United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$125.68 +3.03 (+2.47%)

(As of 12/20/2024 05:45 PM ET)

United Parcel Service - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 23 Analyst Ratings

Sell
2

Hold
7

Buy
14

Based on 23 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for United Parcel Service in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 23 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 7 have given a hold rating, 12 have given a buy rating, and 2 have given a strong buy rating for UPS.

Consensus Price Target

$151.29
20.37% Upside

According to the 23 analysts' twelve-month price targets for United Parcel Service, the average price target is $151.29. The highest price target for UPS is $180.00, while the lowest price target for UPS is $100.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 20.37% from the current price of $125.68.

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UPS Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 12/23/23 to 12/22/24	1 Month Ago 11/23/23 to 11/22/24	3 Months Ago 9/24/23 to 9/23/24	1 Year Ago 12/23/22 to 12/23/23
Strong Buy	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	2 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	12 Buy rating(s)	11 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	5 Buy rating(s)
Hold	7 Hold rating(s)	8 Hold rating(s)	10 Hold rating(s)	15 Hold rating(s)
Sell	2 Sell rating(s)	2 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$151.29	$151.52	$149.68	$187.91
Forecasted Upside	20.37% Upside	12.39% Upside	16.27% Upside	18.74% Upside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Hold

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UPS Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

UPS Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

United Parcel Service Stock vs. The Competition

Type	United Parcel Service	Transportation Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.61	2.61	2.51
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	20.37% Upside	43.89% Upside	14.53% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent UPS News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
12/10/2024	BMO Capital Markets 4 of 5 stars	F. Chamoun Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Market Perform ➝ Outperform	$155.00 ➝ $150.00	+16.70%
11/12/2024	Citigroup 3 of 5 stars	A. Rosa Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$163.00 ➝ $158.00	+21.32%
11/5/2024	Argus 2 of 5 stars	J. Eade Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy
10/28/2024	Oppenheimer Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$140.00 ➝ $146.00	+5.72%
10/25/2024	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$159.00 ➝ $170.00	+23.70%
10/25/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$132.00 ➝ $150.00	+8.08%
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10/25/2024	Stifel Nicolaus Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$151.00 ➝ $156.00	+12.55%
10/25/2024	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$140.00 ➝ $139.00	+0.29%
10/25/2024	Susquehanna Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$135.00 ➝ $140.00	+0.03%
10/22/2024	Evercore ISI Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	In-Line ➝ In-Line	$138.00 ➝ $141.00	+7.35%
10/21/2024	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	B. Oglenski Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Reiterated Rating	Equal Weight ➝ Underweight	$120.00 ➝ $120.00	-11.72%
10/10/2024	Wells Fargo & Company Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	C. Wetherbee Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$134.00 ➝ $142.00	+5.97%
10/9/2024	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$165.00 ➝ $162.00	+21.47%
8/22/2024	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Hold	$144.00	+12.57%
7/24/2024	Baird R W Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	G. Holland Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong-Buy
7/24/2024	Stephens Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Equal Weight ➝ Equal Weight	$168.00 ➝ $140.00	+9.10%
7/24/2024	Robert W. Baird Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$170.00 ➝ $160.00	+25.42%
4/25/2024	HSBC Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Hold ➝ Buy	$150.00 ➝ $170.00	+15.95%
4/3/2024	Redburn Atlantic Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Buy	$180.00	+20.63%
3/28/2024	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$183.00 ➝ $179.00	+20.50%
3/27/2024	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Underweight ➝ Underweight	$95.00 ➝ $100.00	-30.45%
1/31/2024	Raymond James Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Strong-Buy ➝ Strong-Buy	$185.00 ➝ $175.00	+20.62%
12/26/2023	Daiwa Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Neutral	$155.00	-2.05%
8/9/2023	Credit Suisse Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$204.00 ➝ $194.00	+7.43%
8/9/2023	Loop Capital Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Hold	$210.00 ➝ $195.00	+7.98%
6/6/2023	Atlantic Securities Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Neutral	$162.00	-3.47%
4/25/2023	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Underperform ➝ Market Perform
3/27/2023	Melius Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Overweight	$225.00	+20.92%
2/1/2023	Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Market Perform	$187.00 ➝ $195.00	+5.27%
2/1/2023	KeyCorp Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Overweight	$200.00 ➝ $215.00	+16.07%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 05:08 PM ET.

Should I Buy United Parcel Service Stock? UPS Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, December 17, 2024. Please send any questions or comments about these United Parcel Service pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

United Parcel Service
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in United Parcel Service, Inc.:

Strong Earnings Performance: United Parcel Service, Inc. reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.76 for the latest quarter, surpassing analysts' expectations of $1.63. This indicates robust financial health and effective management, which can attract investors.
Consistent Revenue Growth: The company achieved a revenue of $22.20 billion, exceeding the forecast of $22.10 billion, and marked a 5.4% increase compared to the same quarter last year. This growth trend can signal a strong market position and potential for future profitability.
Attractive Dividend Yield: United Parcel Service, Inc. recently declared a quarterly dividend of $1.63, translating to an annualized dividend of $6.52 and a yield of 5.01%. This can provide a steady income stream for investors, making the stock appealing for income-focused portfolios.
High Return on Equity: The company boasts a return on equity (ROE) of 37.38%, indicating efficient use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. A high ROE can be a sign of a well-managed company, which is attractive to investors.
Current Stock Price: As of the latest trading session, the stock price of United Parcel Service, Inc. is $128.99. This price point may present a buying opportunity for investors looking to enter at a lower valuation compared to its 52-week high of $163.82.

United Parcel Service
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in United Parcel Service, Inc. for these reasons:

High Dividend Payout Ratio: The company's dividend payout ratio stands at 98.49%, which means it is distributing nearly all of its earnings as dividends. This could raise concerns about sustainability, especially if earnings decline in the future.
Recent Stock Price Decline: The stock has experienced a slight decrease of 0.1% recently, which may indicate market volatility or investor uncertainty regarding the company's future performance.
Insider Selling Activity: Recent insider selling, including a significant transaction by an executive who sold over 7,000 shares, could signal a lack of confidence in the company's short-term prospects, potentially raising red flags for investors.
Market Competition: The logistics and transportation sector is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. Increased competition could pressure margins and impact profitability for United Parcel Service, Inc.
Debt Levels: The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.20, indicating a reliance on debt financing. High levels of debt can pose risks, especially in economic downturns, as it may limit financial flexibility and increase interest obligations.

UPS Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 23 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for United Parcel Service is $151.29, with a high forecast of $180.00 and a low forecast of $100.00.
: 23 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for United Parcel Service in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 7 hold ratings, 12 buy ratings and 2 strong buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" UPS shares.
: According to analysts, United Parcel Service's stock has a predicted upside of 20.37% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, United Parcel Service's stock had 2 upgrades by analysts.
: United Parcel Service has been rated by research analysts at Argus, Bank of America, Barclays, BMO Capital Markets, Citigroup, Evercore ISI, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Oppenheimer, Stifel Nicolaus, Susquehanna, The Goldman Sachs Group, UBS Group, and Wells Fargo & Company in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like United Parcel Service less than other "transportation" companies. The consensus rating score for United Parcel Service is 2.61 while the average consensus rating score for "transportation" companies is 2.61. Learn more on how UPS compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:UPS) was last updated on 12/22/2024 by MarketBeat.com Staff

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United Parcel Service (UPS) Stock Forecast & Price Target