Pacific Premier Bancorp Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
October 24, 2024

There are 7 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Pacific Premier Bancorp Third Quarter 20 24 Conference Call. All participants will be in listen only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Steve Gardner, Chairman and CEO.

Operator

Please go ahead, sir.

Speaker 1

Very good. Thank you, Rocco. Good morning, everyone. I appreciate you joining us today. As you are all aware, we released our earnings report for the Q3 of 2024 earlier this morning.

Speaker 1

We have also published an updated investor presentation with additional information and disclosures on our financial results. If you have not done so already, we encourage you to visit our Investor Relations website to download a copy of the presentation and related materials. I note that our earnings release and investor presentation include a Safe Harbor statement relative to the forward looking comments. I encourage each of you to carefully read that statement. On today's call, I'll walk through some of the notable items related to our Q3 performance.

Speaker 1

Ron Nicklaus, our CFO, will also review a few of the details surrounding our financial results, and then we will open up the call to questions. We delivered solid results in the 3rd quarter as we generated earnings of $36,000,000 or $0.37 per share. As a result of our business development team's consistent efforts to generate new business, while deepening existing client relationships, non interest bearing deposits increased during the quarter and comprised 32% of total deposits at quarter end. We leveraged these positive core deposit trends to further reduce higher cost wholesale funding sources by decreasing broker deposits by $184,000,000 and repaying a $200,000,000 FHLB term advance. The prolonged higher interest rate environment impacted our average cost of deposits, which increased to 1.84%.

Speaker 1

However, our spot deposit costs at quarter end were 1.80%. Overall, our funding costs remain low on a relative basis compared to our peers, and we are confident in our ability to reprice deposits downward, assuming further decreases in interest rates. Our loan portfolio contracted during the quarter as we saw elevated loan payoffs, in particular in the C and I portfolio as our clients utilized excess liquidity to reduce debt. This factor reflects in part the high quality nature of the businesses we attract to the franchise. This dynamic has impacted both sides of the balance sheet for the past few quarters.

Speaker 1

However, we expect this pressure to diminish as we move through the rest of 2024 and into next year. During the Q3, our capital ratios increased meaningfully from June 30 as the tangible common equity ratio increased 42 basis points to 11.83%. Our CET1 ratio increased to 16.83 percent and our total risk based capital ratio ended the quarter at 20.05%. On a year over year basis, our total risk based capital ratio increased 231 basis points and all of our capital ratios ranked near the top of the industry. As we enter 2025, the strength of our capital levels leaves us well positioned to take a more aggressive approach in pursuing opportunities to prudently gain market share and drive new business to the bank.

Speaker 1

Deposit trends during the Q3 improved and we do not expect significant volatility in deposit flows for the remainder of the year. We saw nice increases in important deposit categories in the Q3 and it appears the pressure from clients seeking higher returns for excess liquidity is easing. Today, as we look at our level of core deposits, we are optimistic we have reached an inflection point where balances can grow from a year, which gives us confidence to pursue attractive risk adjusted loan origination opportunities that will further diversify our portfolio. As of September 30, our loan to deposit ratio stood at 83.1 percent. And together with nearly $1,000,000,000 of cash on hand, we have significant capacity to bring new credits onto the balance sheet.

Speaker 1

In regard to pricing, we believe that deposit costs may have peaked during the Q3, and Ron will provide some additional detail in his comments regarding our Q4 outlook. Our long standing philosophy has been that franchise value is created through deep client relationships, which is reflected in our strong deposit base. And to that end, it is important to note that the average length of our client relationships is over 13 years. It is a testament to the level of service our bankers provide to our clients and the trust our customers have in Pacific Premier that we have been able to increase average client tenure while maintaining pricing discipline. In our specialty business lines, we continue to enjoy success generating new client relationships in HOA and trust.

Speaker 1

And with the prospect of lower interest rates, we anticipate increased activity in our escrow and exchange division as the volume of commercial real estate transactions increases. Although our loan portfolio contracted during the quarter, recent client rate outlook has become more favorable, with more clients considering potential capital investments. Recently, we have taken a number of steps to positively impact our loan portfolio through new originations and loan retention. And as such, our loan pipeline has continued to expand as we have moved through this month. 1st, in mid summer, we made strategic pricing adjustments to improve our competitive position in the market.

