NYSE:NE Noble Q3 2024 Earnings Report Earnings HistoryForecast Noble EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.58Consensus EPS $0.92Beat/MissMissed by -$0.34One Year Ago EPS$0.87Noble Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$800.55 millionExpected Revenue$764.83 millionBeat/MissBeat by +$35.72 millionYoY Revenue Growth+14.80%Noble Announcement DetailsQuarterQ3 2024Date11/5/2024TimeAfter Market ClosesConference Call DateWednesday, November 6, 2024Conference Call Time9:00AM ETConference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by Noble Q3 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrNovember 6, 2024 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 10 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, and welcome to the Noble Corporation Third Quarter 20 24 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. I will now hand today's call over to Ian Macpherson. Please go ahead, sir. Speaker 100:00:30Thank you, operator, and welcome, everyone, to Noble Corporation's Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call. You can find a copy of our earnings report along with the supporting statements and schedules on our website at noblecorp.com. This conference call will be accompanied by a slide presentation that you can also find located at the Investor Relations section of our website. Today's call will feature prepared remarks from our President and CEO, Robert Eifler as well as our CFO, Richard Barker. Also joining on the call are Blake Denton, Senior Vice President of Marketing and Contracts and Joey Khawaja, Senior Vice President of Operations. Speaker 100:01:04During the course of this call, we may make certain forward looking statements regarding various matters related to our business and companies that are not historical facts. Such statements are based upon current expectations and assumptions of management and are therefore subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward looking statements, and Noble does not assume any obligation to update these statements. Also note, we are referencing non GAAP financial measures on the call today. You can find the required supplemental disclosure for these measures, including the most directly comparable GAAP measure and an associated reconciliation in our earnings report issued yesterday and filed with the SEC. Speaker 100:01:45Now, I'll turn the call over to Robert Eifler, President and CEO of Noble. Speaker 200:01:50Thanks, Ian. Good day, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's call. I'll begin with a brief update on our acquisition of Diamond Offshore, followed by highlights of our capital return program, 3rd quarter results, recent commercial and operational activities and some market outlook color. Richard will then discuss our financial results and provide guidance for the Q4. Finally, I will wrap up with closing remarks and open the floor for questions. Speaker 200:02:20As most of you know, we closed the acquisition of Diamond Offshore on September 4th, combining 2 great companies with incredibly rich legacies and leading deepwater capabilities. I want to extend my appreciation to everyone across both organizations who worked tirelessly to close this transaction in just under 3 months. This highly synergistic combination brings together over 150 years of combined experience, creating a fleet of 41 rigs, including the largest fleet of 7th generation dual BOP drillships in the industry, while also adding $2,000,000,000 of well priced backlog. As we pass the 60 day integration mark, we are excited to share some early wins, including meaningful synergies realized that have us on track to achieve our stated targets. Teeter management has visited legacy Diamond Rigs and customers around the globe, while prioritizing a focused commitment to business continuity through safe and efficient operations. Speaker 200:03:26Thus far, everything is proceeding very smoothly according to our well practiced integration playbook. Next, I'd like to highlight additional progress with our return of capital program. Following the execution of $250,000,000 of share repurchases in the Q3, we have completed $360,000,000 of repurchases under our original $400,000,000 authorization. And our Board of Directors has recently approved a second $400,000,000 authorization, while also maintaining our quarterly dividend here in the Q4 at $0.50 per share. We recognize that our differentiated return of capital program is a critical factor for investors. Speaker 200:04:10And I'm pleased to highlight that we have now eclipsed $800,000,000 in combined dividends and buybacks since we closed the Maersk Drilling combination in Q4 2022, inclusive of this quarter's announced dividend. Moving to our financial highlights. In the Q3, we delivered strong results with continued EBITDA and cash flow expansion. On a consolidated basis, we achieved adjusted EBITDA of $291,000,000 compared to $271,000,000 in Q2 and free cash flow for the quarter was strong at $165,000,000 These results include approximately 4 weeks of contribution from the Diamond acquisition in September. Richard will have additional color on the combined results in a moment, but suffice it to say that the Diamond acquisition further enhances our free cash flow profile with significant and immediate accretion. Speaker 200:05:07This marks a great start for our combined company. Shifting now to our commercial and operational highlights. First, during the Q3, we were awarded 4.8 rig years of additional backlog for the 4 drill ships working under the commercial enabling agreement with ExxonMobil in Guyana, further validating the successful commercial and operational model and extending our visibility in the country through August 2028. We have also recently booked an additional 130 days for the Ocean Endeavour working for Shell in the UK North Sea between March July 2025 plus options. As of today, our total backlog currently stands at $6,200,000,000 In addition to these most recent fixtures, in July, the BlackRhino was awarded a 6 month contract with Beacon Offshore Energy in the Gulf of Mexico at a day rate slightly below $500,000 This program is slated to commence in the Q1 of 2020 following the rigs SPS and MPD upgrade that are underway. Speaker 200:06:15Following the BlackRhino's MPD upgrade, we will have 15 rigs equipped with MPD, enhancing our dominant position in this increasingly essential technical domain. In South America, the Fe Cozak successfully commenced its contract with Petrobras in Brazil and set a new pre salt drilling record on its first well. Hats off to the crews of the Faye Kozak on this impressive accomplishment right out of the gate. In Colombia, the discoverer has successfully drilled its first well for Petrobras and we look forward to continuing to work on this important gas development for the region. In the UK, Ocean GreatWhite resumed its contract with BP in early July following equipment repairs. Speaker 200:07:01And the contract is now expected to continue through April 2025 with priced options following that firm's quote. And finally, the Black Lion in the Gulf of Mexico and the Deliverer in Australia both moved to substantially higher day rate contracts in the mid to high 400s during the quarter. Now I'd like to share a brief word on the market. The core fundamentals of our business remain structurally sound. Global energy demand is increasing, energy security remains a global priority and offshore supply represents a highly strategic and advantaged resource priority for the upstream industry. Speaker 200:07:41Also, over the last several quarters, open demand for floaters continues to track at a historically high level of above 100 rig years of demand from tenders and pre tenders in the public domain, excluding the substantial additional volume of work that stems separately from direct awards. Against this backdrop, recent contracting activity for deepwater rigs has shown an encouraging uptick. After a slowdown in the Q2, the industry saw an improvement in backlog booked with 26 ultra deepwater rig years contracted in Q3, marking a 20% increase over Q2 and in line with the strong contracting levels seen in 2022 and 2023. While the majority of these recent fixtures have contract start dates in late 2025 or later, leaving the white space of the first half of twenty twenty five unaddressed, we do believe that these are the first of many signs supporting a demand uptick in late 2025 early 2026. As you can see on our backlog slide on Page 5 of the earnings presentation, we currently have 56% of our total marketed fleet committed for 2025. Speaker 200:08:54As you drill a little further into the mix, our marketed floaters are 59% contracted next year and our Tier 1 drillships are slightly above 75% committed for 2025. Our higher end units with near term availability are the Voyager Valiant, Jerry D'Souza and Venturer. And I would say that today, we have active conversations and leads behind