IQVIA Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
February 14, 2024

There are 9 speakers on the call.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the IKEA Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. Thank you.

Operator

I would now like to turn the call over to Nick Childs, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasury. Mr. Childs, please begin your conference.

Speaker 1

Thank you

Speaker 2

very much. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our Q4 2023 earnings call. With me today are Ari Boosby, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Ron Bruumann, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Eric Sherbet, Executive Vice President and General Counsel Mike Fedock, Senior Vice President, Financial Planning and Analysis and Gustavo Perron, Senior Director, Investor Relations. Today, we will be referencing a presentation that will be visible during this call for those of you on our webcast.

Speaker 2

This presentation will also be available following this call in the Events and Presentations section of our IQVIA Investor Relations website at ir.iqvia.com. Before we begin, I would like to caution listeners that certain information discussed by management during this conference call will include forward looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by forward looking statements Due to risks and uncertainties associated with the company's business, which are discussed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10 ks and subsequent SEC filings. In addition, We will discuss certain non GAAP financial measures on this call, which should be considered a supplement to and not a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of these non GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP measures is included in the press release and conference call presentation.

Speaker 2

I would now like to turn the call over to our Chairman and CEO.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Nick,

Speaker 1

and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss our 2023 results. You saw that we had a good quarter. Let me start the call by sharing the latest of what we are seeing in our end markets, along with our key accomplishments for 2023. On the clinical side, demand from our RNDS clients remains strong.

Speaker 1

Net new bookings for the quarter exceeded $2,800,000,000 the 2nd largest quarter in IQVIA history, representing a quarterly book to bill of EUR 1.31. Our quarterly RFP flow was up 13% year over year, driven by EBP and Large Pharma. Our qualified pipeline grew double digits versus prior year. Emerging Biotech funding was strong. According to BioWorld, 4th quarter EBP funding was $21,600,000,000 the highest quarter in the last 2 years, continuing the sequential improvement we've seen throughout the year.

Speaker 1

For the full year, EBP funding for 2023 was $70,900,000,000 up 17% versus the prior year, and that represents the largest year on record If we exclude the outlier years of 2020 2021, when there was dramatic outspending due to COVID. As we close 2023, we're proud of what we have achieved In R and Ds, the business booked $10,700,000,000 of net new business, including record high service bookings of $8,400,000,000 Our backlog stands at $29,700,000,000 and that's up 9% year over year. The business added nearly 400 net new customers in the year. We made great progress with our clinical research strategies. We significantly expanded our R and D site network and management organization through strategic acquisitions that offer clinical research coordination, study feasibility and patient recruitment capability.

Speaker 1

We further expanded the capabilities of the lab business through the launch of a new synthetic antibody discovery offering, which is differentiated from the traditional animal derived antibodies that are used by our competitors. And we partnered with the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations, CEPI, to enhance the world's ability to rapidly conduct clinical research for vaccines and other biological countermeasures against emerging infectious diseases in underdeveloped countries. Turning to TAS. The commercial side of our business continues, of course, to face the macro environment that we've described in the past as our clients remain cautious with their spending and their cost containment. Our results in the quarter were slightly better than what we had expected, Although discretionary spending has not yet rebounded to the levels that we expect they will, and it continues to be a headwind.

Speaker 1

Fundamentally, leading market indicators do point to an upcoming improvement. For instance, the FDA approved 55 new molecules in 2023, And that's almost 50% more than the prior year, and it is the highest level since 2018. The spend on new drug launches by our pharma clients is expected to be over $190,000,000,000 over the next 5 years. That's up over 25% compared to the prior 5 year period. Frankly, in our own engagement with customers In the recent past, we noted an improved customer sentiment during the quarter.

Speaker 1

In fact, the pipeline of opportunities remains strong even as decision timelines remain elongated and negotiations more difficult, similar to what we indicated last quarter. Based on these dynamics, we continue to expect demand to pick up, but not before the second half of the year. And as a result, we may see the 2024 sequential trend for PAS to be the inverse of what we experienced in 2023. So you might see revenue growth in the Q1 that resembles the growth of the Q4 of 2023 and growth to gradually improve as we move to the back end of the year. Now despite the more difficult macro environment, the TAS business had some significant achievements In 2023, we continued expanding our commercial technology and analytics offerings.

Speaker 1

We in fact added 33 new clients on our OCE technology platform. We successfully launched a new software platform, which tracks the performance of 1,600,000 drugs covering 600 diseases across 93 countries. We successfully introduced a 1st in kind medtech consumption offering that supports the complex journey that medical devices take as they travel from manufacturer to healthcare providers. And we acquired quality metrics to extend our suite of patient health measurement tools using clinical outcome assessment and patient reported outcomes. Let me now turn to the results for the quarter.

