LightPath Technologies Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Quartr
Provided by Quartr
September 19, 2024

There are 8 speakers on the call.

Operator

Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Albert Miranda, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. Before we get started, I'd like to remind you that during the course of this conference call, the company will be making a number of forward looking statements that are based on current expectations, involve various risks and uncertainties as discussed in its periodic SEC filings. Although the company believes that the assumptions underlying these statements are reasonable, any of them can be proven to be inaccurate, and there could be no assurances that the projected results would be realized. In addition, references may be made to certain financial measures that are not in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, or GAAP.

Speaker 1

We refer to these as non GAAP financial measures. Please refer to our SEC reports in certain of our press releases, which include reconciliations of non GAAP financial measures and associated disclaimers. Sam will begin today's call with an overview of the business and recent developments for the company. I will then review financial results for the quarter and the full year. Following our prepared remarks, there will be a formal question and answer session.

Speaker 1

I would now like to turn the conference over to Sam Rubin, Lightpath's President and Chief Executive Officer.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Al. Good afternoon to everyone and welcome to Lightpath Technologies fiscal 4th quarter and full year 2024 financial results conference call. As always, our financial results press release was issued after the market closed today and posted to our corporate website. Fiscal 2024 was an important year in our transformation from a pure component supplier to a system provider, delivering during the year new products, new contracts and starting to see growth driven by these new product lines. Just over 3 years ago, we set on a new course with a new strategic direction, taking us from being a pure components supplier to a systems or solutions provider.

Speaker 2

For those not familiar with this, I will provide a brief overview. Prior to this shift, LightPath has been, for the greater part of 30 years, an optical component provider. What many years ago was a unique technology, molded optics, had become over the years a crowded marketplace, going through the classic transformation and commoditization. As such, Lightpath's core business was eroding, unit prices decreasing and with them margins and profits. In 2021, we set a course on a new strategic direction, one that leverages some of our key technologies to deliver subsystems and system level solutions instead of just components.

Speaker 2

Aiding in this have been 2 important shifts happening in our industry. 1st, optics or photonics more generally, as a whole is being used in more and more applications and industries. More times than not, those new customers starting to use the technology seek a partner that will provide a complete optical solution rather than components they would need to build in themselves. So, essentially, the structure of the supply chain of our industry is changing, creating an opening or an opportunity for a company like LightCraft to become a solutions provider. This transformation has been very successful and in this fiscal year we reported that 20% of our revenue came for those activities.

Speaker 2

This type of revenue hardly existed before we began going down this path. The second change happening that enabled us has been around infrared imaging technologies, which have been evolving at a fast rate, finding their way into a growing number of uses and therefore expanding the TAM total addressable market. Our core technologies, both that we owned already and developed internally through licensing and through acquisitions, are all centered around infrared imaging technologies, allowing us to create significant differentiators in this fast growing market space. The outcome of that has been growth in our infrared components business to be now 44% of our overall revenue in the last fiscal year, overtaking the legacy business of PMO or precision molded optics. Both of those growth areas more than offset the drastic decline in that legacy precision molded optics business that we've seen.

Speaker 2

Today, at the conclusion of our fiscal 2024 year, we can see the positive outcomes of this shift and more importantly, the exponential growth we are seeing coming as a result of that. We're seeing coming down the road as a result of that. Through our investment in differentiating technologies, we have positioned ourselves as a leader in the field of infrared optics. With an exclusive license from the government to commercialize new materials developed at NRL, as well as our partnership with Department of Defense, Defense Logistics Agency around replacing germanium in DoD applications, we not only are the go to partner for everyone looking to phase out germanium, but have also earned ourselves a seat at the table in some of the most important discussions and projects in the defense world. And by the way, our defense sales are at the all time high right now.

Speaker 2

For example, in April, we announced a first design win of our new one of our new glass materials from Enauvel. In this program of record, we are the sole source for a key part of a new infrared imaging system, which we expect could bring revenues in tens of 1,000,000 of dollars a year in production. 4 years ago, we could only dream of being in such a position of not only being part of a key program, but also being the sole source for it. This program, by the way, is a program of record, which means it is a line item in congressional budget and funded for several years into the future. And this is just one of multiple programs we have now.

Speaker 2

Exclusive materials are winning us those programs in all of which we're sole source due to our exclusivity. And naturally since those are all defense programs, we're a bit limited in what we can share, but try to share as much as we can. In addition to our investment in materials, differentiating technologies, we also invested in development of our camera technologies, as well as the important acquisition of the Visumit Technologies a year ago, which fed into this. With those new technologies and further leveraging our unique materials and other differentiators, we have built over the last couple of years a portfolio of unique thermal cameras that have created a strong entry point for us into a system level product and enable us to now curve out a market share in a market estimated to be $9,000,000,000 of TAM and growing rapidly. Our efforts in the camera business started with introducing Mantis, an innovative broadband or multi spectral infrared camera that is a first of its kind and enabled purely by our unique materials from Enabell.

