Nikola Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
August 9, 2024

There are 8 speakers on the call.

Operator

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. My name is Soe Shin, Head of Investor Relations. I'd like to welcome those listening by phone and those on the webcast to Nicola Corporation's Q2 2024 earnings and business update call. Joining me today are Steve Gursky, President and CEO and Tom Ocray, Chief Financial Officer. A press release detailing our financial and business results was distributed earlier this morning.

Operator

This release can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website along with presentation slides accompanying today's call. Today's discussion includes references to non GAAP measures. The presentation includes adjusted EBITDA, earnings per share, adjusted free cash flow and other non GAAP measures. These measures are reconciled to the most comparable U. S.

Operator

GAAP measures and can be found at the end of the Q2 earnings press release we issued today. Today's discussion also includes forward looking statements about our future results, expectations and plans. Actual results may differ materially from those stated and some factors that cause actual results to differ are also explained at the end of today's earnings press release, on Page 2 of our earnings call deck and in our filings with the SEC. Forward looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. You are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward looking statements.

Operator

After Steve and Tom's prepared remarks, we'll take questions from our stockholders and then conclude with questions from analysts.

Speaker 1

Thanks Zoe and good morning everyone. Welcome to our Q2 2024 earnings and business update call. Last quarter, I talked about executing plays, competing and cultivating green shoots. Today, I want to talk about how Nikola is starting to bring together a purpose driven coalition to build the hydrogen ecosystem. Like minded partners include our dealers, fleet customers, suppliers and strategic partners such as automotive OEMs, hydrogen producers and Big Energy who have vested interests in the hydrogen economy and want to see it succeed as much as we do.

Speaker 1

There is a need and urgency to accelerate our efforts. In the last three quarters of cereal production, we have demonstrated that Nikola is the offtake. We are the catalyst to disrupt Class A trucking to make 0 emission a reality. Program to date, Nikola fuel cell electric trucks and battery electric trucks have accumulated over 3,000,000 road and test miles, avoiding 4,700 metric tons of CO2 emissions, which is like taking 1100 gasoline powered cars off the road for 1 year. We're the only OEM with Class 8 FCEBs commercially available in North America today.

Speaker 1

Our trucks are put to the test every day by end fleet users hauling freight and delivering to their customers. Q2 is an example of how we're approaching the intersection of mission and reality and how Nikola is out front charting the course. 1st, we're doing what we said we would do. At the end of Q2, we announced we had wholesale 72 hydrogen fuel cell electric trucks, which exceeded the high end of the guidance range of 50 to 60 trucks by 20%. Q2 wholesale deliveries were up 80% from Q1 and comprised of several repeat customers, which is a testament to the performance of our trucks and customer satisfaction.

Speaker 1

We're delivering Hyla fueling solutions to support volume ramp up. Since the Q1 call, we opened a Hila branded station in Toronto, Canada and completed commissioning a modular station in Santa Fe Springs in Southern California. 1 of the resounding benefits of our modular refueling strategy is our ability to quickly pivot to meet the demands of end fleets. As such, we added another modular fueler at our existing station in Ontario, California to double capacity. Likewise, we provided access for Nikola N fleets to fuel at Shell's heavy duty station in Ontario, California, where density has been clearly growing.

Speaker 1

2nd, we are demonstrating national account interest. Last quarter, we talked about the importance of expanding our reach to meet the demands of end fleets virtually anywhere in North America. Walmart Canada is the 1st major retailer in Canada to introduce a hydrogen fuel cell electric semi truck to its fleet. We also received repeat orders from 2 national accounts. Theekla's profitability flywheel is beginning to gain momentum with these national accounts as each end fleet grows its 0 emission presence to achieve decarbonization goals.

Speaker 1

3rd, we are creating and monetizing alternative revenue and profit streams. Nikola realized its initial sale of carb regulatory credits from the sale of NOx and PM credits. As volume ramps up and new carb regulations go into effect, these new revenue streams will grow. 4th, Nikola is in a unique position to attract prospective partners. Again, Nikola FCEVs are the only Class 8 hydrogen fuel cell trucks commercially available in North America today.

Speaker 1

The market acceptance of our FCEVs bears out with every 0 emission mile driven. Therefore, not only are we getting more calls from fleets interested in deploying fuel cell trucks, but also from strategic partners like automotive OEMs, suppliers, hydrogen producers and Big Energy who recognize our key role as a first mover in the hydrogen economy. Now let's get to the business update. We are executing our plan. We said we'd wholesale 50 to 60 fuel cell trucks in Q2 and we delivered 72 trucks to our dealer network, beating guidance by 20%.

