NYSE:NOA North American Construction Group Q4 2023 Earnings Report $15.34 +0.19 (+1.22%) Closing price 04/17/2025 03:59 PM EasternExtended Trading$15.34 +0.00 (+0.03%) As of 04/17/2025 04:42 PM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. Earnings HistoryForecast North American Construction Group EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.65Consensus EPS $0.59Beat/MissBeat by +$0.06One Year Ago EPSN/ANorth American Construction Group Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$239.70 millionExpected Revenue$229.31 millionBeat/MissBeat by +$10.39 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/ANorth American Construction Group Announcement DetailsQuarterQ4 2023Date3/13/2024TimeN/AConference Call DateThursday, March 14, 2024Conference Call Time9:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsNorth American Construction Group's Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Tuesday, April 29, 2025, with a conference call scheduled on Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 9:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckInterim ReportAnnual Report (40-F)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by North American Construction Group Q4 2023 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrMarch 14, 2024 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 8 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the North American Construction Group Conference Call regarding the 4th Quarter Ended December 31, 2023. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Following management's prepared remarks, there will be an opportunity for analysts, shareholders and bondholders to ask questions. The media may monitor this call in listen only mode. Operator00:00:21They are free to quote any member of management, but they are asked not to quote remarks from any other participant without that participant's permission. The company wishes to confirm that today's comments contain forward looking information and that actual results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection contained in that forward looking information. Certain material factors or assumptions are applied in drawing conclusions or in making forecasts or projections that are reflected in the forward looking information. Additional information about those material factors is contained in the company's most recent management's discussion and analysis, which is available on SEDAR and EDGAR as well as the company's website at necg. Ca. Operator00:01:02I will now turn the conference over to Joe Lambert, President and CEO. Speaker 100:01:07Thanks, Joanna. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining our call today. I'm going to start with a few slides showing our 2023 operational performance before handing over to Jason for the Q4 financial overview, And then I'll conclude with our 2024 operational priorities, our bid pipeline, outlook for 2024 and finish up with our capital allocation plan before taking your questions. On Slide 3, our record Q4 safety performance contributed positively in achieving a trailing 12 month total recordable rate of 0.29, which is the 2nd best annual rate in company history and remains well below our industry leading target frequency of 0.5. We will continue to focus our efforts on further advancing our training, systems and processes to identify and eliminate hazards and health risk in our business. Speaker 100:02:04On Slide 4, we highlight some of the major achievements of 2023. The McKellar acquisition was the obvious major accomplishment during the year and with the strength of the Australian resource industry and the strength of our own team down there, I'm confident our Australian businesses will be highlighted in our annual accomplishments for many years to come. Our Fargo Moorhead flood diversion project completed its ramp up for its 1st full year of construction in 2023 and we enter our largest year of earthworks construction in 2024 with confidence in our productivity and our overall project plan. Our telematics system continues to provide more detailed and meaningful operations and maintenance data every day and the 95% reliability is an impressive achievement. Also impressive is the $5,300,000 of maintenance savings achieved in 2023 and systems operating costs more than 30% below budget. Speaker 100:03:06We are targeting to have the same or similar telematics system tested in Australia in 2024 with full rollout expected to commence in 2025. And last but not least, we successfully completed our Ontario gold mine construction project through our NAN JV partnership and have several active bids in the Ontario and Quebec regions. Slide 5 captures all of our financial highlights for the year, and the 17% to 28% year on year increases include only a Q4 of McKellar contributions and a negative contribution from Nuna. I'm already eager to see what this slide looks like this time next year with a full year of McKellar contributions and Inuna returned operational excellence. On Slide 6, you will see our EBITDA and EPS results for the last 5 years, which I hope you agree is an impressive trend and one that we expect to continue. Speaker 100:04:09When people try to tell me how risky and volatile our Resource Based business can be, I like to point them to graphs like these and remind them this is what was achieved with a pandemic in the middle. On Slide 7, we have updated our calculation methodology and added our Australian fleet to our utilization graphs. One of the inherent benefits in the Australian market is the 5% to 15% upside utilization potential when demand is strong. We remain on trend and confident in our ability to hit our Canadian target range of over 75% by the end of this year and we'll also be looking to similarly increase our Australian fleet to over 85% during the same period. With that, I'll hand it over to Jason for the Q4 financials. Speaker 200:05:00Thanks, Joe, and good morning, everyone. To start, I will provide brief context regarding the McKellar transaction, which closed effective October 1, 2023. As disclosed in our financial statements, the overall purchase price for The McKellar Group was $383,000,000 which included $394,000,000 of PP and E, which in our case is the heavy equipment fleet. This overall purchase price included $14,000,000 of cash, which McKellar had in their bank accounts on close. And when factoring $35,000,000 of equipment we purchased after October 1, the all in cost was $405,000,000 and consistent with expectation. Speaker 200:05:47EBITDA generation to date is slightly higher than initial expectation and confirms the less than 2.75 multiple we disclosed last July. The transaction and growth spending were fully funded with debt, with approximately 70% of this debt being senior secured and 30% being vendor provided. At the time of announcement in July, we had targeted net debt leverage of 1.8 times by the end of 2023 and are very happy to have slightly beat that target. We've had an excellent 1st few months with McKellar and are looking forward to further integration and reporting progress in the months to come. Our teams are in daily dialogue between Canada and their Australian counterparts with weekly and monthly processes starting to become routine. Speaker 200:06:40Moving to the financials and some brief commentary. On Slide 9, the headline EBITDA number that exceeded $100,000,000 for the first time in our company's history was driven by a full quarter of McKellar results. It exceeds our previous record by about 20% and exceeded Q3 by 70%. All business units contributed to this result with the exception of Nuna, which we will discuss later, and is a metric among many that our diversification efforts make us stronger and more consistent. Moving to Slide 10 and our combined revenue and gross profit. Speaker 200:07:24As we will have now for 4 quarters, McKellar will provide step changes in quarter over quarter variances. On a total combined basis, we were up $83,000,000 quarter over quarter. McKellar and DGI, which we combined as Australia in our results, were up $128,000,000 which could have been higher if the rainfall in November December had been less severe. This rainfall impact can be seen in Australia's equipment utilization, which almost hit 85% in October, but fell to the mid-70s in November December. This positive variance was offset primarily by lower equipment utilization in the oil sands region. Speaker 200:08:11Our share of revenue generated by joint ventures and affiliates was a net $10,000,000 lower than Q4 2022. The Fargo Moorhead project had an excellent operational quarter and achieved the progress metrics and milestones required of the project schedule. In addition, we had positive contributions from the continued growth of top line revenue from rebuilt ultra class haul trucks and excavators owned by our joint venture with the Mikasue. More than offsetting these positives, the completion of the construction project at the gold mine in Northern Ontario led to lower quarter over quarter revenues within the Nuna Group of Companies. Combined gross profit margin was 18.4 percent despite the challenges experienced by Nuna and again reflects the strength