NYSE:ESAB ESAB Q4 2024 Earnings Report $113.46 -0.03 (-0.02%) Closing price 04/17/2025 03:59 PM EasternExtended Trading$112.76 -0.71 (-0.63%) As of 04/17/2025 05:52 PM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. Earnings HistoryForecast ESAB EPS ResultsActual EPS$1.28Consensus EPS $1.15Beat/MissBeat by +$0.13One Year Ago EPSN/AESAB Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$633.20 millionExpected Revenue$636.43 millionBeat/MissMissed by -$3.23 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/AESAB Announcement DetailsQuarterQ4 2024Date2/20/2025TimeBefore Market OpensConference Call DateThursday, February 20, 2025Conference Call Time8:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsESAB's Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Thursday, May 1, 2025, with a conference call scheduled at 8:00 AM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Q1 2025 Earnings ReportConference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Annual Report (10-K)SEC FilingEarnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by ESAB Q4 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrFebruary 20, 2025 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 11 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the ESAB Fourth Quarter twenty twenty four Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Thank you. I'd now like to turn the call over to Mark Barbolato, Vice President of Investor Relations. Operator00:00:25You may begin. Speaker 100:00:28Thanks, operator. Welcome to ESAB's fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings call. This morning, I'm joined by our President and CEO, Sean Cambionda and CFO, Kevin Johnson. Please keep Speaker 200:00:39in mind that some of Speaker 100:00:39the statements we are making are forward looking and are subject to risks, including those set forth in our SEC filings and today's earnings release. Actual results may differ, We do not assume any obligation or intend to update these forward looking statements except as required by law. With respect to any non GAAP financial measures mentioned during the call today, the accompanying reconciliation information related to those measures can be found in our earnings press release and today's slide presentation. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to our President and CEO, Shyam Kambyanda. Speaker 300:01:13Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone. Thank you all for joining us today. Let me begin by recognizing the tremendous effort of all of our associates. Their commitment to our purpose and values and their unyielding dedication to serving our customers enabled us to excel in a challenging environment. Our teams globally continue to raise the bar with EBX, driving continuous improvement Kaizen at our manufacturing sites, enhancing sales processes to simplify doing business and accelerating the pace of innovation to gain market share. Speaker 300:01:52The fourth quarter capped off another strong year delivering record fourth quarter profits, reducing the cyclicality of our business and delivering over 100% in free cash flow conversion. These achievements bring us closer to our 2028 goals. 2025 is off to a solid start and we are determined to build on our momentum from 2024. We will stay focused on innovation, shifting our mix, adding bolt on acquisitions and raising the bar on EBX to deliver differentiated financial results. Turning to Slide three to discuss our financial performance for the fourth quarter. Speaker 300:02:37We delivered 90 basis points of margin expansion on flat organic growth and achieved a record fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.3%. This underscores our unwavering commitment to EBX and continuous improvement enabling us to navigate and execute in a challenging market. Let me reiterate, ESAB has an unmatched global footprint. This is a significant competitive advantage and in today's context our high growth markets continue to offset softness in developed markets. In addition, our commercial EBX playbook and the introduction of exciting new products are capturing the attention of end users and customers alike. Speaker 300:03:26One of the highlights of the quarter was our welding equipment product line, which rose high single digits in the quarter. We have a track record of consistent strong cash flow generation, which we are deploying to execute our compound strategy. As a result of our efforts over the last eight years, ESAB is a less cyclical higher margin and stronger cash flow business. Moving to Slide four to discuss our 2024 highlights. The team continue to execute and deliver on our commitments. Speaker 300:04:03Adjusted EBITDA came in at the top of the range and margins set a new record at 19.7%. Adjusted EPS and free cash flow conversion were well above our guidance. Most importantly, our teams are passionate about our purpose of shaping the world we imagine and our shared vision of reaching our twenty twenty eight goals. Turning to Slide five and bringing our team's passion to life for you, I've been sharing stories that reflect the enthusiasm of our teams and the power of our enterprise to shape the world we imagine. This time I would like to share how our teams are investing in our local communities. Speaker 300:04:46Our team in Europe has expanded our network of technical universities to further the education of young students who are passionate about the field of fabrication technology. We are organizing seminars and donating ESAB equipment as our associates volunteer their time to teach students welding techniques and the best safety practices. We kicked off the ultimate euro tour and our blue collar tour, traveling to different cities to highlight our products and solutions to customers, distributors and future end users. The Blue Collar Tour is particularly inspiring making 30 stops in over sixty days visiting trade schools and high schools. Adding to our sustainability initiative, our GCE team collaborated with a key customer to build a fuel cell system used for backup emergency power. Speaker 300:05:46We believe in inclusivity at ESAB and I want to specially recognize our UK team who are engaging with Project ORE which is an initiative that aims to bring new talent and diversity into our industry as it nurtures young talent regardless of background. As always, I'm humbled and proud of the time our associates have volunteered to share their passion for our industry and I know it positively shapes the education and lives of future generations. Moving to Slide six, over the next two slides, I would like to share what differentiates ESA. We believe in the power of AND. We expect to find ways to take costs out of our business and invest a portion of these savings in innovation and growth. Speaker 300:06:43This slide provides you with an idea of what we're focused on over the next three years to improve margins, deliver stronger free cash flow and achieve better than market growth. I've mentioned before, we're in the middle innings of our EBX journey. At our leadership conference next week, we will be sharing our goals to accelerate our Kaizen activities and strengthen our continuous improvement process. We're also training our leadership team with new tools for productivity like AI to drive back office savings. We expect to generate $60,000,000 in savings by 2028 through these activities. Speaker 300:07:25Moving to Slide seven, we have invested over $100,000,000 in growth initiatives. These initiatives include driving commercial excellence to expand our light automation and equipment portfolio, leveraging AI to enhance customer experience, supporting our sales force with targeted marketing programs to improve brand recognition and funding university research to drive technological breakthroughs for future innovative products. The results are exciting with our new products improving our equipment mix and profitability. The flywheel is turning and we're just getting started. Moving to Slide eight to discuss the continuation of our compounder journey. Speaker 300:08:13During 2024, we added three fantastic acquisitions and let me announce that we signed our first deal of twenty twenty five Bavaria on Tuesday. Bavaria expands our global consumables portfolio and we will share more with all of you at a later date. It is important to note that these deals were proprietary, allowing us to pay a competitive multiple and these acquisitions are EPS accretive in year one. In Q4, I had the opportunity to visit SUMIG in Cachias do Sul in Brazil, a gem of a business nestled in the mountains of Rio Grande do Sul state. This $35,000,000 revenue asset extends our product line into higher growth light automation and shifts our mix to higher margin equipment in The Americas. Speaker 300:09:08We've spoken before about Linde Bangladesh and Sager, both businesses are integrating ahead of plan. These acquisitions demonstrate our ability to find accretive acquisitions around the world. Coming back to the point I've made, we have top tier talent in Colombia, the Indian Subcontinent and Brazil, allowing us to identify, pursue, acquire and integrate these great businesses. And lastly, the slide highlights our commitment to our discipline to ensure acquisitions meet both our strategic and financial goals. Turning to Slide nine and talking specifically about our financial metrics for the quarter. Speaker 300:09:53Total sales reflected flat organic growth, 200 basis points of growth from M and A and a 500 basis points of FX headwind due to a strong U. S. Dollar. We were pleased with our standard automation and welding equipment performance during the fourth quarter. This reflects the channel's acceptance