RenaissanceRe Q4 2024 Earnings Report

RenaissanceRe EPS Results

• Actual EPS: $8.06
• Consensus EPS: $6.94
• Beat/Miss: Beat by +$1.12
• One Year Ago EPS: N/A

RenaissanceRe Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: N/A
• Expected Revenue: $2.68 billion
• Beat/Miss: N/A
• YoY Revenue Growth: N/A

RenaissanceRe Announcement Details

• Quarter: Q4 2024
• Date: 1/28/2025
• Time: After Market Closes
• Conference Call Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2025
• Conference Call Time: 10:00AM ET

RenaissanceRe (NYSE:RNR) provides reinsurance and insurance products around the world. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Bermuda with offices in Ireland, Australia, Switzerland, Singapore, and the US.

The company operates through two segments that include multiple underlying businesses and investment vehicles. The two main segments are Property and Casualty & Specialty.  The company operates through intermediaries that include DaVinci Resinsurance Inc, Top Layer Reinsurance LTD, and RennaisanceRe Syndicate 1458 among others.

Top Layer Re is the first major venture and was started in 1999. It is a joint venture with State Farm targeting high layers of the US reinsurance business. DaVinci Re was formed in the wake of 9/11 to assist with capacity and it was given added capacity in the wake of hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma. Medici was formed in 2009 and is an open-ended fund intended to spur investment in the catastrophe bond market.

The Property segment writes catastrophic insurance policies to insure insurance and reinsurance companies against natural and man-made catastrophes. These include but are not limited to hurricanes, floods, freezes, and terrorism.

The Casualty & Specialty segment provides a wide range of consumer products including business insurance, malpractice insurance, liability insurance, workers' compensation, mortgage insurance, and health insurance among others.

Among RenaissanceRe’s Specialty businesses is capital management. The firm offers 6 investment vehicles and has more than $11 billion under management making it the #1 ILS or insurance-linked asset manager in the US. In regards to its credit ratings, the firm and all of its vehicles carry an A or better rating from every credit rating agency.

 

RenaissanceRe Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Presentation

[Operator]

Good morning. My name is Katie, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the RenaissanceRe fourth quarter and year end twenty twenty four earnings conference call and webcast. After the prepared remarks, we will open the floor for questions. Instructions will be given at that time.

[Operator]

Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Keith McHugh, Senior Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[Keith McCue, Senior Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations at RenaissanceRe]

Thank you, Katie. Good morning, and welcome to RenaissanceRe's fourth quarter and year end twenty twenty four earnings conference call. Joining me today to discuss our results are Kevin O'Donnell, President and Chief Executive Officer Bob Qtub, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer and David Marr, Executive Vice President, Group Chief Underwriting Officer. First, some housekeeping matters. Our discussion today will include forward looking statements, including new and updated expectations for our business and results of operations.

[Keith McCue, Senior Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations at RenaissanceRe]

It's important to note that actual results may differ materially from the expectations shared today. Additional information regarding the factors shaping these outcomes can be found in our SEC filings and in our earnings release. During today's call, we will also present non GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to GAAP metrics and other information concerning non GAAP measures may be found in our earnings release and financial supplement, which are available on our website at renre.com. And now, I'd like to turn the call over to Kevin.

[Keith McCue, Senior Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations at RenaissanceRe]

Kevin?

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Thanks, Keith. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining today's call. I want to begin today by extending our sympathies to everyone impacted by the California wildfires. At the end of my comments, I will provide some perspective on the impact of the wildfires and our role in ameliorating the significant damage that they have caused to the Los Angeles community. Moving now to our full year 2024 financial results.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

We had a strong year across our most important performance metrics. Our primary metric tangible book value plus accumulated dividends grew by 26%. Operating income exceeded $220,000,000,0.0 and operating income per share was a penny shy of $43 per share. Breaking this down by our 3 drivers of profit, in underwriting, we delivered 1600000000.0 in income and an 81.5% adjusted combined ratio. This was in a year with over $140,000,000,000 of industry catastrophe losses as well as persistent casualty trend.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

In investments, retrained investment income exceeded $110,000,000,0.0 and in Capital Partners fee income was $3.27,000,000 dollars which demonstrates our leadership in third party capital management. An additional accomplishment of the year was our active capital management, including repurchasing $4.60,000,000 dollars of our shares during the Repurchases continued in 2025. All in, since we began the we have purchased a little over $800,000,000 of our shares at an average share price of $2.50 dollars per share. Bob will speak to you in greater depth regarding our results for the quarter and the year, but overall, I'm proud of our performance. Moving now to address our strategic results in 2024.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Our achievements were as equally impressive as our financial returns. Of course, Validus was the most prominent. From start to finish, our execution was outstanding. We retained substantially all the Validus underwriting portfolio. We fully integrated the Validus team and entities into our operations.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

We generated significant capital efficiencies as a result of the combined platform and our partnership with AIG continues to flourish. In summary, the transaction has met or exceeded our expectations across multiple measures, accelerated our strategy and allowed us to become 1 of the largest reinsurers in the world during 1 of the best markets in my career. Shifting now, I'd like to briefly comment on the performance of our Casualty and Specialty segment. For the year, we reported an adjusted combined ratio of 98%, which is up from 94% a year ago. There are a few drivers of this increase, including the Baltimore bridge collapse earlier in the year and a few 1 off losses.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

The largest driver, however, is the elevated loss trend in general liability lines. We have done a good job keeping up with this trend and strengthening prior year general liability reserves. As a result, we remain comfortable with our Casualty Specialty reserves. I should note that our Casualty and Specialty segment has had favorable development for both the quarter and the year. This is 1 of the benefits of a diversified portfolio.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

At any given time, some lines are performing well and others are underperforming. General liability falls into the category of an underperforming line right now. As we discussed last quarter, we closely engaged with customers in the and shared our observations regarding rate and trend. I believe that the industry is improving its underwriting and claims management. In addition, underlying rate increases have accelerated to an extent that they exceeded our forecast.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

And overall, I believe progress has been encouraging. That said, at January '1, we continued our proactive management of our general liability book. We have reduced on programs where we saw greater exposure to loss trends. We expect the overall impact of these changes to our earned premium will be relatively small. They will be spread over the next several years and will be offset in part by increased rate.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