all of these units. In our 6th gen fleet, we currently have more active conversations on the Discoverer and the Deliver than we have had at any time since we acquired these units. So the contracting outlook there is promising. Speaker 200:09:33Meanwhile, the Globetrotters similarly have a number of active leads for 2025 work, almost exclusively for intervention programs as we have previously indicated. The timing associated with these opportunities collectively supports a potentially meaningful ramp in utilization and run rate EBITDA compared to our current level by the second half of twenty twenty five. Although there's obviously still some work to be done to convert these opportunities to firm backlog. I would also say that the nature of the discussions and negotiations with our customers over the past few weeks has been increasingly active and constructive as 2025 customer budget allocations are beginning to take shape. If the next several months plays out as we currently envision, then we should see a backlog in utilization inflection next year. Speaker 200:10:22Given the abundance of active opportunities, we have elected not to stack any rigs at this time. However, if demand does not materialize as expected, then we will move decisively to stack 1 or more 6 gs units as the market dictates. On the jackup side, despite some continuing and more recent NOC headwinds, the market has remained quite resilient with global demand recently eclipsing 4 10 rigs and marketed utilization at 93%. Noble's jackup fleet utilization improved from 77% in Q2, up to 83% in Q3. And we currently have 11 of our 13 rigs contracted at an average day rate of approximately $145,000 per day. Speaker 200:11:10North Sea operators have generally taken a tentative approach to capital deployment ahead of last week's budget announcement in the UK, which unsurprisingly introduced incrementally higher taxation on the upstream sector. Amid these fiscal and regulatory crosswinds, we expect the North Sea jackup market to continue to be characterized by relatively constrained demand visibility. But note that early indications of the market reactions to last week's UK budget news are generally neutral, at least not significantly negative, and that thus far that market has been more stable over the past couple of years than we might have expected against the consistently difficult contextual backdrop. With that, I'll now pass the call to Richard to cover the financials. Speaker 300:11:58Thank you, Robert, and good morning or good afternoon all. In my remarks today, I will briefly review the Q3 highlights and then touch on the outlook for the remainder of the year and 2025. Contract Drilling Services revenue for the Q3 totaled £764,000,000 up from £661,000,000 in the 2nd quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was £291,000,000 in Q3, up from £271,000,000 in Q2. The adjusted EBITDA margin for the 3rd quarter was 36%. Speaker 300:12:32Cash flow from operations was $284,000,000 Net capital expenditures were $119,000,000 and free cash flow was $165,000,000 which was burdened by transaction costs related to the Diamond transaction. All of the aforementioned figures reflect the approximate 4 weeks contribution from Diamond in September. For your reference, if legacy Diamond had been included in our results for the full quarter as opposed to just some closing on September 4, Q3 adjusted EBITDA would have illustratively been close to €350,000,000 As summarized on Page 5 of the earnings presentation slide, our total backlog as of November 5 stands at €6,200,000,000 which includes approximately $500,000,000 that is scheduled for revenue conversion in the final 8 weeks of this year and $2,600,000,000 that is scheduled for 2025. As a reminder, this backlog does not include reimbursable revenue or revenue from ancillary services. The Diamond integration is progressing well. Speaker 300:13:39We are on the way to capturing the €100,000,000 of announced synergies and continue to expect to have 75% captured within 1 year of closing. Referring to Page 10 of the earnings slides, we are providing guidance for the Q4 as follows. Total revenues in the range of $850,000,000 to $890,000,000 which includes approximately $30,000,000 to $35,000,000 of reimbursable revenue adjusted EBITDA between $275,000,000 $305,000,000 and net capital additions between $105,000,000 $135,000,000 The biggest driver to the reduction in 4th quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA when compared to a Q3 that includes the diamond rigs for the full quarter is the current shipyard project for the BlackRhino as well as the Globetrotter 1 and Voyager finishing up their program. I would note that where we expect full year 2024 adjusted EBITDA to come out based on the midpoint of this Q4 2024 EBITDA guidance would correspond very closely to the midpoint of the guidance range that we put out right at the beginning of the year when adjusting for the Diamond acquisition. As Robert previously alluded to, we are reasonably and increasingly constructive about a variety of contracting opportunities over the next few months, which could drive an inflection in our total backlog as well as support a materially higher level of EBITDA potential in the second half of twenty twenty five. Speaker 300:15:04However, until these opportunities come to fruition, I think it is reasonable to infer that the 4th quarter run rate EBITDA of the combined Noble and Diamond fleet represents an approximate indication of where the business is tracking into the first half of twenty twenty five. We will look to put out full year 2025 guidance in conjunction with our year end 2024 results. As an organization, we remain laser focused on maximizing capital returns to shareholders. Despite a near term outlook that has been negatively impacted by various contracting opportunities moving to the right, we still expect 2025 to represent a nice step up in free cash flow. Supporting this 2025 free cash flow step up is an expected reduction in CapEx. Speaker 300:15:51As previously stated, CapEx for both the legacy Noble and Diamond fleets should be trending materially lower next year following the peak of the 5e SPS cycle in 2024. For reference, the illustrative combined company's 2024 total CapEx on a full 12 month basis is expected to be approximately €550,000,000 And looking ahead to next year, we expect this to reduce by approximately 25% to 30%, which will provide another free cash flow tailwind. And as evidenced by our actions to date, we look forward to returning essentially all of our free cash flow to shareholders. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Robert. Speaker 200:16:30Thank you, Richard. Before we turn to Q and A, I'd just like to provide a few closing remarks. First, I'd like to thank our employees for your continued effort and commitment to the highly exacting standards that we hold ourselves to with our first choice ambition. This cuts across HSE, operational excellence, reliability, service posture, integration buy in and a culture of supporting one another in making the right decisions day in and day out. Through our journey over the past 2 years, you have gone much further than just integrating companies and have created an innovative industry leader. Speaker 200:17:10At the same time, we have positioned Noble to deliver differentiated cash flow for our shareholders through variable cyclical conditions. And while the slowdown in contracting velocity that we have witnessed over the past year has created a near term drag on expected earnings growth for the industry, we remain constructive on the multi year fundamental outlook and also optimistic that the next leg up in the cycle will begin to come into focus with contracting developments over the next few months and then build throughout 2025. We will be watching 2025 upstream spending plans closely, but thus far early indication is that our customers are on average planning for higher offshore spending next year. For Noble, we expect the next few quarters to track relatively flat from an EBITDA perspective before an expected step up in the second half of twenty twenty five. Through this progression, we will look to deploy surplus free cash flow above the current $2 annualized dividend towards share repurchases going forward. Speaker 200:18:16So I'll wrap up there, operator. We're ready to open the call for questions. Operator00:18:43Your first question is from the line of Eddie Kim with Barclays. Speaker 400:18:48Hey, good morning. Just wanted to start with your outlook for the first half of next year and some of the white space concerns. You were the 1st to call out white space across the industry. Could you just expand upon the reasons you're seeing for these utilization headwinds in the first half? Some of your peers have talked about customer capital discipline, delayed FPSOs. Speaker 400:19:11Is that what you're seeing as well? And I guess some of the I guess the