TMX Group Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
August 1, 2024

There are 10 speakers on the call.

Operator

This call is being recorded on Thursday, August 1, 20 24. I would now like to turn the conference over to Amin Lusavian, Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasury at TMX Group.

Operator

Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you and good morning everyone. Live from New York, it's Thursday morning. We're hosting today's call from our TMX Vetify office in New York. Thanks for joining us to discuss the 2024 Second Quarter Results for TMX Group. We announced our results for another strong quarter late yesterday and copies of our press release and MD and A are available on tmx.com under Investor Relations.

Speaker 1

This morning, we have with us John McKenzie, our Chief Executive Officer and David Arnold, our Chief Financial Officer. Following the opening remarks, we will have a question and answer session. Before we begin, let's cover our forward looking legal disclosure. Certain statements made during this call may relate to future events and expectations and constitute forward looking information within the meaning of the Canadian Securities Law. Actual results may differ materially from these expectations and additional information is contained in our press release and periodic reports that we have filed with the regulatory authorities.

Speaker 1

Now, I will turn the call over to John.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Amina, and good morning, everyone. Thank you all for joining us today to discuss TMX Group's financial results for the Q2 and the first half of twenty twenty four. And as Amin said, we are set up here for the very first time in the Vedafai office in Manhattan. It's certainly been great to be here and engage with all the team. And it's a clear indicator of our growing global presence.

Speaker 2

Now before we turn to business, on behalf of all of us in TMX and particularly with regards to our teams in both Calgary and Edmonton, I do want to send out a quick message of support from all of us to those that have been impacted by the devastating wildfires this summer in Alberta. We are so very grateful for the efforts of those on the front lines who are working to provide the essential relief needed and the resources to people affected. Our thoughts are with you. Next, I'd also like to thank all of you, particularly who took the time to attend either in person or virtually our 2024 Investor Day accelerating growth last month at the TMX Market Centre in Toronto. Now based on the caliber of the conversations that we had in the room, our interactions with many of you and the feedback received by the IR team, this was a big success.

Speaker 2

And particularly, the exceptionally strong level of engagement from all of you, our analysts and investors. Candidly, we drive a ton of value from your informed and thought provoking questions. And I want to thank you again for bringing your A games to TMX's Investor Day. And for those that haven't, I would encourage all of you to watch the event. You can review the recorded webcast on investorday.tmx.com.

Speaker 2

Now in executing against that plan, TMX delivered excellent results for the Q2 and the 1st 6 months of 2024, highlighted by strong performances across the franchise. We will go deeper into the year over year analysis in a few moments, but I want to start by emphasizing TMX's core winning traits that fuel our success. 1, a dynamic high performance business model made up of complementary assets built to perform and endure. 2, a strong balance sheet to enable growth acceleration via acquisitions like the recent additions of ASD Canada and TMX Vetify. 3, a proven strategy and a track record of strategic execution 4, which is underpinned by leading edge technology and are winning this trait in TMX's most powerful asset, number 5, our people.

Speaker 2

Our people are driven by a unified purpose to make markets better and empower bold ideas. At Investor Day, we also introduced new concepts, an internal rallying cry in a lens which we see the landscape evolving in front of us, TM2X. With a little bit of history here, it took us 14 years to build the business from generating $500,000,000 in revenue to over $1,000,000,000 And now we set our objective on doubling that number, doubling to $2,000,000,000 but doing it twice as fast. And any successful strategy is about making good choices. We have a powerful and resilient core business that is growing.

Speaker 2

And in pursuit of our TM2X objective, we are focused squarely on 4 key priority areas to leverage the strong foundation and accelerate our growth trajectory: listings and beyond, beyond traders and beyond market data and getting beyond our borders, and we're well on our way. Our results for the 1st 6 months of 2024 stand as compelling evidence of the strategy in action. Overall revenue increased 18% from the first half of twenty twenty three due to the inclusion of $69,900,000 from TMX Zettify following the close of the acquisition on January 2 and increased revenues from TMX Trayport, derivatives trading and clearing, equities and fixed income trading and clearing. And these year over year revenue gains were only offset by a modest shortfall in capital formation. Organic revenue excluding TMX Vetify increased 6% year over year and diluted earnings per share increased 8% from the 1st 6 months of last year.

Speaker 2

And while total operating expenses increased from the first half of twenty twenty three as well, this is largely due to the inclusion of TMX Vetify. And David will take a closer look at these expenses in his remarks to follow. Now moving on to our business areas. I want to start with a crucial core element, not only of TMX's global franchise, but of Canada's economy and that is capital formation, featuring our listing businesses on the Toronto Stock Exchange and TSX Venture Exchange. Revenue was 138,400,000 dollars a 4% decrease from the 1st 6 months of 2023, reflecting lower revenue from additional listing fees due to a decrease in the number of financing transactions and dollars raised on the TSX Venture Exchange, but partially offset by an increase in the transactions and dollars raised on Toronto Stock Exchange.

Speaker 2

And our global macroeconomic factors have created challenging capital market conditions over the last two and a half years, we are seeing important signs of recovery and upward momentum within our ecosystem, particularly in the Q2 of the year. In fact, June was the strongest financing month yet, with just under $4,000,000,000 raised on TSX and TSX Venture. And we have seen really encouraging signs from the mining sector, which is rebounding from financing lows last year to over 50% of the financing dollars raised on both exchanges this year were raised by mining issuers. And while new mining listings, particularly larger IPOs have yet to return to average levels, the industry consensus is that the continued reduction of interest rates may just be the catalyst that we've needed. And sometimes one big deal can also act as a spark.

Speaker 2

In June, Paladin Energy, a Western Australia based uranium producer announced the $1,140,000,000 acquisition of Fission Uranium Corp and announced its intention to list on the TSX. This deal is expected to close in September of this year. The first half of the year also featured positive signs in the technology sector. Overall financings were $417,000,000 which is a 2 28% increase from the first half of last year. Some of the new listing highlights include a diverse range of senior and junior companies.

