Nature's Sunshine Products Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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November 7, 2024

There are 6 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in today's conference call to discuss Nature's Sunshine's Financial Results for the Q3 Ended September 30, 2024. Joining us today are Nature's Sunshine's CEO, Terrence Moorehead CFO, Shane Jones and General Counsel, Nate Brower. Following their remarks, we'll open the call for analyst questions. Before we go further, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Brower as he reads the company's Safe Harbor statement within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that provides important cautions regarding forward looking statements.

Operator

Nate, please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Good afternoon and thanks for joining our conference call to discuss our Q3 2024 financial results. I'd like to remind everyone that this call is available for replay via telephonic dial in through November 21 and via a live webcast that will be posted in the Investor Relations portion of our website at ir.naturesunshine.com. The information on this call contains forward looking statements. These statements are often characterized by terminologies such as believe, hope, may, anticipate, expect, will and other similar expressions.

Speaker 1

Forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and the actual results may be materially different from the results implied by forward looking statements. Factors that could cause results to differ materially from those implied therein include, but are not limited to, those factors disclosed in the company's annual report on Form 10 ks under the caption Risk Factors and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The information on this call speaks only as of today's date and the company disclaims any duty to update the information provided herein. Now I would like to turn the call over to the CEO of Nature's Sunshine, Terrence Moorhead. Terrence?

Speaker 2

Thank you, Nate, and good afternoon, everyone. I want to thank you for joining today's call to discuss our Q3 results. During the Q3, we continued to make good progress executing our global growth strategies and the investments that we've made to expand our digital capabilities, improve our consumer proposition, strengthen our brand presence and drive out cost, all combined to help drive performance in the Q3. While each of the initiatives is at a different stage of execution, we're excited about the actions we've taken to advance our strategic agenda and remain confident that our omnichannel approach will allow us to attract and retain more customers, drive profitable growth and build shareholder value. Our plans are clearly benefiting the business as the 3rd quarter delivered the highest sales volume this year with $114,600,000 of sales, up 4% versus prior year on a local currency basis.

Speaker 2

The strong Q3 results were driven by a positive consumer response to our global growth strategies and the actions we've taken to amplify those strategies in the Q2. As you may remember, in the Q2, we upgraded our digital platform in North America, made the strategic move to rebalance our portfolio in key markets in Asia Pacific and implemented incremental cost savings initiatives to improve productivity. With respect to our first strategic action, we were excited to upgrade North America's digital platform with new technology and improved mobile first capabilities. The changes helped improve site load speeds, conversion rates and stability, while creating a pathway for continued improvements in the future. We believe these improvements will continue to support meaningful growth.

Speaker 2

And in the Q3, digital sales grew 17% in North America as we continued to see a positive consumer response to the brand. Moving forward, we'll continue to invest in our digital capabilities by improving and expanding the tools that are available to our nutritional health practitioners and specialty retailers. Over time, we believe the changes will help improve the performance of distributors looking for a stronger, more modern platform, which is an exciting opportunity. Overall, North America sales were down about 3%, which is a slight improvement on a consecutive basis versus the 2nd quarter. Longer term, we expect to see positive momentum from the North American business as our omni channel approach continues to build momentum and as we invest in more powerful tools for our nutritional health practitioners and specialty retailers.

Speaker 2

Regarding our second strategic action, we placed greater emphasis on introducing more consumer friendly products packs in markets like South Korea, Taiwan and Japan. We also invested in field activation to support these programs and generate incremental field activity. The strategy paid strong dividends in the 3rd quarter as customer and order growth surged, leading to significant sales increases in Korea, Taiwan and Japan of 3%, 20% and 34%, respectively. China is a different story. Our research suggests that consumers continue to have favorable attitudes towards supplements, but the sharp downturn in the macroeconomic environment has negatively affected their willingness to spend, leading to more cautious purchase behavior.

Speaker 2

As a result, China's 3rd quarter sales decreased 23% versus prior year in local currency. We continue to believe that digital live streaming is a powerful tool with significant upside potential and our long term goal is to expand our digital live streaming platform to allow us to attract and retain more new customers by: 1st, strengthening our product line to offer more consumer friendly solutions second, upgrading our branding and packaging to align with consumer preferences and 3rd, introducing a localized version of our successful subscribe and thrive auto ship program to encourage and reward repeat purchases. Overall, we're pleased with the consumers' response to our growth strategies as 3rd quarter sales in Asia Pacific increased 9% versus prior year on a local currency basis. Our plans to improve performance by building a more attractive consumer friendly proposition appear to be working, and we believe our results are illustrative of the long term potential these markets represent. Our 3rd strategic action focused on delivering $5,000,000 of annualized cost savings that allowed us to continue to fund strategic investments, while contributing to improved profitability.