Speaker 1

This marks the 3rd consecutive quarter where we either met or beat volume guidance. We said we were focused on national accounts to scale and we signed our first deal with Walmart Canada and received repeat orders from 2 other national accounts. Walmart Canada is the 1st major retailer in North America to introduce a Nikola Class 8 fuel cell electric vehicle to its fleet. This collaboration aligns perfectly with our mission to drive innovation and environmental responsibility in the transportation industry. Repeat fleet customer IMC, the largest marine drayage company in the U.

Speaker 1

S. Ordered another 10 fuel cell trucks from our dealer network in Q2. Year to date, this marks a total of 30 Nikola fuel cell trucks in its fleet. IMC has a goal to replace all diesel tractors by 2028. An existing carrier and one of the largest intermodal fleets in North America placed a double digit order with our dealer network in Q2.

Speaker 1

They too have stated decarbonization goals to be achieved in the next decade. On Chart 6, we demonstrate how we're meeting the use case of end fleets with data driven quality and performance. To date, 12 in service end fleets have accumulated over 550,000 miles validating our average fuel economy benchmark of 7.2 miles per kilogram. It's important to note that fuel economy varies with driver usage, freight routes and payloads. Some drayage fleet users, for example, achieve fuel economy greater than 8 miles a kilogram, while other fleet users that travel longer distances with heavier payloads achieve fuel economy slightly lower than the benchmark.

Speaker 1

If you're a beverage hauler, the heavier payload per range of the fuel cell vehicle makes it the right truck for you. Early field data tells us that the average trip distance between refueling is 260 miles or twice as far as the BEV 2.0 between charges. If your distribution routes are near either Ontario or Long Beach, one fill may be enough for your entire route. We've also observed that over 40 end fleet users have traveled 400 plus miles between refueling. In fact, this longer distance, which is like driving from the Port of Oakland to the Port of Los Angeles or Long Beach, has been completed roughly 130 times since we've been tracking data.

Speaker 1

It's all about the use case and how our trucks are meeting unique demands of end fleets. The increased payload capacity per mile with significantly reduced refueling time compared to the BEV ultimately means increased truck uptime for end fleet users. As we deploy more highly refueling stations, we expect the in service range to increase. Likewise, if you're a 1st mile logistics operator, the BEV 2.0 may be the right truck for you. Early field data collected so far tells us that the average trip distance between charging is 130 miles.

Speaker 1

If you're running loads from the port to the warehouse and charging is available at the depot, then the BEV 2.0 will fit your needs. Again, we're on the field collecting data and learning how our trucks are being deployed. We're here to help our end fleets optimize their trucks so they perform the way they are built to. Lastly, we often get questions about comparing our fuel cell electric vehicle to a traditional diesel truck. On a converted basis, our FCEVs outperformed the average Class A truck on fuel economy and avoidance of tailpipe emissions.

Speaker 1

We estimate the average miles per gallon diesel equivalent of our FCEV is 8.0 or 23% better than the Class 8 fuel economy average of 6.5 miles per diesel gallon equivalent per the DOE. Moreover, in service FCEVs have consumed over 77 metric tons of hydrogen dispensed at various Nikola fueling solutions. In total, we estimate our FCEV end fleet operations have avoided approximately 867 metric tons of CO2 tailpipe emissions. With our end fleet partners, Nikola is decarbonizing Class A trucking now. Moving to Chart 7.

Speaker 1

We're also executing on the Hyla front, our energy supply and infrastructure solutions brand. As a strategy, we are launching stations and deploying assets where we anticipate demand. It is our objective to stay ahead of the FCEV deployment so that fueling solutions are ready and available for end fleets. To that end, since Q1 earnings call, we opened a Hyola branded station in Toronto, Canada and completed commissioning a modular station in Santa Fe Springs in Southern California. Toronto helps open Nikola fleet users to the Eastern Canadian market, where population density and busy freight corridors such as Highways 401, 427, and the QEW make it a natural fit for FCEVs.

Speaker 1

It is also the headquarters of ITD, our full service Canadian dealer network, which is well equipped to provide skilled service and maintenance to end fleets such as Walmart Canada. Santa Fe Springs helps support the growing density and hydrogen demand in Southern California. This is the 2nd fueling station on a dealer site, which shows strong collaboration between Nikola and our dealers. Santa Fe Springs is also the midpoint between Ontario and the Port of LA along the busy 605 Freight Corridor. This newest Hyland station is scheduled to be open for business operations on August 12, 2024.

