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Arista Networks Q1 2022 Earnings Call Transcript


Listen to Conference Call

Participants

Corporate Executives

  • Elizabeth Stein
    Director of Investor Relations
  • Jayshree Ullal
    President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Ita Brennan
    Chief Financial Officer
  • John McCool
    Head of Manufacturing & Platforn
  • Anshul Sadana
    Chief Operating Officer

Presentation

Operator

Welcome to the First Quarter 2022 Arista Networks Financial Results Earnings Conference Call. During the call, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded and will be available for replay from the Investor Relations section at the Arista website following this call. Ms. Liz Stein, Arista's, Director of Investor Relations, you may begin.

Elizabeth Stein
Director of Investor Relations at Arista Networks

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. With me on today's call are Jayshree Ullal, Arista Networks President and Chief Executive Officer; and Ita Brennan, Arista's Chief Financial Officer.

This afternoon Arista Networks issued a press release announcing the results for its fiscal first quarter ending March 31, 2022. If you would like a copy of the release, you can access it online at our website. During the course of this conference call, Arista Networks management will make forward-looking statements, including those relating to our financial outlook for the second quarter of the '22 fiscal year; longer-term financial outlook for 2022 and beyond; our total addressable market and strategy for addressing these market opportunities; the potential impact of COVID-19, supply chain constraints, component cost, manufacturing capacity, inventory purchases and inflationary pressures on our business, product innovation and the benefits of acquisitions, which are subject to the risks and uncertainties that we discussed in detail in our documentation filed with the SEC. Specifically, in our most recent Form 10-Q and Form 10-K and which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by these statements.

These forward-looking statements apply as of today and you should not rely on them as representing our views in the future. We undertake no obligation to update these statements after this call. Also, please note that certain financial measures we use on this call are expressed on a non-GAAP basis, and have been adjusted to exclude certain charges. We have provided reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures in our earnings press release.

With that, I will turn the call over to Jayshree.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thank you, Liz. Thank you, everyone, for joining us this afternoon for our first quarter 2022 earnings call. In addition to the pandemic, we are now facing the global uncertainty with the war in Ukraine and increasing inflation trends. On behalf of Arista, we express our deep concern over the tragedies in Ukraine and thank the risk employees for their thoughtful donations to be Ukraine humanitarian causes matched by the Arista foundation. Back to Q1 2022. We delivered record revenues of $877.1 million for the quarter, with a non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.84.

Services software support renewals contributed approximately 19.2% of the revenue. Our non-GAAP gross margins of 63.9% was influenced by continuing supply chain constraints and elevated costs. Vendor de commit for certain components increased sharply in March 2022, with no clear release insight in the near term. In terms of Q1 2022 verticals, cloud titans was our strongest and largest vertical, followed by enterprise, cloud specialty providers and financial side at third place, and service providers at fourth. Our geographical mix included strong performance in the Americas at 76% with international contribution at 24% according to market analysts, in calendar 2021, Arista gained market share in overall datacenter, high performance switching, growing to approximately 19% market share. We are proud to maintain our number one position in 100, 200 and 400 gig switching and achieved this growth despite all the challenges of the supply chain. Arista has also been a pioneer and leader in client to cloud networking.

Our customer relevance is increasing with new logos in tech enterprises, healthcare, education and retail, as well as the provider sector. Our million dollar logos have doubled in the last three years in all categories. These categories include greater than 1 million, greater than 5 million, greater than 10 million and greater than 25 million customers. What's clear as I personally engage across the worldwide base of CIOs and CXOs is that the planning horizon for networking has really changed. Our visibility and demand has never been stronger. The nature of our discussions with our customers is also most strategic in nature. Let me try to illustrate with a few examples. For example, on AI side [Phonetic], we are building upon our cloud heritage to expand scale for AI workloads that are both data and compute-intensive, thereby requiring 100, 400, and 800 gig performance in the future with rich EOS software features.

In the cognitive campus, threat hunting is now becoming integral to the network instead of being an obstacle. And it's changing the way cyber security and prevalent threats can be detected and managed holistically. Network security is clearly migrating to secure zero trust networking based on AI and Eva sensors.

In larger enterprises, network as a safe service, based on CloudVision is enabling our customers to manage the datasets across client to cloud domains with superior unmatched automation and analytics. Our decade long preferred partnership with Cloud Titans, especially Microsoft and Meta, has helped forge joint engineering products for HyperCloud scale, all the way down to edge use cases. Clearly, Arista's in the midst of an exciting and growing total available market or TAM expansion to fulfill our customers quest for proactive, predictive and prescriptive networking, all this with the right data driven foundation and architecture. This Network Data Lake US tax that we launched last November is resonating well and it's validating our customer, network design.

In conclusion, I'm so proud of Arista's progress interaction and look forward to multiple years of double-digit growth. And with that, I'd like to turn it over to Ita for Q1 2022 financial specifics.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Thanks, Jayshree, and good afternoon. This analysis of our Q1 results and our guidance for Q2 '22 is based on non-GAAP and excludes all non-cash stock-based compensation impacts, certain acquisition-related charges and other nonrecurring items. A full reconciliation of our selected GAAP to non-GAAP results is provided in our earnings release.

Total revenues in Q1 were $877.1 million, up 31.4% year-over-year, and well above the upper end of our guidance of $840 million to $860 million. Our enterprise business continued to contribute healthily to our overall revenue growth in the first quarter, combined with accelerated shipments to our Cloud Titan customers, some of which were deferred. Supply remained constrained in the quarter with supplier de commits resulting in higher broker purchases and expedite fees in the period. Services and subscription software contributed approximately 19.2% of revenue in the first quarter, down from 21% in Q4.

International revenues for the quarter came in at $212.7 million or 24% of total revenue, down from an unusually high 29% in the fourth quarter of 2021. This decline in international mix primarily reflects some volatility with our global customers, including the deferral of some international cloud shipments in the period. Overall, gross margin in Q1 was 63.9%, above the midpoint of our guidance range of approximately 63% to 64%.

