Advanced Drainage Systems Q3 2025 Earnings Report $73.01 -2.03 (-2.71%) As of 03:58 PM Eastern Earnings HistoryForecast Floor & Decor EPS ResultsActual EPS$1.09Consensus EPS $1.34Beat/MissMissed by -$0.25One Year Ago EPSN/AFloor & Decor Revenue ResultsActual RevenueN/AExpected Revenue$822.35 millionBeat/MissN/AYoY Revenue GrowthN/AFloor & Decor Announcement DetailsQuarterQ3 2025Date2/6/2025TimeBefore Market OpensConference Call DateThursday, February 6, 2025Conference Call Time10:00AM ETUpcoming EarningsSoundThinking's Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Tuesday, May 13, 2025, with a conference call scheduled at 4:30 PM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Conference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Quarterly Report (10-Q)SEC FilingEarnings HistorySSTI ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by SoundThinking Q3 2025 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrFebruary 6, 2025 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 11 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Advanced Drainage Systems Third Quarter of Fiscal Year twenty twenty five Results Conference Call. My name is JL, and I'm your conference operator today. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for today's call, Michael Higgins, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Strategy. Operator00:00:32Sir, you may begin. Speaker 100:00:34Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. With me, I have Scott Barber, our President and CEO and Scott Cottrell, our CFO. I would also like to remind you that we will discuss forward looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those forward looking statements because of various factors, including those discussed in our press release and the risk factors identified in our Form 10 ks filed with the SEC. Speaker 100:01:00While we may update forward looking statements in the future, we disclaim any obligation to do so. You should not place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, all of which speak only as of today. Lastly, the press release we issued earlier this morning is posted on the Investor Relations section of our website. A copy of the release has also been included in an eight K submitted to the SEC. We will make a replay of this conference call available via webcast on the company website. Speaker 100:01:31With all of that said, I'll turn the call over to Scott Farmer. Speaker 200:01:34Thank you, Mike, and good morning, everyone. Thank you all for joining us on today's call. We executed well in the third quarter, meeting our commitments on safety, delivery performance and operational execution. Financial results were consistent with our expectations communicated in November. Net sales increased 4% to $691,000,000 including the acquisition of Orenco. Speaker 200:02:00Demand in the domestic construction markets continued to trend positively overall and this marks our fifth consecutive quarter of volume growth in the domestic construction markets. Pricing remains in line with expectations as well sequentially stable from the second quarter. Sales in the non residential market increased 7% as demand improved in the third quarter. Non residential is about 45% of total sales. We saw good demand in the South and Southeastern United States such as Florida, Texas and Georgia. Speaker 200:02:38To support growth in the Southeast, we recently broke ground on an expansion of the ADS recycling facility in Cordele, Georgia. This expansion will increase recycling capacity in this region, allowing us to more efficiently service the seven facilities in this growing market. As one of the largest plastic recycling companies in North America, expanding our operations in Georgia will allow us to deliver more high quality recycled material to our manufacturing sites throughout the Southeast Region, while expanding ADS's overall use of recycled plastic and our pipe products and advanced stormwater and on-site septic wastewater solutions. We have a great team in core deal with many talented long serving employees and we're excited to see the value that will be created with this investment. Sales in the residential market, which are about 35% of total revenue increased 9%. Speaker 200:03:40Infiltrators organic revenue increased 6% in the quarter, driven by double digit growth in both tanks and the advanced treatment products. The ADS residential land development business continues to perform well as homebuilders continue to acquire and develop land for the structural undersupply of homes in The U. S. Arrenco contributed $25,000,000 of sales in the period, slightly ahead of expectations. Sales in the infrastructure market were down 6% in the quarter on a difficult comparison. Speaker 200:04:15As a reminder, sales in the infrastructure market increased 22% in the third quarter last year. This is a market where ADS historically under participated representing about 7% of overall revenue, but we are now positioned well following investments in go to market resources and additional capacity in key geographies. Because it is a small portion of the business and revenue is concentrated to geographies where we have stronger approvals, swings in this market can appear more dramatic than the non residential and residential markets. Our leading indicators in the infrastructure market remain favorable over the long term as we continue to benefit from funds allocated under the IIJA as well as increased market participation. As we think more broadly about ADS and how climate patterns are evolving, we have a significant role to play in investing in the future of stormwater management. Speaker 200:05:16It's clear by the trends shown on Slide five that these large scale storm events are increasing in frequency over time. In 2024, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recorded 27 large scale weather and climate disaster events in The United States, collectively costing over $180,000,000,000 The frequency of these events in 2024 is more than double the average number of events from the previous decade, which was 13. ADS and infiltrator products help build resiliency into communities by mitigating flooding, returning groundwater to aquifers, rivers and other natural sources, as well as securing agricultural resources and food supply. As large scale storms become more frequent, it is no surprise that our Americans are growing increasingly concerned about stormwater management in their communities. In November, we conducted a second stormwater awareness survey in partnership with the Harris Poll following up on the first stormwater awareness survey in 2023. Speaker 200:06:28The survey results showed 60% of Americans are concerned about the stormwater infrastructure in their communities, a notable increase from 51% in 2023. In addition, nearly two thirds of Americans indicated stormwater negatively impacts their community with flooded streets, property damage and standing water identified as the most frequent consequences of insufficient stormwater management. The increased concern is not surprising given the strength of the twenty twenty four Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June through November. The Atlantic Basin experienced an above average 18 named storms, including five hurricanes that made landfall in the Continental U. S. Speaker 200:07:15Impacting areas from Texas to Florida and up into North Carolina and Tennessee. To help communities mitigate water management challenges, we continue to build out our product portfolio. We recently launched a new stormwater treatment solution, the EcoStream Biofiltration product. Biofiltration is a category in water quality designed to remove pollutants such as nitrogen, phosphorus, sediments, metals and hydrocarbons through low impact environmentally friendly systems that often incorporate green infrastructure. ADS's new biofiltration product has been approved by both the Washington DOE and the New Jersey CAT, the two leading testing agencies in water quality. Speaker 200:08:06Our new engineering and technology center is equipped with 90,000 gallons of a closed loop hydraulics laboratory, which allowed us to test and commercialize this product much more quickly than was previously possible. We have also expanded our storage product offering with two new chambers, as well as a partnership with a plastic crates manufacturer. Expanding into plastic crates give us the ability to participate in deep storage applications that our current chambers are not designed to meet. April Trader continues to roll out their single tank residential advanced treatment solution to EcoPOD NX. This product is designed to meet new regulations that require higher levels of nitrogen removal to protect watersheds and the environment. Speaker 200:08:57Already infiltrator organic sales in the residential advanced treatment market have doubled this fiscal year and advanced treatment remains a significant growth opportunity for Infiltrator. To that end, in the third quarter, we closed the acquisition of Arinco. This acquisition further enhances our product offering and complements infiltrator products in the decentralized wastewater treatment market. Arinco is an excellent strategic fit for infiltrator. We identified the advanced wastewater treatment opportunity at our twenty twenty two Investor Day and market demand has continued to grow since then. Speaker 200:09:37This acquisition establishes a leadership position in a highly fragmented and fast growing segment of wastewater. The enhanced portfolio of complementary solutions combined with a broader sales force, geographic reach and