NASDAQ:NCMI National CineMedia Q4 2024 Earnings Report $5.81 -0.16 (-2.68%) As of 04:00 PM Eastern Earnings HistoryForecast National CineMedia EPS ResultsActual EPS$0.26Consensus EPS $0.20Beat/MissBeat by +$0.06One Year Ago EPSN/ANational CineMedia Revenue ResultsActual Revenue$86.30 millionExpected Revenue$84.77 millionBeat/MissBeat by +$1.53 millionYoY Revenue GrowthN/ANational CineMedia Announcement DetailsQuarterQ4 2024Date3/6/2025TimeAfter Market ClosesConference Call DateThursday, March 6, 2025Conference Call Time5:00PM ETUpcoming EarningsNational CineMedia's Q1 2025 earnings is scheduled for Monday, May 5, 2025, with a conference call scheduled at 5:00 PM ET. Check back for transcripts, audio, and key financial metrics as they become available.Q1 2025 Earnings ReportConference Call ResourcesConference Call AudioConference Call TranscriptSlide DeckPress Release (8-K)Annual Report (10-K)Earnings HistoryCompany ProfileSlide DeckFull Screen Slide DeckPowered by National CineMedia Q4 2024 Earnings Call TranscriptProvided by QuartrMarch 6, 2025 ShareLink copied to clipboard.There are 4 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good day, and welcome to the National Synimedia Incorporated Fourth Quarter twenty twenty four Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen only mode. Please note this event is being recorded. Operator00:00:28I would now like to turn the conference over to Chan Park, Vice President of Finance. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:35Thank you, operator. Good afternoon. I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Tom Luczynski and our Chief Financial Officer, Ronnie Ing. I would like to remind our listeners that this conference call contains forward looking statements within the meaning of 27A, the Securities Act of 1933 as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended. All statements other than statements of historical facts communicated during this conference call may constitute forward looking statements. Speaker 100:01:09These forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. Important factors that can cause actual results to differ materially from the company's expectations are disclosed in the risk factors contained in the company's filings with the SEC. All forward looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by such factors. Further, our discussion today includes some non GAAP measures. In accordance with Regulation G, we have reconciled these amounts back to the closest GAAP basis measurement. Speaker 100:01:42These reconciliations can be found at the end of today's earnings release or on the Investor Relations page of our website at ncm.com. Today, we will be discussing NCM LLC's operating results as they relate to the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, which are largely similar to NCM Inc. Results. We're reporting NCM LLC's operating results to provide an accurate comparison to the fourth quarter and full year of 2023 when we also reported NCM LLC's results given fiscal year twenty twenty three results were unconsolidated. Now, I'll turn the call over to Tom. Speaker 200:02:23Thank you, Chan, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to our fourth quarter and full year twenty twenty four earnings call. Before we begin, I want to take a moment to address the devastating wildfires that have swept through Southern California. Our hearts go out to all those impacted by this tragedy, families who have lost their homes, communities facing unimaginable hardship and the brave first responders who risk their lives to protect others. For many of us, including myself, this isn't just a news story, it's personal. Speaker 200:02:55Southern California is my home and home to many of our employees, partners, friends, and loved ones. We stand in solidarity with everyone affected and we're committed to supporting recovery efforts in every way we can. While the fires have been contained, we know the road to recovery will be long. Our thoughts remain with those who are grieving, rebuilding and finding the strength to move forward. We are here with you today and for the journey ahead. Speaker 200:03:25Moving on to our earnings. We're excited to share the highlights of what has been another landmark year for an NCM and the cinema industry as a whole. This year's performance demonstrated the resilience of cinema advertising and the ongoing appeal of theatrical experiences for moviegoers. Let's dive into the details. The fourth quarter of twenty twenty four was a great success for the box office, exceeding most industry expectations. Speaker 200:03:55The total box office for the quarter generated approximately $2,400,000,000 marking a 26% increase year over year. This success was driven by a diverse slate of films from massive tentpole releases to breakout hits. Wicked, Part I generated $433,000,000 in the quarter and shattered records for a November release. Disney's Moana two followed closely behind with $4.00 4,000,000 and cemented itself as a key player in the studio's animated film library, appealing to audiences both young and old. Other highlights included Gladiator II, Sonic the Hedgehog III and Mufasa: The Lion King, which brought in nearly four fifty million dollars combined. Speaker 200:04:49Thanksgiving weekend twenty twenty four was an especially historic moment for the domestic box office. The industry brought in $420,000,000 over the Thanksgiving weekend, breaking the previous all time record of $315,000,000 set in 2018. December '20 '4 was also exceptionally strong, featuring a wave of highly anticipated films, driving the fifth highest grossing month since 2019. Looking at the year as a whole, the total domestic box office for 2024 reached $8,600,000,000 driven by a robust second half. While the first half of 2024 was impacted by the residual effects of the 2023 industry strikes, the second half recovery underscored moviegoers' enduring passion for the cinema, culminating in the fourth quarter. Speaker 200:05:41Notably, approximately 80 additional movies were released that drew meaningful attendance on top of the planned slate, keeping theaters buzzing with a diverse range of content. Inside Out two was the highest grossing movie of 2024, marking the first time that an animated movie has been crowned the highest grossing film of the year since Finding Dory became the highest grossing movie of 2016. Additionally, Deadpool and Wolverine, the second highest grossing film of '24, had the sixth biggest domestic opening of all time among any film and broke the record for the highest grossing R rated film domestically. The strength of our core audience, which is predominantly made of Gen Z and millennials, continues to be a key driver of our success. These groups accounted for 69% of our total viewership in the fourth quarter, cumulatively reaching over 43,000,000 moviegoers. Speaker 200:06:43Gen Z in particular represents 38% of our audience maintaining a strong 6.6 weekly rating throughout the quarter. Our reach with this young highly sought after audience compares favorably to sports programming. For example, the recent Super Bowl drew an audience with a median age of 48 with Gen Z comprising just 12% of viewers. Meanwhile, NCM's audience has a median age of 30 and among the coveted eighteen to thirty four year old demographic, 57,000,000 individuals attended NCM theaters, averaging a 6.1 weekly rating in the fourth quarter. This demographic remains critical for advertisers and we're proud to have captured such a significant share of their attention. Speaker 200:07:34In fact, seven of the top 10 event programs among eighteen to thirty four year olds in 2024 were theatrical releases within the NCM network. The other three were NFL football games. As we've discussed in prior quarters, we see a continued shift in how advertisers allocate their spending. Increasingly, brands are moving away from saturated streaming and video platforms and turning to cinema, which offers broader reach and greater engagement. Advertisers realize that platforms like NCM deliver a unique and powerful opportunity to connect with audiences. Speaker 200:08:14In the fourth quarter, we welcomed 25 new advertisers who launched major cinema campaigns for the first time since the pandemic. These brands are drawn to NCM for our ability to deliver unmatched audience engagement tied to culturally relevant content and for our proven track record of driving measurable results, including in store traffic and online sales. Now on to our results. The fourth quarter marked the fifth consecutive quarter where our results surpassed our expectations reflecting our strategic focus on advertising growth as the box office continues its momentum. For the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, NCM reported revenue of $86,300,000 which slightly exceeded our revenue guide of $82,000,000 to $86,000,000 Adjusted OIBDA was $35,000,000 well surpassing