Beazer Homes USA Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Beazer Homes Earnings Conference Call for the First Quarter and Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2024. Today's call is being recorded and a replay will be available on the company's website later today.

Operator

In addition, PowerPoint slides intended to accompany this call are available in the Investor Relations section of the company's website at www.beazer.com. At this point, I will turn the call over to David Goldberg, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Thank you. Good afternoon and welcome to the Beazer Homes conference call discussing our results for the Q1 of fiscal 2025. Before we begin, you should be aware that during this call, we will be making forward looking statements. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors described in our SEC filings, which may cause actual results to differ materially from our projections. Any forward looking statement speaks only as of the date this statement is made.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

We do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward looking statement whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. New factors emerge from time to time and it's simply not possible to predict all such factors. Joining me today is Alan Merrill, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. On our call today, Alan will discuss highlights from our Q1 results, the recent environment for new home sales, actions we're taking to improve performance as it relates to our fiscal year 2025 outlook and the significant progress we're making towards our multi year goals. I will then provide detailed guidance for our Q2 results, an update on our outlook for the full fiscal year and end with a discussion of our land position, liquidity and our commitment to generating double digit returns.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Alan will conclude with a wrap up after which we will take any questions in the remaining time.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

I will now turn the call over to Alan. Thanks Dave and thank you for joining us on our call this afternoon. We had a profitable and productive Q1 that positions us to achieve both our full year outlook and our multi year goals. Despite experiencing an uneven sales environment and having to defer the closing of nearly 50 homes in backlog, there are 3 highlights from the quarter that demonstrate real progress toward our growth and profitability ambitions.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

The base of our business is expanding. Our ending community count was up nearly 20% versus the prior year, which allowed us to increase both sales and closings compared to last year. We also grew our active lot position by about 10%, providing visibility into further community count growth both this year and next. Our balance sheet is more efficient liquidity is improving. 59% of our lot position is now controlled through options, up from 53% last year.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

This growth in option lots leverages our investment in land, improving returns and mitigating risk. On the funding side, subsequent to quarter end, we upsized our revolver by more than 20%, providing ample seasonal liquidity to accommodate more communities and more homes under production. Our 0 energy ready homes are gaining momentum. These homes represented more than 85% of our sales during the quarter, up from 43% in last year's Q1. As our sales and closings have ramped up, we've reduced the cost to achieve the DOE standard by several $1,000 per home.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Although homebuyer affordability is likely to remain the key challenge throughout the year, we're optimistic about the longer term outlook for new home sales and our growth prospects specifically. Having noted the highlights, it's important we acknowledge that we missed both our sales and closings guidance for the quarter, something we're not accustomed to doing. I'll tell you what happened and what we're doing about it. On the sales side, the strength we experienced in October with paces up sharply over the prior year softened in November and became materially weaker in December. As a result, we sold fewer homes and had to spend more on incentives for the sales we made.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

While our Q1 is our lowest volume quarter of the year, it is also the most difficult to predict because it occurs during many other builders' year ends. Unsurprisingly, the most challenging markets were in Texas and Florida where higher inventory levels led to sluggish sales and more aggressive incentives. Our absorption rate in many other markets including California, Nevada and the Mid Atlantic held up much better. Weaker than expected sales obviously played a role in our closings miss. But separately, we had to push out 47 closings from the quarter as we dealt with some unique utility issues, labor availability in Houston and meter availability in California.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

The ASPs and margins on these deferred closings would have really helped Q1 results. The good news is we don't expect these issues to persist and all of these homes are now scheduled to close this spring. That's a summary of what happened. Now let's turn to what we're doing to improve results. I'll share 4 initiatives that are already well underway.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

First, we're activating more than 60 new communities before year end. That's the largest 9 month community launch effort in our recent history. Over the past 3 fiscal years, we've activated more than 150 communities and we've gotten better at it over time. By building deep, qualified VIP interest lists, updating elevations and floor plans and including the most relevant design features, we expect to generate robust grand opening sales activity in these new communities. 2nd, we're making mortgage financing for to be built homes more compelling.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

