Fastenal Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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Operator

Greetings and welcome to the Fastenal Q1 twenty twenty five Earnings Results Conference Call. At this time, participants are in a listen only mode.

Operator

A

Operator

question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It's now my pleasure to turn the call over to your host, Dre Schreiber of Fastenal. Please go ahead, Dre.

Dray Schreiber
Dray Schreiber
Financial Reporting and Regulatory Compliance Manager at Fastenal

Welcome to the Fastenal Company twenty twenty five first quarter earnings conference call. This call will be hosted by Dan Florness, our Chief Executive Officer Jeff Watts, our President and Chief Sales Officer and Holden Lewis, our Chief Financial Officer. The call will last for up to one hour and we'll start with a general overview of our quarterly results and operations, with the remainder of the time being open for questions and answers. Today's conference call is a proprietary Fastenal presentation and is being recorded by Fastenal. No recording, reproduction, transmission or distribution of today's call is permitted without Fastenal's consent.

Dray Schreiber
Dray Schreiber
Financial Reporting and Regulatory Compliance Manager at Fastenal

This call is being audio simulcast on the Internet via the Fastenal Investor Relations homepage, investor.fastenal.com. A replay of this webcast will be available on the website until 06/01/2025 at midnight Central Time. As a reminder, today's conference call may include statements regarding the company's future plans and prospects. These statements are based on our current expectations and we undertake no duty to update them. It is important to note that the company's actual results may differ materially from these anticipated.

Dray Schreiber
Dray Schreiber
Financial Reporting and Regulatory Compliance Manager at Fastenal

Factors that could cause actual results to differ from anticipated results are contained in the company's latest earnings release and periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and we encourage you to review those factors carefully. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Dan Florness.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining us for our Q1 earnings call. As you can see from the flipbook on Page three, Bob Kerlin, our founder passed away on February 10. He was 85 years of age. I just thought I'd open with a few thoughts on Bob, if you'd indulge me. So Bob was born in June of nineteen thirty nine in Winona, Minnesota.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

It's a town of about 25,000 people in Southeastern Minnesota on the banks of the western banks of the Mississippi River. His first memory as a child was the World War II victory parade going across the interstate bridge coming into Winona. In his obituary, it said Bob's Compass a true North Bob's Compass had a true North with a belief in people, free minds and free markets. And he indiscriminately respected others, seeing the best in everyone without desiring reciprocation himself. I had the good fortune.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

I knew Bob for just over thirty years. I met him in the second quarter of nineteen ninety four. And I had a number of across the country road trips. Bob preferred to travel by van and visit faster locations. And I remember my first trip with him, we left on a Sunday morning at about 07:00.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

We drove to Denver, visited some locations, met with some investors. We drove to Salt Lake City. We drove to Vegas. We drove to LA, San Francisco, Rock Springs, Wyoming and made our way back to Winona on Friday evening. In that, I learned how well read Bob was.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And one thing I observed over the years is there was not a day that Bob Kerlin did not read The Wall Street Journal from cover to cover. And thought it appropriate based on my travels with him that in his obituary, it said Bob's sense of humor was kindled from old Mad magazines, Bob and Ray comedy shows, which I might be older than most of the folks at Festival, I'm not sure what that is. Steve Martin and Bob Newhart, I do know the latter two and I do know the Mad Magazine reference. About sixty years ago, Bob convinced four friends to invest in a vending company selling nuts and bolts. The idea didn't work.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And he but he after calling on customers, understanding what they needed as far as helping their supply chain needs with fasteners, he went with Plan B. And that's the organization you know today and that the investing public first became aware of in 1987 when we went public. Forty years after our start in around 02/2007, '2 thousand and '8 timeframe, we revisited Bob's spending idea. Today, about 25% of our revenue goes through a vending machine. And we've added a lot of other technologies to that since.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And if you look at our broadly defined FMI or Fast Snow Managed Inventory, which is really point of use technologies that we've deployed, over 43% of our revenue today goes through some type of technology platform. And there's been a number of articles written on Bob over the years and recently. I remember the first one after a trip I'd done with Bob. He was regarded as frugal, the cheapest CEO in America. The fact that he shares hotel rooms with other Pastel employees when he travels.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

On all my trips with Bob, I shared hotel room. And he wore used suits and they painted somewhat of a character about Bob. But I think in many ways they missed the point. And so what our flipbook includes is an excerpt from a book Bob wrote in the late 1990s titled The Power of Fastenal People. And he talked about philosophy on leadership within the organization.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And he had 10 rules about leadership he had coined over the years. And I'm sharing that with our folks on the call today, whether that be shareholders, analysts, employees of Fastenal, others, in hopes that more of society can capture some of the ideas that Bob shared with us. I was very blessed to have met Bob, as I said, 30 ago. Like many others at Fastenal, he changed the course of my life. For me, the ones that stand out, particularly when I think of Bob is the first rule about challenge rather than control, treating everyone as your equal, see the unique humanness in all persons, let people learn and we've tweaked that a little bit to challenge people to learn and ask them to consider changing when they learn something new.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And then finally, remember how little you know. We have a lot of tenure within Fastenal. A lot of people choose to spend their start their career young with Fastenal and spend their career here. Whether you've been here five years or thirty years, you always have things to learn. And Bob carried that mantra through his entire life and he will be sorely missed.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Was personally blessed in that couple of weeks before he passed away, I had a nice visit with Bob and we served on the Board of another organization together and we had a nice conversation afterwards. And he is sorely missed in the organization and in the community at large. Thanks, Bob. Flipping to Page four, some thoughts on the quarter. From a quarterly perspective, our sales grew about 3.5%.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

