SunOpta Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Key Takeaways

  • Positive Sentiment: SunOpta delivered 13% year-over-year revenue growth driven by 14% volume gains and achieved a 14% increase in adjusted EBITDA despite absorbing a $1.6 million tariff headwind.
  • Negative Sentiment: The company faced a 90 basis-point drag on adjusted gross margin in Q2 from the timing lag on tariff pass-through pricing and anticipates roughly a $2 million margin headwind in Q3, with recovery expected in Q4.
  • Positive Sentiment: SunOpta announced a $25 million investment in a new fruit snacks manufacturing line in Omak to increase capacity by about 25%, and the line is already oversubscribed.
  • Positive Sentiment: The company reaffirmed full-year guidance of 11–13% revenue growth to $805–$815 million and 12–16% adjusted EBITDA growth to C$99–103 million.
  • Neutral Sentiment: Net debt remained at $271 million with net leverage of 2.9×, and management is targeting a 2.5× ratio by year-end, supported by strong free cash flow generation.
AI Generated. May Contain Errors.
Earnings Conference Call
SunOpta Q2 2025
00:00 / 00:00

Transcript Sections

Skip to Participants
Operator

Greetings, and welcome to SunOpta's Second Quarter Fiscal twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the prepared remarks. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Reed Anderson with ICR. Thank you. You may begin.

Reed Anderson
Managing Director at ICR

Good afternoon and thank you for joining us on SunOpta's second quarter fiscal twenty twenty five earnings conference call. On the call today are Brian Cooker, Chief Executive Officer and Greg Gabba, Chief Financial Officer. By now, everyone should have access to the earnings press release that was issued earlier this afternoon and is available on the Investor Relations page of SunOpta's website at www.sunopta.com. This call is being webcast and its transcription will also be available on the company's website. Investor presentation referenced during this call and webcast is also posted to the company's Investor Relations website.

Reed Anderson
Managing Director at ICR

As a reminder, please note that the prepared remarks, which follow, contain forward looking statements and management may make additional forward looking statements in response to your questions. These statements do not guarantee future performance and therefore undue reliance should not be placed upon them. We refer you to all risk factors contained in Synapra's press release issued this afternoon, the company's annual report filed on Form 10 ks and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a more detailed discussion of the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projections and any forward looking statements. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly correct or update the forward looking statements made during the presentation to reflect future events or circumstances, except as may be required under applicable securities laws. Finally, we would like to remind listeners that the company may refer to certain non GAAP financial measures during this teleconference.

Reed Anderson
Managing Director at ICR

A reconciliation of these non GAAP financial measures was included with the company's press release issued earlier today. Also, please note in the prepared remarks that follow, unless otherwise stated, the company will be referring to the continuing operations portion of the business and all figures are in U. S. Dollars occasionally rounded to the nearest million. Now I'll turn the call over to Brian to begin. Brian?

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Good afternoon and thank you for joining us today. I'm excited to share our second quarter twenty twenty five financial results as well as the operational progress delivered during the quarter across multiple fronts. Slide three serves as an agenda for the scripted comments we will share today. In order, I will cover our second quarter twenty twenty five performance, accelerating investment in our fruit snacks business and our overall confidence in our outlook. Greg will then cover our 2Q financial results and our outlook in more detail.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Following our scripted comments, we'll take your questions. We are thrilled with our second quarter performance. Our business momentum continues to build, giving us significant confidence in the future. We are executing well and doing what we said we would do: growing revenue, growing adjusted EBITDA, improving gross margins and allocating capital with discipline to drive ROIC. Importantly, we are doing all of that on schedule.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Slide five provides a summary of the impressive numbers we achieved in the second quarter. We delivered year over year revenue growth of 13%, driven by 14% volume growth that was broad based across our portfolio. Our 14% year over year growth in adjusted EBITDA is especially impressive considering we incurred $1,600,000 of tariff headwinds on gross profit due to a timing lag of pass through pricing. We'll talk more about our management of tariff exposure shortly. Our Q2 results were achieved despite ongoing consumer and tariff uncertainty, demonstrating both the resilience of our business model and the strength of our execution.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