Speaker 2

Mantis served as a perfect innovative product to draw attention to us as a new camera manufacturer, positioning us as an innovative entrant and opens the door to important conversations with customers. As a result of that, we not only became a camera supplier, but started working with customers on their unique needs, leading to more products that are driven by the customer request and needed in the market. This includes thermal cameras for harsh environments, high sensitivity cameras for unique applications such as gas detection, and most recently sorry, camera system for inspecting and optimizing performance of furnaces in power plants, steel mills, paper mills and more. We're especially proud of this new product because of its price tag of $30,000 per unit, representing better than which represents better than anything else the transformation the company has gone through from selling lenses with ASPs of dollars or tens of dollars at best to now selling cameras in 1,000 or tens of 1,000 of dollars. This is significant of course for future growth of the company as selling 100 cameras at $30,000 each has a completely different mass to our top line growth than selling just lenses that go into those cameras, what used to be our prior business model.

Speaker 2

Similar to the materials technology differentiators that has already landed us one program of record, our camera technologies differentiator has landed us the Lockheed Martin missile program. Under this program, Lightpath's subsidiary, Visomit Technologies, which we acquired last year, is developing for Lockheed Martin a new camera system that would be part of a missile system. Due to pressing needs from the customer, the U. S. Army, the program is now on a very accelerated timeline.

Speaker 2

Though it started only a year ago, we have already achieved airworthy qualification of our subsystem and can begin shipping units for flight tests, which we're going to do over the next few months. The program is potentially transformative for LightPath. Not only is it exactly the type of business we were targeting in our new strategy, but the size of the opportunity can completely transform us. Lockheed Martin wins against Raytheon, which they are competing against. We expect to be seeing revenues between $50,000,000 to $100,000,000 a year once in full production.

Speaker 2

Though we are still in development, the progress of this project is so fast that Lockheed and the customer are already looking to start setting up for LRIP, low rate initial production next year, which is the last step before full production. For a company our size, dollars 35,000,000 or so in revenue, a contract like this that could be $50,000,000 to $100,000,000 can completely transform us. And although there is a possibility that Lockheed will not win this against Raytheon, we know that this technology we developed is so transformative and important that the same customer is already integrating it into at least 2 additional programs. This technology by the way was developed by Vismid prior to the acquisition and moved from R and D into program of record shortly after we acquired Vismid for about $3,000,000 last summer. Another exciting development on the camera front is our play on AI technology.

Speaker 2

AI technology is making an impact in many areas and many customers and users are looking for ways to leverage some of those advancements in the technology for their own use case or application. One important area AI technology has evolved is envision, where neural networks can be trained to do many of the tasks that until now required a human operator. For example, inspecting items on a production line, identifying an object of someone entering into a space such as an intruder or a drone and so on. In fact, so much work has been done on applications for use of AI envision that ideas and trained modules are abundant and growing rapidly. In conversations with customers, we learned that the challenge is not so much what to do with an AI model, but rather how to do it.

Speaker 2

Currently, anyone wanting to implement an AI module in real life has one of 2 options, using a virtual service such as AWS and other data or GPU centers or installing an NVIDIA or equivalent GPU system. The first one using AWS or other online services requires streaming, which clogs the bandwidth and in many time facilities do not allow that due to cybersecurity constraint. Not to mention big delays and latency of the images. The second option using an NVIDIA GPU or so requires use of a device such as GPUs that has a very high power consumption and very high upfront costs, limiting its usefulness in most field applications. To overcome that and to not only make it possible to implement AI in the camera, but also affordable in cost and power, total cost of ownership, we have integrated a powerful AI accelerator chip made by Israeli Halo into the camera.

Speaker 2

This AI chip can accept neural networks in standard formats such as ONNX or TensorFlow or others and run those AI modules in the cameras video pipeline at a very low power consumption and almost no latency with high computational power of 26 TOPS TAV operations per second. This offering of a so called AI ready camera, you would, has generated significant talk and interest in the industry. And we are now working with some very interesting projects and customers that have already advanced AI solutions and need a friendly hardware to implement it on. Taking this approach of focusing only on the hardware and not developing an AI neural network ourselves is driven by 2 of our core values, focus and in this case, focusing on what we are good and letting our customers focus on what they are good at, and value creation. In this case, the value creation is making AI implementation easier for our customers.

Speaker 2

Okay. After talking about those 2 pillars of growth out of our known three pillars of growth, I'll give a quick update and overview about the third one, automotive. As those that follow us know, Lightpath has been working with several Tier 1 and Tier 2s in the auto world to develop and qualify thermal imaging solutions for use in ADAS. Though we are already we were already on track to start delivering units to an OEM for a new car module, a new mandate set by National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, NHTSA, has impacted that implementation negatively in the short term, but created a much bigger long term opportunity. According to the new rule, by 2029, all new cars should include an emergency braking system that can identify pedestrians in pitch dark conditions from a certain distance.

Speaker 2

To achieve that, it looks like thermal imaging is going to be adopted into all of those systems, which means a much, much larger addressable market than estimated at first, even though further out than we hoped at first. From our conversations in the industry, we believe the auto industry is going to use this time to develop a solution that will allow thermal cameras to be installed behind the windshield of the car. This in turn will significantly simplify some of the challenges faced today in terms of environment and location of the company of the camera in the car. LightPath has solutions for both scenarios, camera sitting inside the car or behind the wind outside or behind the windshield. And we will continue to work on those with our customers.

