NYSE:BCO Brink's Q3 2024 Earnings Report $87.20 -0.50 (-0.57%) Closing price 04/15/2025 03:59 PM EasternExtended Trading$88.72 +1.52 (+1.74%) As of 08:00 AM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. Earnings HistoryForecast Brink's EPS ResultsActual EPS$1.51Consensus EPS $1.79Beat/MissMissed by -$0.28One Year Ago EPS$1.92Brink's Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$1.19 billionExpected Revenue$1.27 billionBeat/MissMissed by -$89.47 millionYoY Revenue Growth-3.40%Brink's Announcement DetailsQuarterQ3 2024Date11/6/2024TimeBefore Market OpensConference Call DateWednesday, November 6, 2024Conference Call Time9:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsBrink's' Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Tuesday, May 6, 2025, with a conference call scheduled on Wednesday, May 7, 2025 at 8:30 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by Brink's Q3 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrNovember 6, 2024 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 7 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning. Welcome to The Brink's Company's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. This morning, Brink's issued a press release detailing its Q3 2024 results. The company also filed an 8 ks that includes the release and the slides that will be used in today's call. The release and slides are available in the Investor Relations section of the company's website at investors. Operator00:00:25Brinks.com. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded and will be available for replay. This call and the Q and A session will contain forward looking statements. Operator00:00:43Actual results could differ materially from projected or estimated results. Information regarding factors that could cause such differences are available in the footnotes of today's press release and in the company's most recent SEC filings. Information presented and discussed on this call is representative of today only. Brink's assumes no obligation to update any forward looking statements. The call is copyrighted and may not be used without written permission from Brink's. Operator00:01:13I will now turn it over to your host, Jesse Jenkins, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Jenkins, you may begin. Speaker 100:01:21Thanks and good morning. Joining me today are CEO, Mark Eubanks and CFO, Curt McMacken. This morning, Brink's reported Q3 2024 results on a GAAP, non GAAP and constant currency basis. Most of our comments today will be focused on our non GAAP results. These non GAAP financial measures are intended to provide investors with a supplemental comparison of our operating results and trends for the periods presented. Speaker 100:01:48Our management believes that these measures are also useful to investors as such measures allow investors to evaluate our performance using the same metrics that our management uses to evaluate past performance and prospects for future performance. Reconciliations of non GAAP results to their most comparable GAAP results are provided in the press release, the appendix of the presentation and in this morning's 8 ks filing, all of which can be found on our website. I will now turn the call over to Brink's CEO, Mark Eubanks. Speaker 200:02:21Thanks, Jesse, and good morning. Thanks for joining us. Starting on Slide 3, we delivered total organic growth of 13% in the quarter. ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions or AMS and DRS grew 26% organically, marking another quarter of growth ahead of our expectations. With double digit organic growth in AMS and DRS in every regional segment, with healthy backlogs and a good pipeline of future opportunities, we continue to build momentum in these important growth areas. Speaker 200:02:54Cash and valuables management, or CVM, was up 9% organically with pricing execution offsetting market softness in our Global Services business. The strengthening U. S. Dollar caused an 11% FX headwind in the period. The FX headwind was more than we originally expected, primarily due to the devaluation of the Mexican peso. Speaker 200:03:15Adjusted EBITDA of $217,000,000 was impacted by the timing of a $10,000,000 increase in security losses in the quarter. Adjusting for this item, EBITDA margins were 18% in the quarter, down 80 basis points for the same quarter last year. The margin declines included a headwind from dollar strengthening in our high margin Latin America businesses, revenue mix related to our Global Services business as well as the impact of a delay in productivity in North America as we deploy a new routing system. I'll add more details on North America performance in a few slides. Generated $135,000,000 in free cash flow with better asset efficiency and working capital improvements, primarily related to DSOs and AR Management being offset by the impact of lower EBITDA and the currency impact of our FX hedging portfolio. Speaker 200:04:09Kurt will have more on our free cash flow performance and outlook later in the call. We made 2 key additions to our executive team in the quarter. Josh Tetak is leading our Brink's business system efforts and I've tasked him with delivering cost productivity across the P and L as we continue to standardize and simplify operations worldwide. Josh's background at GE and Eaton and deep experience in lean and continuous improvement make him the ideal person to help us unlock additional opportunities as we continue to expand our EBITDA margins. We recently appointed Nadir Antar as the global leader of Brink's Global Services. Speaker 200:04:48Nadir joins us with global experience with companies like Honeywell, United Technologies and Otis Elevators. Nadir will be focused on identifying and capturing new growth opportunities across our total addressable market. They'll also focus on improving our operational cadence as well as strengthening our compliance culture and then finally developing our global talent agenda for our Brink's Global Services business. Despite the near term market headwinds caused by record high gold and silver prices, we have a leading market presence and are leveraging a large global footprint that makes us the logical choice for customers when these markets return to form. Operationally, we continue to advance our AMS and DRS businesses. Speaker 200:05:33We are increasing our organic growth expectations for the remainder of the year to more than 20%, and we now expect AMS DRS revenues to exceed the high end of our original mix expectations of 23%. Our customers appreciate the value proposition of these services and our teams continue to embrace the power of shifting our business to these higher margin faster growing businesses. With a robust backlog of devices to install in the Q4, we have increasing confidence in our revenue trajectory for the balance of the year. And with a full pipeline, we're off to a strong start towards achieving our 2025 targets of mid to high teens organic revenue growth. We also continue to execute on our capital allocation framework, maintaining our leverage target below 3x and returning capital to shareholders by purchasing $125,000,000 in shares year to date through the Q3. Speaker 200:06:29In total, we've reduced our share count by 5% year over year and continue to target more than $200,000,000 of repurchases in 2024 as we work through the remaining $375,000,000 worth of authorization that runs through 2025. At the bottom of the page, you can see our updated full year 2024 guidance. Revenue over $5,000,000,000 reflects the impact of approximately $100,000,000 in currency headwinds, primarily from the Mexican peso and to a lesser extent some market softness in our Global Services business. Adjusted EBITDA of $910,000,000 at the midpoint reflects the mix impact of lower revenue and high margin geographies and lines of business. Free cash flow reflects the EBITDA change as well as higher cash taxes from geographic mix of income and the impact of currency fluctuation in the quarter. Speaker 200:07:23While our quarter and the balance of the year fell short of our initial expectations, we continue to make good progress executing against our strategy and transforming our operations. We are seeing strong demand in our higher growth tech enabled solutions and we believe we're turning the corner on our routing processes that will help us further operationalize the margin benefits of AMS and DRS and we have clear line of sight to the productivity actions and growth initiatives into 2025. I'm confident we're making the right investments in the business to improve predictability in our results and remain very encouraged by the opportunity still in front of us. Turning to Slide 4. I'll move quickly through the headline results of Q3 as Kurt will discuss these in detail in a few slides. Speaker 200:08:09Organic growth of 13% was partially offset by an 11% impact from translational FX. Adjusted EBITDA declined $4,000,000 year over year when adjusted for the previous mentioned loss EBIT in the quarter. Earnings per share was down $0.40 year over year due to higher interest expense and the lapping of a prior year marketable security gain. Trailing 12 month free cash flow was $262,000,000 with conversion from trailing 12 month EBITDA of 29%. Turning to Slide 5, you'll recognize an update to a slide we shared last quarter. Speaker 200:08:47On the left, you can see we continue to make