Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

$156.90 +9.90 (+6.73%)

Closing price 02/4/2025 03:59 PM Eastern

Extended Trading

$156.18 -0.72 (-0.46%)

As of 02/4/2025 07:57 PM Eastern

Marathon Petroleum - Analysts' Recommendations and Stock Price Forecast (2025)

MarketBeat calculates consensus analyst ratings for stocks using the most recent rating from each Wall Street analyst that has rated a stock within the last twelve months. Each analyst's rating is normalized to a standardized rating score of 1 (sell), 2 (hold), 3 (buy) or 4 (strong buy). Analyst consensus ratings scores are calculated using the mean average of the number of normalized sell, hold, buy and strong buy ratings from Wall Street analysts. Each stock's consensus analyst rating is derived from its calculated consensus ratings score (0 to .5 = Strong Sell, .5 to 1 = Sell, 1 to 1.5 = Reduce, 1.5 to 2.5 = Hold, 2.5 to 3.0 = Moderate Buy, 3.0 to 3.5 = Buy, >3.5 = Strong Buy). MarketBeat's consensus price targets are a mean average of the most recent available price targets set by each analyst that has set a price target for the stock in the last twelve months. MarketBeat's consensus ratings and consensus price targets may differ from those calculated by other firms due to differences in methodology and available data.

Consensus Rating

Moderate Buy

Based on 17 Analyst Ratings

Sell
2

Hold
5

Buy
10

Based on 17 Wall Street analysts who have issued ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last 12 months, the stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Out of the 17 analysts, 2 have given a sell rating, 5 have given a hold rating, 9 have given a buy rating, and 1 has given a strong buy rating for MPC.

Consensus Price Target

$181.20
15.49% Upside

According to the 17 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Marathon Petroleum, the average price target is $181.20. The highest price target for MPC is $231.00, while the lowest price target for MPC is $145.00. The average price target represents a forecasted upside of 15.49% from the current price of $156.90.

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MPC Analyst Ratings Over Time

Type	Current Forecast 2/6/24 to 2/5/25	1 Month Ago 1/7/24 to 1/6/25	3 Months Ago 11/8/23 to 11/7/24	1 Year Ago 2/6/23 to 2/6/24
Strong Buy	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)	1 Strong Buy rating(s)
Buy	9 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	9 Buy rating(s)	8 Buy rating(s)
Hold	5 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)	5 Hold rating(s)
Sell	2 Sell rating(s)	2 Sell rating(s)	2 Sell rating(s)	0 Sell rating(s)
Consensus Price Target	$181.20	$184.00	$185.67	$163.00
Forecasted Upside	15.49% Upside	30.98% Upside	20.56% Upside	-2.17% Downside
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy

MPC Analyst Recommendations By Month

The chart below shows how a company's ratings by analysts have changed over time. Each bar represents the previous year of ratings for that month. Within each bar, the sell ratings are shown in red, the hold ratings are shown in yellow, the buy ratings are shown in green, and the strong buy ratings are shown in dark green.

MPC Price Targets by Month

The chart below shows how a company's share price and consensus price target have changed over time. The dark blue line represents the company's actual price. The lighter blue line represents the stock's consensus price target. The even lighter blue range in the background of the two lines represents the low price target and the high price target for each stock.

Marathon Petroleum Stock vs. The Competition

Type	Marathon Petroleum	Oils/Energy Companies	S&P 500
Consensus Rating Score	2.53	2.62	2.53
Consensus Rating	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy	Moderate Buy
Predicted Upside	15.49% Upside	2,118.94% Upside	13.00% Upside
News Sentiment Rating	Positive News See Recent MPC News	Positive News	Positive News

