Chimera Investment Q4 2024 Earnings Report

Chimera Investment EPS Results

• Actual EPS: $0.37
• Consensus EPS: $0.47
• Beat/Miss: Missed by -$0.10
• One Year Ago EPS: N/A

Chimera Investment Revenue Results

• Actual Revenue: N/A
• Expected Revenue: $73.48 million
• Beat/Miss: N/A
• YoY Revenue Growth: N/A

Chimera Investment Announcement Details

• Quarter: Q4 2024
• Date: 2/12/2025
• Time: Before Market Opens
• Conference Call Date: Wednesday, February 12, 2025
• Conference Call Time: 8:30AM ET

Chimera Investment (NYSE:CIM) operates as an internally-managed real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company was incorporated in 2007 with the purpose of investing in mortgage loans, asset securitization, and mortgage-backed securities.

Chimere Investment Corporation is based in New York, New York, trades on the New York Stock Exchange, and works to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns via dividends and capital preservation. As of late 2022, the company had more than $3 billion in capitalization including common and preferred stock, and had paid more than $5.8 billion in dividends.

The company has elected to be taxed as a REIT which is a tax-sheltered vehicle for real estate investment. As such, the company must invest at least 75% of its assets in real estate and return 90% of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends. The only drawback is that shareholders are responsible for income taxes on the earnings.

The company’s strategy is to invest in a portfolio of mortgage assets, including residential mortgage loans, agency, and non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities, and agency commercial mortgage-backed securities. Income is generated by the net spread between the income earned on investments and the costs of financing.

Chimera Investment Corporation finances its operations through secured pools of residential and commercial mortgage loans and by leveraging other real estate-related securities as well. The strategy not only provides a stable source of financing but also provides the flexibility to enhance returns or mitigate risk as necessary.

One risk of Chimera Investment Corporation is its exposure to US credit risk retention rules. These rules limit the company’s ability to sell or hedge a large portion of its RMBS portfolio which means it may have to hold some assets it would otherwise sell. In regard to portfolio diversification, RMBS historically make up about 11% of the portfolio while securitized loans comprise 80% to 90% of total holdings.

Chimera Investment Corporation investors may participate in a share repurchase plan as well. Investors of Record can participate directly in the plan while Beneficial Owners may request their shares be transferred to the agent of record and become Investors of Record.

Chimera Investment Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Presentation

[Operator]

Greetings and welcome to Chimera Investment Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full Year twenty twenty four Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Victor Falvo, Head of Capital Markets and Investor Relations.

[Operator]

Thank you. You may begin.

[Victor Falvo, Head of Capital Markets at Chimera Investment]

Thank you, operator, and thank you, everyone, for participating in Chimera's fourth quarter and full year twenty twenty four earnings conference call. Before we begin, I'd like to review the Safe Harbor statements. During this call, we will be making forward looking statements, which are predictions, projections or other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in the Risk Factors section in our most recent annual and quarterly SEC filings. Actual events and results may differ materially from these forward looking statements.

[Victor Falvo, Head of Capital Markets at Chimera Investment]

We encourage you to read the forward looking statement disclaimers in our earnings release and our quarterly and annual filings. During the call today, we may also discuss non GAAP financial measures. Please refer to our SEC filings and earnings supplement for reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures. Additionally, the content of this conference call may contain time sensitive information that is accurate only as of this earnings call. We do not undertake and specifically disclaim any obligation to update or revise this information.

[Victor Falvo, Head of Capital Markets at Chimera Investment]

I will now turn the conference over to our President and Chief Executive Officer, Phil Cardis.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

Good morning, and welcome to Chimera Investment Corporation's fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings call. Joining me on the call are Jack McDowell, our Chief Investment Officer Subra Viswanathan, our Chief Financial Officer Dan Thacker, our Chief Risk and Credit Officer and Vic Falvo, our Head of Capital Markets and Investor Relations. After my remarks, Subra will review the financial results and then Jack will review our portfolio before opening the call for questions. 2024 was another year of reversals. The first part of the year saw continued progress on reducing inflation and long term rates improved from a high of 4.7 in April to 3.6% in September.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