Speaker 1

2nd, we have added new relationship managers to drive commercial loan production. 3rd, we dedicated additional resources and improved processes around production and loan retention. Lastly, our bankers are continuing to proactively reach out to existing customers to deepen relationships and manage portfolio balances in advance of scheduled loan maturities and interest rate resets. As we look to the Q4 of 2024 and beyond, we've adopted a more constructive posture focused on deploying our excess liquidity and capital toward gaining market share and growing the loan portfolio. Although our perspective is predicated on macroeconomic factors that have fueled lingering uncertainty will continue to subside, namely interest rate volatility in the upcoming election.

Speaker 1

Asset quality was solid as non performing loans decreased $13,000,000 from the prior quarter to $39,000,000 The favorable 3rd quarter results were a continuation of our long history of outperforming industry averages as nonperforming assets decreased to 0.22 percent of total assets and delinquencies fell to 0.08% of loans. To be successful in our approach, we must maintain open lines of communication with our clients regarding their financial status, liquidity and market dynamics, all of which inform our process for managing individual credits. Our proactive approach to credit risk management continues to serve us and our stakeholders well as our asset quality measures are some of the strongest in the industry. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ron to provide a few more details on our Q3 financial results.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Steve, and good morning. For comparison purposes, unless otherwise noted, my remarks are on a linked quarter basis. Let's start with the quarter's financial highlights. 3rd quarter net income totaled $36,000,000 or $0.37 per share, and our return on average assets and average tangible common equity were 0.79% and 7.63%, respectively. Notably, our return on average tangible common equity continues to be adversely impacted by our high levels of capital.

Speaker 2

Total revenue was $149,800,000 and non interest expense was $101,600,000 resulting in an efficiency ratio of 66.1 percent and pre provision net revenue as a percentage of average assets of 1.06%. The quarter's results were influenced by a smaller balance sheet as well as narrowing of the net interest margin largely attributable to rising funding cost momentum from earlier in the quarter. Taking a closer look at the income statement, net interest income decreased to $130,900,000 primarily as a result of higher cost of funds as well as lower loan balances. On the funding side, cost of funds increased to 1.97 percent, while earning asset yields remained flat, which resulted in a 3rd quarter net interest margin narrowing 10 basis points to 3.16%. Our average non maturity deposit costs rose 10 basis points to 1.27%.

Speaker 2

However, the spot cost of non maturity deposits was 1.26% lower than the quarterly average. Notably, we are cautiously optimistic that the 3rd quarter represents a peak in deposit costs and we see 4th quarter deposit costs holding flat to down slightly. On the earning asset side, we saw a 1 basis point increase in average loan yields to 5.31 percent and overall earning asset yields were 4.96% compared to with 4.97% in the prior quarter. Our swap portfolio contributed 16 basis points to the net interest margin consistent with the prior quarter. As of September 30, we have $800,000,000 of notional swaps remaining with $500,000,000 maturing during the Q4.

Speaker 2

With our current rate expectations, we anticipate approximately $3,000,000 to $4,000,000 of swap income for the Q4. We are actively monitoring market interest rates and anticipate 1 25 basis point rate cut in our 4th quarter guidance. We anticipate the 4th quarter net interest margin to be in the 3.05 percent to 3.10 percent range due to the full quarter impact of lower rates earned on cash balances, downward repricing of variable rate loans, a lower sulfur based swap income contribution as well as lower average loan balances. As a result and highlighted in our investor presentation, we anticipate net interest income to be in the $120,000,000 to $125,000,000 range. We will also provide updated guidance for the full year 2025 during the January earnings call.

Speaker 2

Non interest income of $18,900,000 increased $645,000 from the prior quarter, driven by a $748,000 increase in other income attributable to higher CRA investment income and a $203,000 gain on debt extinguishment resulting from the early redemption of the $200,000,000 FHLB term advance as we continue to pay down higher cost funding. For the Q4, we expect our total non interest income to approximate $19,000,000 Non interest expense was $101,600,000 representing an increase of $4,100,000 compared to the prior quarter, which included a $4,000,000 legal loss recovery. Personnel costs remain relatively flat as we ended the quarter with headcount of 1328 compared with 1348 as of June 30. Our expectations for the Q4 are for non interest expense to be flat in the range of $101,000,000 to $102,000,000 as we continue to tightly manage our expense base. Our provision for credit losses of $486,000 decreased compared to the prior quarter, commensurate with the smaller loan portfolio and our current asset quality profile.

