Roth Capital Forecasts Lower Earnings for Assured Guaranty

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (NYSE:AGO - Free Report) - Investment analysts at Roth Capital reduced their Q1 2025 earnings estimates for Assured Guaranty in a research report issued to clients and investors on Tuesday, November 12th. Roth Capital analyst H. Fong now expects that the financial services provider will post earnings per share of $1.47 for the quarter, down from their prior estimate of $1.50. The consensus estimate for Assured Guaranty's current full-year earnings is $6.30 per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for Assured Guaranty's Q2 2025 earnings at $1.62 EPS, Q3 2025 earnings at $1.68 EPS, Q4 2025 earnings at $1.73 EPS, FY2025 earnings at $6.50 EPS, Q1 2026 earnings at $1.60 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $1.80 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $1.88 EPS and FY2026 earnings at $7.25 EPS.

Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO - Get Free Report) last posted its quarterly earnings data on Monday, November 11th. The financial services provider reported $2.42 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $1.42 by $1.00. The firm had revenue of $269.00 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $202.57 million. Assured Guaranty had a return on equity of 11.58% and a net margin of 70.37%. Assured Guaranty's revenue was down 33.3% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period in the prior year, the business posted $3.42 EPS.

Other equities research analysts have also recently issued research reports about the stock. StockNews.com cut shares of Assured Guaranty from a "hold" rating to a "sell" rating in a research note on Friday, October 18th. UBS Group lifted their target price on shares of Assured Guaranty from $84.00 to $87.00 and gave the company a "neutral" rating in a research note on Thursday, October 17th.

Assured Guaranty Stock Performance

AGO traded down $2.46 during midday trading on Wednesday, reaching $88.95. The company had a trading volume of 439,173 shares, compared to its average volume of 382,795. Assured Guaranty has a 1 year low of $65.39 and a 1 year high of $96.60. The company has a quick ratio of 0.96, a current ratio of 0.85 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29. The company has a market cap of $4.68 billion, a P/E ratio of 6.91 and a beta of 1.10. The business has a 50-day moving average of $82.61 and a two-hundred day moving average of $79.57.

Assured Guaranty Announces Dividend

The business also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, December 6th. Shareholders of record on Friday, November 22nd will be issued a dividend of $0.31 per share. This represents a $1.24 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 1.39%. The ex-dividend date is Friday, November 22nd. Assured Guaranty's dividend payout ratio (DPR) is currently 9.63%.

Insider Activity

In related news, CEO Dominic Frederico sold 31,000 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction on Wednesday, September 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $80.01, for a total transaction of $2,480,310.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer now directly owns 1,380,119 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $110,423,321.19. This trade represents a 0.00 % decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is accessible through this link. In other Assured Guaranty news, Director Yukiko Omura sold 3,599 shares of Assured Guaranty stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, September 26th. The stock was sold at an average price of $79.73, for a total value of $286,948.27. Following the sale, the director now owns 19,285 shares of the company's stock, valued at $1,537,593.05. The trade was a 0.00 % decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through the SEC website. Also, CEO Dominic Frederico sold 31,000 shares of the stock in a transaction that occurred on Wednesday, September 4th. The shares were sold at an average price of $80.01, for a total value of $2,480,310.00. Following the transaction, the chief executive officer now owns 1,380,119 shares of the company's stock, valued at $110,423,321.19. This represents a 0.00 % decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale can be found here. Company insiders own 5.10% of the company's stock.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Assured Guaranty

A number of hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of AGO. Gladius Capital Management LP purchased a new position in shares of Assured Guaranty in the 3rd quarter worth approximately $31,000. New Covenant Trust Company N.A. bought a new position in Assured Guaranty during the first quarter valued at $35,000. Assetmark Inc. increased its position in Assured Guaranty by 66.6% during the third quarter. Assetmark Inc. now owns 493 shares of the financial services provider's stock valued at $39,000 after acquiring an additional 197 shares during the last quarter. Daiwa Securities Group Inc. purchased a new stake in shares of Assured Guaranty in the second quarter valued at $46,000. Finally, Farther Finance Advisors LLC lifted its holdings in shares of Assured Guaranty by 183.8% in the 3rd quarter. Farther Finance Advisors LLC now owns 596 shares of the financial services provider's stock worth $47,000 after acquiring an additional 386 shares during the last quarter. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 92.22% of the company's stock.

About Assured Guaranty

Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Insurance and Asset Management. The company offers financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments.