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Rio Tinto Group (RIO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Rio Tinto Group logo
$60.29 +0.21 (+0.36%)
Closing price 04/1/2025 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$60.04 -0.25 (-0.42%)
As of 09:17 AM Eastern
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Rio Tinto Group - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
3
Buy
7

Based on 10 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Buy." Out of the 10 analysts, 3 have given a hold rating, 4 have given a buy rating, and 3 have given a strong buy rating for RIO.

Consensus Price Target

$73.00
21.07% Upside
According to the 10 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Rio Tinto Group, the average price target is $73.00. The highest price target for RIO is $73.00, while the lowest price target for RIO is $73.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 21.07% from the current price of $60.29.
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RIO Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
4/2/24 to 4/2/25
1 Month Ago
3/3/24 to 3/3/25
3 Months Ago
1/3/24 to 1/2/25
1 Year Ago
4/3/23 to 4/2/24
Strong Buy
3 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
4 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
3 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
3 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
2 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$73.00$73.00N/A$72.00
Forecasted Upside21.07% Upside19.59% UpsideN/A10.62% Upside
Consensus Rating
Buy
Moderate Buy
Moderate Buy
Moderate Buy
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RIO Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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RIO Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Rio Tinto Group Stock vs. The Competition

TypeRio Tinto GroupBasic Materials CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
3.00
2.78
2.54
Consensus RatingBuyModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside21.07% Upside150.37% Upside19.03% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent RIO News
Neutral News
Positive News
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DateBrokerageAnalyst NameActionRatingPrice TargetUpside/Downside on Report DateDetails
3/27/2025DZ Bank
4 of 5 stars
R. Czerwensky
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UpgradeHold ➝ Strong-Buy
3/18/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
3 of 5 stars
 Initiated CoverageOverweight
2/28/2025Clarkson Capital
5 of 5 stars
R. Department
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
1/6/2025Jefferies Financial Group
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 Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$83.00 ➝ $73.00+24.57%
10/16/2024Macquarie
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 Reiterated RatingOutperform ➝ Neutral
10/2/2024Berenberg Bank
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R. Hatch
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UpgradeHold ➝ Buy
7/31/2024Royal Bank of Canada
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K. Peker
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UpgradeHold
7/23/2024Hsbc Global Res
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S. Modi
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UpgradeStrong-Buy
7/23/2024HSBC
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 UpgradeHold ➝ Buy
5/20/2024Citigroup
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 DowngradeBuy ➝ Neutral
3/5/2024Liberum Capital
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 Reiterated RatingBuy ➝ Hold
1/12/2024The Goldman Sachs Group
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 Initiated CoverageBuy
12/5/2023BNP Paribas
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 UpgradeNeutral ➝ Outperform
10/24/2023Barclays
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 UpgradeEqual Weight ➝ Overweight
10/5/2023UBS Group
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 UpgradeSell ➝ Neutral
6/28/2023Argus
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 Lower Target$80.00 ➝ $72.00+10.97%
6/5/2023Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
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 UpgradeHold ➝ Buy
5/26/2023Morgan Stanley
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 UpgradeEqual Weight ➝ Overweight
5/5/2023Sanford C. Bernstein
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 UpgradeMarket Perform ➝ Outperform

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 09:06 AM ET.


Should I Buy Rio Tinto Group Stock? RIO Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Saturday, March 29, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Rio Tinto Group pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Rio Tinto Group
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Rio Tinto Group:

  • Rio Tinto Group recently increased its semi-annual dividend to $2.23, up from $1.77, providing a strong yield of 7%, which can attract income-focused investors.
  • The company has a solid dividend payout ratio of 69.15%, indicating a sustainable approach to returning profits to shareholders while still retaining enough capital for growth.
  • Current stock price is $62.89, which is below its 12-month high of $74.24, suggesting potential for price appreciation as the market recovers.
  • Analysts have a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" with an average target price of $73.00, indicating positive sentiment and potential upside for investors.
  • Rio Tinto Group operates in multiple segments, including Iron Ore, Aluminium, and Copper, providing diversification and reducing reliance on any single commodity.

Rio Tinto Group
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Rio Tinto Group for these reasons:

  • Shares of Rio Tinto Group have recently experienced a decline of 1.5%, which may indicate short-term volatility and investor uncertainty.
  • Jefferies Financial Group recently lowered their price target from $83.00 to $73.00, which could signal a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term performance.
  • The company has a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, which may raise concerns about financial leverage and risk during economic downturns.
  • Market conditions for mining and mineral resources can be unpredictable, influenced by global demand and commodity prices, which may affect profitability.
  • Recent downgrades from analysts, including a shift from "strong-buy" to "buy," may reflect caution regarding the company's growth prospects.

RIO Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 10 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Rio Tinto Group is $73.00, with a high forecast of $73.00 and a low forecast of $73.00.

10 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Rio Tinto Group in the last year. There are currently 3 hold ratings, 4 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "buy" RIO shares.

According to analysts, Rio Tinto Group's stock has a predicted upside of 21.07% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Rio Tinto Group's stock had 2 upgrades by analysts.

Rio Tinto Group has been rated by research analysts at Clarkson Capital, DZ Bank, Jefferies Financial Group, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Rio Tinto Group more than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating for Rio Tinto Group is Buy while the average consensus rating for "basic materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how RIO compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:RIO) was last updated on 4/2/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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