distribution footprint will drive further penetration in this attractive segment. On Slide seven, we highlight three of Renko's product categories where you're most excited about. The Advantech's advanced treatment systems are complementary to the infiltrator products and increase our exposure to commercial systems as well as residential systems where infiltrators are already used today. There's also an opportunity to use infiltrator tank products in the Advantech product line, which is historically only used tanks made of composite and concrete materials. Speaker 200:10:31The preloads product separates waste from wastewater, sending the liquid only sewer to secondary treatment. This product is used in septic to sewer conversion and makes the process lower cost and less intrusive by avoiding significant disruption and investment in the existing infrastructure. The preload product line in the controls business are incremental to Jodei's infiltrator offering. In addition, the controls business provides another cross selling opportunity between infiltrator and Orinco as Infiltrator currently purchases control panels from a third party. We're very excited about bringing Orinco into the Infiltrator business and the collective opportunity in decentralized wastewater management. Speaker 200:11:18Finally, today we're announcing our twenty twenty five Investor Day will be held on June 26 in Hilliard, Ohio at ADS's new Engineering and Technology Center. In addition to business updates and a new three year plan, attendees will have the opportunity to tour the center, which is the largest and most advanced stormwater engineering and technology center in the world. Invitations will be sent in the next couple of months and we're very excited to display this one of a kind facility that demonstrates our commitment to advancing material science, engineering and product design for stormwater management. With that, I will turn the call over to Scott Cottrell, who will discuss our financial results. Thanks, Scott. Speaker 300:12:04The third quarter adjusted EBITDA decreased 6% year over year to $191,000,000 Favorable volume in the period was offset by unfavorable price costs while manufacturing and transportation costs were relatively flat to the prior year. It's important again to highlight that pricing in the quarter was sequentially stable as we had expected. We continually evaluate our manufacturing network and costs with a goal of optimizing our footprint without disrupting product availability and customer service. To that end, we recently announced the consolidation of one pipe manufacturing plant and two of our distribution yards. This strategic move is aimed at optimizing operations and ensuring that we allocate resources more effectively across the network. Speaker 300:12:51These actions will enhance overall efficiency, reduce operational costs and continue to deliver high quality service to our customers. On Slide nine, we present our free cash flow. We generated $374,000,000 of free cash flow year to date compared to $564,000,000 in the prior year. Our year to date capital spending increased 22% year over year to $166,000,000 and we now expect to spend approximately $225,000,000 for the full year. At the end of the third quarter, our net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage was one time with $489,000,000 of cash on hand and $590,000,000 of availability under our revolving credit facility. Speaker 300:13:39With ample liquidity and low leverage, we are in a great position to execute on our capital deployment priorities. On Slide 10, our disciplined approach to capital allocation remains unchanged. Our first priority is to grow the business organically through capital investments and innovation closely followed by strategic M and A to enhance our market position and scale. The capital investments we've made in the last several years are clearly paying off and one of the reasons for our continued strong profitability profile. We have reinvested $416,000,000 back into the business during the first nine months of this year as compared to $136,000,000 in the prior year, while also returning $107,000,000 to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, staying true to our disciplined approach to capital allocation. Speaker 300:14:35Finally, on Slide 11, based on our performance to date, current visibility, backlog of existing orders and business trends, our fiscal twenty twenty five revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance remain unchanged. With that, operators, you may now open the line for questions. Operator00:14:54Thank you. The floor is open for questions. Your first question comes from the line of Matthew Bouley of Barclays. Your line is open. Speaker 400:15:28Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking the questions. Just one on the guide, looking at the fourth quarter guidance, a bit of a wide range. I know March is always a big chunk of the quarter, so you typically leave a little bit of wiggle room there. But just any color on this, I guess, $40,000,000 EBITDA range for the fourth quarter, maybe any finer points on kind of where you're tracking within that? Speaker 400:15:50Thank you. Speaker 300:15:52Yes, Matt, Scott Cottrell here. So again, as we look at the first quarter, largely we look at it to be the same, if you will, or equal to what we did in the fourth quarter last year. If you remember the fourth quarter last year, it's a really tough comp given kind of the weather, precipitation, all of that in mid Feb through the March really opened up and the construction season began a lot earlier. So again, it's going to be a tough comp year over year. But again, we think that the range that we have for the year and the guide, the key thing from our perspective is pricing is stable, right? Speaker 300:16:26We've talked about that sequentially and that's really important. And we're seeing material costs kind of flatten out as well as we go. So again, a lot of those things lead us to be confident that plus the Oranko acquisition for us to be able to duplicate what we did in the fourth quarter last year. So that's just some of the attributes behind the guide. Speaker 400:16:48Okay. Thank you for that, Scott. Yeah. And then, I guess, you just touched on pricing costs. So I'll let someone else ask on that in more detail. Speaker 400:16:56So I'll ask on the non residential end market. You had some nice acceleration there, even despite what looked to be a bit of a harder comparison year over year. So just any color there on kind of maybe share gain, material conversion, how that's playing into it or regionally, maybe where you're seeing any kind strength on the non resi side specifically? Thank you. Speaker 100:17:23Yes. Hey, Matt. Mike Higgins. I would say all of those things you mentioned we feel are part of that, right? There's clearly, we think our conversion story remains strong as intact. Speaker 100:17:34And then you guys have heard us talk a lot about our focus geographically in the South and the Southeast. And we're seeing good activity there and we're well positioned to take advantage of that opportunity. And those markets also to allow the largest kind of opportunity for share gain. They tend to be less mature than some of our more mature markets in the Midwest in the Northeast. Speaker 200:17:58Matt, Scott Barber here. The only thing I would add to that is the Allied Products piece. Came back a bit over the last quarter, leaning in very hard on Allied Products and sales initiatives and in programs around that. The new products have been a nice piece of that, particularly in the water quality. I mentioned that biofiltration great new separator product here in the next weeks. Speaker 200:18:25So a big focus on us from us on Allied Products, that's non residential primarily. That's part of this story in addition to the geographic. Speaker 400:18:37Great. Thanks, Scott. Thanks, Mike. Good luck, guys. Speaker 200:18:39All right. Thanks. Operator00:18:42Your next question comes from the line of Brian Blair of Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Speaker 500:18:48Thank you. Good morning, guys. Speaker 200:18:50Good morning. Speaker 500:18:53I was offered the opportunity to dig in more on price cost, I'm going to take it. The you know, the spread narrowed a bit in fiscal Q3. You're saying that pricing was stable again sequentially. Input costs have become a little more accommodative. Within the Q4 guide, are we is it fair to assume that you're approaching neutral price cost? Speaker 300:19:24No. Again, that's when you're talking year over year, you're going to see a little bit of continuation of the trend we've seen. Our comments are more of what we're looking at sequentially, Brian, which is basically really important to us as we look at that pricing stabilizing as well as that material input costs. You remember we've talked over the last couple of quarters about the material costs has just gone up incrementally month after month after month, which has really been difficult in this environment to recover. So what we're saying is we've seen that kind of flatten out on a procure basis on the materials that we're buying currently. Speaker 300:20:01And equally important is the fact that we're seeing on the pricing side it stabilized as well, continuing to stabilize. It did in Q3 versus Q2 and we expect it to stabilize sequentially in Q4. Speaker 500:20:15Okay, understood. And that does provide kind of a bit of a segue to fiscal twenty twenty six discussion. Respecting that you don't have guidance out yet, but maybe frame given current visibility how your team is thinking