Speaker 2

Sprott Physical Copper Trust, $151,000,000 IPO by Sprott Asset Management joined the Toronto Stock Exchange in June. The Nation's Royalty Corporation listed on TSX Venture in June. This is the largest majority indigenous owned public company in the world, specializing in indigenous owned royalties and revenue streams in precious metals and critical minerals, oil and gas and renewable energy. And we continue to make important progress in expanding our listing franchise beyond Canada. With now over 230 international companies calling TSX or TSX Venture home.

Speaker 2

Our team is promoting the benefits of our unique 2 tiered ecosystem around the world, and we've built a well defined pipeline of private companies that we are nurturing and preparing for our markets. It's part of our global growth plan, and 55% of the companies in our pipeline are international, roughly 60% are technology companies. Recent new international entrants to our market include Aug Mega Metals, an ASX listed mining company, which recently added a TSX Venture listing to raise its profile in North America and expand its access to capital. And Chicane Capital 2, a CPC or Capital Pool Company that completed an IPO on the TSX Venture Exchange. Chicane is a unique partnership between a Chicago deal maker and ForeFront Capital, an established Canadian CPC Group.

Speaker 2

And looking beyond the corporates, it was a very strong first half of the year for exchange traded funds, with 67 new ETFs from 18 different providers listing on the TSX, from thematics to factors and commodities to income oriented funds. And with the addition of TMX Vetify, we have bolstered our ability to service the needs of the industry with a new suite of solutions, including digital distribution and profile services. TMX is more embedded and invested in the enduring success of the ETF industry than ever. Now revenue from our GSIA segment in the first half of twenty twenty four increased 44% from 2023 or 10% if you exclude TMX Vetify. TMX Vetify's revenue was 24% higher in U.

Speaker 2

S. Dollars compared to the same period last year prior to acquisition. And year over year growth was primarily driven by higher indexing revenue, reflecting organic growth in assets under management and revenue from Euro Global Global EQM Indices, which were acquired in 2023. TMX Vetify revenue also reported higher revenues related to events, which included their flagship annual exchange conference in February. From the announcement of the deal late last year, we've been clear in framing how the addition of TMX Vetify accelerates TMX strategic financial and transformational objectives.

Speaker 2

Increasing the proportion of revenue derived from recurring sources, which totaled 55% in the first half compared to 53% last year, adding to our fastest growing business area and increasing our global footprint with 49% of TMX's total first half revenue derived from outside of Canada, up from 41% in 2023. But the most exciting prospect of all is what it means for our clients. TMX Vetify strengthens our ability to serve the needs of the indexing and the ETF community, an important and growing client base here in Canada and around the world. And TMX Vetify supports clients throughout the entire ETF product lifecycle, using digital properties and tools to gather user behavior, intelligence to inform ETF issuer and client needs, applying the expertise of our index team in various sectors and thematics to assist with index design and prototyping, then supporting the ETF launch with data analytics and campaigns through our various web properties, webcasts and symposia. And from the launch, TMX Vetify helps support product growth providing sales lead list for asset managers using our digital distribution tools, digital marketing and continued product awareness and education of the Exchange Conference.

Speaker 2

Now turning to another important part of GSA and a key driver of enterprise growth, TMX Trayport continued to deliver strong results through the first half of the year. Revenue grew 19% compared to the first half of last year or 16% in pound sterling, driven by a 24% increase in total licenses, annual price adjustments and higher revenue from data analytics and other trade to products. TMX Trayport's powerful core JUUL network continues to grow, augmenting tools, insights and analytic capabilities to enhance the overall experience for the energy market client participants. We have over 9,000 licensees, the end user applications that utilize tire technology and over 26,000 connections to venues. Now getting beyond that core, TMX Trayport is pursuing opportunities to leverage its proven expertise in modernizing markets to new asset classes and new geographies, aligning our strategy to capitalize on emerging trends, including new markets, TMX Trayport's hybrid solution is ideal for markets looking to evolve from paper and telephone, including the Japanese power market.

Speaker 2

We estimate that this market to be the size of the German and French markets combined, where over 30% of TradeRevive licensees are active. In data and analytics, clients are increasingly seeking out data analytics to support their businesses. The acquisitions of TradeSignal and VisoTech advanced the strategy for us and today our data and analytics segment represents over 11% of Trayport revenue and fast growing. And on technology, TMX Trayport continues to invest in the core technology, including a major architecture project over the next 2 years that will support the long term growth of our subscriber base in both core and new markets. Now turning to derivatives, derivatives trading and clearing revenue excluding Box increased 8% year over year.

Speaker 2

This increase was driven by 1% higher revenue from MX due to an 8% increase in overall volume in the first half of twenty twenty four, somewhat offset though by product mix and introductory incentives. Revenue from CDCC increased 22% due to the positive impact of pricing changes, which came into effect on January 2024 and higher clearing and repo volumes. Investors continue to turn to our derivative markets in the 1st 6 months of the year, resulting in higher activity and increased liquidity across many of MX's key products. Some of the key MX year over year highlights include a 23% higher volume in interest rate products compared to last year, 5% growth in ETF options, 5% higher volumes in single share futures, and a record period for our Government of Canada bond future products, Specifically, volumes in our 2, our 5 and our 10 year contracts grew by 65%, 31% and 13% respectively compared to the first half of last year. And in addition to all this, we had a 17% increase in overall operating interest at June 30 compared to the same time last year.

Speaker 2

The first half of the year also marked the end of the SEDAR era and the industry transition to Canadian overnight repo rate average or CORA. The BACS contract was retired in June and the new 3 month CORA Futures contract or CRA is now established as the product of reference for short term interest rate derivatives management. Trading in the CRA continued to gain momentum, reaching nearly 1,000,000 contracts in open interest mid year and with growing trading activity and extended hours. 2024 has been a tremendous year also for TMX's post trade business, CDS and CDCC, and this has been marked by significant progress in several key initiatives in partnership with our stakeholders across Canada's capital markets and exciting new products launched in the service to service the evolving needs of our clients. On April 30, we launched the Canadian Collateral Management Service or CCMS, a collaboration with Clearstream that is modernizing Canada's funding markets and providing the 1st tri party repo capability in the country.