I want to briefly touch on the January '1 renewals and our outlook for 2025. Will address the renewals in greater depth, but they proceeded as expected. Property cat rates were down high single digits. We found some opportunities to grow, which should keep top line premium for property cat about flat. It's important to keep in mind that with the step change over the past few years, rates in property cat remain attractive and our reinsurance portfolio is still 1 of our best.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Finally, before I hand over the call to Bob, I wanted to address the California wildfires. The level of destruction in the affected areas is truly catastrophic. An important component of our purpose is protecting communities. By rapidly paying our claims, we hope to reduce the impact of this tragic event of the many people who have lost homes or otherwise have had their lives disrupted. David will provide more detail about the wildfires in his remarks.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

However, I would like to provide a few key observations. First, this is a tail event for the wildfire peril, both in terms of absolute dollar loss, but especially with respect to return period. While our models performed well in our assessment of return period, a loss of this magnitude implies that both our models as well as the vendor models will need to steepen the curve in the tail to better reflect the higher frequency of severe events. Second, natural catastrophe losses are becoming larger and more frequent. Of course, climate change is 1 driver of this.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

It is equally true, however, that human behavior is also contributing to growing losses. For example, a dense building with combustible materials in wild life urban interface was a major contributor to the California wildfire loss as was land management practices. We currently estimate that our pretax negative impact will be approximately 1.5% of the California wildfires aggregate insured loss. So we would expect a pretax net negative impact of $7.50,000,000 dollars based on a market loss of $50,000,000,000 This market estimate is preliminary. And due to the recency of the wildfires subject to meaningful uncertainty that could cause material variation.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

There are numerous factors contributing to the size of the market loss, including the relatively high values of the properties located in the impacted areas, including a large component of fine art and other scheduled coverages. The influence elevated demand surge is likely to have on a replacement cost values. The level of additional living expense exasperated by competition for temporary housing of a similar character to damaged properties the prevalence of smoke damage across a broad geographic area assessments for the California Fair Plan offset by potential future recoupment and finally, the potential for subrogation recoveries from the California Wildfire Fund. These factors can cause the estimated $50,000,000,000 insured market loss to shift up or down. As the market loss develops, our negative impact should vary accordingly.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

We sensitivity tested our potential exposure at different industry loss levels and our net negative impact remains around 1.5%. The industry losses we expect from the California wildfires are at a scale where we would expect them to affect supply and demand for reinsurance. The will be the third consecutive quarter of elevated catastrophe losses. Most of our U. S.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Property catastrophe programs are loss impacted. This will create increased demand for our products. We have the capital and we have the appetite to continue providing the protection that our clients and states like California clearly need. In order to do so, however, property catastrophe rates need to remain firm or even increase. Two years ago, the reinsurance market underwent a step change in pricing and terms and conditions.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

At the time, I explained that this was to the benefit of the industry as adequate rates would allow us to continue providing protection to our customers at the appropriate level, which is balance sheet protection. The California Wild loss is a good example of the value of our approach to the step change. The magnitude of loss we anticipate paying is consistent with the tail nature of this event and we were paid appropriately to protect against this risk. Since the step change, there has been much discussion regarding the relevance of reinsurance. I believe that the California wildfires once again demonstrate the continued, if not growing, value of the protection we provide our customers.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

That concludes my initial comments. I'll turn it over to Bob now to discuss our financial performance for the quarter before Dave provides a more detailed update on the renewal and our segments.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Thanks, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. Building on Kevin's opening remarks, we had a strong year with operating income of $220,000,000,0.0 which is the highest in our history and an operating return on average common equity of 23.5%. We grew tangible book value per share plus a change in accumulated dividends by 26% from the prior year. 2024 was not a low cat year. In fact, industry losses exceeded $140,000,000,000 Against this backdrop, our diversified underwriting portfolio was resilient and provided superior returns.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

In addition, we're able to achieve our strong operating results because all 3 drivers of profit outperformed. Fees and net investment income contributed more than half of our total operating income for the year. These drivers of profit tend to be relatively stable, positioning us well for 2025. I plan to spend most of my time today discussing our annual results and outlook, but would like to start with a few comments on the The was a solid end to the year and we delivered operating income of $4.00 $7,000,000 and annualized operating return on average common equity of 16%. To put this in perspective, we achieved these results on a common equity base that has more than doubled over two years to $980,000,000,0.0 As a result of mark to market losses in our investment portfolio, we reported a net loss of $199,000,000 or an annualized return on average common equity of negative 8% for the quarter.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Across 3 drivers of profit, our underwriting income was $2.00 $8,000,000 with an adjusted combined ratio of 89%. Fee income was $77,000,000 up 9% and investment income was $4.29,000,000 dollars with retained net investment income of $2.95,000,000 dollars up 15%. There are a few specific items to highlight related to these results. First, we reported a Property segment adjusted combined ratio of 69 in the This reflected a 49 percentage point impact from large events, including 42 percentage points from Hurricane Milton. As a reminder, Hurricane Milton is a event and we reported a $2.70,000,000 dollars net negative impact in our overall results.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

In addition, the Property segment was positively impacted by 37 points of favorable development. Second, we reported an adjusted combined ratio of 101% in our Casualty and Specialty business. This is driven by elevated casualty loss ratios and some specific loss activity in the quarter. We expect some volatility in this business from time to time and continue to expect an adjusted combined ratio in the mid to upper 90s on average. Third, from an investment perspective, treasury yields moved higher in the quarter, leading to $5.52,000,000 dollars in retained mark to market losses.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

This drove up our yield retained yield to maturity to 5.3% from 4.9% last quarter and should help maintain net investment income at similar levels in 2025. Given our relatively low duration portfolio, we can benefit quickly from these higher yields. And finally, moving now to capital management. As we mentioned in the last call, we freed up significant capital and liquidity last year as we brought the Validus balance business onto our platform. In the we returned some of this excess capital to shareholders, repurchasing shares worth $4.62,000,000 dollars In Jan.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

0, we purchased additional shares worth $138,000,000 So in short, we've repurchased $600,000,000 since the last time we talked to you. And since we began buying back our shares in 2024, we have repurchased shares worth $8.15,000,000 dollars at an average price of $2.50 dollars per share. We remain consistent in our approach to managing our equity capital. First, we plan to deploy it into desirable underwriting opportunities and second, return the excess to our shareholders. Even after the California wildfires, our capital and liquidity position is strong and provides us with significant flexibility and opportunity.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