about growth prospects, the high level puts and takes and looking across non res resi infrastructure construction markets along with ag and maybe overlay the potential of pricing upside looking for the new year? Speaker 100:20:45Yes. Hey, Brian, Mike Higgins again. We don't want to get into specifics around next year. What we're really focused on is hitting the expectations that are out there From an end market perspective, kind of what we see today, residential pretty solid. We've made comments on the commentary to lead off this call about how we see good opportunities still in infrastructure that's a little variable by geography depending on how strong our approvals and acceptance are in those states. Speaker 100:21:19And again with non residential, I would go back to what we've said all year, right. It's highly variable by geography and see that kind of in our performance that we talked about. South, Southeast, Texas, places like that remain pretty good and it's kind of pockets of strength, pockets of weaknesses elsewhere. So as we get through the rest of Q4 and get into the spring, we'll have a more solid picture and conviction around kind of what we think the end markets are going to do next year. Obviously, the news headlines are dominated by a lot of political and geopolitical. Speaker 200:21:58Okay. Natural things that are happening. Speaker 100:22:01Happening, yes. So I think we're in a very fluid situation and kind of our end markets could be impacted by those things. Speaker 200:22:10Yes. It hasn't been a clean start. So just looking at the market perspective, this is Scott Barber, Brian. And with the poor weather in January, the just that all that stuff kind of takes you away from the planning for the year from a market perspective and that's kind of what we saw. And we'll think that we'll work our way through that. Speaker 500:22:36Understood. Appreciate all the color. Thanks guys. Operator00:22:41Your next question comes from the line of Mike Halloran of Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 600:22:46Hey, good morning everyone. Speaker 200:22:48Good morning. Speaker 600:22:50Hey, just to simplify things a little bit, when you take a step back acknowledging the weather headwinds in some of those things you just referenced, has much changed with the customer conversations or how are you thinking about the base outlook? I mean, I hear Mike's comments and choppy by region doesn't seem that different, some strength in resi doesn't seem that different. I mean, are you seeing much change in how you're thinking about these end markets today versus say three, six months ago? Or has it just been relatively stable with some choppiness? Speaker 200:23:24Mike, this is Scott Barber. My view in how these customers are talking has not changed over the last since last quarter. And I think they all across the country remained a bit unsettled on exactly directionally and pace of direction. And things are different around different parts of the country like we've been saying, but no one is jumping up and down that it's going to be high up into the right. For their these guys, they're thinking three, six months out. Speaker 200:24:05At this time of the year, they might be looking at bigger projects that might come up this year, but most are kind of thinking three to six months. Speaker 600:24:15That helps. And then just a kind of broader question on how you're thinking about the competitive and pricing landscape. So stable pricing seems to be the theme for, what, nine, twelve months now on a sequential basis. What are you seeing from competitors out there? Any change in the competitive dynamics? Speaker 600:24:37Are you seeing things are a little choppier, competition is a little higher, doesn't seem that different versus history? But I'd be curious if you're seeing that same stock process? Speaker 200:24:50So Scott Barber again. And I would say that very steady behavior, no new behavior going on seven, eight, nine months now. We continue to make decisions around pricing as our competitors do to try to achieve very local objectives. I want this job. I want to get in with this contractor. Speaker 200:25:18I want to grow with this particular distributor. And that behavior by both all of us, I think has been very consistent going on seven, eight, nine months right now. And I think that's reflective in what you see in our comments and our bridges and in our any way you want to calculate it kind of on pricing. Speaker 600:25:45Great. Really appreciate everyone. Thank you. Speaker 200:25:49Good. Welcome. Operator00:25:51Your next question comes from the line of John Lovallo of UBS. Your line is open. Speaker 700:25:56Hey guys, thank you for taking my questions as well. Maybe I'll just focus a couple on the outlook. And maybe starting with the midpoint of the full year outlook, it implies fourth quarter revenue would be down about 6% sequentially, but EBITDA margins would be up about 120 basis points quarter over quarter to I think 28.9%. Can you just help us kind of bridge that? What's driving that incremental margin expansion there? Speaker 200:26:26There's only one person that can answer that question in this room. Scott, you're correct. Speaker 300:26:31I think John as you look at it, I guess part of it is kind of what we've seen. We've talked about price cost a lot, manufacturing costs, transportation costs as we go. Again, you look at what's on the balance sheet. You look at what our performance has been over the last couple of months, what's sitting in inventory, what's going to come through. So that's part of it. Speaker 300:26:50You also look at SG and A and you look at the costs that we've had not only sequentially, but year over year. And you look at the SG and A piece which will be a nice part of kind of that margin story as we look at Q4 as well on a year over year basis. So we look at all that. We obviously have really good visibility to the balance sheet and what's sitting in inventory and what's going to be coming off. And again, most of it, we talked pricecost sequentially being kind of flattening out and sequentially being where we wanted it to be. Speaker 300:27:20I think you'll see manufacturing and transportation kind of continue that story as we get into Q4 and then you'll see some favorability around SG and A. So that'll explain kind of the margin. And again, we talked about year over year, we've got some tough comps out there. So again, we're counting on good growth in Allied like we've seen. Infiltrator will hold in there solidly and then we've got the dynamics in the pipe business that we've been talking about that will continue into Q4. Speaker 300:27:50Again, a tough comp year over year, but all of that leads us to believe that roughly flat on a year over year basis when all of those moving pieces are kind of brought together. Speaker 700:28:02Okay. That's helpful, Scott. And then maybe just to clarify that last comment. When you say flat year over year, I mean, are we talking organic or including Orenco and are we talking revenue or revenue and EBITDA both? Speaker 300:28:16My comments are basically that the infiltrator business and Allied will be up organically. Then you've got the Arendco business and then you've got the Pipe business again via tough comps will be down as well on a year over year basis. Speaker 200:28:34Okay. Thank you guys. Speaker 500:28:36Yes. Operator00:28:39Your next question comes from the line of Garik Shmois of Loop Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 500:28:45Hi, thanks. Just want to follow-up on the manufacturing and transportation line. It's pretty much in parity this quarter, but I think that's coming off of a 2Q in which it was a nice tailwind. So I think you had called out last quarter good leverage on investments. I'm just kind of wondering what the variance was in 3Q versus 2Q on the manufacturing and transportation line? Speaker 300:29:13Again, we continue to see on the transportation side, it's efficiency. It's not only on our third party sales, but it's also our inner plant in and it's another it's a fancy way of saying the cost that it we incur to move pipe around the network. So again that we put that on the balance sheet as part of our inventoryable cost. It's visibility there. So again continued efficiency as we look at through that. Speaker 300:29:39And then as well we've gotten more efficient in our network, in our operations. You heard me talk about consolidating one of our pipe manufacturing plants and and two of our distribution centers. So we're continuing to looking at how we optimize it and get more efficient. And we also talked about how we're using the balance sheet and the investments that the management team and the board has made. Those investments in efficiency and productivity, those are items that we see as well that are all embedded in the performance you saw in the third quarter. Speaker 500:30:11Okay. Thanks. And then just on the consolidation of some of these facilities you just cited, is there any quantifiable cost savings that we should be expecting? Speaker 300:30:21Again, it's one pipe plant as well as two yards. It's definitely a savings. It's embedded in our guide, but nothing that we'll call out separately right now. Speaker 500:30:32Okay. Thanks. I'll pass it on. Speaker 200:30:34Thanks, Kurt. Operator00:30:37Your next question comes from the line of David Tarantino of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 800:30:44Hey, good morning, everyone. Speaker 200:30:46Good morning. Speaker 800:30:47Maybe just starting with a quick one. You mentioned weather being a factor. Could you give us some detail on