To be built homes let our buyers personalize their home and they consistently carry higher margins. But short term mortgage incentives tied to specs that can close right away have suppressed demand for homes that won't be available for 6 months. To address this challenge, we've worked with our lenders to offer one way rate locks with an embedded permanent rate buy down that provide protection from rising rates while allowing our buyers to benefit if rates happen to decline. Combining long term rate locks with buy downs is an important innovation for us and I think it will help with to be billed sales. 3rd, we're improving the profitability of our specs.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

During the quarter, specs represented nearly 70% of our closings, the highest level in over a decade. While we're working hard to drive that percentage down, we're also focused on improving spec profitability. In fact, the margin profile on our spec should improve organically over the balance of the year as our prior series homes close out. We've also updated feature levels to better align with market conditions. We know we probably can't get spec margins to match to be built homes, but we do expect to narrow the gap.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

And finally, we're reducing construction costs. We've said many times that we expected to reduce the costs to deliver 0 energy ready homes and we're now doing it, but our cost reduction efforts are broader than that. We're also capturing savings from a more focused SKU list with our national partners and using our sizable community count growth to rebid local labor and material providers. Since October 1, we've been able to reduce build costs by about $3,000 so far, which will benefit to be built and spec homes that deliver later in the year. We are committed to translating these efforts into better sales basis and better margins this year, which is why we still expect our full year performance to fall within the broad ranges we provided in November, even if market conditions and mortgage rates don't improve.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Beyond 2025, we continue to have a very positive longer term outlook for new home sales and we remain fully committed to achieving our 3 multiyear goals, which include expanding our community count, deleveraging our balance sheet and delivering a demonstrably superior home. We ended the Q1 with 163 communities, up nearly 20% versus the prior year and we remain on track to end the year with a community count around 180. Our total land position grew about 10%, giving us a clear path to achieving our goal of ending FY 2026 with more than 200 communities. We also remain on track to have a net debt to net capitalization ratio below 30% by the end of fiscal 2026. While our leverage was relatively flat versus the prior year, as we continue to grow our land pipeline, the cumulative profitability and cash flow we anticipate over the next 2 years will allow us to reach this target.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Lastly, we continue to make significant progress towards qualifying 100% of our starts as 0 energy ready by the end of the calendar year. In the Q1, 98% of our starts met the DOE standard. Over the balance of the year, we have fewer than 100 starts remaining in 4 closeout communities related to our prior series. I know many observers haven't realized how important 0 Energy Ready is yet. But as you may have noticed on the cover slide, we're leaning into this advantage.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Our homes are different and they're better and we can prove it. With that, I'll turn the call over to Dave.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Thanks, Owen. This afternoon, I will concentrate on providing some more specifics on our Q2 guidance and our outlook for the fiscal year. I will conclude my comments with a discussion of our balance sheet, land position and our commitment to generating double digit returns.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

We have detailed our Q1 2025 results in our presentation, our press release and our 10 Q and of course we're happy to discuss them during the Q and A portion of this call. Let's start with our expectations for the Q2. We note that our outlook doesn't contemplate an improvement in market conditions. We expect sales to be up about 10% versus the same period last year as our average community count to be up about 15%. We expect to end the 2nd quarter with around 160 communities.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

We anticipate closing around 10.50 homes with an average ASP of around $515,000 Adjusted gross margin should be up a bit sequentially. Our gross margin will benefit from the delayed closings from our Q1 and the activities Alan described to improve our profitability. SG and A as a percentage of revenue should be less than 13%. We expect our SG and A as a percentage of revenue to decline significantly in the back half of the year as our closings accelerate. We expect to generate more than $30,000,000 in adjusted EBITDA.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Interest amortized as a percentage of homebuilding revenue should be just over 3% and our effective tax rate should be approximately 11.5 percent. This should lead to diluted earnings per share of about $0.30 Last quarter, we provided a range of potential outcomes on community count, sales pace and gross margin for the fiscal year. 1st quarter results put some pressure on our full year outlook and as such will likely perform toward the lower end of our pace and margin ranges. Our year end community count should be around 180, up about 10% versus the prior year. Our average community count for the year should be up between 18 22 communities, reflecting 12.5% to 15% growth.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Despite the slower sales pace in the Q1, we remain committed to achieving a sales pace between 2.5% and 3 sales per community per month for the full year more in line with our historical norms. While we expect our sales pace to be off a little in the first half of the year, we expect substantial improvement in the back half. In part, this pickup is off of easier comparisons, but it also is related to the fact that we have so many new community openings. For the full year, we provided a range of our expected gross margin between 19.5% 20.5%. Incorporating 1st quarter results and current conditions, we now expect full year margins around 19.5%.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