Speaker 1

We added another modular fueler at our High LA, Ontario station doubling capacity, which effectively adds another station in that area. We recently had a record day at Ontario with 28 FCEVs refueled and more than 8 50 kilograms of hydrogen dispensed in one day. Again, our modular strategy allows us to stay nimble and pivot to support the demands of our end fleets. Lastly, through our work with Shell, our fleet customers have been able to fuel at Shell's heavy duty station in Ontario, California. Ontario and the surrounding area near the part of Los Angeles and the part of Long Beach have proven to be critical refueling areas that are amassing density quickly.

Speaker 1

Our FY 'twenty four Hy'la guidance remains unchanged. We remain on track to provide 14 fueling solutions in North America by year end. Now that we passed the midway point of our Hyla Hydrogen Highway plan and we've been operational, on Chart 9 we wanted to provide some data on our ramp up. At our Coolidge facility, since we began tracking fueling data on February 1, we have completed over 1300 fueling events and dispensed over 40 metric tons of hydrogen through July month end. Coolidge is where we perform first fills for trucks that come off the manufacturing line and refuel trucks that are part of our testing and demo fleets.

Speaker 1

We also fuel fleets that have roots into Southern California and returned to Coolidge. At our Ontario station, where Hyla began fueling events on December 14, 2023, we have completed over 1100 fueling events and dispensed over 45 metric tons of hydrogen. Another important metric is the volume dispensed per fill. On average, each fill was 41 kilograms, which means that our customers are driving routes out of Ontario that are roughly 300 miles. Our Long Beach station, which just launched in early May, shows strong ramp up data having just over 700 fills in 3 months.

Speaker 1

Long Beach has dispensed 27 metric tons of hydrogen so far with an average fill of 38 kilograms. The key message here is that Nikola FCEVs are on the road and refueling with consistent frequency and significant volume at Hyola fueling solutions. Nikola is the off take and the catalyst for the hydrogen economy in North America. Moving on to regulatory tailwinds on Chart 10. We continue to maintain our dominant share of HVIP vouchers in California.

Speaker 1

At quarter end, we had 99% share of the fuel cell vouchers and 23% share of the battery vouchers. We added a net of 11 fuel cell vouchers despite double digit redemptions demonstrating continued strong demand in California. Next, we're creating alternative revenue and profit streams from the sale of regulatory credits. We recognize the 1st sale of NOx and PM credits in Q2. EPA Clean Ports is another bright spot in green policies.

Speaker 1

Nikola has been named in 8 Clean Strategic ports include Western, Eastern and Gulf regions. Together with fleet partners, Nigella is to provide FCEVs and BEVs as eligible 0 emission vehicle port equipment and or Hyla fueling as eligible clean energy infrastructure. Project selections are expected to be announced by the EPA in September. Lastly, and perhaps the strongest tailwind of all is that Arches, the California based Western Regional Hydrogen Hub is the first of 7 regional hubs to officially sign an agreement with the Department of Energy. A total of $12,600,000,000 will be available to support projects and to build and expand clean hydrogen infrastructure in California.

Speaker 1

$1,200,000,000 will be funded from the DOE and the rest from public and private matching funds. We're excited to hear that $30,000,000 the first tranche of funding will be deployed shortly as it's a positive and encouraging sign that the hydrogen economy is growing. Nikola is well poised to partner with Arches and the DOE for hydrogen station deployment and is named as a network partner. Our Hylla mobile refueling stations offer compelling evidence that heavy duty offtake is significant and growing. To give you an example of the size of the offtake that exists with Nikola Trucks Now, consider that the average fuel consumption for a typical fuel cell passenger car in the U.

Speaker 1

S. Is 0.6 kilograms per day based on annual mileage. Our trucks fuel on average 35 kilograms per fill. 1 Nikola truck is close to 60 fuel cell passenger cars. There are over 18,000 fuel cell passenger cars in the U.

Speaker 1

S. And growing. That's equivalent to 300 Nikola fuel cell electric vehicles. By the end of 'twenty four, we will have doubled the hydrogen off take for transportation in the market with just our in service trucks alone. In short, we provide density and scale for the hydrogen ecosystem.

Speaker 1

Before handing it over to Tom, I want to circle back to the purpose driven coalition. Building a

Speaker 2

0 emission ecosystem piece by piece

Speaker 1

takes enormous time and resources. We cannot do it alone. We've been walking the talk with our Class 8 0 emission trucks and hydrogen refueling stations. We have 147 fuel cell electric vehicles wholesale through the end of Q2 and roughly 115 metric tons of hydrogen dispensed. We're all in and there's no turning back.