We had one less day, so our daily growth grew about 5%. The marketplace we operate in is still sluggish. I deem what's happening in our growth as mostly self help, things that we're doing from an execution standpoint. And there's an element of comps in there too. But it's mostly self help.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And I make that comment when I look at the sequential patterns of our business, because that's about how we're executing new customer relationships we're creating and expansion of existing customer relationships that we're creating. We're executing at a very high level. And when I think of we made a lot of changes to two point five years ago within the organization. As we came through COVID, we had drifted apart a little bit. And we weren't as focused on a common goal as we should have been.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

As travel resumed, we saw signs of that and we made leadership changes in our sales side of the organization. And everybody has been in their roles now a couple of years and you're really seeing it gel and it's shining through in our numbers. The quarter is a little odd to look at if you think about it from a monthly perspective, but don't be misled by that either. January was a bit understated because of weather and March is a bit overstated because of the timing of Easter. I don't know if Holden will agree to my number here, but I estimate about 2%, two point five % of the growth in March It's a bit about Good Friday being in April.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And but regardless of that, even if you adjust for the weather in January and you adjust for the Easter timing in March, the sequential pattern is quite strong and it's strong in all of our geographies, which is really good to see. And again, I deem that to be about what Fastone is doing and engaging with the marketplace rather than what the marketplace is asking us to help with because of their business patterns because it's still sluggish. The as is typical of April, we held our customer expo. A few of us actually traveled back yesterday. The expo was on finished on Wednesday evening and flew back on Thursday morning.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

We had similar to what we witnessed in 2024, record attendance by customers at the event. It last year surprised us a bit because coming out of COVID, the first two years in 2022 and 2023 that we had to show, it was a very subdued event because a lot of organizations either weren't traveling yet or they were doing limited traveling. And it was so difficult to travel internationally that we weren't getting international folks. And so folks weren't coming from Canada or up from Mexico for the event. This year, I can tell you firsthand that we had a record number of attendees from our business unit in Mexico because I had the opportunity to speak to a large group that was gathered.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And it was exciting to see the types of questions they were asking about and the way they were approaching the relationship. The other thing, and I'll probably touch on this a couple of times through my commentary. It was a unique week because in talking to various groups, the one thing there wasn't a lot of discussion on was tariffs. That's not to say it didn't come up. But the way we address the conversation in every group I talked to, there was a few sessions we had where it was a Q and A and Bill Draskowski was the moderator.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

He led off with a question on tariffs and he pointed it at me each time. And what I really impressed upon our customers is the way a supply chain partner approaches any kind of chaos. I shared some stories about the lead up to COVID, the vetting of suppliers that we did for safety products before the world got weird and how that put us in a position to be a better supply chain partner. The tactical decisions we made to go out and buy inventory to get ahead of the onslaught of everybody else because of the strength of our balance sheet and our financial resources, a lot of that attributed to things we do, but really the foundation that Bob Kirtland laid many years ago in priorities in an organization and what you do with cash. But what I can tell you is we shared with them the tactics we're taking right now of, in some cases, fattening our balance sheet a little bit to it doesn't solve any issue other than it gives you time to have options.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Talked about products we're bringing directly into Canada and Mexico that we would have brought through The United States before because some of the new tariffs are not eligible for duty drawback. And while it might be more expensive to bring it directly into that market from a logistics perspective, it's a lot less expensive than a tariff that gets layered on top of maybe a tariff going into Canada or Mexico as well. So we're being very thoughtful about that because about 15% of our revenue is in Canada or Mexico. From the standpoint of The U. S.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And all markets, we talked a lot about how we've changed our sourcing patterns in the last five years on diversifying where we're sourcing from to provide a better supply chain, but we also talked about the fact that when we diversify our sourcing practices, we don't just play whack a mole and try to avoid a problem. We try to improve the supply chain in every step we take, And we try to be relevant to the new manufacturing partners we join with, regardless of where they're located. In that we're a top one, two, three, four, five customer with that manufacturer, Because if you're a significant customer to a manufacturer and they get tight on capacity or they need to expand their capacity, they're going to help their largest partners first when they're prioritizing their efforts. And the fact they know we have financial resources to match with dollars what our commitments are, we often get in line ahead of everybody else. And that serves our customers in the marketplace really well.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

We've added a bunch of customer site information to our disclosures this quarter, three years' worth of history. We had a recent Investor Day where we talked about it. We touched on it in our January earnings call to really give better visibility to some of the strategies we have deployed and are deploying to broaden the size of our market opportunity. When I think of stepping into this role a decade ago, one of the points I've made to the to our Board was coming from my old role, had the advantage of I'd studied the numbers of Fastenal for years and I'd had a lot of conversation with our regional leaders over the years. So I understood maybe better how they thought about things, where they discovered success.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