Speaker 1

Revenue for the Q4 grew 3 0.5% on a reported basis and 2.6% at constant currency. Compared to last year and excluding COVID related work from both periods, we grew the top line approximately 6% on a constant currency basis, including approximately 1.5% of contribution from acquisitions. 4th quarter adjusted EBITDA increased 5%, reflecting our ongoing cost management discipline. 4th quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $2.84 based the continuing headwind of the step up in interest expense and the UK corporate tax rate increase. Excluding the impact of these items, Our adjusted diluted EPS growth was 11%.

Speaker 1

Now a few highlights of this business activity this quarter. Let's start with TAS. A midsized pharma client awarded IQVIA a 4 year outsourcing program to support their life cycle strategy of converting established brands to over the counter sales in more than 40 countries. Similarly, IQVIA won a 4 year contract with a large pharma client to provide global market intelligence via a single Globally accessible source of commercial data. In the quarter, we won a significant contract with a large pharma in their dermatology, Rheumatology and Oncology therapeutic areas, this program will allow our clients to access detailed prescribing patterns in local markets and enhance HCP targeting in 18 countries.

Speaker 1

The CDC selected IQVIA to provide comprehensive monitoring services following the end of the COVID public health emergency status. IQVIA will support the CDC in analyzing data in near real time on the respiratory virus including for influenza and RSV, identifying at risk groups and improving overall population health. In the quarter, our Patient Services business, which is showing faster growth within our TAS segment, secured a significant contract with a large pharma that includes adherence monitoring, co pay support and at home treatment administration. In our real world Business, the National Health Service of England, awarded IQVIA a large contract to deploy our privacy and to enable the NHS 8 efforts to ensure the highest standards of patient data governance and privacy controls. Moving to RDS, a top 5 pharma client selected IQVIA as a key clinical FSP provider.

Speaker 1

Noteworthy here is that a competitor of ours had been the 100% sole provider previously. This partnership will help the client improve clinical trial oversight and manage costs more effectively. In Q4, another top five client awarded IQVIA a full service Phase 2 study on ALS, also known as Lou Gehrig's disease. IQVIA was selected due to our vast expertise in ALS disease as well as our faster recruitment timelines. In the quarter, a biotech client selected IQVIA to conduct a complex trial for a promising cell and gene therapy Targeting myositis, which is an autoimmune disease, we were selected due to our AI capabilities that allow us to identify sites and develop an innovative trial strategy.

Speaker 1

Also in the quarter, IQVIA expanded its partnership with a major pharma company By securing 6 new global oncology trials, consisting of a mix of early and late stage trials, We were chosen due to our expertise in oncology and our ability to efficiently manage large complex trial. A leading biotech firm selected IQVIA to conduct a program comprised of 3 initial stage studies in cancer research. The client is expanding from local to global development and needed a large scale partner like IQVIA. In Q4, IQVIA was awarded a major contract from a top 10 global pharma to become its primary pharma covigilance platform provider. This multiyear program includes replacing their legacy systems With IQVIA's drug safety monitoring technology, which uses generative AI capability to automatically extract adverse event information from unstructured data sources.

Speaker 1

Finally, and before I turn it to Ron for a detailed financial review, I would like to take the opportunity to acknowledge and congratulate our employees around the world for the nice recognition the company just received. For the 7th consecutive year, IQVIA was named 1 of the world's most admired companies in Fortune's annual survey. And for the 3rd year in a row, IQVIA was named the number 1 most admired company in our category. Lastly, before turning it over to Ron, I'd like to specifically mention the prestigious recognition received by Christina Mack, 1 of IQVIA's senior leaders who is the Chief Scientific Officer for our Real World Business. Christina was named 23 Pharma Voice 100 Honoree is a peer recognized industry wide honor.

Speaker 1

We are very proud At IQVIA, of Christina's work and her passion for accelerating innovation in healthcare through the use of evidence based decision making. Let me now turn it to Ron for our financial review.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Ari, and good morning, everyone. Let's start by reviewing revenue. 4th quarter revenue of $3,868,000,000 3.5% on a reported basis and 2.6% at constant currency. In the quarter, COVID related revenues were approximately $65,000,000 which was down about $125,000,000 versus the Q4 of 2022. Now excluding all COVID related work from both this year and last, constant currency growth was approximately 6%.

Speaker 3

And as already mentioned, acquisitions contributed about 150 basis points of this growth. Technology and Analytics Solutions revenue for the Q4 was $1,531,000,000 up 2.1% reported and 1.3% constant currency. Excluding all COVID related work, constant currency growth in TAS was 4%. R and D Solutions 4th revenue of $2,151,000,000 was up 4.5% reported and 3.7% at constant currency and excluding all COVID related work constant currency growth and R and Ds was 9% in the quarter. Finally, contract sales and medical solutions or CSMS 4th quarter revenue of $186,000,000 grew 2 point 2% reported and 1.7% at constant currency.

