MGM Resorts International Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
October 30, 2024

There are 17 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the MGM Resorts International Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Joining the call from the company today are Bill Hornbuckle, Chief Executive Officer and President Corey Sanders, Chief Operating Officer Jonathan Hellkard, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer Kenneth Bang, Executive Director and President of MGM China Holdings Hubert Wong, COO and President of MGM China Holdings and Andrew Chapman, Director of Investor Relations. Participants are in listen only mode. After the company's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Please note, this conference is being recorded.

Operator

Now, I would like to turn the call over to Andrew Chapman. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Good afternoon, and welcome to the MGM Resorts International Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. This call is being broadcast live on the Internet at investors. Mgimesource.com. We have also furnished our press release on Form 8 ks to the SEC. On this call, we will make forward looking statements under the Safe Harbor provisions of the federal securities laws.

Speaker 1

Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated in these statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ from these forward looking statements is contained in today's press release and in our periodic filings with the SEC. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or otherwise. During the call, we will also discuss non GAAP financial measures when talking about our performance. You can find the reconciliation to GAAP financial measures in our press release and investor presentation, which are available on our website.

Speaker 1

Finally, this presentation is being recorded.

Speaker 2

I will now turn it over to Jonathan Altgeart. Thanks, Andrew. Good afternoon, and thanks, everyone, for joining us today. I'm happy to report that MGM Resorts posted record Q3 consolidated net revenues and record Q3 revenue and adjusted property EBITDAR at MGM China. Additionally, we saw record ADRs in Las Vegas and record occupancy at our regional resorts.

Speaker 2

These outstanding results are a testament to our MGM Resorts colleagues worldwide who are committed to providing outstanding service to our guests every day. Thank you for our dedication, hard work and commitment to operational excellence. All of us on the senior leadership team are proud of what we continue to achieve together. As a team, we continue to raise the bar here in Las Vegas and in our regional properties. In fact, MGM has nearly doubled its EBITDAR in Las Vegas since 2019 and has grown regional EBITDAR by almost 20% over that time period.

Speaker 2

We've improved our properties and operations to attract new sports and entertainment drivers and as a result our business is in a stronger position than ever. Turning to the details of our results first in Las Vegas, revenues were up 1%, while adjusted property EBITDAR was up 2%. We grew month to month during the quarter with many of our key metrics demonstrating strength, including a 3% increase in ADR, an occupancy increase of 2 50 basis points and 4% growth in slot handle. The Las Vegas properties this quarter benefited from $37,000,000 in business interruption proceeds related to the cybersecurity incident a year ago. In the Q4 here in Las Vegas, we're encouraged by the stability of demand that we're seeing.

Speaker 2

We're also gearing up for year 2 of F1, which while not as large as last year's event, still brings significant economics to MGM during what has historically been one of the slowest weekends of the year, no more. Within our operating model, our team is focused on driving organic growth through ongoing cost review and strategic customer pricing initiatives. These activities will combine to further bolster our organic growth story. Now moving to the regional properties, we grew revenues by 3%, while adjusted property EBITDAR increased by 2%, driven by strong slot handle and growth in rated days, are best indicators of overall visitation to the properties. Our regional properties this quarter benefit from $15,000,000 in business interruption insurance proceeds.

Speaker 2

The insurance proceeds we received in the quarter totaling $52,000,000 dollars we believe represent less than half of the funds we'll collect ultimately. In Macau, MGM China achieved a record breaking Q3 with net revenues increasing 14% year over year and adjusted property EBITDAR rising 5%, resulting in a 26% margin. Our market share for the quarter was 15%. Given our outstanding performance this year, MGM China announced a special dividend bringing total dividends to MGM Resorts to approximately $200,000,000 in 2024. In digital, I'm very encouraged by BetMGM's 3rd quarter performance.

Speaker 2

During Q3, we achieved profitability again, record iGaming results and a 70% increase in first time depositors, while stabilizing market share. I'll conclude as always with a few thoughts on our free cash flow algorithm. Through the 1st 9 months of the year, our revenues have grown by 9%, generating $1,700,000,000 of cash from operations. With capital expenditures of approximately $750,000,000 this results in free cash flow of about $944,000,000 Looking ahead, we plan to build upon the strong foundation with organic growth from our resort operation building on our long standing track record of outpacing the escalators on our fixed rent incremental value from a commercial gaming license in New York significant value generation from our online operations both in North America through BetMGM here in the U. S.

Speaker 2

And globally through MGM International Digital fixed rate interest with no near term maturities and relatively flat maintenance capital, all augmented by opportunistic repurchasing of our shares. Bill, over to you.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Jonathan, and good afternoon, everyone. I'm happy to say that MGM is in a great position today due to the strategic choices we've made over the past decade. These choices have transformed MGM Resorts, giving us a strong financial foundation and unmatched growth opportunities. Our globally recognized brands, prime locations, development opportunities and evolving digital platforms enable us to reach more customers in more markets than any other company in our sector. We operate in a large scale with 18 global casino properties, over 75,000 employees worldwide and a total addressable market exceeding $150,000,000,000 including both our physical resorts and online markets.

Speaker 3

As we continue to expand internationally to drive long term value to our shareholders, we remain bullish on our leading position in Las Vegas in the short term. First, Vegas has consistently grown over the past 30 years plus with the Strip's gross gaming revenues reaching all time records in about half of those years, even in the face of various macroeconomic conditions. As Jonathan noted, as we saw record ADR in the Q3, which is testament to the strength of this market. We're reinforcing our goal of being the industry leader in groups and meetings and have invested, as you know, over $100,000,000 in the now complete Mandalay Bay Convention Center, which saw record catering and banquet results in 2024. MGM's omnichannel advantage is now more than meaningful opportunity with the launch in the Q3 of single app single wallet here in Nevada.

Speaker 3

Our relationship with Marriott continues to exceed our expectations. Bonvoy guests are driving higher spend to our properties and we also announced last week plans to rebrand our Delano Tower at Mandalay Bay to a W Resort, which has significant brand recognition. Over the past decade, Las Vegas has become a major player in the sporting world. While we're already home to many major sports leagues in America, the city continues to build on its impressive track record. A great example was the USC LSU game in September that saw us sold out Allegiant Stadium and demonstrates the growth potential beyond global events like the Super Bowl.

Speaker 3

We're looking ahead to the relocation of MLB's A's hosting the NCAA's Men's Final 4 in a few years and are hopeful and are working towards an NBA expansion team. These events will continue to draw more visitors to Las Vegas and our prime strip footprint positions us as to capture greater wallet share, driving the organic growth we are confident Las Vegas will continue to deliver for many years to come. In the regions, we continue to experience stable results across the portfolio supported by a rational promotional environment and a stable economic backdrop. Looking ahead, we expect our regional properties to remain reliable sources of free cash flow with almost all of our properties being market leaders located in affluent areas and operating with relatively low capital requirements. In Macau, we had yet another record quarter of growth driven by robust mass market volumes, our exceptional Golden Week performance, mass market volumes, our exceptional Golden Week performance, which just concluded with volumes up 20% compared to 2019, underscores the region's post pandemic recovery and the resilience of the general economy and positive momentum still in Macau.

Speaker 3

Our team continues to perform at a high level and we remain confident in our long term ability to sustain market share in the mid teens. We're also investing in several capital improvements across our properties aimed at protecting our premium mass market position and driving organic visitation. These initiatives include the renovation of Macau's Villas and conversion of base rooms and Cotai into suites, increasing our suite count by 25%. Additionally, we're excited around the upcoming launch of our new show MGM 2049 scheduled to open by the year end. It's produced and directed by Johnny Mo, the creator of the 2008 Beijing Olympics opening ceremony.

Speaker 3

And in connection with our government commitments, we're also excited by the new Pali Museum at MGM Macau to further expand on our cultural non gaming offerings and to drive visitation. In digital, same as in our land based business, we're also always focused on continuing to enhance the customer experience. This quarter, BetMGM launched a single account single wallet feature in Nevada for football and the results were immediate and profound, leading to a doubling of first time depositors here in the state. We also further integrated Angstrom enhancing our parlay product offerings. And through the 1st 8 weeks of the season we saw a 200 basis point increase in the percent of bets coming from both traditional parlay and same game parlays.

Speaker 3

As we move to the football season, we are closely monitoring this increasingly encouraging metrics as first time deposits, retention and reactivation to ensure sustained growth and engagement. Internationally in the Q3, we entered into a strategic venture with the Grupo Global Latin America's largest media group based in Brazil. This venture is meaningful as it allows us to leverage MGM's LEO Vegas technology and gain access to 70,000,000 people providing invaluable insights into Brazil's consumer market. This aligns with our broader strategy to expand our digital footprint globally and tap into emerging markets. We aim to launch in January of 'twenty five pending licensing approval.

Speaker 3

In terms of development, we are making significant progress in Osaka, aiming to complete ground preparation starting main construction in the middle of next year. In New York, we continue to advance our zoning requirements and plan to submit our RFA sometime as well in the middle of to late next year. Beyond these accomplishments, we are actively pursuing other global growth opportunities, including the UAE in Thailand. These initiatives will fuel future growth and diversify our geographic reach and our earning sources. Our momentum is backed by a solid balance sheet characterized by low debt and significant liquidity ready for strategic deployment With a strong pipeline of initiatives spanning short, medium and long term, we are well positioned to sustain growth and drive future success, all while returning cash to shareholders.

Speaker 3

Of course, none of these ambitions can be made possible without the commitment and dedication of our people to improving service consistently and delivering operational excellence 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. I'm always mindful of their efforts and always grateful for their loyalty to MGM Resorts and our guests. With that, operator, we'll now take questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Today's first question comes from Joe Greff with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Good afternoon, everybody. I'd love to start with Las Vegas. Obviously, numbers here were a little bit soft on the table game volume side. Can you tell me what's going on? Or are we just kind of seeing broad normalization in that segment?

Speaker 4

And as we kind of think about the go forward in Las Vegas, are we kind of thinking that that trend continues and we're sort of looking at this $700,000,000 or a little bit less kind of run rate quarterly EBITDA with margins that are in the more towards the low 30s versus the mid 30s like what you guys reported here in the 3Q as the insurance proceeds benefit?

Speaker 2

Thanks, Joe. It's Jonathan, and I'll address that one. First of all, in terms of our margin expectation, we continue to believe that our Las Vegas operations can produce margins in the mid-30s on an EBITDAR basis. As it relates to your first question or the first part of your question, it's clear our table game drop was down year over year pretty significantly, and this was due almost entirely to our high end Bock business. And I mean this is the way this business is and that the timing of the trips from these largest customers is not of course our choice.

Speaker 2

And so some of that just didn't fall in this Q3 as we would have expected it to and certainly as it did last year. Then we of course have the varying fortunes of our whole percentage and that has some fluctuation year to year, although I'd note it was pretty normal during the Q3. So I do look at these as mostly timing issues. There's nothing that we're seeing in the table games business that would indicate any kind of softness going forward. We still think that that's a robust part of our business.

Speaker 3

And Joe, maybe a couple of points of color. Our gross profit on the balance of take baccarat out of the equation, on the balance of our database and all of our programs and programming, I think Cory, for the quarter was up 12%. And so I think it shows you take out the top 6 or 7 players where there was a substantive swing either between mix not mix between hold and not showing up, it accounts for a great deal of the miss. And then maybe another top line, 7 of our 10 properties had revenues up across the board for the quarter. I can assure you it was the top ones because of BlackRock that did not.

Speaker 3

But I think to think about it fundamentally, and think about some of the things we talked about earlier, ADR slot handle up, fundamentals are still strong and we're excited by that continuing to move forward.

Speaker 4

And just to kind of thank you, all of you for that. Just to kind of give us some sort of perspective on baccarat composition within the total table games drop. If we were to look at trailing 12 months or 20 23, what percentage of drop comes from Baccarat? And if we were to look at segment margins on that, how do they compare to the rest of either the gaming segment or to the overall Las Vegas Strip portfolio?

Speaker 3

Corey is looking for the exact number, but maybe I'll put it in perspective. And we hate doing this because every time we do this, we get at the other side of this coin. But look, a hold was off down, although normal, 15% from the year before. And between that and missed business, it's like an $80,000,000 miss in baccarat for us. So you can understand the quantum of that number versus anything that's particularly as comparative to last year.

Speaker 5

If you look in year to date, it's about 30% of our drop is FOCRA.

Speaker 6

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Shaun Kelley with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Hi, good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. Bill or Jonathan, wanted to ask about BetMGM a little bit. So the high level question is maybe just on the strategy here. Bill, it sounds like you're encouraged by some of the angstrom KPIs that you're seeing so far.

Speaker 7

But can you walk us through just sort of how you're evaluating that more medium term, specifically in the context of we have seen sort of the fight change a little bit by some of the other operators in the market who started to pivot to focus a bit more on the Icasino side with some success there. So how are you seeing the two business lines OSB versus iGaming progressing? And how do you think about allocating resources there in the medium term?

Speaker 3

Yes. I'll kick it off. Look, we've said and we still believe this, particularly with the new product lineup coming into the 3rd Q4 for football that 2024 was going to be an investment year. I think the new product and I call out our friends at NTAIN will ultimately deliver this for us. It has done what it needed to do.

Speaker 3

It is faster. Our parlays are up a couple of 100 basis points as I indicated earlier. Our retention is up, which we think is positive. The top line, the very top line of GGR is up close to 20% for the quarter. And so we find ourselves continuing to want to invest to grow the top line.

Speaker 3

Our quantum of our iGaming business is substantive. And we ultimately could take a different strategy remembering and recognizing to get prepared for this launch, we've committed commercially to both terrestrial as well as sponsorships into the 3rd Q4 even if we want to stop tomorrow, we couldn't necessarily. So we are studying it. We like what we see early on in terms of these green shoots. We think they're meaningful.

Speaker 3

We think they'll pay dividend in the long run for sure. And the other surprising thing to me, iGaming, even in a state like New Jersey, is up plus double digits. And that's the state that said iGaming, I don't know, 15 years I can't remember how long it's been, but it's been an extended period. So we continue to see growth there as well. And our business is substantive.

Speaker 3

At the moment, we want to turn philosophically to I think what others have done. It's there for us. But as long as we're seeing top line grow by 20%, I think for the rest of this year, we're going to be in the mode that we're in.

Speaker 7

That's helpful. And then maybe just my follow-up, just kind of continuing with the same thought. Just, I think generally the profit targets giving the investment year imply that loss in the second half or I think supposed to be similar to what you saw in the first. Obviously, the quarter was pretty good. So should we sort of manage or expect a bigger dip in Q4 just given I think the timing of the way some of the expenses hit?

Speaker 7

And then any investment in Q1 or early next year around Brazil? Thanks.

Speaker 1

Yes. So as it relates to

Speaker 3

BetMGM, I think what we said earlier in the year is going to hold true. I think that's

Speaker 1

a good way to look

Speaker 3

at the business. And in terms of we're going to launch a big market. Now remembering our partner, Globo, has put in this is not a standard sponsorship deal. This is truly an equity deal. They've put in advertising dollars for equity.

Speaker 3

And so the expense of that, while meaningful to all of us, will be handled and looked at differently, not differently, but will be it will be, part of what they do in terms of the business. We provide the technology, they provide the media platform. And so, but yes, we're going to launch in a new country. And so that number will be in the tens of millions over the course of the year. But we time to tell where we ultimately end up.

Speaker 3

There's probably going to be a lot of competition. There's already many, many folks who have operated inside the gray market there. We love Globo as a partner and its scale that literally controls about 80% of the eyeballs in Brazil. And we think where our product offering is going to be substantive and meaningful.

Speaker 7

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Carlo Santarelli with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Hey, everybody. Good afternoon. Bill, I just wanted to ask about something. You mentioned about the $80,000,000 baccarat swing. Clearly, as we look at the Q4, you guys had tremendous kind of luck, presumably with high end customers in the 4Q last year, whole percentage comparison, one of the toughest that I could recall in a very long time.

Speaker 8

Could you guys maybe try and put some parameters around that, whether it's from a well, I guess EBITDA perspective, we could all do the GGR perspective, but to kind of give us a sense for how we should be thinking about just that headwind alone as we think about the Q4?

Speaker 2

Sure, Carlo. It's Jonathan. Yes, we look fondly on that quarter, Q4 of 2023. If memory serves, we did $860,000,000 I did $70,000,000 or so of EBITDAR. I think the simple math is that probably benefited us by about $70,000,000 during the quarter, during the entire quarter.

Speaker 2

So we're of course fighting the good fight to attract customers back to our properties including those customers. And then the other thing I would mention though is that as we look forward, we've talked about November a bit, but as we look forward in December, we are seeing some very healthy group environment and pretty healthy pricing for the hotels in our system here in Las Vegas as well. So there are some offsets to that, but it was about a $70,000,000 number last year.

Speaker 3

And I would say, which will be helpful, the Formula 1, despite the slow start on rooms and some of that's not catch upable, when it comes to gaming, we're looking at an equal, if not better theoretical entry into that event. Now, as you know, anything can happen, but we are excited by at least at the high end what that event continues to generate for us in terms of people coming in.

Speaker 8

Great. And then just as it pertains to the 3Q, it looks like contra revenues, promotions in the gaming segment were somewhere in the range of like 46% of your gaming revenue in the period. Is that that's up year over year? There's clearly moving parts. Obviously, you had a nice hold comparison in the Q3 last year going to shift that percentage around a little bit.

Speaker 8

But is that level of kind of reinvestment, that 44% to kind of 46% window you've been in for the 1st 9 months of this year, a decent go forward rate given kind of the mix you're shooting for and of hotel room nights you're shooting for and the obviously the maximizing profit within the business?

Speaker 2

Yes. I would say it is a pretty decent rate. We had a good level of casino room nights during the Q3, And that reflects in the contra expenses, but I think that it's a safe level going forward.

Speaker 8

Thanks, guys.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from David Katz with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Hi, afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. I just wanted to go back to the sort of matter of that MDM and congrats on the progress there. You know, I think, Bill, if I'm correct, in the past, you've said that, you know, you'd sort of like to own all of it one day if you could. And I just wanted to get a sense for if that's still true and how you think about that in the context of repurchasing stock versus keeping powder dry for that?

Speaker 9

Thank you.

Speaker 10

No follow-up question.

Speaker 3

Yes, David, that was I think I heard your question, but for some reason, it's extremely loud. Look, our relationship with NTAIN continues to strengthen. I think I've said it call, say it again this call, we think the management change has been productive and I think in the long haul will be good for both their business and ours. We like the product and the direction it's going and what we've done. And so, we like where we are with them.

Speaker 3

There's always room for improvement on both sides of this. But for now, that's our position and that's really all I'm going to say about it.

Operator

The next question comes from Stephen Grambling with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Speaker 11

Hi, thanks. Just I guess focusing on operating expenses, I think that when we adjust out some of the insurance proceeds, it was around 6% year over year in the regions, 3% in Vegas. Was there anything unique in either of these numbers this quarter? And then as we think about next year, are there any puts, takes to consider in operating expenses as we think about what level of growth you need to hold margins?

Speaker 2

So, yes, Stephen, on the expenses, there were some unusual items in both Las Vegas and the regions. In Las Vegas, we had collections expense of about $20,000,000 over last year in Q3 and that is a formulaic exercise that we do looking at our casino receivables. There's nothing that indicates any kind of degradation in the credit quality or the payments of our casino customers. It's just the way the timing worked out. And in the regions, we had about $15,000,000 of unusual expenses year on year.

Speaker 2

Those related to one was a kind of an operational issue we had in Atlantic City in July and then there was a workers' comp accrual and so on. So about $15,000,000 in the regions. In terms of OpEx for next year, there's really nothing that I would call out right now.

Speaker 12

And I

Speaker 2

would also add that

Speaker 4

And then

Speaker 2

maybe just one more thing. I would add that in Las Vegas and in the regions, our FTE count was flat to even down about 1% year on year.

Speaker 11

That's helpful. As a follow-up on BetMGM, just to clarify, I think you said 20% growth in revenue or maybe that was GGR. Can you clarify what that split maybe looked like between iGaming and OSP?

Speaker 3

Yes, hold on one second. Let me get you the number. It's very small. Sports was a little over 20 and iGaming was almost at that same point. They're both on par really interestingly.

Speaker 3

Great. Helpful. Thank you. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Dan Politzer with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Speaker 13

Hey, good afternoon everyone and thanks for taking my question. I have a digital question, more on the direct digital business. Bill, you've talked in the past, I think, around putting about $1,000,000,000 into this endeavor. I guess, where do we sit here today relative to that number? I think you got pushed, Leo Vegas, some live dealer, Grupo Global.

Speaker 13

And along with that, when could we expect to see a return there? Thanks.

Speaker 3

Yes. As it relates to raw capital, we're all in. We don't anticipate any more capital to bet MGM. We don't anticipate any more acquisitions as it relates to MGM Interactive in house we call it, which is the LEO Vegas arm and some of the other stuff we've told you we've been doing. And look, we have 3 markets under launch right now, U.

Speaker 3

K, Netherlands and soon to be Brazil. I think by the late part of next year, all of that will manifest itself. And unless there's something else that breaks of scale, I think as we come out at 25, we're going to be something substantial across the board leading into 26. And I think for us to think about 26 and beyond, dollars 4,000,000 or $500,000,000 in cash flow and then some is just not out of the matter of fact, as I kind of suggested earlier, we could turn the lever on some of it today and push half of that out the front door, I think. So, I think that's a reasonable expectation.

Speaker 13

Got it. Thanks. And then just turning to Macau, you've lost a little bit of share in the quarter. I think that was the Q2 in a row. Is there as should we think about maybe the impact of the Londoner, which I think is kind of in the stage of the reopening and along those lines, obviously there's some stimulus that's been introduced to the market.

Speaker 13

When can we maybe look for that to be measurable or to see if there's any impact there?

Speaker 3

Kenny or Hubert, you want to handle that one, please?

Speaker 6

Okay. This is Kenny. I think Lindner opened in September. There and we look as you guys don't know, like geographically, Cotai MGM, Cotai is like 4, 5 times smaller compared to Las Vegas Strip. MGM, Cotai is always trying to become a destination of this region.

Speaker 6

1, we believe more new products, more newer more products in the market and MGM Cotai will benefit. And as Bill just commented at the beginning, like our outstanding performance like Golden Week further proved, when Lindner opened, like all of us benefited?

Speaker 10

I think that this is Hubert. I think that we're looking at a longer term market share to stabilize around mid teen level. So this is what we have communicated to The Street in the past. I think that we're confident that we can deliver this number. I think that in the next year, particularly in the second half of next year, when we have all the projects completed to create incremental revenue, I think that will be in good shape.

Speaker 10

Maybe some upside surprise with these product coming online second half next year.

Speaker 13

And then just any comment on the stimulus and when we might be able to see that in the market? And that's all for me. Thank you.

Speaker 6

I mean, like China economy, like as we all know, like we still believe the stimulus matters, they are still unfolding. Like

Speaker 3

Macau is

Speaker 6

a very special segment of the overall regional economy, like particularly for MGM, like we are very focused on premium mass, like from the visitation and also from the DGR, you can see how resilient they are. So we want to see like if there are more measures, like stimulus measures, definitely like we will all benefit in the long run.

Speaker 13

Thanks so much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Brandt Montour with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Speaker 14

Great. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. First question is on Las Vegas. Just curious, when you look at the Q3 by month,

Speaker 6

if

Speaker 14

you saw any sort of different trends throughout the month, July, August, September, I'm assuming weather maybe had an impact on 2 of those months. But then also thinking about that question, but again taking out that business that you called out and leaving just at the back of our business, just focusing on the database and the more stable side. Did you see any sort of changes throughout the quarter? And then how does that same trend go into the October?

Speaker 3

I'll start it and Jonathan can fill in any detail or Cory that I miss. But July was I know you've seen this and know this in the numbers was pretty bad for the entire community, including us. We had 8 days in a row of 120 degree heat, compounded with I-fifteen was relatively close for 3 days due to a truck rollover with a battery in it that they didn't seem to know how to know what to do with it. So July was impacted substantively and then the quarter got better. August was better.

Speaker 3

We had some substantive convention business in and then September as well came in well. Ultimately, some of the core things that we had hoped for ADR, OCC, slots of note, all produced, leaning into our casino database to make that happen. So I don't think you guys have anything.

Speaker 5

The other thing I would add, July did have 2 less weekend days. The UFC fight the year before was actually in June. So it was in July last year, it was in June this year at the end of June. So we didn't get the July 4th benefit there. And there's a pretty big international soccer game at the end of July that we also missed.

Speaker 5

Then as we got into August, September and even what we're seeing in October, it feels fairly normal, very similar to what business has been. And I

Speaker 10

think we're pleased with what we see.

Speaker 2

Yes. For October, our occupancy here in Las Vegas will be 97%. Revenues are steady and still seeing the nice growth in slot handle and our regional properties actually having a pretty strong October.

Speaker 14

That's all really helpful. Thanks for that. And then just a follow-up on Las Vegas. Again, just looking at a little further, obviously, not giving asking for guidance or anything, but just your feelings on looking at the 25% for the business that you do have visibility in, Group and Convention, what the pace that you're seeing so far is for the full year and then any sort of quarters where there's calendar movements

Speaker 3

or changes or things that we should

Speaker 14

keep in mind for modeling purposes?

Speaker 2

Yes. I think that as we look broadly in 2025, we do see overall cash rates in Las Vegas growth. And a couple of key calendar items, I'm sure you're aware of this. We had with the Super Bowl last February that will impact us year over year probably to the tune of $60,000,000 to $70,000,000 in the month of February. The only other thing that I would call out as we look to 2025 generally is we will be actually already started modestly a renovation of the MGM Grand Hotel standard rooms.

Speaker 2

So this is 4,000 standard rooms. It's a fantastic property. It's time to do that and that will have an impact in our results, although we'll, of course, do our best to migrate that demand to our other properties here in the city. But those are probably the only 2 big 2025 items I would call out.

Speaker 14

Really helpful. Thanks everyone.

Speaker 13

All right.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from John DeCree with CBRE. Please go ahead.

Speaker 12

Hi, thank you for taking my questions. Maybe one, just kind of capital management to build off of the comments about some of the growth CapEx you're doing. For some of the larger stuff is, in the past, obviously Park MGM was quite large, a full renovation. But is there an opportunity to utilize your repartners and do anything of more substance or given how well Vegas has been growing, you'll monetize some of your capital improvements. Is that a kind of consideration in the financing strategy at all?

Speaker 3

John, I think you muffled on the what partners? We didn't catch that.

Speaker 12

Sure. Your REIT partners, there's expansion plans at Blagio, a big renovation of the rooms at MGM Grand. Is financing from them or monetizing some of your growth CapEx a consideration in the financial strategy?

Speaker 2

Yes. It's a very good question. I'm glad we asked for the clarification. VICI and Blackstone are great partners of ours. We do look at that as a financing option.

Speaker 2

I think not to speak for them, but I think they would stand ready to help us in that regard we felt as though that made sense in terms of cost of capital. I think we would probably not go that way to finance a renovation of the property, but to the extent we contemplated an expansion of 1 of our businesses in Las Vegas or the regional markets that would absolutely be something we would look at.

Speaker 12

Thanks. That's helpful, Jonathan. And maybe one of the Marriott partnership, in prior quarters, you've given us some color about some of the metrics that you've seen in KPIs and how well that's going. And as you look into 2025, if anything's changed as you get further along in the partnership, are you kind of seeing kind of continued expansion or utilization of that? And so just love to get your kind of updated thoughts on how that partnership is going and kind of what you're seeing?

Speaker 3

I'll kick it off. So as of last week, we did 2,500 room nights a day, which is an all time record. We're probably pacing 20% above our own expectation for the year. The group business continues to come in and it's interesting groups. I think I mentioned this last call, but it's not huge groups that we knew because of the business that we're in already, but it's mid tier, 200 to 300 room groups, Midwest, stuff we had not focused on that I think they're going to be a really good opportunity for us to bring in that we might not otherwise have seen and gotten to.

Speaker 3

And then the utilization, it's 70% cash, 30% redemption. And we like that, particularly because of the additional spend that these folks bring in. So we're, I think very pleased with where we are.

Speaker 5

I think the upside, in particular is the W and what we're doing at the Delano. That property had very little brand recognition and wasn't we weren't able to sell it on the Marriott channel. So now with the change of that name and we believe that will be in place by the beginning of the year, we think there's some upside on the ADRs and the occupancy at that property.

Speaker 12

Thanks for that. That's helpful. Bill, Jonathan, thank you very much for fielding all the questions. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Barry Jonas with Truist. Please go ahead.

Speaker 3

Hey, guys. I just wanted to make sure on F1, are you still looking at that sort of $30,000,000 ish year over year EBITDA headwind? Or has anything changed at all since Q2 earnings call? No, I think we're still looking at the same number. The thing that we can't replicate is when it was first announced last year, it sold out relatively quickly, in particular our hotels.

Speaker 3

And so the leverage on that kind of yield type timeframe, we were selling rooms at Bellagio for $2,000 a night. And so it's really the big three that will carry that burden. The other thing is the construction of the fountain club out in front that some of you have seen or experienced. It's incredible. That being said, last year it was capitalized.

Speaker 3

This year it needs to be expensed. And so you put the combination of those two things together unless we get really lucky in the casino and all things can happen. We think that number holds.

Speaker 9

Got it. Got it. And then just sort of follow-up, wanted to see if there's any update from some

Speaker 3

of those other international development opportunities you're looking at, whether that's UAE or Thailand? Thanks. In Thailand, I've made my 3rd trip. We'll continue to monitor it. We've said we're going to do that in concert with MGM China Holdings.

Speaker 3

Panzi and I just made a trip there. It's working its way through the legislation and ultimately through their parliament. We hope by early next year something will be announced. We like what we hear to date in terms of tax. We like the investment ratios that we hear.

Speaker 3

Obviously, it's a great place to build relatively cheaply as compared to other markets. The cost of doing business there is extremely low. So from an operating margin perspective, we love the opportunity it could bring. But I think we're still a long way away from getting to the finish line. UAE, we continue to monitor closely.

Speaker 3

There's obviously a couple of other opportunities that will probably come forward. We love our position in Puerto Island. That has started in earnest and construction is now starting to come out of the ground. They're pouring foundational concrete as we speak. And so that's a late 20 27 project.

Speaker 3

And so we'll see ultimately once the decrees come out by Emirates who wants to do what. But we're keenly focused on it and we would love we love our Dubai project. I would particularly love it obviously if it had gaming. Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Steve Wieczynski with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Speaker 15

Yes. Hey, guys. Good afternoon. So, Bill, look, I fully understand you guys don't give formal guidance. But if we think about next year, can you maybe help us think help us think from a high level, how you guys are thinking about your major markets?

Speaker 15

Essentially, trying to understand if you think you'll be able to grow EBITDA both in Vegas and your regional assets given some of the headwinds and whatnot that you've already called out?

Speaker 3

Look, we are suggesting in 2025, particularly in those two markets that we can improve. It won't be massive, but I think one of the ways we're going to do that and get our margins back on track is we've started on a, I hate to use the word program, but we've started on an initiative that we're trying to get $200,000,000 out of the bottom. And we're thinking forgetting the obvious places to go get revenue, we think there's a few more to get revenue off of the top. And so we think that will be accretive to margin more than anything else. We think the markets continue to grow at a couple of percentage points.

Speaker 3

You heard Jonathan. We do have some headwinds. We've got the Super Bowl. We've got some of the other things that we mentioned. But the bar that all of this has been set at and the level that we're at, we think we have some room to grow and grow, particularly in the long run here.

Speaker 15

Okay, got you. Thanks for that, Bill. And then second question, if we go back to Macau real quick, if we look at the Q3, the margin in Macau came in just a little bit, probably a little lower than what we were kind of looking for. Is there anything there you would call out in terms of pressuring the margin in the Q3? And then maybe also a little bit more color on the current promotional environment that's happening right now over there?

Speaker 3

Let me handle the front end of this and then Kenny and or Hubert kick in. Look, I mentioned the show earlier for a reason. That's coming with expense. It's a major show and it's something we're all pretty excited by as well as the expenses surrounded by launching a museum. It's an amazing museum once anybody and everybody sees it.

Speaker 3

And so while we're excited by those and hopefully delivering on the promise we made to the government, they do come with some expense. I've been led to believe and do that the promotional environment is actually lessened in the context of expense with some of the programming that was going on earlier in the year. So Kenny and Hubert, do you want to talk about that in terms of cost and how you think about it for 2025?

Speaker 6

Yes. Okay. Thanks, Bill. This is Kenny. Like in the Q3, we had a one time cost to payroll and some cost relate to entertainment spend to help fulfill our concession commitments.

Speaker 6

But we still aim on margin operating margin of mid to high 20s. But as you now know, we are managing our dynamic business, industry revenue growth, seasonality, hold, lock factor, events scheduling, they all affect margins. But we are very, very disciplined on gaming promotions and the incentives. They are very we expect them to be continue to be steady. I think but we still focus on we focus on incremental EBITDA dollars.

Speaker 6

That's current our position. Hubert, any further? Yes.

Speaker 10

As I mentioned previously, I think that some of the projects that we're working on currently, such as expansion of our high end gaming area at MGM Macau, where the conversion or the renovation of the developed product at MGM Macau and also the conversion of the suites at MGM Cotai. I think that they'll put us in a better position competitively in this market. When these projects come into completion and fruition in the second half of next year, we expect the margin to continue to improve.

Speaker 6

Yes. I just want to add a little bit like particularly on the MGM Macau side, like MGM Macau is a 17 year old property. Like since the Q3 or with the mid of this year, we started a few very, very meaningful projects. The ODATA, our mini like events center and also our gaming floor refreshment programs and then couple like F and B outlets. The goal for development is really to make sure all these products to reflect the relative trend of the customers.

Speaker 6

So we are all these projects, we are expecting to be done by the middle of next year. So once all these projects finished, we all believe we are going to have a continue to lead our Macau Peninsula market. For Cotai side, our villa projects not villa, our room suite conversion project, we are expected to finish by the end of next year. We are going to convert about 160 standard rooms into about 60 suites. So it will give us more competitive advantage like on the Cotai side as well.

Speaker 15

Okay, great. Thanks guys. Appreciate it.

Speaker 3

Take care.

Operator

Thank you. Today's last question comes from Chad Beynon with Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Speaker 16

Afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. Wanted to ask about Vegas demand. You guys noted the Marriott benefit, but I guess what I'm trying to get at is what you're seeing in the mix of casino guests at this point? Are you seeing any deterioration in terms of what that core group is doing in terms of visitation?

Speaker 16

And then more importantly for 2025 when you're hoping for growth, will the casino guest piece of the inventory, should we expect that that goes down and they'll be replaced with more group and kind of Marriott business travelers? Thanks.

Speaker 5

Chad, this is Corey. I think what we're seeing with the casino guests is pretty consistent what we've been seeing throughout the past few years. It's pretty solid. We are hitting the database in a decent way using our cross regional functionality in a great way. We don't that mix is what I think where we like it right now.

Speaker 5

And I wouldn't envision that changing that much next year. As we look at Marriott, it's really a transient play and hopefully moving out some package business and that will be our strategy for next year also.

Speaker 16

Great. Thank you. And then just overall on the bricks and mortar side of things, the retail side, has anything changed in terms of M and A opportunities as you kind of look at other markets where the hub and spoke could make sense or kind of long term iGaming? It seems like there's a number of assets in kind of big cities that could potentially fit the portfolio. Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Chad. It's Jonathan. Our criteria are fairly restrictive in terms of the additional assets that we would acquire. We really like our position in Las Vegas with the disposition of the Mirage and the acquisition of the Cosmopolitan. As it relates to regional markets, it would have to be a market we're not currently in.

Speaker 2

It would have to be a property of significant scale to really make a difference for the consolidated enterprise and have a quality level that is coherent with our brand positioning. So that leaves a pretty small list, but it's we think we are good operators of regional properties. And so we remain open to those possibilities. It's just a pretty narrow set.

Speaker 16

Thank you very much. Appreciate it.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Bill Hornbuckle for closing remarks.

Speaker 3

Thank you, operator. Just a couple of thoughts before we leave. And again, I appreciate everyone's time this evening. Las Vegas and regional trends, as we've hopefully indicated, are solid. They've been solid throughout the years and we anticipate that to continue.

Speaker 3

I think in the presentation you'll see a couple of graphs that are meant to demonstrate that. Macau continues to perform well. We're proud of what we've been able to do in the whole re ratcheting of the market share. And we're it's obviously continuing to contribute dividends. And this year, we hope we have pulled out $200,000,000 and expect that to continue.

Speaker 3

Our digital business, we feel is on a path to positive earnings in both the U. S. And internationally. And we think there's significant TAM opportunity between the both of those when it's all said and done. And we think that manifests itself late 2025 into 2026 and beyond.

Speaker 3

I think our development pipeline is unmatched with properties in Japan, New York and the potential of UAE in Thailand. I think those are going to be incredible opportunities over time for the company. And again, the fundamentals, the question about is Las Vegas met its match in 2023. 2023 was an incredible year. The fundamental signs of the business remain strong, whether it's ADR, slot handle, etcetera, we feel really, really good about it.

Speaker 3

And in Macau, we continue to break records despite our size. So overall, we're exceptionally well diversified and we're very optimistic about both our near mid and long term, and we hope you are as well. So we thank you for your time and have a great evening.

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Earnings Conference Call
MGM Resorts International Q3 2024
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