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United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Forecast & Price Target

United Parcel Service logo
$104.24 -1.30 (-1.23%)
Closing price 07/3/2025 03:58 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$104.15 -0.09 (-0.09%)
As of 07/3/2025 04:59 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more.

United Parcel Service - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Sell
2
Hold
13
Buy
12

Based on 27 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for United Parcel Service in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 27 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 13 have given a hold rating, 11 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for UPS.

Consensus Price Target

$119.29
14.44% Upside
According to the 27 analysts' twelve-month price targets for United Parcel Service, the average price target is $119.29. The highest price target for UPS is $147.00, while the lowest price target for UPS is $82.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 14.44% from the current price of $104.24.
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UPS Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
7/4/24 to 7/4/25
1 Month Ago
6/4/24 to 6/4/25
3 Months Ago
4/5/24 to 4/5/25
1 Year Ago
7/5/23 to 7/4/24
Strong Buy
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
11 Buy rating(s)
11 Buy rating(s)
12 Buy rating(s)
9 Buy rating(s)
Hold
13 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
9 Hold rating(s)
12 Hold rating(s)
Sell
2 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
2 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$119.29$120.26$133.18$164.55
Forecasted Upside14.44% Upside22.01% Upside36.43% Upside21.39% Upside
Consensus Rating
Hold
Hold
Moderate Buy
Hold

UPS Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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UPS Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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United Parcel Service Stock vs. The Competition

TypeUnited Parcel ServiceTransportation CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.41
2.57
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside14.44% Upside31.69% Upside9.83% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent UPS News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalyst NameActionRatingPrice TargetUpside/Downside on Report DateDetails
7/3/2025BNP Paribas Exane
0 of 5 stars
 UpgradeUnderperform ➝ Neutral$100.00-5.25%
7/2/2025UBS Group
3 of 5 stars
Thomas Wadewitz
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Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$128.00 ➝ $124.00+17.84%
5/16/2025Bank of America
4 of 5 stars
Ken Hoexter
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Boost TargetBuy ➝ Buy$111.00 ➝ $115.00+14.48%
5/1/2025Hsbc Global Res
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P. Jain
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DowngradeStrong-Buy ➝ Hold
5/1/2025HSBC
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 DowngradeBuy ➝ Hold$105.00+10.09%
4/30/2025Oppenheimer
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Scott Schneeberger
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Lower TargetOutperform ➝ Outperform$126.00 ➝ $114.00+20.35%
4/30/2025Loop Capital
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Rick Paterson
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Lower TargetHold ➝ Hold$115.00 ➝ $105.00+10.85%
4/30/2025Stifel Nicolaus
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J. Bruce Chan
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Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$145.00 ➝ $124.00+31.82%
4/30/2025Susquehanna
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Bascome Majors
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Lower TargetNeutral ➝ Neutral$120.00 ➝ $110.00+16.45%
4/30/2025BMO Capital Markets
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F. Chamoun
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Lower TargetOutperform ➝ Outperform$130.00 ➝ $125.00+31.84%
4/24/2025Truist Financial
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Lucas Servera
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Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$140.00 ➝ $130.00+32.00%
4/22/2025Wells Fargo & Company
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Christian Wetherbee
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Reiterated RatingOverweight ➝ Equal Weight$120.00 ➝ $98.00+1.80%
4/9/2025Galvan Research
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 Lower TargetBuy$147.00 ➝ $133.00+38.05%
4/9/2025Wolfe Research
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S. Group
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Lower TargetOutperform$133.00 ➝ $113.00+17.29%
4/9/2025Raymond James Financial
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 Lower TargetStrong-Buy$145.00 ➝ $130.00+34.94%
4/8/2025Citigroup
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A. Rosa
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Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$149.00 ➝ $123.00+34.01%
4/7/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
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 Lower TargetNeutral$120.00 ➝ $115.00+19.37%
3/31/2025Barclays
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B. Oglenski
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Lower TargetUnderweight ➝ Underweight$100.00 ➝ $90.00-18.14%
3/7/2025Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
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 Initiated CoverageHold$119.00-1.18%
1/31/2025Baird R W
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G. Holland
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DowngradeStrong-Buy ➝ Hold
1/31/2025The Goldman Sachs Group
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Matt Reustle
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Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$166.00 ➝ $147.00+27.89%
1/31/2025Morgan Stanley
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Ravi Shanker
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Lower TargetUnderweight ➝ Underweight$100.00 ➝ $82.00-28.81%
1/31/2025Robert W. Baird
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Benjamin Hartford
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DowngradeOutperform ➝ Neutral$160.00 ➝ $130.00+13.10%
1/22/2025Evercore ISI
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Jonathan Chappell
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Boost TargetIn-Line ➝ In-Line$141.00 ➝ $147.00+10.56%
11/5/2024Argus
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J. Eade
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UpgradeHold ➝ Buy
8/22/2024TD Cowen
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 Initiated CoverageHold$144.00+12.57%
7/24/2024Stephens
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 Lower TargetEqual Weight ➝ Equal Weight$168.00 ➝ $140.00+9.10%
4/3/2024Redburn Atlantic
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 UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$180.00+20.63%
12/26/2023Daiwa Capital Markets
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 DowngradeOutperform ➝ Neutral$155.00-2.05%
8/9/2023Credit Suisse Group
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 Lower TargetNeutral ➝ Neutral$204.00 ➝ $194.00+7.43%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 04:19 AM ET.


Should I Buy United Parcel Service Stock? UPS Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these United Parcel Service pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

United Parcel Service
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in United Parcel Service, Inc.:

  • The current stock price is around $104, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for value in the logistics sector.
  • United Parcel Service, Inc. recently reported earnings per share of $1.49, exceeding analysts' expectations, indicating strong financial performance.
  • The company has a solid dividend yield of 6.31%, providing a reliable income stream for investors.
  • With a market capitalization of approximately $88 billion, United Parcel Service, Inc. is a major player in the logistics industry, suggesting stability and growth potential.
  • Analysts have given the stock a consensus rating of "Hold," with several firms maintaining buy ratings, indicating confidence in the company's future performance.

United Parcel Service
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in United Parcel Service, Inc. for these reasons:

  • The company's revenue has shown a slight decline of 0.9% year-over-year, which may raise concerns about growth sustainability.
  • With a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24, United Parcel Service, Inc. carries a significant amount of debt, which could impact financial flexibility.
  • Recent price target adjustments by analysts have shown a downward trend, with some targets being reduced significantly, indicating potential market concerns.
  • The stock has a relatively high dividend payout ratio of 95.63%, which may limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities.
  • Market volatility, as indicated by a beta of 1.22, suggests that the stock may experience larger price swings, which could be a risk for conservative investors.

UPS Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 27 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for United Parcel Service is $119.29, with a high forecast of $147.00 and a low forecast of $82.00.

27 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for United Parcel Service in the last twelve months. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 13 hold ratings, 11 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "hold" UPS shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in UPS, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, United Parcel Service's stock has a predicted upside of 14.44% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, United Parcel Service's stock had 2 downgrades and 1 upgrade by analysts.

Analysts like United Parcel Service less than other "transportation" companies. The consensus rating for United Parcel Service is Hold while the average consensus rating for "transportation" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how UPS compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:UPS) was last updated on 7/4/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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