Speaker 1

2 trucks, one platform, all 0 missions. This is all we do. I along with our 1,000 plus employees come to work every day with a singular focus to ensure Nikola not only survives but thrives. We are attracting prospective partners such as large logo and fleets, big energy, hydrogen producers and automotive OEMs who recognize the need for a zero emission world. Seeing is believing.

Speaker 1

The more fuel cells we deliver, the more like minded partners want to work with us. These include national fleet partners who have stated corporate wide decarbonization goals for the next decade. Demos are ongoing with large logos in the U. S. And Canada.

Speaker 1

Big Energy or traditional industrial gas companies who recognize the potential for significant hydrogen offtake and the need for fixed stations to accelerate large scale adoption. Hydrogen producers who view hydrogen as a growth vector and want to play a critical role in supporting this energy transition. Automotive OEMs who are eager to find synergies across product development, sourcing and hydrogen infrastructure to not only support the light duty market, but also penetrate the Class 8 heavy duty market. Now I'll pass it to Tom to cover the financial results.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Steve. Moving to Chart 12. We introduced the Nikola Profitability Flywheel last quarter. We talked about the importance of national accounts to build meaningful volume to scale our operations. Growing a significant and consistent order book enables us to optimize costs both internally and with our external partners.

Speaker 3

The flywheel is gaining momentum. As Steve mentioned earlier, we're beginning to demonstrate national interest with initial orders from Walmart Canada and other large fleets, with demos and discussions in process. Many of these orders are important because they are the first order for hydrogen fuel cell trucks for their respective fleets. They are testing the new technology and demonstrating that they are committed to growing with us. Chart 13 contains our financial highlights.

Speaker 3

Regarding the top line, in Q2, we posted the strongest revenue quarter in the history of Nikola. Total revenue was $31,300,000 up 3 18% from Q1. Revenue growth was impacted by higher wholesale deliveries, service and other and stronger average sales price. The average sales price improved sequentially by $7,000 per unit to $388,000 from $381,000 in Q1. This is the 3rd consecutive quarter of stronger ASP for our fuel cell trucks.

Speaker 3

For the Q2, we reported a gross loss of $54,700,000 compared to a gross loss of $57,600,000 in Q1. Stronger revenue driven by increased volume and higher ASP were partially offset by higher costs related to the higher volume. With respect to cash, our unrestricted cash declined $89,300,000 in the quarter. Therefore, we ended the quarter with $256,300,000 in unrestricted cash. Larger disbursements to suppliers as we scale volume and an additional payroll period were partially offset by higher receipts due to higher volume and ATM proceeds of $52,200,000 Moving on to Chart 14.

Speaker 3

For fiscal year 2024, our fuel cell wholesale delivery guidance remains unchanged at 300 to 350 fuel cell trucks with Q3 being between 80 and 100 wholesale deliveries. We are continuing to execute our plan in the Q3 of 2024, including ensuring that we have the capital required so that the business can scale and become profitable. Back to Steve for closing remarks.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Tom. I recently traveled on a world tour that started in China, then proceeded to Japan, Paris and ended in London. The hydrogen ecosystem, while nascent in North America, is on solid footing globally. Substantial investments are being made in Asia, Europe and the Middle East. My team and I met with prospective strategic partners and investors who recognize the opportunity at hand and the role Nikola can play in unlocking the hydrogen economy here.

Speaker 1

The purpose driven coalition is growing and Nikola is key to prove to the world that 0 emissions and the hydrogen economy is real. This concludes our prepared remarks. I'll now hand the call back to Zoe for stockholder questions.

Operator

Thanks, Steve. We received questions from stockholders through the SAID platform. First question, what is the strategic plan to increase shareholder returns? What measures are being taken to enhance profitability?

Speaker 3

I'll take that one, Steve. No surprise execution is key to improving Nikola's profitability and increasing shareholder returns. Here's what we know is true. The first thing is Nikola is on the road today with customers in stations. Number 2, we have numerous proof points with customers, some of which we just covered on the call.

Speaker 3

In addition to that, we were having ongoing discussions with numerous national accounts and other customers. Number 3, Nikola has positioned ahead of competitor OEMs. And number 4, we've got a team that is really passionate about developing the hydrogen ecosystem. The profitability wheel is beginning to gain momentum, growing this significant and consistent order book, I can't emphasize it enough. It is so important for us to optimize cost both internally and with our external partners, and we're demonstrating this interest with the national accounts as we talked about in the prepared remarks.

Speaker 3

We have to keep in mind though accepting this new technology takes time and education. But bottom line, our high touch sales team and the dealer network are making inroads with the national accounts with more demos and discussions in process and more to come.

Operator

Thanks, Tom. 2nd question, what is being done to develop the necessary hydrogen infrastructure for the future?

