O'Reilly Automotive Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
July 25, 2024

There are 9 speakers on the call.

Operator

Welcome to the O'Reilly Automotive Inc. 2nd Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. My name is Holly, and I will be your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer I will now turn the call over to Jeremy Fletcher.

Operator

Mr. Fletcher, you may begin.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Holly. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. During today's conference call, we will discuss our Q2 2024 results and our outlook for the remainder of the year. After our prepared comments, we will host a question and answer period. Before we begin this morning, I would like to remind everyone that our comments today contain forward looking statements, and we intend to be covered by and we claim the protection under the Safe Harbor provisions for forward looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Speaker 1

You can identify these statements by forward looking words such as estimate, may, could, will, believe, expect, would, consider, should, anticipate, project, plan, intend, guidance, target or similar words. The company's actual results could differ materially from any forward looking statements due to several important factors described in the company's latest annual report on Form 10 ks for the year ended December 31, 2023 and other recent SEC filings. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward looking statements made during this call. At this time, I would like to introduce Brad Beckham.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Jeremy. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the O'Reilly Auto Parts 2nd quarter conference call. Participating on the call with me this morning are Brent Kirby, our President and Jeremy Fletcher, our Chief Financial Officer Greg Hensley, our Executive Chairman and David O'Reilly, our Executive Vice Chairman are also present on the call. I'd like to begin my comments today by thanking our team of over 91,000 hardworking professional parts people across North America for their continued dedication to our customers during a challenging second quarter. As we'll discuss during our call today, our 2nd quarter results were below our expectations as we face broader headwinds to demand in our industry.

Speaker 2

However, we are pleased with the job our teams did to uphold our commitment to providing top notch customer service to our customers on both sides of our business. Despite a sales performance that fell short of what we have come to expect, we continue to outperform the industry. This is the direct result of our team maintaining a high level of attention to detail and doubling down on their efforts to provide even better service to our customers. We finished the 2nd quarter with a 2.3% comparable store sales increase on top of a 9% in the prior year. The pressure to top line sales also negatively impacted our operating profit and earnings per share results and we have revised our full year outlook for these metrics as outlined in our press release last night.

Speaker 2

Though our results were below our expectations for the quarter, we were still able to generate increased operating profit and EPS on top of several years of a robust growth. We now expect our full year EPS to come in within a range of $40.75 to $41.25 with the adjustments reflecting our results in the 2nd quarter and revised full year comparable store sales and operational outlook. At the midpoint of our updated range, our guidance represents a forecasted 7% increase in full year EPS, which matches our EPS growth in the first half of twenty twenty four. Our ability to generate solid EPS growth in a challenging macro environment, especially in light of the comparison to the 15% growth we delivered in 2023 is a testament to the continued strong execution by team O'Reilly. Now I'd like to dig in further to our results in the Q2 by walking through the details of our sales performance, starting with our cadence of sales in the quarter.

Speaker 2

As we discussed on our last call, our quarter started off with sluggish results in April as we faced headwinds from cool wet weather during the spring selling season. The softness in our business persisted into May, which we believe reflected broad based pressure throughout the industry. As we entered June, we saw improved trends driven by strong performance in hot weather related categories. On a week to week basis relative to our original guidance expectations, June represented the strongest performance for our quarter. So far in July, sales trends have remained solid with weather benefit we saw in June moderating somewhat as we compare to similar favorable hot weather in July of last year.

Speaker 2

Our comparable store sales growth in the 2nd quarter was driven by continued strength in our professional business where we delivered yet another quarter of mid single digit comps. While increases in average ticket values were positive contributors to comps on both sides of our business, the majority of our professional sales growth was fueled by robust growth in ticket counts. Our results in the 2nd quarter came on top of prior year comparisons to mid teens professional comps in 2023 and we attribute our robust 2 year stack performance to our industry leading customer service and inventory availability. We continue to be excited by our team's ability to leverage the momentum we've created in our professional business and we remain bullish on our prospects to compound our share growth in what remains a highly fragmented professional market. The strength in our professional business was partially offset by headwinds in DIY comparable store sales, which were down just shy of 1% for the quarter from pressure on ticket counts.

Speaker 2

Average ticket values on both sides of our business benefited from modest same SKU inflation of less than 1%. From a category perspective, our results for the quarter were highlighted by the strong performance in hot weather categories, including batteries and HVAC as well as solid performance in maintenance categories like brakes, oil changes and spark plugs, which we believe reflects the ongoing priority our customers are placing on keeping their vehicles on the road and running well. The sales softness we experienced in the quarter was more pronounced in the discretionary appearance and accessory categories. These categories comprise of a small percentage of our business and typically are not primary drivers of our comparable store sales results. However, demand for these products is more susceptible to volatility in periods where consumers are pressured and that dynamic contributed to our sales shortfall in the Q2.