As it relates to our ASP and SG and A, our backlog ASP is currently about $540,000 up about 4% versus the prior year and supporting our outlook that our full year ASP should approach $530,000 Further, while we're still investing heavily for growth, our higher community count should lead to revenue growing faster than our overheads in fiscal 2025, driving down our SG and A percentage to about 11%. Even at the low end of each of the ranges, we expect to generate adjusted EBITDA that would represent another year of double digit return on capital employed. Since we pivoted to growth in fiscal 2020, our total land position has grown nearly 50% from fewer than 19,000 lots to more than 28,000 lots today. And we've done that exclusively through increasing our option lots, which have gone from 29% of our total to 59%. In 2025, we expect land spend to be around $850,000,000 and our owned and option lot position should exceed 30,000 dollars Our balance sheet remains healthy with total liquidity exceeding $335,000,000 at the end of the quarter, no maturities until October 2027 and more than enough liquidity to fuel growth plans.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Earlier this week, we successfully upsized our revolver to $365,000,000 We expect to end fiscal 2025 with a net debt to net cap in the mid-30s and we're on a path to reduce our net debt to net cap below 30% by the end of fiscal 2026 as our improving profitability, cash generation and balance sheet management will sustain our deleveraging. Over the past 5 years, we've grown book value per share by about 19% on average. We're focused on consistently generating double digit returns on capital employed and equity. While growth remains our primary priority for capital allocation, we consistently consider strategies that would contribute to sustaining double digit returns. With that, I'll now turn the call back over to Alan.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Thank you, Dave. While the Q1 challenged us, we're positioned to drive significant top line growth and generate double digit returns again this year, even as we invest heavily for the coming years. We're also well on our way to achieving each of our multiyear goals. I'm confident we have the team, the resources and the strategy to create growing and durable value for our stakeholders in the years ahead. And with that, I'll ask the operator to take us into Q and A.

Operator

Thank you. You. It will take a few moments for the questions to come through. Our first question comes from Tyler Batory of Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Tyler Batory
Executive Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Good afternoon. Thank you. First one for me just on the demand side of things so far in Q2 and in January. Just talk a little bit more about what you're seeing in the fields. I'm not sure any anecdotes or any green shoots in terms of demand out there in your markets?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Yes. I've been traveling a fair bit already this year. And I would say, first of all, online traffic stayed pretty strong through December even as sales were more challenging. And that's usually a very good sign. People are online before they're offline for the most part.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

And it's early in the month. I don't have the last week or so of activity. But January feels okay. It's not a blowout, it's not gangbusters, but it has not taken another step down. And arguably, for seasonal reasons, at a minimum, it's a little better than December.

Tyler Batory
Executive Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Okay, great.

Tyler Batory
Executive Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

In terms of incentive levels, can you talk a little bit more about where you were on incentives in Q1? How that compared with Q4? And then talk a little bit more about your expectations for incentive activity

Tyler Batory
Executive Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

the rest of this fiscal year.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Yes. So I totally understand the question. I'm going to do the best I can to answer it. The challenge with incentives is that there are a number of components and they're kind of in different places. So there's a closing cost amount.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

There are restrictions in loan programs against maxes that you can do there. There are discounts that may be in the form of design center credits or price reduction. And so when you think about incentives, it's really what are all of those parts and pieces. And then of course, there's differences between specs and to be built. What we actually saw and this was a bit of a concern for me is that incentives on to be built were going down into our Q1, but we weren't selling enough of them.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