Operating expenses for the quarter were $225.3 million or 25.7% of revenue, up from last quarter at $206.2 million. R&D spending came in at $144.3 million or 16.5% of revenue, up from last quarter at $130.3 million. This primarily reflected increased headcount and higher new product introduction costs in the period.

Sales and marketing expense was $66.2 million or 7.5% of revenue, compared to 61.2 million last quarter, with the increased headcount and strong shipments driving higher variable compensation expenses for the period. As a reminder, we continue to benefit from lower COVID related travel and marketing expenses.

Our G&A costs came in at $14.8 million or 1.7% of revenue, consistent with last quarter. Our operating income for the quarter was $335.6 million or 38.3% of revenue. Other income and expense for the quarter was a favorable $3 million and our effective tax rate was approximately 20.7%. This resulted in net income for the quarter of $268.7 million or 30.6% of revenue. Our diluted share number was 319.7 million shares, resulting in a diluted earnings per share number for the quarter of $0.84, up approximately 35% from the prior year.

Now turning to the balance sheet, cash, cash equivalents and investments, ended the quarter at approximately $3.4 billion. We repurchased $136.2 million of our common stock during the first quarter at an average price of $116 per share. As a reminder, we have not repurchased approximately $209 million or 1.8 million shares against our October 2021, $1 billion board authorization. The actual timing and amount of future repurchases is dependent on market and business conditions, business requirements, stock price, acquisition opportunities and other factors.

Now turning to operating cash performance for the first quarter. We generated $217.1 million of cash from operations in the quarter, reflecting strong earnings performance combined with continued working capital investments. DSOs came in at 67 days, up from 58 days in Q4, reflecting the linearity of billings and growth in deferred revenue in the period. Inventory turns were consistent with last quarter at 1.7 times. Inventory increased to 694.2 million in the quarter, up from 650.1 million in the prior period, primarily reflecting higher component inventory.

Our purchase commitment number for the quarter was 4.3 billion, up from 2.8 billion in Q4. This significant increase in commitments largely represents orders for 2023 and beyond, reflecting overall strength in demand for those periods and our expectation that this long lead time supply environment continues. As a reminder, we continue to prioritize newer, early life cycle products for inclusion in these strategies in order to help mitigate the risk of excess or obsolescence.

Our total deferred revenue balance was 1.1 billion, up from $929 million in Q4. The majority of the deferred revenue balance was services related and directly linked the timing and term of service contracts, which can vary on a quarter-by-quarter basis. Approximately 327 million of this balance, up from 160 million last quarter, represents product deferred revenue, largely related to acceptance, clauses for new products, most recently, with our large cloud titan customers.

As a reminder, we remain in a period of significant new product introductions, combined with a healthy new customer acquisition rate and expanded use cases with existing customers. These trends have resulted in increased customer specific acceptance clauses and higher product deferred revenue amounts. Accounts payable days were 58 days, down from 63 days in Q4, reflecting the timing of inventory receipts and payments. Capital expenditures for the quarter were 14.9 million.

Now turning to our outlook for the second quarter and beyond. Our Analyst Day outlook for 2022, called for 30% year-over-year revenue growth, somewhat [Phonetic] balanced across our market sectors and heavily constrained by the supply environment. As we progress through 2022, demand metrics remain strong across the business but particular strength from our Cloud Titan, other cloud and enterprise customers. While we've added manufacturing capacity and component supply in response to this demand, supplier decommits make forecasting accelerated shipment momentum difficult. These decommits also have a negative impact on gross margin as we must turn to other sources to try to backfill decommitted components in the quarter. From a business model perspective, this means that in this supply constrained environment, any accelerated growth, while accretive to the bottom line, may come at the lower gross margin percentage due to increased cloud mix and additional expedite fees.

Turning specifically to Q2, we expect revenues of approximately $950 million to $1 billion, including approximately $50 million of cloud related deferred revenue recognition from the balance sheet. On the gross margin front, an expected healthy cloud mix in the quarter combined with 100 to 300 basis points of assumed expedite cost would result in gross margins of approximately 60% to 62%. As to spending and investments, we expect to continue to grow our investments in R&D and sales and marketing in line with our baseline investment plan.

With all of this is a backdrop, our guidance for the second quarter, which is based on non-GAAP results and excludes any non-cash stock-based compensation impacts and other non-recurring items is as follows. Revenues of approximately $950 million to $1 billion, gross margin of approximately 60% to 62% and operating margins of approximately 37% to 38%. Our effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 21%, with diluted shares on a post split basis of approximately 220 [Phonetic] million shares.

I will now turn the call back to Liz. Liz?

Elizabeth Stein
Director of Investor Relations at Arista Networks

Thank you, Ita. We will now move the Q&A portion of the Arista earnings call. To allow for greater participation, I'd like to request that everyone please limit themselves to a single question. Thank you for your understanding. Operator, take it away.

Questions and Answers

Operator

We will now begin the Q&A portion of the Arista earnings call. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Sami Badri with Credit Suisse. Your line is now open.

Sami Badri
Analyst at Credit Suisse Group

Thank you. I had one clarification and then one question. The first thing is, Ita, you talked about customer acceptance clauses, can you just expand a little bit on that? Just because you do have some deferred revenue and it sounds like there's a lot of moving around. Could you just define or maybe just elaborate a little bit more on that for specifically mid-year 2022? And then my actual question is when you talk to your suppliers, what do they actually tell you is the reason for the decommits? And when they do decommit, how many days before the actual planned delivery date are they decommitting by?