of our updated product portfolio and the commercial excellence initiative, which continues to gain momentum. Speaker 300:10:23Adjusted EBITDA improved by 90 basis points year over year, reaching a fourth quarter record of 20.3% driven by the successful implementation of EBX initiatives. Turning to Slide 10, focusing on our performance in The Americas. Organic sales declined by 200 basis points offset by strong price performance during the quarter of 400 basis points. Acquisitions added 300 basis points helping offset FX headwinds. During the quarter, we closed on Sumic and the business is off to a great start with ESAB. Speaker 300:11:05Adjusted EBITDA improved two ten basis points year over year reaching a fourth quarter record of 21.6%. Moving to Slide 11, another strong performance from our teams in Europe, Middle East and Asia. Total sales increased 300 basis points and EBITDA margins were at 19.3%. During the quarter, volume increased by 400 basis points as we experienced strength in high growth markets and our teams continue to drive share gains in equipment and improve our mix. The Linde Bangladesh acquisition performed well and added 200 basis points of growth. Speaker 300:11:49On that positive note, let me hand it over to Kevin for slide 12. Speaker 400:11:53Thanks Sean. Good morning. This year we achieved another record free cash flow of $321,000,000 We also attained a free cash flow conversion exceeding 100% supported by our continued deployment of our EBX business system and the advantages gained from the AI projects initiated in 2023. Our great cash performance meant we could pay down debt better than expected ending the year with net leverage under 1.6 turns. This included spending $154,000,000 and three terrific bolt on acquisitions that Shyam discussed earlier. Speaker 400:12:33With our strong balance sheet and cash flow we are positioned well to execute on our compounded journey. Moving now to slide number 13, we provide our 2025 guidance. We anticipate organic growth of 0% to 2% with both positive price on volume. We expect a benefit of approximately 1.5 points from M and A which will be offset by around 3.5 points of FX headwind due to a stronger U. S. Speaker 400:13:05Dollar particularly in the first half of the year. The guidance does not reflect the Bavaria acquisition which will be updated upon its close. Regarding seasonality, the quarterly breakdown is detailed on the slide. We anticipate that organic growth will be flat in the first half of the year with an improvement expected in the second half. This includes positive pricing throughout the year in both our segments. Speaker 400:13:34We foresee volumes in The Americas improving sequentially as we progress through the year due to more favorable year over year comparisons and some market improvement. Additionally, we expect continued strength in high growth markets particularly in The Middle East, India and rest of Asia resulting in low to mid single digit positive volume growth in our EMEA and APAC segment throughout the year. We project adjusted EBITDA of between $515,000,000 and $530,000,000 reflecting a margin increase of about 70 basis points at the midpoint. We aim to generate approximately $25,000,000 in savings during the year from EBX initiatives focused on productivity, back office cost reduction and restructuring offset by $15,000,000 invested in growth initiatives mainly for new welding equipment, gas control products and AI. Interest expense is expected to be within the range of $62,000,000 to $65,000,000 Additionally, we forecast an improvement in our adjusted tax rate at the midpoint of around 50 basis points. Speaker 400:14:53Finally, our cash flow conversion guidance is approximately 100% as we continue to focus on maintaining a strong cash flow performance and an increasingly robust balance sheet to support our compounding strategy. Let me hand back to Shyam now on Slide 14 to wrap up. Speaker 300:15:14Thank you, Kevin. To summarize, 2024 was another strong year of execution. We launched over 100 new products and closed on three fantastic bolt on acquisitions. We leveraged the power of EBX to achieve record EBITDA margins and generated better than 100 free cash flow conversion. We're off to a solid start to 2025 and as we continue to focus on improving our mix, we intend to take EBX up another notch to drive higher margins and strong cash flow. Speaker 300:15:47Our acquisition funnel is full of high quality assets that will help propel us towards our 2028 goals. We're laser focused on what we control. We have demonstrated agility and the ability to execute no matter what the business environment. The team is focused on creating long term shareholder value. Thank you all for joining us this morning. Speaker 300:16:10With that operator, let's open the line for questions. Operator00:16:14Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Your first question comes from the line of Brian Blair from Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Speaker 300:16:36Thank you. Good morning, guys. Speaker 200:16:38Good morning. Speaker 500:16:41It would be great to hear a little more color on the order patterns in early twenty twenty five. Obviously, emerging markets outgrowth has been notable through 2024 and that's expected through the cycle. And in terms of build market activity that offsetting that sluggishness certainly a positive as well. Just curious if there's been any shift or you would call it any divergence in underlying trends to start the new year? Speaker 300:17:14Yeah, I think, first, you know, obviously very proud of our team and our performance in 2024. I think our progress towards becoming a premier industrial compounder continues. And I as I mentioned in my script, we're off to a good start in 2025. We sort of, have gotten past January and, the month was in our view a solid start. Orders continue to be stable to slightly improving, and that's actually both in The Americas and the rest of the world. Speaker 300:17:52So that's been a good indication but it's early, Brian, I think it's important to sort of, you know it's kind of watch where things end up but I must say that we're happy with the start to 2025. Speaker 500:18:06I appreciate the color. And sort of a level setting question the the 2024 deals that were executed, what kind of accretion does your team expect in 'twenty five from those assets? And then any additional color you can offer on the deal environment would be great. Speaker 400:18:28Yeah. I'll let Shyam answer the question around the deal environment, but Brian, I think as we've, you know, pointed out before in the three deals that have closed, our expectation is that they're at fleet or above fleet average in terms of EBITDA percentage and as Shyam mentioned during his part of the script, they're integrating very well. In fact, we we we we're seeing them a little bit ahead of where we'd expected when we had prepared their white papers. Speaker 300:18:57And in terms of, what we have, I think I mentioned as I ended that the robust, we have a robust funnel. The fact that we signed our first deal, on Tuesday was very encouraging, sets up well for the full year. You know, we did, three deals last year. You know, I think our our goal would be to sort of continue that kind of pace, but as you all know, it takes two to tango. But we are optimistic about, the funnel that we have and our ability to execute against it. Speaker 500:19:29Understood. That's encouraging. Thanks. Operator00:19:33Your next question comes from the line of Sury Boroditsky from Jefferies. Your line is open. Speaker 600:19:39Hi, good morning. So your guidance includes a ramp in Americas volume. You mentioned easy comps, but also improving market conditions. Can you just talk about the drivers of this improving optimism as we go through the year? Speaker 300:19:55Yeah, good morning, Suri. So a couple of things for us, and I spoke about it, in prior calls as well. Our equipment line is being accepted quite well, both in the distributor channel and with end users. So we see our commercial excellence program that's focused on shifting our mix, of our business towards equipment continue to gain traction. We see our gas control business, as some of you, are now aware that we have a gem of a gas control business within ESAB, that business continues to perform well in The Americas and has green shoots for growth. Speaker 300:20:35And then we see a stabilization off of Q4, within our Fabtech business to slightly improving conditions as the year goes on, in The Americas. And so those three factors is what we have sort of, put into our guidance for 2025. Speaker 600:20:54I appreciate that color and maybe sticking with the guidance. Maybe, you know, you're looking for limited top line growth this year, but you're looking for 70 basis points of margin expansion as well. So maybe just talk about the different drivers of the margin expansion expected for the year. Speaker 200:21:10Yeah, you know, we've, Speaker 300:21:12we've talked about margin expansion, in the spirit of continuous improvement, and what's in our DNA and in our culture at ESAB. You know, I think that the important piece that I'd like to state there that we look at cost out opportunities and we look at opportunities to take some of that cost out and reinvest in our business. And so when you look at, the margin expansion levers that we have, the first one obviously is price. In in this year, we're looking at value based pricing, new product introductions to help us move our margins forward. The second aspect of it is EBX, continuous improvement and productivity gains that we expect, to drive within within our shop floor. Speaker 300:21:55And the