There was a few people for me that stood out that had been very successful in their business. When I think of our business in Minnesota and Wisconsin, I took a lot of stuff out of that playbook. When I think about our regional leaders, the two millers, Randy, who led our business down in Indianapolis and Casey who led our business down in what we referred to the Southeast Central at the time, which was Kentucky and Tennessee. Our team in Mexico, our team in international more broadly, Jeff Watts at the time, had a lot of discussions to really understand their tactics for growing because they had consistently discovered the success, maybe sometimes when others hadn't. Bob Hopper is another one on that list where I'd touch with and he covered our Florida market, incredible success.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And you learn and you ask people, how are you doing it? And what I shared with the Board is our most successful regions have a great key account program. If you put me in this role, I'm going to drive the business towards where they're discovering success, because I think it broadens the market for Fastenal, but we have to lower our cost structure to go after that kind of business. And I'm pleased to say we've done that. And you see the success that shines through in some of those customer site information statistics.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Finally, Page four, we inched up our dividend from $0.43 to $0.44 and it's a dumb reason. Yes, I'll give you a little historical perspective. In 02/2003, our sales total sales, we needed 10.5% growth to break $1,000,000,000 that year. We came in at 9.9 and we reported $995,000,000 in sales. That was cool, but $1,000,000,000 plus would have been neater.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

But we can't change our sales. We can influence it by our activities, but we can't change it, at least not legally. In 2018, our operating income came we needed 13.4% growth to break $1,000,000,000 that year. We only got 13,300,000,000.0 We came in at $999,200,000 of operating income. We can't change that one either.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Holden did get a dirty look from me, but we can't change that one. But we can change our dividend. So in the first quarter, we paid out $246,000,000 and I looked at Holden, I said, we bumped that up a penny. If our board goes along with it and we continue this dividend through the year, we'll break $1,000,000,000 in regular dividend for the first time. Dumb reason, sorry about that.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Flipping to Page five, FMI, we continue to execute at a high level there. Given the comment I just made about dividend, I'd feel a lot better if we had 130,000 devices, not 1,125,000, but I'm going to round it and say we have 130,000 devices deployed in 25 countries. Our device count grew 12.5%. When you look at our safety sales growth of almost 10% in March, that's about execution in FMI and our vending more generally, but FMI more broadly. Going down the page, digital footprint, 61% of total sales versus 59% and fifty four percent one and two years ago.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Our goal remains in October, '60 '6 percent to 68% of sales is going through digital footprint. And that's what we're working towards. And then again, the customer site data, success in our 10 ks plus sites. And what that means is, this is a customer, it's a building, it's a campus, where we provide more than $10,000 a month in product and services. A subset of that is what we call on-site like customer sites and that's where we do more than $50,000 a month with that customer.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

That group grew 7%. So that's about executing and engaging with customers at a high level. There's one category that you'll see that doesn't shine so strongly and that's our under five ks and it's really our under two ks, a subset of that. And if you're on our e commerce team right now or if you're in IT, if you're in supply chain, you're getting a lot of pressure and dirty looks from Dan right now because we need to get better at the e commerce side. We solved the problem with that group not by adding resources and sales teams to go after $500 and $800 a month customers.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

We want those customers. That marketplace has chosen to buy more in the online channels and that accelerated during COVID. We're not great at that piece of the business. We're great at a lot of things. That's not on the list, but we can be.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And the reason that matters is when you look at through some of the customer site data, I believe a great e commerce platform enhances our ability to be successful in all groups, because I believe there's probably a 20% lift and this is just this is the belief. This is not based on any data. I believe there's a there can be a 20% lift in every category if we have a great e commerce strategy, because there's random MRO spend we don't necessarily get even when we have a great relationship with that customer, because some department in that organization might find it easier to order somewhere else. We need to get better at that. I'll shut up now and flip it over to Holden.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

All right. Thanks, Dan, and good morning, everyone. Before digging into the results for what will be my final call, I did want to mention a few things. First to Dan, who nearly nine years ago, based on the response of many of the people on this call, took a chance on a relatively unorthodox hire. It's been an unbelievable experience working with a great leader, and I sure have enjoyed being your partner in this.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

To the entire Blue team, I know I got this opportunity in part because of my outsider's perspective, but at the same time, you all have challenged me to earn your trust and respect and you deserve that. I've tried to do that for nine years, but it wouldn't have been possible if not for your passion for learning, teaching and collaboration. That's the foundation of our culture. So I've surely enjoyed being your CFO and I couldn't ask for 24,000 better friends. And to our investors, you probably don't realize how often I've actually used your observations, perspectives and questions in my own work here.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

And for that, I thank you. I hope I've been able to provide a deep and differentiated view into our business. I could go on, but if I do, I suspect the musical start. So why don't I just jump into Slide six. Sales in the first quarter of twenty twenty five were up 3.4% with daily sales up 5%.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

That's our strongest daily sales rate since the second quarter of twenty twenty three. Feedback from regional leadership continues to reflect sluggish end market demand despite generally favorable outlooks. Customer tone did seem to shift from the steady improvement we've seen since the election to plateauing as trade policy created some caution. Notwithstanding this uncertainty, we did not discern any meaningful pre buying ahead of tariffs. In the absence of much external help, the improvement in our DSR reflects two other variables.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