meaningful progress, expanding margins in North America, up 120 basis points from the end of the year and delivering EBITDA growth at a 15% CAGR since 2018. In the quarter, we accelerated technology and systems investments that we expect to enable better planning and routing processes across our network as well as migration of our legacy on premise data center to the cloud for improved security and global scalability. We've also moved local logistics plan activities into a centralized control tower equipped with industry leading smart algorithms to better optimize our routes. With the accelerating growth in our AMS and DRS business, it's vital that we have a best in class system and process to fully realize the benefits of the additional capacity from the reduction of stops that the operating model delivers. During the rollout of the system, we experienced system integration issues that caused us to slow the planned deployment to better ensure operational stability and performance. Speaker 200:09:52We have planned this initial investment to be offset by approximately $8,000,000 to $10,000,000 in labor and fleet productivity that we did not realize in the quarter. We are being very deliberate in our continued deployment as we work through these issues during the quarter in several pilot markets in large U. S. Metropolitan cities. While the results are early, we are seeing meaningful improvements in key metrics like service quality and stops per worked hour that we believe will ultimately translate into labor and fleet productivity across the entire network. Speaker 200:10:22We now expect these productivity benefits to ramp over the next few quarters and hit full maturity in the first half of twenty twenty five. Turning to Slide 6, I'll provide some detail on revenue by customer offering. In cash and valuables management, we saw organic growth of 9% in our core cash management business. Volumes remained stable in most geographies despite the uncertain retail environment and geopolitical backdrop, particularly here in the U. S. Speaker 200:10:47As well as other countries around the world. This growth was also supported by strong price realization, but was partially offset by BGS market softness with the movement of precious metals and commodities. The Global Services softness had a negative revenue and profit impact against our expectations in every segment, including the Americas. With gold and silver prices consistently rising throughout the year with limited volatility, the demand for movement and storage of precious metals from mining operations to refineries and financial institutions slowed. Supported by a new dedicated leader in global services, we plan to expand into new growth avenues that further leverage our existing infrastructure. Speaker 200:11:28The DRS business continues to exceed our expectations. Favorable demand patterns are driving double digit growth in all segments as we continue to penetrate a large unvended market and convert our existing legacy cash in transit customers to more tech enabled solutions. Customers are reacting favorably to the value proposition of these services as they look for ways to maximize working capital, reduce bank fees and simplify the day to day operations for employees during a changing retail backdrop, especially here in the U. S. We've built a backlog that supports our Q4 forecast and we continue to expand our pipeline of potential DRS customers into next year. Speaker 200:12:08We've had several key wins that we closed here in the quarter, including a large U. S. Nationwide auto parts dealer, a national pharmacy chain in a Latin American country and a hypermarket chain in Asia Pacific. AMS delivered the 3rd consecutive quarter of accelerating organic growth as we continue to educate financial institutions on the benefits of outsourcing as well as place new ATMs into retail operations. With several new customers set to onboard in early 2025, we have significant momentum. Speaker 200:12:39We have many new early stage opportunities that we're just beginning to explore and an increasing number of opportunities that have already moved into the pilot phase. Our global pipeline is vast and maturing in quality and we have we're very excited about several key wins in the period. Beyond the previously announced Sainsbury's partnership, which I'll touch on in a moment, we signed an outsourcing agreement with a major grocery store chain in Europe as well as several ATM outsourcing service agreements with both the retailers and financial institutions here in the U. S. Turning to Slide 7. Speaker 200:13:15I'd like to take a second to highlight a key AMS win from the 3rd quarter. On September 25, we announced an agreement to provide full ATM managed services for Sainsbury's, one of the largest grocery and convenience store chains in the UK. As part of the agreement, Sainsbury's ATMs will fully transition to our network and we will provide all services associated with the ATM ownership. We differentiated ourselves during this competitive process by our ability to be a single provider across the entire value stream, everything from cash in transit, 1st and second line maintenance to cash forecasting and transaction processing. The addition of Sainsbury's will increase our network of ATMs by about 15% in the UK, providing increased route density, increased processing volume and increased scale while leveraging back office and network infrastructure at higher incremental margins. Speaker 200:14:08We're excited about the relationship with a great partner and are working diligently on the transition plan, which we expect to be completed through the first half of next year. Overall, I'm pleased with the progress in both AMS and DRS so far this year. We continue to build momentum and strengthen our operating cadence. We're improving our go to market tactics through solution based selling and aligning our incentives to drive the right behaviors locally. We've increased our performance expectations this year and into 2025, and I look forward to a continued shift of our business over the next several years. Speaker 200:14:41And with that, turn it over to Kurt to discuss the financials, free cash flow, capital allocation and our updated guidance. I'll return with some closing thoughts before we open the lines for Q and A. Kurt? Speaker 300:14:53Thanks, Mark. Starting on Slide 8, organic revenue grew $156,000,000 with about 42% of that growth coming from higher margin AMS and DRS services. The U. S. Dollar strengthened significantly in the 3rd quarter, representing $131,000,000 revenue headwind year over year. Speaker 300:15:12Moving to the right side of the slide, you can see how the revenue converts to EBITDA. Q3 organic incremental margins were impacted by revenue mix, especially in Global Services, a $10,000,000 security loss and delayed productivity in North America from the deployment of the routing technology that Mark discussed previously. Excluding the security loss, organic growth represents an incremental margin of 29% in the period. Incremental margins on FX were almost 40% as the majority of the currency impact came in our higher margin Latin American countries. On Slide 9, we bridge operating profit to adjusted EBITDA. Speaker 300:15:53Starting on the left, interest expense was up $9,000,000 year over year to $63,000,000 The increase is related to higher interest rates, slightly higher debt balances and the one time impact of the early repayment of our 2025 bonds. Tax expenses were $28,000,000 in the quarter, with an effective tax rate of approximately 28% as we expected. The other category was $7,000,000 $12,000,000 lower than prior year, primarily from the lapping impact of marketable security gains in Argentina in 2023 that did not repeat. Income from continuing operations was 68,000,000 dollars and our diluted share count was down 2,300,000 shares or 5%. Our earnings per share in the period was $1.51 per share. Speaker 300:16:39To help with modeling a few of these components in the 4th quarter, we expect full year interest expense to be between $235,000,000 $240,000,000 We are forecasting a full year tax rate in line or slightly better than the 28% we posted in the Q3. Stock based compensation is expected to be roughly flat in dollars compared to 2023 and total corporate expenses are expected to be flat to prior year as a percentage of revenue. On Slide 10, you can see the components of our updated free cash flow outlook. Starting on the left, the $50,000,000 reduction in EBITDA reflects the flow through of approximately $100,000,000 in currency impact, mostly in high margin Latin American countries, in addition to a lower contribution from Global Services. The operational cash flow components of the business, primarily working capital and CapEx, are performing as expected. Speaker 300:17:30Cash taxes are trending $15,000,000 higher than expected, primarily due to the geographic mix of income between segments. We are also now expecting to see an approximately $35,000,000 impact as a result of currency devaluation. Like most multinational companies, we utilize centralized cash pooling activities to efficiently manage cash from around the world. These flows require foreign exchange forward contracts to limit volatility from foreign exchange movements on existing cash balances. In the Q3, we saw a material devaluation in the Mexican peso, which resulted in an approximately $20,000,000 cash settlement in the period, and these flows are reflected in operating cash. Speaker 300:18:12The second component is higher cash interest due to the compounding effect of less cash generation throughout the year, largely driven by foreign exchange headwinds. Overall, free cash flow is now expected to be about $100,000,000 lower than the prior outlook with more than half of the reduction coming from the sudden currency devaluation in the Mexican peso. Stepping back from the movements expected in the second half of the year, our free cash flow potential remains strong. While the quarter was not up to our expectations, the true operational components of these flows are resilient. We believe there are many opportunities for us to continue to improve the cash generation profile of the business as we expand margins to the growth of AMS and DRS, improve our capital efficiency and continue to make progress improving day sales outstanding through heightened management attention. Speaker 300:19:03Moving to Slide 11. We remain committed to our capital allocation framework and we continue to focus on maximizing long term shareholder value through cash allocation that will continue to compound free cash flow generation well beyond the volatility we might see quarter to quarter. First, we plan to continue to make organic investments in our operations to enable sustainable, profitable growth. Examples of this include investments in data center migration, cybersecurity upgrades and the North American routing system. These investments have long term benefits to the growth and margin trajectory of the business and will increase EBITDA and will generate more stable and consistent cash flow in the years to come. Speaker 300:19:452nd, our leverage remains stable below 3 times and we remain comfortable that the targeted range of 2 to 3 times is the appropriate level given the strong cash flow profile of our business. This year, the majority of our free cash flow has gone towards shareholder returns. Year to date, we have returned $157,000,000 in the form of share repurchases and dividends. We believe share repurchases continue to be an attractive investment given current valuations. With $375,000,000 of available capacity under our current authorization, we plan to remain active in the Q4. Speaker 300:20:19And finally, on the M and A side, we continue to explore accretive opportunities that have a strong strategic fit, attractive returns and align with our current leverage targets and broader capital allocation framework. Despite the near term FX impact to 2024 cash generation, we remain disciplined in our approach to capital allocation and are confident that our framework will maximize shareholder value over the long term. On Slide 12, you can see our updated 2024 guidance. We now expect total revenue growth to be approximately 3%, with over 20% AMS and DRS organic growth driving total organic growth into the double digits. The strong organic growth is expected to be offset by accelerating currency headwinds above our original expectations led by the Mexican peso. Speaker 300:21:08As a reminder, outside of Argentina, our FX guidance utilizes rates as of the end of the quarter, September 30, and does not attempt to predict future movement in currencies. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be between $900,000,000 $920,000,000 reflecting the flow through of currency and global services headwinds, partially offset by mix benefits from more AMS DRS revenue. As I walk through a few slides back, we now expect free cash flow between $320,000,000 $360,000,000 with a conversion from adjusted EBITDA of approximately 37% at the midpoint. I will now hand it back to Mark for some closing remarks and Q and A. Mark? Speaker 200:21:50Thanks, Kurt. As we close the challenging second half of the year, I can't help but reflect on the transformation progress we delivered and be encouraged about the future. We are committed to improving the foundation elements of our business to methodically progress the business towards our long term operating margin and free cash flow expectations. Despite the temporary impact of currency fluctuations and market softness in our Global Services business, we remain resolute in making the necessary investments to fully realize the addressable market expansion opportunities of AMS and DRS. So far in 2024, execution of our strategy has proven we have a right to win in AMS and DRS. Speaker 200:22:33Our customers have recognized the value proposition of our offerings and our Brink's team has executed operationally. As we begin to plan for 2025, nothing in the second half of twenty twenty four limits us from continuing the financial framework we set in 2021. We still expect mid single digit organic growth when excluding the impact from Argentina inflation, driven by continued strong AMS and DRS organic growth as we capitalize on the momentum from 2024 and realize the benefits of a growing opportunity and backlog. We still expect to generate 100 basis points of operating profit expansion and we continue to see many operational levers and free cash flow to continue to improve our cash conversion from EBITDA. I am confident we're building the right team and the right culture to capture the opportunity in front of us. Speaker 200:23:24Operator, please open the line for questions. Operator00:23:27Thank you. We will now begin our question and answer session. And the first question will be from Tobey Sommer from Truist Securities. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:23:57Hey, good morning guys. This is Jasper Bibb on for Tobey. Looks like the organic guide for this year is rise to low teens versus I think low to mid teens last quarter. Just on the organic side, could you outline the relative impact of softer global services demand versus what sounded like an increase in your AMS and DRS assumptions? Speaker 200:24:21Yes, sure. Good morning, Jasper. Yes, the Global Services business, yes, was a headwind in the quarter relative to our expectations. And I, again, want to make sure we count to the right way. Full year, we expect still expect some growth from the business and have seen that, albeit we saw probably the most impact in North America, where it actually had some declines in the quarter. Speaker 200:24:49The total organic though we expect to continue to be kind of low single digits for the year. This business for us is a really good business. It's a place where we have a lot of high market share, margins are good, but at the same time, the incremental profit flow through both on the upside and the downside are quite high. We have a high fixed cost in that market, a lot of vaults, hubs, people all over the world that really form that network. For us, with historic precious metals, highs and precious metals, particularly gold and silver, and we even saw some more today actually, this volatility or lack of volatility, let's say, in the last three quarters has not helped our business because when volatility occurs, we tend to move metals. Speaker 200:25:38When prices are really high, there tends to be less demand with no volatility. So for us, what we've seen today in the markets already hopefully provide some lift for Q4. But we're not expecting any large bounce back or large decline going into Q4 and the rest of the year. Speaker 400:26:01Okay. That makes sense. And then free cash conversion looks like it's going to be high 30s through the year. I think at the end of the prepared remarks you mentioned getting back to the long term framework. To clarify, do you think approaching I think the near 50% long term free cash conversion target could still be achievable in 2025? Speaker 400:26:21Or would that component potentially take a little bit more time? Speaker 300:26:25Yes. Hey, Jasper, it's Kurt. I'd say, we still think it's intact to eventually reach that, but we wouldn't put a timing on that. We continue to march towards that conversion. Speaker 500:26:40Okay. Yeah, that makes sense. Speaker 400:26:42Last question for me. You mentioned the FX headwinds. Obviously, we're looking at a pretty big move in the dollar this morning. Should we think about what we're seeing this morning as potentially incremental headwind versus 4Q, I guess, absolute revenue guidance if the FX move holds? Speaker 200:27:01Yes, we would. This is obviously an unprecedented move here this morning. But obviously, that's also tied to the election and we think likely investors in foreign currencies are repositioning portfolios. And so let's see where this where it lands. But I would say a good way to think about it is as we think about the rates that we have built into the guide, that was a couple weeks ago, right, when at the end of the quarter. Speaker 200:27:34So it's not gotten better since then. In fact, it's got a little worse, but let's see after these things settle out. Operator00:27:54The next question is from Tim Mulrooney from William Blair. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:28:01Yes, Kurt, Mark, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I just want to build off of the conversation you're having with Jasper there real quick on foreign currency. I think before end of Q2, you're expecting a $65,000,000 or so incremental headwind, correct me if I'm wrong, relative to your original guidance for the second half of the year. So can you help me understand just exactly, okay, what that incremental headwind was for the Q3 and now what you're expecting for the Q4? Speaker 200:28:35Sure. So in total, we're expecting $100,000,000 impact to the guide we had at the end of the quarter in the last quarter. That incremental into the back half of the year is basically broken out between sort of let's say 2 things, dollars 50,000,000 year to date through Q3 and another $50,000,000 in Q4. And that's the net numbers, Tim, based on kind of the ups and downs in the first half of the year. Speaker 500:29:08Yes, that's perfect. We were Speaker 200:29:09actually a little bit positive in the Q1. Now and again, as we think about this, it's largely the Mexican peso that we've seen and we saw in end of or in June with the election there when it moved sharply, which we talked about quite a bit last quarter. But again, today's volatility sort of is everywhere. And so I wouldn't we're not reading into that so much, more focused on, like I said, on what we know and kind of where we see the rest of the quarter based on that. Remember, Mexico is in it's in our Latin American segment, very profitable. Speaker 200:29:50So the flow through is pretty high, similar to what you'd see in the segment margins. I think the thing to remember particularly about Mexico is really still strong and Latin America frankly, but strong operational performance that we had in the quarter really year to date in those markets. So they're still good businesses. Just this macro backdrop has become a bit troublesome here in the second half relative to currency. Speaker 600:30:26Understood. And just last question on FX before we get to like the fundamental parts of your business. Kurt, just so that I understand what your guide is based off of. Is it still based off that traditional framework? I think you even said this in your prepared remarks. Speaker 600:30:44Basically, when you roll forward the foreign currency rates as of the end of Q3, so you're not prognosticating? Speaker 300:30:50Yes. That's right. That's right. So at the end of Q3, that's where we snapped the line on the rates. And the only one that we don't treat that way is Argentina. Speaker 300:31:01But everything else is based on that end of Q3 rates. Speaker 200:31:05And maybe, Ken, a way to think about that is what we have in the guide is probably the low end of the FX impact just given what we've seen today. Speaker 600:31:13That's where I was going with it. I mean you already know today or yesterday even before the election results, I mean you already know that the rates have appreciated since then. I just want to make sure you're doing September 30 of like 21.9. That's right. Okay. Speaker 600:31:31Okay. So we already know that there's a more of a headwind than the midpoint. Okay. That's right. Enough. Speaker 600:31:39Beat that to death. Thank you. Getting on to AMS and BRF. Organic growth, 26% in the quarter again, it was above what we were expecting. You guys consistently outperformed expectations all year here. Speaker 600:31:57I just kind of wanted to I guess I was level set on a mid teens or a high teens organic growth rate for these businesses as we entered the year. Is that still where we where the investment community should be anchored as we think about growth going forward? Or are you feeling really good about that 20% plus growth rate given the performance year to date and the white space opportunities you got ahead of you? Speaker 200:32:21Yes, great. Appreciate it, Kim. Yes, so we are surprised, as we mentioned, this kind of mid to high teens was what we thought it would be. It's better than that. Really started in Q2. Speaker 200:32:33We saw it again in Q3, which we had some nice wins and things we brought online. And it was just big things. It was a lot of Speaker 300:32:45little Speaker 200:32:45things that our teams globally are delivering. We talked about equipment sales being kind of an outsized impact in Q2. That wasn't the case in Q3. We had some, of course, but that wasn't what the driver was. It really was just continued penetration of white space and conversions. Speaker 200:33:06As we think about kind of the roll forward on 4 quarters, these are largely recurring revenue businesses. No reason to believe that 1 quarter of 25 to another of 26 wouldn't continue for 2 more quarters. We've got a good backlog certainly in Q3 of signings, feel good about what we see in Q4. So maybe the first half of the year, there's no reason we shouldn't think that shouldn't continue. And so we are more optimistic. Speaker 200:33:36I think the 2015 to 2018 is sort of was our long term or sort of medium term view in the next couple of years. We thought we had runway to do that. It's proving that we're maybe the value proposition is resonating with customers more. Our right to win and our ability to execute on those opportunities is also getting better. And frankly, we're, I think, starting to get better at collapsing our time to revenue from bookings and signings with customers as well. Speaker 600:34:08Well, all the FX conversation aside, that is incredibly exciting. And just one more for me. The equipment sales that you mentioned, would that impact that 26%? Does that drag it down to 25%, 24% or not impactful? Speaker 200:34:26No, not impactful. Yes, not impactful at all this quarter, in fact, on a year on year basis. Speaker 600:34:31Got it. Okay. Well, thank you for taking my questions and good luck in the Q4 here. Speaker 500:34:37Yes. Thanks, Tim. Speaker 300:34:39Thank you. Operator00:34:49And the next question is from George Tong from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:34:55Hi, thanks. Good morning. Good morning, George. Speaker 600:34:57In Europe and the Speaker 500:34:58Services business. Hi, George. Going back to your Global Services business, can you talk a little bit more about how new leadership there could improve performance above and beyond what external market conditions might imply and what the timing for when improved performance might look like? Speaker 200:35:17Sure. Yes. Thanks, George. Again, we've talked about this business largely depends on kind of a global macro world around precious metals and currency and banknotes. But I think the other thing to think about is it's not we're not helpless in improving our results, and we're not waiting for this to happen to us. Speaker 200:35:41I think the new leader, Nader, that just joined us, really, I think we'll have an opportunity to take a fresh look at the business, take a fresh look at the end markets, take a fresh look at how we attack those end markets and how we cover customers, how we expand services. And I think that this is always healthy in businesses with leadership changes. I also think as we think about strengthening our operating cadence around these services as well as the predictability around the future guidance and forecast, we think will help as well. Nader brings a pretty strong background from his past and really being able to set a strong agenda and really being able to create a high say do relative to forecast and outlook. So again, we're excited about that. Speaker 200:36:41I think the other is I mentioned it in my prepared remarks, Nader also comes from other global companies as well. That can really help continue 2 big things, really focus on improving our talent agenda and making sure that we're attracting the best people into the industry as well as strengthen our compliance culture. And this is something that we've talked about in the previously around making sure that we're doing business right and setting the right tone not only with our employees, but with our customers and the rest of the market. And I know he's committed to doing that and has done that in his prior life. Speaker 500:37:28Got it. That's helpful. And then separately, can you talk a little bit more about the $10,000,000 in security losses that you saw in the 3rd quarter? Speaker 200:37:39Sure. We had a theft, George, that is ongoing investigation. We can't really talk about the specifics, but it's a timing issue between Q3 and Q4, similar to what we saw publicly in Canada last year with the gold theft. This was not that, but it was actually in Latin America. This is part of our business, part of our risk management profile. Speaker 200:38:05And as we've talked about in the past, we've got to this sort of deductible, if you will, on our with our insurance coverage and our self funding. And so we wouldn't expect any more impact for the rest of the year. Speaker 500:38:19Got it. That's helpful. Thank you. Speaker 600:38:21Great. Operator00:38:23And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session. I would like to return the conference to Mark Eubanks for any closing remarks. Speaker 200:38:31Thank you all for joining us today. We appreciate all your support and we look forward to speaking with you soon in the Q4. Operator00:38:39Thank you, sir. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallBrink's Q3 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xRemove Ads Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) Brink's Earnings HeadlinesGamehost (TSE:GH) Hits New 52-Week Low - Here's What HappenedApril 8, 2025 | americanbankingnews.comInvestors in Gamehost (TSE:GH) have seen impressive returns of 206% over the past five yearsApril 2, 2025 | finance.yahoo.comWhat to do with your collapsing portfolio…There might be only one way to save your retirement in this volatile time. After watching investors lose $6 trillion in market cap in a matter of DAYS... And after seeing businesses bleeding dry as trade tensions spiral out of control... 