Speaker 2

While we have not seen any meaningful deterioration in asset quality, we continue to actively monitor our portfolio risk concentrations. Turning now to the balance sheet. We finished the quarter at $17,900,000,000 in total assets as the reduction in wholesale funding sources were effectively matched by lower loan balances during the quarter. Total loans held for investment declined $454,900,000 driven principally by earlier early payoffs and lower loan production of $104,000,000 Our C and I line of credit balances at September 30 were $743,100,000 and the utilization rate was 40.2% compared with $896,400,000 outstanding and a 39.4 percent utilization rate at June 30. The loan runoff experienced in the 3rd quarter has continued early into the 4th quarter.

Speaker 2

Consistent with our proactive approach to credit risk management, we exited our single largest client relationship early in Q4. However, as Steve noted, we continue to build the loan pipeline and are optimistic loan balances will end the year between $11,750,000,000 $12,000,000,000 Total deposits at September 30 were $14,500,000,000 a decrease of $146,700,000 from the prior quarter, primarily as a result of maturity and payoff of higher cost broker deposits. Non maturity deposits remained relatively flat as growth in non interest bearing deposits of $23,000,000 offset some of the decrease in interest bearing non maturity deposits of $52,000,000 Of our remaining $300,000,000 of broker deposits, dollars 200,000,000 matures in the second half of twenty twenty five and the remaining $100,000,000 in March of 2026. From a liquidity perspective, we saw our cash position increase to $983,500,000 at September 30, reflecting the stability in non maturity deposit balances compared to June 30. We would anticipate our cash position coming down some as we begin to ramp up lending and reinvest excess cash into securities.

Speaker 2

Our cash position as well as strong cash flow from our securities portfolio and the almost $9,000,000,000 of unused borrowing capacity provides us a total of $10,000,000,000 of contingent liquidity. The securities portfolio remained flat at $3,100,000,000 and the average yield on our investment portfolio was 3.67%. During the quarter, we reinvested $100,000,000 of proceeds into 3 month treasuries with a weighted average yield of 5.05 percent and the duration on the AFS portfolio remained less than 1 year at September 30. In the Q4, we anticipate continued reinvestment of our cash flow from maturing securities and our overall position to increase slightly. We also anticipate some minor duration extension to take advantage of recent higher long term rates, while maintaining relatively overall a short position in our AFS portfolio in anticipation of loan growth.

Speaker 2

The combination of solid earnings and a smaller balance sheet further strengthened our capital ratios this quarter with all ratios increasing significantly from June 30. The tangible common equity ratio increased 42 0.23 dollars to $20.81 Lastly, from an asset quality standpoint, non performing loans to total loans were 0.32 percent, a decrease of 10 basis points from the prior quarter. Total delinquency also decreased to 0.08% and our classified loan levels decreased $63,300,000 or 47 basis points to 1.0 percent of total loans. Our allowance for credit loss balance of $181,200,000 reflected the smaller loan portfolio and resulted in a 4 basis point increase in the allowance coverage to 1.51%. Our total loss absorption, which includes a fair value discount on loans acquired through acquisition, finished the quarter at 1.80%.

Speaker 2

With that, I will turn the call back over to Steve.

Speaker 1

Great. Thanks, Ron. I'll wrap up with a few comments about our outlook. As I mentioned, we've recently added new loan producers who we expect will capitalize on market disruption within our footprint and will positively impact our loan production capabilities. In terms of capital allocation, in the near term, our focus is to redeploy excess liquidity into more loans to drive earnings and tangible book value growth in future periods.

Speaker 1

Additionally, given our high levels of capital, we have substantive optionality relative to capital management and are committed to returning capital to shareholders. As always, we are considering the full spectrum for capital deployment options in order to maximize value for our shareholders. On the M and A front, we remain open to a broad range of strategic transactions that will maximize long term value for our shareholders. As we look to 2025, we are encouraged by improving borrower sentiment and are in the right position to move to a more offensive posture as we continue to build our loan pipelines. In short, our peer leading capital ratios and strong deposit and liquidity position create significant optionality for our organization to pursue organic and strategic growth opportunities that will enhance long term franchise value.