First, even as the market has stabilized, our comparisons have gotten easier, particularly in the cyclical parts of our business. This factor helped produce our first quarter of growth for fasteners since the first quarter of twenty twenty three and acceleration in manufacturing end markets. Second, contributions from our strong contract signings over the past two years continues to build. We continue to experience a healthy pace and mix of signings in the first quarter of twenty twenty five and our count of national, regional and government contracts has grown at a double digit rate for twelve consecutive months. Now the monthly cadence during the quarter warrants some discussion.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

I feel like Dan covered much of that. So I agree with his numbers about the impact of Good Friday having fallen in March of last year. What I will say is the quarterly daily sales rate growth is a fair representation of our performance and we did see acceleration through the period. It was a solid self help driven result in a soft market, but even so as you interpret our results, please take stock of the discrete factors that affected each period. The pricing outlook also warrants some discussion.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Year to date significant tariffs have been applied to products from China as well as steel including derivative products like fasteners on a global basis. We continue our long term trend of diversifying our supply chain where possible, questioning the size and timing of our suppliers' pricing actions and we have added some inventory to our own balance sheet. That said, supply chains have gotten more expensive and a part of our response over time will be incremental pricing. We have been proactively engaging with our customers for several months and in April, we took our first actions, which we believe will contribute 3% to 4% of price in the second quarter of twenty twenty five, with the potential for that to double in the second half of twenty twenty five, depending on the pace and execution of our actions. We have taken no actions on the deferred portions of the reciprocal tariffs, but may need to should those ultimately go into force.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

We are encouraged by the easier comparisons, the improved sentiment and particularly our internal momentum. That said, we have limited visibility and share our customers' uncertainty over how current trade policy may impact demand over the course of 2025. However, Fastenal has historically been able to win market share during periods of disruption on the strength of our nimble sales force, our frugal and adaptive culture and the weight of the technologies and global supply chain resources we can apply to finding solutions to customer challenges. That is our expectation in the current environment. Now to Slide seven.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Operating margin in the first quarter of twenty twenty five was 20.1%, down 50 basis points year to year. We had one less selling day in the period versus the first quarter of twenty twenty four, which is worth roughly $31,500,000 in sales. Had the first quarters of twenty twenty four and 2025 had the same number of selling days, we would likely have leveraged SG and A and our operating margin would have been down a more measured 10 basis to 20 basis points. Gross margin in the first quarter of twenty twenty five was 45.1%, down 40 bps from the year ago period. Product and customer mix was the usual contributor.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

We also saw higher costs from third party freight providers and higher hub vehicle lease costs, both coming against relatively flat freight revenue. Price cost was neutral in the period. We anticipate easier gross margin comparisons in the latter half of the year, though our effectiveness managing price cost and the degree of macro improvement will influence this scenario. SG and A was 25% of sales in the first quarter of twenty twenty five, up from 24.9% from the year ago period. As described above, we believe we would have leveraged in the period had the current and year ago quarters had the same number of selling days.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

All major cost categories either leverage or deleverage very modestly with none standing out. We continue to manage cost effectively. Total SG and A expenses were up 3.6% year to year, consistent with what has been a stable 2% to 4% rate of increase over the last nine quarters. We continue to invest in key areas of our business to support growth, while managing other costs more tightly to reflect the sluggish business conditions. Putting it all together, we reported first quarter twenty twenty five EPS of $0.52 flat with the first quarter of twenty twenty four.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Now turning to Slide eight. We generated $262,000,000 in operating cash in the first quarter of twenty twenty five or 88% of net income. This is a lower conversion rate than we might typically achieve in the first quarter, reflecting our current investment working capital. Otherwise, we remain comfortable with the cash generation of our model and continue to carry a conservatively capitalized balance sheet with quarter end debt being 5.1% of total capital. Accounts receivable were up 5.4%, reflecting sales growth, relatively faster growth to larger customers that tend to carry longer terms and an uptick in quarter end deferred payments from our customers.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Inventories were up 11.9%. Not different than the preceding quarter, we have increased inventory as part of our effort to improve product availability in our in market locations and improve picking efficiencies in our hubs. We have added stock to support customer growth, including expected incremental growth in the warehousing space And we accelerated some inventory scheduled for future delivery in the current periods ahead of potential tariffs. Inventory growth may remain elevated in 2025 as we continue to navigate tariffs and as more inflation builds in inventory. Accounts payable were up 23.9%, reflecting the increase in inventories and the timing of payments associated with certain capital projects.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Net capital spending in the first quarter of twenty twenty five was $53,800,000 up from $48,300,000 in the first quarter of twenty twenty four. This increase is consistent with our expectations for the full year, where we anticipate capital spending in a range of $265,000,000 to $285,000,000 up from $214,000,000 in 2024. This increase is from higher FMI device spending in anticipation of higher signings, higher IT spend, which includes projects aimed at developing additional digital capabilities and distribution center outlays to reflect spending on our Utah and Atlanta hubs and automated picking additions across our hub network. With that operator, we'll turn it over to begin the Q and A.

Operator

Thank you. We'll now be conducting a question and answer session. Our first question is coming from David Manthey from Baird. Your line is now live.

David Manthey
Senior Research Analyst at Baird

Thank you. Good morning, and Holden, thanks for everything and best of luck.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Thank you. Good morning.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Good morning, David.

David Manthey
Senior Research Analyst at Baird

Good morning. So your customers may not be talking about tariffs, but that's all we talk about here on Wall Street. So I'll start there. If you could just, Dan, maybe talk about the 145%. I don't know how realistic that is, but if that type of tariff is actually implemented even for a short period of time, are your customer contracts set to absorb the timing and magnitude of that kind of increase?