our guidance range of $28,000,000 to $30,000,000 Approximately 51% of the fourth quarter's national on screen revenue was attributed to the scatter market as advertisers continued to demonstrate interest in closer to campaign real time solutions. Speaker 200:09:29During the fourth quarter, NCM partnered with 84 unique advertisers with retail emerging as the top advertising category for the quarter. We also saw significant growth from wireless and insurance advertisers as well as strong performance in the travel and leisure sectors. Our fourth quarter attendance of 101,000,000 attendees was buoyed by new titles in the movie slate led by Wicked Part one, Moana two and The Wild Robot. For the full year, NCM results were approximately in line with the domestic box office. Specifically, NCM reported full year 2024 revenue of $240,800,000 compared to $259,800,000 in 2023 and adjusted OIBDA of $45,700,000 compared to $52,700,000 Despite the industry wide headwinds in the first half of the year, our total 24 attendance was $390,700,000 primarily driven by the open performance of key titles including Inside Out two, Wicked Part one and Deadpool and Wolverine. Speaker 200:10:42Our platinum advertising product continues to be a key growth driver for NCM. Sales have increased significantly for this top tier inventory with revenue more than doubling year over year. This growth was driven primarily by strength across the government, wireless, entertainment and dining categories. Fourth quarter platinum revenue was up 28% over the prior year period and we're encouraged by continued demand through this premium offering by category leading advertisers. Additionally, our standard attention ratings enable brands to push the boundaries of traditional advertising. Speaker 200:11:25NCM brought Xfinity's campaign for Universal's Wicked Part one to life in the first ever U. S. 4DX ad running via Platinum, combining dynamic on screen visuals with synchronized movie seats and hyper realistic environmental effects. We ran another unique campaign with U. S. Speaker 200:11:46Cellular, who was looking for an out of the box opportunity to help increase local awareness and sales. NCM set up U. S. Cellular branded activation in select theaters, connecting the brand with current and prospective customers on a one on one basis. These campaigns highlight how advertisers can creatively engage NCM's audience through immersive and experiential solutions. Speaker 200:12:12Our industry leading data intelligence platform, NCMX, is playing an increasing role in our success. We continue to leverage NCMX to create measurable impact and value for our advertising partners, offering strategic audience insights, performance attribution, continued engagement and cross channel reach. In the fourth quarter, NCM successfully delivered on key performance indicators for major retail advertisers, driving thousands of incremental visits to brands featured on our screens. On average, these brands saw a 47% lift in retail foot traffic, thanks to the power of NCM moviegoers. Nearly half of our sales revenue is now supported by NCMX initiatives as advertisers continue to leverage these advanced measurement tools to optimize their campaigns and maximize ROI. Speaker 200:13:12As we look to 2025 as a whole, we're encouraged by the continuation of the momentum we saw in the fourth quarter, both within our business and across the cinema industry. This said, we expect some near term variability in the first half of twenty twenty five. For the first quarter, we're expecting softer performance compared with the prior year, driven by a weaker slate and consequently a slight decline in attendance year over year. While the advertising market is seasonally slower in the fourth quarter, we are also seeing headwinds from reductions in government spending and ongoing tariff uncertainty, leading advertisers in certain categories to delay spending to later in the year. Bonnie will provide further detail on these factors. Speaker 200:13:59Despite these near term headwinds, we are encouraged by the strong sales pacing we're already seeing for the second quarter, signaling positive momentum for the remainder of the year. Our focus remains on innovation and growth as we continue to invest in our client solutions, including programmatic and self serve, which we expect to continue to grow in revenue in the coming years. With that, I will turn the call over to Ronnie to provide you with more details on our operating results and future outlook. Thank you, Tom, and good afternoon, everyone. As Tom noted, the fourth quarter marks the fifth consecutive quarter where the company's results surpassed our expectations with both revenue and adjusted OIBDA exceeding our guidance. Speaker 200:14:48Despite a challenging advertising climate due to an unfavorable mix of harder to monetize G and PG rated movies and an anticipated additions to the film slate, we continue to demonstrate strong execution Centimeters LLC total revenue for the fourth quarter was $86,300,000 which exceeded our revenue guidance of $82,000,000 to $86,000,000 and is compared to the prior year's revenue of $90,900,000 National advertising revenue decreased to Local and regional advertising revenue was Local and regional advertising revenue was $13,500,000 compared to $16,200,000 in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three, largely driven by reduced contract sizes across regional and local businesses. Total revenue for the quarter decreased 5% year over year, primarily due to the dynamics we explained when we provided guidance last quarter. The unusually high mix of harder to monetize G and PG rated movies was especially impactful in December, when advertising demand is typically the highest. Additionally, the prior year success of Taylor Swift's The Era tour concert film in October 2023 presented a challenging year over year comparison in the window between Thanksgiving and Christmas, a period that is particularly popular for advertisers, was one of the shortest we've seen. The shortened holiday season coupled with the election, which caused advertisers to delay ad spend positions ultimately impacted our top line. Speaker 200:17:07Importantly, we see these trends as temporary with audience mix expected to normalize and a strong film slate expected in 2025. Additionally, we are pleased with our revenue performance this quarter, especially given the sluggish start to the quarter due to the box office's underperformance in October. In particular, our team continued to expand our scatter participation, which increased to 45% of the mix versus the same quarter last year of 29%, mitigating the soft upfront market. Turning to our expenses. Fourth quarter operating expenses were $66,300,000 compared to $70,400,000 in the prior year, primarily driven by one time expenses related to our Chapter eleven restructuring. Speaker 200:18:04Additionally, increased attendance in the fourth quarter resulted in higher exhibitor fees, which were fully offset by lower personnel and overhead expenses from cost savings initiatives. Excluding one time items, depreciation, amortization and non cash share based compensation, our adjusted operating expenses for the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four were $51,300,000 which was in line with the same period last year. Fourth quarter adjusted OIBDA excluding non cash charges and one time items was $35,000,000 compared to $39,800,000 in the prior year. The variation in year over year results was primarily driven by the unfavorable impact from harder to monetize G and PG rated movies in the absence of Taylor Swift's concert film from last year, as previously mentioned. That said, our adjusted OIBDA result well exceeded our guidance range of $28,000,000 to $30,000,000 The outperformance was driven by lower than expected theater access fees in our successful cost savings initiatives. Speaker 200:19:27Total free cash flow for the quarter as defined by cash flow from operations less capital expenditures was $28,100,000 which represented an adjusted OIBDA to free cash flow conversion rate of 80%. Turning to the full year. In 2024, NCM LLC generated $240,800,000 in total revenue compared to $259,800,000 in 2023. These results were largely driven by lower attendance during year, which ultimately resulted in higher revenue per attendee, up 4% versus the prior year. National advertising revenue was $188,000,000 for the year compared to $198,100,000 in 2023, driven primarily by a weaker movie slate in the first half of twenty twenty four due to the writer and actor strikes in the second half of twenty twenty three. Speaker 200:20:39Local and regional advertising was 39,100,000 in 2024 compared to $51,100,000 in 2023, driven by decrease in contract activity from small businesses, which adopted a more cautious approach to advertising stemming from rising costs. Including beverage revenue, total advertising revenue was 