Vale (VALE) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$11.72

+0.04 (+0.34%)

(As of 10/1/2024 ET)

Vale - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2024)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 11 Analyst Ratings

Sell
0

Hold
4

Buy
7

Based on 11 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Vale in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 11 analysts, 4 have given a hold rating, and 7 have given a buy rating for VALE.

Consensus Price Target

$16.17
37.94% Upside

According to the 11 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Vale, the average price target is $16.17. The highest price target for VALE is $19.50, while the lowest price target for VALE is $13.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 37.94% from the current price of $11.72.

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VALE Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 10/2/23 to 10/1/24	1 Month Ago 9/2/23 to 9/1/24	3 Months Ago 7/4/23 to 7/3/24	1 Year Ago 10/2/22 to 10/2/23
Strong Buy	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)	0 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	7 Buy rating(s)	7 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)	6 Buy rating(s)
Hold	4 Hold rating(s)	4 Hold rating(s)	3 Hold rating(s)	2 Hold rating(s)
Sell	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$16.17	$16.72	$16.91	$17.02
Forecasted Upside	37.94% Upside	58.96% Upside	45.64% Upside	28.70% Upside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

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VALE Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

VALE Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Vale Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Vale	Basic Materials Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.64	2.72	2.50
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Hold
Predicted Upside	37.59% Upside	199.57% Upside	6.86% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent VALE News	Neutral News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
9/23/2024	JPMorgan Chase & Co. 3 of 5 stars		Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$16.50 ➝ $15.00	+44.79%
9/19/2024	Morgan Stanley 3 of 5 stars		Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$16.00 ➝ $15.50	+43.78%
7/17/2024	Wolfe Research 3 of 5 stars	T. Tanners Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Outperform ➝ Peer Perform
7/5/2024	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$15.00 ➝ $14.50	+25.98%
6/21/2024	BNP Paribas Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	A. Spence Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Underperform ➝ Neutral
4/16/2024	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$16.00 ➝ $17.00	+41.67%
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4/9/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy ➝ Neutral	$20.00 ➝ $13.00	+3.96%
4/4/2024	Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Hold ➝ Hold	$18.00 ➝ $16.00	+32.40%
2/12/2024	Royal Bank of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$19.00	+41.58%
11/21/2023	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Buy	$12.20 ➝ $19.50	+24.60%
10/30/2023	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Upgrade	Neutral ➝ Buy	$14.00 ➝ $16.00	+16.19%
7/28/2023	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target		$16.00 ➝ $18.00	+24.05%
6/28/2023	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Sector Outperform ➝ Sector Perform	$16.00	+14.98%
12/8/2022	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target		$16.00 ➝ $20.00	+23.69%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 12:23 AM ET.

Should I Buy Vale Stock? VALE Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. Please send any questions or comments about these Vale pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Vale
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Vale S.A.:

Vale S.A. has recently increased its semi-annual dividend from $0.32 to $0.3698, representing a yield of 12.1%. This indicates a commitment to rewarding shareholders.
Analysts anticipate Vale S.A. will post 2.13 earnings per share for the current year, suggesting potential for growth and profitability.
Institutional investors own 21.85% of Vale S.A.'s stock, indicating confidence from large financial entities in the company's performance.
Vale S.A. has a low P/E ratio of 5.65, which may signal that the stock is undervalued compared to its earnings potential.
Recent hedge fund activity, such as increased holdings by various funds, demonstrates growing interest and confidence in Vale S.A.'s future prospects.

Vale
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Vale S.A. for these reasons:

Vale S.A.'s stock has a 52-week high of $16.08 and a 52-week low of $9.66, indicating potential volatility in the stock price.
The company's price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 3.45 may suggest that the stock is relatively expensive compared to its growth prospects.
Vale S.A. operates in the basic materials industry, which can be sensitive to economic cycles and commodity price fluctuations, posing risks to investors.
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 may raise concerns about its financial leverage and ability to manage debt obligations.
The stock's 50-day simple moving average of $10.65 is below the 200-day simple moving average of $11.64, potentially indicating a short-term bearish trend.

VALE Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 11 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Vale is $16.17, with a high forecast of $19.50 and a low forecast of $13.00.
: 11 Wall Street analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Vale in the last year. There are currently 4 hold ratings and 7 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" VALE shares.
: According to analysts, Vale's stock has a predicted upside of 37.94% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Vale's stock had 1 downgrade by analysts.
: Vale has been rated by research analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley, UBS Group, and Wolfe Research in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Vale less than other "basic materials" companies. The consensus rating score for Vale is 2.64 while the average consensus rating score for "basic materials" companies is 2.73. Learn more on how VALE compares to other companies.