Speaker 2

The automotive opportunity is still very significant for us. Though the timeline is shifted further prior to than prior to our prior conversations. According to what we currently see, we will continue to ship lower volumes in the incoming couple of years and see volume shipments begin to ramp up in our fiscal 2027. Okay. I will now turn this call to our CFO, Al Miranda, to talk about the numbers in Q4 and full year results.

Speaker 2

Go ahead, Al.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Sam. I'd like to remind everyone that much of the information we're discussing during this call is also included in our press release issued earlier today and will be included in the 10 ks for the period. I encourage you to visit our website to access these documents. I will discuss some of the primary financial performance metrics and provide additional color on them to better assist investors in analyzing the company. On a consolidated basis, revenues for the fiscal Q4 were $8,600,000 compared to $9,700,000 in the year ago period.

Speaker 1

Sales of infrared components were $3,000,000 or 35 percent of the company consolidated revenue. Revenue from visible components was $32,000,000 or 37 percent of consolidated revenue. Revenue from assemblies and modules were $1,400,000 or 16%. Revenue from engineering services was $1,000,000 or 12%. Infrared component sales decreased approximately $1,700,000 or 36%, primarily due to decrease in sales against a large annual contract for germanium based products, which was not renewed in the Q2 of fiscal year 2024, as we decided to reduce the amount of optics we produce from germanium, both to reduce our risk of supply chain disruption and more importantly, to work with customers to convert their systems to use optics made of our Black Diamond materials.

Speaker 1

Visible component sales were approximately $3,200,000 or flat in comparison to the same quarter of the prior fiscal year. By industry, there was a decrease in sales to defense customers due to timing of orders and an increase in sales through U. S. Catalog and distribution channels. Assemblies and modules revenue decreased approximately $200,000 or 14%, primarily due to sales of a custom visible lens assembly to a medical customer for which we have an end of life order backlog going into fiscal 2025.

Speaker 1

In the Q4 of fiscal year 2023, this customer requested a greater number of units shipped, whereas in fiscal year 2024, we've shipped a lower but more consistent amount each quarter. This decrease was partially offset by the addition of ViziMed revenue. Engineering services increased approximately $900,000 or 6 98 percent, primarily driven by VisiMed's contract with Lockheed Martin, where revenue is generally recognized based on the achievement of milestones. Gross margin in the Q4 of fiscal 2024 was approximately $2,500,000 a decrease of $600,000 or 18 percent as compared to the same quarter of the prior fiscal year. Total cost of sales was approximately $6,100,000 for the Q4 of fiscal 2024 compared to approximately $6,600,000 for the same quarter of the prior fiscal year.

Speaker 1

Gross margin as a percentage of revenue was 29% for the Q4 of fiscal 2024 compared to 32% for the same quarter of the prior fiscal year. The decrease in gross margin as a percentage of revenue is primarily due to the overall decrease in revenue, resulting in lower contribution to our fixed manufacturing costs. Sequentially, gross margin improved from 21% in the Q3 of fiscal 2024 as we move past the inventory revaluation, which impacted that quarter. Selling, general and administrative costs were approximately $3,600,000 for the Q4 of fiscal 2024, an increase of approximately $600,000 or 20% as compared to the same quarter of the prior fiscal year. The increase in SG and A for the Q4 of fiscal 2024 is primarily due to an increase in wages, including non recurring executive severance costs and an increase in legal and consulting fees related to certain business development initiatives.

Speaker 1

We also incurred additional legal professional fees associated with the previously disclosed Delaware Chancery Court proceedings. Net loss for the Q4 of fiscal 2024 was approximately $2,400,000 or $0.06 basic and diluted loss per share, compared to $800,000 or $0.02 basic and diluted loss per share for the same quarter of the prior fiscal year. The increase in net loss of approximately $1,500,000 for the Q4 of fiscal 2024 as compared to the same quarter of the prior fiscal year was primarily attributable to the decrease in gross margin, coupled with increased operating expenses, including amortization of intangibles. EBITDA for the quarter ended June 30, 2024 was a loss of approximately $1,300,000 compared to income of $100,000 for the same period of the prior fiscal year. The decrease in EBITDA in the Q4 of fiscal year 2024 was primarily attributable to decrease in revenue and gross margin, coupled with increases in SG and A and other expenses, which were primarily related to non recurring items.

Speaker 1

Turning to results for the year ended June 30, 2024. Revenue for fiscal 2024 was 31,700,000 dollars a decrease from $32,900,000 in the prior fiscal year. Sales of Infra Rite Components were $14,100,000 or 44 percent of the company's consolidated revenue in the year ended June 30. Revenue from visible components was $11,200,000 or 35 percent of the consolidated revenue. Revenue from assemblies and solutions were $4,500,000 or 14% of total company revenue.

