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Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Vale logo
$11.46 -0.07 (-0.56%)
Closing price 10/23/2025 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$11.49 +0.04 (+0.31%)
As of 07:30 AM Eastern
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Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

Consensus Rating

Sell
1
Hold
6
Buy
9

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 16 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 6 have given a hold rating, 8 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$12.13
5.92% Upside
According to the 16 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $12.13. The highest price target for VALE is $14.00, while the lowest price target for VALE is $11.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 5.92% from the current price of $11.46.
MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.
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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
10/24/24 to 10/24/25
1 Month Ago
9/24/24 to 9/24/25
3 Months Ago
7/26/24 to 7/26/25
1 Year Ago
10/25/23 to 10/24/24
Strong Buy
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
8 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
5 Buy rating(s)
7 Buy rating(s)
Hold
6 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
4 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$12.13$11.93$11.73$16.15
Forecasted Upside5.92% Upside10.11% Upside17.39% Upside54.03% Upside
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy

VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
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VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
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Vale Stock vs. The Competition

TypeValeBasic Materials CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.56
2.58
2.52
Consensus RatingModerate BuyModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside5.92% Upside222.62% Upside12.12% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent VALE News
Neutral News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalystActionRatingPrice TargetReport Date
Upside/Downside
Details
10/20/2025JPMorgan Chase & Co.
2 of 5 stars
Rodolfo Angele
Rodolfo Angele
Not Rated
Boost TargetOverweight$13.50 ➝ $14.00+22.86%
10/17/2025HSBC
2 of 5 stars
 Boost TargetBuy$12.25 ➝ $13.50+21.51%
10/17/2025Hsbc Global Res
5 of 5 stars
 UpgradeStrong-Buy
10/10/2025Barclays
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Boost TargetOverweight$13.70 ➝ $13.80+25.11%
10/8/2025Morgan Stanley
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Set Target$11.50+4.21%
10/8/2025Zacks Research
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 UpgradeStrong SellHold
10/8/2025Wells Fargo & Company
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UpgradeHold
10/8/2025Weiss Ratings
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 Reiterated RatingSell (D+)
10/6/2025UBS Group
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Boost TargetNeutral$10.00 ➝ $11.00-2.18%
9/18/2025Scotiabank
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UpgradeSector PerformSector Outperform$14.00+28.68%
9/3/2025Clarkson Capital
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 Initiated CoverageBuy$12.00+18.05%
5/12/2025CICC Research
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 Initiated CoverageOutperform$11.30+18.02%
4/17/2025Royal Bank Of Canada
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Reiterated RatingOutperformSector Perform$12.00 ➝ $11.00+22.22%
4/10/2025Bank of America
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UpgradeNeutralBuy$11.00 ➝ $11.50+29.87%
1/8/2025Wolfe Research
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UpgradeUnderperformPeer Perform
1/6/2025Jefferies Financial Group
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 Lower TargetBuy$14.00 ➝ $11.00+27.46%
6/21/2024BNP Paribas
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UpgradeUnderperformNeutral
4/4/2024Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
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 Lower TargetHold$18.00 ➝ $16.00+32.40%
11/21/2023The Goldman Sachs Group
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 UpgradeNeutralBuy$12.20 ➝ $19.50+24.60%
10/30/2023Citigroup
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 UpgradeNeutralBuy$14.00 ➝ $16.00+16.19%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Friday at 07:51 AM ET.


Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, October 23, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

  • Vale S.A. has received multiple upgrades from analysts, indicating positive sentiment and potential for stock appreciation. Recent ratings include an upgrade to "sector outperform" with a target price of $14.00.
  • The current stock price is around $10.76, which is near its fifty-two week high of $11.33, suggesting that it may be positioned for further growth.
  • Seven analysts have rated Vale S.A. with a Buy rating, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future performance.
  • The company reported earnings per share of $0.50, exceeding analysts' expectations, which demonstrates strong operational performance.
  • Vale S.A. operates in the iron ore and iron ore pellets market, which is essential for steelmaking, providing a stable demand for its products.

Vale
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

  • The consensus target price for Vale S.A. is $11.93, which is only slightly above the current stock price, indicating limited upside potential.
  • Vale S.A. has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48, which, while manageable, suggests that the company is not entirely free from financial leverage risks.
  • The company has a market capitalization of approximately $48.84 billion, which may limit its growth potential compared to smaller, more agile competitors.
  • Recent revenue figures fell short of consensus estimates, which could indicate challenges in meeting market expectations moving forward.
  • Despite positive analyst ratings, the stock has experienced a decline of about 2.4% recently, which may raise concerns about short-term volatility.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 16 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $12.13, with a high forecast of $14.00 and a low forecast of $11.00.

16 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last year. There is currently 1 sell rating, 6 hold ratings, 8 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" VALE shares.

According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 5.92% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Vale's stock had 4 upgrades and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Analysts like Vale less than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Vale is 2.56 while the average consensus rating score for "basic materials" companies is 2.58. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:VALE) was last updated on 10/24/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
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