The key takeaway from Q2 is very similar to Q1. We did what we said we would do and we are advancing the objectives we outlined for 2025. While the second quarter was full of notable accomplishments, I want to highlight three that I am particularly proud of. First, our revenue growth engine delivered again. Fueled by the capacity we are creating each and every day in our production facilities, we continue delivering unit volume growth that is among the highest of all publicly traded companies in the food and beverage space.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Secondly, we successfully implemented pass through pricing on substantially all known tariff impacts in effect as of July 31. Every one of our customers accepted some form of tariff upcharge and we are billing them now. As the tariff landscape remains fluid, we will continue passing along tariff costs similarly to how we pass through raw material price changes. Importantly, our customers understand that these upcharges will remain in place until we've recovered any timing differences even in the event of reductions or elimination. Greg will cover tariffs in more detail in his section.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Finally, I'm confident in our ability to continue driving operational efficiency and gross margin improvements. Adjusted gross margin was 15.2% despite absorbing a 90 basis point impact due to the previously mentioned timing lag of tariff pass through pricing. After considering that 90 basis points impact, we are on pace with the sequential margin improvement we outlined last quarter. Let's dive deeper into a few factors propelling our operational success during the quarter. The diversity of our revenue streams across categories, customers and channels remains a fundamental strength.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

During the 2025, every product category, every go to market format and every channel grew year over year. In fact, each of our top 10 customers grew in the first six months of the year. In the second quarter, our foodservice category continued growing in mid single digits with oat performing best. The growth is driven by both menu assortment across customers and share gain in coffee chains. Our Club Channel business is thriving, up well over 25% as consumers seek quality products along with great value.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Frost continues to perform well across both retail and club channels, up well over 25%. In Better For You Fruit Snacks, we achieved our twentieth consecutive quarter of double digit growth. And Fruit Snacks now comprise 20% of our total revenue, roughly double the share it had five years ago. Margin expansion is a major focus for us and we made substantial progress on the initiatives we outlined last quarter. We continue to unlock additional capacity from our existing asset base.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Beverage and broth unit production increased 16% year over year, while fruit snack production rose 22%. When you look at our operational progress in the second quarter, we are approximately one third of the way to achieving our targeted 300 basis points of gross margin expansion in Q4 as compared to Q1. Turning to Better For You Fruit Snacks on slide six. The second quarter marked our twentieth consecutive quarter of double digit year over year increases in this category. Put plainly, this category continues to grow faster than our capacity can currently support.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

We are committed to serving growth through 2026 with our existing assets. Fortunately, the growth in demand in the better for you fruit snacks category has exceeded our expectations. We are pushing our equipment to the limit. Output increased 22% in 2Q twenty twenty five over the prior year. But the category and our customers will need more supply than we can offer.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

In response, we are announcing an investment in a new manufacturing line that will enable us to increase output by approximately 25. I'm even more pleased to announce that the new OMAC Washington based capacity is already oversubscribed. Greg will cover this investment in more detail in his section. As we look ahead on Slide seven, we remain very excited about our future. We are highly confident in our ability to execute and are enthused about our opportunities to create significant long term value.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Our new business pipeline has never been stronger and we are exceptionally well positioned to drive sustainable growth and profitability. All of the categories in which we participate continue to exhibit strong unit volume growth. The customers we serve continue to gain share and are generally outperforming their respective markets. Contrary to what you may see in tracked channel data, industry growth rates have accelerated from prior years in the shelf stable plant based beverage category. Based on industry data and our internal estimates, the growth rates remain in the high single digits and we expect this trend to continue.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

In closing, we're operating in an environment where consumers are increasingly focused on better for you products as well as value. And our portfolio is perfectly situated to capitalize on these trends. With our operational initiatives on track, strong momentum across our key growth platforms and clear line of sight to additional capacity expansion, we're well positioned to continue delivering strong results consistent with our growth algorithm. If you consider our revenue and volume growth rates, gross margin expansion target, adjusted EBITDA growth rate and improving ROIC, our results are clearly differentiated and among the top performers within the food and beverage space today.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Now, I'll turn the call over to Greg to highlight our key financial metrics, our 2025 outlook and discuss our tariff response plan and capital allocation priorities.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