Recent Analyst Forecasts and Stock Ratings

Rating

Upside/Downside

Action

Time Frame

Start Date

End Date

Show

Export to Excel

Date	Brokerage	Analyst Name	Action	Rating	Price Target	Upside/Downside on Report Date
1/17/2025	Raymond James 4 of 5 stars	Justin Jenkins Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Boost Target	Strong-Buy ➝ Strong-Buy	$190.00 ➝ $192.00	+25.70%
1/10/2025	Wells Fargo & Company 3 of 5 stars	Roger Read Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$186.00 ➝ $182.00	+27.84%
12/16/2024	Mizuho 3 of 5 stars		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$175.00 ➝ $174.00	+22.65%
12/10/2024	TD Cowen Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Reiterated Rating	Buy	$170.00	+11.64%
11/11/2024	Barclays Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$168.00 ➝ $159.00	+2.81%
10/17/2024	Bank of America Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Neutral	$174.00	+10.15%
10/10/2024	Citigroup Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$172.00 ➝ $167.00	+1.05%
10/10/2024	Scotiabank Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Sector Outperform ➝ Sector Outperform	$191.00 ➝ $170.00	+2.46%
10/9/2024	JPMorgan Chase & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$172.00 ➝ $171.00	+5.04%
10/4/2024	BMO Capital Markets Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$200.00 ➝ $190.00	+10.93%
Get the Latest News and Ratings for MPC and Related Stocks Enter your email address below to receive the latest news and analysts' ratings for Marathon Petroleum and its competitors with MarketBeat's FREE daily newsletter.
9/20/2024	Piper Sandler Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Neutral ➝ Neutral	$168.00 ➝ $145.00	-10.33%
9/16/2024	Morgan Stanley Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Lower Target	Overweight ➝ Overweight	$196.00 ➝ $182.00	+13.74%
9/9/2024	Tudor Pickering Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	M. Blair Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Downgrade	Strong-Buy ➝ Strong Sell
9/9/2024	Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Downgrade	Buy ➝ Sell
7/18/2024	Wolfe Research Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	D. Leggate Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating	Initiated Coverage	Outperform	$200.00	+20.80%
7/15/2024	Jefferies Financial Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$222.00 ➝ $231.00	+37.44%
3/22/2024	The Goldman Sachs Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Buy ➝ Buy	$175.00 ➝ $211.00	+6.01%
8/2/2023	Royal Bank of Canada Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Boost Target	Outperform ➝ Outperform	$148.00 ➝ $152.00	+12.64%
3/8/2023	UBS Group Subscribe to MarketBeat All Access for the recommendation accuracy rating		Initiated Coverage	Buy	$165.00	+29.04%

Analyst ratings data on MarketBeat is provided by Benzinga and other data providers. This page was last refreshed on Wednesday at 01:57 AM ET.

Should I Buy Marathon Petroleum Stock? MPC Pros and Cons Explained

These pros and cons were generated based on recent news and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest and most accurate insights. They were last updated on Tuesday, January 28, 2025. Please send any questions or comments about these Marathon Petroleum pros and cons to contact@marketbeat.com.

Marathon Petroleum
Bull Case

Here are some ways that investors could benefit from investing in Marathon Petroleum Co.:

Marathon Petroleum Co. has shown a strong stock performance recently, with the current stock price at $154.37, reflecting a 4.6% increase in trading hours. This upward trend may indicate positive market sentiment and potential for further growth.
The company has a significant market capitalization of $49.61 billion, which suggests stability and the ability to invest in growth opportunities, making it an attractive option for investors looking for established companies.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has a relatively low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.19, which may indicate that the stock is undervalued compared to its earnings, potentially offering a good entry point for investors.
Recent analyst ratings have been predominantly positive, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and a target price of $181.20, suggesting that analysts expect the stock to appreciate in value.
Institutional ownership is high at 76.77%, which often indicates confidence from large investors in the company's future performance, providing a level of reassurance for individual investors.

Marathon Petroleum
Bear Case

Investors should be bearish about investing in Marathon Petroleum Co. for these reasons:

Despite recent positive performance, the stock has experienced fluctuations, and the beta of 1.42 indicates higher volatility compared to the market, which could lead to increased risk for investors.
Some analysts have issued sell ratings, and the mixed ratings from research firms suggest uncertainty about the company's future performance, which could deter risk-averse investors.
The company operates in the oil and gas sector, which is subject to significant regulatory and environmental risks, potentially impacting profitability and stock performance.
Marathon Petroleum Co. has a PEG ratio of 2.94, which may indicate that the stock is overvalued relative to its expected earnings growth, suggesting caution for potential investors.
Insider ownership is relatively low at 0.21%, which may raise concerns about alignment between management and shareholder interests, potentially affecting long-term strategic decisions.

MPC Forecast - Frequently Asked Questions

: According to the research reports of 17 Wall Street equities research analysts, the average twelve-month stock price forecast for Marathon Petroleum is $181.20, with a high forecast of $231.00 and a low forecast of $145.00.
: 17 Wall Street research analysts have issued "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings for Marathon Petroleum in the last year. There are currently 2 sell ratings, 5 hold ratings, 9 buy ratings and 1 strong buy rating for the stock. The consensus among Wall Street research analysts is that investors should "moderate buy" MPC shares.
: According to analysts, Marathon Petroleum's stock has a predicted upside of 15.49% based on their 12-month stock forecasts.
: Marathon Petroleum has been rated by research analysts at Barclays, Mizuho, Raymond James, TD Cowen, and Wells Fargo & Company in the past 90 days.
: Analysts like Marathon Petroleum less than other "oils/energy" companies. The consensus rating score for Marathon Petroleum is 2.53 while the average consensus rating score for "oils/energy" companies is 2.62. Learn more on how MPC compares to other companies.

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This page (NYSE:MPC) was last updated on 2/5/2025 by MarketBeat.com Staff

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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast & Price Target