Speaker 1

On behalf of the Board of Directors and our entire executive leadership team, I want to thank every one of our team members for their dedication to Pacific Premier and I'm excited about our prospects for future success. That concludes our prepared remarks and we would be happy to answer any questions. Rocco, will you please open up the call for questions?

Operator

Yes, sir. Today's first question comes from David Feaster with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Speaker 3

Good morning, everybody.

Speaker 1

Hi, David.

Speaker 3

I wanted to start out with the loan growth side. It sounds like things are starting to stabilize here. You talked about some a big relationship that you exited here in the Q4, but demand starting to improve and you're being a bit more competitive with pricing to drive growth. I'm just curious how you think about the growth trajectory as we look forward into 2025? Where do you see the most opportunity for growth?

Speaker 3

And given the more competitive pricing that you alluded to, where are you seeing new loan yields?

Speaker 1

It's predominantly in the C and I, but we're also seeing a couple of opportunities on the construction front. We're starting to ramp up a little bit in the SBA side. And so it's broad based, but it's generally away from, call it, the multifamily, even though that asset class has performed exceedingly well for 2 to 3 decades here. Just given the yields on those loans and our overall concentration, we're really not looking to expand that area greatly, but we're not looking to reduce it materially either. So it's really in the various areas, but our core focus remains in the C and I space.

Speaker 1

And then additionally, we've earlier in the year, we made some modifications to become a bit more competitive on the consumer front, at least in our HELOC offering. I think as everybody is well aware, we do not offer nor do any kind of mortgage banking activities. But we do see some opportunities to grow that HELOC area as well as loan purchases. So I think collectively all of those areas and given that incrementally improved environment with our borrowers and existing clients, we're pretty encouraged about the outlook and that's been reinforced by some very nice growth in the loan portfolio over the last couple of months.

Speaker 3

Okay. That's great.

Speaker 1

I said loan portfolio. I meant the pipeline, excuse me.

Speaker 3

Yes. No, I know what you mean. That's great. And then just broadly, you just you talked about the capital, peer leading capital that you've got and that providing you a ton of optionality just from a strategic standpoint. I'm curious if you could touch on some of those opportunities and the timeline to potentially act on some of those.

Speaker 3

You just touched on some potential loan purchases. I'm just curious maybe what's most attractive to you at this point from a priority perspective and what maybe the time line to potentially start acting on some of those?

Speaker 1

Sure. I think that 1st and foremost is maintaining the current dividend, something that the Board reassesses, of course, every quarter and taken we think through where we're going from an earnings standpoint and we think that that begins to inflect as we move into early 2025. Obviously, earnings have declined here over the past several quarters as we've taken up a relatively conservative posture towards growth in the balance sheet. But certainly, as deposits have stabilized that's allowed us to virtually eliminate all of the wholesale funding, something that we utilize defensively since 2022 from managing interest rate risk as well as the disruptions that occurred last year in building liquidity. But historically, we haven't used wholesale funding to ever grow the balance sheet.

Speaker 1

And I think we're much more constructive today given the fact that we virtually paid off all of that wholesale funding, which of course is very expensive. And so we're looking at the dividend, looking to really grow the balance sheet, drive the earnings from here going forward, in particular, redeploying that excess liquidity we have in cash and the securities portfolio into loans. And those remain our priority. Of course, the Board is consistently reassessing other options for the use of capital. We've talked about it in the past, some tactical areas of potential balance sheet repositioning.

Speaker 1

We continue to assess and analyze those and think about the pros and cons on each side. Certainly, interest rates play a big impact there. And given the outlook from the FOMC of declining interest rates here or at least on the Fed Funds side over the next several quarters that influences how we think about any of those options, but we'll continue to reassess them. And then lastly, of course, we have a sizable repurchase plan in place, which we have not executed on for a couple of years. I think as we gain greater clarity, it's certainly something that the Board is going to be taking a closer look at going forward.

Speaker 3

That's great. And then just last one for me. You talked about some new hires. I'm curious your appetite for new hires currently, where you're seeing opportunities and where you're focused on both, I guess, by geography? Is there a specific segment that you're focused on?

Speaker 3

Just kind of curious what you're seeing there.

Speaker 1

Sure. I think that, David, always we've thought about consistently upgrading talent where we can and where we can bring individuals on that have significant relationships with quality small businesses, middle market clients or in particular specialty areas, be it construction, SBA or other areas, we're going to consider those individuals. And so we're regularly reassessing the strength of the team, which I think is overall very solid, but there's always opportunities to upgrade and we're going we're continually assess those. I would generally say it's not specifically focused on geographic. It's really just bringing on talented individuals that can have a meaningfully positive impact on the organization.