Speaker 2

Our key teams continue to work to innovate and push the evolution of markets to create efficiencies and competitive advantage for our clients. On June 10, CDCC announced the launch of SGC Notes, an innovative money market instrument designed to meet the institutional investor demand for bankers acceptances following the SEDAR cessation on June 24. SGC notes are linked to the same highly rated Canadian bank credit exposures as BAs, but are secured with a basket of high quality debt securities. The program is in its early days, but unique in the world, an asset backed service offered through a regulated central counterparty clearinghouse, and we are excited about the prospects of the future expansion into other marketplaces. Now I'd like to take a moment to thank our client participants for the collaboration, particularly closely with us and our post trade team to ensure that we hit a critical milestone in May.

Speaker 2

And this was the successful transition of Canada's market to T plus 1 settlement, the reduction of standard settlement from 2 days to one day. As with so many of TMX's efforts to make markets better, transformational steps of this magnitude cannot be taken alone, and we are grateful for the continued partnership of our entire stakeholder community. Similarly, as we move forward, our post trade modernization program is on track for implementation, pending industry readiness, and we began the initial participant testing phase in mid July and will look to go live in the Q1 of 2025. Now in closing, TMX's first half of the year was marked by strong performances across the business, important milestone achievements and continued momentum in our key growth initiatives. It is a testament to the intrinsic power of the enterprise and the benefits of staying true to our long term strategy.

Speaker 2

And over time, TMX has sustained growth through dramatic shifts and market dynamics, and we've risen to every challenge. And now we are poised and determined to pick up the pace to accelerate that growth. We do have the right model. We've got the right strategy, the financial capacity, the right technology, and most importantly, the right people to get it done. And with that, I'll pass the call over to David.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thank you, John, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased to report another strong quarter setting a record for revenue, both when we include and exclude TMX Vetify. This is truly a remarkable achievement for our team, which continues to punch well above our weight, delivering strong and repeatable results. The strong results in the Q2 reflected robust trading volumes in equity and derivatives and as John mentioned towards the end of Q2 we saw important signs of recovery in capital raising activity. Now while we are not yet back to our peak levels, these signs are both positive and reassuring that capital raising may be on the way back.

Speaker 3

Our team is really hard at work on our Q3 opportunities and pipeline, but today is all about speaking to the Q2 that we closed a month ago. So let me turn to that. Our revenue $367,100,000 increased 20% compared with Q2 last year and organic revenue grew 9% over the same period. Both of these figures are at the higher end of our long term financial objectives and we're incredibly proud of what we have achieved this quarter. Turning to our earnings per share.

Speaker 3

While we reported an increase of 3% in our diluted earnings per share, our adjusted diluted earnings per share grew by 13%, driven by $17,100,000 in higher income from operations compared to Q2 of last year, partially offset by higher net finance costs related to the acquisition of TMX Vetify. Now while our net finance costs are higher year over year, that is simply due to our higher than normal debt levels as we funded the TMX Verify acquisition at the beginning of the year. While I will touch on it later, I thought it important to set up set this upfront that despite higher debt levels, we have secured market competitive rates on our long term funding, which are well ahead of our internal forecast to fund our acquisition of TMX Vertify. Turning now to our businesses, I will start with the segments that saw the largest year over year increase. Revenue in our Global Solutions, Insights and Analytics segment grew by 40% this quarter, reflecting $32,000,000 for the inclusion of TMX Verify.

Speaker 3

Excluding TMX Verify, revenue grew by 9% over the same period, driven mostly by growth from TMX Trayport. Revenue in TMX Verify was up 18% in Canadian dollars or 15% higher in U. S. Dollars in the Q2 compared to the same period last year prior to the acquisition. The 15% increase in U.

Speaker 3

S. Dollars was driven by higher indexing revenue reflecting organic growth in assets under management and revenue contribution from the 2023 acquisition of EQM Indices as well as higher analytics revenue somewhat offset by lower revenue from digital distribution. TMX Verifies assets under management continue to show robust growth ending the 2nd quarter at US35.9 billion dollars Revenue from TMX Trayport was up 18% in Canadian dollars or 16% in pounds sterling this quarter, primarily driven by 24% increase in total licensees, which represent the count of unique chargeable licensees of core TMX Trayport products across our customer segments, including traders, brokers and exchanges. The revenue increase in Q2 also reflected our annual price adjustments, incremental revenue from our premium product offerings and most notably data analytics and other trader products and a favorable FX impact of 1,300,000 compared to last year. TMX Trayport ended the quarter with an annual recurring revenue of CAD220.1 million or £127.2 in pounds sterling, which represents the average recurring revenue for the quarter on an annualized basis.

Speaker 3

Turning to TMX Datalinks, revenue in the business grew by 2%, reflecting higher revenue from benchmark and indices, driven by the new term CORA benchmark as well as higher revenue from data feeds and co location. In addition, it was a positive impact from the price adjustments that took place earlier this year and a favorable FX impact of $400,000 due to a stronger U. S. Dollar. Somewhat offsetting the growth was lower subscriber and usage based revenue due to a client specific reduction in an enterprise agreement renewal.

Speaker 3

Derivatives trading and clearing revenue excluding Box had very strong results in the quarter, which was up 20%, primarily driven by 21% increase in Montreal Exchange and CDCC volumes. The revenue increase also benefited from the impact of pricing changes, which came into effect in January of this year, somewhat offset by a favorable product mix partially due to lower volumes from Bags, which was sunset in June following the transition to Cora. We are very pleased with the adoption of the Cora Futures product, which have an average daily volume of over 108,000 contracts this year and continue to grow. Looking ahead, we anticipate an increase in the rate per contract, all else being equal, as we conclude the market making incentives related to the 5 year Government of Canada bond futures at the end of June. Revenue from Box increased 29% this quarter driven by higher volumes which increased 20% from Q2 of last year as well as higher rate per contract as well as a higher rate per contract reflecting a favorable product mix.