Speaker 1

Thanks, Zoe. So the build out of the hydrogen highway is on track. As we said, we expect to provide 14 fueling solutions in North America by year end. Our objective is to deliver a safe, reliable fueling network that enables customers to refuel hydrogen fuel cell electric trucks whenever they need at convenient locations. And by the way, this is us as well as other players in the ecosystem can fuel there.

Speaker 1

As a strategy, we're launching stations and deploying assets where we anticipate demand. So you could see us over the course of the year try out different locations While most of the fuelers are in California, you could see us try out different locations outside of California and Canada. While our immediate focus is on modular sites, we're simultaneously developing permanent stations both independently and through partnerships. In addition to building a network in California, we've got Canada and as I said before, we're going to try outside of California. There's one more thing I'd add here.

Speaker 1

The fueling technology is improving like the truck technology is improving. And being on the front end of this allows us to continue to try new fueling technology, new fuelers. We have 3 different suppliers now. They're launching Gen 1, Gen 2, Gen 3 and being on the front end allows us to be part of that and be on the front end of cutting edge of that stuff as well.

Operator

Thanks, Steve. Last question. How is Nicola attracting bigger logos?

Speaker 3

Well, given all the national accounts, there's many of them. Prioritization is very important. So, we consider a number of factors, including but not limited to, product fit or use case, geographical overlay with our existing and future hydrogen infrastructure and the fleet sustainable goals. Following this prioritization, we engage the national accounts and describe to them how we believe Nikola fits into their strategic priorities and how we can help them achieve their goals. And these discussions include an invitation to our plants in Coolidge and offering a demo.

Speaker 3

As Steve likes to say, seeing is believing and our demo list is full of prospects. They include National Beverage Distributors, Grocers, healthcare, chemical companies, as well as 3PLs, 3rd party logistics carriers, who keep the supply chain in North As we've mentioned, the more we get the fuel cells on the truck, the more credibility is gained for hydrogen and the more the like minded partners come and join us.

Operator

Thank you, Tom. Operator, please open the line for analyst questions.

Speaker 4

Thank Your first question comes from the line of Mike Schliske with D. A. Davidson.

Speaker 1

Hi, Mike. Go ahead.

Speaker 5

Yes. Hello. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Maybe I wanted to start off first asking about the bill of materials and gross profit.

Speaker 5

Do you have an additional round of reductions in the bill of materials coming? Are you talking with some of your suppliers about ordering in larger quantities and asking for a different for better pricing. Is there some kind of larger program here that might start maybe next year or something along those lines?

Speaker 3

Absolutely, Mike. And that's a great question. One of the things that really helps us with our bill of material is our supplier base is really concentrated. What do I mean by that? We've got 5 suppliers who make up 65% of our build material cost and top 15 make up about 80%.

Speaker 3

So we're doing exactly what you said. We're working with each of those key suppliers and ensuring that we've got volume thresholds, which give a commensurate reduction into the bill of material. In addition to that, we're looking at localization activities. Given that we're just getting started in terms of serial production, we don't have all of our suppliers in the right place. In fact, we've got almost 70% that comes out from outside of the United States.

Speaker 3

So there's opportunity to localize and get more efficient. The third thing is we're redesigning some parts, making them more efficient, making them more cost effective, things that we're learning as we're putting trucks on the road and we're building the trucks. And then the bigger longer term issue is with our next gen vehicle, we've got a huge opportunity to take even a bigger step down. But yes, to get to your specific question, yes, we've got plans in place, daily discussions ongoing for next year and the year after that. And then with our next gen vehicle, even a bigger step down as we have a more open bidding process and redesign of the components.

Speaker 3

Thanks for

Speaker 1

the question, Mike. Yes, Mike. And just to add, just like any new technology, the goal is to get it on the field and then start to learn and then start to optimize. And we're on the field now and now we're moving to the optimization stage.

Speaker 3

Yes, that's a great point. I mean, you also maybe saw or you will see when you go through the details, we had a warranty reduction in the quarter and part of that is learning how given components are performing, redesigning those components, changing suppliers if we have to, but that's going to provide reduction as well.

Speaker 5

I guess to follow-up there, I'm curious as to your confidence level next year or certainly in 2026, the Class 8 market for diesel will be as busy as there have been, maybe an all time record, certainly in 26th as they prepare for emissions changeovers. I guess I'm kind of concerned if they don't have problems getting what they need as far as brakes, cab components, etcetera, some of the things that your trucks share with theirs. In the quantities that you need, I'm curious as to your confidence about to actually obtain the relatively small number of parts that you need for your vehicles when you're up against some of the larger players for very limited pie in 2025 and 2026?