Speaker 4

That's great. Thanks everybody.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question today comes from Matthew Clark at Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Hey, good morning guys. Good morning. Maybe first one for Ron on the swap revenue this quarter, could you give us that amount?

Speaker 2

Yes. It's going to be in a $3,000,000 to $4,000,000 level, Matt.

Speaker 5

For next quarter, but what was it this quarter?

Speaker 2

This quarter, it was just under $7,000,000

Speaker 5

Okay. And then any appetite to layer in some more swaps to help mitigate that downdraft here in 4Q?

Speaker 2

Well, unfortunately, I think the bias the interest rate bias is going in the other direction. So the likelihood that you'll be able to do anything new to mitigate in terms of swaps, sulfur based swaps is somewhat limited at best. And however, I will tell you that we have of the remaining swaps, we have 3 long positions, long in terms of time, that are what I would consider to be fairly profitable. The weighted average cost of those three positions is under 1 point strike price. So we're going to be seeing still some decent revenues on a relative basis with those three positions going forward.

Speaker 5

Okay. And then Steve, why didn't you do a large kind of securities loss trade this quarter? Did you have to wait a year after doing one in last year's Q4? Was that part of the maybe part of the reason why you didn't trigger 1?

Speaker 1

No, not necessarily, but that's we look at the broad spectrum of factors and take into consideration what we're thinking about there. So and you're balancing it between the impact to tangible book value upfront, what that potential payback period is And then how interest rates play into that, where you could redeploy that cash, what are the other options. So we're continuing to think about it, but it's obviously very dynamic as we consider the current environment.

Speaker 5

Okay. And then just on the dividend, you have a ton of capital. It sounds like you want to maintain the dividend here. Do you have to earn the dividend necessarily? Or do you think because you have all that capital, even if you don't earn it in the upcoming quarter, it still should be okay?

Speaker 1

Yes. I think of course, that will be a decision for the Board. But the way I think about it is that if earnings were rather the dividend payout ratio was above 100%, just given the very strong levels of capital we have, our asset quality, all of those factors, I'd certainly be confident in continuing to maintain that dividend at its current level.

Speaker 5

Okay. And then just on C and I loans, I think if you look at the peak to trough there, they're down about 43%, just kind of the true C and I, not the franchise stuff. I know a lot of liquidity pay downs have been part of that, but can you maybe slice and dice how much you would attribute to just borrowers using excess liquidity to pay down? How much of it might have been deliberate? And then how much might have been just maybe losing some market share?

Speaker 5

And then just as a follow on to some of the hires you made, can you give us a sense for how many and whether or not those are all C and I lenders or some most of them and kind of the books of business they have coming from the prior banks that they were at?

Speaker 1

Sure. I don't have the exact number in front of me here. We can see if we've got that available and get back to you. But I would tell you that a substantial portion of the payoffs and pay downs we've seen are from borrowers pulling liquidity out of the accounts. And when you think about it, it's pretty straightforward.

Speaker 1

We don't pay a high rate on money market. Non interest bearing have been very high for a long period of time. They've come down somewhat, but have held very well over this period of time. And a significant part of those payoffs, paydowns has come from the other side of the balance sheet, which has certainly negatively impacted us on both sides. Because those C and I credits along with other adjustable rate loans that we've seen pay off and pay down are our highest yielding.

Speaker 1

And that's a bit frustrating. But at the same time, it really owes to the high quality nature of who we bank. I would say that very little of it is attributable to clients moving to other organizations. We haven't seen that. We had seen following the disruptions last year with Silicon Valley, First Republic, to a lesser extent, Signature and the ongoing turmoil, clients that have substantial balances move some of that out into treasuries, money market accounts for higher yields and even to some of the larger banks, which again is a bit frustrating, but was just part and parcel with what was going on.

Speaker 1

Again, as we talk to those clients and ask them what their thinking was, many of them told us, look, I'm not moving my relationship to any of the largest banks. In fact, that's where I came from and I love the service. I'm going to maintain it, but I've got to for peace of mind, I'm going to diversify for higher yield. I'm going to move some of the money out. So I think that over time that money will be returning.