And that's really what led to unpacking this, creating a financing mechanism that was more compelling for buyers where they felt like there was an opportunity to lock a long rate below current market rates. And I think that will help and it's well within the structure of incentives that we otherwise provide on the closing cost side. On the spec side, there's no question in November and then really accelerating into December, the combination of price discounts and incentives that we had to offer spikes. And it differed of course by market, but I would tell you it took a point or 2 out of sales that we sold and closed just between the middle of November and the end of December. We have not extended that into January.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

That was kind of keeping up with the Joneses. And I feel a little better about not doing that so far this year. The other thing Tyler is rates moved about 50 basis points after our last earnings call before the

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

end of the year, it

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

was 42, but they moved about 50 basis points. For buyers that were in backlog, one of the things that we saw was, gosh, there are some very aggressive rate promos out there. We're in backlog with you, but we'd like a little help against this rate that may have moved. And so anytime you get an upward spike like that in a short period of time, you can see some movement in incentive. It wasn't huge, but there was some effect there.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Now I take all that together. It's hard for me to give you an exact percentage because we're constantly changing base prices and included features. And then of course, you've got the closing cost. But I think if you try to if you had perfect information, you'd see there's been about a point of pressure over the last, call it, 4 months that has developed. As rates have started to move up being part of it and then that year end selling that a lot of our peers were doing in their Q4, the combination of those two things I would put roughly in that bucket of about a point.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Frankly, Tyler, just to add to that, we talked about last quarter being 19.5% to 20.5% on the gross margin. We talked about this quarter being closer to that 19.5% number and that's kind of what Alan is talking about. That's the impact of in part also by the new communities coming online, but you can kind of see there's a lot of moving pieces.

Tyler Batory
Executive Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Okay. That's great.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

I don't think that's good. I don't

Tyler Batory
Executive Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

think that's good.

Tyler Batory
Executive Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

No, no, that's very good detail. Very good detail. I appreciate that. And kind of a segue to my last question just on the gross margin guide and implies a pretty significant ramp, I think, in the back half of the year. So maybe talk a little bit first about what's driving the sequential progression into Q2 And then talk a little bit more about, just the inflection, if you will, in the second half of the year too?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Sure. So relative to the Q1 moving into the Q2, and we said it will be up a bit. Really, there are a few things going on there, but we'll get the benefit of those homes that pushed out of the Q1, which is nice because they had terrific margins. Our mix of specs in our closing count is going to be a little lower. A lower percentage of the specs that close are from the prior series and we're starting to see just the very first homes closing with lower construction costs.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

So you're going to get little bits from all four of those, which is why we expect sequentially a little bit of improvement. When you play that out over the balance of the year, of course, the push outs that was kind of a discrete activity, but the other 3 are all in place. We do expect to have a lower mix of specs over the balance of the year. And heck, if it just moves from 70 to 60, that's a big difference in our reported margin because of the 3 to 5 point differential between to be built and specs. Not having the prior series homes and I don't remember which month we'll close our last of those or when it gets down to such a de minimis number, but it was still a meaningful share of the Q1 closings.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

It won't be by Q4 of this year. And while I'm happy about the $3,000 we've been able to take out of our direct so far, our plans are larger than that and a larger share of our homes as we move through the year will get the benefit. So as Dave said, and I think I said, we're not expecting more robust conditions or lower mortgage rates. It's really those discrete items that give us the confidence that we're going to be able to have a progression through the year and have a back half from a margin perspective that looks better than the first half.

Tyler Batory
Executive Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.

Okay. That's all for me. Thank you.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Thanks, Tyler.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Alan Ratner of Zelman and Associates. Your line is open.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

Hey guys, good afternoon. Thanks for all the detail as always. I guess first question on the order pace through the quarter. You gave the guide roughly midway through and I certainly understand the closing shortfall and the impact that that had on margin. I guess I want to focus a little bit more on the order side in terms of what transpired there.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