David Manthey
Senior Research Analyst at Baird

Just any other thoughts you have around if that should transpire?

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Yes. So you're talking about specifically the China non steel tariff because for us the China steel is with all the recent noise is a total of 70%, but 45% of that is new. And but going to your question, do our contracts have the capability to adjust pricing?

David Manthey
Senior Research Analyst at Baird

Yes.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

The question you have to look at is, what optionality do you have as far as alternative sourcing?

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Because if we move steel based product out of China, there's the 25% Section two thirty two that's on steel and metal products essentially. But it changes quite dramatic because you don't have the other duties that have been put in place, both back in 2018 and earlier this year. So it becomes an optionality. And so most of our discussions with customers is frankly on optionality and things we're doing. And but our contracts do allow for that.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

You have to then you have to ask yourself what demand gets destroyed. But keep in mind, for most of our customers, every dollar they spend with us, they're probably spending $10 somewhere else, whether that be products if it's in an OEM setting products they're directly sourcing. So you have to look at it and say what businesses become not economical when you have that type of steel based tariffs. From a non steel where the actual total duty is 170% of which 145 is new with all the pieces that have been added in, Again, same fact pattern, but there are in many cases some optionality again for how you can direct the spend depending on the willingness of the customer and the availability of alternatives. The other wildcard and the piece that we have no control over is a lot of products that we source are branded products that are coming from suppliers in country that are having product manufactured with their name on it somewhere else in the planet.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And the question is what their ability is to change sourcing and to manage through it. But Dave, getting back to your question, yes, we do have the ability to raise prices.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Probably the only other thing I would probably add to that is, the ability includes not only the contract terms, but frankly, I think at the customer expo, a lot of the discussion was about visibility, clarity, certainty. And the fact that we have direct sourcing capabilities, gives us a degree of knowledge about what's happening, sort of in the source markets that a lot of our competitors frankly might be buying from master distributors may not have the same visibility. The pricing review tool that we developed in 2018 in response to that round of tariffs, provides a tremendous amount of granularity to our customers.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

And so when you're starting off and your opening conversation is very detailed about the whys and the whats and the wheres. You never say this is an easy conversation and the order of magnitude is somewhat something we haven't navigated before. But we start off in a much stronger position because of the capabilities we've created to communicate effectively.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Dave, you know where a lot of the conversations went with customers was actually to tactics that we're taking. We're very transparent with our customer of things we're doing and have done, because we've been modifying our sourcing teams quite dramatically over the last five years.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

If you go back to 2019, the year before COVID hit and right after the tariffs, if I look at other sourcing we have in Asia, for example, our teams outside of China are 10 times larger today, sourcing teams. Now that's working off a pretty small base than they were in 2019, because we wanted to move the way you move faster as you get closer to the manufacturer. A lot of discussions with customers, and know we're taking this question in a lot of tangents in our answer, but hopefully it's answering maybe some other questions that might be out there, sharing those tactics with our customers, because in some cases they're searching for answers too, because they have to solve the other $9 to spend for every dollar they have with Fastenal where they're sourcing directly. And in some cases, we might help them find some manufacturing capability. That's what a supply chain partner does.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And I believe we're poised to be more successful in this type of environment, just like we were in during COVID and the reemergence of the global economy after COVID, because we sourced in so many places and we know our customers on a first name basis locally and a lot of that sourcing is done locally too.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

And then perhaps the last piece of that, I would say talking to Bill Drazekowski, who heads up National Accounts, he said that where dialogue went at the show was much more about show me the math so I can understand what's happening and then don't shut me down. And that seemed to be the mindset of our partners and customers at the show around this.

David Manthey
Senior Research Analyst at Baird

That's very helpful. Usually the analyst asks four questions. This time I asked one and got four answers. So I'll pass it on. Thanks a lot guys.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Thanks, Dave.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Stephen Volkmann from Jefferies. Your line is now live.

Stephen Volkmann
Equity Analyst at Jefferies & Company Inc

Great. Good morning, everybody. Guess I'll ask the next one here. How do you I mean, the magnitude of these increases is pretty unprecedented. Do you try to sort of smooth this out for your customers?

Stephen Volkmann
Equity Analyst at Jefferies & Company Inc

Or does it just become very I hope we're still here.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Kevin, can you hear us?

Operator

You are. Yes, please proceed.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Okay.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

The question cut off there. That's why I was wondering. As Holden mentioned, we do so much direct sourcing because of our scale of operation. It gives us much more visibility to communicate with our customer and transparency. And we do have some buffers in that we have some inventory.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

So it allows you to step into things in a different way because we don't want to our goal here isn't to profit on the inventory on the shelf. Our goal profit because of tariffs, the inventory on the shelf. Let me rephrase that. Our goal is with that natural hedge, how can we use that to our customers' advantage as we manage through this? And it gives us time for some optionality on certain products.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

In some cases, that when the tariff situation is changing daily, in fact, this was every week starting February 10, Kevin Fitzgerald and our team that provide communication to the field and guidance to the field. We've been putting out an updated video. In fact, it was just a new one that came out this morning, because it's been a moving target. And even during the course of our conversations, numbers were moving around, because the week started and ended in two different places. There's no way to cushion 145% tariff.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

