NASDAQ:TPIC TPI Composites Q4 2024 Earnings Report $0.73 +0.01 (+1.16%) Closing price 04/17/2025 04:00 PM EasternExtended Trading$0.74 +0.01 (+1.92%) As of 04/17/2025 06:00 PM Eastern Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more. Earnings HistoryForecast TPI Composites EPS ResultsActual EPS-$0.81Consensus EPS -$0.15Beat/MissMissed by -$0.66One Year Ago EPSN/ATPI Composites Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$346.51 millionExpected Revenue$364.83 millionBeat/MissMissed by -$18.32 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/ATPI Composites Announcement DetailsQuarterQ4 2024Date2/20/2025TimeAfter Market ClosesConference Call DateThursday, February 20, 2025Conference Call Time5:00PM ETUpcoming EarningsTPI Composites' Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Thursday, May 1, 2025Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Annual Report (10-K)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by TPI Composites Q4 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrFebruary 20, 2025 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 9 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good afternoon, and welcome to the TPI Composites Fourth Quarter and Full Year twenty twenty four Earnings Conference Call. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Jason Wegman, Investor Relations for TPI Composites. Thank you. You may begin. Speaker 100:00:16Thank you, operator. I would like to welcome everyone to TPI Composites fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings call. We will be making forward looking statements during this call that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially. A detailed discussion of applicable risks is included in our latest reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which can be found on our website, tpicomposites.com. Today's presentation will include references to non GAAP financial measures. Speaker 100:00:48You should refer to the information contained in the slides accompanying today's presentation for definitional information and reconciliations of historical non GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures. With that, let me turn the call over to Bill Siowick, TPI Composites' President and CEO. Speaker 200:01:07Thanks, Jason. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining our call. In addition to Jason, I'm here with Ryan Miller, our CFO. Please turn to Slide five. In the first half of the year, we took decisive action to restructure the TPI portfolio by divesting the automotive business and shutting down the Nordex Matamoros plant, both of which were loss making businesses that have burdened our financial results. Speaker 200:01:31We also started upper transition 10 lines to next generation blades, which significantly improved our performance and utilization in the second half of the year. Building on the momentum from the third quarter, I'm pleased to report that our operational performance continues to improve. Fourth quarter revenue increased year over year by over 17% with utilization of 91. Free cash flow was also very strong in the quarter at $83,000,000 and we ended the year with $197,000,000 of unrestricted cash. We continue to maintain ongoing dialogues with our customers and suppliers to align on short and midterm demand, operational priorities, quality expectations and cost targets. Speaker 200:02:12As we mentioned on our last call, our customers are asking for all the volume we can get out of our Mexico factories for The U. S. Market in 2025, so we have responded by ramping up production lines in Mexico to support 24x7 operations. While we began investing in the additional shifts in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, the impact of the added volume won't be realized until the second quarter, however, will continue to benefit our business moving forward. Our commitment to continuous improvement driven by our lean culture and a relentless pursuit of operational excellence has put us on a trajectory in 2025 to realize an $80,000,000 improvement in adjusted EBITDA over 2024. Speaker 200:02:54We will continue to explore opportunities for further footprint optimization with our customers. We recently signed an agreement with GE Vernova to restart production at our Iowa facility later this year. This facility initially focused on supporting GE's two megawatt platform is expected to create over 400 good paying jobs with further additions expected as additional lines under discussion are added. Last quarter, we announced that we have secured rights to a strategically located manufacturing facility to support anticipated growth in The U. S. Speaker 200:03:26Market. Interest in and discussions with OEMs regarding this facility have been strong. We anticipate announcing the next steps for this facility soon. Last quarter, we also announced an expansion of our relationship with Vestas at our India facility, while discussions with other OEMs regarding the remaining idle capacity at that facility are encouraging, both for an Indian onshore market experiencing significant growth, as well as the cost competitiveness of our Indian operation to serve the global market. From a finance perspective, sales for the quarter were $346,500,000 adjusted EBITDA was $1,200,000 and below our expectations for a few reasons. Speaker 200:04:08First, sales were impacted by a targeted reduction in wind blade inventory included in contract assets driven by working capital initiatives. This inventory reduction impacted net sales for the quarter as lower blade inventory costs directly correlate to lower revenue under the cost to cost revenue recognition method for our blade contracts. Note that we lowered overall inventory by $54,000,000 in the quarter, which favorably impacted free cash flow for the quarter as well. Next, we recorded a net $6,000,000 change in estimate for legacy warranty matters to account for updated costs and execution plans. Finally, as I mentioned earlier, we also invested $2,000,000 in additional resources to enable a 24x7 schedule at certain of our Mexico facilities to support our customers' demand in The U. Speaker 200:04:55S. Market in 'twenty five and beyond. When looking at our ongoing operations and without the items I just outlined, our adjusted EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter was approximately 5%, very nice progress towards our long term EBITDA targets. Please turn to Slide six. As we continue our lean journey and focus on driving down costs through operational efficiencies and eliminating waste while delivering world class quality, no manufacturing initiative will ultimately be more impactful to TPI and the wind industry than the implementation of BladeAssure. Speaker 200:05:31Over the past eighteen months, we have been working internally to establish manufacturing operations that will enable us to drive what we believe will be the industry's gold standard for quality blades. BladeAssure represents a unique combination of technologies and processes to control and validate the manufacturing of utility scale wind turbine blades. These technologies include methods to document, verify, automate and prevent inconsistencies or abnormalities from occurring during the manufacturing process. Technologies unique to BladeAssure include AI aided vision solutions, selective automation and robotic systems, advanced sensors and inspection technologies. We are looking to move beyond trailing indicators that have been the norm of our industry since its inception to providing real time feedback to correct and prevent issues from occurring during the manufacturing process. Speaker 200:06:24We are also evaluating the capabilities of the methods of manufacture and inspection used to validate the products produced today. It is only by understanding the unique intersection between requirements, manufacturing methods, inspection solutions and the capabilities of each can we build and validate products in a new and robust way. We are rolling out the initial features of BladeAssure now and expect to have all of our plants up and running by the end of the year. We have also recently launched a centralized lean awareness hub, providing employees with access to training materials, dashboards and best practices across the organization. This one stop resource will empower every member of the TPI family to contribute continuous improvement and innovation in their daily work. Speaker 200:07:10Moving forward, we will continue to invest in innovation and technology to strengthen our competitive edge and solidify TPI's position as premier global aid provider in the onshore wind market. From a supply chain perspective, we continue to prioritize strong relationships with our supply chain partners and open communication is crucial as we navigate industry uncertainty to enable us to ensure timely delivery, cost optimization and operational flexibility. While we faced logistics challenges in 2024, we anticipate a much smoother operating environment in 2025. Given the uncertainty potential tariffs may bring to the market, we