Speaker 2

For the quarter, adjusted EBITDA was strong, coming in at $10,700,000 which was a 5% increase versus prior year. In closing, we're very pleased with the quarter and with the direction we're taking, and we continue to be excited about the long term potential of our omnichannel business. Once again, we believe the recent changes we've made will lead to a better shopping experience while giving our distributors a more powerful set of tools to build their businesses. Ultimately, that will allow us to attract and retain more customers, drive order growth and build sustainable profitable growth to create shareholder value. And with that, I want to turn the call over to our Chief Financial Officer, Shane Jones.

Speaker 2

Shane?

Speaker 3

Thank you, Terrence. Moving to our Q3 results. Net sales in the 3rd quarter were $114,600,000 compared to $111,200,000 in the year ago quarter, a 3% increase versus the prior year or a 4% increase excluding the impact from foreign exchange rates. As Terence discussed, this was driven by strong performance in Taiwan and Japan and outperformance in Central Europe, partially offset by continued weakness in China. Now diving into more detail on our regional performance.

Speaker 3

I'll start with APAC. In Asia Pacific, we reported growth of 6% to $55,300,000 or up 9% when excluding the impact of foreign exchange. This was largely driven by a resurgence of growth in Japan and Taiwan, which were up on a constant currency basis by 34% and 20%, respectively. This was led by a powerful customer response to our field activation initiatives and a surge in new customers. We're very pleased with the momentum driven by our growth strategies and resulting acceleration in these important markets.

Speaker 3

While we expect meaningful growth in these markets in Q4 and into 2025, we do not expect growth at the levels achieved this quarter. In South Korea, we are gaining confidence in this market's turnaround. Both new customers and average order value improved year over year, resulting in 3% constant currency growth in the quarter. We're encouraged by the progress made in Korea this year and expect continued measured improvement. Offsetting an otherwise strong quarter in APAC was the continued macroeconomic weakness in China, where Q3 revenue declined 23% in constant currency.

Speaker 3

While we are working hard to refine our value proposition and reenergize customer demand in this market, the sharp downturn in the macroeconomic environment for the Chinese consumer continues to negatively impact consumer spending. The resulting sales declines in China are likely to moderate going forward, but it will take some time to get back on a growth trajectory. Our European business continues to operate well in a challenging environment. Q3 sales increased 5% or 3% in local currency. Central Europe continued to perform exceptionally well, growing sales by 23% or 17% in local currency, largely driven by a positive response to our recently launched PowerLine products as well as continued new market expansion in the Baltic region.

Speaker 3

Our teams also continue to do a remarkable job keeping our Eastern European market stable given the protracted war in Ukraine. Looking at our North America business. Our 3rd quarter net sales were down 3%. As discussed on our last earnings call, we upgraded our digital platform in North America to strengthen our digital capabilities and improve mobile first performance. This is an exciting transformation that will enhance the customer experience, improve site performance and benefit both distributors and consumers.

Speaker 3

While the transition has resulted in a short term dip in customer acquisition and efficiency of media spend, we are very encouraged by improvement across our key customer metrics and resulting robust growth in our digital business. In Q3, our North America digital business grew 17%, bolstered by improvement in both conversion and retention. Gross margin in the 3rd quarter decreased 172 basis points to 71.3 percent compared to 73.1 percent a year ago. The decrease was primarily driven by higher inflation and unfavorable foreign currency exchange, which in Q3 continued to mask the favorable results of our savings initiatives. We expect sequential improvement in gross margin for Q4 with the full results of our savings initiatives becoming more apparent in our consolidated financial results in 2025.

Speaker 3

Volume incentives as a percentage of net sales were 31.0% compared to 30.7% in the year ago quarter. The increase was primarily driven due to changes in market mix. Selling, general Selling, general and administrative expenses during the Q3 were $41,000,000 compared to $41,300,000 in the year ago quarter. As a percentage of net sales, SG and A expenses were 35.7% in the Q3 compared to 37.1 percent last year. We are seeing the benefit of the $5,000,000 of cost out actions taken in Q2 and continue to look for additional opportunities to increase efficiency and reduce waste.

Speaker 3

We also note that Q3 had roughly $1,000,000 of one time expenses that distort our true run rate. Operating income decreased to $5,300,000 or 4.6 percent of net sales compared to $5,800,000 or 5.2 percent of net sales in the year ago quarter. GAAP net income attributable to common shareholders for the Q3 was $4,300,000 or $0.23 per diluted common share compared to $2,800,000 or 0 point 14 dollars per diluted share in the year ago quarter. Adjusted EBITDA, as defined in our earnings release, increased 5% to $10,700,000 compared to $10,300,000 in the year ago quarter. Our balance sheet remains clean with cash and cash equivalents of $78,700,000 and 0 debt.

