NASDAQ:SAIA Saia Q4 2023 Earnings Report $326.92 +8.42 (+2.64%) As of 10:42 AM Eastern This is a fair market value price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. Earnings HistoryForecast Saia EPS ResultsActual EPS$3.33Consensus EPS $3.20Beat/MissBeat by +$0.13One Year Ago EPS$2.65Saia Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$751.10 millionExpected Revenue$745.48 millionBeat/MissBeat by +$5.62 millionYoY Revenue Growth+14.50%Saia Announcement DetailsQuarterQ4 2023Date2/2/2024TimeBefore Market OpensConference Call DateFriday, February 2, 2024Conference Call Time10:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsSaia's Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Friday, April 25, 2025, with a conference call scheduled at 10:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Q1 2025 Earnings ReportConference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptPress Release (8-K)Annual Report (10-K)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfilePowered by Saia Q4 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrFebruary 2, 2024 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 17 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Thank you for standing by. My name is Eric, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Q4 2023 Saia Incorporated Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer Thank you. Operator00:00:30I would now like to turn the call over to Doug Cole, Saia's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:40Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Saia's Q4 2023 conference call. With me for today's call is Saia's President and Chief Executive Officer, Fritz Holzgrefe. Before we begin, you should know that during the call, we may make certain forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward looking statements and all other statements that might be made on this call that are not historical facts are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially. Speaker 100:01:11We refer you to our press release and our SEC filings for more information on the exact risk factors that could cause actual results to differ. I'll now turn the call over to Fritz for some opening comments. Speaker 200:01:21Good morning and thank you for joining us to discuss Saia's 4th quarter and full year results. I must start my comments today with a word of thanks to the entire Saia team for the dedicated efforts as we work through volatile business trends in 2023. We start our 1 100th anniversary year with an engaged team that delivered a record number of shipments in 2023, just shy of $8,000,000 in total for the year And in turn, 2023 revenue of $2,900,000,000 was also a record for our company. 2023 was really a tale of 2 halves. Both shipments and tonnage per workday were down year over year and for the 1st 6 months of the year, continuing a trend which will begin in the second half of twenty twenty two as the industrial economy slowed. Speaker 200:02:06Turning the calendar to the month of July, our industry experienced a generational type of moment as a large competitor began limiting service and ultimately ceased operations. At Saia, we saw volumes increase by as much as 10% to 20% on a given day from trends just a month earlier. Our contingency planning in advance of this change put us in a position to handle the increased volumes almost seamlessly while still maintaining excellent service for our customers. In the months that followed that initial surge in business, we increased our staffing levels by adding nearly 1500 dedicated employees in the second half of the year, 90% of which were drivers, dockworkers and frontline leadership to support growth. We have focused our team on taking care of As we absorb all the growth in the second half, we have continued for the painstaking process of investing in our network to maintain our service, while also optimizing how we provide the service with our expanding light haul and driving teams. Speaker 200:03:08We have plans to open 15 to 20 new terminals in 2024. Our teams are committed to accomplishing this with an eye on always putting the customer first. Those customer first initiatives have been the cornerstone of our success over the last several years and included in that is our desire to have more locations through which to serve new and existing customers. In Q4, Mastio released its latest surveys results. The results highlight a couple of significant achievements for Saia. Speaker 200:03:36First, the scores highlight our continued improvement and positive feedback from our customers who are recognizing Saia's ongoing investment in service. 2nd, it's becoming increasingly evident that customers are viewing us as a leading national LTL provider, reflecting not only our investments in service, but the expanding footprint. It is critical to note there have been no drop off of perceived levels of service. Importantly, we've added Nearly 20 new facilities in the last 2 years, customers are recognizing our ability to not only improve service, but to replicate that improved service in new locations. So today, we'll have to give a recap of 2023 results and provide an update on our plans for 2024. Speaker 200:04:18I'll now turn it over to Doug for a review of Q4 results and full 2024 financial highlights. Speaker 100:04:26Thanks, Fritz. 4th quarter revenue increased by $95,400,000 to a record $751,100,000 Shipments grew by 18.1% and with weight per shipment decreasing by 8.3%, tonnage growth for the quarter was 8.2%. Yield excluding fuel surcharge improved by 11.7%, while yield including fuel surcharge increased by 7%. These reported yield results benefit from the lighter average weight per shipment versus the Q4 last year. Revenue per shipment excluding fuel surcharge increased 2.4 percent to $295.22 compared to $288.34 in the 4th of 2022. Speaker 100:05:10Fuel surcharge revenue decreased by 3.4% and was 17% of total revenue compared to 20.1% a year ago, primarily the result of lower national average diesel prices, which are used to establish the surcharge rate in our fuel tables. Shifting to the expense side, a few key items to note in the quarter. Salaries, wages and benefits increased 20.2% a combination of our increased employee headcount of approximately 14% year over year to support our network expansion and volume growth over the last 6 months and also our July 2023 wage increase, which averaged 4.1% across our employee base. Purchase transportation expense increased by 8.4% compared to the Q4 last year, primarily due to increased purchase transportation miles, partially offset by a decrease in the cost per mile compared to the same period in 2022. PT expense was 8.7% of total revenue to 9.2% in the Q4 of 2022. Speaker 100:06:09Purchased transportation miles were 15.4% of total line haul miles in 4th quarter compared to 12% in last year's 4th quarter. Fuel expense decreased by 12.1% in the quarter despite company miles increasing 7.6 percent year over year. The decrease in fuel expense was primarily the result of national average diesel prices decreasing by over 15.9% on a year over year basis. Claims and insurance expense increased by 21% year over year in the quarter and was up 5.1 percent or $900,000 sequentially from the Q3 of 2023. The increase compared to the Q4 of 2022 was primarily due to increase in accident related self insurance and claims costs, as well as increases in insurance premiums. Speaker 100:06:56Depreciation expense of $45,700,000 in the quarter was 15.3% higher year over year, primarily due to ongoing investments in revenue equipment and our network expansion. Total operating expenses increased by 13.4% in the quarter and with the year over year revenue increase of 14.5 percent, our operating improved to 85% compared to 85.9 percent a year ago. Our tax rate for the 4th quarter was 22.8% compared to 24% in the Q4 last year and our diluted earnings per share increased to $3.33 compared to $2.65 in the Q4 a year ago. Moving on to financial highlights of our full year 2023 results. As Fritz mentioned, revenue was a record $2,900,000,000 operating income was $460,500,000 Our operating ratio deteriorated by 90 basis points in 2023 to an 84 exactly 84.0%. Speaker 100:07:56For the full year 2023, our diluted earnings per share were $13.26 versus $13.40 in 2022. I'll now turn the call back over to Fritz for some closing comments. Speaker 200:08:08Thanks, Doug. To continue to operate with an OR in the mid-80s given the activity in the network during the quarter is a testament to the improved operating performance of our team over the last few years. Our customer first focus is yielding tangible results across our organization with a talented growing and engaged workforce. The value proposition to our customers continues to grow. We initially embarked on our geographic expansion in 2017 with 4 terminals in the Northeast. Speaker 200:08:36Since that time, we've opened 48 facilities that would cover the Northeast geography while also refining the strategy to enhance our coverage in legacy markets. Throughout, we've actually seen our underlying service offering continue to improve. This success is attributable to our team across the organization who have spent countless hours supporting these initiatives. I'm excited about the terminals acquired in January and believe this to be a Once in a lifetime opportunity for us to be able to bring our offerings to more markets, meet new customers and serve our current customers more efficiently. The last 7 years have proven our ability to execute an organic expansion strategy. Speaker 200:09:15Critical to our success opening Saia facilities and intense focus on maintaining our culture, which starts with the customer. We believe the unique opportunities at hand will allow us to systematically grow over the next couple of years as the facility additions provide an important supplement to our real estate investment pipeline. As seen from our results over the last Several years, we've shown that the ability to make substantial investments in our network to benefit our customers while generating improved financial performance over time and efficiently and effectively deploying capital. Sial will approach record levels of capital investment in 2024, but at no time in the company's 100 year history have we had a similar opportunity. The capital is focused on continuing developing our terminal network as well as significant investments in our fleet providing increased capacity and flexibility for our customers. Speaker 200:10:07Key to our success will be delivering the customer first focus that started in Houma, Louisiana 100 years ago and has been refined over a century. We continue to have significant opportunity to develop the markets around the other Nearly 20 terminals that we've opened over the last 2 years. Although we're excited about the success of these locations to date, We see considerable runway to build density in all these new markets. Finally, before opening the call for questions, I would say there's still a lot of uncertainty around the strength of the economy. At SAI, we've emphasized the importance of the customer and focusing on the things that we can control. Speaker 200:10:44So as our industry adjusts and adapts to the evolving economic environment over the coming months, my conviction about the long term prospects of Saia remains steadfast. Great employees, Great service and a growing footprint are all key to securing our position as a long term share gainer in our industry. With that said, Operator00:11:24Your first question comes from the line of Jack Atkins with Stephens. Please go ahead. Speaker 300:11:31Okay, great. Fritz and Doug, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Speaker 100:11:36So if we Speaker 300:11:37could maybe start Here first with the CapEx guide for 2024. Doug, I don't know if you want to take this or if it's for Fritz, but the $1,000,000,000 CapEx number, I know Obviously, part of that, a good chunk of that is related to the purchase of the yellow terminals. But can you maybe break down kind of the rest of that kind of $750,000,000 how that's going to kind of shake out between real estate versus equipment and just sort of help us think about what's 2024 and maybe what's related to CapEx beyond that? Speaker 100:12:09Sure, Jack. Good morning. Yes, like you mentioned, I mean, of The kind of billion ish number that we target, you're right, about a quarter of it, call it, is related to the yellow investment. And then we've got to get these terminals ready to get and opening the ones that were in the purchase that are going to be part of our 15 to 20 openings this year. We've got some investments we want to put into them. Speaker 100:12:32And then there's construction going on across the network. I mean, we're upsizing some major terminals in some different markets. So in addition to the, Call it $250,000,000 or so that was the initial yellow investment. There's probably another $300,000,000 plus in real estate this year. We've got a big equipment investment we're going to make this year. Speaker 100:12:53I mean, first of all, I mean, as volume stepped up last summer, meaningful 10% to 20% kind of over a matter of a couple of weeks volume increase. Our contingency planning that we have put in place had us renting some equipment, bringing in additional tractors and trailers to get ready to serve the customer. But We want to do that with our equipment and get rid of some of those costs. So we'll be we've upped our trailer by this year along with just the needs For connecting the network every night and picking up everything in the city, we've also got an opportunity to grow. A lot of these customers that we're serving value the service and if we can put more trailers in their hands, they'll fill them up for us. Speaker 100:13:36So, we've been trying to do that the last several years and the Supply Chain has limited some of those efforts, but we're going to catch up on some of that this year. So you could see kind of call it $400,000,000 to $450,000,000 in equipment. And then we've got ongoing IT investments that will approach probably $50,000,000 and that's related a lot of that's related To these new openings and all, you've got to get IT in place in the terminals and whatever security technology is putting all the terminals. You've got new driver handhelds that we roll out and things like that. So those are the buckets. Speaker 300:14:15Okay. No, that's really helpful, Doug. Thanks for breaking it down for us like that. And I guess maybe for my follow-up question, can you maybe give us an update on January trends to start the year and maybe how you're thinking about any sequential changes to operating ratio Q4 to Q1? Speaker 100:14:34Sure, everybody. I might as well go ahead and I'll give you the December numbers too. The October November numbers We published in the quarter and are public. In December, our shipments per day grew 16.5% And our tonnage per day in December per workday grew 6.8%. And then as we move into January, January shipments per workday were up 11.8% and tonnage was up 3.3%. Speaker 100:15:08So the January number, just for a little commentary, I mean, we had several days, call it 6 or 7 days where we had literally dozens of terminals impact In some of those days, so that's the same for all of us. We always get about it being an outdoor sport and we got quite a bit of weather in January and It'll be hard to give any kind of guide. I mean, it's sunny here to start February, but in some years, February has been the worst Weather month for us, we'll see how that unfolds. And then you get you know, Jack, March is the most important month in Q1. And to Fritz's point, that's maybe we'll start to get a better feel for what's going on with this underlying freight economy. Speaker 100:15:47That's a seasonally stronger period for us. So we'll see what things look like in March. But And just in terms of the OR guide, usually Q4 to Q1, the last several years gets a little better, Call it 50 to 75 basis points better Q4 to Q1. A lot of that's depending on where the weather falls. But Based on how we got out of January, we think that that's still reasonable to expect. Speaker 100:16:13And again, a lot of it's going to be determined in March, but We're still confident that we can show some OR improvement from Q4 into Q1. Speaker 300:16:21All right. That's fantastic. Thanks for the time, Doug. Speaker 400:16:24Sure. Operator00:16:27Your next question comes from the line of Amit Mehrotra with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:16:35Thanks, operator. Hi, guys. Just following up on Jack's questions. So obviously this year is a pretty heavy very heavy investment year. You talked about 1Q, but Fritz, I'd love to get your perspective What the margin expectations are for the full year more broadly? Speaker 500:16:55I mean, there's one angle where it