227,100,000 which was down 6% compared to the same period the previous year, while attendance declined 11% year over year. Beverage revenue derived from the ESA parties beverage agreement decreased from $18,600,000 in the prior year to $1,313,700,000.0 dollars The decrease was due to the termination of the RIGO ESA in July of twenty twenty three and the coinciding discontinuation of their beverage revenue combined with a decrease in the remaining ESA parties' attendance. Turning to our expenses. For full year 2024, operating expenses were $260,300,000 down from $440,700,000 in the prior year, driven by the absence of one time expenses related to our Chapter eleven restructuring. Speaker 200:22:09Including one time items depreciation, amortization and non cash share based compensation, our adjusted operating expenses for 2024 were $195,100,000 down 6% year over year from $207,100,000 The reduction in adjusted operating expenses was primarily due to a decrease in exhibitor fees attributable to an 11% decrease in network attendance coupled with decreases in SG and A expenses. Full year 2024 adjusted OIBDA excluding non cash charges and one time items was $45,700,000 compared to $52,700,000 in 2023, driven by the attendance loss and partially mitigated by strong scatter market performance and lower operating costs. Additionally, total free cash flow for the year of $54,500,000 significantly outperformed full year 2023 levels of negative $48,800,000 due to the absence of restructuring expenses. Turning to our consolidated balance sheet. At the end of the fourth quarter, the company had $78,200,000 of cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable securities and total debt of $10,000,000 which was flat year over year. Speaker 200:23:50Notably, on 01/24/2025, we closed on a new revolving facility with U. S. Bank. The revolving facility reduced the cost of debt by over 200 basis points and our annual interest expense by $1,000,000 Importantly, the facility is a cash flow based credit facility versus an asset based facility, indicating the credit market's confidence in our business and our ability to generate consistent cash flows. Upon closing of the new facility with U. Speaker 200:24:32S. Bank, we repaid the entirety of our outstanding debt with CIT, meaning that as of today, we have no outstanding long term debt. To provide an update of our $100,000,000 share repurchase program, as of 12/26/2024, we have repurchased 2,500,000.0 shares for $13,400,000 at an average share price of $5.28 as we continue to focus on returning value to our shareholders. While we plan to continue to opportunistically repurchase shares at prevailing market prices through April 2027. We are also focused on strategically investing capital in growing our advertising network through new innovations such as programmatic and self serve. Speaker 200:25:33Turning to our outlook. As we shared earlier, we are excited about the slate for 2025 and look forward to the continued box office momentum. While the first quarter slate is expected to be slightly softer than the same period last year, leading to a slight year over year decline in attendance, We see this as a temporary dynamic in what we expect to shape up to be a strong year overall. With this in mind, we expect first quarter revenue, which falls within a seasonally slower advertising period, to be between $34,000,000 and $36,000,000 This not only reflects the expected reduction in impressions, but also recent policy shift relating to federal government spending and tariffs that have, in certain cases, delayed advertising spend to subsequent quarters within the year. As a result, we expect adjusted OIBDA for the first quarter of twenty twenty five to be between negative $9,500,000 and negative $7,500,000 In addition to the revenue impacts already discussed, the guidance reflects planned investments in sales and operations coupled with one time expenses that were not incurred last year. Speaker 200:27:04That said, we do not see first quarter revenue and adjusted OIBDA being indicative of our full year results. Looking ahead, we are encouraged by the strength of our second quarter pipeline, which is currently pacing well ahead of last year. With an improving content lineup, growing advertising demand and the continued expansion of our client solutions, we are confident in our ability to drive strong results as the year progresses. With that said, I would like to provide some additional context on our expectations for 2025. As we continue to position MCM for long term success, we expect our annual SG and A expenses to increase by a high single digit percentage in 2025. Speaker 200:28:02This increase reflects a deliberate and strategic investment in key areas that we expect will drive sustained growth, primarily expanding our sales team, enhancing targeted marketing efforts and strengthening our operational infrastructure to support future revenue generation. Additionally, we plan to increase our annual capital expenditures by $2,000,000 to $3,000,000 which will mostly be one time with a majority of that related to delayed investments originally planned in 2024 and the remainder focused on upgrading our IT systems, sales technology and research tools. These investments are highly targeted to enhance efficiency, improve scalability and ensure we remain well positioned to capitalize on future opportunity. Importantly, we are making these investments with discipline and confidence, ensuring they generate meaningful value for both advertisers and our shareholders. Overall, we continue to expect 2025 to be another robust year for cinema. Speaker 200:29:25There are many films to be excited about as we look forward to 2025. Both sequels and original content such as Avatar, Fire and Ash, Wicked Part II, Snow White, Minecraft, The Impossible, Superman, The Fantastic Four First Steps, and How to Train Your Dragon. NCM holds a distinctive advantage with its strong connection to highly valuable audiences and we are confident that advertisers will continue to rely on NCM and the premium audiences we deliver as the box office gains momentum in 2025 and beyond. We will be providing more detail on what we expect for 2025 at our upcoming Investor Day in March. Operator, please open the line for questions. Operator00:30:28Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. And the first question will come from Patrick Scholl with Barrington Research. Please go ahead. Hi. Operator00:31:03Thanks for taking the questions. I was wondering if you could provide a little bit more detail on what you expect on how sort of temporary you expect you see these advertising headwinds as being specifically if you could talk a little bit about what you're seeing in the second half of the year, especially since that was kind of the stronger period for box office? Speaker 200:31:29Hey, Patrick, it's Tom. I think what I would say is that the pacing in the second quarter is very encouraging compared to last year. First quarter is always kind of an odd quarter to forecast. And I think some of the exogenous things out there like the tariffs and policy shifts affected some of the commitments. But as I look at Q2, which is an important quarter and typically significantly larger than Q1, I'm looking at the pacing for Q2, which looks very good compared to the prior year. Speaker 200:32:04I can't really get into the second half, yes, really at this point, but we're very encouraged by what's going on in Q2 right now. Operator00:32:14Okay. You had talked about some of the KPI based ad sales. I was just wondering how that has supported advertiser retention, realizing it's earlier in that process, but both advertiser retention and efforts to increase the client base? Speaker 200:32:35What I can say in general is within our NCMX team that supports a lot of the outcome based advertising commitments. Basically half of our business is supported through NCMX, whether it's through a KPI or some other measurement. So it's pretty much a significant piece of what we're doing every day. So we're really encouraged by that and we've put a lot of money and effort into it. So we're really happy with the attention we're getting from our clients. Operator00:33:09Okay. And then I guess the last question I had, you talked about bringing back more of the advertisers that hadn't been spending since COVID. I was kind of curious what sort of share of like your national advertisers are maybe still on the sidelines on cinema Speaker 200:33:28advertising? What percent of them? What was the question again? I'm sorry. Operator00:33:33The number of advertisers you had pre pandemic, how many of them have yet to sort of return? Speaker 200:33:41I think we need to calculate that for you. I don't have that off the top of our head, but we can get it to you in short order. Operator00:33:52Okay. Thank you. Our next question will come from Mike Hickey with The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead. Speaker 