Speaker 3

In addition, Box's equity options market share was 7% this quarter, a 1% increase from Q2 of last year. In our Equities and Fixed Income Trading and Clearing segment, revenue was up 14% in the quarter driven by an increase of 18% from Equities and Fixed Income Trading and 10% from our CDS business. The revenue increase in our equities and fixed income trading business reflected an 18% increase in the overall volumes of securities traded on our equities marketplaces. Trading volumes were up across all of our marketplaces, namely 15% on TSX, 28% on TSX Venture Exchange and 10% on Alpha Exchange. Our combined equities trading market share for TSX and TSXV listed issues was approximately 64% this quarter, down 2% from Q2 of last year, but notably up 1% sequentially versus Q1 of this year.

Speaker 3

The equity trading activity showed important signs of recovery this quarter with trading volume and value growing in double digits compared to last year. On the fixed income trading side, revenue increased versus Q2 a year ago, primarily reflecting increased activity in Government of Canada Bonds. The CDS double digit revenue increase was driven by higher issuer event management fees, higher interest income on short term deposits, increased eligibility assessment services and higher exchange traded volumes. This was somewhat offset by higher rebates. Turning to capital formation, revenue in the segment declined 4% in the quarter, primarily due to lower revenue from TSX Trust.

Speaker 3

Now as you'll recall, in the Q2 of last year, we had record TSX Trust revenue, driven by significantly higher net interest income, reflecting above average corporate actions activity in that quarter. And despite a strong quarter this year, there was a decline year over year compared to that high watermark. The sustaining fees and initial listing fees decreased slightly compared to last year due to lower activity on TSX Venture Exchange, partially offset by increases on TSX. Despite additional listing fees remaining flat year over year due to lower average fees, we had strong financing activity this quarter with over $7,700,000,000 raised on our exchanges and 9% higher number of transactions compared to last year. Turning now to our expenses.

Speaker 3

Operating expenses or operating costs in the 2nd quarter increased by 27% compared to Q2 of last year on a reported basis, driven by the following items. First, an additional $28,700,000 relating to the inclusion of TMX Verify, which is now part of the group results, namely €12,800,000 of operating expenses relating to TMX Verify, €11,900,000 relating to the amortization of acquired TMX Verify intangibles, and finally $4,000,000 of integration costs. So after adjusting for these, our quarter over quarter increase would be approximately 10%. 2nd, we incurred $1,700,000 of expenses in the 2nd quarter related to our U. S.

Speaker 3

Expansion initiative. And lastly, there was $2,300,000 increase in Boxer's market regulatory related expenses. So excluding these items, our operating expenses increased by approximately 7% on a comparable basis, reflecting increased employee performance incentive plan costs, largely driven by the increase in our share price and higher revenue related expenses. So excluding these items, 2nd quarter operating expenses increased approximately 4% compared to last year. Somewhat offsetting the increases Q2 of last year included $700,000 of higher severance and $300,000 related to SigmaLogic.

Speaker 3

Now looking at our results sequentially, revenue increased $21,200,000 from the first to the second quarter, reflecting higher revenue across all of our key operating segments with the exception of Global Solutions, Insights and Analytics, which included revenue from TMX Verify's Annual Exchange Conference in Q1 of 'twenty four. And as I noted last quarter, this will be an annual variance when comparing Q2 to Q1 and Q1 to Q4. Capital formation revenue increased sequentially, primarily reflecting higher additional listings revenue to more transactions and more dollars raised on our exchanges and higher transfer agency and net interest income revenue in TSX Trust. Equities and derivatives trading volume grew by 10% and 11 percent respectively, which drove revenue increases in equity trading, CDS, as well as derivatives trading and clearing. Revenue from Box increased 7% driven by a 4% increase in volumes as well as a higher rate per contract reflecting a favorable product mix.

Speaker 3

Operating expenses in Q2 were down approximately $1,000,000 from the Q1, primarily reflecting decreases of $7,200,000 related to TMX VERIFI, largely due to the annual exchange conference in Q1, as well as lower acquisition and related expenses of 6,000,000 dollars These decreases were partially offset by higher box related expenses of $2,500,000 higher integration costs of 2,100,000 dollars and increases in Q2 related to employee performance incentive plan costs, IT operating costs and revenue related expenses. Turning now to our balance sheet. You may recall from our Q1 remarks that we repaid the Term A credit facility relating to the TMX VERIFI transaction in full with the proceeds of our Series G, H and I debentures back in February. Now on May 24, we completed a Canadian private placement offering of $300,000,000 in our Series J debenture. The proceeds from this debenture were mainly used for the full repayment of our Term B and C facilities.

Speaker 3

So since we have now termed out all three credit facilities at lower rates, all things being equal, the net financing costs incurred in the second half of the year should be lower than the first half. The weighted average interest rate of our total outstanding debt of $2,250,000,000 was approximately 4.17 percent as at June 30. Now on June 30, our pro form a debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was 3.2x. We also held over €491,000,000 in cash and marketable securities, which was $286,000,000 in excess of the $205,000,000 we target to retain for regulatory and related purposes. Net of excess cash, our leverage was 2.8 times.

Speaker 3

We remain well on track to deliver our deleveraging plan to return to our target range of 1.5x to 2.5x by the end of 2025. Now last night, our Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.19 per common share payable on August 30 to shareholders of record as of August 16. In the Q2, we will pay out 44% of our adjusted earnings per share, while our last 12 months payout ratio is around 48%, which remains at the higher end of our target payout ratio of 40% to 50%. That now concludes my formal remarks. I'd like to turn the call back to Amin for our Q and A period.

Speaker 1

Thank you, David. Operator, would you please outline the process for the Q and A session?

Operator

Sure. And your first question comes from the line of Etienne Ricord with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Thank you and good morning. On Vetify, it's great to see new disclosure on AUM this quarter. If we put aside changes in market values, can you please share details on your long term expectations for net flow growth as well as the potential for market share gains from other index providers?