could be transition year as these investments kind of Speaker 600:17:01hit the P and L and Speaker 500:17:02the volume follows after that or maybe there's a little bit more quicker payback from these investments. If you could talk about that and Just more broadly if you expect margins to get Speaker 200:17:13Yes. Thanks, Amit. The interesting thing about the opportunity we have here is The facilities that we are that are in our pipeline in this in the year are they provide a range of opportunities for us. So some of them are moving into markets that are established and we're going to be able to provide some incremental benefit to the customer right away. And those you'd expect to generate be accretive to us potentially in the year. Speaker 200:17:42You've got other facilities that across the Great Plains states where we have partnered with agents in those markets to provide service and now we'll be able to go to direct to those customers and we're really excited about that feedback from customers are that they're really excited about it. So we think about all those things and what the opportunities are and what we're doing around Focusing on our mix of business, I mean, we're as we look at the year and if we have a reasonable backdrop, I mean, I think we ought to be able to Think about a range of 100 to 200 basis points sort of OR improvement from 23. So on the Top end of that range, you probably have got a favorable economic sort of backdrop in the second half In the but through that, I think there's a tremendous amount of opportunities to capitalize on our investments and we're excited about those and what it does for the customer. So on the lower end of that range, maybe that's an environment that is not quite as strong or favorable. But I think what we're doing right now is because we've got this customer proposition that is Improving over time that even in a softer environment, we have an opportunity to differentiate and we have an opportunity for our team to execute. Speaker 200:19:03And I think we can drive those kinds of returns even while we're making substantial investments in the business. Speaker 500:19:10Okay. And my follow-up question, I just wanted to ask about pricing. Obviously, you took on a lot of freight in the Q3. I think you've been trying to optimize that freight. Are we at the point now where you're happy with where we are on that business that you took on? Speaker 500:19:25And as you guys expand, you guys have a, I guess a subscale, you have holes in the national network. As you fill in more dots in the network, does it also give you an ability to kind of Go back to some of your large international customers that are maybe giving you discounted pricing because you don't have the full coverage. If you can just talk about the pricing dynamic from that expansion as well? Speaker 200:19:46Yes. So Amit, I think it's an important point. So we have as we've taken this freight on, We analyze this pretty closely and we pulled forward quite a bit of sort of contract renewals Into the Q4, our renewal rates year over year, I mean, up roughly contracts the number of contracts renewed or renegotiated in the 4th quarter are up about 50 year over year. And our contractual renewal for the quarter in total was 8.7%. So listen, we're very, very focused on that. Speaker 200:20:21And we're talking about making some pretty investments in service for the customer this year. And when we do that, we've got to we've also got to make sure we generate some the appropriate level of return to support that level of investment. So we're very, very focused on making sure that we are compensated for the service, but in order to be compensated For the service, you got to be doing a great job. So that's kind of all together, but we're continuing to work through and understanding the value that we're providing to the and understanding what the impact is of the customers' freight on our network. Speaker 500:20:59Thanks very much guys. Appreciate it. Operator00:21:04Your next question comes from the line of Chris Wetherbee with Citigroup. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:21:11Hey, thanks. Good morning, guys. Maybe I want to get your perspective as sort of what you just piggybacking on what you just noted there around price relative some of the volume that you brought on. So I guess I'm curious how you're thinking about if you need to make any trade offs between the opportunity for volume growth as you continue to expand the network then the ability to get priced on somewhat of a catch up basis. So I guess I'm just kind of curious how you're balancing those two priorities as we're entering 2024? Speaker 200:21:39We always balance that, but I think that what's incumbent upon us is that this is a very high service level that we're providing. So our team is very focused on making sure that we're fairly compensated for those service levels. So We're going to get volume growth simply by some of the network coverage we're going to grow at this year. That's going to be beneficial. At the same time, while we're doing that, we get that Priced in the right way, we'll continue to develop the OR profile over time. Speaker 200:22:12So I think It's an important part of our business case and I think if you look back at the last 4 or 5 years, this is what we do. So provide high level service and focus making sure that we are compensated for it. Speaker 700:22:29Okay. That's helpful. And then We've heard some mixed things about 2024 in terms of pricing being more of a sort of return to normal type year after a bunch of years of pretty elevated levels. We obviously had a significant capacity event in what was a relatively sort of soft market from a freight perspective broadly in 2023. So I guess, conceptually, as you think about pricing 24 versus 23 years, there's still sort of more acceleration opportunity and maybe that's unique to Saia, but bigger picture Or is it maybe more of a normalizing environment? Speaker 700:23:00Just kind of get a sense of what you think the sort of direction broadly for the industry is? Speaker 200:23:05Well, I think broadly for the industry, I mean, The underlying costs for the industry are inflationary, right? And I think that that's an important note. And I think that Those that choose to invest in service levels, that's probably doubly inflationary, right? So you have to really remain Focused on balancing that equation, I think that the industry dynamics broadly that Those trends aren't going to change in the coming year in terms of what the underlying inflationary costs are. So I think that You'll consider this continue to see positive pricing in the business. Speaker 200:23:43When I think about Saia, I think about what our relative position is and I Look at our relative service and I look at our relative sort of pricing opportunities, I think that's pretty positive for us. Speaker 100:23:56I'd say too, Chris, there's a case to be made that you could see another leg up in industry pricing, right? I mean, the industry event happened and there was capacity there to handle it, but that's because tonnage in our industry has been negative for basically a year when it happened. But if you give The players I see operating in our industry today, if you give us a little bit better macro backdrop in terms of industrial freight, Nobody's given away this service. They've all made investments to provide good service and improving service levels. If the backdrop gets a little better, I'd say there's a case we made that We're handling all this extra volume now that you could see another leg up in industry pricing. Speaker 100:24:36So we'll have to see what the macro deals, especially in the second half. Speaker 700:24:41Okay. That's helpful color. Appreciate it guys. Thank you. Operator00:24:46Your next question comes from the line of Scott Group with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:24:53Hey, thanks. Good morning. So, Fritz, I think you just said you repriced 50% more of your business in Q4 than Q4 a year ago. I guess I'm wondering how do you do that? And then Can you just put some perspective like what percent of the actual business was repriced in Q4? Speaker 400:25:11And then maybe just Doug maybe you can help a little bit. We got so many moving parts with Yields were up 12%, but rev per shipment was up 2% or 3%, like how should we think about just overall yield growth going forward? Speaker 200:25:29Hey, Scott. Thank you for bringing up the Let me just clarify my comments around the contractual renewals. So those would be the number of contracts year over year increased by 50%. So it wasn't 50% of the book of business or something like that. It was just the absolute number of contracts. Speaker 200:25:48The key thing with that is, as you know, those contracts are effectively pricing agreements. They don't have a volume commitment to it. So what we end up doing, we're very pleased with how that process went. Now it's It's a matter of making sure that we hang on to the business going forward, but I think it's a directional indication that's pretty positive kind of a trend for us. So we think about it in that context, but it was the number of contracts that we had physically renewed this year versus last. Speaker 100:26:23And then Scott, just in terms Speaker 800:26:26of the rate environment, I mean, Speaker 100:26:29you saw our GRI that we put into December early in December, we pulled it forward. So if you're looking at December shipments that early GRI might have taken a little bit of top off the shipments, but we're okay with that again because it was the right thing to do. But I'd say, I mean, our revenue per shipment for the full year 2023 was still up in that low single digit range 4% -ish. So, the cost inflation last year ex fuel was A little bit less than that. So I mean, I think pricing revenue per shipment in the 3 mid single 3% to 4% range probably still makes sense for us. Speaker 100:27:10And again, a little bit better backdrop, maybe you get more than that. But you're right, it's confusing with the weight per shipment Coming down so much the yields not really telling the pricing story, but underlying pricing and revenue per shipment growth It's still going to be positive, I think in that low single digit range. Operator00:27:29Okay. Speaker 400:27:29And then just want to follow-up on the CapEx piece, how should we think about D and A and interest expense this year to fund it? And then should we think about this as It's a $1,000,000,000 this year, but then it sort of normalizes back down in the out years and this was a bit of a pull forward or is this a new run rate in your mind? Speaker 100:27:51Yes. I mean, in terms of depreciation, I mean, it's been increasing as we've expanded footprint over the years, I mean, I'd expect another step up if we get all this equipment delivered and the timing of some of these Construction investments and things, I'd expect depreciation will be up another 15% to 20%, I would guess in 2024. You're right. I mean, we ended the year with a lot of cash and we've made our yellow investment. We're not regularly into the line or anything, but we'll be using our line and putting a little bit of debt on throughout the year. Speaker 100:28:29So I mean, you're going to have you're going to flip from Interest expense or interest income to interest expense and somewhere probably I'd expect probably $5,000,000 or $10,000,000 probably in interest expense in 2024 depending on timing. Speaker 400:28:48And then the is this a 1 year CapEx or a multi year at this level? Speaker 200:28:56I think you obviously have the one off related to the real estate here in the yellow auction. I think what you're going to see over time as we grow the company, you're going to see elevated levels of CapEx investment that reflective of that growth. So I think you would expect to see it step down and then I think you'd see it expect to over time normalize. We still won't have all the levels of or all the real estate or all the locations that we think we ultimately want to have. And in underlying all this, I think it's important to understand in that real estate line is that we've got some pretty nice investments in the legacy network in order to support growing business. Speaker 200:29:42So I think you'll see us continue to invest in real estate over time. The fleet will have to match that. You'll see the OR improve over time. We'll be able to fund a lot of this from operating cash flow. Speaker 400:29:57Thank you, guys. Operator00:30:02Your next question comes from the line of Jordan Alliger with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Speaker 900:30:09Yes, hi, morning. I was wondering if you could discuss the new terminal opening plan, perhaps for net new doors open, some thoughts around the timing of when this is going to get added over the quarters And what sort of additional revenue contribution do you think this could have in your plan? Thanks. Speaker 200:30:32Thanks for the question. So a couple of things. As far as the timing of this, it's to be spread out over the year. Some of the facilities that we recently acquired that had It requires some level of investment to meet the standard that we expect out of a facility. So they'll open into the year. Speaker 200:30:54The Great Plains Facilities, they will open in bunch probably more in the second half of this year. If you study the what we purchased, you'd know that we bought facilities like Laredo or Trenton and we acquired rights to facilities in Cheyenne and St. George, Utah. Those terminals are not in any way similar, the comparison there. So some big, some small. Speaker 200:31:24So I think you'll see it spread out over the year. I don't really have a comment specifically on what the revenue add is for those facilities because when we made Those investments and any investment, we're thinking about what the 10 year opportunity is for that and what the market share opportunity is. Based on our history and we're looking back, we know that when we enter our market, we have the opportunity in that addressable market and it's to understand the zip codes around those markets and maybe in the 1st year we ought to be able to get 1% of revenue in those discrete markets or sort of 1% market share and we've shown that we can do that. So I think what you'll see over time is that will be part of our growth for the year, as well as ongoing initiatives. Don't forget about the last several facilities, actually the last 20 that we've purchased that there's still a lot of opportunity there for us as well. Speaker 200:32:16So I think we've got some we're pretty pleased with what the opportunities are for us. Speaker 400:32:21And then just Speaker 900:32:22sorry, go ahead. Sorry. Speaker 100:32:24Yes. On the door count part of your question, we ended the year with about call it 8,700 operating doors. Based on our 15% to 20% openings plan, we could add another 8% or 9% probably to the door count if we got all those And then there's probably I think we've got another 10 like relocations planned during the year and a couple of terminals that we're expanding and The aggregate door additions from those efforts too could be another 4% or 5% of the door count. Again, it's that's the plan as we walk into the year and we'll see we'll get where we'll get done and like all years too. I mean, If things unfold differently versus plan throughout the year, if the macro environment worsens or gets better, you can see us slow it down or speed it up a little bit with these openings. Speaker 100:33:22So there will always be that kind of factor where it's hard to put a single point on it, but those are the magnitude of the additions we're planning. Speaker 900:33:30Great. Thanks so much. Operator00:33:35Your next question comes from the line of Jonathan Chappell with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead. Speaker 1000:33:44Yes. Thank you. Good morning. To that point on relocations and net doors, I mean, it sounds like you're going to be moving out of some of the terminals you're currently in to upsize or go to better geographic location. So these new terminals that you've acquired, any sense for how many terminals you'll actually be closing? Speaker 1000:34:00And the reason I ask that or I should follow-up and say, And what's going to happen to those terminals? Do you imagine selling those back to like a regional LTL competitor? Do you think they leave the market? Just asking In regards to the view that all the yellow capacity is going to come back online versus the potential for net subtractions as you open some of the newly acquired terminals? Speaker 200:34:22I don't know that I've got a good view on what the fate is of the facilities that we might exit. I think we're still waiting over time to see how the industry Repositions the assets that have been redeployed here. If you look at Saia's growth discreetly over the last number of years, I mean, we've made A lot of our footprint expansion has been tied to adding facilities and opening doors that some of our larger competitors may be exiting. So as we continue to grow, I mean theoretically those that are sort of below us that may take on some of that. So I think it's probably still early to call on what where ours specifically go. Speaker 200:35:11But I think that a fair number of the ones that were in the industry likely will exit the industry because as you watch the auction process unfold, You saw that not all of them cleared. So I think there's some number of those that probably leave the market entirely. Speaker 1000:35:28And then for the follow-up, you've obviously filled some geographic holes for these acquisitions and your organic growth. As we think about filling out kind of major areas of need, so to speak, how does that kind of filter through with pricing with your national accounts? If you have better geographic coverage, Like a massive big box retailer or a massive industrial consumer, does that really push the pricing needle with that major national customer as well? Speaker 200:35:54It certainly helps and it gets you some advance with customers that have very high levels of service requirements and We've got some incumbent large accounts that they look at our footprint and they're really excited about what we've just added because for them, We help solve a problem. They get a very they appreciate the very high level of service that they're getting from Saia right now. And now we can go more points with those customers. They value that. And we like some of the customers that consider us strategic In those situations, those are people that are paying for service and greatly value service. Speaker 200:36:37And For them, they make money and their business is dependent upon a supply chain and LTL partner that is Reliable and on time and low damage. So they're not worried about necessarily pricing per se. They're thinking more about value. So In that scenario, having more advanced for them, that's a win for us. And we like that and we're seeing that as we deal with a lot of the larger national accounts been satisfied with what they've been getting from us. Operator00:37:12Your next question comes from the line of Ken Hoexter with Bank of America. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:37:19Hey, good morning, Fitz and Doug. The Groundhog said it's an early spring. So Doug, on your weather concern for February, March, sounds like you're all set. Just Doug, can you talk a bit about your life cycle of conversion? You brought on a lot of operating expenses ahead of time to handle all the freight that you won early last year. Speaker 700:37:41Maybe can you talk about the progress you're making and how we should think about that as we move through 2024? Speaker 100:37:49Sure. I mean, I'll take a shot. I mean, I like to think it's kind of leveling it out. I mean, you've seen a major Step up the last 6 months in terms of our growing the workforce to meet these kind of new normal volume levels and I was really pleased Q3 to Q4 With how we continue through that process, our headcount number is growing. So Q3 and to end of the year, the headcount was up about right around 3 little over 3%, I think, but our FTEs, if I think about how we're managing the use of those folks, our FTEs were only up about 0.5% on average at Q3 compared to Q4. Speaker 100:38:29So again, I mean, it's we do it every year seasonally throughout the business and this was just kind of exaggerated, but we know we need that trained and well positioned employee count because Soon enough, like you say, we'll be getting into spring and with these new normal volume levels, just the cost that come on is kind of fixed Dock and driver costs, for example, which is where most of the hires are happening, as we build density in the business and Seasonally as density builds, they become more variable. I've already kind of absorbed the cost and now as I make them, I've got more freight from the handle and all I get those efficiencies. So I think we've been pleased with it and let's see we look forward to getting out into seasonally stronger period and see how it flows through. Speaker 700:39:21So just to clarify that then Doug. So you've got the people that you needed. You're getting the equipment, which was your concern. You mentioned the lease up. So the added cost now will be the DNA focus and Maybe more wage growth or maybe as but you've already got them at the ready. Speaker 700:39:38Is that just trying to understand where we should see incremental costs Relative to the volume growth leverage you can get from that? Speaker 100:39:45Yes. Well, you'll just see better utilization or better efficiency across those costs you've added because now you adding volume to them. It's volume because we're opening new markets and can bring in new business and it's volume because seasonally we expect things to get better. Speaker 700:40:00And then the Kind of Speaker 100:40:02tracking margins Q3 into Q4 is kind of tough because Q4 is always The seasonally softer quarter, you've got additional holiday noise in the Q4. So it's always hard to kind of compare how I'm doing in Q3 versus Q4, it's just a different kind of cadence on the seasonal trends, which you have to manage through every year and this year was exaggerated because like you said, the workforce was ramping up. You're typically not doing that Q3 to Q4. Speaker 700:40:29Yes. Great. Thanks for that. Rich, you mentioned The pace of I guess the contract renewals or the number of contracts, can you talk about the percent of book yet to reprice or maybe the pace of renewals? Has that accelerated at this point? Speaker 700:40:45And then the capacity you have open excess capacity, where are you entering, I guess, as you add The additional doors and service centers? Speaker 200:40:57Yes. So from here, I would expect the contract renewals to be pretty ratable for the balance of the year. But what is as the mix of business as we continue to assess What we're taking on as part of the sort of industry disruption, right? I mean, Frank's moving around a bit from carrier to carrier here too. So as we continue to assess with Kevin our way, we may push again on those renewals to maybe accelerate some of that, but I think it's important for us to continue to manage that mix and that's kind of what we started off with in Q4. Speaker 200:41:34When you think about capacities here, so I think we feel pretty good at any point in time in the network and it's all dependent on where that freight comes from. We've added we had a really a real pinch point in Salt Lake City as an example last year and We've added a facility that's significantly bigger than where we were and that has freed up capacity in that market. So For us, we manage it market to market. And I think in total, you'd say that we probably got 20 ish percent sort of excess capacity, but You're also seeing us make a pretty significant investment here in our fleet, namely to make sure we've got ample capacity to continue to provide really high levels of service. We want to be invest ahead a little bit there so that we're in a position that when that customer has got that extra drop trailer or that extra opportunity, the new facility that we're in a position to get that business and do a great job for them. Speaker 200:42:37So We like the overall position of where we are. We study it market by market. As we grow, we're continuing to invest in those pinch points. But I think we feel pretty good with where we are. Speaker 700:42:51Awesome. Appreciate the insight and congrats. Great stuff. Operator00:42:58Your next question comes from the line of James Monegan with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:43:05Hey guys, thank you. I'm going to get Speaker 1100:43:07a little bit more context around the growth costs and Speaker 700:43:12kind of follow-up on the Speaker 1100:43:13prior question a bit. I guess, like Speaker 700:43:16is there a way to sort Speaker 1100:43:16of think about the utilization headwind on headcount or like and the usage of PT in 4th quarters like 100 or 200 basis points. Just trying to understand that in the context of that full year OR improvement that you're talking about. Is it really just utilization coming through? Are you getting A positive cost spread that adds to that too. Speaker 100:43:38Well, I don't know. I mean, on the PT Line, like I think about Q4, I mean, 15.4% of our miles, of our line haul miles were purchased in the Q4. And while that was up year over year, we brought it down from 18% at the end of Q3. So again, that's just something we have to manage As we get drivers onboarded in a position to drive for us, that helps us take PT out. As we move into the 2024, I think we feel a lot better positioned In terms of our ability to handle our line haul needs with our own workforce, so that's good. Speaker 100:44:20PT Might be an opportunity if volumes bounce back really strong and somehow we get a macro tailwind or something, We effectively utilize PT, so it comes and goes. But I think in general having to staff up In a period where seasonally you might not otherwise be doing so was a challenge and I was pleased to see that Q4 was better than Q4 a year ago and We'll try to build on that this year. Speaker 700:44:50Got it. But I guess Speaker 1100:44:53is the is better utilization of the workforce The majority of that 100 to 200 basis point improvement year over full year to full year for the OR? Speaker 200:45:03No. I think that what you have to look at it when we study that, we talk about pricing opportunity over time, Freight selection opportunity over time, we talk about line haul optimization over time. Not only is that How we utilize PT, but it's also how we utilize our own assets, driving the load averages, those sorts Rather than handing off freight and to an agent to make that delivery in the Great Plains states, That's having a Siya flag truck making that delivery, right? That's building scale on that network. So all those things Together around providing that value proposition, that's what drives the OR improvement over time. Speaker 200:45:47We'll invest in the business to continue to maintain that and improve it. As you build scale in the business naturally and we've said this all along when it comes to PT, as you build scale in the business, you have the To build your own line haul network internally because you have the appropriate scale to do that. In some cases, in a smaller company, you use maybe a little bit more PT simply because you don't have the infrastructure or the balance in the network. So you use PT assets to leverage that opportunity to service the customer. Now as you grow your business, you have the opportunity to further balance lanes across the network and use a little bit relatively less PT because you're using more of your own assets. Speaker 200:46:32But important all of that, the biggest driver of value and size business without A doubt is getting the pricing right, getting that mix of business right and that's the most critical thing to OR improvement. Speaker 1100:46:46Got it. That's helpful. And just real quick, you mentioned higher capital to support higher quality service. How should we sort of think about the maintenance capital For the higher quality service sort of like what for like high quality service, what sort of the maintenance CapEx requirement? Speaker 100:47:05Well, I think it's important probably to give a kind of longer term outlook. Let's kind of see where What the network looks like year in and year out, I mean, we've opened 25 terminals in the last 3 years. We've got plans to open 15 to 20 This year and adding the equipments to support the network expansion as well as our share gains and higher volumes, It's a moving target. The fleet is getting bigger, the footprint is getting bigger. So, I think the good carriers in our industry on an ongoing basis I've always put 12 to low double digit percent of revenue back into the business. Speaker 100:47:42So maybe longer term that's what you model for, but like Fred We still got an opportunity to make this network more competitive and that means investing. Speaker 700:47:52Thank you. Appreciate it. Operator00:47:56Your next question comes from the line of Tom Wadewitz with UBS. Please go ahead. Speaker 1200:48:03Yes, good morning. Wanted to see if you could offer some kind of broad thoughts on how we might think about Shipment or tonnage growth, when you look at second half of this year, obviously, the big step up in yellow Business is driving growth in first half. But when you think about, I guess, maybe one framework would be if the freight market stays kind of flat. I think given your capacity expansion and strong service, you'd expect to grow. Is that like a low single digits? Speaker 1200:48:35Is it more than that? And then if you actually saw a pickup in the freight market, if you saw a bit of a cycle lift, what kind of growth could you get given stronger freight and given your capacity Expansion, I know it's not precision, but just directionally how should we think about kind of those two scenarios? Speaker 200:48:54Thanks, Tom. The way I think about this is you got to start with what you think the macro assumption is going to be in the second half and that's kind of Whatever that is and from my perspective, I think it's probably a pretty I don't see anything that would say that it's going to be a big change, but it could be right in the second half. We could see growth that comes out of that. What I would specifically say though is I look at Saia's position in the market. I look at this as we open these facilities, we're on an equal footing with some of the other national carriers. Speaker 200:49:29And I think from a quality perspective, I think we're on a leading position versus some of the national carriers. And I think that is if we continue to focus on the right mix of business, there's a share gain for us opportunity, not only in the first half as things continue to settle, but into the second half. So I think it's in a more tepid environment, it's probably at the low end of any sort of range, right, in terms of shipments and tonnage growth. But I think that our focusing on what we can control, there's an opportunity for us to continue to grow through the market. Now in a more limited sort of economic environment in the second half, it's probably a little bit slower. Speaker 200:50:14But the opportunity is there for us and we're very focused on that. Speaker 1200:50:20Okay. Thank you. And then The other question would just be like, so you've added people in 4Q. I guess you're probably more calibrated to the volume you anticipate on the It's paid on the people side than the terminals, right? The doors can sit there even if you don't use them. Speaker 1200:50:37But the people, you don't want them sitting around. So what would you say, Given the current headcount level, what are you calibrated for in terms of shipment growth given the 1500 you added? Is it like mid single or is it different than in terms of shipment growth? Speaker 200:50:53Yes. I mean, I think it's probably consistent with what we've seen from the trends we've had in the last few months that gave us the update on it. I think we feel pretty good about our positioning there. We feel pretty good about our ability to further scale from here if we need to. But yes, I think we're appropriately positioned right now. Speaker 200:51:13But as we go into seasonally Peak times, I think we continue to scale up from here and that's our tradition. That's what we've that's kind of how we've operated it. So I feel pretty good about our value proposition to attract people as we need and I feel pretty good about where we're staffed right now. Speaker 1200:51:33Great. Thanks for the time. Operator00:51:37Your next question comes from the line of Jason Seidl with TD Cowen. Please go ahead. Speaker 1300:51:44Thank you, operator. Good morning, gentlemen. Doug, Speaker 400:51:48you talked a Speaker 1300:51:48little bit about the trends in January on a tonnage Clearly, as you mentioned, weather was a little bit of a hit. If we exclude weather, are you guys in that sort of up 5% to 6% range? Is that how we should think about it? Speaker 100:52:03Well, I mean, it's probably better to talk about shipments, shipments per workday up 11.8 Definitely a little bit of the shine was taken off that from weather. I mean, we've continued to see a weight per shipment impact Some of the business we've picked up since last summer's event, so I'd say the 11 0.8% shipments per workday would have had some upside. We as all of our other competitors had a lot of days impacted in January by weather and your terminals are just Either closed or there are limited operations or they're making a few deliveries, but they're not able to pick up freight, the customers close, that kind of thing. So That's not unusual for January or February. It just happened, but I'd say thinking about the 11.8% number, it could have been better. Speaker 1300:52:55Okay, fair enough. And as we think about you guys obviously took on a bunch of terminals here from the yellow dispositions, But there are still a bunch of other leases that have not been doled out yet. Is there anything on there that you guys could acquire as well? Speaker 200:53:12So Jason, we are aware of everything that's still in the market and we kind of continuously look at those assets as well as others in the in our pipeline. So, yes, that's part of potential opportunity for sure and maybe some of those assets are particularly attractive to a competitor and maybe that's an for that competitor to move from their current facility to a new facility, and then maybe that leaves it creates an opportunity for us and another facility. So it's, yes, I think there's potentially some opportunities. Speaker 1300:53:51And do you know the timing of the next round Operator00:53:54of those assets? Speaker 200:53:56Good question. We monitor it closely. I'm not aware of anything right now. Speaker 1300:54:01Fair enough. Gentlemen, appreciate the time. Nice quarter. Speaker 200:54:05Thanks. Operator00:54:08Your next question comes from the line of Bruce Chan with Stifel. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:54:15Thanks, operator. Good morning, Fritz. Good morning, Doug. Just a couple of cleanups here. You talked about the OR progression a bit, but when you think about the SWB line Specifically, is that growing faster than other expenses this year due to that elevated headcount? Speaker 700:54:29And if so, by how much? Or is there maybe some offset there because you've got less overtime spent, maybe just some comments around the potential squeeze on that line item? Speaker 100:54:41Yes, I mean, I expect it to go up, right. I mean as we bring on our own employees and like just trend wise have been able Get folks on boarded and trained and stuff that will put upward pressure on that line and on the driver side you'll probably benefit We remove some PT where we decide to things like that. And then we still have wage inflation out there. So As we open new terminals, we've got to get them staffed before the opening, so we can get them trained and everything like that. The ramped up opening plan, the pre opening expenses go up and some of that's wages. Speaker 100:55:19So yes, I think That line will be you're going to see wage increase, salaries, wage and benefits Speaker 400:55:27increase. Okay. Speaker 800:55:30That's helpful. And then just on the Speaker 700:55:31PT side right now, how much rail are you using in that outsourced Percentage and directionally, as you think about it long term, do you expect that number to go up or down or stay relatively flat? Speaker 100:55:46Yes, I mean it's come down. I mean when we needed to move the freight a lot of it was in lanes where we Couldn't optimize and use rail when things really ramped up last July, August, September, even in October. So we were heavier there on the truck side for a while and It's probably in this environment, it's more normalized back at that kind of low 60%, high 30% range truck to rail. And we'll see seasonally what develops and that's generally how that team manages it, where they get a chance because I'd love to use rail. Okay. Speaker 700:56:21That's great. Thank you. Operator00:56:26Your next question comes from the line of Ravi Shanker with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:56:33Thanks. Good morning, Evelyn. I think you said that you have about 20% excess capacity in the network right now. Just given this CapEx number, Are you looking to expand that closer to 25% to 30% or kind of what's the normal run rate kind of do you expect to stay at the 20? Speaker 200:56:48Yes, I mean, I think we would expect the CapEx is going to help us expand that, right, and more on the equipment side, so particularly at trailer investments. So those are important. It gives you flexibility. The incremental value you can provide to your customer, That's really important. So we'd look to drive that capacity a bit there, expand that capacity a bit. Speaker 800:57:13Got it. Maybe as a related follow-up, I think just given like first the yellow auctions kind of given how much the LTL capacity kind of stayed within the LTL space, and given the step up in organic CapEx we're seeing from you and some of your peers, is there a risk that Not as much capacity comes out of the network as we all thought like back in June or July kind of what's the risk that maybe some of the kind of less players in the space kind of run away a little bit? Speaker 200:57:43Well, I mean, yes, you're going to see natural growth in the industry. You're going to see So people are making their investments to support their business model and plans. I don't think that you're going to see all that capacity come back the industry, what percentage of that remains to be seen. But as I look at it, we're the only places that we're adding New greenfield facilities is when they're in markets where there isn't anything available. So that I don't know that that's a That's not material to the market generally. Speaker 200:58:17And I think in the others, what you're seeing is at least some percentage of that Capacity from Yellow is being redistributed, but I don't think all of it's coming back. I mean, they weren't operating at its most basic level. They weren't operating at capacity. So they had surplus capacity in that business anyway. So I don't suspect that that would become new capacity in the industry. Speaker 200:58:41So a lot of it is going to be redistributed. Speaker 100:58:45Understood. Thank you. Operator00:58:48Your next question comes from the line of Eric Morgan with Barclays. Please go ahead. Speaker 1400:58:54Hey, good morning. Thanks I wanted to ask another on pricing. You had the above average GRI in December. So I was just wondering If you could talk about how customers responded to that. Do you see more or less volume impact than you were expecting? Speaker 1400:59:10And does it give you any insight into how you can tackle closing the pricing gap to some of your peers? Speaker 200:59:17I think that the what we would say is that the reaction So the GRI is pretty consistent with what we've seen historically. I don't No, that any of that was materially different one way or the other. I think it is important though, I think we need to highlight that the GRI was in December, right. So it's That's not a there are a lot of externalities, it could be holiday, it could be weather in that period of time. So From what we've seen so far, it's the typical level of acceptance there. Speaker 200:59:52The good thing is that we're maintaining that high level of service. It's a little bit harder for somebody to switch. And I think generally speaking over time, you saw the contractual renewal in the 4th quarter plus 8 point 7, you saw the GRI. I mean that just speaks to the initiatives around making sure we get the pricing right and the mix of business right. Speaker 1401:00:12Appreciate that. And maybe just a quick follow-up on service. You've been at the, I guess, 0.6 percent claims ratio for a few years now. Obviously, maintaining that with all the volume you took on is pretty impressive. But I guess just given the CapEx number this year and talking about capacity and service, do you think this is a year where we can see Kind of a step function improvement in that claims ratio or is it kind of steady improvement over time a better way to think about it? Speaker 201:00:41I think you'd see steady improvement over time. But let's be clear, that's a pretty low number as it is right now and how we Calculate and reported, that's a pretty good number. It's a differentiating number and it's a number that although it has been a bit steady, it is consistent and customers really expect consistency. And I think the other thing that customers really care about is that you pick up the freight And you deliver it when you say you're going to deliver it. So if you think about the capacity investments that we're making around our fleet, that's all about making sure that you also hit the other service metrics that are critical for the customer. Speaker 201:01:19So certainly we don't damage the freight, but we also have to be able to pick up the freight and deliver when the customer expects. So those are also part of that service equation. So those are all things that we're doing. And then you add in the fact you add terminals and markets close to where the customer needs you to be, that further enhances your ability to deliver service. So service is defined more than just claims. Speaker 701:01:43Great. Thank you. Operator01:01:47Your next question comes from the line of Stephanie Moore with Jefferies. Please go ahead. Speaker 1501:01:55Hi, good morning. Thank you. Maybe it would be helpful if you could just touch a little bit on what you're seeing and maybe some of your end markets here. I think it's Pretty clear that the environment remains pretty weak, but maybe any pockets of strength or commentary that you're hearing Either on either end of that to the positive or to the more negative? Thanks. Speaker 201:02:16Yes, thanks for that. What's interesting right now is that I would say that what we see across The business is it's pretty uniform. So I don't really have a good call out either for a region or for vertical, so which is important, right? So that's actually an insight there in the sense that We're happy with what we're seeing in the end markets and but it's not there's not a call out one way or the other. Speaker 1501:02:50Great. Thank you so much. Operator01:02:54Your next question comes from the line of Bascome Majors with Susquehanna. Please go ahead. Speaker 1601:03:02If we go back to 3 years ago, you were at 170 terminals, talking about adding 10 to 15 a year, Line of sight to get above $200,000,000 and where we sit today with this opportunity to pull that forward a bit, it will be at $210,000,000 $215,000,000 By year end, if all goes as planned, can you walk us forward? What does the real estate plan look like in 3 years, 5 years? Just Any sort of vision on where this can go and we get to the point where you think the network is where it needs to be geographically? Thank you. Speaker 201:03:36Yes, it's a good question. I think we're Canada, we're in a little bit of uncharted territory for Saia here, so which is a pretty exciting place to be. I think as you look at the national players, the bigger folks than us, they have a bigger footprint than we do. So I think there's some runway beyond The $212,000,000 $215,000,000 number, I think there's probably $10,000,000 plus Per year for a couple of years after that potentially, but I think what's really important on the investment piece and we're already kind of getting there, Where when you scale the business like we have, some of your important facilities become, I don't want to say they're not pinch points, but once you have to invest and kind of further develop those facilities. I mean, case in point, Harrisburg facility, which we moved into in 2018 or so, And we have we're basically going to double the capacity of that facility here in the balance of this year. Speaker 201:04:39And that is all reflective of Northeast kind of growth that we've seen and business sort of density we've seen develop over time. So I think you'll see us continue to make those kinds Investments in markets. So I think there's maybe it's not incremental pins on the map, but it will be sort of investments in sort of legacy facilities that just have got to scale with a business that's a national level business that's with growing market share. So I think there It's an interesting redeployment of capital that remains for this business for some time. Speaker 1601:05:16Thank you for that. Operator01:05:20Your next question comes from the line of Tyler Brown with Raymond James. Please go ahead. Speaker 601:05:27Hey, good morning guys. Speaker 101:05:30Hey, good morning, Speaker 601:05:31Tom. Hey, Fritz, just real quick. Is the thought that the leased facilities that you took on will be put into service first. I'm assuming those lease payments will kick in fairly immediately. And then Will the facilities that you acquired be kind of effectively call it stocked on the balance sheet and will be judiciously leaked out into the market maybe over this year next? Speaker 201:05:53Yes, I think that's a good insight, Tyler. The gating item around opening facilities, One, if there's a lease facility, we're going to make sure that it's a place that meets the size standard in terms of safety and a good place for a colleague to come to work every day. So we're going to make the needed investments there. We'll make sure that if it remains to be leased, that it's got the appropriate sort of term and such. So, yes, those would probably move closer to the front of the list. Speaker 201:06:27The other element you look at is in some cases you have a facility that maybe has got some sort of local zoning requirement that says You've got to be active in business to be able to maintain zoning. So those would be next in line. And then there are also ones that just have real meaningful market opportunity, which we've moved those in line. Now some of the others, all the ones we've purchased have significant value to us longer term. Some of them may just simply be an upsize or a lease replacement. Speaker 201:07:01The ones that we don't open this year would be sort of available and we make the important upgrades and then put into service at a later time. So that would be how we manage that. Speaker 601:07:15Yes. That is extremely helpful. But Doug, I want to come back to a prior question. So it takes me a second to get it all straight. But there's obviously a ton going on with the network, Super exciting. Speaker 601:07:27But did you say that there's maybe 8% to 9% door growth from acquired and leased facilities And then another 4 to 5 from expansion. So in aggregate, call it 12 to 14 on the door side net in 24. Speaker 101:07:43If we ended up opening all of 'twenty, for example, Tyler, and then we relocate what we've got planned to relocate and The expansions, Fritz mentioned, your numbers are right. So if we did everything, that's what it could be this year. Speaker 501:07:57Okay, perfect. Operator01:07:58And the last thing Speaker 201:07:59Tyler, you know when we think about network expansion, we don't think about this year. We're looking at a 10 or 12 year horizon. So those doors, that's all about runway. Speaker 601:08:11Sure. No, absolutely get it. So this is a bit of an esoteric question. Maybe you'll entertain me or not, but I think it will help maybe conceptualize the power of the footprint. So do you have any idea what's your inner line mix of P and D is today versus say 5 to 10 years ago, because I assume it's way down, but it still likely has an opportunity to go to virtually 0, which I would assume internalizes margin and it gives you control over service? Speaker 201:08:41Tyler, you broke up just a little bit at I want to make sure I got this right. You were referring to you said interline? Speaker 601:08:48Yes, sorry about that. What was the what is your interline mix of P and D today versus 5 to 10 years ago, because I assume it's way down, but there's still an opportunity to go to 0 And that just gives you control over your service. Speaker 201:09:03Yes, great. I don't have the number Tyler, but you're right. That's a tremendous opportunity for us, right, in terms of certainly the cost element in building the density around that network. But From a customer perspective, that customer experience is so critical in those markets, absolutely, that will be a positive. Speaker 101:09:27And then along with that, I mean, not splitting the revenue, right? Yes. Speaker 601:09:34Exactly. Yes. Okay, cool. Thank you, guys. Speaker 101:09:37Okay. See you, Tyler. Operator01:09:42I'll now turn the call back over to Fritz Hulsgrief for closing remarks. Please go ahead. Speaker 201:09:49Thank you for taking the time to join us to talk about the compelling opportunities for Saia. We're excited to start The 100th year of our company with a really, really exciting investment opportunity and growth opportunity and We look forward to talking about those success at the end of the next quarter. Thank you.