initiative and disruption And additional investment in marketing in the period of $200,000 G and A expense was $6,200,000 or 14.7 percent of net sales in the 2nd period of 2023 compared to $9,800,000 or 21.6 percent of net sales in the Q2 of 2022, a decrease of 6.9 points as a percent of net sales. The year on year dollar decrease was attributable to lower employee costs, discretionary spend and public company costs.

Speaker 3

Stock based compensation and non cash expense was $2,400,000 in the Q2 of 2023 as compared to 8,000,000 Same time last year. Net loss was $3,900,000 compared to a net loss of $11,100,000 In the Q2 of 2022, an improvement of $7,200,000 or 64.6 percent as compared to the Q2 of last year. Loss per share was $0.08 per diluted share of VIVIA Class A common shareholders compared to a loss per share of $0.27 in the Q2 of 2022. Adjusted EBITDA loss was $2,600,000 compared to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $6,400,000 in the Q2 of 2022, a year on year improvement of $3,800,000 or 59%. Our balance sheet remains healthy with $47,000,000 in cash and cash equivalents and no standing debt as of the end of the Q2 of 2023 as well as an unused credit line of 20,000,000 Working capital at the end of the period was $70,400,000 Turning to guidance.

Speaker 3

Our 2023 annual net sales guidance It's $163,000,000 to $168,000,000 including $38,000,000 to $41,000,000 In Q3 of 2023, which reflects our expectations that the supply chain logistics challenges We'll continue to have a material impact on Q3. While we do not provide guidance on gross margins and adjusted EBITDA, We do expect costs associated with the supply chain transformation and current supply chain disruptions to negatively impact both our gross margins and adjusted EBITDA That concludes our prepared remarks. We will now open the call for your questions. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Today's first question comes from Bonnie Herzog with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

All right. Thank you. Good morning, everyone. I had a quick question first on the underlying demand, Amy, that you mentioned your products, just wanted to confirm that you saw demand actually accelerate month to month in Q2 or should we think about it more as just Broadly remaining price stronger consistent. And then just curious how demand has trended in July early days of August So far, if you could share.

Speaker 4

Sure.

Speaker 2

So we saw strong demand growth year over year, year to date Throughout the first half of twenty twenty three. And then in the month of July, we saw acceleration. And so as promotional dollar investment has reduced in part of necessity, our lift has improved And our velocity has accelerated. And so we're just looking at July data scanned data through July 17th. We saw, for example, in 7 out of our top 10 retailers posting improvements versus prior period in soda scan sales On materially reduced promotional dollars and all posting accelerated dollar growth.

Speaker 2

So hopefully that answers your question, Monnie.

Speaker 4

Yes. No, that was helpful color. And then my second question, I guess, is on your full year guidance, which You now calls for quite a bit of top line improvement in Q4 just based on what you kind of shared regarding Q3. So I was hoping to better understand the visibility and confidence you have that you'll see this type of improvement in Q4. And I recognize it's early, but just any thoughts on your top line growth, the acceleration next year and beyond, just thinking about what's What do you think is a realistic growth outlook for your business in light of everything you've been working on, whether it's the brand refresh, The investments you've made, etcetera.

Speaker 4

Thanks.

Speaker 2

Sure. So the fundamentals are obviously in place and we can see in velocity That the brand health is strong and that the brand refresh is already having an impact with or without incremental marketing dollars spent By simply driving on shelf visibility and trial, so new consumer trial. And demand throughout the year has remained strong. We haven't experienced any loss of space at retail with our recent customer fulfillment challenges. So our return to growth is simply a matter of how quickly we can return to normal customer fulfillment levels.

Speaker 2

I think that explains our bullishness on Q4, Just being able to actually realize the impact in net sales of consumer demand. And our outlook for the future remains bullish. So we are a double digit growth brand. You can see that in our velocity, we expect it to return in scan sales and of course in our shipments and net sales. And we also expect distribution expansion to support in 2024 such that we're growing based on a balance between velocity And distribution growth.

Speaker 2

We've also had a strong response to price increases that we've put into the market. And so that indicates that we have further room in price as well. So in 2024, we would expect growth in price and then a nice mix between velocity and distribution expansion.

Speaker 4

Okay. Just maybe want to confirm something and then I'll pass it on. So to be clear, that's super helpful. And then just thinking about the supply chain disruption and the work you're doing to resolve it, We should assume that will be fixed throughout Q3 and that's really where you're going to face still some impact. But then by the time we hit Q4, things will accelerate, giving the underlying demand, etcetera.

Speaker 2

You're definitely right about the acceleration in Q4. And then just to clarify with regard to the timeline on recovery of supply chain back to the fully Mullen, really best in class fulfillment levels that we've sustained in the past, including through COVID and through the aluminum can crisis, we've always been quite competitive and reliable there. And so we expect the timeline there, as we said, to be by or before year end, so definitely impacting Q3. It'll take months and not weeks to fix, but we do expect to be in good shape by or before year end, Bonnie.