how it impacted 3Q and how we're thinking about it for 4Q and which businesses it was primarily affecting? Speaker 100:31:03Yes. I think with the Q3 weather, right, obviously, I mean, it's really coming across all of our businesses, David. I mean, we have products that are delivered and installed outside. So kind of think of where the bad weather was and that's kind of where you're going to be impacted somewhat. As you look at Q4, again, January was a cold month for the middle part of the month through a lot of the country and that will, you know, slow down activity, as we kind of move through the quarter, you know, that business we've talked before, if it gets slowed by weather, it doesn't go away. Speaker 100:31:40It just gets pushed a bit to the right. So we'll see how the rest of this quarter unfolds. And again, that guidance kind of implies a couple of different scenarios around the weather, whether it's bad or whether it's kind of normal and improves, and that's in that guidance. Speaker 800:32:00Okay, great. And then maybe just on infrastructure, could you give us more color around the declines here? Is it mostly just timing? I know we kind of have a renewed focus here. So and then maybe just your thoughts on if there's any risk around the stimulus with the new administration? Speaker 200:32:18So this is Scott, David. And I don't think there's a lot of risk for IIJA type of money for roads and highways and things like that. A lot of that is kind of flowing already. Maybe there's some risk in some of these industrial development or policy type things. We benefited from that over the last couple of years as some of those really big projects got going quickly on battery plants and the semiconductor plant in Ohio and things like that. Speaker 200:32:52So maybe there'll be some impact there, but not on the roads and highways IIJA. The difficult comparison a year ago, we also were shipping a lot of StormTech Airport. I think there were 33 or 35 active airport projects a year ago. So that money FAA controlled, that more federally controlled than kind of money that flew close to the states. I mean a lot of that came out pretty quickly and there was a benefit in that. Speaker 200:33:26Those could be lumpy, the airport jobs, but the road and highway stuff we think will be pretty consistent over the next couple of years. So I don't think we're really alarmed that that down drafted a bit right now. We still have a pretty good effort at building backlog and jobs in that segment. Speaker 300:33:47And I think when Speaker 100:33:48you look at the quarter performance, as we've said, we tend to kind of do better where approvals and acceptance are stronger. Some of those states had a little weaker year over year performance, but the positive end of that is you look at states where we're trying to further and accelerate penetration. They had good quarters. Those are places like North Carolina, places like Georgia, Texas, those states where we did see good positive year over year volume growth in that end market. Speaker 800:34:20Okay, great. Thanks for the time guys. Operator00:34:25Your next question comes from the line of Trey Grooms of Stephens. Your line is open. Speaker 200:34:31Hey, good morning. Good morning. Speaker 900:34:35So I guess first one, most of the questions have been asked, but I guess on the margin ramp here for Arinco, that's one I wanted to touch on if you could. Now that you've kind of had the ownership here for a bit, you had talked about on the last call profitability was kind of in the mid teens. Any update there that you could give us and how that's progressing? Speaker 200:35:02So Scott Barber here, Trey. And we were out there earlier this quarter. We spent a week out on the West Coast. We were at Arrenco for a day, day and a half. And a great visit. Speaker 200:35:17The things that we thought about the business and its potential are certainly there as Craig Taylor and his team have spent a lot of time out there over the last quarter. So yes, we believe there's still the potential to move from the mid teens up above 20%. We that's going to take a while to happen. That doesn't not happen in one quarter. We're I think it's great that we're hitting our forecast, actually exceeding it a bit in the third quarter. Speaker 200:35:48Our forecast just by a little bit. We're on a very nice execution cadence with them, the team out there in Oregon, and the things that we're doing in the market are well endorsed by our distribution and our customers. So I think that's all kind of pointing towards the way we thought it would. It's not going to happen in one year or six months, but this will be a slow build over time. Not that slow, but it'll be a build over time and I think we'll really like the results. Speaker 200:36:26We said it and we'll talk about this a lot at our Investor Day, but between the organic investments in new products for this advanced treatment segment done at Infiltrator and the strength of this Orenco business, we combine those two things and we really I think got a great start in that strategy that we've been working on now for I think a third full year of kind of implementing this. So that's pretty exciting for us and we'll talk about it a lot in June at the Investor Day. Speaker 900:37:02Great. Well, that's all I had. Thanks for answering the question, Scott. It's super helpful and looking forward Speaker 200:37:07to the Analyst Day. Thank you. Yes, it'll be fine. We'll get you to Ohio. Operator00:37:15Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Connors of Northcoast Research Partners. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:37:23Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to kind of I'm sorry to beat the drum on the price side, but I wanted to revisit that a little bit. It's kind of where we're getting the most questions. And you mentioned how you price to achieve very local objectives. Speaker 1000:37:37So you have price flat sequentially for the company as a whole. But what kind of range of variability is there around that in the local markets? Are they all kind of hugging that 0% line, that flat line or up 1%, two %? Or is there more volatility and there's some markets that are really, really good and some that are a little tougher? Speaker 200:37:58This is Scott Barber, Ryan. There are always some markets that are tougher than others. And those can be certainly geographic, it might be between the North part of the state and the south part of the state, wildly different behavior. I would say, while there can be a lot of variability there as we work through the year that variability has kind of decreased. And what I mean by that is, the more difficult markets continue to be the more difficult the other markets continue to be the other markets. Speaker 200:38:37But we're in a range there. It's not a lot of variability within that range of a market today, if that is helpful. And we're not seeing kind of wild swings out of left field that we got to go react to every day. Those always occur, but they're not like they were earlier in the year. Speaker 1000:39:02Sure. No, that is very helpful to hear that tightened up. And then my other one just sort of related, but pricing has been rational, you mentioned several times. Can you say the same thing about actual and planned capacity additions? I mean, is there anything you see out there on the horizon that could be disruptive to the supply and demand dynamics or is everything pretty well staged in with where the demand lies in the markets? Speaker 200:39:30Well, I don't think there are any investments announced by either us or our competitors that are unanticipated at this point. We think we know we're all we think we have a very good idea of what regional capacity would look like. We make plans around being competitive according to the what we see in our overall environment. And I think what we have a very good handle on what those pace and production volume of those investments are going to be. And we plan accordingly as we think about our future plans around being cost competitive, having the right capacities, what those pricing levels are, what are the different competitive advantages that we might have in terms of service or tools. Speaker 200:40:28We've got a wide value proposition at ADS. It's just not the product line, the availability in the trucks. It's all the services and investments we've made behind that and they're significant. So we put that whole thing on the table as we're competing out there. Speaker 1000:40:49Got it. Well, I appreciate the comprehensive response and thanks for the time. Speaker 200:40:53You're welcome. Operator00:40:56That concludes our Q and A session. I will now turn the conference back over to Scott Barber for closing remarks. Speaker 200:41:02All right. Thank you very much. And we appreciate the quality of the questions and insights from everyone and the time spent not only on today's call, but your preparation and your modeling and you're reaching out to us. I think we'll have probably a few follow-up calls today, but we are I think we look at the quarter and after having to make some adjustments, we were on plan. It is a bit of a wide range for the guidance, but this is a highly variable quarter for us in terms of demand because of the weather in particular and how that can kind of play out. Speaker 200:41:43So we're playing that, we're playing through all that and continue to operate pretty well. I think the year the infiltrator business had has been a fantastic year. We've made a lot of improvements and made a lot of progress with the capital investments made in the ADX business. We'll show a lot of that at the Investor Day that's going on from that. And we look forward to that as well as getting together with you guys again in May. Speaker 200:42:11So that's it. We'll wrap up and we'll talk to you later. Bye bye. Operator00:42:16This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallSoundThinking Q3 202500:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xRemove Ads Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Quarterly report(10-Q) MGM Resorts International Earnings HeadlinesFloor & Décor center in Broward sold for $22 millionApril 11 at 1:32 PM | bizjournals.comFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc. 