Ralph Lauren Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
August 7, 2024

There are 13 speakers on the call.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Ralph Lauren First Quarter and Full Year Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. Instructions on how to ask a question will be given at that time.

Operator

As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn over the conference to our host, Ms. Corina VanderGens. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Good morning, and thank you for joining Ralph Lauren's Q1 fiscal 2025 conference call. With me today are Patrice Louvet, the company's President and Chief Executive Officer and Justin Pacicchi, Chief Financial Officer. After prepared remarks, we will open up the call for your questions, which we ask that you limit to 1 per caller. During today's call, our financial performance will be discussed on a constant currency adjusted basis. Our reported results, including foreign currency, can be found in this morning's press release.

Speaker 1

We will also be making some forward looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including our financial outlook. Forward looking statements are not guarantees, and our actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward looking statements. Our expectations contain many risks and uncertainties. Principal risks and uncertainties that could cause our results to differ materially from our current expectations detailed in our SEC filings. To find disclosures and reconciliations of non GAAP measures that we use when discussing our financial results, you should refer to this morning's earnings release and to our SEC filings that can be found on our Investor Relations website.

Speaker 1

With that, I'll turn the call over to Patrice.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Corey. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining today's call. We started year 3 of our Next Great Chapter Accelerate plan with continued momentum, keeping us on track with our fiscal 2025 and long term strategic commitments. Our Q1 performance underscores the power and growing desirability of our iconic brand around the world with key moments that demonstrate our ability to resonate across cultures, geographies and generations. This combined with our diversified engines of growth and organizational agility gives us confidence that our long term strategy will continue to deliver even through these dynamic times.

Speaker 2

1st quarter results exceeded our expectations led by international and positive retail comps across all regions with continued momentum across consumer metrics. Performance in our global direct to consumer businesses in Europe wholesale more than offset planned softness in North America wholesale. At the same time, we continue to invest in our strategic priorities, including marketing, digital capabilities and our targeted ecosystem expansion across our top cities. Fueled by our culture of operating discipline and increased efficiencies, these investments will enable us to drive long term sustainable growth and value creation well beyond our current 3 year plan. During the Q1, we drove continued progress across our 3 strategic pillars.

Speaker 2

As a reminder, these include, 1st, elevate and energize our lifestyle brand 2nd, drive the core and expand for more and 3rd, win in key cities with our consumer ecosystem. Let me take you through a few highlights from the Q1. 1st, on our efforts to elevate and energize our lifestyle brand. From our recent activations in Milan, London, New York and across China to our rapidly expanding social media following, Ralph Lauren continues to be at the forefront of culture across geographies and demographics. Key campaigns from the quarter included, 1st, our Women's Collection Runway Show in New York City this April, where we celebrated the timeless, easy elegance that has come to define our brand.

Speaker 2

The collection also tapped into some of our signature design codes from Western motifs to shimmering liquid gowns and cozy rich cash mirrors, signaling a confident, quiet luxury as Ralph does best. The globally amplified event surpassed our goals, driving 16,000,000,000 PR impressions as we were joined by celebrities including Jody Turner Smith, Jessica Chastain, Kerry Washington, Crystal Young, Rebecca Hall and Morgan Spector. Heading into warmer months, we reinforced our position as the ultimate destination for effortless summer icons with our Only Polo campaign. Our teams delivered local activations spanning LA Sunset Boulevard, Roppongi in Tokyo, SoHo in New York, Miami's Design District, Dubai and Seoul. The stars align in Milan at our Purple Label presentation this June where Usher, John Legend, Chris Pine and Rufus Wainwright among others honored our newest collection as part of Men's Fashion Week.

Speaker 2

During the city's renowned home design fair Salon des Mobile, we unveiled our first collection with our new licensing partner and invited the international design community to experience American style in Milan. Our 6 18 activations in China drove high double digit growth that significantly outpaced our competitive set. Our teams are leveraging these events for longer term brand building with a focus on high quality sales and new customer acquisition. And finally, we are in the midst of a spectacular summer of sports. We kicked off our 2024 Paris Olympics campaign, unveiling our uniforms as official outfitter of Team USA, a cherished partnership over 9 Olympic Games since 2008.

Speaker 2

And beyond the quarter, we celebrated our 19th year as official outfitter of the championships at Wimbledon, marrying the traditions of this story tournament with sophisticated spectator style. These activations are driving strong sustainable growth in new customer acquisition and engagement. In the Q1, we added 1,300,000 new consumers to our DTC businesses, consistent with our long term expectations and led by higher value in younger cohorts. Our net promoter scores increased globally led by Europe and our online search grew strong double digits outpacing our competitive set. And we grew our social media followers by low teens to last year surpassing 60,000,000 led by Instagram, Threads, Line, TikTok and Douyin.

Speaker 2

Moving next to our 2nd key initiative, drive the core and expand for more. While many aspire to become true lifestyle brands, Ralph created a brand that has epitomized the aspirational lifestyle for over 50 years. And as we look ahead, Ralph and our design teams will continue to leverage our powerful portfolio of highly recognizable core products with expansion into newer categories to realize our brand's full potential. Starting with our core products, which represent more than 70% of our business. Sales were up low single digits, slightly ahead of our total company growth in the Q1.