Speaker 2

Yes. Unfortunately, we're not going to be able to break it down into that kind of detail for you, Chen. I appreciate the question. We're going to continue to guide you on the overall long term growth for the franchise, which is in the high growth category, the high single, low double digit growth rates. We're completely delivering on that right now.

Speaker 2

So, what you're seeing in terms of the Vetify results for the Q1, for 6 months of the year are exactly in line with what we were hoping to when we acquired it and in line with the guidance that we provided. Now, as you said, in terms of the AUM, we are trying to provide more guidance. That growth is a combination of both market value and inflows into those funds, as well as an expansion of the number of funds that we provide. So we are constantly adding new funds as well. We'll think about how we provide more insights into that in terms of new funds that are underpinned by Vetify indices.

Speaker 2

But that's what you should expect going forward. That will be a component of that long term growth in terms of that high single, low double.

Speaker 4

In your discussions with asset managers that have transitioned to Vetify, what's the key reason they've made this change?

Speaker 2

Yes, the amazing thing is there's so many key reasons. There's a lot of different reasons. And because we have the ability to bring that kind of full suite of services that I talked about earlier, what we're able to do with asset managers, the team here at Evedify is actually work on not just areas where we can convert. So some of the new assets under management are areas where we've actually converted an index they were previously into one that is a Medify index, where we can actually do one that's actually more efficient, lower cost, better tracking, those types of things. But we can also work on ideation with the firms with the strength of our index factory capability.

Speaker 2

We can bring a new idea to an ETF manager or build on an idea they have and then ideate it with them and look at how it compares to other benchmarks. And so that's quite powerful. And then when you combine that with the intelligence we can do through our network and the distribution tools, we can bring them a range of solutions that helps to bring them over. Sorry, I just had a cough, so I had to go mute for a second. Okay, all good.

Speaker 3

Yes. Just Johnson having a sip of water. So, Etienne, did that give you enough or would you like to follow?

Speaker 4

No, that's great. And on the topic of digital distribution, how's the integration between Vetify and DAOlinx going? In other words, what's the roadmap over the next year in terms of monetizing the Vetify data?

Speaker 2

Yes. I mean that integration is well underway. Most of that integration is actually around the sales and distribution side, so that we can move to common sales capability with clients. And it's not just with Dowlinks. We're actually trying to do so that same capability with the folks on the capital formation side that are interacting with ETF and other fund managers as well.

Speaker 2

Because if we can also provide them the listing activity later on for a new fund, we actually then have an even more complete solution. So that's all well underway. The utilization of data sets is underway as well. The creativity and the team here is looking at data sets, not just within the Datalinq franchise, but also within our Trayport franchise as well in terms of data we can potentially utilize to build new funds there as well. And as we bring in new data sets and new geographies and funds as well, that's going to add to the things that we can do.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Benjamin Bodich with Barclays. Please go ahead. And Benjamin, you might be on mute.

Speaker 5

Sorry about that. I certainly was. Good morning and thank you for taking the question. I wanted to come back to Vetavi for a moment. It's helpful to have the enhanced disclosure, but I was wondering if you could kind of go back and remind us about the revenue mix between fees and AUM and other pieces.

Speaker 5

It just looks like the AUM sort of more than doubled since the beginning of 'twenty three, but the revenues are up quite a bit less than that. So just trying to understand how that all works?

Speaker 2

Yes, happy to. So on the overall pie, first of all, the majority, more than half the revenue comes from the indexing side. So fees that would be tied to AUM, But not all products are the same. And so depending on the product, depending on the contract, that could be a range in terms of the kind of fee per AUM that are in that. So some of the longer held products that are really, really well established, like the ones that are mid stream pipeline products, things like that have higher rates per AUM built in them.

Speaker 2

When we're adding some new products, sometimes you're building out lower rates until they grow in, and then you can expand them over time. So there is a mixture there. And then over time, as our product gets more strong, more dominant, more utilized in a broader base, you can have pricing changes associated with it. So that's the way to think about it, just more than half of the revenue that's indexed and AUM based, but within there, you've got a broad mix of things that are very kind of unique IP versus products that are kind of more kind of market benchmarks that would be much lower cost and you've got a whole range in there.

Speaker 5

Got it. And just on the same topic, can you I think your constant currency growth was 15% in the quarter. What was the contribution from Robo Global and EQM? I guess, Robo Global was acquired in April, so maybe that would be similar on a like for like, but can you quantify how much EQM would have added or how additive that would have been to that number?

Speaker 3

A couple of points. A couple of points, 1% to 2%.

Speaker 5

Okay. And then maybe one final one for me. Just on Datalinks. So you called out a client specific reduction in renewals, but it looks like the growth rate there has been sort of slowing since the beginning of 'twenty three. Just curious, is there anything else to call out, anything else sort of going on?

Speaker 5

It looks like the number of market data subs has been kind of flattish. I know that's one of your expected higher growth targets. So anything else to be aware of there in terms of the recent revenue growth deceleration?

Speaker 2

No, not really. I mean, we were looking to do this in terms of the mid singles, in terms of that piece over the long term. And you remember that we also had a period before that we were up over double digit. And so there is some pluses and minuses of that. When you look at the subscriptions, we're actually continuing to grow on the derivative side.

Speaker 2

So, we're getting new derivative pickup in subscriptions And we did have a shortfall on more of the equity side. And that is related to a client issue. So, we've got a client with an expense challenge that curtailed their usage, but it is not indicative of the broad business. And so it does put a bit of a headwind on that business in 2024, but it's not indicative of the long term.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Aravinda Galappatthige with Canaccord. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. A couple from me. Firstly, on Shreveport, obviously, continue to see sort of great numbers there. With respect to sort of your growth initiatives on the geographic side, obviously, Japan and the U.

Speaker 6

S. And then on the product side, sort of what you developed on Investor Day with respect to oil. How should we see that pacing? I mean, when we think about timelines, when should we expect to see those initiatives that have impact the numbers over the next year or 2? Just wanted to get a sense of that.