will closely monitor new developments and continue our contingency planning with our customers. With that said, we expect our supply chain to deliver a projected year over year decrease in raw material costs of nearly 8%. Speaker 200:08:03With respect to the wind market, while acknowledging near term challenges, including regulatory uncertainty and obstacles, such as permitting delays, interconnection issues, tariffs and siting restrictions, as well as broader economic factors like elevated interest rates and nagging inflation, we remain confident in the long term prospects of onshore wind. With global energy demand expected to double in the coming years, driven by increased demand coming from AI and data centers, along with expanded advanced manufacturing and all of the above approach will be required to meet that demand. Renewables, namely onshore wind, are able to cost effectively meet that demand right now. While the EU market also presents a long term growth opportunity, significant challenges remain. Competition from Chinese manufacturers and the ongoing impact of hyperinflation in Turkey continue to pose risks for TPI. Speaker 200:08:59Steps proposed by the EU, like the net zero industrial auction resilience guidelines, could help to level the playing field for certain players. The ultimate benefit to component suppliers like TPI, however, is still uncertain. In December, we committed to a restructuring plan in Turkiye to rationalize our workforce in response to lower forecasted near term demand, primarily for the EU. Notwithstanding, we remain encouraged by the interest expressed from OEMs in our available capacity. Demand for domestically manufactured wind energy equipment in Turkiye remains strong in part due to the resumption of the Yekater Tender process announced late last year, as well as Turkiye being one of Europe's largest wind markets. Speaker 200:09:42Given the domestic content requirement for blades, we are optimistic that there will be continued demand for capacity in Turkiye. With the operational challenges of 2024 behind us, we anticipate significant financial improvement in 2025. We expect revenue from continuing operations to increase to a range of $1,400,000,000 to $1,500,000,000 driven by increased blade shipments from Mexico for The U. S. Market, partially offset by reduced revenue from Turkey and India, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to improve by $80 plus million over 2024, driven by higher sales volume, lower start up and transition costs, the absence of losses from the Nordex Matamoros facility and cost savings. Speaker 200:10:25As we enter 2025, the inflection point in The U. S. Wind market continues to shift to the right and the ultimate impact of proposed tariffs and or changes or modifications to existing regulations in The U. S. Is presently unknown. Speaker 200:10:40This coupled with the challenges in The EU creates uncertainty in the industry's near term outlook and has increased our focus on ensuring that we have sufficient liquidity to weather the storm and the right level of leverage relative to our EBITDA and free cash flow generation. Therefore, we are working with our Board of Directors and our external advisors to evaluate options to optimize our capital structure for the current environment. While definitive plans have not yet been finalized, this remains a priority. We anticipate providing further details of our plans throughout the year. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ryan to review our financial results. Speaker 300:11:19Thanks, Bill. Please turn to Slide eight. In the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, net sales were $346,500,000 compared to $294,300,000 for the same period in 2023, an increase of 17.7%. Net sales of wind blades, tooling and other wind related sales increased by $54,200,000 or 19.2% to $336,000,000 for the three months ended 12/31/2024, as compared to $281,800,000 for the same period in 2023. The increase was primarily driven by higher sales volume and higher average sales prices for Windblades due to a shift of product mix to new and longer blades, including the resumption of production at our previously idled facility in Juarez, Mexico. Speaker 300:12:02This increase also reflects the absence of a four week shutdown at one of our plants in the prior year due to a supply chain disruption caused by out of specification materials. These increases were partially offset by lower volumes at our India facility as we began the transition of a blade type and the closure of our Nordex Matamoros plant. Field service inspection and repair services sales decreased $2,100,000 or 19.9% to $10,500,000 for the three months ended 12/31/2024, as compared to $12,600,000 in the same period in 2023. The decrease was primarily due to the mix of revenue versus warranty activity in the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $1,200,000 for the three months ended 12/31/2024, as compared to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $24,500,000 during the same period in 2023. Speaker 300:12:49Adjusted EBITDA margin was 0.4% as as compared to an adjusted EBITDA margin loss of 8.3% in the same period in 2023. The improvement was primarily driven by the absence of losses from our Nordex Matamoros facility, which was shut down at the end of the second quarter of twenty twenty four, increased volume at our other Mexico locations, lower startup and transition costs and cost savings initiatives. These improvements were partially offset by unfavorable changes in estimate for pre existing warranties and higher labor costs in Turkey and Mexico. Moving to Slide nine. We ended the quarter with $197,000,000 of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and $617,000,000 of net debt. Speaker 300:13:27Free cash flow was $83,200,000 in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four compared to negative free cash flow of $15,400,000 dollars in the same period in 2023. The net generation of cash in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four was primarily due to improved cash earnings and working capital improvements focused on our contract asset balance where we decreased inventory levels and increased customer advances. We continue to believe our current cash position provides us with the flexibility to meet the near term demand of the business and continue to invest in growth for lines in the rooftop today. A summary of our financial guidance for 2025 can be found on Slide 10. We anticipate sales from continuing operations in the range of 1,400,000,000 to $1,500,000,000 representing a high single digit year over year growth at the midpoint of that guidance. Speaker 300:14:13This projected growth is primarily driven by increased blade shipments from our Mexico facilities to support The U. S. Market and the planned reopening of our Iowa site, partially offset by projected reduced sales from our Turkey and India facilities, driven primarily by anticipated lower demand from our Nordex lines. We expect to have six lines in start up in transition in 2025. We expect average selling prices to remain relatively flat year over year. Speaker 300:14:36Field services revenue is expected to increase more than 50% driven by a shift of technicians back to historical levels of revenue generating activity. We expect EBITDA margin from continuing operations to be in the range of 2% to 4%. This improvement from 2024 is primarily driven by higher sales volume, reduced startup and transition costs, the absence of losses from the Nordics Matamoros facility and costing is achieved through supply chain optimization and lean initiatives. We expect capital expenditures of about $25,000,000 to $30,000,000 in 2025. We concluded 2024 with 34 dedicated production lines and anticipate exiting 2025 at this level. Speaker 300:15:16Heat line changes planned for 2025 included the startup of two new lines in Iowa, the transition of two lines in Mexico in the first quarter, the addition of two new lines in India to replace two lines no longer under contract and a planned reduction of two production lines in Turkey expected in the middle of the year. 2025 utilization expected to improve to the mid-80s compared to 77% in 2024, driven by reduced startup and transition activity versus 2024. With that, I'll turn the call back over Speaker 200:15:44to Bill. Thanks, Ryan. Please turn to Slide 12. While acknowledging near term global and industry challenges, including regulatory uncertainty in The U. S. Speaker 200:15:53And The EU, with global energy demand expected to double in the coming years and all of the above approach will be required to meet that demand. Onshore wind is able to cost effectively meet a significant portion of that demand right now. We are a critical part of the onshore wind value chain, so the long term future of onshore wind remains a significant opportunity for us, and we will continue to focus on driving safety, quality, productivity and cost to remain a key player in the industry. Before we open the call for Q and A, I'll conclude saying I'm encouraged by the