As you look at kind of results in the back half of the quarter, obviously, December wasn't a great month. But is there something you could put your finger on specifically that you feel like really contributed to that shortfall, at least in your results? Like was it your competitors got more aggressive than you did on incentives? Were there specific markets that really drove that shortfall? Any color you can kind of give there would be helpful.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Absolutely, Alan. Look, I understand. We had just come off in October where we had a big pace improvement year over year and online activity was good. We felt pretty confident about pace improvements in November December. We didn't have it in November.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

And November can be a little bit of a funky month. You get Thanksgiving and travel and weather. So you don't really know what that means. It was really in December where we saw particularly in Texas and a little bit in Florida, although our business there is pretty small. But we really saw what I would call shock it off on pricing and incentives.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

And we participated to some extent, but maybe not fully. It's always a challenge to decide how much of that to engage in. But you're aware of where the inventory numbers are in all of the markets in Texas that we participate. And I think we were I was surprised, I won't blame anybody else. I think I was And I think we were I was surprised, I won't blame anybody else.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

I think I was surprised by how deep folks went to move finished inventory. And here's the thing, when those incentives are floating around, I mean, I don't ever attribute our peer to our peers that they do anything that's illogical or not financially astute. They may advertise, call it a 2.99 rate and that rate applies to these 3 homes that can close within this time period. But that rate is now in the market. So everybody they see, everybody we see says, gosh, that would be a great rate.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Well, there's no path necessarily for every home to that rate. And so what do those buyers do? They hold out and say, well, we'll check back with you in January. Now I will say, I think a lot of folks could have made great deals in December that are finding it generally more difficult to make those deals in January. But there was definitely a promotion that spiked up.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

And for us, particularly in Texas is where I observed it.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

Got it. That's helpful additional color there. So thank you. Second question, just on kind of the energy efficiency strategy and kind of the benefits you've seen on the tax rate side. I'm just curious, from an economic standpoint, I know you've kind of touted, obviously, you feel like you can get a premium for this product in the market, but there's also this benefit on the tax line as well.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

As you think about the new administration and kind of the seeming de emphasis on a lot of the energy efficiency side of things, Are you rethinking some of the moves and the investments you're making in this category under the possibility that perhaps it's less beneficial going forward if there is tax reform there? Or are you kind of full steam ahead still on this move?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

The short answer is we're full steam ahead. And I'd like to take just another minute or 2. When we committed to Energy Star in 2011, which coincided with me having this opportunity, it was not about tax arbitrage. It was about building a better, more efficient home. And we've been on a consistent path for 15 years to make our homes better than they had to be as a part of what makes us different.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

As you know, 5 years ago, we committed to 0 energy ready. And today we are the only ones that have. We made that commitment knowing the building science and not on the basis of any expectation for tax credits. In fact, the tax credit associated with 0 Energy Ready arose more than a year, I think 2 years after we committed to 0 Energy Ready. So I have to tell you that it was nice, it's appropriate, it certainly provides some financial incentive, But our reason for doing it was different.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

I don't know anyone on any side of the political aisle that would say they should pay more for energy than they have to. And we build a home that you can pay a lot less. I don't know anyone who doesn't want a home that is comfortable in every room and still is super inexpensive to operate. And for many people, most importantly, I don't know anyone who doesn't want the cleanest possible indoor air. So when you stack those up, I do think that between the savings, the comfort and frankly the health benefits of having indoor air that we are able to provide, I can't imagine going backwards.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Now I don't know what the administration is going to do. They may attack this issue along with others. They may not. It sort of preceded IRA, or parts of the 45 L code preceded the IRA. So I don't know if they're going to leave it in place or not.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

I can tell you, I don't think our industry is going to move backwards. I like the competitive advantage that we have. But you don't have to talk to very many buyers about those three things to realize it makes a difference. And I'm frankly excited to be able to be the leader in that category.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

All

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

right. Well said and appreciate the conviction there. If I can add one more, possibly. Just if I look at your current margins today, obviously, you expect improvement in the back half of the year. But right now, the operating margin is pretty thin in terms of cushion overall, which leads me to believe there's at least some communities, maybe even divisions that are kind of hovering closer to breakeven for the time being.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

Can you give us any framework to think about impairment risk or abandonment risk on any land deals or markets where the margins might be thinner than company average?