concern, which is reflected in the stock prices over the past 3 to 4 months is that this white space could linger into the second half of next year, maybe even into 2026. So could you just talk about your confidence level in rig demand rebounding in 2026 after what looks like a pretty big air pocket of demand next year? Speaker 200:19:38Sure. And of course, that's the question on everybody's mind right now. So I would say you have a little bit of, I think, opposing forces right now. Eddie, you're right. There's obviously white space in the first half of next year. Speaker 200:19:55I think that you listed a couple of reasons and I think those are certainly explanations for different instances of delay. There are other explanations for other instances of delay. But overall, there is a general lack of urgency to drill right now. And that is, I think, driven by this commitment to capital discipline that you mentioned. And I think that explains the multitude of different individual reasons why a project may get pushed to the right very slightly. Speaker 200:20:32But on the other hand, we do see this very large data set of open tenders of FIDs, of subsea tree orders, a number of different, I call them forward indicators that all suggest that the work is there. Analysis is readily available that shows that the wells that are planned to be drilled are all FID ed at very low breakeven levels. And I would say that just behind the scenes and we mentioned it in the prepared remarks, but behind the scenes, I would say the level of conversation has picked up significantly here in the last couple of months, certainly in the last month. And so we're seeing a little bit of data we mentioned on the prepared remarks out there around tendering. We're seeing conversations pick up and then of course we've got this all these things that would suggest that the work is there and coming. Speaker 200:21:38So we remain positive and hopeful around the late 2025 in 2026 improvement. Speaker 400:21:48Got it. That's great to hear. Thank you. My follow-up is just on your commentary around potentially stacking rigs. You said that if demand doesn't materialize as you expect, you might elect to stack 1 or more of your 6 gs units. Speaker 400:22:03What are your thoughts at this stage around potentially warm stacking 1 of your 7 gs rigs, which we just saw from one of your peers? It sounded like based on your commentary on having active discussions on all your 7 gs rigs that warm stacking wasn't in your plans for next year at this point. But if those conversations don't materialize into contracts, could we potentially see 1 or maybe 2 of the 6 7 gs rigs potentially warm stack next year as well? Speaker 200:22:35So, we're back into kind of this sliding scale of definitions around stack. I would say, that we certainly, will minimize cost when the outlook doesn't support them. That's just rational business. I would not anticipate that we would take dramatic measures around the 7th generation rig. And if we were to define dramatic, that might be one that would make us less marketable against other working rigs right now. Speaker 400:23:16Got it. Okay, understood. Thanks for that color, Rob. I'll turn it back. Thanks, Eddie. Operator00:23:22Your next question is from the line of Kurt Haaland with Benchmark. Speaker 500:23:28Hey, good morning everybody. Speaker 200:23:31Good morning. Speaker 500:23:33Hey, thanks for all that color. Always appreciate that. So just kind of curious, right, we look out into the back half of next year and into 2026 and things start to look a lot more constructive in terms of contract timing and so on and so forth. You indicated an inflection, right, in EBITDA in the back half of the year. Just kind of curious as what you think that magnitude might begin to look like without giving specifics around guidance? Speaker 600:24:03Yes. Hey, Kurt. It's a good question. Obviously, we haven't provided specific guidance here for 2025. We'll look to do that as we normally do with our year end results. Speaker 600:24:17Obviously, we talked about the first half of the year being somewhat flat, if you will, to Q4. I think one interesting data point is Q3, right, where if you combine Diamond with Noble for the full quarter, EBITDA was closer to $350,000,000 for the quarter, right? And so there's obviously upside to that as well. So Speaker 200:24:41we're talking about a kind Speaker 600:24:42of a flat first half of next year and then the inflection from there on, it could be significant, but obviously it's subject to winning some of the work that we're going after right now. Speaker 200:24:55I'd love to add, Kartik, that one of the reasons we considered putting out guidance here, but one of the reasons we elected not to and to stick with our kind of normal cadence of putting them out or putting it out early next year is because we do have a tremendous amount of work under negotiation right now. And it felt like the cost benefit of waiting on that was worth it given just what you're talking about. These outcomes on an individual tender obviously binary for us. And so we think kind of waiting and seeing how some of this plays out is right before we put any more color than we have here on this call out there. Speaker 500:25:38That's great. I appreciate that. So maybe just kind of another follow-up here, right? You indicated that incremental cash flow will go back to share buybacks and you have the $400,000,000 authorization. I'm just kind of curious now on capital allocation now that you have a little bit more debt on your balance sheet than you've had prior to the acquisition? Speaker 500:26:00What's your thought process in terms of cash structure? Speaker 200:26:06Yes. We're happy with where we sit today on the cap structure, and we plan to continue, obviously, dividend, as mentioned. And then from there, we're looking to supplement with share repurchases as there's excess free cash flow. Speaker 500:26:28That's great. Appreciate it. Thank you. Speaker 200:26:31Thanks, Kurt. Operator00:26:36Your next question is from the line of Greg Lewis with JPIG. Speaker 700:26:42Hey, guys. Thanks and good morning and hope you're doing well on this fine morning. Did have a question around the jackup fleet. Clearly, you guys have a very core position in the North Sea with the higher end CJ-70s, CJ-50s. And then you kind of have a couple rigs kind of scattered around the rest of the world. Speaker 700:27:12As we think about the jack up market and it seems like there continue to be buyers and kind of companies looking to get more international migrating from kind of Middle East positions abroad. Is that something where we could see Noble maybe hunker down in its core North Sea market and opportunistically kind of tear off some of the hey, they're good quality premium jackups, but maybe they're non core to the strategy going forward? Speaker 200:27:48Yes. Look, I think we're where we've always been. I would reiterate that while at this point, some of the jackups do seem more scattered globally outside of the North Sea. They're certainly not inefficient. They're producing cash flow. Speaker 200:28:06And as you say, they're good rigs with great crews and good customer, great customers. And so we have no urgency or motivation to do something. But I think we've shown through history, that we're going to make rational business decision when one comes in front of us there. And so, to the extent that, that is the right thing for our shareholders, then we of course would consider if there's a strategic move there. Speaker 300:28:40Okay. And then just following up on Speaker 700:28:42the questions around and you, Robert, you mentioned that there's I guess the sliding scale of stacking. And obviously, I don't think we're going to cold stack any of the 7th gen rigs. But any kind of rough estimates on terms of maybe cost savings around that, I. E, I guess if we were to think about a rig operating 7th gen cost maybe 150, 160. If we don't see opportunities for work for, I don't whatever the number is, it's probably not 90 days, but if it's 3 to 4 quarters, any I don't need a number maybe on a percentage basis. Speaker 700:29:24How much can we shave off of that cost just as we think about those opportunities for those not a handful, but those 3 or 4 7 gen rigs that may not get work until the back half of the year? Speaker 200:29:39Yes. Let me do this, Greg. Let me give you a couple of the points on the sliding scale might be helpful. So you mentioned kind of full working OpEx. And I would say that that scale slides down to around $40,000 to $50,000 per day before you need to go into a preservation type stack, a cold stack to reduce costs from there. Speaker 200:30:07And so there's depending on the region, depending on where you can stack the rig, there's a lot of different variables along that that would kind of determine where you end along that scale. But I think those are probably the endpoints, if that's helpful. Speaker 