However, the second half of the year saw inflation reduction stall and the Fed with a softening labor market reduced the Fed fund rate by 100 basis points over their final three meetings of the year. Long term rates did not react as expected. For the first time in seven rate cutting cycles dating back to the 1980s, the ten year rose finishing the year at 4.6%, up 100 basis points despite the Fed cuts. During the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, the term premium for the ten year treasuries increased by 75 basis points, which reflects the market's uncertainty about future rates, the political environment and the underlying strength of the economy. The housing market continued to face various challenges and unevenness due to many factors including interest rates, affordability and long term supply demand issues.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

The average thirty year fixed rate mortgage started the year at 6.6%, peaked at 7.2% in May and dropped to 6.1% in September, leading to a modest uptick in activity before ending the year at 6.9. Unsurprisingly, home sales suffered. In 2024, sales of previously owned homes declined for the third consecutive year to the lowest level since the 1995, reflecting what we believe to be the continuation of the lock in effects. New home construction was up slightly from 2023, but new homes for sale that are under construction peaked in March and were slightly down from that peak in December. The number of completed new homes for sale hit its highest level in December since 02/2009.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

The new home inventory represents 8.5 supply, which is above the balanced market of six months. But completed new homes were estimated to sell in two point eight months, reflecting what we believe to be strong demand for newly built homes, which is supportive of the RTL market. On a positive side, home prices continue to increase. Between the third quarter twenty twenty three and the third quarter twenty twenty four, U. S.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

Home prices rose 4.3% according to the FHFA's housing price index. We believe that this house price appreciation is positive for existing portfolio due to further improvement in homeowners' equity. Another positive development for our business was credit spreads for asset backed securities and other securitized products. Residential credit performance was particularly strong in 2024, driven by robust fundamentals due to low defaults, rising home prices and record levels of homeowners equity. In addition, technical indicators were strong as non agency RMBS gross issuance ended at approximately $137,000,000,000 almost doubling from twenty twenty three's issuance levels of $71,000,000,000 Investor demand was very strong and credit spreads tightened in 2024, especially at the bottom of the capital structure with credit curves flattening significantly.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

So what did all of this mean for our strategy in 2024 and what will it mean for 2025? In 2024, we managed our portfolio to increase liquidity and diversify sources of income. Consistent with that strategy, we deployed $2.00 $9,000,000 in proceeds from our equity raise in December 2023 and our two senior debt raises in 2024. We invested in floating rate agency CMOs. We believe these investments provide an attractive return while serving as a source of liquidity as we seek to deploy capital and loans or other investments as we did for the Palisades acquisition.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

We invested in subordinate tranches of newly issued third party mortgage securitizations, backed by reperforming mortgage loans and small balance commercial loans. We purchased residential transition loans. We purchased RPLs and securitized them in SIM twenty twenty four R1. And in the fourth quarter, we committed to purchase non QM loans, which we securitized this year. And finally, in December, we closed the acquisition of the Palisades Group, a U.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

S. Based alternative asset manager specializing in residential real estate credit. Founded in 2012, Palisades manages and invests on behalf of third parties in residential real estate assets across the broad spectrum of credit products. Through this acquisition, we began providing third party investment management and advisory services, which represents a new fee based source of income and we believe the ability to grow our income on a capital light basis. What are our plans for 2025?

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

We continue to approach portfolio management in a disciplined manner and are expecting to operate in an uncertain environment. In 2025, we expect to continue to diversify our portfolio, increase liquidity and grow our fee based income revenue stream. While we'll continue to look for opportunities to acquire and securitized mortgage loans, we expect to grow our Agency RMBS portfolio. In addition to supporting our regulatory compliance, we believe the Agency RMBS volatility protection. By growing our agency portfolio, we are returning to our roots as a hybrid REIT.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

We intend to also look to potential opportunities to acquire mortgage servicing rights, which we believe will help hedge our loan portfolio as well as provide a diverse source of income for our dividends. With the Palisades acquisition, we have embarked on our strategy of enhancing returns to our shareholders through diversification of revenue. Palisade's advisory services is the asset manager of our most recent securitization, and we expect to add them to our future securitizations, including the re securitizations of our existing deals. We believe that combining Palisade's platform with ours will allow us to drive efficiency and performance across the portfolio. Lastly, we've begun to see those investments of our of the fee based fee for service based income.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