Speaker 2

Highlights from this spring included our linen styles from sports shirts to tailored suits, newly relaunched stretch mesh polos, elevated heavyweight jersey and polo bear tees and sweaters. In children's, linen also drove outsides growth along with seasonal mini cable and flag sweaters and our expansion within the Big Kids segment. Our high potential categories, including women's apparel, outerwear and handbags, together increased mid single digits, outpacing our total company growth rate as we continue to drive our strategy of foundational pieces to anchor her modern wardrobe. Top sellers in women's this quarter included our iconic cable knit sweaters, linen and Oxford shirts, polos and shirt dresses in easier fits and our canvas city jacket. Within handbags, we drove strong growth led by Polo women's where continued momentum in our Polo ID collection is driving both revenues on higher AUR as well as new customer recruitment, as highlighted by Jennifer Lawrence sporting our yellow Polo ID bag this spring.

Speaker 2

Other exciting releases this quarter included our Wimbledon capsule featuring tennis inspired sportswear with sell throughs up strong double digits to last year across men's, women's and kids. And our Summer Olympics collections, including our opening and closing ceremony uniforms and Olympic village wear, an assortment of Polo sportswear icons retold through the sophisticated lens of Paris. Turning to our 3rd key initiative, win in key cities with our consumer ecosystem. Our key city ecosystems around the world are driving elevation and consistency across all of our consumer channels and touch points. Each of these ecosystems is anchored by direct to consumer channels, including our stores and digital commerce sites where we offer our most elevated consumer experiences and engagement.

Speaker 2

In the Q1, we drove solid DTC comp growth while also expanding our connected ecosystems across key markets. Comps were up mid single digits in both our brick and mortar stores and digital channels. Globally, we opened 8 new owned and partnered stores focused on our top cities, largely in Asia. And we recently welcomed consumers back into our newly renovated Chicago flagship on Michigan Avenue. In addition to our famed RL restaurant, the store now also includes our 1st Rob's coffee shop in the Midwest.

Speaker 2

With more than 30 coffee shops and 5 restaurants, we are now engaging with over 3,000,000 consumers annually through our hospitality business, attracting a new generation of consumers to our iconic brand around the world. By region, growth was led by Asia, up another high single digits this quarter and consistent with our outlook. This was followed by better than expected performance once again in Europe, while North America was in line with our plan. Our China momentum continued with sales up low double digits this quarter over an exceptionally strong compare of up more than 50% last year. While we are watching macro developments and consumer behavior closely, our teams continue to successfully grow our brand desirability with domestic Chinese consumers.

Speaker 2

In addition, our ecosystem expansion remains disciplined as we largely focus on our 6 key city clusters. And finally, touching on our enablers. Our business continued to be supported by our 5 key enablers. This quarter featured some incredible moments as we embed citizenship and sustainability in all we do. First, our groundbreaking artist in residence collaboration with Nalajo Designer, Naomi Glasses, recently won the Fast Company Innovation by Design Award in the Fashion and Beauty category.

Speaker 2

It was also recognized at the Global Fashion Summit in Copenhagen. And we were proud to recently be named 1 of support equal advancement opportunities in the workplace. In closing, Ralph and I are encouraged by our team's solid start to this fiscal year As we continue to operate with agility, we are successfully marrying the magic of Ralph's original vision with a data driven mindset to support and grow our iconic brand across new generations and geographies, shifting our business toward DTC and a more elevated wholesale presence and leveraging our nimble global supply chain and culture of operational discipline in order to mitigate ongoing disruptions, drive greater long term efficiency and better serve our consumers. Entering the important fall holiday season, we remain on offense and in a position of strength to deliver on our strategic commitments. With that, I'll hand it over to our new CFO, Justin, to walk us through the financials and I'll join him at the end to answer your questions.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Patrice, and good morning, everyone. It's a privilege for me to step into the CFO role and I'm grateful for the support that Ralph, Patrice, Shane and the Board have all shown me throughout this transition. I know I speak for the entire Ralph Lauren team when I say we remain firmly committed to delivering on our strategic and financial objectives, leveraging the power of our timeless brand and strong momentum around the world. We had a solid start to fiscal 2025 with 1st quarter top and bottom line results ahead of our expectations. This quarter's performance underscores the continued momentum and growing desirability of our brand, as well as our multiple drivers of growth, which enabled us to deliver on our commitments even in a highly dynamic global operating environment.

Speaker 3

Our progress in Q1 also gives us confidence in reiterating the full year outlook we introduced in May. Let's talk through our financial highlights, which as a reminder are provided on a constant currency basis. Total company first quarter revenue growth of 3% exceeded our guidance led once again by our direct to consumer channels and international businesses. Total company retail comps grew 5% with balanced growth across our brick and mortar and digital channels. Total digital ecosystem sales including our own sites and wholesale digital accounts increased high single digits.

Speaker 3

Total company adjusted gross margin expanded 2 10 basis points to 70.9%. This strong performance was driven by favorable mix shifts towards our full price and international businesses, AUR growth and lower cotton costs. AUR increased 6% in the Q1 in line with our expectations and on top of a 15% increase last year. Our AUR growth continues to be driven by favorable product, category, channel and geographic mix along with reduced discounting with minimal like for like pricing on moderating cost inflation. Adjusted operating expenses grew 4% to 56.1 percent of sales, up 60 basis points to last year.