700:30:27Super helpful. Thank you very much. Operator00:30:37Your next question is from the line of Frederic Steyn with Clarkson Securities. Speaker 800:30:44Hey, Robert and team. Hope you are well and thanks for the detailed prepared remarks. I think it's been slightly touched upon already, but I was that you're seeing more and more opportunities in the market and that you had, I understood, particularly over the last month, a good chunk of discussions that could end up in more work that would help utilization from the latter part of 2025. Are you able to share some additional color in terms of geography? Where are you seeing these opportunities? Speaker 800:31:21Are there any regions that you're particularly optimistic about? And also if you can share some light on key regions, not necessarily only in 2025, but also in 2026 and 2027 to get the perspective of all the longevity of this COVID-nineteen? Speaker 200:31:45Sure. There is the answer is that there is not a whole lot of interesting color to provide there. There are opportunities globally. They are more abundant in the golden triangle. And honestly, not a whole lot has changed from color we've given previously where the U. Speaker 200:32:08S. Is definitely more flattish. And then we see more growth in South America, particularly Caricom and then West Africa with a smattering of other incremental opportunities outside of the Golden Triangle. I think the key regions honestly are the same as well. You've got for 2026 and 2027 to your question, I mean you've got Suriname coming online, I think in earnest. Speaker 200:32:45You have a number of opportunities up and down the West African coast, eventually Mozambique on the East African coast in that kind of timeframe. And I guess I should have called out Namibia more specifically on the West, but not a whole lot of change from what we've seen what we've kind of seen in forecasted. So we're probably more focused on tracking to make sure that these things actually come through in the time line that we're hoping than tracking any meaningful changes and where they might occur. Speaker 800:33:27That's helpful nonetheless. Also since you're a mixed player with floaters and jackups, have anything, call it, changed lately in how you would rank the different segments against each other? Or are you more confident about floaters than you currently are about jackups, etcetera? Any thinking you can provide around how you weigh the 2 on a relative basis given your market view and market outlook? Speaker 200:34:02Yes. I mean, we've our growth has been more focused on floaters, obviously, and we've seen a lot of upside in that market and certainly continue to see that, particularly at current valuations. The new cycle has been much more negative around jackups here recently than floaters. I don't know if trading has matched that as much, but I would say that there's probably more market concern on the jackup side recently. However, if you look at numbers, numbers have really held up quite well in the jackup space. Speaker 200:34:43That may be due to a larger total denominator there. But utilization is still up and above 90%, 93%, I think we quoted. And so we're looking closely at reactions to the North Sea. Like I said, we have some kind of early indications, but it's really it's a little too early to tell what direction probably 2025 takes in the North Sea. And so we're watching that very closely. Speaker 200:35:14And then we've, of course, said probably all the color we can and have on the floater market where we're hopeful. Speaker 800:35:21Yes. No, thank you very much. Just a final super quick one. On the integration work with Diamond, you have a target of $100,000,000 if I remember correctly, 75% done within a year. Do you see at this point chances that you'll actually get more synergies out of it and the $100,000,000 you're budgeting? Speaker 600:35:47Yes. Frederic, there's obviously a good chance that's the case obviously in the Maersk transaction. We announced $125,000,000 and then increased that after about a year to $150,000,000 So I would say that integration is progressing as expected and there's definitely opportunities to increase to achieve more than $100,000,000 within the total synergies here. Speaker 800:36:11Perfect. That's all from me. Thank you and have a good day. Speaker 200:36:16Thank you. Operator00:36:20Your next question is from the line of David Smith with Pickering Energy Partners. Speaker 900:36:27Hey, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Speaker 200:36:30Good morning. Speaker 900:36:31I was glad to hear about the active conversations for the discoverer and the deliverer. I'm curious about the developer though, which I think last worked in September 23. Could you talk about your outlook for that rig and what the operating costs look like during this extended idle period? I'm guessing that could be lower than an idle 7th June drillship. Speaker 200:36:56Yes. So we've you all fill in. We have moved to minimize costs on there. And I would say as well that we kind of lump all of the D rigs into the same outlook. And so I think we've got a number of leads. Speaker 200:37:23We will continue we will obviously have white we have had white space and that will continue and no change around the color we've given around first half of twenty twenty five. But from there, there seem to be a number of additional opportunities starting in late 2025 and then probably Speaker 600:37:43also later in 2026. Yes. And Dave, from a cost perspective right now, think about that kind of in the $100,000 a day kind of range from an OpEx perspective. Speaker 900:37:57I'm sorry, for the developer, the operating cost per day is okay. Speaker 600:38:02Well, yes, sorry. Yes. So essentially, you think about the scale of them from fully operating at, call it, close to 150 down to the more kind of walk Speaker 900:38:11back number Speaker 800:38:12of peers. Speaker 900:38:12Yes. Thank you. And a quick follow-up, if I may. Just wanted to circle back to your comments about the Globetrotter rigs being in active conversations for well intervention work. Wanted to make sure I understood correctly. Speaker 900:38:26Are you seeing potential demand to keep both the rigs working and 25? And would you expect those to stay in the Gulf? Speaker 200:38:36Yes. So there's work globally. I would say there's probably a higher focus in the U. S. Gulf right now. Speaker 200:38:46Yes, we're talking about both rigs. Again, we're not talking about first half twenty twenty five, but we are talking about active conversations. To the extent that in historically, intervention in P and A tends to be more susceptible to moving to the right even than drilling, which has been obviously shown a propensity for that here recently. But that said, if it becomes obvious that that's more of a 1 rig market than 2, then we said in the prepared remarks that we'll take appropriate action quickly. Speaker 900:39:28Great. That's all I got. Thank you. Operator00:39:37At this time, there are no further questions. I will now hand today's call back over to the presenters for any closing remarks. Speaker 100:39:46Thanks everyone for joining us today, and we will look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Speaker 400:39:51Have a good day. Thank you. Operator00:39:53This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallNoble Q3 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K) Noble Earnings HeadlinesNoble Corporation PLC: 114% Upside with This 10%-Yielder?April 24 at 6:49 PM | incomeinvestors.comNoble Corporation plc (NE): Among the Dividend Paying Stocks Insiders Are BuyingApril 22 at 6:14 PM | msn.comFeds Just Admitted It—They Can Take Your CashHere’s the cold truth: If your money is sitting idle in a bank account, it’s vulnerable. That’s why thousands of smart, forward-thinking individuals are making the move—out of the system and into real, untouchable assets. Because once your funds are frozen, it’s too late.April 25, 2025 | Priority Gold (Ad)Noble Corporation plc (NE): Among Mid-Cap Stocks Insiders Were Buying in Q1 2025April 18, 2025 | msn.comNew Barnes & Noble location opens in Michigan. Here's what we knowApril 16, 2025 | msn.comNoble Corp. price target lowered to $22 from $33 at SusquehannaApril 15, 2025 | markets.businessinsider.comSee More Noble Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Noble? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Noble and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About NobleNoble (NYSE:NE) Corp. Plc engages in the provision offshore drilling services for oil and gas industry. It focuses on a balanced fleet of floating and jackup rigs and the deployment of drilling rigs in oil and gas basins around the world. The company was founded by Lloyd Noble and Art Olson in 1921 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.View Noble ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Market Anticipation Builds: Joby Stock Climbs Ahead of EarningsIs Intuitive Surgical a Buy After Volatile Reaction to Earnings?Seismic Shift at Intel: Massive Layoffs Precede Crucial EarningsRocket Lab Lands New Contract, Builds Momentum Ahead of EarningsAmazon's Earnings Could Fuel a Rapid Breakout Tesla Earnings Miss, But Musk Refocuses and Bulls ReactQualcomm’s Range Narrows Ahead of Earnings as Bulls Step In Upcoming Earnings Cadence Design Systems (4/28/2025)Welltower (4/28/2025)Waste Management (4/28/2025)AstraZeneca (4/29/2025)Booking (4/29/2025)DoorDash (4/29/2025)Honeywell International (4/29/2025)Mondelez International (4/29/2025)PayPal (4/29/2025)Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (4/29/2025) Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools. Start Your 30-Day Trial MarketBeat All Access Features Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring Get personalized stock ideas. Compare portfolio to indices. Check stock news, ratings, SEC filings, and more. Stock Ideas and Recommendations See daily stock ideas from top analysts. Receive short-term trading ideas from MarketBeat. Identify trending stocks on social media. Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools Use our seven stock screeners to find suitable stocks. Stay informed with MarketBeat's real-time news. Export data to Excel for personal analysis. Sign in to your free account to enjoy these benefits In-depth profiles and analysis for 20,000 public companies. Real-time analyst ratings, insider transactions, earnings data, and more. Our daily ratings and market update email newsletter. Sign in to your free account to enjoy all that MarketBeat has to offer. Sign In Create Account Your Email Address: Email Address Required Your Password: Password Required Log In or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google Forgot your password? Your Email Address: Please enter your email address. Please enter a valid email address Choose a Password: Please enter your password. Your password must be at least 8 characters long and contain at least 1 number, 1 letter, and 1 special character. Create My Account (Free) or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google By creating a free account, you agree to our terms of service. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
There are 10 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, and welcome to the Noble Corporation Third Quarter 20 24 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. I will now hand today's call over to Ian Macpherson. Please go ahead, sir. Speaker 100:00:30Thank you, operator, and welcome, everyone, to Noble Corporation's Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call. You can find a copy of our earnings report along with the supporting statements and schedules on our website at noblecorp.com. This conference call will be accompanied by a slide presentation that you can also find located at the Investor Relations section of our website. Today's call will feature prepared remarks from our President and CEO, Robert Eifler as well as our CFO, Richard Barker. Also joining on the call are Blake Denton, Senior Vice President of Marketing and Contracts and Joey Khawaja, Senior Vice President of Operations. Speaker 100:01:04During the course of this call, we may make certain forward looking statements regarding various matters related to our business and companies that are not historical facts. Such statements are based upon current expectations and assumptions of management and are therefore subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward looking statements, and Noble does not assume any obligation to update these statements. Also note, we are referencing non GAAP financial measures on the call today. You can find the required supplemental disclosure for these measures, including the most directly comparable GAAP measure and an associated reconciliation in our earnings report issued yesterday and filed with the SEC. Speaker 100:01:45Now, I'll turn the call over to Robert Eifler, President and CEO of Noble. Speaker 200:01:50Thanks, Ian. Good day, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's call. I'll begin with a brief update on our acquisition of Diamond Offshore, followed by highlights of our capital return program, 3rd quarter results, recent commercial and operational activities and some market outlook color. Richard will then discuss our financial results and provide guidance for the Q4. Finally, I will wrap up with closing remarks and open the floor for questions. Speaker 200:02:20As most of you know, we closed the acquisition of Diamond Offshore on September 4th, combining 2 great companies with incredibly rich legacies and leading deepwater capabilities. I want to extend my appreciation to everyone across both organizations who worked tirelessly to close this transaction in just under 3 months. This highly synergistic combination brings together over 150 years of combined experience, creating a fleet of 41 rigs, including the largest fleet of 7th generation dual BOP drillships in the industry, while also adding $2,000,000,000 of well priced backlog. As we pass the 60 day integration mark, we are excited to share some early wins, including meaningful synergies realized that have us on track to achieve our stated targets. Teeter management has visited legacy Diamond Rigs and customers around the globe, while prioritizing a focused commitment to business continuity through safe and efficient operations. Speaker 200:03:26Thus far, everything is proceeding very smoothly according to our well practiced integration playbook. Next, I'd like to highlight additional progress with our return of capital program. Following the execution of $250,000,000 of share repurchases in the Q3, we have completed $360,000,000 of repurchases under our original $400,000,000 authorization. And our Board of Directors has recently approved a second $400,000,000 authorization, while also maintaining our quarterly dividend here in the Q4 at $0.50 per share. We recognize that our differentiated return of capital program is a critical factor for investors. Speaker 200:04:10And I'm pleased to highlight that we have now eclipsed $800,000,000 in combined dividends and buybacks since we closed the Maersk Drilling combination in Q4 2022, inclusive of this quarter's announced dividend. Moving to our financial highlights. In the Q3, we delivered strong results with continued EBITDA and cash flow expansion. On a consolidated basis, we achieved adjusted EBITDA of $291,000,000 compared to $271,000,000 in Q2 and free cash flow for the quarter was strong at $165,000,000 These results include approximately 4 weeks of contribution from the Diamond acquisition in September. Richard will have additional color on the combined results in a moment, but suffice it to say that the Diamond acquisition further enhances our free cash flow profile with significant and immediate accretion. Speaker 200:05:07This marks a great start for our combined company. Shifting now to our commercial and operational highlights. First, during the Q3, we were awarded 4.8 rig years of additional backlog for the 4 drill ships working under the commercial enabling agreement with ExxonMobil in Guyana, further validating the successful commercial and operational model and extending our visibility in the country through August 2028. We have also recently booked an additional 130 days for the Ocean Endeavour working for Shell in the UK North Sea between March July 2025 plus options. As of today, our total backlog currently stands at $6,200,000,000 In addition to these most recent fixtures, in July, the BlackRhino was awarded a 6 month contract with Beacon Offshore Energy in the Gulf of Mexico at a day rate slightly below $500,000 This program is slated to commence in the Q1 of 2020 following the rigs SPS and MPD upgrade that are underway. Speaker 200:06:15Following the BlackRhino's MPD upgrade, we will have 15 rigs equipped with MPD, enhancing our dominant position in this increasingly essential technical domain. In South America, the Fe Cozak successfully commenced its contract with Petrobras in Brazil and set a new pre salt drilling record on its first well. Hats off to the crews of the Faye Kozak on this impressive accomplishment right out of the gate. In Colombia, the discoverer has successfully drilled its first well for Petrobras and we look forward to continuing to work on this important gas development for the region. In the UK, Ocean GreatWhite resumed its contract with BP in early July following equipment repairs. Speaker 200:07:01And the contract is now expected to continue through April 2025 with priced options following that firm's quote. And finally, the Black Lion in the Gulf of Mexico and the Deliverer in Australia both moved to substantially higher day rate contracts in the mid to high 400s during the quarter. Now I'd like to share a brief word on the market. The core fundamentals of our business remain structurally sound. Global