Birkenstock Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
May 30, 2024

There are 19 speakers on the call.

Operator

Good morning, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Birkenstock's Second Quarter Fiscal 20 24 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. The company has allocated 60 minutes in total to this conference call.

Operator

I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded. I will now turn over the call to Megan Kulik, Director of Investor Relations.

Speaker 1

Hello, and thank you everyone for joining us today. On our call are Oliver Reichardt, Director of Birkenstock PLC and Chief Executive Officer of the Birkenstock Group and Eric Mossman, Chief Financial Officer of Birkenstock Group. David Kahn, President of the Americas Niko Boyov, President of Europe Klaus Baumann, Chief Sales Officer and Alexander Hoff, VP of Finance will join us for the Q and A section. Please keep in mind that our fiscal year ends on September 30. Thus, our Q2 of fiscal 2024 ended on March 31, 2024.

Speaker 1

You may find the press release and a supplemental presentation connected to today's discussion on our Investor Relations website, bierkenstockholdings.com. Additionally, we have included in the press release tables and presentation the quarterlies for fiscal year 20 23 in order to aid in your year over year comparisons. We would like to remind you that some of the information provided during call is forward looking and accordingly is subject to the Safe Harbor provisions of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to various risks, uncertainties and assumptions, which could cause our actual results to differ materially from these statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions are detailed in this morning's press release as well as in our filings with the SEC, which can be found on our website at bierkenstock holdings.com.

Speaker 1

We undertake no obligation to revise or update any forward looking statements or information except as required by law. During the call, all revenue growth rates will be cited on a constant currency basis unless otherwise stated. We will also reference certain non IFRS information. We use non IFRS measures as we believe they represent operational performance and underlying results of our business more accurately. The presentation of this non IFRS financial information is not intended to be considered by itself or as a substitute for the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with IFRS.

Speaker 1

Reconciliations of IFRS to non IFRS measures can be found in this morning's press release and in our SEC filings. With that, I'll turn the call over to Oliver.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Megan, and welcome to the Bokkenstock team. We are very happy to have you with us, bringing the Bokkenstock language to Capital Markets and helping us further develop this superbrand. Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining today's call. We are happy to be here with you to discuss another exceptional quarter. Once again, we achieved the highest revenue level for the Q2 in our company's history, driven by growing demand for our products across all segments, all channels and categories.

Speaker 2

Accordingly, revenue grew by 23% versus our Q2 last year. We continue to see strong demand growth in our core markets and in the largely untapped white space areas we identified across segments, channels, categories and usage occasions. Given the strong results achieved in the first half of fiscal twenty twenty four and the continued demand growth we are seeing, we are pleased to be raising our fiscal 2024 guidance, continuing the 10 year 20% growth trend we highlighted during our IPO. We are increasing our fiscal 2024 revenue growth forecast to 20% on a constant currency basis, up from our prior guidance of 17% to 18% and an adjusted EBITDA margin in the range of 30% to 30.5%. Our 2nd quarter revenue growth was driven equally by an increase in ASP and units.

Speaker 2

ASP benefited from the continued shift to premium products. A favorable channel mix towards DTC and the targeted sale price increase. Unit growth was strong across all segments, but especially strong in ABBA, one of the key white space markets we have been highlighting. The additional production capacity we have brought online over the past 6 months in Germany and Portugal to fuel our supply capabilities is allowing us to meet the growing global demand for our products. While the overall global consumer market remains weak, Wittgenstock achieved 23% growth, beating the market soundly as we continue to take share and become a must have brand for key retail partners.

Speaker 2

As we and others have observed, consumers are increasingly becoming more selective and intentional in their spending. Consumer across all ages, segments and price points are seeking brands they love. And Birkenstock is definitely one of these global super brands. The strength of the Birkenstock brands is evidenced by continued full price realization of over 90% at key distribution partners in our D2C business. Our D2C channel was, once again, our fastest growing channel in the Q2 of fiscal 2024, with 32% growth against the same period last year.

Speaker 2

We opened 6 new owned retail stores, bringing the total to 57. Our digital business also continues to perform very well, increasing 20 9% from the prior year quarter. Members of our fast growing membership program are highly engaged and most apt to expand their purchases of our brand, spending more per transaction than non members. Growing the membership base of loyal fans through priority access to new products and limited editions is proving successful and remains a key focus for us in fiscal year 2024. Our B2B business, which represented 76% of our revenue in the 2nd quarter, achieved healthy revenue growth of 20% against the same period last year, supported by high sell through rates.

Speaker 2

This growth came despite a challenging wholesale market you have heard discussed by many of our peers. As a reminder, the Q2 is seasonally the highest B2B quarter due to sell in for the spring and summer seasons. We saw a continued shift towards closed toe silhouettes, including clogs and premium products during the quarter. Closed toe penetration was over 25%, up 900 basis points from the prior year period. The premium offering across our range continues to resonate with the consumers, driving ASP up double digits in the quarter.