Thank you, Brian, and good afternoon, everyone. We had another strong quarter. As shown on Slide nine, revenue of $191,000,000 was up 13% compared to last year, entirely driven by volume growth within our diverse portfolio. Gross profit increased by $7,200,000 or 34% to $28,400,000 compared to $21,200,000 in the prior year.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

Gross margin increased by two thirty basis points to 14.8% compared to 12.5%. Adjusted gross margin was 15.2% compared to 16% in the prior year. The 80 basis point decrease in adjusted gross margin is due to the timing lag on the pass through of incremental tariff costs, investments in labor and infrastructure made over the past two quarters to improve long term margins and incremental depreciation related to assets recently placed in service. These factors were partially offset by higher sales and production volumes for beverages, broths and fruit snacks driving improved plant utilization. Earnings from continuing operations increased 198% to $4,400,000 compared to a loss of $4,400,000 in the prior year period.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

Adjusted earnings from continuing operations was $4,400,000 or $04 earnings per diluted share compared to $2,200,000 or $02 earnings per diluted share in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA increased 14% to $22,700,000 compared to $20,000,000 in the prior year period. Turning to our balance sheet. At the end of the second quarter, net debt was $271,000,000 and net leverage was 2.9 times, flat to the first quarter and down from three times at the end of the fourth quarter. Cash provided by operating activities of continuing operations for the first two quarters was $17,800,000 compared to $2,000,000 in the first two quarters the prior year.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

Cash used in investing activities of continuing operations was $18,600,000 in the 2025 compared to $13,900,000 in the 2024. Now turning to our outlook on Slide 10. We are revising our outlook for the year to reflect the strong performance in Q2 and the impact of tariffs. The revised outlook includes an increase of approximately $8,000,000 in revenue and $10,000,000 in cost of goods sold in the second half of the year for expected tariff expense, related pass through pricing to our customers and the timing lag in the third quarter on implementing the pricing of the revised tariffs announced on August 1. Now we expect revenue in the range of $8.00 $5,000,000 to $815,000,000 growth of 11% to 13 versus 2024 compared to our prior guidance of 9% to 11%.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

From a profit perspective, we are reaffirming adjusted EBITDA of CAD99 million to CAD103 million, which represents growth of 12% to 16% as we expect operational improvements to offset the timing lag of the pass through of incremental tariff costs. From a pacing standpoint, we expect revenue and adjusted EBITDA to improve sequentially each quarter with a 47% Q3 and 53% Q4 split for revenue and 42% Q3 and 58% Q4 split for adjusted EBITDA. We also continue to expect interest expense of $24,000,000 to 26,000,000 capital expenditures on the cash flow statement of approximately $30,000,000 to $35,000,000 and free cash flow of $25,000,000 to $30,000,000 Please note essentially all of the free cash flow in 2025 is allocated for mandatory debt and notes payable repayments, which is reflected in our 2.5 times net leverage target that we continue to expect to achieve by the 2025. Our long term growth algorithm on Slide 11 is unchanged. We continue to target annual revenue growth of 8% to 10%, adjusted EBITDA growth of 13% to 17% and expect to deliver approximately the midpoint of these ranges in 2026.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

In addition, we expect ROIC of 16% to 18% by the 2026, gross margin of 18% to 19% for fiscal twenty twenty six and gross margin of approximately 20% for fiscal twenty twenty seven. Turning to Slide 12, as it relates to tariffs, while the situation remains fluid, as Brian mentioned, when we completed our pricing adjustments as of the July, 100% of the incremental tariff impact was covered at that time. While we expect a lag of a month or two related to the pass through of the revised tariffs announced on August 1, we anticipate recovery of substantially all additional costs. Finally, on Slide 13, our capital allocation priorities are unchanged. Our first priority continues to be delevering to 2.5 times by the 2025.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

Our second priority is investing in our business, primarily through CapEx expansion to meet the significant demand growth we are seeing from our categories and customers. And the third priority is returning excess capital to shareholders. As we were tracking slightly ahead of our plan of achieving our year end net leverage target of 2.5 times and not envisioning needing significant growth CapEx in 2025, we took advantage of excess cash of approximately 1,000,000 to return capital to shareholders by repurchasing 163,227 common shares in the second quarter. Additionally, as Brian mentioned, we are in a great position to announce next phase of our capacity for our fruit snacks operations. Our execution