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallSaia Q4 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xRemove Ads Earnings DocumentsPress Release(8-K)Annual report(10-K) Saia Earnings HeadlinesStifel Nicolaus Has Lowered Expectations for Saia (NASDAQ:SAIA) Stock PriceApril 16 at 1:43 AM | americanbankingnews.comSaia price target lowered to $480 from $524 at StifelApril 15 at 2:31 AM | markets.businessinsider.comThe Trump Dump is starting; Get out of stocks now?The first 365 days of the Trump presidency… Will be the best time to get rich in American history.April 17, 2025 | Paradigm Press (Ad)Saia localizes its customer service operationsApril 14 at 11:30 AM | finance.yahoo.comStifel Adjusts Price Target for Saia (SAIA) Amid Market Uncertainty | SAIA Stock NewsApril 14 at 8:44 AM | gurufocus.comJefferies Financial Group Has Lowered Expectations for Saia (NASDAQ:SAIA) Stock PriceApril 12, 2025 | americanbankingnews.comSee More Saia Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Saia? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Saia and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About SaiaSaia (NASDAQ:SAIA), together with its subsidiaries, operates as a transportation company in North America. The company provides less-than-truckload services for shipments between 100 and 10,000 pounds; and other value-added services, including non-asset truckload, expedited, and logistics services. It also offers other value-added services, including non-asset truckload, expedited, and logistics services. As of December 31, 2022, it operated 191 owned and leased facilities; and owned approximately 6,200 tractors and 20,800 trailers. The company operates 194 terminals. The company was formerly known as SCS Transportation, Inc. and changed its name to Saia, Inc. in July 2006. 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There are 17 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Thank you for standing by. My name is Eric, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Q4 2023 Saia Incorporated Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer Thank you. Operator00:00:30I would now like to turn the call over to Doug Cole, Saia's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:40Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Saia's Q4 2023 conference call. With me for today's call is Saia's President and Chief Executive Officer, Fritz Holzgrefe. Before we begin, you should know that during the call, we may make certain forward looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward looking statements and all other statements that might be made on this call that are not historical facts are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially. Speaker 100:01:11We refer you to our press release and our SEC filings for more information on the exact risk factors that could cause actual results to differ. I'll now turn the call over to Fritz for some opening comments. Speaker 200:01:21Good morning and thank you for joining us to discuss Saia's 4th quarter and full year results. I must start my comments today with a word of thanks to the entire Saia team for the dedicated efforts as we work through volatile business trends in 2023. We start our 1 100th anniversary year with an engaged team that delivered a record number of shipments in 2023, just shy of $8,000,000 in total for the year And in turn, 2023 revenue of $2,900,000,000 was also a record for our company. 2023 was really a tale of 2 halves. Both shipments and tonnage per workday were down year over year and for the 1st 6 months of the year, continuing a trend which will begin in the second half of twenty twenty two as the industrial economy slowed. Speaker 200:02:06Turning the calendar to the month of July, our industry experienced a generational type of moment as a large competitor began limiting service and ultimately ceased operations. At Saia, we saw volumes increase by as much as 10% to 20% on a given day from trends just a month earlier. Our contingency planning in advance of this change put us in a position to handle the increased volumes almost seamlessly while still maintaining excellent service for our customers. In the months that followed that initial surge in business, we increased our staffing levels by adding nearly 1500 dedicated employees in the second half of the year, 90% of which were drivers, dockworkers and frontline leadership to support growth. We have focused our team on taking care of As we absorb all the growth in the second half, we have continued for the painstaking process of investing in our network to maintain our service, while also optimizing how we provide the service with our expanding light haul and driving teams. Speaker 200:03:08We have plans to open 15 to 20 new terminals in 2024. Our teams are committed to accomplishing this with an eye on always putting the customer first. Those customer first initiatives have been the cornerstone of our success over the last several years and included in that is our desire to have more locations through which to serve new and existing customers. In Q4, Mastio released its latest surveys results. The results highlight a couple of significant achievements for Saia. Speaker 200:03:36First, the scores highlight our continued improvement and positive feedback from our customers who are recognizing Saia's ongoing investment in service. 2nd, it's becoming increasingly evident that customers are viewing us as a leading national LTL provider, reflecting not only our investments in service, but the expanding footprint. It is critical to note there have been no drop off of perceived levels of service. Importantly, we've added Nearly 20 new facilities in the last 2 years, customers are recognizing our ability to not only improve service, but to replicate that improved service in new locations. So today, we'll have to give a recap of 2023 results and provide an update on our plans for 2024. Speaker 200:04:18I'll now turn it over to Doug for a review of Q4 results and full 2024 financial highlights. Speaker 100:04:26Thanks, Fritz. 4th quarter revenue increased by $95,400,000 to a record $751,100,000 Shipments grew by 18.1% and with weight per shipment decreasing by 8.3%, tonnage growth for the quarter was 8.2%. Yield excluding fuel surcharge improved by 11.7%, while yield including fuel surcharge increased by 7%. These reported yield results benefit from the lighter average weight per shipment versus the Q4 last year. Revenue per shipment excluding fuel surcharge increased 2.4 percent to $295.22 compared to $288.34 in the 4th of 2022. Speaker 100:05:10Fuel surcharge revenue decreased by 3.4% and was 17% of total revenue compared to 20.1% a year ago, primarily the result of lower national average diesel prices, which are used to establish the surcharge rate in our fuel tables. Shifting to the expense side, a few key items to note in the quarter. Salaries, wages and benefits increased 20.2% a combination of our increased employee headcount of approximately 14% year over year to support our network expansion and volume growth over the last 6 months and also our July 2023 wage increase, which averaged 4.1% across our employee base. Purchase transportation expense increased by 8.4% compared to the Q4 last year, primarily due to increased purchase transportation miles, partially offset by a decrease in the cost per mile compared to the same period in 2022. PT expense was 8.7% of total revenue to 9.2% in the Q4 of 2022. Speaker 100:06:09Purchased transportation miles were 15.4% of total line haul miles in 4th quarter compared to 12% in last year's 4th quarter. Fuel expense decreased by 12.1% in the quarter despite company miles increasing 7.6 percent year over year. The decrease in fuel expense was primarily the result of national average diesel prices decreasing by over 15.9% on a year over year basis. Claims and insurance expense increased by 21% year over year in the quarter and was up 5.1 percent or $900,000 sequentially from the Q3 of 2023. The increase compared to the Q4 of 2022 was primarily due to increase in accident related self insurance and claims costs, as well as increases in insurance premiums. Speaker 100:06:56Depreciation expense of $45,700,000 in the quarter was 15.3% higher year over year, primarily due to ongoing investments in revenue equipment and our network expansion. Total operating expenses increased by 13.4% in the quarter and with the year over year revenue increase of 14.5 percent, our operating improved to 85% compared to 85.9 percent a year ago. Our tax rate for the 4th quarter was 22.8% compared to 24% in the Q4 last year and our diluted earnings per share increased to $3.33 compared to $2.65 in the Q4 a year ago. Moving on to financial highlights of our full year 2023 results. As Fritz mentioned, revenue was a record $2,900,000,000 operating income was $460,500,000 Our operating ratio deteriorated by 90 basis points in 2023 to an 84 exactly 84.0%. Speaker 100:07:56For the full year 2023, our diluted earnings per share were $13.26 versus $13.40 in 2022. I'll now turn the call back over to Fritz for some closing comments. Speaker 200:08:08Thanks, Doug. To continue to operate with an OR in the mid-80s given the activity in the network during the quarter is a testament to the improved operating performance of our team over the last few years. Our customer first focus is yielding tangible results across our organization with a talented growing and engaged workforce. The value proposition to our customers continues to grow. We initially embarked on our geographic expansion in 2017 with 4 terminals in the Northeast. Speaker 200:08:36Since that time, we've opened 48 facilities that would cover the Northeast geography while also refining the strategy to enhance our coverage in legacy markets. Throughout, we've actually seen our underlying service offering continue to improve. This success is attributable to our team across the organization who have spent countless hours supporting these initiatives. I'm excited about the terminals acquired in January and believe this to be a Once in a lifetime opportunity for us to be able to bring our offerings to more markets, meet new customers and serve our current customers more efficiently. The last 7 years have proven our ability to execute an organic expansion strategy. Speaker 200:09:15Critical to our success opening Saia facilities and intense focus on maintaining our culture, which starts with the customer. We believe the unique opportunities at hand will allow us to systematically grow over the next couple of years as the facility additions provide an important supplement to our real estate investment pipeline. As seen from our results over the last Several years, we've shown that the ability to make substantial investments in our network to benefit our customers while generating improved financial performance over time and efficiently and effectively deploying capital. Sial will approach record levels of capital investment in 2024, but at no time in the company's 100 year history have we had a similar opportunity. The capital is focused on continuing developing our terminal network as well as significant investments in our fleet providing increased capacity and flexibility for our customers. Speaker 200:10:07Key to our success will be delivering the customer first focus that started in Houma, Louisiana 100 years ago and has been refined over a century. We continue to have significant opportunity to develop the markets around the other Nearly 20 terminals that we've opened over the last 2 years. Although we're excited about the success of these locations to date, We see considerable runway to build density in all these new markets. Finally, before opening the call for questions, I would say there's still a lot of uncertainty around the strength of the economy. At SAI, we've emphasized the importance of the customer and focusing on the things that we can control. Speaker 200:10:44So as our industry adjusts and adapts to the evolving economic environment over the coming months, my conviction about the long term prospects of Saia remains steadfast. Great employees, Great service and a growing footprint are all key to securing our position as a long term share gainer in our industry. With that said, Operator00:11:24Your first question comes from the line of Jack Atkins with Stephens. Please go ahead. Speaker 300:11:31Okay, great. Fritz and Doug, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Speaker 100:11:36So if we Speaker 300:11:37could maybe start Here first with the CapEx guide for 2024. Doug, I don't know if you want to take this or if it's for Fritz, but the $1,000,000,000 CapEx number, I know Obviously, part of that, a good chunk of that is related to the purchase of the yellow terminals. But can you maybe break down kind of the rest of that kind of $750,000,000 how that's going to kind of shake out between real estate versus equipment and just sort of help us think about what's 2024 and maybe what's related to CapEx beyond that? Speaker 100:12:09Sure, Jack. Good morning. Yes, like you mentioned, I mean, of The kind of billion ish number that we target, you're right, about a quarter of it, call it, is related to the yellow investment. And then we've got to get these terminals ready to get and opening the ones that were in the purchase that are going to be part of our 15 to 20 openings this year. We've got some investments we want to put into them. Speaker 100:12:32And then there's construction going on across the network. I mean, we're upsizing some major terminals in some different markets. So in addition to the, Call it $250,000,000 or so that was the initial yellow investment. There's probably another $300,000,000 plus in real estate this year. We've got a big equipment investment we're going to make this year. Speaker 100:12:53I mean, first of all, I mean, as volume stepped up last summer, meaningful 10% to 20% kind of over a matter of a couple of weeks volume increase. Our contingency planning that we have put in place had us renting some equipment, bringing in additional tractors and trailers to get ready to serve the customer. But We want to do that with our equipment and get rid of some of those costs. So we'll be we've upped our trailer by this year along with just the needs For connecting the network every night and picking up everything in the city, we've also got an opportunity to grow. A lot of these customers that we're serving value the service and if we can put more trailers in their hands, they'll fill them up for us. Speaker 100:13:36So, we've been trying to do that the last several years and the Supply Chain has limited some of those efforts, but we're going to catch up on some of that this year. So you could see kind of call it $400,000,000 to $450,000,000 in equipment. And then we've got ongoing IT investments that will approach probably $50,000,000 and that's related a lot of that's related To these new openings and all, you've got to get IT in place in the terminals and whatever security technology is putting all the terminals. You've got new driver handhelds that we roll out and things like that. So those are the buckets. Speaker 300:14:15Okay. No, that's really helpful, Doug. Thanks for breaking it down for us like that. And I guess maybe for my follow-up question, can you maybe give us an update on January trends to start the year and maybe how you're thinking about any sequential changes to operating ratio Q4 to Q1? Speaker 100:14:34Sure, everybody. I might as well go ahead and I'll give you the December numbers too. The October November numbers We published in the quarter and are public. In December, our shipments per day grew 16.5% And our tonnage per day in December per workday grew 6.8%. And then as we move into January, January shipments per workday were up 11.8% and tonnage was up 3.3%. Speaker 100:15:08So the January number, just for a little commentary, I mean, we had several days, call it 6 or 7 days where we had literally dozens of terminals impact In some of those days, so that's the same for all of us. We always get about it being an outdoor sport and we got quite a bit of weather in January and It'll be hard to give any kind of guide. I mean, it's sunny here to start February, but in some years, February has been the worst Weather month for us, we'll see how that unfolds. And then you get you know, Jack, March is the most important month in Q1. And to Fritz's point, that's maybe we'll start to get a better feel for what's going on with this underlying freight economy. Speaker 100:15:47That's a seasonally stronger period for us. So we'll see what things look like in March. But And just in terms of the OR guide, usually Q4 to Q1, the last several years gets a little better, Call it 50 to 75 basis points better Q4 to Q1. A lot of that's depending on where the weather falls. But Based on how we got out of January, we think that that's still reasonable to expect. Speaker 100:16:13And again, a lot of it's going to be determined in March, but We're still confident that we can show some OR improvement from Q4 into Q1. Speaker 300:16:21All right. That's fantastic. Thanks for the time, Doug. Speaker 400:16:24Sure. Operator00:16:27Your next question comes from the line of Amit Mehrotra