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

I'll take the deferred revenue question first. Right. I mean obviously in time periods where you have lots of new products and you're bringing new products to these larger customers in particular to completely new customers, they don't have the opportunity to test everything about the product in their environment, and we can't mimic those large scale environment. So, we have customer acceptances where we give them the time period to accept the products. So we can ship, bill and collect cash on those, but it's deferred from a revenue perspective because there are some criteria that we need to prove that we satisfy so that they can give us the exact [Technical Issue]

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

And Sami, to answer your question, the decommits come literally the week we are expecting the components. So they surprise us right when we are looking to build them, which is why we struggled frankly in the back half of the quarter not getting the components we needed and just having a lot of our contract manufacturing capacity waiting on key components. And the only way to resolve that was to pay extra expedites by orders of magnitude to get them, sometimes we could get them and sometimes we couldn't. So we believe this very constrained environment of components, combined with decommits is going to continue in Q2. And who knows about Q3?

Adjourn the call as our Head of Manufacturing and Platform, John, you have more to add to that?

John McCool
Head of Manufacturing & Platforn at Arista Networks

Sure. Just the nature of the de-commits. I think that we see very part specific reasons for each of those de commits, some can be tester capacity, yield, logistics issues as the suppliers work through that. So I wouldn't say there's any generic being stored as de commits, it really depends on what part, what supplier.

Sami Badri
Analyst at Credit Suisse Group

Got it. Congratulations and thank you.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thank you, Sami.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Fahad Najam with Loop Capital. Your line is now open.

Fahad Najam
Analyst at Loop Capitals

Thank you for taking my question. Jayshree, last time you said that you had the best visibility that you've ever seen. You pretty much said that you had visibility for the entire calendar '22. So I'm assuming you are already having conversations with your customers about the demand picture, maybe 70 to [Technical Issue] so can you present a little bit of color on what dynamics you're seeing with your customers regarding there in maybe calendar '23? And maybe if you can quantify what do you mean by the best visibility, which you're having?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thank you, Fahad. Last quarter, our visibility was very strong for 2022. This quarter, our visibility continues to be very strong for 2023. But I would also add that in particular, the Cloud Titans and some enterprises are starting to plan for 2023. They have to start thinking about it now that we're in Q2 here. So all this is to suggest that the demand is strong for this year. We expect demand to be strong at least for the first half of next year from a planning purposes. Things could always change, orders could always be moved around. But I, in all of my career across Cisco and perhaps even others, I've never seen demand be so clearly purposed and strong

Anshul, you want to add more to that?

Anshul Sadana
Chief Operating Officer at Arista Networks

Sure, Jayshree. I think customers are no longer struggling to understand the supply chain is constrained. They very well understand it. Many of these cloud companies build their own compute-in storage as well. So they're planning along with their own things for 2023 right now. And their businesses are good, which means the underlying demand is strong.

Fahad Najam
Analyst at Loop Capitals

If I could follow up, one on the deferred revenue from cloud, was it just one cloud titan customer? Can you help us understand is that a function of your cloud customers ability to digest your supply into them? Anything you can help us understand on the dynamics and so we can model appropriately the Cloud Titan revenue trends going forward?

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, no, I think it's across multiple customers. And again, it's very standard for us if you look back historically to have periods at the beginnings of product lifecycles where we're shipping the product, they're deploying the product, but we're just waiting for that kind of acceptance so that we can actually take the revenue from a Rev Rec perspective, right? So it's not unusual for us to see this, seeing that over time. What we said was we built deferred in Q1, and then we will draw down about 50 million in Q2, but we're still up roughly 110 million for the first half from a product deferred revenue perspective.

Fahad Najam
Analyst at Loop Capitals

Appreciate the answer. Thank you.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of David Vogt with UBS. Your line is now open.

David Vogt
Analyst at UBS Group

Great. Thanks guys for the question. Just a quick question and then a follow-up. So maybe just on the vendor commits and what you're seeing from your CMs. Relative to 90 days ago, can you just kind of share with us a little bit more color in terms of what's been the impact? Is it the recent lockdowns that we've seen from supply chain partners in Asia or in other parts of the world or is it just simply a reduction in availability and mismatched components that would make a complete set effectively? And then just quickly on a follow-up, you mentioned, Ita, I think you mentioned 200s of 300 basis points of expedited costs in the gross margin, does that include sort of the mix shift to a more hyperscaler mix as well in the guidance for Q2 or does that or is that just separate cost in terms of how your gross margins are going to play out for the rest of the year? Thanks.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, I think the 200 to 300 basis points is really looking at kind of an estimate, if you like, of what we think those decommits could cost us. So that's separate to the customer mix of better [Phonetic] it's really been driven more by kind of looking at kind of the decommits that we saw end of last quarter, beginning of this quarter and then what's the impact for that. So it's separate to the customer mix.

John McCool
Head of Manufacturing & Platforn at Arista Networks

Yes. So I would say on the supply chain piece, I think we've kind of seen a more pointed or focused issue really around semiconductors in general, that's still led by the supply demanded balance. And then in terms of particulars on de commits, I think, again, each part, each device has a separate story. We've seen some suppliers that are trying to increase test capacity, don't have test equipment. They're waiting for orders that are also constrained by semiconductors. Some perturbation with the lockdowns in China for raw material and equipment. So, it's across the board and very specific to each device. [Speech Overlap]

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

And I think -- just to clarify also that it's safe to also say it changed a lot since our last call. So we have a couple of vendors that are causing a lot of gaps for our decommits. We don't want to name them because I know they're working hard to improve their commitment to us, but two or three vendors have [Technical Issue]

David Vogt
Analyst at UBS Group

Jayshree, was there any competitive issue in the decommits or that wasn't the issue? Meaning that maybe there is some allocation issues between yourself and some of your competitors -- [Speech Overlap]

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

No, none that we're aware of.