Speaker 2

As an example of this, our big buckle line grew over 28% and sales of our newer braided styles have almost doubled year over year. During the quarter, 2 of our new premium styles, our new sandal, the Catalina and the close to Lutri ranked in our top 20. While we have generated significant momentum and compelling top line performance from our new styles, our momentum with our core silhouettes remains strong. Revenue from our top 5 core silhouettes, most of which have been around for close to 50 years, was up over 20% in the quarter, highlighting the commercial relevance of these iconic models and most recognizable styles. Now let's move to our discussion of segment performance.

Speaker 2

Within our largest segment, the Americas, strong consumer momentum and demand for our brands continued in the Q2. Revenue in the region was up 21% compared to the same period a year ago. D2C channel growth continued to outpace B2B growth, increasing our D2C share by over 200 basis points. Notably, 46% of digital DTC sales were from styles other than sandals as our brand fans continue to add Burton's store products for different usage occasions. Over half of our digital revenue was generated from members of our membership program, who on average spend 15% more than non members.

Speaker 2

And while our DTC revenue in the Americas continues to be driven by our strong digital presence, revenue from our own retail doors continues to grow above average. Our newest flagship store in the Miami Design District has performed ahead of expectations, with average order value 13% higher than other stores in the U. S, driven by a strong penetration of our Premium 7074 collection. The Q2 was another strong one for the Americas B2B channel. Our key wholesale partners recognize the strength of the brand and appreciate the rapid turnover of our products.

Speaker 2

Accordingly, they have allocated more space to Burtenschok and increased purchases by over 30% compared to last year, driven by expansion of categories like closed toe silhouettes. New points of distribution in the Americas accounted for a single digit percentage of revenue with a heightened focus on specialty retailers, including sports specific running retailers, where the benefit of our footbed as a recovery from sport is finding strong end use demand. In Europe, we delivered exceptional broad based growth in the Q2 of fiscal 2024, underpinned by a strong consumer demand. While the European retail market remains soft, Birkenstock continues to perform strongly, up by 21%, far outpacing any other brands. We saw strength in both the D2C and B2B channels.

Speaker 2

The strong growth in Europe is directly related to the distribution transformation efforts we have made in the region designed to grow ASP through more strategic placements that drives more premium priced products. We saw ASP increase double digits as demand for styles priced at over €100 grew by over 60% and reached over 50% of total sales. Closed toe silhouettes grew by over 80 percent in the Q2 with some of our fastest growing models like the Bostons up over 100%. D2C growth outperformed B2B growth due to the continued strong online demand, led by over 100 percent growth in France. Online demand for closed toe premium leather, big butter and other premium products was up over 40% in the quarter.

Speaker 2

Our membership program more than doubled in the quarter versus last year and average order value was 25% higher than nonmembers. In B2B, we are increasing our shelf space and continue to be one of the top performing brands for our wholesale partners in Europe. The springsummer order book was the highest ever with double the order book for closed toe from a year ago. Key retailers are increasing their purchases and shifting their volumes towards earlier delivery dates. And like the Americas, the majority of the growth is coming from existing distribution partners.

Speaker 2

It is indicative of the strength of our brand that our fully implemented springsummer 2024 price increases had no adverse impact on demand. And our full price realization in Europe remains very strong. ABMA was again our fastest growing segment in the Q2 of fiscal 2024, with revenue growth of 42%, driven almost equally by volume and ASP. Growth in the region was largely driven by our DTC channel, with the digital portion of the channel nearly doubling compared to last year. In addition, we added 5 new owned retail stores, including 4 in India and 1 in Japan, bringing the total to 19.

Speaker 2

We also saw a healthy increase in B2B in the Q2 of fiscal 2024, which was driven by an expansion of our mono brand partner stores with 11 newly opened stores. Demand in ABMA is broad based and like other regions has benefited from closed toe silhouettes, including clocks, which more than doubled compared to the year ago quarter.

Speaker 3

I will now turn it over to Erik to discuss our financial results in more detail. Thanks, Oliver, and good morning, everyone. We're very pleased with BigDog's performance in the Q2 of fiscal 2024. While the broader consumer environment continues to be challenging, the health and strength of our brand are clearly reflected in our results. Birkenstock has become one of the few must cable brands in the wholesale channel to drive traffic to the stores, and our D2C channels continue to grow as consumers become more intentional in their purchases.

Speaker 3

Now let's have a look into the details of 2nd quarter fiscal 2024 revenue was €481,000,000 growing 23% versus prior year. We generated double digit growth across all segments and channels, demonstrating the desirability and resilience of our brand. Again, our D2C performance was strong, up by 32% versus prior year, driving D2C penetration up 200 basis points compared to last year. At the same time, we increased B2B revenue by 20%. Gross profit margin for Q2 fiscal 2034 was 56.3%, down 320 basis points compared to prior year.