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There are 11 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Advanced Drainage Systems Third Quarter of Fiscal Year twenty twenty five Results Conference Call. My name is JL, and I'm your conference operator today. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for today's call, Michael Higgins, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Strategy. Operator00:00:32Sir, you may begin. Speaker 100:00:34Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. With me, I have Scott Barber, our President and CEO and Scott Cottrell, our CFO. I would also like to remind you that we will discuss forward looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those forward looking statements because of various factors, including those discussed in our press release and the risk factors identified in our Form 10 ks filed with the SEC. Speaker 100:01:00While we may update forward looking statements in the future, we disclaim any obligation to do so. You should not place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, all of which speak only as of today. Lastly, the press release we issued earlier this morning is posted on the Investor Relations section of our website. A copy of the release has also been included in an eight K submitted to the SEC. We will make a replay of this conference call available via webcast on the company website. Speaker 100:01:31With all of that said, I'll turn the call over to Scott Farmer. Speaker 200:01:34Thank you, Mike, and good morning, everyone. Thank you all for joining us on today's call. We executed well in the third quarter, meeting our commitments on safety, delivery performance and operational execution. Financial results were consistent with our expectations communicated in November. Net sales increased 4% to $691,000,000 including the acquisition of Orenco. Speaker 200:02:00Demand in the domestic construction markets continued to trend positively overall and this marks our fifth consecutive quarter of volume growth in the domestic construction markets. Pricing remains in line with expectations as well sequentially stable from the second quarter. Sales in the non residential market increased 7% as demand improved in the third quarter. Non residential is about 45% of total sales. We saw good demand in the South and Southeastern United States such as Florida, Texas and Georgia. Speaker 200:02:38To support growth in the Southeast, we recently broke ground on an expansion of the ADS recycling facility in Cordele, Georgia. This expansion will increase recycling capacity in this region, allowing us to more efficiently service the seven facilities in this growing market. As one of the largest plastic recycling companies in North America, expanding our operations in Georgia will allow us to deliver more high quality recycled material to our manufacturing sites throughout the Southeast Region, while expanding ADS's overall use of recycled plastic and our pipe products and advanced stormwater and on-site septic wastewater solutions. We have a great team in core deal with many talented long serving employees and we're excited to see the value that will be created with this investment. Sales in the residential market, which are about 35% of total revenue increased 9%. Speaker 200:03:40Infiltrators organic revenue increased 6% in the quarter, driven by double digit growth in both tanks and the advanced treatment products. The ADS residential land development business continues to perform well as homebuilders continue to acquire and develop land for the structural undersupply of homes in The U. S. Arrenco contributed $25,000,000 of sales in the period, slightly ahead of expectations. Sales in the infrastructure market were down 6% in the quarter on a difficult comparison. Speaker 200:04:15As a reminder, sales in the infrastructure market increased 22% in the third quarter last year. This is a market where ADS historically under participated representing about 7% of overall revenue, but we are now positioned well following investments in go to market resources and additional capacity in key geographies. Because it is a small portion of the business and revenue is concentrated to geographies where we have stronger approvals, swings in this market can appear more dramatic than the non residential and residential markets. Our leading indicators in the infrastructure market remain favorable over the long term as we continue to benefit from funds allocated under the IIJA as well as increased market participation. As we think more broadly about ADS and how climate patterns are evolving, we have a significant role to play in investing in the future of stormwater management. Speaker 200:05:16It's clear by the trends shown on Slide five that these large scale storm events are increasing in frequency over time. In 2024, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recorded 27 large scale weather and climate disaster events in The United States, collectively costing over $180,000,000,000 The frequency of these events in 2024 is more than double the average number of events from the previous decade, which was 13. ADS and infiltrator products help build resiliency into communities by mitigating flooding, returning groundwater to aquifers, rivers and other natural sources, as well as securing agricultural resources and food supply. As large scale storms become more frequent, it is no surprise that our Americans are growing increasingly concerned about stormwater management in their communities. In November, we conducted a second stormwater awareness survey in partnership with the Harris Poll following up on the first stormwater awareness survey in 2023. Speaker 200:06:28The survey results showed 60% of Americans are concerned about the stormwater infrastructure in their communities, a notable increase from 51% in 2023. In addition, nearly two thirds of Americans indicated stormwater negatively impacts their community with flooded streets, property damage and standing water identified as the most frequent consequences of insufficient stormwater management. The increased concern is not surprising given the strength of the twenty twenty four Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June through November. The Atlantic Basin experienced an above average 18 named storms, including five hurricanes that made landfall in the Continental U. S. Speaker 200:07:15Impacting areas from Texas to Florida and up into North Carolina and Tennessee. To help communities mitigate water management challenges, we continue to build out our product portfolio. We recently launched a new stormwater treatment solution, the EcoStream Biofiltration product. Biofiltration is a category in water quality designed to remove pollutants such as nitrogen, phosphorus, sediments, metals and hydrocarbons through low impact environmentally friendly systems that often incorporate green infrastructure. ADS's new biofiltration product has been approved by both the Washington DOE and the New Jersey CAT, the two leading testing agencies in water quality. Speaker 200:08:06Our new engineering and technology center is equipped with 90,000 gallons of a closed loop hydraulics laboratory, which allowed us to test and commercialize this product much more quickly than was previously possible. We have also expanded our storage product offering with two new chambers, as well as a partnership with a plastic crates manufacturer. Expanding into plastic crates give us the ability to participate in deep storage applications that our current chambers are not designed to meet. April Trader continues to roll out their single tank residential advanced treatment solution to EcoPOD NX. This product is designed to meet new regulations that require higher levels of nitrogen removal to protect watersheds and the environment. Speaker 200:08:57Already infiltrator organic sales in the residential advanced treatment market have doubled this fiscal year and advanced treatment remains a significant growth opportunity for Infiltrator. To that end, in the third quarter, we closed the acquisition of Arinco. This acquisition further enhances our product offering and complements infiltrator products in the decentralized wastewater treatment market. Arinco is an excellent strategic fit for infiltrator. We identified the advanced wastewater treatment opportunity at our twenty twenty two Investor Day and market demand has continued to grow since then. Speaker 200:09:37This acquisition establishes a leadership position in a highly fragmented and fast growing segment of wastewater. The enhanced portfolio of complementary solutions combined with a broader sales force, geographic reach and distribution footprint will drive further penetration in this attractive segment. On Slide seven, we highlight three of Renko's product categories where you're most excited about. The Advantech's advanced treatment systems are complementary to the infiltrator products and increase our