It's early in the process, but we continue to believe the acquisition will be accretive to earnings. As we move into 2025 and beyond, we will look to expand and grow our nondiscretionary investment asset management and advisory services and continue to look for opportunities to grow through a combination of organic and external growth. In addition, we plan on investing in technology that allows us to enhance and expand our asset management capabilities and drive operational efficiencies. We expect the source of funds for the portfolio diversification and growth initiatives to come from our existing portfolio as we return to our re lever strategy.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

We have

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

issued call notices on all of our outstanding and our securitizations and we expect to re securitize the loans in the next couple of months. In addition, we expect to call some of our securitizations in 2025. We will also look for opportunities to raise capital in the capital markets. Finally, we continue to seek opportunities to finance our retained notes from securitizations with long term limited or non mark to market financing facilities. As we have discussed in the past, we had an expensive non mark to market facility coming due in January 2025.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

We were able to enter into a new or larger facility with better terms and greater than 400 basis point reduction in rate. By increasing the size of the facility, our interest expense is flat, but we were able to receive approximately $62,000,000 to deploy in new investments. Our goal is to build a durable, more diversified portfolio and implement growth initiatives that are designed to provide stable and growing sources of income that will benefit our current stock price relative to our book value. We feel good about our business and we're finding new opportunities. And we increased the quarterly dividend by 12% to twenty twenty four.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

And lastly, we believe the acquisition of Palisades will further strengthen or expand our business and provide additional opportunities for growth for our shareholders. I will now turn the call over to Subra to review our financial results.

[Subra Viswanathan, Chief Financial Officer at Chimera Investment]

Thank you, Phil. I will review Chimera's financial highlights for the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four. GAAP net loss for the fourth quarter was $168,300,000 or $2.07 per share and GAAP net income for the full year was $90,300,000 or $1.1 per share. GAAP book value at the end of the fourth quarter was $19.72 per share. For the quarter, our economic return on GAAP book value was negative 10.1%.

[Subra Viswanathan, Chief Financial Officer at Chimera Investment]

Based on the quarterly change in book value and the fourth quarter dividend per common share. And for the full year, our economic return was a positive 4.4%, which includes $1.42 of dividends declared in 2024. On an earnings available for distribution basis, net income for the fourth quarter was $30,400,000 or $0.37 per share and net income for the full year was $121,000,000 or $1.48 per share. Our economic net interest income for the fourth quarter was $69,200,000 For the fourth quarter, the yield on average interest earning assets was 6%, our average cost of funds was 4.5% and our net interest spread was 1.5%. Total leverage for the fourth quarter was four:one, while recourse leverage ended the quarter at 1.2:one.

[Subra Viswanathan, Chief Financial Officer at Chimera Investment]

For hedging, financing and liquidity, the company ended the year with $610,000,000 in total cash on unencumbered assets. At year end, we had $2,200,000,000 floating rate exposure on our outstanding repo liabilities. Our floating our total floating rate obligations net of hedges was 1,200,000,000 We had $1,300,000,000 in either non or limited mark to market features on our outstanding repo agreements representing 48% of our secured recourse funding. We had 1,500,000,000.0 pay fixed interest rate swaps at a weighted average pay fixed rate of 3.56% with a weighted average maturity of less than one year. The company also had a long position in $500,000,000 swaption on a one year pay fixed interest rate swap with a rate of 3.45%.

[Subra Viswanathan, Chief Financial Officer at Chimera Investment]

The company executed this option in January. In January, we closed on SIM twenty twenty five I1 seconduritization. As part of our strategy to mitigate securitization execution risk on certain securitizations, at year end, we were short two year treasury future contracts to protect the net interest spread of CIM2025I1. This short position was closed out in January. For the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, our economic net interest income return on equity was 10.5%.