Speaker 3

For the full year, revenue was $14,984,000,000 growing at 4% on a reported basis and 4.1% at constant currency. COVID related revenues totaled $420,000,000 for the year. Excluding all COVID related work from both years, constant currency growth was 9%. Full year Technology Analytics Solutions revenue was $5,862,000,000 up 2% reported, 2.1% at constant currency and excluding all COVID related work growth at constant currency in TAS was 6%. In R and D Solutions full year revenue was $8,395,000,000 growing 6% both on a and a constant currency basis and excluding all COVID related work growth at constant currency and R and Ds was 13%.

Speaker 3

Finally, in CSMS, revenue for the full year was $727,000,000 which was down 2.2% reported and 0.3% at constant currency. Okay, moving down the P and L, adjusted EBITDA was $966,000,000 for the 4th quarter. That represented 5% growth, while full year adjusted EBITDA was $3,559,000,000 which was up 6.7% year over year. 4th quarter GAAP net income was $469,000,000 and GAAP diluted earnings per share was $2.54 For the full year, GAAP net income was $1,358,000,000 or $7.29 of earnings per diluted share. Adjusted net income was $523,000,000 for the 4th quarter and adjusted diluted earnings per share was $2.84 For the full year, adjusted net income was $1,901,000,000 and adjusted Diluted EPS was $10.20 Excluding the year over year impact of the step up in interest rates and the increase in the U.

Speaker 3

K. Corporate tax rate, adjusted diluted earnings per share grew 11% in the 4th quarter and 12% for the full year. Now as already reviewed, R and D Solutions delivered another really strong quarter of bookings. Our backlog At December 31, stood at a record $29,700,000,000 that's up 9.2% year over year and 31% over the last 3 years. Okay, let's turn to the balance sheet.

Speaker 3

As of December 31, cash and cash equivalents totaled $1,376,000,000 and gross debt was $13,673,000,000 and Do the math that results in net debt of $12,297,000,000 our net leverage ratio at year end was 3.45 times trailing 12 month adjusted EBITDA. 4th quarter cash flow from operations was $747,000,000 And capital expenditures was $179,000,000 which resulted in free cash flow of $568,000,000 Now in the quarter, we repurchased $220,000,000 of our shares at an average price of $1.95 per share, bringing our full year share repurchase activity to just slightly below $1,000,000,000 This leaves us with just under 2.4 $1,000,000,000 of share repurchase authorization remaining under the current program. Now as you know, coming out of the merger, We took advantage of the low interest rate environment and deployed a significant amount of capital for internal investments, acquisitions and share repurchases, which were quite accretive for our shareholders. Now over that period, our net interest expense was relatively steady at around $400,000,000 per year. But at the end of 2022 and through the middle of 2023, we experienced A rapid and unprecedented rise in interest rates, which drove annual interest expense up by almost $250,000,000 causing our adjusted EPS to be just slightly over flat in 2023.

Speaker 3

Now as you saw in November, successfully refinanced approximately $2,750,000,000 of our near term debt maturities. The strong demand for IQVIA debt that we allowed us to tighten pricing and lock in an average fixed rate below 4.9% for those issuances after swaps. This refinancing extended approximately $2,750,000,000 of maturities to 2029 and 2,031. And we reduced our interest rate risk exposure by locking in over 80% of our debt at fixed rates. With this refinancing, we now expect net interest to be approximately $650,000,000 in 20.24.

Speaker 3

Now the forward curves point to a reduction in rates in the future. We've included the current March consensus in our 2024 guidance. Further reductions would lower our net interest expense more on our variable rate debt and potentially open opportunities to refinance additional debt in the future. Now, let's Go to our 2024 guidance, which I'll review in detail. For the full year, we expect total revenue to be $15,400,000,000 $15,650,000,000 this includes approximately $300,000,000 of a step down in COVID related work year over year and about 100 basis points of contribution from M and A activity and further FX headwind of approximately 50 basis points versus 2023.

Speaker 3

Our adjusted EBITDA guidance $3,700,000,000 to $3,800,000,000 Our adjusted diluted EPS guidance is $10.95 to $11.25 Now this guidance includes about $650,000,000 of interest expense, Approximately $580,000,000 of operational depreciation and amortization expense, an effective income tax rate just under 20% and an average diluted share count 184,000,000 shares. This guidance also assumes about $2,000,000,000 of cash deployment split evenly between acquisitions and share repurchase. Finally, our guidance assumes that foreign currency rates as of February 12 continue for the balance of the year. Now at the segment level, we expect TAS revenue to be between $6,000,000,000 $2,000,000,000 Q1 2023 was the last quarter that we had significant COVID related revenues in TAS, so the COVID step down in TAS will be minimal for the balance of the year. As Ari mentioned, the guidance now anticipates an improvement in our commercial business towards the back end of the year, which will still result in a year over year growth of low to mid single digits.