As Kevin mentioned, we believe that demand for reinsurance will increase in 2025. We anticipate being able to underwrite this demand, while also repurchasing shares at attractive valuations. Turning now to our results for the year. As Kevin discussed, we delivered on the financial promises from the Validus acquisition in 2024. Underwriting income was $160,000,000,0.0 flat from the prior year, although with a higher level of catastrophic losses.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Fees were $3.27,000,000 dollars up 38 and investment income was $160,000,000,0.0 with retained net investment income of $110,000,000,0.0 up 37%. Moving now to a discussion on the 2024 results starting with underwriting, where we grew gross premiums written by 32% to $1,170,000,000,0.0 driven by our successful integration of Validus. Growth was the greatest in property catastrophe and specialty lines where risk adjusted returns have been the strongest and we were able to capture some incremental opportunities. These portfolios now make up almost 50% of our gross book. Net premiums written for the year were $10,000,000,000 up 33% and our combined ratio for the year was 84% and the adjusted combined ratio was 81.5%.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Property reported a 55% adjusted combined ratio and Casualty reported a 98% adjusted combined ratio. Shifting now to our Property segment and starting with Property Catastrophe where the twenty twenty four gross premiums written were up 40% and net premiums written were up 30%. We delivered excellent results in Property Catastrophe with an adjusted combined ratio of 32.5%. This reflected a current accident year loss ratio of thirty nine percent and twenty eight points of favorable development from prior year events. Our property catastrophe current year results included a 29 percentage point impact from large loss events in a year with the most impactful being hurricanes Helene and Milton.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Moving now to other property where gross premiums written were up 29% and net premiums written were up 28%. Net premiums earned were $150,000,000,0.0 up 12%. In the we expect net premiums earned of approximately $3.75,000,000 dollars For the year, the adjusted combined ratio for other property was 88%. This reflected a current accident year loss ratio of sixty nine percent and eleven percentage points of favorable development. The current year results include a 17 percentage point impact from large loss events in the year with the most significant being Hurricane Millen.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Next quarter, we continue to expect an attritional loss ratio in the low 50s. Turning now to our Casualty and Specialty segment, where gross and net premiums written were up thirty percent and thirty six percent, respectively. In 2024, net premiums earned were $620,000,000,0.0 up 43%. In the we expect casualty and specialty net premiums earned of about $150,000,000,0.0 Our casualty and specialty adjusted combined ratio was 98% in 2024. The current accident year loss ratio ticked up through the year as we prudently increased our initial loss ratios to reflect trend in general liability.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Going forward, we expect a casualty and specialty adjusted compounding ratio in the mid to upper 90s. Moving now to our second driver of profit, fee income generated by our capital partner business where fees for the year were $3.27,000,000 dollars up 38% with strong growth in both management and performance fees. Management fees were $2.19,000,000 dollars up 24% largely because of growth in our third party vehicles, DaVinci and Fontana. Twenty twenty four also included some fee recapture from prior years that were impacted by catastrophic events. We generally expect a run rate of around $50,000,000 in management fees per quarter.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

This will be less than this at around $45,000,000 as a result of the California wildfires, but we will recapture the difference over time. Performance fees in 2024 were $107,000,000 up 78% due to strong performance across our Capital Partners vehicles. Performance fees dipped slightly in the compared to due to losses from Hurricane Milton, but were partially offset by favorable development. Looking ahead to next quarter, we expect performance fees to be down significantly given the impact of the wildfires. Moving now to our third driver of profit were investments.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Our average investments our average retained investment assets grew over the year by $5,000,000,000 to $23,000,000,000 Retained net investment income was $110,000,000,0.0 up 37% this year. There was significant volatility in treasury yields from quarter to quarter, but overall our mark to market was about flat for the year. Similarly, our retained yield to maturity stayed relatively flat compared to December '23 at 5.3%. We have increased in duration, however, over the year from three point two years to three point four years. Retained net investment income has increased every quarter this year starting at $2.67,000,000 dollars in the and ending at $2.95,000,000 dollars in the Yields have held up well and we expect our investment portfolio to continue providing a relatively consistent level of income in 2025.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Next quarter, we anticipate that the retained net investment income will be about flat to the Next, moving to expenses where operating expense ratio was 4.9% for the year, which was flat compared to 2023. The was higher than this with an average of 6.2% driven by performance related compensation expenses and increased headcount. At 2025, we expect to hold operating expense ratio relatively flat to the 2024 average. Corporate expenses were relatively flat year over year at 135000000 60 2 million dollars of this relates to transaction related expenses from Validus, which are excluded from operating income. These transaction related expenses have been tapering off.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

In the corporate expenses were $34,000,000 with $16,000,000 related to transaction expenses. We are not expecting significant transaction related expenses in 2025. Finally, an update on tax. As we have previously discussed, the Bermuda government has implemented a 15% corporate income tax starting in 2025 in response to the OECD global minimum tax. We will begin accruing for this tax on our owned Bermuda balance sheet in the As a reminder, we are carrying a deferred tax asset related to the economic transition adjustment provided for in Bermuda legislation.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

This is currently valued at $6.70,000,000 dollars In January 2025, the OECD released some additional guidance related to the minimum tax rules. This guidance would need to be adopted and implemented by member countries before it takes effect. Further, a recent United States executive order has introduced additional uncertainty to the global minimum tax regime. Mostly monitoring any potential impacts from these new developments. However, we will be accruing a tax expense or benefit on our Bermuda balance sheets in 2025 and will also be able to benefit from the DTA in the near term.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

And finally, in conclusion, we delivered solid results for the capping off an excellent year with strong contributions from all 3 drivers of profit. We believe that the momentum across our 3 drivers will persist with income from our attractive, diversified underwriting portfolio and persistent fee and net investment income. Our strong capital position should enable us to capture emerging underwriting opportunities, while at the same time repurchasing shares at attractive valuations. In summary, we are in an excellent position to continue generating value for our shareholders. And with that, I'll turn the call over now to David.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Thanks, Bob, and good morning, everyone. Our thoughts are with all those affected by the wildfires in Los Angeles this month. Our team is paying claims quickly and helping clients understand and manage through this catastrophe so that people can begin to rebuild their lives. The California wildfires have impacted entire communities. They are the costliest in history as well as the likely top 5 insured loss for natural perils.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