Speaker 4

Okay, very helpful. Thanks so much. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

And our next question comes from Christian Junkaro with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Good morning. You have Christian on for Brian. Thanks for taking our question. Denise, I believe at the end of your prepared remarks, You mentioned how the supply chain transition will negatively impact gross margins and operating expenses for the Q3. Can you share The magnitude of that impact, should we expect gross margins to decelerate this upcoming quarter?

Speaker 5

They've been trending in that mid 40% and just the magnitude of the impact on selling and marketing expenses. For instance, it came in higher than we anticipated this quarter. I don't know if there was a one time cost this quarter that you could share With us. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Sure. Good morning. So in gross margins, we expect it to continue to be in the mid-40s. Though we expect to see pressure, we expect it to remain in the mid-40s. On adjusted EBITDA, we expect it to be lumpy.

Speaker 3

Costs are going to accelerate, selling costs primarily in the 3rd Q4. We anticipate That will happen through the rest of the year, primarily related to what's happening with supply chain. So we don't expect it to be at the level in Q1 and Q2. However, we do expect that we will see some normalization late in the Q4. Does that give you does that answer your question?

Speaker 5

Perfect. Yes, that's very helpful. And then just one quick follow-up for me. Just Any early reads from the brand refresh? What are retailers and consumers saying?

Speaker 5

And just what are some of the internal metrics you guys use to That you guys are using to gauge the success of the brand refresh? Thanks.

Speaker 2

Sure. Yes. Over time, the brand refresh's job Is to expand our household penetration, is to win new consumers and to build brand health through the lens of image And then and brand love and loyalty. And so obviously far too early to measure success based on this, but early indicators would be our retailers engaging, Our retailers seeing that the in store visibility improvement that comes with the brand refresh merits increased space, Merit's increased frequency of display and Merit's engagement in a category where we're still fairly new in the game such as energy And based on those anecdotes, we're very happy with the brand refresh. It's driven a lot of engagement as both retailers and consumers consider the new look and feel to present Premium but accessible brand and most of all a relevant brand.

Speaker 2

Anecdotally from consumers be it on social media or reposts or Influencers posting Zevia saying Zevia fits my vibe now. We are seeing a lot of positive feedback. But again, it's early days and this is very anecdotal. I think one of the more important anecdotes to share is from one particular top retailer where we have been able to maintain in stock levels for the period because of ample Shelf, sort of holding power, off shelf displays and strong execution. And in this particular retailer, growth has been consistent since the beginning of the year, but accelerated to 22% in the period ending July 16 with the brand refresh in store.

Speaker 2

In the same period of time, we're reducing our promotional spend by 20%. And so I highlight this just to say, It is our belief that we are selling for Zevia on the merits of the brand post brand refresh and that, that will continue. So we're very bullish on the brand refresh delivering trial, expanding consumer base, expanding in store presence And ultimately helping to improve lift efficiency and growth on the merits of the brand. So thanks for the question, Christian.

Speaker 5

Thank you. I'll pass it along.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question today comes from Jim Salaro with Stephens. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hi, good morning guys. Thanks for taking our question. Amy, I wanted to ask on the acceleration Once the supply chain is kind of reoriented, is that going to come just from better kind of In aisle fill rates and having all the products on the shelf and having several SKUs deep or is that going to allow Floor displays, end cap displays, more visible to consumers outside of the kind of traditional in aisle Product offering.

Speaker 2

Jim, you're doing a great job of breaking down both reasons. So effectively, we know the demand is there. And in fact, if I can give you a little bit more color, if we had filled our on shelf and display gaps For the quarter, that fill rate would have bolstered our scan sales at about $4,000,000 and it would have reflected Growth rates from a scan perspective of 17%, so meeting our expectations. So to answer your question, The return to growth, in other words, to have our net sales reflect what our actual demand is, it will be a product of both things that you mentioned, which is Filling depths of shelf to avoid individual flavor and SKU out of stock on shelf, as well as returning to the ability to Execute display activity and to drive incremental promotions and to interrupt new shoppers at multiple parts of the store. We're currently having to back off of that to a degree Based on our customer fulfillment issues.

Speaker 2

So as soon as we're able to fulfill the demand, we're able to then also drive in store presence. So yes, both shelf And display return to sort of doing their job at Zevia when customer fulfillment comes back online and both of those Executional considerations help to fulfill that underlying demand and we expect that to further accelerate given the brand refresh positive early indicators. Does that help, Jim?

Speaker 1

Yes. Yes, that's great. And then maybe if I can ask you

Speaker 6

a question on club too.