Speaker 3

R and D revenue is expected to be between $8,700,000,000 $8,800,000,000 This guidance includes almost the entire $300,000,000 step down COVID related revenue, and that represents approximately 350 basis points of headwind to the R and Ds growth rate. The guidance also reflects the latest phasing of pass through revenue, which results in an additional headwind of approximately 100 points to R and Ds year over year. Adjusting for the COVID step down and the pass through headwind, R and Ds revenue growth in 2024 is expected to remain in the high single digits. CSMS revenue is expected to be approximately $700,000,000 which is down slightly year over year. Now let's review the Q1 guidance.

Speaker 3

For the Q1, we expect revenue to be $3,650,000,000 $3,725,000,000 The decline in COVID related work is weighted towards the beginning of the year with the largest impact in Q1. Also, we expect market conditions in TAS to recover only in the back half of the year as we've said. Adjusted EBITDA in the Q1 is expected to be between $850,000,000 $870,000,000 And adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be between $2.45 $2.55 Now keep in mind that Q1 is the toughest comparison for adjusted diluted EPS due to the interest rate increases we saw throughout 2023. As we mentioned, our guidance assumes that foreign currency rates as of February 12 continue for the balance of the year. So let's summarize.

Speaker 3

Q4 was another strong quarter. R and D delivered the 2nd largest booking quarter In IQVIA history at over $2,800,000,000 along with another quarter of double digit RSC growth, For the full year of 2023, revenue grew 9% at constant currency excluding COVID related work. The year over year impact of interest rates and the increase in the U. K. Tax rate.

Speaker 3

Free cash flow was in the quarter at $568,000,000 representing 109% of adjusted net income. IQVIA was named Fortune's 2023 list of the world's most admired companies for the 7th consecutive year and earned the 1st place ranking within our industry group for the 3rd consecutive year. And lastly, we issued full year 2024 guidance with underlying revenue growth of 5% to 7%, continued margin expansion and a resumption of EPS growth with adjusted diluted earnings per share expected to be up 7% to 10%. Now before we open the call to Q and A, I'd like to make you aware of a leadership change within IQVIA's Finance organization. Nick Childs, who has led our Investor Relations and Treasury functions very ably for the past 3 years, is moving on to become CFO of our North American business.

Speaker 3

He will be succeeded by Kerry Joseph, who has served as CFO of that business unit for the past 5 years. Now Kerry, who is a member of the Global Finance Leadership Team, has had many finance roles and increasing During his 20 plus years with the company, Kerry and Nick have already been working together to transition responsibilities And Kerry will join Nick on our follow-up calls this quarter, so you all have a chance to meet him. Now with that, Let me hand it back over to the operator to begin our Q and A session.

Operator

Your first question comes from the line of Anne Samuel from JPMorgan.

Speaker 4

Congrats on the great print and thanks for taking the question. My first question was just on TAS. As you know, you spoke to expectations for a back half recovery in this business. It seems like based on your comments and some of those from others At our recent conference that others in the life sciences IT space are seeing some early optimism around that and was just wondering What do you expect to be the early indicators that the recovery is happening in that business? And what part of your TAS business will maybe start to see the first screen shoots?

Speaker 1

Well, thank you. And I mean, look, we Early last year, we're expecting that things would turn around second half of last year. And as you know, it didn't happen. Now it's got to happen at some point. So we then thought, well, By the second quarter's later, at the end of the last of last year's Q3, I thought, okay, Q2 of 2024.

Speaker 1

We are now expecting this to happen second half. And In support of all of these, I mentioned some data points in my introductory remarks. Look, the FDA approved 50% more molecules than last year and it's the highest level since 2018. That really generally bodes well for the commercial business As our clients prepare for launching those drugs into the marketplace, and those launches come for significant Support from the type of services that we provide, whether it's data, launch, consulting, planning, market access, pricing support and so on and so forth. And in fact, our own market expectations of Spend by pharma over the next few years compares very favorably to the prior period.

Speaker 1

Now in our own conversations with clients, we're noting more optimism on the outlook for 2024. But perhaps because we've been hurt before, we've tried to be appropriately cautious in planning. And really when we build up the forecast for our TAS business based on the pipeline, I might note, I don't think we said that before or even if we report any of these numbers here, but we have a pipeline of opportunities with a very detailed methodology that's been proven over time. And I can tell you that our pipeline for the year, for the 2024 year is higher than it has ever been on the TAS business. So that gives us comfort that the forecast is appropriately built and hopefully will be we have upside the favorability if things work out perfectly well, but we've built enough caution on the forecast here that we feel good about the TAS business for 2020, 2024 as we presented it.