300:34:05Hey, Tom, Ronnie, thanks for taking our questions here and congratulations on a better than expected Q4 and 2024, especially with the headwinds on attendance. I guess that segues, Tom, it looks like '25 and '26 film volume is going higher. Obviously, the expectation here is we should continue to see a strong recovery in attendance. But I guess the question is, what are your expectations for attendance growth in 2025, '20 '20 '6? Is that sort of in line with what the market is thinking? Speaker 300:34:39And is higher attendance sort of the primary driver of your revenue growth or do you see more of an opportunity today in better monetizing your existing ad inventory? Speaker 200:34:50I would say attendance is always the number one driver. And I think the quality of the attendance is probably the second driver in terms of the demographic mix. The more it's geared towards PT13, the more we can monetize it. But I think as I look at all of the forecast for '25 and '26, and they're actually relatively uniform across the whole base of forecasters, I'm feeling pretty much in sync with most of the big analysts and most of the big forecasters in terms of how '25 and particularly '26 looks. So I think truthfully, this is an important year for the industry. Speaker 200:35:31It's the first real year without a strike in post COVID. So we're anxious to see how the movies perform and how many releases come out this year and next year. But we have a very focused sales team talking about the year all the way out through the end of this year. And the response we've gotten from advertisers in looking at the slate and looking at all the data around it is encouraging. Speaker 300:36:00Yes, it makes sense. I mean, I guess, how is advertiser sentiment for your medium, Tom, sort of compared to prior year. Obviously, we knew there was some lack of product given the Hollywood strikes. I think there was boxes better than we thought. We thought it was going to be down 10%, did better than we thought. Speaker 300:36:19But obviously, we weren't expecting growth. We're expecting growth this year. So slate's improving. The demo you have is obviously very attractive, I would think, for media buyers. The attribution work you're doing is certainly something you never had before. Speaker 300:36:34It looks like you're getting good feedback on the product side, programmatic, self serve, obviously those are sort of industry standards and you're in the right direction there. So I guess how is sentiment today given all the improvements in the macro and in your business And when do you think that will sort of translate into higher media buys? Speaker 200:36:55I think the sentiment is really good right now. And when you think about all the negative sentiment we had to deal with for the past several years, even in the first half of last year, I think we're finally in a state where there shouldn't be any surprises from an industry point of view. So I think the advertising side of the story is actually looking really good. And for the first time, we can really communicate with them, looking at a schedule that's unencumbered by any of the crazy things that have impacted our industry. And I think we're really lined up nicely with all of the capabilities that we've built over the last couple of years, particularly on the data side. Speaker 200:37:35So we're really encouraged. Every now and again, you're going to have situations where a certain industry, in the case of government spending, creates a little bit of a hiccup on our forecasting, but I don't think anyone could have predicted that in Q1. But as we look to Q2 and beyond, we're really optimistic about how the industry is going to be performing against the box office. Speaker 300:38:01Is that higher advertiser sentiment, Tom, does that sort of put you in a better position this year in terms of driving maybe some growth in the upfront season? I know last year that was certainly not the case. Scatter was a larger factor. It seemed like that was more secular. But given all the improvement in the market in your business, do you think you have a better shot at driving higher upfront sales? Speaker 200:38:30I think we'll do as well proportionally in the upfronts given that our industry is doing really well compared to linear television and broadcast television. I think the question is how are people buying versus how they used to buy. I do think we'll have a better upfront than we had last year. But I think as you look at it, there's still an unusual mix between scatter and upfront where people are buying closer and closer to the actual broadcast date. But remember, but you're right, last year when we were doing the upfront, there was still some uncertainty in the theatrical business. Speaker 200:39:02We were still coming off the strike. So this next upward should be one probably the cleanest upfront we've had since 2019. Speaker 300:39:12Nice. I know premium obviously has been a very hot area of the box office. And I think you've been sort of trying to corner that market a little bit, Tom, through maybe IMAX and PLS. Just sort of what are you seeing in terms of advertiser demand to get on the premium screens? And how big of a factor can that be for you in 2025 as we see? Speaker 200:39:39Everybody wants to be on those premiums. Everyone wants to be on those premium screens, and that's always topic of discussion. And as that's married to our platinum inventory in particular, it's where the biggest advertisers want to go first. So whenever we're working either with a new advertiser or someone that's particularly interesting piece of creative, they're always focused on platinum and on these large screen formats. So I think as that trend continues, which it seems to be at all the major exhibitors in terms of their investment plans and their growth, that's only going to benefit us and help us from an advertiser interest point of view. Speaker 300:40:19Last question from us, Tom, on the moving away from national, looking at the local regional piece of your business, obviously pre pandemic it had pretty good scale and I think you've gone through here a restructuring process. Just what are you seeing I guess from your local and regional teams, the excitement there to sort of scale and grow the business in 2025 and 2026? Speaker 200:40:47So historically, local pre COVID was a really significant part of our business. During the COVID period and during even the recovery period, we as we cut back on cost, local I think was impacted pretty significantly given what a individual sales sort of kind of business that is. We've reinvested in our sales team locally and allocated more sources to them resources to them. So we're really optimistic that local is going to have a nice comeback in 2025 and 2026. Speaker 300:41:22Thank you guys. Good luck. Speaker 100:41:24You're welcome. Operator00:41:26This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Tom Linzinski for any closing remarks. Please go ahead, sir. Speaker 200:41:36Okay. Thank you for your questions, everyone, and your support of National CineMedia. With our unmatched scale, NCM has maintained its position as a top player in this premium video advertising space. This past year has proven that movies are thriving once again and MCM is consistently connected to advertisers with high value audiences, attracting both new and loyal brands to our platform every quarter. Further, we believe MCM is well positioned for the future with strong growth catalyst, a fortified balance sheet, positive cash flow and an opportunistic share repurchase program. Speaker 200:42:09As we look forward to 2025, we are energized by our momentum and eagerly anticipate the opportunities that await us in this year ahead. So as a final reminder, NCM will be hosting its twenty twenty five Investor Day in New York City, Thursday, March 13 at 03:00. Excited for you to hear more about our strategy, innovation and performance from myself, Brownie and other members of our talent management team. So finally, I want to thank our NCM team as always for their hard work and dedication and thank you to our shareholders for their support as well. See you at the movies. Operator00:42:47The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by Conference Call Audio Live Call not available Earnings Conference CallNational CineMedia Q4 202400:00 / 00:00Speed:1x1.25x1.5x2xRemove Ads Earnings DocumentsSlide DeckPress Release(8-K)Annual report(10-K) National CineMedia Earnings HeadlinesNational CineMedia Announces 2025 US Young Lions Competition WinnersApril 10, 2025 | businesswire.comNational CineMedia Announces 2025 US Young Lions Competition WinnersApril 10, 2025 | businesswire.comWhy Elon put $51 million into thisWhy Elon Musk Just Invested $51 Million Into Brand New “Miracle Metal” Developed by MIT ScientistsApril 16, 2025 | True Market Insiders (Ad)National CineMedia, Inc. (NASDAQ:NCMI) Receives Consensus Rating of "Moderate Buy" from BrokeragesApril 6, 2025 | americanbankingnews.comIs National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) the Best Advertising Stock to Buy Now?March 24, 2025 | insidermonkey.comInsider Sell: Ronnie Ng Sells 17,669 Shares of National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)March 22, 2025 | gurufocus.comSee More National CineMedia Headlines Get Earnings Announcements in your inboxWant to stay updated on the latest earnings announcements and upcoming reports for companies like National CineMedia? Sign up for Earnings360's daily newsletter to receive timely earnings updates on National CineMedia and other key companies, straight to your email. Email Address About National CineMediaNational CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI), through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically-placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company also sells online and mobile advertising through its Noovie Audience Accelerator product across a suite of Noovie digital properties, such as Name That Movie and Noovie Trivia app to reach entertainment audiences beyond the theater. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.View National CineMedia ProfileRead more More Earnings Resources from MarketBeat Earnings Tools Today's Earnings Tomorrow's Earnings Next Week's Earnings Upcoming Earnings Calls Earnings Newsletter Earnings Call Transcripts Earnings Beats & Misses Corporate Guidance Earnings Screener Earnings By Country U.S. Earnings Reports Canadian Earnings Reports U.K. Earnings Reports Latest Articles Tesla Stock Eyes Breakout With Earnings on DeckJohnson & Johnson Earnings Were More Good Than Bad—Time to Buy? 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There are 4 speakers on the call. Operator00:00:00Good day, and welcome to the National Synimedia Incorporated Fourth Quarter twenty twenty four Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen only mode. Please note this event is being recorded. Operator00:00:28I would now like to turn the conference over to Chan Park, Vice President of Finance. Please go ahead. Speaker 100:00:35Thank you, operator. Good afternoon. I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Tom Luczynski and our Chief Financial Officer, Ronnie Ing. I would like to remind our listeners that this conference call contains forward looking statements within the meaning of 27A, the Securities Act of 1933 as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended. All statements other than statements of historical facts communicated during this conference call may constitute forward looking statements. Speaker 100:01:09These forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. Important factors that can cause actual results to differ materially from the company's expectations are disclosed in the risk factors contained in the company's filings with the SEC. All forward looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by such factors. Further, our discussion today includes some non GAAP measures. In accordance with Regulation G, we have reconciled these amounts back to the closest GAAP basis measurement. Speaker 100:01:42These reconciliations can be found at the end of today's earnings release or on the Investor Relations page of our website at ncm.com. Today, we will be discussing NCM LLC's operating results as they relate to the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, which are largely similar to NCM Inc. Results. We're reporting NCM LLC's operating results to provide an accurate comparison to the fourth quarter and full year of 2023 when we also reported NCM LLC's results given fiscal year twenty twenty three results were unconsolidated. Now, I'll turn the call over to Tom. Speaker 200:02:23Thank you, Chan, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to our fourth quarter and full year twenty twenty four earnings call. Before we begin, I want to take a moment to address the devastating wildfires that have swept through Southern California. Our hearts go out to all those impacted by this tragedy, families who have lost their homes, communities facing unimaginable hardship and the brave first responders who risk their lives to protect others. For many of us, including myself, this isn't just a news story, it's personal. Speaker 200:02:55Southern California is my home and home to many of our employees, partners, friends, and loved ones. We stand in solidarity with everyone affected and we're committed to supporting recovery efforts in every way we can. While the fires have been contained, we know the road to recovery will be long. Our thoughts remain with those who are grieving, rebuilding and finding the strength to move forward. We are here with you today and for the journey ahead. Speaker 200:03:25Moving on to our earnings. We're excited to share the highlights of what has been another landmark year for an NCM and the cinema industry as a whole. This year's performance demonstrated the resilience of cinema advertising and the ongoing appeal of theatrical experiences for moviegoers. Let's dive into the details. The fourth quarter of twenty twenty four was a great success for the box office, exceeding most industry expectations. Speaker 200:03:55The total box office for the quarter generated approximately $2,400,000,000 marking a 26% increase year over year. This success was driven by a diverse slate of films from massive tentpole releases to breakout hits. Wicked, Part I generated $433,000,000 in the quarter and shattered records for a November release. Disney's Moana two followed closely behind with $4.00 4,000,000 and cemented itself as a key player in the studio's animated film library, appealing to audiences both young and old. Other highlights included Gladiator II, Sonic the Hedgehog III and Mufasa: The Lion King, which brought in nearly four fifty million dollars combined. Speaker 200:04:49Thanksgiving weekend twenty twenty four was an especially historic moment for the domestic box office. The industry brought in $420,000,000 over the Thanksgiving weekend, breaking the previous all time record of $315,000,000 set in 2018. December '20 '4 was also exceptionally strong, featuring a wave of highly anticipated films, driving the fifth highest grossing month since 2019. Looking at the year as a whole, the total domestic box office for 2024 reached $8,600,000,000 driven by a robust second half. While the first half of 2024 was impacted by the residual effects of the 2023 industry strikes, the second half recovery underscored moviegoers' enduring passion for the cinema, culminating in the fourth quarter. Speaker 200:05:41Notably, approximately 80 additional movies were released that drew meaningful attendance on top of the planned slate, keeping theaters buzzing with a diverse range of content. Inside Out two was the highest grossing movie of 2024, marking the first time that an animated movie has been crowned the highest grossing film of the year since Finding Dory became the highest grossing movie of 2016. Additionally, Deadpool and Wolverine, the second highest grossing film of '24, had the sixth biggest domestic opening of all time among any film and broke the record for the highest grossing R rated film domestically. The strength of our core audience, which is predominantly made of Gen Z and millennials, continues to be a key driver of our success. These groups accounted for 69% of our total viewership in the fourth quarter, cumulatively reaching over 43,000,000 moviegoers. Speaker 200:06:43Gen Z in particular represents 38% of our audience maintaining a strong 6.6 weekly rating throughout the quarter. Our reach with this young highly sought after audience compares favorably to sports programming. For example, the recent Super Bowl drew an audience with a median age of 48 with Gen Z comprising just 12% of viewers. Meanwhile, NCM's audience has a median age of 30 and among the coveted eighteen to thirty four year old demographic, 57,000,000 individuals attended NCM theaters, averaging a 6.1 weekly rating in the fourth quarter. This demographic remains critical for advertisers and we're proud to have captured such a significant share of their attention. Speaker 200:07:34In fact, seven of the top 10 event programs among eighteen to thirty four year olds in 2024 were theatrical releases within the NCM network. The other three were NFL football games. As we've discussed in prior quarters, we see a continued shift in how advertisers allocate their spending. Increasingly, brands are moving away from saturated streaming and video platforms and turning to cinema, which offers broader reach and greater engagement. Advertisers realize that platforms like NCM deliver a unique and powerful opportunity to connect with audiences. Speaker 200:08:14In the fourth quarter, we welcomed 25 new advertisers who launched major cinema campaigns for the first time since the pandemic. These brands are