Speaker 2

We also saw some sluggishness on both sides of our business in certain undercar hard part categories, which performed below the company average. These types of repair parts are impacted by cumulative wear and tear and have been key contributors to our professional sales growth and share gains over the past 2 years. While we still believe we are performing well in these categories relative to the industry, our results in the second quarter may be indicative of temporary pressure across the broader industry. Against this backdrop of mixed results in our business for the first half of twenty twenty four, we continue to have confidence in the long term fundamental drivers of demand for our industry, but also remain cautious about the current market environment. We still view the average consumer as relatively healthy with strong employment and wage rates underpinning the ability of our customers to invest in the repair and maintenance of their vehicles.

Speaker 2

However, we also believe we're seeing some level of conservatism in how consumers are managing their spend as they face the cumulative impact of elevated price levels and uncertainty about the broader macroeconomic conditions. Historically, more challenging periods in our industry are characterized by this type of short term adjustment on the part of economically constrained DIY consumers. That said, we are cognizant of the potential that demand could be impacted during the back half of the year if this economic uncertainty persists, particularly during an election year. Given this outlook and the trends we have seen in the first half of twenty twenty four, we are lowering our full year comparable store sales guidance to 2% to 4%, which reflects both our second quarter results and our updated expectations for the 3rd Q4. We believe the pressure that our industry is experiencing will prove to be a short term headwind.

Speaker 2

Our experience through multiple similar cycles in our company's history gives us confidence that the core drivers of demand for the automotive aftermarket remain very solid. The size and growth of the car park in North America, coupled with the quality of vehicles and a continually rising average vehicle age, drive resilient demand in our industry. We expect to see continued steady growth in total miles driven underpinned by population growth and the critical nature of the daily transportation needs of vehicle owners. We also believe that the value proposition for continued investment in an existing vehicle has never been higher and that consumers will continue to prioritize funding the cost of repair and maintenance of older higher mileage vehicles. Ultimately, the macroeconomic conditions we face do not affect our company's philosophy for how we execute our business model.

Speaker 2

We have instilled in an ownership mentality throughout our organization. Our run it like you own it philosophy does not accept external pressures as an excuse when there is still market share to gain in every local market simply by out hustling and out servicing our competition. Even though we believe we gain market share in the first half of twenty twenty four in a tough environment, I can guarantee that none of our teams in our stores, distribution centers and offices are satisfied with a 2.8% year to date comparable store sales increase. Our teams are committed to putting in the work it takes to win every day in every one of our markets and remain hungry to achieve performance that matches the high bar we have set as a company. As I wrap up my prepared comments, I would like to once again thank team O'Reilly for your commitment to our customers, our company and to your fellow team members.

Speaker 2

Now I'll turn the call over to Brad.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Brad. I would also like to join Brad in thanking team O'Reilly for their continued dedication to our company's success and their steadfast commitment to excellent customer service. Our team's ability to gain market share in a challenging industry environment is a testament to their professionalism and dedication to our customers. Today, I would like to begin my comments by discussing our 2nd quarter gross margin results. For the quarter, our gross margin of 50.7 percent was down 53 basis points from the Q2 of 2023, with approximately 35 basis points of the decrease driven by the acquisition of our Canadian business.

Speaker 3

As a reminder, the acquired VAST Auto business operates a higher mix of distribution sales to independent parts stores at substantially lower gross margins. As we have worked to align their financial reporting, we now expect the headwind to gross margin from the addition of their results to be slightly higher than our original expectations with 30 to 35 basis points of dilution anticipated for the remainder of 2024. However, our outlook for the net impact of the acquired business is unchanged, and we still expect only a 15 basis point headwind to operating profit in 2024. Excluding the impact of the Canadian business in the Q2, our gross margin results came in below our expectations, driven by a few different factors. First, the category composition of our sales that Brad outlined earlier resulted in a product mix margin headwind as some of the solid results we saw in maintenance products carry a lower margin than the pressured undercar categories.

Speaker 3

We also saw some pressure to distribution cost in our gross margin from the deleverage of fixed cost on the below plan second quarter sales. Finally, our 2nd quarter results include a slightly larger than anticipated headwind from the mix of DIY and professional business, as the headwinds we saw to sales were more significantly felt in our higher margin DIY business. While we are cognizant that we can experience these types of puts and takes in any given quarter, our outlook on the core drivers of our gross margin performance is unchanged. We continue to be confident in the stability of both acquisition costs and selling prices of our business and believe we have the ability to incrementally improve gross margins by delivering on premium value proposition we create for our supplier partners and customers. In the Q2, we saw a stable acquisition cost environment with the anticipated mix of incremental cost improvements and modest inflation pressure.

Speaker 3

Pricing remains rational in the industry, and we expect it to remain so in the future. Based on our results for the first half of twenty twenty four and our outlook for the remainder of the year, we are maintaining our full year gross margin guidance range of 51% to 51.5%. Turning to SG and A. Our 2nd quarter results reflect prudent and appropriate expense management by our teams against the softer sales backdrop. On an average per store basis, our SG and A grew 2.8% in the 2nd quarter with approximately 10 basis points of that growth driven by the inclusion of Canada's operating results.