Speaker 1

Revenue from engineering services was $2,000,000 or 6% of total company revenue. In fiscal 2024, infrared sales decreased $300,000 or 2%. The decrease in revenue is related to the previously mentioned germanium based annual contract that was not renewed. During the fiscal year, this decrease was mostly offset by an increase in shipments against an annual contract for an international military program. This contract was renewed during the Q1 of fiscal 2024 for a higher dollar value than the previous contract.

Speaker 1

Visible component revenue decreased approximately $2,200,000 or 16%. The decrease in revenue is primarily due to a decrease in sales to customers in the defense industry as well as a decrease in sales through catalog and distribution channels in the U. S. And Europe. Sales to customers in telecommunication industry in China also decreased.

Speaker 1

Assembly Solutions revenue decreased approximately $200,000 or 5%, primarily due to a decrease in shipments against the multi year contract with a defense customer due to timing, as well as decreases in sales of infrared assemblies to industrial customers in both China and the U. S, both of which customers have been steadily decreasing orders since the peak of COVID-nineteen. These decreases were partially offset by the addition of VisiMed revenue from sales of infrared camera cores. Engineering services increased approximately $1,500,000 or 3 63%. This increase was primarily driven by ViziMed's contract with Lockheed Martin.

Speaker 1

Remaining increase is driven by revenue from one of our space related funded research contracts. SG and A costs were approximately $12,300,000 for the fiscal 2024, an increase of approximately $900,000 or 8 percent as compared to the prior fiscal year. The increase in SG and A for fiscal 2024 is primarily due to increase in wages, including non recurring executive severance costs and an increase in business development initiatives. These increases are partially offset by a decrease in stock based compensation. We also incurred additional legal and professional fees in fiscal 2024 associated with our rescheduled annual stockholder meeting and previously disclosed Delaware Chancellor Court proceedings.

Speaker 1

We expect SG and A costs to remain elevated for the next few quarters as we continue with certain business development initiatives. Net loss for fiscal 2024 was approximately $8,000,000 or $0.21 basic and diluted loss per share compared to approximately $4,000,000 or $0.13 basic and diluted loss per share for fiscal 2023. The increase in net loss for fiscal 2024 as compared to fiscal 2023 is attributed to approximately $4,300,000 increase in operating loss resulting from lower revenue gross margin and increased operating expenses. Operating expenses increases included the non recurring SG and A items previously mentioned, as well as increased new product development costs and $500,000 increase in the amortization of intangibles resulting from the ViziMed acquisition. This operating loss increase was partially offset by a decrease in other expense, approximately $100,000 primarily due to the decrease in interest expense.

Speaker 1

In addition, there was a favorable difference of approximately $200,000 in the provision for income taxes for fiscal 2024. EBITDA for fiscal 2024 was a loss of approximately $3,700,000 compared to $400,000 for fiscal 2023. The decrease in EBITDA for fiscal 2024 is primarily attributable to lower revenue gross margin, coupled with increased operating expenses, including SG and A and new product development. As we mentioned, SG and A for fiscal 2024 includes a number of non recurring items, particularly as related to business development initiatives. As of June 30, 2024, we had working capital of approximately 7,500,000 and total cash and cash equivalents of approximately $3,500,000 of which less than 50% of our cash and cash equivalents are held by our foreign subsidiaries.

Speaker 1

Cash provided by operations was approximately $500,000 for fiscal 2024 compared to cash used in operations of approximately $2,800,000 for the prior fiscal year. The increase in cash flow from operations during fiscal year 2024 is primarily due to decreases in accounts receivable and inventory due to lower revenue in fiscal year 2024 as compared to fiscal year 2023. Capital expenditures were approximately $2,200,000 for fiscal 2024 compared to approximately $3,100,000 in the prior fiscal year. The company also expended approximately $900,000 net of cash acquired to acquire Viziomed during fiscal 2024. During fiscal years 20242023, our capital expenditures were primarily related to the expansion of the Orlando facility.

Speaker 1

In August 2023, we completed the construction of certain tenant improvements subject to our continuing lease for Orlando facility, of which the landlord provided $2,500,000 of tenant improvement allowances. We funded the balance of the tenant improvement costs of approximately $3,700,000 over fiscal years 'twenty three and 'twenty four. August, the company entered into a $3,000,000 1 year note. The purpose of the note is for business development initiatives and CapEx in excess of plan should we need it. I'll add more content on CapEx and cash in fiscal year 2025 in a minute.

Speaker 1

Our total backlog at June 30, 2024 was approximately $19,300,000 a decrease of 11% as compared to $21,700,000 as of June 30, 2023. The decrease in backlog during fiscal 2024 is primarily due to shipments against the prior period backlog under several annual and multi year contract renewals, the timing of which are not always consistent. In previous years, we've typically received a significant contract renewal from our largest customer for infrared products made of germanium during the 2nd fiscal quarter. However, as previously disclosed, we decided to reduce the amount of optics we produce from germanium, both to reduce our risk of supply chain disruption and more importantly, to work with the customer to convert their systems to use optics made of our own Black Diamond materials. We continue to work with this customer as well as other customers to convert their system to use Black Diamond optics.