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

Additionally, in the fruit snacks category has been outstanding, delivering twenty consecutive quarters of double digit growth and our customer demand continues to accelerate faster than we expected. With a total investment of approximately $25,000,000 primarily occurring within 2026, we will be able to increase our capacity by 25% and the new capacity is already oversubscribed. We anticipate that the new equipment will come online in late twenty twenty six and will be a key component to delivering our growth algorithm for 2027 and beyond. We remain committed to driving shareholder value and believe maximizing our cash generation and ROIC opportunities are the best way to deliver on this commitment over the long term. By maintaining reasonable debt levels, we ensure we are consistently in a strong position to fund our growth strategies with projects that deliver high rates of return on invested capital.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

We believe our capital allocation priorities will generate long term value. Before opening the call for questions, just a reminder that for competitive reasons, we do not provide detailed commentary regarding customer or SKU level activity. And with that, operator, please open the call for questions.

Operator

Your first question comes from the line of Andrew Strelzik with BMO. Please go ahead.

Andrew Strelzik
Andrew Strelzik
Restaurant Analyst at BMO Capital Markets

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. My first one is about the new fruit snacks plan. I was just curious for some more detail around that. I was curious if those are new customers, existing customers, a mix and how we should think about kind of the ramp of that once it opens.

Andrew Strelzik
Andrew Strelzik
Restaurant Analyst at BMO Capital Markets

And then kind of thinking about what that might mean for your capacity needs on the plant based side, Obviously, is going to open and facilitate growth in 2027. Should we assume that that means you are covered either into 2027 or beyond 2027 on plant based side from a capacity perspective?

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Andrew, thanks for the call. Appreciate it. Couple of things. Just for clarity, we're talking about adding a manufacturing line, not a plant. It's a manufacturing line going into an existing plant.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

We're really fortunate. We have tried as hard as we can to sweat these assets. I think I mentioned on the prepared comments, 22% growth in unit production output in our fruit snacks facilities in the 2025. That is astounding that we were able to do that. That being said, the category keeps growing faster than even we thought.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

So I think it's a mix of certainly our existing customers who are clamoring for more. There may be some new opportunities, but largely this line is oversubscribed with our existing customers. And it's a relatively reasonable investment at $25,000,000 We have a track record of very quickly turning that investment into unit growth in the last line expansion that we did. It's significantly accretive on a ROIC basis to our long term targets. And at the end of the day, the category demands it, our customers demand it.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

And frankly, I think we'd be foolish not to go ahead and pull the trigger. It is long life a long project life. So we've got to invest or at least pull the trigger now to get something in place towards the 2026. But certainly this goes into our 2027 algorithm. As you switch your question to aseptic, let me also say that again our goal, we believe we have enough capacity either today or that we can create between now and then to fuel our 2026 growth, our 2026 revenue growth.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

I think as we start thinking about 2027, we'll need to start thinking potentially about some growth CapEx. For clarity, we're talking about another line, another filler, something of that nature, No new greenfield plants, no new brownfield plants, but another manufacturing line to give us capacity. And I think the only thing that would change that is if the categories continue to grow faster than we think. Important to remember in all of this Andrew is with the fruit snack line that we're talking about any potential investment in the future, we haven't we don't have one on the aseptic side, but any potential investment in the future. We can do that and still maintain or stay within our leverage ratios as well as our return on invested capital guidelines. So I feel really good about where we are.

Andrew Strelzik
Andrew Strelzik
Restaurant Analyst at BMO Capital Markets

Okay. That's super helpful. And then I just wanted to ask about the adjusted gross margin progression in the back half of the year. You've talked about your initiatives gaining traction in the back half. It sounds like another 90 basis point headwind from the tariffs in the third quarter if I'm not mistaken.