Speaker 3

Our SG and A spend was below our original outlook for the Q2 as our teams effectively balanced our unwavering commitment to deliver industry leading customer service, while also prudently dialing in the appropriate staffing levels to match our business. While we are certainly not pleased with the deleverage of our operating expenses resulting from pressure to comparable store sales, we remain committed to maintaining a high standard of customer service and will not make dramatic adjustments to our SG and A spend that would negatively impact our ability to serve our customers. 1 of the greatest resources as an organization is the professionalism and experience of our store team leaders. An excellent example of the strength of our leadership bench is the quality and tenure of our group of over 600 district managers, who each have responsibility for an average of 10 stores. Our district manager group averages more than 14 years of service with team O'Reilly and each of these leaders is actively engaged on a daily basis to identify and capitalize on opportunities to enhance the service we provide to our customers, while also optimizing the productivity of the dollars we spend in each of our stores.

Speaker 3

Our ability to execute our business model at a high level in over 6,000 stores is the direct result of the broad based experience and industry knowledge across the company. We believe that our consistency in delivering excellent customer service in all market conditions driven by this experienced leadership team has been critical to our long term success. Ultimately, our customers require and deserve a high level of service regardless of the broader market conditions. Our commitment to work that much harder to earn their business in a challenging environment simply represents another opportunity for us to develop strong long term relationships and grow our share of the business over time. As we look to the back half of twenty twenty four, we are cognizant of the sales volatility we could face, as Brad discussed earlier, and expect to continue to judiciously manage SG and A expenses to match the business environment.

Speaker 3

Based on our results thus far in 2024 and updated outlook for the remainder of the year, we now expect full year SG and A per store to grow between 3.5% to 4%, down from our previous guidance of 4.5% to 5%. This guidance range assumes a more moderate impact from the addition of our Canadian business of approximately 0.2% of per store SG and A growth, which is revised from our previous expectation of 1 half of 1%. While our updated SG and A range reflects our current expectation for the rest of 2024, we will continue to adjust as appropriate. Based on our first half performance and our outlook for the remainder of the year, we are updating our operating margin guidance and now expect the full year to come in within a range of 19.6% to 20.1%, which is a 10 basis point reduction from our previous guidance. Before I conclude my comments, I would like to provide an update on our inventory and capital expenditure and expansion results.

Speaker 3

Inventory per store finished the quarter at $767,000 which was up just under 1% from this time last year and 1.4% from the end of 2023. We continue to be pleased with the health of our supply chain and our store and stock position remains strong. We are leaving unchanged our 2024 target of 4% growth in inventory per store within our existing chain, excluding the impact of the acquired VAST Auto inventory. We plan to opportunistically add inventory in the back half of the year to supplement our store, hub and DC level inventories, ensuring that we are offering the best inventory availability in all of the markets that we serve. We opened a total of 27 stores during the Q2 and remain on track to open 190 to 200 new stores in 2024.

Speaker 3

During the first half of the year, 7 of our 64 new store openings have been in Mexico, bringing our store count in Mexico to 69 stores. With an expectation to open an additional 15 to 20 stores in the back half of twenty twenty four. While our footprint in Mexico is still relatively small and we are still only in early innings of our growth, we continue to be excited about the attractiveness of the Mexican market and our prospects to grow a strong and profitable business there over time. We are also very excited about our new business in Canada and continue to be pleased with the partnership that we have formed with our Canadian team. Capital expenditures for the 1st 6 months of 2024 were $475,000,000 which is in line with our expectations with a heavy weighting towards our ambitious plans to invest in new store and distribution expansion projects.

Speaker 3

To close my comments, I want to once again thank team O'Reilly for their continued dedication to our customers. Our success is dependent upon providing the best customer service in our industry, and I'm confident in our team's ability to maintain this very high standard and deliver a strong finish to 2024. Now I will turn the call over to Jeremy.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Brent. I would also like to add my thanks to all of team O'Reilly for their continued dedication to our company's long term success. Now we will cover some additional details on our Q2 results and outlook for the remainder of 2024. For the quarter, sales increased $203,000,000 driven by a 2.3% increase in comparable store sales and a $70,000,000 non comp contribution from stores opened in 2023 2024 that have not yet entered the comp base. For 2024, we now expect our total revenues to be between $16,600,000,000 $16,900,000,000 Our 2nd quarter effective tax rate was 23.3 percent of pre tax income comprised of a base rate of 23.9 percent reduced by a 0.6% benefit for share based compensation.

Speaker 1

This compares to the Q2 of 2023 rate of 22.5% of pretax income, which was comprised of a base tax rate of 24.3% reduced by a 1.8% benefit for share based compensation. For the full year of 2024, we continue to expect an effective tax rate of 22.4 percent comprised of a base rate of 23.2% reduced by a benefit of 0.8 percent for share based compensation. We expect the 4th quarter rate to be lower than the other 3 quarters due to the tolling of certain tax periods and variations in the tax benefit from share based compensation can create fluctuations in our quarterly tax rate. Now we will move on to free cash flow and the components that drove our results. Free cash flow for the 6 months of 2024 was $1,200,000,000 in line with the first half of twenty twenty three with growth reduction in net inventory this year versus 2023.