David Vogt
Analyst at UBS Group

Great. Thank you. Thank you very much.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thank you, David.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Rod Hall with Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

Rod Hall
Analyst at The Goldman Sachs Group

Yes. Hi, thanks for the question. I guess I wanted to come back -- first of all, thank you, Ita, for clarifying the deferred revenue release in the guide, that's a helpful number. I'm just trying to come back, I was looking at your deferred revenue in aggregate over time and obviously it's very inflated here, curious what you think the timeline for reducing that kind of back to some sort of a normal level, as I know, it's very hard to predict, but just based on what you know today is that likely to happen this year? Does it take 24 months? If you could gauge that for us? And then also, we don't really know what the backlog, the order backlog looks like, I don't know if you could quantify that at all for us. So kind of two different areas of question there I guess. Thanks.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, I think on the deferred revenue, like at that, I don't really like to forecast, but we will call out when we think we're drawing it down in the guidance. So that's the reference to the $50 million. I think at this point, yes, I don't think we would draw it down to achieve a 30% growth rate. Obviously, this is churning and turning all the time, right? But we think that balance it doesn't come down year-over-year in our assumptions for the 30% growth rate. I think on the order backlog, I'll let Jayshree comment as well, but for me, at this point, with the impact of time et cetera on the backlog, it's not a meaningful number for us to share. It's not a meaningful metric.

Jayshree, I don't know if you have anything?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, no, Rod, we've stayed away from order strength and backlogs. We don't mean anything unless we can ship it. So we'll continue to keep telling you about our visibility and demand in a qualitative fashion, but in a quantitative fashion, the only number that matters is shipments.

Rod Hall
Analyst at The Goldman Sachs Group

Okay, great. Thanks a lot. Appreciate it.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Amit Daryanani with Evercore. Your line is now open.

Amit Daryanani
Analyst at Evercore ISI

Perfect. Thank you. I guess my question is really around, if I heard the purchase commitment number correctly, it was 4.3 billion is up a fair bit sequentially. And I'm sure the math is not linear on purchase commitments, but could you maybe just help me connect the dot between a 4.3 billion purchase commitment versus what I think you all -- TTM cost of goods sold is up $2.1 billion up, are you locking in supply on a multiyear basis or do you really see a sustained bit of this current 30% growth to be a lot more durable versus perhaps what you talked about at the Analyst Day? Just help me put in context, it seems like a sizable number versus the growth rates.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, Amit, good observation. I think we jumped at some 2.8 billion to 4 plus billion. And you're absolutely right, this is a multi-year commitment now. This is not just for '22, it's also '23, and perhaps that leads into '24 as well, given the extended lead times that are only getting worse. And we wanted to make sure we secured our commitments. So we are placing a bet on long-term demand, a multi-year double-digit growth, and accordingly planning for it. And so, you don't need to read any more or less in to it except we're bullish about demand and we are planning for multiple years.

Amit Daryanani
Analyst at Evercore ISI

Perfect. Thank you.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Simon Leopold with Raymond James. Your line is now open.

Simon Leopold
Analyst at Raymond James

Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to see if you could maybe describe what the timeline is like for your sales into a hyperscale datacenter? Basically, what I'm trying to get a sense of is, from the day they begin construction, how long does it take for them to make purchases from you in terms of initial deployment and then upgrade? So if you reflect back on your experience, how would you spread out the spending for given hyperscale datacenter over a period of number of years? [Speech Overlap]

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, it actually does make sense. Because I think there is a period of planning and build out and what they want to do, then there is actually putting a design on what they're going to do, and then there's the deployment. Anshul, you are full smack in the middle of this. This is yours to answer.

Anshul Sadana
Chief Operating Officer at Arista Networks

Sure. Absolutely, Jayshree. When we work with our Cloud Titans, they think of regions. And the build-out in different regions, different geos is sometimes different. You cannot actually just take a regional build out and say this will always stay the same. In many of the major regions, which are 100s of megawatts or sometimes gigawatts, the DCI network needs to be built first before racks can be added. And some of those smaller or mid sized regions, they can actually start with Drax and DCI can grow over time as well. But [Technical Issue] these are generally about two to three year planning cycles for the customers. And as equipment of supply is showing up, last minute they decide where they would deploy the network. So we don't really control the last part, but the planning is really two to three years.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jason Ader with William Blair. Your line is now open.

Jason Ader
Analyst at William Blair

Yes. Thank you. And I'm not going to ask a question about deferred revenue or supply. So you will be happy to hear that. My question is on the enterprise side, you guys continue to do well there. I'm wondering if is your ability to deliver supply faster than some of your competitors has made a difference maybe? I don't even know if that's true, but if you can comment on that? And also, whether subscription software mandates from some of your competitors is helping you win business? And any examples of that would be great. Thank you.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, I know. Thank you, Jason, for sparing us the repeat question. If you step back and look at our enterprise momentum, I'd say it's really picked up steam in the last three years. In some cases, I think we're now larger than standalone companies with our enterprise business. We've been around 25 years. I think the reason our enterprise business is growing so well is really three reasons, and probably very little to do with the fact that we can supply product sooner. They all would wish we could do it earlier. It has to do with an architectural approach that is different now, especially post-COVID, for our campus and data centers, where they want to build off one US, one Cloud vision, and one lease spine architecture. So they're really coming to us for a different design approach whereas historically it was rinse and repeat. So that makes a huge difference. The second is their experience with us in the case of existing customers. We've had such good quality, lower critical vulnerabilities and experience with us that they really want to take that across the network, client to cloud and many more use cases. And the third I think is what you alluded to, there is a lot of fatigue and frustration from our industry peers who've been going one-way and only one way. And seeing a better alternative, both from a technology and consumption point of view. Well, we are not forcing them down the subscription and we're giving them options. They can have it as a service or they could buy it perpetually. It's the customer's choice. I think all of this has helped really cement our cost enterprise momentum at least with the high-end enterprise adopters. We've got a long way to go in the mid-market. But certainly, I would say that's the case for the enterprise high-end customers.

Jason Ader
Analyst at William Blair

Thank you.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thanks, Jason.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of a Ittai Kidron with Oppenheimer. Your line is now open.

Ittai Kidron
Analyst at Oppenheimer

Thanks. On [Technical Issue] numbers, I guess a couple of two related questions. What's the value of purchase commitments in an age of decommits? And I guess I'm trying to think about pricing and the impact on the gross margin, it's going to -- or your guidance on gross margin, is that -- why not move to a model, just an operating model for the foreseeable future until things change? Whereby certain parts will be our pricing, are just variable and you price things for the customer as you get priced yourself. Why not roll this over? And I know you can do increases every quarter, but just have like an empty box on an invoice that gets filled in as you purchase components. And I don't think clients would be overly surprised if something like this happens.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, I mean, Ita, if you do enjoy our procurement department?