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Email Address About Brink'sThe Brink's (NYSE:BCO) Co. engages in providing cash management services, digital retail solutions, and ATM managed services. It operates through the following geographical segments: North America, Latin America, Europe, and Rest of World. The North America segment operates in the U.S. and Canada. The Latin America segment refers to the operations in Latin American countries. The Europe segment relates to operations in European countries. The Rest of World segment focuses on the operations in the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company was founded by Perry Brink and Fidelia Brink on May 5, 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, VA.View Brink's ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Johnson & Johnson Earnings Were More Good Than Bad—Time to Buy? Why Analysts Boosted United Airlines Stock Ahead of EarningsLamb Weston Stock Rises, Earnings Provide Calm Amidst ChaosIntuitive Machines Gains After Earnings Beat, NASA Missions AheadCintas Delivers Earnings Beat, Signals More Growth AheadNike Stock Dips on Earnings: Analysts Weigh in on What’s NextAfter Massive Post Earnings Fall, Does Hope Remain for MongoDB? 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There are 7 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning. Welcome to The Brink's Company's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. This morning, Brink's issued a press release detailing its Q3 2024 results. The company also filed an 8 ks that includes the release and the slides that will be used in today's call. The release and slides are available in the Investor Relations section of the company's website at investors. Operator00:00:25Brinks.com. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded and will be available for replay. This call and the Q and A session will contain forward looking statements. Operator00:00:43Actual results could differ materially from projected or estimated results. Information regarding factors that could cause such differences are available in the footnotes of today's press release and in the company's most recent SEC filings. Information presented and discussed on this call is representative of today only. Brink's assumes no obligation to update any forward looking statements. The call is copyrighted and may not be used without written permission from Brink's. Operator00:01:13I will now turn it over to your host, Jesse Jenkins, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Jenkins, you may begin. Speaker 100:01:21Thanks and good morning. Joining me today are CEO, Mark Eubanks and CFO, Curt McMacken. This morning, Brink's reported Q3 2024 results on a GAAP, non GAAP and constant currency basis. Most of our comments today will be focused on our non GAAP results. These non GAAP financial measures are intended to provide investors with a supplemental comparison of our operating results and trends for the periods presented. Speaker 100:01:48Our management believes that these measures are also useful to investors as such measures allow investors to evaluate our performance using the same metrics that our management uses to evaluate past performance and prospects for future performance. Reconciliations of non GAAP results to their most comparable GAAP results are provided in the press release, the appendix of the presentation and in this morning's 8 ks filing, all of which can be found on our website. I will now turn the call over to Brink's CEO, Mark Eubanks. Speaker 200:02:21Thanks, Jesse, and good morning. Thanks for joining us. Starting on Slide 3, we delivered total organic growth of 13% in the quarter. ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions or AMS and DRS grew 26% organically, marking another quarter of growth ahead of our expectations. With double digit organic growth in AMS and DRS in every regional segment, with healthy backlogs and a good pipeline of future opportunities, we continue to build momentum in these important growth areas. Speaker 200:02:54Cash and valuables management, or CVM, was up 9% organically with pricing execution offsetting market softness in our Global Services business. The strengthening U. S. Dollar caused an 11% FX headwind in the period. The FX headwind was more than we originally expected, primarily due to the devaluation of the Mexican peso. Speaker 200:03:15Adjusted EBITDA of $217,000,000 was impacted by the timing of a $10,000,000 increase in security losses in the quarter. Adjusting for this item, EBITDA margins were 18% in the quarter, down 80 basis points for the same quarter last year. The margin declines included a headwind from dollar strengthening in our high margin Latin America businesses, revenue mix related to our Global Services business as well as the impact of a delay in productivity in North America as we deploy a new routing system. I'll add more details on North America performance in a few slides. Generated $135,000,000 in free cash flow with better asset efficiency and working capital improvements, primarily related to DSOs and AR Management being offset by the impact of lower EBITDA and the currency impact of our FX hedging portfolio. Speaker 200:04:09Kurt will have more on our free cash flow performance and outlook later in the call. We made 2 key additions to our executive team in the quarter. Josh Tetak is leading our Brink's business system efforts and I've tasked him with delivering cost productivity across the P and L as we continue to standardize and simplify operations worldwide. Josh's background at GE and Eaton and deep experience in lean and continuous improvement make him the ideal person to help us unlock additional opportunities as we continue to expand our EBITDA margins. We recently appointed Nadir Antar as the global leader of Brink's Global Services. Speaker 200:04:48Nadir joins us with global experience with companies like Honeywell, United Technologies and Otis Elevators. Nadir will be focused on identifying and capturing new growth opportunities across our total addressable market. They'll also focus on improving our operational cadence as well as strengthening our compliance culture and then finally developing our global talent agenda for our Brink's Global Services business. Despite the near term market headwinds caused by record high gold and silver prices, we have a leading market presence and are leveraging a large global footprint that makes us the logical choice for customers when these markets return to form. Operationally, we continue to advance our AMS and DRS businesses. Speaker 200:05:33We are increasing our organic growth expectations for the remainder of the year to more than 20%, and we now expect AMS DRS revenues to exceed the high end of our original mix expectations of 23%. Our customers appreciate the value proposition of these services and our teams continue to embrace the power of shifting our business to these higher margin faster growing businesses. With a robust backlog of devices to install in the Q4, we have increasing confidence in our revenue trajectory for the balance of the year. And with a full pipeline, we're off to a strong start towards achieving our 2025 targets of mid to high teens organic revenue growth. We also continue to execute on our capital allocation framework, maintaining our leverage target below 3x and returning capital to shareholders by purchasing $125,000,000 in shares year to date through the Q3. Speaker 200:06:29In total, we've reduced our share count by 5% year over year and continue to target more than $200,000,000 of repurchases in 2024 as we work through the remaining $375,000,000 worth of authorization that runs through 2025. At the bottom of the page, you can see our updated full year 2024 guidance. Revenue over $5,000,000,000 reflects the impact of approximately $100,000,000 in currency headwinds, primarily from the Mexican peso and to a lesser extent some market softness in our Global Services business. Adjusted EBITDA of $910,000,000 at the midpoint reflects the mix impact of lower revenue and high margin geographies and lines of business. Free cash flow reflects the EBITDA change as well as higher cash taxes from geographic mix of income and the impact of currency fluctuation in the quarter. Speaker 200:07:23While our quarter and the balance of the year fell short of our initial expectations, we continue to make good progress executing against our strategy and transforming our operations. We are seeing strong demand in our higher growth tech enabled solutions and we believe we're turning the corner on our routing processes that will help us further operationalize the margin benefits of AMS and DRS and we have clear line of sight to the productivity actions and growth initiatives into 2025. I'm confident we're making the right investments in the business to improve predictability in our results and remain very encouraged by the opportunity still in front of us. Turning to Slide 4. I'll move quickly through the headline results of Q3 as Kurt will discuss these in detail in a few slides. Speaker 200:08:09Organic growth of 13% was partially offset by an 11% impact from translational FX. Adjusted EBITDA declined $4,000,000 year over