Speaker 1

Now a word of caution, The business saw declining growth through 2023 with every quarter being worse than the previous one. We expect 2024 to be sort of the mirror image of that. That is the Q1 To be more like last year's Q4 and the second quarter, more like the Q3, etcetera, with the ramp up through the year and hopefully building momentum as we progress through 2024.

Speaker 4

That's really helpful. Thank you. Thank you. And then maybe just on the R and D side, I was hoping maybe you could just provide a little bit of color on just how to think about the cadence For 2024, I'm just giving all the moving pieces. Thank you.

Speaker 1

You mean the cadence? Yes, anyone has any The

Speaker 4

cadence of revenue, yes.

Speaker 1

Yes, it's a tough.

Speaker 2

Yes, I mean, I think you I mean, I guess I would tell you to look at the linearity that you've seen in prior years. Yes, not a huge Any sort of drop off or a significant pickup either.

Speaker 4

Great. Very helpful. Thank you so much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Shlomo Rosenbaum from Stifel. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hi. Thank you for taking my questions. Ari, can you talk a little bit about the significant contract signings in the quarter, 2nd largest in the company's history? Were there certain really large deals that maybe boosted it? Were there certain therapeutic areas that might have boosted it?

Speaker 5

Maybe just give us a little bit of color about that?

Speaker 1

Okay. Well, thank you, Shlomo, for the question. There was no specific contract or particular award or anything like that. I would just say that by segment, The EBP segment was particularly strong. I mentioned funding was very strong in the quarter, The highest on record, again, if you exclude the COVID years.

Speaker 1

And so EBP was particularly strong. I'd say with again, we don't Talk about book to bill per segment, but the EBP book to bill, if you will, was higher than our 131. So comparatively, we had and about I would say about 25%, is that correct guys, 25% of our bookings In the U. S, we're EVP. So that's a little bit of color that I can give you, but nothing No one time big award or anything that skewed the numbers now pretty strong across the world.

Speaker 6

In therapeutic area, we continue to excel in oncology and cell and gene therapy in the complex clinical trials. No change. Right. Correct.

Speaker 5

Great. And if maybe for a thank you. Is there can you just comment anything about competitively in the marketplace? Are there has there been Any changes? I know it's a long cycle business.

Speaker 5

Is there anything you can talk about either on TAS or R and D as with any of the well known competitors that are out there?

Speaker 1

Well, I don't generally like to comment on competitors, but yes, there have been A number of disruptions, sort of companies being acquired or spun off In the CRO space, and that always introduces some level of disruption. I mean, some of these companies had been in trouble. The fact that they've been acquired by private equity or conversely spun off In the public markets, does that mean that they'll be more competitive, less competitive? It's hard to tell. It's disruption often happens.

Speaker 1

If you take a longer view of this question, We believe that our merger 7 years ago significantly disrupted The industry had led to a large number of subsequent transactions, which resulted from what we believe was reactions to the clear competitive advantage that we think we established That enabled us over the past few years to gradually gain market share. But other than that, I mean, I don't have any further comments. Thank you, Sharma.

Speaker 5

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Tejas Savant from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Hey guys, good morning.

Speaker 7

So my first question here is on the R and D side of things. Ari, can you help us think through Just a shift in mix in FSP versus hybrid versus full service work and the margin implications of that. And similarly, sort of any shift in the mix of work as you head into 'twenty four on therapeutic area basis and what that mean what that might mean for your backlog burn rates?

Speaker 3

Question was about the mix shift in margins between FSP and full service, Correct?

Speaker 7

That's right.

Speaker 3

Yes. Look, FSP tends to be somewhat lower margin than full service. Now take into account though that full service comes with pass through, significant pass through revenues that FSP doesn't. And so when you look at the average margins including pass throughs, they're not that different. But Yes.

Speaker 3

In general, there has been there is some margin degradation as a result of the shift towards FSP. On the other hand, this shift is a very gradual Shift that's going on. You're talking about single points of shift, not A huge flight to FSP and it takes place over time. Remember, the average trials for plus years to complete. So there really hasn't been any dramatic impact on our margins as a result of that.

Speaker 3

And of course, we're working all the Time to optimize and take cost out and do things to improve our margins independent of whatever contracts we happen to be signing. So I would say not a big impact there. And you see it in our EBITDA margins, they've actually continued to improve overall. And That's with R and Ds being over 50% of our revenue. Yes.

Operator

Got it.

Speaker 1

I mean, look.

Speaker 2

And then your second question,

Speaker 5

can you just clarify?

Speaker 7

Yes, my second question actually, I'm going to switch to the TAS comments. Guys, I mean, are you encouraging to see sort of expectations of a recovery in the back half of the year? And you talked about sort of your detailed bottom up pipeline build there. But I just want to put a finer point on it in terms of just The timing of the recovery, right? So what gives you confidence that this comes through in 2H24 versus getting pushed to 2025?

