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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale logo
$9.43 -0.21 (-2.13%)
Closing price 02/28/2025 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$9.52 +0.10 (+1.06%)
As of 07:41 AM Eastern
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Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Sell
0
Hold
7
Buy
3

Based on 10 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 10 analysts, 7 have given a hold rating, and 3 have given a buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$13.26
40.65% Upside
According to the 10 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $13.26. The highest price target for VALE is $16.00, while the lowest price target for VALE is $11.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 40.65% from the current price of $9.43.
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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
3/3/24 to 3/3/25
1 Month Ago
2/2/24 to 2/1/25
3 Months Ago
12/4/23 to 12/3/24
1 Year Ago
3/4/23 to 3/3/24
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
3 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
4 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
Hold
7 Hold rating(s)
7 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
3 Hold rating(s)
Sell
0 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$13.26$13.89$15.13$16.98
Forecasted Upside40.65% Upside49.32% Upside56.41% Upside25.85% Upside
Consensus Rating
Hold
Hold
Hold
Moderate Buy

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Vale Stock vs. The Competition

TypeValeBasic Materials CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.30
2.76
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside40.65% Upside154.39% Upside14.40% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent VALE News
Neutral News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalyst NameActionRatingPrice TargetUpside/Downside on Report DateDetails
1/8/2025Wolfe Research
3 of 5 stars
T. Tanners
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UpgradeUnderperform ➝ Peer Perform
1/6/2025Scotiabank
5 of 5 stars
 Lower TargetSector Perform ➝ Sector Perform$14.00 ➝ $13.00+50.29%
1/6/2025Jefferies Financial Group
2 of 5 stars
 Lower TargetBuy ➝ Buy$14.00 ➝ $11.00+27.46%
12/12/2024Morgan Stanley
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 DowngradeOverweight ➝ Equal Weight$14.50 ➝ $11.30+14.95%
12/4/2024Barclays
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 Lower TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$16.00 ➝ $15.25+57.70%
11/11/2024UBS Group
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M. Allsop
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DowngradeBuy ➝ Neutral$14.00 ➝ $11.50+8.59%
9/23/2024JPMorgan Chase & Co.
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 Lower TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$16.50 ➝ $15.00+44.79%
6/21/2024BNP Paribas
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A. Spence
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UpgradeUnderperform ➝ Neutral
4/9/2024Bank of America
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 Reiterated RatingBuy ➝ Neutral$20.00 ➝ $13.00+3.96%
4/4/2024Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
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 Lower TargetHold ➝ Hold$18.00 ➝ $16.00+32.40%
2/12/2024Royal Bank of Canada
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 Reiterated RatingOutperform ➝ Outperform$19.00+41.58%
11/21/2023The Goldman Sachs Group
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 UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$12.20 ➝ $19.50+24.60%
10/30/2023Citigroup
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 UpgradeNeutral ➝ Buy$14.00 ➝ $16.00+16.19%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Monday at 07:59 AM ET.


Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, February 27, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

  • Vale S.A. recently reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.56, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.41, indicating strong financial performance and effective management.
  • The current stock price of Vale S.A. is $9.57, which is significantly below its 1-year high of $15.30, suggesting potential for price appreciation as the market recovers.
  • Institutional investors hold 21.85% of Vale S.A.'s stock, reflecting confidence in the company's stability and growth potential, which can attract more investment.
  • Analysts have a consensus rating of "Hold" with an average price target of $13.89, indicating that there is room for growth in the stock price based on market expectations.
  • Vale S.A. operates in the basic materials sector, producing iron ore and pellets, which are essential for steelmaking, positioning the company well in a recovering global economy.

Vale
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

  • Vale S.A. has seen a significant reduction in institutional holdings, with U.S. Capital Wealth Advisors LLC trimming its stake by 72.8%, which may signal a lack of confidence among some investors.
  • Several analysts have downgraded their price targets for Vale S.A., with Barclays lowering it from $16.00 to $15.25, indicating a cautious outlook on the stock's future performance.
  • The company reported a decline in net margin to 22.59% compared to previous periods, which could suggest increasing costs or competitive pressures affecting profitability.
  • Recent trading volumes have been lower than average, with only 22,418,057 shares traded compared to an average of 38,888,500, which may indicate reduced investor interest.
  • Analysts forecast a decline in EPS to 2.08 for the current fiscal year, which could reflect challenges in maintaining profitability in a competitive market.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 10 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $13.26, with a high forecast of $16.00 and a low forecast of $11.00.

10 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last twelve months. There are currently 7 hold ratings and 3 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" VALE shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in VALE, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 40.65% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Vale's stock had 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Vale has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Jefferies Financial Group, Morgan Stanley, Scotiabank, and Wolfe Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Vale less than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating for Vale is Hold while the average consensus rating for "basic materials" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:VALE) was last updated on 3/3/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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