Speaker 3

The increase was entirely driven by the planned timing of marketing investments, which represented 6.7% of sales, up a 100 basis points to last year supporting our New York City Fashion Show, Milan Presentations, Polo Spring Campaign and other key activations globally. Excluding marketing, adjusted operating expense rate declined approximately 30 basis points to last year. We continue to expect full year marketing at approximately 7% of sales. And our adjusted operating margin expanded 140 basis points to 14.8%. Moving to segment performance and starting with North America, 1st quarter revenue declined 4% as continued momentum in retail was more than offset by planned declines in the wholesale channel.

Speaker 3

In North America retail, 1st quarter comps grew 1% in line with our expectations and including a negative impact of roughly 120 basis points from Easter shifting into Q4. Brick and mortar channel comps were up 3% led by our full price stores, while digital comps declined 4%. We remain focused on improving the trajectory of our North America digital business as we move through fiscal 'twenty five, notably enhancing site experience and improving availability of top selling core product. In North America wholesale, revenues decreased 13% as expected reflecting significantly reduced sales of excess product into the off price channel and receipt timing shifts previously discussed. Excluding the shifts, our full price sales declined roughly low single digits in line with our spring season to date sellout trends.

Speaker 3

Our AUR at wholesale increased modestly consistent with recent trends on well positioned inventories in the channel. Looking ahead, we continue to expect North America wholesale declines to moderate through the remainder of fiscal 2025 with sell out more closely aligning to sell in, maintaining our ability to chase replenishment on stronger performing core product. Our outlook also includes the planned exit of approximately 45 department store doors this fiscal year as we continue to proactively evaluate and refine our brand presence on a door by door basis. Moving to Europe, 1st quarter revenue increased 7%. This was ahead of our expectations with both wholesale and retail sales outperforming our plan.

Speaker 3

All key markets delivered growth in the quarter with the exception of the UK where retail growth was offset by continued softness in wholesale. Performance in Europe was led by retail with comps up 8% to last year including own digital commerce up low double digits. AUR continued to grow strongly on top of last year's double digit percentage increase driven by our brand elevation with discount rates down significantly to last year despite a competitive promotional environment. Europe wholesale increased 5% driven by strong reorder rates notably at our digital partners following last year's channel reset. We continue to expect Europe wholesale channel growth in the low single digit range for fiscal 'twenty five with Q3 below the full year trend due to the planned timing of shipments as previously discussed.

Speaker 3

We remain encouraged by our brand's rising consumer perceptions in Europe as well as our team's strong execution, especially given the ongoing dynamic operating environment across the region. Turning to Asia, revenue increased 9% with growth across all markets. Retail comps were also up 9% on top of a 13% increase last year with strong growth in both digital and brick and mortar stores. China sales increased low double digits on top of an especially strong reopening compare of up more than 50% last year. While our 6/18 holiday sales significantly outperformed the market, we continue to experience normalizing consumer trends post pandemic as reflected in our reaffirmed outlook of low teens China growth this year.

Speaker 3

Sales in Japan, our largest market in the region increased high single digits supported by key marketing campaigns and a rebound in tourist spending which returned to pre pandemic levels this quarter. Moving to the balance sheet. Our strong balance sheet and cash flows continue to be key enablers of our Fortress Foundation, allowing us to make strategic growth investments in our business while returning cash to shareholders. We ended the quarter with $1,800,000,000 in cash and short term investments and $1,100,000,000 in total debt. We generated about $245,000,000 in free cash, enabling returns of approximately $225,000,000 in the form of dividends and share repurchases this quarter, even as we continue to make important long term investments in our brand, technology and ecosystems.

Speaker 3

Net inventory decreased 13% to last year, slightly better than our plan. Our inventory levels continue to be well positioned relative to our outlook for each region and heading into the important fall holiday season with weeks of supply improving versus last year despite incremental shipment delays related to the Red Sea. Looking ahead, our outlook remains based on our best assessment of the current geopolitical backdrop as well as the macroeconomic environment. This includes inflationary pressures and other consumer spending related headwinds, supply chain disruptions and foreign currency volatility among other considerations. For fiscal 2025, we continue to expect constant currency revenues to increase low single digits centering on about 2% to 3%.

Speaker 3

Our outlook continues to include stronger growth in DTC and caution around the North America wholesale channel where demand is improving but still challenged. Foreign currency is now expected to negatively impact revenue growth by about 150 basis points driven primarily by Asian FX. Given the structural headwinds we've seen in the Japanese yen over the past few years, we'll be taking select like for like price increases in Japan this fiscal year. With regards to this year's revenue cadence, we still expect the 1st and third quarters to trend below our full year outlook, largely based on the planned timing of wholesale receipts. The Q3 is also impacted by additional factors specific to this year, notably a shorter holiday selling window between Thanksgiving and Christmas compared to last year and volatility around the U.

Speaker 3

S. Presidential election and potential related impacts on consumer behavior. We continue to expect operating margin to expand about 100 to 120 basis points to a 13.5% to 13.7% range. In constant currency, relative to our fiscal 'twenty two Investor Day base period, this keeps us on track to deliver our 15% operating margin target this year. We still expect gross margin to expand 50 basis points to 100 basis points driven by favorable mix shift towards our international and full price DTC businesses, continued growth in AUR more than offsetting headwinds from incremental labor and other non cotton raw material costs and favorable cotton costs.