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

I think my billings team might be a little confused.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Good question, Ittai.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

I'm going to start. So I think on the pricing side of things, Ittai, we'll start to benefit from the last price increase really kind of in Q4, really December, maybe a little bit before that. But that's, that price increase is rolling through. Price increases are hard, right? I mean, we will look and consider when we see sustained costs, where we need to pass them on and we'll do that. But price increases are tough to do. They do kind of impact the customer. So we'll look and see if we need to do another one and what, how -- how to sustain some of these cost increases, and then we'll decide based on that. But we should start to see some benefit from the prior one having burnt through the backlog, et cetera, in Q4.

Ittai Kidron
Analyst at Oppenheimer

Very good.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thanks, Ittai. Your next question comes from the line of Meta Marshall with Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open.

Meta Marshall
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Great. Thanks. Sorry to bring it back to deferred revenue. But just a point of clarification, Ita, you had noted last quarter that, the 30%, kind of outlook for the year, didn't include kind of recognition of any of that deferred revenue balance. But obviously, the deferred revenue balance kind of grew by quite a bit. And so I just want to clarify that the 30% is without kind of where we were at the beginning of the year on deferred revenue or even where we are now or will be at the end of, kind of Q2?

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, I think, Meta, the commentary around not drawing it down is really an annual statement year-over-year, right? But what you saw us do for Q1 was obviously grow at a 167 million, will draw down to 50 of that. But I think the best way is to think about it as the first half, right? We will be up $110 million from our product deferred revenue at the end of Q2 based on our guidance, right? So we're building ahead. And I don't think we draw it down versus the beginning of the year at least. We'll see what happens. But it's very hard to forecast it precisely. But again I think 30% did not contemplate of thinking anything out of the opening year deferred revenue balance. [Phonetic]

Meta Marshall
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Okay, got it. And then maybe just a small follow-up, I mean obviously the inventory balance has grown by a fair amount, just wanted to get a sense of, are there any concerns around obsolescence of any of that inventory or just as it takes longer to get all of the com-parts or is that now a confirm [Technical Issue] we should be mindful of?

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, I mean, I guess, the inventory balance itself isn't up that much, right? It's up a little bit on the raw materials but not a ton, because obviously we're shipping everything we have and that we can. I mean the parts of commitment balances up a chunk, but I think again that's time bound more than anything else, right? I mean, we're really looking through 2023 now and making commitments for that. And again, we're trying to pick the right products, won't necessarily be perfect, but we're definitely taking a risk approach there and we're doing it in conjunction with customers. So that's, I think that's what we have to do right now.

Meta Marshall
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Great. Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Paul Silverstein with Cowen. Your line is now open.

Paul Silverstein
Analyst at Cowen and Company

Thanks, guys. At the risk of asking questions that you either cannot or will not answer. First off, I'm hoping, Jayshree, that you or Anshul or somebody could provide any incremental insight regarding the Microsoft-Nokia announcement. And secondly, what are the numbers, your first quarter results and second quarter guidance, that's almost 35% year-over-year growth. To do your 30% outstanding guidance for '22, that translates to about 26% growth for the second half of the year. And you're talking about the best demand environment we've ever seen. I appreciate we're only one quarter into the year. I get it. But it sure sounds like your supply permitting that you could do well north of 30%. I'm hoping you provide some insight on that. And is the growth [Speech Overlap] [Technical Issue]

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

So, to help you answer the Microsoft partnership, you may have seen the quote in our earnings release that we consider Microsoft a very strategic and preferred partner and so do they of us. The use cases are expanding. And of course that, like I've always said, it doesn't mean we get 100% of the use cases, all the business, they've always had [Technical Issue] vendor and open, and from time to time, they've chosen other partners for other use cases. So it doesn't change at all our status with them, but obviously means they're going to always be multi-vendor and open. Now Anshul, you want to add to that?

Anshul Sadana
Chief Operating Officer at Arista Networks

Sure. Paul, our relationship with Microsoft is so long and so deep. We've worked with them, not just for our current product but for several generations to come. And the discussions on paper span all the way up to 2025-2027 architectures and what can be possible and what can we build for them. So that leadership position we've had will continue. As Jayshree mentioned, they can be multisourced, but we believe we'll stay in a healthy position and we're not going to get distracted by this announcement.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Yes. And then, Paul, I guess coming back to the growth, I mean, yes, you're right. It was close to 35% for the first half. I think we would have an outlook of 30% for the second half. So not necessarily saying we're going to decelerate off the 30%, but it's all about supply, right? If we could solve for these handful of components that are kind of causing these de commits, yes, we could do some more, right? But for now, I think we just have to respect that and the uncertainty of that and be cautious.

Paul Silverstein
Analyst at Cowen and Company

Can I just ask a quick clarification? A lot of folks on the call, it sounds like people think you're just pulling out a back -- pulling out a deferred to make these numbers, how much of this is just satisfying backlog? How much of it is also shared in what's going on in terms of driving the demand?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

I don't think --

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

I don't think that's an argument, differed is actually up $110 million in our guidance for the first half, right? So I don't think anybody thinks we're using differed to drive the numbers. [Speech Overlap]

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

We have organic demand, absolutely. We have backlog. We don't talk about that. And we have an increase in deferred. All three are tuned [Phonetic]. We just have to ship.

Paul Silverstein
Analyst at Cowen and Company

That's pretty good. Appreciate it. Thanks, guys.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Samik Chatterjee with JP Morgan. Your line is now open.