of a diversified business. Speaker 200:09:05As both Joe and I have alluded to, losses at 3 specific mining projects within the Nuna Group of Companies had a direct impact on margins. Joe will expand in his comments for Nuna moving forward, but from a financial perspective, excluding these project losses would have yielded an overall margin of approximately 20% given the impact of $7,500,000 Gross profit margins benefited both from the operations in Australia, higher than 20% in the quarter, which is normal course, and from ML Northern, whose fleet lowers our internal cost as well as generates strong margins from services provided to external customers. Moving to Slide 11, record adjusted EBITDA was consistent and reflective of the revenue commentary. The 25% margin reflects an effective operating quarter with a positive trend from the Q3 margin of 22%, indicative of where we see our business operating at. Included in EBITDA is direct and general administrative expenses, which when excluding one time acquisition costs were $12,800,000 in the quarter, equivalent to 3.9% of revenue and remained under the 4% threshold we've set for ourselves. Speaker 200:10:30McKellar runs a similar G and A profile and is not expected to change our G and A burden as a percentage of revenue. Going from EBITDA to EBIT, we expensed depreciation equivalent to 11.8 percent of combined revenue, which reflected the depreciation rate of our entire business, including the equipment fleet at the Fargo Moorhead project. When looking at just the wholly owned entities and our heavy equipment in Canada and Australia, the depreciation percentage for the quarter was 12.8 percent of revenue and reflected the addition of the Australian fleet and an overall efficient productive use of equipment in the quarter. Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter of $0.87 was $0.23 down from Q4 2022 as the impacts of higher interest are factored in with EPS, with the project losses at Nuna being particularly impactful to EPS at approximately $0.20 The average interest rate for Q4 was over 8.5% as we are up from the Q3 rate of 7%. This effective interest rate, the highest we've paid in a long time, is a compelling indicator for us to look to pay down debt in 2024. Speaker 200:11:53Moving to Slide 12, I'll briefly summarize our cash flow. Net cash provided by operations of $161,000,000 was generated by the business, reflecting EBITDA performance and working capital collection, net of cash interest paid. Free cash flow was $111,000,000 as sustaining capital of $41,000,000 was invested in the fleets in both Canada and Australia. Moving to Slide 13, our PP and E of $1,100,000,000 is up $450,000,000 from September 30 on the $430,000,000 worth of McKellar assets we purchased. Net debt levels ended the year at $721,000,000 an increase of $326,000,000 in the quarter as the $405,000,000 of net debt incurred related to McKellar was offset by free cash flow generation. Speaker 200:12:54Net debt leverage and senior secured debt leverage ended at 1.7 and 1.4 times respectively and are considered reasonable levels 3 months after a transformative debt funded acquisition. And with that, I'll pass the call back to Joe. Speaker 100:13:13Thanks, Jason. Looking at Slide 15, this slide summarizes our priorities for the year. I'll speak to the McKellar integration and growth in detail on the next slide. So I'll jump to the second point. This area of focus is our ongoing efforts to win strategic projects for our business. Speaker 100:13:31As we look to sustain and grow our infrastructure business, we'll need to win infrastructure work as our Fargo Moorhead flood diversion project reaches completion. Although this project is several years away from completion, the tender qualification and the RFP process can take 1 to 3 years depending on the size and complexity of the projects. As such and with strong fit potential U. S. Infrastructure project in the bid pipeline, we believe this year's priority should be to qualify as part of a team on 1 major infrastructure project. Speaker 100:14:04The second part of this priority is to win a meaningful project that uses our smaller mining assets that are currently underutilized in our oil sands business. We have several active tenders in both Canada and Australia that would utilize these smaller assets and we expect to win one of these projects this year. Item 3 prioritizes continued expansion of our operational and maintenance expertise. We will prioritize new technologies such as our telematics system and continuing to in house and vertically integrate our maintenance services and supply, including the near term focus on identifying and sharing best practices between our Canadian and Australian businesses. We believe this prioritization of focus will continue to lower costs and improve equipment utilization, resulting in an increased competitiveness and likelihood of winning the tenders mentioned in the previous item too. Speaker 100:14:57The final area prioritizing returning Nuna back to operational excellence and setting it up for growth in consistent performance. This work commenced earlier this year and I'm confident in the changes made that Nuna will be back on its feet in time for their big summer projects and growing off a much stronger and stable foundation before the end of the year. Slide 16 shows some key milestones in our McKellar integration plans, much of which I have discussed previously. Two points I would like to make are as follows. 1, the transition team headed by our COO, Barry Palmer is now resident in Australia and the integration has progressed smoothly and on plan. Speaker 100:15:38The second point, which has been a pleasant surprise, is that the Australian marketplace has shown to be even better than originally contemplated. As an example, and as you would have recently seen in our press release last week, we were awarded a 5 year $500,000,000 contract extension at a major metallurgical coal mine in Queensland. That contract extension was achieved through direct discussion with the customers and awarded 15 months before the original term expiry date. These alliance type contracts with long term commitments and early negotiated renewals show real strength in both the commodity markets and the client relationships. When you combine these market strengths with the higher fleet potential utilization in Australia, it's easy to see the potential to improve returns on not just our underutilized smaller sized assets, but also increase the longer term returns and internal competition for even our larger mining assets. Speaker 100:16:37There is meaningful time and cost to ship our big assets halfway around the world, but the opportunity to optimize return on our assets in lower risk, longer term contracts will be compelling and should provide a healthy internal competition for assets. Slide 17 illustrates a strong bid pipeline with the addition of Australian tenders and continued interest from long term non oil sands contract tenders. Although we truly believe our oil sands demand will remain strong for many years to come, we also see those big blue diversified dots and continued strong heavy equipment demand in Australia as opportunities to further diversify and reduce consolidation risk. On Slide 18, our pro form a backlog sits at $3,300,000,000 with the award of the Queensland major metallurgical coal mine and the award of the regional oil sands tender offset by our normal quarterly drawdown from executed work. The $3,300,000,000 backlog is the highest in company history and provides improved confidence and predictability in our business, especially in our Australian business. Speaker 100:17:46On slide 19, we have provided our updated outlook for 2024. The outlook is mostly unchanged except for some timing based reclassification of sustaining capital to growth and some growth capital additions supporting recently announced project awards. Lastly, on slide 20, capital allocation is always a focus for me and our projected free cash flow range of $160,000,000 to 185,000,000 dollars gives us flexibility in that regard. Deleveraging presents an attractive opportunity at current interest rate levels and is our default choice. However, should share price drop to where we believe the risk weighted return is higher, we have an established history in engaging in share repurchases where we see value in that for our shareholders. Speaker 100:18:33The McKellar integration is a focus for 2024, but we continue seeking growth opportunities whether organically or through acquisition that likewise generate superior risk weighted returns and accretion. Any and all options compete for our capital allocation and this is something we analyze continually in seeking to always be opportunistic in directing our cash flow in a way that maximizes value. With that, I'll open up for any questions you may have. Operator00:19:04Thank First question comes from Yuri Lynk at Canaccord. Please go ahead. Speaker 300:19:27Good morning, guys. Speaker 100:19:29Good morning, Yuri. Speaker 300:19:31Good morning, Joe. Let's talk about Nuna a little bit. It sounds like you're expecting the issues that you encountered in the Q4 to be contained