with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:16:35Thanks, operator. Hi, guys. Just following up on Jack's questions. So obviously this year is a pretty heavy very heavy investment year. You talked about 1Q, but Fritz, I'd love to get your perspective What the margin expectations are for the full year more broadly? Speaker 500:16:55I mean, there's one angle where it could be transition year as these investments kind of Speaker 600:17:01hit the P and L and Speaker 500:17:02the volume follows after that or maybe there's a little bit more quicker payback from these investments. If you could talk about that and Just more broadly if you expect margins to get Speaker 200:17:13Yes. Thanks, Amit. The interesting thing about the opportunity we have here is The facilities that we are that are in our pipeline in this in the year are they provide a range of opportunities for us. So some of them are moving into markets that are established and we're going to be able to provide some incremental benefit to the customer right away. And those you'd expect to generate be accretive to us potentially in the year. Speaker 200:17:42You've got other facilities that across the Great Plains states where we have partnered with agents in those markets to provide service and now we'll be able to go to direct to those customers and we're really excited about that feedback from customers are that they're really excited about it. So we think about all those things and what the opportunities are and what we're doing around Focusing on our mix of business, I mean, we're as we look at the year and if we have a reasonable backdrop, I mean, I think we ought to be able to Think about a range of 100 to 200 basis points sort of OR improvement from 23. So on the Top end of that range, you probably have got a favorable economic sort of backdrop in the second half In the but through that, I think there's a tremendous amount of opportunities to capitalize on our investments and we're excited about those and what it does for the customer. So on the lower end of that range, maybe that's an environment that is not quite as strong or favorable. But I think what we're doing right now is because we've got this customer proposition that is Improving over time that even in a softer environment, we have an opportunity to differentiate and we have an opportunity for our team to execute. Speaker 200:19:03And I think we can drive those kinds of returns even while we're making substantial investments in the business. Speaker 500:19:10Okay. And my follow-up question, I just wanted to ask about pricing. Obviously, you took on a lot of freight in the Q3. I think you've been trying to optimize that freight. Are we at the point now where you're happy with where we are on that business that you took on? Speaker 500:19:25And as you guys expand, you guys have a, I guess a subscale, you have holes in the national network. As you fill in more dots in the network, does it also give you an ability to kind of Go back to some of your large international customers that are maybe giving you discounted pricing because you don't have the full coverage. If you can just talk about the pricing dynamic from that expansion as well? Speaker 200:19:46Yes. So Amit, I think it's an important point. So we have as we've taken this freight on, We analyze this pretty closely and we pulled forward quite a bit of sort of contract renewals Into the Q4, our renewal rates year over year, I mean, up roughly contracts the number of contracts renewed or renegotiated in the 4th quarter are up about 50 year over year. And our contractual renewal for the quarter in total was 8.7%. So listen, we're very, very focused on that. Speaker 200:20:21And we're talking about making some pretty investments in service for the customer this year. And when we do that, we've got to we've also got to make sure we generate some the appropriate level of return to support that level of investment. So we're very, very focused on making sure that we are compensated for the service, but in order to be compensated For the service, you got to be doing a great job. So that's kind of all together, but we're continuing to work through and understanding the value that we're providing to the and understanding what the impact is of the customers' freight on our network. Speaker 500:20:59Thanks very much guys. Appreciate it. Operator00:21:04Your next question comes from the line of Chris Wetherbee with Citigroup. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:21:11Hey, thanks. Good morning, guys. Maybe I want to get your perspective as sort of what you just piggybacking on what you just noted there around price relative some of the volume that you brought on. So I guess I'm curious how you're thinking about if you need to make any trade offs between the opportunity for volume growth as you continue to expand the network then the ability to get priced on somewhat of a catch up basis. So I guess I'm just kind of curious how you're balancing those two priorities as we're entering 2024? Speaker 200:21:39We always balance that, but I think that what's incumbent upon us is that this is a very high service level that we're providing. So our team is very focused on making sure that we're fairly compensated for those service levels. So We're going to get volume growth simply by some of the network coverage we're going to grow at this year. That's going to be beneficial. At the same time, while we're doing that, we get that Priced in the right way, we'll continue to develop the OR profile over time. Speaker 200:22:12So I think It's an important part of our business case and I think if you look back at the last 4 or 5 years, this is what we do. So provide high level service and focus making sure that we are compensated for it. Speaker 700:22:29Okay. That's helpful. And then We've heard some mixed things about 2024 in terms of pricing being more of a sort of return to normal type year after a bunch of years of pretty elevated levels. We obviously had a significant capacity event in what was a relatively sort of soft market from a freight perspective broadly in 2023. So I guess, conceptually, as you think about pricing 24 versus 23 years, there's still sort of more acceleration opportunity and maybe that's unique to Saia, but bigger picture Or is it maybe more of a normalizing environment? Speaker 700:23:00Just kind of get a sense of what you think the sort of direction broadly for the industry is? Speaker 200:23:05Well, I think broadly for the industry, I mean, The underlying costs for the industry are inflationary, right? And I think that that's an important note. And I think that Those that choose to invest in service levels, that's probably doubly inflationary, right? So you have to really remain Focused on balancing that equation, I think that the industry dynamics broadly that Those trends aren't going to change in the coming year in terms of what the underlying inflationary costs are. So I think that You'll consider this continue to see positive pricing in the business. Speaker 200:23:43When I think about Saia, I think about what our relative position is and I Look at our relative service and I look at our relative sort of pricing opportunities, I think that's pretty positive for us. Speaker 100:23:56I'd say too, Chris, there's a case to be made that you could see another leg up in industry pricing, right? I mean, the industry event happened and there was capacity there to handle it, but that's because tonnage in our industry has been negative for basically a year when it happened. But if you give The players I see operating in our industry today, if you give us a little bit better macro backdrop in terms of industrial freight, Nobody's given away this service. They've all made investments to provide good service and improving service levels. If the backdrop gets a little better, I'd say there's a case we made that We're handling all this extra volume now that you could see another leg up in industry pricing. Speaker 100:24:36So we'll have to see what the macro deals, especially in the second half. Speaker 700:24:41Okay. That's helpful color. Appreciate it guys. Thank you. Operator00:24:46Your next question comes from the line of Scott Group with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:24:53Hey, thanks. Good morning. So, Fritz, I think you just said you repriced 50% more of your business in Q4 than Q4 a year ago. I guess I'm wondering how do you do that? And then Can you just put some perspective like what percent of the actual business was repriced in Q4? Speaker 400:25:11And then maybe just Doug maybe you can help a little bit. We got so many moving parts with Yields were up 12%, but rev per shipment was up 2% or 3%, like how should we think about just overall yield growth going forward? Speaker 200:25:29Hey, Scott. Thank you for bringing up the Let me just clarify my comments around the contractual renewals. So those would be the number of contracts year over year increased by 50%. So it wasn't 50% of the book of business or something like that. It was just the absolute number of contracts. Speaker 200:25:48The key thing with that is, as you know, those contracts are effectively pricing agreements. They don't have a volume commitment to it. So what we end up doing, we're very pleased with how that process went. Now it's It's a matter of making sure that we hang on to the business going forward, but I think it's a directional indication that's pretty positive kind of a trend for us. So we think about it in that context, but it was the number of contracts that we had physically renewed this year versus last. Speaker 100:26:23And then Scott, just in terms Speaker 800:26:26of the rate environment, I mean, Speaker 100:26:29you saw our GRI that we put into December early in December, we pulled it forward. So if you're looking at December shipments that early GRI might have taken a little bit of top off the shipments, but we're okay with that again because it was the right thing to do. But I'd say, I mean, our revenue per shipment for the full year 2023 was still up in that low single digit range 4% -ish. So, the cost inflation last year ex fuel was A little bit less than that. So I mean, I think pricing revenue per shipment in the 3 mid single 3% to 4% range probably still makes sense for us. Speaker 100:27:10And again, a little bit better backdrop, maybe you get more than that. But you're right, it's confusing with the weight per shipment Coming down so much the yields not really telling the pricing story, but underlying pricing and revenue per shipment growth It's still going to be positive, I think in that low single digit range. Operator00:27:29Okay. Speaker 400:27:29And then just want to follow-up on the CapEx piece, how should we think about D and A and interest expense this year to fund it? And then should we think about this as It's a $1,000,000,000 this year, but then it sort of normalizes back down in the out years and this was a bit of a pull forward or is this a new run rate in your mind? Speaker 100:27:51Yes. I mean, in terms of depreciation, I mean, it's been increasing as we've expanded footprint over the years, I mean, I'd expect another step up if we get all this equipment delivered and the timing of some of these Construction investments and things, I'd expect depreciation will be up another 15% to 20%, I would guess in 2024. You're right. I mean, we ended the year with a lot of cash and we've made our yellow investment. We're not regularly into the line or anything, but we'll be using our line and putting a little bit of debt on throughout the year. Speaker 100:28:29So I mean, you're going to have you're going to flip from Interest expense or interest income to interest expense and somewhere probably I'd expect probably $5,000,000 or $10,000,000 probably in interest expense in 2024 depending on timing. Speaker 400:28:48And then the is this a 1 year CapEx or a multi year at this level? Speaker 200:28:56I think you obviously have the one off related to the real estate here in the yellow auction. I think what you're going to see over time as we grow the company, you're going to see elevated levels of CapEx investment that reflective of that growth. So I think you would expect to see it step down and then I think you'd see it expect to over time normalize. We still won't have all the levels of or all the real estate or all the locations that we think we ultimately want to have. And in underlying all this, I think it's important to understand in that real estate line is that we've got some pretty nice investments in the legacy network in order to support growing business. Speaker 200:29:42So I think you'll see us continue to invest in real estate over time. The fleet will have to match that. You'll see the OR improve over time. We'll be able to fund a lot of this from operating cash flow. Speaker 400:29:57Thank you, guys. Operator00:30:02Your next question comes from the line of Jordan Alliger with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Speaker 900:30:09Yes, hi, morning. I was wondering if you could discuss the new terminal opening plan, perhaps for net new doors open, some thoughts around the timing of when this is going to get added over the quarters And what sort of additional revenue contribution do you think this could have in your plan? Thanks. Speaker 200:30:32Thanks for the question. So a couple of things. As far as the timing of this, it's to be spread out over the year. Some of the facilities that we recently acquired that had It requires some level of investment to meet the standard that we expect out of a facility. So they'll open into the year. Speaker 200:30:54The Great Plains Facilities, they will open in bunch probably more in the second half of this year. If you study the what we purchased, you'd know that we bought facilities like Laredo or Trenton and we acquired rights to facilities in Cheyenne and St. George, Utah. Those terminals are not in any way similar, the comparison there. So some big, some small. Speaker 200:31:24So I think you'll see it spread out over the year. I don't really have a comment specifically on what the revenue add is for those facilities because when we made Those investments and any investment, we're thinking about what the 10 year opportunity is for that and what the market share opportunity is. Based on our history and we're looking back, we know that when we enter our market, we have the opportunity in that addressable market and it's to understand the zip codes around those markets and maybe in the 1st year we ought to be able to get 1% of revenue in those discrete markets or sort of 1% market share and we've shown that we can do that. So I think what you'll see over time is that will be part of our growth for the year, as well as ongoing initiatives. Don't forget about the last several facilities, actually the last 20 that we've purchased that there's still a lot of opportunity there for us as well. Speaker 200:32:16So I think we've got some we're pretty pleased with what the opportunities are for us. Speaker 400:32:21And then just Speaker 900:32:22sorry, go ahead. Sorry. Speaker 100:32:24Yes. On the door count part of your question, we ended the year with about call it 8,700 operating doors. Based on our 15% to 20% openings plan, we could add another 8% or 9% probably to the door count if we got all those And then there's probably I think we've got another 10 like relocations planned during the year and a couple of terminals that we're expanding and The aggregate door additions from those efforts too could be another 4% or 5% of the door count. Again, it's that's the plan as we walk into the year and we'll see we'll get where we'll get done and like all years too. I mean, If things unfold differently versus plan throughout the year, if the macro environment worsens or gets better, you can see us slow it down or speed it up a little bit with these openings. Speaker 100:33:22So there will always be that kind of factor where it's hard to put a single point on it, but those are the magnitude of the additions we're planning. Speaker 900:33:30Great. Thanks so much. Operator00:33:35Your next question comes from the line of Jonathan Chappell with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead. Speaker 1000:33:44Yes. Thank you. Good morning. To that point on relocations and net doors, I mean, it sounds like you're going to be moving out of some of the terminals you're currently in to upsize or go to better geographic location. So these new terminals that you've acquired, any sense for how many terminals you'll actually be closing? Speaker 1000:34:00And the reason I ask that or I should follow-up and say, And what's going to happen to those terminals? Do you imagine selling those back to like a regional LTL competitor? Do you think they leave the market? Just asking In regards to the view that all the yellow capacity is going to come back online versus the potential