There's no math that you can make that work. The question is what optionality you have because on non steel product, if we source it out of Taiwan, the math changes from 145% of new tariff to 10%. And or if we source it in other places in Asia or other places around the world, then the number goes to 10%. But it might be 30% more expensive or more, depending on their ability to produce it and to produce it in a chaotic environment where there's a lot of change going on. And so but there is no silver bullet that will cause something where you have a tariff that was declared on Wednesday or Thursday, Wednesday, I guess it was, that's 145%.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

That's just math.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

We do try to align the timing of cost being hitting our COGS in terms of thinking about how we're going to affect pricing. When you talk about smoothing it, we to align with where the market is. The one thing I would point out though, I think everyone's aware that we have turns about 2.5 times. As it relates to this matter, once something actually hits The U.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

S. Shores, our turns are obviously much faster with all of our products, right. And so in the case of tariffs, when those go in, it's really only a couple of few months before the costing is beginning to catch up with the P and L. And so that's why when you think about the cadence of tariff conversations are really heavy in February and March and we took our first steps in April, even though we have a very long supply chain with 2.5 turns, that was because tariffs begin to hit much faster than generalized inflation. And so to Dan's point, we are timing this to pull margin in ahead of costing.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

It's just tariffs move through the P and L a little quicker.

Stephen Volkmann
Equity Analyst at Jefferies & Company Inc

Thank you, guys. I'll pass it on as well.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is coming from Ryan Cook from Wolfe Research. Your line is now live.

Ryan Cooke
VP - Equity Research at Wolfe Research, LLC

Good morning and thank you for taking my questions.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Good morning.

Ryan Cooke
VP - Equity Research at Wolfe Research, LLC

Maybe we could spend some time on SG and A. I know you called out some elevated freight expense again within that other category that was up double digits. Could you maybe just quantify that impact in the quarter and share how we should think about things trending for the rest of the year?

Ryan Cooke
VP - Equity Research at Wolfe Research, LLC

And I guess just more broadly, it does sound like you expect to be leveraging SG and A in the remaining quarters, given you would have been there without the loss of a selling day in 1Q. So just making sure, is that the correct way to be interpreting your outlook?

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Yes. On the freight, nature of the freight was different this quarter than it was last quarter. Last quarter, we had some expedited shipments that we paid for.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

So that's in cost of goods.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Right.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

You're talking freight and SG and A, you're talking more vehicles, more Got it.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Sorry. I was anticipating a different question. Yes. On SG and A, so we are cycling through our fleet of pickups and that pace has accelerated in the last, call it six, twelve months.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

And that's because one of the sort of afterglows of the pandemic was it took a while for the vehicle supply chain to catch up. And we had several years where we were probably not cycling as quickly as you normally would during which those things were inflating. And we'd be that is continuing to move through. I think as you get into the second and fourth quarter in particular, the comps do start getting somewhat easier. And so I do think you have that working in your favor on the SG and A.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

But to your broader point, look, I've always argued that when we grow at a mid single digit rate, we should be able to defend the margin. And I think this quarter, if we hadn't lost the day compared to last quarter or the year ago quarter, we would have grown it at 5% and that's where our DSR was at. And at that level, we were pretty close to sustaining our operating margin and would have leveraged SG and A. And so I think the answer to the question is it depends on what you think demand is going to do. If you think that we're going to grow, continue to grow at a mid or better than mid single digit rate, then I would expect that we should be able to leverage SG and A at that level, particularly with the way that we're managing our cost today.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

So but volume always has a say in that.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

The only thing I'll add to that is and I think it was Dave Manthey that coined this a number of years ago. We talked about the shock absorbers in our system and that is we use a meaningful amount of incentive compensation in our structure. And one of the messages I had for our leadership earlier this morning was, as we're moving into the second quarter here, we did a nice job of managing expenses. Our sales growth has picked up.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

We expect that to continue as we move into second and third quarter. And there will be some reloading of bonus numbers because you could read our proxy and you can see it was pretty ugly for a few of us. And that's not unique to the folks that are in proxy, that's throughout the organization. Folks saw a meaningful cut in their incentive comp in 2023 and 2024. And there will be some reloading of that.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

But that's predicated on the fact that our gross profit dollars and our pretax dollars are growing and driving that. And so optically, you'd see your operating expenses growing a little bit faster, the incentive comp within labor growing bit faster, but it's because the operating earnings are growing faster.

Ryan Cooke
VP - Equity Research at Wolfe Research, LLC

That makes sense.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

That's why I always talk about an incremental margin being that 20%, twenty five % range, because you do have that shock absorber effect, that works on both. We're seeing volumes expanding as well as when it's slower.

Ryan Cooke
VP - Equity Research at Wolfe Research, LLC

Great. Thanks, Dan and Holden. That's all very clear. And I guess if we could just spend a quick moment on the customer sites and thank you for the additional disclosures you've given there. I guess, maybe just how do you think about the disaggregation between manufacturing versus the non manufacturing locations?

Ryan Cooke
VP - Equity Research at Wolfe Research, LLC

Should we think of the pruning opportunity as maybe more substantial on the non manufacturing side, given those look to be a little bit heavier mix of this low spend customers or anything you'd share on just how you think about the two differences there and maybe if there's any significant margin differentials to think about?