third piece is back office and OpEx reduction using sort of the new technologies that are out there like AI, like data analytics to drive margins forward. And so the expansion story for us, as we talk about the midpoint of 70 has all those three factors in it. Speaker 600:22:14I appreciate the color. Thank you. Operator00:22:18Your next question comes from the line of Mig Dobre from Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 200:22:24Thank you and good morning everyone. Maybe going back to your organic growth outlook, I'm curious if you can sort of break down what your assumptions are for the gas business specifically and then maybe give us a little bit of context of how you think about equipment versus consumables. The way I kind of understood your comment, the gas business continues to grow pretty well. Equipment seems to be gaining share. So help us understand the moving pieces here in terms of how we get to the 1% midpoint. Speaker 300:23:01Yeah, you know, the way to think about it, is consumables, flattish to maybe slight growth. And then you'd look at, automation and gas control equipment being up slightly higher, on the low single digit piece. And then we see equipment, be somewhere in the mid single digit range make for the year. Speaker 200:23:30Okay. If I sort of put together those moving pieces, I guess I end up with something that's a little bit higher than where you've guided. And that's kind of the thing that really stood out to me as I was looking at your outlook. It seems like 2024 was a tough year from a macro standpoint, from an end market standpoint. I mean, that's what we kind of talked about throughout the past three or four calls. Speaker 200:23:52And I'm wondering from your perspective, are things actually getting better? Do you have hope for things getting better in twenty twenty twenty five or is essentially the outlook just baking in the same sort of choppy and difficult environment that you had in 2024? Thanks. Speaker 300:24:07Yeah, Mig, I think it's you know I mentioned this earlier we're off to a good start to 2025 but the environment is still choppy. We think it sort of stabilizes as the year goes on and the second half has sort of a lot more traction than the first half. But that being said, I think I mentioned earlier, we don't see things moving, you know, downward from where we finished Q4. We've seen orders kind of stay positive to slightly better than how we ended the fourth quarter. And so all in all we feel confident about our guide but there's a lot of uncertainty out there and I think the way I ended the call was probably the best way that I could put it to you. Speaker 300:24:49You know, we we surely can't control the environment, that will come at us and if it's positive, you can rest assured that that this team will be driving ahead of that positivity. But if there is some uncertainty we are also very confident in executing our plan to continue to grow margin, drive cash flow and gain share. Speaker 200:25:11Appreciate the color. Thank you. Operator00:25:15Your next question comes from the line of Nathan Jones from Stifel. Your line is open. Speaker 700:25:20Good morning everyone. Speaker 300:25:22Hi, Nathan. Speaker 700:25:23I guess, I'll start off with some more detail on the guidance. Maybe you can split it up a little bit more by region. Obviously, I think there's probably a fair difference in some of the regions in EMEA and APAC, and maybe North And South America as well. So any color you can provide on your expectations in 2025 for growth in various regions that make up the segments? Speaker 400:25:48Yeah. I think maybe the best way to look at it, Nathan, is the split between developed and high growth markets. As I say during my script, we are still seeing very strong markets in India, The Middle East, And we are seeing particularly in Southeast Asia, quite a number of pockets of good growth expected this year. But the developed markets Europe and North America, we're not seeing any deterioration in those markets. But, you know, based on what we can see at the moment, our expectation is things stay fairly consistent with how we ended last year and then start to improve in the second half of the year, particularly in The Americas. Speaker 700:26:36Fair enough. I guess I did have one question on the fourth quarter results on the Americas price being at 4%. It wouldn't seem like inflation would have warranted that kind of price increase. Was that something that's value based pricing or was that more related to the strength in the U. S. Speaker 700:26:55Dollar that that drove that price? Speaker 300:26:59No, a lot of it was value based pricing, as we sort of introduced new products, into the regions, and then some inflation based pricing that was, that was out there, Nathan. But I think both our teams in North And South America did a really nice job, withholding price, moving margins to a good spot and, so very proud of that team. I thought, you know, I we believe that that two ten basis points year over year improvement was solid. The team did a really nice job both on the operating side and on the price side. Speaker 700:27:35I guess just to follow-up then, it sounds I mean, you said positive volume, positive price in all the regions and if you're at 1% that probably means very low pricing that you're getting in 2024. Is there the potential with new product introductions that drove some of that good pricing in the fourth quarter to carry over in 2025 and maybe we see Speaker 300:27:57a little bit better Speaker 700:27:57pricing in The Americas than that kind of very low single digit you're looking at? Speaker 400:28:06I think, and Nathan, I mean we're pointed at the moment, a little bit higher on price in The Americas, but you're right, we're around about a point or so of price, you know, in that business. I think as we launch new products, certainly the value pricing is something we've been using EPX for. We're learning more. Of course, there's opportunity as we go through 2025 as we bring out these new products to actually price them a bit better and maybe, you know, do better than that number. But at the moment, we feel confident with where we've positioned the guidance. Speaker 700:28:41Awesome. Thanks very much for taking my questions. Operator00:28:45Your next question comes from the line of David Raso from Evercore ISI. Speaker 800:28:53The Americas, can you just be clear on the guidance? Do we see volumes turning positive during the year on a year over year basis in Americas? Speaker 400:29:03In the fourth quarter, David, we see the margins turning positive volumes, yes, our volumes, sorry, yes. Speaker 800:29:11The volumes. Okay, terrific. And for Europe organically for 2025, I'm just curious, if you can give us some context around how you're looking at that business organically in 2025? Speaker 400:29:26Yes. Our expectation organically is low to mid single digits. We expect fairly steady growth as we progress through the year. Speaker 800:29:39And the low single digit that was a decline Speaker 300:29:42I think you're talking all of the rest of the Mac or just Europe. Was your question just on Europe or Speaker 800:29:48Yeah, just Europe. Speaker 400:29:49I was answering a bit. Speaker 300:29:51Yeah, I think Kevin was sort of talking the whole world. So I think slightly muted volumes for Europe. You know, I think the way to position that, David is we have a really strong European business, our team continues to gain share and our performance in Europe in my view has been very strong. Volumes are muted, but what I would submit is that it's better than the Americas performance. So think of it as muted in the first half moving to slight growth in the second half, but better performance than the Americas volume number that you saw in Q4. Speaker 800:30:33Great. And one thing too, on the currency translation for the international businesses, I appreciate Americas is getting hurt and the Brazilian reais, for example, but that there's no currency drag in the international of EMEA and APAC. Can you explain that? I'm just maybe not modeling it correctly, just given the dollar, euro and just trying to figure out which currencies are that helpful to keep it flat. Speaker 400:31:02In terms of currency, the euro is a negative headwind, David, for us. So, we do expect some FX headwinds within the EMEA PAC business. In fact, the euro is our biggest drag out of all of the currencies that we have. Speaker 300:31:22Yes. I was just thinking in Speaker 800:31:23the last quarter to the international international EMEA, APAC has been shown as currency neutral. And I'm just making sure for going forward, just trying to figure out how it's been neutral the last couple of quarters. Maybe I was missing something on the rupee or something. I just was trying to figure out why it has to be addressed. Speaker 400:31:44Yes. And that division, really the currency that drives things the most is the euro and will be a consequence of the movements year over year in the euro. Speaker 800:31:53Yeah. Okay. And lastly Speaker 400:31:55As we looked at the full year guidance, we are seeing, you know, quite a large headwind year over year on the euro. And also do see the Indian rupee pop up as one of the currencies that is causing a little bit of headwind in terms of the full year guidance. Speaker 800:32:15And lastly, back to the question on pricing in Americas, it at least feels a bit conservative. What's in your order book? Is it already having the muted year over year price gains versus what you're posting? Or you're just assuming some anniversarying where there's no further price? I'm just trying to understand why the price you've been doing a very good job