We have the strength in capital and liquidity to absorb our portion of this loss and are prepared to deploy additional capacity to support our customers as the market reacts to these catastrophes. Looking forward, we expect an improving market for property catastrophe reinsurance with upward pressure on rates and new opportunities to deploy capacity to support our customers. As Kevin mentioned, we have now seen 3 large catastrophes in the last three quarters. Seventy five percent of our U. S.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Property next six months and most are loss impacted. We were already expecting about $10,000,000,000 in new demand coming to the market this year. We now expect this demand to increase as companies review their reinsurance needs and likely purchase backup covers for the remainder of the year. Kevin spoke about our estimate of a 50000000000 aggregate industry loss for the California wildfires. We expect the reinsurance portion of this to come from a few different areas.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

First, wildfire is typically a covered peril and catastrophe excess of lost towers. The California wildfires will exceed retentions for many nationwide players and could exhaust the towers of some California insurers. Should that happen, some treaty language may allow insurers to treat the fires as 2 separate events. However, were they to do so, they would need to take 2 retentions. Second, many reinsurance treaties cover assessments related to the California Fair Plan, the state run insurer of last resort.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Third, some large losses, both from high value homes and commercial properties will be ceded to the reinsurance market through quota share and per risk treaties. This will impact our other property book. And finally, there could be losses to the casualty market through third party liability or losses to the specialty market from collectibles and fine arts. As with every large event, our underwriting and risk sciences teams are working closely together to update our catastrophe models to reflect what we have learned. At the upcoming renewals, we will be ready to deploy capacity, but only if prices are commensurate with the additional risk we will assume.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Now moving to a discussion of our 2024 underwriting performance and January '1 renewals. As Kevin and Bob explained, we had an outstanding year, which culminated in the successful January '1 renewal. I'm proud of what our team accomplished and I'm excited about the opportunities ahead of us as we begin 2025. We aim to be a first call market for our clients and differentiate ourselves through the leadership role we play, the expertise we bring and our partnership approach. This means that we provide lead market quotes and significant capacity, present an experienced team focused on finding solutions to our clients' risk challenges and clearly communicate our risk appetite and ensure consistent pricing and delivery of capacity across segments and product lines.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Being a true partner to our clients requires a high level of coordination and planning across underwriting teams. We stand apart in our ability to do this. In 2024, our clients rewarded us through their support in retaining the combined Renaissance III and Validus underwriting portfolios. In doing so, we deepened our partnerships and grew our portfolio more than 30% into an attractive underwriting market. We also differentiated ourselves at the Jan.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

1, 2025 renewal and achieved our goals. We deployed property catastrophe capacity with key clients, effectively communicated our risk appetite well in advance of renewal and followed through with a high level of consistency. In many cases, markets were oversubscribed, but we achieved our targeted signings across property, casualty and specialty. As a result, we were able to construct an underwriting portfolio that leads the market in expected profitability and offers shareholders attractive diversified earnings from our 3 drivers of profit. Providing a few comments on property specifically.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

As we expected at January '1, demand increased at the top end of programs, but we also saw competition for attractive placements. Overall, we experienced rate reductions of around 8% with top layers down more and bottom layers down less. Retention is held and terms and conditions were stable. We held our lines and grew on some targeted accounts, should result in property cap gross written premium flat despite rate decreases and a portfolio that is similarly attractive to those we have constructed over the last two years. As I mentioned earlier, we expect that the recent catastrophe events will increase growth opportunities across our property portfolio in a strong rate environment.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

We are in a preferential position to access this attractive business just like we did through 2024 and at the most recent renewal. Moving to Casualty and Specialty and starting with Specialty, where about 3 quarters of our portfolio renewed at January '1. We are an established fleet market in Specialty lines having grown the book 58% year over year to $250,000,000,0.0 The specialty market continues to enjoy favorable underlying conditions. While we saw increased competition at the January '1 renewal, we achieved favorable signings and held our lines with rates off marginally. We did choose to shrink in Cyber, where performance has been strong, but rates are declining.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Now turning to credit, which similar to Specialty remains attractive. We continue to have appetite for this business and achieved our target growth on some key programs at oneone. Moving to Casualty. At the January '1 renewal, we kept the majority of our portfolio, although we reduced lines on some treaties where exposure to loss inflation is greatest. Kevin spoke about the challenges in The U.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

S. General liability market. There is broad recognition that this business needs to improve to keep up with loss inflation. Insurers made good progress in the quarter by accelerating rate increases and improving their claims handling and defense against an aggressive plaintiff's bar. We are optimistic insurers will continue to improve in 2025, which should have a positive effect on the profitability of future underwriting years, while also benefiting prior year claims.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

As we've discussed, casualty business needs to

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

be managed over a ten year cycle. While we aim to generate an underwriting profit every quarter in casualty and specialty, this quarter we reported a small loss. This was from our current accident year loss ratio and is within the range of potential volatility that we may experience. Our prior accident year loss ratio was stable this quarter. The acceleration in general liability trends have been offset by favorable trends in other lines of business such as professional liability, marine and energy, cyber and credit.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Now I would like to take a moment to explain the value of a diversified underwriting portfolio and how it contributes to the overall profitability of the organization. Each of our financial segments have different risk and volatility profiles and contribute in distinct but equally important ways to our 3 drivers of profit. Property is more volatile and produces more underwriting profit in good years. It also generates substantial fee income from partner capital. Casualty and Specialty on the other hand is less volatile generating a smaller but more predictable underwriting result as well as some fee income from Montana.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Its largest contribution in today's market conditions however is to our investment income due to the considerable flow it generates from our loss reserves. Diversification in loss reserves is equally important to diversification in the underwriting portfolio and critical to our portfolio management approach. Some risks are event based and manifest within the year. Some have longer duration and are only known once claims work through the court system. We consider this mix when we construct our inwards portfolio, manage the net mix with ceded reinsurance and apply our reserving process to establish reserves that are resilient to adverse trends if they arise.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Our portfolio management, diversification in reserves and robust reserving process has provided us with stability in Casualty and Specialty allowing the segment to remain a substantial contributor to operating ROE on both the quarterly basis and especially over the course of the year. This diversification has also been beneficial when certain classes or underwriting years experienced increasing trends and needed more reserves, like general liability in the soft market years 2014 to 2018. More recently, we increased our recent years in general liability to reflect accelerating loss trends. In other classes, we are seeing positive trends and favorable loss emergence such as the recent years in professional liability, cyber and credit. Even if current trends continue, however, we do not have an over concentration in any 1 line of business and I am comfortable with our Casualty and Specialty Reserve position.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

