Free Trial

AI vs. pro gambler's $1 million March Madness bet coming down to Duke and Houston

Duke forward Cooper Flagg (2) reacts after Duke beat Alabama in an Elite Eight round NCAA college basketball tournament game, Saturday, March 29, 2025, in Newark, N.J. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II, File)

SAN ANTONIO (AP) — The $1 million March Madness wager between a pro gambler and an artificial-intelligence site will be decided by the winner of the Duke-Houston game in the Final Four.

The Vegas bookies project the gambler, who picked 5 1/2-point favorite Duke, should win.

The AI platform 4C Predictions, which picked Houston, says that's why its smarter than them.

The bottom line: both pro gambler Sean Perry and the 4C's AI program have done very well over the first 60 games of the tournament. Perry has missed only 13 picks. AI has missed only 10. They both picked all the Final Four teams correctly.

Alan Levy, who runs the 4C site, says ChatGPT — who else? — says getting 50 of 60 correct places AI in the 95th percentile of all humans “which has gone beyond even what we expected at the start.”

The leaders in some of the multimillion-person bracket pools on ESPN, Yahoo and CBS are getting 55 or 56 picks right.

Both pickers chose Auburn to win in Saturday's other semifinal. Though AI has gotten more right, it could still lose because the picks become worth more points as the tournament progresses.

The tournament has largely been a bust for people who love upsets — good news for both these brackets, which largely stayed away from picking them. Both had Memphis and St. John's winning multiple games. Memphis fell to Colorado State in the first round and St. John's was gone after the second.

Levy said he is still analyzing Perry's offer to increase the bet to $10 million.

“My prediction?” Levy wrote in an email. “You’ll be joining me and the 4C team in all the celebrations" after Saturday's game.

___

AP March Madness bracket: https://apnews.com/hub/ncaa-mens-bracket and coverage: https://apnews.com/hub/march-madness. Get poll alerts and updates on the AP Top 25 throughout the season. Sign up here.

Where Should You Invest $1,000 Right Now?

Before you make your next trade, you'll want to hear this.

MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis.

Our team has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and none of the big name stocks were on the list.

They believe these five stocks are the five best companies for investors to buy now...

See The Five Stocks Here

7 Stocks That Could Be Bigger Than Tesla, Nvidia, and Google Cover

Looking for the next FAANG stock before everyone has heard about it? Enter your email address to see which stocks MarketBeat analysts think might become the next trillion dollar tech company.

Get This Free Report
Like this article? Share it with a colleague.

Featured Articles and Offers

Recent Videos

Make Your Money Work Harder: The Power of Dividend Investing
7 Cybersecurity Stocks Outperforming the Market Right Now
Markets in Rally Mode: Will Earnings Keep It Going?

Stock Lists

All Stock Lists

Investing Tools

Calendars and Tools

Search Headlines