exposure to commercial systems as well as residential systems where infiltrators are already used today. There's also an opportunity to use infiltrator tank products in the Advantech product line, which is historically only used tanks made of composite and concrete materials. Speaker 200:10:31The preloads product separates waste from wastewater, sending the liquid only sewer to secondary treatment. This product is used in septic to sewer conversion and makes the process lower cost and less intrusive by avoiding significant disruption and investment in the existing infrastructure. The preload product line in the controls business are incremental to Jodei's infiltrator offering. In addition, the controls business provides another cross selling opportunity between infiltrator and Orinco as Infiltrator currently purchases control panels from a third party. We're very excited about bringing Orinco into the Infiltrator business and the collective opportunity in decentralized wastewater management. Speaker 200:11:18Finally, today we're announcing our twenty twenty five Investor Day will be held on June 26 in Hilliard, Ohio at ADS's new Engineering and Technology Center. In addition to business updates and a new three year plan, attendees will have the opportunity to tour the center, which is the largest and most advanced stormwater engineering and technology center in the world. Invitations will be sent in the next couple of months and we're very excited to display this one of a kind facility that demonstrates our commitment to advancing material science, engineering and product design for stormwater management. With that, I will turn the call over to Scott Cottrell, who will discuss our financial results. Thanks, Scott. Speaker 300:12:04The third quarter adjusted EBITDA decreased 6% year over year to $191,000,000 Favorable volume in the period was offset by unfavorable price costs while manufacturing and transportation costs were relatively flat to the prior year. It's important again to highlight that pricing in the quarter was sequentially stable as we had expected. We continually evaluate our manufacturing network and costs with a goal of optimizing our footprint without disrupting product availability and customer service. To that end, we recently announced the consolidation of one pipe manufacturing plant and two of our distribution yards. This strategic move is aimed at optimizing operations and ensuring that we allocate resources more effectively across the network. Speaker 300:12:51These actions will enhance overall efficiency, reduce operational costs and continue to deliver high quality service to our customers. On Slide nine, we present our free cash flow. We generated $374,000,000 of free cash flow year to date compared to $564,000,000 in the prior year. Our year to date capital spending increased 22% year over year to $166,000,000 and we now expect to spend approximately $225,000,000 for the full year. At the end of the third quarter, our net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage was one time with $489,000,000 of cash on hand and $590,000,000 of availability under our revolving credit facility. Speaker 300:13:39With ample liquidity and low leverage, we are in a great position to execute on our capital deployment priorities. On Slide 10, our disciplined approach to capital allocation remains unchanged. Our first priority is to grow the business organically through capital investments and innovation closely followed by strategic M and A to enhance our market position and scale. The capital investments we've made in the last several years are clearly paying off and one of the reasons for our continued strong profitability profile. We have reinvested $416,000,000 back into the business during the first nine months of this year as compared to $136,000,000 in the prior year, while also returning $107,000,000 to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, staying true to our disciplined approach to capital allocation. Speaker 300:14:35Finally, on Slide 11, based on our performance to date, current visibility, backlog of existing orders and business trends, our fiscal twenty twenty five revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance remain unchanged. With that, operators, you may now open the line for questions. Operator00:14:54Thank you. The floor is open for questions. Your first question comes from the line of Matthew Bouley of Barclays. Your line is open. Speaker 400:15:28Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking the questions. Just one on the guide, looking at the fourth quarter guidance, a bit of a wide range. I know March is always a big chunk of the quarter, so you typically leave a little bit of wiggle room there. But just any color on this, I guess, $40,000,000 EBITDA range for the fourth quarter, maybe any finer points on kind of where you're tracking within that? Speaker 400:15:50Thank you. Speaker 300:15:52Yes, Matt, Scott Cottrell here. So again, as we look at the first quarter, largely we look at it to be the same, if you will, or equal to what we did in the fourth quarter last year. If you remember the fourth quarter last year, it's a really tough comp given kind of the weather, precipitation, all of that in mid Feb through the March really opened up and the construction season began a lot earlier. So again, it's going to be a tough comp year over year. But again, we think that the range that we have for the year and the guide, the key thing from our perspective is pricing is stable, right? Speaker 300:16:26We've talked about that sequentially and that's really important. And we're seeing material costs kind of flatten out as well as we go. So again, a lot of those things lead us to be confident that plus the Oranko acquisition for us to be able to duplicate what we did in the fourth quarter last year. So that's just some of the attributes behind the guide. Speaker 400:16:48Okay. Thank you for that, Scott. Yeah. And then, I guess, you just touched on pricing costs. So I'll let someone else ask on that in more detail. Speaker 400:16:56So I'll ask on the non residential end market. You had some nice acceleration there, even despite what looked to be a bit of a harder comparison year over year. So just any color there on kind of maybe share gain, material conversion, how that's playing into it or regionally, maybe where you're seeing any kind strength on the non resi side specifically? Thank you. Speaker 100:17:23Yes. Hey, Matt. Mike Higgins. I would say all of those things you mentioned we feel are part of that, right? There's clearly, we think our conversion story remains strong as intact. Speaker 100:17:34And then you guys have heard us talk a lot about our focus geographically in the South and the Southeast. And we're seeing good activity there and we're well positioned to take advantage of that opportunity. And those markets also to allow the largest kind of opportunity for share gain. They tend to be less mature than some of our more mature markets in the Midwest in the Northeast. Speaker 200:17:58Matt, Scott Barber here. The only thing I would add to that is the Allied Products piece. Came back a bit over the last quarter, leaning in very hard on Allied Products and sales initiatives and in programs around that. The new products have been a nice piece of that, particularly in the water quality. I mentioned that biofiltration great new separator product here in the next weeks. Speaker 200:18:25So a big focus on us from us on Allied Products, that's non residential primarily. That's part of this story in addition to the geographic. Speaker 400:18:37Great. Thanks, Scott. Thanks, Mike. Good luck, guys. Speaker 200:18:39All right. Thanks. Operator00:18:42Your next question comes from the line of Brian Blair of Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Speaker 500:18:48Thank you. Good morning, guys. Speaker 200:18:50Good morning. Speaker 500:18:53I was offered the opportunity to dig in more on price cost, I'm going to take it. The you know, the spread narrowed a bit in fiscal Q3. You're saying that pricing was stable again sequentially. Input costs have become a little more accommodative. Within the Q4 guide, are we is it fair to assume that you're approaching neutral price cost? Speaker 300:19:24No. Again, that's when you're talking year over year, you're going to see a little bit of continuation of the trend we've seen. Our comments are more of what we're looking at sequentially, Brian, which is basically really important to us as we look at that pricing stabilizing as well as that material input costs. You remember we've talked over the last couple of quarters about the material costs has just gone up incrementally month after month after month, which has really been difficult in this environment to recover. So what we're saying is we've seen that kind of flatten out on a procure basis on the materials that we're buying currently. Speaker 300:20:01And equally important is the fact that we're seeing on the pricing side it stabilized as well, continuing to stabilize. It did in Q3 versus Q2 and we expect it to stabilize sequentially in Q4. Speaker 500:20:15Okay, understood. And that does provide kind of a bit of a segue to fiscal twenty twenty six discussion. Respecting that you don't have guidance out yet, but maybe frame given current visibility how your team is thinking about growth prospects, the high level puts and takes and looking across non res resi infrastructure construction markets along with ag and maybe overlay the potential of pricing upside looking for the new year? Speaker 100:20:45Yes. Hey, Brian, Mike Higgins again. We don't want to