progress we've made over the last year, including shedding loss making operations, starting up or transitioning 10 new manufacturing lines and significantly streamlining operations and improving quality, all while doing it as safely as we ever have. And I want to once again extend my gratitude to all of our TPI associates for their continued commitment and dedication to TPI and our mission to safely decarbonize and electrify the world. Speaker 200:16:50I'll now turn it back to the operator and open the call for questions. Operator00:16:55Thank you, sir. And we'll move first to Mark Strauss with JPMorgan. Speaker 400:17:19Yes, good evening. Thanks for taking our questions. So I wanted to start with policy, Bill. I mean, as you said, there's a lot of uncertainty about what may or may not happen with the IRA. But just curious if you can talk about with what has been enacted so far. Speaker 400:17:35Has there been any impact maybe from the day one executive orders with permitting, anything like that that you can comment on? Speaker 200:17:45Yes. And thanks for listening and thanks for your question, Mark. I would say, we haven't felt a direct impact today. As we've talked about before, we're doing whatever we can to produce as much volume for The U. S. Speaker 200:18:02Market this year. That has not changed from a customer standpoint. We have heard, as you probably have in the press, discussions about federal permitting on private land, etcetera, etcetera, whether that be FAA or four zero four permits from Army Corps of Engineers, etcetera. But again, from our perspective, we have not seen a direct impact at this point. Speaker 400:18:31Okay. And then just a couple of modeling questions, if I can. So the startup fences going to 20 with a couple of lines in Mexico, it sounds fairly immaterial from a transition expense, but just wanted to see if you could quantify what that impact might be in 1Q? And then obviously there was a lot going on in 2024 with utilization rates on a quarterly basis. Just curious how we should be thinking about you've guided the 85% for the year, but how should we think about that kind of on a quarterly cadence? Speaker 400:19:08Thank you. Speaker 300:19:11Mark, I'll start with investments from Makan in twenty fourseven. So as we move forward, we're converting three parts, four factories down in Mexico to 20 fourseven operations. And some of that behind us in Q4, it was a we invested a couple of million dollars in towards the end of Q3 and then a couple more million in Q4. It will probably end up being $4,000,000 or $5,000,000 that we'll invest in that with most of that being in the first quarter and then that will more than pay itself back in the second half of the year as you get to that increased volumes. Mark, I apologize, I was sharing another question. Speaker 300:19:45Can you repeat your second question? Speaker 400:19:47Yes. Sorry, Ryan, tried to jam it in there. Just how to think about utilization rates throughout the year on a quarterly basis? Yes. Speaker 300:19:56So the first quarter is going to be kind of, you're saying it's our weakest quarter as we get things ramped back up after the holidays. For the year, we're expecting mid-80s. The second and third quarter will be our best quarters as they traditionally are and the third quarter will probably be a little bit better than second. I would expect that our first quarter will be somewhere around the 70 ish percent range, maybe low 70 ish because we are we have six lines of start up in transition and four of those lines will be in existing plants that will be starting up in the first quarter And then the other two lines are in Iowa that will start up probably towards the tail end of the second quarter. But for the first quarter, it will be our weakest kind of I think in the low 70s and then migrating up to the mid to upper 80s in the second and third quarter with some opportunity to go a little bit above that depending on how successful we are in converting to twenty fourseven and how rapidly that pays off. Speaker 300:20:49Fourth quarter will probably step down just a touch as it usually does with the holidays for us. Speaker 400:20:55Great. Thank you. Operator00:21:03We'll go next to Andrew Percoco with Morgan Speaker 500:21:08Good evening, guys. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to start out with the question on demand. At the onset or at the start of the call, you talked about strong demand out of your facilities in Mexico. And I guess I'm just trying to cross some commentary that we're hearing out of one of your big customers in North America, really highlighting that demand for on shore wind remains relatively soft outside of repowering. Speaker 500:21:37It feels like repowering might be the area of strength. So is it fair to conclude that the demand that you're seeing in 2025 for North America is mostly driven by the repowering opportunity? And then I guess second to that, if that is true and this is mostly repowering, how are you conversing with your customers to ensure that utilization remains steady beyond 2025, just given how lumpy repowering can be? Thank you. Speaker 200:22:08Yes. I guess I would say there's probably a portion of our production that's going to repowering, Andrew. But we're working off their backlog. And I think the latest I heard was soft order volume in the first half, but that doesn't mean that we're not fulfilling orders from last year or the year before. So again, our demand from our customers for '25 is, as I said, we're all out in our Mexico plants. Speaker 200:22:39We don't know what volumes look like yet from a firm perspective for '26 and beyond. That we'll learn about that a little bit more as we get through the first half of the year. But from a 2025 perspective, the demand remains strong. We haven't seen any letdown from that perspective. And my guess is there is a share of that that is repower just given the size blades we're building. Speaker 200:23:05But again, we haven't seen anything, any meaningful drop off or indications of drop off for 2025 deliveries at this point. Speaker 500:23:18Okay. That's helpful context. And then maybe just a follow-up on the tariff point for a second. You obviously have a ninety day window here delay on tariffs in Mexico. But curious how the conversations have gone with the customers? Speaker 500:23:33What are the sharing arrangements look like? Are they built into the contracts? Or is it more a delivery by delivery negotiation with the customer in terms of who is bearing the risk associated with those tariffs? Speaker 200:23:47Yes, most of it are driven by the standard Incoterms in our POs or our contracts. So in some cases, we are ex works, which means as soon as we complete the blade and roll it out the doors of the factory, it becomes the responsibility of our customers. So, they would be responsible for any import duties or export duties. And so that's the case with our contracts with our customers out of Mexico is that our customers today are responsible for tariffs or border taxes, if you will. So, how the discussions we're having with our customers are, we don't know what's going to happen. Speaker 200:24:30We've looked at options as far as accelerating delivery or not. Obviously, we continue to look at footprint from a long term standpoint. But right now, it's business as usual and contingency planning in the background on what we may do if those tariffs come into play. And just remember, if you look at the overall cost of a blade compared to the entire turbine itself as well as balance of plant, it's about 17%. So even if it was a 25% tariff and again I'm not downplaying the impact, but it's about a 3% to 4% impact on the overall cost. Speaker 200:25:12WoodMac just put out a study that set a 7% to 10% for the entire turbine, if those 25% tariffs went into effect for both Canada and Mexico based on their estimate of what source from both countries. So again, when and if they come into play, we will have alternatives there and we will look at options with our customers. But again, whether they come into play or not is still a big question at this point. Speaker 500:25:44Okay, great. That's helpful context. Appreciate it. Speaker 600:25:48Yes. Operator00:25:51We'll go next to Eric Stine with Craig Hallum. Speaker 600:25:55Hi, Bill. Hi, Ryan. Speaker 200:25:57Hello, Eric. How are you? Speaker 400:25:59Great. Thanks a lot. So you had mentioned Speaker 600:26:04on your last call and also on this call additional manufacturing capabilities that you're looking for, I believe, in The United States to meet demand here in 'twenty five given that Mexico's full conversations with potential partners. So just curious, what are the next steps that maybe we should look for there? And then curious, how do you balance that in the potential investment with some of the uncertainty beyond 2025? Speaker 200:26:34Yes. So there's two things there. We've got the facility in Iowa that we've talked about that we are in the process of ramping as we speak and expect to start production there in the middle of the year on two lines. So