[Subra Viswanathan, Chief Financial Officer at Chimera Investment]

Our GAAP return on average equity was negative 22.3% and our EAD return on average equity was 7.2. And lastly, compensation, general, administrative and servicing expenses were marginally lower year over year, while excluding expenses related to the Palisades acquisition. Our transaction expenses were significantly lower during the year due to reduced securitization activity in 2024. However, these expenses increased in fourth quarter by $4,700,000 primarily from expenses related to the Palisades acquisition. I will now turn the call over to Jack to review our portfolio.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Thanks, Subra, and good morning, everyone. I'm excited to be here. Before diving into the portfolio, I'd like to start with a brief introduction and share a little bit about my background. My entire career going back to the late 1990s has been dedicated to mortgage credit and structured products. I began on the sell side focusing on mortgage and asset backed securitization where I worked on both deal execution and security structuring.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

I then spent nearly eight years on the buy side both before and after the financial crisis acquiring, structuring and leading teams responsible for managing residential credit risks. A little over twelve years ago, I co founded Palisades with a core objective of providing clients with access to diversified opportunities across the mortgage credit spectrum through a variety of asset and investment management activities. Core to that objective was fielding a team of highly motivated individuals and fostering a challenging and rewarding work culture. We're incredibly proud of what we built and we're even more excited to now be part of the Chimera team. It is now been just over two months since the acquisition in early December.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

I'm happy to report that the integration is progressing well and collaboration between the teams has been strong. I want to extend a special thanks to the entire team of Chimera Professionals as they have worked tirelessly and patiently over the last eight weeks to integrate the teams into a single cohesive unit. And I'm deeply grateful for their efforts. Moving on to the portfolio. As Phil mentioned, the fourth quarter was marked by a significant rise in interest rates and was also the first full quarter since early twenty twenty two where we had a positively sloping yield curve.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

The spread between the ten year and two year treasury widened by 19 basis points compared to the third quarter. At the same time, agency MBS spreads moved slightly wider while non agency credit spreads tightened. While this rate environment provided compelling investment opportunities, it also negatively impacted our GAAP book value on a mark to market basis. It's important to note that the change in book value was a direct result of the changes in interest rates and credit spreads and not the result of any unexpected credit deterioration. In fact, credit performance remains strong across our various loan products and we expect to further enhance our asset level credit risk management capabilities with the Palisades acquisition.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Recall, our loan portfolio is primarily financed using non recourse term securitization. This allows us to isolate credit risk while locking in our net interest margin and supporting our dividend paying ability. While non recourse securitization financing provides structural leverage advantages compared to recourse debt, it can also introduce book value volatility during periods of sharp rate movements. And since we anticipate this question will come up in Q and A, through the end of business yesterday, we estimate our GAAP book value has increased approximately 3% due to rate and spread movements since year end. During the quarter, we purchased $129,000,000 of short duration residential transition loans and were net sellers of $452,000,000 in agency CMOs.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

And we ended the year with a $12,300,000,000 investment portfolio consisting of $10,700,000,000 of residential loans, $1,100,000,000 of non agency RMBS and $519,000,000 of agency MBS. Our residential loan book includes $9,600,000,000 of seasoned legacy re performing loans, $566,000,000 of loans collateralized by investment properties, $389,000,000 of prime jumbo and $213,000,000 of residential transition loans. Our seasoned re performing loan portfolio, which makes up the vast majority of our GAAP assets, were on average originated over seventeen years ago and have delevered considerably as a result of years of principal amortization and rising home values. The portfolio's average loan balance is approximately $99,000 with an estimated loan to value ratio of 40%. Credit performance remains stable with serious delinquencies effectively flat quarter over quarter at 9.1% and down from 9.9% in the same period last year.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

The average interest rate on the portfolio sits right at six percent or just about 100 basis points below today's thirty year fixed mortgage rate of 6.9%. Given elevated mortgage rates, prepayments have remained range bound for the last two years and that continued in Q4 with speeds holding in the 6% to 7% range. While our portfolio has limited exposure to the recent Southern California wildfires, our thoughts are with all the affected families and individuals in those communities, including many of our close friends and colleagues. As for our exposure, while preliminary and subject to change, using property level longitude and latitude coordinates, we have 36 properties located within a 5,000 square foot buffer zone of the wildfire boundaries. Four of these properties have confirmed damage.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