Speaker 3

Our ongoing capacity expansion, which will give us the bandwidth and the flexibility that will allow us to expand our footprint in underpenetrated segments and categories, was the primary driver of the decline in gross profit margin, representing 220 basis points of the year over year decline. Margin was also impacted by the planned one time government incentivized inflation related bonuses and wage increases for our production workforce implemented in the 2nd quarter. Selling and distribution expenditures were €113,000,000 representing 23.5 percent of revenue in the Q2 of fiscal 2024, up 220 basis points year over year due to increased DTC penetration and retail store investments. G and A expenses were €20,000,000 down from €23,000,000 in the prior year, despite incremental public company costs as the year ago quarter was impacted by onetime corporate event expenses and accruals that did not repeat this year. G and A declined as a percentage of revenue by 180 basis points.

Speaker 3

2nd quarter adjusted EBITDA of €162,000,000 was the strongest in company history and up 7% versus the Q2 of fiscal 2023. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 33.7%, down 4 70 basis points from the prior year, negatively impacted from the same temporary and onetime items we discussed in gross profit margin, as well as the additional cost of expanding our retail and D2C presence and incremental public company and administrative costs. Adjusted net profit of €77,000,000 was up 3% and adjusted EPS was €0.41 flat with the year ago due to higher D and A mainly related to capacity expansion and the IPO related share increase. Let's now have a closer look at our balance sheet as of March 31, 2024. Cash and cash equivalents were SEK 176,000,000 as of March 31, up from SEK169,000,000 at the end of the Q1.

Speaker 3

In the Q2 of fiscal 2024, inventory was €651,000,000 or about 40% of revenue, down from €44,000,000 in the year ago 2nd quarter. The seasonal increase in trade receivables to €200,000,000 is in line with our expectations given our sizable Q2 wholesale shipments. With general payment terms in the range of net 30 to 60 days, monetization will largely be recognized in the next quarter. We will continue to deleverage using cash generated from operations. Our net leverage was 2.6 as of March 31.

Speaker 3

Earlier this week, we announced the refinancing of our loans and credit facilities, including the early paydown of approximately $50,000,000 of loans. We continue to invest for future growth. Capital expenditures totaled €17,000,000 in the 2nd quarter, bringing the total amount invested year to date to €35,000,000 mainly related to our production capacity expansion and new store openings. With that, I'll hand over back to Oliver.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Erik. And let me summarize our discussion. The exceptional results during the first half of fiscal twenty twenty four demonstrate the resilience of our business and our ability achieve strong double digit revenue growth. We are executing on our proven engineered distribution strategy to drive both volume and ASP growth and meet the growing consumer demand for our products, both classics and new, emerging products and across all segments and channels. We continue to significantly outpace our peers in Americas and Europe, with strong growth momentum in our DTC footprint and increasing demand from our loyal and steady B2B partners.

Speaker 2

At the same time, we are entering the next chapter of our growth trajectory as we tap into our largest white space market, the ABMA region. Increasing brand awareness and taking market share while following our playbook of disciplined engineered distribution to support ASP. Given the strong first half and the continued strong growth in demand we are seeing, we are raising our guidance for fiscal 2024. We now forecast total revenue of €1,770,000,000 to €1,780,000,000 equals 20% constant currency growth, in line with the compound annual growth we have achieved over the past decade, demonstrating the sustainability of our strong growth trends. We expect adjusted EBITDA margin of 30% to 30 0.5% and adjusted EBITDA of €535,000,000 to €545,000,000 We remain fully committed to our medium and long term targets of mid to high teens revenue growth, gross profit margin around 60% and adjusted EBITDA margin over 30%.

Speaker 2

So in short, we are very pleased to report that we have never been in a better position to grow our business. Bittenstock is 250 years strong, and we have a long runway for growth ahead. I would now kindly ask the operator to open our Q and A session. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. And the first question today is coming from Matthew Boss from JPMorgan. Matthew, your line is live.

Speaker 4

Thanks and congrats on a great quarter. So Oliver, could you elaborate on the brand's continued global momentum? And have you seen any change in business so far in the Q3 relative to the high teens embedded second half outlook? And then just from a cost perspective, what is supporting the raise to your full year EBITDA margin outlook relative to 3 months ago?

Speaker 2

Okay. Thank you for your question, Matt. We're seeing nothing in the current trading that would cause us to be more cautious on revenue growth in the second half of the year. As you know, we don't guide quarter to quarter, only for the full year and long term. And we are very comfortable with our forecasted revenue growth of around 20% for 2024 on a constant currency, by the way, which is consistent with our 10 year track record, as you know, from our IPO roadshows.