Speaker 6

And secondly, on the derivative side, as you pointed out, there's a little bit of a gap between sort of the volume growth at MX and the revenue growth, obviously, because of the transition from Max. That gap, I know, David, you mentioned it would start to ease. Is that something that will be sort of be sequential or should we sort of expect that gap to be largely closed by the second half? I wanted to get a sense of the pacing there as well. Thank you.

Speaker 2

I always joke this is always a challenge of having chats every quarters and then actually having an Investor Day in between them is I apologize, we haven't moved those Trayport initiatives as much in the 6 weeks since we saw you last. To be candid though, I mean, they are those are multi year initiatives. So your kind of time frame you talked about made a lot of sense in terms of kind of that period. They are different in terms of the ones that are product related versus the ones that are new geography. So the new geography like Japan is a little different because as that market deregulates, that is actually part of the key piece in terms of the expansion of the usage.

Speaker 2

And so we've actually been there and tested with that market earlier on before anybody else. So we're kind of ready to go. And as that market opens up, Trayport is already engaged. We've already got product connectivity. We're already connected to some of the clients.

Speaker 2

So it's really just about the opening up of the market and we're ready to go. The U. S. Market is already an open market. So that's when we're actually trying to change behaviors and transition clients over.

Speaker 2

And you're seeing it in the results. It's still early stage, but we've gone from kind of £1,000,000 a year out of the U. S. To closer to £6,000,000 only in the last couple of years as we bring it on both a combination of exchanges, new traders, new market makers, new brokers, and we've got a sales team here that is working on a pipeline of other clients to move across. So you're going to keep seeing that step up in building critical mass in the U.

Speaker 2

S. And the other area is around kind of asset classes themselves. So we didn't talk about it as much in this call. We talked about it more in the session at the Investor Day. But we are looking at other parts along the spectrum in terms of building out more on the renewable side, on the carbon credit side, but really also looking at how we tackle the oil market.

Speaker 2

So we're in active discussions with number of participants that would work towards converting the oil market from a phone based market to a Trayport based market. And so that's another one we're going to potentially open up a large market, but these are programs that do take time. They take a lot of heavy lifting and hand holding because we are changing very much like the U. S, changing how the business has been done. So that kind of timeframe, the kind of 1 to 2 years in terms of getting to kind of steady state progress makes a lot of sense.

Speaker 2

And we'll keep updating as we go, but it is hard to show it quarter by quarter. I'm going to let David talk to the

Speaker 3

Amex. Yes. So on the Amex 1, Aravinda, so all else being equal, we should see a positive revenue per contract in Q3 as the 5 year rolls off. So unlike our long term initiatives in Trayport that John was touching on, which will take longer to show like noticeable financial benefits, This one should be as early as Q3, all things being equal.

Speaker 2

Yes. And I want to know with that, I'm going to add to it, we did we put incentives on the 2 year as well when we brought that to market. Those incentives, we can't give you the time on it, but they will run off as well. And they have been very successful. So if you actually look at the volume on the 2 year through the 1st 6 months of this year, it's actually exceeding the 5 year now.

Speaker 2

And so it's at that kind of level, 60,000 plus contracts a day. It's been extremely successful product launch. So that's another one that will eventually wind down. And we did put incentives on the Cora product. And that was very deliberate choice because the importance of having back to Cora transition seamlessly and not having that activity then slip into the over the counter market where it would be hard to bring it back on exchange was so important.

Speaker 2

We made sure those incentives were in there. So that is part of that mix impact in this year, but over time, that's going to wear off as well. So these are think about it as a step down. As David said, we've got the 5 year coming up in the future. We will also have the 2 year coming off and the core coming off as well.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Nick Fried with CIBC. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Thanks. I wanted to bring the conversation back to Vetify and continue to drill into that in a bit greater depth. The marketplace of index providers seems dominated by select few competitors where brand equity actually matters a lot to the commercial viability of financial products that are tracking the index. For fund sponsors that have created products based on Venafi indices, What has drawn them to Vettifai rather than a larger competitor like an S and P or an MSCI? I just wanted your view on what differentiates Vettifai in that context some of the larger incumbents?

Speaker 2

Yes. There's a number of pieces there. One is, like I think S and P is a great provider. They're a partner with us, as you know, in terms of the large equity indices, the composite, the TSX S and P 60. But they're less designed to do bespoke custom indices for unique providers.

Speaker 2

So we can work with a provider and do something custom for them at scale that meets the specific needs of what they're trying to target for their funds. And that's very difficult for a large player to do in terms of both the scale, compliance, the challenges around that or even the technology. So that's one of the big advantages. And then what I mentioned earlier on, in our capabilities that we have that are unique to us, we can ideate kind of with them and show them how a product will benchmark against a number of those other global benchmarks and show historical outperformance, those types of things. When you compare that also and add it in to the capabilities we've built with the data sets, the ETF analytics, the distribution tools, the network we've got of advisors, it actually really is a unique advantage that some of those even larger firms don't have.

Speaker 2

So we actually do network out to 200,000 plus advisors. So we can actually give a fund company really early analysis of when you put a new fund out there, who's looking at it, what's the interest level, who do you market it to, those types of things. So it is an end to end solution we're providing. And I think you've got to be able to do that to create that compelling value proposition when you are competing with those large players. Now that being said, the other additional piece is because of our kind of nimbleness size scale, we can also be more cost effective.

Speaker 2

So when we're creating new benchmarks, even broad based benchmarks, we can be more cost effective than a large player can because if they made a change, they would have to do it for substantial funds that already have assets under management. And so that's kind of one of the benefits of being a strong, nimble growing player as opposed to an incumbent.

Speaker 7

Okay. That's great color. And can you also tell us a bit more about how the non indexing component of that business grows over time? Like it's easier to understand the indexing business and some of the key drivers there. But what about like digital distribution as an example?

