TSE:MRE Martinrea International Q2 2024 Earnings Report C$6.61 -0.05 (-0.75%) As of 04/17/2025 04:00 PM Eastern Earnings HistoryForecast Martinrea International EPS ResultsActual EPSC$0.58Consensus EPS C$0.61Beat/MissMissed by -C$0.03One Year Ago EPSN/AMartinrea International Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$1.30 billionExpected Revenue$1.33 billionBeat/MissMissed by -$25.21 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/AMartinrea International Announcement DetailsQuarterQ2 2024Date8/6/2024TimeN/AConference Call DateTuesday, August 6, 2024Conference Call Time5:30PM ETConference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress ReleaseEarnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by Martinrea International Q2 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrAugust 6, 2024 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 9 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:03Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Martinrea International Second Quarter 2024 Results Conference Call. Instructions for submitting questions will be provided to you later in the call. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Operator00:00:19Rob Wildeboer. Please go ahead, sir. Speaker 100:00:24Good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. We always look forward to talking with our shareholders. We hope to inform you well and answer questions. We also note that we have many other stakeholders, including many employees on the call, and our remarks are addressed to them as well as we disseminate our results and commentary through our network. Speaker 100:00:44With me tonight are Pat D'Aramo, Martinrea's CEO our President, Fred DiCosto and our new Chief Financial Officer, Peter Cerullis. As you know, Peter is new to the call. Going forward, we will generally all be on the call to address questions you may have, but we'll balance out the presentations, sometimes all will say a few words, sometimes not all. We'll provide a variety for you. Today, we will be discussing Martinrea's results for the quarter ended June 30, 2024, a solid quarter as you see from our press release. Speaker 100:01:18I refer you to our usual disclaimer in our press release and filed documents. First, Pat will make some comments, then Fred, then Peter, then me, then we'll do Q and A. And now, here's Pat. Speaker 200:01:32Thanks, Rob. Good evening, everyone. As noted in our press release, we generated an adjusted net earnings per share of $0.58 an adjusted EBITDA of $166,000,000 in the 2nd quarter, a new record for the company. Adjusted operating income margin came in at 6.3%, 30 basis points better than our Q1 on similar production sales quarter over quarter, a nice improvement. Operationally, we're performing well. Speaker 200:02:00We continue to effectively manage the larger headwinds, supply constraints, inflationary cost pressures and tight labor markets are generally improving. The slower than expected ramp up in electric vehicle programs has resulted in underutilized capacity across the automotive industry. We are able to mitigate some of the volume reductions with many of our customer contracts, some of which include volume adjustments, capital paid upfront or recovery early in the contract term along with other measures. We continue to progress related to our commercial negotiations with customers. In addition to obtaining compensation for EV volume shortfalls, we may seek compensation for some ongoing inflationary items. Speaker 200:02:47We expect this activity to continue for the foreseeable future as EV volumes are likely to remain at lower levels for at least the next couple of years. North America, our results are consistent quarter over quarter on steady production sales. In general, we're performing well in North America, both operationally and financially. Our U. S. Speaker 200:03:07Plants have led a lot of the post pandemic improvement. In Europe, we have made progress improving our operations and our restructuring efforts are bearing fruit. Speaker 100:03:18Overall, we're Speaker 200:03:19happy with the performance in Europe considering the volumes in this segment, mainly EVs, remain well below planned levels. Turning to our Rest of the World segment, results were better quarter over quarter as we are now ramping up on a new program with BMW in China. In addition, we have had some favorable commercial settlements. This segment is smaller relative to the other operations, which we view as a benefit in the current environment. Overall, our performance was steady both quarter over quarter and year over year. Speaker 200:03:51We have capacitized for a higher level of business, so it will take time to get margins back to pre pandemic levels. Having said that, operations are solid, We're launching better with every program and our margins are up as you've seen in Q2. Moving on, I'm pleased to announce that we've been awarded new business worth $125,000,000 in annualized sales at mature volumes, which include $75,000,000 in our Lightweight Structures commercial group consisting of various structural components with multiple customers, including Volvo, Honda, Mercedes, General Motors, along with some others and $50,000,000 in our propulsion systems group with Ford. Overall, we're pleased with our 2nd quarter performance. While EV softness and higher interest rates are resulting in a relatively flat year over year industry production volume profile, we expect 2024 will be a good year with steady production sales and strong positive free cash flow. Speaker 200:04:52Looking out longer term, we are well positioned within our industry. 1st, while we are not immune to the EV slowdown and that it affects the short term, the fact that we are mostly propulsion agnostic enables us to adapt to any mix of vehicles over the long term. Our products apply to all vehicle types and architectures. This is relevant, particularly in the context of the current political environment in the United States, given the stark contrast and views on ED mandates between the Democrats and Republicans in an election year. Next, interest rates, although higher than recent historical standards appeared to have peaked. Speaker 200:05:35They are already coming down in Canada and seem likely to come down in United States as well. This means vehicle affordability should improve, which bodes well for the future production volumes and sales. Lastly, our North American centric orientation in limited footprint in China is a positive, Given the current geopolitical environment, the trend towards reshoring or near shoring of supply chains, USMCA and the fact that the environment in China has become more challenging for foreign OEMs who are losing market share to domestic brands. For all those reasons, we believe we are well positioned in this environment. With that, I would like to thank the entire Martinrea team for their hard work and dedication in these continued challenging times. Speaker 200:06:27Here's Fred. Speaker 300:06:29Thanks, Pat, and good evening, everyone. As Pat noted, our Q2 results were strong, consistent with the prior quarter and generally in line with our expectations. Overall, we are driving a healthy level of free cash flow from the business that we believe is sustainable. We are executing on our capital allocation priorities, including returning capital to shareholders through substantial share buyback activity in the quarter and our balance sheet remains in great shape. We held our AGM back in June where we discussed among other things our performance relative to some of our peers. Speaker 300:07:04To summarize the discussion, our financial metrics are among the best in our industry with trailing 12 month margins and free cash flow generation as a percentage of sales that are among the best in our peer group and a leverage ratio in the lower range of our industry peers as of Q1. This is a notable achievement and something that just doesn't get noticed enough quite frankly. I'm very proud of our team and the work they have done in delivering this performance. Switching gears, as many of you know, I recently stepped away from the CFO role, but I continue to serve the company as President, overseeing operations in some of the more strategic aspects of the business. It's been an honor serving as CFO for the last 13 years as it continues to be an honor to serve as President. Speaker 300:07:52I plan to remain active on the Investor Relations side, so I'll continue to participate on our earnings calls as well as investor conferences and meetings moving forward. At this point, I'd like to introduce Peter Cerulis, our new Chief Financial Officer. Peter has over 30 years experience in the automotive parts industry and has been with Martinrea since 2018, most recently as Executive Vice President of our Aluminum Group and Head of our Lightweight Structures Commercial Group. Prior to joining Maranrea, Peter worked with Dana Incorporated in a variety of operational and financial roles, including Vice President of