drawn to NCM for our ability to deliver unmatched audience engagement tied to culturally relevant content and for our proven track record of driving measurable results, including in store traffic and online sales. Now on to our results. The fourth quarter marked the fifth consecutive quarter where our results surpassed our expectations reflecting our strategic focus on advertising growth as the box office continues its momentum. For the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four, NCM reported revenue of $86,300,000 which slightly exceeded our revenue guide of $82,000,000 to $86,000,000 Adjusted OIBDA was $35,000,000 well surpassing our guidance range of $28,000,000 to $30,000,000 Approximately 51% of the fourth quarter's national on screen revenue was attributed to the scatter market as advertisers continued to demonstrate interest in closer to campaign real time solutions. Speaker 200:09:29During the fourth quarter, NCM partnered with 84 unique advertisers with retail emerging as the top advertising category for the quarter. We also saw significant growth from wireless and insurance advertisers as well as strong performance in the travel and leisure sectors. Our fourth quarter attendance of 101,000,000 attendees was buoyed by new titles in the movie slate led by Wicked Part one, Moana two and The Wild Robot. For the full year, NCM results were approximately in line with the domestic box office. Specifically, NCM reported full year 2024 revenue of $240,800,000 compared to $259,800,000 in 2023 and adjusted OIBDA of $45,700,000 compared to $52,700,000 Despite the industry wide headwinds in the first half of the year, our total 24 attendance was $390,700,000 primarily driven by the open performance of key titles including Inside Out two, Wicked Part one and Deadpool and Wolverine. Speaker 200:10:42Our platinum advertising product continues to be a key growth driver for NCM. Sales have increased significantly for this top tier inventory with revenue more than doubling year over year. This growth was driven primarily by strength across the government, wireless, entertainment and dining categories. Fourth quarter platinum revenue was up 28% over the prior year period and we're encouraged by continued demand through this premium offering by category leading advertisers. Additionally, our standard attention ratings enable brands to push the boundaries of traditional advertising. Speaker 200:11:25NCM brought Xfinity's campaign for Universal's Wicked Part one to life in the first ever U. S. 4DX ad running via Platinum, combining dynamic on screen visuals with synchronized movie seats and hyper realistic environmental effects. We ran another unique campaign with U. S. Speaker 200:11:46Cellular, who was looking for an out of the box opportunity to help increase local awareness and sales. NCM set up U. S. Cellular branded activation in select theaters, connecting the brand with current and prospective customers on a one on one basis. These campaigns highlight how advertisers can creatively engage NCM's audience through immersive and experiential solutions. Speaker 200:12:12Our industry leading data intelligence platform, NCMX, is playing an increasing role in our success. We continue to leverage NCMX to create measurable impact and value for our advertising partners, offering strategic audience insights, performance attribution, continued engagement and cross channel reach. In the fourth quarter, NCM successfully delivered on key performance indicators for major retail advertisers, driving thousands of incremental visits to brands featured on our screens. On average, these brands saw a 47% lift in retail foot traffic, thanks to the power of NCM moviegoers. Nearly half of our sales revenue is now supported by NCMX initiatives as advertisers continue to leverage these advanced measurement tools to optimize their campaigns and maximize ROI. Speaker 200:13:12As we look to 2025 as a whole, we're encouraged by the continuation of the momentum we saw in the fourth quarter, both within our business and across the cinema industry. This said, we expect some near term variability in the first half of twenty twenty five. For the first quarter, we're expecting softer performance compared with the prior year, driven by a weaker slate and consequently a slight decline in attendance year over year. While the advertising market is seasonally slower in the fourth quarter, we are also seeing headwinds from reductions in government spending and ongoing tariff uncertainty, leading advertisers in certain categories to delay spending to later in the year. Bonnie will provide further detail on these factors. Speaker 200:13:59Despite these near term headwinds, we are encouraged by the strong sales pacing we're already seeing for the second quarter, signaling positive momentum for the remainder of the year. Our focus remains on innovation and growth as we continue to invest in our client solutions, including programmatic and self serve, which we expect to continue to grow in revenue in the coming years. With that, I will turn the call over to Ronnie to provide you with more details on our operating results and future outlook. Thank you, Tom, and good afternoon, everyone. As Tom noted, the fourth quarter marks the fifth consecutive quarter where the company's results surpassed our expectations with both revenue and adjusted OIBDA exceeding our guidance. Speaker 200:14:48Despite a challenging advertising climate due to an unfavorable mix of harder to monetize G and PG rated movies and an anticipated additions to the film slate, we continue to demonstrate strong execution Centimeters LLC total revenue for the fourth quarter was $86,300,000 which exceeded our revenue guidance of $82,000,000 to $86,000,000 and is compared to the prior year's revenue of $90,900,000 National advertising revenue decreased to Local and regional advertising revenue was Local and regional advertising revenue was $13,500,000 compared to $16,200,000 in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty three, largely driven by reduced contract sizes across regional and local businesses. Total revenue for the quarter decreased 5% year over year, primarily due to the dynamics we explained when we provided guidance last quarter. The unusually high mix of harder to monetize G and PG rated movies was especially impactful in December, when advertising demand is typically the highest. Additionally, the prior year success of Taylor Swift's The Era tour concert film in October 2023 presented a challenging year over year comparison in the window between Thanksgiving and Christmas, a period that is particularly popular for advertisers, was one of the shortest we've seen. The shortened holiday season coupled with the election, which caused advertisers to delay ad spend positions ultimately impacted our top line. Speaker 200:17:07Importantly, we see these trends as temporary with audience mix expected to normalize and a strong film slate expected in 2025. Additionally, we are pleased with our revenue performance this quarter, especially given the sluggish start to the quarter due to the box office's underperformance in October. In particular, our team continued to expand our scatter participation, which increased to 45% of the mix versus the same quarter last year of 29%, mitigating the soft upfront market. Turning to our expenses. Fourth quarter operating expenses were $66,300,000 compared to $70,400,000 in the prior year, primarily driven by one time expenses related to our Chapter eleven restructuring. Speaker 200:18:04Additionally, increased attendance in the fourth quarter resulted in higher exhibitor fees, which were fully offset by lower personnel and overhead expenses from cost savings initiatives. Excluding one time items, depreciation, amortization and non cash share based compensation, our adjusted operating expenses for the fourth quarter of twenty twenty four were $51,300,000 which was in line with the same period last year. Fourth quarter adjusted OIBDA excluding non cash charges and one time items was $35,000,000 compared to $39,800,000 in the prior year. The variation in year over year results was primarily driven by the unfavorable impact from harder to monetize G and PG rated movies in the absence of Taylor Swift's concert film from last year, as previously mentioned. That said, our adjusted OIBDA result well exceeded our guidance range of $28,000,000 to $30,000,000 The outperformance was driven by lower than expected theater access fees in our successful cost savings initiatives. Speaker 200:19:27Total free cash flow for the quarter as defined by cash flow from operations less capital expenditures was $28,100,000 which represented an adjusted OIBDA to free cash flow conversion rate of 80%. Turning to the full year. In 2024, NCM LLC generated $240,800,000 in total revenue compared to $259,800,000 in 2023. These results were largely driven by lower attendance during year, which ultimately