Speaker 1

The reduction in backlog as a result of these shipments during fiscal 2024 were partially offset by a significant contract renewal for advanced infrared optics for a critical international military program and a significant contract awarded to Visiomed by Lockheed Martin in December of 2023. I'd like to take one moment and put fiscal 2024 results in context. In fiscal 2024, we finally completed the alignment of the production facilities around the world. In China, we finished the consolidation of the business into one legal entity and merged 2 locations into an existing footprint, reducing our presence there in China. In Latvia, we continued expansion of capabilities, in particular, coding and set the organization up for authorized work for NATO and the EU, authorized defense work.

Speaker 1

The U. S. Was far more ambitious in scale. Over the last 15 months, we consolidated the operations of the 2 legal entities, consolidated 2 buildings, increased the clean room by a factor of 2 and also modernized it, prepping it for significant growth with minimum future investments required. In addition, we restructured the organization to remove layers, removed complexity and reporting structures and redeployed employees towards our growth areas.

Speaker 1

The restructuring of LightPath globally is a good accomplishment by itself. In 2024, we also acquired VISIMED, integrated it and were awarded the Lockheed Martin contract and have already reached flight milestone, a significant event now and for the future. All these activities were executed very well. They do come with a cost and you can see that in the net income and cash flow. They do come with a benefit.

Speaker 1

Our estimates are that we've removed roughly 1,200,000 in structural costs that will be permanent going forward. I'm not pointing out all of this to give us some unrecognized credit for work, but rather explain how this sets the stage for fiscal year 2025. The effort to fix problems of the past, build a world class organization are largely done. Going forward, we will not invest in CapEx anywhere near the levels of the past 2 years. Now our efforts will turn to growth.

Speaker 1

Sam mentioned all the potential opportunities in front of us. To capitalize on these opportunities, all of the resources of the company, people and cash will be geared towards business development initiatives, which includes sales, marketing, product development and high-tech IR assemblies amongst other things. The stage has been set. In 2025, we have the potential and we have the ability to execute. It should be a very exciting year.

Speaker 1

I sincerely thank all of you for the support. With this review of our financial highlights, recent developments and my editorial comments concluded, I'll now turn the call over to the operator to begin the question and answer session.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. The first question comes from Brian Kinstlinger with Alliance Global Partners. Please go ahead.

Speaker 3

Great. Thanks so much. A lot of information to unpack. Based on your backlog and your pipeline and a lot of things you've discussed, how should we think about fiscal 2025 in terms of revenue? Just from a high level, do you expect a year of double digit growth given this year was or this past year was depressed?

Speaker 3

How do you think about seasonality? And as your largest customer, I was unclear, have they begun to order Black Diamond Optics?

Speaker 1

Hey, Brian. The first answer is that if you we would take the low end of double digit growth is our expectation for growth for the next fiscal year.

Speaker 3

Okay. And then the new and the largest customer?

Speaker 2

The largest customer has not started yet taking volume delivery of Black Diamond. It's still in the evaluation stage on the third side. We've delivered everything needed for that, but we expect them to be able to ramp up quickly once the decision is made.

Speaker 3

So it's Given your timeline targets without them?

Speaker 2

Yes. I mean, we've part of the the reason for the decision was that with the defense license in Europe, we feel and know that we can use the same capacity for more lucrative defense business in some cases. And so moving away from germanium, it's not only because of germanium per se, but it's because when we're talking about the commercial customer like this gun site company, even when it's not germanium, when they're still being comparing us to suppliers from Asia, let's say. Where in the defense business, in Europe, once we have that license, we're competing against other European companies. And our cost base is in Latvia is very or very low compared to most European companies.

Speaker 2

So, we want to leverage as much of that capacity as we can for defense business in Europe. I expect that even when this customer comes back, it would not be at the levels of what it was when the germanium was at full force simply because we're starting to land in already new customers for the same capacity that are honestly more lucrative and better for us.

Speaker 1

And Brian, we can use the Latvian facility for ITAR defense work in the U. S. As well. And considering their cost position, there's not too many companies in the U. S.

Speaker 1

That can go lower.

Speaker 3

Great. And then you mentioned Raytheon is Lockheed's competitor for the new missile system. Assuming like most procurements, there was a down select process and it started with more competitors. Have you received feedback yet as far as Lockheed standing? And then when do you expect reasonably there might be an award, especially as we enter constant continuing resolutions, which are going to start right away?

Speaker 2

Yes. So first of all, the down select has already happened. The first round included more vendors. The Army then chose to take a very unique approach, something that almost never gets done and that is to fully fund Lockheed and Raytheon all the way to the end. So they are both fully funded to deliver missiles ready for prime time.

Speaker 2

And that is simply because they really want to accelerate this. They're running out of missiles, if they haven't run out of them yet and geopolitics unfortunately is not improving around the world. And so this is all done on an accelerated course at which by the end of it both companies are going to have a ready product in the same time. We know that the Lockheed Martin solution is preferred on paper since it provides significant advantages, which we cannot talk about. But the Rayfion is the incumbent.

Speaker 2

Rayfion designed and made the 1st generation Stinger missile all these years and is incumbent in this player. So, obviously, have some built in advantages, even though the technology of Lockheed, we believe, is far superior in this case. The earliest we expect is a year from now, September or November 2025, as a possibility of a decision

Speaker 4

as it stands right now.