Finance and Operational Excellence for Dana's Commercial Vehicle Group, a role in which he reported to Pat. Before that, he worked for Robert Bosch in a variety of financial leadership roles. Speaker 300:08:42It has been an absolute pleasure working with Peter over the last 6 years. I'm confident that the finance function will be in strong hands under Peter's leadership, and that is a good move for our company and our business. In addition to being CFO, Peter will remain Head of our Lightweight Structures Commercial Group. This will provide the right balance of financial and operational experience in the role. So without further ado, here is Peter to discuss the 2nd quarter financial results in more detail. Speaker 400:09:13Thanks, Fred. I'm excited about my new role at the company. I look forward to meeting many of you. Taking a closer look at the results quarter over quarter, we generated an adjusted operating income of 81,600,000 dollars up slightly from $79,200,000 that we generated in quarter 1 on similar level of production sales. Tooling sales declined by over 40% quarter over quarter as they continued to moderate from the elevated levels that we saw in 2023 as expected. Speaker 400:09:44Adjusted operating income margin came in at 6.3%, up 30 basis points quarter over quarter, largely reflecting the decline in tooling sales, which generally carry low margins. Note that adjusted operating income excludes $5,400,000 in restructuring charges as expected and discussed on the last call, reflecting some rightsizing activity across our operations. We have essentially concluded this exercise, although we continue to evaluate ways to drive additional cost out of the business. Moving on, adjusted net earnings per share came in at $0.58 After taking into account net foreign exchange rate fluctuations, which were a bigger tailwind in quarter 1 than quarter 2, adjusted EPS was fairly consistent quarter over quarter. We also experienced a higher effective tax rate in quarter 2 compared to quarter 1. Speaker 400:10:37Free cash flow before IFRS 16 lease payments came in at $51,700,000 higher than the negative $1,400,000 in quarter 1, reflecting the typical seasonality in working capital flows. However, it's also a significant improvement over the $26,500,000 of free cash flow we generated in quarter 2 of 2023, reflecting lower capital spending. Excluding lease payments under IFRS 16 accounting, quarter 2 2024 free cash flow was $38,300,000 compared to $14,600,000 in quarter 2 of last year. As we indicated on the last call, the $100,000,000 to $150,000,000 of free cash flow, excluding lease payments that we expect to generate in 2024 is expected to be weighted to the back half of the year, which is consistent with the 2023 experience. Now looking at our performance on a year over year basis, 2nd quarter adjusted operating income of $81,600,000 was largely consistent with quarter 2 of last year on production sales that were roughly flat. Speaker 400:11:42And our adjusted operating income margin of 6.3% was up 20 basis points from the 6.1% generated in quarter 2 of last year. I refer you to our quarter 2 MD and A for commentary on our year over year variances. Overall, the results were consistent year over year, though free cash flow was a lot better as I just noted. Now turning to our balance sheet. Net debt, again excluding IFRS 16 lease liabilities, decreased by approximately $4,000,000 quarter over quarter to 852,000,000 dollars This reflects the free cash flow profile for the quarter as previously outlined as well as the funding of approximately $7,300,000 in cash restructuring costs and roughly $24,000,000 spent to repurchase approximately 2,000,000 shares to our normal course issuer bid during the quarter. Speaker 400:12:34Our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio ended the quarter at 1.49 times, down slightly from the 1.51 times at the end of quarter 1, twenty 24. Our leverage ratio remains within our long term target range of 1.5x or better, and we intend to maintain our leverage within that range over time. Turning to our 2024 outlook, it remains unchanged and we're on track to meet it based upon our year to date performance. As a reminder, our 2024 outlook calls for total sales between $5,000,000,000 $5,300,000,000 and adjusted operating income margin of between 5.7 and the free cash flow excluding IFRS 16 lease payments of between $100,000,000 to $150,000,000 These payments are currently running Lease payments are currently running at approximately $13,000,000 per quarter, so the free cash flow outlook, including IFRS 16 lease payments, is roughly $50,000,000 to $100,000,000 Looking at the back half of the year, we're starting to see a return of the more normal seasonal pattern within our industry, where sales are higher in the first half of the year and lower in the second. Compared to the last few years, we are now seeing OEMs taking seasonal shutdowns in more of their operations this summer as supply chains have improved and production has stabilized. Speaker 400:13:56As we indicated on the last call, we expect to generate the bulk of our free cash flow for the year in the second half given the typical seasonal unwind of working capital within our industry. Overall, we expect a solid year, both financially and operationally, and we continue to perform at a high level and our balance sheet is in great shape. With that, I turn you now over back to Rob. Speaker 100:14:19Thanks, Peter. A final brief note related to capital allocation. Our approach is described in an investor note on our website. In Q2, we generated approximately $108,000,000 in cash from operations. Capital expenditures were about $53,000,000 as we continue to invest in support of new business wins and incremental equipment needs. Speaker 100:14:43Next, we paid our usual dividend to our shareholders approximately $4,000,000 $16,000,000 on an annualized basis. Lastly, and as Peter noted, we purchased approximately 2,000,000 shares for cancellation under our normal course issuer bid, representing about 2.5% of the outstanding shares of the company. Total cash spent was approximately $24,000,000 We believe our stock is a great investment, particularly at the current valuation, which is near its historic low on a multiples basis. We intend to continue to buy back some stock at these levels. To summarize, we've invested in our business, made some positive strategic investments, kept our balance sheet strong and returned capital to shareholders in the quarter with our dividends and buyback. Speaker 100:15:31In terms of allocating capital, we will consider anything that makes Martinrea better, but not at the expense of our strong financial status. We believe consistent free cash flow generation is the road to a higher valuation. Finally, a big thank you to our people. Thank you for your dedication every day. I note that many of our plants have won supplier quality and other awards from customers in the last 12 months. Speaker 100:15:57Our people are performing very well. Their dedication and ingenuity underpin our numbers. Now it's time for questions. We see we have shareholders, analysts, employees and even some competitors on the phone. So we may have to be a little careful with our answers, but we'll answer what we can. Speaker 100:16:15And thank you all for calling in. Operator00:16:19Thank you. We'll now take questions from the telephone lines. The first question is from Tami Chen from BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:16:40Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for the question. Starting with Europe here, can you talk a bit about that segment? I think generally, we were expecting particularly on the customer recoveries. I think historically that's been more back half weighted. Speaker 500:16:56But the first half of this year that segment has been quite strong. So can you just talk a bit about how we should think of the performance in the first half this year and what to expect in the back half? Speaker 300:17:11So generally speaking, I think one of the biggest headwinds we've been dealing with in the EV volumes, in particular, with some of our core customers there. So expect that to continue in the foreseeable future, as we've noted. So that's a bit of a headwind. I think in the front half of the year, we did benefit from some commercial settlements, And I expect that to normalize in the back half of the year. We've always said that Europe in general, compared to North America, will always be a lower margin segment for us, and we expect that to be the case this year. Speaker 300:17:46Although, we've made some improvements there, we've done some restructuring, so we're expecting the segment to perform at a reasonable level, considering some of the long headwinds that we're dealing with. Speaker 500:18:00Got it. Okay. And on the recoveries in general, I think you were alluding to with respect to electric vehicles, volumes there will probably be lower for some time. The general sense in terms of negotiating for these recoveries going forward, should we expect that it's still similar amount or are you finding that will normalize itself as well relative to the last few years that you've received? Speaker 400:18:28Sure, Penny. Thanks for the question. I would expect that the commercial recoveries continue as a part of our normal business for the foreseeable future, given the fact that you mentioned the EV landscape looks a little bit rocky at the moment. So currently, we're tracking to a run rate, I would say, that's similar to the recent past. So it's expected to be a continuing part of our business going forward. Speaker 300:18:56Yes. And I think there's maybe a bit of a change in some of the things that we're trying to address. So look at the past, it was more geared to recoveries on inflationary cost increases. There's still some of that going forward, managed to bake some in into piece price, but not Speaker 100:19:13in all cases. So we're Speaker 300:19:14going to continue to negotiate those as we move forward here. And a lot more of the activity now is weighted to the long shortfalls that we're dealing with. Speaker 500:19:26Got it. Thank you very much. Operator00:19:30Thank you. The next question is from Christa Friesen from CIBC. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:19:37Hi, thanks for taking my question. I was just wondering if you could speak to your guidance. So you've been able to hold it this quarter, you held it last quarter in the face of production forecast kind of coming down for this year? And given, I think, the industry typically has 20% to 25 decremental margins, can you speak to how you've been able to hold that guide and mitigate some of these forecasted numbers that aren't as great as they were at the beginning of the year? Speaker 400:20:12Yes. Thank you very much, Chris. So we're consistent with our guidance at this point. As we've mentioned in previous calls as well, we have some commercial activities, which are a little bit, let's say, lumpy, as you might say, quarter to quarter. So those will, as I mentioned in the previous question, those will continue into the 3rd Q4. Speaker 400:20:36So we expect that some of those commercial activities also keep us consistent with the guidance despite some of the inventory build that you mentioned. We know also that the SAAR was the highest it's been in July at 16,700,000 vehicles. So we're seeing some strength there, if you will. So going into the second half, we'll remain consistent with our guidance. Speaker 300:21:03Yes. I think it's the 58 in July of the U. S. Target. Speaker 200:21:06I think the most important thing now is to understand the forecast and the forecasts have been wrong every year for the last 4 years. Speaker 100:21:16Yes. The one thing as we said in our remarks, the traditional approach to the industry pre COVID was pretty strong Q1. Q2 was often the strongest quarter. Q3, you saw adjustments, particularly in North America's OEMs did some shutdowns, and then Q4 tended to also see some of that depending on where inventory levels stood at the end of the year. And holidays. Speaker 100:21:41Yes. And I think there's some uncertainty as the second half of the year. Typically, the first half of the year, I'd say typically pre COVID, first half of the year was generally better than the second half, and we may see some of that. I think there's some questions out there as how do customers deal with inventory levels, how do they deal with incentives and that type of thing, and we just got to work through it. The other reason that our numbers are pretty good is our operations are running very well right now and we've spent a lot of time focused on that And there's a reason that we have the margin profile that we do. Speaker 100:22:15Our operations for the most part are running well. Speaker 600:22:20Okay, great. Thank you for the answer and I'll jump back in the queue. Thanks. Speaker 200:22:25Thank you. Operator00:22:28Thank you. The next question is from Michael Glen from Raymond James. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:22:36Hey, good evening. So just looking at the operating margin guidance, like is there a path to we're talking about the business like seasonality returning to something that looks like pre COVID. Is there also a path that we can think about this business as a whole getting back to pre COVID operating margin levels? Speaker 200:23:03Yes. I think over time, certainly, that's our target. Our biggest headwind has been the inflationary costs, which we've recovered quite a bit of that and put a lot of it into the piece prices spread earlier indicated. But as new models or new launches come on stream and older ones drop off, that becomes the best between now and then on current between now and then on current models and certainly any extensions gives you an opportunity as well. And we are starting to see a number of extensions given the EV shortfalls. Speaker 200:23:48But it still takes that drop off of gen current generation of vehicle as it launched the new one to really solidify that. Operationally, as I said, we're running as good as we've run at least in my 10 years here. So it's really about gathering up some of these other stones and put them out to pasture before we can say we're back at that 8% type level or better. Yes. In a Speaker 100:24:18broad sense, the industry has kind of sorted itself out, right? So we've got EV mandates in some places that kind of distort the market. We've got people buying hybrids. We've got ICE vehicles. To a certain extent, that creates distortions in the market. Speaker 100:24:36And ultimately, the consumer is going to decide. We're very propulsion agnostic for the most part, as we've noted. But at the same time, it's very important that we don't just lurch from model to model and trend to trend and everything else. And again, I think that, that's one of the clouds overhanging in the industry as we work through it. But ultimately, the overall volume of vehicles is probably going to be very solid for the rest of the decade and we're poised to deal with it. Speaker 100:25:06It's just gets a little lumpy when somebody launches a new model, whatever it is, and the volume is 25% or 40% of what's predicted. And that's what's hurting a lot of people, including OEMs space. Speaker 700:25:20And when you bid now, would you say that the way you bid and I'm sort of and I'm not really focused on the EV dynamic here, but just on like when you bid on a contract now, is it substantially the same form as you would have been pre COVID or is there meaningful differences now versus how you would have been bid then? Speaker 200:25:46There are definitely meaningful differences. First off, relative to EVs, as we've said in the past, we work some more dynamics into a number, not all, but a number of our contracts as far as volume protection and capital upfront just dependent on who we were dealing with. So that helps somewhat. It doesn't cure the problem of the current lack of volume, but it certainly helps a bit. I would say that in general, a lot of suppliers as well as the OEMs have put a lot of money out on the table over the last few years and aren't happy with the current volumes. Speaker 200:26:26What that means in terms of an OEM purchasing person is suppliers in general, including ourselves are being pickier about what they decide to bid on. And what we do bid on, we want to make sure we hit our hurdle rates. So, I would say that we are definitely moved from what can we win, how can we grow, what can we win to, let's be selective, let's be smart. Let's continue to grow, but let's assure we hit Speaker 100:26:54our hurdle Speaker 200:26:55rates. And so there's more discipline in the system than I've ever seen frankly in my almost 40 years. So I think that's opportunity at the end of the day for us. Speaker 700:27:08Okay. And I'll just ask another question here. Like for Europe, it's trending well so far this year, but it has been shown volatility. And the market does look to be quite difficult. Like when you look at your business in Europe, like how core do you view that to Martinrea? Speaker 200:27:32I think that the customers in Europe are important. They're global. They're in North America as well as in Europe. But I think it certainly has its challenges over there. As Fred said, our we don't expect the same margin profile in Europe as we do in North America, but we do have the same customers. Speaker 200:27:54And they're important customers. They tend to do a pretty good job, I'll say EVs aside of predicting their volumes and hitting their volumes and that's from a supplier point of view, that's a blessing. So, it's important to us. But growth in Europe, I would say, would have to be very disciplined and very attractive for us, especially in Western Europe to pursue something like that. But we're happy with our current footprint. Speaker 200:28:28If something comes along and says, hey, this is a great deal, then we might look at it. But in the moment, it's important, but pretty stable. I think the biggest issue in Europe, as Fred said, is the lack of VV sales that were expected there because most people thought Europe would run away with it similar to China, but that has not been the case so far. Speaker 700:28:50Okay. Thanks for taking the questions. Operator00:28:54Thank you. The next question is from Brian Marston from TD Cowen. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:29:04Thanks very much. Good evening. Rob, I think you mentioned the supply of inventory was a little high and certainly seems that way that your big OEMs, your D3. I'm just wondering maybe if you could talk about or Pat could talk about the production visibility you have on your key programs with these OEMs and the potential for an extended summer shutdown? Speaker 200:29:28Can you hear the last part of the question on the shutdown? Speaker 400:29:31Just wondering if there's Speaker 800:29:32a potential for an extended summer shutdown to normalize the inventories a little bit? Speaker 200:29:37No, I don't think we'll see anything change so much in the summer than what's normally planned. I think if there's any type of adjustment at all this year, it would be in the December. They might extend Christmas shutdown or something like that, but we haven't seen it so far. Again, there's some anticipation as we've already said that second half is going to lower a little bit. But again, forecast, the one thing that's been great about the forecast, if they've been wrong, constantly and consistently once we got into the pandemic. Speaker 200:30:09So, no one's been able to harness and understand that just yet. And I understand why, because there was a tremendous anticipation that EVs were going to rocket, which they didn't. And so there's a lot of adjustment going on. But so far, our volumes at least in Q2, Q3 have been relatively stable and we haven't seen any major fluctuation yet. Certainly, the stability this year has been substantially better than the stability of 2023 2022. Speaker 200:30:44Yes. The other thing is as we look forward, Speaker 100:30:49it's not really a quarter by quarter basis. I know that that's how we report, and we tend to look at it on a broader basis. The OEMs will adjust at some point when volumes are lower. Once again, our longer term view is actually pretty bullish on North America. We think the U. Speaker 100:31:07S. Economy, despite the labor numbers that came out, is in pretty good shape. We think that the average age of the vehicle is now approaching 13 years. There's a lot of demand there. We think there's pent up demand. Speaker 100:31:20We think that one of the reasons for the inventory build is perhaps that the customers have to recognize they can't quite charge as much for a vehicle as they could have been there. Then they can sort those things out. But overall, there's good underlying demand in the marketplace for the next number of years. Speaker 300:31:37And the other thing we highlighted is the interest rate environment, I think it's pretty clear right now that rates are down. Depending on how fast that happens, that can happen. And but whether it starts impacting the back half this year to be determined, but I think at some point that will Speaker 200:31:55I think it will really depend on what the OEMs are willing to put on the hood. They've been blessed during the pandemic with amazing margins on their products and not having to put any money on the hood to now they got to make the determination, do I do it? How much do I do it? And do I want to get back to my old habits or do I want to at least have a hybrid between the pandemic and now? And I think they're wrestling with that. Speaker 200:32:22But we are starting to see more money thrown on the hood of a lot of vehicles right now. So that happens, it helps spur some sales as well. Speaker 800:32:32Right. Maybe if I can just take that one step further then. When I think out to 2025, understanding there's going to Speaker 400:32:37be low EBIT volumes. What Speaker 800:32:39are the key opportunities for you to take your margin guidance or increase your margins in 2025? Are we talking scale or operating efficiencies, pricing, contract extensions? What could be drivers that you could improve your margins next year? Speaker 200:32:53Well, I mean, if the market stays flat, let's say, certainly our best opportunity is operational continued operational improvement, which we still have some room and recovery of some of the volume problems that Peter talked about earlier as well as there's still some inflationary issues that we have not resolved 100% and we continue to negotiate on that front as well. But I think, as I say everything stays steady, I think operational improvements probably our best opportunity. Speaker 100:33:30And the other thing is we look for margin improvement over time. I personally think the EV market and the hybrid market and the ICE market are going to be lumpy over the next couple of years, but we're going to sort it out. And I think that that's where real opportunity is over time. Speaker 200:33:47We've got some really exciting things going on in the manufacturing side that we're just getting started on beyond our normal lean discussion that can really have some significant impact over time. We made some organizational changes to enhance that, as far as adding different types of technology into our lines that can improve their efficiency, along with our lean activity that's been ongoing that I think over the next few years can make a pretty good impact. Speaker 400:34:19One other thing to add as customers move through their EV plan, there's going to be some extension of the ICE programs. And as these ICE programs extend, it's always obviously easier to keep producing product that you don't need to launch on, you avoid a lot of starting to cost that way as well. So that's an opportunity for us going forward through this even transition. Speaker 300:34:44And those extensions offer you an opportunity to also replace your product, Jack. Inflation. Speaker 800:34:49And you could see that in 2025? Speaker 200:34:53Yes. We're already getting a lot of requests for extensions. We've got some extensions already underway. There are a lot that we believe will come to pass. They just haven't yet, but the OEMs need to make product. Speaker 200:35:07And if people aren't buying EVs and they're still buying ICE products, you're going to see a little effort to extend wherever they can, in my view. Operator00:35:16Okay. Speaker 100:35:17And then just one thing to Speaker 300:35:18note, I want to be clear that these discussions and negotiations aren't easy. Speaker 100:35:23It's a difficult discussion. And there's work to Speaker 300:35:25be done in being able to tap into those type of opportunities. That's true. Speaker 800:35:29Yes, I understand. Thank you. And last question, Peter, an easy one for your first call, but what's your tax rate for the year? Obviously, it looks like you had a pretty high tax rate, maybe mid-29s or 29 point something. What's your forecast tax rate for the year, please? Speaker 400:35:45Yes. So good question, Brian. So the Mexican peso exchange had a significant impact as you can see on our ETR in the quarter, so far the weakening of the peso here just quickly and recently, right. So we would expect that that same impact carries forward into the second half of the year. I mean, exchange rates are always volatile, unpredictable and so forth, but it would be expected to be higher here going into the rest of the year. Speaker 800:36:18Okay. Thank you. Operator00:36:22Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the meeting back over to Mr. Will de Boer. Speaker 100:36:30Thank you. Thank you all for coming on and asking questions and having a discussion. At the end of the call, let me summarize 3 takeaways for you. 1, propulsion agnosticism supports solid results in a volatile EV environment. I think we had a really good discussion about how we see it and we think it's going to play out in that way. Speaker 100:36:53We're producing good results of solid margins and free cash flow again this year and we think they're solid in the stock. If any of you have further questions or would like to discuss any of the issues concerning Martinrea, the contacts are on the press release and feel free to talk to any of us or Neil Forster. Have a great evening. Operator00:37:15Thank you. The conference has now ended. Please disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallMartinrea International Q2 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release Martinrea International Earnings HeadlinesMartinrea International (TSE:MRE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.05March 10, 2025 | finance.yahoo.comMartinrea reports $133.3 million loss in fourth quarter, sales declineMarch 7, 2025 | msn.comTrump’s Secret WeaponHave you looked at the stock market recently? Millions of investors are scrambling trying to figure out what's coming next. But here's the truth… This is just the beginning. Trump has made it clear his tariffs are coming, and that the market will get worse before it gets better. Luckily, our FREE Presidential Transition Guide details exactly what will happen in the next 100 days, and how to protect your hard-earned savings during these times. Don't wait for the next crash to wipe you out. Act now.April 20, 2025 | American Alternative (Ad)Shareholders in Martinrea International (TSE:MRE) are in the red if they invested a year agoMarch 6, 2025 | finance.yahoo.comMartinrea downgraded to Neutral from Outperformer at CIBCMarch 5, 2025 | markets.businessinsider.comTariffs an 'existential threat' for Canada's auto parts makers, CIBC warnsMarch 5, 2025 | msn.comSee More Martinrea International Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like Martinrea International? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on Martinrea International and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About Martinrea InternationalMartinrea International (TSE:MRE) Inc is a Canadian producer of steel and aluminium parts and fluid management systems. Its products are used primarily in the automotive sector by the majority of vehicle manufacturers. Martinrea manufactures aluminum engine blocks, specialized products, suspensions, chassis modules and components, and fluid management systems for fuel, power steering and brake fluids. The company also provides metal forming and welding solutions. 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There are 9 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:03Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Martinrea International Second Quarter 2024 Results Conference Call. Instructions for submitting questions will be provided to you later in the call. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Operator00:00:19Rob Wildeboer. Please go ahead, sir. Speaker 100:00:24Good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. We always look forward to talking with our shareholders. We hope to inform you well and answer questions. We also note that we have many other stakeholders, including many employees on the call, and our remarks are addressed to them as well as we disseminate our results and commentary through our network. Speaker 100:00:44With me tonight are Pat D'Aramo, Martinrea's CEO our President, Fred DiCosto and our new Chief Financial Officer, Peter Cerullis. As you know, Peter is new to the call. Going forward, we will generally all be on the call to address questions you may have, but we'll balance out the presentations, sometimes all will say a few words, sometimes not all. We'll provide a variety for you. Today, we will be discussing Martinrea's results for the quarter ended June 30, 2024, a solid quarter as you see from our press release. Speaker 100:01:18I refer you to our usual disclaimer in our press release and filed documents. First, Pat will make some comments, then Fred, then Peter, then me, then we'll do Q and A. And now, here's Pat. Speaker 200:01:32Thanks, Rob. Good evening, everyone. As noted in our press release, we generated an adjusted net earnings per share of $0.58 an adjusted EBITDA of $166,000,000 in the 2nd quarter, a new record for the company. Adjusted operating income margin came in at 6.3%, 30 basis points better than our Q1 on similar production sales quarter over quarter, a nice improvement. Operationally, we're performing well. Speaker 200:02:00We continue to effectively manage the larger headwinds, supply constraints, inflationary cost pressures and tight labor markets are generally improving. The slower than expected ramp up in electric vehicle programs has resulted in underutilized capacity across the automotive industry. We are able to mitigate some of the volume reductions with many of our customer contracts, some of which include volume adjustments, capital paid upfront or recovery early in the contract term along with other measures. We continue to progress related to our commercial negotiations with customers. In addition to obtaining compensation for EV volume shortfalls, we may seek compensation for some ongoing inflationary items. Speaker 200:02:47We expect this activity to continue for the foreseeable future as EV volumes are likely to remain at lower levels for at least the next couple of years. North America, our results are consistent quarter over quarter on steady production sales. In general, we're performing well in North America, both operationally and financially. Our U. S. Speaker 200:03:07Plants have led a lot of the post pandemic improvement. In Europe, we have made progress improving our operations and our restructuring efforts are bearing fruit. Speaker 100:03:18Overall, we're Speaker 200:03:19happy with the performance in Europe considering the volumes in this segment, mainly EVs, remain well below planned levels. Turning to our Rest of the World segment, results were better quarter over quarter as we are now ramping up on a new program with BMW in China. In addition, we have had some favorable commercial settlements. This segment is smaller relative to the other operations, which we view as a benefit in the current environment. Overall, our performance was steady both quarter over quarter and year over year. Speaker 200:03:51We have capacitized for a higher level of business, so it will take time to get margins back to pre pandemic levels. Having said that, operations are solid, We're launching better with every program and our margins are up as you've seen in Q2. Moving on, I'm pleased to announce that we've been awarded new business worth $125,000,000 in annualized sales at mature volumes, which include $75,000,000 in our Lightweight Structures commercial group consisting of various structural components with multiple customers, including Volvo, Honda, Mercedes, General Motors, along with some others and $50,000,000 in our propulsion systems group with Ford. Overall, we're pleased with our 2nd quarter performance. While EV softness and higher interest rates are resulting in a relatively flat year over year industry production volume profile, we expect 2024 will be a good year with steady production sales and strong positive free cash flow. Speaker 200:04:52Looking out longer term, we are well positioned within our industry. 1st, while we are not immune to the EV slowdown and that it affects the short term, the fact that we are mostly propulsion agnostic enables us to adapt to any mix of vehicles over the long term. Our products apply to all vehicle types and architectures. This is relevant, particularly in the context of the current political environment in the United States, given the stark contrast and views on ED mandates between the Democrats and Republicans in an election year. Next, interest rates, although higher than recent historical standards appeared to have peaked. Speaker 200:05:35They are already coming down in Canada and seem likely to come down in United States as well. This means vehicle affordability should improve, which bodes well for the future production volumes and sales. Lastly, our North American centric orientation in limited footprint in China is a positive, Given the current geopolitical environment, the trend towards reshoring or near shoring of supply chains, USMCA and the fact that the environment in China has become more challenging for foreign OEMs who are losing market share to domestic brands. For all those reasons, we believe we are well positioned in this environment. With that, I would like to thank the entire Martinrea team for their hard work and dedication in these continued challenging times. Speaker 200:06:27Here's Fred. Speaker 300:06:29Thanks, Pat, and good evening, everyone. As Pat noted, our Q2 results were strong, consistent with the prior quarter and generally in line with our expectations. Overall, we are driving a healthy level of free cash flow from the business that we believe is sustainable. We are executing on our capital allocation priorities, including returning capital to shareholders through substantial share buyback activity in the quarter and our balance sheet remains in great shape. We held our AGM back in June where we discussed among other things our performance relative to some of our peers. Speaker 300:07:04To summarize the discussion, our financial metrics are among the best in our industry with trailing 12 month margins and free cash flow generation as a percentage of sales that are among the best in our peer group and a leverage ratio in the lower range of our industry peers as of Q1. This is a notable achievement and something that just doesn't get noticed enough quite frankly. I'm very proud of our team and the work they have done in delivering this performance. Switching gears, as many of you know, I recently stepped away from the CFO role, but I continue to serve the company as President, overseeing operations in some of the more strategic aspects of the business. It's been an honor serving as CFO for the last 13 years as it continues to be an honor to serve as President. Speaker 300:07:52I plan to remain active