the question there is, do we go to more than two lines and when do we go there? And I think, Eric, to your point, our customer will wait until there's a little bit more certainty with respect to policy and demand before we make a decision to expand beyond the two lines. Speaker 200:27:09The other facility, I think, we are in discussions as far as timing on that. Again, that one will the actual timing will probably depend will depend on ultimate certainty with policy and when we have some certainty. That was really never meant for 2025 volume. That was always a 2026 and beyond opportunity as far as from a volume perspective. So again, once we have a little bit more certainty from a policy standpoint, whether it's related to the IRA tariffs, etcetera, then we'll be able to finalize what the plans are for that second facility. Speaker 600:27:53Got it. Well, and I guess the fact that that is thinking about 2026, I mean, I guess that's a little bit of a counter to the narrative that there is quite a bit of uncertainty into that versus 'twenty five, but I guess we'll wait and see on that. Maybe just on startups and transitions, I know 2024 was a heavy year, part of that by design expected for 'twenty five to be lower. Is it early enough? Is it too soon to have a view of what 2026 might look like? Speaker 600:28:28Just trying to judge without looking for an outlook what your momentum might be entering the year. Speaker 200:28:36Yes. I would Eric, I think other than new capacity, if you will, or I'm sorry, filling existing capacity. So as you know, we have four lines of capacity available in India, and we will have we have some capacity available in Turkey, as well as then the capacity in Iowa. So I would say, if demand if we get some level of certainty in policy in The U. S. Speaker 200:29:05And demand rebounds after we have some certainty, then you could see some startup or transition. If the uncertainty remains and the demand for 26% remains soft, my guess is you won't see any lines being started or transitioned quite frankly. So kind of a long answer and kind of a depends answer, but if demand solidifies, you could see some activity. If demand remains soft because of uncertainty and policy, then I would suggest there probably will be very few transitions. Speaker 600:29:42Yes. Okay, makes sense. Thank you. Speaker 200:29:45Yes. Operator00:29:48We'll move next to Jeff Osborne with TD Cowen. Speaker 700:29:52Hey, great. Thank you. Bill, a couple of quick ones. On the is there a way you could just give us a high level walk between the 2% to 4% EBITDA margin guide relative to this? I heard you right. Speaker 700:30:03I think you said 5% is what you reported in Q4 ex the numerous one time items. Like what's the drag relative to what you saw in Q4? Speaker 300:30:14Yes. We can kind of start with just kind of as we think about where we ended for the year. Bill mentioned on the prepared remarks that we expect to be up $80,000,000 plus in EBITDA from last year to this year. Probably a couple of things I'd point to is one, the Nordex and Adam Morrison losses are behind us. That's in the range of $30 ish or so for the year or for the impact this year. Speaker 300:30:37And the other thing is our start up and transition costs will probably be probably less than half of what they were this year. And then as we think about the other moving parts, volumes up, we'll have good flow on that. We have a lot of cost savings initiatives. We expect warranty to be down a little bit, so that will be a benefit to us. But to your question on what the drag is, it really relates to the underutilized factories we have at Turkey and India. Speaker 300:31:02Those factories, as we look out at our volumes next year, they are a headwind for us. We have a lot of really good growth in Mexico and then start of the island, but the underutilization is the drag. And in addition to that, it has continued inflation in Turkey with the production that we do have. So that's really where Speaker 700:31:18the drag is at with the underutilization in those factories is inflation. That's helpful. And then just two rapid fire ones. Does the CapEx guide assume the second facility is built out in The U. S. Speaker 700:31:29Or no? It does not, no. Does not. And remind me, what would that be if you proceeded with that? Or would you elect to do Iowa first and then build out after that? Speaker 200:31:43Well, yes, that depends. But if you're talking about the other facility, the CapEx is probably in the $30,000,000 range. Speaker 700:31:53Got it. And then in your prepared remarks, Bill, you mentioned sort of a drag on EBITDA for reported numbers of, if I heard you right, a change to legacy warranty. What was the nature of that? Can you articulate what that was and what the remediation was? Yes. Speaker 200:32:09It's just kind of normal course warranty that we are working through and changes in estimates just based on inflation and costs and execution of the actual warranty program. So it's just it's stuff from a few years back. Speaker 700:32:29Okay. So there's no noticeable change in field performance or quality control or anything like that as Speaker 600:32:34it relates to the new Speaker 700:32:36program that you announced on the call, the blade assure program? I just want to make sure those two things aren't linked. Speaker 200:32:41No, they are definitely not linked. Our quality performance over the last year, two years has been actually been very, very solid. Speaker 700:32:53Great to hear. That's all I had. Thank you. Speaker 200:32:55Thanks, Jeff. Operator00:32:59We'll move next to Justin Clare with Roth Capital Partners. Speaker 800:33:03Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions here. So I wanted to just start out on the Q4 results. So utilization in the quarter was actually quite strong at 91%, but the gross margins were negative 1%. So I would have anticipated something a bit higher there. Speaker 800:33:24And you mentioned the cost to cost method that you use as well as a reduction in inventory. I just wanted to see if there were any other notable factors in the quarter, product mix, warranty charges that drove the margin results? And then do you see a reversal potentially in the inventory as we move into Q1 that could support margin expansion? Speaker 300:33:53Justin, I would start with it. I think you got the moving parts there. We what Bill talked about was about a 5% margin without the reduction in work in process inventories that we had, without some of the investments we made in 24x7 operations and without the there's a you'll see in the warranty footnote, there's a net $6,000,000 charge in there that we took. So that was the amount. So if you back all those things out, it's for around 5% or so in margins for the quarter. Speaker 300:34:21So that's where we're at as far as for the year. I would tell you that we also have a lot as we look forward to 2025. There's a lot of cost reduction initiatives that we're working through in our Mexico operations. You'll be able to follow those our Mexico sites along as we get those all ramped up. We had a lot of startups and transitions that we're now maturing. Speaker 300:34:45And so that will be an area as we move forward that you'll see a large improvement on as we go forward. Speaker 800:34:51Okay, got it. Thanks. And then you also mentioned the underutilization in Turkey as a drag in 2025 here. Just wondering, following the restructuring actions that you've taken, can you generate positive EBITDA in 2025 from that facility? Or do you need to take further actions? Speaker 800:35:14Or do you see any potential for policy changes in Turkey that might support an improvement there? Speaker 300:35:23Yes. While we're challenged there, we will have positive EBITDA in Turkey for the year for those two plants combined. So we do feel like we've taken the prudent actions to keep those factories in a cash positive position as we move forward. There are two lines, as we mentioned earlier, that we do plan that will likely go away in the middle of the year. And so that will drive a further headcount reduction at that time. Speaker 300:35:44That will happen around the middle of the summer in the June, July timeframe. Speaker 800:35:49Okay, got it. That's all I have. Thank Speaker 200:35:51you. Thanks, Justin. Operator00:36:06With no other questions holding, I will turn the program back over to Mr. Bill Zywick for any additional or closing remarks. Speaker 200:36:14Thank you again for your time today and your continued interest and support of TPI. Until next quarter. Thank you. Operator00:36:23Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time.Read morePowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallTPI Composites Q4 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2x Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Annual report(10-K) TPI Composites Earnings HeadlinesTPI Composites, Inc. Announces First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Date and Conference CallApril 17 at 5:26 PM | gurufocus.comTPI Composites, Inc. Announces First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call | ...April 17 at 4:39 PM | gurufocus.comHow War with China Could Start in 128 DaysThe clock is ticking. Those who aren't prepared could lose everything. I've identified 43 investments we believe are in immediate danger.April 20, 2025 | Behind the Markets (Ad)TPI Composites, Inc. Announces First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Date and Conference CallApril 17 at 4:17 PM | globenewswire.comTPI Composites (TPIC): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings?March 31, 2025 | msn.comTPI Composites extends director nomination deadlineMarch 29, 2025 | uk.investing.comSee More TPI Composites Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like TPI Composites? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on TPI Composites and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About TPI CompositesTPI Composites (NASDAQ:TPIC) manufactures and sells composite wind blades, and related precision molding and assembly systems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the United States, Mexico, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. It also provides composite solutions for the automotive industry; and field service inspection and repair services comprising diagnostic, repair, and maintenance services for wind blades to OEM customers, and wind farm owners and operators. The company was formerly known as LCSI Holding, Inc. and changed its name to TPI Composites, Inc. in 2008. 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There are 9 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good afternoon, and welcome to the TPI Composites Fourth Quarter and Full Year twenty twenty four Earnings Conference Call. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Jason Wegman, Investor Relations for TPI Composites. Thank you. You may begin. Speaker 100:00:16Thank you, operator. I would like to welcome everyone to TPI Composites fourth quarter twenty twenty four earnings call. We will be making forward looking statements during this call that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially. A detailed discussion of applicable risks is included in our latest reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which can be found on our website, tpicomposites.com. Today's presentation will include references to non GAAP financial measures. Speaker 100:00:48You should refer to the information contained in the slides accompanying today's presentation for definitional information and reconciliations of historical non GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures. With that, let me turn the call over to Bill Siowick, TPI Composites' President and CEO. Speaker 200:01:07Thanks, Jason. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining our call. In addition to Jason, I'm here with Ryan Miller, our CFO. Please turn to Slide five. In the first half of the year, we took decisive action to restructure the TPI portfolio by divesting the automotive business and shutting down the Nordex Matamoros plant, both of which were loss making businesses that have burdened our financial results. Speaker 200:01:31We also started upper transition 10 lines to next generation blades, which significantly improved our performance and utilization in the second half of the year. Building on the momentum from the third quarter, I'm pleased to report that our operational performance continues to improve. Fourth quarter revenue increased year over year by over 17% with utilization of 91. Free cash flow was also very strong in the quarter at $83,000,000 and we ended the year with $197,000,000 of unrestricted cash. We continue to maintain ongoing dialogues with our customers and suppliers to align on short and midterm demand, operational priorities, quality expectations and cost targets. Speaker 200:02:12As we mentioned on our last call, our customers are asking for all the volume we can get out of our Mexico factories for The U. S. Market in 2025, so we have responded by ramping up production lines in Mexico to support 24x7 operations. While we began investing in the additional shifts in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, the impact of the added volume won't be realized until the second quarter, however, will continue to benefit our business moving forward. Our commitment to continuous improvement driven by our lean culture and a relentless pursuit of operational excellence has put us on a trajectory in 2025 to realize an $80,000,000 improvement in adjusted EBITDA over 2024. Speaker 200:02:54We will continue to explore opportunities for further footprint optimization with our customers. We recently signed an agreement with GE Vernova to restart production at our Iowa facility later this year. This facility initially focused on supporting GE's two megawatt platform is expected to create over 400 good paying jobs with further additions expected as additional lines under discussion are added. Last quarter, we announced that we have secured rights to a strategically located manufacturing facility to support anticipated growth in The U. S. Speaker 200:03:26Market. Interest in and discussions with OEMs regarding this facility have been strong. We anticipate announcing the next steps for this facility soon. Last quarter, we also announced an expansion of our relationship with Vestas at our India facility, while discussions with other OEMs regarding the remaining idle capacity at that facility are encouraging, both for an Indian onshore market experiencing significant growth, as well as the cost competitiveness of our Indian operation to serve the global market. From a finance perspective, sales for the quarter were $346,500,000 adjusted EBITDA was $1,200,000 and below our expectations for a few reasons. Speaker 200:04:08First, sales were impacted by a targeted reduction in wind blade inventory included in contract assets driven by working capital initiatives. This inventory reduction impacted net sales for the quarter as lower blade inventory costs directly correlate to lower revenue under the cost to cost revenue recognition method for our blade contracts. Note that we lowered overall inventory by $54,000,000 in the quarter, which favorably impacted free cash flow for the quarter as well. Next, we recorded a net $6,000,000 change in estimate for legacy warranty matters to account for updated costs and execution plans. Finally, as I mentioned earlier, we also invested $2,000,000 in additional resources to enable a 24x7 schedule at certain of our Mexico facilities to support our customers' demand in The U. Speaker 200:04:55S. Market in 'twenty five and beyond. When looking at our ongoing operations and without the items I just outlined, our adjusted EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter was approximately 5%, very nice progress towards our long term EBITDA targets. Please turn to Slide six. As we continue our lean journey and focus on driving down costs through operational efficiencies and eliminating waste while delivering world class quality, no manufacturing initiative will ultimately be more impactful to TPI and the wind industry than the implementation of BladeAssure. Speaker 200:05:31Over the past eighteen months, we have been working internally to establish manufacturing operations that will enable us to drive what we believe will be the industry's gold standard for quality blades. BladeAssure represents a unique combination of technologies and processes to control and validate the manufacturing of utility scale wind turbine blades. These technologies include methods to document, verify, automate and prevent inconsistencies or abnormalities from occurring during the manufacturing process. Technologies unique to BladeAssure include AI aided vision solutions, selective automation and robotic systems, advanced sensors and inspection technologies. We are looking to move beyond trailing indicators that have been the norm of our industry since its inception to providing real time feedback to correct and prevent issues from occurring during the manufacturing process. Speaker 200:06:24We are also evaluating the capabilities of the methods of manufacture and inspection used to validate the products produced today. It is only by understanding the unique intersection between requirements, manufacturing methods, inspection solutions and the capabilities of each can we build and validate products in a new and robust way. We are rolling out the initial features of BladeAssure now and expect to have all of our plants up and running by the end of the year. We have also recently launched a centralized lean awareness hub, providing employees with access to training materials, dashboards and best practices across the organization. This one stop resource will empower every member of the TPI family to contribute continuous improvement and innovation in their daily work. Speaker 200:07:10Moving forward, we will continue to invest in innovation and technology to strengthen our competitive edge and solidify TPI's position as premier global aid provider in the onshore wind market. From a supply