Speaker 2

Quarters can fluctuate, shipments can shift, but there can be some noise from quarter to quarter. Also, the second half is more DTC heavy. We have less visibility in the channel and then we do in the B2B channel, where we have excellent order book visibility. We continue to hear about, as you put it so perfectly, Matt, a selective recession. So we are approaching our outlook for especially DTC with that in mind.

Speaker 2

Also, as you can see from our results, we are not seeing any current impact from that. And now like the margin question of part of the question is, we are very pleased with our current outlook on margin, particularly given the investments we've made to support the growth in Parzivalik and Iruka. The main driver of the improved margin outlook is stronger revenue growth, driving better fixed cost leverage and utilization. So halfway through the year, we are very comfortable we can hit that 30% to 30.5% range.

Speaker 4

Great color. Best of luck.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Randy Konik from Jefferies. Randy, your line is live.

Speaker 5

Yes, thanks and good morning everybody. I guess, Eric, maybe for you, I want to just unpack gross margin a little bit and maybe kind of give us some perspective on additional drivers in the quarter. And then looking ahead, we should be thinking about the various fluctuations around gross margins in coming quarters? Give us some perspective there. Thanks guys.

Speaker 3

Hi, Randy. Thanks. Yes, it's Erik. So overall, I have to say that the gross margin will always vary from quarter to quarter due to the shift in channels and mix of business. So high B2B revenue, as we saw in Q2 now, leads to lower ASP and therefore lower gross margin and obviously other way around with higher D2C share.

Speaker 3

On the other side, high B2B share does lead to lower selling distribution costs. So that's always a balance. And that's why we don't give guidance in quarterly margins. It can always shift a bit on timing of orders and shipments. So we only look or I mainly look at margins on the annual basis.

Speaker 3

And I feel very comfortable with our mid to long term guidance of around 6% gross margin and then EBITDA margin of 30% plus. So in terms of the year over year decline that was discussed, 2024 certainly is a transition year as we did significant investments into our production to support the demand we see and long term growth. So this will temporarily dilute be diluted and will continue until we reach greater utilization. But be aware and reminded, we are exercising discipline in our distribution and control closely our growth to avoid the dilution of brand equity. So both reasons obviously lead to the margin we see this year.

Speaker 3

And long term, as said, the guidance of around 60% gross margin, EBITDA 30 plus, we feel very comfortable.

Operator

Thank you. And the next question is coming from Dana Telsey from Telsey Group. Dana, your line is live.

Speaker 6

Hi, good morning, everyone, and nice to see the progress. Two things. On the retail store performance, anything different that you're seeing by region is there and the new locations that you're going to, whether the store size and how you're thinking of the contribution to DTC of retail sales? And lastly, the category expansions that you're doing, any updates given the closed toe performance of getting into some of those other occupational uses that your footwear can be used for? Thank you.

Speaker 7

Dana, this is Nico. Thanks a lot for asking the question. I'm going to cover the retail part of your question and then Oliver is going to take over with the closed toe part of the question. So first of all, we are very pleased to be able to share with you that we are well on track with our global retail expansion. In Q2, we opened 6 new stores.

Speaker 7

From last year's Q2, we opened 13 new stores. Amongst others, Miami, as you know, in the design district Tokyo, 2 stores and Mumbai, also a new store. Every store that we open is performing currently above plan. That's very, very pleasant to see and that's also a testament of the great magnetism that we have as a brand when we open a store. Every store, basically our average payback on CapEx is 12 to 18 months.

Speaker 7

So that shows you it's not a big investment case that we're having here. It's really something that adds to our top line and that adds also to our profitability. What we do see in our stores as well is that we have an over indexed growth of premium priced product and an over indexed growth of closed toe. So wherever we open a physical connection to our consumers, those categories will benefit. For the remainder of this fiscal year, we plan to open a similar amount of new stores in cities such as Paris, in cities such as Shanghai.

Speaker 7

So again, we are very confident with the outlook on our store expansion plan.

Speaker 2

So I'm taking the closed toe part of your question, Dana. It's the last quarter was predominantly a sell through quarter, and it was winter. So we saw more demand for the closed toe silhouettes. It was over 50% of the sales were coming from closed toe silhouettes. So the growth in this segment was compared to last year, 1st two quarters, 77%.

Speaker 2

So there you can really see this is a rocket, okay? So the closed toe shoe segment, which we a few months ago when we prior IPO, we talked about it as a white space opportunity. And now you see compared to the last year, the first half of the year, we grew by 77%. So that's really massive. The Q2 is a big B2B sell in quarter for our springsummer season.