get into specifics around next year. What we're really focused on is hitting the expectations that are out there From an end market perspective, kind of what we see today, residential pretty solid. We've made comments on the commentary to lead off this call about how we see good opportunities still in infrastructure that's a little variable by geography depending on how strong our approvals and acceptance are in those states. Speaker 100:21:19And again with non residential, I would go back to what we've said all year, right. It's highly variable by geography and see that kind of in our performance that we talked about. South, Southeast, Texas, places like that remain pretty good and it's kind of pockets of strength, pockets of weaknesses elsewhere. So as we get through the rest of Q4 and get into the spring, we'll have a more solid picture and conviction around kind of what we think the end markets are going to do next year. Obviously, the news headlines are dominated by a lot of political and geopolitical. Speaker 200:21:58Okay. Natural things that are happening. Speaker 100:22:01Happening, yes. So I think we're in a very fluid situation and kind of our end markets could be impacted by those things. Speaker 200:22:10Yes. It hasn't been a clean start. So just looking at the market perspective, this is Scott Barber, Brian. And with the poor weather in January, the just that all that stuff kind of takes you away from the planning for the year from a market perspective and that's kind of what we saw. And we'll think that we'll work our way through that. Speaker 500:22:36Understood. Appreciate all the color. Thanks guys. Operator00:22:41Your next question comes from the line of Mike Halloran of Baird. Your line is open. Speaker 600:22:46Hey, good morning everyone. Speaker 200:22:48Good morning. Speaker 600:22:50Hey, just to simplify things a little bit, when you take a step back acknowledging the weather headwinds in some of those things you just referenced, has much changed with the customer conversations or how are you thinking about the base outlook? I mean, I hear Mike's comments and choppy by region doesn't seem that different, some strength in resi doesn't seem that different. I mean, are you seeing much change in how you're thinking about these end markets today versus say three, six months ago? Or has it just been relatively stable with some choppiness? Speaker 200:23:24Mike, this is Scott Barber. My view in how these customers are talking has not changed over the last since last quarter. And I think they all across the country remained a bit unsettled on exactly directionally and pace of direction. And things are different around different parts of the country like we've been saying, but no one is jumping up and down that it's going to be high up into the right. For their these guys, they're thinking three, six months out. Speaker 200:24:05At this time of the year, they might be looking at bigger projects that might come up this year, but most are kind of thinking three to six months. Speaker 600:24:15That helps. And then just a kind of broader question on how you're thinking about the competitive and pricing landscape. So stable pricing seems to be the theme for, what, nine, twelve months now on a sequential basis. What are you seeing from competitors out there? Any change in the competitive dynamics? Speaker 600:24:37Are you seeing things are a little choppier, competition is a little higher, doesn't seem that different versus history? But I'd be curious if you're seeing that same stock process? Speaker 200:24:50So Scott Barber again. And I would say that very steady behavior, no new behavior going on seven, eight, nine months now. We continue to make decisions around pricing as our competitors do to try to achieve very local objectives. I want this job. I want to get in with this contractor. Speaker 200:25:18I want to grow with this particular distributor. And that behavior by both all of us, I think has been very consistent going on seven, eight, nine months right now. And I think that's reflective in what you see in our comments and our bridges and in our any way you want to calculate it kind of on pricing. Speaker 600:25:45Great. Really appreciate everyone. Thank you. Speaker 200:25:49Good. Welcome. Operator00:25:51Your next question comes from the line of John Lovallo of UBS. Your line is open. Speaker 700:25:56Hey guys, thank you for taking my questions as well. Maybe I'll just focus a couple on the outlook. And maybe starting with the midpoint of the full year outlook, it implies fourth quarter revenue would be down about 6% sequentially, but EBITDA margins would be up about 120 basis points quarter over quarter to I think 28.9%. Can you just help us kind of bridge that? What's driving that incremental margin expansion there? Speaker 200:26:26There's only one person that can answer that question in this room. Scott, you're correct. Speaker 300:26:31I think John as you look at it, I guess part of it is kind of what we've seen. We've talked about price cost a lot, manufacturing costs, transportation costs as we go. Again, you look at what's on the balance sheet. You look at what our performance has been over the last couple of months, what's sitting in inventory, what's going to come through. So that's part of it. Speaker 300:26:50You also look at SG and A and you look at the costs that we've had not only sequentially, but year over year. And you look at the SG and A piece which will be a nice part of kind of that margin story as we look at Q4 as well on a year over year basis. So we look at all that. We obviously have really good visibility to the balance sheet and what's sitting in inventory and what's going to be coming off. And again, most of it, we talked pricecost sequentially being kind of flattening out and sequentially being where we wanted it to be. Speaker 300:27:20I think you'll see manufacturing and transportation kind of continue that story as we get into Q4 and then you'll see some favorability around SG and A. So that'll explain kind of the margin. And again, we talked about year over year, we've got some tough comps out there. So again, we're counting on good growth in Allied like we've seen. Infiltrator will hold in there solidly and then we've got the dynamics in the pipe business that we've been talking about that will continue into Q4. Speaker 300:27:50Again, a tough comp year over year, but all of that leads us to believe that roughly flat on a year over year basis when all of those moving pieces are kind of brought together. Speaker 700:28:02Okay. That's helpful, Scott. And then maybe just to clarify that last comment. When you say flat year over year, I mean, are we talking organic or including Orenco and are we talking revenue or revenue and EBITDA both? Speaker 300:28:16My comments are basically that the infiltrator business and Allied will be up organically. Then you've got the Arendco business and then you've got the Pipe business again via tough comps will be down as well on a year over year basis. Speaker 200:28:34Okay. Thank you guys. Speaker 500:28:36Yes. Operator00:28:39Your next question comes from the line of Garik Shmois of Loop Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 500:28:45Hi, thanks. Just want to follow-up on the manufacturing and transportation line. It's pretty much in parity this quarter, but I think that's coming off of a 2Q in which it was a nice tailwind. So I think you had called out last quarter good leverage on investments. I'm just kind of wondering what the variance was in 3Q versus 2Q on the manufacturing and transportation line? Speaker 300:29:13Again, we continue to see on the transportation side, it's efficiency. It's not only on our third party sales, but it's also our inner plant in and it's another it's a fancy way of saying the cost that it we incur to move pipe around the network. So again that we put that on the balance sheet as part of our inventoryable cost. It's visibility there. So again continued efficiency as we look at through that. Speaker 300:29:39And then as well we've gotten more efficient in our network, in our operations. You heard me talk about consolidating one of our pipe manufacturing plants and and two of our distribution centers. So we're continuing to looking at how we optimize it and get more efficient. And we also talked about how we're using the balance sheet and the investments that the management team and the board has made. Those investments in efficiency and productivity, those are items that we see as well that are all embedded in the performance you saw in the third quarter. Speaker 500:30:11Okay. Thanks. And then just on the consolidation of some of these facilities you just cited, is there any quantifiable cost savings that we should be expecting? Speaker 300:30:21Again, it's one pipe plant as well as two yards. It's definitely a savings. It's embedded in our guide, but nothing that we'll call out separately right now. Speaker 500:30:32Okay. Thanks. I'll pass it on. Speaker 200:30:34Thanks, Kurt. Operator00:30:37Your next question comes from the line of David Tarantino of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is open. Speaker 800:30:44Hey, good morning, everyone. Speaker 200:30:46Good morning. Speaker 800:30:47Maybe just starting with a quick one. You mentioned weather being a factor. Could you give us some detail on how it impacted 3Q and how we're thinking about it for 4Q and which businesses it was primarily affecting? Speaker 100:31:03Yes. I think with the Q3 weather, right, obviously, I mean, it's really coming across all of our businesses, David. I mean, we have products that are delivered and