We will certainly experience some movement up or down within different lines. This is the nature of the business and all part of managing a diversified undirected book. And with that, I'll turn it back to Kevin.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Thanks. So summing up our prepared comments, our performance in 2024, both financial and strategic, was outstanding. We delivered excellent profitability to our shareholders through each of our 3 drivers of profit. In addition, we completed our integration of Validus and retained the combined portfolio. Overall, reinsurance rates remain attractive, our fee generating business remains healthy and our investment returns remain elevated.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

As a result, we expect to continue delivering outstanding shareholder value over the course of 2025. And with that, I'll open it up for questions.

[Operator]

Thank

[Operator]

Our first question will come from Elyse Greenspan with Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

[Elyse Greenspan, Managing Director at Wells Fargo Securities]

Hi, thanks. Good morning. My first question is on Casualty Specialty. The combined ratio, adjusted combined ratio rate trended higher and over 100% in the So I just want to spend more time on why that doesn't change your forward outlook for the business. If I remember last quarter, you said you guys were taking action based on discussions with clients and you had upped the guide to the mid to high 90s.

[Elyse Greenspan, Managing Director at Wells Fargo Securities]

So I just want to more understand why the weaker in GL, does it make you want to be more conservative with the booking of Specialty Casualty going forward?

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. Thanks, Elyse. So if we look at the quarter, our loss ratio for the year ranged between 6569%. Ultimately, we had a profitable year in casualty specialty and we had favorable development. I think your question really is focused on the GL line, which is where most of the attention has been coming lately.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

If we look at what we've done on the GL side, so we've been using a trend of about 10% to 12% for some period of time. So we feel pretty comfortable with that. And instead thinking about the way in which we bring business onto the platform, so thinking about where the reserves are really requires us to go back to think about the underwriting as well. From an underwriting perspective, so within GL, so we are targeting what we believe to be the best accounts within the sub lines within GL. We're trying to avoid the lines where we have seen or where the market has seen the biggest problematic.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

So we've been underweight in auto and we reduced our cash sorry, our excess casualty portfolio several years ago. So when I think about where the portfolio is, the balance of risk that we're assuming, the construction of the portfolio and the underwriting discipline we've had in the combination of risk within the casualty portfolio. I feel good about the guidance that we have and I'm proud of the way in which we've managed the portfolio and comfortable with the reserves. Dave, I can.

[Elyse Greenspan, Managing Director at Wells Fargo Securities]

Okay.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. I can just add to that. I mean everything we're seeing on the underwriting side adds comfort to where we are with the portfolio decisions we've made and the way we've reserved each class. At oneone, we did engage with customers and we got a lot more information on very optimistic that rates are improving that will lead to improvements, but that will take time and we'll wait for the business to season for that to come through before we reflect that in what we're booking. But the rate they're getting and then the way that they're managing claims is definitely a differentiator, which will lead to improvements in the future.

[Elyse Greenspan, Managing Director at Wells Fargo Securities]

Thanks. And then my follow-up is on property cat. You guys, David, right, you said 75% of your U. S. Property cat book renews over the next six months and most is loss impacted.

[Elyse Greenspan, Managing Director at Wells Fargo Securities]

So with the fires, right, I thought, right, some of this is nationwide, right, some might be more specific, right, to Florida companies. But does most of your, I guess, California business, where you're going to be impacted renew during or would it be a renewal? I'm just trying to get a sense of do you think this will impact pricing during renewals in 2025, 06/00? Is it a combination of both?

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. Hi, Elyse, this is David. The California specifics that was this event will is large enough to impact some nationwide and the California specifics. The renewals is a mix of Florida nationwide and California specifics. That's all embedded in the numbers we gave.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Only a relatively small portion of the pure U. S. Exposed accounts are new at oneone. So most of those are to come in the and will be loss impacted. And so we do expect the rate that we saw, the competition that we saw at oneone that drove rates down still trading around a high level, we think that will reverse and we'll see better opportunities going into the renewals.

[Elyse Greenspan, Managing Director at Wells Fargo Securities]

Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. Our next question will come from Josh Shanker with Bank of America. Your line is open.

[Joshua Shanker, Managing Director & Equity Analyst at Bank of America Securities]

Yes. Thank you. I guess there will be a lot of casualty questions on this call. Obviously, you know that 1 of your competitors took a large charge, at least they preannounced a charge a couple of days ago. And when investors are looking at this higher loss taken casually, they are immediately suspicious because it's in target.

[Joshua Shanker, Managing Director & Equity Analyst at Bank of America Securities]

You said in your previous remarks that it's going to be volatile. There will be large losses as there were this quarter that move it around. And I know you don't want to get in the habit of talking about individual losses on every call. But given that this is so at attention right now, is there any detail that you can give about the unique losses in the quarter that might help investors to understand the run rate versus what is the volatility?