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Hey, Alan, it's Dave. Couple of things. 1, we give a pretty fulsome discussion of our impairment evaluation process in the Q. It's on page 11 of the Q. You'll note, you've been reading our Qs for a long time.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Nothing's changed in many, many years. So the methodology is exactly the same. I'll tell you a couple of other things. We don't disclose a watch list number, but I can tell you from what we see really don't have any expectations for material changes, still room and still feel real comfortable for the land position is. And I'd add a couple of other thoughts.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

One, we look at the John Burns data, you can kind of see what's happening for land in the market today. Look, I think what we're paying for land is very much in line with what our competitors are paying. We're very much in the fairway of where land prices are. And yes, margins are in a little bit of pressure right now. We expect some improvement as we go through the year.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

But really I don't think we overpaid for land quite frankly. And then the last thing I'll tell you is we get kind of a check on this on a pretty regular basis, right? If we have a community that's not really performing or maybe the way we underwrote it, the fees changed a little bit and we've gotten sell in. We have a pretty good idea of what we paid versus where the market is and we feel we're right on the market. So I can't go too much further into detail other than I don't have any expectations for material changes from where we are now in case given current market conditions.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Well, I'm not going to rebut anything Dave said that would be silly, but I want to add something. I think a growing company will have abandonment charges as a part of the regular diligence. And ironically, I think one of the things that was most challenging for us as a company as we pivoted to growing community count, something we didn't do for a decade was allowing ourselves the idea that pre underwriting would result in walking away. And we went a decade without taking impairments on things that we bought. There were some previous land held assets that got impaired.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

But honestly, I don't want to take abandonment charges. But part of being in the market, that's a that is a part of doing business. I do think about that as being very modest and infrequent and completely differently from impairments. But because you said abandonments, I didn't want to leave you with a misimpression. I think it is a healthy part of growing a business that there will from time to time be modest abandonment charges.

Alan Ratner
Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC

Understood. All right, guys. I appreciate the thoughts.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Thanks, Alan. Thanks, Alan.

Operator

Our next question comes from Julio Romero of Sidoti and Company. Your line is open.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Julio?

Julio Romero
Equity Analyst at Sidoti & Company, LLC

Sorry, I was on mute there. Good afternoon, guys.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Good afternoon.

Julio Romero
Equity Analyst at Sidoti & Company, LLC

I guess maybe starting on, can you maybe expand on the two factors that kind of led to a little bit of sales softness in the Q1? I think you talked about in the prepared remarks about labor availability in Texas and meter availability in California. If you could give a little more context on those two issues? And then also what kind of gives you the comfort that those issues kind of won't persist? Right.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

So that related between them the 47 homes, which happened to be pretty high ASP and pretty good margins. And that related to closings, not sales. Those were homes in backlog that sitting in mid November, we had every anticipation that they were going to close in the Q1 and they didn't. I think 34 or 35 of them were in Houston and they were delayed for, I would say, a good reason. And that is that the utility companies prioritize service repair over hooking up new builds.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

And in October November, there were a number of storms that led to dislocation of power in a particular part of the Greater Houston metro area. And the power company, frankly, reallocated their resources for hooking up existing customers and repairing lines rather than doing new build work. Hard for me to find fault with that. I understand that it was disadvantageous for those buyers and backlog and for us, but temporarily. So that was a unique circumstance with the reallocation of labor in one part of Houston.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

In the other instance, it was just over a dozen homes where there are still occasionally little gremlins in the supply chain and we had some gas and electric meter availability from the utilities that we do business with where they looked at us in the early part of December and said, yes, we're not getting any more before the end of December. And we said, well, fellas, we've been working on this and it's ordinary course. And they said, yes, we'll see in January with the meters. It was a little random, but that's what happened that related to the 47 homes.

Julio Romero
Equity Analyst at Sidoti & Company, LLC

Got you. Very helpful context. So I guess no broader effect that you guys are seeing from either kind of like immigration issues or wildfires or anything of that nature? Okay.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

No. It was not related to that. They were 2 anomalies. And frankly, if we had had the sales environment that we had hoped for is kind of expected, I think it probably wouldn't have been noticed. But the combination of not quite getting the gross sales that we expected and to lose that roughly 50 closings that was not what you would call a happy daily double.

