Free Trial

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Marathon Petroleum logo
$172.26 +1.38 (+0.81%)
Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern
Extended Trading
$172.14 -0.13 (-0.07%)
As of 05:14 PM Eastern
Extended trading is trading that happens on electronic markets outside of regular trading hours. This is a fair market value extended hours price provided by Polygon.io. Learn more.

Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Sell
1
Hold
8
Buy
8

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Hold." Out of the 17 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 8 have given a hold rating, and 8 have given a buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$185.29
7.56% Upside
According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $185.29. The highest price target for MPC is $205.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $170.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 7.56% from the current price of $172.26.
Get the Latest News and Ratings for MPC and Related Stocks

Enter your email address to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Marathon Petroleum and its competitors.

Sign Up

MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

TypeCurrent Forecast
8/25/24 to 8/25/25
1 Month Ago
7/26/24 to 7/26/25
3 Months Ago
5/27/24 to 5/27/25
1 Year Ago
8/26/23 to 8/25/24
Strong Buy
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
0 Strong Buy rating(s)
1 Strong Buy rating(s)
2 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
8 Buy rating(s)
Hold
8 Hold rating(s)
8 Hold rating(s)
6 Hold rating(s)
5 Hold rating(s)
Sell
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
1 Sell rating(s)
0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target$185.29$183.93$175.29$198.38
Forecasted Upside7.56% Upside7.16% Upside8.03% Upside13.16% Upside
Consensus Rating
Hold
Hold
Moderate Buy
Moderate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.
Skip Chart & View Analyst Rating History

MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.
Skip Chart and View Analyst Price Target HistorySkip Chart & View Price History Table

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

TypeMarathon PetroleumEnergy CompaniesS&P 500
Consensus Rating Score
2.41
2.64
2.53
Consensus RatingHoldModerate BuyModerate Buy
Predicted Upside7.82% Upside51.72% Upside10.13% Upside
News Sentiment Rating
Positive News

See Recent MPC News
Positive News
Positive News
DateBrokerageAnalyst NameActionRatingPrice TargetUpside/Downside on Report DateDetails
8/6/2025TD Cowen
4 of 5 stars
 Lower TargetBuy$190.00 ➝ $182.00+7.84%
7/28/2025Dbs Bank
0 of 5 stars
 UpgradeModerate Buy
7/22/2025Piper Sandler
2 of 5 stars
Ryan Todd
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Boost TargetNeutral ➝ Neutral$175.00 ➝ $182.00+3.14%
7/16/2025Citigroup
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Vikram Bagri
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Boost TargetNeutral ➝ Neutral$144.00 ➝ $182.00+5.77%
7/16/2025Morgan Stanley
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Connor Lynagh
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Boost TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$160.00 ➝ $182.00+3.50%
7/15/2025Raymond James Financial
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Justin Jenkins
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Reiterated RatingStrong-Buy ➝ Outperform$180.00 ➝ $200.00+13.87%
7/14/2025Wolfe Research
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Doug Leggate
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
DowngradeOutperform ➝ Peer Perform
7/11/2025Scotiabank
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
 Reiterated RatingOutperform ➝ Outperform
7/11/2025Barclays
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Theresa Chen
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Boost TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$159.00 ➝ $189.00+4.27%
7/10/2025UBS Group
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Manav Gupta
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Boost TargetBuy ➝ Buy$175.00 ➝ $203.00+11.36%
7/10/2025Wells Fargo & Company
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Roger Read
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Boost TargetOverweight ➝ Overweight$182.00 ➝ $205.00+14.93%
6/18/2025Evercore ISI
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Stephen Richardson
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Initiated CoverageIn-Line$170.00-0.04%
5/13/2025Mizuho
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Nitin Kumar
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
Boost TargetNeutral ➝ Neutral$168.00 ➝ $184.00+14.95%
2/4/2025Tudor Pickering
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
M. Blair
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
UpgradeStrong Sell ➝ Hold
10/17/2024Bank of America
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
 Initiated CoverageNeutral$174.00+10.15%
10/9/2024JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
 Lower TargetNeutral ➝ Neutral$172.00 ➝ $171.00+5.04%
10/4/2024BMO Capital Markets
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
 Lower TargetOutperform ➝ Outperform$200.00 ➝ $190.00+10.93%
9/9/2024Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co.
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
 DowngradeBuy ➝ Sell
7/15/2024Jefferies Financial Group
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
 Boost TargetBuy ➝ Buy$222.00 ➝ $231.00+37.44%
3/22/2024The Goldman Sachs Group
Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating
 Boost TargetBuy ➝ Buy$175.00 ➝ $211.00+6.01%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Monday at 06:01 PM ET.


Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Thursday, August 21, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

green Wall Street bull icon

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

  • The company recently reported earnings per share of $3.96, significantly exceeding analysts' expectations, indicating strong financial performance.
  • Marathon Petroleum Co. has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.91 per share, translating to an annualized dividend of $3.64, which offers a yield of 2.2%, providing a steady income stream for investors.
  • Analysts have a consensus rating of "Hold" with several firms recently raising their price targets, suggesting potential for stock price appreciation.
  • The company operates as an integrated downstream energy firm, which can provide stability and resilience in fluctuating oil markets.
  • Despite a year-over-year revenue decline, the company reported a revenue of $34.10 billion, showcasing its ability to generate substantial income even in challenging conditions.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

red Wall Street bear icon

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

  • The company's revenue has decreased by 11.1% year-over-year, which may indicate challenges in maintaining growth and profitability.
  • Marathon Petroleum Co. experienced a decline in earnings per share compared to the previous year, which could raise concerns about its future earnings potential.
  • The current stock price is subject to market volatility, which can affect investor returns and overall market sentiment.
  • With a net margin of 1.58%, the company's profitability may be lower than some investors would prefer, indicating potential inefficiencies.
  • Analysts have mixed ratings, with some downgrading their outlook, which could signal uncertainty about the company's future performance.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $185.29, with a high forecast of $205.00 and a low forecast of $170.00.

17 Wall Street equities research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 8 hold ratings and 8 buy ratings for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street equities research analysts is that investors should "hold" MPC shares. A hold rating indicates that analysts believe investors should maintain any existing positions they have in MPC, but not buy additional shares or sell existing shares.

According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted upside of 7.56% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.

Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 1 upgrade and 1 downgrade by analysts.

Marathon Petroleum has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Citigroup, Dbs Bank, Evercore ISI, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Raymond James Financial, Scotiabank, TD Cowen, UBS Group, Wells Fargo & Company, and Wolfe Research in the past 90 days.

Analysts like Marathon Petroleum less than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating for Marathon Petroleum is Hold while the average consensus rating for "energy" companies is Moderate Buy. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.


This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 8/25/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff
From Our Partners