Speaker 7

Is it something related to Sort of contracted work that you have clear line of sight to versus work that could be sort of delayed or is it some large real world evidence projects that you see coming through here in the back

Speaker 1

Yes. Thank you, Vergas. No, it's not anything any one contract or specific lever. As I mentioned, the overall sentiment, bubbling up into a pipeline, As I mentioned, it is the highest that we've had ever. Now The pipeline doesn't always translate exactly as it is.

Speaker 1

It's probability adjusted and so on and so forth, but that's a good indication From a metric standpoint that we should be up for the year and we've built Some level of cushion here because we've been burntdelayed last year. And so that's what kind of gives us a little bit of confidence along with the conversations we're having with our clients. Again, I wouldn't This is not like we're not seeing a sharp uptick all of a sudden, okay. Our clients are, Especially large pharma, very, very focused on cost containments. They've all announced significant cost reduction programs, Some of them in anticipation of really unknown impact of the IRA, Some in anticipation of some LOEs coming soon in the next few years or other variables, but the fact is there are these large pharma, cost discussions that we're having with clients as well, And we are a significant vendor and therefore, those conversations have tended to be more difficult than they were in the past with respect to negotiations and pricing and so on, that is still there.

Speaker 1

The number of opportunities, the number of projects, the number of conversations, All of which translate into pipeline, the request for proposals and so on that we're having are clearly up. And given the life cycle of the sales processes as we know them, We are anticipating that those would concretize into sales towards the back end of the year.

Speaker 3

And Tejas, just one point of emphasis here too. In the TAS business, Particularly it's 100 and 100 of projects. So you're not going to have any individual project move the needle there. Thank you.

Speaker 7

Thanks guys. Appreciate it.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Luke Sergott from Barclays. Your line is open.

Speaker 6

Thanks a lot guys. Can you talk about the we keep talking about the TAS recovery, but And the big pipeline that you guys have, but can you kind of double click into what that looks like discretionary versus the sticky side. I think there's a lot of confusion about where the weakness has been in TAS and where the strength has been and if there's actually any change or improvement on the side of like regulatory and medical writing things like that to give more confidence in that back half recovery that you're talking about?

Speaker 1

Yes. Well, look, we ourselves are, as I mentioned before, putting a fair amount of Caution and conservatism, if you want to call it that way, in our own forecast because Some of the factors you mentioned that we've experienced last year. The business continues to grow. Look, the general environment So far, it's consistent with what we were experiencing at the end of last year. And you've seen our large CAP companies that operate in the same business actually forecast even declining sales for their own businesses for 2024.

Speaker 1

Now we're not there because, As you correctly point out, some of these services that we sell are not exactly discretionary. So Look, the data business, for example, continues to hold up well. It's never been a fast growth business, but it's holding up. We saw headwinds in the more discretionary part of the TAS segment, which to the analytics and consulting business, but I have to say that the business started to pick up a bit with sequential improvements in growth in Q4 compared to Q3. So even this more discretionary side, we saw An uptick, not again, not a steep curve up, but we saw positive movement even on the discretionary side.

Speaker 1

Now the impacts on the discretionary project part of the real world business That is a little bit of a longer cycle within TAS. It's a little bit longer cycle. We started seeing that in Q3 And it continued in Q4 and it did impact the performance of our real world business in Q4. So if I might Summarize, the data business holding up, maybe a little bit even better doing a little bit better. The Totally discretionary piece of analytics and consulting, little, little movement and some uptick that we are perceiving.

Speaker 1

The real world piece, you've got the stuff that they need to do that hasn't changed. And then there is a stuff that's more discretionary Because it's more it's a longer cycle, the deceleration impacted our numbers more in Q3 and further in Q4. So the issues we saw analytics and consulting in the early part of the year, we started seeing in real world in Q3 and Q4, and we expect that to continue in Q1. But if you I hope that gives you enough color here to get a sense for what we're seeing.

Speaker 6

It does. It does. And then I

Speaker 1

guess a

Speaker 6

follow-up Yes. On the there's a lot of concern here. Some of your peers talked about biotech RFP slowing in 4Q, but just as you look at the actual step up needed to maintain the book to bills and the bookings levels that you guys have had, do you see that that level of RFP volume across all your segments is enough to sustain it over the next 6 months or could we see some softening here maybe in the 1Q? And obviously, this is just more of a quarterly dynamic as the full year kind of paces out as what you're talking about, but just when you're thinking about the actual bookings getting you're closing that sales cycle, could some stuff get pushed out to more of the back half of the year?