Speaker 7

Is that all about driving more traffic to your digital properties? And can you talk a little bit about how you get paid in that business? Like is it mostly sponsored content? Just anything you could share on the non indexing pieces would be helpful as well.

Speaker 2

There's 2 components. So, I mean, those are all largely subscription based. So, subscription based services, if you build out the network with the advisors that can use the content for free, but both we produce and we do sponsored content with issuers, with fund creators, and that's all through subscription model. So, both on the distribution side, on the webcast side, the learning side, but also on the ETF and the analytics side, the data analysis are all subscription based pieces. So in some cases, we may have a client that takes one of those products, they may take multiple products.

Speaker 2

So, we've got an opportunity to actually sell deeper into them. As we had a question earlier on about some of the kind of integration with our sales team, we are actually now selling those products into multiple Canadian dealers now for use in their fund programs. And so we've got multiple new sales that we've actually either closed or in the process of closing, again, in subscription models for distribution analytic tools. And

Operator

your next question comes from the line of Jaeme Gloyn with National Bank Financial. Please go

Speaker 8

ahead. Yes, thanks. Just wanted to touch on OpEx for a second. In terms of this quarter and thinking about the upcoming quarters, some of the, let's say, non recurring items like integration of Vetify, the incentive compensation this quarter with the share price. How much should we be thinking about in terms of those costs, while one time in nature still recurring in the next quarter?

Speaker 3

Hi, Jaeme, it's David. As you know, like we don't really provide the kind of long term or at least outlook expense guidance. But where we are right now and that's why I kind of showed you the core is, if you look through some of these anomalous items, the U. S. Expansion, adding Vetafy when it's not in the prior period, The share price movement was very, very positive this quarter.

Speaker 3

So obviously, it has a knock on effect to our share based compensation programs. When we look to all of that it's around 4%, right? And that's a pretty good number in my mind for kind of where we are through these anomalous items, if you will. Obviously, the place of the most pressure continues to be in the technology sector, contract renewals and supplier agreement renewals. There's a lot of pricing pressure in that space.

Speaker 3

But besides that, it's pretty much business as usual. We continue to expand though and invest in growth, right? We do have more team members at TMX this quarter than we had a year ago. And that will continue to provide some upward pressure on some of the cost numbers. The other thing that we did and we touched on it prior in some of our annual disclosure and stuff is we're really trying to motivate and incentivize our employees with more long term incentive compensation versus let's say pure short term incentive compensation.

Speaker 3

And obviously when we have the share price run up like we've seen in the last 6 months that does obviously have a knock on effect to the compensation of benefits. So it's both a absolute number, but also the breadth and depth of the long term incentive through the organization.

Speaker 2

Let's be fair. Let's call that a high class problem for this quarter. I've always want to guide and we'll have to figure if we can do any better disclosure for this. But if you go back to our circular where we actually show our programs, one of the particular changes that Dave was just talking to is we've moved eventually essentially all of our executives to what I'll call a sixty-forty mix of incentives where 60% of the mix is in long term incentives. And in our long term incentive program, our LTIP program, about 60% of that is in performance share units.

Speaker 2

And so to be a bit specific, those performance share units, while we hedge all our RSUs, we hedge our underlying share price impacts in our units. They have multipliers in terms of how does the TMX perform compared to the underlying index. And with our share prices being up kind of 30 ish percent this year and the index up 8%, we're way outperforming the market. So that's a big mark to market adjustment in the quarter. And if you are if you're going to see that again in the back half, we need to go up another 30%.

Speaker 2

And I'm happy for you and to encourage that to happen, but obviously, we wouldn't predict that. And so it isn't indicative of the future. Those incentive plans are tracking high now and they're mark to market in there. And that doesn't mean there won't be a little bit more, but I think you've largely got it in now.

Speaker 8

Okay, understood. On the TSX Trust, just wanted to go back and just verify the sensitivity to interest rates if we're thinking about the 2 Bank of Canada rate cuts that have come through and we compare Q3 this year versus Q3 next year, we would expect to see some pullback activity and otherwise all else equal. Can you just refresh us on that impact? And then also maybe a quick look and see how volumes and other factors in TSX Trust might be trending relative to last year's Q3?

Speaker 3

Let me handle the first part quickly, Jaeme, and then John and I can kind of flip between the 2 of us for the second part. So for every 25 basis points, it's approximately $2,000,000 right now. And as you've seen, we've updated our disclosure every once in a while because there is a mix component that really does cause that to kind of fluctuate. But right now, a really good benchmark is 25 basis points is roughly $2,000,000 on an annualized basis. The key point with the Truss business this year versus last year is as you recall last year in Q2 we had some large corporate action activity where we were actually the named person on record and there were some large balances and we were able to earn outsized net interest income relative to this quarter where we did also participate in some larger corporate actions, but not quite the size of a year ago.

Speaker 3

So that's really resulted in the year over year delta. But the sensitivity piece for sure is every 25 basis points roughly $2,000,000 John, you could talk a little bit about the pipeline.

Speaker 2

Yes. That's actually the exciting piece. As David said, even though it's the delta versus last year, it actually exceeded expectations for us in Q2 because that like you said, the net interest income is not just the rates, it's the amount of activity there, the cash on balance, which gets impacted by transactions. And we had some really good transactions in Q2, not like the large single one we had last year, but some really good transactions. So, as that continues, when you see M and A activity, corporate action continuing, more action in the pipeline, So as those interest rates come down, yes, you have the NII impact, but we do expect to see more transaction activity coming out of that.

Speaker 2

And we will get some of these NII bumps from transaction activity that are unrelated to what's going on with interest rates. So that's why we were in the business. It's one of our kind of hypothesis is when we landed. The bigger we build the client base out. And we've got almost 1400 transfer agency clients in there and a growing number of trust clients, the more we can do trust activity for them.

Speaker 2

Always going to be harder to predict and going to be a bit lumpier, but as we get more experience in there, we're going to be able to give better long term guidance as to what a typical year will look like. But the positive piece, as you indicated, is as we are seeing higher levels of activity.