on getting the price in Americas. Speaker 800:32:37And I'm just making sure I understand why it's guided now sort of largely going away very little price for '25. Is that already in the backlog? Or just trying to understand why pricing can't stay a little more positive? Speaker 300:32:52I think, the way to think about that there's moving pieces in there, depending on what steel does, David. So I think, our assumptions right now is that at least we have not seen steel pricing jump, and so it's a bit more muted on on that particular side on the consumable side. On the equipment side obviously, you know, we feel very confident about the pricing. And so to answer your question, I think the assumption that we're taking in is that steel kind of stays where it's at to slightly down as we go through the year. If things were to move the other way as you know, we'd be sort of out there with some additional price. Speaker 800:33:32So like a tariff impact, I assume the contracts have an ability to pass it on pretty quickly if steel moved. Speaker 300:33:39That's right. That's right. Operator00:33:45Your next question comes from the line of Tami Zakaria from JPMorgan. Your line is open. Speaker 900:33:51Hey, good morning. Thank you so much. My first question is on FX. Seems like you're modeling or expecting $90,000,000 of FX headwind this year, year over year. How much of EBITDA headwind would that be? Speaker 900:34:09I'm trying to understand if you have a rule of thumb for incremental or decremental margin related to Speaker 400:34:17FX. Yes. As you know, we have a lot of our costs in the regions where we operate. So, we do have some element of natural hedge. So, typically for us, it's around about a 20% decrement that we would expect on FX movements positive or negative. Speaker 900:34:38Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And then my other question is the more geopolitical, should Russia and Ukraine, the conflict resolve, do you see any opportunity in the near term if rebuilding in that region begins or or is that not a region where you have much exposure left? Speaker 300:35:03Yeah, I think, first we are rooting for peace and sustained peace in the region. If things were to get better and there was a reconstruction plan, we would expect, ESOP, to benefit, from it, but that is not in our numbers or in our forecast. Speaker 900:35:26Got it. Okay. Thank you. Operator00:35:31Your next question comes from the line of Chris Dankert from Loop Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:35:38Hey, morning. Thanks for taking the questions guys. I guess first off maybe Speaker 700:35:45a point of clarification Speaker 1000:35:46and just to kick things off here. On the margin walk, you didn't highlight mix of the benefit. It seems like equipment is still outgrowing, gas control is still outgrowing, consumables I would assume there's kind of a continued mix tailwind there. So is that included in the margin walk? Is that just part of the pricing maybe kind of if you could put a little finer point on mix that'd be helpful. Speaker 300:36:09You you are you talking about the 2025 guide Chris or are you talking about how we finished Q4 twenty twenty five? Speaker 1000:36:16No, on on the guide, sorry. Yeah. Speaker 400:36:18Yeah. So obviously, as equipment becomes a larger part of our business, that mix is beneficial to the margin. Certainly one of the areas that we've you know been focused on as well as value pricing, as well as some additional restructuring efforts as well as, some of the, you know, efficiency improvements we're making in the back office, Chris, so it's definitely in the mix. I think the key thing that Shyam talked today about on on the call is the fact that we're also creating an envelope, a window that's allowing us to continue to invest, you know, back in the business as well. So all of the savings that we're generating from all of those activities, they're not all, flowing straight through to the bottom line because we're continuing to invest in the business for the future. Speaker 300:37:08And I think that's important, Chris, to understand and that really differentiates ESOP. You know, the fact that we are taking cost out, creating some headroom but more importantly investing in the future and we think that pays dividends over the long term to our shareholders. Speaker 1000:37:25Well, that's actually a great segue into my second question here. I guess maybe can you guys break out maybe a couple of the key buckets for investment this year in 2025? I mean, is it additional product R and D? Is it digital? Maybe just if you could give us some color there, that'd be great. Speaker 400:37:42Yes. We obviously, we've been talking since 2023 about AI, and that is continuing to be a focus area for Sean, me, and our broader team. We're not gonna share all of the secret sauce on the call but I can assure you we've got several projects in flight at different stages at the moment within the business and we think that's an important area. It's amazing just some of the opportunities that are are coming across on back office automation as well as customer service, which has been a big focus area for us, for, the back end of '24 and into '25 and how we can use AI to enable us to do that. And then there's the commercial excellence initiatives that we kicked off, a year or so ago, where we're looking at making sure we maximize our share of welding equipment. Speaker 400:38:40And we've got a number of activities associated with that that we'll we'll continue to invest in this year to make sure that we drive, you know, strong growth in welding equipment again in 2025. Speaker 300:38:52Yeah, I think just to add to what Kevin said, you know, in some regions as you can imagine, customers, you know, were ESOP buyers. And on the equipment side, what we're finding is that if we have targeted commercial strategies to those customers, we're able to go back and gain share. And our European team has done a really nice job with it, so as our South American team. So really happy about the commercial excellence side. And the other aspect of AI is that we're finding that it can also play a large role in design and development. Speaker 300:39:31And so we've been investing the other investment that Kevin did mention was with universities, as we kind of look to breakthrough technologies that will that will reshape, you know, our portfolio for the future. So it's really three aspects, you know, on on that particular front. Speaker 1000:39:49That's helpful. Thanks so much for the color guys and best of luck in 2025 here. Speaker 400:39:54Thank you. Thank you. Operator00:39:56Your next question comes from the line of Mig Dobre from Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 200:40:02Yes. Thank you. Just a very quick follow-up. So on Slide six, when you talk about EbX, you have this goal outlined to reduce manufacturing footprint by 15% over the next three years. And I'm curious if you can comment a little bit more on this. Speaker 200:40:20And I'm wondering two things. First, what sort of changes are you making here? And is it more about kind of like shifting production into certain geographies? Anything else that we should know? And what's the net effect of reducing the manufacturing footprint in terms of efficiency or your cost structure? Speaker 300:40:41Yeah. Sort of we, you know, on that left side of the slide, we should talk about kind of the improvement and the benefits of what we're doing on the right, you know, both in manufacturing footprint and some back office optimization. The best way to think about it is that, we acquire bolt on and and tuck in acquisitions. Our premise and and thesis on most of it is that, you know, you pick up a business, you've got accretive margins, you're able to tuck in tuck them into ESAB, manufacturing sites, become more efficient and as a result drive more to the bottom line. And so the the assumption on that particular piece is no different. Speaker 300:41:22We've got some other actions underway as well on some legacy facilities, but we usually don't talk about them in much detail in these calls. But rest assured, what I wanted to communicate on that particular slide is that I often get a question about how far along are you and do you have more to do in terms of EBX and optimization and footprint? And I think the short answer is we do, we have plenty to do actually. In fact I would submit that we had a strong year in 2024 but we could have done more. Well I'm sure we'll feel the same way when we're done with 2025. Speaker 300:42:01And so this sort of just gives you a view of how we think about our footprint and what we think the opportunities will be as we acquire companies and and we take some of the companies that we've acquired and continue to make them more efficient. Speaker 200:42:17Appreciate it. Operator00:42:20And that concludes our question and answer session. I will now turn the call back over to Mark Barbolato for closing remarks. Speaker 100:42:27Thank you for joining us today and we look forward Speaker 200:42:29to speaking to you next quarter. Operator00:42:31This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallESAB Q4 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Annual report(10-K) ESAB Earnings HeadlinesESAB price target lowered to $109 from $125 at StifelApril 16 at 10:51 AM | markets.businessinsider.comStifel Nicolaus Has Lowered Expectations for ESAB (NYSE:ESAB) Stock PriceApril 16 at 2:55 AM | americanbankingnews.comMusk’s AI Masterplan – Our #1 AI Stock to Buy NowDid Elon Musk just set the stage for the next AI stock explosion? One 30-year Wall Street veteran thinks so. Musk has been quietly creating one of the most ambitious AI ventures in history.April 18, 2025 | Behind the Markets (Ad)6 Analysts Assess ESAB: What You Need To KnowApril 14, 2025 | benzinga.comESAB Corporation Schedules First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference CallApril 9, 2025 | businesswire.comS&P 500 Futures Drop in Premarket Trading; McCormick Vtg, ESAB LagApril 7, 2025 | marketwatch.comSee More ESAB Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like ESAB? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on ESAB and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About ESABESAB (NYSE:ESAB) engages in the formulation, development, manufacture, and supply of consumable products and equipment for use in cutting, joining, automated welding, and gas control equipment. Its comprehensive range of welding consumables includes electrodes, cored and solid wires, and fluxes using a range of specialty and other materials; and cutting consumables comprising electrodes, nozzles, shields, and tips. The company's equipment ranges from portable welding machines to large customized automated cutting and welding systems. It also offers a range of software and digital solutions to help its customers increase their productivity, remotely monitor their welding operations, and digitize their documentation. The company sells its products under the ESAB brand to various end markets, such as general industry, infrastructure, renewable energy, medical and life sciences, transportation, construction, and energy. It offers its products through independent distributors and direct salespeople. The company operates in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. 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There are 11 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the ESAB Fourth Quarter twenty twenty four Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Thank you. I'd now like to turn the call over to Mark Barbolato, Vice President of Investor Relations. Operator00:00:25You may begin. Speaker 100:00:28Thanks, operator. Welcome to ESAB's fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings call. This morning, I'm joined by our President and CEO, Sean Cambionda and CFO, Kevin Johnson. Please keep Speaker 200:00:39in mind that some of Speaker 100:00:39the statements we are making are forward looking and are subject to risks, including those set forth in our SEC filings and today's earnings release. Actual results may differ, We do not assume any obligation or intend to update these forward looking statements except as required by law. With respect to any non GAAP financial measures mentioned during the call today, the accompanying reconciliation information related to those measures can be found in our earnings press release and today's slide presentation. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to our President and CEO, Shyam Kambyanda. Speaker 300:01:13Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone. Thank you all for joining us today. Let me begin by recognizing the tremendous effort of all of our associates. Their commitment to our purpose and values and their unyielding dedication to serving our customers enabled us to excel in a challenging environment. Our teams globally continue to raise the bar with EBX, driving continuous improvement Kaizen at our manufacturing sites, enhancing sales processes to simplify doing business and accelerating the pace of innovation to gain market share. Speaker 300:01:52The fourth quarter capped off another strong year delivering record fourth quarter profits, reducing the cyclicality of our business and delivering over 100% in free cash flow conversion. These achievements bring us closer to our 2028 goals. 2025 is off to a solid start and we are determined to build on our momentum from 2024. We will stay focused on innovation, shifting our mix, adding bolt on acquisitions and raising the bar on EBX to deliver differentiated financial results. Turning to Slide three to discuss our financial performance for the fourth quarter. Speaker 300:02:37We delivered 90 basis points of margin expansion on flat organic growth and achieved a record fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.3%. This underscores our unwavering commitment to EBX and continuous improvement enabling us to navigate and execute in a challenging market. Let me reiterate, ESAB has an unmatched global footprint. This is a significant competitive advantage and in today's context our high growth markets continue to offset softness in developed markets. In addition, our commercial EBX playbook and the introduction of exciting new products are capturing the attention of end users and customers alike. Speaker 300:03:26One of the highlights of the quarter was our welding equipment product line, which rose high single digits in the quarter. We have a track record of consistent strong cash flow generation, which we are deploying to execute our compound strategy. As a result of our efforts over the last eight years, ESAB is a less cyclical higher margin and stronger cash flow business. Moving to Slide four to discuss our 2024 highlights. The team continue to execute and deliver on our commitments. Speaker 300:04:03Adjusted EBITDA came in at the top of the range and margins set a new record at 19.7%. Adjusted EPS and free cash flow conversion were well above our guidance. Most importantly, our teams are passionate about our purpose of shaping the world we imagine and our shared vision of reaching our twenty twenty eight goals. Turning to Slide five and bringing our team's passion to life for you, I've been sharing stories that reflect the enthusiasm of our teams and the power of our enterprise to shape the world we imagine. This time I would like to share how our teams are investing in our local communities. Speaker 300:04:46Our team in Europe has expanded our network of technical universities to further the education of young students who are passionate about the field of fabrication technology. We are organizing seminars and donating ESAB equipment as our associates volunteer their time to teach students welding techniques and the best safety practices. We kicked off the ultimate euro tour and our blue collar tour, traveling to different cities to highlight our products and solutions to customers, distributors and future end users. The Blue Collar Tour is particularly inspiring making 30 stops in over sixty days visiting trade schools and high schools. Adding to our sustainability initiative, our GCE team collaborated with a key customer to build a fuel cell system used for backup emergency power. Speaker 300:05:46We believe in inclusivity at ESAB and I want to specially recognize our UK team who are engaging with Project ORE which is an initiative that aims to bring new talent and diversity into our industry as it nurtures young talent regardless of background. As always, I'm humbled and proud of the time our associates have volunteered to share their passion for our industry and I know it positively shapes the education and lives of future generations. Moving to Slide six, over the next two slides, I would like to share what differentiates ESA. We believe in the power of AND. We expect to find ways to take costs out of our business and invest a portion of these savings in innovation and growth. Speaker 300:06:43This slide provides you with an idea of what we're focused on over the next three years to improve margins, deliver stronger free cash flow and achieve better than market growth. I've mentioned before, we're in the middle innings of our EBX journey. At our leadership conference next week, we will be sharing our goals to accelerate our Kaizen activities and strengthen our continuous improvement process. We're also training our leadership team with new tools for productivity like AI to drive back office savings. We expect to generate $60,000,000 in savings by 2028 through these activities. Speaker 300:07:25Moving to Slide seven, we have invested over $100,000,000 in growth initiatives. These initiatives include driving commercial excellence to expand our light automation and equipment portfolio, leveraging AI to enhance customer experience, supporting our sales force with targeted marketing programs to improve brand recognition and funding university research to drive technological breakthroughs for future innovative products. The results are exciting with our new products improving our equipment mix and profitability. The flywheel is turning and we're just getting started. Moving to Slide eight to discuss the continuation of our compounder journey. Speaker 300:08:13During 2024, we added three fantastic acquisitions and let me announce that we signed our first deal of twenty twenty five Bavaria on Tuesday. Bavaria expands our global consumables portfolio and we will share more with all of you at a later date. It is important to note that these deals were proprietary, allowing us to pay a competitive multiple and these acquisitions are EPS accretive in year one. In Q4, I had the opportunity to visit SUMIG in Cachias do Sul in Brazil, a gem of a business nestled in the mountains of Rio Grande do Sul state. This $35,000,000 revenue asset extends our product line into higher growth light automation and shifts our mix to higher margin equipment in The Americas. Speaker 300:09:08We've spoken before about Linde Bangladesh and Sager, both businesses are integrating ahead of plan. These acquisitions demonstrate our ability to find accretive acquisitions around the world. Coming back to the point I've made, we have top tier talent in Colombia, the Indian Subcontinent and Brazil, allowing us to identify, pursue, acquire and integrate these great businesses. And lastly, the slide