Julio Romero
Equity Analyst at Sidoti & Company, LLC

Understood. And then then it sounds like you're very much on track for your community count goals this year. You said you're activating more than 60 new communities before year end. Can you maybe just touch on how does the cadence of closeouts kind of affect your expectations for the year?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Well, sure. I mean, if you just simple math, we're about 160. We're going to end up around 180. So if we're adding 60 plus, we're going to drop 40, right? That's the math.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

The net adds will be about 20. And but that 60 in 9 months, they're not perfectly evenly distributed, but you're talking about more than 1 a week, right? I mean, it's a lot more than that, but it's 6, 7 a month. So that's kind of the cadence of the startups. Now and we've got that well controlled like most of them will be March, April, May, June because we really have the benefit of capturing the stronger part of the so called selling season.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

The closeouts will happen based on the pace of sales in those communities. So they probably happen on a somewhat less easily programmed cadence.

Julio Romero
Equity Analyst at Sidoti & Company, LLC

Very helpful. And then last one for me is just taking a broader view. Obviously, affordability is going to be a big challenge in fiscal 2025, but maybe looking out a little broader than that, just talk about your ability how you're positioned to improve margin and profitability once the broader market would improve?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Look, I think we'll all industry participants would benefit enormously from a reduction in rates. I think we're all spending a very large share of our incentives to get to a monthly payment for the buyers that are out there. But the things that we're uniquely doing, I mean, we've absorbed all of the costs. It's been in our overhead. It's been in our gross margin.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

It's in our cost of goods sold to build a home that is fundamentally different from everybody else's. We're excited about that. And honestly, our ability to explain that, get paid for that, that is where I think we have an alpha opportunity that literally none of our competitors have. Now we start gaining traction in markets or in communities, I know they're going to come for us. So we've got ideas about where we need to go next.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

But I can tell you for the next several years, we have a significant head start. Anyone with health issues, anyone with utility bill phobia, anyone who really is into advanced construction science, we are their builder. They may not know it yet and our job is to make sure they come to know that before they buy their next home, but that's our opportunity.

Julio Romero
Equity Analyst at Sidoti & Company, LLC

Very helpful. Thanks very much.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Thanks, sir.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jay McCanless of Wedbush. Your line is open.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Hey, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Got a few of

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

them, so we'll just we'll go rattle them off as quick as I can. I guess the first one on the deportation, the immigration issues, are you all seeing any impact of that in the field yet or hearing any impact on that from your subs?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Jay, honestly, I have not. And we check-in regularly. We've got a hotline set up internally to sort of anything and I have not heard any news on that. I won't be surprised if there is some in markets that we do business and in the industry, but so far I have not heard of any.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Okay. Thanks. And then could you talk about where your gross margins are on the average spec right now versus DIRTT starts?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Yes. I mean the differential is between 3 and 5 points depending on the market. So they're with a 2 in the DIRTs and they're 3 to 5 points below that on the specs. So 70% of the lower number is what is leading to the current margin profile. I mean it's just the weighted average of those two numbers.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

So the math for us is simple, change the spec percentage to be a lower percentage and improve the margins on our specs. And I think they're good reasons for us to believe we can do both of those things.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

I What do you think the long term goal should be for that OTCALA?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

It's a great question. It's a little different honestly, Jay, than I would have told you 4 or 5 years ago. I think it's a little bit higher to the spec side. If you would ask me 5 years ago, I would have told you 70, 30 to be built, felt really comfortable. I think it's probably more like sixtyforty.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

And in some of our markets, it may be fiftyfifty. But I would like to see us get back to and I think we can being a majority to be built versus spec. I do think sort of slaying the dragon here on the financing side is a part of it because you can appreciate where something is being heavily incentivized and promoted that quick move in home with a rate teaser. If there isn't anything that's comparable on the long term side, it makes it harder. And that's why we put so much work into this program with our lenders to make sure that we've got an opportunity for those buyers who do want that to be built.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