Speaker 3

That's very helpful. And then you mentioned last quarter and this quarter again, the second opportunity for an airborne system. It sounds like it's a program of record and I thought you have the design win, which I'm assuming means this is your program. If I have that and you mentioned $10,000,000 of potential annual revenue. First of all, why is it potential if you've already won?

Speaker 3

Is it just an estimate is difficult to understand and when will production begin for this?

Speaker 2

Well, potential is something my lawyer taught me to say in every sentence. So he will beat me to death if I say anything definitive. But we are the sole source for the prime to just building that system. That system is going to go on the Apache helicopters, by the way. We are already awarded buildings that prototypes for it.

Speaker 2

And we expect to deliver the first three prototypes in by the end of this calendar year more or less, so maybe beginning of next calendar year. At which point if it goes well, we will immediately be awarded the ELEVIP, the low rate initial production. Right now, the award we have similar to the Lockheed is the award for the development effort. We don't have yet a contract or if we would, we obviously would have.

Speaker 3

But does anyone else have a development award for prototypes or just you or just your team?

Speaker 2

Just us.

Speaker 4

Got it.

Speaker 1

It's using Black Diamond materials.

Speaker 2

Yes, it uses the NOL materials. So by default, we also sold.

Speaker 1

You can't get them anywhere else, Brian. That's it.

Speaker 3

Got it. My last question is, you announced the launch of your new Mantis camera for greenhouse gas emissions. First of all, does that mean readily available for sale to all customers? Or is it also still in prototyping or proof of concept? And then I know you put out the TAM, can you quantify the pipeline, say in the next 18 months and how do you think about the sales cycle?

Speaker 2

Yes. So first of all, I thought we said it in the press release, if not we should have emphasized, we have already shipped. So we have orders and started shipping to that. The term or what our addressable market or serviceable market would be, I would say the price we're looking at is up to 30,000 per unit and I think there's a reasonable amount of it being in 3 digit units. So being 100, 200 units a year, I'm not sure how fast we will get there.

Speaker 2

I doubt it would be immediate. I wish it would be, but I doubt it would be, but that sort of gives the range of where we think currently. What we think and that's just based on existing market and technology. What we think and hope might happen is that we are enabling customers to do more with those cameras compared to other solutions in the market in terms of optimization of the burners inside the furnaces, inside the power plants and therefore the market size will grow. But right now I'd go with those numbers.

Speaker 1

And Brian, the other thing is, this is sort of like a standard product almost. It is application specific, but it is sort of a standard product, which means we're actually building to forecast. So you don't we're not going to see that backlog anymore. And so that's one of the things that we relied on backlog before to sort of be very definitive in terms of what the future looked like. That's not really going to be the case for the gas detection cameras.

Speaker 1

And then for related cameras that sit in that same camera family.

Speaker 3

Okay. Thanks. I will Thank you, Joao. Seize the floor for others.

Operator

The next question comes with Jaeson Schmidt with Lake Street. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Hey guys, thanks for taking my questions. I just want to follow-up on that last question on the next gen Mantis. I know it's more targeted for this specific end market, but just curious if some of the features on this new camera were things that your customers in that market were specifically asking for? I know kind of the previous Mantis version could have Mantis version could have theoretically addressed this market. But just trying to get a sense if there was kind of customer demand for kind of the features in this new one?

Speaker 2

No, you're absolutely right. And I think you hit it on the at a really important spot. This version of Mantis came out of very detailed conversations with the customers. Some of them because we just had the conversation with customers, some of them because of the team we have now. Jason Messerschmidt joined us from FLIR along with a couple of other new recruits in the sales, business development, product management side come with an extensive experience in the oil and gas industry.

Speaker 2

I mean, they know things they didn't even understand before, that's all possible. So with their help, with these new team members that joined us all in the last few months, we've been able to fine tune what we felt like is a great technology Mantis that from a pure technical point of view could do an enormous amount of things. They were able to take it and fine tune it and saying, okay, it's great we can do A, B, C, D thing. Let's just focus it down on doing CO2, looking at the CO2 emissions in a furnace, switching between looking at the flames to looking at the heat distribution, things like that. In theory, it's the same amount.

Speaker 2

Realistically, this is the application side now driving it, which honestly is the way it should be.

Speaker 5

Got you. That's really helpful. And then just looking at OpEx, I know, Al, you mentioned taking $1,200,000 of costs out of out in 2020 4. Just curious how we should think about sort of the new level of SG and A going forward?

Speaker 1

Yes. So it's the efforts we did in 2024 to reduce our overall structural cost doesn't really fully kick in. It does now in Q1, but we sort of changed things in Q3 with the restructuring. And then in Q4, we did more activities around restructuring and reorganizing, so that in Q1, we get the sort of full year benefit. That being said, we are plowing money back into business development initiatives.

Speaker 1

So we're probably going to take that $1,200,000 and structural cost reduction and spend it elsewhere, not for the entire year, but for some of the year. Some of the things I mean, your last question kind of dovetails into it's nice to have a nice camera, but you have to sell. So we're going to spend a tremendous amount of effort on that side.