highlights our commitment to our discipline to ensure acquisitions meet both our strategic and financial goals. Turning to Slide nine and talking specifically about our financial metrics for the quarter. Speaker 300:09:53Total sales reflected flat organic growth, 200 basis points of growth from M and A and a 500 basis points of FX headwind due to a strong U. S. Dollar. We were pleased with our standard automation and welding equipment performance during the fourth quarter. This reflects the channel's acceptance of our updated product portfolio and the commercial excellence initiative, which continues to gain momentum. Speaker 300:10:23Adjusted EBITDA improved by 90 basis points year over year, reaching a fourth quarter record of 20.3% driven by the successful implementation of EBX initiatives. Turning to Slide 10, focusing on our performance in The Americas. Organic sales declined by 200 basis points offset by strong price performance during the quarter of 400 basis points. Acquisitions added 300 basis points helping offset FX headwinds. During the quarter, we closed on Sumic and the business is off to a great start with ESAB. Speaker 300:11:05Adjusted EBITDA improved two ten basis points year over year reaching a fourth quarter record of 21.6%. Moving to Slide 11, another strong performance from our teams in Europe, Middle East and Asia. Total sales increased 300 basis points and EBITDA margins were at 19.3%. During the quarter, volume increased by 400 basis points as we experienced strength in high growth markets and our teams continue to drive share gains in equipment and improve our mix. The Linde Bangladesh acquisition performed well and added 200 basis points of growth. Speaker 300:11:49On that positive note, let me hand it over to Kevin for slide 12. Speaker 400:11:53Thanks Sean. Good morning. This year we achieved another record free cash flow of $321,000,000 We also attained a free cash flow conversion exceeding 100% supported by our continued deployment of our EBX business system and the advantages gained from the AI projects initiated in 2023. Our great cash performance meant we could pay down debt better than expected ending the year with net leverage under 1.6 turns. This included spending $154,000,000 and three terrific bolt on acquisitions that Shyam discussed earlier. Speaker 400:12:33With our strong balance sheet and cash flow we are positioned well to execute on our compounded journey. Moving now to slide number 13, we provide our 2025 guidance. We anticipate organic growth of 0% to 2% with both positive price on volume. We expect a benefit of approximately 1.5 points from M and A which will be offset by around 3.5 points of FX headwind due to a stronger U. S. Speaker 400:13:05Dollar particularly in the first half of the year. The guidance does not reflect the Bavaria acquisition which will be updated upon its close. Regarding seasonality, the quarterly breakdown is detailed on the slide. We anticipate that organic growth will be flat in the first half of the year with an improvement expected in the second half. This includes positive pricing throughout the year in both our segments. Speaker 400:13:34We foresee volumes in The Americas improving sequentially as we progress through the year due to more favorable year over year comparisons and some market improvement. Additionally, we expect continued strength in high growth markets particularly in The Middle East, India and rest of Asia resulting in low to mid single digit positive volume growth in our EMEA and APAC segment throughout the year. We project adjusted EBITDA of between $515,000,000 and $530,000,000 reflecting a margin increase of about 70 basis points at the midpoint. We aim to generate approximately $25,000,000 in savings during the year from EBX initiatives focused on productivity, back office cost reduction and restructuring offset by $15,000,000 invested in growth initiatives mainly for new welding equipment, gas control products and AI. Interest expense is expected to be within the range of $62,000,000 to $65,000,000 Additionally, we forecast an improvement in our adjusted tax rate at the midpoint of around 50 basis points. Speaker 400:14:53Finally, our cash flow conversion guidance is approximately 100% as we continue to focus on maintaining a strong cash flow performance and an increasingly robust balance sheet to support our compounding strategy. Let me hand back to Shyam now on Slide 14 to wrap up. Speaker 300:15:14Thank you, Kevin. To summarize, 2024 was another strong year of execution. We launched over 100 new products and closed on three fantastic bolt on acquisitions. We leveraged the power of EBX to achieve record EBITDA margins and generated better than 100 free cash flow conversion. We're off to a solid start to 2025 and as we continue to focus on improving our mix, we intend to take EBX up another notch to drive higher margins and strong cash flow. Speaker 300:15:47Our acquisition funnel is full of high quality assets that will help propel us towards our 2028 goals. We're laser focused on what we control. We have demonstrated agility and the ability to execute no matter what the business environment. The team is focused on creating long term shareholder value. Thank you all for joining us this morning. Speaker 300:16:10With that operator, let's open the line for questions. Operator00:16:14Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Your first question comes from the line of Brian Blair from Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Speaker 300:16:36Thank you. Good morning, guys. Speaker 200:16:38Good morning. Speaker 500:16:41It would be great to hear a little more color on the order patterns in early twenty twenty five. Obviously, emerging markets outgrowth has been notable through 2024 and that's expected through the cycle. And in terms of build market activity that offsetting that sluggishness certainly a positive as well. Just curious if there's been any shift or you would call it any divergence in underlying trends to start the new year? Speaker 300:17:14Yeah, I think, first, you know, obviously very proud of our team and our performance in 2024. I think our progress towards becoming a premier industrial compounder continues. And I as I mentioned in my script, we're off to a good start in 2025. We sort of, have gotten past January and, the month was in our view a solid start. Orders continue to be stable to slightly improving, and that's actually both in The Americas and the rest of the world. Speaker 300:17:52So that's been a good indication but it's early, Brian, I think it's important to sort of, you know it's kind of watch where things end up but I must say that we're happy with the start to 2025. Speaker 500:18:06I appreciate the color. And sort of a level setting question the the 2024 deals that were executed, what kind of accretion does your team expect in 'twenty five from those assets? And then any additional color you can offer on the deal environment would be great. Speaker 400:18:28Yeah. I'll let Shyam answer the question around the deal environment, but Brian, I think as we've, you know, pointed out before in the three deals that have closed, our expectation is that they're at fleet or above fleet average in terms of EBITDA percentage and as Shyam mentioned during his part of the script, they're integrating very well. In fact, we we we we're seeing them a little bit ahead of where we'd expected when we had prepared their white papers. Speaker 300:18:57And in terms of, what we have, I think I mentioned as I ended that the robust, we have a robust funnel. The fact that we signed our first deal, on Tuesday was very encouraging, sets up well for the full year. You know, we did, three deals last year. You know, I think our our goal would be to sort of continue that kind of pace, but as you all know, it takes two to tango. But we are optimistic about, the funnel that we have and our ability to execute against it. Speaker 500:19:29Understood. That's encouraging. Thanks. Operator00:19:33Your next question comes from the line of Sury Boroditsky from Jefferies. Your line is open. Speaker 600:19:39Hi, good morning. So your guidance includes a ramp in Americas volume. You mentioned easy comps, but also improving market conditions. Can you just talk about the drivers of this improving optimism as we go through the year? Speaker 300:19:55Yeah, good morning, Suri. So a couple of things for us, and I spoke about it, in prior calls as well. Our equipment line is being accepted quite well, both in the distributor channel and with end users. So we see our commercial excellence program that's focused on shifting our mix, of our business towards equipment continue to gain traction. We see our gas control business, as some of you, are now aware that we have a gem of a gas control business within ESAB, that business continues to perform well in The Americas and has green shoots for growth. Speaker 300:20:35And then we see a stabilization off of Q4, within our Fabtech business to slightly improving conditions as the year goes on, in The Americas. And so those three factors is what we have sort of, put into our guidance for 2025. Speaker 600:20:54I appreciate that color and maybe sticking with the guidance. Maybe, you know, you're looking for limited top line growth this year, but you're looking for 70 basis points of margin expansion as well. So maybe just talk about the different drivers of the margin expansion expected for the year. Speaker 200:21:10Yeah, you know, we've, Speaker 300:21:12we've talked about margin expansion, in the spirit of continuous improvement, and what's in our DNA and in our culture at ESAB. You know, I think that the important piece that I'd like to