Andrew Strelzik
Andrew Strelzik
Restaurant Analyst at BMO Capital Markets

And can you confirm that you'll fully restore the margins relative to the tariffs I guess in the fourth quarter? And is there anything else that we should be aware of in the back half of the year as we think about the gross margin progression? Thanks.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Yes. So again, let's walk through that. Certainly, had some timing delays in which are normal. I mean, remember all of our raw product pass through pricing, we've been doing this for years. And certainly in environments where some raw products are increasing, there's a time lag in the pass through pricing.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

When it's decreasing, there's also a timely lag in the pricing. If you look at our raw product pass through, over time it just kind of all evens out and we suspect that will happen with tariffs as well. But for the tariff impact in the second quarter, by the way, which we covered on the EBITDA line, I mean EBITDA kind of came through. So this could have been a great quarter, but for that impact. But for that impact, we would have been right on schedule.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

We're about a third of the one quarter through our three quarter plan and we're about 100 basis points of improvement but for that tariff. So I still see us creating capacity. I think we've made progress incrementally in yield both year over year as well as sequentially from the first quarter. Labor is always the hardest because we're talking about adjusting work processes, work protocols and work habits and we're doing that over seven plants and 28 shifts. So that's always the hardest, but it was also what we were counting on sort of in the smallest increment for the margin improvement.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

So at the end of the day, I would say we're exactly on track for where we would be or where we want to be in terms of margin enhancement. And if you look at at least what we know now on tariffs and Greg kind of gave you the guidelines of what we think revenue will increase in the back half as well as cost of goods sold. If you do the math, Greg, I think that ends up being a 30 ish, 35 ish basis point impact on margin. But overall adjusted EBITDA we can cover.

Andrew Strelzik
Andrew Strelzik
Restaurant Analyst at BMO Capital Markets

Great. Thank you very much.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Now Andrew, I would also say, I haven't been online in the last thirty minutes. So the tariff situation may have changed. But we're going to be thoughtful and open and transparent with our customers and they've been very supportive.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jim Salera with Stephens Inc. Please go ahead.

Jim Salera
Research Analyst at Stephens Inc

Brian, I wanted to talk about something you mentioned in your prepared remarks. Just understand that there's a disconnect between the syndicated data, but I think the strength in shelf stable plant based milk really is encouraging to continue to see. And I was hoping you might be able to give us some details around, are you seeing in terms of what's driving your growth continued share gains among your customers, I guess, in the category? Or are there incremental brands that are coming into the category and that's what's contributing those gains? And as new brands come to the category, they want to work with you given your leadership position on the co man side?

Jim Salera
Research Analyst at Stephens Inc

Jenny, any thoughts about the dynamics there would be helpful.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Yes. So Jim, let's kind of talk just about the category that shelf stable plant based beverage category in total. First and foremost, track channel is really the only public metric or accessible metric that you have. And there is very little correlation between tracked channel and our unit volume growth. And as a matter of fact, I would say it's uncorrelated.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

But there's a couple of reasons why. One, it's a very small portion of the overall shelf stable category. It's less than 20% of the overall category. Foodservice and Club makes up a large percentage of that category and are growing significantly. In fact, just to give you a perspective of how small that track channel segment is subsegment of the category, we know one club channel customer whose shelf stable plant based sales are bigger or larger than the entire track channel sales volume.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

So I mean just to give you some perspective on that. We know foodservice is growing. I think foodservice is growing for a couple of different reasons. One, we see menu expansion, product assortment expansion with our products. Now some of most of them are products where our products are ingredients.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

So the finished good has an ingredients of our product, but we see that expansion. We also see expansion in limited time offers and promotional volume, which again incorporate our products and grow. I wouldn't dare say that there's also growth overall in the foodservice category. We see various chains who continue to put up significant year over year volume growth both in foot traffic and sales and we're growing with them. So when you look at the category in total foodservice is growing significantly, club channel is growing significantly.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

I think club we would all agree, we've seen private label and club grow because of the a lot of the consumer search for both value and quality. And so we see some growth in there. But ultimately that track channel barometer just is not correlated at all to our revenue growth. And we're gaining share, I think more importantly the category is growing. And I mentioned high single digits. We've actually seen it accelerate since the previous quarter.

Jim Salera
Research Analyst at Stephens Inc

Great. And then tying up the second part of my question. Looking at the growth that you see among your customers, is it that they're gaining share in these untracked channels and that's what's flowing through to the strong results that we see? Or is it that there's kind of new brands or new entrants into the category just given the overall category strengths in your winning, I guess, we would call like new accounts or new clients?