Speaker 3

We successfully renegotiated our annual freight contracts in the Q1 encompassing the majority of our ocean freight requirements. Based on this visibility, our outlook continues to include minimal impact from freight in the first half of fiscal twenty twenty five followed by incremental headwinds from higher spot rates, non cotton material costs and labor in the second half of the year as we called out in May. In addition, we are closely watching the risk of potential additional China tariffs along with the rest of the industry. We are well positioned following several years of proactive diversification into other supply markets and development of near shoring capabilities. Currently, China represents a high single digit percentage of our finished goods coming into the U.

Speaker 3

S. And for fiscal 'twenty five, foreign currency is expected to negatively impact our gross and operating margins by about 40 basis points. For the Q2, we expect revenues to be up low to mid single digits in constant currency centered around 3% to 4% led by our DTC channels. Wholesale is expected to improve sequentially from Q1 as North America sell in more closely aligns to sell out trends. Digital trends in Europe are expected to be pressured by the timing of an end of season sales shift into Q1.

Speaker 3

Foreign currency is expected to negatively impact revenues by approximately 160 basis points. We expect 2nd quarter operating margin to expand approximately 80 basis points to 120 basis points in constant currency with roughly 110 basis points to 130 basis points of gross margin expansion more than offsetting higher operating expenses due to the timing of key marketing campaigns this quarter, including the Summer Olympics and our September fashion show. We still expect marketing investments to grow at a faster rate in the first half of the year and decline in the second half. Excluding marketing, we continue to expect 2nd quarter operating expense to leverage slightly similar to our Q1 trend. And foreign currency is expected to negatively impact gross margin by roughly 40 basis points and operating margin by 50 basis points in the 2nd quarter.

Speaker 3

Based on favorable tax credits realized in the 1st quarter, we now expect our fiscal 2025 tax rate to be in the range of 22% to 23% for the full year, while the second quarter inspiring the dream of a better life is as relevant today as it was over 50 years ago, resonating with our consumers around the world as well as our teams who proudly and passionately carry this vision forward and continue to execute with agility and dedication. While we are mindful of ongoing volatility and challenges in the broader operating environment, our business continues to be supported by our powerful iconic brand and our multiple drivers of growth across geographies, categories and channels. And importantly, we remain committed to delivering on year 3 of our Next Great Chapter Accelerate plan, while at the same time investing in our strategic priorities to create long term value for our stakeholders. With that, let's open up the call for your questions.

Operator

The first question comes from Michael Binetti with Evercore ISI.

Speaker 4

ISI. One for Patrice, I guess, with the amount of volatility we're seeing in the marketplace here, especially this last quarter from some of your peers that are reporting, any thought on why your consumer seems to be holding up relatively better than others in the market? And do you think those trends are sustainable as you look ahead? And then I guess just to zero in on Europe for a minute, all the macro data points there, it looks pretty cautious. I know you guys have made a big splash with the Olympics, but could you speak

Speaker 3

to where you're seeing some

Speaker 4

of the strongest and maybe the weaker trends in D2C comps? And it sounds like wholesale has outsized growth in the digital native retail channel with your large partner? I'm curious how sustainable you think the wholesale trends are in Europe.

Speaker 2

All right. Good morning, Michael. Well, thanks for your double barreled question. Let me start on the first part. Let me start by saying, how exciting is the rolling thunder of the marketing activations at Ralph Lauren right now?

Speaker 2

Just to list a few of the activities that have happened over the past few months, April Fashion Show in New York, presence at Salon E Del Mobile and our men's presentation in Milan, Wimbledon, the Summer Olympics obviously going on in Paris right now. Then we've got the U. S. Open. Then we have our show.

Speaker 2

Then we have an entire program for the holiday season. So exciting rolling thunder of activities right now. And I think it's really clear based on that that Ralph Lauren is a powerful player not just in fashion, but also in culture. And the consumer is responding around the world. Our net promoter scores, as we mentioned in our prepared remarks, are up 400 basis points globally.

Speaker 2

Our online search grew 25% this last quarter, outpacing our entire competitive set and this was even before the Olympics kicked in. So of course, we're not immune to broader macro pressures on the consumer. And listen, we're well aware of the heightened concerns coming into the markets this week. But from a fundamentals perspective, you can see that our core consumer is responding to these activations. And really if you look at it beyond that, what else is working?

Speaker 2

Well, first, our lifestyle portfolio of timeless products, bolstered by our core that really continues to resonate And consumers are investing in quality, they're investing in authenticity and at times of uncertainty and volatility, we know consumers will lean in to brands they know and trust and Ralph Lauren is at the very top of that list. 2nd, our elevated go to market strategy across key cities. China and Europe, and I'll come back to your question on Europe, are great examples of where we are running our play and bucking the market trends. And even within North America, which has been a little slower, we're encouraged to see how consistently strong our performance in our Ralph Lauren stores has been. And then 3rd and most importantly, our teams are executing.