installed outside. So kind of think of where the bad weather was and that's kind of where you're going to be impacted somewhat. As you look at Q4, again, January was a cold month for the middle part of the month through a lot of the country and that will, you know, slow down activity, as we kind of move through the quarter, you know, that business we've talked before, if it gets slowed by weather, it doesn't go away. Speaker 100:31:40It just gets pushed a bit to the right. So we'll see how the rest of this quarter unfolds. And again, that guidance kind of implies a couple of different scenarios around the weather, whether it's bad or whether it's kind of normal and improves, and that's in that guidance. Speaker 800:32:00Okay, great. And then maybe just on infrastructure, could you give us more color around the declines here? Is it mostly just timing? I know we kind of have a renewed focus here. So and then maybe just your thoughts on if there's any risk around the stimulus with the new administration? Speaker 200:32:18So this is Scott, David. And I don't think there's a lot of risk for IIJA type of money for roads and highways and things like that. A lot of that is kind of flowing already. Maybe there's some risk in some of these industrial development or policy type things. We benefited from that over the last couple of years as some of those really big projects got going quickly on battery plants and the semiconductor plant in Ohio and things like that. Speaker 200:32:52So maybe there'll be some impact there, but not on the roads and highways IIJA. The difficult comparison a year ago, we also were shipping a lot of StormTech Airport. I think there were 33 or 35 active airport projects a year ago. So that money FAA controlled, that more federally controlled than kind of money that flew close to the states. I mean a lot of that came out pretty quickly and there was a benefit in that. Speaker 200:33:26Those could be lumpy, the airport jobs, but the road and highway stuff we think will be pretty consistent over the next couple of years. So I don't think we're really alarmed that that down drafted a bit right now. We still have a pretty good effort at building backlog and jobs in that segment. Speaker 300:33:47And I think when Speaker 100:33:48you look at the quarter performance, as we've said, we tend to kind of do better where approvals and acceptance are stronger. Some of those states had a little weaker year over year performance, but the positive end of that is you look at states where we're trying to further and accelerate penetration. They had good quarters. Those are places like North Carolina, places like Georgia, Texas, those states where we did see good positive year over year volume growth in that end market. Speaker 800:34:20Okay, great. Thanks for the time guys. Operator00:34:25Your next question comes from the line of Trey Grooms of Stephens. Your line is open. Speaker 200:34:31Hey, good morning. Good morning. Speaker 900:34:35So I guess first one, most of the questions have been asked, but I guess on the margin ramp here for Arinco, that's one I wanted to touch on if you could. Now that you've kind of had the ownership here for a bit, you had talked about on the last call profitability was kind of in the mid teens. Any update there that you could give us and how that's progressing? Speaker 200:35:02So Scott Barber here, Trey. And we were out there earlier this quarter. We spent a week out on the West Coast. We were at Arrenco for a day, day and a half. And a great visit. Speaker 200:35:17The things that we thought about the business and its potential are certainly there as Craig Taylor and his team have spent a lot of time out there over the last quarter. So yes, we believe there's still the potential to move from the mid teens up above 20%. We that's going to take a while to happen. That doesn't not happen in one quarter. We're I think it's great that we're hitting our forecast, actually exceeding it a bit in the third quarter. Speaker 200:35:48Our forecast just by a little bit. We're on a very nice execution cadence with them, the team out there in Oregon, and the things that we're doing in the market are well endorsed by our distribution and our customers. So I think that's all kind of pointing towards the way we thought it would. It's not going to happen in one year or six months, but this will be a slow build over time. Not that slow, but it'll be a build over time and I think we'll really like the results. Speaker 200:36:26We said it and we'll talk about this a lot at our Investor Day, but between the organic investments in new products for this advanced treatment segment done at Infiltrator and the strength of this Orenco business, we combine those two things and we really I think got a great start in that strategy that we've been working on now for I think a third full year of kind of implementing this. So that's pretty exciting for us and we'll talk about it a lot in June at the Investor Day. Speaker 900:37:02Great. Well, that's all I had. Thanks for answering the question, Scott. It's super helpful and looking forward Speaker 200:37:07to the Analyst Day. Thank you. Yes, it'll be fine. We'll get you to Ohio. Operator00:37:15Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Connors of Northcoast Research Partners. Your line is open. Speaker 1000:37:23Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to kind of I'm sorry to beat the drum on the price side, but I wanted to revisit that a little bit. It's kind of where we're getting the most questions. And you mentioned how you price to achieve very local objectives. Speaker 1000:37:37So you have price flat sequentially for the company as a whole. But what kind of range of variability is there around that in the local markets? Are they all kind of hugging that 0% line, that flat line or up 1%, two %? Or is there more volatility and there's some markets that are really, really good and some that are a little tougher? Speaker 200:37:58This is Scott Barber, Ryan. There are always some markets that are tougher than others. And those can be certainly geographic, it might be between the North part of the state and the south part of the state, wildly different behavior. I would say, while there can be a lot of variability there as we work through the year that variability has kind of decreased. And what I mean by that is, the more difficult markets continue to be the more difficult the other markets continue to be the other markets. Speaker 200:38:37But we're in a range there. It's not a lot of variability within that range of a market today, if that is helpful. And we're not seeing kind of wild swings out of left field that we got to go react to every day. Those always occur, but they're not like they were earlier in the year. Speaker 1000:39:02Sure. No, that is very helpful to hear that tightened up. And then my other one just sort of related, but pricing has been rational, you mentioned several times. Can you say the same thing about actual and planned capacity additions? I mean, is there anything you see out there on the horizon that could be disruptive to the supply and demand dynamics or is everything pretty well staged in with where the demand lies in the markets? Speaker 200:39:30Well, I don't think there are any investments announced by either us or our competitors that are unanticipated at this point. We think we know we're all we think we have a very good idea of what regional capacity would look like. We make plans around being competitive according to the what we see in our overall environment. And I think what we have a very good handle on what those pace and production volume of those investments are going to be. And we plan accordingly as we think about our future plans around being cost competitive, having the right capacities, what those pricing levels are, what are the different competitive advantages that we might have in terms of service or tools. Speaker 200:40:28We've got a wide value proposition at ADS. It's just not the product line, the availability in the trucks. It's all the services and investments we've made behind that and they're significant. So we put that whole thing on the table as we're competing out there. Speaker 1000:40:49Got it. Well, I appreciate the comprehensive response and thanks for the time. Speaker 200:40:53You're welcome. Operator00:40:56That concludes our Q and A session. I will now turn the conference back over to Scott Barber for closing remarks. Speaker 200:41:02All right. Thank you very much. And we appreciate the quality of the questions and insights from everyone and the time spent not only on today's call, but your preparation and your modeling and you're reaching out to us. I think we'll have probably a few follow-up calls today, but we are I think we look at the quarter and after having to make some adjustments, we were on plan. It is a bit of a wide range for the guidance, but this is a highly variable quarter for us in terms of demand because of the weather in particular and how that can kind of play out. Speaker 200:41:43So we're playing that, we're playing through all that and continue to operate pretty well. I think the year the infiltrator business had has been a fantastic year. We've made a lot of improvements and made a lot of progress with the capital investments made in the ADX business. We'll show a lot of that at the Investor Day that's going on from that. And we look forward to that as well as getting together with you guys again in May. Speaker 200:42:11So that's it. We'll wrap up and we'll talk to you later. Bye bye. Operator00:42:16This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by