chain perspective, we continue to prioritize strong relationships with our supply chain partners and open communication is crucial as we navigate industry uncertainty to enable us to ensure timely delivery, cost optimization and operational flexibility. While we faced logistics challenges in 2024, we anticipate a much smoother operating environment in 2025. Given the uncertainty potential tariffs may bring to the market, we will closely monitor new developments and continue our contingency planning with our customers. With that said, we expect our supply chain to deliver a projected year over year decrease in raw material costs of nearly 8%. Speaker 200:08:03With respect to the wind market, while acknowledging near term challenges, including regulatory uncertainty and obstacles, such as permitting delays, interconnection issues, tariffs and siting restrictions, as well as broader economic factors like elevated interest rates and nagging inflation, we remain confident in the long term prospects of onshore wind. With global energy demand expected to double in the coming years, driven by increased demand coming from AI and data centers, along with expanded advanced manufacturing and all of the above approach will be required to meet that demand. Renewables, namely onshore wind, are able to cost effectively meet that demand right now. While the EU market also presents a long term growth opportunity, significant challenges remain. Competition from Chinese manufacturers and the ongoing impact of hyperinflation in Turkey continue to pose risks for TPI. Speaker 200:08:59Steps proposed by the EU, like the net zero industrial auction resilience guidelines, could help to level the playing field for certain players. The ultimate benefit to component suppliers like TPI, however, is still uncertain. In December, we committed to a restructuring plan in Turkiye to rationalize our workforce in response to lower forecasted near term demand, primarily for the EU. Notwithstanding, we remain encouraged by the interest expressed from OEMs in our available capacity. Demand for domestically manufactured wind energy equipment in Turkiye remains strong in part due to the resumption of the Yekater Tender process announced late last year, as well as Turkiye being one of Europe's largest wind markets. Speaker 200:09:42Given the domestic content requirement for blades, we are optimistic that there will be continued demand for capacity in Turkiye. With the operational challenges of 2024 behind us, we anticipate significant financial improvement in 2025. We expect revenue from continuing operations to increase to a range of $1,400,000,000 to $1,500,000,000 driven by increased blade shipments from Mexico for The U. S. Market, partially offset by reduced revenue from Turkey and India, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to improve by $80 plus million over 2024, driven by higher sales volume, lower start up and transition costs, the absence of losses from the Nordex Matamoros facility and cost savings. Speaker 200:10:25As we enter 2025, the inflection point in The U. S. Wind market continues to shift to the right and the ultimate impact of proposed tariffs and or changes or modifications to existing regulations in The U. S. Is presently unknown. Speaker 200:10:40This coupled with the challenges in The EU creates uncertainty in the industry's near term outlook and has increased our focus on ensuring that we have sufficient liquidity to weather the storm and the right level of leverage relative to our EBITDA and free cash flow generation. Therefore, we are working with our Board of Directors and our external advisors to evaluate options to optimize our capital structure for the current environment. While definitive plans have not yet been finalized, this remains a priority. We anticipate providing further details of our plans throughout the year. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ryan to review our financial results. Speaker 300:11:19Thanks, Bill. Please turn to Slide eight. In the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, net sales were $346,500,000 compared to $294,300,000 for the same period in 2023, an increase of 17.7%. Net sales of wind blades, tooling and other wind related sales increased by $54,200,000 or 19.2% to $336,000,000 for the three months ended 12/31/2024, as compared to $281,800,000 for the same period in 2023. The increase was primarily driven by higher sales volume and higher average sales prices for Windblades due to a shift of product mix to new and longer blades, including the resumption of production at our previously idled facility in Juarez, Mexico. Speaker 300:12:02This increase also reflects the absence of a four week shutdown at one of our plants in the prior year due to a supply chain disruption caused by out of specification materials. These increases were partially offset by lower volumes at our India facility as we began the transition of a blade type and the closure of our Nordex Matamoros plant. Field service inspection and repair services sales decreased $2,100,000 or 19.9% to $10,500,000 for the three months ended 12/31/2024, as compared to $12,600,000 in the same period in 2023. The decrease was primarily due to the mix of revenue versus warranty activity in the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $1,200,000 for the three months ended 12/31/2024, as compared to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $24,500,000 during the same period in 2023. Speaker 300:12:49Adjusted EBITDA margin was 0.4% as as compared to an adjusted EBITDA margin loss of 8.3% in the same period in 2023. The improvement was primarily driven by the absence of losses from our Nordex Matamoros facility, which was shut down at the end of the second quarter of twenty twenty four, increased volume at our other Mexico locations, lower startup and transition costs and cost savings initiatives. These improvements were partially offset by unfavorable changes in estimate for pre existing warranties and higher labor costs in Turkey and Mexico. Moving to Slide nine. We ended the quarter with $197,000,000 of unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and $617,000,000 of net debt. Speaker 300:13:27Free cash flow was $83,200,000 in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four compared to negative free cash flow of $15,400,000 dollars in the same period in 2023. The net generation of cash in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four was primarily due to improved cash earnings and working capital improvements focused on our contract asset balance where we decreased inventory levels and increased customer advances. We continue to believe our current cash position provides us with the flexibility to meet the near term demand of the business and continue to invest in growth for lines in the rooftop today. A summary of our financial guidance for 2025 can be found on Slide 10. We anticipate sales from continuing operations in the range of 1,400,000,000 to $1,500,000,000 representing a high single digit year over year growth at the midpoint of that guidance. Speaker 300:14:13This projected growth is primarily driven by increased blade shipments from our Mexico facilities to support The U. S. Market and the planned reopening of our Iowa site, partially offset by projected reduced sales from our Turkey and India facilities, driven primarily by anticipated lower demand from our Nordex lines. We expect to have six lines in start up in transition in 2025. We expect average selling prices to remain relatively flat year over year. Speaker 300:14:36Field services revenue is expected to increase more than 50% driven by a shift of technicians back to historical levels of revenue generating activity. We expect EBITDA margin from continuing operations to be in the range of 2% to 4%. This improvement from 2024 is primarily driven by higher sales volume, reduced startup and transition costs, the absence of losses from the Nordics Matamoros facility and costing is achieved through supply chain optimization and lean initiatives. We expect capital expenditures of about $25,000,000 to $30,000,000 in 2025. We concluded 2024 with 34 dedicated production lines and anticipate exiting 2025 at this level. Speaker 300:15:16Heat line changes planned for 2025 included the startup of two new lines in Iowa, the transition of two lines in Mexico in the first quarter, the addition of two new lines in India to replace two lines no longer under contract and a planned reduction of two production lines in Turkey expected in the middle of the year. 2025 utilization expected to improve to the mid-80s compared to 77% in 2024, driven by reduced startup and transition activity versus 2024. With that, I'll turn the call back over Speaker 200:15:44to Bill. Thanks, Ryan. Please turn to Slide 12. While acknowledging near term global and industry challenges, including regulatory uncertainty in The U. S. Speaker 200:15:53And The EU, with global energy demand expected to double in the coming years and all of the above approach will be required to meet that demand. Onshore