on the Investor Relations side, so I'll continue to participate on our earnings calls as well as investor conferences and meetings moving forward. At this point, I'd like to introduce Peter Cerulis, our new Chief Financial Officer. Peter has over 30 years experience in the automotive parts industry and has been with Martinrea since 2018, most recently as Executive Vice President of our Aluminum Group and Head of our Lightweight Structures Commercial Group. Prior to joining Maranrea, Peter worked with Dana Incorporated in a variety of operational and financial roles, including Vice President of Finance and Operational Excellence for Dana's Commercial Vehicle Group, a role in which he reported to Pat. Before that, he worked for Robert Bosch in a variety of financial leadership roles. Speaker 300:08:42It has been an absolute pleasure working with Peter over the last 6 years. I'm confident that the finance function will be in strong hands under Peter's leadership, and that is a good move for our company and our business. In addition to being CFO, Peter will remain Head of our Lightweight Structures Commercial Group. This will provide the right balance of financial and operational experience in the role. So without further ado, here is Peter to discuss the 2nd quarter financial results in more detail. Speaker 400:09:13Thanks, Fred. I'm excited about my new role at the company. I look forward to meeting many of you. Taking a closer look at the results quarter over quarter, we generated an adjusted operating income of 81,600,000 dollars up slightly from $79,200,000 that we generated in quarter 1 on similar level of production sales. Tooling sales declined by over 40% quarter over quarter as they continued to moderate from the elevated levels that we saw in 2023 as expected. Speaker 400:09:44Adjusted operating income margin came in at 6.3%, up 30 basis points quarter over quarter, largely reflecting the decline in tooling sales, which generally carry low margins. Note that adjusted operating income excludes $5,400,000 in restructuring charges as expected and discussed on the last call, reflecting some rightsizing activity across our operations. We have essentially concluded this exercise, although we continue to evaluate ways to drive additional cost out of the business. Moving on, adjusted net earnings per share came in at $0.58 After taking into account net foreign exchange rate fluctuations, which were a bigger tailwind in quarter 1 than quarter 2, adjusted EPS was fairly consistent quarter over quarter. We also experienced a higher effective tax rate in quarter 2 compared to quarter 1. Speaker 400:10:37Free cash flow before IFRS 16 lease payments came in at $51,700,000 higher than the negative $1,400,000 in quarter 1, reflecting the typical seasonality in working capital flows. However, it's also a significant improvement over the $26,500,000 of free cash flow we generated in quarter 2 of 2023, reflecting lower capital spending. Excluding lease payments under IFRS 16 accounting, quarter 2 2024 free cash flow was $38,300,000 compared to $14,600,000 in quarter 2 of last year. As we indicated on the last call, the $100,000,000 to $150,000,000 of free cash flow, excluding lease payments that we expect to generate in 2024 is expected to be weighted to the back half of the year, which is consistent with the 2023 experience. Now looking at our performance on a year over year basis, 2nd quarter adjusted operating income of $81,600,000 was largely consistent with quarter 2 of last year on production sales that were roughly flat. Speaker 400:11:42And our adjusted operating income margin of 6.3% was up 20 basis points from the 6.1% generated in quarter 2 of last year. I refer you to our quarter 2 MD and A for commentary on our year over year variances. Overall, the results were consistent year over year, though free cash flow was a lot better as I just noted. Now turning to our balance sheet. Net debt, again excluding IFRS 16 lease liabilities, decreased by approximately $4,000,000 quarter over quarter to 852,000,000 dollars This reflects the free cash flow profile for the quarter as previously outlined as well as the funding of approximately $7,300,000 in cash restructuring costs and roughly $24,000,000 spent to repurchase approximately 2,000,000 shares to our normal course issuer bid during the quarter. Speaker 400:12:34Our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio ended the quarter at 1.49 times, down slightly from the 1.51 times at the end of quarter 1, twenty 24. Our leverage ratio remains within our long term target range of 1.5x or better, and we intend to maintain our leverage within that range over time. Turning to our 2024 outlook, it remains unchanged and we're on track to meet it based upon our year to date performance. As a reminder, our 2024 outlook calls for total sales between $5,000,000,000 $5,300,000,000 and adjusted operating income margin of between 5.7 and the free cash flow excluding IFRS 16 lease payments of between $100,000,000 to $150,000,000 These payments are currently running Lease payments are currently running at approximately $13,000,000 per quarter, so the free cash flow outlook, including IFRS 16 lease payments, is roughly $50,000,000 to $100,000,000 Looking at the back half of the year, we're starting to see a return of the more normal seasonal pattern within our industry, where sales are higher in the first half of the year and lower in the second. Compared to the last few years, we are now seeing OEMs taking seasonal shutdowns in more of their operations this summer as supply chains have improved and production has stabilized. Speaker 400:13:56As we indicated on the last call, we expect to generate the bulk of our free cash flow for the year in the second half given the typical seasonal unwind of working capital within our industry. Overall, we expect a solid year, both financially and operationally, and we continue to perform at a high level and our balance sheet is in great shape. With that, I turn you now over back to Rob. Speaker 100:14:19Thanks, Peter. A final brief note related to capital allocation. Our approach is described in an investor note on our website. In Q2, we generated approximately $108,000,000 in cash from operations. Capital expenditures were about $53,000,000 as we continue to invest in support of new business wins and incremental equipment needs. Speaker 100:14:43Next, we paid our usual dividend to our shareholders approximately $4,000,000 $16,000,000 on an annualized basis. Lastly, and as Peter noted, we purchased approximately 2,000,000 shares for cancellation under our normal course issuer bid, representing about 2.5% of the outstanding shares of the company. Total cash spent was approximately $24,000,000 We believe our stock is a great investment, particularly at the current valuation, which is near its historic low on a multiples basis. We intend to continue to buy back some stock at these levels. To summarize, we've invested in our business, made some positive strategic investments, kept our balance sheet strong and returned capital to shareholders in the quarter with our dividends and buyback. Speaker 100:15:31In terms of allocating capital, we will consider anything that makes Martinrea better, but not at the expense of our strong financial status. We believe consistent free cash flow generation is the road to a higher valuation. Finally, a big thank you to our people. Thank you for your dedication every day. I note that many of our plants have won supplier quality and other awards from customers in the last 12 months. Speaker 100:15:57Our people are performing very well. Their dedication and ingenuity underpin our numbers. Now it's time for questions. We see we have shareholders, analysts, employees and even some competitors on the phone. So we may have to be a little careful with our answers, but we'll answer what we can. Speaker 100:16:15And thank you all for calling in. Operator00:16:19Thank you. We'll now take questions from the telephone lines. The first question is from Tami Chen from BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Speaker 500:16:40Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for the question. Starting with Europe here, can you talk a bit about that segment? I think generally, we were expecting particularly on the customer recoveries. I think historically that's been more back half weighted. Speaker 500:16:56But the first half of this year that segment has been quite strong. So can you just talk a bit about how we should think of the performance in the first half this year and what to expect in the back half? Speaker 300:17:11So generally speaking, I think one of the biggest headwinds we've been dealing with in the EV volumes, in particular, with some of our core customers there. So expect that to continue in the foreseeable future, as we've noted. So that's a bit of a headwind. I think in the front half of the year, we did benefit from some commercial settlements, And I expect that to normalize in the back half of the