Speaker 2

So naturally, we will see more open toe silhouettes in that mix in the Q2. And the key here is that we are now a full year non seasonal brand with strength in closed toe, including clogs and sneakers and sandals. ASP increases through closed toe, as you know, and it opens up new usage occasions. Our non sandals sell through was over 40

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Sam Poser from Williams Trading. Sam, your line is live.

Speaker 8

Thank you. Thank you for taking my questions. Good morning. I have 2. Number 1, can you talk a little bit about this like how has the sandal business inflected more since the end of the quarter?

Speaker 8

And then secondly, not related, following up on the gross margin question, how long will it take for the new production facilities to be optimized, so you don't so they are no longer a drag on the margins the way that 200 like when will that 220 basis points go away and be offset by the productivity of those factories and the sales that relate to them?

Speaker 9

Thanks

Speaker 7

for the question. This is Alexander, and I will take the gross margin piece. Actually, what we communicated through the IPO and referring to Eric's statement, clearly, 2024 is a transitionary year. We took the strategic decision to go with further capacity to meet future demand. We also indicated that we see in 2025 a better absorption, but 2024 is 1 year where we will bring over volumes from girdlets to Parzewalt mainly.

Speaker 7

Parzewalt is the only factory out of our expansion program with Goerlitz and Portugal, which is a complete new factory where we would bring in initially under absorption, overhead and so on. So that will be the heaviest impact in 2024, and We expect 2025 onwards to see a better absorption and a better impact on the margin side.

Speaker 10

This is David, Sam. Thanks for the question. Just a little color on the breakdown with the sandal business. The momentum in sandals has been incredibly strong, both D2C and at wholesale. As a matter of fact, what we're seeing in our core sandal business is not only strong sell throughs, but a transition in penetration leather versus synthetic.

Speaker 10

Leather sandals are trending about 68% above last year, while synthetic is 22%. So we're not only seeing the consumers still choose our icons across all the different styles, we're seeing them trade up to more premium versions.

Speaker 8

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Simeon Siegel from BMO. Simeon, your line is live.

Speaker 11

Great. Thanks. Hey, everyone. Really nice job, guys. Hope you're all doing well.

Speaker 11

Oliver or David or Niko, maybe all of you, just the increased strength you're seeing with those key retailers that you talked about in prepared remarks, the earlier visibility, it's really all great to see. Can you speak to any changes you're seeing in maybe your discussions with them about the assortment that they're asking for versus your ability to suggest what they should take? I guess I'm just wondering as you continue to innovate your products, do you think you're getting more stronger trust and ability to suggest to them as opposed to them specifically asking for maybe more limited SKUs that have been your hero products historically? Thank you.

Speaker 10

Simeon, great question. This is David. As we've said before, 95% of our growth is coming from existing retail partners. So clearly, the demand is there to expand not only deeper inventory, but also the spread of products. As we've said, we allocate everything, every style, every quantity by door, even in people that have chains with hundreds of doors, everything is allocated to the door level.

Speaker 10

So the assortments are really vendor managed. What we're seeing is the momentum in closed toe and non sandal products is incredibly strong. So not only are they doubling down on the sandal business, but they're also supporting all of the non sandal categories. As referenced, we know that the overall wholesale market might be described as being a little choppy. Our sell through and this is sell through not sell in was up over 30% in the quarter.

Speaker 10

So obviously, there was a lot of demand to expand our products. And if you've been out at retail, as I know many of you have, you're seeing some of the incredibly strong statements at retail like our 250 year anniversary brought to life in many of the major retail partners.

Speaker 9

That's great. And

Speaker 11

then just David, to your point about the synthetics, are you seeing I don't know if you guys have done updated the 3.6 survey, but are you seeing greater frequency of shop? Like are you seeing anything different with the synthetic option versus how people shop your product before?

Speaker 10

I would say not at all, except a lot of our consumers seem to be trading up to leather almost as an investment type item. I would say in a lot of our consumers' closets, a pair of Birkenstocks might be the most expensive footwear item they have compared to some of the sneakers and choosing a leather Birkenstock. It's not an eitheror with synthetic because synthetic is also up. I just think that the response to the leather products as people invest has been the penetration of leather is growing, synthetic is growing also. So it's not either or, it's just reaching more consumers, I believe.

Operator

Thank you. And the next question is coming from Mark Altschwager from Baird. Mark, your line is live.

Speaker 12

Thank you. Congrats on the progress and results here. First, just with Q3 being a bigger DTC quarter, I'm wondering if you can share any color on the momentum you're seeing this spring relative to Q2. And then separately, you mentioned with the spring price increases, you didn't see any impact on demand. Could you speak to how you're thinking about like for like price increases in future seasons to offset some of the inflationary cost pressures?

Speaker 12

Thank you.

Speaker 7

Hey, Mark. This is Nicolas speaking. Thank you for the question. So the first part of your question was to get a bit more color on the DTC performance in the current trading of Q3. So we see a continued strong demand in traffic in our own stores.