Samik Chatterjee
Analyst at J.P. Morgan

Yes, hi, thanks for taking my question. I guess if I can just ask you two quick ones on the enterprise vertical here. Jayshree, you mentioned the strong momentum you have with enterprise customers. I mean one of the concerns we've been hearing from investors is about the current macro and how enterprises respond to that in terms of any weakness in the order trends. Maybe if you can clarify if you are seeing any of that in your discussions with these customers? And also, if you can give us an update on the campus revenue which you were looking to double? Sounds from the momentum that you should be sort of on-track to better rate [Phonetic] it to your expectations. But if you can just give us an update there. Thank you.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, Samik. We are seeing no change in the enterprise momentum. It's strong. We haven't seen any slowdown. Maybe it will later on. The impact of inflation trends, who knows, but at the moment, things are looking very strong. Chris Schmidt, Ashwin, and the whole team are just knocking at the door always for products. They're certainly creating the demand with their customers. And as for the campus, a very similar story. You know our goal is to double this year and we've only had one quarter but one quarter doesn't make a trend, but this one quarter alone is showing a trend in that direction. And as I think you asked me on Analyst Day, I shared with you that we will grow at least 750 million by 2025. I think we can achieve that. Perhaps, if we are in a less constrained environment, we could be it too.

Samik Chatterjee
Analyst at J.P. Morgan

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Pierre Ferragu with New Street Research. Your line is now open.

Pierre Ferragu
Analyst at New Street Research

Hi, thanks for taking our question. Pierre is in a noisy environment. So this is [Indecipherable] asking one on behalf [Speech Overlap]. So, could you please share your thoughts on NVIDIA get Spectrum 4? How you see this chip fitting in the competitive landscape and how you see NVIDIA possibly becoming a competitor? And maybe when do you expect to have 51.2 terabits per second chips in their products?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Well, we've always viewed NVIDIA as a partner, especially for their DPUs, and next when they were Mellanox, and we continue to view that. There are times when companies choose a vertical stack. And I think NVIDIA's focus on spectrum 4 is more as a vertical stack for their captive customer opportunities. As a horizontal best of breed, we don't see them as a competitor at all and Arista is poised to be best of breed and continues to be the preferred choice with customers. Anshul, you want to add to the 51 [Phonetic] terabit roadmap?

Anshul Sadana
Chief Operating Officer at Arista Networks

So, Pierre, let me just remind you that the 25.6G is just now ramping. So the [Speech Overlap] happy with that.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Right.

Anshul Sadana
Chief Operating Officer at Arista Networks

And the co-development projects we take on with our customers are well along as well. But 51 is really next Gen. It's at least two years out, maybe more for many of the high volume customers. And the announcement came, it doesn't really matter, right? Just because someone announced, doesn't mean others are not working on the chip either. We will be ready in time.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Aaron Rakers with Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

Aaron Rakers
Analyst at Wells Fargo Securities

Yes, thanks for taking the question. A lot of my questions have been asked and answered, but I wanted to go back to kind of some of the architectural stuff that you've talked about Jayshree in the past. AI fabric, you continue to bring this up on conference calls, these last couple of quarters. We're seeing obviously some big large deployments at one of your large cloud titan customers. I'm just curious if you can offer up any other thoughts around the size of this incremental opportunity, the trajectory of what you're seeing, if you're seeing it become more broader base? Just any context around that opportunity for Arista.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, Aaron, I bring it up more because I think it's a strategic innovation much like Arista pioneered cloud networking with the leaf spine architecture. And when it came to the forefront with a front-end network that was based on that architecture. What we see here is that the back-end network is changing. And this used to primarily be Interconnect, bus based, InfiniBand based and high performance clusters, HPC as it's often called. But the new AI workloads really are data and compute-intensive. And they can't be bus or IO based alone or just focus on latency, they are pushing -- we're pushing the envelope of Ethernet to really deal with the predictable latency, the ability to scale a whole network, et cetera, very much in the first innings. So you're right to say it's starting with the early deployment of cloud customers, much like Cloud itself started five years ago, but I think it's going to penetrate some of the specialty clouds and workloads and large enterprises as well. But this will emerge and take place over the next three to five years. It's not going to happen overnight.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Tal Liani from Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Tal Liani
Analyst at Bank of America

Hi guys. I'm going to follow the tradition of one clarification and one question. The clarification, on one hand you say supply chain is getting worse. On the other hand, you're getting -- you're giving a very strong guidance for next quarter. So how do you reconcile the fact that it is getting worse and the guidance is so strong? And the second question is one of the top questions I'm getting from investors is that we know that Microsoft and Facebook are strong. We know that they are investing a lot in their data centers right now. And the question is how much exposure, how much dependency you have on this, perhaps, concentration -- customer concentration, vertical concentration? Any data you can give on that front? Thanks.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Right. So, Tal, supply chain is getting worse because of the extended lead times, not just because of that, because we were planning for that, but because of the sudden surprising decommits. So when we're trying to build a product and ship it out and suddenly we don't have these last two components, it just raises the whole supply chain and our ability to commit to revenue. So, as Ita said, what we do at that point? John and the team had to go scouring the face of the earth to get parts that would normally cost x, that are now 100x in many cases. And that's a very stressful thing because sometimes you get them, and sometimes we don't. So our ability in Q1 to ship more was very much there, but our constraint in Q1 to ship more was also problematic because we couldn't get the parts. And that is the story for Q2, and perhaps, will go into Q3 as well. Now, how does that affect us? We may be executing better than others, but it's affecting us in that because of the elevated cost of these components in expedite, it's showing up as gross margin. So we have a gross margin pressure for the next couple of quarters, both due to the Cloud mix, which was your second question, and the commitments from Microsoft and Meta and other Cloud Titans, as well as these expedites that are adding double pressure on our gross margin. So that's why we want to take away. We're going to execute as best as we can. Customers come first. We're going to do our best there even if it means buying these components at very, very elevated costs. Do you want to answer the cloud question, and especially with Microsoft and Meta, Anshul?