Speaker 1

Well, I mean, fuel cell power modules aren't on their trucks, batteries aren't on their trucks. You're talking about the diesel pull ahead. Is that what you're referencing, Mike?

Speaker 5

Yes. I'm talking about things like half components, brakes, steering wheels, things that you would share with those, obviously not the fuel cell parts, but the rest of the truck. I'm curious about some of the challenges your suppliers might be telling you about obtaining enough parts for relatively smaller players like Nikola in 2025 and 2026?

Speaker 3

Yes. Well, we haven't seen any of that to date in the last quarter. We've had no indications with conversations with the suppliers going forward. And as I mentioned and as Steve amplified here, the majority of our cost in the bill of material is really specific to the fuel cell and the BEV truck, much smaller is common with the broader diesel market. We think we're in good shape.

Speaker 1

Most of the supply constraints we've had up till now are really new tech related customers launching new tech versus the old tech stuff. We've got no indication from our suppliers that given our volume expectations for the next few years, we're going to have issues.

Speaker 3

But bottom line, we're excited about what we can do with the bill of material cost reduction, what we can do with the freight and duties reduction and what we can do with the warranty reduction. And all of that comes together again with the flywheel, building that confidence of that order book that we can go to our supplier partners, lock in the orders, lock in the step change cost reductions down and we're excited what we can do over the next few years.

Speaker 5

Thanks. And perhaps one last one for me and that's the cadence of deliveries and orders into the Q1 of 2025. Are you seeing any customers asking you to hold off until next year until either there is a rate change or a election change and how they elect to receive trust with you or are folks asking for things as soon as you can get into them?

Speaker 1

No. Most of our customers are trying to cycle vouchers now. A lot of these guys who understand the voucher opportunity in California, most of them are trying to get their voucher cycled. Yes, they're trying to get their voucher cycle now, most of the businesses in California. Remember, everything here is in its infancy.

Speaker 1

No one does a demo and says I'm going to buy 500 trucks. They do a demo, they say give me 5 or 10, then they say give me 50 and then they know they have vouchers and they're cycling vouchers

Speaker 3

accounts have thousands of units. And the discussions for them are more how can we get a pilot going, how can we fit into their sustainability goals, how can we be a partner longer term, how can they get comfortable with hydrogen, how can they get feedback from their drivers, those types of those are more of the discussions than what's going to happen with the rates. We're a relatively and this is the beauty of the national account strategy. We are a relatively small piece of these big overall fleets. We don't need to take a big share of any one national account fleet.

Speaker 5

Great. I appreciate it.

Speaker 1

Does that help? Does that help, Mike?

Speaker 5

Absolutely. That clarifies a lot. Thank you. Thanks, Mike.

Speaker 4

Your next question comes from the line of Greg Lewis with BTIG. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Yes. Thank you. Hi, Greg. Thank you. Hey, Steve, how are you?

Speaker 2

Good morning and thanks for taking my questions. You mentioned you're kind of been on this whirlwind tour. You called out the potential to do strategic partnerships. As you're working and talking with potential partners to kind of expand Nicolas' footprint, Could you talk a little bit about where it makes sense and where those probably traction points are? For the hydrogen on the highway?

Speaker 2

Is it maybe bringing Nikola trucks maybe to Asia? Could you just provide a little bit of color in how you think about beyond the core business, which is putting trucks on the road in the U. S, how you're thinking about positioning the platform over the next couple of years?

Speaker 1

Yes, I'll start and then Tom will chime in. So listen, one refuel of our truck is the equivalent of refueling 60 fuel cell cars. Like we said in the release, we're going to have dispense more hydrogen this year than the entire mobility. We're basically going to double the hump mobility use case for hydrogen in 1 year here. That's what these people see.

Speaker 1

We're the anchor of the ecosystem. And so is it H2 supply, H2 costs, H2 components? Yes. It could be sourcing. A lot of these players in Asia source hydrogen is big in Asia, okay.

Speaker 1

Japan, Korea, China what have you, hydrogen is bigger there than here. There's lots of components, other fuel cell power module players. There's hydrogen component players. That's when we say we're trying to build a coalition of the purpose driven coalition, that's what we're trying to do. It's people who believe in the ecosystem come with us, help us lower our costs, help us defer capital, help us fund our business.

Speaker 3

Yes. Let me just amplify, Greg. I think what's very exciting about the opportunity we have is we're really getting in on the ground floor that a lot of people believe in, but they haven't really had a chance to execute it. There's been this chicken and egg. Do you go with the vehicle first or do you go with the infrastructure?