wind is able to cost effectively meet a significant portion of that demand right now. We are a critical part of the onshore wind value chain, so the long term future of onshore wind remains a significant opportunity for us, and we will continue to focus on driving safety, quality, productivity and cost to remain a key player in the industry. Before we open the call for Q and A, I'll conclude saying I'm encouraged by the progress we've made over the last year, including shedding loss making operations, starting up or transitioning 10 new manufacturing lines and significantly streamlining operations and improving quality, all while doing it as safely as we ever have. And I want to once again extend my gratitude to all of our TPI associates for their continued commitment and dedication to TPI and our mission to safely decarbonize and electrify the world. Speaker 200:16:50I'll now turn it back to the operator and open the call for questions. Operator00:16:55Thank you, sir. And we'll move first to Mark Strauss with JPMorgan. Speaker 400:17:19Yes, good evening. Thanks for taking our questions. So I wanted to start with policy, Bill. I mean, as you said, there's a lot of uncertainty about what may or may not happen with the IRA. But just curious if you can talk about with what has been enacted so far. Speaker 400:17:35Has there been any impact maybe from the day one executive orders with permitting, anything like that that you can comment on? Speaker 200:17:45Yes. And thanks for listening and thanks for your question, Mark. I would say, we haven't felt a direct impact today. As we've talked about before, we're doing whatever we can to produce as much volume for The U. S. Speaker 200:18:02Market this year. That has not changed from a customer standpoint. We have heard, as you probably have in the press, discussions about federal permitting on private land, etcetera, etcetera, whether that be FAA or four zero four permits from Army Corps of Engineers, etcetera. But again, from our perspective, we have not seen a direct impact at this point. Speaker 400:18:31Okay. And then just a couple of modeling questions, if I can. So the startup fences going to 20 with a couple of lines in Mexico, it sounds fairly immaterial from a transition expense, but just wanted to see if you could quantify what that impact might be in 1Q? And then obviously there was a lot going on in 2024 with utilization rates on a quarterly basis. Just curious how we should be thinking about you've guided the 85% for the year, but how should we think about that kind of on a quarterly cadence? Speaker 400:19:08Thank you. Speaker 300:19:11Mark, I'll start with investments from Makan in twenty fourseven. So as we move forward, we're converting three parts, four factories down in Mexico to 20 fourseven operations. And some of that behind us in Q4, it was a we invested a couple of million dollars in towards the end of Q3 and then a couple more million in Q4. It will probably end up being $4,000,000 or $5,000,000 that we'll invest in that with most of that being in the first quarter and then that will more than pay itself back in the second half of the year as you get to that increased volumes. Mark, I apologize, I was sharing another question. Speaker 300:19:45Can you repeat your second question? Speaker 400:19:47Yes. Sorry, Ryan, tried to jam it in there. Just how to think about utilization rates throughout the year on a quarterly basis? Yes. Speaker 300:19:56So the first quarter is going to be kind of, you're saying it's our weakest quarter as we get things ramped back up after the holidays. For the year, we're expecting mid-80s. The second and third quarter will be our best quarters as they traditionally are and the third quarter will probably be a little bit better than second. I would expect that our first quarter will be somewhere around the 70 ish percent range, maybe low 70 ish because we are we have six lines of start up in transition and four of those lines will be in existing plants that will be starting up in the first quarter And then the other two lines are in Iowa that will start up probably towards the tail end of the second quarter. But for the first quarter, it will be our weakest kind of I think in the low 70s and then migrating up to the mid to upper 80s in the second and third quarter with some opportunity to go a little bit above that depending on how successful we are in converting to twenty fourseven and how rapidly that pays off. Speaker 300:20:49Fourth quarter will probably step down just a touch as it usually does with the holidays for us. Speaker 400:20:55Great. Thank you. Operator00:21:03We'll go next to Andrew Percoco with Morgan Speaker 500:21:08Good evening, guys. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to start out with the question on demand. At the onset or at the start of the call, you talked about strong demand out of your facilities in Mexico. And I guess I'm just trying to cross some commentary that we're hearing out of one of your big customers in North America, really highlighting that demand for on shore wind remains relatively soft outside of repowering. Speaker 500:21:37It feels like repowering might be the area of strength. So is it fair to conclude that the demand that you're seeing in 2025 for North America is mostly driven by the repowering opportunity? And then I guess second to that, if that is true and this is mostly repowering, how are you conversing with your customers to ensure that utilization remains steady beyond 2025, just given how lumpy repowering can be? Thank you. Speaker 200:22:08Yes. I guess I would say there's probably a portion of our production that's going to repowering, Andrew. But we're working off their backlog. And I think the latest I heard was soft order volume in the first half, but that doesn't mean that we're not fulfilling orders from last year or the year before. So again, our demand from our customers for '25 is, as I said, we're all out in our Mexico plants. Speaker 200:22:39We don't know what volumes look like yet from a firm perspective for '26 and beyond. That we'll learn about that a little bit more as we get through the first half of the year. But from a 2025 perspective, the demand remains strong. We haven't seen any letdown from that perspective. And my guess is there is a share of that that is repower just given the size blades we're building. Speaker 200:23:05But again, we haven't seen anything, any meaningful drop off or indications of drop off for 2025 deliveries at this point. Speaker 500:23:18Okay. That's helpful context. And then maybe just a follow-up on the tariff point for a second. You obviously have a ninety day window here delay on tariffs in Mexico. But curious how the conversations have gone with the customers? Speaker 500:23:33What are the sharing arrangements look like? Are they built into the contracts? Or is it more a delivery by delivery negotiation with the customer in terms of who is bearing the risk associated with those tariffs? Speaker 200:23:47Yes, most of it are driven by the standard Incoterms in our POs or our contracts. So in some cases, we are ex works, which means as soon as we complete the blade and roll it out the doors of the factory, it becomes the responsibility of our customers. So, they would be responsible for any import duties or export duties. And so that's the case with our contracts with our customers out of Mexico is that our customers today are responsible for tariffs or border taxes, if you will. So, how the discussions we're having with our customers are, we don't know what's going to happen. Speaker 200:24:30We've looked at options as far as accelerating delivery or not. Obviously, we continue to look at footprint from a long term standpoint. But right now, it's business as usual and contingency planning in the background on what we may do if those tariffs come into play. And just remember, if you look at the overall cost of a blade compared to the entire turbine itself as well as balance of plant, it's about 17%. So even if it was a 25% tariff and again I'm not downplaying the impact, but it's about a 3% to 4% impact on the overall cost. Speaker 200:25:12WoodMac just put out a study that set a 7% to 10% for the entire turbine, if those 25% tariffs went into effect for both Canada and Mexico based on their estimate of what source from both countries. So again, when and if they come into play, we will have alternatives there and we will look at options with our customers. But again, whether they come into play or not is still a big question at this point. Speaker 500:25:44Okay, great. That's helpful context. Appreciate it. Speaker 600:25:48Yes. Operator00:25:51We'll go next to Eric Stine with Craig Hallum. Speaker 600:25:55Hi, Bill. Hi, Ryan. Speaker 200:25:57Hello, Eric. How are you? Speaker 400:25:59Great. Thanks a lot. So you had mentioned Speaker 600:26:04on your last call and also on this call additional manufacturing capabilities that you're looking for, I believe, in The United States to meet demand here in 'twenty five given that Mexico's full conversations with potential partners. So