to the Q4. But can you just elaborate on that like when do these 3 projects wrap up? And do you expect any spillover into Q1, Q2? Speaker 100:20:03No, I think that's an accurate assessment, Yuri. These projects are predominantly complete. There's a little bit of tail end work on 1 or 2 of them. I don't expect we put new leadership in place. The issues we saw were really around risk management and predominantly dealing with junior minor clients, change management and contract administration. Speaker 100:20:30These are things that are in our wheelhouse. We were blessed to have some strong bench strength here where we were able to put guys in place that have confidence in running those systems and processes going forward. So I'm very and this is the slow time of the year for Nuna. Nuna really picks up in Q2 and Q3 with their summer work predominantly up north. And so I think the timing and the moves we've made will put it in the past very quickly. Speaker 100:21:02And I fully expect that our summer and our kickoff of our summer works will go as planned. Speaker 300:21:10Okay. You're also in your shareholder letter, you talked about the seasonal earnings pattern pro form a the McKellar acquisition. Is 20% of EBITDA in the Q1, is that going to be typical going forward? It looks a little bit low to me. Just wondering if that's the Yes. Speaker 100:21:44Again, I think you're accurate there, Jorg, that we've got a little bit of an unusual year this year. I think we will be more consistent between quarters. But this particular year, like I just said, Nuna's big quarters are Q2 and Q3, same in Australia. So Australian cyclone season is in the summer, which is our winter. So they're usually impacted operationally more in Q4 and Q1. Speaker 100:22:09And then with our biggest construction year at Fargo, that summer is also the biggest part of that Fargo job. So even though we had a good sized construction year in 2023, it's even bigger in Fargo this year and there's more infrastructure construction like bridges and roadwork that occurred during Q2 and Q3, whereas our previous earthworks was more year round. Then we've just had a bit of a slower winter this year in oil sands even and we're shuffling around some equipment in Q1. So it is going to be more consistent between quarters, but the lower Q1 this year is, I believe a one off. Speaker 300:22:52Okay. And just a follow-up to that one. I mean, which quarter is going to be the largest Q3? Speaker 100:23:01I think so going forward, but we're going to have projects that come and go too, Yuri, depending on when they end. I think we're going to be within 1 or 2 points between quarters going forward. But obviously, if there's a new project start or stop in any one quarter, it can distort a year. But generally, I would say it's going to be very consistent. Speaker 300:23:26Okay. That's all for me. Thanks guys. Operator00:23:31Thank you. Next question comes from Maxim Sytchev at National Bank Financial. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:23:37Hi, good morning gentlemen. Speaker 100:23:39Good morning, Max. Speaker 400:23:41Joe, I was wondering if you don't mind please expanding a little bit on the comments you made in your shareholder letter and talking about some of the oil sands work right now, transition to maintain rental fleet, kind of similar what you are seeing in Australia. Do you mind providing a bit of more color on that? Thanks. Speaker 100:24:01Yes. I think we provided in the regional tender, we provided pricing for unit rate work and we also provided pricing for maintained rental equipment and operated and maintained rental equipment. Historically, the unit rate work was awarded. And this year, about half of our big trucks are being rented or maintained rentals with operators versus the unit rate work. And it's just the client believes that they have some excess assets in some categories. Speaker 100:24:36So they'd rather rent piecemeal versus unit rate and it's believed that by doing this, I believe they believe they're lowering their cost and we have to respect that and hopefully it is and we're very happy to do it. It's very similar to what's being done in Australia. Certainly lowers our operating risk. You do take a bit of a hit on the top line, but it's not a huge difference. And this is just a contracting philosophy whereby the clients are trying to be more efficient with their own assets to lower their costs and we're happy to participate in that. Speaker 400:25:14Okay. But I guess, yes, structurally, I mean, is how should we think about this? Is it sort of more visibility, but better sort of ROIC on the assets from your perspective or how should where you think that it doesn't really make a huge amount of financial difference to you at NOA level? Speaker 100:25:38I think the biggest difference is in the risk. When you're in unit rate work, you wear a lot more risk of productivity and that could be in weather related stuff like that. So I guess the downside risk, I would say, is much lower. But I would agree that the visibility is less so more because of the contract structure with the 3 years with only the 1 year commitments, more so than I think this change of philosophy a bit on the unit rate work. Speaker 400:26:14Okay, understood. Thanks so much. And then another comment talking about sort of the TAM in Australia being dramatically larger than Canada for your type of work. Do you mind maybe expanding a little bit in terms of how you came up with that number? I mean, I presume it's a long term, obviously, opportunity, but maybe if you can provide any brackets, that would be helpful. Speaker 400:26:40Thanks. Speaker 100:26:42You're referring to the 10x market item there, Max? Yes. Yes. I think it's from we get that from industry numbers in Australian Mining Industry and how much work is contracted out. And we the coal mine data, it's just a huge marketplace. Speaker 100:27:02There's a much higher propensity to contract mine there. The 2 main operations we're on, we're the only operators there. The client is not operating next to us. It's just a different marketplace. It's a huge resource industry, very similar to Canada. Speaker 100:27:21But the big separator is that the producers there allocate their capital more towards producing an extra ounce or a pound or finding the next deposit than they do on owning Yellow Iron like we do. And so it's just a much bigger, stronger marketplace. And as I discussed earlier in my slides before my Mitch McConnell moment there, I was talking about the coal marketplace where there's 50 minutees of which we're only on 6 of them. It's just a great opportunity, great marketplace Airmax. Speaker 400:28:00Okay. Okay. That's super helpful. And then one last quick question for Jason, if I may. In terms of the rollout of ERP, do you mind providing like some milestones in terms of when it should be sort of up and running and how you're testing this and so forth? Speaker 400:28:16Thanks. Speaker 200:28:19Yes. So we've obviously, the go live date is obviously the most important date. So we've circled September 1 as our target. Project team is fully engaged at the moment and they are at peak capacity currently. So it's pretty exciting actually for our organization to be going through an ERP like this, rolling out what we do here there is generated a lot of excitement. Speaker 200:28:44So, if all goes to plan, it should be pretty seamless. And then, yes, we will start to see, hopefully, some margin improvements post go live and that would be seen more in 2025. Speaker 400:29:00Okay. And sorry, and just clarification, are you kind of capitalizing, expensing, what are you doing from an accounting perspective? Speaker 200:29:07Yes. We would capitalize, but it's not big dollars. We're talking in the $1,000,000 to $2,000,000 range for this. We're doing really a cut and paste here, a copy and paste. It's not we are not using a lot of external resources for this. Speaker 200:29:24So it's not what you see in a typical ERP implementation. Speaker 100:29:29Okay, Speaker 400:29:30understood. Yes, I would Speaker 100:29:31touch Mac. McKellar was actually in process of bringing this actually this exact same system online at the time when we purchased them. So they really had already started progressing this ERP transition even before we bought the company. Speaker 400:29:48Okay. Okay, that's great. Thanks so much. Operator00:29:53Thank you. Next question comes from Aaron MacNeil at TD Cowen. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:29:58Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Good morning, Aaron. Speaker 100:30:02Good Speaker 500:30:02morning, Joe. It looks like you've got a thermal coal mine contract that comes up for renewal in 2025. Do you see any regulatory hurdles or broader issues with demand for thermal coal that might prevent your customer from giving you that similar 5 year contract extension that you just obtained on from the met coal customer? And ultimately, I'm just trying to understand how you're thinking about the outlook for met coal versus thermal coal in Australia. Speaker 100:30:34From the industry information, I've seen I think all the coal, particularly in Queensland, is a very strong long demand. I don't think there'll be any issue in renewing contracts at these coal mines. Most of them are they're all permitted already and they're generally permitted for multiple decades. In advance, there's no re permitting. We don't know of anyone that's got to go back out or has that kind of risk in our current operations. Speaker 100:31:04Queensland, I think the numbers both thermal and met is about 90 percent of Queensland coal is export to an extremely strong and high demand in the Asian Indian marketplace. It predominantly competes with Indonesian coal and it's far superior in its efficiency and its burn and its price per BTU and the cleaner burn it has. So I don't think we're going to see any impacts in that market. Although that carbon footprint is going down, there's more and more electricity requirements. And from the numbers we see in like the Queensland Coal Mining Associations and that, they see strong demand going into the next 2, 3 decades. Speaker 500:31:49Makes sense. So I mean fair to I don't want to put words in your mouth here, but we could potentially see a renewal in the near term on that site as Speaker 100:32:00well? Yes, for sure. Speaker 500:32:07One more question is probably for Jason. Are the cost to move or revenues associated with the move of assets contemplated in the 2024 guidance? Like you mentioned in the prepared remarks that there's the potential to move the smaller assets either within Canada or to Australia? Speaker 200:32:28Yes, they are. We would expect that shipping costs would be capitalized through the McKellar Group, given the low cost that's on our balance sheet for the actual cost of the units for units that are shipped. And the revenue contemplated in Canada does have some allowance for units coming out of the region. So, it is included in our guidance and but we haven't laid it out specifically in our forecast. Speaker 500:33:08Understood. Thanks guys. I'll turn it back. Thanks, Operator00:33:19you. Next question comes from Kevin Gammie at Thompson Davis. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:33:25Good morning, Joe and Jason. Congrats on the Q4. Good morning. Maybe if we could start on the bid pipeline in Australia. You guys have tendered, well, a pretty big announcement recently. Speaker 600:33:41Could you go into more details about that specific and what you're thinking as you look forward? Speaker 100:33:48Into that bid in particular? Is that what you're asking? Yes. Yes. I think we see continued opportunity. Speaker 100:33:55That bid was one where this is the 2nd of a 5 year 2nd turn of a 5 year contract and then we extended it another 5, a long time customer. But I do think that those kind of contracts are typical, especially in the Queensland coalfields. And I think there's opportunities to lock in more of them on other sites with growth. And that's some of that bid pipeline you'd see in Australia. And then I think the Western Australia and other areas of Australia resource marketplace, we're starting to see more activity in those areas as well. Speaker 100:34:39And gold and iron ore typically been the strong Western Australia side, but there is some copper markets that are picking up there and we have one of those in our tender pipeline. So overall, just a really, really strong bid pipeline. Speaker 600:34:57Thank you for that. And then maybe we could talk about Q1 as well. Has it started slower for McKellar and then just the oil sands in general as well? Speaker 100:35:14Yes. I mean, this is kind of what I was talking to Yuri about earlier is that we're having a little bit more slower of a winter, but I think the biggest reason why Q1 is different is the addition of McKellar. So McKellar is a lot more consistent year round, But their rainy season is summer, which is our winner. So their November to February is slower than the rest of the year. So there that's taken us to more counter seasonal Q2, Q3. Speaker 100:35:44Noon has always been that way. And then we see Fargo even though last year was big, it was predominantly all earthworks and it was very year round work. It is a little higher in the summer, but this summer will be much higher just because there's a lot more concrete work and bridge construction, which has to occur in the summer. And so all of those factors just push our top line more into Q2 and later. Speaker 600:36:18And maybe for Jason, just a bit on the forecast for D and A in 'twenty four, maybe cadence as well about that as I look at the model? Speaker 200:36:31Yes. We touched on that too. We expect to be in the 4 percent range on reported revenue moving forward. We've had some questions on the Q4 metric, which did include $6,000,000 of acquisition costs in the quarter. So, Q4 is not indicative of our run rate. Speaker 200:36:52But I think for modeling purposes, 4% is still where we expect to be in 2024. Speaker 600:37:00Perfect. I appreciate the time guys. Speaker 200:37:03Thanks, Sean. Operator00:37:06Thank you. Next question comes from Sean Jack at Raymond James. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:37:15Hey, good morning guys. Speaker 700:37:18So quickly just wanted to switch over to the acquisition point that was talked about earlier. Overall, do you expect in Australia that there's any more sort of material acquisitions that you guys could make that would be able to be done at the multiple point that Mackellar was done or is that kind of standing as a pretty unique deal for you guys? Speaker 100:37:42I think there could be other opportunities. I think it has to be very compelling now because I think we can grow a lot of stuff ourselves. So I don't think we'd if there were an opportunity, we certainly wouldn't be paying any huge premiums because most of this we feel very comfortable that we can build out from brownfields right now. Right. Okay. Speaker 100:38:06That's good color. Speaker 700:38:07And then looking forward, obviously, Speaker 500:38:09you guys got a lot Speaker 700:38:10of stuff to do or just a process ahead of you on your plate for the integration. Like when does acquisitions actually and bolt ons become a priority or something that's very realistic? Is that maybe far deeper into 2024? Or is that actually an opportunity in the coming months here? Speaker 100:38:30I think small bolt ons can happen fast. If there is big acquisition opportunities, historically, they've taken us many months, years. McKellar was a 2.5 year process. So even if we had one on the desk today, it'd probably be 2025 or later kind of thing unless it's a smaller bolt on acquisitions. Those things ML Northern, DGI, we're able to process pretty quickly. Speaker 100:39:01And so our focus will be on the McKellar integration this year and regardless of what acquisition activities occur, I think we'll be able to maintain that focus for the year and get that integration done smoothly. Speaker 500:39:17Okay, perfect. Yes, I'll jump back in the queue. Thanks. Operator00:39:23Thank you. We have no further questions. I will turn the call back over to Joe Lambert for closing comments. Speaker 100:39:31Thanks, Joanna. Thanks again everyone for joining us today. We look forward to providing the next update upon closing of our Q1 2024 results in early May. Thanks. Operator00:39:45This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Have a good day.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallNorth American Construction Group Q4 202300:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckInterim reportAnnual report(40-F) North American Construction Group Earnings HeadlinesInsider Buying: North American Construction Group Independent Chairman of the Board Bought CA$444k Of SharesApril 12, 2025 | finance.yahoo.comChairman of the Board of North American Construction Group Martin Ferron Buys More StockMarch 29, 2025 | uk.finance.yahoo.comNow I look stupid. Real stupid... I thought what happened 25 years ago was a once- in-a-lifetime event… but how wrong I was. Because here we are, a quarter of a century later, almost to the exact day, and it’s happening again. April 19, 2025 | Porter & Company (Ad)1 Marvellous Canadian Dividend Stock Down 37% to Buy and Hold ImmediatelyMarch 28, 2025 | msn.comNorth American Construction Group’s 2024: A Year of Challenges and Strategic GrowthMarch 21, 2025 | tipranks.comNorth American Construction Group Ltd. (NOA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptMarch 20, 2025 | seekingalpha.comSee More North American Construction Group Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like North American Construction Group? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on North American Construction Group and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About North American Construction GroupNorth American Construction Group (NYSE:NOA) provides mining and heavy civil construction services to customers in the resource development and industrial construction sectors in Australia, Canada, and the United States. The company operates Heavy Equipment - Canada, Heavy Equipment - Australia, and Other segments. It also offers mine management services for thermal coal mines; and construction and operations support services in the Canadian oil sands region. In addition, the company provides fully maintained heavy equipment rentals and full service mine operations support at metallurgical and thermal coal mines; heavy equipment rentals to iron ore, gold and lithium producers; and heavy equipment maintenance, component remanufacturing, and full equipment rebuild services to mining companies and other heavy equipment operators, as well as supplies production-critical components to the mining and construction industry. As of December 31, 2023, it operated a heavy equipment fleet of 900 units. The company was formerly known as North American Energy Partners Inc. and changed its name to North American Construction Group Ltd. in April 2018. North American Construction Group Ltd. was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Acheson, Canada.View North American Construction Group ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Archer Aviation Unveils NYC Network Ahead of Key Earnings Report3 Reasons to Like the Look of Amazon Ahead of EarningsTesla Stock Eyes Breakout With Earnings on DeckJohnson & Johnson Earnings Were More Good Than Bad—Time to Buy? Why Analysts Boosted United Airlines Stock Ahead of EarningsLamb Weston Stock Rises, Earnings Provide Calm Amidst ChaosIntuitive Machines Gains After Earnings Beat, NASA Missions Ahead Upcoming Earnings Tesla (4/22/2025)Intuitive Surgical (4/22/2025)Verizon Communications (4/22/2025)Canadian National Railway (4/22/2025)Novartis (4/22/2025)RTX (4/22/2025)3M (4/22/2025)Capital One Financial (4/22/2025)General Electric (4/22/2025)Danaher (4/22/2025) Get 30 Days of MarketBeat All Access for Free Sign up for MarketBeat All Access to gain access to MarketBeat's full suite of research tools. Start Your 30-Day Trial MarketBeat All Access Features Best-in-Class Portfolio Monitoring Get personalized stock ideas. Compare portfolio to indices. Check stock news, ratings, SEC filings, and more. Stock Ideas and Recommendations See daily stock ideas from top analysts. Receive short-term trading ideas from MarketBeat. Identify trending stocks on social media. Advanced Stock Screeners and Research Tools Use our seven stock screeners to find suitable stocks. Stay informed with MarketBeat's real-time news. Export data to Excel for personal analysis. Sign in to your free account to enjoy these benefits In-depth profiles and analysis for 20,000 public companies. Real-time analyst ratings, insider transactions, earnings data, and more. Our daily ratings and market update email newsletter. Sign in to your free account to enjoy all that MarketBeat has to offer. Sign In Create Account Your Email Address: Email Address Required Your Password: Password Required Log In or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google Forgot your password? Your Email Address: Please enter your email address. Please enter a valid email address Choose a Password: Please enter your password. Your password must be at least 8 characters long and contain at least 1 number, 1 letter, and 1 special character. Create My Account (Free) or Sign in with Facebook Sign in with Google By creating a free account, you agree to our terms of service. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
There are 8 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the North American Construction Group Conference Call regarding the 4th Quarter Ended December 31, 2023. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Following management's prepared remarks, there will be an opportunity for analysts, shareholders and bondholders to ask questions. The media may monitor this call in listen only mode. Operator00:00:21They are free to quote any member of management, but they are asked not to quote remarks from any other participant without that participant's permission. The company wishes to confirm that today's comments contain forward looking information and that actual results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection contained in that forward looking information. Certain material factors or assumptions are applied in drawing conclusions or in making forecasts or projections that are reflected in the forward looking information. Additional information about those material factors is contained in the company's most recent management's discussion and analysis, which is available on SEDAR and EDGAR as well as the company's website at necg. Ca. Operator00:01:02I will now turn the conference over to Joe Lambert, President and CEO. Speaker 100:01:07Thanks, Joanna. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining our call today. I'm going to start with a few slides showing our 2023 operational performance before handing over to Jason for the Q4 financial overview, And then I'll conclude with our 2024 operational priorities, our bid pipeline, outlook for 2024 and finish up with our capital allocation plan before taking your questions. On Slide 3, our record Q4 safety performance contributed positively in achieving a trailing 12 month total recordable rate of 0.29, which is the 2nd best annual rate in company history and remains well below our industry leading target frequency of 0.5. We will continue to focus our efforts on further advancing our training, systems and processes to identify and eliminate hazards and health risk in our business. Speaker 100:02:04On Slide 4, we highlight some of the major achievements of 2023. The McKellar acquisition was the obvious major accomplishment during the year and with the strength of the Australian resource industry and the strength of our own team down there, I'm confident our Australian businesses will be highlighted in our annual accomplishments for many years to come. Our Fargo Moorhead flood diversion project completed its ramp up for its 1st full year of construction in 2023 and we enter our largest year of earthworks construction in 2024 with confidence in our productivity and our overall project plan. Our telematics system continues to provide more detailed and meaningful operations and maintenance data every day and the 95% reliability is an impressive achievement. Also impressive is the $5,300,000 of maintenance savings achieved in 2023 and systems operating costs more than 30% below budget. Speaker 100:03:06We are targeting to have the same or similar telematics system tested in Australia in 2024 with full rollout expected to commence in 2025. And last but not least, we successfully completed our Ontario gold mine construction project through our NAN JV partnership and have several active bids in the Ontario and Quebec regions. Slide 5 captures all of our financial highlights for the year, and the 17% to 28% year on year increases include only a Q4 of McKellar contributions and a negative contribution from Nuna. I'm already eager to see what this slide looks like this time next year with a full year of McKellar contributions and Inuna returned operational excellence. On Slide 6, you will see our EBITDA and EPS results for the last 5 years, which I hope you agree is an impressive trend and one that we expect to continue. Speaker 100:04:09When people try to tell me how risky and volatile our Resource Based business can be, I like to point them to graphs like these and remind them this is what was achieved with a pandemic in the middle. On Slide 7, we have updated our calculation methodology and added our Australian fleet to our utilization graphs. One of the inherent benefits in the Australian market is the 5% to 15% upside utilization potential when demand is strong. We remain on trend and confident in our ability to hit our Canadian target range of over 75% by the end of this year and we'll also be looking to similarly increase our Australian fleet to over 85% during the same period. With that, I'll hand it over to Jason for the Q4 financials. Speaker 200:05:00Thanks, Joe, and good morning, everyone. To start, I will provide brief context regarding the McKellar transaction, which closed effective October 1, 2023. As disclosed in our financial statements, the overall purchase price for The McKellar Group was $383,000,000 which included $394,000,000 of PP and E, which in our case is the heavy equipment fleet. This overall purchase price included $14,000,000 of cash, which McKellar had in their bank accounts on close. And when factoring $35,000,000 of equipment we purchased after October 1, the all in cost was $405,000,000 and consistent with expectation. Speaker 200:05:47EBITDA generation to date is slightly higher than initial expectation and confirms the less than 2.75 multiple we disclosed last July. The transaction and growth spending were fully funded with debt, with approximately 70% of this debt being senior secured and 30% being vendor provided. At the time of announcement in July, we had targeted net debt leverage of 1.8 times by the end of 2023 and are very happy to have slightly beat that target. We've had an excellent 1st few months with McKellar and are looking forward to further integration and reporting progress in the months to come. Our teams are in daily dialogue between Canada and their Australian counterparts with weekly and monthly processes starting to become routine. Speaker 200:06:40Moving to the financials and some brief commentary. On