Speaker 7

The new stores are performing really well, as I said. So there is definitely excitement around our physical touch point for the brand. Online as well, so we see an increased traffic across the board through all the regions. Yet, we do have the big month still to come. So June, July and also August are big DTC months, and we're just very we are confident, but we're also looking at those months to come in, in the next couple of weeks.

Speaker 7

The second question was on pricing. So to give you a bit more color on the European pricing adjustments, we had in springsummer 2024 2 categories in mind for price executions. 1 was textile, a big part of the business. We elevated the prices by 20% RRP. And then we also touched Boston again with 15% RRP increase.

Speaker 7

Both of them were not were well accepted by the consumer. So there was no sort of negative no signs of rejection, negative effect on our sell through. We look at pricing as a strategic measure in the future. So every season, we go through the entire line and look at every model to see what's the input cost and how do we have to adjust pricing given inflation, but also what's our brand equity where we can ask for an increased price. That's how we approach pricing in the

Operator

future. Yes, Mark.

Speaker 7

This is Alexander. Just to add on the inflation piece and how it's impacting margin. Standalone Q2, you saw 100 basis points net inflation impact going forward. If I look into 3rd Q4, but also 25%, what we currently see is labor, mid single digits, going down then in 20 5%, raw materials, low single digit percentage. So it's definitely the clear goal that we will offset any kind of inflation on COGS and selling distribution expenses.

Speaker 12

Excellent color. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Sharon Zackfia from William Blair. Sharon, your line is live.

Speaker 13

Live. I'm curious just given the strength that you continue to see in the U. S. And as you've been opening more stores, are you seeing any kind of changes in the demographic of the customers in the U. S, whether you look at kind of income levels, gender, region or ages?

Speaker 13

And I'd also be similar, we'd be interested in a similar answer for Europe, given the transformation efforts that you've had in that region. Thanks.

Speaker 10

Yes. Thanks for the question, Sharon. This is David. I think you have to just kind of wrap your arms around the fact that this brand has the broadest demographic of any brand on the face of the earth. When we talk about our addressable market, it really is quite frankly everybody.

Speaker 10

We're just reaching new consumers everywhere we look. We're reaching athletes right now when they recover from sports, finding the benefits of the footbed. We're seeing a significant growth right now in the youth market, who's basically maybe a little bit tired with athletic footwear over the last couple of seasons and has added Birkenstock to their closet. And just remember in a lot of those chains that have been predominantly athletic footwear driven, a pair of Birkenstocks is an incremental purchase in those stores. So those stores are very keen to add something like Birkenstock to their assortments.

Speaker 10

So I would say we're growing across all demographics most quickly, probably the youth and more sport oriented consumer. But it's been very, very broad and the growth has been just as strong in some of our old time heritage brown shoe comfort stores that go back to the early 1970s.

Speaker 7

Thank you, David. And also, Sharon, thank you for your question. I would definitely echo David's point. The beauty of us is you don't lose older customers while you win new customers and younger customers, and that's what we see also in Europe. We do see a broader based growth among younger audiences that find us for many reasons, 1774, the Boston, some great PR executions in Europe.

Speaker 7

But what happens is they stay with us, and they stay with us until the very end. So you don't lose that older customer while you win the younger customer audience.

Speaker 2

And you can see some of it also in our membership program growth. Our membership program growth by 40%. So that's another sign or signal to see, okay, how vivid this brand is and how the more we collect, the broader the fan base will be, no matter age groups, races, social demographic, it's all in one basket. 70%, 80% of our collection is unisex, So we are the perfect brand to welcome them all and give them access to the footbed. And once they are in the footbed, they come back.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Erwan Rambourg from HSBC. Erwan, your line is live.

Speaker 14

Hi, there. I hope you can hear me okay. I just wanted to congratulate you on the quarter and the upgrade for the guidance. 2 follow ups. 1 on the Asian potential, maybe for Claus or Oliver.

Speaker 14

It seems that the consumer is under pressure in China for consumer companies, but it's probably not the case for you. I'm wondering if this is a good time to find prime locations at preferential costs and to build awareness. Do you have a capacity issue in terms of shipping to Asia and particularly China? And maybe can you remind us of what the setup is there in terms of working with a partner or going direct? And then maybe secondly, if you could talk about ASPs, I think David was quite clear on consumers upgrading to leather.

Speaker 14

You've put through quite a few price increases. If I look at the 23% growth in the quarter, I remember you gave a reference point at the time of the IPO saying that the average pair was retailing at about $90 at the time. Where would we be on that metric today? And if you can maybe split the 23% growth between volume, mix increases and price increases, that would be super useful. Thank you.