Speaker 2

They're executing consistently and they're executing with incredible agility. So you've heard me say this before, but as a company and as a team, we remain on offense, operating with agility and focused on what we can control, while of course staying in tune with the ongoing volatility in the environment. We have a proven diversified strategy that we've been executing over the past 5 to 7 years and we're going to continue to drive our brand desirability and leverage our multiple drivers of growth to create long term value. And actually, Justin, as your baptism of fire, why don't you take the Europe question?

Speaker 3

Fantastic. Will do. So we're encouraged by the consumer demand we see in Europe and our sales grew quite nicely in Q1. We saw growth in all markets ex U. K.

Speaker 3

And a really strong DTC comp. We also saw the broader sort of environment continue to be very promotional. But we did not participate in those promotions. In fact, we paired back our promotions and saw some really nice quality of sale gains in that market. On the wholesale side, our business increased on the back of really strong reorders, especially notable is our digital pure plays.

Speaker 3

It really performed nicely in the quarter and are coming off of their second quarter, second half last year reset. And then taking a big step back, we do have a little bit of a tailwind from tourism, but domestic demand is really what drives our business in Europe and we're seeing that really, really perform well. Patrice mentioned the macros, we're not immune, so we're watching the UK, we've got our eye on Southern Europe. We know FX turns back into a headwind with the stronger dollar we know the Middle East and Red Sea situations persist. But we continue to forecast growth for the region and feel good about that outlook, cautiously optimistic in Europe.

Speaker 2

And just to add, I'm really proud of the work our European teams are doing in a volatile context, whether that's how the brand is showing up and having had the opportunity to see the brand in Paris recently and across European markets, we're showing up in an elevated, engaging way. And the quality of execution and the touch points that we have, whether that's in our stores, online or with our wholesale partners is absolutely fantastic. So still cautious on the environment, but really excited about the work that our teams are doing there.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Next question, please.

Operator

The next question comes from Laurent Vasilescu with BNP Paribas.

Speaker 5

Justin, it's nice to see that you maintained the full year guide, especially in such a volatile environment right now. With Q1 coming in ahead of your outlook, can you talk about why you maintain the full year guide? Is this just a continuation of broader caution that you called out back in May? Or how confident are you that you can still deliver on this plan even if the consumer environment gets tougher from here? And then secondly, from a modeling standpoint, how should we think about North America wholesale for 2Q and the full year on a year over year basis?

Speaker 5

Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Laurent. First off, I just want to say it's great to join Patrice and you all on today's live call. I've already had the good fortune to meet many of you in my former role and I look forward to spending more time with you in the future. So, Laurent, to your question. Yes, we were pleased we were able to maintain our full year guide on both the top and bottom line, in line with our 3 year commitments and also consistent with sort of our general approach to guidance at this point early in the fiscal ahead of the all important holiday season.

Speaker 3

And coming into the year, we assumed a status quo continuation of recent customer behavior and macro trends. And with today's report, we maintain that view. And that includes caution around the global macro and consumer backdrop, wholesale channel softness in North America and also some incremental pressures from product costs largely in the second half of our fiscal year. But taking a step back for a second, we've been building a durable strategy for a number of years and Ralph's really built the ultimate timeless brand. And we're facing a potentially tougher consumer backdrop.

Speaker 3

We're going to continue to lean on our brand, our really strong brand that brings with it that clear value proposition that consumers know and trust. We're going to lean on our products. Consumers rely on them for quality and authenticity.

Speaker 2

We're going to lean

Speaker 3

on our diversification, both growth drivers and also our flexible supply chain. We're going to lean on our inventories that are well positioned and we're going to focus on our productivity. And then we have our fortress balance sheet underlying it all, which we know is a key differentiator in the industry. So looking ahead, this year and beyond, I'd say we feel good about how we're positioned, but we're going to continue to operate with agility and discipline in this environment, which is quite dynamic. In terms of the wholesale trending question, we're encouraged by our improving wholesale seasonal sellout trends in North America over the past few seasons.

Speaker 3

That said, our outlook remains cautious. In channel demand still remains relatively soft and down modestly versus last year. In Q1 specifically, our North America wholesale revenue was pressured by a few factors. The first, we had some full price shipment timing shifts that pressured Q1. We also had a pretty meaningful off price reduction with our clean and well positioned inventories.

Speaker 3

If you ex those items, our underlying full price sell in for the quarter was pretty in line with our spring seasonal sell out trends of that down low single digits. We always knew Q1 was going to be our most challenging quarter for North America wholesale and for North America in total. And going forward, we do expect for sell in to more closely align with that current sell out, that down low single digit range as we move through fiscal 2025. So a stabilization and this is going to start in the Q2. We also continue to keep our inventories really clean in that channel and well positioned.

Speaker 3

We want to be able to chase into demand if and when we see it, especially on the core. And we remain focused on really driving growth where we see the green shoots, right, where our strategy is, top doors, digital, which had a really solid positive sell out in Q1 and our upper tier businesses, all areas where we're seeing traction.

Speaker 1

Great. Thank you. Next question, Angela?

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Matthew Boss with JPMorgan.

Speaker 6

Great. Thanks and congrats on a nice quarter.

Speaker 7

Thanks, Matt.

Speaker 6

So Patrice, with international outperformance across both Europe and Asia, I guess, what inning do you see the brand's elevation strategy today on the international front? Or any changes in direct to consumer momentum that seen so far in the Q2? And then Justin, just could you elaborate on drivers of the embedded SG and A leverage in the back half of the year? And is the multi year opportunity still to drive SG and A leverage?