Speaker 8

Okay, great. And last one, just the CDS, equity trading equity effect, Sigma Trading, CDS actually, surprising in terms of its growth. Like this is last several quarters have been running high single digits. I think your guidance would be more around like low to mid for that business. What I guess is in the numbers in the last several quarters that is driving that higher growth rate?

Speaker 8

And is it something that we should think as being sustainable? Or is it some of these some new initiatives that are hitting the run rate already?

Speaker 3

Yes. So I'll start on this one and then I'll hand to John. So one of the things we covered at the Investor Day is post trade is really a growth engine for us at TMX. Obviously, CDS is part of our equities trading and fixed income clearing kind of segments. So when we show that in our long term financial objectives, as you've seen, Jaeme, we basically say that that's going to grow as the market grows.

Speaker 3

But our CDS business, as you rightfully pointed out, has outperformed the market. And that's because of a, a lot of these initiatives that we have underway that are really not our dreamt up kind of hypothesis. They're really in response to clients' needs, where clients are very interested in additional post trade services. And so we're building solutions that are actually meeting their needs. So stay tuned because at some point John and I discussed there might be a need for us to kind of break out CDS and CDCC from the kind of long term financial objectives because they might actually be vectoring slightly more than the other parts that they're included with, for example, equities and fixed income trading.

Speaker 3

John?

Speaker 2

Yes. And the other piece we'll add on that, the growth that you've seen in the first half of the year with both CDS and CDCC really are not yet impacted by the 2 major programs we just launched. So the fact that we launched the CCMS service on CDS and the SGC note service on CDCC, both have upside potential for both those businesses. And interesting on both of them, they have upside potential across different parts of franchise as well. And let me explain that for a second.

Speaker 2

The more we can do collateral management services for the clients, we free up also collateral in their system that can then be deployed in more trading activity. So it's now if you think about it as the fuel for trading, what we're doing is giving more of that fuel back. So there's the revenue for buying the service and then there's the extra liquidity that can come into the market. On the other side, the SGC notes, those collateral notes, and again, this has just been launched, so it's not actually driving revenue at all at this point. It has multiple points of revenue drivers as that gets successful.

Speaker 2

The issuance side, the clearing activity, which would run through CDCC and also the backdrop in terms of the securitization of the product, the trustee is TSX Trust. So this is another example of using kind of the enterprise power of TMX in multiple parts of the franchise to deliver a solution for the clients and you'll see that revenue across multiple parts.

Operator

Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Graham Ryding with TD Securities. Please go ahead. Ram, you might be on mute.

Speaker 9

Yes, I was on mute. Apologies. I just wanted to touch on the post trade modernization initiative. I think CapEx spend was increased there again. So maybe just what's your visibility or confidence level that this revised budget should capture the sort of timing and the investment required?

Speaker 9

And then secondly, coming out of this, what are the benefits and the payback that you're looking to generate?

Speaker 2

Yes, both are excellent questions. Candidly, first of all, the change in the estimates is really just a factor of time. It's the fact that we've now set the actual go live date in Q1 of next year. So the time in terms of development work over that period continues to accrue there and the time before we can sunset the existing system at the same time. This was our expectation.

Speaker 2

So our intention was to be ready to go live at the end of this year, we will be. The really important milestone was that 2 weeks ago, we launched the industry wide testing. That couldn't start until T Plus 1 was done and settled and the industry was ready to go. So we have the participants connected to the system. We've got a long term test program in it to test all of it because this is core to everyone's systems.

Speaker 2

And so that will run for a number of months. And then you've got, as you would expect for a major program, kind of shakedown, dress rehearsal, testing like that. The challenge is that because of the timing of T plus 1 and when we could restart, that would push into what could be a go live near the end of 2024. That's a high risk factor to try to push a go live of a major system at the end of the year when you're hitting code freezes for major participants, banks, things like that. So we made the decision that we would do this at the beginning of 2025.

Speaker 2

And so, it just doesn't mean that we run the program a little longer, and that's what's reflected in the estimates. Now, in terms of the payback and the benefits, I mean, obviously, you're going to see the amortization of the program that will come into our economics when we go live. But we are going to sunset the older system, which is a higher cost system to run. So that in terms of mainframe and the all the pieces around it, if that system costs more to run, we're going to be able to shut that down. We're going to be able to shut down the expense side of the program or redeploy that expense into other development programs in the company.

Speaker 2

And we are going to be refiling our pricing program for the removal of the rebates. Now that's already on the public record. And so we will be pushing that forward once we demonstrate to the street that we've got a working product here that's going to meet their needs. So all those pieces are part of the program. The additional piece is that the new system once live is going to be a better system for the industry, better reporting, better usability, should help them manage their positions better as well.

Speaker 2

And in addition, it sets us up to do more things like things like CCMS, SGC notes and kind of the next stage of where we could take those 2. So that's the way to think about it in terms of enabling our future growth, but also some direct benefits as well.

Speaker 9

Okay. Understood. That's helpful. On Vetify, the revenue that you get from the digital distribution side of your business, like how consistent or recurring is that? Should we think of that as being more lumpier and episodic?

Speaker 9

Or is that is there a regular run rate? Because I think you flagged it as being down year over year this quarter.

Speaker 2

Yes. I mean, it can have some lumpiness to it because, while it is subscription based, this is often the marketing departments of funds that are actually using some of those services. And so you can get some like anything else, you can have areas where a company has they don't have budget left, so they're going to do it the next year or they've got excess budget and they want to get something done for a certain time period that works with their year end or their budget. So you do have some client budget pieces that will drive some lumpiness there. And as we get more experience with it, we'll be able to give more guidance as to what the long term run rates look like.

Operator

Thank you. And that is all the time we have for questions. I would like to turn it back to Ami LeSabian for closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Thank you everyone for joining our call today. If you have any further questions, contact information for Investor Relations as well as media is in our press release and we'll be more than happy to get back to you. Until next time, goodbye.

Operator

Thank you, presenters. And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.

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Earnings Conference Call
TMX Group Q2 2024
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