Speaker 1

The producers are across the board. I think I mentioned some folks that are focused specifically on the SBA sector, construction and then some of the C and I folks. We're always looking for experienced relationship managers that do have a book of business and are going to positively impact the institution. And that's exactly the kind of folks that we've hired here over the last

Speaker 4

few months.

Speaker 5

Great. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Sure thing.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question today comes from Gary Tenner at D. A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Thanks. Good morning. Good morning, Gary. I appreciate the additional outlook commentary for the Q4. And Steve, I know you've talked about an earnings inflection in, say, early 2025.

Speaker 4

Given the commentary on kind of where you think your end loans finish up and what I assume is at least a partial quarter carryover of the swap maturity impact, Does NII is there a way, do you think, of stabilizing NII in the Q1? Or is that likely a 2Q event or beyond?

Speaker 1

Ron, why don't you go ahead and take that?

Speaker 2

Sure. Sure. Yes, Gary. Yes, what we've seen, I think what we've tried to highlight here is we've seen the liability costs is what's largely driving the squeeze. Steve's talked a lot already about the loan balances, and we do believe that we're somewhat

Speaker 4

optimistic that this quarter is going to

Speaker 2

be the trough for this being the for the loan balances. On the

Speaker 4

NII, we're also cautiously optimistic that we're going to

Speaker 2

be able to manage down that cost of deposits. It will be a little bit slower, but we think we're going to be able to deal with that and hopefully stabilize that NIM, the net interest margin, if not this quarter, certainly in the early part, Q1 of 2025. And then obviously build back from there with the momentum that we talked about already on the loan pipeline and continuing to deploy the excess liquidity and capital we have available to us. So that is the that's the plan. We see the trends we're seeing, as we've talked about, are certainly favorable in that direction.

Speaker 2

Obviously, we're going to have to execute against it. We're going to have to see how it plays itself out. There's as you would well know, there's a fine art between the managing that deposit cost down and managing and retaining those balances and growing those balances. So we'll see how that plays itself out. But we're, again, cautiously optimistic we can execute.

Speaker 1

Yes. I think also, too, Gary, as we think about is this the trough on the net interest income. And part of that is really just the timing here. The pipeline has built nicely, and it's a matter of moving that through and getting the team really back in their groove to move these loans through, do the appropriate underwriting and analysis, but get them to the point of closed and funded so that we're earning on those balances and that just takes time. And so depending upon when and how much that production pull through here in the 4th quarter is naturally going to impact that net interest income.

Speaker 4

Got it. And Steve, you did provide a ton of thoughts around kind of the phenomenon of the C and I customer kind of deleveraging their balance sheets and impacting both sides of the PPBI balance sheet. Just going back to kind of your commentary, I think, back over the summer as it relates to kind of balance sheet stabilization over the back half of the year. Is that the only factor that do you think pushed out that stabilization a little further than you maybe otherwise expected?

Speaker 1

I think we were a bit surprised at the strength and level of payoffs in the Q3. As we said, we had this large credit that we managed out, and it's disclosed in our K. That commitment was close to $400,000,000 Outstandings were in the neighborhood of about $200,000,000 and that paid off here in early October. So I think just the level of payoffs and then a bit of the muted demand, we thought that demand might be a bit stronger, but we really started to see some a bit more optimism from clients once the Fed dropped the Fed funds by 50 basis points and indicated that they were really looking to remove the level of tightness that exists in monetary policy. And so I think all of those things and then maybe once we get through the election, just to get that behind us as we're talking to clients, I think are all catalysts here and that we're encouraged by.

Speaker 4

Thanks. Appreciate the thoughts.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question today comes from Andrew Terrell with Stephens. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hey, good morning.

Speaker 1

Good morning. Good morning, Andrew.

Speaker 6

Steve, I wanted to go back to you made a comment in discussing some of the potential for balance sheet repositioning efforts, just around the Fed and the outlook they have for declining interest rates over, call it, the next several quarters. I think you said that, that influences how you think about the options that you have to restructure. How exactly does it influence it? Does it influence it? Does it make you more likely or less likely to reposition?

Speaker 1

I think it's I don't know that it influences it one way or another. We're constantly assessing what is the cost upfront, the impact, in essence, the loss that you would take and the impact to tangible book value. And then what is that earn back period of time? What other kind of optionality might it give you to redeploy that into really what our core business is, which is lending. It's not in managing a securities book.