for net subtractions as you open some of the newly acquired terminals? Speaker 200:34:22I don't know that I've got a good view on what the fate is of the facilities that we might exit. I think we're still waiting over time to see how the industry Repositions the assets that have been redeployed here. If you look at Saia's growth discreetly over the last number of years, I mean, we've made A lot of our footprint expansion has been tied to adding facilities and opening doors that some of our larger competitors may be exiting. So as we continue to grow, I mean theoretically those that are sort of below us that may take on some of that. So I think it's probably still early to call on what where ours specifically go. Speaker 200:35:11But I think that a fair number of the ones that were in the industry likely will exit the industry because as you watch the auction process unfold, You saw that not all of them cleared. So I think there's some number of those that probably leave the market entirely. Speaker 1000:35:28And then for the follow-up, you've obviously filled some geographic holes for these acquisitions and your organic growth. As we think about filling out kind of major areas of need, so to speak, how does that kind of filter through with pricing with your national accounts? If you have better geographic coverage, Like a massive big box retailer or a massive industrial consumer, does that really push the pricing needle with that major national customer as well? Speaker 200:35:54It certainly helps and it gets you some advance with customers that have very high levels of service requirements and We've got some incumbent large accounts that they look at our footprint and they're really excited about what we've just added because for them, We help solve a problem. They get a very they appreciate the very high level of service that they're getting from Saia right now. And now we can go more points with those customers. They value that. And we like some of the customers that consider us strategic In those situations, those are people that are paying for service and greatly value service. Speaker 200:36:37And For them, they make money and their business is dependent upon a supply chain and LTL partner that is Reliable and on time and low damage. So they're not worried about necessarily pricing per se. They're thinking more about value. So In that scenario, having more advanced for them, that's a win for us. And we like that and we're seeing that as we deal with a lot of the larger national accounts been satisfied with what they've been getting from us. Operator00:37:12Your next question comes from the line of Ken Hoexter with Bank of America. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:37:19Hey, good morning, Fitz and Doug. The Groundhog said it's an early spring. So Doug, on your weather concern for February, March, sounds like you're all set. Just Doug, can you talk a bit about your life cycle of conversion? You brought on a lot of operating expenses ahead of time to handle all the freight that you won early last year. Speaker 700:37:41Maybe can you talk about the progress you're making and how we should think about that as we move through 2024? Speaker 100:37:49Sure. I mean, I'll take a shot. I mean, I like to think it's kind of leveling it out. I mean, you've seen a major Step up the last 6 months in terms of our growing the workforce to meet these kind of new normal volume levels and I was really pleased Q3 to Q4 With how we continue through that process, our headcount number is growing. So Q3 and to end of the year, the headcount was up about right around 3 little over 3%, I think, but our FTEs, if I think about how we're managing the use of those folks, our FTEs were only up about 0.5% on average at Q3 compared to Q4. Speaker 100:38:29So again, I mean, it's we do it every year seasonally throughout the business and this was just kind of exaggerated, but we know we need that trained and well positioned employee count because Soon enough, like you say, we'll be getting into spring and with these new normal volume levels, just the cost that come on is kind of fixed Dock and driver costs, for example, which is where most of the hires are happening, as we build density in the business and Seasonally as density builds, they become more variable. I've already kind of absorbed the cost and now as I make them, I've got more freight from the handle and all I get those efficiencies. So I think we've been pleased with it and let's see we look forward to getting out into seasonally stronger period and see how it flows through. Speaker 700:39:21So just to clarify that then Doug. So you've got the people that you needed. You're getting the equipment, which was your concern. You mentioned the lease up. So the added cost now will be the DNA focus and Maybe more wage growth or maybe as but you've already got them at the ready. Speaker 700:39:38Is that just trying to understand where we should see incremental costs Relative to the volume growth leverage you can get from that? Speaker 100:39:45Yes. Well, you'll just see better utilization or better efficiency across those costs you've added because now you adding volume to them. It's volume because we're opening new markets and can bring in new business and it's volume because seasonally we expect things to get better. Speaker 700:40:00And then the Kind of Speaker 100:40:02tracking margins Q3 into Q4 is kind of tough because Q4 is always The seasonally softer quarter, you've got additional holiday noise in the Q4. So it's always hard to kind of compare how I'm doing in Q3 versus Q4, it's just a different kind of cadence on the seasonal trends, which you have to manage through every year and this year was exaggerated because like you said, the workforce was ramping up. You're typically not doing that Q3 to Q4. Speaker 700:40:29Yes. Great. Thanks for that. Rich, you mentioned The pace of I guess the contract renewals or the number of contracts, can you talk about the percent of book yet to reprice or maybe the pace of renewals? Has that accelerated at this point? Speaker 700:40:45And then the capacity you have open excess capacity, where are you entering, I guess, as you add The additional doors and service centers? Speaker 200:40:57Yes. So from here, I would expect the contract renewals to be pretty ratable for the balance of the year. But what is as the mix of business as we continue to assess What we're taking on as part of the sort of industry disruption, right? I mean, Frank's moving around a bit from carrier to carrier here too. So as we continue to assess with Kevin our way, we may push again on those renewals to maybe accelerate some of that, but I think it's important for us to continue to manage that mix and that's kind of what we started off with in Q4. Speaker 200:41:34When you think about capacities here, so I think we feel pretty good at any point in time in the network and it's all dependent on where that freight comes from. We've added we had a really a real pinch point in Salt Lake City as an example last year and We've added a facility that's significantly bigger than where we were and that has freed up capacity in that market. So For us, we manage it market to market. And I think in total, you'd say that we probably got 20 ish percent sort of excess capacity, but You're also seeing us make a pretty significant investment here in our fleet, namely to make sure we've got ample capacity to continue to provide really high levels of service. We want to be invest ahead a little bit there so that we're in a position that when that customer has got that extra drop trailer or that extra opportunity, the new facility that we're in a position to get that business and do a great job for them. Speaker 200:42:37So We like the overall position of where we are. We study it market by market. As we grow, we're continuing to invest in those pinch points. But I think we feel pretty good with where we are. Speaker 700:42:51Awesome. Appreciate the insight and congrats. Great stuff. Operator00:42:58Your next question comes from the line of James Monegan with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:43:05Hey guys, thank you. I'm going to get Speaker 1100:43:07a little bit more context around the growth costs and Speaker 700:43:12kind of follow-up on the Speaker 1100:43:13prior question a bit. I guess, like Speaker 700:43:16is there a way to sort Speaker 1100:43:16of think about the utilization headwind on headcount or like and the usage of PT in 4th quarters like 100 or 200 basis points. Just trying to understand that in the context of that full year OR improvement that you're talking about. Is it really just utilization coming through? Are you getting A positive cost spread that adds to that too. Speaker 100:43:38Well, I don't know. I mean, on the PT Line, like I think about Q4, I mean, 15.4% of our miles, of our line haul miles were purchased in the Q4. And while that was up year over year, we brought it down from 18% at the end of Q3. So again, that's just something we have to manage As we get drivers onboarded in a position to drive for us, that helps us take PT out. As we move into the 2024, I think we feel a lot better positioned In terms of our ability to handle our line haul needs with our own workforce, so that's good. Speaker 100:44:20PT Might be an opportunity if volumes bounce back really strong and somehow we get a macro tailwind or something, We effectively utilize PT, so it comes and goes. But I think in general having to staff up In a period where seasonally you might not otherwise be doing so was a challenge and I was pleased to see that Q4 was better than Q4 a year ago and We'll try to build on that this year. Speaker 700:44:50Got it. But I guess Speaker 1100:44:53is the is better utilization of the workforce The majority of that 100 to 200 basis point improvement year over full year to full year for the OR? Speaker 200:45:03No. I think that what you have to look at it when we study that, we talk about pricing opportunity over time, Freight selection opportunity over time, we talk about line haul optimization over time. Not only is that How we utilize PT, but it's also how we utilize our own assets, driving the load averages, those sorts Rather than handing off freight and to an agent to make that delivery in the Great Plains states, That's having a Siya flag truck making that delivery, right? That's building scale on that network. So all those things Together around providing that value proposition, that's what drives the OR improvement over time. Speaker 200:45:47We'll invest in the business to continue to maintain that and improve it. As you build scale in the business naturally and we've said this all along when it comes to PT, as you build scale in the business, you have the To build your own line haul network internally because you have the appropriate scale to do that. In some cases, in a smaller company, you use maybe a little bit more PT simply because you don't have the infrastructure or the balance in the network. So you use PT assets to leverage that opportunity to service the customer. Now as you grow your business, you have the opportunity to further balance lanes across the network and use a little bit relatively less PT because you're using more of your own assets. Speaker 200:46:32But important all of that, the biggest driver of value and size business without A doubt is getting the pricing right, getting that mix of business right and that's the most critical thing to OR improvement. Speaker 1100:46:46Got it. That's helpful. And just real quick, you mentioned higher capital to support higher quality service. How should we sort of think about the maintenance capital For the higher quality service sort of like what for like high quality service, what sort of the maintenance CapEx requirement? Speaker 100:47:05Well, I think it's important probably to give a kind of longer term outlook. Let's kind of see where What the network looks like year in and year out, I mean, we've opened 25 terminals in the last 3 years. We've got plans to open 15 to 20 This year and adding the equipments to support the network expansion as well as our share gains and higher volumes, It's a moving target. The fleet is getting bigger, the footprint is getting bigger. So, I think the good carriers in our industry on an ongoing basis I've always put 12 to low double digit percent of revenue back into the business. Speaker 100:47:42So maybe longer term that's what you model for, but like Fred We still got an opportunity to make this network more competitive and that means investing. Speaker 700:47:52Thank you. Appreciate it. Operator00:47:56Your next question comes from the line of Tom Wadewitz with UBS. Please go ahead. Speaker 1200:48:03Yes, good morning. Wanted to see if you could offer some kind of broad thoughts on how we might think about Shipment or tonnage growth, when you look at second half of this year, obviously, the big step up in yellow Business is driving growth in first half. But when you think about, I guess, maybe one framework would be if the freight market stays kind of flat. I think given your capacity expansion and strong service, you'd expect to grow. Is that like a low single digits? Speaker 1200:48:35Is it more than that? And then if you actually saw a pickup in the freight market, if you saw a bit of a cycle lift, what kind of growth could you get given stronger freight and given your capacity Expansion, I know it's not precision, but just directionally how should we think about kind of those two scenarios? Speaker 200:48:54Thanks, Tom. The way I think about this is you got to start with what you think the macro assumption is going to be in the second half and that's kind of Whatever that is and from my perspective, I think it's probably a pretty I don't see anything that would say that it's going to be a big change, but it could be right in the second half. We could see growth that comes out of that. What I would specifically say though is I look at Saia's position in the market. I look at this as we open these facilities, we're on an equal footing with some of the other national carriers. Speaker 200:49:29And I think from a quality perspective, I think we're on a leading position versus some of the national carriers. And I think that is if we continue to focus on the right mix of business, there's a share gain for us opportunity, not only in the first half as things continue to settle, but into the second half. So I think it's in a more tepid environment, it's probably at the low end of any sort of range, right, in terms of shipments and tonnage growth. But I think that our focusing on what we can control, there's an opportunity for us to continue to grow through the market. Now in a more limited sort of economic environment in the second half, it's probably a little bit slower. Speaker 200:50:14But the opportunity is there for us and we're very focused on that. Speaker 1200:50:20Okay. Thank you. And then The other question would just be like, so you've added people in 4Q. I guess you're probably more calibrated to the volume you anticipate on the It's paid on the people side than the terminals, right? The doors can sit there even if you don't use them. Speaker 1200:50:37But the people, you don't want them sitting around. So what would you say, Given the current headcount level, what are you calibrated for in terms of shipment growth given the 1500 you added? Is it like mid single or is it different than in terms of shipment growth? Speaker 200:50:53Yes. I mean, I think it's probably consistent with what we've seen from the trends we've had in the last few months that gave us the update on it. I think we feel pretty good about our positioning there. We feel pretty good about our ability to further scale from here if we need to. But yes, I think we're appropriately positioned right now. Speaker 200:51:13But as we go into seasonally Peak times, I think we continue to scale up from here and that's our tradition. That's what we've that's kind of how we've operated it. So I feel pretty good about our value proposition to attract people as we need and I feel pretty good about where we're staffed right now. Speaker 1200:51:33Great. Thanks for the time. Operator00:51:37Your next question comes from the line of Jason Seidl with TD Cowen. Please go ahead. Speaker 1300:51:44Thank you, operator. Good morning, gentlemen. Doug, Speaker 400:51:48you talked a Speaker 1300:51:48little bit about the trends in January on a tonnage Clearly, as you mentioned, weather was a little bit of a hit. If we exclude weather, are you guys in that sort of up 5% to 6% range? Is that how we should think about it? Speaker 100:52:03Well, I mean, it's probably better to talk about shipments, shipments per workday up 11.8 Definitely a little bit of the shine was taken off that from weather. I mean, we've continued to see a weight per shipment impact Some of the business we've picked up since last summer's event, so I'd say the 11 0.8% shipments per workday would have had some upside. We as all of our other competitors had a lot of days impacted in January by weather and your terminals are just Either closed or there are limited operations or they're making a few deliveries, but they're not able to pick up freight, the customers close, that kind of thing. So That's not unusual for January or February. It just happened, but I'd say thinking about the 11.8% number, it could have been better. Speaker 1300:52:55Okay, fair enough. And as we think about you guys obviously took on a bunch of terminals here from the yellow dispositions, But there are still a bunch of other leases that have not been doled out yet. Is there anything on there that you guys could acquire as well? Speaker 200:53:12So Jason, we are aware of everything that's still in the market and we kind of continuously look at those assets as well as others in the in our pipeline. So, yes, that's part of potential opportunity for sure and maybe some of those assets are particularly attractive to a competitor and maybe that's an for that competitor to move from their current facility to a new facility, and then maybe that leaves it creates an opportunity for us and another facility. So it's, yes, I think there's potentially some opportunities. Speaker 1300:53:51And do you know the timing of the next round Operator00:53:54of those assets? Speaker 200:53:56Good question. We monitor it closely. I'm not aware of anything right now. Speaker 1300:54:01Fair enough. Gentlemen, appreciate the time. Nice quarter. Speaker 200:54:05Thanks. Operator00:54:08Your next question comes from the line of Bruce Chan with Stifel. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:54:15Thanks, operator. Good morning, Fritz. Good morning, Doug. Just a couple of cleanups here. You talked about the OR progression a bit, but when you think about the SWB line Specifically, is that growing faster than other expenses this year due to that elevated headcount? Speaker 700:54:29And if so, by how much? Or is there maybe some offset there because you've got less overtime spent, maybe just some comments around the potential squeeze on that line item? Speaker 100:54:41Yes, I mean, I expect it to go up, right. I mean as we bring on our own employees and like just trend wise have been able Get folks on boarded and trained and stuff that will put upward pressure on that line and on the driver side you'll probably benefit We remove some PT where we decide to things like that. And then we still have wage inflation out there. So As we open new terminals, we've got to get them staffed before the opening, so we can get them trained and everything like that. The ramped up opening plan, the pre opening expenses go up and some of that's wages. Speaker 100:55:19So yes, I think That line will be you're going to see wage increase, salaries, wage and benefits Speaker 400:55:27increase. Okay. Speaker 800:55:30That's helpful. And then just on the Speaker 700:55:31PT side right now, how much rail are you using in that outsourced Percentage and directionally, as you think about it long term, do you expect that number to go up or down or stay relatively flat? Speaker 100:55:46Yes, I mean it's come down. I mean when we needed to move the freight a lot of it was in lanes where we Couldn't optimize and use rail when things really ramped up last July, August, September, even in October. So we were heavier there on the truck side for a while and It's probably in this environment, it's more normalized back at that kind of low 60%, high 30% range truck to rail. And we'll see seasonally what develops and that's generally how that team manages it, where they get a chance because I'd love to use rail. Okay. Speaker 700:56:21That's great. Thank you. Operator00:56:26Your next question comes from the line of Ravi Shanker with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:56:33Thanks. Good morning, Evelyn. I think you said that you have about 20% excess capacity in the network right now. Just given this CapEx number, Are you looking to expand that closer to 25% to 30% or kind of what's the normal run rate kind of do you expect to stay at the 20? Speaker 200:56:48Yes, I mean, I think we would expect the CapEx is going to help us expand that, right, and more on the equipment side, so particularly at trailer investments. So those are important. It gives you flexibility. The incremental value you can provide to your customer, That's really important. So we'd look to drive that capacity a bit there, expand that capacity a bit. Speaker 800:57:13Got it. Maybe as a related follow-up, I think just given like first the yellow auctions kind of given how much the LTL capacity kind of stayed within the LTL space, and given the step up in organic CapEx we're seeing from you and some of your peers, is there a risk that Not as much capacity comes out of the network as we all thought like back in June or July kind of what's the risk that maybe some of the kind of less players in the space kind of run away a little bit? Speaker 200:57:43Well, I mean, yes, you're going to see natural growth in the industry. You're going to see So people are making their investments to support their business model and plans. I don't think that you're going to see all that capacity come back the industry, what percentage of that remains to be seen. But as I look at it, we're the only places that we're adding New greenfield facilities is when they're in markets where there isn't anything available. So that I don't know that that's a That's not material to the market generally. Speaker 200:58:17And I think in the others, what you're seeing is at least some percentage of that Capacity from Yellow is being redistributed, but I don't think all of it's coming back. I mean, they weren't operating at its most basic level. They weren't operating at capacity. So they had surplus capacity in that business anyway. So I don't suspect that that would become new capacity in the industry. Speaker 200:58:41So a lot of it is going to be redistributed. Speaker 100:58:45Understood. Thank you. Operator00:58:48Your next question comes from the line of Eric Morgan with Barclays. Please go ahead. Speaker 1400:58:54Hey, good morning. Thanks I wanted to ask another on pricing. You had the above average GRI in December. So I was just wondering If you could talk about how customers responded to that. Do you see more or less volume impact than you were expecting? Speaker 1400:59:10And does it give you any insight into how you can tackle closing the pricing gap to some of your peers? Speaker 200:59:17I think that the what we would say is that the reaction So the GRI is pretty consistent with what we've seen historically. I don't No, that any of that was materially different one way or the other. I think it is important though, I think we need to highlight that the GRI was in December, right. So it's That's not a there are a lot of externalities, it could be holiday, it could be weather in that period of time. So From what we've seen so far, it's the typical level of acceptance there. Speaker 200:59:52The good thing is that we're maintaining that high level of service. It's a little bit harder for somebody to switch. And I think generally speaking over time, you saw the contractual renewal in the 4th quarter plus 8 point 7, you saw the GRI. I mean that just speaks to the initiatives around making sure we get the pricing right and the mix of business right. Speaker 1401:00:12Appreciate that. And maybe just a quick follow-up on service. You've been at the, I guess, 0.6 percent claims ratio for a few years now. Obviously, maintaining that with all the volume you took on is pretty impressive. But I guess just given the CapEx number this year and talking about capacity and service, do you think this is a year where we can see Kind of a step function improvement in that claims ratio or is it kind of steady improvement over time a better way to think about it? Speaker 201:00:41I think you'd see steady improvement over time. But let's be clear, that's a pretty low number as it is right now and how we Calculate and reported, that's a pretty good number. It's a differentiating number and it's a number that although it has been a bit steady, it is consistent and customers really expect consistency. And I think the other thing that customers really care about is that you pick up the freight And you deliver it when you say you're going to deliver it. So if you think about the capacity investments that we're making around our fleet, that's all about making sure that you also hit the other service metrics that are critical for the customer. Speaker 201:01:19So certainly we don't damage the freight, but we also have to be able to pick up the freight and deliver when the customer expects. So those are also part of that service equation. So those are all things that we're doing. And then you add in the fact you add terminals and markets close to where the customer needs you to be, that further enhances your ability to deliver service. So service is defined more than just claims. Speaker 701:01:43Great. Thank you. Operator01:01:47Your next question comes from the line of Stephanie Moore with Jefferies. Please go ahead. Speaker 1501:01:55Hi, good morning. Thank you. Maybe it would be helpful if you could just touch a little bit on what you're seeing and maybe some of your end markets here. I think it's Pretty clear that the environment remains pretty weak, but maybe any pockets of strength or commentary that you're hearing Either on either end of that to the positive or to the more negative? Thanks. Speaker 201:02:16Yes, thanks for that. What's interesting right now is that I would say that what we see across The business is it's pretty uniform. So I don't really have a good call out either for a region or for vertical, so which is important, right? So that's actually an insight there in the sense that We're happy with what we're seeing in the end markets and but it's not there's not a call out one way or the other. Speaker 1501:02:50Great. Thank you so much. Operator01:02:54Your next question comes from the line of Bascome Majors with Susquehanna. Please go ahead. Speaker 1601:03:02If we go back to 3 years ago, you were at 170 terminals, talking about adding 10 to 15 a year, Line of sight to get above $200,000,000 and where we sit today with this opportunity to pull that forward a bit, it will be at $210,000,000 $215,000,000 By year end, if all goes as planned, can you walk us forward? What does the real estate plan look like in 3 years, 5 years? Just Any sort of vision on where this can go and we get to the point where you think the network is where it needs to be geographically? Thank you. Speaker 201:03:36Yes, it's a good question. I think we're Canada, we're in a little bit of uncharted territory for Saia here, so which is a pretty exciting place to be. I think as you look at the national players, the bigger folks than us, they have a bigger footprint than we do. So I think there's some runway beyond The $212,000,000 $215,000,000 number, I think there's probably $10,000,000 plus Per year for a couple of years after that potentially, but I think what's really important on the investment piece and we're already kind of getting there, Where when you scale the business like we have, some of your important facilities become, I don't want to say they're not pinch points, but once you have to invest and kind of further develop those facilities. I mean, case in point, Harrisburg facility, which we moved into in 2018 or so, And we have we're basically going to double the capacity of that facility here in the balance of this year. Speaker 201:04:39And that is all reflective of Northeast kind of growth that we've seen and business sort of density we've seen develop over time. So I think you'll see us continue to make those kinds Investments in markets. So I think there's maybe it's not incremental pins on the map, but it will be sort of investments in sort of legacy facilities that just have got to scale with a business that's a national level business that's with growing market share. So I think there It's an interesting redeployment of capital that remains for this business for some time. Speaker 1601:05:16Thank you for that. Operator01:05:20Your next question comes from the line of Tyler Brown with Raymond James. Please go ahead. Speaker 601:05:27Hey, good morning guys. Speaker 101:05:30Hey, good morning, Speaker 601:05:31Tom. Hey, Fritz, just real quick. Is the thought that the leased facilities that you took on will be put into service first. I'm assuming those lease payments will kick in fairly immediately. And then Will the facilities that you acquired be kind of effectively call it stocked on the balance sheet and will be judiciously leaked out into the market maybe over this year next? Speaker 201:05:53Yes, I think that's a good insight, Tyler. The gating item around opening facilities, One, if there's a lease facility, we're going to make sure that it's a place that meets the size standard in terms of safety and a good place for a colleague to come to work every day. So we're going to make the needed investments there. We'll make sure that if it remains to be leased, that it's got the appropriate sort of term and such. So, yes, those would probably move closer to the front of the list. Speaker 201:06:27The other element you look at is in some cases you have a facility that maybe has got some sort of local zoning requirement that says You've got to be active in business to be able to maintain zoning. So those would be next in line. And then there are also ones that just have real meaningful market opportunity, which we've moved those in line. Now some of the others, all the ones we've purchased have significant value to us longer term. Some of them may just simply be an upsize or a lease replacement. Speaker 201:07:01The ones that we don't open this year would be sort of available and we make the important upgrades and then put into service at a later time. So that would be how we manage that. Speaker 601:07:15Yes. That is extremely helpful. But Doug, I want to come back to a prior question. So it takes me a second to get it all straight. But there's obviously a ton going on with the network, Super exciting. Speaker 601:07:27But did you say that there's maybe 8% to 9% door growth from acquired and leased facilities And then another 4 to 5 from expansion. So in aggregate, call it 12 to 14 on the door side net in 24. Speaker 101:07:43If we ended up opening all of 'twenty, for example, Tyler, and then we relocate what we've got planned to relocate and The expansions, Fritz mentioned, your numbers are right. So if we did everything, that's what it could be this year. Speaker 501:07:57Okay, perfect. Operator01:07:58And the last thing Speaker 201:07:59Tyler, you know when we think about network expansion, we don't think about this year. We're looking at a 10 or 12 year horizon. So those doors, that's all about runway. Speaker 601:08:11Sure. No, absolutely get it. So this is a bit of an esoteric question. Maybe you'll entertain me or not, but I think it will help maybe conceptualize the power of the footprint. So do you have any idea what's your inner line mix of P and D is today versus say 5 to 10 years ago, because I assume it's way down, but it still likely has an opportunity to go to virtually 0, which I would assume internalizes margin and it gives you control over service? Speaker 201:08:41Tyler, you broke up just a little bit at I want to make sure I got this right. You were referring to you said interline? Speaker 601:08:48Yes, sorry about that. What was the what is your interline mix of P and D today versus 5 to 10 years ago, because I assume it's way down, but there's still an opportunity to go to 0 And that just gives you control over your service. Speaker 201:09:03Yes, great. I don't have the number Tyler, but you're right. That's a tremendous opportunity for us, right, in terms of certainly the cost element in building the density around that network. But From a customer perspective, that customer experience is so critical in those markets, absolutely, that will be a positive. Speaker 101:09:27And then along with that, I mean, not splitting the revenue, right? Yes. Speaker 601:09:34Exactly. Yes. Okay, cool. Thank you, guys. Speaker 101:09:37Okay. See you, Tyler. Operator01:09:42I'll now turn the call back over to Fritz Hulsgrief for closing remarks. Please go ahead. Speaker 201:09:49Thank you for taking the time to join us to talk about the compelling opportunities for Saia. We're excited to start The 100th year of our company with a really, really exciting investment opportunity and growth opportunity and We look forward to talking about those success at the end of the next quarter. Thank you.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by