Speaker 3

So now we've got the vehicle on the road. So it makes us very attractive to talk to a number of strategic partners. Let's take, for example, in the automotive world. The automotive world has been working on fuel cells for quite some time, but hasn't really made the progress that they've wanted to make. Now that we've got this off take, we provide them with an opportunity to supply parts to us, to invest in infrastructure with us.

Speaker 3

You've also got hydrogen producers who haven't had a transportation growth vector offtake and now they do. They've been mostly in industrial gases. You've got big energy who this really hasn't been a growth vector for them and it can be. And then you've got these commercial fleets, which both within their company as well as their customers, they've got sustainability goals. And, it's like Steve says, seeing us believing you've got water coming out of that tail pipe.

Speaker 3

So, there's a lot of excitement and a lot of discussions here of joining forces with us and doing something great.

Speaker 2

Okay, great. And then I did want to touch a little bit, Tom, on the balance sheet. Just looking at cash burn in 2Q versus Q1, it was up a little bit. And I guess, obviously, there's some puts and takes in there. As we think about getting that cash burn lower, as we think about this, Is it primarily just going to be pushing that ASP higher and volume or are there other things that we're thinking about here over the next couple of quarters to kind of get that burn a little bit

Speaker 3

lower? Well, like many things, Greg, related to cash, it's multi pronged. We need to get better with our cash conversion cycle and we actually did quarter over quarter. We took out 78 days, which is 35% improvement. So we will continue to work on that.

Speaker 3

It's still too high. We can also work on working with carb and working with our dealers to get our voucher process working better, which helps again our cash conversion cycle. What we really want to avoid is doing draconian actions, which are going to hurt what we think is a very exciting prospect and our potential strategic partners think. We don't want to cut hydrogen or delay hydrogen infrastructure. We don't want to delay our next gen development of our vehicle and redesigning parts for lower cost.

Speaker 3

So we're confident that we've got enough people who want to invest in the company that we're going to be fine from a cash flow perspective. Obviously, as we start to hit those volume thresholds and the gross margin continues to go up, we'll burn less cash. So that's a very big lever for us as well. Price, you've seen it go up 3 quarters in a row and we'll always look at that. But the bigger thing for us is the volume as we stated.

Speaker 2

Okay. Super helpful. Thank you very much.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Greg. Appreciate it.

Speaker 4

Your next question comes from the line of Jeff Kauffman with Vertical Research Partners. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Thank you very much. Hey,

Speaker 5

Jeff.

Speaker 6

Hey, how are you? Congratulations, everyone.

Speaker 5

Good.

Speaker 6

Hey, Tom, I want to get back to balance sheet and cash, because I always thought as a rule of thumb, you wanted to keep about 6 months cash on the balance sheet. But just listening to your comments, you feel like we got partners that want to invest, we can bring cash in at any point. But if I take your $256,000,000 of unrestricted cash and just assume that the burn is similar in 3Q versus 2Q, you're going to be about 6 months by the end of the quarter. So how do we think about what the right cash level is, where you're comfortable for the company? And what levers are out there that we can bring in cash to stay above that level?

Speaker 3

Yes. Appreciate the question, Jeff. Your math is pretty good math and it's math that we do and we look at every day. And when I said to Greg in the last question that we're focusing on a number of things, we're also focusing on being in the market and talking to investors to ensure that we've got enough cash to run our operations. And what do I think is a good amount of cash to have on hand?

Speaker 3

I mean, ideally, as we enter next year, we would like to have enough cash where we can operate for a full fiscal year unencumbered without going into the market and just focus on chopping wood and execution. So that's kind of the way I look at it. Right now, we finished the quarter with 2.83 total, 2.55 unrestricted. And yes, I mean, that would put us with our normal cash burn toward the end of the year. We'll be getting close to being out of cash.

Speaker 3

We recognize that. We're talking to the right people and we're confident that we will get to a place where we can achieve that goal of operating next year unencumbered without having to go to the market continuously.

Speaker 6

I I love that you are starting to monetize the potential for the credits. How should we think about contribution to the bottom line on the fueling? And how should we think about contribution on the credits as we're modeling out 2425. Do these credit amounts that you achieved this quarter, are they going to be a little more consistent as the fleet itself grows and you're running more miles on those trucks?

Speaker 3

Absolutely. I mean, let me just unpack the credit world for you. We've got 2 types of carb credits. 1 is related to NOx and particulate matter and the other one is a more general ACT one. And together, we think they can be $45,000 to $50,000 a unit.