Speaker 1

For 2024, our expected free cash flow guidance remains unchanged at a range of $1,800,000,000 to $2,100,000,000 Our AP as a percentage of inventory finished the 2nd quarter at 130%, down from 131% at the end of 2023. This ratio was slightly above our expectations driven by the timing of inventory investments in the first half of the year. We continue to expect to see moderation in our AP to inventory percentage in the back half of twenty twenty four and expect to finish the year at a ratio of approximately 127%. Moving on to debt, we finished the 2nd quarter with an adjusted debt to EBITDAR ratio of 1.97 times as compared to our end of 2023 ratio of 2.03 times with the decrease driven by a reduction in borrowings under our commercial paper program. We continue to be below our leverage target of 2.5 times and plan to prudently approach that number over time.

Speaker 1

We continue to be pleased with the execution of our share repurchase program. And during the Q2, we repurchased 784,000 shares at an average price of $10.12 for a total investment of $794,000,000 Year to date through our press release yesterday, we repurchased 1,300,000 shares at an average share price of $10.20 for a total investment of $1,300,000,000 We remain very confident that the average repurchase price is supported by the expected discounted future cash flows of our business and we continue to view our buyback program as an effective means of returning excess capital to our shareholders. As a reminder, our EPS guidance Brad outlined earlier includes the impact of shares repurchased through this call, but does not include any additional share repurchases. Before I close my comments today, I have one final item to cover as it relates to our Investor Relations function at O'Reilly and the change we will be making to our team. After more than 15 years as our Head of IR, Mark Mers will be transitioning into another key role with our company.

Speaker 1

Many of you who have interacted with Mark closely over the years understand that in addition to his duties managing our investor engagement and communications, Mark is also a senior leader in our finance team and a key partner to business leaders across our company. Beginning in a few months, Mark will be leveraging that deep experience and knowledge of our business as he takes on a new role as an in country leader Mexican operation. As we continue to grow our business in Mexico, we have an opportunity to build on a strong foundation for success and growth in what we believe will be a large and important market for our company. In this new position, Mark will be taking on a key senior leadership role working continue to serve in his current role and be available to answer your questions about our business and second quarter results. During that process, he will also be managing the handoff of our primary Investor Relations contact function to Leslie Skork.

Speaker 1

Leslie is a tenured O'Reilly team member with over 9 years of experience with our company and currently heads up our tax function as Senior Director of Tax, but will now be adding Investor Relations to her duties. Mark and Leslie will be managing this handoff over the next couple of months, including the opportunity for you to meet Leslie at our upcoming Analyst Day in August in Chicago. In addition, many of you have interacted with Eric Bird, another senior leader on our finance team and he will continue to serve in his same role as an additional point of contact to support engagement with our investor community. This concludes our prepared comments. At this time, I would like to ask Holly, the operator to return to the line and we will be happy to answer your questions.

Operator

Thank Your first question is from Scot Ciccarelli from Truist.

Speaker 3

Good morning, guys. Scot Ciccarelli. Good morning, Scot Ciccarelli. Good morning, Scot Ciccarelli. Two questions, hopefully.

Speaker 3

Hi. You talked about softness in your discretionary goods. Can you provide more color on what percent of mix you consider discretionary and how negative those sales were down mid single digits, high single digits, low double digits, etcetera? And then secondly, I may have missed it or misunderstood it, but I thought you said you expect Canada to be more dilutive to gross margins than originally expected, but that you're maintaining your full year gross margin guide. Can you just help reconcile that?

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Yes, Scott. Thanks. This is Jeremy. I'll jump in on the first part of the question and you guys might be able to help me on the other one. On the discretionary categories, we mentioned in our prepared comments and it's pretty common.

Speaker 1

Those even accumulated are a smaller portion of our overall company chain. It's not typically a big driver. They were down more significantly than the rest of our group. We don't really quantify individual category comments, but we're pretty substantially pressured versus where we saw the rest of the chain. And because of that, even though it's a small piece was enough to be, I think, a mover of the overall comp when typically they don't when they don't have that impact.

Speaker 1

But overall, it's still, I would tell you, a minor part of our overall business. As we think about your second question from a gross margin perspective, we did see just as we lined out how we would roll Canada's numbers in and got more familiar with their operations roll in. Do expect that there would be a little bit more dilutive than what we've normally seen, but had a decent amount of that obviously already built into our guidance range. So it becomes one of the puts and takes as we think about what gross margin looks like in the back half of the year. Similarly, some of the things that Brent pointed out in his prepared comments are also things that we view as more transitory items over a longer period of time, things like mix between our categories and how our teams are able to manage our DC cost of leverage are things that typically we can see level out and don't think will create as much pressure.