We have two confirmed cases of affected borrowers requesting assistance as a result of having to relocate due to smoke damage. Our asset management team continues to actively monitor developments and remain in close coordination with our mortgage loan servicing partners to ensure impacted borrowers receive support, communication is fluid and our exposure is properly mitigated. While some areas affected remain inaccessible or closed to the public, we currently do not expect any material economic impact on our portfolio from these events. I'll speak briefly about portfolio financing. We ended the year with $7,100,000,000 of non recourse securitized financing, collateralized by our residential loan portfolio.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Additionally, we had $2,800,000,000 of secured recourse liabilities collateralized by a combination of loans, some of our retained interest and securitizations, as well as our non agency and agency MBS portfolios. Of our $2,800,000,000 of secured repo, $2,200,000,000 or 77% was floating rate and importantly nearly half or $1,300,000,000 was non mark to market or limited mark to market. Our average repo funding cost declined by 22 basis points during the quarter due in part to Federal Reserve policy easing. During the year, our recourse financing increased by $392,000,000 with over 90% of the increase attributable to the growth in the agency CMO portfolio. Subsequent to year end, in January, we closed our first securitization of 2025, effectively financing $287,000,000 of investor loans.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

These loans carry a 7.9% average interest rate, an average credit score of 748 and an average loan to value ratio of 64%. We ended up selling $276,000,000 of senior securities representing 96% of the capital structure at a 5.8% cost of funds with strong demand from institutional investors across the capital structure. And we retained $12,000,000 in subordinate and interest only securities. With respect to our interest rate hedges, we maintain hedges primarily for the purpose of reducing risk related to our floating rate liabilities in order to maintain our EAD and dividend paying ability. We ended the year with $1,500,000,000 of active interest rate swaps with a weighted average pay fixed rate of 3.56% effectively locking in a fixed rate on approximately 69% of our floating rate liabilities or 56% including our floating rate preferred equity.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

In addition, in January, we further optimized our liability hedges by exercising a $500,000,000 swaption with a fixed pay rate of 3.45%, shorting $50,000,000 of swap futures and purchasing a $1,000,000,000 2 year interest rate cap at a 3.95% strike. Moving on to the topic of portfolio construction. We enjoy a stable portfolio of seasoned, well equitized and consistently paying re performing loans. However, to echo Phil's opening remarks, we are committed to and excited about the opportunity to use that foundation to further develop a resilient and diversified investment portfolio. Capital for this diversification effort can be sourced organically from our cash and unencumbered assets, portfolio pay downs and also from equity capital that is embedded in our delevered securitizations where we retain the right to call or redeem the senior securities.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

As we elect to exercise these call rights, we can either sell the loans or refinance them into a new securitization. In each case, this has the effect of unlocking capital that will give us the ability to redeploy into complementary investments. Credit fundamentals in housing finance are strong and optimism is priced into many asset classes. We are focused on making purposeful allocations in areas that we believe will enhance our portfolio construction, diversification, risk profile and supplement our overall risk adjusted return. Currently, the areas of focus that we believe have the potential to enhance the long term durability of our portfolio include possible allocations to agency MBS, mortgage servicing rights and perhaps continue to increase our allocation to short duration, high yielding residential transition loans.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

The agency allocation is intended to provide balance to the portfolio with a more liquid asset base relative to the less liquid subordinate securities we retain from our securitization programs. That liquid portion of the portfolio will allow us to pivot quickly into credit opportunities and we can dynamically ratchet up the agency allocation to capture relative value opportunities when they emerge or take a more defensive posture during periods of market stress. Similarly, we see MSRs as an important component of our near term investment strategy. Not only do we view the asset class as one that can produce an attractive risk adjusted return, but can also serve as a natural hedge to our loan portfolio and help offset book value volatility associated with movements in interest rates. Our investment team has a reach and infrastructure to source and manage products across the residential spectrum and we seek to continue deploying these resources in the quarters to come.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Turning to resources, one of the most compelling aspects of our combined platform is the strength of our scaled infrastructure, advanced data management capabilities and proprietary technologies. These tools are designed to empower our asset and investment management teams and optimize key workflows by enhancing asset level outcomes from the pre acquisition due diligence phase through post closing default management and loss mitigation, we work closely with our servicing partners to drive efficiency and performance across the portfolio. In just the first eight weeks since the acquisition, we have already taken the first step in this initiative by having Palisades Advisory Services named as the asset manager on our first securitization of 2025, and we plan on continuing to roll out this capability across the broader portfolio. Finally, I would like to reiterate Phil's comments about Palisade's acquisition. Our third party asset and investment management capability presents a significant opportunity to grow our fee based revenue by providing clients with diversified access to residential credit products and portfolios.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

