Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$153.81 -4.46 (-2.82%)

Closing price 02/21/2025 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$154.11 +0.30 (+0.19%)

As of 02/21/2025 06:21 PM Eastern

Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 17 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
6

Buy
10

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 17 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 6 have given a hold rating, 9 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$181.27
17.85% Upside

According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $181.27. The highest price target for MPC is $231.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $145.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 17.85% from the current price of $153.81.

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MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 2/24/24 to 2/23/25	1 Month Ago 1/25/24 to 1/24/25	3 Months Ago 11/26/23 to 11/25/24	1 Year Ago 2/24/23 to 2/24/24
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	9 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)
Hold	6 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	2 Sell rating(s)	2 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$181.27	$181.20	$185.07	$163.00
Forecasted Upside	17.85% Upside	19.66% Upside	18.28% Upside	-3.86% Downside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Marathon Petroleum	Oils/Energy Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.59	2.62	2.53
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	17.85% Upside	2,317.92% Upside	14.35% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent MPC News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
2/5/2025	Wells Fargo & Company 3 of 5 stars	Roger Read Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$182.00 ➝ $183.00	+16.02%
2/4/2025	Tudor Pickering 5 of 5 stars	M. Blair Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong Sell ➝ Hold
1/17/2025	Raymond James 4 of 5 stars	Justin Jenkins Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Strong-Buy ➝ Strong-Buy	$190.00 ➝ $192.00	+25.70%
12/16/2024	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$175.00 ➝ $174.00	+22.65%
12/10/2024	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy	$170.00	+11.64%
11/11/2024	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$168.00 ➝ $159.00	+2.81%
10/17/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Neutral	$174.00	+10.15%
10/10/2024	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$172.00 ➝ $167.00	+1.05%
10/10/2024	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Sector Outperform ➝ Sector Outperform	$191.00 ➝ $170.00	+2.46%
10/9/2024	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$172.00 ➝ $171.00	+5.04%
Get the Latest News and Ratings for MPC and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Marathon Petroleum and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
10/4/2024	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$200.00 ➝ $190.00	+10.93%
9/20/2024	Piper Sandler Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$168.00 ➝ $145.00	-10.33%
9/16/2024	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$196.00 ➝ $182.00	+13.74%
9/9/2024	Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Sell
7/18/2024	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	D. Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Initiated Coverage	Outperform	$200.00	+20.80%
7/15/2024	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$222.00 ➝ $231.00	+37.44%
3/22/2024	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$175.00 ➝ $211.00	+6.01%
8/2/2023	Royal Bank of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$148.00 ➝ $152.00	+12.64%
3/8/2023	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Buy	$165.00	+29.04%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Sunday at 05:54 AM ET.

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Wednesday, February 19, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

Marathon Petroleum Co. has announced a dividend of $0.91 per share, which translates to an annualized dividend of $3.64 and a yield of 2.33%. This consistent dividend payment can provide a steady income stream for investors.
The company has a relatively low payout ratio of 36.66%, indicating that it retains a significant portion of its earnings for reinvestment, which can support future growth and stability.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has initiated a stock buyback program worth $5.00 billion, allowing the company to repurchase up to 10% of its shares. This move often signals that the company's leadership believes its stock is undervalued, potentially leading to an increase in stock price.
Recent insider activity shows that Director Jeffrey C. Campbell purchased 6,000 shares at an average price of $149.61, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance. Insider buying can be a positive indicator for potential investors.
The current stock price of Marathon Petroleum Co. is approximately $149.61, which may be considered attractive given the company's strong fundamentals and growth prospects.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

Despite the positive indicators, the oil and gas industry can be highly volatile, influenced by fluctuating oil prices and regulatory changes, which may impact Marathon Petroleum Co.'s profitability.
Insider ownership is relatively low at 0.21%, which may suggest a lack of alignment between management and shareholders' interests, potentially leading to decisions that do not prioritize shareholder value.
The company's significant stock buyback program, while a positive sign, could also indicate that management is not finding enough growth opportunities to invest in, which may limit long-term growth potential.
Marathon Petroleum Co. operates primarily in the United States, making it vulnerable to domestic economic fluctuations and changes in energy policy that could adversely affect its operations.
The company's focus on downstream operations may expose it to risks associated with refining margins, which can be affected by changes in supply and demand dynamics in the energy market.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $181.27, with a high forecast of $231.00 and a low forecast of $145.00.
: 17 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 6 hold ratings, 9 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MPC shares.
: According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted upside of 17.85% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 1 upgrade by analysts.
: Marathon Petroleum has been rated by research analysts at Mizuho, Raymond James, TD Cowen, Tudor Pickering, and Wells Fargo & Company in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Marathon Petroleum less than other "oils/energy" companies. The consensus rating score for Marathon Petroleum is 2.59 while the average consensus rating score for "oils/energy" companies is 2.62. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 2/23/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target