resulted in higher revenue per attendee, up 4% versus the prior year. National advertising revenue was $188,000,000 for the year compared to $198,100,000 in 2023, driven primarily by a weaker movie slate in the first half of twenty twenty four due to the writer and actor strikes in the second half of twenty twenty three. Speaker 200:20:39Local and regional advertising was 39,100,000 in 2024 compared to $51,100,000 in 2023, driven by decrease in contract activity from small businesses, which adopted a more cautious approach to advertising stemming from rising costs. Including beverage revenue, total advertising revenue was 227,100,000 which was down 6% compared to the same period the previous year, while attendance declined 11% year over year. Beverage revenue derived from the ESA parties beverage agreement decreased from $18,600,000 in the prior year to $1,313,700,000.0 dollars The decrease was due to the termination of the RIGO ESA in July of twenty twenty three and the coinciding discontinuation of their beverage revenue combined with a decrease in the remaining ESA parties' attendance. Turning to our expenses. For full year 2024, operating expenses were $260,300,000 down from $440,700,000 in the prior year, driven by the absence of one time expenses related to our Chapter eleven restructuring. Speaker 200:22:09Including one time items depreciation, amortization and non cash share based compensation, our adjusted operating expenses for 2024 were $195,100,000 down 6% year over year from $207,100,000 The reduction in adjusted operating expenses was primarily due to a decrease in exhibitor fees attributable to an 11% decrease in network attendance coupled with decreases in SG and A expenses. Full year 2024 adjusted OIBDA excluding non cash charges and one time items was $45,700,000 compared to $52,700,000 in 2023, driven by the attendance loss and partially mitigated by strong scatter market performance and lower operating costs. Additionally, total free cash flow for the year of $54,500,000 significantly outperformed full year 2023 levels of negative $48,800,000 due to the absence of restructuring expenses. Turning to our consolidated balance sheet. At the end of the fourth quarter, the company had $78,200,000 of cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and marketable securities and total debt of $10,000,000 which was flat year over year. Speaker 200:23:50Notably, on 01/24/2025, we closed on a new revolving facility with U. S. Bank. The revolving facility reduced the cost of debt by over 200 basis points and our annual interest expense by $1,000,000 Importantly, the facility is a cash flow based credit facility versus an asset based facility, indicating the credit market's confidence in our business and our ability to generate consistent cash flows. Upon closing of the new facility with U. Speaker 200:24:32S. Bank, we repaid the entirety of our outstanding debt with CIT, meaning that as of today, we have no outstanding long term debt. To provide an update of our $100,000,000 share repurchase program, as of 12/26/2024, we have repurchased 2,500,000.0 shares for $13,400,000 at an average share price of $5.28 as we continue to focus on returning value to our shareholders. While we plan to continue to opportunistically repurchase shares at prevailing market prices through April 2027. We are also focused on strategically investing capital in growing our advertising network through new innovations such as programmatic and self serve. Speaker 200:25:33Turning to our outlook. As we shared earlier, we are excited about the slate for 2025 and look forward to the continued box office momentum. While the first quarter slate is expected to be slightly softer than the same period last year, leading to a slight year over year decline in attendance, We see this as a temporary dynamic in what we expect to shape up to be a strong year overall. With this in mind, we expect first quarter revenue, which falls within a seasonally slower advertising period, to be between $34,000,000 and $36,000,000 This not only reflects the expected reduction in impressions, but also recent policy shift relating to federal government spending and tariffs that have, in certain cases, delayed advertising spend to subsequent quarters within the year. As a result, we expect adjusted OIBDA for the first quarter of twenty twenty five to be between negative $9,500,000 and negative $7,500,000 In addition to the revenue impacts already discussed, the guidance reflects planned investments in sales and operations coupled with one time expenses that were not incurred last year. Speaker 200:27:04That said, we do not see first quarter revenue and adjusted OIBDA being indicative of our full year results. Looking ahead, we are encouraged by the strength of our second quarter pipeline, which is currently pacing well ahead of last year. With an improving content lineup, growing advertising demand and the continued expansion of our client solutions, we are confident in our ability to drive strong results as the year progresses. With that said, I would like to provide some additional context on our expectations for 2025. As we continue to position MCM for long term success, we expect our annual SG and A expenses to increase by a high single digit percentage in 2025. Speaker 200:28:02This increase reflects a deliberate and strategic investment in key areas that we expect will drive sustained growth, primarily expanding our sales team, enhancing targeted marketing efforts and strengthening our operational infrastructure to support future revenue generation. Additionally, we plan to increase our annual capital expenditures by $2,000,000 to $3,000,000 which will mostly be one time with a majority of that related to delayed investments originally planned in 2024 and the remainder focused on upgrading our IT systems, sales technology and research tools. These investments are highly targeted to enhance efficiency, improve scalability and ensure we remain well positioned to capitalize on future opportunity. Importantly, we are making these investments with discipline and confidence, ensuring they generate meaningful value for both advertisers and our shareholders. Overall, we continue to expect 2025 to be another robust year for cinema. Speaker 200:29:25There are many films to be excited about as we look forward to 2025. Both sequels and original content such as Avatar, Fire and Ash, Wicked Part II, Snow White, Minecraft, The Impossible, Superman, The Fantastic Four First Steps, and How to Train Your Dragon. NCM holds a distinctive advantage with its strong connection to highly valuable audiences and we are confident that advertisers will continue to rely on NCM and the premium audiences we deliver as the box office gains momentum in 2025 and beyond. We will be providing more detail on what we expect for 2025 at our upcoming Investor Day in March. Operator, please open the line for questions. Operator00:30:28Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. And the first question will come from Patrick Scholl with Barrington Research. Please go ahead. Hi. Operator00:31:03Thanks for taking the questions. I was wondering if you could provide a little bit more detail on what you expect on how sort of temporary you expect you see these advertising headwinds as being specifically if you could talk a little bit about what you're seeing in the second half of the year, especially since that was kind of the stronger period for box office? Speaker 200:31:29Hey, Patrick, it's Tom. I think what I would say is that the pacing in the second quarter is very encouraging compared to last year. First quarter is always kind of an odd quarter to forecast. And I think some of the exogenous things out there like the tariffs and policy shifts affected some of the commitments. But as I look at Q2, which is an important quarter and typically significantly larger than Q1, I'm looking at the pacing for Q2, which looks very good compared to the prior year. Speaker 200:32:04I can't really get into the second half, yes, really at this point, but we're very encouraged by what's going on in Q2 right now. Operator00:32:14Okay. You had talked about some of the KPI based ad sales. I was just wondering how that has supported advertiser retention, realizing it's earlier in that process, but both advertiser retention and efforts to increase the client base? Speaker 200:32:35What I can say in general is within our NCMX team that supports a lot of the outcome based advertising commitments. Basically half of our business is supported through NCMX, whether it's through a KPI or some other measurement. So it's pretty much a significant piece of what we're doing every day. So we're really encouraged by that and we've put a lot of money and effort into it. So we're really happy with the attention we're getting from our clients. Operator00:33:09Okay. And then I guess the last question I had, you talked about bringing back more of