Speaker 3

Now obviously, you're negotiating with the people you're monetizing with, but that's a large number. And what we're also seeing, which is exciting, is that there right now, it's California only, it's CARB, but we see other states looking to adopt similar things. And the OEMs ZEV sale percentage schedule for car goes up quite significantly all the way to 20 20,032 where you got to have 40% of your Class 8 vehicles ZEV. So we think that's going to be a great revenue stream with us. We think that that's it's 100% gross profit.

Speaker 3

So we really like that. More to come on that, obviously, as volume grows, that gets to be a bigger deal for us.

Speaker 1

And listen, at GM, we bought credits every year and they make a trade off in their minds to put big truck in the market. It may make sense to me to buy credits versus put a zero emission truck in the market where I lose a bunch of money on

Speaker 3

Absolutely. And this is a benefit of being first mover. You get good at understanding the legislation, monetizing it, working with partners who are doing this type of trade off, helping them out. So we dipped our toe in the water in Q2. We think it's going to be bigger and we think it could potentially be quite big in the future.

Speaker 3

And the key thing to think about, we said this a couple of times in the prepared remarks. The way we believe it is we're in serial production, trucks on the road. If you want to go big with hydrogen and Class 8, you can either go with us now in 2024 or if you go with somebody else, we think it's going to be end of the decade.

Speaker 4

We will take our next question from Ben Kallo with Baird. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Hi, guys. Good morning. Hi, guys. Hi, Ben. Ben.

Speaker 7

Just on that last question or the last answer about end of decade for hydrogen, how do you think about just EV trucks, maybe Tesla specifically coming to market as competition? And I guess, do your customers think about competition that way versus diesel or versus PV versus hydrogen? And then my second question is just, I know you guys touched on this a bunch, but just because we're getting close to November, could you just remind us any kind of political risk you have or how you view that going forward? Thank you guys very much and congrats.

Speaker 1

Sure. Let me take the last one first. We get the question on political risk all the time. Some parties seem to like EVs more than others. We would say that there is many if you look around where the big hydrogen projects are, there is many hydrogen in red states as there are blue states.

Speaker 1

There's a lot how you create the hydrogen is different, but there's still going to be a lot of activity we believe around hydrogen going forward, no matter what. On the first question, let me put it this way. So we have one of our customers who started their 0 emission journey by buying 6 of somebody else's battery electric trucks. The range they stated was this company operates around the ports. He's one of the guys in our video, but they said they bought 6 trucks.

Speaker 1

They said the manufacturer told them the range would be 220 miles on a charge and they were getting 150. And furthermore, it was taking them an hour and a half to 2 hours to refuel. And this guy started buying this company started buying our trucks more and more and more. And now they're the biggest owner of our trucks, frankly. And one of the things he says is, I run 2 shifts a day.

Speaker 1

Once I my driver your fuel cell trucks weigh the same as everybody else's battery truck, I can refuel them a lot faster and it's very hard for me to get power to the port to my depot where it is. So his driver ends a shift and the next one immediately takes over. They don't have to wait an hour and a half to recharge a truck. So he gets in his world and again it's very route specific in his world fuel cell is actually more efficient than battery. The other thing you have to deal with besides the range fluctuation, we have customers that like battery trucks who are coming over and starting setting up for demos that try everybody else's battery trucks, but what they're learning is battery trucks don't work everywhere.

Speaker 1

Colorado, for example, high altitude, cold weather, the range on batteries in cold weather degrades quickly. Our range will degrade a little bit, but not anywhere near what a battery truck does. So there's use cases around both. We have customers who want to try ours, want to try everybody else's, including Tesla's, and we'll see where it all lands.

Speaker 3

Yes. Let me just amplify. In the quarter, our average fill was 38 kilograms. Just math with our fuel economy, that translates to roughly 2 75 miles. So as Steve says, you're getting much longer range for these uses, for these haulers.

Speaker 3

It's also a much quicker fill, about 20 minutes or so or even less. And the final thing that I'd like to say on this is, as we're redesigning this vehicle, our next gen vehicle, we're going to have a high level of commonality between bev and fuel cell. So it's actually going to help us with the supply base from scaling and it's going to help us with the customers because when we endear ourselves to the customers with the fuel cell, they can buy an option also with the bev for those specific use cases. So we think it's great that we're going to have 2 flavors and leading with the fuel cell right now, I think makes perfect sense where it's less crowded in the marketplace.

Speaker 4

Thank you. This does conclude today's question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call back to Sohi Shin for any or closing remarks.

Operator

Thank you, operator. We appreciate everyone taking the time to join us this morning. And on behalf of Nicolet employees, we thank you. Have a great day.

Speaker 1

Bye, everybody.

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Earnings Conference Call
Nikola Q2 2024
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