energy demand is increasing, energy security remains a global priority and offshore supply represents a highly strategic and advantaged resource priority for the upstream industry. Speaker 200:07:41Also, over the last several quarters, open demand for floaters continues to track at a historically high level of above 100 rig years of demand from tenders and pre tenders in the public domain, excluding the substantial additional volume of work that stems separately from direct awards. Against this backdrop, recent contracting activity for deepwater rigs has shown an encouraging uptick. After a slowdown in the Q2, the industry saw an improvement in backlog booked with 26 ultra deepwater rig years contracted in Q3, marking a 20% increase over Q2 and in line with the strong contracting levels seen in 2022 and 2023. While the majority of these recent fixtures have contract start dates in late 2025 or later, leaving the white space of the first half of twenty twenty five unaddressed, we do believe that these are the first of many signs supporting a demand uptick in late 2025 early 2026. As you can see on our backlog slide on Page 5 of the earnings presentation, we currently have 56% of our total marketed fleet committed for 2025. Speaker 200:08:54As you drill a little further into the mix, our marketed floaters are 59% contracted next year and our Tier 1 drillships are slightly above 75% committed for 2025. Our higher end units with near term availability are the Voyager Valiant, Jerry D'Souza and Venturer. And I would say that today, we have active conversations and leads behind all of these units. In our 6th gen fleet, we currently have more active conversations on the Discoverer and the Deliver than we have had at any time since we acquired these units. So the contracting outlook there is promising. Speaker 200:09:33Meanwhile, the Globetrotters similarly have a number of active leads for 2025 work, almost exclusively for intervention programs as we have previously indicated. The timing associated with these opportunities collectively supports a potentially meaningful ramp in utilization and run rate EBITDA compared to our current level by the second half of twenty twenty five. Although there's obviously still some work to be done to convert these opportunities to firm backlog. I would also say that the nature of the discussions and negotiations with our customers over the past few weeks has been increasingly active and constructive as 2025 customer budget allocations are beginning to take shape. If the next several months plays out as we currently envision, then we should see a backlog in utilization inflection next year. Speaker 200:10:22Given the abundance of active opportunities, we have elected not to stack any rigs at this time. However, if demand does not materialize as expected, then we will move decisively to stack 1 or more 6 gs units as the market dictates. On the jackup side, despite some continuing and more recent NOC headwinds, the market has remained quite resilient with global demand recently eclipsing 4 10 rigs and marketed utilization at 93%. Noble's jackup fleet utilization improved from 77% in Q2, up to 83% in Q3. And we currently have 11 of our 13 rigs contracted at an average day rate of approximately $145,000 per day. Speaker 200:11:10North Sea operators have generally taken a tentative approach to capital deployment ahead of last week's budget announcement in the UK, which unsurprisingly introduced incrementally higher taxation on the upstream sector. Amid these fiscal and regulatory crosswinds, we expect the North Sea jackup market to continue to be characterized by relatively constrained demand visibility. But note that early indications of the market reactions to last week's UK budget news are generally neutral, at least not significantly negative, and that thus far that market has been more stable over the past couple of years than we might have expected against the consistently difficult contextual backdrop. With that, I'll now pass the call to Richard to cover the financials. Speaker 300:11:58Thank you, Robert, and good morning or good afternoon all. In my remarks today, I will briefly review the Q3 highlights and then touch on the outlook for the remainder of the year and 2025. Contract Drilling Services revenue for the Q3 totaled £764,000,000 up from £661,000,000 in the 2nd quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was £291,000,000 in Q3, up from £271,000,000 in Q2. The adjusted EBITDA margin for the 3rd quarter was 36%. Speaker 300:12:32Cash flow from operations was $284,000,000 Net capital expenditures were $119,000,000 and free cash flow was $165,000,000 which was burdened by transaction costs related to the Diamond transaction. All of the aforementioned figures reflect the approximate 4 weeks contribution from Diamond in September. For your reference, if legacy Diamond had been included in our results for the full quarter as opposed to just some closing on September 4, Q3 adjusted EBITDA would have illustratively been close to €350,000,000 As summarized on Page 5 of the earnings presentation slide, our total backlog as of November 5 stands at €6,200,000,000 which includes approximately $500,000,000 that is scheduled for revenue conversion in the final 8 weeks of this year and $2,600,000,000 that is scheduled for 2025. As a reminder, this backlog does not include reimbursable revenue or revenue from ancillary services. The Diamond integration is progressing well. Speaker 300:13:39We are on the way to capturing the €100,000,000 of announced synergies and continue to expect to have 75% captured within 1 year of closing. Referring to Page 10 of the earnings slides, we are providing guidance for the Q4 as follows. Total revenues in the range of $850,000,000 to $890,000,000 which includes approximately $30,000,000 to $35,000,000 of reimbursable revenue adjusted EBITDA between $275,000,000 $305,000,000 and net capital additions between $105,000,000 $135,000,000 The biggest driver to the reduction in 4th quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA when compared to a Q3 that includes the diamond rigs for the full quarter is the current shipyard project for the BlackRhino as well as the Globetrotter 1 and Voyager finishing up their program. I would note that where we expect full year 2024 adjusted EBITDA to come out based on the midpoint of this Q4 2024 EBITDA guidance would correspond very closely to the midpoint of the guidance range that we put out right at the beginning of the year when adjusting for the Diamond acquisition. As Robert previously alluded to, we are reasonably and increasingly constructive about a variety of contracting opportunities over the next few months, which could drive an inflection in our total backlog as well as support a materially higher level of EBITDA potential in the second half of twenty twenty five. Speaker 300:15:04However, until these opportunities come to fruition, I think it is reasonable to infer that the 4th quarter run rate EBITDA of the combined Noble and Diamond fleet represents an approximate indication of where the business is tracking into the first half of twenty twenty five. We will look to put out full year 2025 guidance in conjunction with our year end 2024 results. As an organization, we remain laser focused on maximizing capital returns to shareholders. Despite a near term outlook that has been negatively impacted by various contracting opportunities moving to the right, we still expect 2025 to represent a nice step up in free cash flow. Supporting this 2025 free cash flow step up is an expected reduction in CapEx. Speaker 300:15:51As previously stated, CapEx for both the legacy Noble and Diamond fleets should be trending materially lower next year following the peak of the 5e SPS cycle in 2024. For reference, the illustrative combined company's 2024 total CapEx on a full 12 month basis is expected to be approximately €550,000,000 And looking ahead to next year, we expect this to reduce by approximately 25% to 30%, which will provide another free cash flow tailwind. And as evidenced by our actions to date, we look forward to returning essentially all of our free cash flow to shareholders. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Robert. Speaker 200:16:30Thank you, Richard. Before we turn to Q and A, I'd just like to provide a few closing remarks. First, I'd like to thank our employees for your continued effort and commitment to the highly exacting standards that we hold ourselves to with our first choice ambition. This cuts across HSE, operational excellence, reliability, service posture, integration buy in and a culture of supporting one another in making the right decisions day in and day out. Through our journey over the past 2 years, you have gone much further than just integrating companies and have created an innovative industry leader. Speaker 200:17:10At the same time, we have positioned Noble to deliver differentiated cash flow for our shareholders through variable cyclical conditions. And while the slowdown in contracting velocity that we have witnessed over the past year has created a near term drag on expected earnings growth for the industry, we remain constructive on the multi year fundamental outlook and also optimistic that the next leg up in the cycle will begin to come into focus with contracting developments over the next few months and then build throughout 2025. We will be watching 2025 upstream spending plans closely, but thus far early indication is that our customers are on average planning for higher offshore spending next year. For Noble, we expect the next few quarters to track relatively flat from an EBITDA perspective before an expected step up in the second half of twenty twenty five. Through this progression, we will look to deploy surplus free cash flow above the current $2 annualized dividend towards share repurchases going forward. Speaker 200:18:16So I'll wrap up there, operator. We're ready to open the call for questions. Operator00:18:43Your first question is from the line of Eddie Kim with Barclays. Speaker 400:18:48Hey, good morning. Just wanted to start with your outlook for the first half of next year and some of the white space concerns. You were the 1st to call out white space across the industry. Could you just expand upon the reasons you're seeing for these utilization headwinds in the first half? Some of your peers have talked about customer capital discipline, delayed FPSOs. Speaker 400:19:11Is that what you're seeing as well? And I guess some of the I guess the concern, which is reflected in the stock prices over the past 3 to 4 months is that this white space could linger into the second half of next year, maybe even into 2026. So could you just talk about your confidence level in rig demand rebounding in 2026 after what looks like a pretty big air pocket of demand next year? Speaker 200:19:38Sure. And of course, that's the question on everybody's mind right now. So I would say you have a little bit of, I think, opposing forces right now. Eddie, you're right. There's obviously white space in the first half of next year. Speaker 200:19:55I think that you listed a couple of reasons and I think those are certainly explanations for different instances of delay. There are other explanations for other instances of delay. But overall, there is a general lack of urgency to drill right now. And that is, I think, driven by this commitment to capital discipline that you mentioned. And I think that explains the multitude of different individual reasons why a project may get pushed to the right very slightly. Speaker 200:20:32But on the other hand, we do see this very large data set of open tenders of FIDs, of subsea tree orders, a number of different, I call them forward indicators that all suggest that the work is there. Analysis is readily available that shows that the wells that are planned to be drilled are all FID ed at very low breakeven levels. And I would say that just behind the scenes and we mentioned it in the prepared remarks, but behind the scenes, I would say the level of conversation has picked up significantly here in the last couple of months, certainly in the last month. And so we're seeing a little bit of data we mentioned on the prepared remarks out there around tendering. We're seeing conversations pick up and then of course we've got this all these things that would suggest that the work is there and coming. Speaker 200:21:38So we remain positive and hopeful around the late 2025 in 2026 improvement. Speaker 400:21:48Got it. That's great to hear. Thank you. My follow-up is just on your commentary around potentially stacking rigs. You said that if demand doesn't materialize as you expect, you might elect to stack 1 or more of your 6 gs units. Speaker 400:22:03What are your thoughts at this stage around potentially warm stacking 1 of your 7 gs rigs, which we just saw from one of your peers? It sounded like based on your commentary on having active discussions on all your 7 gs rigs that warm stacking wasn't in your plans for next year at this point. But if those conversations don't materialize into contracts, could we potentially see 1 or maybe 2 of the 6 7 gs rigs potentially warm stack next year as well? Speaker 200:22:35So, we're back into kind of this sliding scale of definitions around stack. I would say, that we certainly, will minimize cost when the outlook doesn't support them. That's just rational business. I would not anticipate that we would take dramatic measures around the 7th generation rig. And if we were to define dramatic, that might be one that would make us less marketable against other working rigs right now. Speaker 400:23:16Got it. Okay, understood. Thanks for that color, Rob. I'll turn it back. Thanks, Eddie. Operator00:23:22Your next question is from the line of Kurt Haaland with Benchmark. Speaker 500:23:28Hey, good morning everybody. Speaker 200:23:31Good morning. Speaker 500:23:33Hey, thanks for all that color. Always appreciate that. So just kind of curious, right, we look out into the back half of next year and into 2026 and things start to look a lot more constructive in terms of contract timing and so on and so forth. You indicated an inflection, right, in EBITDA in the back half of the year. Just kind of curious as what you think that magnitude might begin to look like without giving specifics around guidance? Speaker 600:24:03Yes. Hey, Kurt. It's a good question. Obviously, we haven't provided specific guidance here for 2025. We'll look to do that as we normally do with our year end results. Speaker 600:24:17Obviously, we talked about the first half of the year being somewhat flat, if you will, to Q4. I think one interesting data point is Q3, right, where if you combine Diamond with Noble for the full quarter, EBITDA was closer to $350,000,000 for the quarter, right? And so there's obviously upside to that as well. So Speaker 200:24:41we're talking about a kind Speaker 600:24:42of a flat first half of next year and then the inflection from there on, it could be significant, but obviously it's subject to winning some of the work that we're going after right now. Speaker 200:24:55I'd love to add, Kartik, that one of the reasons we considered putting out guidance here, but one of the reasons we elected not to and to stick with our kind of normal cadence of putting them out or putting it out early next year is because we do have a tremendous amount of work under negotiation right now. And it felt like the cost benefit of waiting on that was worth it given just what you're talking about. These outcomes on an individual tender obviously binary for us. And so we think kind of waiting and seeing how some of this plays out is right before we put any more color than we have here on this call out there. Speaker 500:25:38That's great. I appreciate that. So maybe just kind of another follow-up here, right? You indicated that incremental cash flow will go back to share buybacks and you have the $400,000,000 authorization. I'm just kind of curious now on capital allocation now that you have a little bit more debt on your balance sheet than you've had prior to the acquisition? Speaker 500:26:00What's your thought process in terms of cash structure? Speaker 200:26:06Yes. We're happy with where we sit today on the cap structure, and we plan to continue, obviously, dividend, as mentioned. And then from there, we're looking to supplement with share repurchases as there's excess free cash flow. Speaker 500:26:28That's great. Appreciate it. Thank you. Speaker 200:26:31Thanks, Kurt. Operator00:26:36Your next question is from the line of Greg Lewis with JPIG. Speaker 700:26:42Hey, guys. Thanks and good morning and hope you're doing well on this fine morning. Did have a question around the jackup fleet. Clearly, you guys have a very core position in the North Sea with the higher end CJ-70s, CJ-50s. And then you kind of have a couple rigs kind of scattered around the rest of the world. Speaker 700:27:12As we think about the jack up market and it seems like there continue to be buyers and kind of companies looking to get more international migrating from kind of Middle East positions abroad. Is that something where we could see Noble maybe hunker down in its core North Sea market and opportunistically kind of tear off some of the hey, they're good quality premium jackups, but maybe they're non core to the strategy going forward? Speaker 200:27:48Yes. Look, I think we're where we've always been. I would reiterate that while at this point, some of the jackups do seem more scattered globally outside of the North Sea. They're certainly not inefficient. They're producing cash flow. Speaker 200:28:06And as you say, they're good rigs with great crews and good customer, great customers. And so we have no urgency or motivation to do something. But I think we've shown through history, that we're going to make rational business decision when one comes in