year when adjusted for the previous mentioned loss EBIT in the quarter. Earnings per share was down $0.40 year over year due to higher interest expense and the lapping of a prior year marketable security gain. Trailing 12 month free cash flow was $262,000,000 with conversion from trailing 12 month EBITDA of 29%. Turning to Slide 5, you'll recognize an update to a slide we shared last quarter. Speaker 200:08:47On the left, you can see we continue to make meaningful progress, expanding margins in North America, up 120 basis points from the end of the year and delivering EBITDA growth at a 15% CAGR since 2018. In the quarter, we accelerated technology and systems investments that we expect to enable better planning and routing processes across our network as well as migration of our legacy on premise data center to the cloud for improved security and global scalability. We've also moved local logistics plan activities into a centralized control tower equipped with industry leading smart algorithms to better optimize our routes. With the accelerating growth in our AMS and DRS business, it's vital that we have a best in class system and process to fully realize the benefits of the additional capacity from the reduction of stops that the operating model delivers. During the rollout of the system, we experienced system integration issues that caused us to slow the planned deployment to better ensure operational stability and performance. Speaker 200:09:52We have planned this initial investment to be offset by approximately $8,000,000 to $10,000,000 in labor and fleet productivity that we did not realize in the quarter. We are being very deliberate in our continued deployment as we work through these issues during the quarter in several pilot markets in large U. S. Metropolitan cities. While the results are early, we are seeing meaningful improvements in key metrics like service quality and stops per worked hour that we believe will ultimately translate into labor and fleet productivity across the entire network. Speaker 200:10:22We now expect these productivity benefits to ramp over the next few quarters and hit full maturity in the first half of twenty twenty five. Turning to Slide 6, I'll provide some detail on revenue by customer offering. In cash and valuables management, we saw organic growth of 9% in our core cash management business. Volumes remained stable in most geographies despite the uncertain retail environment and geopolitical backdrop, particularly here in the U. S. Speaker 200:10:47As well as other countries around the world. This growth was also supported by strong price realization, but was partially offset by BGS market softness with the movement of precious metals and commodities. The Global Services softness had a negative revenue and profit impact against our expectations in every segment, including the Americas. With gold and silver prices consistently rising throughout the year with limited volatility, the demand for movement and storage of precious metals from mining operations to refineries and financial institutions slowed. Supported by a new dedicated leader in global services, we plan to expand into new growth avenues that further leverage our existing infrastructure. Speaker 200:11:28The DRS business continues to exceed our expectations. Favorable demand patterns are driving double digit growth in all segments as we continue to penetrate a large unvended market and convert our existing legacy cash in transit customers to more tech enabled solutions. Customers are reacting favorably to the value proposition of these services as they look for ways to maximize working capital, reduce bank fees and simplify the day to day operations for employees during a changing retail backdrop, especially here in the U. S. We've built a backlog that supports our Q4 forecast and we continue to expand our pipeline of potential DRS customers into next year. Speaker 200:12:08We've had several key wins that we closed here in the quarter, including a large U. S. Nationwide auto parts dealer, a national pharmacy chain in a Latin American country and a hypermarket chain in Asia Pacific. AMS delivered the 3rd consecutive quarter of accelerating organic growth as we continue to educate financial institutions on the benefits of outsourcing as well as place new ATMs into retail operations. With several new customers set to onboard in early 2025, we have significant momentum. Speaker 200:12:39We have many new early stage opportunities that we're just beginning to explore and an increasing number of opportunities that have already moved into the pilot phase. Our global pipeline is vast and maturing in quality and we have we're very excited about several key wins in the period. Beyond the previously announced Sainsbury's partnership, which I'll touch on in a moment, we signed an outsourcing agreement with a major grocery store chain in Europe as well as several ATM outsourcing service agreements with both the retailers and financial institutions here in the U. S. Turning to Slide 7. Speaker 200:13:15I'd like to take a second to highlight a key AMS win from the 3rd quarter. On September 25, we announced an agreement to provide full ATM managed services for Sainsbury's, one of the largest grocery and convenience store chains in the UK. As part of the agreement, Sainsbury's ATMs will fully transition to our network and we will provide all services associated with the ATM ownership. We differentiated ourselves during this competitive process by our ability to be a single provider across the entire value stream, everything from cash in transit, 1st and second line maintenance to cash forecasting and transaction processing. The addition of Sainsbury's will increase our network of ATMs by about 15% in the UK, providing increased route density, increased processing volume and increased scale while leveraging back office and network infrastructure at higher incremental margins. Speaker 200:14:08We're excited about the relationship with a great partner and are working diligently on the transition plan, which we expect to be completed through the first half of next year. Overall, I'm pleased with the progress in both AMS and DRS so far this year. We continue to build momentum and strengthen our operating cadence. We're improving our go to market tactics through solution based selling and aligning our incentives to drive the right behaviors locally. We've increased our performance expectations this year and into 2025, and I look forward to a continued shift of our business over the next several years. Speaker 200:14:41And with that, turn it over to Kurt to discuss the financials, free cash flow, capital allocation and our updated guidance. I'll return with some closing thoughts before we open the lines for Q and A. Kurt? Speaker 300:14:53Thanks, Mark. Starting on Slide 8, organic revenue grew $156,000,000 with about 42% of that growth coming from higher margin AMS and DRS services. The U. S. Dollar strengthened significantly in the 3rd quarter, representing $131,000,000 revenue headwind year over year. Speaker 300:15:12Moving to the right side of the slide, you can see how the revenue converts to EBITDA. Q3 organic incremental margins were impacted by revenue mix, especially in Global Services, a $10,000,000 security loss and delayed productivity in North America from the deployment of the routing technology that Mark discussed previously. Excluding the security loss, organic growth represents an incremental margin of 29% in the period. Incremental margins on FX were almost 40% as the majority of the currency impact came in our higher margin Latin American countries. On Slide 9, we bridge operating profit to adjusted EBITDA. Speaker 300:15:53Starting on the left, interest expense was up $9,000,000 year over year to $63,000,000 The increase is related to higher interest rates, slightly higher debt balances and the one time impact of the early repayment of our 2025 bonds. Tax expenses were $28,000,000 in the quarter, with an effective tax rate of approximately 28% as we expected. The other category was $7,000,000 $12,000,000 lower than prior year, primarily from the lapping impact of marketable security gains in Argentina in 2023 that did not repeat. Income from continuing operations was 68,000,000 dollars and our diluted share count was down 2,300,000 shares or 5%. Our earnings per share in the period was $1.51 per share. Speaker 300:16:39To help with modeling a few of these components in the 4th quarter, we expect full year interest expense to be between $235,000,000 $240,000,000 We are forecasting a full year tax rate in line or slightly better than the 28% we posted in the Q3. Stock based compensation is expected to be roughly flat in dollars compared to 2023 and total corporate expenses are expected to be flat to prior year as a percentage of revenue. On Slide 10, you can see the components of our updated free cash flow outlook. Starting on the left, the $50,000,000 reduction in EBITDA reflects the flow through of approximately $100,000,000 in currency impact, mostly in high margin Latin American countries, in addition to a lower contribution from Global Services. The operational cash flow components of the business, primarily working capital and CapEx, are performing as expected. Speaker 300:17:30Cash taxes are trending $15,000,000 higher than expected, primarily due to the geographic mix of income between segments. We are