This includes non discretionary customized solutions, discretionary separate accounts and private asset backed credit funds. Palisades had experienced steady growth in recent years. However, by uniting these capabilities under the scaled Chimera platform, we expect to unlock substantial resources and enhance our ability to serve a broader range of institutional clients, including insurance companies, asset managers, endowments, foundations and other institutional investors and allocators. We see these partnerships as highly complementary to our investment sourcing efforts for the REIT portfolio. The diverse capital base from our advisory clients and credit funds not only enhances our market reach, but also positions our team as a solutions provider in periods of market stress.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

In closing, the combination of the Palisades and Chimera teams strengthens our position as a leader in mortgage credit. Our combined team is passionate and takes great pride in our activities within this dynamic and essential industry and our team remains committed to executing our strategy with discipline and focus as we move into 2025. That concludes our remarks. We will now open the call up for questions.

[Operator]

Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. Today's first question is coming from Bose George of KBW. Please go ahead.

[Bose George, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)]

Hey, everyone. Good morning. Can you talk about incremental ROEs and what you see as the normalized ROE, just given the current rate environment, which looks like it's going to be higher for longer?

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Yes. Hey, Bose, this is Jack. Just with respect to normalized ROE, if you're referring to sort of what the opportunities we are looking at in the market today and where we're seeking to allocate capital, I mean, our target return at least on invested assets is going to be in that mid teens area. And I think in the areas that we're focused on notwithstanding the agency MBS which has a purpose within our portfolio, but not necessarily seeking to be the driver of returns. With respect to MSRs and certainly what we're investing in on the RTL side of the portfolio, those are all hitting those types of return targets.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

With that being said, as we think about the entire portfolio, we're in a position of receiving pay downs, re levering our deals. And when we do that, that will have the intended effect of allowing us to reinvest into higher yielding assets than what it's currently producing.

[Bose George, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)]

And so on a net basis for the portfolio to kind of roll forward to a double digit net ROE, Is there a way to think about the timeline for that to happen?

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Yes. I mean, it's a good question and we talk about that a lot and it really is a function of market conditions. When we think about areas where we have availability of capital, that's going to come from the things that we mentioned in our prepared remarks organically at least with respect to re levering some of our securitizations where we have the call rights. And so we're constantly looking at those deals to understand what the economic impact of calling those deals are and redeploying that into new investments. So it's really hard to predict sort of what the timeline is to reposition the portfolio, but that's definitely something that is top of mind for the balance of 2025.

[Bose George, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)]

Okay, great. And then just switching over to book value, can you just talk about sort of the book value roll forward this quarter, just the drivers of the change?

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Yes. I mean, again, this is Jack. I mean, the book value change was somewhat nuanced and a lot of it was driven by the steepening of the year yield curve in December, where I mean we saw a bigger well typically the loans and our securitized debt, they move in somewhat they're somewhat correlated. But as we saw the longer end of the curve rise in December in particular, relative to the short end, then credit spreads tightened that had the effect of having a disproportionate impact on the value of our loans relative to our securitized debt. And one thing that is interesting to look at and how you can see that the fourth quarter was somewhat nuanced is if you look at the change in value with respect to the loans versus the securitized debt for the entire year.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

I think there was a $6,000,000 overall difference something like that where the loan value increased by $6,000,000 relative to securitized debt. So we do view that as somewhat of anomaly, but if you think about our balance sheet and our investment portfolio, it really is all driven by changes in value of the loans versus securitized debt in large part.

[Bose George, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)]

Okay, great. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. The next question is coming from Doug Harter of UBS. Please go ahead.