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Well, I'm not sure there's a difference between manufacturing and non manufacturing as much as there's a difference between the services that are utilized. The reality is what we sell our supply chain solutions, using a high touch model and a lot of technology. And we need customers that have the scale to take advantage of that, and are willing to sort of pay for the savings and advantages that we can bring to them. Whether that's a customer in manufacturing, non manufacturing to some degree is somewhat agnostic to us. When you look at the bucket information and you look at what's happened to the total customer sites in that less than five ks group, the reason that's acting the way it's acting is in part because we've closed branches.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

That process is obviously stabilized, but part of the reason we've lost customers is because we closed branches. The other part is because a customer that does $500 a month with us doesn't use a lot of the tools that we can bring to bear for customer supply chains. Whereas a customer that spends 10 ks or more a month with us, typically are using multiple of our solutions, right? And so, when we think about manufacturing and non manufacturing, I don't think there's as much of a distinction there as much as there's a distinction between the size and the opportunity that exists with the customer in either of those spaces.

Ryan Cooke
VP - Equity Research at Wolfe Research, LLC

Great.

Ryan Cooke
VP - Equity Research at Wolfe Research, LLC

Thank you. Hand it over.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

One thing I'll add to that is on the non manufacturing, obviously, is a more cyclical customer base to a certain degree. The non manufacturing includes some customer segments that we've seen enjoyed success with that aren't manufacturers. And their businesses are involved in warehousing and distribution, typically sorting supporting e commerce models.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

They might be organizations that are involved in data centers. They might be organizations I've talked previously about some of the success we've enjoyed with Onsites going through the COVID period. For example, and I mentioned Bob Hopper earlier. I go down and visit Bob once a year. Usually doesn't let me come to Florida the winter, I have to come in the summer, but hotels are cheaper.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

But when I come down to visit, invariably, I'm going to a K-twelve school district where we have an on-site or I'm going to a boat manufacturer, one of the two. And so there's roughly six hundred four year state colleges, two year technical colleges, K-twelve school districts with more than 20,000 students in The United States alone. If you take that number to 10,000 plus students, that 600 goes to over 1,300. Prior to COVID, we had fewer than five Onsites with higher ed or K-twelve. Coming out of COVID, had grown 25.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Of that 600 number, I don't know this for a fact, but we're probably sitting there with about five percent of them right now. And those are those would be in that bucket. And that's where we found success because that group of customers found we were special during COVID because we can get them stuff other people couldn't get. And it opened up their eyes to the potential of some of the FMI devices, the resources we can bring to their supply chain. And I'm pleased to say in the last few years, we've had on-site customers that are in the final four of the basketball tournament and we're rooting them up.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And we had one this year as well. So but it's a case of that's one of the reasons to break that out. But that group is less cyclical given what they do. Whereas in the manufacturing, the only pieces that are less cyclical is where we have customers in manufacturing that are more in food production because people always eat. It might change what they eat, but they always eat.

Operator

Thank you. Next question today is coming from Tommy Moll from Stephens. Your line is now live.

Tommy Moll
Managing Director at Stephens Inc

Good morning and thank you for taking my questions.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Good morning.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Good morning.

Tommy Moll
Managing Director at Stephens Inc

I wanted to follow back follow-up on a comment. I think this was from you, Holden, just on the pricing actions that were taken in April. You quantified maybe three to four points year over year uplift in the second quarter that could potentially double in the second half, if I heard that correctly. The driver there just the staggered dates of implementation for these increases? And is that just tied to the pricing and costing alignment you referenced earlier?

Tommy Moll
Managing Director at Stephens Inc

Is there something else going on here?

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Staggered timing as well as just the timing it takes to sort of implement, have conversations. Our model starts with discussions with customers, right? It's not just sort of flipping a switch on a website. And so those conversations can take their own varying paces, particularly when 70% of your business in the contract realm.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

I can touch on a few things.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

That's heavily centered on fastener product because that 25% tariff that came in on steel based products. Once it was clarified, it was derivative products as well, which includes threaded fasteners because of the high steel content there. Little sarcasm, sorry. But part of that is having conversations with our customers and understanding what inventory we have to support them and some of the timings that can come into play. And so that creates some staggering effect, particularly on the OEM side of fasteners and that's about two thirds of our fastener sales.

Tommy Moll
Managing Director at Stephens Inc

Thank you both. And I wanted to follow-up with a question on gross margin. Holden, I believe it was last quarter, you said that there was a shot for flat in 2025, maybe slight decline. Any update on that outlook? It sounds like maybe not, just given some of the pricecost commentary and how you think you can defend margin percentage there.

Tommy Moll
Managing Director at Stephens Inc

But I

Tommy Moll
Managing Director at Stephens Inc

just wanted to ask if there's anything else you wanted to offer.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

No. Do want me to take that one?

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

What's that?

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Care if I take that one?