Speaker 3

Inventory was $62,300,000 at the end of the 3rd quarter, which is $4,600,000 less than we ended 2023. Net cash provided by operating activities was $13,100,000 compared to $31,600,000 in the prior year period. The decline in operating cash flows versus prior year was driven by the timing of payments for accrued liabilities and receivables, offset by reductions in inventory. We repurchased approximately $8,400,000 worth of stock year to date with $9,200,000 remaining on our $30,000,000 share repurchase program. Looking beyond share repurchases, our healthy capital allocation structure positions us very well to continue our digital transformation and other strategic initiatives.

Speaker 3

Now turning to our 2024 outlook. Given our Q3 sales performance and expectations for the remainder of the year, we are raising our prior range and now expect full year 2024 net sales to range between $443,000,000 $448,000,000 from the $436,000,000 to $445,000,000 communicated last quarter. For adjusted EBITDA, we are also increasing the low end of our range to be $40,000,000 to $42,000,000 versus the previous range of $39,000,000 to $42,000,000 In summary, we are pleased with our 3rd quarter results and remain encouraged by the opportunity in front of us. We are seeing meaningful progress on our initiatives and acceleration in several key areas of the business. In addition, we have taken steps to improve efficiency, reduce cost and position ourselves to accelerate profitability as the business continues to grow.

Speaker 3

We are confident that these measures will lead to significant shareholder value in 2025 and beyond. Now I will turn the time back to the operator.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. And our first question will come from the line of Susan Anderson from Canaccord Genuity. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Hi, good evening. Nice job on the quarter.

Speaker 2

Hi, Susan.

Speaker 4

Hi, how's it going? I guess just on the guide, the updated guide, good to see the raise there. I guess it implies maybe Q4 will be flattish. You said something about the sales growth you saw in Asia not continuing. Maybe if you could just give some more color on kind of by region, how you expect that to pan out and to get to the guide for the year?

Speaker 4

Thanks.

Speaker 2

Okay. You know what, Shane, why don't you take that one?

Speaker 3

Absolutely. Yes, as you noted, that implies a Q4 of down 2% to up 2%, so a flattish Q4 on the top line. As we look at where that comes from, in the APAC region, as you know, we had very strong results in Taiwan and Japan. Some of that strength, a portion of that is some timing, such that it'll be a little bit less. But we pulled a little bit of Q4 into Q3.

Speaker 3

So although we expect to continue to see strong results, in those regions, it won't be at the rate that we've seen, it will be a lesser in Q4. And then, obviously, we'll have growth strong growth next year as well. As we look at China, China will continue to be the trend will get a little bit better than what it's been, as far as down, it won't be down as much, but it will still be down significantly. As we look at Central Europe, we expected to see similar results to Q3 there. And then in North America, our digital business will continue to perform well, but in the similar high teens to 20% -ish growth there.

Speaker 3

And we do expect to be see some continued headwinds in the North America core business that will offset that. So that's the detail by region.

Speaker 4

Okay, great. That's really helpful. And then maybe if you could just talk about the new consumer products packs that you introduced in the markets in Asia. I guess, what are those intel? And then also if you could talk about the performance of the power line, both in the U.

Speaker 4

S. And internationally? And I guess, should we expect more products to be introduced down the road in the power line? Thanks.

Speaker 2

Yes, sure. Absolutely. So as it relates to the kind of the rebalancing the portfolio in APAC and some of the packs we put in place, really what we've done is trying to make a migration. And obviously the old products are still there, but they were selling a lot of detox products. So it was a heavy focus on detox.

Speaker 2

And as you might imagine, you can only detox so many times a year and there are only so many people that would do detox. So really it was a shift in focus of adding to kind of on top of that kind of more vitality driven kind of packs that we were selling that would, A, appeal to a broader range of people, but also would encourage people to purchase more frequently and kind of more often. So it's a nice shift and we also kind of rebalanced the price of those packs slightly. So initially, what we knew we were going to see was more people coming in, driving new customer growth, driving order growth with some kind of slightly lower average order in the near term, but that has since been offset by kind of the volume of new customers and new orders that we're getting in and the repeat orders that we're getting from that as we're migrating people into our subscription programs. So really pleased about that.

Speaker 2

The second piece of your question on the power line, great progress in Europe with the power line. It is kind of one of our top products. It represents an increasing percentage of sales in Europe. North America sales kind of achieving kind of near double digit growth as we continue to year to date as we continue to sell those products into the marketplace. We'll continue to, I think, very, kind of cautiously and appropriately expand the line.