year. We've always said that Europe in general, compared to North America, will always be a lower margin segment for us, and we expect that to be the case this year. Speaker 300:17:46Although, we've made some improvements there, we've done some restructuring, so we're expecting the segment to perform at a reasonable level, considering some of the long headwinds that we're dealing with. Speaker 500:18:00Got it. Okay. And on the recoveries in general, I think you were alluding to with respect to electric vehicles, volumes there will probably be lower for some time. The general sense in terms of negotiating for these recoveries going forward, should we expect that it's still similar amount or are you finding that will normalize itself as well relative to the last few years that you've received? Speaker 400:18:28Sure, Penny. Thanks for the question. I would expect that the commercial recoveries continue as a part of our normal business for the foreseeable future, given the fact that you mentioned the EV landscape looks a little bit rocky at the moment. So currently, we're tracking to a run rate, I would say, that's similar to the recent past. So it's expected to be a continuing part of our business going forward. Speaker 300:18:56Yes. And I think there's maybe a bit of a change in some of the things that we're trying to address. So look at the past, it was more geared to recoveries on inflationary cost increases. There's still some of that going forward, managed to bake some in into piece price, but not Speaker 100:19:13in all cases. So we're Speaker 300:19:14going to continue to negotiate those as we move forward here. And a lot more of the activity now is weighted to the long shortfalls that we're dealing with. Speaker 500:19:26Got it. Thank you very much. Operator00:19:30Thank you. The next question is from Christa Friesen from CIBC. Please go ahead. Speaker 600:19:37Hi, thanks for taking my question. I was just wondering if you could speak to your guidance. So you've been able to hold it this quarter, you held it last quarter in the face of production forecast kind of coming down for this year? And given, I think, the industry typically has 20% to 25 decremental margins, can you speak to how you've been able to hold that guide and mitigate some of these forecasted numbers that aren't as great as they were at the beginning of the year? Speaker 400:20:12Yes. Thank you very much, Chris. So we're consistent with our guidance at this point. As we've mentioned in previous calls as well, we have some commercial activities, which are a little bit, let's say, lumpy, as you might say, quarter to quarter. So those will, as I mentioned in the previous question, those will continue into the 3rd Q4. Speaker 400:20:36So we expect that some of those commercial activities also keep us consistent with the guidance despite some of the inventory build that you mentioned. We know also that the SAAR was the highest it's been in July at 16,700,000 vehicles. So we're seeing some strength there, if you will. So going into the second half, we'll remain consistent with our guidance. Speaker 300:21:03Yes. I think it's the 58 in July of the U. S. Target. Speaker 200:21:06I think the most important thing now is to understand the forecast and the forecasts have been wrong every year for the last 4 years. Speaker 100:21:16Yes. The one thing as we said in our remarks, the traditional approach to the industry pre COVID was pretty strong Q1. Q2 was often the strongest quarter. Q3, you saw adjustments, particularly in North America's OEMs did some shutdowns, and then Q4 tended to also see some of that depending on where inventory levels stood at the end of the year. And holidays. Speaker 100:21:41Yes. And I think there's some uncertainty as the second half of the year. Typically, the first half of the year, I'd say typically pre COVID, first half of the year was generally better than the second half, and we may see some of that. I think there's some questions out there as how do customers deal with inventory levels, how do they deal with incentives and that type of thing, and we just got to work through it. The other reason that our numbers are pretty good is our operations are running very well right now and we've spent a lot of time focused on that And there's a reason that we have the margin profile that we do. Speaker 100:22:15Our operations for the most part are running well. Speaker 600:22:20Okay, great. Thank you for the answer and I'll jump back in the queue. Thanks. Speaker 200:22:25Thank you. Operator00:22:28Thank you. The next question is from Michael Glen from Raymond James. Please go ahead. Speaker 700:22:36Hey, good evening. So just looking at the operating margin guidance, like is there a path to we're talking about the business like seasonality returning to something that looks like pre COVID. Is there also a path that we can think about this business as a whole getting back to pre COVID operating margin levels? Speaker 200:23:03Yes. I think over time, certainly, that's our target. Our biggest headwind has been the inflationary costs, which we've recovered quite a bit of that and put a lot of it into the piece prices spread earlier indicated. But as new models or new launches come on stream and older ones drop off, that becomes the best between now and then on current between now and then on current models and certainly any extensions gives you an opportunity as well. And we are starting to see a number of extensions given the EV shortfalls. Speaker 200:23:48But it still takes that drop off of gen current generation of vehicle as it launched the new one to really solidify that. Operationally, as I said, we're running as good as we've run at least in my 10 years here. So it's really about gathering up some of these other stones and put them out to pasture before we can say we're back at that 8% type level or better. Yes. In a Speaker 100:24:18broad sense, the industry has kind of sorted itself out, right? So we've got EV mandates in some places that kind of distort the market. We've got people buying hybrids. We've got ICE vehicles. To a certain extent, that creates distortions in the market. Speaker 100:24:36And ultimately, the consumer is going to decide. We're very propulsion agnostic for the most part, as we've noted. But at the same time, it's very important that we don't just lurch from model to model and trend to trend and everything else. And again, I think that, that's one of the clouds overhanging in the industry as we work through it. But ultimately, the overall volume of vehicles is probably going to be very solid for the rest of the decade and we're poised to deal with it. Speaker 100:25:06It's just gets a little lumpy when somebody launches a new model, whatever it is, and the volume is 25% or 40% of what's predicted. And that's what's hurting a lot of people, including OEMs space. Speaker 700:25:20And when you bid now, would you say that the way you bid and I'm sort of and I'm not really focused on the EV dynamic here, but just on like when you bid on a contract now, is it substantially the same form as you would have been pre COVID or is there meaningful differences now versus how you would have been bid then? Speaker 200:25:46There are definitely meaningful differences. First off, relative to EVs, as we've said in the past, we work some more dynamics into a number, not all, but a number of our contracts as far as volume protection and capital upfront just dependent on who we were dealing with. So that helps somewhat. It doesn't cure the problem of the current lack of volume, but it certainly helps a bit. I would say that in general, a lot of suppliers as well as the OEMs have put a lot of money out on the table over the last few years and aren't happy with the current volumes. Speaker 200:26:26What that means in terms of an OEM purchasing person is suppliers in general, including ourselves are being pickier about what they decide to bid on. And what we do bid on, we want to make sure we hit our hurdle rates. So, I would say that we are definitely moved from what can we win, how can we grow, what can we win to, let's be selective, let's be smart. Let's continue to grow, but let's assure we hit Speaker 100:26:54our hurdle Speaker 200:26:55rates. And so there's more discipline in the system than I've ever seen frankly in my almost 40 years. So I think that's opportunity at the end of the day for us. Speaker 700:27:08Okay. And I'll just ask another question here. Like for Europe, it's trending well so far this year, but it has been shown volatility. And the market does look to be quite difficult. Like when you look at your business in Europe, like how core do you view that to Martinrea? Speaker 200:27:32I think that the customers in Europe are important. They're global. They're in North America as well as in Europe. But I think it certainly has its challenges over there. As Fred said, our we don't expect the same margin profile in Europe as we do in North America, but we do have the same customers. Speaker 200:27:54And they're important