Anshul Sadana
Chief Operating Officer at Arista Networks

Sure. Well, these are two great customers to have and we wouldn't have it any other way. We don't control the market. These are some of the largest cloud companies in the world and we are the leader in cloud networking. So, yes, we are exposed to them, but these investments are highly leveraged, whether it's product development, whether it's developing the roadmap, whether it's getting economies of scale on a product line and manufacturing. There are several benefits we get and the customer get those benefits as well. So as a result of that, we are happy that these customers are doing well, and growing, and yes, increasing the capex, and we benefit from that as well. Jayshree, you mentioned that even the last earnings call or earlier, both of them are expected to be at 10% customers this year, and we are happy with that outcome.

Tal Liani
Analyst at Bank of America

Got it. Thank you.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thank you, Tal.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jim Suva with Citigroup. Your line is now open.

Jim Suva
Analyst at Smith Barney Citigroup

Thank you and congratulations, Jayshree, either to your teams and Anshul. I have one question and that is about the lag time between your pricing actions and the orders. So, Ita mentioned a few times about the December price increases, but I just wanted to see, wouldn't it be logical that all customers are putting in a lot more orders now to give you more visibility because selfishly or rightfully and smartfully and economically, you'd get better pricing knowing that prices are going to go up in the future? Or Ita and Jayshree, you're saying that you've adjusted prices since that December price increase? I just wanted to get some color on the loud league of pricing orders. Thank you.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yeah, Jim, thank you for the congratulations and wishes. So we made a pricing increase that we spoke to you about in November. The effectiveness of the pricing is very difficult to control right away. So first of all, we give them some notice. So historically we have. And so orders in flight don't get affected by that pricing. Orders and backlog also don't get affected by the pricing. So, all said and done, even though we're getting new orders with the new pricing, everything that's shipping in Q1, Q2, Q3 and a good chunk of Q4, we'll have the old pricing. That's what we're trying to see. Orders we're getting now will reflect the new pricing and that will come in late Q4 or 2023. We are contemplating a second price increase given the tremendous pressure we have on costs and, but again, once again, if we make it now, it's effect is not going to be till second half of 2023. Does that help you answer the question?

Jim Suva
Analyst at Smith Barney Citigroup

It does. And my point is, compared to November, things have really changed. It's been six, seven months since last [Phonetic]. So I guess it sounds like you're kind of contemplating but I just was wondering, it was more dynamic since last November with your pricing?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes. No, we been very thoughtful about not shaking up pricing over and over again. Some of our competitors have done it five times. We've pretty much only done it once but we are contemplating a second one.

Jim Suva
Analyst at Smith Barney Citigroup

Got you. Thanks for the clarifications.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thanks, Jim.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ben Bollin with Cleveland Research. Your line is now open.

Ben Bollin
Analyst at Cleveland Research

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. I appreciate you taking the question. Jayshree and Ita, I was hoping you could touch on your thoughts around the durability of the orders that you're seeing right now? Jayshree, you commented a little bit on hyperscale, but any thoughts around how far in advance you're seeing orders from Cloud Titan and enterprise customers? And then, also, I'd be interested in your thoughts on the type of financial commitments you're seeing from the different verticals and how you're monitoring and managing the risk or perceived risk of accepted bookings or pull forward? That's it. Thank you.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Okay. So, you are asking about durability of our orders and authenticity of our orders, if I understood it correctly, right?

Ben Bollin
Analyst at Cleveland Research

That is correct.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Because we don't -- we fulfill through channels, but so much of our orders are very intimate relationships with our customers to answer your second question first. We really believe the orders are not double booked or double or there are may be some. The majority of our Cloud orders, enterprise, cloud providers, service providers, these are relationships, dialogues, conversations we have regularly. So we have no reason to believe at this point that there is double booking going on of any kind. There could be a minor percentage, but nothing major.

In terms of durability, again, our customers are planning for a one to two year horizon. So I believe the durability of our orders in this one to two year horizon is strong. Of course, there is always a big risk that the orders are cancellable, they may make changes, but for the most part, they've stayed committed to us and we have seen them be consistent in wanting to get our product and willing to wait for it. So durability and authenticity is good.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Erik Suppiger with JMP Securities. Your line is now open.

Erik Suppiger
Analyst at JMP Securities

Yes, thanks for taking the question. One, just what are you telling your customers in terms of lead times for your longer lead time products? And how and what are your customers telling you in terms of how that compares to some of your competitors in terms of their lead times?

And then, Ita, could you just comment, the 200 to 300 basis point impact, presumably that's Q2 and Q3, do you think that starts to dissipate after Q3?

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, I mean, look, it's tough, right? I think we're probably with that at least Q2, Q3, and then we should start getting some relief from the pricing and other things in Q4, but I think I'd hold that through Q2 and Q3.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes. And on lead times, it really varies by product and it varies by decommits right now. So we thought we were doing super well and we were king of the jungle and on top of the line, if you asked us this last November. But I think things have degraded for all our peers and for us. So lead times are definitely measured in many weeks and many months.

Erik Suppiger
Analyst at JMP Securities

Do you strive to have shorter lead times than your competitors?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

We strive to execute better. And I think we have done better than our competitors and we hope we continue to do so. What we don't do is promise one lead time and then come up with another, at least not intentionally.

Erik Suppiger
Analyst at JMP Securities

Let me ask this, do your competitors -- do you have customers leaving your competitors for you knowing that your lead times are shorter?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

They do try. I mean, I have had a number of enterprise customers come to us and say I got all of this, I can give to you, if you can ship now. But again, we are not able to ship now either, so as much as they try, the best we can do is phase some kind of use cases for them in different products. But it isn't a case of direct substitution, it's a case of switching from one vendor to another and still having a plan across the period of time.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Thanks, Eric. Let's go to the next question please.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of George Notter with Jefferies. Your line is now open.