[Douglas Harter, Equity Research Analyst at UBS Group]

Thanks. You talked a little bit about the potential to add MSR. Can you just talk about the thoughts around potentially adding other hedges that might look to dampen book value volatility or your comfort with kind of accepting that volatility currently?

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Yes, good question. So if you think about our strategy, our strategy is really focused on buying residential loans and securitizing them in non recourse term financing structures. Those term financing structures allow us to effectively lock in our net interest margin and our dividend paying ability as long as the loans are in those financing structures. So that allows us to isolate credit risk and focus on the things that we believe are our core competency. So our hedging strategy up to this point has been focused on the floating rate liabilities, the repo that we have on where we retain where we finance some of our non agency securities or some of the retained portions of our securitizations.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

So if you look at all of our hedges, they really have been focused on further locking in our earnings and dividends paying ability. So I think just as we sit here today, the volatility as a buy and hold investor, we have taken the position that we're accepting the risk of the book value volatility. However, as it relates to hedging with derivatives, now the MSR strategy as you pointed out, that is a portfolio construction element that we see as being very important to add to our portfolio in an effort to stabilize book value. But instead of doing it with the yield diluting or earnings diluting derivative hedge, we're able to do that with a cash flowing asset yielding allocation to the overall portfolio.

[Douglas Harter, Equity Research Analyst at UBS Group]

I guess just on the buy and hold strategy, as you mentioned, you lever the subordinates of the retained pieces. Is there mark to market risk on those retained pieces that need to be hedged or are those all in non mark to market facilities?

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Yes, that's a great question. So it's a combination. I think we provide that in some of our materials. The recourse financing that we have on our non agency and agency as well as our retained pieces, do have, I want to say about half of it is mark to market and

[Subra Viswanathan, Chief Financial Officer at Chimera Investment]

Page eight of the investor deck.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Yes. So I guess the quick answer is some of it is mark to market, some of it is non mark to market. The big push that we have made over the course of the last year and continue to do so is to continue to put the less liquid retained portions of these securitizations into non mark to market and even fixed rate facilities.

[Douglas Harter, Equity Research Analyst at UBS Group]

Okay. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. The next question is coming from Eric Hagen of BTIG. Please go ahead.

[Eric Hagen, Managing Director at BTIG]

Hey, thanks. Good morning.

[Eric Hagen, Managing Director at BTIG]

Good to hear from you guys. During the quarter in response to the increase in interest rates, did you receive a margin call and can you share how much cash or liquidity you posted for that margin call? Hi,

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

this is Phil. So we received some margin calls that were really immaterial. That's nothing that significant.

[Eric Hagen, Managing Director at BTIG]

Okay. Maybe just turning to like conditions in the securitization market. Can you maybe share how you guys are thinking about the flow of capital in response to changing expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates?

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Yes. I mean, you can see credit spreads have been tightening over the course of 2024 as well as coming into 2025. So from our perspective, we take all of that into account and as part of the economic analysis that we go through as we're looking to exercise our call rights and seek to pull capital out and redeploy it. So notwithstanding the CPI news that came out this morning through yesterday, that was something that we thought was favorable conditions, continues to be good demand throughout the capital structure, especially down at the bottom end of the capital structure just in the last deal that we did our first deal of 2025 that we talked about. There was strong demand.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

I think that was the first time we've sold down to a BB in history.

[Eric Hagen, Managing Director at BTIG]

Okay. Thanks for the color. I appreciate you guys.

[Operator]

Thank you. The next question is coming from Trevor Cranston of Citizens JMP.

[Operator]

Please go ahead.

[Trevor Cranston, MD - Mortgage Finance Equity Research at JMP Securities LLC]

Hey, thanks. Good morning. You mentioned adding MSR as a new asset class to help partially help hedge some of the book value volatility. Can you elaborate a little bit on what kind of MSRs you guys are potentially looking at? If it's like current coupon type of product or if it's a little bit more seasoned lower coupon?