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Hey, this is David. I'll start with that. The way we think about it, so what we're seeing in some of that of the movement between classes are really outcomes of the business we run-in the process that we run. First, we construct the portfolio to create the best expected return. And most of our customers buy across different classes across the segments and within the segments.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

So that's we have several different reserving classes. When we run our reserving process, we'll set initial picks, we'll monitor how things emerge and adjust to the news that comes in. We talk about we take bad news quicker than good news. That's all going on in the normal course of business. We don't book where our clients book.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

So just what we see in the market doesn't necessarily mean that we're going to see that as well. The movements that we're seeing are the outcomes of that process and nothing we're seeing on the underwriting side or out in the public domain gives us any more concern about where we are and that the outcomes of that process are a good representation of the book.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

I think, Josh, one I agree with everything that Dave said is that I think the question you're asking is what is signal and what is noise. There was some noise in the quarter with Juju Airlines and things that came through the Casualty Specialty, but we they're relatively small. I think when we think about what signal are we giving you from the market, what we said is we're already and have been using a 10% to 12% depending on the subclass within GL as our trend. We're seeing rates at 15%. So we're seeing it dialogue and the market response be above the trend.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

We've historically said we think about the casualty market over ten years. So if you think about the fact that the casualty market is in a period of challenge, but rates are above trend, 1 should expect that as long as the rate that the primary companies are getting continues above trend, the market should continue to improve. So as we think about managing the portfolio, 1 of the things we're highly focused on is making sure clients are applying the better claim management that they've that we discussed with them and talked to you about last year. That affects both current year and prior year. We're seeing that and that the rate enhancement that they're getting on the primary book continues to flow through.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

So the signal that we're sending is trend is up, rate is up and rate is above trend, which is a positive sign for where the market is.

[Joshua Shanker, Managing Director & Equity Analyst at Bank of America Securities]

Well, thank you for that. And I think everybody, all 3 of you have sort of said that you have comfort with the position of the reserve portfolio there. In the quarter, the reserve releases were ambivalent and captioning specialty and they were slightly favorable in the year overall. I'm just curious, you've seen other competitors and other companies release a bunch of specialty reserves that are shorter tail and fortify the longer tail years. And when it comes to us on a GAAP basis or reported basis, it looks like it's negligible, but there are big movements.

[Joshua Shanker, Managing Director & Equity Analyst at Bank of America Securities]

In terms of have you been fortifying the CAFD reserves? We'll see it obviously I think when we look at the K and it gets filed. But has there been fortification of the longer tail reserves offset by reserve releases on the shorter tail line? Or has really the book as a whole been proceeding as you guys reserved for a year ago?

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. It's a good question and it is something the Schedule fees will provide transparency for and have provided transparency for. So obviously, we're managing a reinsurance platform, but we reported in segments. With that, there's a lot of transparency that we provide. The answer to your question, just to be clear, is yes.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

We've had favorable development in many of the shorter tail specialty lines and we've added to the 2 casualty. That does not to say that we're moving 1 reserve to the other. We have 50 or 60 reserving classes within casualty specialty. 1 of the ways in which you manage a portfolio like that is you need to get the right balance of short tail, long tail risks and a right diversification of the types of exposure that are coming in. At any given time, 1 class is having favorable development and another class maybe having either in a quarter or on a trend some adverse development.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

From a casualty perspective, we have added to that. We feel like that's been the right decision. From a specialty and from a property, which is a different segment, we've had favorable development. But overall, we're looking at our job is to think about the overall reserve pool. And the overall reserve pool is in a place where we feel abundantly comfortable.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

And we're seeing in the PROMOS problem class, which is GL, we're seeing a lot of things to feel optimistic about. Dave?

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. Just Rita, as I said in my prepared remarks, we're seeing favorable trends even within the Casualty and Specialty segment from most other classes of business. So professional liability, which is more medium tail, cyber, which is kind of

[Operator]

you. Our next question will come from Mike Zaremski with BMO. Your line is now open.

[Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets]

Hey, good morning.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Good morning.

[Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets]

I'm

[Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets]

going to go back to Casualty Specialty, sorry to belabor this, but the stock is moving on it. So I feel like some of the things you're saying are a bit counterintuitive. I'm not saying they're wrong in explaining it. Just saying maybe different from what other companies do. So to unpack that, so you're saying the loss trend environment is at 10% to 12% and pricing is improving and claims handling is improving, but you're also you've been picking at a worse loss pick.

[Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets]

And I think you're also saying you unlike others, you're not taking reserve charges, just you're just changing a loss pick higher on a prospective basis. So I hope it makes sense, but why would you not be taking some charges or adding reserves to that class? And why prospectively are you saying margins are going to be worse if things are turning for the better?

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. Sorry that we're presenting this in a confusing way because we don't feel confused and we feel quite confident. When I think about what the question that you're asking is, you're basically asking why did we push up the current year ILR. And I think that is in recognition of what I said is we need to have rates continue. So thinking about the current year, there is uncertainty.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

So we're adding a buffer of concern to the loss ratio because we need to make sure that the affirmative behavior we're seeing today persists. So I think there's an extrapolation that's going on that because of that we think the world is worse. We just think that there is volatility on uncertainty and we want to reflect that at the starting point of our underwriting. Ultimately, if the markets continue to exhibit the behavior that we'll have that will come back through prior year favorable. But right now, we think it's prudent to be disciplined in recognizing the uncertainty in the market and recognizing the need that the current behavior needs to continue for us to feel comfortable that we're getting the margin that we're observing if we only look at a snapshot for

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

today.

[Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets]

Okay. Okay. That helps, Kevin.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Sure.

[Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets]

Switching gears to Property, and I think you might have touched on some of this in in the prepared remarks, but margins are excellent. And specifically prior year development, I'm guessing this is probably 1 of the biggest ones in a long time, but for the year as well. Consensus, and I'm typically I'm guilty of this as well, we typically see the big releases and we kind of fade releases on a forward basis very materially. So, you know, Wren and others don't get the benefit if this is a trend. So, I don't know if you wanted to add any color.

[Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets]

What were the releases the last couple of quarters, this quarter just very unique or any color would be helpful? Thank you.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Let me try and start that off giving you kind of context on our process. As these events occur, we have information which will give us on total insured values. We have models that reflect what the impact on that would be based on given events, whether it's wind, flood, fire or anything else in that matter, our models will reflect some outcome. We also have information from our seeds and active conversations and go on. So what they reflect is our best estimate.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

And our best estimates also reflect degrees of uncertainty. But then over time, the degrees of uncertainty or our best estimates get better. So what you see unfolding is a process on how we think about approaching our large cap events and the reserving process. We look at these each quarter and annually as we go through it. And so what you see is a refinement.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

There is some adverse mixed in there, but there's a lot more obviously that you can see as an outcome as it being positive.

[Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets]

And just as a quick follow-up on that then. So I guess our take is that Wren historically has been very conservative on its booking. Has that margin of conservatism, is that widened out? Like for example, when we see you are using a $50,000,000,000 loss of the California wildfires and other sources are staying kind of closer to $30,000,000,000 So we're kind of assuming your rent is just being naturally conservative, but is there a greater degree you're saying of conservatism you've been using recently versus historical?

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. So let me answer that in a macro way and then specifically on the wildfire. So on a macro perspective, nothing has changed. We have a good process. It's a ground up process.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

We go through account by account, look at what we believe the exposure is. We talk to clients. We get their loss information. We make an assessment, check it against the model and come up with our assessment. This the reason we are reporting this loss as a market share is because the fires are largely under control, but this is a very recent event.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

There has been limited access to the most affected zip codes. I think it just lifted up earlier this week where they're increasing a little bit of the access for more specific settlement. We do have primary company information. With that though, we do believe that this specific loss is a loss in which we have tolerance for greater variability because of the lack of access that has occurred so far. We think 50 is a reasonable estimate with the information that has been given to us to date and with the modeling that we have done.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

We wanted to provide a tool for you to make an assessment should the market begin to see the losses smaller or larger that as we sensitivity tested this. So we didn't go in with a market share. We did a bottom up analysis. But as we sensitivity tested it as if it's slid up a little bit or slid down a little bit, we stayed at about 1.5%. So the answer to your question is nothing has changed, but there is a greater probability of variability from this $50,000,000,000 than what we would normally produce because of the recency of the event, the limited access and the complications of it being in California.

[Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets]

Very helpful.

[Operator]

Our next question will come from the line of Meyer Shields at KBW. Please go ahead.

[Meyer Shields, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)]

Great. Thanks. Just a couple of very quick questions. First, I guess this is a question for Kevin. How far back like you acknowledge that some of the general liability older accident years reserves needed some strengthening.

[Meyer Shields, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)]

How far back does that go?

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

I would say, let's divide it into the way the market has traditionally thought about it. There's kind of the soft market years, which were probably '14 to 1819 something like that. For us, our portfolio is relatively small. And then with the transactions that we did, we had substantial protections for the soft market years within the portfolios that we acquired. So going from 2019 forward, I would say that's where our focus has been with when I'm talking about the 10% to 12% and where we've added to the reserves.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

23% is probably too green to talk about. So if you were getting more specific, it's probably 2019, '20 '20, '20 '20 01/00, '20 '20 02/00 something like that.

[Meyer Shields, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)]

Okay, perfect. That's what I was hoping to hear. And just on the oneone renewal, I was hoping you could comment on rate changes for loss impacted accounts and RenRe's appetite writing aggregate covers.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. Hey, Meyer, this is David. So at oneone, like we talked about, there was some increased competition, which led to rates going down. I think I would point out that earlier in the process of the renewal process, rates were more flat, but as supply got pushed into the market rates started to come under more pressure. So there wasn't as much differentiation also with loss impacted accounts because there are far fewer of the one1s were loss impacted.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

If you think about the nature of the events that were losses at that time, it was Helene and Milton, which impacted a lot of the Florida domestics. Many of those are sixone accounts in So that wasn't as much the differentiation. There aggregate covers used to be placed in much more scale pre the step change. Post the step change, there are a couple out there, but they're all attached at remote attachment points. So they don't provide the volatility that would have been the case pre the step change.

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

So there are a handful of those out there. We do write them as long as we think we're getting the right return on capital for those and that they attach at the right level.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

And many of those

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

have been aggregates for a long time. They're large company structured aggregates. They're not the same aggregates that were the problems of back in four years ago.

[Meyer Shields, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)]

Okay. Just to follow-up on that if I can. How worried should we be given that in we got a $50,000,000,000 loss?

[David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer at RenaissanceRe]

So that's something we look at when we think about our risk appetite into wind season and we'll structure the portfolio with that in mind. It's not something that concerns us because we have good transparency into that and we'll figure out how to structure the portfolio with that in mind.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

It's actually can be it may it's 1 of the things that's going to we talked about is the supplydemand dynamics. If those losses if those contracts are more loss controlled, we'll have great transparency. We're in a very strong capital position. We're able to move into the market with confidence. It would potentially reduce the supply for others going into wind season, which will create more opportunities for us.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Us.

[Meyer Shields, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)]

Okay, fantastic. Thank you so much. Yes, thanks.

[Operator]

Brian Meredith with UBS, you have our next question.

[Brian Meredith, Managing Director at UBS Securities LLC]

Yes, thanks. Just to follow-up my question there just to maybe understand this. Do you think that the loss is going to have an impact on call it non California exposed programs like Florida and stuff from a renewal perspective?

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Florida is going to go up because of Milton. So we're a smaller player there, but the degree of optimism for Florida. I think we're saying that there is a reversal of the reduction. So we're looking at flat right now. Part of it is, we've got the where we're going to be talking to clients and understanding what their capacity needs are, are they buying backups, do they need more top end cover.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

And none of this really comes up to the So what we're looking at is, we've got an opportunity to learn a lot more about how rates are going to change, but we're going in from a strong rating environment with capacity to bring to clients that have suffered losses and will solve their problems, but we're going to solve them at the level of margin that we require to put our capacity out.

[Brian Meredith, Managing Director at UBS Securities LLC]

Got you. Makes sense. And then second, I'm just curious with all the demand that's probably going to come through for backup covers and stuff, but obviously a pretty meaningful loss, I'm assuming to your JVs also. Do you need to go out and kind of raise more capital there? Maybe you can explain to us again how that all works in like a DaVinci or some of the other ones?

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. They're all well capitalized. As you know, other than Upsilon, most of our vehicles are rated. So top layer is not impacted. Vermeer is in a very strong capital position.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

We're already talking to them about our deployment into the year. DaVinci would have had a dividend come back. We may have redeployed the dividend back into the balance sheet, but there's no capital issue with DaVinci. Upsilon is probably largely unaffected because the much of the retro didn't have wildfire coverage. Medici is largely in good place.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Fontana is doing fine because it's obviously not protecting the property portfolio. So as I look across it, if you go back the challenges that others have had in the ILS market, we really never suffered from. We've had good access. And right now we're in a strong capital position and the way the deals are structured, we should be in pretty good shape going through 2025.

[Brian Meredith, Managing Director at UBS Securities LLC]

Terrific. Thank you.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

Sure.