Slide 9, the headline EBITDA number that exceeded $100,000,000 for the first time in our company's history was driven by a full quarter of McKellar results. It exceeds our previous record by about 20% and exceeded Q3 by 70%. All business units contributed to this result with the exception of Nuna, which we will discuss later, and is a metric among many that our diversification efforts make us stronger and more consistent. Moving to Slide 10 and our combined revenue and gross profit. Speaker 200:07:24As we will have now for 4 quarters, McKellar will provide step changes in quarter over quarter variances. On a total combined basis, we were up $83,000,000 quarter over quarter. McKellar and DGI, which we combined as Australia in our results, were up $128,000,000 which could have been higher if the rainfall in November December had been less severe. This rainfall impact can be seen in Australia's equipment utilization, which almost hit 85% in October, but fell to the mid-70s in November December. This positive variance was offset primarily by lower equipment utilization in the oil sands region. Speaker 200:08:11Our share of revenue generated by joint ventures and affiliates was a net $10,000,000 lower than Q4 2022. The Fargo Moorhead project had an excellent operational quarter and achieved the progress metrics and milestones required of the project schedule. In addition, we had positive contributions from the continued growth of top line revenue from rebuilt ultra class haul trucks and excavators owned by our joint venture with the Mikasue. More than offsetting these positives, the completion of the construction project at the gold mine in Northern Ontario led to lower quarter over quarter revenues within the Nuna Group of Companies. Combined gross profit margin was 18.4 percent despite the challenges experienced by Nuna and again reflects the strength of a diversified business. Speaker 200:09:05As both Joe and I have alluded to, losses at 3 specific mining projects within the Nuna Group of Companies had a direct impact on margins. Joe will expand in his comments for Nuna moving forward, but from a financial perspective, excluding these project losses would have yielded an overall margin of approximately 20% given the impact of $7,500,000 Gross profit margins benefited both from the operations in Australia, higher than 20% in the quarter, which is normal course, and from ML Northern, whose fleet lowers our internal cost as well as generates strong margins from services provided to external customers. Moving to Slide 11, record adjusted EBITDA was consistent and reflective of the revenue commentary. The 25% margin reflects an effective operating quarter with a positive trend from the Q3 margin of 22%, indicative of where we see our business operating at. Included in EBITDA is direct and general administrative expenses, which when excluding one time acquisition costs were $12,800,000 in the quarter, equivalent to 3.9% of revenue and remained under the 4% threshold we've set for ourselves. Speaker 200:10:30McKellar runs a similar G and A profile and is not expected to change our G and A burden as a percentage of revenue. Going from EBITDA to EBIT, we expensed depreciation equivalent to 11.8 percent of combined revenue, which reflected the depreciation rate of our entire business, including the equipment fleet at the Fargo Moorhead project. When looking at just the wholly owned entities and our heavy equipment in Canada and Australia, the depreciation percentage for the quarter was 12.8 percent of revenue and reflected the addition of the Australian fleet and an overall efficient productive use of equipment in the quarter. Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter of $0.87 was $0.23 down from Q4 2022 as the impacts of higher interest are factored in with EPS, with the project losses at Nuna being particularly impactful to EPS at approximately $0.20 The average interest rate for Q4 was over 8.5% as we are up from the Q3 rate of 7%. This effective interest rate, the highest we've paid in a long time, is a compelling indicator for us to look to pay down debt in 2024. Speaker 200:11:53Moving to Slide 12, I'll briefly summarize our cash flow. Net cash provided by operations of $161,000,000 was generated by the business, reflecting EBITDA performance and working capital collection, net of cash interest paid. Free cash flow was $111,000,000 as sustaining capital of $41,000,000 was invested in the fleets in both Canada and Australia. Moving to Slide 13, our PP and E of $1,100,000,000 is up $450,000,000 from September 30 on the $430,000,000 worth of McKellar assets we purchased. Net debt levels ended the year at $721,000,000 an increase of $326,000,000 in the quarter as the $405,000,000 of net debt incurred related to McKellar was offset by free cash flow generation. Speaker 200:12:54Net debt leverage and senior secured debt leverage ended at 1.7 and 1.4 times respectively and are considered reasonable levels 3 months after a transformative debt funded acquisition. And with that, I'll pass the call back to Joe. Speaker 100:13:13Thanks, Jason. Looking at Slide 15, this slide summarizes our priorities for the year. I'll speak to the McKellar integration and growth in detail on the next slide. So I'll jump to the second point. This area of focus is our ongoing efforts to win strategic projects for our business. Speaker 100:13:31As we look to sustain and grow our infrastructure business, we'll need to win infrastructure work as our Fargo Moorhead flood diversion project reaches completion. Although this project is several years away from completion, the tender qualification and the RFP process can take 1 to 3 years depending on the size and complexity of the projects. As such and with strong fit potential U. S. Infrastructure project in the bid pipeline, we believe this year's priority should be to qualify as part of a team on 1 major infrastructure project. Speaker 100:14:04The second part of this priority is to win a meaningful project that uses our smaller mining assets that are currently underutilized in our oil sands business. We have several active tenders in both Canada and Australia that would utilize these smaller assets and we expect to win one of these projects this year. Item 3 prioritizes continued expansion of our operational and maintenance expertise. We will prioritize new technologies such as our telematics system and continuing to in house and vertically integrate our maintenance services and supply, including the near term focus on identifying and sharing best practices between our Canadian and Australian businesses. We believe this prioritization of focus will continue to lower costs and improve equipment utilization, resulting in an increased competitiveness and likelihood of winning the tenders mentioned in the previous item too. Speaker 100:14:57The final area prioritizing returning Nuna back to operational excellence and setting it up for growth in consistent performance. This work commenced earlier this year and I'm confident in the changes made that Nuna will be back on its feet in time for their big summer projects and growing off a much stronger and stable foundation before the end of the year. Slide 16 shows some key milestones in our McKellar integration plans, much of which I have discussed previously. Two points I would like to make are as follows. 1, the transition team headed by our COO, Barry Palmer is now resident in Australia and the integration has progressed smoothly and on plan. Speaker 100:15:38The second point, which has been a pleasant surprise, is that the Australian marketplace has shown to be even better than originally contemplated. As an example, and as you would have recently seen in our press release last week, we were awarded a 5 year $500,000,000 contract extension at a major metallurgical coal mine in Queensland. That contract extension was achieved through direct discussion with the customers and awarded 15 months before the original term expiry date. These alliance type contracts with long term commitments and early negotiated renewals show real strength in both the commodity markets and the client relationships. When you combine these market strengths with the higher fleet potential utilization in Australia, it's easy to see the potential to improve returns on not just our underutilized smaller sized assets, but also increase the longer term returns and internal competition for even our larger mining assets. Speaker 100:16:37There is meaningful time and cost to ship our big assets halfway around the world, but the opportunity to optimize return on our assets in lower risk, longer term contracts will be compelling and should provide a healthy internal competition for assets. Slide 17 illustrates a strong bid pipeline with the addition of Australian tenders and continued interest from long term non oil sands contract tenders. Although we truly believe our oil sands demand will remain strong for many years to come, we also see those big blue diversified dots and continued strong heavy equipment demand in Australia as opportunities to further diversify and reduce consolidation risk. On Slide 18, our pro form a backlog sits at $3,300,000,000 with the