customers. They tend to do a pretty good job, I'll say EVs aside of predicting their volumes and hitting their volumes and that's from a supplier point of view, that's a blessing. So, it's important to us. But growth in Europe, I would say, would have to be very disciplined and very attractive for us, especially in Western Europe to pursue something like that. But we're happy with our current footprint. Speaker 200:28:28If something comes along and says, hey, this is a great deal, then we might look at it. But in the moment, it's important, but pretty stable. I think the biggest issue in Europe, as Fred said, is the lack of VV sales that were expected there because most people thought Europe would run away with it similar to China, but that has not been the case so far. Speaker 700:28:50Okay. Thanks for taking the questions. Operator00:28:54Thank you. The next question is from Brian Marston from TD Cowen. Please go ahead. Speaker 800:29:04Thanks very much. Good evening. Rob, I think you mentioned the supply of inventory was a little high and certainly seems that way that your big OEMs, your D3. I'm just wondering maybe if you could talk about or Pat could talk about the production visibility you have on your key programs with these OEMs and the potential for an extended summer shutdown? Speaker 200:29:28Can you hear the last part of the question on the shutdown? Speaker 400:29:31Just wondering if there's Speaker 800:29:32a potential for an extended summer shutdown to normalize the inventories a little bit? Speaker 200:29:37No, I don't think we'll see anything change so much in the summer than what's normally planned. I think if there's any type of adjustment at all this year, it would be in the December. They might extend Christmas shutdown or something like that, but we haven't seen it so far. Again, there's some anticipation as we've already said that second half is going to lower a little bit. But again, forecast, the one thing that's been great about the forecast, if they've been wrong, constantly and consistently once we got into the pandemic. Speaker 200:30:09So, no one's been able to harness and understand that just yet. And I understand why, because there was a tremendous anticipation that EVs were going to rocket, which they didn't. And so there's a lot of adjustment going on. But so far, our volumes at least in Q2, Q3 have been relatively stable and we haven't seen any major fluctuation yet. Certainly, the stability this year has been substantially better than the stability of 2023 2022. Speaker 200:30:44Yes. The other thing is as we look forward, Speaker 100:30:49it's not really a quarter by quarter basis. I know that that's how we report, and we tend to look at it on a broader basis. The OEMs will adjust at some point when volumes are lower. Once again, our longer term view is actually pretty bullish on North America. We think the U. Speaker 100:31:07S. Economy, despite the labor numbers that came out, is in pretty good shape. We think that the average age of the vehicle is now approaching 13 years. There's a lot of demand there. We think there's pent up demand. Speaker 100:31:20We think that one of the reasons for the inventory build is perhaps that the customers have to recognize they can't quite charge as much for a vehicle as they could have been there. Then they can sort those things out. But overall, there's good underlying demand in the marketplace for the next number of years. Speaker 300:31:37And the other thing we highlighted is the interest rate environment, I think it's pretty clear right now that rates are down. Depending on how fast that happens, that can happen. And but whether it starts impacting the back half this year to be determined, but I think at some point that will Speaker 200:31:55I think it will really depend on what the OEMs are willing to put on the hood. They've been blessed during the pandemic with amazing margins on their products and not having to put any money on the hood to now they got to make the determination, do I do it? How much do I do it? And do I want to get back to my old habits or do I want to at least have a hybrid between the pandemic and now? And I think they're wrestling with that. Speaker 200:32:22But we are starting to see more money thrown on the hood of a lot of vehicles right now. So that happens, it helps spur some sales as well. Speaker 800:32:32Right. Maybe if I can just take that one step further then. When I think out to 2025, understanding there's going to Speaker 400:32:37be low EBIT volumes. What Speaker 800:32:39are the key opportunities for you to take your margin guidance or increase your margins in 2025? Are we talking scale or operating efficiencies, pricing, contract extensions? What could be drivers that you could improve your margins next year? Speaker 200:32:53Well, I mean, if the market stays flat, let's say, certainly our best opportunity is operational continued operational improvement, which we still have some room and recovery of some of the volume problems that Peter talked about earlier as well as there's still some inflationary issues that we have not resolved 100% and we continue to negotiate on that front as well. But I think, as I say everything stays steady, I think operational improvements probably our best opportunity. Speaker 100:33:30And the other thing is we look for margin improvement over time. I personally think the EV market and the hybrid market and the ICE market are going to be lumpy over the next couple of years, but we're going to sort it out. And I think that that's where real opportunity is over time. Speaker 200:33:47We've got some really exciting things going on in the manufacturing side that we're just getting started on beyond our normal lean discussion that can really have some significant impact over time. We made some organizational changes to enhance that, as far as adding different types of technology into our lines that can improve their efficiency, along with our lean activity that's been ongoing that I think over the next few years can make a pretty good impact. Speaker 400:34:19One other thing to add as customers move through their EV plan, there's going to be some extension of the ICE programs. And as these ICE programs extend, it's always obviously easier to keep producing product that you don't need to launch on, you avoid a lot of starting to cost that way as well. So that's an opportunity for us going forward through this even transition. Speaker 300:34:44And those extensions offer you an opportunity to also replace your product, Jack. Inflation. Speaker 800:34:49And you could see that in 2025? Speaker 200:34:53Yes. We're already getting a lot of requests for extensions. We've got some extensions already underway. There are a lot that we believe will come to pass. They just haven't yet, but the OEMs need to make product. Speaker 200:35:07And if people aren't buying EVs and they're still buying ICE products, you're going to see a little effort to extend wherever they can, in my view. Operator00:35:16Okay. Speaker 100:35:17And then just one thing to Speaker 300:35:18note, I want to be clear that these discussions and negotiations aren't easy. Speaker 100:35:23It's a difficult discussion. And there's work to Speaker 300:35:25be done in being able to tap into those type of opportunities. That's true. Speaker 800:35:29Yes, I understand. Thank you. And last question, Peter, an easy one for your first call, but what's your tax rate for the year? Obviously, it looks like you had a pretty high tax rate, maybe mid-29s or 29 point something. What's your forecast tax rate for the year, please? Speaker 400:35:45Yes. So good question, Brian. So the Mexican peso exchange had a significant impact as you can see on our ETR in the quarter, so far the weakening of the peso here just quickly and recently, right. So we would expect that that same impact carries forward into the second half of the year. I mean, exchange rates are always volatile, unpredictable and so forth, but it would be expected to be higher here going into the rest of the year. Speaker 800:36:18Okay. Thank you. Operator00:36:22Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the meeting back over to Mr. Will de Boer. Speaker 100:36:30Thank you. Thank you all for coming on and asking questions and having a discussion. At the end of the call, let me summarize 3 takeaways for you. 1, propulsion agnosticism supports solid results in a volatile EV environment. I think we had a really good discussion about how we see it and we think it's going to play out in that way. Speaker 100:36:53We're producing good results of solid margins and free cash flow again this year and we think they're solid in the stock. If any of you have further questions or would like to discuss any of the issues concerning Martinrea, the contacts are on the press release and feel free to talk to any of us or Neil Forster. Have a great evening. Operator00:37:15Thank you. The conference has now ended. Please disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.Read morePowered by