Speaker 1

I know at least in my

Speaker 6

area, we have the tea offering in club 1 With the 30 pack for the sort of SKU, is there any opportunity for energy in club like multi Back for energy or to get T more broadly distributed. I'm not sure how representative my area is relative to kind of the broader club distribution. But do you think that you could run with A soft drink SKU, an energy SKU and a tea SKU across club?

Speaker 2

We absolutely believe that we can, Jim, and that is our intent. And so soda has positively surprised every regional buyer and club that has chosen to double down on Zevia Soda. We're in the early days of tea rotations as you've observed and again sometimes doubling expectations of minimum hurdle rates with tea And we're very early in the energy drinks business. We're seeking to drive energy drinks starting now based upon the brand refresh, Because we wanted to put the new look and feel, media energy in front of the consumer and broader brush visibility versus the Old look and feel, we feel that the new design materially better represents our position, which is a clean and pure energy option At a premium but accessible price with awesome taste. And this is the feedback that we're getting.

Speaker 2

So we believe the club distribution could be An exciting way to continue to reach more consumers with the energy proposition as well. So yes to the future of tea and club and yes to the future of energy and club as upside.

Speaker 6

Okay, great. Thanks. I'll pass it along.

Speaker 3

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

And our next question comes from Sarang Zohra with Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Great. Thank you, guys. Saragora for Dana Telsey. My first question is on the supply chain. It seems like Based on your comments, certain customers had strong sales, certain did not.

Speaker 7

So can you provide taking a deeper step in, can you provide color on Was this supply chain impact regional? Did it impact certain customers? Any particular brands like tea or Just curious to know a little bit more on how it impacted the current trends?

Speaker 2

Yes, Saurabh. Thank you for the question. I would say, unfortunately, the customer fulfillment dynamic was pretty even across the country from a geographic perspective. And while it did not have an outsized impact on individual customers more than others, in some instances when Customers have ordered higher level stocks in the past. They've remained in stock further into our challenge period than others and thus had better performance.

Speaker 2

In some instances, we were able to support promotion, so make sure that retailers with promotions remained largely in stock, But that was challenging across the country. So I think the simplest way to answer your question is that through the lens of customer, Category and geography, the impact was relatively equal across the country. And so we're taking swift action, as I've mentioned in the prepared remarks, to fix that. And Bill Williamson, who started with us in mid July and then Full time at the end of July has brought in 3 new people in key functional areas to drive improvement. He stood up tools and processes necessary to support Team function during the transition.

Speaker 2

He's demonstrated the ability to drive swift decisions with confidence, leading the team, understanding their daily tasks, And then it's slowing our exit from some legacy warehouse providers to support our service levels during these changeovers. And then it's just operating with tremendous energy and impact with our team and then with our third party partners out of the gate. So we're bullish on Returning across geography, customer and category to best in class service levels.

Speaker 7

That's great. And just on the brand refresh, at this point, packaging, labeling, has that been done across All of your profiles like the everybody has been rebranded. Now the next step is just marketing and distribution. Is that a fair way to think about the brand refresh steps?

Speaker 2

That's right, Sarang. So everything coming off The line now is new brand Zevia. So everything we're producing now, we fully work through from a production perspective, the old look and feel. And at retail that will vary in how quickly that sells through because as you know we're taking a rolling approach to the launch. And so some customers for the next several months will feature, for example, new and old ZVOT on shelf at the same time as old sells through.

Speaker 2

We don't have any shelf life issues and we can handle that transition through year end. So I think by the end of the year, we'll be fully to bright. But in many individual customers and in some geographies with Faster volumes, we already are fully brand lock this new look and feel on shelf.

Speaker 7

That's great. Thank you.

Speaker 4

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question today comes from Chris Carey at Wells Fargo Securities. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Hey, everyone.

Speaker 3

Hey, Chris. Good morning.

Speaker 8

So I guess, It sounds like the supply chain issues are not impacting the support you're getting at retail. Typically, when you have such situations, you could be put in the penalty box for a certain amount of time And you work your way back in. But I guess what I'm hearing is a lot of bullishness that once the supply chain headwinds ease that none of that Really will be a dynamic for Xevia and that you're actually getting even more support. And so is that like a fair way to characterize the situation? And I guess if so, why do you think that is?

Speaker 8

Is it just that the brand performs so well once it's on shelf? So any perspective there would be helpful.

Speaker 2

Yes. Thanks, Chris. I really understand your question. And it wouldn't be accurate to say this misstep is without impact, right? There are 2 factors, I think, that help us sustain relationships and drive initiatives in retailer with minimal interruptions.