award of the Queensland major metallurgical coal mine and the award of the regional oil sands tender offset by our normal quarterly drawdown from executed work. The $3,300,000,000 backlog is the highest in company history and provides improved confidence and predictability in our business, especially in our Australian business. Speaker 100:17:46On slide 19, we have provided our updated outlook for 2024. The outlook is mostly unchanged except for some timing based reclassification of sustaining capital to growth and some growth capital additions supporting recently announced project awards. Lastly, on slide 20, capital allocation is always a focus for me and our projected free cash flow range of $160,000,000 to 185,000,000 dollars gives us flexibility in that regard. Deleveraging presents an attractive opportunity at current interest rate levels and is our default choice. However, should share price drop to where we believe the risk weighted return is higher, we have an established history in engaging in share repurchases where we see value in that for our shareholders. Speaker 100:18:33The McKellar integration is a focus for 2024, but we continue seeking growth opportunities whether organically or through acquisition that likewise generate superior risk weighted returns and accretion. Any and all options compete for our capital allocation and this is something we analyze continually in seeking to always be opportunistic in directing our cash flow in a way that maximizes value. With that, I'll open up for any questions you may have. Operator00:19:04Thank First question comes from Yuri Lynk at Canaccord. Please go ahead. Speaker 300:19:27Good morning, guys. Speaker 100:19:29Good morning, Yuri. Speaker 300:19:31Good morning, Joe. Let's talk about Nuna a little bit. It sounds like you're expecting the issues that you encountered in the Q4 to be contained to the Q4. But can you just elaborate on that like when do these 3 projects wrap up? And do you expect any spillover into Q1, Q2? Speaker 100:20:03No, I think that's an accurate assessment, Yuri. These projects are predominantly complete. There's a little bit of tail end work on 1 or 2 of them. I don't expect we put new leadership in place. The issues we saw were really around risk management and predominantly dealing with junior minor clients, change management and contract administration. Speaker 100:20:30These are things that are in our wheelhouse. We were blessed to have some strong bench strength here where we were able to put guys in place that have confidence in running those systems and processes going forward. So I'm very and this is the slow time of the year for Nuna. Nuna really picks up in Q2 and Q3 with their summer work predominantly up north. And so I think the timing and the moves we've made will put it in the past very quickly. Speaker 100:21:02And I fully expect that our summer and our kickoff of our summer works will go as planned. Speaker 300:21:10Okay. You're also in your shareholder letter, you talked about the seasonal earnings pattern pro form a the McKellar acquisition. Is 20% of EBITDA in the Q1, is that going to be typical going forward? It looks a little bit low to me. Just wondering if that's the Yes. Speaker 100:21:44Again, I think you're accurate there, Jorg, that we've got a little bit of an unusual year this year. I think we will be more consistent between quarters. But this particular year, like I just said, Nuna's big quarters are Q2 and Q3, same in Australia. So Australian cyclone season is in the summer, which is our winter. So they're usually impacted operationally more in Q4 and Q1. Speaker 100:22:09And then with our biggest construction year at Fargo, that summer is also the biggest part of that Fargo job. So even though we had a good sized construction year in 2023, it's even bigger in Fargo this year and there's more infrastructure construction like bridges and roadwork that occurred during Q2 and Q3, whereas our previous earthworks was more year round. Then we've just had a bit of a slower winter this year in oil sands even and we're shuffling around some equipment in Q1. So it is going to be more consistent between quarters, but the lower Q1 this year is, I believe a one off. Speaker 300:22:52Okay. And just a follow-up to that one. I mean, which quarter is going to be the largest Q3? Speaker 100:23:01I think so going forward, but we're going to have projects that come and go too, Yuri, depending on when they end. I think we're going to be within 1 or 2 points between quarters going forward. But obviously, if there's a new project start or stop in any one quarter, it can distort a year. But generally, I would say it's going to be very consistent. Speaker 300:23:26Okay. That's all for me. Thanks guys. Operator00:23:31Thank you. Next question comes from Maxim Sytchev at National Bank Financial. Please go ahead. Speaker 400:23:37Hi, good morning gentlemen. Speaker 100:23:39Good morning, Max. Speaker 400:23:41Joe, I was wondering if you don't mind please expanding a little bit on the comments you made in your shareholder letter and talking about some of the oil sands work right now, transition to maintain rental fleet, kind of similar what you are seeing in Australia. Do you mind providing a bit of more color on that? Thanks. Speaker 100:24:01Yes. I think we provided in the regional tender, we provided pricing for unit rate work and we also provided pricing for maintained rental equipment and operated and maintained rental equipment. Historically, the unit rate work was awarded. And this year, about half of our big trucks are being rented or maintained rentals with operators versus the unit rate work. And it's just the client believes that they have some excess assets in some categories. Speaker 100:24:36So they'd rather rent piecemeal versus unit rate and it's believed that by doing this, I believe they believe they're lowering their cost and we have to respect that and hopefully it is and we're very happy to do it. It's very similar to what's being done in Australia. Certainly lowers our operating risk. You do take a bit of a hit on the top line, but it's not a huge difference. And this is just a contracting philosophy whereby the clients are trying to be more efficient with their own assets to lower their costs and we're happy to participate in that. Speaker 400:25:14Okay. But I guess, yes, structurally, I mean, is how should we think about this? Is it sort of more visibility, but better sort of ROIC on the assets from your perspective or how should where you think that it doesn't really make a huge amount of financial difference to you at NOA level? Speaker 100:25:38I think the biggest difference is in the risk. When you're in unit rate work, you wear a lot more risk of productivity and that could be in weather related stuff like that. So I guess the downside risk, I would say, is much lower. But I would agree that the visibility is less so more because of the contract structure with the 3 years with only the 1 year commitments, more so than I think this change of philosophy a bit on the unit rate work. Speaker 400:26:14Okay, understood. Thanks so much. And then another comment talking about sort of the TAM in Australia being dramatically larger than Canada for your type of work. Do you mind maybe expanding a little bit in terms of how you came up with that number? I mean, I presume it's a long term, obviously, opportunity, but maybe if you can provide any brackets, that would be helpful. Speaker 400:26:40Thanks. Speaker 100:26:42You're referring to the 10x market item there, Max? Yes. Yes. I think it's from we get that from industry numbers in Australian Mining Industry and how much work is contracted out. And we the coal mine data, it's just a huge marketplace. Speaker 100:27:02There's a much higher propensity to contract mine there. The 2 main operations we're on, we're the only operators there. The client is not operating next to us. It's just a different marketplace. It's a huge resource industry, very similar to Canada. Speaker 100:27:21But the big separator is that the producers there allocate their capital more towards producing an extra ounce or a pound or finding the next deposit than they do on owning Yellow Iron like we do. And so it's just a much bigger, stronger marketplace. And as I discussed earlier in my slides before my Mitch McConnell moment there, I was talking about the coal marketplace where there's 50 minutees of which we're only on 6 of them. It's just a great opportunity, great marketplace Airmax. Speaker 400:28:00Okay. Okay. That's super helpful. And then one last quick question for Jason, if I may. In terms of the rollout of ERP, do you mind providing like some milestones in terms of when it should be sort of up and running and how you're testing this and so forth? Speaker 400:28:16Thanks. Speaker 200:28:19Yes. So we've obviously, the go live date is obviously the most important date. So we've circled September 1 as our target. Project team is fully engaged at the moment and they are at peak capacity currently. So it's pretty exciting actually for our organization to be going through an ERP like this, rolling out what we do here there is generated a lot of excitement. Speaker 200:28:44So, if all goes to plan, it should be pretty seamless. And then, yes, we will start to see, hopefully, some margin improvements post go live and that would be seen more in 2025. Speaker 400:29:00Okay. And sorry, and just clarification, are you kind of capitalizing, expensing, what are you doing from an accounting perspective? Speaker 200:29:07Yes. We would capitalize, but it's not big dollars. We're talking in the $1,000,000 to $2,000,000 range for this. We're doing really a cut and paste here, a copy and paste. It's not we are not using a lot of external resources for this. Speaker 200:29:24So it's not what you see in a typical ERP implementation. Speaker 100:29:29Okay, Speaker 400:29:30understood. Yes, I would Speaker 100:29:31touch Mac. McKellar was actually in process of bringing this actually this exact same system online at the time when we purchased them. So they really had already started progressing this ERP transition even before we bought the company. Speaker 400:29:48Okay. Okay, that's great. Thanks so much. Operator00:29:53Thank you. Next question comes from Aaron MacNeil at TD Cowen. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:29:58Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Good morning, Aaron. Speaker 100:30:02Good Speaker 500:30:02morning, Joe. It looks like you've got a thermal coal mine contract that comes up for renewal in 2025. Do you see any regulatory hurdles or broader issues with demand for thermal coal that might prevent your customer from giving you that similar 5 year contract extension that you just obtained on from the met coal customer? And ultimately, I'm just trying to understand how you're thinking about the outlook for met coal versus thermal coal in Australia. Speaker 100:30:34From the industry information, I've seen I think all the coal, particularly in Queensland, is a very strong long demand. I don't think there'll be any issue in renewing contracts at these coal mines. Most of them are they're all permitted already and they're generally permitted for multiple decades. In advance, there's no re permitting. We don't know of anyone that's got to go back out or has that kind of risk in our current operations. Speaker 100:31:04Queensland, I think the numbers both thermal and met is about 90 percent of Queensland coal is export to an extremely strong and high demand in the Asian Indian marketplace. It predominantly competes with Indonesian coal and it's far superior in its efficiency and its burn and its price per BTU and the cleaner burn it has. So I don't think we're going to see any impacts in that market. Although that carbon footprint is going down, there's more and more electricity requirements. And from the numbers we see in like the Queensland Coal Mining Associations and that, they see strong demand going into the next 2, 3 decades. Speaker 500:31:49Makes sense. So I mean fair to I don't want to put words in your mouth here, but we could potentially see a renewal in the near term on that site as Speaker 100:32:00well? Yes, for sure. Speaker 500:32:07One more question is probably for Jason. Are the cost to move or revenues associated with the move of assets contemplated in the 2024 guidance? Like you mentioned in the prepared remarks that there's the potential to move the smaller assets either within Canada or to Australia? Speaker 200:32:28Yes, they are. We would expect that shipping costs would be capitalized through the McKellar Group, given the low cost that's on our balance sheet for the actual cost of the units for units that are shipped. And the revenue contemplated in Canada does have some allowance for units coming out of the region. So, it is included in our guidance and but we haven't laid it out specifically in our forecast. Speaker 500:33:08Understood. Thanks guys. I'll turn it back. Thanks, Operator00:33:19you. Next question comes from Kevin Gammie at Thompson Davis. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:33:25Good morning, Joe and Jason. Congrats on the Q4. Good morning. Maybe if we could start on the bid pipeline in Australia. You guys have tendered, well, a pretty big announcement recently. Speaker 600:33:41Could you go into more details about that specific and what you're thinking as you look forward? Speaker 100:33:48Into that bid in particular? Is that what you're asking? Yes. Yes. I think we see continued opportunity. Speaker 100:33:55That bid was one where this is the 2nd of a 5 year 2nd turn of a 5 year contract and then we extended it another 5, a long time customer. But I do think that those kind of contracts are typical, especially in the Queensland coalfields. And I think there's opportunities to lock in more of them on other sites with growth. And that's some of that bid pipeline you'd see in Australia. And then I think the Western Australia and other areas of Australia resource marketplace, we're starting to see more activity in those areas as well. Speaker 100:34:39And gold and iron ore typically been the strong Western Australia side, but there is some copper markets that are picking up there and we have one of those in our tender pipeline. So overall, just a really, really strong bid pipeline. Speaker 600:34:57Thank you for that. And then maybe we could talk about Q1 as well. Has it started slower for McKellar and then just the oil sands in general as well? Speaker 100:35:14Yes. I mean, this is kind of what I was talking to Yuri about earlier is that we're having a little bit more slower of a winter, but I think the biggest reason why Q1 is different is the addition of McKellar. So McKellar is a lot more consistent year round, But their rainy season is summer, which is our winner. So their November to February is slower than the rest of the year. So there that's taken us to more counter seasonal Q2, Q3. Speaker 100:35:44Noon has always been that way. And then we see Fargo even though last year was big, it was predominantly all earthworks and it was very year round work. It is a little higher in the summer, but this summer will be much higher just because there's a lot more concrete work and bridge construction, which has to occur in the summer. And so all of those factors just push our top line more into Q2 and later. Speaker 600:36:18And maybe for Jason, just a bit on the forecast for D and A in 'twenty four, maybe cadence as well about that as I look at the model? Speaker 200:36:31Yes. We touched on that too. We expect to be in the 4 percent range on reported revenue moving forward. We've had some questions on the Q4 metric, which did include $6,000,000 of acquisition costs in the quarter. So, Q4 is not indicative of our run rate. Speaker 200:36:52But I think for modeling purposes, 4% is still where we expect to be in 2024. Speaker 600:37:00Perfect. I appreciate the time guys. Speaker 200:37:03Thanks, Sean. Operator00:37:06Thank you. Next question comes from Sean Jack at Raymond James. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:37:15Hey, good morning guys. Speaker 700:37:18So quickly just wanted to switch over to the acquisition point that was talked about earlier. Overall, do you expect in Australia that there's any more sort of material acquisitions that you guys could make that would be able to be done at the multiple point that Mackellar was done or is that kind of standing as a pretty unique deal for you guys? Speaker 100:37:42I think there could be other opportunities. I think it has to be very compelling now because I think we can grow a lot of stuff ourselves. So I don't think we'd if there were an opportunity, we certainly wouldn't be paying any huge premiums because most of this we feel very comfortable that we can build out from brownfields right now. Right. Okay. Speaker 100:38:06That's good color. Speaker 700:38:07And then looking forward, obviously, Speaker 500:38:09you guys got a lot Speaker 700:38:10of stuff to do or just a process ahead of you on your plate for the integration. Like when does acquisitions actually and bolt ons become a priority or something that's very realistic? Is that maybe far deeper into 2024? Or is that actually an opportunity in the coming months here? Speaker 100:38:30I think small bolt ons can happen fast. If there is big acquisition opportunities, historically, they've taken us many months, years. McKellar was a 2.5 year process. So even if we had one on the desk today, it'd probably be 2025 or later kind of thing unless it's a smaller bolt on acquisitions. Those things ML Northern, DGI, we're able to process pretty quickly. Speaker 100:39:01And so our focus will be on the McKellar integration this year and regardless of what acquisition activities occur, I think we'll be able to maintain that focus for the year and get that integration done smoothly. Speaker 500:39:17Okay, perfect. Yes, I'll jump back in the queue. Thanks. Operator00:39:23Thank you. We have no further questions. I will turn the call back over to Joe Lambert for closing comments. Speaker 100:39:31Thanks, Joanna. Thanks again everyone for joining us today. We look forward to providing the next update upon closing of our Q1 2024 results in early May. Thanks. Operator00:39:45This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Have a good day.Read morePowered by