George Notter
Analyst at Jefferies Financial Group

Hi, thanks a lot, guys. I guess I had another question on purchase commitments. The 4.3 billion is a big number, an impressive number, and certainly in this environment, it's very understandable. I guess if I play the other side of this, how do you see the risk of getting caught with lots of high cost componentry in the case where the supply chain ultimately corrects and prices normalize? Is that something you guys think about? Is it a risk in your mind or just simply worth it in terms of having more opportunity to gain share right now? Thanks.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

I think it's simply worth it, George. I've seen a few of these in my career. And the first thing you do here is you really procure your newest products your components that are least likely to get obsolete. And I think we've been very smart and sensible about it. Second thing is, don't confuse purchase commitments with purchase arrivals. They've not arrived yet. They're going to take multiple quarters or years to arrive. So think of this as a multi-year purchase commitment that could arrive in '22, '23 or in some cases '24. And the third thing is we look at this as a wise investment for a lot of common components that will be in our new products as well. So all in all, no regrets. There may be some perturbation on some components that arrive and don't arrive, but we feel good about this being one of our best investments for the short and long-term.

George Notter
Analyst at Jefferies Financial Group

Got it. And is there any safety valve in that for you guys in terms of the ability to push out those deliveries or cancel orders, how do you think about that?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Regarding push out, we are glad that they don't. We don't want that safety valve at the moment. So most of the orders in the semiconductor industry if you have been working around them are generally non-cancelable, but they can be managed from a time basis point of view.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Thanks, George.

George Notter
Analyst at Jefferies Financial Group

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of James Fish with Piper Sandler. Your line is now open.

James Fish
Analsyt at Arista Networks

All right. Thanks for squeezing me in here given most of my questions have been answered, most minor just follow ups. I wanted to actually circle back to Suva's question on pricing, not so much on the magnitude of the price side, but what are you seeing with customers across verticals of what you're implementing that can give confidence that you're not getting a pull-in of orders of potentially more pass through being needed? These are smart buyers that can see the supply chain is likely getting worse, if you're seeing it too. And then additionally, why not implement non-cancelable terms like others in the space have? Thanks.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, I think they are both good questions, James. I'll take the first one. Non-cancelable orders are easier said than done because they're based on contractual terms. So where we can do it, we will look at that. But generally speaking, we have long term contracts. And in terms of -- what was the other question?

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Pricing.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Right. Pricing in line -- the impact of pricing or what was the question again?

James Fish
Analsyt at Arista Networks

Yes, it was more on, not necessarily the actual pricing itself. We all kind of have heard it and know it, but it's more about what gives you confidence that we're not getting a pull-in of orders? [Speech Overlap] second step up? [Speech Overlap]

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Yes. James, I think the keyword was not pull-in, but better planning. So they are obviously looking at their purchases. And when the lead times is six week, they could look at this year or this year and not worry about next year. So, but now they're having to consider their budgets and their plans for not only this year, but next year. So, definitely, I think you're seeing the demand of not just this year, but as Anshul often likes to say, this year has an extra quarter, maybe two. So from that point of view, I think there are planning longer term.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Thanks, James. The next question please.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Tom Blakey with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Tom Blakey
Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hi Jayshree. Hi, Ita. Thank you for squeezing at the end here. My question is about software. So everybody can hang up, and I'll just actually ask you out this question. So, this business line in our thoughts slowing of growth to 15% growth from 30 plus percent last quarter, strong quarter, could just be timing. But I'd love to just take the opportunity here to dive a little bit deeper in terms of what percentage of this line, it's an important line in my mind, is subscription and ratable software, what percent is services. Maybe just take the opportunity to dive a little bit deeper in terms of what the largest software solution -- what the largest percentage of software solutions are?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Tom, it's definitely a work in progress. We could do better here. I would classify our software in sort of three buckets. The perpetual licenses that are very important that go with our products and we continue to be strong there. These could be routing licenses, automation licenses, analytics, et cetera. Then as you call them the subscription revenue, and as I have often alluded to, we don't just take our business and make it subscription. These are generally new businesses like DANZ monitoring fabric for visibility, the Eva sensors for threat hunting, CloudVision for network as a service. And they're doing well, but the revenue trails the bookings. So, as you know, they're multi-year subscriptions, and this is still small for us. And so these two buckets together can be viewed as something that's in that 10% range that we would like to double in the next few years. Right. And then there's the services bucket. When you do really well on product, the service percentages that you saw this quarter can get smaller. Q4 tends to be our strongest services and renewals bucket and that tends to be typically in the mid teens to sometimes high teens. So these three are really our recurring and software components and they are very important, but they tend to dwarf when your product is terribly strong like it is this year.

Tom Blakey
Analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets

That's very helpful. And just one last quick one to squeeze in here. The deferred revenue delays that Ita referred to, you commented about new products causing delays [Technical Issue] this has happened in the past and which is a big uptick, is there -- I thought I heard you say it was a new cloud customer, there's not many in Cloud Titans, was that accurate? Did I hear that right?

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

No, so not -- in the cloud, it's really, it's the -- it's pretty much the existing customers new use cases, new products. And then on the enterprise side, because there is some priced stuff in there too, it's new customers where we're deploying for the first time.

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Thank you, Tom. We have time for one last question.

Operator

Your last question today comes from the line of Woo Jin Ho with Bloomberg Intelligence. Your line is open.

Woo Jin Ho
Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence

Great. Thanks for squeezing me in, guys. Just a clarification on the second half outlook is that dependent on the supply chain getting a little bit better from where it is right now or does that assume that there is no changes to the decommit environment?

Ita Brennan
Chief Financial Officer at Arista Networks

Yes, I mean, I think, look, we're going to take this quarter by quarter here. I think I referenced to the full year, et cetera, assuming continued constrained environment. I don't think we think the world changes that much, right? But we will take it quarter by quarter.

Woo Jin Ho
Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence

Great. Thank you.

Jayshree Ullal
President and Chief Executive Officer at Arista Networks

Thank you, Woo Jin.

Elizabeth Stein
Director of Investor Relations at Arista Networks

This concludes the Arista Networks First Quarter 2022 earnings call. We have posted a presentation which provides additional information on our results which you can access on the Investors section of our website. Thank you for joining us today and thank you for your interest in Arista.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]

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