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

You can be my guest.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

I look forward to hearing what you have to say.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

This is a philosophical thing. And historically, we've defended gross profit percentage. And in fact, I had a conversation with a few of our directors yesterday on just this fact. And when if you look back to 2018 timeframe, we largely defended our gross margin percentage.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

It was a little chaotic because we didn't have the tools we have today. And the degradation that you did see in gross profit over time was the earlier mentioned hard frontal attack on growing our 50,000 plus customers and there was a mix shift that was going on both in customer mix and product mix. And those were competing with gross profit percentage. But we largely defended the percentage. And but we'd be very thoughtful about what it means for our customer.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And our bigger challenge to our customer right now is what optionality we can create in their business. Because depending gross profit percentage in an arena where you're talking 125, one hundred and 40, I mean, whatever hell number you throw out. There, you're really working with your customer to manage their supply chain and you're doing right by everybody. That includes employees, customers, suppliers, because we're pushing back on suppliers pretty darn hard too and our shareholders. And you're finding what the right mix is.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And you're also trying to figure out, is this a forever thing? Or is this something that's going to be announced on Wednesday and canceled on Friday? And what steps are you going to take? You're not going to stick your head in the sand and pretend it's not happening because that's naive that's foolish. But you're not going to jump out the window either.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

You're going to find someplace in between to make great supply chain decisions for your customers. And but our goal has always been to manage gross profit percentage through scenarios. Our goal our real goal long term is to grow relationships and find discover more customers that find the Fastenal supply chain model to be special. And then with existing customers once established to grow our footprint with them and be special for more things. And that's an incredibly trusting relationship.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And we're going to do right by all four constituencies I talked about. And all four are going to get pushed as we go through this suppliers, customers, shareholders and employees. And I think with that kind of mix, I think our shareholders do really well investing in fastener over time because we have our head in the right place. And we keep our eye on despite this quarter and beefing up our inventory to do a number of things strategically, we keep our eye pretty well on our cash flow operation too. And I see we're at five minutes on the hour.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

We can take one more if it's a quick question, but in case we run out of time, I do want to reciprocate and say to Holden, thanks for the last nine years. You brought a very unique insight to the FAST organization. I always used to get home and my wife would ask me, hey, how were the questions today and or some of the follow-up questions. I'd always share a handful of names who asked some folks that would add some really, really good questions. Holden is always on that list.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And so he will be missed at that time. But if there's one more question,

Operator

final question today is coming from Chris Snyder from Morgan Stanley. Your line is now live.

Christopher Snyder
Christopher Snyder
Executive Director at Morgan Stanley

Thank you. I appreciate you squeezing me in here. I just wanted to maybe ask you, Dan, about fastener supply chains. They're very heavily tied to Asia. When we look at other industrial categories, we did see more of a shift to Mexico over the last five years.

Christopher Snyder
Christopher Snyder
Executive Director at Morgan Stanley

That hasn't really happened in fasteners. So just are there contract manufacturers in Mexico that could kind of take on some of this production? If not, any views as to why? Because when we think about a fastener, the majority of the COGS are transportation and metal. So I would think that producing domestically even in The U.

Christopher Snyder
Christopher Snyder
Executive Director at Morgan Stanley

S. Could make sense for that category. So just wondering if you had any thoughts on that and then what that could mean for Fastenal if the supply chain is getting shorter?

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

So not a

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

really Yes.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

I don't have a great answer for you other than there are sources of product in North America. And we source product out of Canada. And but there are sources of product of fastener product in North America. We took a really hard look ourselves over a multiyear period of taking some of our working capital and redirecting that into fixed capital and saying, could we take some of the dollars we have on the balance sheet because we have a long supply chain and build our own capability.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

We did a lot of and The U. S. Has some things North America has some really key things going for it long term. And the most critical one that I can think of is, there's no place on the planet industrial place on the planet that has a more reliable long term source of stable cost energy than North America. Whether we choose to use it or not, that's a different question.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

But there is nobody with the capability industrialized area that has that capability. And so it does create a unique advantage. The problem is there's such scale in Asia with faster production, with steel production and by extension faster production. Such scale that's been created because automotive took faster manufacturing to Japan and South Korea post World War in the 50s and 60s, long before we even existed. And so there's such scale over there.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

Part of the issue you have in North America, and this comment includes Mexico, there isn't the same scale that's been developed as far as competitive fasteners. And obviously, this changes the math. And the real question is, does the marketplace, do the producers of fasteners believe the investment is justified because you hear on all the talking show, CNBC in the morning about certainty and all this kind of junk. There is no certainty in the world. There never has been.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

But if it's government mandated, that's a really weird thing for certainty, because if the economics work because there's a 50% tariff or a 25% tariff or a 75% tariff and that tariff can go away in a day as easy as it can be created in today. Are you going to make that investment in Mexico for scale manufacturing? You may or may not. My guess is you probably won't unless you have comfort that you can put $05,000,000,000 into a plant and that 25% piece will be there for the next fifteen years, twenty years. You're not going to do it if you think it could disappear in two.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

And that's the challenge. But we have not found scale manufacturing capabilities to satisfy our needs in North America.

Operator

Thank you. We reached the end of our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the floor back over for any further or closing comments.

Daniel Florness
Daniel Florness
CEO at Fastenal Company

I already slipped in my comment on Holden. And as always, thank you for participating in our call today. And in future quarters, between Jeff, Cheryl and Dan, we'll try to step into the void that Holden will create. So be patient with us. Thank you.

Holden Lewis
Holden Lewis
Senior EVP & CFO at Fastenal

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude today's teleconference and webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day. We thank you for your participation today.

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Executives
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Earnings Conference Call
Fastenal Q1 2025
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