Speaker 1

And frankly, if you take that strategy, you're to an extent making a bet on future rates. So it's taking it all into consideration as well as our capital level options that we may have and how do they play into any kind of strategic things that we might be pursuing. And I think as everyone is well aware, the Board and management are open to any type of transactions that are going to that is going to maximize long term shareholder value. So, it's weighing all of those differing dynamics and aspects to whether you pursue one thing or another.

Speaker 6

Yes. Okay. Makes sense. If I just look at kind of the 4Q guidance, kind of at the midpoint and maybe a little step up in provision would imply that you are you would earn kind of less than the quarterly dividend. Totally understand the comfortability with the dividend, especially given how robust the capital position is.

Speaker 6

But as being above 100% payout ratio even for a short timeframe, does that preclude you from potentially buying back stock until you kind of get back to a sub-one hundred payout ratio?

Speaker 1

Not that I'm aware of. I don't believe there are any regulations in that regard. Again, there's a number of factors that play into buying back stock from the Board's perspective in the outlook, but I don't believe there's any regulatory limitations.

Speaker 6

Yes. I was just working on philosophically.

Speaker 1

I think philosophically, what you're looking at is a whole host of things. What's your outlook from an asset quality standpoint, from an earnings standpoint? How quickly are you going to get back to earning that dividend and exceeding it? A number of factors are taken into consideration. But again, when you look at really the strength of our asset quality, and maybe a bit of an improving outlook at least removing some levels of the uncertainty here things that we've talked about around the election, Fed funds coming down, all of these things, we're pretty comfortable with where we are and are committed to the dividend.

Speaker 1

But again, that's something that the Board will consider and think through and ultimately make the decision on.

Speaker 6

Yes. Okay. Makes sense. I appreciate it. And if I could sneak one in for Ron maybe.

Speaker 6

I'm looking at Page 15 of the investor presentation. You guys call out the SPY yield in the securities portfolio of 3.55%, 12 basis points or so below the quarterly average despite some decent decently high yielding purchases during the quarter. I'm just curious, is there any noise in that number? Or is that reflective of maybe the move down and so far we saw throughout the quarter? And I think you might have some in floating rate bonds.

Speaker 6

If you could just remind us the exposure you have to floating rate securities?

Speaker 2

Yes. There is probably a little bit of noise in that spot rate versus the average there. We've got a few little bit of dividends that have a tendency to spike the realized rate, if you will, the realized yield versus the spot yield on that. As far as the floating rate, I'm trying to recall off the top of my head. I have to get back to you on that.

Speaker 2

It's a smaller percentage of the overall portfolio, but I think of the AFS portfolio, it's obviously a well, it's a smaller percentage of the overall portfolio. Let me leave it at that and I'll get back to you on the percentage in particular.

Speaker 6

Okay, great. Thank you all for taking questions.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Chris McGratty, KBW. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Great. Real quick, I guess, Steve, Ron, on the potential loan purchase, if there was appetite for purchases, what kind of assets are out there? Are they complementary to existing portfolios, niche portfolios? Just interested in kind of who the seller of the assets might be.

Speaker 1

There's a wide variety of portfolios that are out there, Chris. You could talk to some of your colleagues, I think, in the firm. And they are from a broad spectrum of entities, and they are from a broad spectrum of entities from traditional commercial banks, more consumer oriented banks and then a lot from the fintechs that we can't quite figure out the decision making on how they're doing that. So that doesn't seem to fit with our philosophy. But it's a pretty broad spectrum, whether it's single family, HELOC on the consumer front.

Speaker 1

There's various C and I's portfolios out there. There's commercial real estate, multifamily and the like. But as I said, we're really not looking to expand the multifamily segment much. There's participations. There's shared national credits.

Speaker 1

All of them have a diverse level of risk and return. And as always, we would do very thorough and complete diligence to ensure it meets our risk adjusted return thresholds.

Speaker 4

Okay, great. Thanks. Thanks, Steve.

Speaker 1

Sure.

Operator

Thank you. And that concludes our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Steve Gardner for closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Great. Thank you, Rocco, and thank you everyone for joining the call today.

Operator

Thank you, everyone. That concludes today's conference call. We thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.

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Earnings Conference Call
Pacific Premier Bancorp Q3 2024
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