Speaker 1

We continue to think for the back half of our year that being able to be a favored partner for a lot of our suppliers gives us opportunities from a cost perspective. And as we've built that into the plan, we expected that accumulate some benefit over the year. And while we've seen some amount of that so far in our year, our outlook as we think about that is an offsetter that we think will be a contributor in the back half. And those kind of all move into how we think broadly about our gross margin outlook being in a position to be relatively stable for how we thought about the full year with some just kind of more short term items here in the quarter.

Speaker 3

Understood. Thank you. Thanks, Scott. Thanks, Scott.

Operator

The next question is from Greg Melich from Evercore ISI.

Speaker 4

Hi, thanks. I want to follow-up on the July trends. I think you guys said it was remained solid, but it sounds like it might have been not as good as June. Would that be fair?

Speaker 2

Well, hey, good morning, Greg. This is Brad. I think what we want to balance on just kind of the exit rate coming out of June and heading into July, Like we mentioned, when we look back at our original guidance and our internal plan kind of week by week, as we said it at the beginning of the year, June was the best performer from that aspect in the quarter. And like I mentioned earlier, we feel solid about the trends as they rolled into July. I think what we want to balance that with a little bit, Greg, is just making sure when we say when I say solid, that's relative how the year has gone so far as well as how we feel about our guidance, adjusted guidance for the remainder of the year, which we feel really good about.

Speaker 2

There's been a couple of moving pieces in July that make it a little bit of tough read. We're a few weeks in, still a long lot of quarter to go. And the way that July or excuse me, the 4th July holiday layered in that 1st week, it's always a little bit hard to tell just from a category mix

Speaker 1

and a business mix. But overall, we feel really good about how we started the quarter. The other thing to keep in mind there too, Greg, is that the timing of the weather benefit that we've seen so far this year compared to prior year saw really a shift in the second quarter. We're probably up against some of our more challenging comparisons in all of the back half here as we work through July because that's when if you remember in 2023, we saw the hot weather come on and the benefits you got. And it's always a challenge.

Speaker 1

We're always reluctant to try to draw in too many conclusions and extrapolate off of a 2, 3 year period when that hot weather just impacts in a different way every year as it comes in. To Brad's point, we feel confident in what we think the REIT is just broadly across our business outside of some of these fluctuations and that's really what's informed how we think about the back half of the year, not just kind of a short look at a week or 2.

Speaker 4

Got it. That's great. And then my follow-up was you mentioned certain undercar parts were weak, but you're still gaining share there. I guess what do you think is going on? Are people deferring doing some of these larger ticket undercar things?

Speaker 4

Or is there some trade down going on there?

Speaker 2

Yes. Hey, Greg, this is Brad again. Greg, great question. We called that out. We have when we look at our business, really on both sides of the business, but we look at professional, especially these last 2 or 3 years, we have really taken a lot of share.

Speaker 2

When we look at the data, we look at from a share perspective and those under car, under hood, but specifically under car hard part category lines, we're going up against some unbelievable compares. And then you start to think about maybe a little bit of mild winter in the last couple of years and you look at those categories. I think what we're seeing is to answer your question directly is some deferral. So I think there is some deferral with those high ticket service items on both sides of the business, but especially in the repair shops. What we're still not seeing, Greg, and Brent may want to help me here.

Speaker 2

What we're still not seeing is the trade down that you asked about, a

Speaker 3

little bit of deferral, but not trade down in our line design. And Greg, just to kind of build on Brad's comments, when we look and that's something we've obviously watched closely with some of the pressure on the consumer that's been in the news. When we look at our good, better, best progression across our product lines, We still as we've reported in prior quarters, we still see actually a migration to best and out of good and better, which is interesting given the consumer backdrop. But to Brad's point, I think where we're part of what's driving some of that is higher end batteries, AGM requirements. There's some different things in the industry that are driving.

Speaker 3

We feel like some of that migration up the continuum in terms of getting into the better and best categories. Some of it is also for us anyway has been driven by our proprietary brands. When we look at the growth there with Syntech, our synthetic oil proprietary brand, the growth there in units and quartz as it continues to penetrate. We launched BrakeBest Select Pro, import direct brakes continue to grow there in that best category. So we continue to see customers migrate there.

Speaker 3

They see value and they see quality in the box. Where we have seen a little bit of we talked about Jeremy talked about discretionary categories a minute ago, but think about wipers for your car. We did see units were fairly consistent in Q2, but dollars showed some trade down there, people moving more down to the middle, lower level. And if you think about it, your wipers are more of a nuisance than something that's really critical to having your car on the road. But if it's streaking, you're going to replace it.

Speaker 3

And we did see some evidence in a category like that where people were looking for maybe an option that was a little bit more in the good or better range. So but generally speaking, that's kind of what we're seeing.