Speaker 5

Okay. That makes sense. And then just the last one for me and I'll jump back in the queue. Looking at the auto opportunity, I know you mentioned sort of thermal imaging behind the windshield. But just at a high level, has the timetable that you guys are thinking about this opportunity changed or is it still kind of a couple of years in the future?

Speaker 2

Yes, I think because there's a definitely a desire or a goal of the industry to be behind the windshield. Deliveries in the next year or 2 are going to be small in scale. So we were hoping, I think we were expecting to be delivering already 20,000 units a year now and start scaling up to the 100 of 1000 for that key customer. It's not going to be in those numbers. We're going to be in the 1,000 of units and that is simply because no one wants to go and implement it in the car in high volume in a configuration that's going to be very different than the configuration that the auto industry is going to adopt in 20 28 or so.

Speaker 2

And so the next 2 years, we're going to see some volumes that's going to be for new companies, new Tier 1s OEMs starting to get familiar with thermal imaging, so to test it in low volumes, but the real volume will start once the windshield solution is developed and that requires extensive work on the next 2 years by the auto industry on the windshield side, not on the thermal imaging side.

Speaker 5

Okay, that's really helpful color. Thanks a lot guys.

Speaker 2

Okay, thank you.

Operator

The next question comes with Scott Buck from H. C. Wainwright. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hi, good afternoon guys. First, I want to follow-up on one of Brian's questions, Sam. If a decision is made on the Lockheed missile program 12 months out or so, how quickly then does that move to production after that agreement is or that decision is made? I mean is that 3 months, is that 6 months? What is that process?

Speaker 2

Yes. The conversation is that still a bit up into air. The conversations we're having are still indicating that we will be next calendar year setting up the infrastructure for production in Orlando. So that means that our part at least, I don't know about the rest of the parts that go into the Lockheed missiles at their business, but our part we could in theory start shipping within about 3 months after the decision is

Speaker 6

made. Okay, perfect. That's helpful. And then Al, given the shift in revenue with more coming from assemblies and engineering services, can you remind us how the gross margin dynamics work and how we should be thinking about things over the next 12 to 24 months as that ratio continues to move higher?

Speaker 1

So the margins on assemblies and modules are higher, higher than LightPath has had in the last 2 or 3 years that I've been here. So we should be, for those products, north of 40%.

Speaker 6

Okay, perfect. That's helpful. And then last thing, I just want to ask about cash balance. You mentioned you took out the, what, dollars 3,000,000 loan in August kind of as insurance. But generally, what do you need to run the business cash wise?

Speaker 1

Well, we're projecting being operating cash flow positive. So what we need is, whatever we decide to spend in CapEx above that and any other business development initiatives that we feel require cash investments. All

Speaker 6

right. That's helpful.

Speaker 1

Not huge amounts. I tried to sort of say that it's not big numbers anymore like in the prior 2 years.

Speaker 2

He doesn't allow me to spend anything is what he's saying.

Speaker 6

I appreciate the added color guys. Thanks a lot.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Scott.

Operator

The next question comes with Glenn Mattson with Ladenburg Thalmann. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Hi. Yes. Just two quick ones for me.

Speaker 7

Most of the things have

Speaker 4

been answered already, but just you mentioned that you could be setting up for LRIP next year with Lockheed. Can you say, is there a expense related to that or are you prepared for that or is there anything you need to do to get ready for that?

Speaker 2

The money that went into the Orlando facility was for that. So physically, the infrastructure's layout is there. Specific equipment that would be needed, capital equipment, we still expect it to be paid by the customer.

Speaker 4

Okay, great. And then last for me, just curious about the AI envision camera technology. I guess in the UAV space, you see a lot of people who are looking to do, especially defense side, the ability to navigate through vision systems and things because they don't want to rely on networks that can be jammed and that kind of thing. So is that there's a lot of growth in that space. I'm just curious, is that an area that it could be a

Speaker 2

Yes. There is definitely that's a very interesting area. I think it's definitely some companies we're in touch with at least 2 that do that and we know that. But most of the applications we're seeing so far are much more basic first as in target acquisition, pointing the drone in the right direction, tracking a target as it's moving and so on.

Speaker 4

Okay, that's it. That's it for me. Thanks.

Speaker 2

Okay, thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Arren Hichman with H. Investment Partners. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Hi, how are you? It's Horne Hirsch from AIG. In terms of the missile, I know you delivered the actual commercial, the commercial version or pre commercial version to actually fire missiles and they've got to actually test real life firing of missiles. Do you have any idea if that's commenced already? Is that something they're going to give you feedback?

Speaker 7

I assume they're going to give you feedback, at least on your portion, if it's involved in anything that they need to give you feedback.

Speaker 2

Yes. Hi, Owen. Good to hear from you. I'll answer that as much as I can since we Lockheed is in competition with Vapiens, so I need to assume that whatever I say can be heard by anyone really. We achieved a worthy certification, meaning that the units can go on missiles.