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Well, I think it's a little bit of both, but it's definitely more heavily weighted to our customers gaining share. Remember, our customers most of the time generally are outperforming the categories in which they operate by three to six seven hundred basis points. So Jim, by definition, they're gaining share. Now whether it's new customers for us or our existing customers gaining share, the important thing is we win. And when we provide a great solution for them, we win and that's how our volume unit our unit volume growth occurs and reoccurs basically.

Jim Salera
Research Analyst at Stephens Inc

Got it. I appreciate the detail. I'll hop back in the queue.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Hey, Jim, the only other thing to answer that question, I mean, we get so focused on plant based beverage. The other thing that I would tell you is we have a really diversified portfolio. Fruit snacks, we mentioned growing at double digits for twenty consecutive quarters. Broth growing more significantly than the category. We're growing more significant than the category.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Tea is a growing category. Even in our ready to drink protein shake category, we're growing. And I think that's a testament that also goes into when you look at our overall revenue figure.

Jim Salera
Research Analyst at Stephens Inc

Great. Appreciate that.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jon Andersen with William Blair. Please go ahead.

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

Hey, guys. Thanks for the questions. Can I come back to the I want to come back to the gross margin in the progression in the back half of the year? I think Greg mentioned that in 2Q, the tariff headwind was 90 basis points and that there would be some carry forward of that into 3Q. Can you just a little bit more detail around that?

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

What kind of a timing related headwind to gross margin you expect in the third quarter? And then given the pass through pricing, does that kind of completely overcome in the fourth quarter?

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

Yes. Sure, John. So we did have in Q2 a 90 basis points of tariff timing lag impacting through that pricing. That price and those tariffs have been fully passed through to customers now. No impact going forward.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

The impact that we will have in Q3 is for the new changes that just occurred here on August 1. And we anticipate that there'll be roughly a $2,000,000 impact to Q3. By the time we get to Q4, we should have those fully passed through. So that's reflected in our guide. We feel that for the year, we reaffirmed that we'll be able to make this up with operational efficiencies and we'll be able to still hit our plan for the year.

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

Great. And then on the pipeline, Brian, I think you said in the prepared comments it's never been stronger. I know that's something you kind of emphasized last quarter as well. Could you just give us a little bit more of a maybe a current update on the pipeline? When you say never stronger, how you're kind of defining that?

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

And as those things kind of move to commercialization, the things in the pipeline, does it tilt towards one of kind of your categories or go to market strategies or channels over the other? Thanks.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Yes, sure. So John, the way that I would look at that is we talked a lot last quarter about our pipeline reaching essentially almost 25% of our overall annual volume. We don't stop selling and we don't stop trying to create demand. And so what we've seen over the last quarter is more items have come into the top of that funnel. Certainly fruit snacks would be one of those.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

So our better for you fruit snacks, we've seen even more acceleration in the category, more need, more desire. It's growing faster than frankly we thought or estimated and it continues to do so. So certainly we've seen more volume come in for Fruit Snacks. That being said, as I mentioned, our view of the shelf stable plant based beverage category is an accelerating growth trajectory. So foodservice continues to grow, club channel continues to grow, Private label continues to grow.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

And that gives us a chance to enter more and more projects into the pipeline. So I don't know that I would necessarily want to get into the habit of saying today it's 25% or 24% or 26%. But the fact of the matter is the more items that go in the top of the funnel, the greater chance you have something significant coming out of the bottom of the funnel. It also ultimately leads into why we're really confident in our long term growth trajectory. As a matter of fact, when we talked about our long term growth algorithm being in the 8% to 10% range with the growth we're having in 2025 and what we can see in 2026 and 2027, I would think that's probably closer to 10% already with what we see.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

So again John, it's a lot of different things that are in the mix, certainly more heavily tilted towards existing customers. But there's a fairly robust pipeline of new customers and new opportunities that we're trying to push through the system.

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

Makes sense.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

So hopefully that helps.

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

Yes, that does. Thank you. I did want to ask also a couple more things. Broth is obviously, it's been performing very well for you. I think you mentioned plus growing over 25% in the quarter.