Speaker 2

And Greg, I may just one more thing, cap that. Just back to the root of your question on the some pressure we've seen on the undercar categories, we still feel good about our share and our share gains when we look at the data we look at.

Speaker 4

Well, that's great. A lot of great color there guys. Thanks. Congrats, Mark, on the new role and have a good quarter.

Speaker 3

Thanks Greg.

Speaker 5

Thanks Greg.

Operator

Your next question for today is from Michael Lasser from UBS.

Speaker 5

Good morning. Thank you so much for taking my question. Congratulations, Mark Marz. Do you think another round of either price or expense investments is necessary in order to maintain or perhaps even accelerate your market share gains from here, especially if the industry goes through a period of protracted softness as we've seen in the last couple of quarters? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes. Hey, great question, Michael. Thank you so much. The answer the short answer to the first part of your question there on pricing is no. We feel really good about the decision we made.

Speaker 2

It's been almost 2.5 years ago now to make the strategic investments into our professional pricing initiative. And as we've said many times, we felt so good about those investments, not because of just the competitiveness of our on the street price compared to the independents, but the way that we as a company back that up with our professional parts people, our best in class delivery service in terms of turning bays and getting cars off the rack for a customer, all the work our territory sales managers have done in the last many years as we've always done just to make that price that's always 3rd and 4th down the list to really make those things pay, we had to do the other things that much better from a service relationship and then all the work that our supply chains and teams have done to continue to keep us best in class in inventory availability. And we feel like all that has paid off greatly. But like we've said many times, we don't feel that that is necessary to continue our share gains. I think what we're seeing right now is simply some pressure on the consumer.

Speaker 2

We don't feel like anything is really materially changed from the way we compete. But the way that our investments are paying off, not seeing a lot different, we have tough competitors out there, but we're $16 plus 1,000,000,000 company operating in almost $150,000,000,000 industry and we don't see any other price investments necessary to take us to the next level. When we see times like we're seeing this year where things are a little bit tough, we see unique opportunities to take share in other ways. And I just maybe with the second part of your question in terms of other investments, we continue to invest. We continue to invest in staffing, though our teams did a phenomenal job managing SG and A this quarter based upon the sales results.

Speaker 2

We haven't backed off our investments and initiatives. And those initiatives are really centered around taking the friction out for our team members and our customers. And so really, we're going to continue to invest in all the strategic initiatives, but don't feel like there's another round of price initiative necessary.

Speaker 5

Okay. My follow-up question is, what do you think the catalyst is to accelerate growth across the industry? Is it just getting into the Q4 with comparisons ease and then put the calendar to get into next year? And if this period of softness persists into next year, just as the industry gives back some of the gains from the last few years, what's the minimum level of growth in SG and A per store that O'Reilly can manage through just so we can properly calibrate our model? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Great. A couple of other great questions, Michael. Well, as far as the catalyst for I'll take the first part and then I'll let Jeremy help me out on the back part. I think on the first part, Michael, I think we have done such a great job controlling our own destiny the last many years and obviously we've had some amazing share gains and we're not resting on our laurels. I mean, I also don't want to hide from the fact that, yes, as we continue to comp the comp and lap all these share gains, the fact of matter is, we've decelerated some in terms of the overall continue to take the same amount of share year after year.

Speaker 2

But I don't think I think it's still yet to be seen how others will report for the next quarter or 2, but we're seeing nothing that says that we're still not continuing to take share. When we look at category data, when we look at market data, we still feel really good about our share gains. And again, I think time will tell based upon how others report how we're doing on that front. It's always hard a little bit hard to tell, obviously, with the independents and the OE dealers and things like that. But we see a constant catalyst to continue to build our teams better, give better service and just continue to do what we do.

Speaker 2

What I think back, Michael, to the toughest years we've had from a macro perspective in my 28 year career with O'Reilly, some of our toughest years are the biggest opportunities we have to kind of build our own catalyst going into 2025. There's times that when things get tough, there are certain competitors, not always our public competitors that overreact on the expense front and they don't do as good a job of staffing their stores, staffing their delivery vehicles. They can overreact on inventory levels and things like that. And so I actually believe the biggest catalyst we have is just being our own worst critic internally, looking ourselves in the mirror in terms of our execution and our team is fully committed to putting the things in place that it's going to take to drive continued share gains.

Speaker 1

Yes. Maybe Mike, just to add a little bit to also what Brett said, if we think about just the broader dynamics in the industry, we've seen periods of time like this in the past before. But we have a lot of conviction around the long term strength of the core fundamentals that drive our business. And having been through many of these cycles, we know that our industry is very much supported by the ability to support a consumer that's economically constrained and give them an option to conserve part of their monthly budget that needs to go in other areas because they can keep their cars on the road. The question around what the right SG and A spend is or where we lever, it's always a challenging one for us to answer.