just curious, what are the next steps that maybe we should look for there? And then curious, how do you balance that in the potential investment with some of the uncertainty beyond 2025? Speaker 200:26:34Yes. So there's two things there. We've got the facility in Iowa that we've talked about that we are in the process of ramping as we speak and expect to start production there in the middle of the year on two lines. So the question there is, do we go to more than two lines and when do we go there? And I think, Eric, to your point, our customer will wait until there's a little bit more certainty with respect to policy and demand before we make a decision to expand beyond the two lines. Speaker 200:27:09The other facility, I think, we are in discussions as far as timing on that. Again, that one will the actual timing will probably depend will depend on ultimate certainty with policy and when we have some certainty. That was really never meant for 2025 volume. That was always a 2026 and beyond opportunity as far as from a volume perspective. So again, once we have a little bit more certainty from a policy standpoint, whether it's related to the IRA tariffs, etcetera, then we'll be able to finalize what the plans are for that second facility. Speaker 600:27:53Got it. Well, and I guess the fact that that is thinking about 2026, I mean, I guess that's a little bit of a counter to the narrative that there is quite a bit of uncertainty into that versus 'twenty five, but I guess we'll wait and see on that. Maybe just on startups and transitions, I know 2024 was a heavy year, part of that by design expected for 'twenty five to be lower. Is it early enough? Is it too soon to have a view of what 2026 might look like? Speaker 600:28:28Just trying to judge without looking for an outlook what your momentum might be entering the year. Speaker 200:28:36Yes. I would Eric, I think other than new capacity, if you will, or I'm sorry, filling existing capacity. So as you know, we have four lines of capacity available in India, and we will have we have some capacity available in Turkey, as well as then the capacity in Iowa. So I would say, if demand if we get some level of certainty in policy in The U. S. Speaker 200:29:05And demand rebounds after we have some certainty, then you could see some startup or transition. If the uncertainty remains and the demand for 26% remains soft, my guess is you won't see any lines being started or transitioned quite frankly. So kind of a long answer and kind of a depends answer, but if demand solidifies, you could see some activity. If demand remains soft because of uncertainty and policy, then I would suggest there probably will be very few transitions. Speaker 600:29:42Yes. Okay, makes sense. Thank you. Speaker 200:29:45Yes. Operator00:29:48We'll move next to Jeff Osborne with TD Cowen. Speaker 700:29:52Hey, great. Thank you. Bill, a couple of quick ones. On the is there a way you could just give us a high level walk between the 2% to 4% EBITDA margin guide relative to this? I heard you right. Speaker 700:30:03I think you said 5% is what you reported in Q4 ex the numerous one time items. Like what's the drag relative to what you saw in Q4? Speaker 300:30:14Yes. We can kind of start with just kind of as we think about where we ended for the year. Bill mentioned on the prepared remarks that we expect to be up $80,000,000 plus in EBITDA from last year to this year. Probably a couple of things I'd point to is one, the Nordex and Adam Morrison losses are behind us. That's in the range of $30 ish or so for the year or for the impact this year. Speaker 300:30:37And the other thing is our start up and transition costs will probably be probably less than half of what they were this year. And then as we think about the other moving parts, volumes up, we'll have good flow on that. We have a lot of cost savings initiatives. We expect warranty to be down a little bit, so that will be a benefit to us. But to your question on what the drag is, it really relates to the underutilized factories we have at Turkey and India. Speaker 300:31:02Those factories, as we look out at our volumes next year, they are a headwind for us. We have a lot of really good growth in Mexico and then start of the island, but the underutilization is the drag. And in addition to that, it has continued inflation in Turkey with the production that we do have. So that's really where Speaker 700:31:18the drag is at with the underutilization in those factories is inflation. That's helpful. And then just two rapid fire ones. Does the CapEx guide assume the second facility is built out in The U. S. Speaker 700:31:29Or no? It does not, no. Does not. And remind me, what would that be if you proceeded with that? Or would you elect to do Iowa first and then build out after that? Speaker 200:31:43Well, yes, that depends. But if you're talking about the other facility, the CapEx is probably in the $30,000,000 range. Speaker 700:31:53Got it. And then in your prepared remarks, Bill, you mentioned sort of a drag on EBITDA for reported numbers of, if I heard you right, a change to legacy warranty. What was the nature of that? Can you articulate what that was and what the remediation was? Yes. Speaker 200:32:09It's just kind of normal course warranty that we are working through and changes in estimates just based on inflation and costs and execution of the actual warranty program. So it's just it's stuff from a few years back. Speaker 700:32:29Okay. So there's no noticeable change in field performance or quality control or anything like that as Speaker 600:32:34it relates to the new Speaker 700:32:36program that you announced on the call, the blade assure program? I just want to make sure those two things aren't linked. Speaker 200:32:41No, they are definitely not linked. Our quality performance over the last year, two years has been actually been very, very solid. Speaker 700:32:53Great to hear. That's all I had. Thank you. Speaker 200:32:55Thanks, Jeff. Operator00:32:59We'll move next to Justin Clare with Roth Capital Partners. Speaker 800:33:03Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions here. So I wanted to just start out on the Q4 results. So utilization in the quarter was actually quite strong at 91%, but the gross margins were negative 1%. So I would have anticipated something a bit higher there. Speaker 800:33:24And you mentioned the cost to cost method that you use as well as a reduction in inventory. I just wanted to see if there were any other notable factors in the quarter, product mix, warranty charges that drove the margin results? And then do you see a reversal potentially in the inventory as we move into Q1 that could support margin expansion? Speaker 300:33:53Justin, I would start with it. I think you got the moving parts there. We what Bill talked about was about a 5% margin without the reduction in work in process inventories that we had, without some of the investments we made in 24x7 operations and without the there's a you'll see in the warranty footnote, there's a net $6,000,000 charge in there that we took. So that was the amount. So if you back all those things out, it's for around 5% or so in margins for the quarter. Speaker 300:34:21So that's where we're at as far as for the year. I would tell you that we also have a lot as we look forward to 2025. There's a lot of cost reduction initiatives that we're working through in our Mexico operations. You'll be able to follow those our Mexico sites along as we get those all ramped up. We had a lot of startups and transitions that we're now maturing. Speaker 300:34:45And so that will be an area as we move forward that you'll see a large improvement on as we go forward. Speaker 800:34:51Okay, got it. Thanks. And then you also mentioned the underutilization in Turkey as a drag in 2025 here. Just wondering, following the restructuring actions that you've taken, can you generate positive EBITDA in 2025 from that facility? Or do you need to take further actions? Speaker 800:35:14Or do you see any potential for policy changes in Turkey that might support an improvement there? Speaker 300:35:23Yes. While we're challenged there, we will have positive EBITDA in Turkey for the year for those two plants combined. So we do feel like we've taken the prudent actions to keep those factories in a cash positive position as we move forward. There are two lines, as we mentioned earlier, that we do plan that will likely go away in the middle of the year. And so that will drive a further headcount reduction at that time. Speaker 300:35:44That will happen around the middle of the summer in the June, July timeframe. Speaker 800:35:49Okay, got it. That's all I have. Thank Speaker 200:35:51you. Thanks, Justin. Operator00:36:06With no other questions holding, I will turn the program back over to Mr. Bill Zywick for any additional or closing remarks. Speaker 200:36:14Thank you again for your time today and your continued interest and support of TPI. Until next quarter. Thank you. Operator00:36:23Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time.Read morePowered by