Speaker 2

So I'm taking this first part of your 4 parts of your one question. Thank you

Speaker 7

for the

Speaker 2

question. Wisely chosen. So overall, the APMA region is, from a geographic point of view, one of our biggest white space opportunities, of course. And as you see in the numbers, we have grown there by 42%. So that's quite a massive growth and compared to a lot of others brands cooling down in this environment, We are very encouraged.

Speaker 2

And please keep in mind that this 42% growth is coming with a full disciplined and highly engineered distribution model where we don't flood the market and we don't over push. It's always in a pull mode. We allocate the products and Claus, who's responsible for the region, will give you more in detail about our distribution strategy there and how we execute the engine distribution in this segment. Claus?

Speaker 15

Evan, Claus here. Hello. Thank you for the question. First of all, I want to point out that obviously we are aware of the problems in China and what's going on. I mean we're there in the market since a long time.

Speaker 15

The whole story we're doing is an Upma story. So we are not only depending on China. And what we learn in expanding, I mean, the strategy following our learnings from the EU and in the U. S. So it's a qualitative distribution and it's a mixed model.

Speaker 15

So obviously, we are going with a D2C focus, but we also are signing in a partner to balance out also the size of the territories. So this is and talking about allocation, I mean, we have prepared that field way before as we also talked in the roadshow a lot. But now the allocation situation has so much improved that the underdeveloped markets are like positively affected from that, and there's no problem on that right now.

Speaker 16

Right. Thank you.

Speaker 2

I would just wrap the ASP part of your question, which was the 4th part of your question. As you know, we don't give any quarterly guidance. But as I said in Matt's response, we aren't seeing any significant changes in the trend. We are really pleased by current trends, but we still have 5 important months ahead of us

Speaker 3

That is

Speaker 2

heavy in D2C, where we have less visibility and that's we're about halfway through fiscal Q3. And despite the volatile market environment, we are having we're hearing so much about, so it's a lot of rumors around, of course. We are not seeing anything that would give us a pause. And I would say, David, from your perspective, you may add something here because ASP is really growing.

Speaker 10

Yes. One interesting point on ASP and it's a good way to look at it is speaking for the U. S. According to the economic reports from the FDRA, retail prices on footwear are basically up 0 point 3%. Our ASP is up 6 full percent.

Speaker 10

So it's a multiple of what's going on in the market. Part of it is mix and part of it is price. But obviously, when you're selling through product at virtually full price, 90% plus full price realization, that's where you get the benefit of the ASP because the consumers realize the equity of your brand and they're willing to pay the price. And I think we're proving that right now in this environment.

Speaker 14

Super useful. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Adrian Duverger from Goldman Sachs. Adrian, your line is live.

Speaker 17

Hey, good morning. Thank you very much for taking my question. I was wondering if you could comment a little bit on the performance of the new product categories and new products. I'm thinking maybe of some of the sneakers you released and some of the boots. And also, what would be the impact on ASP from these new releases?

Speaker 17

Thank you very much.

Speaker 2

So as you can imagine, Edwin, it's a very big push in ASP. And this in this closed social segment, we talked about the massive growth rates there. And as you know, like ASP right now is like 50% coming from a product mix and 50% is coming from a channel mix. So the product is a key driver for the ASP at the moment, especially in the first half of the year. Again, just keep this in mind, the winter season, like the 1st two quarters, are more affected by this Dorshow shoe sequence in the ASP.

Speaker 2

But yes, we're very proud about this growth here because it was pretty strong.

Speaker 17

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. And the next question is coming from Paul Lejuez from Citibank. Paul, your line is live.

Speaker 16

Hey, thank you. Can you just go back to the Path Walk facility? How ramped up is that facility today? At what capacity is it producing? And I'm curious if you could talk about the performance and efficiency relative to your plan and where you expect to be by the end of the year.

Speaker 16

Also, I think at one point you said that facility could increase your volumes by 50%. Let me know if I'm remembering that correctly and any update there. And then just last, can you frame the size of some of your larger countries in the Atmo region? Thanks guys.

Speaker 2

So I'm taking the first part like the Parzivalik, the new factory, which is like Aruka, Portugal and Parzivalik. We're super happy with the setup in Parzewalk at the moment. As you know, we will definitely grow the pairs in a very let's say, how do you say in English, in a very disciplined way moving forward. We told you that overall, we will develop like 10% unit growth every year, and that's what we are executing. So we are happy with the status in Parzival.

Speaker 2

We hired most of the people there already, which is the most important thing for us to get access to the workforce, which is super strong at the moment, where we're constantly improving and developing and further developing the footprint also in our preproduction segment in Portugal, which is Aruca, which will help us to be much more flexible than in the past. And it's the same thing for Parzivalc, focusing on the EVA portion of the business, focusing on the PU portion of the business coming from Parzivalc, but also making sure that we have the maximum flexibility within this new factory to make sure we can develop and further support our global growth. And that's something where we really put a big, big effort in. And as you know from our outperformance and rising the guidance, you may expect like shorten the time line of the return on invest curve, which will definitely be the case. During the roadshow, we talked about return of invest in 26 or normalized margin level, let's say.