the advertisers that hadn't been spending since COVID. I was kind of curious what sort of share of like your national advertisers are maybe still on the sidelines on cinema Speaker 200:33:28advertising? What percent of them? What was the question again? I'm sorry. Operator00:33:33The number of advertisers you had pre pandemic, how many of them have yet to sort of return? Speaker 200:33:41I think we need to calculate that for you. I don't have that off the top of our head, but we can get it to you in short order. Operator00:33:52Okay. Thank you. Our next question will come from Mike Hickey with The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead. Speaker 300:34:05Hey, Tom, Ronnie, thanks for taking our questions here and congratulations on a better than expected Q4 and 2024, especially with the headwinds on attendance. I guess that segues, Tom, it looks like '25 and '26 film volume is going higher. Obviously, the expectation here is we should continue to see a strong recovery in attendance. But I guess the question is, what are your expectations for attendance growth in 2025, '20 '20 '6? Is that sort of in line with what the market is thinking? Speaker 300:34:39And is higher attendance sort of the primary driver of your revenue growth or do you see more of an opportunity today in better monetizing your existing ad inventory? Speaker 200:34:50I would say attendance is always the number one driver. And I think the quality of the attendance is probably the second driver in terms of the demographic mix. The more it's geared towards PT13, the more we can monetize it. But I think as I look at all of the forecast for '25 and '26, and they're actually relatively uniform across the whole base of forecasters, I'm feeling pretty much in sync with most of the big analysts and most of the big forecasters in terms of how '25 and particularly '26 looks. So I think truthfully, this is an important year for the industry. Speaker 200:35:31It's the first real year without a strike in post COVID. So we're anxious to see how the movies perform and how many releases come out this year and next year. But we have a very focused sales team talking about the year all the way out through the end of this year. And the response we've gotten from advertisers in looking at the slate and looking at all the data around it is encouraging. Speaker 300:36:00Yes, it makes sense. I mean, I guess, how is advertiser sentiment for your medium, Tom, sort of compared to prior year. Obviously, we knew there was some lack of product given the Hollywood strikes. I think there was boxes better than we thought. We thought it was going to be down 10%, did better than we thought. Speaker 300:36:19But obviously, we weren't expecting growth. We're expecting growth this year. So slate's improving. The demo you have is obviously very attractive, I would think, for media buyers. The attribution work you're doing is certainly something you never had before. Speaker 300:36:34It looks like you're getting good feedback on the product side, programmatic, self serve, obviously those are sort of industry standards and you're in the right direction there. So I guess how is sentiment today given all the improvements in the macro and in your business And when do you think that will sort of translate into higher media buys? Speaker 200:36:55I think the sentiment is really good right now. And when you think about all the negative sentiment we had to deal with for the past several years, even in the first half of last year, I think we're finally in a state where there shouldn't be any surprises from an industry point of view. So I think the advertising side of the story is actually looking really good. And for the first time, we can really communicate with them, looking at a schedule that's unencumbered by any of the crazy things that have impacted our industry. And I think we're really lined up nicely with all of the capabilities that we've built over the last couple of years, particularly on the data side. Speaker 200:37:35So we're really encouraged. Every now and again, you're going to have situations where a certain industry, in the case of government spending, creates a little bit of a hiccup on our forecasting, but I don't think anyone could have predicted that in Q1. But as we look to Q2 and beyond, we're really optimistic about how the industry is going to be performing against the box office. Speaker 300:38:01Is that higher advertiser sentiment, Tom, does that sort of put you in a better position this year in terms of driving maybe some growth in the upfront season? I know last year that was certainly not the case. Scatter was a larger factor. It seemed like that was more secular. But given all the improvement in the market in your business, do you think you have a better shot at driving higher upfront sales? Speaker 200:38:30I think we'll do as well proportionally in the upfronts given that our industry is doing really well compared to linear television and broadcast television. I think the question is how are people buying versus how they used to buy. I do think we'll have a better upfront than we had last year. But I think as you look at it, there's still an unusual mix between scatter and upfront where people are buying closer and closer to the actual broadcast date. But remember, but you're right, last year when we were doing the upfront, there was still some uncertainty in the theatrical business. Speaker 200:39:02We were still coming off the strike. So this next upward should be one probably the cleanest upfront we've had since 2019. Speaker 300:39:12Nice. I know premium obviously has been a very hot area of the box office. And I think you've been sort of trying to corner that market a little bit, Tom, through maybe IMAX and PLS. Just sort of what are you seeing in terms of advertiser demand to get on the premium screens? And how big of a factor can that be for you in 2025 as we see? Speaker 200:39:39Everybody wants to be on those premiums. Everyone wants to be on those premium screens, and that's always topic of discussion. And as that's married to our platinum inventory in particular, it's where the biggest advertisers want to go first. So whenever we're working either with a new advertiser or someone that's particularly interesting piece of creative, they're always focused on platinum and on these large screen formats. So I think as that trend continues, which it seems to be at all the major exhibitors in terms of their investment plans and their growth, that's only going to benefit us and help us from an advertiser interest point of view. Speaker 300:40:19Last question from us, Tom, on the moving away from national, looking at the local regional piece of your business, obviously pre pandemic it had pretty good scale and I think you've gone through here a restructuring process. Just what are you seeing I guess from your local and regional teams, the excitement there to sort of scale and grow the business in 2025 and 2026? Speaker 200:40:47So historically, local pre COVID was a really significant part of our business. During the COVID period and during even the recovery period, we as we cut back on cost, local I think was impacted pretty significantly given what a individual sales sort of kind of business that is. We've reinvested in our sales team locally and allocated more sources to them resources to them. So we're really optimistic that local is going to have a nice comeback in 2025 and 2026. Speaker 300:41:22Thank you guys. Good luck. Speaker 100:41:24You're welcome. Operator00:41:26This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Tom Linzinski for any closing remarks. Please go ahead, sir. Speaker 200:41:36Okay. Thank you for your questions, everyone, and your support of National CineMedia. With our unmatched scale, NCM has maintained its position as a top player in this premium video advertising space. This past year has proven that movies are thriving once again and MCM is consistently connected to advertisers with high value audiences, attracting both new and loyal brands to our platform every quarter. Further, we believe MCM is well positioned for the future with strong growth catalyst, a fortified balance sheet, positive cash flow and an opportunistic share repurchase program. Speaker 200:42:09As we look forward to 2025, we are energized by our momentum and eagerly anticipate the opportunities that await us in this year ahead. So as a final reminder, NCM will be hosting its twenty twenty five Investor Day in New York City, Thursday, March 13 at 03:00. Excited for you to hear more about our strategy, innovation and performance from myself, Brownie and other members of our talent management team. So finally, I want to thank our NCM team as always for their hard work and dedication and thank you to our shareholders for their support as well. See you at the movies. Operator00:42:47The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.Read moreRemove AdsPowered by