Speaker 1

We don't put a fine point on it. It depends on the markets and the circumstances we're in, what broader level of inflation looks like overall. And obviously, we don't provide that long term outlook or guide into 2025 versus where we're at today. I think what's more important for us is what Brent touched on in his prepared comments and that we've got a team that very effectively manages how we think about the cadence and pace of the business and appropriately dialing in our operations to address the business when it gets a little bit soft, but to do so in a way that does not sacrifice really the value proposition, the relationships, the service that where the needs of the consumer do not change in these type of environments. So we're always going to be able to balance that well, while making sure that we're investing in the long term for our business and feel confident that whether we're in a higher inflation environment, lower inflation, whatever that might look like, that we can manage well the productivity of our spend to support our results.

Speaker 5

Thank you very much and welcome, Leslie.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Michael.

Operator

The next question for today is from Stephen Forbes with Guggenheim Securities.

Speaker 6

Good morning. I wanted to follow-up on the I wanted to ask about the cadence of store openings this year. I was curious if it's being impacted by any of your initiatives, distribution related or so forth. And then given the expected number of openings in the back half implied, any reason for us to think that the number of openings could increase into sort of the out years here, especially given your commentary around growth in Mexico? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes. No, thanks, Stephen. I'll say a few things and let Brent jump in. But no, nothing's changed on the store front on the store growth front in the U. S.

Speaker 2

Nor Mexico or Canada. We still feel really good about the pace of our new store openings. First half of the year has gone really well. Still feel good about the back half. So nothing out there to slow us down or speed us up necessarily.

Speaker 2

We really still feel like we have the right number in terms of store openings domestically and internationally and feel good about how we're going to end the year.

Speaker 3

Yes. The only thing I would add, Stephen, to everything Brad just said is we continue to invest in our distribution infrastructure as well to support that store growth. We've got the 3 active DC projects out there that we've talked about with relocation of 2 existing and then one brand new there in the Mid Atlantic that we're working on. So we're continuing to that pipeline is going to continue in the foreseeable future at the same pace we're seeing now.

Speaker 6

And then maybe just a quick follow-up to Michael's question, maybe asked a different way, right? We think about how the employee mix has shifted sort of full time versus part time over the past few years. And would it help us frame up, right, sort of what that has done to the fixed versus variable cost structure of the business, right, as we potentially may be entering a period of more moderate growth, I guess, sort of another way of asking Michael's question, but it does appear right that there could be some pressure on expenses. And so anyway sort of frame up how we think about fixed cost structure versus variable cost structure business? Yes.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Steven, for that question. It's an interesting one. We still feel like we've got a solid amount of flexibility in how we manage the process to dial in our staffing levels to take care of customers. The right, the potential flexibility headwinds that you might talk about because of the higher full time mix of our business, we think really becomes offset by the productivity in the high service levels that those team members provide. And we still have with the large chain in lots of different locations and just the normal turnover of our business, it gives us opportunities to dial in those levels as we need to.

Speaker 1

But over the course of the last few years, as we have invested, not just in how we think about what the right full time, part time mix is in our business, But as we've thought about how we compensate our teams and how we manage our managers' work schedules as we've invested in benefits and those types of items, the overall quality of our store teams continues to we believe operate at a very high level and operate at a high level that's effectively managed by a lot of very seasoned team members and leaders within our company as Brent pointed out his comments. And that allows us on a very distributed basis to know that we're executing in the playbook, running our business model in the right way and can manage through these periods of time with a solid amount of flexibility. Clearly, we've talked about this quarter, talked about it several times over the course of the last years. We're not going to overcompensate there. We're not going to over adjust and do something that would create a service shortfall at all.

Speaker 1

We're not when we talk about softness in our industry from a sales perspective, these are not huge movements. And candidly, they don't matter to our customers. If sales are a little bit soft, they still need a high level of service, and we won't sacrifice that. So there are limits to how you manage that broader cost structure. But for sure, we feel comfortable we've got a great leadership team in place to dial that into the right level.

Speaker 2

Yes. And maybe Stephen, just to build on what Jeremy said or maybe just put a point on it is that we feel really good about the work that Jason Tarrant and our store operations leaders have done. As we came out of COVID and we kind of drew a lot in the sand as we increase that full time mix as well as just made our retention an even higher focus. It's always been a huge focus at O'Reilly. You can't have professional parts people if you have turnover on the counter.

Speaker 2

It just doesn't work. And so we feel really good about those investments we made and not only full time, but all our initiatives come out of COVID that slowed down that store turnover. And we've made a lot of progress. We feel really good about the progress. We feel like it's paying off in productivity, customer service levels and the stability of our business.

Speaker 2

Still work to be done. It's an ongoing thing to continue to work on that retention, but really feel good about those investments and the work that the store operations teams have done.

Speaker 4

Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Steven. Thanks.

Operator

Your next question is from Christopher Horvers with JPMorgan.

Speaker 7

Thanks. Good morning, guys. So my first question is maybe turn the industry growth question around a little bit. Do you think that whether it was a net benefit or a net headwind to the category in your growth in the Q2 here? Because I know June got a weather benefit, but you had a pretty late spring in the north.