Speaker 2

In the next few months, we're going to start shipping units that will physically go on missiles. Once they do and they start flying, definitely we're going to be receiving a lot of feedback. I mean, it's a very, very intimate workflow between our group and Lockheed down to almost as if they're working in 1 company altogether. I mean, it's just a lot of back and forth there. So there'll be a lot of tweaking and work done once we start firing and seeing flight data.

Speaker 7

How is it logically possible though, I assume there's got to go through a lot of flight testing and debugging, etcetera. How would it be possible that they can really get into production where they'd have to you'd have to be ready for production in 2025?

Speaker 2

Let me say it this way. These are people that have been doing this for many, many years and have a lot of trips, trick and treat trips up their sleeve that they can do and an enormous amount of existing data that they base this on in simulation. So, you'd be amazed, but it's not as if they're going to be firing physically thousands of missiles to collect the data and optimize this. There's some very, very sophisticated systems that these companies have built over the years that are used for this.

Speaker 7

Is there a significant number of deliverables that you have to do in the coming few months?

Speaker 2

Every week pretty much. We can't share a lot of them, but the program is very intense in its thing. I mean, in general, we're in the next few months or looking at shipping over 100 flight units to that extent. But there's many, many developments along the way of many different aspects of this.

Speaker 7

I mean, I know you've alluded to an ASP, but that's a lot of 1,000,000 of dollars if I'm incorrect on that.

Speaker 2

Yes. I mean, you can even just go and look at the federal budget and concede that. But if you look at single Gen 1 and that they built over 105,000 of them, I think, And the unit price of those missiles is 6 digits.

Speaker 7

And then I think just for your portion of

Speaker 3

the

Speaker 7

build, you alluded to 100 units, a lot of money, dollars 1,000,000,000 for like that, if I'm not incorrect.

Speaker 2

Well, that's part of that NOV, that $7,500,000 that we talked about and that's definitely we're doing quite a bit of business with Lockheed now.

Speaker 7

Last question for me, just in terms of the you alluded to using AI, is that for an infrared camera or just the bingular camera?

Speaker 2

So that's an interesting point. We started focusing only on infrared cameras. Again, I strongly believe in focus, right. So we can't spread too thin. We're not a large company.

Speaker 2

We can't do too many things. But what we've seen is that the moment we started talking about that, we're having a lot of conversations. People are asking also for Visible. So the company we're working with in Israel, Maris Technology, which is a great partner to have and we're doing incredible things together, has actually developed a version that allows us to feed 2 cameras in. So in theory, we can make any of our systems into dual cameras that would be both visible and infrared.

Speaker 2

Again, I'm very, very cautious. We can't spread our R and D money and development too thin. So, once we start generating real revenue from there, we can look at next steps and adding more versions and more capabilities.

Speaker 7

Part of this question that I wanted to ask today, it can even be in a public forum like this call, is the security camera business for high end security cameras with a lot of intelligence built in AI intelligence is just booming

Speaker 6

in the

Speaker 7

last 2, 3 quarters as evidenced by Motorola's business just booming. And everybody wants more and more intelligence at the edge for the reasons that you outlined in the call. I have not heard and here's where I need your insights and what's really going on in the development of the whole industry. Does anybody have an infrared camera that Allison?

Speaker 2

Yes. So actually you're touching on exactly what our most of our activities right now with our AI or HIR cameras are around that intruder detection, detection of perimeter security and so on. There are a couple of players there, but again, there's just so many companies that are wrongfully relying right now on streaming and on using online computational services. And we're hearing that once they go out to the field, they're in for a nasty surprise because no one in a significant infrastructure facility will let you connect the system to the Internet and connect and allow you to stream. So this is exactly where we're playing.

Speaker 7

So in my question though is that is a very specialized market dominated by Motorola a few other players. And I guess my question is, don't you need to get into a major player where you can demo basically you're doing like you always say your expertise in terms of the infrared capability and fully packaged assembly and API as well, although they have their a few players have their own AI is what made me think of it. Don't you really want to be OEMed into a Motorola? Isn't that the goal?

Speaker 2

That's exactly where we want to be. So we're working on 2 fronts. One front is working with OEMs like Motorola and such for them to buy the camera for us and integrate it. And another front is what we call a software ecosystem, where we're developing a portfolio of say partner companies that have focused only on the software. And we know that they have currently huge challenges going out and actually selling the product in the field.

Speaker 2

And we're working with them to make the software, the AI that they developed compatible into our camera, so that it can make it much easier for customers to use their software. So two fronts in parallel.

Speaker 7

Okay, very good. Thank you so much.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Oren. Good hearing from you.

Operator

This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for any closing remarks.

Speaker 2

Thank you everyone for taking the time to follow-up on Lightpath. I'd like again to thank our employees and all stakeholders. The last 4 years have been quite a bit going on with many, many different things we had to do, but we're there now. We have some incredible opportunities that we won and continue to win, thanks to the hard work of the team. We have the future ahead of us and we're pretty much done with most of the cleanup.

Speaker 2

So we can really focus now on the future and on growth. I look forward to hearing everyone in future calls. And as always, I'm available directly on the website or in any other way for anyone that needs any questions. Thank you and good night.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Powered by Quartr
Earnings Conference Call
LightPath Technologies Q4 2024
00:00 / 00:00