Speaker 2

So, thank you, Matt, for that question. I'm not sure the baseball analogies actually works for our Elevation strategy because the game is never going to end. So certainly where we are in international is where our brand is most elevated. And you go to Shanghai, you go to London, or you go to Munich, you can see the way the brand shows up and clearly that's translating into strong performance. We're going to continue to consistently elevate our storytelling, our product offering and our consumer experience online and digital.

Speaker 2

I don't think that actually ever stops for the company. And if you look at the history of what Ralph has built over the past 57 years, I think that's been a through line that's driven all the activities and focus over that time. So expect us to drive that. We're continuing to drive AURs even where we have the highest AURs in the world in the market like China for example or Japan. And I have to say I'm really excited to see the momentum that we have that is so broad based, right, really strong Japan performance this past quarter.

Speaker 2

China is still double digits in an environment that's complicated. Korea doing well. Australia doing well. And our key markets in Europe doing well as you heard from Justin earlier. So the elevation journey continues.

Speaker 2

The key for us as we do this is value perception, right, is to make sure that as we elevate, we're bringing the consumer along and he and she consistently value sees competitive attractive value in what we have to offer. And I think that underpins our multiyear AUR expansion. You can't just take pricing and assume the consumer will follow you. It's got to be done in the context of broad elevation. Candidly, I think our priority right now in addition to fueling that is how do we drive the same level of elevation in North America.

Speaker 2

And the starting point was lower because of historical activities that was done many years back in terms of over distribution of the brand and probably over reliance on promotional activity. And so we are working diligently to get to the same level in North America as we are around the world. And you see that play out in our full price stores here in North America with very strong comps again this quarter. And if you had a chance to visit our stores around our key cities, you can really see the great work that our teams are doing to engage the consumer, to provide any unique experience.

Speaker 1

Chris.

Speaker 3

So Matt, on the SG and A outlook, so our fiscal 'twenty five guide implies about 20 bps of SG and A leverage. Weighted in the second half, really due to a couple of factors, a little bit of the wholesale stabilization, but mostly timing of market. So if you think about our marketing activations this fiscal year, in the first half, we've got 2 fashion shows, we have the Olympics, a number of key major moments. Our marketing rate is going to be a bit higher. You saw it in the Q1.

Speaker 3

You'll see it again in the Q2, a bit higher. And we're leveraging in the Q1 ex marketing. We expect that trend to continue as well. But on a total SG and A trend, that marketing rate is going to come down in the second half of the fiscal year. You're also going to see us start to scale some of the key investments we've been making in the past 12 months to 24 months, including around pallet and service and some of our DTC strategic growth investments.

Speaker 3

When it comes to the multi year opportunity to drive leverage, I think as we've seen begin this fiscal year, we're expecting a more balanced contribution to profitability between our gross profit expansion and our SG and A leverage. And I think we expect that to continue on beyond fiscal 2025.

Speaker 1

Thanks. Next question please.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from John Kernan with TD Cowen.

Speaker 8

Excellent. Thanks for taking my question. Justin, nice to see the 7 handle on gross margin. What are the remaining opportunities within product margin? Do you still have room for higher AURs and lower markdowns?

Speaker 8

Is there a channel shift that you'll continue to benefit from? I think DTC could push 70% of revenue this year. So anything to help us unpack that would be helpful.

Speaker 3

Sure. So John, when I take a step back and I think about some really strong gross margin expansion, continued strong gross margin expansion in Q1, which continues to drive profitability and really reinforces the durability of our brand elevation strategy. And when we think about the drivers, many of them are durable and are going to continue on, right? So we think about things like favorable product mix as we elevate our product, right, as we grow our hypo categories. All this is going to be a durable driver.

Speaker 3

We think about the favorable channel and geographic mix, right, as we shift or continue to expand DTC, you're going to see that benefit. And as we continue to outpace our growth in Asia, you're going to see that benefit in Europe, obviously, helping us nicely as well. And then we take a step back AUR. We're going to see AUR continue to grow on the backs of that product and marketing elevation. Less of a like for like price increase component as inflation moderates, but you're still going to see that solid mid single digit AUR growth that you've seen this quarter and that we expect this year.

Speaker 3

And then cotton, we had a couple of years of headwind there. We have seen that start to come through and we expect that to continue to come through as we move through this year, more weighted to the second half. But then as we get to next year, we'll get the 2nd tranche of that cotton cost recapture and that's another sort of durable driver beyond this fiscal year. On the headwind side, I would just call out this year freight, we're ex Red Sea. We feel like we're pretty well positioned.

Speaker 3

We did a pretty good job in negotiating our annual contracts, but we do have some uncertainty there largely in the second half, depending on which way the spot rates go and FX continues to be a bit of a drag. But taking a step back, we feel really well positioned with our durable gross margin drivers in fiscal 2025 beyond.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Next question, please.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from Brooke Roche with Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 9

Good morning and thank you for taking our questions. You seeing any signs of increased price sensitivity of your customer, especially in North America, either in your value customer or your more premium customer? And as you head into the holiday season, what strategies are you implementing to engage the value focused customer while maintaining the quality of sales gains that you've achieved at the brand? Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thanks for that. So I guess when I think about the Full Price performance, our full price business is performing really, really well. Our core customer continues to be resilient and we're seeing really good related momentum in that business. Our brick and mortar comp growth could just be led by our full price Ralph Lauren stores. We're seeing strong gross margin expansion with strong quality of sales.

