Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$147.25 -2.56 (-1.71%)

Closing price 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$144.74 -2.51 (-1.71%)

As of 07:05 PM Eastern

Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 16 Analyst Ratings

Sell
1

Hold
6

Buy
9

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 16 analysts, 1 has given a sell rating, 6 have given a hold rating, 8 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$180.21
22.38% Upside

According to the 16 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $180.21. The highest price target for MPC is $231.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $156.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 22.38% from the current price of $147.25.

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MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 3/27/24 to 3/27/25	1 Month Ago 2/26/24 to 2/25/25	3 Months Ago 12/28/23 to 12/27/24	1 Year Ago 3/28/23 to 3/27/24
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	8 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	7 Buy rating(s)
Hold	6 Hold rating(s)	6 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)
Sell	1 Sell rating(s)	1 Sell rating(s)	2 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$180.21	$181.27	$184.00	$179.33
Forecasted Upside	22.38% Upside	20.36% Upside	35.62% Upside	-8.96% Downside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

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MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Marathon Petroleum	Energy Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.56	2.71	2.54
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	22.38% Upside	2,503.23% Upside	17.91% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent MPC News	Positive News	Positive News

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Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
3/21/2025	Wells Fargo & Company 3 of 5 stars	Roger Read Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$183.00 ➝ $185.00	+21.76%
3/14/2025	Barclays 3 of 5 stars	Theresa Chen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$159.00 ➝ $161.00	+14.67%
3/7/2025	Piper Sandler 2 of 5 stars	Ryan Todd Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$160.00 ➝ $156.00	+10.96%
2/4/2025	Tudor Pickering Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	M. Blair Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Upgrade	Strong Sell ➝ Hold
1/17/2025	Raymond James Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Justin Jenkins Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Strong-Buy ➝ Strong-Buy	$190.00 ➝ $192.00	+25.70%
12/16/2024	Mizuho Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$175.00 ➝ $174.00	+22.65%
12/10/2024	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy	$170.00	+11.64%
10/17/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Neutral	$174.00	+10.15%
10/10/2024	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$172.00 ➝ $167.00	+1.05%
10/10/2024	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Sector Outperform ➝ Sector Outperform	$191.00 ➝ $170.00	+2.46%
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10/9/2024	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$172.00 ➝ $171.00	+5.04%
10/4/2024	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$200.00 ➝ $190.00	+10.93%
9/16/2024	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$196.00 ➝ $182.00	+13.74%
9/9/2024	Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Sell
7/18/2024	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	D. Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Initiated Coverage	Outperform	$200.00	+20.80%
7/15/2024	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$222.00 ➝ $231.00	+37.44%
3/22/2024	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$175.00 ➝ $211.00	+6.01%
8/2/2023	Royal Bank of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$148.00 ➝ $152.00	+12.64%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Thursday at 10:27 PM ET.

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Monday, March 24, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

Marathon Petroleum Co. recently reported a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $0.77, significantly exceeding analysts' expectations of $0.06. This strong performance indicates robust financial health and operational efficiency.
The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.91 per share, translating to an annualized dividend of $3.64 and a yield of 2.43%. This consistent dividend payout can provide a steady income stream for investors.
With a current stock price around $134.72, the shares are trading below their 1-year high of $221.11, suggesting potential for price appreciation as the market recovers.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has a market capitalization of $46.52 billion, indicating a strong position in the market, which can attract institutional investors and provide stability.
The company has a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.94, suggesting that it is not overly reliant on debt for financing, which can reduce financial risk for investors.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

The company's revenue decreased by 9.1% year-over-year, which may indicate challenges in maintaining sales and could affect future profitability.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has a beta of 1.39, suggesting that its stock is more volatile than the market. This higher volatility can lead to greater risk for investors.
The firm reported a net margin of only 2.45%, which is relatively low and may raise concerns about its ability to convert revenue into actual profit.
Despite a strong dividend payout ratio of 36.66%, any future cuts to dividends could negatively impact investor sentiment and stock price.
The company’s 50-day simple moving average is $149.04, which is above the current stock price, indicating a potential downward trend that could concern investors.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 16 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $180.21, with a high forecast of $231.00 and a low forecast of $156.00.
: 16 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last twelve months. There is currently 1 sell rating, 6 hold ratings, 8 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MPC shares.
: According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted upside of 22.38% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Over the previous 90 days, Marathon Petroleum's stock had 1 upgrade by analysts.
: Marathon Petroleum has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Piper Sandler, Raymond James, Tudor Pickering, and Wells Fargo & Company in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Marathon Petroleum less than other "energy" companies. The consensus rating score for Marathon Petroleum is 2.56 while the average consensus rating score for "energy" companies is 2.71. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 3/27/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target