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

I guess you have kind of scarce aseptic resources, though, and I'm I'm I'm trying to think about how you balance, that capacity, aseptic capacity, when you're thinking about, you know, pursuing plant based milk versus protein shake versus broth business. Is it, any business is the same is kind of all treated equally? Or how do we think about that? And is that strength in broth, is that kind of a strategic part of the business for you going forward?

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

John, that's a great question and thanks a lot for asking it. You want to know how we balance the aseptic choices that we have to make with pipeline and growth and customer demand? It is with broth, in fact. It serves as a wonderful opportunity because you can pre build your broth season. It's very seasonal.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Most of the sales are going on between Halloween and New Year's Day. So it's very seasonal. But broth gives us the opportunity to really take advantage of ebbs and flows in the production environment. And so I love the fact that we have broth. We've been able to take advantage of some opportunities in the market.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

It gives us a chance to produce it when we want to produce it as opposed to necessarily when maybe we have to. And I'm really excited. I mean if you look at our broth pre build position now versus a year ago, we're probably closer to 75%, 80% of our broth business that's already built and sitting in inventory. So that gives me great confidence heading into the third and fourth quarter for our broth business. I think the one thing that I would say is although we wouldn't treat everything equal, there are certain advantages and opportunities broth during a certain part of the year or potentially plant based or potentially tea or protein shakes.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

I do think it is an opportunity for us to always look to optimize and we do that as a matter of regular course. The key for us expand the capacity, expand the gross margin, use that to fuel our unit volume growth. And then when the time is right be prudent and disciplined in growth capital and do that by making sure we use our leverage target and our return on invested capital target as guardrails for how we pace growth investment. So hopefully that helps as well.

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

Yes, very much. One quick one follow-up. Did you say again, I'm sorry if I missed it, the how much you expect to invest in the new line in OMAK to support this tremendous growth you've seen in better few fruit snacks and when that CapEx would likely be spent? And then kind of tied into that, the leverage ratio, it sounds like you're on great, great you're on track to hit kind of 2.5x. How do you think about capital as you enter 2026?

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

More debt pay down, more share repurchase, something else? Any thoughts on that would be great. Thanks.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

Sure, John. I'll take your first question first. The new CapEx for fruit snacks will be approximately $25,000,000 which will mainly hit in 2026 as we anticipate that line coming in coming online by the 2026 really for 2027 growth and beyond. Very high ROIC project accretive to where we currently are and very excited that we're oversubscribed in that project. When it comes to leverage, John, you're absolutely correct.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

We are on track and we feel we will hit our 2.5 leverage target by the end of this year. And that remains our top priority. Right after that and you see it with this growth capital expansion and with the high ROICs, that is where we're going to be investing going forward to support our 27 growth and beyond. But again, don't need that spend right now, John. That's more of a future item.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

But we're going to continue to invest wisely. Right? We do want to have a solid balance sheet, a solid leverage target and stay within the guardrails that we've publicly disclosed of having an ROIC target of 16% to 18% by the 2026 and going forward.

Jon Andersen
Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C

Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John Baumgartner with Mizuho Securities. Please go ahead.

John Baumgartner
MD - Equity Research at Mizuho Securities

Good afternoon. Thanks for the question.

Greg Gaba
Greg Gaba
CFO at SunOpta

You, Tom.

John Baumgartner
MD - Equity Research at Mizuho Securities

First off,

John Baumgartner
MD - Equity Research at Mizuho Securities

Brian, I wanted to ask about the new business pipeline and your bullish commentary there. Can you discuss a bit in terms of the sentiment from your partners, foodservice and retail? To what extent are you seeing any degree of heightened uncertainty in terms of launch timing given the volatility we're seeing from consumers in terms of traffic and spending? How are your customers approaching the macro environment?