front of us there. And so, to the extent that, that is the right thing for our shareholders, then we of course would consider if there's a strategic move there. Speaker 300:28:40Okay. And then just following up on Speaker 700:28:42the questions around and you, Robert, you mentioned that there's I guess the sliding scale of stacking. And obviously, I don't think we're going to cold stack any of the 7th gen rigs. But any kind of rough estimates on terms of maybe cost savings around that, I. E, I guess if we were to think about a rig operating 7th gen cost maybe 150, 160. If we don't see opportunities for work for, I don't whatever the number is, it's probably not 90 days, but if it's 3 to 4 quarters, any I don't need a number maybe on a percentage basis. Speaker 700:29:24How much can we shave off of that cost just as we think about those opportunities for those not a handful, but those 3 or 4 7 gen rigs that may not get work until the back half of the year? Speaker 200:29:39Yes. Let me do this, Greg. Let me give you a couple of the points on the sliding scale might be helpful. So you mentioned kind of full working OpEx. And I would say that that scale slides down to around $40,000 to $50,000 per day before you need to go into a preservation type stack, a cold stack to reduce costs from there. Speaker 200:30:07And so there's depending on the region, depending on where you can stack the rig, there's a lot of different variables along that that would kind of determine where you end along that scale. But I think those are probably the endpoints, if that's helpful. Speaker 700:30:27Super helpful. Thank you very much. Operator00:30:37Your next question is from the line of Frederic Steyn with Clarkson Securities. Speaker 800:30:44Hey, Robert and team. Hope you are well and thanks for the detailed prepared remarks. I think it's been slightly touched upon already, but I was that you're seeing more and more opportunities in the market and that you had, I understood, particularly over the last month, a good chunk of discussions that could end up in more work that would help utilization from the latter part of 2025. Are you able to share some additional color in terms of geography? Where are you seeing these opportunities? Speaker 800:31:21Are there any regions that you're particularly optimistic about? And also if you can share some light on key regions, not necessarily only in 2025, but also in 2026 and 2027 to get the perspective of all the longevity of this COVID-nineteen? Speaker 200:31:45Sure. There is the answer is that there is not a whole lot of interesting color to provide there. There are opportunities globally. They are more abundant in the golden triangle. And honestly, not a whole lot has changed from color we've given previously where the U. Speaker 200:32:08S. Is definitely more flattish. And then we see more growth in South America, particularly Caricom and then West Africa with a smattering of other incremental opportunities outside of the Golden Triangle. I think the key regions honestly are the same as well. You've got for 2026 and 2027 to your question, I mean you've got Suriname coming online, I think in earnest. Speaker 200:32:45You have a number of opportunities up and down the West African coast, eventually Mozambique on the East African coast in that kind of timeframe. And I guess I should have called out Namibia more specifically on the West, but not a whole lot of change from what we've seen what we've kind of seen in forecasted. So we're probably more focused on tracking to make sure that these things actually come through in the time line that we're hoping than tracking any meaningful changes and where they might occur. Speaker 800:33:27That's helpful nonetheless. Also since you're a mixed player with floaters and jackups, have anything, call it, changed lately in how you would rank the different segments against each other? Or are you more confident about floaters than you currently are about jackups, etcetera? Any thinking you can provide around how you weigh the 2 on a relative basis given your market view and market outlook? Speaker 200:34:02Yes. I mean, we've our growth has been more focused on floaters, obviously, and we've seen a lot of upside in that market and certainly continue to see that, particularly at current valuations. The new cycle has been much more negative around jackups here recently than floaters. I don't know if trading has matched that as much, but I would say that there's probably more market concern on the jackup side recently. However, if you look at numbers, numbers have really held up quite well in the jackup space. Speaker 200:34:43That may be due to a larger total denominator there. But utilization is still up and above 90%, 93%, I think we quoted. And so we're looking closely at reactions to the North Sea. Like I said, we have some kind of early indications, but it's really it's a little too early to tell what direction probably 2025 takes in the North Sea. And so we're watching that very closely. Speaker 200:35:14And then we've, of course, said probably all the color we can and have on the floater market where we're hopeful. Speaker 800:35:21Yes. No, thank you very much. Just a final super quick one. On the integration work with Diamond, you have a target of $100,000,000 if I remember correctly, 75% done within a year. Do you see at this point chances that you'll actually get more synergies out of it and the $100,000,000 you're budgeting? Speaker 600:35:47Yes. Frederic, there's obviously a good chance that's the case obviously in the Maersk transaction. We announced $125,000,000 and then increased that after about a year to $150,000,000 So I would say that integration is progressing as expected and there's definitely opportunities to increase to achieve more than $100,000,000 within the total synergies here. Speaker 800:36:11Perfect. That's all from me. Thank you and have a good day. Speaker 200:36:16Thank you. Operator00:36:20Your next question is from the line of David Smith with Pickering Energy Partners. Speaker 900:36:27Hey, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Speaker 200:36:30Good morning. Speaker 900:36:31I was glad to hear about the active conversations for the discoverer and the deliverer. I'm curious about the developer though, which I think last worked in September 23. Could you talk about your outlook for that rig and what the operating costs look like during this extended idle period? I'm guessing that could be lower than an idle 7th June drillship. Speaker 200:36:56Yes. So we've you all fill in. We have moved to minimize costs on there. And I would say as well that we kind of lump all of the D rigs into the same outlook. And so I think we've got a number of leads. Speaker 200:37:23We will continue we will obviously have white we have had white space and that will continue and no change around the color we've given around first half of twenty twenty five. But from there, there seem to be a number of additional opportunities starting in late 2025 and then probably Speaker 600:37:43also later in 2026. Yes. And Dave, from a cost perspective right now, think about that kind of in the $100,000 a day kind of range from an OpEx perspective. Speaker 900:37:57I'm sorry, for the developer, the operating cost per day is okay. Speaker 600:38:02Well, yes, sorry. Yes. So essentially, you think about the scale of them from fully operating at, call it, close to 150 down to the more kind of walk Speaker 900:38:11back number Speaker 800:38:12of peers. Speaker 900:38:12Yes. Thank you. And a quick follow-up, if I may. Just wanted to circle back to your comments about the Globetrotter rigs being in active conversations for well intervention work. Wanted to make sure I understood correctly. Speaker 900:38:26Are you seeing potential demand to keep both the rigs working and 25? And would you expect those to stay in the Gulf? Speaker 200:38:36Yes. So there's work globally. I would say there's probably a higher focus in the U. S. Gulf right now. Speaker 200:38:46Yes, we're talking about both rigs. Again, we're not talking about first half twenty twenty five, but we are talking about active conversations. To the extent that in historically, intervention in P and A tends to be more susceptible to moving to the right even than drilling, which has been obviously shown a propensity for that here recently. But that said, if it becomes obvious that that's more of a 1 rig market than 2, then we said in the prepared remarks that we'll take appropriate action quickly. Speaker 900:39:28Great. That's all I got. Thank you. Operator00:39:37At this time, there are no further questions. I will now hand today's call back over to the presenters for any closing remarks. Speaker 100:39:46Thanks everyone for joining us today, and we will look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Speaker 400:39:51Have a good day. Thank you. Operator00:39:53This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.Read morePowered by