Speaker 7

So as you're trying to disaggregate the underlying trend of the business, how do you think about the influence of weather? And then related to that, as you saw about July solid performance, are you also seeing that on the DIY side of the business being better than what you experienced in the Q2?

Speaker 1

Yes. Chris, on the question around, I would say it's probably a net positive in the second quarter just because the hot weather comes on And oftentimes, that first round of extreme weather gives you a little bit of a boost because it gets the first piece of the failures there. As we look over the balance of the first half of the year, candidly, that's probably informed more how we think through where the overall industry has been because it has been choppy. There's been lots of different puts and takes that you'd attribute to weather. But as we've said multiple times over the course of time, a lot of that stuff evens itself out as you put periods on top of periods.

Speaker 1

And so we think it's likely to have been more neutral there, although for sure lots of puts and takes. And we'll see the balance of the back half of the year. As you move further out of summer and you have a little bit less of those impacts obviously until you get into the winter and our compares are a little bit softer at the end of the Q4 as it relates to that. But that's really how we would kind of frame out that broader question.

Speaker 7

And then on the DIY into July versus what you experienced in the Q2?

Speaker 1

Yes. We don't want to parse July too much for all the reasons that Brad talked about a lot. I would tell you the composition of the business, really the thought process between DIY and professional has been pretty consistent as we move through the year. So a lot of those categories that we talk about that are benefited from a hot weather perspective, we saw solid performance on both professional and DIY side.

Speaker 7

Got it. And then following up on an earlier gross margin question. So just to clarify, did 2Q benefit from lower product acquisition costs? Like and I guess how if it didn't, it sounds like you're expecting that to happen in the back half of the year. So is there some sort of accounting like waiting for the inventory turn?

Speaker 7

Like was there anything unique in the Q2 on that side that turns that to a benefit as the year progresses?

Speaker 3

Yes. I can start on that one, Chris. When we think about product acquisition costs, as we continue to move past COVID and into a more normalized environment. We've got some suppliers out there that are still facing wage pressure, labor production pressures, raw materials, those kind of things. We've got some that aren't, some that are getting more efficient, getting better.

Speaker 3

So I would tell you it's been what I would say back to a normal version of some puts and takes with acquisition costs, navigating through all the typical things that are out there in that environment. As we think about how we planned the year, we planned the back half of the year be probably even more normal than the first half of the year when you think about how we built the plan. So we anticipate that to continue to play out the way we see it now. So that's what I would tell you there on the acquisition cost side. I would tell you it's not and we're not in a point where we're seeing a bunch of deflation there, but we are seeing a normalization there.

Speaker 1

Yes. And Chris, there's nothing unique from an accounting perspective. There was a net benefit in the second quarter. We just think incrementally, to Brent's point, we can add to that as we move through the back half of the

Speaker 7

year. Got it. So year on year gross margin should be pretty similar in the back half of the year?

Speaker 1

Yes. I mean, we feel comfortable with where our guide is at and obviously what that implies for the back half of the year.

Speaker 7

Understood. Thanks guys.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Chris.

Operator

Your next question is from Brian Nagel from Oppenheimer.

Speaker 8

Hi. Thanks for slipping me in here. So some shorter term questions, so I apologize, but maybe it's a follow-up on Chris' question as well. But can you help us understand better, you talked about the business solidifying or strengthening in June. How much stronger June was than the prior 2 months in the quarter?

Speaker 8

Then my second question, with the moderation of the guidance, does that reflect primarily the weakness in the first half of the year? Or you're actually also moderating expectations for the second half of the year?

Speaker 1

Yes. No, thanks for the questions, Brian. I'll take maybe the second one first. It reflects both. We just as it works out, our back half will be pretty similar within our implied guidance to our first half of that just based upon if you think about it from a midpoint perspective.

Speaker 1

So it's not just the flow through of our results so far, but how those have been formed, what we think our outlook for the remainder of the year is along with, obviously, what we see in the business and how we perceive that to be. As we think about the cadence of the quarter, I think Brett said it well in his prepared comments, April May were both soft. They were both our expectations. As the heat came on June, June performed better and more in line with what we would have looked for as we entered into the quarter. Certainly not a situation where we significantly outperformed our kind of longer term expectations for the year.

Speaker 1

In the quarter, it was a little bit more of just a normalization back towards what our expectations would have been. But that's sort of the right way to think about the cadence of the impact month to month.

Speaker 8

Okay, that's helpful. I appreciate it. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Brian. Thanks, Brian.

Operator

We have reached our allotted time for questions. I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Brad Beckham for closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Holly. We would like to conclude our call today by thanking the entire O'Reilly team for your continued hard work and dedication to our customers in the Q2. I would like to thank everyone for joining our call today, and we look forward to reporting our Q3 results in October. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's conference call. You may disconnect your phone lines at this time and have a wonderful day. Thank you for

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Earnings Conference Call
O'Reilly Automotive Q2 2024
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