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

John, great question. I think let me just remind everyone, our mission is to be a supply chain solutions provider. To do that and do that well for our customers, we meet with our top 15 customers weekly, but at the very least monthly. And what we're doing when we talk to them are we're talking about future sales outlooks, we're talking to them about their inventory position, we're talking to them about assortment, innovation, LTOs, promotion. And so we pull all that together to help inform us and that's really what informs our outlook on what we can see not what we hope.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

And so that's a critical part of the information we gather. I will tell you based upon that those discussions with our customers, that's why we think our pipeline is growing. Based upon those discussions with our customers, that's why we haven't seen a slowdown or an impact yet for some of the macroeconomic environments. And again, that's why we continue to be bullish about our long term category. I think there's our long term growth trajectory.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

I think there's also some structural tailwinds dietary, health and wellness, nutritional needs. These are not negotiable in a lot of consumers' lives. And I think that's a tailwind to our category. And so we love the fact that we can offer better for you value products that meet the customer wherever they shop, if that's from high end foodservice to QSR, if it's from discount mass merchant stores to natural or traditional retail stores, if it's a brand, if it's private label, we can meet the consumer where they shop.

John Baumgartner
MD - Equity Research at Mizuho Securities

Okay. Thanks for that. And then in terms of the supply chain, the aseptic, the Tetra Pak, that's been the standard in your categories for some time. But you look at some of these newer products out there in aluminum cans and plastic bottles, I'm curious to the extent to which you may also need to augment your existing capabilities with different packaging formats and maybe that helps inform how you build future capacity for new growth opportunities, maintain max flexibility to service your customers. How do you think about changing the packaging mix kind of pull versus push with your customer base in your categories?

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

John, I think we always evaluate packaging format. We are always evaluating packaging format. But when I look at our pipeline, at least on our aseptic pipeline, that's all in TETRA format. So I guess the message I would say back to you is we're always looking at it. We're always trying to evaluate it.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

We're always trying to help shepherd our customers and them us so that we're addressing the consumer need. But the fact of the matter is our pipeline our aseptic pipeline is an aseptic pipeline built on our TETRA capacity and I think we've got a lot of runway in the TETRA product.

John Baumgartner
MD - Equity Research at Mizuho Securities

Okay. Thanks, Brian.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Thank you, Jack.

Operator

That concludes our question and answer session. I will now turn the call back over to Brian Cooker for closing remarks.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Thank you very much. Thank you all for joining us today. We really appreciate your time, your interest, your questions. As usual, I'd really like to try to summarize these calls and make sure we have a couple of key takeaways. If you remember three things from this call, please remember these three.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

One, I'm really proud of the progress we've made as an organization. We had a really good quarter that could have been even better. So I'm really proud of the progress. At the beginning of the year, we laid out some pretty ambitious operationally focused growth plans. And our Q2 results demonstrate progress on increasing production capacity, on improving margin, on growing the top line, on building an operational foundation that's set for multiyear success.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

The short of all of that is we're on track. So takeaway, we're on track. Secondly, I'm really energized about our unique opportunity to provide Supply Chain Solutions in fast growing on trend categories. Let me repeat some comments from earlier in the call. We continue delivering unit volume growth that is among the highest of all publicly traded companies in the food and beverage space.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

We have line of sight to multiple years of growth via our solutions and our capabilities. And so that would be a point that I'd take away. And then third and finally, I'm really confident in our path forward. Our operational improvement plan is on track. Our new business pipeline has never been stronger.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Our categories are growing and in fact some are accelerating. And the channels and customers we serve continue to outperform within those categories. Furthermore, our consumers' preference for better for you value focused options are structural long term growth tailwinds. So please remember that as well. Before we end the call, I want to extend my gratitude and appreciation to all the SunOpta employees.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

Your passion and commitment have made SunOpta stronger and better and provide a trajectory for sustained success. I'm proud of what we've achieved so far, not satisfied, but proud. And I'm really excited to keep moving forward alongside each of you. So thanks for your support. That will end our call today.

Brian Kocher
Brian Kocher
CEO & Member of the Board at SunOpta

We appreciate your time. Look forward to updating you when we report next quarter as well. Thank you all.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

Executives
Analysts
    • Reed Anderson
      Managing Director at ICR
    • Andrew Strelzik
      Restaurant Analyst at BMO Capital Markets
    • Jim Salera
      Research Analyst at Stephens Inc
    • Jon Andersen
      Research Analyst - Consumer at William Blair & Company, L.L.C
    • John Baumgartner
      MD - Equity Research at Mizuho Securities