also now expecting to see an approximately $35,000,000 impact as a result of currency devaluation. Like most multinational companies, we utilize centralized cash pooling activities to efficiently manage cash from around the world. These flows require foreign exchange forward contracts to limit volatility from foreign exchange movements on existing cash balances. In the Q3, we saw a material devaluation in the Mexican peso, which resulted in an approximately $20,000,000 cash settlement in the period, and these flows are reflected in operating cash. Speaker 300:18:12The second component is higher cash interest due to the compounding effect of less cash generation throughout the year, largely driven by foreign exchange headwinds. Overall, free cash flow is now expected to be about $100,000,000 lower than the prior outlook with more than half of the reduction coming from the sudden currency devaluation in the Mexican peso. Stepping back from the movements expected in the second half of the year, our free cash flow potential remains strong. While the quarter was not up to our expectations, the true operational components of these flows are resilient. We believe there are many opportunities for us to continue to improve the cash generation profile of the business as we expand margins to the growth of AMS and DRS, improve our capital efficiency and continue to make progress improving day sales outstanding through heightened management attention. Speaker 300:19:03Moving to Slide 11. We remain committed to our capital allocation framework and we continue to focus on maximizing long term shareholder value through cash allocation that will continue to compound free cash flow generation well beyond the volatility we might see quarter to quarter. First, we plan to continue to make organic investments in our operations to enable sustainable, profitable growth. Examples of this include investments in data center migration, cybersecurity upgrades and the North American routing system. These investments have long term benefits to the growth and margin trajectory of the business and will increase EBITDA and will generate more stable and consistent cash flow in the years to come. Speaker 300:19:452nd, our leverage remains stable below 3 times and we remain comfortable that the targeted range of 2 to 3 times is the appropriate level given the strong cash flow profile of our business. This year, the majority of our free cash flow has gone towards shareholder returns. Year to date, we have returned $157,000,000 in the form of share repurchases and dividends. We believe share repurchases continue to be an attractive investment given current valuations. With $375,000,000 of available capacity under our current authorization, we plan to remain active in the Q4. Speaker 300:20:19And finally, on the M and A side, we continue to explore accretive opportunities that have a strong strategic fit, attractive returns and align with our current leverage targets and broader capital allocation framework. Despite the near term FX impact to 2024 cash generation, we remain disciplined in our approach to capital allocation and are confident that our framework will maximize shareholder value over the long term. On Slide 12, you can see our updated 2024 guidance. We now expect total revenue growth to be approximately 3%, with over 20% AMS and DRS organic growth driving total organic growth into the double digits. The strong organic growth is expected to be offset by accelerating currency headwinds above our original expectations led by the Mexican peso. Speaker 300:21:08As a reminder, outside of Argentina, our FX guidance utilizes rates as of the end of the quarter, September 30, and does not attempt to predict future movement in currencies. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be between $900,000,000 $920,000,000 reflecting the flow through of currency and global services headwinds, partially offset by mix benefits from more AMS DRS revenue. As I walk through a few slides back, we now expect free cash flow between $320,000,000 $360,000,000 with a conversion from adjusted EBITDA of approximately 37% at the midpoint. I will now hand it back to Mark for some closing remarks and Q and A. Mark? Speaker 200:21:50Thanks, Kurt. As we close the challenging second half of the year, I can't help but reflect on the transformation progress we delivered and be encouraged about the future. We are committed to improving the foundation elements of our business to methodically progress the business towards our long term operating margin and free cash flow expectations. Despite the temporary impact of currency fluctuations and market softness in our Global Services business, we remain resolute in making the necessary investments to fully realize the addressable market expansion opportunities of AMS and DRS. So far in 2024, execution of our strategy has proven we have a right to win in AMS and DRS. Speaker 200:22:33Our customers have recognized the value proposition of our offerings and our Brink's team has executed operationally. As we begin to plan for 2025, nothing in the second half of twenty twenty four limits us from continuing the financial framework we set in 2021. We still expect mid single digit organic growth when excluding the impact from Argentina inflation, driven by continued strong AMS and DRS organic growth as we capitalize on the momentum from 2024 and realize the benefits of a growing opportunity and backlog. We still expect to generate 100 basis points of operating profit expansion and we continue to see many operational levers and free cash flow to continue to improve our cash conversion from EBITDA. I am confident we're building the right team and the right culture to capture the opportunity in front of us. Speaker 200:23:24Operator, please open the line for questions. Operator00:23:27Thank you. We will now begin our question and answer session. And the first question will be from Tobey Sommer from Truist Securities. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:23:57Hey, good morning guys. This is Jasper Bibb on for Tobey. Looks like the organic guide for this year is rise to low teens versus I think low to mid teens last quarter. Just on the organic side, could you outline the relative impact of softer global services demand versus what sounded like an increase in your AMS and DRS assumptions? Speaker 200:24:21Yes, sure. Good morning, Jasper. Yes, the Global Services business, yes, was a headwind in the quarter relative to our expectations. And I, again, want to make sure we count to the right way. Full year, we expect still expect some growth from the business and have seen that, albeit we saw probably the most impact in North America, where it actually had some declines in the quarter. Speaker 200:24:49The total organic though we expect to continue to be kind of low single digits for the year. This business for us is a really good business. It's a place where we have a lot of high market share, margins are good, but at the same time, the incremental profit flow through both on the upside and the downside are quite high. We have a high fixed cost in that market, a lot of vaults, hubs, people all over the world that really form that network. For us, with historic precious metals, highs and precious metals, particularly gold and silver, and we even saw some more today actually, this volatility or lack of volatility, let's say, in the last three quarters has not helped our business because when volatility occurs, we tend to move metals. Speaker 200:25:38When prices are really high, there tends to be less demand with no volatility. So for us, what we've seen today in the markets already hopefully provide some lift for Q4. But we're not expecting any large bounce back or large decline going into Q4 and the rest of the year. Speaker 400:26:01Okay. That makes sense. And then free cash conversion looks like it's going to be high 30s through the year. I think at the end of the prepared remarks you mentioned getting back to the long term framework. To clarify, do you think approaching I think the near 50% long term free cash conversion target could still be achievable in 2025? Speaker 400:26:21Or would that component potentially take a little bit more time? Speaker 300:26:25Yes. Hey, Jasper, it's Kurt. I'd say, we still think it's intact to eventually reach that, but we wouldn't put a timing on that. We continue to march towards that conversion. Speaker 500:26:40Okay. Yeah, that makes sense. Speaker 400:26:42Last question for me. You mentioned the FX headwinds. Obviously, we're looking at a pretty big move in the dollar this morning. Should we think about what we're seeing this morning as potentially incremental headwind versus 4Q, I guess, absolute revenue guidance if the FX move holds? Speaker 200:27:01Yes, we would. This is obviously an unprecedented move here this morning. But obviously, that's also tied to the election and we think likely investors in foreign currencies are repositioning portfolios. And so let's see where this where it lands. But I would say a good way to think about it is as we think about the rates that we have built into the guide, that was a couple weeks ago, right, when at the end of the quarter. Speaker 200:27:34So it's not gotten better since then. In fact, it's got a little worse, but let's see after these things settle out. Operator00:27:54The next question is from Tim Mulrooney from William Blair. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:28:01Yes, Kurt, Mark, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I just want to build off of the conversation you're having with Jasper there real quick on foreign currency. I think before end of Q2, you're expecting a $65,000,000 or so incremental headwind, correct me if I'm wrong, relative to your original guidance for the second half of the year. So can you help me understand just exactly, okay, what that incremental headwind was for the Q3 and now what you're expecting for the Q4? Speaker 200:28:35Sure. So in total, we're expecting $100,000,000 impact to the guide we had at the end of the quarter in the last quarter. That incremental into the back half of the year is basically broken out between sort of let's say 2 things, dollars 50,000,000 year to date through Q3 and another $50,000,000 in Q4. And that's the net numbers, Tim, based on kind of the ups and downs in the first half of the year. Speaker 500:29:08Yes, that's perfect. We were Speaker 200:29:09actually a little bit positive in the Q1. Now and again, as we think about this, it's largely the Mexican peso that we've seen and we saw in end of or in June with the election there when it moved sharply, which we talked about quite a bit last quarter. But again, today's volatility sort of is everywhere. And so I wouldn't we're not reading into that so much, more focused on, like I said, on what we know and kind of where we see the rest of the quarter based on that. Remember, Mexico is in it's in our Latin American segment, very profitable. Speaker 200:29:50So the flow through is pretty high, similar to what you'd see in the segment margins. I think the thing to remember particularly about Mexico is really still strong and Latin America frankly, but strong operational performance that we had in the quarter really year to date in those markets. So they're still good businesses. Just this macro backdrop has become a bit troublesome here in the second half relative to currency. Speaker 600:30:26Understood. And just last question on FX before we get to like the fundamental parts of your business. Kurt, just so that I understand what your guide is based off of. Is it still based off that traditional framework? I think you even said this in your prepared remarks. Speaker 600:30:44Basically, when you roll forward the foreign currency rates as of the end of Q3, so you're not prognosticating? Speaker 300:30:50Yes. That's right. That's right. So at the end of Q3, that's where we snapped the line on the rates. And the only one that we don't treat that way is Argentina. Speaker 300:31:01But everything else is based on that end of Q3 rates. Speaker 200:31:05And maybe, Ken, a way to think about that is what we have in the guide is probably the low end of the FX impact just given what we've seen today. Speaker 600:31:13That's where I was going with it. I mean you already know today or yesterday even before the election results, I mean you already know that the rates have appreciated since then. I just want to make sure you're doing September 30 of like 21.9. That's right. Okay. Speaker 600:31:31Okay. So we already know that there's a more of a headwind than the midpoint. Okay. That's right. Enough. Speaker 600:31:39Beat that to death. Thank you. Getting on to AMS and BRF. Organic growth, 26% in the quarter again, it was above what we were expecting. You guys consistently outperformed expectations all year here. Speaker 600:31:57I just kind of wanted to I guess I was level set on a mid teens or a high teens organic growth rate for these businesses as we entered the year. Is that still where we where the investment community should be anchored as we think about growth going forward? Or are you feeling really good about that 20% plus growth rate given the performance year to date and the white space opportunities you got ahead of you? Speaker 200:32:21Yes, great. Appreciate it, Kim. Yes, so we are surprised, as we mentioned, this kind of mid to high teens was what we thought it would be. It's better than that. Really started in Q2. Speaker 200:32:33We saw it again in Q3, which we had some nice wins and things we brought online. And it was just big things. It was a lot of Speaker 300:32:45little Speaker 200:32:45things that our teams globally are delivering. We talked about equipment sales being kind of an outsized impact in Q2. That wasn't the case in Q3. We had some, of course, but that wasn't what the driver was. It really was just continued penetration of white space and conversions. Speaker 200:33:06As we think about kind of the roll forward on 4 quarters, these are largely recurring revenue businesses. No reason to believe that 1 quarter of 25 to another of 26 wouldn't continue for 2 more quarters. We've got a good backlog certainly in Q3 of signings, feel good about what we see in Q4. So maybe the first half of the year, there's no reason we shouldn't think that shouldn't continue. And so we are more optimistic. Speaker 200:33:36I think the 2015 to 2018 is sort of was our long term or sort of medium term view in the next couple of years. We thought we had runway to do that. It's proving that we're maybe the value proposition is resonating with customers more. Our right to win and our ability to execute on those opportunities is also getting better. And frankly, we're, I think, starting to get better at collapsing our time to revenue from bookings and signings with customers as well. Speaker 600:34:08Well, all the FX conversation aside, that is incredibly exciting. And just one more for me. The equipment sales that you mentioned, would that impact that 26%? Does that drag it down to 25%, 24% or not impactful? Speaker 200:34:26No, not impactful. Yes, not impactful at all this quarter, in fact, on a year on year basis. Speaker 600:34:31Got it. Okay. Well, thank you for taking my questions and good luck in the Q4 here. Speaker 500:34:37Yes. Thanks, Tim. Speaker 300:34:39Thank you. Operator00:34:49And the next question is from George Tong from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:34:55Hi, thanks. Good morning. Good morning, George. Speaker 600:34:57In Europe and the Speaker 500:34:58Services business. Hi, George. Going back to your Global Services business, can you talk a little bit more about how new leadership there could improve performance above and beyond what external market conditions might imply and what the timing for when improved performance might look like? Speaker 200:35:17Sure. Yes. Thanks, George. Again, we've talked about this business largely depends on kind of a global macro world around precious metals and currency and banknotes. But I think the other thing to think about is it's not we're not helpless in improving our results, and we're not waiting for this to happen to us. Speaker 200:35:41I think the new leader, Nader, that just joined us, really, I think we'll have an opportunity to take a fresh look at the business, take a fresh look at the end markets, take a fresh look at how we attack those end markets and how we cover customers, how we expand services. And I think that this is always healthy in businesses with leadership changes. I also think as we think about strengthening our operating cadence around these services as well as the predictability around the future guidance and forecast, we think will help as well. Nader brings a pretty strong background from his past and really being able to set a strong agenda and really being able to create a high say do relative to forecast and outlook. So again, we're excited about that. Speaker 200:36:41I think the other is I mentioned it in my prepared remarks, Nader also comes from other global companies as well. That can really help continue 2 big things, really focus on improving our talent agenda and making sure that we're attracting the best people into the industry as well as strengthen our compliance culture. And this is something that we've talked about in the previously around making sure that we're doing business right and setting the right tone not only with our employees, but with our customers and the rest of the market. And I know he's committed to doing that and has done that in his prior life. Speaker 500:37:28Got it. That's helpful. And then separately, can you talk a little bit more about the $10,000,000 in security losses that you saw in the 3rd quarter? Speaker 200:37:39Sure. We had a theft, George, that is ongoing investigation. We can't really talk about the specifics, but it's a timing issue between Q3 and Q4, similar to what we saw publicly in Canada last year with the gold theft. This was not that, but it was actually in Latin America. This is part of our business, part of our risk management profile. Speaker 200:38:05And as we've talked about in the past, we've got to this sort of deductible, if you will, on our with our insurance coverage and our self funding. And so we wouldn't expect any more impact for the rest of the year. Speaker 500:38:19Got it. That's helpful. Thank you. Speaker 600:38:21Great. Operator00:38:23And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question and answer session. I would like to return the conference to Mark Eubanks for any closing remarks. Speaker 200:38:31Thank you all for joining us today. We appreciate all your support and we look forward to speaking with you soon in the Q4. Operator00:38:39Thank you, sir. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by