[Trevor Cranston, MD - Mortgage Finance Equity Research at JMP Securities LLC]

And maybe also just provide some color on sort of how much approximate capital you'd be looking to deploy into that asset class over the next year or so? Thanks.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Yes, sure. I mean, I start in reverse order here. From an allocation perspective, it's really hard to say. I mean, we do have sort of our internal model portfolio, but sort of getting to that model portfolio is a function of a whole host of things, including market conditions, how much capital we're able to pull out from the re securitizations and re levers that we're doing. So it's hard to give a definitive answer.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

I will say that we are laser focused on moving in that direction. So more to come there over the course of twenty twenty five. Just MSRs as an asset class where we see value, I mean, we like the MSR for a couple of different reasons. One, we are really seeking to make purposeful allocations within the portfolio. So it's not just let's look at whatever trade is in front of us at any point in time, it's really thinking about portfolio construction, where how do we want this portfolio to look over the next two, three, four, five years.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

And MSRs are a core component of that. In order to get the most bang for the buck, if you will, from a the negative duration attributes of an MSR, MSR, obviously buying at the money coupons are going to have a more substantive effect versus out of the money. But we also have to look at things from a relative value perspective. So the lower coupons that have less prepayment volatility, those can at this point in time have some attractive relative value characteristics just because I think a lot of the market and folks are looking at that current coupon as having more of a recapture component to it and there's value there for a lot of these originators. So we'll look across the coupon stack MSRs and see where relative value is.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

But when we think about it, we're really putting it in the context of what is the duration offset, how is it going to stabilize the overall portfolio. So if we I guess I'll just end with this. We did more current coupons, we could have less of an allocation. If we had a lower coupon portfolio, we would have to allocate more equity capital in order for it to achieve our objectives.

[Trevor Cranston, MD - Mortgage Finance Equity Research at JMP Securities LLC]

Got it. Okay, that's helpful. Then could you guys maybe talk a little bit about your thoughts around the likelihood of GSE reform and what kind of opportunities that could present for Chimera if that were to end up happening? Thanks.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

Yes. I mean, that's a tough one. I guess, when we think about it and we talk about it in our investment committee, I mean, you kind of have to start with what are the administration's stated priorities. They seem to include tariffs and trade policy, immigration, border security, government efficiency. The question is how much is GSE privatization to sort of fall into that third bucket of government efficiency.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

I mean, you know, I guess, the last week probably I think the new HUD secretary has come out and made comments about GSE privatization. So whether it's going to be top of mind or not is hard to say. I think from our perspective, one thing that seems to be clear and a bit of a consensus is that we do not want to the policymakers do not want to do anything that is going to negatively impact or disrupt the housing finance market. And it sounds like that this is going to be if we do go down the path of privatization, it's likely to be a long process. It will be one that we'll see to ensure that doesn't have a material negative effect on housing policy.

[Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer at Chimera Investment]

And it will likely focus on core objectives of the agencies, which is to promote opportunities for increasing homeownership. From our perspective, if we had to like sort of guess, if you will, like what could be some of the possible opportunities perhaps or even risks, I mean, I guess as we seek to build our Agency MBS portfolio, so much of the market today is driven by headlines of the day. And as headlines come out that could present opportunities for us to sort of leg in to agencies when the headlines cause spreads to widen. The other element is if they do move towards privatization, then one eventuality could be a scenario where they do focus more on some of the core products and that can move some of the more non core products into the non agency space. Beyond that, it's really anybody's guess, I would say.

[Trevor Cranston, MD - Mortgage Finance Equity Research at JMP Securities LLC]

Yes. Fair enough. Okay. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. At this time, I'd like to turn the floor back over to Mr. Cardes for closing comments.

[Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer at Chimera Investment]

I'd like to thank everyone for participating in our fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings call. And I look forward to speaking to you on our twenty twenty five first quarter earnings call. Thank you again.

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This concludes today's event. You may disconnect your lines and log off the webcast at this time and enjoy the rest of your day.

Participants

Executives

• Victor Falvo, Head of Capital Markets
• Phillip Kardis, Chief Executive Officer
• Subra Viswanathan, Chief Financial Officer
• Jack Macdowell, Chief Investment Officer

Analysts

• Bose George, Managing Director at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW)
• Douglas Harter, Equity Research Analyst at UBS Group
• Eric Hagen, Managing Director at BTIG
• Trevor Cranston, MD - Mortgage Finance Equity Research at JMP Securities LLC