Speaker 2

One is that we stand on a legacy of best in class service. And as I mentioned before, kind of all through COVID and all through the aluminum can crisis, Our fulfillment rates were virtually uninterrupted. So I think we have some credibility in sort of calling the ball on that and charting course To sustain best in class service as soon as we stabilize. But secondly, we've just been very transparent. Coming to our retailers, regularly updating them on our outlook, getting at sort of a PO level, giving them To the best of our ability, expectations on when in house can deliver for them.

Speaker 2

So we're doing our best to be a good partner And work together with retailers on mitigation plans in the short term disruption, but also standing on credibility from the past. So I don't think it would be fair to say we're without impact, but I don't anticipate that we're losing space. And that's the most important thing is that we protect our space during this period Time and then we return to expansion and display activity and in store activation once we're stabilized. So Hopefully that answers your question, Chris.

Speaker 8

Yes. No, that's good perspective. The only other one would just be It sounds like there's not really going to be a trade off as sales come back that you're going to be Investing behind the sales or get back on gross margin or marketing, send it away. As sales come back, margins remain at this higher level. Just want to make sure I understand that piece as well.

Speaker 2

I think, so as Denise said before, we expect margins to remain in the mid-40s. I think similar to the answer to your last question, it would be inaccurate to say we're unaffected by Our challenges in supply chain, meaning there will be some costs on that. And adjusted EBITDA as a result, Reflecting matters like increased selling costs will be lumpy in the outlook to the year. So it would be Inaccurate to say we're unaffected in Q3 from a cost perspective. One thing that we are doing is making some phasing adjustments to optimize our marketing And in light of the in stock issues, but we are driving sampling locally close to the point of purchase in 4 markets where stock levels have been largely intact.

Speaker 2

Then we have new creative hitting the market in the coming months in the form of geographically targeted omni channel campaigns to support top funnel and brand building. So we will make investments into the brand and there will be a cost to stabilizing the supply chain. Let me see if you have a follow-up question there and If Denise can provide color.

Speaker 8

I think I'm okay. I get it. So expect a little bit of lumpiness as you're And

Operator

And our next question today comes from Andrew Stryzak with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Hi. This is Daniel Gold on for Andrew Strelzik. Thanks for taking my question.

Speaker 2

Sure. Hi, Daniel.

Speaker 9

Hi, good morning. Are you thinking about the changes to go to market with the brand refresh? Is it more this year versus next year? Has some of that shifted? Or is it more about depleting the products with The original package.

Speaker 2

Sure. The most important thing about the brand refresh is that it impacts in store visibility And brings brand relevance and pops for the consumer in their hands as well as on shelf and in store. And dollar for dollar, this is the most efficient investment a brand can make. You can really only do it once, but that's happening right now and rolling out in store with impact in 2023. So the brand refresh on its own merits is on schedule and will bring its own impact of Lyft increased trial And we expect increased distribution as well, but we will start to ramp up marketing investments against it More in 2024, as I mentioned before, informed by the learnings of some forthcoming omni channel campaigns in the next Few months.

Speaker 2

These are moderate spend, but we can learn from the tactics used in these omnichannel campaigns In order to inform our marketing plan for next year. So to answer your question, the brand refresh is rolling out now as planned. It supports the brand by driving in store visibility, trial and pull through in the interim and then we'll support it further with marketing activation, Light touch this year and more significantly next.

Speaker 9

Got it. And as a follow-up to that, what Are the long term implications now that you've gotten more favorable shelf space with the brand refresh?

Speaker 2

Sure. So, shelf, the number one driver of awareness for beverage, generally speaking, for most brands is in store. And the biggest opportunity for ZBA is to drive awareness and trial. So as we expand space, we expect that that improves awareness, Trial and it takes consumers down the funnel to support our net sales. So it is the expansion of shelf space in same store sales As well as expansion of new store selling and new channels that are fundamental drivers of our growth For several years to come, there's a lot of opportunity ahead, yet closing distribution gaps in the mass channel, be it expanding further in club, Being winning in the dollar channel, finishing out drug where we're growing quickly now and then ultimately cracking into Single can sales and impulse purchase throughout convenience and food service.

Speaker 2

So you can see how expansion of space and stay in store selling Supports velocity, but we also have a lot of upside in distribution to be gained.

Speaker 6

Right. Thank you. That's all for me.

Speaker 3

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Amy Taylor for any closing

Speaker 2

Thanks very much, everyone. I'll just close by reminding us all that Zevia's brand is as healthy as ever. Our velocity is very strong, bolstered as we've discussed by an exciting brand refresh hitting the shelves now and our gross margin expansion and strong cash position Further indicators that our fundamentals are in place. And so we see a clear path to returning to our best in class service levels in the coming months to support our sustainable and profitable growth. So thank you for spending time with us this morning.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. We thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.

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Earnings Conference Call
Zevia PBC Q2 2023
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