Speaker 2

And this will be shortened now because the performance is much better than expected.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Michael Binetti from Evercore. Michael, your line is live.

Speaker 18

Hi, this is Jacqueline Wong on behalf of Michael Bennetti. Thanks for taking our questions here. So Oliver, on the top 5 core silhouettes, they were up over 20% in the quarter. Can we talk about how trends were from here and how to sustain that kind of growth? And maybe for Eric or David, in Americas, total G2C is now 29% of penetration.

Speaker 18

So this quarter, wholesale B2B selling revenues grew roughly about 16% year on year, but sell through to strategic accounts was really high at 33% there. Is that driven by Burke exiting non strategic accounts? And will we see the sell in catch up to the sell through in the Q3 and Q4? And just curious what was sell in to strategic accounts relative to the 33 percent sellout that the company cited? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes, I'm taking the first part of your question. Thank you for your question. As you know, we are a universal purpose driven brand. Never goes out of fashion. We are beyond fashion.

Speaker 2

I think the biggest proof point here is that revenue from our 5 classic silhouettes, which make up roughly 75% of the business, grew by over 20%, as you said, in the quarter and ASP was up over 10%. So if you see, these are the core, core portion of the business and it grows 20%. And even in the ASP, we grow by 10%. This is I would say this is a massive message to the market that we are growing everywhere, okay, and really above the average. I think this says a lot about the fashion risk within the company.

Speaker 2

And what we learned is that our ICON still have a lots of growth potential as we continue to innovate and add to these Eurus models with new features like premium leather, big buckles, the shilling and some of the other models as well, to maintain their relevance on the long term, okay? So this is really what we're doing within our product teams. We create a trend within the brand constantly. And while we see the continued growth in our long time core icons, new product introductions have been incredibly strong. Don't forget this.

Speaker 2

Whenever we bring something to the daylight, it's super strong in sell through, it's super strong in sell out. Sneakers were up 31% over last year. And new styles like the Catalina and Lutri ranked now in our top 20 styles this quarter. So this is something that's really encouraging and it shows that we have the right connection to the market and it's not fashion driven. It's coming from a 250 year old purpose driven brand and that is the magic sauce we are executing in the market.

Speaker 7

Jocelyn, I'm going to take the second part of your question. This is Nico. I think we have to differentiate between sell in and sell through. So what you see now as a sell through in our B2B B2B partners is a sell in of previous quarters. So that gives you the perspective on those two numbers.

Speaker 7

As you know, we have done a big transformation in definitely see here and there some terminations going on. It's a normal effect, but we don't sort of consider a big termination wave ahead of us with B2B. However, we manage our B2B partners very tightly. So you understand that we allocate the product, you understand that we achieve full price realization that is superior to any other brand out there. And we also understand that we leverage our partners with them having a specific role in the marketplace, be it reach, be it validation, be it authentication of our product.

Speaker 7

That's what they have to do for us, and that goes beyond being transactional. And that's how we look at B2B.

Operator

Thank you. And the final question today is coming from Jim Duffy from Stifel. Jim, your line is live. Thank

Speaker 9

you. Thanks for squeezing me in. My question builds on some of the comments in your last response. We're very pleased to see the strong uptake of closed toe and non sandals. I'm curious, can you speak to the gender mix contribution to the closed toe adoption and maybe highlight some of the specific styles beyond the Boston that are contributing to that strength?

Speaker 10

Yes. Hey, Jim, this is David. Yes, the Boston certainly has led the way, but what we find is just like when the Arizona opened up the sandal category to other styles like the Giza and the Meharry. The Boston is doing the same thing in clogs. We introduced a style called the Lutri that's outselling any expectation we could have possibly had for that category.

Speaker 10

Other styles like the Tokyo, the Naples, it's like Niko said, anytime we introduce a new style and we bring it, we give it a little oxygen, it really starts to exceed all expectations. Sell through on our sneakers, speaking for the U. S, sell through was 31% higher. And what's most interesting is when we talk about like white space categories, you can almost look at men as one big white space that we don't really identify yet. But our men's business is up 45% at retail sell through versus a year ago in a market that again is basically flat.

Speaker 10

So any category, any gender, any segment that we give a little bit more oxygen to with discipline, we start to see the results and the benefits.

Operator

Thank you. Thank you. And this does conclude today's conference call. You may disconnect your phone lines at this time and have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.

Powered by Quartr
Earnings Conference Call
Birkenstock Q2 2024
00:00 / 00:00