Speaker 1

I mean, look, you've got a lot of hypothenicals here. You're referring to competitor commentary. I didn't hear any of that. And We're not seeing

Speaker 3

that. Again,

Speaker 1

this is interesting. People want to see badness and hang their hat on something. I would point to you that going back a couple of years at least, people were competitors, quote unquote, whining about EVP funding. And all CRO stocks suffered as a result of this whining. We kept telling the world that we weren't seeing it.

Speaker 1

We ended up being correct. There was no dramatic drop off in funding. It didn't happen. If anything, now, as I mentioned, it's even growing further at record levels. So EVP is good.

Speaker 1

It actually was very, very strong in terms of bookings. We see that trend continuing. When things get funded in a quarter, Typically, the bookings come in over the course of the following year. So I don't see that happening on the EBP segment. Last pharma, yes, there is a little bit of Reprioritization of projects, you've heard that from us, from others, Looking at different programs, but it's not like people are saying all of a sudden, we're not doing research anymore.

Speaker 1

There's a little bit of At the moment, as we discussed earlier, Ron mentioned a bit of a pendulum moving more towards FSP. But again, we play in that segment too. We play in every segment. But other than these dynamics, I don't see anything that will lead me to believe that all of a sudden we have to be worried quite the opposite. As I said, Our RFP flow was up 13% in Q4, And that's across the board, strong double digits in EBP and in large pharma as well.

Speaker 1

For the that was in Q4. Full year, same thing, very strong and EBP even stronger for the full year. Awards, which is sort of, if you will, a leading indicator of bookings, because as you know, We and maybe a small number of others actually report bookings and book to bill based on contracted work. Some still report only awards, which is kind of before contracted, and awards are also at a record high level. If you look at our pipeline, the total pipeline is up high single digits, Very high single digits, again at a record level.

Speaker 1

A qualified pipeline, which is we look at we have our own methodology to screen all the opportunities and come down to those that we think are the ones we want to pursue and are the most viable and the most likely to come to fruition. The qualified pipeline is up strong double digits, again, across the board. So I don't know what else to tell you. I don't You heard anything that I don't know, let me know.

Speaker 6

No. That's why I'm in my seat and you're in your seat. Appreciate it. Thank you.

Speaker 1

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Elizabeth Anderson from Evercore ISI. Your line is open.

Speaker 8

Hi, guys. Thanks so much for the color on the complexity of the demand environment. I had a question about the 4Q bookings. Can you comment on sort of what percentage was FSP? I know you said it obviously with the revenue shift is very incremental over the course of the year, but it would just be curious level set what you're seeing in the current environment there?

Speaker 1

The question is how much of our bookings was FSP? I think a little over 20%. Is that correct? Yes, guys. Low 20s was our bookings in

Speaker 2

the quarter and that's consistent for the full year

Speaker 1

for FSP. How much I can give you more color? How much was EVP, 25%?

Speaker 2

Yes. The EVP, total EVP is about a quarter of our And

Speaker 1

I think the FSP is mostly large pharma, right? Correct. Yes.

Speaker 5

It's a

Speaker 1

commercial center.

Speaker 8

And then how would you comment on sort of the rate card as we think about 2024 in terms of both full service work and FSP?

Speaker 1

Yes. Is that pricing? I don't know rate cards, The rates, labor and so on. Yes, I mean, look, this continues to be pressure from clients and negotiate and tough negotiations. That's been the biggest surprise for me over the past several years, and that is that You got a better mode, you got a better company, a better delivery system, better capabilities and we should be able to actually charge more.

Speaker 1

But Lo and behold, we've got competitors. And as I said before, clients are Clients that we want to continue to have, we are with whom we sell a lot of to whom we sell a lot of stuff and we have strong relationships. And when the client tells you, listen, when a CEO calls you and tells you, I need To lower the rate here on this because it's going to help me in my cost reduction program, it's hard to say, Listen, I'm better than a competitor and the answer is no. So we don't say yes to everything, but this is part of managing our long term relationships and we I wouldn't hide the fact that we are having Maybe more pressure than we had before, generally on pricing that's across the board. There's no secret there.

Speaker 8

Got it. That's super helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of David Windley from Jefferies. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. A little bit of a follow-up to Elizabeth there. Ari, we spent in December quite a bit of time talking about the kind of decision cycle environment with, I think principally large pharma. So I joined late, but I've heard you describe that your RFP flows look pretty good, your awards look pretty good.

Speaker 5

Those things seem to be holding up. But you had described that whether it was IRA or Pending loss of exclusivity of important products or whatever that clients were kind of mulling over their prioritizations and processes The C is a lot longer than normal. And I suppose part of that is probably also a little bit of Elizabeth your answer to Elizabeth's question around Pricing and trying to meet budget cut targets and things like that. How would you I'd love for you to elaborate on That environment and do you feel like you're closer to the end of it? Are we still in the middle of it?