Speaker 3

We're seeing reductions in the off price channel, which you saw come through in our wholesale numbers in North America. And our new consumer acquisition is bringing in higher quality, less price sensitive, higher basket consumers. We feel good about that business. I would say that from a value oriented perspective, it's a subset of our consumers, small apart, still pressured given the current macroeconomics, but we have a playbook that we've established to convert this consumer. It's very tactical, it's targeted, compelling price value, product propositions, personalized communications and we're seeing that connect.

Speaker 3

We're not immune to the macros and we know they're still out there. So we're going to monitor the environment and react accordingly, but we're leveraging the architecture that we've built up over the past few years to be able to continue to convert that subset of value oriented consumers. And AUR in Q1, despite being in a really challenging environment, not only increased the total company, but increased across all of our regions. So really pleased with the continued progress and the proof of concept in our brand elevation strategy.

Speaker 1

Next question please.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from Bob Drbul with Guggenheim.

Speaker 10

Hi, good morning. Just on the U. S. Wholesale, North American wholesale, can you spend some more time just on like the top 100 stores? I know you're closing some additional ones.

Speaker 10

Just sort of where do you think you are in the consolidation of the U. S. Wholesale with some of the additional closures that you had this year? Thanks.

Speaker 2

Hey Bob, good morning. Well, as you know, we've been on a journey of elevating our wholesale presence pretty meaningfully over the past few years in North America. Wholesale has a strategic role to play in our go to market model, quality wholesale, really around brand discovery. So while we are leaning more into DTC and as you know that's the majority of our business now and that share of our total business will continue to expand. We believe in quality wholesale.

Speaker 2

Key focus areas indeed are top 100 doors, digital where we're doing particularly well. And then listen, we continue to prune those doors that we feel do not enable us to showcase the brand in the right way. We, I think guided that this year we'll be shutting down 45 lower tier doors this fiscal year. Last year we shut down 20, right? The impact is going to be relatively minimal in terms of business impact.

Speaker 2

But I think in the way the brand shows up in North America that will help us continue to drive the elevation. Going forward, I think if you ask me for a number, we'd say we'd probably close 20 doors per season, 40 doors per year for a total of 150 door exits for the future, recognizing that we've shut down thousands doors over the past few years. So we've got a good healthy foundation. We're going to continue to challenge it. And what's encouraging is, when we look at recent share performance in those businesses, we're growing share.

Speaker 2

And while the as you heard from Justin, obviously that segment and as you guys, of course, know that channel continues to be pressured, but we're growing share in that environment. And we're excited about that and we want to continue to fuel that. And then in the higher tier wholesale actually we're seeing very strong growth rates. So we're quite encouraged by that as well.

Speaker 3

And we continue to see quality of sales increase over the past couple of quarters in that channel, which also gives us it gives us a reason to believe that we've got the right growth trajectory in place in that channel.

Speaker 1

Next question, please.

Operator

You. The next question comes from Jay Sole with UBS.

Speaker 11

Great. Thank you so much. Patrice, can you talk a little bit more about the high potential categories, women's apparel, outerwear, handbags? I think you mentioned Jennifer Lawrence carrying the Polo ID bag. You mentioned they grew mid single digits in the quarter, outpaced total company growth.

Speaker 11

Just talk about the progress you've made over the last 90 days and what your outlook is for the rest of the year for those high potential categories? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Yes, we're excited about that business, Jason. Thanks for your question. We're excited about it because we know the market the total addressable market is quite meaningful across all three women's apparel, outerwear and handbag. We're excited because the consumer is telling us that our brand resonates in that space. And we're excited because our teams are building great capabilities in terms of both marketing, product offering and go to market for us to be competitive there.

Speaker 2

So if you kind of parse them out, women's apparel was the standout, right, continued momentum, double digit growth on that business, AUR growth as well. So we're continuing to elevate market share gains. And really if you look at the drivers from a product standpoint, it's really foundational strategy and core, right? That's what's driving it, which makes it sustainable, right? This is not driven by fashion items, which may be hot today, but cold tomorrow.

Speaker 2

These are items that are core, that are timeless, that are authentic. So think sweaters, think linen and polo shirts. We have very strong focus on iconic shirt dresses this quarter That's really resonating well for women. And if I go back to Matt's baseball analogy earlier, I think it does apply here. Women's were like in the 2nd inning, all right, in terms of taking advantage of that option.

Speaker 2

Because as you know, historically, we've been more of a male focused company. Outerwear is something we are really pleased with because we've seen strong performance and momentum in that category for many quarters years now with so much more to go. So this season we saw strength in our lightweight outerwear, I think Canvas City Jackets, Linen Windbreakers, Denim, with outperformance across really every single channel. So good foundation there. I think the key evolution Jay for us in this category is the realization that you need outerwear every single day of the year, not just in the fall or in the winter.