And actually, could you touch on that for a second? Because I guess from a cost differential or gross margin differential, are you giving up some of that advantage in the to be built by using that longer term rate lock? And I guess, I don't even know if you've done this yet, but like what would the gross margin differential be versus a spec that closes in 2 months versus the 2B bill that closes at 7 months using that rate lock?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

The way I think about it is we are allocating incentive dollars that we generally provide to to be built homes in a different way. Instead of more dollars in a design center, we can use a larger share on this new structured program. And one of the things and I can't help myself, but one of the things that I like about our mortgage choice program is we really believe in choice. I mean, we insist on it, in fact. So anytime we roll out a program like the one I described today, there is more than one lender offering it.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

We're never going to put the customer in a position where you can have like the Henry T. Ford Model T, you can have any color as long as it's black. We have multiple lenders making those offers available. There is nothing that keeps the pencil sharp and the wits alert or pricing competitive than having multiple lenders competing for that buyer's business. So I think we've mitigated kind of the economic cost of that.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

But what we're really doing frankly is allocating in tenant dollars to rates. And that's what spec homes have been doing for the last year or 2 is directing their incentive dollars toward rate. And we now have a way to do that on 2B builds.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Okay. Thanks for that. And then on the fiscal 2025 guide, it looks like it's the same as what you all had in the Q4 slides, except you guys are pointing to the low end of the gross margin range. Is that I think that's the only real change I heard in the prepared comments.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

That's right. That's right, Jay. We talked about the potential that the pace will be a little bit closer to the lower side, but yes, the gross margin is really only the difference towards the 19.5%.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

And then if you look at the West, you guys had a decent order growth there, I think 10%, 11%, which based on what you said about Texas would imply, I think that California is in etcetera, probably were up 30%, 40% in orders and then Texas was down. I guess, do you have the community count coming online in California and Arizona to keep that up? Or should we expect the West to slow down a little bit after such a robust quarter?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Yes, I would expect that because what's really going on is it has been outside of California easier to activate communities the West than in many of our Eastern or the Midwestern markets just either because land development is simpler, the entitlement process is a little bit faster. So our community count has been able to grow in that West segment a bit faster and that's been one of the things that has driven that. But of course, having strong sales in California and Nevada in particular was helpful. And I don't see reasons to think that that's going to change anytime soon. But I do think our non Western markets are likely to grow community count here over the next 12 months faster than our Western markets.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

I think 2, Jay, we've talked about a pace between 2.5 and 3 sales per community per month for the year. That is not in any way an elevated pace for us, right? That's kind of below what we've done historically. The business tends around between 2.8 and 3.2. So when you think about longer term pace, I don't think we're really in danger.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

It can be a point where we'll see a big fall off to your question.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

And thanks for that guys. And the last one I had, just knowing that the you called out the $3,000 savings there, I guess, Could you talk about what that $3,000 represents as a percentage of the average build cost on a home?

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

Yes. I mean, it's about a point. It's a little over a point actually. I mean, it's 60 basis points against our ASP. And so it's a little bit more than 1% of the build cost of the home.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

Okay, great.

Jay McCanless
SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities

That's all I have. Thanks, guys.

Allan Merrill
Allan Merrill
Chairman, President & CEO at Beazer Homes USA

All right. Thanks, Jay.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we have no further questions.

David Goldberg
David Goldberg
Senior VP & CFO at Beazer Homes USA

Okay. I want to thank everybody for joining us on our call this quarter and we look forward to talking to you on our Q2 call. This concludes today's call. Thank you.

Executives
    • David Goldberg
      David Goldberg
      Senior VP & CFO
    • Allan Merrill
      Allan Merrill
      Chairman, President & CEO
Analysts
    • Tyler Batory
      Executive Director at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc.
    • Alan Ratner
      Managing Director at Zelman Partners LLC
    • Julio Romero
      Equity Analyst at Sidoti & Company, LLC
    • Jay McCanless
      SVP - Equity Research at Wedbush Securities
Earnings Conference Call
Beazer Homes USA Q1 2025
00:00 / 00:00

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