Speaker 2

We don't want to kind of balloon the line up too much. It really is all about improving people's metabolic performance. And so the greens, the beets and the meal product are truly foundational breakthrough products in each one of their respective areas. But now we're going to shift into and you'll see it kind of actually in the back half of twenty twenty five really much more aggressively marketing all three of those products as a system. So we're excited about what lies ahead for the PowerLine.

Speaker 2

They're great products. They are, like I said, breakthrough kind of result and breakthrough products in each one of their respective categories. But when you combine them, they really do start to have some pretty incredible results that they're capable of delivering from the standpoint of improving people's metabolic performance. So hope that answers your question.

Speaker 4

Yes, that was great. Thanks so much for all the details. I'll go ahead and pass it along. Good luck the rest of the year.

Speaker 3

Thank

Operator

Now for our next question, this will come from the line of Ms. Linda Bolton Weiser from D. A. Davidson. Your line is now open.

Operator

Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Yes, hi. So I apologize, but I missed the very part of your narrative in the beginning. But somebody referred to headwinds in your North American core business. Can you just give a little more color what are you referring to? Is that just the kind of strapped consumer situation or is there something else you're talking about?

Speaker 2

Yes, there's a piece of it where consumers are just a little strapped and kind of holding back on some purchases to a minor extent. Another piece of it is when we made the switch to our digital platform, we did the consumer kind of facing piece first and then there's a follow on piece for the kind of the back end for distributors and helping them process their customer orders. So that's just coming online and we'll see the full alignment as we get further into the of kind of the systems as we get into the Q4. So it's just kind of a natural progression of moving our platform around and having some friction points that are a result of that. But kind of I think by the time we get through the Q4, all of those friction points will be taken care of, will be addressed.

Speaker 2

And then it will simply be a matter of just helping people kind of build momentum and get back on track. So that's really what we're talking what we were speaking to Linda.

Speaker 5

Okay. Thank you. And then, I'm just wondering again, I'm sorry if I missed this, but I know you have the initiative to reduce costs and improve efficiencies to help gross margin. You had some targets for that. Can you just talk about how that's going and whether you're on target?

Speaker 5

And will there be any more savings in 2025? And then second part on the cost is, I think you had mentioned at one point some shortages are hard to get certain herbs and things like that. Are there any shortages or any other issues with any of your inputs at this point?

Speaker 2

Yes. Okay, absolutely. I'll start and then I'll let Shane elaborate. So as it relates to our gross margin savings initiatives, we are track. The team has done an incredible job of driving of identifying the savings and then kind of driving them through the system.

Speaker 2

We're starting to see some of those savings come through. And I'll let Shane speak to some of the challenges that we're facing that would kind of mask some of those results. But as far as the savings that we said we were going to chase after, the team has really done everything that they've said they're going to do. And we do believe there's more upside opportunity going forward as we get into 2025. Second part of your question was?

Speaker 5

It was about any shortages of herbs or any other kind of input?

Speaker 2

Yes, yes, yes. Thank you. There's intermittently, there might be something kind of right now. I think supplies are actually kind of very good. The supply chain team has been identifying.

Speaker 2

There are things that are, like I said, intermittently challenging and then there are other things that are just they're just hard to get. Frequently, we're dealing with some rare kind of hard to find ingredients. And so we're going through a process in many cases of kind of reformulating products so that we can just overcome that and improve our service levels. But right now, Linda, there's really nothing that is a real barrier from a supply chain process product availability standpoint. Shane, you want to add some commentary around and color around savings?

Speaker 3

Sure. First of all, Linda, give you a little more detail. Last year, we realized about $3,000,000 in the previous year in 2023 of those savings as they were just starting to roll on. This year, we expect to have see about it year to date, we've gotten most of this already, another additional $7,000,000 So by the end of the year, we will have achieved that $10,000,000 target. We do expect going forward into next year, as Terrence noted, additional savings to come in as well.

Speaker 3

So we will exceed that target. But it has been masked so far in that we have seen a significant amount of headwind in FX rates as well as inflation that has made it so that those improvements have not been difficult it's been difficult to see in our P and L. We do expect that we are at near inflection point at this point, and that we'll see improvement in Q4. We expect inflection and improvement in Q4 gross margin rates, and then a meaningful increase as we go into next year as well.

Speaker 5

Okay. Thank you very much. I appreciate it.

Speaker 2

Absolutely.

Operator

At this time, this concludes our question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Moorhead for closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Okay. Thank you. And finally, we like to thank everybody for listening to today's call. And we look forward to speaking with you when we report our Q4 and full year results in 2025. Thanks again for joining us and take care.

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Nature's Sunshine Products Q3 2024
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