Speaker 2

And we have great propositions across the portfolio on that. And then handbags is a category that's really important for us because if you look at the size of the market around the world and how fragmented that market is, it's a major Polo ID Polo ID handbag among others is the work that's been done on Polo. And what we're seeing is continued success on our foundational collections, Polo ID, different colors, different silhouettes. And you're going to see that continue to evolve. But I think we're really building an IT bag with the Polo ID and we're seeing that resonate really around the world with great strengths in Asia, but also strong relevance here in the U.

Speaker 2

S. And across Europe. We're seeing our Lauren business also strengthen as we've elevated that proposition, better quality design, better styling, better presentation of the product. And then we've had some exciting innovation on collection with our RL 888 bag that we continue to showcase and are seeing a good response to. So listen, we don't guide by category, but I think it's reasonable to assume that our high potential categories will consistently outperform the trend of the total company.

Speaker 2

And if you look at the size of the markets for each of these, we're talking tens of 1,000,000,000 of dollars. So even if we just capture a fraction of those markets that represent significant building blocks, not just for this 3 year phase that we started in September 2022, but really for the longer term potential of the company.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Next question please.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Dana Telsey with Telsey Advisory Group.

Speaker 12

Good morning, everyone, and nice to see the progress. Patrice, as you think about the retail channel and full price versus outlet stores, how was the outlet store performance? What are you seeing there? And on the expansion of full price, you had some smaller footprints too. How are you thinking of the potential?

Speaker 12

And then just on the benefit of lower cotton prices, how much of a benefit is that to gross margin? How long does that continue? And does it help offset any of the supply chain costs? Thank you.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Dana. I think you're going to get an even better answer from Justin. So I

Speaker 3

want to turn it over to Justin. Hey, Dana. Thanks for the question. We're pleased with the solid brick and mortar comp we put up in Q1, growth across all of our 3 regions. I would say Ralph Lauren full price stores were a standout globally, continued strong performance across all of our regions, including in North America and driven by traffic.

Speaker 3

And of course, we get a little bit of a tourism kiss, but again, domestic consumer momentum and also some pretty tough compares. On the outlet side, comps were stable, consistent with recent quarters, with AUR growth and conversion trends also stable. In North America, you did see a little bit of a sequential slowdown just due to the negative Easter timing shift into Q4 with underlying growth consistent with Q4. And our outlook, if you look beyond the quarter, reflects a continuation of those underlying organic trends, with the one call up being once we get to Q3, we know we have a bit of pressure with the shorter holiday selling window versus the prior year. On cotton, so just kind of a quick refresher, we expect about 175 basis points of benefit over the next 2 years, so 2025 and fiscal 2026.

Speaker 3

We're still on track to recapture our cotton cost as planned in fiscal 2025. We expect to recapture about half of the 175 bps this year and it's going to be back weighted as I mentioned previously towards the second half of the year because that's the way it came on to our P and L, the same way it's coming off of our P and L in terms of timing. I mean that is reflected in our gross margin guidance of up 50 to 100 basis points and we did see a modest tailwind in Q1 from that cotton benefit.

Speaker 1

Great. We'll go with the last question please, Angela.

Operator

Thank you. Our final question comes from Rick Patel of Raymond James.

Speaker 7

Good morning and congrats on the strong execution and squeezing me in here. I was hoping you could provide additional color on the outlook for B2C as we think about digital versus brick and mortar. With consumer behavior continuing to evolve, do you see the most opportunity to show off your brand and capture demand more towards one channel versus the other? And also how do we think about the shape of growth for B2C this year given some of the work you're doing on North America Digital and also the activations you have planned for the year? Sure.

Speaker 3

Thanks for the question, Rick. I would say growing our digital business is a key priority for us. And it's a focus point of our global Elevation strategy. And you're seeing nice growth on a global basis and in Q1 sort of international leading that growth. But you're seeing nice growth and we expect that sort of balanced DTC growth between our stores and our digital network to continue as we move through the year.

Speaker 3

So continued momentum coming out of Q1. On North America specifically in Q1, our total digital ecosystem sales were up low single digits, right? And that was driven by solid sell out performance in our digital wholesale channel where we're outpacing both last year and the competitive set and also our new Ralph Lauren, Canada site that we launched last fall. Our owned North America digital comps were down a bit in the quarter 4% off of softer traffic trends. And we're we know we have opportunity here.

Speaker 3

And we're focused on improving that growth trajectory this year and beyond. And we put into place a number of interventions to get us there. We've made talent investments in digital commerce and consumer technology, really geared towards enhancing that consumer experience. We're investing in site speed. We're curating our offering and really focusing on more core and top selling products, making sure they're available and not out of stock.

Speaker 3

We're refining our personalized communications to customers to drive traffic and conversion and full price new customer acquisition. And we continue to build and scale on the investments that we've made and we'll continue to make like around our search platform and the Canada site that I recently mentioned. We know we can win in this space. We've seen what we can do and what we're doing in Europe and in Asia. We're going to leverage on those learnings as well.

Speaker 3

And based on that and the interventions put into place, we do expect our North America owned digital performance to improve going forward, notably in the second half of this fiscal year.

Speaker 2

Good. Well, listen, thank you everyone for joining us today. We look forward to speaking with you on our Q2 earnings call in November. And until then, take care and have a great day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude your conference for today. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Remove Ads
Powered by Quartr
Earnings Conference Call
Ralph Lauren Q1 2025
00:00 / 00:00
Remove Ads