[Operator]

Our next question today will come from David Motameden at Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

[David Motemaden, Managing Director & Sr. Equity Research Analyst - Insurance & Business Services at Evercore ISI]

Hey, thanks for squeezing me in. I'll just leave it at 1 question, just on casualty and specialty. So it sounds like you guys have started to recognize some adverse reserve development on the recent accident years in general casualty, which I believe is new. So I just was hoping you could confirm that because I think last quarter you had expressed some confidence in not moving off your development curves on accident years 2020 through 2022. And I think you guys have dropped your picks in accident year 2021.

[David Motemaden, Managing Director & Sr. Equity Research Analyst - Insurance & Business Services at Evercore ISI]

So I'm just wondering like what happened this quarter that resulted in you starting to recognize some adverse on the more recent years and how we should think about the potential or how confident you guys are in that you've sort of closed the book on that?

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Let me try and thanks for the question. Let me try and unpack that and clarify, actually restate what we say what we said about the current accident year. That's the current accident year has had some volatility and noise that Kevin talked about. If you look back and I think it was commented here earlier about our Schedule Ps from last year and what you're going to see put out there, you're going to see trade offs between the general liability has increased in those years that we've mentioned, but you can see offsets that are coming from the shorter tail. So this is all being reflected down in the prior year, not in the current year.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

And that's the focus that we've been seeing. So that's not something that's happened this quarter. This goes on with 50 or 60 different classes of business. You're going to see puts and takes across it. And that's the balance of a diversified portfolio that David was talking about.

[David Motemaden, Managing Director & Sr. Equity Research Analyst - Insurance & Business Services at Evercore ISI]

Okay, got it. I guess I'll look for the K

[David Motemaden, Managing Director & Sr. Equity Research Analyst - Insurance & Business Services at Evercore ISI]

to come out. I was just looking, I see adverse on and prior and then releases on 2020 through 2022 at least in the K last year, but I guess that's total casualty and specialty. So that does not break out specifically general casualty. So any sort of detail you guys could provide on that, that would be helpful.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

What we're talking to is what you're going to see in the Schedule Ps that are coming out, which will break up the occurrence and claims based reserves that we have out there, which you'll see the puts and takes in that on our U. S. Balance sheets that we have.

[David Motemaden, Managing Director & Sr. Equity Research Analyst - Insurance & Business Services at Evercore ISI]

Got it. I'll be looking for that. Thank you.

[Operator]

Alex Scott at Barclays. Please go ahead with your question.

[Alex Scott, Insurance Research Analyst at Barclays]

Hey, thanks for fitting me in. First one I had is just to see if you could put a little more color around the estimated California wildfire loss. And in particular, it's always tricky from the outside trying to understand the way that the gross loss comes in and how it affects the business you're retaining versus what's in the vehicles and sort of moves out to the NCI. If you could help us think through what the how it translates to expected total loss and what we should expect to see in the actual P and L and so forth?

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Yes. I mean, let me give you kind of a mechanical view of that. It starts with our industry loss that we look at, but that's based on what I said earlier on the insured values that we understand. So it comes down to a gross loss number that we would reflect. Now we have ceded, so we'll reduce that by the ceded and that will come out of it.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

We'll adjust it for reinstatement premiums and other costs that would go into it. So that's where you would see it follow through on a managed basis for our current accident year loss. And you'll see that reconciliation, not necessarily from the gross, but from the net of what gross loss minus ceded, then you'll see the reinstatement premiums. Then what we do is we get down to the NCI impact. We'll take out DaVinci share, which they have a piece that goes into that based on their underwriting and what we share with them and that's about 50% on that piece of it and then it goes down to the third party.

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

It nets down in a series of steps that ultimately is the ceded that comes out of the underwriting managed, ultimately also within the net NCI that comes out that we show in our supplemental. That's a very mechanical, happy to take you through that offline. You can kind of see that when you look at our net negative table that we put out in the releases and you'll see that in our K.

[Alex Scott, Insurance Research Analyst at Barclays]

Got it. Okay, that's helpful. And the follow-up question I had is just on the comfort and performance of like the Tokyo Millennium piece of the reserve specifically, a bit more developed at this point. So interested in if that's still showing any kind of movement and if you provide any I can't recall where the Tokyo ADC is. So if you could update us on that?

[Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO at RenaissanceRe]

Yes, we haven't really talked specifically. We have capacity on it, but we're five point five years into that. So a lot of that's largely developed. There's still some left to develop, but we're still comfortable where we are with that contract and we still have some small room left on it.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

And the good news is that book is largely developed at this point. So we have room contracts still in force. We have a great relationship with Tokyo.

[Alex Scott, Insurance Research Analyst at Barclays]

Thank you.

[Operator]

And that was our final question for our session this morning. I'm happy to turn the floor back to Mr. O'Donnell for any additional or closing remarks that you have, sir.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

So, thank you for joining today's call. Obviously, we are proud of the performance that we had last year. We appreciate your questions on the wildfire. There's uncertainty with that event. We think we've done our best work to come up with a way to parameterize the loss and understand it.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

And from the casualty and specialty portfolio, it's a difficult time in the market. I recognize there's a lot of signals that are being absorbed from investors from others. From an unearning perspective, we've done the right things in structuring the portfolio. And from a reserving perspective, we have a very practical lens on this. We've had good transparency on the trend.

[Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO at RenaissanceRe]

We've used a good development factor on the portfolio and we feel comfortable with where we are. With that, we'd like to thank you for being on today's call and we look forward to talking to you after the close of the

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference and we thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.

Participants

Executives

• Keith McCue, Senior Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations
• Kevin O’Donnell, President & CEO
• Robert Qutub, Executive VP & CFO
• David Marra, Executive VP & Group Chief Underwriting Officer

Analysts

• Elyse Greenspan, Managing Director at Wells Fargo Securities
• Joshua Shanker, Managing Director & Equity Analyst at Bank of America Securities
• Michael Zaremski, Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets
• Meyer Shields, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)
• Brian Meredith, Managing Director at UBS Securities LLC
• David Motemaden, Managing Director & Sr. Equity Research Analyst - Insurance & Business Services at Evercore ISI
• Alex Scott, Insurance Research Analyst at Barclays