state there that we look at cost out opportunities and we look at opportunities to take some of that cost out and reinvest in our business. And so when you look at, the margin expansion levers that we have, the first one obviously is price. In in this year, we're looking at value based pricing, new product introductions to help us move our margins forward. The second aspect of it is EBX, continuous improvement and productivity gains that we expect, to drive within within our shop floor. Speaker 300:21:55And the third piece is back office and OpEx reduction using sort of the new technologies that are out there like AI, like data analytics to drive margins forward. And so the expansion story for us, as we talk about the midpoint of 70 has all those three factors in it. Speaker 600:22:14I appreciate the color. Thank you. Operator00:22:18Your next question comes from the line of Mig Dobre from Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 200:22:24Thank you and good morning everyone. Maybe going back to your organic growth outlook, I'm curious if you can sort of break down what your assumptions are for the gas business specifically and then maybe give us a little bit of context of how you think about equipment versus consumables. The way I kind of understood your comment, the gas business continues to grow pretty well. Equipment seems to be gaining share. So help us understand the moving pieces here in terms of how we get to the 1% midpoint. Speaker 300:23:01Yeah, you know, the way to think about it, is consumables, flattish to maybe slight growth. And then you'd look at, automation and gas control equipment being up slightly higher, on the low single digit piece. And then we see equipment, be somewhere in the mid single digit range make for the year. Speaker 200:23:30Okay. If I sort of put together those moving pieces, I guess I end up with something that's a little bit higher than where you've guided. And that's kind of the thing that really stood out to me as I was looking at your outlook. It seems like 2024 was a tough year from a macro standpoint, from an end market standpoint. I mean, that's what we kind of talked about throughout the past three or four calls. Speaker 200:23:52And I'm wondering from your perspective, are things actually getting better? Do you have hope for things getting better in twenty twenty twenty five or is essentially the outlook just baking in the same sort of choppy and difficult environment that you had in 2024? Thanks. Speaker 300:24:07Yeah, Mig, I think it's you know I mentioned this earlier we're off to a good start to 2025 but the environment is still choppy. We think it sort of stabilizes as the year goes on and the second half has sort of a lot more traction than the first half. But that being said, I think I mentioned earlier, we don't see things moving, you know, downward from where we finished Q4. We've seen orders kind of stay positive to slightly better than how we ended the fourth quarter. And so all in all we feel confident about our guide but there's a lot of uncertainty out there and I think the way I ended the call was probably the best way that I could put it to you. Speaker 300:24:49You know, we we surely can't control the environment, that will come at us and if it's positive, you can rest assured that that this team will be driving ahead of that positivity. But if there is some uncertainty we are also very confident in executing our plan to continue to grow margin, drive cash flow and gain share. Speaker 200:25:11Appreciate the color. Thank you. Operator00:25:15Your next question comes from the line of Nathan Jones from Stifel. Your line is open. Speaker 700:25:20Good morning everyone. Speaker 300:25:22Hi, Nathan. Speaker 700:25:23I guess, I'll start off with some more detail on the guidance. Maybe you can split it up a little bit more by region. Obviously, I think there's probably a fair difference in some of the regions in EMEA and APAC, and maybe North And South America as well. So any color you can provide on your expectations in 2025 for growth in various regions that make up the segments? Speaker 400:25:48Yeah. I think maybe the best way to look at it, Nathan, is the split between developed and high growth markets. As I say during my script, we are still seeing very strong markets in India, The Middle East, And we are seeing particularly in Southeast Asia, quite a number of pockets of good growth expected this year. But the developed markets Europe and North America, we're not seeing any deterioration in those markets. But, you know, based on what we can see at the moment, our expectation is things stay fairly consistent with how we ended last year and then start to improve in the second half of the year, particularly in The Americas. Speaker 700:26:36Fair enough. I guess I did have one question on the fourth quarter results on the Americas price being at 4%. It wouldn't seem like inflation would have warranted that kind of price increase. Was that something that's value based pricing or was that more related to the strength in the U. S. Speaker 700:26:55Dollar that that drove that price? Speaker 300:26:59No, a lot of it was value based pricing, as we sort of introduced new products, into the regions, and then some inflation based pricing that was, that was out there, Nathan. But I think both our teams in North And South America did a really nice job, withholding price, moving margins to a good spot and, so very proud of that team. I thought, you know, I we believe that that two ten basis points year over year improvement was solid. The team did a really nice job both on the operating side and on the price side. Speaker 700:27:35I guess just to follow-up then, it sounds I mean, you said positive volume, positive price in all the regions and if you're at 1% that probably means very low pricing that you're getting in 2024. Is there the potential with new product introductions that drove some of that good pricing in the fourth quarter to carry over in 2025 and maybe we see Speaker 300:27:57a little bit better Speaker 700:27:57pricing in The Americas than that kind of very low single digit you're looking at? Speaker 400:28:06I think, and Nathan, I mean we're pointed at the moment, a little bit higher on price in The Americas, but you're right, we're around about a point or so of price, you know, in that business. I think as we launch new products, certainly the value pricing is something we've been using EPX for. We're learning more. Of course, there's opportunity as we go through 2025 as we bring out these new products to actually price them a bit better and maybe, you know, do better than that number. But at the moment, we feel confident with where we've positioned the guidance. Speaker 700:28:41Awesome. Thanks very much for taking my questions. Operator00:28:45Your next question comes from the line of David Raso from Evercore ISI. Speaker 800:28:53The Americas, can you just be clear on the guidance? Do we see volumes turning positive during the year on a year over year basis in Americas? Speaker 400:29:03In the fourth quarter, David, we see the margins turning positive volumes, yes, our volumes, sorry, yes. Speaker 800:29:11The volumes. Okay, terrific. And for Europe organically for 2025, I'm just curious, if you can give us some context around how you're looking at that business organically in 2025? Speaker 400:29:26Yes. Our expectation organically is low to mid single digits. We expect fairly steady growth as we progress through the year. Speaker 800:29:39And the low single digit that was a decline Speaker 300:29:42I think you're talking all of the rest of the Mac or just Europe. Was your question just on Europe or Speaker 800:29:48Yeah, just Europe. Speaker 400:29:49I was answering a bit. Speaker 300:29:51Yeah, I think Kevin was sort of talking the whole world. So I think slightly muted volumes for Europe. You know, I think the way to position that, David is we have a really strong European business, our team continues to gain share and our performance in Europe in my view has been very strong. Volumes are muted, but what I would submit is that it's better than the Americas performance. So think of it as muted in the first half moving to slight growth in the second half, but better performance than the Americas volume number that you saw in Q4. Speaker 800:30:33Great. And one thing too, on the currency translation for the international businesses, I appreciate Americas is getting hurt and the Brazilian reais, for example, but that there's no currency drag in the international of EMEA and APAC. Can you explain that? I'm just maybe not modeling it correctly, just given the dollar, euro and just trying to figure out which currencies are that helpful to keep it flat. Speaker 400:31:02In terms of currency, the euro is a negative headwind, David, for us. So, we do expect some FX headwinds within the EMEA PAC business. In fact, the euro is our biggest drag out of all of the currencies that we have. Speaker 300:31:22Yes. I was just thinking in Speaker 800:31:23the last quarter to the international international EMEA, APAC has been shown as currency neutral. And I'm just making sure for going forward, just trying to figure out how it's been neutral the last couple of quarters. Maybe I was missing something on the rupee or something. I just was trying to figure out why it has to be addressed. Speaker 400:31:44Yes. And that division, really the currency that drives things the most is the euro and will be a consequence of the movements year over year in the euro. Speaker 800:31:53Yeah. Okay. And lastly Speaker 400:31:55As we looked at the full year guidance, we are seeing, you know, quite a large headwind year over year on the euro. And