Speaker 5

When do we think large pharma will be back to business, so to speak?

Speaker 1

Well, I begin, I want to make sure, I mean, It's not like back to business, not like people are on hold and they are not doing anything. Again, I mean, look, Our backlog continues to grow. The RFP flow is up double digits. 2nd highest bookings quarter ever. Right.

Speaker 1

We had the 2nd highest bookings quarter ever and the first the one that was the highest, which was last year, I think, that was we had a very big proportion of pass through some Specific large award, that's why it was like over $3,000,000,000 if I recall in that quarter. So this quarter, we had what, dollars 2.8 I mean, and that was like a regular quarter with nothing unusual, no big one timer award or anything like that. So it's a pretty the numbers are the numbers. Now the conversations are more Longer, more negotiations, but the volume the answer to your question is think the volume and the number of opportunities, It keeps going up. And again, EBP funding very strong all time high.

Speaker 1

We saw particular strength on EBP, and we see that continuing this year. So not like We are on hold and thinking about when are we back to business. That's perhaps a question we were asking ourselves on the TAS segment And that we are in the middle of and we see some sign or green shoots as Elizabeth told us before or Anne, I think, was the one who used that expression, some green shoots on the commercial side to the back end of the year. But on the R and D side, we're experiencing the pressure, the more difficult environment With respect to pricing and negotiations and so on, we are in those conversations, but no one is saying I'm on hold and I'm not Doing anything, again, the numbers show it. Numbers of RFPs, the pipeline at an all time high, The qualified pipeline up strong double digits, and again across the board, it's not like there's one segment or another.

Speaker 1

So I would say quite the opposite. I think the number of opportunities, the environment is very fertile In terms of chasing opportunities and responding to requests for proposals, we are very, very busy.

Speaker 5

Okay. So if I could follow-up then to go the next step and ask Perhaps what might be the factors that are influencing the disconnect between a high single digit to double digit RFP award pace With a below mid single digit revenue growth, so I understand part of that is TAS. I'm going to try to head off a little bit at the past. Part of that is TAS. I know that, so we'll set that aside.

Speaker 5

And I know you also attribute some to COVID, but COVID is now small enough that it is like Any other big project that you would see come to a conclusion in any given year and ramp transition those people to a new project and ramp that up. So it would seem that you're to a point where the backlog growth should be translating to R and D revenue growth and there's a disconnect there. So to what would you attribute that?

Speaker 1

Yes. So again, If you take our NDS, it's not COVID is not like one project like any other. It's not the case. We really have COVID revenue is very specific. It took specific resources, it's specific projects.

Speaker 1

And in 2024, it's coming down by $300,000,000 That represents A direct headwind to growth of 3 50 basis points to R and D as growth, 350 basis points. In addition, and this is more of a mix issue, I mentioned in my introductory remarks a number of wins, And we continue to win in the oncology area. We're happy about that because that's the fastest growing therapeutic area hands down All around, it has been for a while and will continue to be. And we are winning in oncology. The issue with that therapeutic area is that The burn rate is much lower.

Speaker 1

It takes time. It's more difficult to recruit patients. It's more complex. And therefore, it translates into revenue slower than anything else. And we have a disproportionate share in that market.

Speaker 1

3rd reason, in the mix, we do have we happen to be and that's just a consequence. It is hard to But some years, we've got tailwinds from pass throughs and some years, we have headwinds from pass throughs. As Pass throughs are, I'm not going to say irrelevant, but they come with no profit, they come with It's just an artificial accounting add to our revenues. But the fact build up forecast for 2024, pass throughs will be a headwind to our R and Ds growth, and that represents 100 basis points approximately of headwind to top line growth of RMBS, again, inclusive of pass throughs. So if you add 3 50 basis points of headwind from COVID, from the step down in COVID and 100 basis points of headwind from The pass through mix, that's 4.50 basis points.

Speaker 1

So you're right. But if you add back This and you normalize our underlying business is growing high single digits, Very high single digits on the R and D side. So I think that's the reconciliation. You're right, Dave. You're smart analysts And you point to the apparent disconnect between the strong growth of our bookings and The reported growth in 2024, which again, we hope to be out of that in 2025, Certainly bodes well.

Speaker 1

2025 should be a sweet year. I don't want to put sanctions for 25 years. We're barely talking about 2024. But I think, based on everything we're seeing, we should certainly be behind all of those issues. But thank you, Dave, and I think that was the last question.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

This ends our question and answer session. Mr. Charles, I turn the call back over to you.

Speaker 2

Thank you very much and thank you everyone for joining us today. We look to speaking to you again on our Q1 earnings call in April. The team and I will be available the rest of the day to answer any follow-up questions you have.

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Earnings Conference Call
IQVIA Q4 2023
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