also do see the Indian rupee pop up as one of the currencies that is causing a little bit of headwind in terms of the full year guidance. Speaker 800:32:15And lastly, back to the question on pricing in Americas, it at least feels a bit conservative. What's in your order book? Is it already having the muted year over year price gains versus what you're posting? Or you're just assuming some anniversarying where there's no further price? I'm just trying to understand why the price you've been doing a very good job on getting the price in Americas. Speaker 800:32:37And I'm just making sure I understand why it's guided now sort of largely going away very little price for '25. Is that already in the backlog? Or just trying to understand why pricing can't stay a little more positive? Speaker 300:32:52I think, the way to think about that there's moving pieces in there, depending on what steel does, David. So I think, our assumptions right now is that at least we have not seen steel pricing jump, and so it's a bit more muted on on that particular side on the consumable side. On the equipment side obviously, you know, we feel very confident about the pricing. And so to answer your question, I think the assumption that we're taking in is that steel kind of stays where it's at to slightly down as we go through the year. If things were to move the other way as you know, we'd be sort of out there with some additional price. Speaker 800:33:32So like a tariff impact, I assume the contracts have an ability to pass it on pretty quickly if steel moved. Speaker 300:33:39That's right. That's right. Operator00:33:45Your next question comes from the line of Tami Zakaria from JPMorgan. Your line is open. Speaker 900:33:51Hey, good morning. Thank you so much. My first question is on FX. Seems like you're modeling or expecting $90,000,000 of FX headwind this year, year over year. How much of EBITDA headwind would that be? Speaker 900:34:09I'm trying to understand if you have a rule of thumb for incremental or decremental margin related to Speaker 400:34:17FX. Yes. As you know, we have a lot of our costs in the regions where we operate. So, we do have some element of natural hedge. So, typically for us, it's around about a 20% decrement that we would expect on FX movements positive or negative. Speaker 900:34:38Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And then my other question is the more geopolitical, should Russia and Ukraine, the conflict resolve, do you see any opportunity in the near term if rebuilding in that region begins or or is that not a region where you have much exposure left? Speaker 300:35:03Yeah, I think, first we are rooting for peace and sustained peace in the region. If things were to get better and there was a reconstruction plan, we would expect, ESOP, to benefit, from it, but that is not in our numbers or in our forecast. Speaker 900:35:26Got it. Okay. Thank you. Operator00:35:31Your next question comes from the line of Chris Dankert from Loop Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:35:38Hey, morning. Thanks for taking the questions guys. I guess first off maybe Speaker 700:35:45a point of clarification Speaker 1000:35:46and just to kick things off here. On the margin walk, you didn't highlight mix of the benefit. It seems like equipment is still outgrowing, gas control is still outgrowing, consumables I would assume there's kind of a continued mix tailwind there. So is that included in the margin walk? Is that just part of the pricing maybe kind of if you could put a little finer point on mix that'd be helpful. Speaker 300:36:09You you are you talking about the 2025 guide Chris or are you talking about how we finished Q4 twenty twenty five? Speaker 1000:36:16No, on on the guide, sorry. Yeah. Speaker 400:36:18Yeah. So obviously, as equipment becomes a larger part of our business, that mix is beneficial to the margin. Certainly one of the areas that we've you know been focused on as well as value pricing, as well as some additional restructuring efforts as well as, some of the, you know, efficiency improvements we're making in the back office, Chris, so it's definitely in the mix. I think the key thing that Shyam talked today about on on the call is the fact that we're also creating an envelope, a window that's allowing us to continue to invest, you know, back in the business as well. So all of the savings that we're generating from all of those activities, they're not all, flowing straight through to the bottom line because we're continuing to invest in the business for the future. Speaker 300:37:08And I think that's important, Chris, to understand and that really differentiates ESOP. You know, the fact that we are taking cost out, creating some headroom but more importantly investing in the future and we think that pays dividends over the long term to our shareholders. Speaker 1000:37:25Well, that's actually a great segue into my second question here. I guess maybe can you guys break out maybe a couple of the key buckets for investment this year in 2025? I mean, is it additional product R and D? Is it digital? Maybe just if you could give us some color there, that'd be great. Speaker 400:37:42Yes. We obviously, we've been talking since 2023 about AI, and that is continuing to be a focus area for Sean, me, and our broader team. We're not gonna share all of the secret sauce on the call but I can assure you we've got several projects in flight at different stages at the moment within the business and we think that's an important area. It's amazing just some of the opportunities that are are coming across on back office automation as well as customer service, which has been a big focus area for us, for, the back end of '24 and into '25 and how we can use AI to enable us to do that. And then there's the commercial excellence initiatives that we kicked off, a year or so ago, where we're looking at making sure we maximize our share of welding equipment. Speaker 400:38:40And we've got a number of activities associated with that that we'll we'll continue to invest in this year to make sure that we drive, you know, strong growth in welding equipment again in 2025. Speaker 300:38:52Yeah, I think just to add to what Kevin said, you know, in some regions as you can imagine, customers, you know, were ESOP buyers. And on the equipment side, what we're finding is that if we have targeted commercial strategies to those customers, we're able to go back and gain share. And our European team has done a really nice job with it, so as our South American team. So really happy about the commercial excellence side. And the other aspect of AI is that we're finding that it can also play a large role in design and development. Speaker 300:39:31And so we've been investing the other investment that Kevin did mention was with universities, as we kind of look to breakthrough technologies that will that will reshape, you know, our portfolio for the future. So it's really three aspects, you know, on on that particular front. Speaker 1000:39:49That's helpful. Thanks so much for the color guys and best of luck in 2025 here. Speaker 400:39:54Thank you. Thank you. Operator00:39:56Your next question comes from the line of Mig Dobre from Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 200:40:02Yes. Thank you. Just a very quick follow-up. So on Slide six, when you talk about EbX, you have this goal outlined to reduce manufacturing footprint by 15% over the next three years. And I'm curious if you can comment a little bit more on this. Speaker 200:40:20And I'm wondering two things. First, what sort of changes are you making here? And is it more about kind of like shifting production into certain geographies? Anything else that we should know? And what's the net effect of reducing the manufacturing footprint in terms of efficiency or your cost structure? Speaker 300:40:41Yeah. Sort of we, you know, on that left side of the slide, we should talk about kind of the improvement and the benefits of what we're doing on the right, you know, both in manufacturing footprint and some back office optimization. The best way to think about it is that, we acquire bolt on and and tuck in acquisitions. Our premise and and thesis on most of it is that, you know, you pick up a business, you've got accretive margins, you're able to tuck in tuck them into ESAB, manufacturing sites, become more efficient and as a result drive more to the bottom line. And so the the assumption on that particular piece is no different. Speaker 300:41:22We've got some other actions underway as well on some legacy facilities, but we usually don't talk about them in much detail in these calls. But rest assured, what I wanted to communicate on that particular slide is that I often get a question about how far along are you and do you have more to do in terms of EBX and optimization and footprint? And I think the short answer is we do, we have plenty to do actually. In fact I would submit that we had a strong year in 2024 but we could have done more. Well I'm sure we'll feel the same way when we're done with 2025. Speaker 300:42:01And so this sort of just gives you a view of how we think about our footprint and what we think the opportunities will be as we acquire companies and and we take some of the companies that we've acquired and continue to make them more efficient. Speaker 200:42:17Appreciate it. Operator00:42:20And that concludes our question and answer session. I will now turn the call back over to Mark Barbolato for closing remarks. Speaker 100:42:27Thank you for joining us today and we look forward Speaker 200:42:29to speaking to you next quarter. Operator00:42:31This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.Read morePowered by